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Will War Derail Trump's Reelection?
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“It’s tough to make predictions, especially about the future,” Yogi Berra reminded us.

But on “The McLaughlin Group,” the TV talk show on which this writer has appeared for four decades, predictions are as mandated as was taking Latin in Jesuit high schools in the 1950s.

Looking to 2020, this writer predicted that Donald Trump’s great domestic challenge would be to keep the economy firing on all cylinders. His great foreign policy challenge? Avoiding war.

When one looks at the numbers — unemployment at or below 4% for two years, an expansion in its 11th year, the stock market regularly hitting all-time highs — Trump enters his reelection year with a fistful of aces. One has to go back half a century to find numbers like these.

Moreover, the opposition shaping up to bring him down seems, to put it charitably, not up to the task.

Joe Biden, 77, with 45 years in electoral politics, has lost more than a step or two and his most memorable Senate vote was in support of George W. Bush’s decision to take us to war in Iraq, the greatest blunder in U.S. diplomatic history.

Biden’s challengers are a cantankerous 78-year-old democratic socialist who just had a heart attack and a 37-year-old mayor of a small town in Indiana who claims that his same-sex marriage is blessed by the Bible.

Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg are white male billionaires who are dumping scores of millions into TV ads to buy the nomination of a party that professes to stand on principle against white male privilege, wealth inequality and the noxious effects of big money in politics.

While Trump is facing an impeachment trial, an acquittal by a Mitch McConnell-run Republican Senate seems a pretty good bet.

And the coming report of U.S. Attorney John Durham into the origins of the Russiagate probe is expected to find political bias, if not conspiracy, at its root. Trump could emerge from the Mueller Report, Horowitz Report and Durham Report as what his allies claim him to be — the victim of a “deep state” conspiracy to fix the election of 2016.

If there are IEDs on Trump’s road to reelection, they may be found in the Middle and Near East, land of the forever wars, and North Korea.

Not infrequently, foreign policy has proven decisive in presidential years.

The Korean War contributed to Harry Truman’s defeat in the New Hampshire primary and his 1952 decision not to run again. When General Eisenhower, architect of the Normandy invasion, declared, “I shall go to Korea,” his rival Adlai Stevenson was toast.

Lyndon Johnson saw his party shattered and chances vanish with the Tet Offensive of 1968, Eugene McCarthy’s moral victory in New Hampshire, and antiwar candidate Bobby Kennedy’s entry into the race.

Jimmy Carter’s feckless response to the seizure of U.S. hostages in Iran consumed the last year of his presidency and contributed to his rout by Ronald Reagan.

The critical foreign theaters where Trump could face problems with his presidential re-election include Afghanistan, Iran and North Korea.

ORDER IT NOW

As of Dec. 30, Kim Jong Un’s “Christmas gift” to Trump had not been delivered. Yet it is unlikely Kim will let many weeks pass without making good on his warnings and threats. And though difficult to believe he would start a war, it is also difficult to see how he continues to tolerate sanctions for another year without upgrading and rattling his nuclear arsenal.

Trump is eager to make good on his promises and remove many of the 14,000 U.S. troops in Afghanistan before Election Day. Yet such a move is not without risks. Given the strength of the Taliban, the casualties they are able to inflict, the inability of the Afghan army to hold territory, and the constant atrocities in the capital city of Kabul, a Saigon ’75 end to the Afghan war is not outside the realm of the possible.

Nor is a shooting war with Iran that rivets the nation’s attention.

Yesterday, U.S. F-15s, in five attacks, hit munitions depots and a command center of the Iran-backed Kataib Hezbollah militia in Syria and Iraq, a retaliatory raid for a rocket attack on a U.S. training camp that killed an American contractor and wounded four U.S. soldiers.

“For those who ask about the response,” warns a Kataib Hezbollah spokesman, “it will be the size of our faith.” One has to expect Iran and its militia in Iraq to respond in kind.

They have a track record. During 2019, with its economy choked by U.S. sanctions, Iran and its allies sabotaged oil tankers in the Gulf, shot down a $130 million U.S. Predator drone, and shut down with missiles and drones half of Saudi Arabia’s oil production.

In former times, a confrontation or shooting war often benefitted the incumbent, as there was almost always a rallying to the flag. Those days are gone. This generation has had its fill of wars.

Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “Nixon’s White House Wars: The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever.”

Copyright 2019 Creators.com.

 
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  1. anonymous[245] • Disclaimer says:

    Mr. Buchanan herds his Red flock of the sheep into the next Most Important Election Ever. But I doubt that many around here will swallow such desiccated Beltway Baloney as:

    “When one looks at the numbers — unemployment at or below 4% for two years, an expansion in its 11th year, the stock market regularly hitting all-time highs — Trump enters his reelection year with a fistful of aces. One has to go back half a century to find numbers like these.”

    “Jimmy Carter’s feckless response to the seizure of U.S. hostages in Iran consumed the last year of his presidency and contributed to his rout by Ronald Reagan.”

