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From my new column in Taki’s Magazine:
Are We Doomed?
by Steve SailerFebruary 28, 2018
What if the world isn’t about to blow up? What if most everything is slowly getting better and better? Would there be nothing to worry about then?
The new book by Harvard cognitive scientist Steven Pinker, Enlightenment Now: The Case for Reason, Science, Humanism, and Progress, documents, using 75 well-crafted graphs, how life has gotten better in a host of realms.
… Consider airliner safety. During the month of August 1985, when I was flying frequently on business, three commercial jet airliners crashed, killing 712 people. In contrast, in the entire year of 2017, there was not a single fatal commercial jet airliner crash anywhere in the world.
Read the whole thing there.
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If only there had been an Internet then, we could have been treated to female SJWs cooing “OMG, so true!” on Facebook and TPTB minions blaming the Patriarchy and Constructed Whiteness and such. Oh Tinys wheres you at?
PS: We’re doomed, all right. The only consolation will be that we’ll die and not have to see the regression fully blossom. And the planes will indeed start crashing again.
Instead, we got the Boomtown Rats on the radio.Replies: @Anonymous
“In contrast, in the entire year of 2017, there was not a single fatal commercial jet airliner crash anywhere in the world.”
Thanks a lot, Steve. I’ve got a flight on Thursday, if that isn’t a jinx I don’t know what is.
So far IIRC there have been two fatal plane crashes in 2018, in Russia and Iran, by chance both countries against which “the west” is applying sanctions.
Unrelated:
‘The time for reconciliation is over’: South Africa votes to confiscate white-owned land
Link: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=12003693&ref=NZH_fb
Once whites are minority in Europe & North America, what will prevent such confiscation of wealth from white middle class to diverse elites?
Steve Sailer in this Taki article mentions the ‘original’ K-12 school shooting, where age 16 Brenda Ann Spencer, on 29 January 1979, killed 2 and wounded 9, in the school across from her home in San Diego, California USA, Spencer using a gun her father had given her. Spencer remains in prison today, now in her mid-50s.
What is notable in that incident as in others, are the credible allegations of child sexual abuse. Regarding Brenda Ann Spencer:
Apparently Brenda Ann Spencer and her father were sleeping in the same bed. Her father gave her the gun with which she did the killings … one wonders if maybe the father secretly hoped she would kill him:
https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-first-modern-school-shooter-feels-responsible-for-the-rest
There was similar background in the Columbine shootings of 20 April 1999 – the two boys are said to have been homosexually raped by local gay police officers, and inability to deal with the mental feelings of humiliation are said to have motivated the shootings … tho this is rarely mentioned now in most media accounts.
Who is the source that [the Columbine shooters] were "said to have been homosexually raped by local gay police officers"?
Off topic, unless you include Pinker’s Blank Slate:
Lesbian mom/gender studies adjunct is worried about her son’s affection for guns:
https://www.thecut.com/2018/02/parkland-florida-shooting-my-son-loves-guns.html
But apparently the son is a chip off the old block:
But of course that's not on the menu.
'The time for reconciliation is over': South Africa votes to confiscate white-owned land
Link: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=12003693&ref=NZH_fb
Once whites are minority in Europe & North America, what will prevent such confiscation of wealth from white middle class to diverse elites?Replies: @Anonymous, @AndrewR
It’s not unrelated. What they’re calling “effective land reform” in SA we’re calling “Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing” under Obama. It’s just a matter of degree and scheduling.
The end result is the same: taking white people’s property–and freedom–by force. And in answer to your question, nothing will stop it except countervailing force. The MSM in America is totally silent about South Africa BTW.
Importing Afrikaaners to America won’t further the aims of America’s ruling class, so that’s not going to happen either. Afrikaaners would do nothing to help destroy what’s left of America’s founding peoples. A non-starter.
That said, I feel America is in much better position than Europe. Hispanics are far more tractable than Africans and do not posses the same hatred of the whites. Europe on the other hand, with suicidal liberalism, a ruling class out of touch with reality, and massive demographic pressures will be turned in South Africa this century.Replies: @Ed, @AnotherDad, @Travis
Pinker doomed as all:
Reveal, from Public Radio International and NOR, just aired a piece about fewer blacks in Chicago. Leading to school closings. And protests of school closings. And how sad it is to lose black neighborhoods. And how one is doing much better as a retail worker in Cedar Rapids than as a McDonald’s employee in Chicago. No mention of how Cedar Rapids is doing. And how redlining prevented blacks getting wealth. And Bomani Jones explains how redlining is what causes all black crime and bad neighborhoods. It all sounded believable. I’ve read it or heard it repeatedly. Just like how school suspensions cause crime. Or too much reporting of crime makes crime stats go up.
Good thing there’s public radio, since the mainstream press ignores black issues so much. BTW, no mention of Obama IIRC. Daley is mentioned.
https://www.revealnews.org/episodes/
“in 1910 Norman Angell published a book, the Great Illusion, which drew on the last hundred years of industrial growth and lack of major war to argue that war had become obsolete.”
Angell was right and the statesmen of Europe were wrong: war was a terrible idea. There was no profit in it.
For whatever reason, that war erased the pre war depression with a blast of fresh air.
Yeah, with demographics of South Africa your politics will eventually turn into South African.
That said, I feel America is in much better position than Europe. Hispanics are far more tractable than Africans and do not posses the same hatred of the whites. Europe on the other hand, with suicidal liberalism, a ruling class out of touch with reality, and massive demographic pressures will be turned in South Africa this century.
America's diversity is already baked in. 50% of births are non-white. The Jews a headlock on the culture and their "nation of immigrants" propaganda is ubiquitous and has some traction because even a large fraction of white Americans have some sort of sense of distance immigrant identity. The trajectory is toward something akin to an up market version of Brazil. (We have a smarter and much larger group of whites and Asians keeping things more or less running.) We should work like the dickens to make the future better--i.e. keep the wreckers from turning our nation into an absolute dung heap. But even with an immigration moratorium tommorrow, we aren't going to be the US of say December 1958 ever again.
Europe's trajectory looks much worse, with large and growing muzzie populations and now this failure to stop an illegal million muzzie march and African influx across the Med which unchecked will swell to millions.
