The Unz Review • An Alternative Media Selection$
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media
Daedalus Archives
Daedalus • 118 Years, 244 Issues, 4,008 Articles, 88,072pp
Working Session II
The Nature and Limitations of Forecasting
Daedalus, Summer 1967, pp. 936-947
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                                                                                                                                                                            Issues of 1967 = 4 Issues, 93 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                              Spring 1967 Issue = 20 Articles
                                                                                                                                                                              1. Preface to the Issue "Color and Race", p. iii
                                                                                                                                                                              2. Color, the Universal Intellectual Community, and the Afro-Asian Intellectual by Edward Shils, pp. 279-295
                                                                                                                                                                              3. Race and Color in International Relations by Robert K.A. Gardiner, pp. 296-311
                                                                                                                                                                              4. Color, Racism, and Christianity by Roger Bastide, pp. 312-327
                                                                                                                                                                              5. The Revolt Against Western Values by Philip Mason, pp. 328-352
                                                                                                                                                                              6. Group Identity and Political Change;The Role of Color and Physical Characteristics by Harold R. Isaacs, pp. 353-375
                                                                                                                                                                              7. An Outline of the Role of Color in Adaptation Phenomena by Francois Raveau, pp. 376-389
                                                                                                                                                                              8. The Significance of Skin Color in Human Relations by Kenneth J. Gergen, pp. 390-406
                                                                                                                                                                              9. The Social Perception of Skin Color in Japan by Hiroshi Wagatsuma, pp. 407-443
                                                                                                                                                                              10. Race and Descent as Social Categories in India by Andre Beteille, pp. 444-463
                                                                                                                                                                              11. Color in Northern Africa by Leon Carl Brown, pp. 464-482
                                                                                                                                                                              12. Color and Power in the South African Situation by Colin Legum, pp. 483-495
                                                                                                                                                                              13. The "Colored Immigrant" in Britain by E.R. Braithwaite, pp. 496-511
                                                                                                                                                                              14. Some Aspects of Color, Class, and Culture in Britain by Kenneth Little, pp. 512-526
                                                                                                                                                                              15. Color and Group Identity in the United States by C. Eric Lincoln, pp. 527-541
                                                                                                                                                                              16. Race, Color, and Class in Central America and the Andes by Julian Pitt-Rivers, pp. 542-559
                                                                                                                                                                              17. The Weight of the Past by Florestan Fernandes, pp. 560-579
                                                                                                                                                                              18. Race Color in the West Indies by David Lowenthal, pp. 580-626
                                                                                                                                                                              19. Notes on Contributors, pp. 627-629
                                                                                                                                                                              20. Recent Issues of Daedalus, pp. 630-637
                                                                                                                                                                            2. [+]
                                                                                                                                                                              Summer 1967 Issue = 39 Articles
                                                                                                                                                                              1. Preface, p. v
                                                                                                                                                                              2. The Year 2000---The Trajectory of an Idea by Daniel Bell, pp. 639-651
                                                                                                                                                                              3. Preliminary Memorandum to the Commission from the Chairman, pp. 652-655
                                                                                                                                                                              4. Baselines for the Future, pp. 656-665
                                                                                                                                                                              5. Alternative Futures, pp. 666-679
                                                                                                                                                                              6. Centralization and Decentralization, pp. 680-690
                                                                                                                                                                              7. The Need for Models, pp. 691-697
                                                                                                                                                                              8. A Summary by the Chairman, pp. 698-704
                                                                                                                                                                              9. The Next Thirty-Three years by Herman Kahn and Anthony J. Wiener, pp. 705-732
                                                                                                                                                                              10. Can Social Predictions Be Evaluated? by Fred Charles Ikle, pp. 733-758
                                                                                                                                                                              11. Forecasting and Technological Forecasting by Donald A. Schon, pp. 759-770