    Nice to know, though, that there remains a “TV talk show” called “The McLaughlin Group.” Is Marlon Perkins still on “Wild Kingdom”?

    • Replies: @animalogic
  2. The cycle goes on.
    Love of oil fights love of faith.
    Lives lost to a con.

    • Replies: @SeekerofthePresence
  3. JimDandy says:

    Yep. Trump’s supporter’s are rock solid. He allows us to get dragged into a war? That support instantly turns to sand.

  4. Smith says:

    War means Trump will lose election.

    But seeing as election will fix nothing, maybe a war and a destabilized US will end up fixing things.

    I’m down for war then.

  5. JUSA says:

    Trump’s economy is another false dawn as usual. He’s coercing Jay Powell into keeping the short term interest rate artificially low to keep the cheap money flowing. All that cheap money that the government is printing is flowing into assets – stocks and real estate, for the 1%. 2019 set a record for number of $100M+ homes being sold in the US, and the Dow is at its highest on record. College cost, food cost and health insurance continue to grow out of sight, yet the government is telling us inflation is non-existent, so they can keep the con going by keeping interest rate low to lower their borrowing cost for continued deficit spending.

    Bush kept the con going for nearly 7 years before it all came crashing down. Obama kept it going for all 8 years in office, now Trump is extending it to 11. Let’s see how much longer this show can go on before the house of cards comes tumbling down once more.

    War with Iran is just a red herring, like the war with North Korea, to keep the masses entertained while the (((elites))) continue to loot and plunder, i.e. not gonna happen. Trump is dumb but not that dumb.

    • Replies: @artichoke
    , @Rev. Spooner
  6. KenH says:

    Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg are white male billionaires

    Both are JEWISH. Steyer is a mischling but thinks and acts like a full blooded Jew.

    The only way Trump will go to war is if Bibi and his treasonous diaspora rats and shabbos goys demand and lobby for it. Trump’s fanatical devotion to the Jewish people and Israel could get us into another Middle East war that may draw in Russia and China and the specter of nuclear war.

  7. TGD says:

    This generation has had its fill of wars.

    The hoi polloi don’t count. If the “deep state” wants a new war, they’ll get it. And the mealy mouthed no goods in the US Congress can always be counted on to vote whatever funds are needed to prosecute a war.

  8. Bring the troops home. Let Zionist Jews fight their own wars.

    • Replies: @Rev. Spooner
  9. Franz says:

    When one looks at the numbers — unemployment at or below 4% for two years, an expansion in its 11th year, the stock market regularly hitting all-time highs

    “When one looks at the numbers — ” — One wants to vomit.

    Hey, Pat: Get with your fellow former Reaganite Paul Craig Roberts for the short version on how all those number “one looks at” are rigged.

    Then re-read your old book The Great Betrayal.

    Between Paul Craig and the Earlier You, I smell a sequel. The Greater Betrayal?

  10. @KenH

    The Israel-firsters and shabbos-goyim now no longer even hide the fact that the US is Israel’s bitch.

  11. artichoke says:
    @JUSA

    We’re 2% above Europe. The Fed has to add liquidity because the overnight lending markets were blowing up. The Fed hates Trump and that’s why we’re still 2% above Europe, vs. the ZIRP policy they ran to help make Obama look good.

  12. It all depends. If it’s a war with few boots on the ground, most Americans won’t care.

    Did anyone care about US destruction of Libya and Syria? And what US did in Ukraine was really an act of war, funding the opposition and pulling off a coup. But no one cared.

    Americans care ONLY IF American soldiers die in big numbers. Otherwise, no one cares if the US blows up another part of the world. And both Dems and Repugs love to hear about how all this destruction is great for Jews and Israel.

    • Agree: houston 1992
    • Replies: @Haha
    , @2stateshmustate
  13. @anonymous

    “But I doubt that many around here will swallow such desiccated Beltway Baloney”
    Yes, that occurred to me too. In Pat’s defence, perhaps he regurgitates this stuff in the sense that the msm & many voting nincompoops actually believe this stuff…?

    • Replies: @anonymous
  14. A123 says:

    Sigh, a click bait headline.

    Trump has been trying to end unworkable Globalist misadventures from prior administrations. There is no likely scenario for a hypothetical war.
    _____

    In Syria, Trump jettisoned Hillary’s master plan for regime change and partition. He would glady sign up to an agreement that removes Trukish, Iranian, and U.S. forces from Syria. Russia would be the only foreign military force allowed to remain.
    ______

    Trump has to continue working with the current Ukrainian government, because it is in the interest of the Citizens of the U.S. to expose corruption in the prior Obama/Biden administration. (1)

    The allegations, according to the document, were pushed forward by a Florida-based private-eye firm, D&A Investigations, in Biden’s ongoing case against alleged baby mama Lunden Alexis Roberts, a former Washington, DC, stripper who went by “Dallas”, the New York Post reported.

