The Unz Review • An Alternative Media Selection$
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media
 BlogviewMichael Hudson Archive
NATO-Russia Proxy War: Revealing Signs of a Fading America
Conversations with Scott Ritter and Michael Hudson
Email This Page to Someone

 Remember My Information



=>

Bookmark Toggle AllToCAdd to LibraryRemove from Library • B
Show CommentNext New CommentNext New ReplyRead More
ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
AgreeDisagreeThanksLOLTroll
These buttons register your public Agreement, Disagreement, Thanks, LOL, or Troll with the selected comment. They are ONLY available to recent, frequent commenters who have saved their Name+Email using the 'Remember My Information' checkbox, and may also ONLY be used three times during any eight hour period.
Ignore Commenter Follow Commenter
Search Text Case Sensitive  Exact Words  Include Comments
List of Bookmarks

TRANSCRIPT

GR (Michael Welch): Great privilege to speak with you again Mr. Hudson. Welcome!
Michael Hudson: Thanks for having me on!

GR: Now, We’re seeing NATO unifying together behind the US call to sanction Russia, including removal from the SWIFT system. They’re being hit with sanctions to hurt, sanctions from hell as President Biden would say, and it doesn’t look as if it’s working. But the sanctions are boomeranging, and hitting the EU and the US pretty hard with soaring rates for food, fertilizer, oil and gas. They seem to provoke Russian aggression. He’s kind of compelled them to do that. We know it wasn’t the response, I mean it’s something they have been working on all along. But what really was the strategic goal of provoking Russia to go to sanctions war with Ukraine? Do they foresee Russia begging for mercy or is there more going on here?

MH: I think it’s just the opposite of what you said. The war isn’t against Russia. The war isn’t against Ukraine. The war is against Europe and Germany. The purpose of the sanctions is to prevent Europe and other allies from increasing their trade and investment with Russia and China, because the United States saw that the centre of world growth is not in America now that it’s deindustrializing. Following neoliberal policies since the 1980s has ended up hollowing out the US economy. And how on earth can the United States maintain prosperity if it’s lost the ability to do wealth creation?

The only way of maintaining prosperity if you can’t create it at home is to get it from abroad. And the attempt, beginning a year ago, by President Biden and by the US neocons, was to block Nord Stream 2, and failing that, to block all energy trade and other trade with Russia. So that the United States could monopolize it itself. One of the main tools for the last hundred years of US control of the world economy has been by the oil industry. Controlling world energy trade. Energy is the key to the GDP, the productivity of every country, and the thought of energy trade passing out of US control into that of other countries threatened the United States’ ability to turn off other countries.

So the provocation of war in Ukraine and the provocation of a US response has enabled the US to say, ‘look at how awful Russia is doing, it’s defending itself’. Defending itself against the United States is a declaration of war. Because it means that you are breaking away from the dollarized system, and so by the thought that other countries have the potential of becoming independent was viewed by the United States as a challenge to the United States’ ability to dictate their policies and to use dollar diplomacy to take control of their commanding heights.

The fear of the United States of course is that the environmental movement would be able to move to stop global warming by slowing the carbon fuels, oil and gas, and so by creating this crisis in Europe, the United States has greatly…it bases its foreign policy on accelerating global warming. Accelerating coal and oil as the fuels of the future. I think President Biden in Poland today is promising Polish coal to replace Russian oil. And American coal. That’s why President Biden has Senator Manchin from the coal industry lobby, as head of the environmental and energy agency.

So what you’re seeing is not the US backfiring and shooting itself in the foot by creating a world crisis. That’s the idea! Because it realizes that in the world crisis, energy prices are going to go way up, benefiting the US balance of payments. The oil companies that control the world oil trade, once they exclude Russia from it, agricultural crop prices will go way up, benefiting the United States as an agricultural exporter, especially if they prevent Ukrainian and Russian wheat exports. This is going to create a debt crisis for third world countries whose debts are coming due. And the United States can use this debt crisis to force them, or attempt to force them, if they go along with it, to continue privatizing and selling off their public domain to US buyers so they can sell off their patrimony in order to get the money to pay the debts to pay for the higher oil and food imports.

