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In the end, predictably, the Circus Ringmaster went TACO (“Trump Always Chickens Out”).
He was terrified by three crucial reality-based developments.
- The Iranian message on preparing to close the Strait of Hormuz. The CIA had warned Trump that China was viscerally opposed to the Strait being blocked. That’s one of the reasons, according to a Deep State old hand, that Trump decided to go ahead anyway with his “spectacular” (sic) theatrical op on Fordow. But when the specter of a blocked Hormuz destroying the global economy became real, he went TACO.
- The Iranian warning conveyed by the bombing of the Al-Udeid base in Qatar, the military jewel in the imperial crown in West Asia. Even Atlanticist sources in Doha confirm the damage to the – evacuated – base was “monumental”, with at least 3 missiles hitting their targets. Tehran was unmistakably saying we can hit you anywhere, anytime, with anything we want. And your GCC lackeys will blame you for it.
- Arguably the key reason: the genocidals in Tel Aviv are running out of interceptors – fast; in fact their whole – porous – air defense network is in trouble. In the last substantial Iranian missile volley on occupied Palestine on Monday morning, interception rate fell below 50%, and Iran started targeting Israel’s electric grid. Iran’s new directive – strategic offense, not patience – was meant to completely paralyze the Israeli economy. On top of it the genocidals had already begged Tehran to “end the war”. Tehran answered the time had not yet arrived. So the genocidals begged Daddy Trump to rescue them.
The chain of events leading to the ceasefire remains murky. A key accelerating factor was Putin’s personal meeting with Iranian Foreign Minister Araghchi at the Kremlin on Monday.
Speaking on behalf of Ayatollah Khamenei, Araghchi may have asked for a solid supply of weapons and most of all defense systems; but these will take time, especially considering that the strategic partnership recently approved by both the Duma and the Majlis in Tehran is not – officially – a military alliance.
Yet according to sources in Moscow who were informed about the meeting, Putin did position Russia at the center of a possible resolution, thus displacing Washington. Team Trump 2.0 was incensed. Trump boasted that both Iran and Israel had called him almost simultaneously to arrance a ceasefire. Nonsense: only Tel Aviv did. As Putin made it clear, once again, that Russia would back Iran, he indirectly offered Trump an off-ramp.
True to character, the Circus Ringmaster jumped on it, marketing his own, branded ceasefire, reality show-style. And this only two days after gloating that the Iranian nuclear program was “obliterated” (he insists on it even as U.S. intel admits the program may have been set back for only a matter of months).
A supreme taboo has been broken
Iran has learned a few important lessons the hardest way, paying a horrendous price. Tehran was way too transparent and reasonable dealing with a bunch of gangsters: from allowing IAEA nuclear monitoring that turned out to be a process of amassing precious intel for Israeli targeting; and believing in diplomacy and honoring agreements that were unceremoniously ditched.
There’s no diplomacy when it comes to dealing with the imperial Leviathan/Behemoth – especially as it contemplates, in horror, its footprint being reduced all across the Global South.
Domestically though, Iran is going to the next level. There are at least three factions in confrontation: Ayatollah Khamenei and his close circle plus the IRGC; the reformists, embodied by the meek Pezeshkian presidency; and what could be construed as secular nationalists, who want a strong Iran but not as a theo-democracy.
The IRGC now has all the power. Defending the homeland against the deadly Zionist axis, Empire included, crystalized a widespread sentiment of national unity and pride. All sectors of the Iranian population – 90 million, someone tell pathetic Marco Rubio – rallied around the flag.
Conceptually, the ceasefire – nobody knows how long it will last – is adverse to Iran, because its increasing deterrence capacity is now lost. Israel will have its air defenses feverishly replenished while Iran, alone, will need months and even years to rebuild.
The imperial modus operandi remains the same. The Circus Ringmaster saw that a monster humiliation was at hand –something like Israel’s Vietnam: so he announced a one-sided ceasefire and fled.
Yet the configuration for the next battles has changed. If Washington decides to escalate again, or resorts to the certified practice of using terror proxies, Iran as the de facto leader of the Resistance will resolutely counter-attack. The myth of genocidal invincibility has been shattered forever. The whole Global South has seen it, and now takes it in serious consideration.
It remains open to serious discussion whether Tehran will finally opt to follow a DPRK model to counteract the – failed, so far – imposition of a Libya and/or Syria model. Uranium enrichment will continue. With an added film noir plot twist: nobody knows where the uranium is.
The Empire of Chaos, predictably, will never stop. Only when the whole Global South unites with an iron will and force it to stop. The conditions are not in place – yet.
As it stands, the real ceasefire would be between the U.S. and the Global South, led institutionally by Russia-China, BRICS and several other multipolar organizations. The chance of the U.S. ruling classes honoring such a long-lasting ceasefire, if it ever happens, are less than zero.
