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Crying Wolf in the Ukraine (Again)
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I have to admit that before I sat down to write this column I had some misgivings: I thought “not another article warning about a potential explosion in the Ukraine! Not again!”. And yet, events on the ground are what they are and ignoring them under the pretext that I am fed up “crying wolf” again and again is not a wise solution either. I will try to keep it short though. First, let me provide you a quick summary of what has been happening in the Ukraine since my last column about the Ukraine on June 28th.

As most of you know, NATO and the Ukraine have been conducting maneuvers on the Black Sea, air and land called “Sea Breeze”. This is nothing new, but this year these maneuvers attracted more countries than usual, as you can see for yourself.

Officially, 32 countries from six continents providing 5,000 troops, 32 ships, 40 aircraft, and 18 special operations and dive teams are participating in this exercise: Albania, Australia, Brazil, Bulgaria, Canada, Denmark, Egypt, Estonia, France, Georgia, Greece, Israel, Italy, Japan, Latvia, Lithuania, Moldova, Morocco, Norway, Pakistan, Poland, Romania, Senegal, Spain, South Korea, Sweden, Tunisia, Turkey, Ukraine, United Arab Emirates, United Kingdom, and the United States. Kristina Kvien, the chargé d’affaires at the U.S. Embassy in Ukraine, declared that “USS Ross‘ participation in this year’s Sea Breeze maritime exercise is a tangible demonstration of U.S. support for Ukraine and is necessary now more than ever (…) it is part of the enduring commitment that the United States and our NATO Allied and partner nations have made since 1997 to enhance maritime security in the Black Sea”.

Now here are a few examples of what the Ukies are saying:

  • Let’s see if the accursed Mokal’s will dare to shoot at the Ross which (at least according to the Ukies) can sink the entire Russian Black Sea Fleet with one salvo of its super-dooper Tomahawk missiles.
  • The Ukraine now has missiles which can bring down the bridge over the Kerch Strait.
  • The USA is delivering us fast attack boats while Turkey is giving us Bairaktar drones – with those we will liberate Crimea and the Donbass from the accused Moskal’.
  • The Ukrainian military is now the best in Europe (in fact, it protects the entire EU from assaults by the Russian hordes) and it will make minced meat of the Russians for sure the next time around.
  • In their current format, the Minsk Agreements are dead and we will never implement them. If the Moskal’ refuse to amend them then we also have a plan B: to build a big wall and totally cut all our ties with Russia. Either that, or we will liberate Crimea and the Donbass manu militari!
  • The next time the accursed Moskal’ try to prevent a Ukie vessel from traversing the Kerch Strait we will sink any force trying to stop us.

Keep in mind that all TV channels which are not controlled by Ze have now been banned. The Ukie Rada passed a law declaring that Russians are not native to the Ukraine (makes me wonder where they came from, outer space I suppose). All the main leaders of the rather uninspiring opposition are constantly harassed or even kept under house arrest. All this is to say that the insane examples of what the Ukronazis are saying above is not some minority of hardcore delusional Ukronazis – this is what many of the members of the party of Ze (and others!) are openly saying 24/7.

Now, let’s cut to the chase and see what is really going on!

Party Official position
Official White House We want to contain Russia, maintain a dialog where it is in the interests of the USA and we will defend our friends and values in the region and the whole world
US/NAT/EU officials We will resist any Russian provocation or use of force, we have the means to force Russia to renounce her plans to rebuild the Soviet Union.
Ukronazis The world is with us. Russia is weak and isolated. The US, NATO and our invincible military will teach a painful lesson to the Russian bear which really belongs East of the Urals (the latter are the natural border between the EU and China). We are now rehearsing the liberation of Crimea with our allies.
Russians Just try

Let’s sum this up: while the top US officials have not held the same kind of language as the US, UK and Dutch Navy officers on their ships last week, it is pretty clear that one of two things will happen: either NATO will try to “poke the bear” or they won’t.

  • In the first case, NATO will have looked like it “blinked” and that for all its posturing, NATO is afraid of taking on Russia.
  • In the second case, Russia will sink a NATO ship (or shoot down a NATO aircraft) and if NATO does not repost, it will have blinked, hard and with both eyes.

Both of these outcomes are highly undesirable for the US, NATO or the Empire. These outcomes are also bad news for the EU (which cannot afford to lose NS2 to some silly three letter agency provocation against Russia).

The main problem is that many western officials have declared urbi et orbi that “the civilized world (by that we mean “us” of course) has not recognized the Russian annexation of Crimea and, therefore, we don’t recognize the waters off Crimea as legit Russian waters”. This must have sounded really cool to the first simpletons who declared this, but the Ukies and their UK+3B+PU have immediately, and logically (in their own simple-minded way), declared “okay, great! Prove it by ignoring the Russian warnings and send something across this Russian “red line” to prove to the world that you are not only bark and no bite”. In other words, this is yet another iteration of a favorite challenge amongst US teenagers: “and whatcha gonna do about it?”.

Frankly, this is a legit question. And the US/NATO have until July 10th (this Saturday) to answer it. Okay, I guess they could also answer it after Sea Breeze 2021 is over, but since US Americans (and their clueless NATO counterparts) believe that coalition warfare is the way to victory (in reality, it is a way to defeat, as I have explained it in this article) and the real leaders of the Empire also believe that large coalitions offer a veneer of legitimacy (they don’t, as only a UNSC Resolution can) to their (imperialistic and illegal) actions with lots of small Tabaquis to make it all look kosher.

Furthermore, in the Ukronazi media the SeaBreeze 2021 is presented like this: “hey, Moskal’, it is way easier to threaten a small Ukrainian vessel than to take on NATO!!! Right?! If you just move, we will kick your asses from the Black Sea to Siberia (where you belong!)”; and the conclusion, “we are invincible, NATO is invincible, the US is invincible and the entire civilized world, which is also invincible, is against you”.

