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Is Trump Exiting Afghanistan -- to Attack Iran?
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With the Pentagon’s announcement that U.S. forces in Afghanistan will be cut in half — to 2,500 — by inauguration day, after 19 years, it appears the end to America’s longest war may be in sight.

The Pentagon also announced a reduction of U.S. troop levels in Iraq to 2,500 by mid-January. In 2003, we invaded and occupied Iraq to remove a perceived threat from Saddam Hussein and to disarm that nation of weapons of mass destruction we discovered it did not have.

No WMD were ever found, and the war George W. Bush launched to find and destroy them has been called the greatest strategic blunder in U.S. history.

These two wars, Iraq and Afghanistan, cost us some 7,000 dead, 50,000 wounded and trillions of dollars. And as they preoccupied us for two decades, China rose to become a strategic, military and economic superpower to rival the United States.

Iraq and Afghanistan were the longest wars in U.S. history, and the most costly of the Mideast wars we have fought there, but there were others.

In 2011, we attacked Col. Moammar Gadhafi’s army in the early days of Libya’s civil war. We intervened on the side of the rebels in Syria’s civil war. We assisted Saudi airstrikes in Yemen after Houthi rebels arose up in 2015 to dump over a Saudi-backed regime.

Over two decades, Arabs and Muslims have died in the hundreds of thousands from these wars. But what have any of these wars availed the USA?

Libya is split between a Turkish-backed government in Tripoli and Russian- and Egyptian-backed rebels under Gen. Khalifa Hifter in Benghazi and the east of the country.

The Syrian regime of Bashar Assad has largely won its civil war, thanks to timely and decisive intervention by Russia, Iran and Hezbollah, which came to the regime’s rescue when it was on its last legs.

Today, Iran-backed militias in Iraq with ties to Tehran have far greater influence in Baghdad than Iran did before the Americans arrived in 2003.

And the Americans are now going home.

In Afghanistan and Iraq, Trump is terminating the U.S. presence. It is impossible to believe a President Joe Biden would emulate President Barack Obama and surge 100,000 U.S. troops into Afghanistan in some new crisis to stave off a Taliban victory.

Thus, what we are looking at is not only the end of America’s war in Afghanistan but the possible, if not probable, eventual victory of the Taliban.

If the Afghan army and security forces could not put away the Taliban with 100,000 Americans fighting at their side in 2011, they are unlikely to do so when all of the Americans are gone.

The outcome of this war could well be a reenactment in Kabul of what happened in Saigon in 1975, two years after the Americans ended their role in the Vietnam War.

Yet, as Trump is halving U.S. forces in Afghanistan, The New York Times is reporting an Oval Office meeting with his national security inner circle to discuss a strike on Iran’s nuclear enrichment facility at Natanz.

According to the Times, Trump had to be persuaded not to order the attack by Vice President Mike Pence, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo, Acting Defense Secretary Chris Miller, and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs Gen. Mark Milley.

Why Trump would order an attack on Natanz seems on its face inexplicable. The facility is under regular U.N. inspection and has never enriched uranium to the 90% level needed for a bomb.

Even today it is enriching uranium only to 4.5%.

U.N. inspectors have regular access to the facility. While the small stockpile of low-enriched uranium Iran has produced is in violation of the nuclear deal, Trump walked away from that deal in 2018.

And Tehran could return to compliance easily by halting production and shipping its small stockpile out of the country.

ORDER IT NOW

As America exits from the seemingly endless wars in Afghanistan and Iraq, what strategic U.S. interest is imperiled by Iran’s enrichment of low-grade uranium to justify a new war with a nation larger, more populous and more powerful than any of those with which we have been involved in the last 20 years?

As Trump is mulling over an attack on Iran, the Israelis are carrying out strikes in Syria on Iranian-backed militias and boasting about it.

Thus, if the election of 2020 turns out the way most now expect, with Biden taking the oath on Jan. 20, the new president could be faced in his first days with a crisis with Iran and the prospect of a collapse of the Afghan regime in Kabul in his first year in office.

Patrick J. Buchanan is the author of “Nixon’s White House Wars: The Battles That Made and Broke a President and Divided America Forever.”