As for the Iran-Israel ceasefire, that’s not the end of the war. On the contrary; it’s the – dubious – end of just the first hot battle. The dogs and hyenas of war will be back, sooner or later. There will be blood – over and over again. Yet at least a supreme taboo has been broken: that death cult in West Asia can indeed be mortally wounded.
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Well, that remains to be seen. Not too impressed with Iran’s preparedness before, and actions during this ‘war’. In any case, the next six or seven months will tell the tale, for them.
What is more important is what Russia and China have learned. If they want to protect what they have, they must understand that negotiations with the Anglo-American-Jewish Empire cannot be based on trust. When dealing with hard-core lunatics, a different approach is necessary.
You’d think Israel would get the message—back off or your electrical grid goes down for the long count while the US bails before the Strait’s closed and Trump’s impeached.
Iran agreed to the cease fire for 2 reasons.
1. To ramp up internal security. There’s a reason Hitler wanted no jooos in Germany. (((They))) were a parasite within. That was definitely proven here. Now Iran has a chance to gather them all up and remove them from existance.
2. Sign the binding defense pact with Russia.
China is way too soft for war. Just straight business with them. That explains why Japan could so easily defeat them throughout HX.
Made clear is that the US Pols are paid or blackmailed and completely subserviant to their (((masters))).
Mostly Peaceful Genociders are all in for MIGA.
It’s annoying that you continue to insist on being the authoritative voice of the Global South. But it’s clear why you do it: you’re trying to save Russia and China from shame in the eyes of the other Global South you claim to represent. I conclude that you continue to insist on convincing us of China’s wise patience and Russia’s eternal red lines. Meanwhile, let genocide and the destruction of states continue to spread, as long as there are good photos and strong speeches in the halls of the UN. Of course, when the waters are rough, the fishermen profit.
On the other hand, on this site and others, the personification of Trump as an idiot, a madman, an ignoramus is tiresome. A clown compared to the moderation of Putin and Xi Jinping (mixed in official announcements, waiting to see who falls or weakens first). So I congratulate the “gringos” (from the global south where PE speaks Russian and Chinese better than Spanish or “Brazilian”) for having Trump…this time. It only took one intervention to calm the waters…for now…and, above all, to put a stop to Israel. It’s even funny that Trump speaks of Netanyahu as a warrior and of the absurdity of removing him from office with events against him. To say that, and from his “clown” persona, is to pretend the exact opposite. I’ll stick with PCR’s last comment (simpler and less flowery) here: let the clown pat himself on the back for saving us from war with Iran.
The usual drivel and complete garbage from Pepe Escobar.
I feel that Pepe Escobar and I wasn’t watching the same war.
Something really needs to be done with this bloody clown Pepe Escobar.
Mouthing off endless garbage day in day out.
It never ends with this total and utter charlatan.
Geopolitical Breakdown: The Real Winners and Losers in the Israel-Iran War | Syriana Analysis
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the treacherous israeli sneak attack, has awaken the sleeping giant and the giant has awaken angry. this will have the same effect, as that of the failed coup in turkiye, it will further entrench the powers they seek to displace. they have rounded up 700 mossad operatives so far, as many are turning themselves in, to receive leniency and avoid being hanged. they have already started hanging the worst of the lot and mossad will never again have the rats nest of operatives, that allowed this thorough infiltration.
this whole risin’ lyin’ operation, seems more like reza lyin’, a guido 2.0/king zog ll. if they think they are going to get away with that now, they are deluding themselves. any attempts at color revolution bullshit, will be swept up in the streets, as the trash that it is. the irgc has had their white gloves removed and will deal with 5th column elements ruthlessly.
israel has decided to lick their wounds and return to the very beginning, to finish off the starving palestinians and was given a warm welcome by hamas, burning seven idf warcriminals alive, so this ain’t over, by any stretch. they have no where to turn and have surrounded themselves with open war fronts, as their defenses have been degraded and depleted, along with the the u.s. arsenals being bled dry. if these idiots aren’t careful they’re going to completely disarm themselves and perhaps that is the overall plan of the brics axis. zelensky looked like he had a tummy ache at the zato summit, perhaps something he ate, most likely macron or worse yet, van der lyin’, who he finds, leaves a far worse taste in his mouth.
iran didn’t ratify their strategic agreement until june 16th, perhaps now they can come to a more substantial defense agreement with the russians. if this is all going to develop, in a more unified approach to the multi tentacled zato leviathan, iran has left israel in a pretty defenseless state. even if the u.s. rushes in munitions and replacement systems, the iranians can take them out once again, having gained priceless insight into zato systems, that have rendered them ineffectual at best.
perhaps the great golden golem will lead his people into peace with the palestinians, having realized they have no other options left, as the israeli economy is in tatters. there’s only two ways to get through to these bloodthirsty savages, brut force and money and iran has done both. israel will never recover from the self inflicted damage to their international reputation. the end of zionism, will begin the end of israel as a jewish state, it’s just a matter of time and demographics.