    Biden, 49, “is the subject of more than one criminal investigation involving fraud, money laundering and a counterfeiting scheme,” the filing alleges. One of the investigations is related to Burisma Holdings, the Ukrainian energy company with which Biden held a board post while his father, Joe Biden, was vice president …

    There is no reason to believe that Trump will provide U.S. Troops to fight in Ukraine.
    _____

    Unlike, feeling based, Globalist politicians (including G.W. Bush) — Trump, plans ahead and is realistic about consequences. This means that he will keep U.S. regular ground forces out of Iran:

    — U.S. Citizens were stuck with a huge bill for Iraq reconstruction. Trump is not going to repeat that error.

    — Eastern Iran and Afghanistan have similar geography. Trump keeps trying disengage from the Globalist mistakes that placed U.S. Troops of Afghanistan. He certainly will not open a new front in the region.

    — Egypt was almost pushed into civil war by foreign backed groups, such as the Globalist Color Revolutionaries and the Muslim Brotherhood. Trump understands that a solution forced from the outside will not help the Iranian people escape decades of authoritarian misrule by Shahs and Ayatollahs.

    PEACE 😇
    _______

    (1) https://sputniknews.com/us/201912241077755322-hunter-biden-figures-multiple-criminal-investigations/

  15. Eric135 says:

    Trump hasn’t built the wall and hasn’t gotten us out of wars in the Middle East (his two biggest campaign promises), but he has created a cult of personality around himself that keeps his supporters loyal to him regardless of what he does. Combine this with the ridiculous clown show the Democrats have put on, and he should easily get reelected even if he does get us into another war.

    But his support for mass Third World non-white immigration (legal) and failure to do anything effective to curb illegal immigration (which he could easily do by declaring a state of national emergency on national security grounds) means that no Republican will ever win the presidency again simply because of demographic change.

  16. The future is hard to predict. But the pattern of history shows clearly the direction we are moving. “This generation has had its fill of wars.” Yet the cycle of war is not over.
    https://www.ghostsofhistory.wordpress.com/

  17. Why is every article by Pat Buchanan titled in the form of a question, the answer to which is almost invariably “no?”

  18. anonymous[245] • Disclaimer says:
    @animalogic

    No, please read my first sentence.

    Mr. Buchanan protects TPTB by serving as Stagehand Right in the puppet show of Washington politics. He is dissident only to the extent of criticizing what he sees as overreach that would weaken the Empire. That’s why he calls countries beyond its control “dictatorships”, their leaders “autocrats.” He is still on record here maintaining the myth of Russian hacking of the 2016 US election.

    Yes, my comments are repetitive. So what? It took months of work for the commenters to disrobe Andrew Napolitano as a sycophant of the DOJ. Those who disagreed either came around or joined “Judge” in his recusal.

    The only substantive rebuttal I receive about Mr. Buchanan are citations to his ancient texts or suggestions (like yours?) that he is working as best he can within the dinosaur media. But whatever good he may have done as a public voice decades ago or however much he may need to (being charitable) dilute the truth to remain on “TV talk shows” shouldn’t give him a pass here for guarding the GOP flank of a rotted system.

    Go back over his columns and see for yourself.

    • Agree: houston 1992
  19. RVBlake says:

    “Iran and its allies” attacked the Saudi oil refineries? I may be uninformed, but the last I heard the perpetrators of that attack had not identified.

    • Replies: @anonymous
  20. Rurik says:

    the coming report of U.S. Attorney John Durham into the origins of the Russiagate probe is expected to find political bias, if not conspiracy, at its root. Trump could emerge from the Mueller Report, Horowitz Report and Durham Report as what his allies claim him to be — the victim of a “deep state” conspiracy to fix the election of 2016.

    Regardless of your opinion of Trump, who wouldn’t enjoy seeing James Comey and John Brennan doing the perp walk? Complete with handcuffs and burly federal marshals gripping their arms.

    Or, for that matter, Hillary and Obama.

    Just the thought of Hillary and Obama being indicted, and lobbying Trump for a pardon, would be extremely satisfying on so many levels.

    Consider, we’re never going to see any of these rats sent to the Hague for their myriad war crimes, (as they should be). And be tried before a global audience for the millions of innocent lives they’ve ended or destroyed. So wouldn’t it at least be great to see them tried for sedition, and placed in federal prison, orange jumpsuits and all. Hillary could spend some time in the same cell Jeffry Epstein temporarily occupied.

    Just watching Maxine Waters psychologically unravel would be worth the price of the ticket. Or ‘the squad’. I confess, that for every single human being on this planet, that worships at the feet of war criminal Obama, simply because he’s black, I’d love to see them all existentially eviscerated to the core of their rotten, racist souls. (especially the liberal/progressive white SJW ; )

    Ditto for all the Zionist scum, who’d worry that holding Hillary or Obama to account for their serial war crimes and treasons, would send a chill over the governments of the West for all of Israel’s legions of traitorous lickspittles. Not to mention future presidents and Senators of the ZUSA.

    Yes, of course it’s all fantasy, but let a fellow indulge, why don’t ya?!