                                                                                                                                                                              12. Information, Rationality, and Free Choice in a Future Democratic Society by Martin Shubik, pp. 771-778
                                                                                                                                                                              13. Planning and Predicting by Leonard J. Duhl, pp. 779-788
                                                                                                                                                                              14. Modernizing Urban Development by Harvey S. Perloff, pp. 789-800
                                                                                                                                                                              15. The Relationship of Federal to Local Authorities by Daniel P. Moynihan, pp. 801-808
                                                                                                                                                                              16. The Need for a New Political Theory by Lawrence K. Frank, pp. 809-816
                                                                                                                                                                              17. University Cities in the Year 2000 by Stephen R. Graubard, pp. 817-822
                                                                                                                                                                              18. Educational and Scientific Institutions by Harold Orlans, pp. 823-831
                                                                                                                                                                              19. Biological Man and the Year 2000 by Ernst Mayr, pp. 832-836
                                                                                                                                                                              20. Deliberate Efforts to Control Human Behavior and Modify Personality by Gardner C. Quarton, pp. 837-853
                                                                                                                                                                              21. Religion, Mysticism, and the Institutional Church by Krister Stendahl, pp. 854-859
                                                                                                                                                                              22. Memorandum on Youth by Erik H. Erikson, pp. 860-870
                                                                                                                                                                              23. The Life Cycle and Its Variations: The Division of Roles by Margaret Mead, pp. 871-875
                                                                                                                                                                              24. The Problems of Privacy in the Year 2000 by Harry Kalven, Jr., pp. 876-882
                                                                                                                                                                              25. Some Psychological Perspectives on the Year 2000 by George A. Miller, pp. 883-896
                                                                                                                                                                              26. Notes on Meritocracy by David Riesman, pp. 897-908
                                                                                                                                                                              27. Communication by John R. Pierce, pp. 909-921
                                                                                                                                                                              28. Thinking About the Future of International Society by Eugene V. Rostow, pp. 922-926
                                                                                                                                                                              29. Political Development and the Decline of the American System of World Order by Samuel P. Huntington, pp. 927-929
                                                                                                                                                                              30. The International System in the Next Half Century by Ithiel de Sola Pool, pp. 930-935
                                                                                                                                                                              31. The Nature and Limitations of Forecasting, pp. 936-947
                                                                                                                                                                              32. Four Futures, pp. 948-963
                                                                                                                                                                              33. The Need for Normative Statements, pp. 964-974
                                                                                                                                                                              34. A Summary by the Chairman, pp. 975-977
                                                                                                                                                                              35. Members of the Commission on the Year 2000, p. 978
                                                                                                                                                                              36. The Working Parties, pp. 979-984
                                                                                                                                                                              37. Coda: Work in Further Progress by Daniel Bell, pp. 985-989
                                                                                                                                                                              38. Notes on Contributors, pp. 990-994
                                                                                                                                                                              39. Recent Issues of Daedalus, pp. 995-1002
                                                                                                                                                                            3. [+]
                                                                                                                                                                              Fall 1967 Issue = 19 Articles
                                                                                                                                                                              1. Preface to the Issue "America's Changing Environment", p. iii
                                                                                                                                                                              2. A Wider Environment of Ecology and Conservation by F. Fraser Darling, pp. 1003-1019
                                                                                                                                                                              3. The Art of the Impossible by Robert W. Patterson, pp. 1020-1033
                                                                                                                                                                              4. The U.S. Resource Outlook: Quantity and Quality by Hans H. Landsberg, pp. 1034-1057
                                                                                                                                                                              5. Some Environmental Effects of Economic Development by John V. Krutilla, pp. 1058-1070
                                                                                                                                                                              6. American Agriculture---Its Resource Issues for the Coming Years by David Allee, pp. 1071-1081