The US strategy is to create exactly the world crisis that you are presented as being accidental. You can be sure that these people read the newspapers enough to know that this is the obvious result of what they’re doing. Look at what they’re doing as deliberate. Don’t assume they’re dumb. They’re smart, they’re evil, but they’re not dumb.

GR: You know it’s quite a bit there, but I want to point out that in one of your articles you talked about basically three areas, economic areas, that seemed to be dominating things in the US right now. There’s the oil and gas sector, there’s the military-industrial complex, and then there’s the FIRE sector, finance, industry, and real estate. And I think all three of those areas are benefiting from the current situation. You can see this clearly. The levels, the rates of Raytheon and Lockheed Martin going up…

ORDER IT NOW

MH: Well, I’m not sure about the banks. Where did the banks’ interest end up in all this? Banks, since the 13th century, have made the bulk of their money on trade financing. Receivables, if you’re an importer of oil, you get a letter of credit so that the bank promises to pay when the delivery is made. Trade financing is a huge banking activity, and now, the US banks are locked out of this trade financing as long as it concerns Russia, China and probably the Belt and Road Initiative countries. So it’s hard to see how the banks are benefiting. Especially if the third world countries, the global south countries, say we are not going to sacrifice our economies and impose austerity just to pay for bondholders. The loans have gone bad, they’re odious loans, we’re repudiating. We’re not paying them.

That is not going to help banks and investors. So the banks seem to have taken a a beating in all of this. The war doesn’t seem to be economic as much as neoliberal, a visceral hatred of Russia, and a hatred of Germany also, among the neocons. And I think that’s, it’s not understood, but there’s this non-economic, almost a racist hatred at work here when it extends to China for instance.

If there’s a financial war, and, the world is splitting into two economic blocs, it’s very much like a military war. You really don’t know what’s going to happen in anarchy. It’s a grab-bag. The United States thinks that it has enough power by bribery, by force, by assassination, if need be, as some of the senators have called for, to get its way, but I’m not sure that that’s going to be met with simple passivity on the part of everybody who the United States declares to be an enemy.

GR: Well, Saudi Arabia recently announced it would be pricing oil in the yuan. That means that the dollar now has a competitor, I guess, when it comes to buying oil.

MH: Oil trade with China. Other countries are not going to do their trade in dollars because the United States can simply grab whatever dollar assets they have. If a country does something independent, as when Chile became, wanted to take control of the copper trade, under Allende, the United States can simply grab its money. When Venezuela thought to undertake land reform in the popular policy, the United States simply seized its money, and the Bank of England seized Venezuela’s gold. The United States simply seized Afghanistan’s foreign reserves before it seized Russia’s foreign reserves.

So all of a sudden, countries or afraid to keep, are afraid to use US banks, afraid to use any connection with the dollar, or to have anything available for the United States to grab, because that’s its policy now. That is what’s really driving other countries away. Even America’s allies must be frightened, because Germany is asking for its gold supply to be sent back to it from the New York Federal Reserve Bank in airplane loads.

GR: Yeah, so you are seeing sort of like a domino effect, I mean is the American dollar, it was already in some difficulty, but now, you can see that really accelerating as we continue, and in all of those other global south countries and other places that you mentioned, they’re going to ditch that and go with the other currency?

MH: The crisis is political. It’s not going with another currency. President Putin, in his speeches, said this war is not about Ukraine. This war is about restructuring the international order. And what that means is an alternative to the IMF. An alternative set of institutions to the World Bank. An alternative to the World Court. And an alternative to the US rules-based order, based on the United Nations rules for instance, but that can’t be done as long as the United States is a member of that group.