    It’s cost effective, and bolsters my day! This is New Year’s Eve, after all, give a guy some slack!

    And it isn’t perhaps all Pollyanna. Bruce Ohr could flip, or others. And the Deepstate could toss Comey or Clapper or Brennan and/or some others under the bus, as a nod to Trump and reciprocation for his slavish fealty to Israel.

    One can dream..

    In former times, a confrontation or shooting war often benefitted the incumbent, as there was almost always a rallying to the flag. Those days are gone. This generation has had its fill of wars.

    I’d like to think that the American people have crossed the cynical Rubicon for false flags, and that even a dirty bomb or mini-nuke set off by the Mossad in Milwaukee, still won’t be enough to rally the Americanus Bovinus to more wars for Israel. That by now, they’d know, that another ‘Pearl Harbor-like attack’, will have been orchestrated by the ((Deepstate)), and they’d tell uncle Sam to fuck off, he’s not getting any more of their children to toss into Moloch’s fires.

    That’s what I’d like to think.

    Tulsi is looking more and more like the only sane and moral choice for Americans, with a shred of decency left in their souls. Sure, she’d be the death knell for white America, and by extension, the Western world. But Russia and Eastern Europe are not going to let the whole thing die, at least in our lifetimes. So perhaps we should just accept it, and embrace Tulsi.. come what may.

    At least she’s honest about her support for a new order, ruled by POC. Whereas Trump tells us all endless lies about controlling the border, and then mocks us by refusing to do so.

    Rand Paul / Tulsi Gabbard in 2020! A third party ticket. A national, grass-roots repudiation of the corrupt Dems and treasonous GOP. It couldn’t get much better than that.

    • Agree: houston 1992
  21. anonymous[245] • Disclaimer says:
    @RVBlake

    No, you’re just not misinformed by the likes of “Mr. Paleoconservative.”

    This columnist is approaching piñata status on The Unz Review. My 2020 prediction is that he’ll join Engelhardt, Lang, and Napolitano down there among the Archived.

  22. Haha says:
    @Priss Factor

    What you say is so true, alas! War is actually the wrong word to use when the opponents are helpless fourth-world countries. Turkey shoots may be more accurate.

    • Replies: @follyofwar
  23. “Yet such a move is not without risks. Given the strength of the Taliban, the casualties they are able to inflict, the inability of the Afghan army to hold territory”
    excuse the language, but wtf are you talking about?
    Is the Taliban a Afghan resistance?
    Is who runs Afghanistan a Us problem?
    Should the Afghan people decide if they prefer Taliban to US proxies and thiefs themselves?
    This is an American mental illness that effects the entire world, i know the “shiny city on a hill” myth and the halucination that murca is exeptional must be hard to shake of after a century off imagining it to be true.
    IT IS NOT, you are a rouge terrorist police state and the murcans themselves must stop their regime or else it will lead you to war.
    no one but paid proxies want you anywhere outside YOUR borders or like your state ffs.

    • Replies: @RadicalCenter
  24. … attack on a U.S. training camp that killed an American contractor ….

    So that’s what we call soldiers of fortune now, but the more interesting thing is that we are willing to take the nation to war for the loss of one.

  25. @KenH

    As Trump recently said: “We need to love Israel MORE!”

    Well, as for attacking Iran, Bibi has been demanding it before 9/11. Obama shut him up when he signed the JCPOA, which Trump promptly, and precipitously, tore up – all because he does Bibi’s bidding. That foolish act has paved the way to war with Iran. Trump now thinks himself a modern day Caesar, sanctioning even friendly countries at whim, and with the world’s greatest, unstoppable military.

    Trump acts with reckless abandon, as that recent attack in Iraq has again shown. Iraqis are storming the well-fortified green zone, which houses the US embassy, and are demanding that our forces leave the country. But, just as in Syria and Afghanistan, it will not happen. If Iran shoots down another drone, or might be responsible for the death of another US mercenary soldier, there will be war. Who is there to stop Caesar?

  26. @Haha

    Iran is not a helpless fourth-world country. Nor will it be a Turkey Shoot. If war does happen, let it be Caesar’s Waterloo. And let the new decade usher in the end for the Hegemon.

    • Replies: @Just passing through
  27. @JUSA

    Trump’s economy is another false dawn as usual. He’s coercing Jay Powell into keeping the short term interest rate artificially low to keep the cheap money flowing. All that cheap money that the government is printing is flowing into assets. Damn right.
    Corporate America is busy buying valuable assets not just in USA but all over the world using this cheap money.

  28. @anonymous1963

    Don’t spit at the moon, don’t piss into the wind unless you are wearing a full “Anti-Semitic ” rig.

  29. We need to stop calling the current policy ‘American’ and the ‘US’.

    Was British policy in Indian ‘Indian’? No, it had nothing to do with Indians and everything to do with British Imperial interests. So, the policy in India was British.