Copyright 2020 Creators.com.

 
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  1. I don’t find the Jew York Times a credible source anymore, certainly not on ME subjects. Why indeed would Trump attack Iran after the election, when it couldn’t possibly do him any good? Out of loyalty to Bibi, who just stabbed Trump in the back by recognizing Biden? Trump had ample opportunity to attack when Bolton was running the show, and he balked over and over again, ultimately firing Bolton (which has been Trump’s best staffing decision to date!). Seems pretty far-fetched to me.

    No, I think–and I hope–that Trump’s final battle will be not in the ME, but rather right here at home in the good old US of A.

    • Replies: @Brooklyn Dave
  2. Trump is steps ahead even in his final days. The point of the US staying in Afghanistan for so long was that it gave the US a place from which to run operations into Iran. Afghanistan and Iran have a very long border. One would expect US special forces have run ops from Afghanistan into Iran for years. If the US is actually out of Afghanistan, the bases from which those ops have been run are lost.

    Thus, Trump’s genius, he can at once ask if he can attack Iran while at the same time eliminating a future ability to attack Iran with minimal interference from the host nation. The other nations bordering Iran are Turkey, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Pakistan.

    Does any one really think its an “accident” that just now there is war in Nagorno-Karabakh?

  3. @Harry Huntington

    Good point.
    After 20 years we can rest assured there is nothing left worth bombing and about equally as much worth propping up.
    And I dare opine no one takes the rabid lezzies dispensing wimminz´rites seriously
    (though it may be argued it is better they spread´em over there 😛 ).
    So, which strategic objectives are left?
    – Deny China a land corridor to Iran. The altogether coincidental clashes on the Indian northern border aim at that line of communication.
    – Deny China access to the largest iron ore deposit in Asia (Koh-e-Baba).

    As for Iran, I doubt the US will risk SOF (except maritime); Mujahideen-e-Khalq from Iraq and Baluch from Pakistan and Afghanistan are enough to keep the kettle boiling. And the US ain´t going anywhere (by Christmas or otherwise).

  4. @Harry Huntington

    Good point.
    After 20 years we can rest assured there is nothing left worth bombing and about equally as much worth propping up.
    And I dare opine no one takes the rabid lezzies dispensing wimminz´rites seriously
    (though it may be argued it is better they spread´em over there 😛 ).
    So, which strategic objectives are left?
    – Deny China a land corridor to Iran. The altogether coincidental clashes on the Indian northern border aim at that line of communication.
    – Deny China access to the largest iron ore deposit in Asia (Koh-e-Baba).

    As for Iran, I doubt the US will risk SOF (except maritime); Mujahideen-e-Khalq from Iraq and Baluch from Pakistan and Afghanistan are enough to keep the kettle boiling. And the US ain´t going anywhere (by Christmas or otherwise).

  5. This column suggests that the future will and should be one of less war waged from Washington. But even at his (relative) best, Mr. Buchanan faithfully serves up pronoun propaganda and whitewash of the evil destruction of other people and countries as purely motivated mistakes.

    In 2003, we invaded and occupied Iraq to remove a perceived threat from Saddam Hussein and to disarm that nation of weapons of mass destruction we discovered it did not have.

    No WMD were ever found, and the war George W. Bush launched to find and destroy them has been called the greatest strategic blunder in U.S. history.

    No, our Red + Blue rulers wanted to destroy Iraq, and concocted a scary story. The liar who closed the sale waving a vial of talcum powder at the UN for President Cheney should have withdrawn from public life in shame. Instead, he was welcomed at the Democratic convention this year. The current Puppet-In-Chief, elected by gullible voters to shut down Big War, is trying to stir up the next one with gangster hits (Soleimani), piracy (Iranian oil tankers bound for Venezuela), more attempted “color revolutions” (Hong Kong, Syria, Venezuela), and, if this report is accurate, warmed over WMD lies about Iran.

    Mr. Buchanan should be calling out Washington’s war crimes. But he’s spending his last years pathetically trying to cover Uncle Sam’s bloated, filthy ass. Why?