As for the clueless (and spineless and brainless) EU leaders, they talk about “containing” Russia by interacting with her “from a position of force”. In other words, this is what is really happening now: NATO encourages the Ukraine to try something, the Ukraine encourages NATO to try something, and both sides take a great deal of (quite misplaced) pride in ignoring not only the Russian warnings, but also the Russian capabilities.

I should also mention that much of the imperial propaganda machine (aka “the free press”) is also hyping the expectations of those who still take them seriously. Their message: “our invincible navies will kick the Russian bear in the ass and teach him a lesson”. Rah! Rah! Rah!

In other words: unless the US/NATO/Ukies trigger some kind of incident, the US/NATO/Ukies will lose face by the 11th of this month.

As for Putin, this is what he had to say recently when asked about the risks of a major war:

“Here is what I would like to say. You said that this put the world on the brink of a global war. No, of course, not. Even if we had sunk that ship, it is nevertheless difficult to imagine that this would have put the world on the brink of a third world war because those who did this know they could not win a war like that. This is very important.”

Pretty clear, no?

Putin will come under a lot of pressure, and even outright anger, if he does not back his words with some real action. This is an election year and the Kremlin simply cannot afford being all bark and no bite.

Last, but not least, from a geostrategic/military point of view, the Russian military cannot afford to ignore NATO’s actions.

Conclusion: alas, only more crying wolf…

Crying wolf is a very unthankless task, and in the case of the Nazi-occupied Ukraine, this is made even worse by the fact that every time the wolf fails to show up, an increasing number of people get used to the idea that the wolf (or bear) turned into a demure and fully tamed koala.

We shall soon find out which side will “blink” and which one won’t.

 
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  1. Beckow says:

    There are a number of intermediate steps available to both sides: Russia could harass any trespassing ship, even board it, but not sink it. But if it does sink a ship, Nato could take out a similar Russian ship or other asset elsewhere where they have local superiority.

    You see, all would be even and all could be forgotten. It is also not a loss if the Western media doesn’t talk about it.

    If I am wrong, we can have an in-depth discussion after the fireworks :)…

  2. Saker needs to get of the drugs. This screed is more fevered than the rest of the sewage he posts.

    NATO has no reason to go to war with Putin. Putin’s Navy was unable to do anything about the UK ship exercising its rights to transit Ukrainian waters. Sinking the ship would have placed him in a very bad situation and he knows the Brits don’t take kindly to such things.

    Saker thinks Putin is more than a gas bag, and that the Russian military is the equal of the Soviet military. Such thinking is utter stupidity and typical of Saker.

    • Agree: Kramer
    • Disagree: GomezAdddams
    • Replies: @Begemot
    , @RadicalCenter
  3. Who is The Saker? Why are you allowed to publish here?

    Who are these Ukronazis? Did Hitler come back from the dead? Or is the Jewish president of the Ukraine is a Nazi?

    Your article leaves the reader with a lot more questions than answers.

  4. hum2 says:

    The Saker, the male version of Greta? Well, both are fake and phony serving the same Masters.
    And no one is crying wolf more than the Saker the shill! All Russia has to do is watching the game. And sure Sea Breeze it is a provocation, surprise? Sure the Saker the Faker is!

    • Troll: Ann Nonny Mouse
  5. Just a quick note, from Australia.

    Koalas are not ‘tame’ – they can be quite grumpy and lash out with their claws when not happy.

    But when left alone and/or treated well, they eat and sleep and mate, and allow tourists to take cute pictures of and with them.

    The world would be a much better place, if only we could learn from the koala to ‘live and let live’.

    • Agree: animalogic
  6. Didn’t Ukraine just ink an infrastruture deal with China? Is Ze allowed to do that? Or has he slipped his leash?

    https://www.breitbart.com/asia/2021/07/05/ukraine-inks-infrastructure-deal-china-after-biden-snubs-zelensky-putin/

    • Replies: @showmethereal
  7. “In the first case, NATO will have looked like it “blinked” and that for all its posturing, NATO is afraid of taking on Russia.
    In the second case, Russia will sink a NATO ship (or shoot down a NATO aircraft) and if NATO does not reply, it will have blinked, hard and with both eyes.”

    There is a perfectly reasonable third course: the Ukranazis and their masters sail their ships only just outside Russian (Crimea) territorial waters, within a kilometre or less, and declare that they forced Putin to back down by travelling through “Ukrainian” territorial waters in Crimea. Russia claims that the Amerikastanis and their slaves, er, “our Western partners”, did not enter Russian territorial waters. Everyone vomits out their own mediaganda, nothing more happens.

    This is so likely that anyone with half a brain, a category to which the Faker doesn’t belong, would have thought of it.

    • Replies: @john cronk
  8. Begemot says:
    @Quartermaster

    … the Brits don’t take kindly to such things.

    OK. The Brits would not like their ships sunk or damaged.

    Tell us, what could the Brits actually do about it, if such an event transpired?

    • Replies: @Quartermaster
  9. Kramer says:
    @Beetlejuice

    The Saker is a propagandist paid by the Russian state. He supplements his income with donations from the readers of his blog. He lives in Florida, where the cost of living is low.

    What is extremely off-putting about the Saker is his Russian Imperialist attitude. That is what this guy really is, a Russian Imperialist.

    He rants about the Anglo-Zionist empire, but never mentions the Zionist tentacles in Russia and up Putin’s bum, in the form of the countless Jewish billionaire oligarchs that operate in Russia.

    The Saker wants the Russo-Zionist empire to take the place of the Anglo-Zionist empire.

    He talks a lot about Russian military capabilities, and yet fails to mention the fact that Russian boots on the ground have not fought a real war in a long time.