    Likewise, the current policy in the US isn’t American or US but Jewish, Zionist, Yinonist, and globo-homo-shlomo imperialist. Goy Americans are essnetially Palestinians living under occupation. Call it by its real name, and scales will fall from the eyes.

    https://responsiblestatecraft.org/2019/12/27/americas-maximum-recklessness-policy-against-iran/

  30. @Priss Factor

    I suggest any kind of war with Iran will be a big deal.

  31. @follyofwar

    ‘Murka winning hearts and minds…

    • Agree: Phil_from_NJ
  32. bjondo says:

    Peace offering, swamp cleaning:

    Give Pompeo and Esper to Kataib Hezbollah militia in Syria and Iraq.

    Catapult both from Jordan border.

    5ds

  33. This generation has had its fill of wars?

    I’m not even remotely a member of “this generation”.

    But, I’ve had my fill of wars for more than seven decades.

    • Replies: @anonymous
  34. @Per/Norway

    Well, if buttgig wins, this gov might be a ROUGE terrorist police state 😉

  35. @SeekerofthePresence

    Coulda done without our good buddies, the White Helmet terrorists in there. Why not show Xmas in Allepo instead?

    • Replies: @SeekerofthePresence
  36. anonymous[245] • Disclaimer says:
    @Longfisher

    Amen, and Happy New Year!

    I hope that we both live to see a peaceful end to the corruption of our principles and country.

  37. @follyofwar

    It’s become fashionable to bash the US military for being overfunded and underperforming, but in my opinion they only really have trouble in guerrilla war. The war with the Iranian armed forces would be short and swift in favour of the Americans.

    It would be a turkey shoot like Desert Storm and the initial stages of the Second Gulf War, only if the US decided to turn into an occupation force would they start getting hammered.

    • LOL: bluedog
    • Replies: @MEexpert
  38. anaccount says:

    I have slowly come to the conclusion that a Trump victory in 2020 is the worst thing that can happen to the White right in America. I’m of the opinion that things need to become worse before they get better. Sheldon Adelson and the rest of the Warburg’s aren’t paying millions for peace with Iran and I see little indication that Trump won’t make good on the promises he has made to these parasites.

    A Trump loss to (((Bernie))) following an economic collapse and increasing anti-white policies are just what the doctor ordered. Better yet if America’s blind and deaf ‘conservatives’ feel that the election was stolen from them. Its clear that they need yet another rude awakening. I think this is why a Trump ‘win’ will be engineered – not that he needs much help.

    Either way (((they))) will still control America no matter who wins, clearly, and at the very least I don’t want my name on it.

    • Replies: @Phil_from_NJ
  39. Renoman says:

    Let the Muslims tear each other to pieces, who cares? We don’t need the oil any more so the only reason to stay there is the chitty little country and pretty well everyone has had more than enough of their shenanigans. Time to fix America and the hell with the Middle east.

    • Agree: Talha
  40. Talha says:
    @KenH

    The only way Trump will go to war

    We are already at war. When you are exchanging fire with proxy-militias of some nation(s) in a country you were never asked to come into, while declaring openly that your soldiers have taken control of their resources (like oil fields) – you are at war. Maybe it’s not a full-blown war, but that’s where we are at.

    Now, this whole business of not labeling it as a “war” is how our political elites keep getting around the technical need for the nation to have an open debate and have our representatives be held to account for how they vote on this.

    When someone says we should avoid war, remind them that we already crossed that threshold, we just haven’t officially declared it.

    Peace.

  41. Exile says:

    With all due respect to Pat, this piece shows how firmly entrenched he and his fellow paleocons still are in the ideas and political alignments of a largely mythological and entirely outdated past.

    Handicapping the Red-Blue horserace with other Seventies-era pundits based on outdated metrics like muh official unemployment stats is tragically irrelevant to the non-Boomer demographics. The rank hypocrisy of the Dems has no effect on the loyalty of the Wokies, who vote based on hatred for Us more than love for Them.

    Based on his more nuanced, less formulaic writing at times, I think Pat understands this but old habits die hard.

    The paleocons are going to go down with the U.S.S. Muh Constitution. They’ve done noble work pointing the way to something better but they’re not going to make the journey with us. We have to find a new America on our own.

  42. I think it’s the economy that will derail Trump, as it did Bush I. As others upthread have noted, it’s a house of cards, and it would just take a small nudge to crash it. I don’t know what that nudge might consist of, but I believe that there are people who do know, and people who are in a position to apply the nudge at a time of their choosing. I believe that at least some of these people(*) are Never-Trumpers; I leave it to you to connect the dots.

    * – Yes, I know many of you think it should read (((people))). Perhaps you’re right.

    • Replies: @follyofwar
  43. MEexpert says:
    @Just passing through

    “Shock and Awe,” i.e. bomb and run is also a guerrilla tactic but of cowards. Flying at supersonic speed and dropping bombs on the population is not bravery. Or sitting in an airconditioned room in a Nevada desert and flying unmanned drones and dropping bombs on hospitals and wedding parties may be described as combat in US Army manual, but it really is not.