So it means that there’s going to be a new grouping of international organizations, of which the United States will not join because it won’t join any organization that it does not have veto power in. So you’re going to have two parallel paths. You’ll have a neoliberal financialized, debt-financed path in Europe and North America, and you’ll have an industrial capitalism evolving into a socialist path in China and the Belt and Road Initiative, the Shanghai Cooperation Organization Block.

GR: I think that resolving Ukraine is sort of like a short-term deal, but the longer term is going to be in fact shaking Europe away from NATO and the United States’ degree of influence.

MH: United States is thoroughly in control of European politicians. The only opposition to NATO and the US in Europe is the right wing. The nationalist wing. The left wing is fully behind the United States and has been ever since, really the National Endowment for Democracy and other US Agencies really took control of the left-wing parties throughout Europe. They’ve Tony Blairized the European left, the Social Democratic parties in Germany and the rest of Europe, the labour parties in England, these are not labour and not socialist, they’re basically pro-American neoliberal parties.

GR: I know that Russia is very rich in mineral deposits, its rich in oil and gas as well. Russia and Ukraine form part of the breadbasket of the world. And as they control the important minerals like lithium and palladium and so forth, so they’re dealing with Ukraine, part of that plan, as a result you’re going to see, as I mentioned, a lot of impacts worldwide including food, and we’re probably going to start to see even food shortages pretty soon.

MH That is the intention. You have to realize that this was anticipated. Without gas, already German fertilizer companies are going out of business because fertilizer is made out of gas, and if they can’t get their Russian gas, they can’t make the fertilizer, and if you don’t have the fertilizer, the crops are not going to be as prevalent and abundant as they were before. So all of this, you have to assume that, it’s so obvious, they knew this would happen, and they expect the United States to benefit from the cost squeeze that it’s imposing on food importers to the US benefit.

ORDER IT NOW

GR: I just want to get a sense of what the United States has to fight back with. I mean, they had the prestige of the dollar in their ability to make up things, but they also have control, through using, confiscating, for example, the gold and the deposits of the Russian government, the Russian Central Bank. Are these efforts going to be, is that the sort of thing that they have, I mean we could also talk later on about the actual military, but could you talk about those sorts of tools that the United States has to fight back against Russia?

MH: Well, the obvious tool is that’s used for the last 75 years has been bribery. European politicians especially are very easy to bribe. And most countries, just simply paying them money, and backing their political campaigns, meddling in other countries by huge financial support of pro-US politicians is the obvious way. Targeted assassination ever since World War II when the British and Americans moved into Greece and began shooting all of the anti-Nazis because they were largely socialists, and England and America wanted to restore the Greek monarchy. You have Operation Gladio in Italy, you have the targeted assassinations from Chile all the way through the rest of Latin America and its wake. So, if you can’t buy them, kill them.

Then there are various military forces. And the main tool that the US has tried to use is sanctions. If they can’t get their oil, or finance it in gas or food from Russia, then America can simply turn off their food supply. And turn off critical raw materials and interrupt their economic processes because there are so many different components that you need for almost any kind of economic activity…

The United States was looking for pressure points. And it is going to try to work on the pressure points, sabotage certainly, is another tool that’s being used, as you see in Ukraine. So the question is whether this attempt on pressure points is going to force other countries to, certainly it’s going to cause suffering. In the short term for these countries.

Over the longer-term, we’re going to have to become self-sufficient in the main pressure points. We’re going to have to produce our own food. Not import our wheat. We’re going to have to shift away from growing export plantation crops and have our own grain, maybe return to family size farming to do all this. We’re going to have to produce our own arms, we’re going to have to have our own fuel sources, and that would include solar energy and renewable energy to become independent of the American-dominated oil and gas and coal trade. So the longer-term, even medium-term effect of all of this is going to make other countries self-sufficient and independent.

There will be a lot of interruptions, even starvation, a lot of property transfers and disruption, but over the long term, the United States is destroying the idea of a single interconnected globalized order because it’s separated Europe and North America from the whole rest of the world.

GR: How is… When it comes to dealing with the oligarchs in Russia, and what they’re facing with these sanctions, do they want the sanctions to be ended so they can get involved with the United States, or are they taking to Putin and a “let’s do it on our own approach?”