    The Russian military would be absolutely devastated in a confrontation with NATO.

    Russian Imperialism today amounts to supporting and arming separatists in Donbass, and parking fancy jet fighters in their Naval Base in Syria, which is the only part of Syria where Russians hold any sway.

    Russian forces shy away from confrontation with US forces, and US-backed forces in Syria, while Iran openly targets US bases with missiles and drones.

    Russia is nothing. And without Zionist support, Russian Imperialist ambitions are doomed to fail, like the pathetic attempt in Donbass.

    Meanwhile, the Saker coins new terms all the time, like Ukronazis and Zone A/B, etc.

    If Russia manages to wrest Donbass from Ukraine, I will buy the Saker a Coke.

    • Agree: alwayswrite
    • Thanks: Schuetze
    • Troll: Ann Nonny Mouse
  10. @Beetlejuice

    Who are the Ukranazis?

    The Azov Battalion
    S13
    Pravii Sektor
    Aidar
    The SS pride parade organisers and participants in Lvov and Kiev.

    Those are the Ukranazis.

    The Jewish “president ” of Ukranazistan? A total puppet of the above groups.

    Even if he weren’t, absolutely nothing stops Jews from being Nazis. All one has to do is go look at the racist fascist genocidal settler apartheid colony in Occupied Palestine.

    Who is the Saker?

    The son of a White Russian emigre descendant mother and a Dutch father, grandson of a Nazi collaborator in WWII, Swiss by citizenship, Amerikastani by domicile, know it all hypocrite and moral coward by choice.

    Any further questions?

    • Agree: ValMonde
    • Replies: @Skeptikal
  11. @Fiendly Neighbourhood Terrorist

    I wouldn’t characterize the third course as ‘perfectly reasonable’, but I take your point that it has a high probability.
    And if that does take place, and if Russia subsequently explains what actually happened, how would the truth be ‘mediaganda’?
    To my mind, Putin’s Russia is behaving conscientiously, cautiously and with strength. If the west wants to foolishly make feints and bluff charges and puff itself up, that’s something that Putin knows how to deal with. Russia knows that it can’t control the narrative that the average westerner believes, or the way that their taxes are wasted on belligerence. Rather, it places its efforts into what it can control – its own military security and borders when it counts.

  12. @Kramer

    The saker does this because he’s desperate

    the saker is emotionally and intellectually invested in Russian Imperialism he actually can’t admit that its already reached its limits and the reality is now stagnation and decline

    The saddest thing of all though is the current form of Russian Imperialism is based upon the crazy ideology of Alexander Dugin who’s managed to do the impossible by bringing together the two worst most destructive forces of the last century,Nazism and Stalinism, and sell it to world as some sort of alternative to western liberalism

    You must be a special type of dumb idiot to think such a combination can successfully replace western liberalism

    So what exactly is the saker in favour of?

    Looks like a unique form of Russian fascism if you ask me,and yet the saker has the brass neck to talk about Nazi’s in Ukraine,when he surely knows Putin has allowed Nazi’s to train para military forces in Russia,and used ultra nationalist Russians to invade Ukraine,basically Nazi’s

  13. @Begemot

    Ask the little rodent to do it and find out what happens. He has more sense than you, apparently.

    • Replies: @Begemot
  14. Ross23 says:

    Putin was probably a bit to quick to label the spring Ukraine border buildup as a military exercise only.

    Ukraine may just call his bluff or at least prove this was a lie to the world.

    • Replies: @ValMonde
  15. Skeptikal says:
    @Fiendly Neighbourhood Terrorist

    The Saker is an immature individual with a very nasty streak.

    However, I think his military analyses are worth reading.

    If nothing else you will get info not AFAIK available in other English-language media.

  16. anonymous[139] • Disclaimer says:

    Last thing that’s needed is some shooting incident. The only people to suffer would be the hapless servicemen shoved into the firing line by the policy makers who themselves couldn’t care less but need some martyrs to enrage their public with. NATO seems to be upping its posturing to play to all its captive members, a lineup of midgets who’ll mutiny should they start getting sunk and shot up. NATO is just the US pushing all the other chumps in front of it as bullet catchers. Even the illegitimate Ukrainian government may have misgivings about all this. The US may even be seeking a limited armed incident to incite war hysteria at home in order to ratchet up its dictatorial powers.

    • Replies: @ValMonde
  17. SteveK9 says:

    Agree with him or not, the Saker-hate here is weird.

    What alarms me most, is that the relentless anti-Russia propaganda in the US (all of it garbage) puts enormous pressure on our political leaders (whoever they are … and I don’t include Biden) to act against Russia, which would be a disaster.

    Martyanov actually listed a lot of actions Russia could take short of sinking a ship, damaging the steering, boarding it, etc. But, if a NATO ship fires on a Russian installation, it will have committed suicide. The Black Sea coast of Russia is one of the most heavily-armed locations in the World, bristling with anti-ship missiles, a lot of them mounted on mobile launchers.

  18. Begemot says:
    @Quartermaster

    Can’t answer the question. Which is what I expected. The only thing you express here is your insane hatred for Russia, and that isn’t any contribution at all.