    US military is nothing but a terrorist organization. They have learned well from the “most moral Army.” They too are great bombing people and places who cannot engage them in air, like Hamas or Hezbollah, but turn tails and run when they come face-to-face with the enemy, as proven by Hezbollah in 2006.

    There may be a surprise waiting for the US military in Iran. Three of the most heavily armed forces in the world, the US, Israeli, and Saudi Arabia, are trying to talk Iran to death. Iran is daring them but so far no takers. Israelis and the Saudis want the US to fight their wars. The US is wisely resisting to take the gamble.

    • Agree: Phil_from_NJ
  44. MEexpert says:
    @Talha

    The old cliche’, “Do as we say and not as we do” is at work here but with a little twist. The American public is expected to “believe what we say and not what we are doing.” The public is so stupid and lazy that they believe what Trump tells them and they stand there and cheer. President Trump A.K.A. Mr. Sanctions is choking Iranians to death, but he doesn’t want war with Iran and they believe him. He denounces terrorism on the one hand and then sends in the troops to steal Syrian Oil.

  45. KenH says:
    @Talha

    Maybe it’s not a full-blown war, but that’s where we are at.

    True but I was thinking more along the lines of full blown, shock and awe type war which I believe Trump will deliver if re-elected in 2020. As of now the “war” amounts to moving some troops around the ME, rhetorical swipes and threats, small scale special forces operations and the occasional cruise missile and air strike.

    The Trump administration is doing their damndest to weaken and marginalize Iran so that they may be forced to fire the proverbial first shot (more than just shooting down a drone) which can then be used to galvanize the American super patriots into supporting another war for Israel’s benefit. Or, (((they’ll))) just lie that Iran is months away from acquiring nuclear bombs and if we don’t stop them they’ll fire them at Europe and impose sharia law after the radioactive fallout dissipates.

    • Replies: @bluedog
    , @Talha
  46. bluedog says:
    @KenH

    That could be a great surprise for them for I’m sure a number of Russian weapons system would pop up from the mountains or sand dunes,somewhere I read that Iran was a red line that they shouldn’t cross, and I rather think they took that warning to heart for its been more I’ll huff and puff and blow your house down then any meaningful response.!!!

    • Agree: follyofwar
  47. Currently, Russia, China, and Iran are holding joint naval maneuvers in the Indian Ocean. Are they just doing this for show, or do they mean business?

    When Mr. Buchanan brings up the possibility of war with Iran, he fails to consider that the two other world superpowers may not just sit on their hands this time. Russia, for example, has prevented the toppling of the Assad regime, which was planned by Washington/Israel for years. Would they be willing to expend so much Russian blood and treasure to save Syria, all for it to go to naught if the US starts bombing Teheran?

    I often think that war with Iran would be the existential moment for both the Russians and Chinese. At some point the Big Bully must be stopped, or they will be next. Perhaps the possibility that these other two superpowers might join forces to engage the Americans could be the reason why no direct attack on Iran has thus far occurred. So, as in Vietnam, a proxy war with Iran is being fought in the already destroyed country of Iraq. And we all know how Vietnam turned out.

    • Agree: bluedog
  48. @anonymous[245]:

    Original Perkins TV show was Zoo Parade, and yes, Buchanan needs to pack it in.

  49. bob sykes says:

    There will not be a big war anywhere unless we, ourselves, start it. So, no war before the 2020 election, but after November anything might happen.

  50. @Rex Little

    I think along the same lines. Looking back to 2008, it is not surprising to me that the economy near the end of Bushes second term crashed so hard when it did. The oligarchs who control the economy clearly wanted Obama, the well-spoken first black president, and despised war-first bomb-Iran McCain.

    The same calculus could be at play today. Trump, perhaps in part due to his patently unfair impeachment, appears to be getting more and more irrational, and is becoming a clear threat to national security. A small group of democrat billionaires, who are able to manipulate the rigged stock market, could bring about a severe recession anytime they choose. And these Woke billionaires despise Trump. They want him GONE. They will wind up getting the democrat candidate they want (not Biden, Warren, or Sanders), bring about a recession, and, just as when famed boxing announcer Howard Cosell famously said “down goes Frazier,” down will go Trump.

    • Replies: @A123
  51. A123 says:
    @follyofwar

    Trump, perhaps in part due to his patently unfair impeachment, appears to be getting more and more irrational, and is becoming a clear threat to national security.

    Trump is refusing to place boots on the ground in Iran, Lybia, & Ukraine. Also, he is trying to end Barack Hussein’s deranged Globalist adventures in Syria & Afghanistan.

    As a matter of objective fact, Trump is strengthening U.S. national security.

    A small group of democrat billionaires, who are able to manipulate the rigged stock market, could bring about a severe recession anytime they choose. And these Woke billionaires despise Trump.

    How can they create a recession?

    The balance sheet of the U.S. Treasury can crush a tiny group of billionaires if that is required to protect U.S. Citizens. Trump already stopped a globalist attempt to cripple the U.S. economy. The far left pushed for unnaturally high interest rates and the Treasury made sure that rates remained flat.