    • Replies: @Barr
  6. gay troll says:

    So Pat thinks our wars in Iraq/Afghanistan were a strategic blunder that distracted America for 20 years while China rose to prominence? Really illuminating Pat, for some reason I was laboring under the impression that U.S. manufacturing and industrial power has been systematically transferred to China since the 1970s, by the same politicians who intentionally wielded false pretenses to lead the public into the global “war on terror”. Pat manages to mention Israelis glancingly, as if they were a bit actor in this saga and not the infernal charioteer. Yes Pat, America gets nothing out of all this violent intervention, but do you really think nobody benefits? Or are you just another Zionist shill performing for your claque of Evangelical harbor seals?

  7. pecosbill says:

    This insane attack on Iran story has made its rounds probably put in motion to give an additional shove to Trump who is resisting and fighting back against the rigged election. The deep state, so called, wants rid of him because in a second term these operatives are at legal risk or at minimum out of a job.

    The story makes no sense. Should Trump defeat the fraud and remain in office he has four years to attack Iran. As it looks the steal will succeed thus in the remaining two months he can leave the problem for the Hindu in Chief after Biden is carted off to the old folks home.

    Trump in four years hasn’t started a major war, why would he wish to start one now? Initially Trump was a believer in US Military excellence. After a flirtation with a few missiles into Syria he learned the senior officers, (generals) were full of BS. Accordingly Trump seemed to realize early that the US Military could not win even a minor war and it was best to avoid such. A major defeat is in the offing should Americans become embroiled in another major war, likely the surrender of a large US ground force and/or sinking of a huge aircraft carrier, (AKA floating target, floating whore-house).

    The current crop of general officers, all of whom think they are the next Patton, are arrogant dumbasses on the main who refuse to take orders from their civilian leadership. Trump should have fired or had court-martialed the whole bunch. Besides, if a serious war is thrown, a major constituency of such war, white males, will refuse to join the party.

    To say the Iraq war was the greatest strategic blunder in US History is to ignore FDR’s unnecessary war in Europe and, previously, Wilson’s war in Europe. The US could have and should have remained out of both. Compared to these two blunders, Iraq was a side show.

    Too bad Pat seriously considered this deep state bit of trash story.

    • Agree: Joe Levantine
  8. pyrrhus says:

    The giant boondoggle that is wars in Afghanistan and all over the world is over…unless Creepy Joe frauds his way into the WH….Besides, Trump will need those soldiers at home when he invokes the Insurrection Act…

  9. A123 says:

    The single anonymous source #NeverTrump hit piece alleging an “averted” strike against Iran was from the NY Times. As the source has 0% credibility, the story is almost surely bogus.

    A broken clock is right twice a day, which is better odds than a New York Dhimmi Times of Islam story being accurate.

    PEACE 😇

    • Agree: nokangaroos
    • Replies: @Alfa158
    , @anonymous
  10. Cking says:

    One of the objectives in the occupation of Afghanistan was certainly to threatened Iran in a US military encirclement. We still have bases encircling Iran. Leaving Afghanistan may relieve some tension in the ME and SEA. In his own way, President Trump is leaving this part of the world to confront China, as the Obama Administration proposed through the Joint Comprehensive Plan for Action, the JCPOA.

  11. Ugetit says:

    To say the Iraq war was the greatest strategic blunder in US History is to ignore FDR’s unnecessary war in Europe and, previously, Wilson’s war in Europe. The US could have and should have remained out of both. Compared to these two blunders, Iraq was a side show.

    True, and at the root, all of the wars of and since the past century have benefitted the one-world banking mafia at the expense of the middle and lower classes and it’s high time people begin to understand the concept, and a relief to see that some are on to it.

    Thanks.

    • Agree: Mulegino1, anonymous1963
    • Replies: @anonymous1963
  12. Wyatt says:

    The New York Times is reporting an Oval Office meeting

    According to the Times

  13. GeeBee says:
    @Harry Huntington

    The other nations bordering Iran are Turkey, Armenia, Azerbaijan, Turkmenistan and Pakistan.

    You omitted a most important addition to your list: Iraq.