                                                                                                                                                                              7. Air-Pollution Abatement: Economic Rationality and Reality by Azriel Teller, pp. 1082-1098
                                                                                                                                                                              8. The New Economics of Resources by Nathaniel Wollman, pp. 1099-1114
                                                                                                                                                                              9. Aesthetic Power or the Triumph of the Sensitive Minority Over the Vulgar Mass by Aaron Wildavsky, pp. 1115-1128
                                                                                                                                                                              10. The Experimental City by Athelstan Spilhaus, pp. 1129-1141
                                                                                                                                                                              11. The Fallacy of Single-Purpose Planning by Harold Gilliam, pp. 1142-1157
                                                                                                                                                                              12. Architectural Schemata for Outdoor Recreation Areas of Tomorrow by Alexis Papageorgiou, pp. 1158-1171
                                                                                                                                                                              13. Outdoor Recreation in a Hyper-Productive Society by Roger Revelle, pp. 1172-1191
                                                                                                                                                                              14. Ecosystem Science as a Point of Synthesis by S. Dillon Ripley and Helmut K. Buechner, pp. 1192-1199
                                                                                                                                                                              15. The Reorganization of Educational Resources by George J. Maslach, pp. 1200-1209
                                                                                                                                                                              16. Education for the Changing Field of Conservation by Robert S. Morison, pp. 1210-1223
                                                                                                                                                                              17. Notes on Contributors, pp. 1224-1225
                                                                                                                                                                              18. Index of Authors for Daedalus Volume 96 1967, p. 1226
                                                                                                                                                                              19. Recent Issues of Daedalus, pp. 1227-1236
                                                                                                                                                                            4. [+]
                                                                                                                                                                              Winter 1967 Issue = 15 Articles
                                                                                                                                                                              1. Preface to the Issue "Religion in America", p. iii
                                                                                                                                                                              2. Civil Religion in America by Robert N. Bellah, pp. 1-21
                                                                                                                                                                              3. The Churches and the Body Politic by Franklin H. Littell, pp. 22-42
                                                                                                                                                                              4. Is There a Third Force in Christendom? by William G. McLoughlin, pp. 43-68
                                                                                                                                                                              5. Social and Intellectual Sources of Contemporary Protestant Theology in America by Langdon Gilkey, pp. 69-98
                                                                                                                                                                              6. The Spirit's Holy Errand by Martin E. Marty, pp. 99-115
                                                                                                                                                                              7. The Crisis of the Contemporary Religious Consciousness by Thomas F. O'Dea, pp. 116-134
                                                                                                                                                                              8. The "New Breed" in American Churches by Harvey G. Cox, pp. 135-150
                                                                                                                                                                              9. The Quest for Social Relevance by Daniel Callahan, pp. 151-179
                                                                                                                                                                              10. Religious Pluralism and the Supreme Court by Wilber G. Katz and Harold P. Southerland, pp. 180-192
                                                                                                                                                                              11. On the Self-Exposure of Faith to the Modern-Secular World by Emil L. Fackenheim, pp. 193-219
                                                                                                                                                                              12. Secular Society? A Jewish Perspective by Milton Himmelfarb, pp. 220-236
                                                                                                                                                                              13. Christianity: Renewed or Slowly Abandoned? by Michael Novak, pp. 237-266
                                                                                                                                                                              14. Notes on Contributors, pp. 267-269
                                                                                                                                                                              15. Recent Issues of Daedalus, pp. 270-278
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Issues of 1993 = 4 Issues, 54 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                Issues of 1994 = 4 Issues, 55 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                  Issues of 1995 = 4 Issues, 60 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                    Issues of 1996 = 4 Issues, 64 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                      Issues of 1997 = 4 Issues, 58 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                        Issues of 1998 = 4 Issues, 50 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Issues of 1999 = 5 Issues, 58 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                          Issues of the 2000s = 2 Years, 5 Issues, 72 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                            Issues of 2000 = 4 Issues, 56 Articles
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                                                                                                                                                                                                                                              Issues of 2001 = 1 Issue, 16 Articles