    Remember, the U.S. economy has a great deal of inertia. Trump has eliminated a significant number of Barack Hussein’s economy killing regulations in addition to replacing NAFTA with USMCA.

    Trump’s job creation engine is winning votes. The DNC’s deranged impeachment effort and conspiracy theories are losing votes.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @bluedog
  52. Talha says:
    @KenH

    I believe Trump will deliver if re-elected in 2020.

    Yekh!!! This possibility certainly presents as good a reason as to get him out ASAP as it was to keep Hillary out in the last cycle.

    they’ll fire them at Europe and impose sharia law after the radioactive fallout dissipates.

    LOL! As if Britain and France couldn’t turn Iran into a parking lot with their arsenals combined. But you are right, this is the ridiculous type of hype that sells these wars.

    Like the ludicrous story about Saddam’s amazing intercontinental drones that were just waiting to bomb Coney Island:
    “I, along with nearly every Senator in this Chamber, in that secure room of this Capitol complex, was not only told there were weapons of mass destruction–specifically chemical and biological–but I was looked at straight in the face and told that Saddam Hussein had the means of delivering those biological and chemical weapons of mass destruction by unmanned drones, called UAVs, unmanned aerial vehicles. Further, I was looked at straight in the face and told that UAVs could be launched from ships off the Atlantic coast to attack eastern seaboard cities of the United States. Is it any wonder that I concluded there was an imminent peril to the United States?”
    https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/archive/2012/10/the-bizarre-story-of-how-drones-helped-get-us-into-the-iraq-war/263666/

    So…not like we haven’t tread this path before. Although, I gotta admit, this president might just be the first one to get us into a full-fledged war over Twitter completely using emojis.

    Peace.

  53. Miro23 says:

    Looking to 2020, this writer predicted that Donald Trump’s great domestic challenge would be to keep the economy firing on all cylinders. His great foreign policy challenge? Avoiding war.

    They’re closely linked. A war with Iran (a country of 80 million people) would 1) raise the oil price 2) reduce market confidence 3) alienate Europe 4) raise tensions with China and Russia.

    So it’s very unlikely he’ll start it, but having said that, there were all sorts of good commercial reasons for avoiding WW1 but it still happened.

  54. @Pissedoffalese

    I believe some Syrian cities have now resumed celebrating Christmas, as the civil war approaches a conclusion. Unfortunately, many of the Christians have left. US and Israel may have other ideas about a peaceful solution.

  55. bluedog says:
    @A123

    A number of things wrong with your observations,the U.S. economy has no where to go its limping along on four cylinder’s rather then eight,one little mis-calcultion could bring the house down, as the REPO market did in 2008/2009 the balance sheet of the government is like a bucket shot with buckshot,so many holes it can’t hold water.Trump may not be placing boots on the ground in Iran and the Ukraine (why would he),Syria is a toss up for he’s still there and he’s added a few thousand troops in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, he’s was whining and crying over all those poor souls in Libya, that was after he found out Russia was in there, so as they say everything is on the table including troops to Libya.

    If they would of had half a brain they would have left interest rates where they were, and then raised them a little higher to bring about the market correction, it will happen sooner or later making later that much worse but the only thing in the world that matters to Trump are his holdings and the stock market to hell with the rest including the people ,we saw that with his huge cut in taxes for the 1% the people got crumbs and no lol those were not un-natural high interest rates, in fact they were low interest rates for they wanted to get into the minus interest rates where the EU is to try and keep the scam going.!!

    • Replies: @A123
  56. A123 says:
    @bluedog

    The U.S. economy has no where to go its limping along on four cylinder’s rather then eight,one little mis-calcultion could bring the house down, as the REPO market did in 2008/2009 the balance sheet of the government is like a bucket shot with buckshot,so many holes it can’t hold water.

    There is still huge upside available for economic growth. Real unemployment is still over 20% (1), so there is plenty of U.S. labor available to be hired.
    .

    .

    Trying to escape USD means buying something else, and all of the other options are worse. Both China’s and the EU’s banking systems could implode at any second. Your select group of billionaires may wish to run, but they have nowhere to go in the next 12 months to influence the election.

    You are correct that there is a balance sheet issue, however that is a long term problem. To use your anology. In three years the U.S. has swapped out Barack Hussein’s ultra green, econobox 2-cylinder engine, with a much more powerful Trump Turbo-4. It is already a huge improvement. By the end of Trump’s second term the U.S. could have a proper V-6 or V-8. Once the U.S. economic engine is purring along, then some of these long term balance sheet problems can be fixed without returning to the austerity trap of Obama-nomics.

    PEACE 😇

    (1) http://www.shadowstats.com/alternate_data/unemployment-charts

  57. bluedog says:

    Read shadowstats and you conclusion is different then theirs as they dump billions into the REPO system so it won’t freeze up,the Feds buy the paper no one wants and you seem to think that this economy can’t implode,with $23 trillion in debt to China’s trillions in surplus, plus an economy running at 6.5GDP while we add in everything including the kitchen sink to squeeze out a 1.5 GDP and even that’s suspect.You have eyes but cannot see for your blind to reality.!!