  14. TG says:

    And as an added bonus, as we leave Afghanistan, we will be ‘morally obliged’ to accept hundreds of thousands if not millions of Afghan refugees – and eventually, their extended families and clans – because of course they aided us and now we are abandoning them – even though most of them likely were secretly working for the other side, but hey, that’s hard to check so why bother? And the people who got us into Afghanistan, and now are pulling out, they aren’t going to lose jobs to these people, and their kids aren’t going to school with them. Instead, the rich are going to profit from all that new lovely cheap labor, which will of course drive wages down and profits up.

    There are few things more disgusting than a rich person taking the moral high ground in defense of a policy that will make the rich richer at the expense of making everyone else poorer…

  15. @Digital Samizdat

    No, it is not the personality of Bibi Netanyahu or any Israeli PM’s action. Trump is beholden to the Zionist vision, to rich Zionists like Adelson and plus whatever mojo his skinny son in law has over him.

  16. @gay troll

    A trollingly gay comment. I couldn’t have said it so eloquently as you did.

  17. Besides, if a serious war is thrown, a major constituency of such war, white males, will refuse to join the party.

    I really don’t think this constituency is really thinking what war is just or unjust – neither are any other other constituencies that joins the military.

  18. Pat,

    As a personal favour I will give you some historical slogans and/or catchphrases for future columns,

    1) Avenge the Maine/Alamo

    2) Make the world safe for democracy

    3) Domino effect

    4) They hate us for our freedoms (spoken by a chimpanzee)

    5) You are either with us or ‘agin’ us (same chimp)

    6) freedom fries

    I could go on but I was put off by your reference to the Iraq war as a “strategic failure” . With all due respect if your brain is so calcified in the “politics’ chasm like your ex-boss Nixons’s was and you cannot see the bigger picture that has been evident all through history ( follow the money) then I could only suggest that the long awaited pasture awaits you.

    I grew up in a strictly right wing community as it existed the with my father and his cohorts being very intelligent and successful men. We were a Baltic community in exile as it were after WW2. I liked and respected these people but came to realize that in their thinking there is only black and white

    The community was so small but it still fractured into “right’ or ‘left’. It was only many years that I came to realize that politics has a claim on the mind much like the bizarre stories you hear about people ruining their lives over a piece of ass that is , well less than comely.

    Politics merges the intellectual and the emotional. That is why you see so many of your friends become retards when voting season beacons. It is rutting time. They become functionally insane.

    Now if the anti – Trump media campaign has been going on for 4 years 24/ 7 and he gets some 10M votes more than last time, to me that is quite a feat. A competent lawyer should be able to make a stand. But Trump has the Ghoul as his wing-man. Remember this was 9/11 Guiliani.

    Pat, your boss asked Billy Graham in a private conversation in 1969 ( transcripts) did he think that the Jews had an inordinate influence in the media. Billy said yes. If your boss was so stupid having been a vice president for 8 years and a Wall street lawyer in New-York and still been unaware of this then what in the fucking world are we dealing with?

    Still and all, truth is the daughter of time.

    Cheers-

  19. anonymous[629] • Disclaimer says:

    Here’s your problem right here, Pat. You read that shit plenum The New York Times. When you slip up and look at Mockingbird media like that, whenever you hear WAR IRAN WAR IRAN, the first thing you do check if CIA’s fly is open again.

    Back when CIA’s SARS-COV-2 biological weapon was reaching its epidemiological inflection point; DIA and the PRC had sounded the alarm; Francis Boyle at the Center for the Study of the Obvious had pointed to Baric’s BWC-illegal development work; Meryl Nass was having fun pantsing the CIA mad scientists involved. What happened? Soleimani got whacked and all you heard was WAR IRAN WAR IRAN.

    Now, when Sidney’s pointing at the CIA fingerprints on CIA cutout Dominion Systems, with Flynn waiting to explain it all to you in court, What do we hear?

    Iran-Iran-Iran. Right.

    Sidney found a way to puke up evidence of CIA crime in court. That’s normally classified for secure impunity.

    CIA ratfucked Chavez with their electoral malware. CIA put that proprietary through a couple of sheepdippings and turned it on Trump. Just like they used it on Kerry. Just like they do whenever you try to elect the wrong guy.

    https://www.madcowprod.com/2020/11/15/short-history-election-fraud/

    This is not about frozen commie Chavez embryos. This is not about Democrats. This is about CIA. Respondeat superior, bitchez.