Pepe Escobar is like the human garbage and scum of the global south.
ALL the countries that he writes about will be bombed and destroyed.
You better PRAY that Pepe Escobar doesn’t write about your country.
If Pepe Escobar writes about your country “resisting” U.S. global hegemony and “winning”, prepare for your country to be bombed and destroyed.
Pepe Escobar has the touch of death. He brings death everywhere he goes.
I hope Pepe Escobar never writes and visits my country. I don’t want to die and be bombed.
Insane lunatic and charlatan.
We need cautionaries, not conservatives.
I’ll keep that in mind for a future move.
I hope you’re right, time will tell.
it’ll take Izrahell 2-3 months, maybe longer, to replenish its supply of anti-missile ordnance. Likewise Iran to increase it’s # of mobile launchers and repair other facilities that the Izzies bombed out. Iran should also nuclear weaponize it’s already-enriched-to-60% uranium; but I doubt if Izramerica will give them sufficient time before the next onslaught.
anytime after that, look for a 9/11-scale Mossad/CIA false flag op in America that will be pin’d on Iran and give Daddy the opportunity to strike Iran hard on Day One and keep on attacking indefinitely after that….instead of a one-off on Day Twelve. Ultimate goal will be either regime change in Tehran and/or a Libya-style failed state.
thank you for your attention,
Haxo
The funny thing about the twelve day war was the amount of propaganda oozing out of every pore of the western media, and its still going, trying to convince everyone that the West had a victory and that regime change is only around the corner.
So they’re not hiding the fact it was about regime change…its just that one hand doesn’t know what message the other is handing out.
Its all a waste of time because those with half a brain cell can see through it and the rest, well, its like throwing pearls before swine, that’s what happens when you dumb down the population, they become to dumb to notice!
Trump started the war, but he was too chickenshit to finish it. That isn’t commendable. He shouldn’t be given credit for “saving us” because, if he knows that he can just do stupid things and then escape any consequences for his stupidity, it just makes it more likely he will do something equally or more idiotic in the future.
PCR is a hysterical bitch. He should stop writing articles from his fainting couch every time he gets the vapors.
In a related story, Vladimir Putin said today that if the west goes ahead with stealing Russia’s assets he will move Russia away from U.S. based payment systems. This is exactly why Russia is going to end up losing. The correct answer for President Putin to give is that if the west steals Russia’s reserves he will bomb them. Iran will be taken down before the end of the year and Russia is next. Putin is unable to save Russia or to even see what is coming. https://www.rt.com/business/620599-russian-assets-western-robbery-putin/ https://www.bignewsnetwork.com/news/278398390/if-iran-falls-were-next-what-russian-experts-and-politicians-are-saying-about-the-us-strikes#google_vignette
PCR is also a coward, he never allows comments and argument to his essays here.
Trump has gone senile like Brandon (2015) before him, hes now a Marius barking at the moon.
DJT gave a world class MAGA speech in October 2016, not sure who wrote it but it was good and it motivated millions.
Then Trump went and ruined the movement by being just another Washington bully and criminal assassin.
Iran should do the opposite and invite Jews to Iran to protect them, since Israel is unable to. This would completely destroy the last vestiges of the need for a “jewish” state which is unable to protect the Jews.
BRICS really needs to implement an an alternative international payment system for themselves.
In fact, BRICS could easily make a BRICS dollar merely by pegging it 1-to-1 to the USD, an unchangeable peg. BRICS countries would get into it by exchanging their national currencies at the going exchange rate against the USD, and also get back their national currencies from it the same way (in reverse).
Only once the USD gets too destroyed could they then unpeg it and have the “BRICS dollar” float on its own against the world’s currencies, because it would have enough trust by then to do so, and even its own exchange rate against the world’s currencies. And any other non-BRICS country would then have to use it for trade with BRICS nations.
But the time to act is now… so trust in using it can build in the next few years.
The important thing is that Iran inflicted heavier damage on Israel than all the Arabs ever did in 77 years combined, so that will definitely affect them psychologically.
Also, Iran will probably develope nukes by the time Israel replenishes.
Richard („Zionist“ label blender) Solomon:
Iran has like everyone else a Jew problem; probably half a million (officially „ca. 40.000“) parasites.
As long as The Parasite is even allowed to put (and shut) up a Jewish president (Achmadinechad), what chance does a country have?
I think everybody was caught by surprise by how weak Iran was.
Iran air defenses were destroyed on first day of war. Top military brass all killed.
