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Say You Ain't Running Again, Joe
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Democrats need to stop playing cute about the president’s reelection plans.

Asked in March whether he’s going to run in 2024, President Joe Biden’s answer was, shall we say, less than unqualified: “The answer is yes. My plan is to run for reelection. That’s my expectation.” He added: “I’m a great respecter of fate. I’ve never been able to plan three and a half years ahead for certain.”

Eight months and 10 approval points later, White House press secretary Jen Psaki told reporters: “He is (running). That’s his intention.”

Weasel words like “expectation” and “intention” signal that Biden is sticking to the “alternative strategy” that Politico revealed in December 2019: “quietly indicating that he will almost certainly not run for a second term while declining to make a promise that he and his advisers fear could turn him into a lame duck and sap him of his political capital.”

According to aides, Biden expected to be a “transitional” figure due to his age. The Politico piece quoted an unidentified adviser: “He’s going into this thinking, ‘I want to find a running mate I can turn things over to after four years but if that’s not possible or doesn’t happen then I’ll run for reelection.’ But he’s not going to publicly make a one term pledge.”

With an approval rating of 28%, Vice President Kamala Harris is not that running mate. She is one of the least popular vice presidents in the history of polling. But running again is unrealistic for the oldest president in history. He would be 82 years old when he runs again and 86 when he completes his second term.

An 86-year-old president today would be the third-oldest head of state on earth.

And Biden isn’t the sharpest 79-year-old. He is visibly infirm, gets easily confused and can’t be trusted to hold a traditional press conference involving an unscripted back-and-forth with members of the press corps.

Whether he knows it or not, Biden will almost certainly not run for reelection. Political insiders know it. (“One Democrat involved in campaigns said they couldn’t think of a single person they had spoken to in the last month who considers the possibility of Biden running again to be a real one,” The Washington Post reported recently.)

Voters know it, too: 54% of Americans, including 45% of Democrats, told an August Quinnipiac poll they don’t believe Biden will be a candidate in 2024.

Democrats should deep-six this absurd game of “Who are you going to believe? Me or your lying eyes?” and admit the obvious truth. A man in Biden’s mental and physical condition at age 79 will not rally. He won’t get stronger by age 82, when he will be required to hopscotch the nation for a grueling series of campaign appearances and presidential debates while simultaneously heading the federal government.

ORDER IT NOW

Credibility is the most valuable coin of the realm in politics. Anyone with a scintilla of common sense knows that Democrats are lying about Biden’s current fitness for office, as well as his plans for reelection. There are lies and then there are lies that insult your intelligence; former President Donald Trump’s ridiculous claim that Mexico would pay for his border wall stood apart from his other untruths.

It would be hard to overstate the brand damage caused by political messaging that doesn’t pass the smell test. “What (Biden) is saying publicly is what he firmly believes. There’s no difference,” former Pennsylvania Gov. Ed Rendell told The Washington Post. “He will not run if he feels he can’t do the job physically or emotionally.” Biden once had a word for this kind of playing-both-sides statement: malarkey.

“The message,” notes the Post, “is aimed in part at tamping down the assumption among many Democrats that Biden may not seek reelection given his age and waning popularity, while also effectively freezing the field for Vice President Harris and other potential presidential hopefuls.”

This strategy is misconceived. Harris is hobbled by her unpopularity. How can she intimidate potential primary challengers, much less clear the field? How can you freeze the field for Harris and someone else at the same time?

So the real question is about Biden. If he runs, the Democratic National Committee will back him. Democratic candidates and donors are understandably reluctant to committing time and money toward 2024 — something they need to begin now — if there’s a strong possibility that Biden will run. More candidates, running longer campaigns, improve the likelihood that the eventual nominee will emerge well-funded, seasoned and tough enough to face Trump or another Republican.

There are, of course, costs and risks associated with exposing a sitting president as a lame duck. First and foremost would be Biden’s ability to push through major legislative initiatives, which is why he should delay his admission that he plans to be a one-termer until after the passage of whatever is left of his Build Back Better social-spending bill next year. BBB is the last major law Biden will ever have the chance to sign; he’ll be a de facto lame duck anyway.

Congressional Democrats won’t like going into the midterm elections without a strong president, but they’re going to get shellacked no matter what. They can recover their losses in 2024 on the coattails of a presidential nominee made stronger by a vigorous primary battle and Biden’s willingness to step aside.

In any case, voters might give Democrats credit for being honest about the physical and mental health of the president, for being mature enough to prepare for who will follow Biden and for treating them like adults.

 
• Category: Ideology • Tags: Democratic Party, Joe Biden, Kamala Harris 
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  1. I don’t know but I hope somebody beats Trump.

    Not that I care about Trump or think any other vetted candidate is one iota better than Trump.

    I just don’t want to hear the insane Trump Derangement Syndrome all around me. They turn on the TV and every day, it outrages them, and I have to listen to it.

    Please lord, let somebody, anybody win but Trump.

    Like I said, not because he’s any badder than any other. Just so the nutballs don’t have their trigger.

    • Replies: @The Anti-Gnostic
  2. TG says:

    OK I hear you. Sure.

    But IMHO you are missing the main point; BIDEN IS NOT THE PRESIDENT. BIDEN IS A “PASS-THROUGH,” an errand boy, a figurehead, a sock-puppet.

    The oligarchy could almost certainly get Biden re-elected even if he was comatose on life support. Possibly even if he was dead and stuffed and nailed to the chair in the Oval Office. Who cares?

    We should not talk about the “Biden Presidency.” There is no such thing. Even more than Reagan, or Dubya, or Clinton, or Obama, Biden is a total whore and shill who has and will do anything that his wealthy donors pay him to do. As he has done for over 50 years.