  58. Talha says:

    Trump may have just crossed the Rubicon.

    “Trump Orders Strike Killing Top Iranian General Qassim Suleimani in Baghdad”
    https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/02/world/middleeast/qassem-soleimani-iraq-iran-attack.html

    Peace.

  59. Just curious. Did you speak to Senator L Graham in the last few days?

  60. Tom Steyer and Mike Bloomberg are white male billionaires who are dumping scores of millions into TV ads to buy the nomination of a party that professes to stand on principle against white male privilege…”

    White males? C’mon Pat, who ya trying to kid? Jews are NOT “white” same as people of European ancestry are no matter how pale their skin is. Their ancestry is Semitic and Middle Eastern!

    “Tom Steyer was born in 1957 in Manhattan. … his father, Roy Henry Steyer, was a partner in the New York law firm of Sullivan & Cromwell … His father was of Jewish descent, although non-practicing, and his mother was Episcopalian.”–Wikipedia

    NO need for Bloomberg’s Wikipedia background, he’s Jewish through and through.

    “Let us all recognize that we Jews are a distinct nationality, of which every Jew, what ever his country, his station or shade of belief, is necessarily a member.”

    –Louis D. Brandeis, former Supreme Court justice

    “The concept of racial purity within the Jewish nation is not a myth. The only facts to determine Jewishness should be purely an hereditary one regardless of Jewish observance. A Jew is some-one from Jewish stock. No one can make a gentile Jewish. We must retain our own exclusivity in order to survive and not be infiltrated by outsiders.”

    –Jeffrey Kwintner

    “We are not Whites — either symbolically or literally — as anyone knows who goes to Israel.”

    –Professor Leonard Fein at speech at 27th biennial congress of the Jewish Board of Deputies in Johannesburg, SA May 15, 1972.

    “The white race is the cancer of humanity.”

    –Susan Sontag (for sure this Jewess was not talking about herself or her tribe).

    • Replies: @RadicalCenter
    , @Rex Little
  61. @anaccount

    ” I’m of the opinion that things need to become worse before they get better. “

    and

    “A Trump loss to (((Bernie))) following an economic collapse and increasing anti-white policies are just what the doctor ordered.”

    Are you kidding me? The white masses will NEVER awaken and rise up en masse no matter how bad things get just as long as they have beer, sports, and every sort of self-indulgence–and the elites know that.

    The worse is better strategy I’ve been hearing people advocate for the past 20-plus will only result in things getting much worse.

    Our only option is to vote for the lesser of two evils and that means voting for Trump. Besides, there is NO guarantee a neo-communist, er, I mean, Democrat administration will not go to war against Iran if, God forbid, Trump loses in 2020.

  62. @follyofwar

    As Trump recently said: “We need to love Israel MORE!”

    Enough to make one vomit.

    Israel did 9-11 and attacked the U.S.S. Liberty. Let’s “love” them “more” for it.

  63. War won’t derail jack squat.

    The Great Replacement will.

  64. @Phil_from_NJ

    North Jersey native here, Phil. Who knows, you might have seen my family and me at Hiram’s in Fort Lee before many a Devils or Giants game back in the day. Nothing like a couple dogs and a Yoo-Hoo (Yogi Berra’s drink 🙂 before rooting for “Marty” and the Devs or Big Blue.

    Anyway, the great majority of Jews in the USA and Europe are ashkenazim. Genetically, ashkenazi Jews are usually around half White european or more, Italian more than anything else by far. See Jon Entine column at the genetic literacy project website.

    It is only Sephardic Jews who are the completely Semitic “middle eastern” people genetically, and they are a small portion of the Jews outside Israel.

    But your point about their ultimate identity and loyalty still stands. Stands strong, in my direct and unfortunate personal experience with those folks — despite my close friendship with a couple actual loyal-American Jews as a kid and today.

  65. tosca says:

    Dear Mr. Buchanan,
    I think that it is Niels Bohr who said that, and not Yogi Berra.
    Best regards. AT.

  66. @Phil_from_NJ

    Jews are NOT “white” same as people of European ancestry are no matter how pale their skin is.

    The typical white normie (who doesn’t frequent Unz or other Jew-obsessed sources) considers Jews to be white. “White”, as most people define it, includes several distinct ethnic groups: Scandinavians, Irish, South Europeans, Slavs, etc. To most people (including most Jews, cherry-picked quotes from Sontag et. al. notwithstanding), Jews are just one more of these.

    And while Bloomberg is an obviously Jewish name, Steyer isn’t. Hardly anyone who doesn’t look him up in Wiki is going to know he’s half Jewish.

  67. JamesinNM says:

    Absolutely. I voted for Trump in 2016, but will not vote for him in 2020. Since the Republicans, Democrats, and deep state hate Bernie Sanders, I will vote for him to try to destroy the deep state regardless of the impact of his socialist agenda.

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