MH: In the past, the oligarchs were very western oriented because when they transferred Russia’s oil and gas and nickel and real estate into their own hands, how did they cash out? There wasn’t any money in Russia because it was all destroyed after 1991, in the shock therapy. The only way they could cash out was by selling some of their stocks to the west. And that’s what Khodorkovsky wanted to do when he wanted to sell Yukos to, I think, the Standard Oil Group. And now that they realize that the United States can simply grab their yachts, grab their British real estate, grab their sports teams, grab the assets they hold in the west, they’re realizing their only safety is to hold it within Russia and its allied economies, not US-based economies where whatever they have in the west can be grabbed.

So yesterday, Chubais left Russia for good and went to the west, and you’re having the oligarchs choose. Either they remain in Russia and look at their wealth by creating Russian means of production or they leave Russia, they take their money and they run and hope that the west will let them keep some of what they stole.

GR: Among the countries that are not going to be supporting the sanctions against Russia or China, India, Kazakhstan, Tajikistan, Kurdistan, I mean all those countries in the Central Asian region. And that seems to be benefiting the Belt and Road Initiative, I think.

MH You’d think so. The big question mark is India. Because it’s so large. And India has already positioned itself to be the intermediary for a lot of trade financing with Russia. India is also prone to be pro-American. And Modi in the past politically has been very pro-American. But the fact is if you’re looking at India’s implicit national economic interests, its economic interests lies with the region it’s in. With Eurasia, not with the United States.

So the question is, I think within the Pentagon and the state department, their big worry is, how do we keep control of India in the US hands? That’s going to be the big crisis area for the next few years.

GR: Maybe I’ll, maybe get you to put on your glasses to sort of looking ahead into the future. Maybe a couple of years from now. Given the prevailing trends, how is this going to play out? Is this, is it going to have one side advanced more than the other or is it going to be a nuclear husk? What is your thinking?

MH: I don’t think it’ll be nuclear, although it could, given the crazy neocons with the Christian fundamentalists in Washington, people like Pompeo thinking that Jesus will come if you blow up the world. I mean, these people are literally crazy.

ORDER IT NOW

I worked with National Security people 50 years ago at the Hudson Institute, and I couldn’t believe that human brains were as twisted as they were, wanting to blow up much of the world for religious reasons. And for ethnic reasons, and for personal psychology reasons. And these are the people that have somehow risen to a policy-making position in the United States, and they’re threatening not only the rest of the world, but of course the US economy as well.

But I don’t think atomic war is likely. I think that the United States is going to try to convince other countries that neoliberalism is the way that they can get rich. And of course, it’s not.

Neoliberalism impoverishes. Neoliberalism is a class war against labour by finance, primarily, and a class war against industry. A class war against governments. It’s the financial class really against the whole rest of society seeking to use debt leverage to control companies, countries, families and individuals by debt. And the question is, are they really going to be able to convince people that the way to get rich is to go into debt? Or are other countries going to say, this is a blind alley. And it’s been a blind alley really since Rome that bequeathed all the pro creditor debt laws to western civilization that were utterly different from those of the near east, where civilization took off.

GR: And just maybe a final thought, I mean, I’m based in Canada, and it seems when I’m hearing about de-dollarization as the sinking of the US economy and how things are going to go for ordinary individuals, and I’m wondering if Canada can somehow escape that trajectory next to me or are we kind of manacles at the wrists, where the United States goes, we’re going there too?

MH: Canada is controlled by the banking sector. I wrote an article for the government’s think-tank, Canada and the New Monetary Order, in 1978, detailing how Canada was dependant. It’s very debt-financed, financially controlled, and its government is utterly corrupt. The neoliberal party, the liberal party there is fairly corrupt, and so are most of the other parties, and they look at the United States as protecting the corruption and economic gangsterism that enables them to control Canada.