    • Agree: RadicalCenter
    • Replies: @anon
    , @Quartermaster
  19. @SteveK9

    The saker isn’t a sound unbiased source of information on Russia,thats the first thing

    Secondly for someone who hates the West as much as he does, he really should go and live in Russia,he’d be much happier,and no i don’t care for his blathering about why he won’t move to Russia,I’m sure Putin would give him citizenship for all his sterling propaganda work 😉

    As for Martyanov,well same thing applies, his so called analyses about disabling a NATO warship wouldn’t go down well with NATO or the crew of said ship,as they’d have no option but to shoot back

    Maybe thats what NATO want,then they could really hammer Putin’s regime,the loss of one warship wouldn’t be a high price if it meant the end of Putin’s regime,and don’t forget once Putin goes Russia goes with him

    Anyway nobody is gonna sink anything,NATO sailed straight past Putin’s army and they couldn’t do jack shit about it,although all of this was spun in a particularly Soviet way by Putin’s propaganda machine and hyped up by his fanboy club,you know people like you’ve mentioned

    What they never mention is how poor the Russian economy is and how Putin has had absolutely no ability to stop demographic decline,his regime stinks Russia is now basically run by the FSB so anybody with brains leaves,another massive problem for Putin,but basically he doesn’t care

    My advice stop reading biased BS about Russia,otherwise you’ll be in for a big fat shock when it becomes apparent that Russia is collapsing,which I’ve predicted to be within the next 15 years,thats when the perfect storm will engulf Russia

  20. @Quartermaster

    It’s not clear why Russia needs to take formerly-great formerly-britain’s military seriously. Even its once-vaunted navy is a joke, small, weak, unprepared, stretched thin, and about to shrink further:

    From late 2019:
    https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/royal-navy-weak-and-iran-taking-advantage-71671

    From early 2021:
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/davidaxe/2021/02/12/the-royal-navy-keeps-shrinking-frigates-to-drop-by-three/?sh=10a47c366621

    In a one-on-one matchup, Iran and Turkey will have a chance to defeat the disuniting queendom soon. Russia versus the uk, france, germany, italy, and poland all together would be a massacre.

    • Replies: @Quartermaster
  21. @Kramer

    Thank you for the explanation.

    I am aware Putin has very strong ties to chabad jews. The best way I’ve seen the US vs Russia situation explained is that it’s a chabad vs neoliberal jewish internecine conflict. Which on the surface makes sense to me, we never had and never will have a war with Russia. Maybe I am too young, but a 50 year cold war sounds like a silly joke or bad propaganda. And all of the posturing now? Please, looks like more of the same.

    What I do not understand at all is how people can call the jewish president a nazi. Another reply i received said that fascist = nazi therefore the president is a fascist i guess, which is immoral i guess. But how is he a nazi if he is embracing nato? How is he a nationalist if Ukraine is a poor backwater filled with sex workers that just manufacturer cheap goods for 1st world countries? None of this rhetoric makes any sense.

    • Replies: @Kramer
  22. gT says:

    Putin has threatened previously that if any missiles are fired at Syria by the US all hell was going to break loose. Well, the US fired numerous missiles at one uninhabited building in Syria and Putin done nothing. So now Putin is promising hell if any NATO warships cross the line in the Black Sea …

    They say that in life only 2 things are certain, death and taxes. Since war is not part of those 2 things, war is never certain.

  23. bayviking says:
    @alwayswrite

    Yeltsin destroyed the Russian economy and resigned in disgrace and tears. His advisors, who also helped him get reelected, were all Americans, under Clinton and Summers. We created another Oligarchy run by about 12 billionaires. Like the USA, only much poorer. Yeltsin turned the Presidency over to Putin who doubled the income of the starving population.

    Larry Summers was directing another Professor who was advising Russia. The State Department finally intervened and demanded refunds on outlandish stupid advise fees from Summers’ subordinant. As President of Harvard Summers deminished their endowment with risky investments and was voted out by the faculty.

    • Replies: @Philip Owen
  24. @SteveK9

    Agree with him or not, the Saker-hate here is weird.

    The Saker haters are Russia haters and/or Putin haters. They suck.

  25. Russia howled Wolf over non existent Ukrainian manouvres earllier this spring. Now it is being confronted by the real thing from NATO. Meanwhile an d aging and visibly weakening king sits on the throne. That didn’t end well for King Arthur. Mordred (his son/nephew) is coming for Putin if Putin doesn’t go.

    • Replies: @Mellote 22
  26. @bayviking

    Oil more than doubled Russian living standards and since 2014 they have halved again. Neither direction was a consequence of Putin’s power of economic foresight.

    • Agree: alwayswrite
    • Replies: @bayviking
  27. @WorkingClass

    Makes sense. Ukraine also is getting vaccine from China and also just removed it’s name from the US “coalition” accusing China of being mean to Uighur Muslims. But it’s the with Turkey. Turkey is buying S400 from Russia while working against Russia in Armenia/Azer and Syria and Libya. It also is a member of NATO but often goes against NATO (S400 being one example – being friends with the Muslim Brotherhood is another) for it’s own interests. That’s how geopolitics works..

  28. @Kramer

    Ummmm Assad – is in control of most of Syria again… They just even held elections. Your analysis isn’t making sense. Russia achieved it’s objective while the US failed. Sure the US controls some oil (of course allowing some jihadists to benefit) – but you think that will last??? Another mission failure.

    • Replies: @Kramer
  29. @SteveK9

    One just as well might ask where all the Russia love comes from, which is much more common than the hate on this site. The reason isn’t complicated; they think it’s just nice to see a White European nation that isn’t pozzed.

  30. ValMonde says:
    @Beetlejuice

    As if Zionist jews can’t be nazis. Only without the stylish uniforms and the numerical advantage. Nazi is a hebrew word by the way (הנשיא), meaning the boss, the prince, the president. It’s the last name of a wagonful of jewish rabbis. Quite appropriate for any megalomaniac bunch. Zelensski is literally a “nazi”.

  31. ValMonde says:
    @alwayswrite

    stop reading biased BS about Russia

    Great advice. But then who will proofread your own comments?

  32. ValMonde says:
    @Ross23

    But who will let Ukraine do that and how will Ukraine do it exactly?
    In the case of an armed conflict with Russia, half of the Ukrainian troops will defect to the Russian army within 24 hours. Most ot the other half will quickly retreat to Lviv or escape to Poland. The few Ukronazi units daring to engage in operations will be destroyed way before the 175 and 176 brigades physically cross the DNR and LNR border. The West won’t lift a finger. They don’t have neither the guts nor the firepower. Yes, they’ll impose “sanctions” and loudly proclaim that they will never, never recognize Kiev as a part of Russia. NATO will disintegrate within a month.
    The West is sick. Putin is the doctor.