    Now then. Your newspaper is bullshit. Your democracy is bullshit. Even your illegal threat of force is bullshit.

    Your country is bullshit. Any questions?

  20. Piglet says:

    Invade here, occupy there, threaten this or that country… all while ignoring that our country is not only broke, it is hopelessly in debt from which it can never recover, and its finances will only worsen. America’s targets don’t need to defeat it; rather, they only need to wait for this country to self-destruct in bankruptcy, riots, looting, and burning.

    This summer we watched over 1000 riots across the country. Even the buildings and structures immediately outside the White House itself weren’t safe, much less stores and businesses throughout the capital city. Watching from afar as the police, guardsmen and politicians knelt before the violent mobs and cities burned, you can imagine what America’s targets were thinking about the big, bad USA that couldn’t even protect itself, nor was it even willing to do so, as it had lost its will entirely.

    • Replies: @Joe Levantine
  21. Jews are Evil.

    It’s that simple.

  22. Barr says:
    @Greta Handel

    The Rise of Strategic Corruption
    How States Weaponize Graft
    By Philip Zelikow, Eric Edelman, Kristofer Harrison, and Celeste Ward Gventer in FOREIGN AFFAIRS

    Bush has been welcomed back into the imagined heavenly space by the citizen . Neocons with blood on hands and human tissue under the finger nails are filing into the MSNBC studio to lecture America on democracy and same old American foreign duties . Philip Zelikow is talking about corruption . Edelman is pouring his 2 cents worth of wisdom with splash surrounded with halo of divine certainty . The certainty that did not make him believe his own lies about WMD in Iraq though it did persuade other who did not vote him to occupy the decision making position .

    These developments could have been foreshadowed but we forgot those days when the prostitutes used to demand the dog be virgin before allowing the animal into the kennel.

  23. @gay troll

    Guy,
    what planet are you on?
    Pat Buchanan has been the most consistent and articulate opponent in the MSM of our Israel-centric foreign policy for thirty years, for which he has paid a price. His framing issues and his opinions as questions is his standard rhetorical device. Maybe you were just being sarcastic, for which I am sorry to not see the irony.

    • Replies: @gay troll
  24. anon[327] • Disclaimer says:

    Maybe Russia, Iran, Hezbullah will intervene
    to rescue America from the Deep ShitState,
    NeoCons, and billionaire parasites. All
    the above are parasites.

    The NYLies is lie central along with ChitNotNews.

    Trump not even thinking of bombing Iran.

    Trump is thinking how to stuff 5 million
    deep state traitors into one Guantanamo cell.

    One bowl of bat soup for all.

    have to go anon to get a 2nd comment within 24 hours.

    5 dancing shlomos

  25. USA mired in Afghanistan Iraq and no clear supposed victory BUT at least 6 Trillion spent on these adventures and the lobbyists in DC and munition makers have made out like bandits. Funny—why were there NO terrorist groups before the 21 Century but then they sprang up like mushrooms with names like O*ama -HEAD terrorist and O*ama who is the President? Put together those missing letters * and we find these groups were set up and sponsored by CIA to keep things working properly in DC.

  26. Talha says:

    Why Trump would order an attack on Natanz seems on its face inexplicable.

    Followed by…

    As Trump is mulling over an attack on Iran, the Israelis are carrying out strikes in Syria on Iranian-backed militias and boasting about it.

    Try harder, Pat.

    Peace.

  27. @Ugetit

    Excellent post. I would add the Spanish-American war was also totally unnecessary too.

  28. gay troll says:
    @ringo starr search

    Thanks, I was not familiar with Pat’s history as an “anti Semite”. It would seem that Pat’s continued career is contingent on no longer naming the neoconservative. You say he is using rhetoric to indicate or lead the reader to his meaning; I believe that’s called a dog whistle. If Pat can’t address the fact that all our useless war in the Middle East has been at the behest and to the material benefit of Israel, and if he won’t acknowledge that China’s rise to power was deliberately fostered by his own political mentors, then Pat is a simply a sell out. It was a Republican administration that opened the door to China, and a Republican one that inaugurated the Global War of Terror. What party does Pat identify with again?