But, Europe is more quantum mechanical. It's future is still "unbaked". It's the super-position of huge variety of possible widely varying states some of which look pretty damn good. Jewish minoritarian ideology has considerable sway--basically from the US, Hollyweird, academica-- but it is not deep. The "nation of immigrants" nonsense has no real credibility. (You get laughably cheesy crap like "Britain has always been diverse".) Multiculturalism is a hollow reed. In fact, Europes great political achievement was creating the nation state, where people could live peacefully and prosperously with neighbors who shared their race, history and culture. The only question is will Europe wake up in time? Right now it does not look hopeful. But it's also very unstable. A few nations having a real nationalist revolution and "changing the discourse" and the entire globalist/genocide project there could roll over and go tits up a hurry.
Bottom line:
America's rough downward trajectory toward Brazil is somewhat baked in, and is a tragic loss from what could have been, but not the end of the world.
Europes trajectory toward Eurabia-Eurafrica looks positively hideous, much, much worse than America's ... but is not really "baked in" and could be turned around with a nationalist surge and leave Europe with a bright white future that it out of the reach of America.Replies: @Diversity Heretic
Islamic States do not even accept muslim refugees, nor will they accept sub-saharan Blacks. Thus Europe will never have a Black population over 10% as the Black population in the United States will grow to 20% by 2100 as the Hispanic population grows to 40% and the white population shrinks to 30% by the year 2100. Such a nation will not be accepting refugees , note sending much aid to foreign states.
in 2100 when the African populations swells to 4 billion they will no longer be obtaining aid from the United States (which will be just 30% white) nor will the Islamic States of Europe be helping the Africans. Asia will also watch and do nothing if a famine or wars ravage Africa. The demographic transformations of America and Europe will have a significant impact on the future of Africa.Replies: @Anonymous
It would only take one all out nuclear war to erase a couple of millennia or so of civilization. How long will we remain lucky with thousands of nuclear weapons under the control of sociopaths or worse?
That’s the big question Pinker touches only oh so lightly.
At the Munich Conference last month there was an US-American expert (don’t remember his name, unfortunately) who said, that nobody really knows what kind of desaster might occur as a consequence of an “all out nuclear war”. – Now, if this is hope, it looks like a small one I have to admit. But anyhow.
'The time for reconciliation is over': South Africa votes to confiscate white-owned land
Link: http://www.nzherald.co.nz/business/news/article.cfm?c_id=3&objectid=12003693&ref=NZH_fb
Once whites are minority in Europe & North America, what will prevent such confiscation of wealth from white middle class to diverse elites?Replies: @Anonymous, @AndrewR
The guns that the media is trying to take away from us by using children as propagandists.
It’s amazing how few people, especially leftists, even acknowledged that Hillary would have significantly increased the threat of nuclear war with Russia had she been elected. Idiot Trump, for his part, has been reckless in his rhetoric against North Korea, but at least a war with them would be orders of magnitude less horrific than an all-out war with Russia.
Pinker loathes Trump.
He sees no pros for the nation state, and for the Christian religion (at least) either.
His enlightenment therefor looks pretty much outdated – if I think of JĂĽrgen Habermas or Erich Fromm for example, or the Dalai Lama – none of those pretty much entlightend thinkers has any problems at all with Christianity.
And if I think of Issiah Berlin and Peter Sloterdijk – they’re both undoubtedly pro enlightenment – and pro nation state. Pro borders.
Pinker is pro John and Yoko, though – : – “Give Peace a Chance!”(p. 166). – –
And his chorus goes like this: We simply can’t be doomed, because:
“It’s Getting Better All the Time” (Lennon/McCartney).
Sigh!
https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-first-modern-school-shooter-feels-responsible-for-the-restThere was similar background in the Columbine shootings of 20 April 1999 - the two boys are said to have been homosexually raped by local gay police officers, and inability to deal with the mental feelings of humiliation are said to have motivated the shootings ... tho this is rarely mentioned now in most media accounts.Replies: @AndrewR, @PV van der Byl, @Joe Stalin
Call me crazy, but if I had been raped by a cop and I subsequently felt the need to commit mass murder, it wouldn’t be at my school. Of course, the body count would have been lower at a cop shop, but still.
Don’t worry Steve, when I and my people inevitably rule the roost. I shall treat your offspring with forebearance.
Or we could just agree that your rabid fear of Blacks is irrational.
Has anybody compared these trends with the share of men age 20 to 40 as a percentage of a population group? Has Turchin done this with his cycles?
I give Pinker some credit because so far the post WW2 order seems to be holding up pretty good. Large States seem to have agreed it’s not a good idea to fight each other and I don’t think they could find the popular will for war on that scale if they did. The large States just don’t have enough angry young men to do the fighting. Rising global living standards may be a factor as well, which would support Pinker’s thesis.
I’m much less impressed by Pinker than iSteve. Affecting human nature is like stepping on a half filled balloon. I.e., “improve” one element of it only displaces the bad elements to another dimension. It’s mostly the law of unintended consequences.
Pinker counts social media technology “plus”, well so do I. But social media has also massively decoupled people from the innate intimate human relationships that they were born to have.
Yes, there may be less war, but there is also much more social pathology in the form of electronic device addiction, social media shaming, bullying, sexting, time wasting, whatever.
Pinker has made himself a success by picking and choosing what he thinks is important in life. And as usual with arrogant Harvard academics, discounting or simply ignoring the values of the hoi polloi who are impacted by the negative consequences of “Progress”.
Very insightful Stoic philosopher Julia Annas gave an excellent lecture at Penn on the important distinction between flourishing versus being happy. And the importance of practical wisdom. These are independent of Pinker’s humanistic Progress. Are people flourishing better these days than 50 years ago? Is practical wisdom better taught, appreciated and practiced? If the answer is no, then that says something about Pinker’s claims to Progress.
The lecture can be found here:
Advance to the 5 minute mark for the beginning of her presentation. Annas could give Pinker something to think about but of course he probably wouldn’t listen.
Steven Pinker is a Jew propagandist for the WASP / Jew ruling class of the American Empire. George Will is a WASP propagandist for the WASP / Jew ruling class of the American Empire.
Pinker and Will are milquetoast meliorists of the worst sort. These two bastards, Pinker and Will, have made themselves multi-millionaires by telling the peasants that everything is great and it’s only getting better. Every day, in every way, it’s getting better and better is the mantra all day long with these two propaganda whores.