    • Agree: Zarathustra
    • Replies: @Carlo
  33. ValMonde says:

    That didn’t end well for King Arthur. Mordred (his son/nephew) is coming for Putin

    That’s a next level geopolitical analysis. Western propaganda has literally become a fairytale told to idiots.

  34. Carlo says:
    @ValMonde

    “The West is sick. Putin is the doctor.”
    Great idea for a meme based on Stallone’s Cobra, with Putin saying these words to Western leaders: “You are a disease and I am the cure”.

  35. ValMonde says:
    @anonymous

    The only people to suffer would be the hapless servicemen shoved into the firing line by the policy makers

    They should have known better before enrolling in the US navy and embarking that ship. It’s not like Kissinger hasn’t warned them that “military men are just dumb, stupid animals to be used as pawns in foreign policy.”

  36. Tdstype2 says:
    @alwayswrite

    Lol, alwayswrong is at it again.

  37. @SteveK9

    Martyanov is an amateur in comparison to our military expert Quackmaster.
    Get serious.

    • LOL: Zarathustra
  38. @Philip Owen

    Real thing from Nato? LGBT navy, special trangender forces, or woke airforces? Which one?

  39. Erebus says:
    @Farhad

    Doubtless the UK’s “confirmation” has the same status as their denial that the Russians sent shots across the Defender’s bow and bombed its course.

    The reality is that almost certainly NATO and their Russian counterparts have worked out where their respective red lines lie and both will act within them. They’ve doubtless worked out the corollaries to that as well, namely what sort of response would be acceptable for a given infraction.

    Should a rogue commander improve on his instructions, he’ll get an embarrassing lesson, perhaps from both sides. In any case, Sea Breeze is a feel-good, media exercise. The Russians need do nothing but watch carefully.

    With that many disparate countries involved, the phuckups will either be numerous or embarrassing or both, but are likely to expose the GPP’s inability to coordinate fully and the Russians can expect to learn much about how to exploit the discontinuities. If I were Russian command, I’d be welcoming such an “exercise” on Russia’s front lawn. Beats travelling half way around the world to catch a much poorer view.

    • Replies: @Farhad
  40. gT says:

    Poor Putin, his Russians will only fight to defend Russia, they will not fight to attack anyone. So now how to make NATO’s incursions into Crimean waters look attacking so that a defensive response is appropriate. Answer: only if NATO fires first on Russian assets will it look defensive. So unless NATO fires first, all Putin will be able to do in the Black Sea is play some bumper cars or dodgems with his fleet against the NATO fleet there in the Black Sea.

    Compare this to West though, there they are always willing to attack anyone anywhere, but mostly if they are of the ak-47 carrying brown skins wearing flip flops type. The West is not into attacking others who can fight back effectively. How can Putin turn his Russians into Westerners so that they will attack anywhere on command. Answer: its impossible, the Russians lived through communism, they know all the mind games already. Russia cannot fight outside its borders, the only exception is the Russian Muslim troops who will fight anywhere, like in Syria now. The bulk of the Russian ground forces in Syria are Muslim.

  41. @Beetlejuice

    Plenty of Jews are latter-day Nazis. How about Begin, Shamir, Sharon, Nutty-yahoo, Bennett etc for starters.

    • Replies: @Philip Owen
  42. Kramer says:
    @Beetlejuice

    The best way I’ve seen the US vs Russia situation explained is that it’s a chabad vs neoliberal jewish internecine conflict.

    In the previous century, Global Zionism (Jewish globalist ambitions) created the Communist Soviet Union, and pitted it against the Capitalist-Liberalist West.

    Is there any doubt regarding the Jewish origins of the Soviet Union? Even if Karl Marx himself were not a Jew, which he was, the Soviet Union was a Jewish Imperialist project through and through.

    And of course, there is no doubt about the Jewish origins of the modern West.

    I do not believe there is any internecine conflict within Global Zionism. US/West vs Soviet Union was perhaps:

    1. Divide and conquer
    2. Trial and error of Capitalism vs Communism, and the gauging of their merits and superiority
    3. Competition between the Jews’ two “dairy cows”, in order to force them to produce more “milk” for the thirsty Jew

    In that phase of the project, the capitalist West wiped the floor with the Soviets.

    The Jews never lost control of Russia, but Russia was deemed unsuitable for their purposes.

    Today, Communist China is The Producer, and the Capitalist West is The Consumer. Neither can survive without the other. And Jewish banks facilitate trade between the two.

    The NWO plan is for Greater Israel to take its place between East and West, and assume Ancient Persia’s role as the middle man along the Silk Road.

    China and the US are in place. Russia is irrelevant. All that is left is to conquer Iran and the Resistance Axis, and the entire oil and gas rich Middle East will go to Israel. Russia and China have no objection to this; they are both going along with US sanctions against Iran, Yemen, etc.

    Israel will then control half of the world’s energy, and they will control the East-West trade route, which is the geopolitical crown jewel.

    I challenge anyone to describe a scenario whereby Global Zionism can be defeated once the NWO (ie. the US-Israel-China Axis) is completed.

    • Replies: @Beetlejuice
    , @gT
    , @Zarathustra
  43. Kramer says:
    @showmethereal

    Except the Russian Naval Base, and the US-Turkish occupied areas, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps controls all of Syria.

    Bashar Assad does not drink a glass of water without approval from Tehran.

    The US position in Syria is very precarious, and Russia has become irrelevant there nowadays. Can anyone tell us what Russia actually does in Syria these days? Fight terrorism, like the US?