    • Replies: @Ringo STAR
  29. @Piglet

    “ America’s targets don’t need to defeat it; rather, they only need to wait for this country to self-destruct in bankruptcy, riots, looting, and burning.”

    Well thought and said. It was Napoleon who said “ never disturb your enemy when he is making a blunder”.

    Every empire is born, grows, matures, declines and dies. The decline of the American empire could have been delayed by many decades had there been an American government that caters to the interest of the American people instead of that of the ‘ city’ of London. The mortal wound to the American empire started with JFK’s assassination. From there on it took a series of wars from Vietnam to Iraq to Afghanistan to hasten the downfall with MIC and the welfare state sucking the bone marrow of the American tax payer. A sad end for a once inspiring country.

  30. @gay troll

    What party does Pat identify with?

    Not with the establishment republican party (Bushes, Romney, etc…)
    but with the paleo conservative wing (non interventionists, anti-globalist, America First) of which at least Trump idealogically (to whatever extent Trump has an ideology) is somewhat sympathetic too (I have the impression).

    • Replies: @USA1943
  31. USA1943 says:
    @Ringo STAR

    John Kasich is very similar to Pat Buchanan.

    • Replies: @Derer
  32. Alfa158 says:
    @A123

    I also have no idea why Buchanan, with all his experience in the public sphere, would still have even the faintest credulity towards yet another in the endless string of fabricated “anonymous source” stories from the New York Slimes.

  33. wootendw says:

    “Yet, as Trump is halving U.S. forces in Afghanistan, The New York Times is reporting an Oval Office meeting with his national security inner circle to discuss a strike on Iran’s nuclear enrichment facility at Natanz….

    “….Why Trump would order an attack on Natanz seems on its face inexplicable.”

    Yes, it is inexplicable which is why Trump won’t do it. Trump has done enough for Bibi and got nothing in return but demands for more.

  34. wootendw says:

    “The outcome of this war could well be a reenactment in Kabul of what happened in Saigon in 1975, two years after the Americans ended their role in the Vietnam War.”

    We brought over 100,000 Vietnamese here and we shall have to do the same for Afghans who cast their lot with US. Put them in NYC to replace those who have left.

    • Agree: nokangaroos
  35. Tdstype2 says:

    Lol. Go ahead, make my day, Trump.

  36. anonymous[343] • Disclaimer says:
    @A123

    New York Dhimmi Times of Islam

    Lol! You must be the most pathetically insecure pagan faeces-for-brains on theUR. Can’t you see that your accursed mangods-worshipping godless kind have already lost to the true monotheism of Islam? So, submit before the One God of all existence, or go to Hell (I prefer the latter for you 😀 ).

    See how even your young are waking up…

  37. Ragno says:

    Why? To do one last parting favor for his good and loyal friend?

    I guess this is what they mean by declaring Israel our one true ally in the region. Until your usefulness is at an end, and it becomes the next asshole’s turn to grovel.

  38. There was a time I liked Pat Buchanan but those days are over. His game is to call illegal wars as “blunders” and not war crimes and mass murder. He never names names unless using them won’t get removed him from television. To him it’s all about conservatives vs the Left and granted his game has kept him on national television for decades. He always knows where the line is. But he doesn’t help the people understand what’s really going on.

    • Agree: Greta Handel
  39. 36 ulster says:

    Another rhetorical question from Lazy Pat. Answer: No.

  40. Altai says:

    Why Trump would order an attack on Natanz seems on its face inexplicable. The facility is under regular U.N. inspection and has never enriched uranium to the 90% level needed for a bomb.

  41. Derer says:

    US attack on Iran is a gift to Israel. Israel’s and American Jews did nothing positive for Trump, in fact they are the main cause of his exit. Remember the anti-Trump Jewish group theatrics at the impeachment proceeding…Schiff, Nadler, Windman, and of course 3 lying legal Jewish “experts” and others. Their heavy participation defy the theory of random selection. No, Trump would be stupid to sacrifice more American Christians for Israel…enough is enough.

  42. Derer says:
    @USA1943

    No, Buchanan is conservative and Kasich is a moron who keeps running despite getting only 3% support, even in his own state.

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