We are being overrun with foreigners and Pinker and Will talk about new blood or vitality or economic growth. We are spilling blood and wasting treasure on behalf of Israel and Pinker and Will glorify the empire. We are losing what is left of our sovereignty to horrible trade deal scams and Pinker and Will talk of the freedom of choice of free trade.
Pinker and Will can go straight to hell.
Not going to quote anything from your post.
But I’ve seen this thing by Pinker before and there is something to it. And it is happening in real-time, or at least in my lifetime.
Look maybe it is conditioning. Or kids are raised in a bath of electronic media, and don’t have time to do anything but look at their cell phones.
But I see black thuggy types in real life, and on various other places on the internet. They just don’t seem anywhere near as good at it as the similar types I saw in my childhood.
Frankly everyone is turning into a P#ssy. Occasionally I see young people trying to act tough or something and it just seems lame, certainly not intimidating.
These guys definitely aren’t Vinny Delgado sticking an icepick in someone’s head because the boss wanted him out of the way, then cutting the body up with a hacksaw to dispose of the parts in different places.
Also I think we are getting “Softer” over time. I definitely don’t think I’m as tough as my parents and preceding generation were. But at the same time I think if I busted one of my younger relatives a good one in the mouth, they would initially be puzzled, then cry.
Whereas things would have been on if that happened to an 18 year old me, no matter who it was.
This article is a thoughtful reason that the Deep State likely is planning to bump off Steve Sailer.
“If only there had been an Internet then, we could have been treated to female SJWs cooing “OMG, so true!” on Facebook…”
Instead, we got the Boomtown Rats on the radio.
What can I say, I was young and stupid :)
I don’t know how Pinker could have left out the greatest benefit of the progress we’ve all enjoyed since we did away with the worser demons of our nature in those the bad old days of Ozzie and Harriet:
The bidding war for young women between the economy and the family has guaranteed that each generation selects out of the next the very things demanded by the economy. This will “turn back the clock” to a time before there was an economy. And, after all, isn’t that what feminism is really all about?
I have seen several articles that showed how the movie “if…” was the start of the school shooting thing.
Lesbian mom/gender studies adjunct is worried about her son's affection for guns:
https://www.thecut.com/2018/02/parkland-florida-shooting-my-son-loves-guns.htmlBut apparently the son is a chip off the old block:Replies: @Almost Missouri, @The Plutonium Kid
A real father would be.
But of course that’s not on the menu.
Materially, this is likely true. And this is Pinker’s argument. But aren’t we more than just widgets. Is it economy and material possessions uber alles?
Happiness and well being are only partially explained by material wealth. Indeed, once you reach a certain level – reasonable shelter, secure food, a decent car, etc. – money has little impact on happiness. At that point, other aspects of life, such as family, friends and community are far more important.
Pinker’s argument that since we’re getting richer, we’re becoming better off in total is simply false. The vast majority of Americans long ago reached the level of material wealth that an extra $1,000 worth of new stuff makes little to no difference in our long-term well-being.
However, the importation of millions upon millions of people from different races, ethnicities, cultures and religions is eroding our sense of community – Bowling Alone, anyone? – which makes a huge difference to our collective well-being. Feminism and a culture that devalues the family has led to stunning increases in illegitimacy and divorce, which absolutely has harmed the well-being of tens of millions of people.
Are we getting richer? Yes. Are we becoming happier? I’d argue that we are not, because we are losing those things – family and community – that make life worth living beyond earning a buck.
Pinker’s argument fails because he views people as economic units rather than the human beings that we are.
What goes up must go down. America has had a spectacular run for the last 250 years, but regression to the historical mean (nasty, brutal, and short) is probably the best bet.
END TAKI’S MAG NOW
The notion that there is some ineffable trend to ‘continual progress’ in human affairs, in the sense that ‘life will inevitably get better’ due to ‘inevitable’ advancement in human affairs – as distinct from science and technology – can easily be disproved by one word the EU.
Touted by its supporters then and now as some sort of ‘inevitable progress’ of the ideal of a ‘united Europe’ – which by definition, from progressives is supposed to be ‘stronger’ (in what sense exactly?), the EU has declined year after year in its share of global GDP. The day is in sight in which its GDP per capita will be no greater than mean global GDP per capita. Considering that *that* figure includes all manner of mass population basket cases, it’s certainly nothing to be proud of.
Euro currency – a complete disaster whose full ramifications still have nit been felt.
Schengen regime – a sick joke facilitating multiple competitive ‘asylum seeking’.
Take the case of Italy. Formerly the EU’s biggest cheerleaders. Over the past twenty years, with a couple of egregious exceptions, Italy has been the world’s slowest growing economy.
So much for the EU being ‘progressive’ and ‘making Europe stronger’.
That said, I feel America is in much better position than Europe. Hispanics are far more tractable than Africans and do not posses the same hatred of the whites. Europe on the other hand, with suicidal liberalism, a ruling class out of touch with reality, and massive demographic pressures will be turned in South Africa this century.Replies: @Ed, @AnotherDad, @Travis
I agree that Europe is in more danger than America to migrationary forces from Africa and elsewhere but I think you overstate it. The UK will be fine due to Brexit and geography.
France is already fairly multiethnic and the anti-immigrant sentiment is fairly strong.
I think Germany, Sweden and maybe the Netherlands are probably the countries where some of your fears will be realized.
What needs to happen is that countries need to pull out of the Geneva conventions or rewrite them.
There is talk of another referendum in a couple years to over turn Brexit.
Perhaps, but the 30 years immediately after 1945 were the best ever years for the working classes of Europe and America.
For whatever reason, that war erased the pre war depression with a blast of fresh air.
This review in the New Statesman is pretty rough. I’ve always been a bit skeptical of Pinker. I’m also on the side of Taleb, with regards to the data Pinker used in Better Angels.
But, I’ve also never could get past Pinker’s flamboyant academic act, so maybe I’m being unfair.
I sense this may be the Zombie apocalypse prophesied by such books as World War Z and TV shows like the Walking Dead. Just know, we’ve been warned.
Trains, on the other hand……………………
There may be some truth to that. I think women getting the vote and becoming politically more powerful might have something to do with that.
Also, nuclear weapons made it much more likely that the leadership class of countries and their families – they themselves personally – would die in the event of a war.