    • Replies: @Carlo
    , @showmethereal
  44. bayviking says:
    @Philip Owen

    True, but later the price of oil collapsed, as part of our war against Russia for daring to act independently. Now it’s on the rise again. Notice how these events never followed pump prices except when the price rises.

    But the larger point is Neoliberalism had to go and yet it’s after effects, 13 billionaires remains.

  45. Carlo says:
    @Kramer

    “Can anyone tell us what Russia actually does in Syria these days? Fight terrorism, like the US?”
    Nowadays what Russia mostly does in Syria is to project its air and naval power in the Mediterranean, opening a new front from where they can harass NATO. Which is good and justifiable, considering how NATO never stopped harassing Russia even when this country was near collapsing.

  46. @Kramer

    jews always have internal conflicts. For example the Iran issue. Neoliberal jews want a slow burning cultural revolution in Iran, whereas chabad/lukid types just want to use brute force and starvation. So in regards to the cold war it is likely a similar schism existed. During the cold war in the 1960s I believe, when Russia stopped allowing jewish emigres to Israel that’s when Kristol and other former Marxist jews switched to neoconservative, because Russia’s actions (in their opinion) were bad for the zionist project.

    Everything else you said was 100% correct. I would add though that Israeli technology firms and growing physical fiber optic network are a major current and future power source for them as well.

    I am curious where else you get your news and research from as your analysis is spot on.

  47. Alfred says:

    An amazing number of trolls on UNZ. I guess Russia is being successful once more.

    The more they howl, the more pain Russia must be inflicting. Keep up the good work Saker!

    The funniest thing is how the BBC and the British government contradicted each other about Russia’s reaction to this intrusion. Both versions were false as the Russian videos proved. 🙂



    Video Link

    • Agree: Felix Keverich
    • Replies: @Farhad
    , @Commentator Mike
  48. Putin is rolling out the death vaxx in Russia at beyond warp speed. Ukraine vs NATO is a dog and pony show compared to this. I was taken in by Putin, like I was taken in by Trump. I now know better.

    (((They))) have declared total war on humanity

  49. gT says:
    @Kramer

    Yep, everything is in place, except for Russia. Global Zionism empowered China to resolve the Russian problem, but China doesn’t seem to want to play its part. Definitely the West can’t take on Russia with its LGBT militaries. The West can’t even sort Syria out because of Russia, let alone Iran. The States has printed all the quantitative easing it can already, the West is looking at a dark age, Russia is going to skip this dark age just as it done the last one. So (((tptb))) don’t know what to do, if they fight they will loose, if they do nothing Russia will win.

    • Replies: @Kramer
  50. Farhad says:
    @Erebus

    The reality is that almost certainly NATO and their Russian counterparts have worked out where their respective red lines lie and both will act within them

    Yes, that is very possible, but in that case the UK/NATO has lost face. They said they would do it again, and they are not. Hence – Russia wins, UK loses.

  51. Farhad says:
    @Alfred

    An amazing number of trolls on UNZ.

    I strongly suspect that a good number of them are paid professionals who pounce as soon as the Saker posts anything.

    • Replies: @alwayswrite
  52. Farhad says:

    Russians Su-30SM just chased away a US Poseidon aircraft from the Russian border over the Black Sea

  53. @Kramer

    You don’t make sense since Russia and Iran coordinate there… Russia was INVITED by Assad…

  54. @Alfred

    “Russian occupied territorial waters of Crimea”. I bet the BBC doesn’t talk about the “NATO occupied Serbian territory of Kosovo” with this kind of passion. Just bullshit propaganda. But they may be up to something as otherwise why all these provocations? Can’t be just posturing.

  55. I note from the picture of national flags who are involved in this NATO exercise that Brazil is taking part,so much for BRICS 😁

    Where’s Pepe Escobar ????

    I thought BRICS was gonna be a game changer?

    India is practically at war with China,plus they’ve jumped ship and joined in with Japan in the Quad

    Brazil has Trump of the tropics running the place,i know Pepe doesn’t like that wink,wink

    South Africa ????? dunno,as anyone heard about them? good at rugby what else ?

    Russia now run by an imposter put there by the FSB as the original Putin was too liberal,so its about implode just like Belarus

    China full on westernized big problems with obesity,plus that one child eugenics experiment hasn’t done them any favours as just like Russia they’ve lined themselves up for a demographic time bomb

    Anyway i’ll still put my money on the west and leave the saker to keep crying wolf,i wonder what he’ll do when it goes ‘ pop’ in Russia ?

  56. Kramer says:
    @gT

    ..if they do nothing Russia will win.

    What exactly does Russia win? It continues to exist as a polity under Putin? Is that a win for Russia?

    The trade volume between China and the collective West is pretty much on par with Russia’s whole GDP.

    How is Russia relevant? What is their “deal”?

    China is a massive industrial production powerhouse that dominates every market in the world. The West is an enormous capitalistic consumer. Israel leads the world in designing advanced tech. Iran commands the de facto most powerful and successful military force in the world. What does Russia do that makes them relevant in today’s geopolitical world? Scare Dutch sailors? Bravo.

    Their GDP is negligible compared to big Western economies. Their military shies away from engagement, as a rule, even when their planes are shot down by any and all. Their attempt at Imperialist expansion in Donbass is embarrassing. And they are behind the West in technology.

    Russia is not a nice place to live, it is very grey and gloomy most of the time, and regardless of the climate, many Russians want to leave and move to the West.

    Russia is in the same league as India. A second rate power that plays no relevant role in the grand scheme of things today. But where India successfully captured the Kashmir region, Russia can’t seem to conquer a Russian speaking region in Ukraine.

    Pakistan is a nuclear armed power, and Kashmir is a Muslim region. The Ukraine is nothing. So, perhaps in some ways Russia is not even in the same league as India.