Entire Iranian air space was open to Israeli and U.S. air strikes.
Russia never achieved this in Ukraine war.
What happened to Iranian air force? There were no dog fights. Not one single Israeli jet was shot down, only a few Israeli drones were down.
U.S came into Iran with total impunity and bombed out all the nuclear sites.
If U.S. had wanted, entire Tehran would be obliterated.
And we have this clown Pepe Escobar, painting this war as if this was some sort of great victory for Iran. I think Pepe have gone senile. He wasn’t this dumb in the past. Mind you, I think I am one of the few who started reading Pepe on Asia Times back in 2001 911 attacks. He is complete lunatic charlatan now. Totally worthless as a source of analysis or knowledge. The more you read Pepe, the dumber you get. Your IQ will drop by more exposure to Pepe Escobar. He really declined and decayed and degenerated.
He rotted to such a stage now.
The only positive thing in this war were the Iranian missiles. That saved them.
I think all the countries surrounding Europe in Middle East and Africa must learn from Iran and start to build up missile arsenal or they will all be bombed and destroyed. That is guaranteed.
The West will never let you off. They are coming to kill you.
And after you are killed and destroyed, Pepe Escobar will write an article about you and then move on to next country to be bombed and destroyed.
That is Pepe Escobar.
AI-Generated Song “Boom, Boom, Tel Aviv” Goes Viral
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Given the fog of war and so much biased propaganda on both sides, it’s difficult to tell, I’m not sure that your analysis is correct.
Apparently, the Iranian air defenses were initially taken down for a number of hours supposedly by an electronic warfare attack or by those local drones, but they quickly went back up. Meanwhile, the decapitating strikes against Iran’s military high command and those nuclear scientists were mostly by those local drones, which can’t easily be stopped by normal air defense, or by early missile strikes while the air defense was down.
Those local drone attacks are a new approach also used against Russia several weeks ago and don’t yet have any obvious current counter-measures.
The Simplicius blogger generally seems pretty reliable and he claimed that subsequent IDF air strikes were by stand-off weapons fired from outside Iranian territory because they didn’t want to risk their planes against air defenses.
Finally, it really does look like the American airstrikes and Iranian retaliation were coordinated between the two countries, with both sides avoiding any damage, and that’s why there was no challenge to the B-2s.
I’ll admit I haven’t tried to investigate the issue and I’m certainly not saying I’m certain about any of this, but the case being made seems pretty plausible to me, and very different from what you’re suggesting.
Some say yes, others maybe, a few say no. I don’t think Iran has said much, and the US and Israel are known liars. Who really knows?
But what is clear is that if a country is going to defend itself, the least it has to do is control its airspace. This is one reason Russia can get away with their slow and go, ready and steady land push. There is no significant air defense that Ukraine can mount. So it becomes building to building, trench to trench warfare. And it is why it will be impossible to stop China from overwhelming Taiwan, when they decide the time is right. Short of a nuclear first strike, China will control the airspace over Taiwan in short order.
Now, on the other hand, if Israel was launching ‘smart’ guided bombs from outside Iran’s borders, that’s a different situation altogether, and requires a different strategy. In that case, short of intercepting US and Israeli fighters in some sort of dogfight situation, the only thing left for them is to use ballistic missiles in the hopes that they can destroy enemy airfields and other command and control installations supporting the air attacks.
Eye ran has the 2nd highest joo population in the ME…and overwhelming they are proud Persians.
The cable news channels are already sounding the “sleeper cell” alarm. Just like clockwork, the false flag is coming. The FBI etc will coerce some dimwit to do something stupid and a cassus beli is formed. The sheeple will fall in line.
The Israelis pre positioned containers all over Iran which were used in the assassinations.
“Simplicius seems reliable”
Simp has been predicting imminent Russian victory in Ukraine for 3+ years. Is that reliable?
“IDF airstrikes were were stand-off weapons fired from outside Iranian territory.”
yes, some were…but many were not: for example, the roving aircraft-located, then close-range destruction of c. 200 Iranian mobile missile launchers by laser-guided air-to-ground ordnance. Fact is, Iranian air defense was and always has been pathetic. Another metric: Izzies used drones by the hundred, easy targets for any half-decent defense. But the Iranis shot down……3.
Iran must be on high alert and prepared. Jews only understand force because violence and corruption ingrained in their genetic makeup. They are violent beasts; they should be banned from entering civilized nations. Many nations, including the U.S., Australia, Britain and France have witnessed what they are reaping, the negative effects of Jewish influence, including violence, paedophilia, prostitution, drug addiction, rampant corruption, and more. These are the consequences of being too closely associated with the Jews and their American allies.
You are a moron. The only way to increase your IQ is to give up your satanic thinking and become human not a goy.