Pinker is an idiot. He ignores non state Ethnic tribes and racial identity taking by force White property and freedom in a new serfdom.
And Steve when half the third world is here how will they get welfare? Money from billionaires or Obama or White male slavery ?
Bet on White male slavery. Its math that dooms us. Not enough money otherwise to pay for welfare for the third world.
Whether intentionally of not, a question that your Takimag article raises in my mind is how much of modern wealth is the result of net productive gains vs. simply taking other people’s wealth?
Overall, despite local dislocations, the Industrial Revolution obviously entailed huge productivity gains, which diffused through various channels into society with the Captains of Industry taking larger or smaller slices of the gains they instigated.
In your article you mention the success of the Forbes 400 in quintupling their wealth over the last 35 years, but it is hard to see a five-fold improvement in the productivity or living standards of the public over the same period. This suggests that the recent elite wealth increase is not the same nature as the Captains of Industry of the Industrial Revolution, but something different: not the cream skimmed off of new milk, but rather simply the taking of someone else’s milk.
Looking at specific cases, such as the notoriously surging FIRE (Finance Insurance Real Estate) wealth, sharpens the picture. The Pritzker’s fortune, mentioned in your article, derives from no obvious innovation or improvement, but rather largely from real estate, which might be a polite euphemism for “owning something valuable before someone who actually needs it can have it”. Worse, as described in your article, a big chunk of the recent increase derives from using government and media power to shift massive liabilities from land owned by the Pritzkers to land owned by Joe and Jill Six-pack, effectively robbing Joe and Jill on behalf of the Pritzkers in a kind of Reverse Robin Hoodism. This is true “predatory capitalism”, but you won’t hear anything about it from the Democrats or the New York Times because they are among the chief agents of it.
Even in the supposedly innovative and productive world of “tech”, it can be hard to see what the productive or valuable contribution is. Is Facebook productive or valuable? How about Microsoft? They are the foundations of two of the largest private fortunes ever. Their product is undeniably popular, but how much of that popularity is genuine enthusiasm versus how much is coercive network effect monopolism: I have to get Facebook/Windows because everyone else has it. And irrespective of the popularity, is any of it actually productive or valuable? Facebook seems to be an outright productivity sink, while Windows does something or other supposedly useful, but so do other, cheaper operating systems. Yes, there is value in terms of a revenue stream, but many socially destructive things have positive revenue streams, so let us not confound value with money as so many economists blithely do.
tl;dr: Is the balance shifting from creating value to taking wealth?
OT
A powerful blast against the so-called “principled conservatives,” aka “axiomatic conservatives” aka Propositional Nationalists aka Bret Stephens, Michael Gerson, etc. [emphasis added]
https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2018/02/what-is-principled-conservatism/
Who cares? We are doomed, so worrying about the counter-factual seems pointless.
Instead let’s focus on un-dooming ourselves and if successful we can–or let our descendants–happily mess with problems in that space.
Frank Sobotka in The Wire: “We used to make shit in this country, build shit. Now we just put our hand in the next guy’s pocket.”
Are you making the correlation between airline crashes and school shootings?? And are these events part of a manipulation process using terror by a particular group?? You have to wonder.
Of course, the future may be out of our hands in ways that are really terrible to behold.
1. In all the hullabaloo over global warming, any one with any experience of farming knew it was all BS because no one could point to a single acre of permafrost that, well, thawed. More is the pity, north of 50 degrees is a gigantic band of soil with enough minerals, (frozen) water, and long, long summers, to massively increase world wide food production. Instead we look to be heading to a Mounder minimum of really reduced solar activity. Every one degree drop in temperature is going to be bad, really bad, and for this reason alone: Canada, the USA, Russia, and Ukraine are all major food exporting countries. They won’t be once it gets colder.
2. Courtesy of a policy as short-sighted as it is immoral (sex selective abortion on demand) China and India are reaching a point of no return for societal destabilization due to a massive imbalance between marriage age males and females. So in those societies, which is the most likely scenario:
A. Polyandry
B. Sex bots
C. A massive, and deliberately engineered , war, between two countries who hate each other and need to get rid of 50 million or so surplus males?
I rule out A, B is not sufficient, so placing my money on C.
3. The USA of my youth put a man on the moon, built the computer age, and developed the Green Revolution. We are now a society whose every policy is dictated by the masturbatory fantasies of neurotic and nitwit females, which have now reached a critical mass of systematically destroying traditions and institutions that were care fully built up over a thousand years of Anglo-Saxon Polity. When you go out of your way to reject reason, evidence, inference, and logic as necessary tools for solving problems, you are well and truly f@$ked as a society.
So we may not be doomed, but what is the countervailing set of positive developments? Yes, we could reverse number 3 above, and absolutely must do so, but where is the evidence of that? Number two may take care of itself, and that leaves number one, which remains really, really bad news unless the current cooling trend reverses itself.
Sorry to ruin every bodies morning.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder_Minimum
Well, the descendants of Dr Pangloss have been tweaking English Law to amusing effect:
https://amp.theguardian.com/law/2018/feb/28/judges-told-to-limit-observers-if-witness-has-to-remove-veil?__twitter_impression=true
Not everything can be measured. In fact some of the most important contributing factors to happiness cannot be measured. I don’t think not dying in an airplane crash necessarily brings fulfillment in life.
I’m sometimes jealous of people who grew up in an intact community like say, 20th Century Italian Brooklyn or Jersey, where people communicated and helped each other out and supported each other and helped the younger generations find their place. Or Italy, or France, or the UK, or 1960s Minnesota.
But then, you look at all the horrific wars that have happened and it’s a crap shoot. The present is not better or worse than the past categorically. At the moment we have less horrific things happening to us, but they had a more fulfilling life back then in many deeper ways that we cannot fully appreciate. Having a smartphone will never make up for that.
That said, I feel America is in much better position than Europe. Hispanics are far more tractable than Africans and do not posses the same hatred of the whites. Europe on the other hand, with suicidal liberalism, a ruling class out of touch with reality, and massive demographic pressures will be turned in South Africa this century.Replies: @Ed, @AnotherDad, @Travis
I think one’s answer to the “who is more screwed” question is much like the distinction between classical and quantum mechanics.