    Russia couldn’t even prevent NATO/Turkey from gaining access to the Caspian. Or did they sell out to Turkey there?

    So, would you be so kind as to enlighten me, what is Russia winning? A gas pipeline to Europe? Congratulations.

    Isn’t the second biggest gas company in Russia (Novatek) owned by Leonid Viktorovich Mikhelson the Jew, who is the second richest man in Russia?

    Congratulations to Leonid, then. I wonder if he will be selling any Russian gas to Europe.

    • Replies: @gT
    , @Alfred
  57. @Farhad

    Not trolls just people who disagree with the saker who paints a rose tinted version of Putin’s regime as though it represents the last hope for the western world,when in fact if the whole of Europe and America were as bent and criminal as the Russians it really would be the end

    All I’m asking is he’s honest and he ain’t so i call out his BS

    Him and Escobar are serial BS merchants and I’ve said it before and i’ll do so again,its gonna come as a massive shock to those who only read this shit when Russia goes tits up,and believe me its gonna happen and no amount of feel good propaganda from either the Kremlin,RT international or Putin’s little helpers in the West is gonna stop that fateful day from arriving

    Maybe thats why the saker stays in America because deep down he knows Russia is gonna fail,anyway he’ll find some sort of BS to spin it when its happening

    • Replies: @Philip Owen
  58. @RadicalCenter

    Like the overwhelming majority of amateurs, you misjudge things. There would not be a hammer and tongs matchup between the two. The UK is in a far better strategic position in such a pissing contest than Putin’s sorry excuse for a revived USSR.

    But, you can hang onto your putinist fantasies as you like.

    • Replies: @Begemot
  59. anon[355] • Disclaimer says:

    In other words: unless the US/NATO/Ukies trigger some kind of incident, the US/NATO/Ukies will lose face by the 11th of this month.

    Nah. Your understanding of President Hologram is really weak. Take that cold shower and calm down.

    Saker, how many times have you predicted some kind of war and been wrong? Yet you keep on with it, for some reason or other.

    Clickbait much?

    • Replies: @alwayswrite
  60. @anon

    anon 355 you’re right,the saker is clickbait for the simple minded who like zero sum BS so called analyses,which is basically rose tinted blather about Saint Vlad of Putinstan

  61. Begemot says:
    @Quartermaster

    Explain to the audience why you are not an amateur yourself.

    What are your qualifications that make you an expert? Your moniker ‘Quartermaster’ suggests you may have been merely a REMF who spent his career counting boots and condoms in a warehouse. So, please tell us, what makes you an expert in military matters and geopolitics? Why should we give your opinions any credence?

    • Replies: @Philip Owen
  62. gT says:
    @Kramer

    By win I mean Russia will survive, the USA is not going to survive for much longer.

  63. anon[607] • Disclaimer says:

    Here’s an article worth noting.

    https://www.rt.com/russia/528700-assault-ship-tensions-escalating/

    The lightweight amphibious assault ship is named the Yuma

    Man, some jokes just write themselves, to anyone with a good enough sense of Yuma.

    Hey, don’t get pissy, just Yuma me, ok?

    • Replies: @alwayswrite
  64. @anon

    Anything from RT international isn’t worth noting,unless your a total Putin fanboy [email protected]

    Honestly why do people still indulge themselves with this Kremlin BS ?

    are people simply to dumb to know they’re being played by Putler

    • Replies: @Begemot
  65. Begemot says:
    @alwayswrite

    are people simply to dumb to know

    It’s “too dumb” not “to dumb”. And I see you still haven’t learned that commas in a sentence are followed by a space. Who is too dumb here?

    The rest of your comments are not worth bothering with.

    • Replies: @alwayswrite
  66. @Begemot

    You keep ,up your English gr,ammar class,,, and …leaf the hard finking to people like me as I’m far more informed about Kremlin propaganda than thou

    • Replies: @Mitchell Porter
  67. Farhad says:

    Sea Breeze has concluded today. No NATO ship dared to cross the Russian maritime border, thus NATO/US “blinked” and Russia won this one.

    • Agree: Alfred
  68. @Mulga Mumblebrain

    Not so latter day. Begin had close links with the Stern Gang.

  69. @alwayswrite

    Russia has already collapsed economically and is slipping socially. The cost of sanctions and import substitution shows in the grocery basket. Unemployment is low but those in work are getting poorer and poorer. So are all the SMEs. Lose the women and Putin loses the country.

    • Replies: @gT
  70. @Begemot

    Boots win battles. I have been asked by a Russian military equipment dealers to find 30,000 boots “like the British wore in the Falklands”. In 2013. The supplier changed ownership and strategy the same month so it never happened. The Donbass insurgency by Russian irregulars was planned well in advance. Well before the Maidan which owed much to interventions by Russian nationalists based in Russia.

    • Replies: @Begemot
  71. anon[187] • Disclaimer says:
    @Begemot

    He is 1/4 of a master. Other 3/4 is NATO.

    But what the heck Pakistan is doing there? Hasnt it learned anything in 20 years of bombings ? Hasnt the country paid enough for being a mat?
    Well ,the rich Pakistani didnt pay . There were paid by American and UK and offered settlemebts , visa,and college admissiins for kids . They are expecting the largesse again.

    Russian language has been pretty ominous . UK shoukd think thousands times before doing anything foolish. . Russian economy is in a better shape.

  72. Begemot says:
    @Philip Owen

    Boots win battles.

    Not by themselves, they don’t. Gas, paperclips, toilet paper, field dressings, etc. could all be claimed equally as “winning” battles. They all play their part, of course, but to claim they “win” battles is an exercise in rhetorical nonsense. In the end, it is the men at the sharp end who actually do it, or not. Win or lose the battles.