GR: Well, Michael Hudson, I guess we’ve got to go now, but thanks for that very large and interesting discussion on our survival, how we survive this war, and what the consequences will be. Thank you very much for being my guest on Global Research.

MH: It’s good to be here.

(Republished from Global Research by permission of author or representative)
 
• Category: Economics • Tags: Dollar, NATO, Natural Gas, Oil, Russia, Ukraine 
Hide 12 CommentsLeave a Comment
Commenters to Ignore...to FollowEndorsed Only
Trim Comments?
    []
  1. Notsofast says:

    ….the war is against europe and germany….and you can add the u.s. public as well. this is the dropping of the new economic iron curtain. the only way the ponzi can be kept running is to isolate it’s victims from any other choice of economic system and a total informational clamp down on any alternative view points.

  2. Notsofast says:

    was kind of hoping michael hudson would talk about the gold backed ruble. apparently pcr has changed his depends and has a whole new outlook on the situation in ukraine, now putin is no longer stupid and the west is doomed.

    just joking pcr, we really do love you for your stand on covid, you just have to let supply side economics go…let it die with the rest of the ponzi scheme.

    • Replies: @Kali
  3. Jim H says:

    ‘the United States is destroying the idea of a single interconnected globalized order because it’s separated Europe and North America from the whole rest of the world.’ — Michael Hudson

    Neofeudalism — just like Feudalism 1.0 a thousand years ago — implies widespread human ignorance and impoverishment.

    Too bad some of the first English settlers of North America were Puritans. Their demented notion of forcible moral improvement by telling people what to do, extended worldwide, has been disastrous.

    Is the way to get rich to go into debt, Michael Hudson asks?

    With the US fedgov already $30 trillion in debt — nearly a third more than its annual GDP — this degenerate experiment already is underway.

    Anyone who’s read a bit of economic history will suppose that the US trajectory from here is not a story of unprecedented wealth for the generation to come, but rather a dark cautionary tale.

    National bankruptcy, comrades: first gradually, then suddenly.

    It didn’t have to be this way.

  4. Kali says:
    @Notsofast

    apparently pcr has changed his depends and has a whole new outlook on the situation in ukraine, now putin is no longer stupid and the west is doomed.

    Not so fast, Notsofast! He’s changed his mind back again and we’re all still dooooomed!

    https://www.unz.com/proberts/does-the-kremlin-know-what-it-is-doing/

    I’m convinced now, that it is his specific mission to keep us all frozen by fear and confussion. – Of course he ends his screed with “there’s gonna be a nuclear war [and we’re still all gonna die!]” (Or words to that effect.) At least he’s consistant though… except last night when he briefly went off message. 😉

    Kind regards,
    Kali.

    • Replies: @Notsofast
  5. The tragic, unfolding conflict in Ukraine is about global dominance – hegemony – the reasons empires go to war: the reason all empires fail.

    https://patternofhistory.wordpress.com/

  6. Notsofast says:
    @Kali

    what difference a day makes, i think he needs another change, lol.

  7. Venezuela had better shore up its military and security alliance with Russia-China-Iran.

    The US has already telegraphed its intent to take control of all vulnerable oil supplies, even in Syria.

    • Replies: @showmethereal
  8. Barr says:

    India has enormous potential. It is now 6 the largest economy and GDP is possibky 3 rd or 4 th.
    Problem is the corruption and the bariers to the equal distribution of opportunities are casteism ,regionalism ,and major instability ,uncertainties lack of law and order in all domains of life for the general population.
    Its elite is westenized . New contenders are the middle class Hindus but they may control poltics,but they dont control economy and higher education. Both have to merge . That merger cant happen without political intervention and dedication.
    US also has the names of the rich people who have perked their money in the west or Bahamas . These people beomce tools for the west to destabilzoe India.

    Merchants and traders have less loyalties to the country that they have to their clan or families.

    Look at China. China’s rise has been beneficial to majority. But not India’s . It ‘s hunger index is as low as that of sub Saharan countries .
    So India will do what it does best- stall, compormsie , play both sides but assure the elote that thier asset will grow and be saved .