America’s diversity is already baked in. 50% of births are non-white. The Jews a headlock on the culture and their “nation of immigrants” propaganda is ubiquitous and has some traction because even a large fraction of white Americans have some sort of sense of distance immigrant identity. The trajectory is toward something akin to an up market version of Brazil. (We have a smarter and much larger group of whites and Asians keeping things more or less running.) We should work like the dickens to make the future better–i.e. keep the wreckers from turning our nation into an absolute dung heap. But even with an immigration moratorium tommorrow, we aren’t going to be the US of say December 1958 ever again.
Europe’s trajectory looks much worse, with large and growing muzzie populations and now this failure to stop an illegal million muzzie march and African influx across the Med which unchecked will swell to millions.
But, Europe is more quantum mechanical. It’s future is still “unbaked”. It’s the super-position of huge variety of possible widely varying states some of which look pretty damn good. Jewish minoritarian ideology has considerable sway–basically from the US, Hollyweird, academica– but it is not deep. The “nation of immigrants” nonsense has no real credibility. (You get laughably cheesy crap like “Britain has always been diverse”.) Multiculturalism is a hollow reed. In fact, Europes great political achievement was creating the nation state, where people could live peacefully and prosperously with neighbors who shared their race, history and culture. The only question is will Europe wake up in time? Right now it does not look hopeful. But it’s also very unstable. A few nations having a real nationalist revolution and “changing the discourse” and the entire globalist/genocide project there could roll over and go tits up a hurry.
Bottom line:
America’s rough downward trajectory toward Brazil is somewhat baked in, and is a tragic loss from what could have been, but not the end of the world.
Europes trajectory toward Eurabia-Eurafrica looks positively hideous, much, much worse than America’s … but is not really “baked in” and could be turned around with a nationalist surge and leave Europe with a bright white future that it out of the reach of America.
BTW we chose Iowa. There's also the possibility of the U.S. breaking up. California, with its sanctuary cities, is already engaged in phased secession.Replies: @The Last Real Calvinist
If we do what Pinker does – make use of selective facts to bolster a particular argument, yes things are getting better in a material sense. Progress on the social and economic fronts? Hell no.
Basically Pinker is selling BS and scientism to white, secular liberals and the country club GOP set to make them feel good.
Progress, where is it Prof Pinker? London now has no go zones like Germany, France and Sweden. It’s now suffering a wave of acid and knife attacks and rapes in record numbers. Any semblance of free speech in Europe has now vanished in order to suppress people from commenting on the destructive policies of the ruling elites that have left their nations wrecked. More like Orwell’s nightmare to life.
In the U.S. our schools and even colleges are falling apart. Economic mobility is non-existent, entire sections of industry are now dominated by imported foreigners. Whites are drugging themselves with opioids rather than face the fact there is no future. Politically we are one presidential election away rom overt violence becoming part of the political process.
However for a small group at the top, things are going swimmingly as the Brits would say.
A powerful blast against the so-called "principled conservatives," aka "axiomatic conservatives" aka Propositional Nationalists aka Bret Stephens, Michael Gerson, etc. [emphasis added]
https://americanaffairsjournal.org/2018/02/what-is-principled-conservatism/Replies: @candid_observer
The thing about “principled conservatism”, as it is here depicted, is its utter incoherence.
How can a government rule over multiple, disunited peoples if those peoples refuse to embrace the system of principles — freedoms and rights — that that government supposedly embodies? If, say, Muslims come here with an aim to impose Sharia Law on all, how can their refusal to abide by the “principles” of “conservatism” possibly be accommodated?
Genuine principles rule out certain policies, actions, and ideals as incompatible with them. If those principles include classical American ideas of freedom and rights, then they exclude many of the “mores” and principles of other cultures and societies. So how can those cultures and societies be accommodated in an America governed by “principled conservatism”?
This incoherence is ineradicable. This stripe of conservatives may be many things, but “principled” they are not.
The problem with Pinker is that he argues from statistics that tell us about circumstances in general. I suspect a whole lot of low level misery hides behind statistics that average measures of happiness and well-being.
The problem with Sailer is an overly optimistic view of Asian immigration.
Absolutely one of your best, by my reckoning. Keep up the good, self-questioning work — too many revel in race-realism only as contrarianism, you’ve over ‘n’ over again shown you’re in it for the best approximation of truth. And Truth is not tailored to man’s vanities.
https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-first-modern-school-shooter-feels-responsible-for-the-restThere was similar background in the Columbine shootings of 20 April 1999 - the two boys are said to have been homosexually raped by local gay police officers, and inability to deal with the mental feelings of humiliation are said to have motivated the shootings ... tho this is rarely mentioned now in most media accounts.Replies: @AndrewR, @PV van der Byl, @Joe Stalin
Has anyone ever corroborated Brenda Ann Spencer’s claim that she and her father slept in the same bed and that he molested her repeatedly?
Who is the source that [the Columbine shooters] were “said to have been homosexually raped by local gay police officers”?
https://www.thedailybeast.com/the-first-modern-school-shooter-feels-responsible-for-the-restThere was similar background in the Columbine shootings of 20 April 1999 - the two boys are said to have been homosexually raped by local gay police officers, and inability to deal with the mental feelings of humiliation are said to have motivated the shootings ... tho this is rarely mentioned now in most media accounts.Replies: @AndrewR, @PV van der Byl, @Joe Stalin
She didn’t even use an evil AR-15 .223; she used a Ruger 10/22 awful semiautomatic rifle with a (gasp) 10 round magazine.
I wonder what Pinker has to say about the competent, thriving Nazi civilization shown in the TV adaptation of The Man in the High Castle.
If anything, the Greater Nazi Reich in that series looks like a white version of Wakanda, where the groomed, healthy white youngsters feel valued and have lives of meaning and purpose to look forward to. I doubt you would see alienated teenage shooters in this society.
That said, I feel America is in much better position than Europe. Hispanics are far more tractable than Africans and do not posses the same hatred of the whites. Europe on the other hand, with suicidal liberalism, a ruling class out of touch with reality, and massive demographic pressures will be turned in South Africa this century.Replies: @Ed, @AnotherDad, @Travis
if another 7 million Muslims infiltrate the core of Europe over the next decade Germany and France will become Islamic states and block sub-saharan Blacks from migrating to Europe…thus the Islamic States of Europe will remain 90% Caucasian even as they become majority muslim. While in the United States the Caucasoid population will be in the minority by 2050
Islamic States do not even accept muslim refugees, nor will they accept sub-saharan Blacks. Thus Europe will never have a Black population over 10% as the Black population in the United States will grow to 20% by 2100 as the Hispanic population grows to 40% and the white population shrinks to 30% by the year 2100. Such a nation will not be accepting refugees , note sending much aid to foreign states.
in 2100 when the African populations swells to 4 billion they will no longer be obtaining aid from the United States (which will be just 30% white) nor will the Islamic States of Europe be helping the Africans. Asia will also watch and do nothing if a famine or wars ravage Africa. The demographic transformations of America and Europe will have a significant impact on the future of Africa.