    I saw a video of a meeting with Mr. Oleg Tyagnibok which took place about a year before the first demonstrations of the Maidan, which would put this meeting about fall 2012. The discussion was about mobilizing demonstrators for what would become the Maidan overthrow of the legal government of Ukraine. The Maidan was the cause. The uprising in Crimea and the Donbass was the effect.

  73. @alwayswrite

    leaf the hard finking to people like me

    Anglo Hardfinker: Good evening, Mr Putler… You are looking at the sun’s rays. They can power a post-fossil-fuel economy; or melt permafrost.

    Vlad Putler: Do you expect me to ask for technology transfer?

    Hardfinker: No, Mr Putler. I expect you to decline! There is nothing you can contribute to the fourth industrial revolution that I don’t already have.

    Putler: You’re forgetting one thing. If I fail to resist, Chairman Xi replaces me. He knows what I know. Operation Rules Based Order, for example. Can you afford to take that chance?

  74. gT says:
    @Philip Owen

    In Iran the problematic women are locked up in solitary until they go cuckoo and then they are released, thats how the Ayatollah’s have remained in power for so long. Russia should adopt some of those Muslim strategies. They don’t have to do it for long because everything is going to happen in the next 4 to 5 years. Cuba lasted forever though there is not much there to write home about. If Cuba survived why didn’t the USSR with all its resources, but that is a question for another day.

  75. @alwayswrite

    Last winter London was freezing its arse and it was saved by Russian ship with LNG.

  76. @Kramer

    s there any doubt regarding the Jewish origins of the Soviet Union? Even if Karl Marx himself were not a Jew, which he was, the Soviet Union was a Jewish Imperialist project through and through.
    You are correct!
    But only until moment when Stalin did kick out Trotsky.
    Not after!!!!

  77. Saker is impatient and even a little bit aggressive. But Russia does not need to do anything only wait on the side. North stream will be finished at end of August. Due to Ukrainian Fascist provocation Russia has no obligation toward Ukrainian Fascist Government.
    Also Russia has no obligation to maintain land transport of Gas.
    Ukrainians will browse the forest for twigs to heat their homes.

    • Replies: @Quartermaster
  78. @Begemot

    You’re worse than silly. Stating the facts is not hatred. Putin is a little man with delusions of grandeur. referring to him as a rodent is being charitable. I hold no hatred for Russia. I do, however, hold people like Putin in contempt as he is simply following the same path the Soviets followed to wreck the place.

    • Replies: @Begemot
  79. @Zarathustra

    That’s hilarious. Putin is drubbing Russia and dragging it back into the soviet cesspool it had temporarily escaped. Destruction is all that waiting will bring Russia.

    • Replies: @Zarathustra
  80. @Quartermaster

    `Your comment is not factual. Russia selling wheat, lumber, weapons and energy, has positive trade balance. That is most important. Russia would be just fine with any other leader. But Putin is just fine being level headed , and cool, impervious to western provocations. Putin is no firebrand like Hitler.

    • Agree: GomezAdddams
  81. Adûnâi says: • Website

    Ukraine is a modern-day Khazaria. The president of Ukraine, Zelenski, is a Jew who venerates the SS who had been killing his forefathers. The main propagandist of Ukraine, the bald Jew Gordon, has openly joked about cannibalism on Instagram. And a Ukrainian Christian nationalist zealot, Korchinski, has publicly called for Catholic terrorist attacks in Moscow. Ukraine is fruit of bad Russian conscience, an incarnation of Russian Christian self-hatred.
    https://archive.vn/SXtmG
    https://archive.vn/9elIM

    Regarding the topic of the article, I have drawn a map of Sea Breeze 2021. Quite an unfortunate situation, as the only future where the Aryan race survives this century is when America dies, and Poland makes peace with Russia.
    https://postimg.cc/gallery/kKY65P5

  82. Begemot says:
    @Quartermaster

    Most of what you write about Russia is hateful invective. As for facts, your stuff is as barren as the Sahara.

    And by the way: I asked for your credentials to speak as some sort of expert on geopolitical affairs. You implied one of the posters here who questioned your opinions was an “amateur”. So, Quartermaster, why should you be listened to? What training and or study or experience gives your views a weight that should command our respect?

    The audience is still waiting.

  83. Alfred says:
    @Kramer

    Russian …. Their GDP is negligible compared to big Western economies.

    In the magnificent city of Moscow, public transport on their metro costs \$0.77 (57 roubles). In London, the shortest trip on the underground costs \$7.57 (£5.50 for Sloane Street to Piccadilly Circus – a walkable distance). That means that London is almost 10 times more expensive to travel in than Moscow.

    Extrapolate the above and you will quickly learn that GDP is a useless measure. The economy of Russia is far bigger than that of the UK. Their army is vastly greater and their weapons far deadlier. More importantly, they are better trained, educated and motivated. They don’t do woke. 🙂

    Tell me of a single thing the UK exports in a significant way? Almost all the factories have been shut for a generation. The oil and gas is almost finished.

    If you look at the list of British exports, you will find things like German cars, imported oil and Australian gold. Laughable.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_exports_of_the_United_Kingdom

    • Replies: @Zarathustra
  84. @Alfred

    English are still making the best needles.

    • LOL: Alfred
  85. @Kramer

    “Wake up all you dimwits —the secret enemy is just North of you in Caaada. Trudeau is a drama teacher communist and his second is Freeland but she is a Ukrainian Nazi with Rasputin charm. Covid came from Canada –check out UFO activity over Oregon and why Salt Lake shrinks while California burns —-” and somehow the rants of this garage mechanic turned minister is starting to make sense—America is at odds —with all……pass the collection plate for more….

    • Replies: @Zarathustra
  86. @GomezAdddams

    Trudeau was born from Jewish mother, who was dancing in the street when her Goym husband died.

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