    Eventually unless , a new leftism develops as alyernative to corrupt Congress, communist and to the BJP – still a party of traders and religious groups of nortehrn India , the country will stay econocmially with west and diplomatically with Russia . Russia is the only country India can rely as buffer agisnt China. But weakened Russia might have to defer to Chinese ambition of Belt and Road .China might force India through Russia to acquiesce to the BIR . India has avoided to join and has participated with US to undermine BIR in Pakistan .
    India cant stay on the neutral side too long . But any major cahnge to inetgrtaion to laocal economies and countries will mean a major somersault for RSS ideology . That means BJP will splinter with more national ultra religious parties emergeing . But they wont be able to offer solution .
    Pakistan is case point .It has become a country run and guided by corrupt religious organizations .Thier loyalty lies with US . Their elite runs to USA when things go wrong .Their rich behave just like Inidan rich , sendimg kids to USA and parking money in US.

    West will have plenty of accomplices in Inidan subcontinent to continue to wreck the area and deny Russia and China the most valuable geographical vantage point- BIR.

    Stupid Taliban is behaving just like old Taliban with social engiennering ( fanticism ) .

    Mynamar situation does allow China a route to Bay of Bengal .Bangladesh might join it wholeheartedly . China would still benefit if Mynamaar splinters alomg ethnic lines .
    But USA might use the imsuregnts in north east India to saboatge it .In that case ,India will fimd that USA is actually trying to cut it off from NE India.

    In Africa , Ethiopia and Mali ,Aljeria definetely will veer to China – Russia.

    Its going to be messy without overt war.

    But the new situation will only accelerate the decomposition of what holds the western neoliberlaism .

  9. Sent this to every email I could find at http://www.globalresearch.ca…

    I’ve been reading GR.ca daily since early 2008 just after the WSJ was taken over by Rupert Murdoch.

    Michael Welch’s interview of Scott Ritter and Michael Hudson was terrible… because of Michael Welch… he obviously has very little understanding of what’s going on in the world. Both Ritter and particularly Hudson had to repeatedly correct Welches misconceptions. Welch’s questions clearly indicate that he is highly influenced and obviously favors the mainstream establishment narratives regarding the “Russian Invasion”. I found this to be very strange considering Michael Welch is intimately associated with GR.ca. (why???). I’m a HUGE fan of Michael Hudson… and he certainly was not intimidated by Michael Welch’s garbage questions.

    Anyway… just wanted to give you feedback… I was really disgusted… and I just had to tell you.

  10. This article explains why “green” nuclear energy isn’t being considered to replace fossil fuels.

    Any country that goes nuclear for energy can supply its own energy needs. With abundant energy, comes the ability to synthesize just about everything else you need in terms of chemistry. The most efficient way to make fertilizer may be to crack the gas molecule, but with enough cheap energy, other less efficient methods could also supply fertilizer. If the energy is cheap enough, the loss in efficiency doesn’t matter.

    • Agree: Lurker
  11. @beavertales

    I believe that was the signal when Russia landed bombers there a few years ago… The Colombia elections and Brazil elections will be very important. Colombia follows US policy (how else would the CIA and DEA be able to use cocaine cartels) – while Brazil goes back and forth…. Those are who the US would hope to use against Venezuela.

  12. Lurker says:

    I don’t really buy the idea that Christian fundamentalists are in control of policy, to the degree they could push for nuclear war. They only seem to get their way when it comes to vocal support for Israel which kind of gives the game away.

Current Commenter
says:

Leave a Reply - Personal attacks and gratuitous insults are not acceptable and this author will ban such commenters.


 Remember My InformationWhy?
 Email Replies to my Comment
$
Submitted comments have been licensed to The Unz Review and may be republished elsewhere at the sole discretion of the latter
Commenting Disabled While in Translation Mode
Subscribe to This Comment Thread via RSS Subscribe to All Michael Hudson Comments via RSS