The only thing that really distinguishes Lefty and Economist thought is that it is persistently, coherently, invariably - and rabidly - anti-white.
I don’t know anyone who thinks we’re doomed, the grumble of the day is that echo chambered morons misrule us and limit our national conversation. This is attempt number five hundred thousand and twenty-eight to resell NAFTA. It’s part of the line of argument that things which unworthy farm animals (like me or the parents of Rotherham or the women of Köln) complain about are either not happening or are dismissable through intellectual-sounding mechanisms, whereas staged photographs of refugee children on beaches, hate hoaxes (which, even if real, number well under a meaningful amount), or school shootings (see previous parentheses — lightning is far more dangeous and far, far more frequent) are a rational basis for major shifts in policy.
There is a group using those events to spread terror, it’s called “the [mainstream or legacy] media.”
1. In all the hullabaloo over global warming, any one with any experience of farming knew it was all BS because no one could point to a single acre of permafrost that, well, thawed. More is the pity, north of 50 degrees is a gigantic band of soil with enough minerals, (frozen) water, and long, long summers, to massively increase world wide food production. Instead we look to be heading to a Mounder minimum of really reduced solar activity. Every one degree drop in temperature is going to be bad, really bad, and for this reason alone: Canada, the USA, Russia, and Ukraine are all major food exporting countries. They won't be once it gets colder.
2. Courtesy of a policy as short-sighted as it is immoral (sex selective abortion on demand) China and India are reaching a point of no return for societal destabilization due to a massive imbalance between marriage age males and females. So in those societies, which is the most likely scenario:
A. Polyandry
B. Sex bots
C. A massive, and deliberately engineered , war, between two countries who hate each other and need to get rid of 50 million or so surplus males?
I rule out A, B is not sufficient, so placing my money on C.
3. The USA of my youth put a man on the moon, built the computer age, and developed the Green Revolution. We are now a society whose every policy is dictated by the masturbatory fantasies of neurotic and nitwit females, which have now reached a critical mass of systematically destroying traditions and institutions that were care fully built up over a thousand years of Anglo-Saxon Polity. When you go out of your way to reject reason, evidence, inference, and logic as necessary tools for solving problems, you are well and truly f@$ked as a society.
So we may not be doomed, but what is the countervailing set of positive developments? Yes, we could reverse number 3 above, and absolutely must do so, but where is the evidence of that? Number two may take care of itself, and that leaves number one, which remains really, really bad news unless the current cooling trend reverses itself.
Sorry to ruin every bodies morning.Replies: @Bernardo Pizzaro Cortez Del Castro, @Jim Don Bob, @Harry Baldwin
I agree , if the Sun spots continue their decline we may see another cooling period , which would be very bad for humanity. The increase in CO2 levels over the last 100 years has greatly benefited humans by helping increase crop yields.
Replying to Hhsiii at 1104: I think I heard the last half of that. Whites moving out is confidently blamed for everything down to freeway design and there is no examination of why whites would want to move. The host I heard literally says that “black on black violence is not a thing.”
Instead, we got the Boomtown Rats on the radio.Replies: @Anonymous
Good point, but I actually liked the song then. And “Rat Trap”..
What can I say, I was young and stupid 🙂
Enlightenment Now?? Really?!? After the Serenity Now disaster?
I refer you to one of the works of your esteemable colleague, Mr. John Derbyshire:
We are Doomed
America's diversity is already baked in. 50% of births are non-white. The Jews a headlock on the culture and their "nation of immigrants" propaganda is ubiquitous and has some traction because even a large fraction of white Americans have some sort of sense of distance immigrant identity. The trajectory is toward something akin to an up market version of Brazil. (We have a smarter and much larger group of whites and Asians keeping things more or less running.) We should work like the dickens to make the future better--i.e. keep the wreckers from turning our nation into an absolute dung heap. But even with an immigration moratorium tommorrow, we aren't going to be the US of say December 1958 ever again.
Europe's trajectory looks much worse, with large and growing muzzie populations and now this failure to stop an illegal million muzzie march and African influx across the Med which unchecked will swell to millions.
But, Europe is more quantum mechanical. It's future is still "unbaked". It's the super-position of huge variety of possible widely varying states some of which look pretty damn good. Jewish minoritarian ideology has considerable sway--basically from the US, Hollyweird, academica-- but it is not deep. The "nation of immigrants" nonsense has no real credibility. (You get laughably cheesy crap like "Britain has always been diverse".) Multiculturalism is a hollow reed. In fact, Europes great political achievement was creating the nation state, where people could live peacefully and prosperously with neighbors who shared their race, history and culture. The only question is will Europe wake up in time? Right now it does not look hopeful. But it's also very unstable. A few nations having a real nationalist revolution and "changing the discourse" and the entire globalist/genocide project there could roll over and go tits up a hurry.
Bottom line:
America's rough downward trajectory toward Brazil is somewhat baked in, and is a tragic loss from what could have been, but not the end of the world.
Europes trajectory toward Eurabia-Eurafrica looks positively hideous, much, much worse than America's ... but is not really "baked in" and could be turned around with a nationalist surge and leave Europe with a bright white future that it out of the reach of America.Replies: @Diversity Heretic
Earlier this year, my family had to chose between Europe (Brittany) and the U.S. (Iowa). There were personal and family considerations, of course, but we went through an analysis somewhat like this–you just articulated better than our more or less inchoate feelings about the respective situations.
BTW we chose Iowa. There’s also the possibility of the U.S. breaking up. California, with its sanctuary cities, is already engaged in phased secession.
Lesbian mom/gender studies adjunct is worried about her son's affection for guns:
https://www.thecut.com/2018/02/parkland-florida-shooting-my-son-loves-guns.htmlBut apparently the son is a chip off the old block:Replies: @Almost Missouri, @The Plutonium Kid
I pity any boy being raised by two lesbians.