    And who cares about the midterm elections anyhow? The Democrats have gotten everything the rich want: open borders immigration, massive illegal immigrant amnesties (“cheap labor uber alles”), letting the federal government take control of local housing zoning, tax and fee increases on the working classes and tax cuts and bailouts and subsidies for the rich… and if the republicans win the midterms, are they going to overrun this? Of course not. They will wail about gay marriage and otters crud and the oligarchy will rule and it’s all good for team Biden.

  3. @TG

    But IMHO you are missing the main point; BIDEN IS NOT THE PRESIDENT. BIDEN IS A “PASS-THROUGH,” an errand boy, a figurehead, a sock-puppet.

    Agreed, especially on the last two points.

    Even somebody as dull as Biden wouldn’t have willingly accepted Harris as a VP, for she brought nothing to the ticket with regard to the election.

    That the top three State Department people are devoted Zionists may also explain how Harris got picked – if Uncle Joe stopped being President for some reason, the ZioNazis would have the most reliable replacement possible for him becoming the new POTUS.

    I still doubt if Trump will be allowed to return, but I’m quite confident Biden’s 2024 replacement will be someone as bad as him. So once agin we’ll have the choice between a Lousy Democrat vs the Lousy+ Republican.

  4. The real question is what does the next Democratic President want to do. Democrats have had the virtue since Jimmy Carter to be running after failed Republican Presidencies. Carter was the “not more Nixon garbage” candidate with Gerald Ford standing is as the Nixon successor. Clinton was the “I am not the idiot that wrecked the Reagan economy” candidate. Obama was the “I am not the Bush who caused stupid wars and just gave us the deepest economic crash since the Depression” candidate. Biden was “I am not Trump” after the Media had spent 4 years vilifying Trump with bad press. But, following Biden, what is the next Democrat? The Democrats have no agenda because they are the other big business 1% party. Big business in the US is not monolithic (as Republicans once thought) so there is Democratic big business and Republican big business but both are big business.

    Notice was it absent in all of the Biden legislation–(1) medicare for all (2) guaranteed basic income (3) restoration of the original Wagner Act (4) vigorous anti-trust prosecution of high tech which might include new “big is bad” legislation that makes break up of large companies virtually automatic (5) national high speed rail built out like Ike built out interstate highways (6) an end to trade with China and protection against American workers from outsourced manufacturing.

    None of what I describe is on any Democrats radar.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
  5. Anonymous[309] • Disclaimer says:
    @Harry Huntington

    Uh, reasonable people might disagree about Ford’s presidency being “failed”. When the President (Carter) is managing the White House tennis court sign-up sheet, that’s “failed”. And there’s the little matter of the hostage situation, and Carter got us into Afghanistan on the advice of the demon Brzinski (spelling wrong). But boycotting the Olympics fixed all that, right?

    Uh, Clinton lucked into being in office at the blast-off of the WWW.

    Uh, Obama started a war in Syria which is still ongoing.

    Uh, we don’t need “national high speed rail” precisely because of Ike’s interstate highway system.

    Uh, “an end to trade with China”? Are you fucking kidding me?

  6. @Anonymous

    Imagine if in 1941, the US imported all of its ball bearings from Japan, all of its appliances, all of its crucial auto parts like spark plugs, all of the “tubes” it used in radios, all of its hand tools — and then the US thought about going to war with Japan. It would not work.

    The US is defeated strategically against China through dependency. The number one agenda of any President is to tend all imports of any product from anywhere that create dependency.

    We do need high speed rail, the focus on the automobile and trucking was a mistake (fueled by big campaign donations). We should end most use of private automobiles and air travel and replace by a better rail network. Suburban sprawl is a planning failure. We should make 2050 America physically resemble 1940 or 1950 America.

  7. @obwandiyag

    The nutballs are always triggered. Every Republican president since Nixon has been #literallyHitler.

    I hope Biden runs in 2024. He’ll be incontinent and the Dems will be so frantic the urban precincts will log 100 million votes for him.

  8. Good. Whatever. I don’t care. If you are right, which you only partially are, then God please let no more Republicans win.

    A. They are no better than the Democrats. and
    B. I won’t have to listen to triggered nutbags rant.

  9. Rosie says:

    I guess it’s not just the Republicans who feel they can give their voters a giant middle finger and suffer nothing in the way of real consequences for it.

    https://www.hotnewhiphop.com/biden-announces-student-loan-payments-will-return-in-february-americans-are-infuriated-news.144581.html

    Literally, noone is even pretending anymore.

  10. @Anonymous

    Quite wrong about high-speed rail if you care about clean air to breathe.

    • Replies: @Mulga Mumblebrain
  11. Quit and give Hillary another go. I need a good laugh.

  12. @RadicalCenter

    High speed rail suits China with its massive population, well. Here in Austfalia, with fewer people than Beijing, vast distances and a handful of big cities, the eejits want us to have it, too. A dumb idea.

    • Replies: @RadicalCenter
  13. @TG

    I’ve heard that Brandon’s problem is that it ‘passes through’ only about once a week, leaving him irritable and prone to ‘accidents’.

  14. @Mulga Mumblebrain

    Being locked in a continent-wide prison would seem to be your bigger problem, but I digress. It’s hard to find a regime for which I harbor more disgust and resentment than the US government, but Australia manages to surpass them.

    Also makes sense to offer high-speed rail between those big cities. We simply cannot justify the continued poisoning of our air and water to this degree, especially as the number of vehicles in the world increases.

  15. Fraudsident Diapers wasn’t elected the first time, he’s a shill installed by the Deep Shit. Run him again.

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