Hate to be a pessimist, but blacks in America don’t have a very good track record with interracial violence and many of them constantly spew anger at whites. That doesn’t exactly instill trust and good will.
Shocker I know.
Wonderful news, comrades! The chocolate ration has been increased to twenty five grams a week!
1. In all the hullabaloo over global warming, any one with any experience of farming knew it was all BS because no one could point to a single acre of permafrost that, well, thawed. More is the pity, north of 50 degrees is a gigantic band of soil with enough minerals, (frozen) water, and long, long summers, to massively increase world wide food production. Instead we look to be heading to a Mounder minimum of really reduced solar activity. Every one degree drop in temperature is going to be bad, really bad, and for this reason alone: Canada, the USA, Russia, and Ukraine are all major food exporting countries. They won't be once it gets colder.
2. Courtesy of a policy as short-sighted as it is immoral (sex selective abortion on demand) China and India are reaching a point of no return for societal destabilization due to a massive imbalance between marriage age males and females. So in those societies, which is the most likely scenario:
A. Polyandry
B. Sex bots
C. A massive, and deliberately engineered , war, between two countries who hate each other and need to get rid of 50 million or so surplus males?
I rule out A, B is not sufficient, so placing my money on C.
3. The USA of my youth put a man on the moon, built the computer age, and developed the Green Revolution. We are now a society whose every policy is dictated by the masturbatory fantasies of neurotic and nitwit females, which have now reached a critical mass of systematically destroying traditions and institutions that were care fully built up over a thousand years of Anglo-Saxon Polity. When you go out of your way to reject reason, evidence, inference, and logic as necessary tools for solving problems, you are well and truly f@$ked as a society.
So we may not be doomed, but what is the countervailing set of positive developments? Yes, we could reverse number 3 above, and absolutely must do so, but where is the evidence of that? Number two may take care of itself, and that leaves number one, which remains really, really bad news unless the current cooling trend reverses itself.
Sorry to ruin every bodies morning.Replies: @Bernardo Pizzaro Cortez Del Castro, @Jim Don Bob, @Harry Baldwin
Agree with much of what you said, but it is the Maunder Minimum. I have vacationed in Canada for the last 60+ years and the summers do not seem as warm as they once were. Or maybe I’m just old.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Maunder_Minimum
How can we be doomed if TN Coates is now writing Captain America?
His complete explanation at:
https://www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2018/02/we-who-love-america/553991/
-I guess some elite media leftist realized, "hey, this Coates is sh*t at writing comics, he crashes them to bankruptcy, but hey, we're trying to do this to whites, and men, and America, so why not take the iconic white male American comic book hero, and crash that?".
All black people are not the same, Ted Cruz is not Nick Cruz, Mr Trump is not Bill Clinton.
Shocker I know.
We’ve had several Amtrak crashes recently. We still don’t know anything about the identity of the engineer of the train involved in the Washington State crash in December.
Quantum computing could reinstate Moore’s Law and then some, if we get it working right. Quantum entanglement offers the same tech prospective giant leap forward and the Chinese have made big progress on it. Then again, I haven’t seen anything on the subject for a while so perhaps it’s proving as difficult as it is non-intuitive.
A bigger challenge is your hope that politicians might tell the truth. My response is, never have, never will. Barring a movement to drug them with flunitrazepam and question them, this just ain’t ever gonna happen Steve.
And the biggest of course is Demographics. That African population bomb will destroy Europe, hopefully just Western Europe, but almost surely take down the USA & Canada as well. If we lack the wisdom of South Africa and fail to first dismantle our humongous nuclear arsenal first it will probably destroy our species ultimately. Given our lack of stomach for any realistic discussion or action, our ONLY hopes are (1) continued Chinese colonization of Africa and eventual hard Chinese action to impose birth control, or (2) a Malthusian solution via disease. AIDS was on track to solve the problem until our scientists made AIDS a non-issue. Still, Africa has plenty of incurable diseases of her own and another AIDS seems always right around the corner. Chinese population control could eliminate the disease risk for Africans, but would the West stand by while the Chinese did the work we are too squeamish and Africans too incompetent to do?
Then again, maybe Elon Musk will get enough us to Mars/Elysium first..
Scientists say optimism is a heritable trait and I must say I have a hard time imagining Pinker in a depressed mood. He and Derbyshire make a good pair.
Are you trying to tell me Barbra Streisand snuck in while I was sleeping and got some of my stomach and throat cells and thus I’ll live forever?
https://www.theonion.com/world-death-rate-holding-steady-at-100-percent-1819564171
Brexit might not ever happen. TPTB have already stretched the process out beyond the stated procedures.
There is talk of another referendum in a couple years to over turn Brexit.
“For example, our standard of living has been carried along for half a century by the beneficent power of Moore’s Law, the rapid doubling of computer power. But now, just as Moore’s Law seems to be petering out…”
Moore’s Law relied upon a white world, where whites were dominant and following a white rational pursuit of science, technology, and betterment of humanity, true progress, not the modern idea of ‘progressive’ which is a mad dash to ruin and death.
Or girls raised by 2 lesbians.
https://www.theatlantic.com/entertainment/archive/2018/02/we-who-love-america/553991/Replies: @Anonymous
“Ta-Nehisi Coates announces he’ll take over writing “Captain America” with a new issue #1 to be released on the Fourth of July.”
-I guess some elite media leftist realized, “hey, this Coates is sh*t at writing comics, he crashes them to bankruptcy, but hey, we’re trying to do this to whites, and men, and America, so why not take the iconic white male American comic book hero, and crash that?”.
BTW we chose Iowa. There's also the possibility of the U.S. breaking up. California, with its sanctuary cities, is already engaged in phased secession.Replies: @The Last Real Calvinist
Good choice: https://www.usatoday.com/story/money/nation-now/2018/02/27/iowa-named-best-state-live-america-u-s-news/378215002/
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ow_9MglZrhsReplies: @J.Ross
Not saying this to be trite, I honestly don’t think Pinker has any background grasp at all for the stuff in this book. Better critics have already pointed out that he does not know what the Enlightenment was. He must have done some research for the all-important slideshow graphs, and I’m not even going to try to criticize those, or read them, any more than I would pay attention to a portrait of a Stakhanovite in Pravda. If we were all in the same room I would bet you money that Pinker would not know what Serenity Now was (now that I have typed this, that won’t work, he’ll look it up). The SXSW “f’ing love science” types didn’t just skip a humanities education, they’re every bit as ignorant and contemptuous of non-quantitative subjects as I am of algebra. They are Huxley’s Ford followers dismissing “bunk” (although in real life Ford was actually making a legitimate point about framing and achievement). If Steven Sacher’s “Hard Talk” interview is anything to go by, Pinker doesn’t just live in an echo chamber, he’s in a perpetual tongue bath.
Not strictly true 🙂 Boeing 747 cargo plane crashed near Bishkek in Jan 2017, killing four crew members and 35 people on the ground. Cargo is still “commercial” and dead people are still dead even if they were not in the plane.
And even if it were true, it’d be a fluke, nothing else. In 2016, two major accidents in Russia (154 people dead), terrorist explosion of EgyptAir that killed 66, 71 killed in Colombia in a plane carrying soccer players from Brazil, 47 killed in a crash in Pakistan (although that one was ATR-42, propeller-driven).
2015: 471 dead. 2014: 855 dead. You get the idea…
1. In all the hullabaloo over global warming, any one with any experience of farming knew it was all BS because no one could point to a single acre of permafrost that, well, thawed. More is the pity, north of 50 degrees is a gigantic band of soil with enough minerals, (frozen) water, and long, long summers, to massively increase world wide food production. Instead we look to be heading to a Mounder minimum of really reduced solar activity. Every one degree drop in temperature is going to be bad, really bad, and for this reason alone: Canada, the USA, Russia, and Ukraine are all major food exporting countries. They won't be once it gets colder.
2. Courtesy of a policy as short-sighted as it is immoral (sex selective abortion on demand) China and India are reaching a point of no return for societal destabilization due to a massive imbalance between marriage age males and females. So in those societies, which is the most likely scenario:
A. Polyandry
B. Sex bots
C. A massive, and deliberately engineered , war, between two countries who hate each other and need to get rid of 50 million or so surplus males?
I rule out A, B is not sufficient, so placing my money on C.
3. The USA of my youth put a man on the moon, built the computer age, and developed the Green Revolution. We are now a society whose every policy is dictated by the masturbatory fantasies of neurotic and nitwit females, which have now reached a critical mass of systematically destroying traditions and institutions that were care fully built up over a thousand years of Anglo-Saxon Polity. When you go out of your way to reject reason, evidence, inference, and logic as necessary tools for solving problems, you are well and truly f@$ked as a society.
So we may not be doomed, but what is the countervailing set of positive developments? Yes, we could reverse number 3 above, and absolutely must do so, but where is the evidence of that? Number two may take care of itself, and that leaves number one, which remains really, really bad news unless the current cooling trend reverses itself.
Sorry to ruin every bodies morning.Replies: @Bernardo Pizzaro Cortez Del Castro, @Jim Don Bob, @Harry Baldwin
The average global temperature could drop 10 degrees F and progressives won’t stop going on about global warming, any more than it will ever acknowledge the obvious explanation for the black – white achievement gap. To admit they are wrong about anything means the nazis win.
Iowa is a pit, a cultural wasteland with horrifically extreme weather. Even worse, the women are unbelievably fat. I would have chosen France.
Pinker counts social media technology "plus", well so do I. But social media has also massively decoupled people from the innate intimate human relationships that they were born to have.
Yes, there may be less war, but there is also much more social pathology in the form of electronic device addiction, social media shaming, bullying, sexting, time wasting, whatever.
Pinker has made himself a success by picking and choosing what he thinks is important in life. And as usual with arrogant Harvard academics, discounting or simply ignoring the values of the hoi polloi who are impacted by the negative consequences of "Progress".
Very insightful Stoic philosopher Julia Annas gave an excellent lecture at Penn on the important distinction between flourishing versus being happy. And the importance of practical wisdom. These are independent of Pinker's humanistic Progress. Are people flourishing better these days than 50 years ago? Is practical wisdom better taught, appreciated and practiced? If the answer is no, then that says something about Pinker's claims to Progress.
The lecture can be found here:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lDypTjRbxsM
Advance to the 5 minute mark for the beginning of her presentation. Annas could give Pinker something to think about but of course he probably wouldn't listen.Replies: @Dieter Kief
“All it takes to be happy is to feel happy.” – That’s the dopey part of it, methinks.
Therefor Kantian philosopher Johann Benjamin Erhard once (unfortunately not too famously…) remarked, it is not the task of the philosopher to make poeple happy, but to – this word again – enlighten them – – with arguments, based on good (=sound) reasons.
Islamic States do not even accept muslim refugees, nor will they accept sub-saharan Blacks. Thus Europe will never have a Black population over 10% as the Black population in the United States will grow to 20% by 2100 as the Hispanic population grows to 40% and the white population shrinks to 30% by the year 2100. Such a nation will not be accepting refugees , note sending much aid to foreign states.
in 2100 when the African populations swells to 4 billion they will no longer be obtaining aid from the United States (which will be just 30% white) nor will the Islamic States of Europe be helping the Africans. Asia will also watch and do nothing if a famine or wars ravage Africa. The demographic transformations of America and Europe will have a significant impact on the future of Africa.Replies: @Anonymous
Perhaps, but you totally ignore the effects of the Left and The Economist, *the* two trump cards in the deck.
The only thing that really distinguishes Lefty and Economist thought is that it is persistently, coherently, invariably – and rabidly – anti-white.
Remember the Good Old Days? Just about everyone does.
That right there disproved this idiots whole premise.
There would be no Good Old Days if what he says was ACTUALLY TRUE.
Really Steve. Reading table ornaments. A Math Whiz like you!
If there is a cosmic law of irony, then Derbyshire is a mage of prosperity.
I suppose with cherry picking facts, you could make a case for just about anything. Like World Wars are great for the Economy. The smoldering ruins of cities denuded of life provide lots of jobs for construction to anyone not there during a firebombing campaign.
The real story about diversity is that the only people who love it are the people who do not see it at their house. The blacks would have been better off with segregation. When you only see blacks in controlled environments and television shows you do not have any antipathy towards them. Its when you meet them in real life and they threaten you, rob you or rape you that you believe the Klan.