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"U.S. to End Large-Scale Military Drills with South Korea"

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From NBC News:

U.S. to end large-scale military drills with South Korea

The move is part of the Trump administration’s effort to ease tensions with North Korea, U.S. officials said.

March 1, 2019, 9:30 AM PST
By Courtney Kube, Dan De Luce and Stella Kim

The U.S. military is preparing to announce that annual large-scale joint exercises conducted with South Korea every spring will no longer be held, according to two U.S. defense officials.

The major U.S.-South Korea exercises are being curtailed as part of the Trump administration’s effort to ease tensions with North Korea, the officials said. The exercises — known as Key Resolve and Foal Eagle — will be replaced with smaller, mission-specific training, according to the officials.

Since taking office, President Donald Trump has repeatedly complained about the large-scale exercises, saying they’re too costly and the U.S. bears too much of the financial burden.

The military has carried out the major exercises as much for deterring the North Korean regime as maintaining troop readiness, according to senior defense officials.

Word of the planned announcement comes less than 48 hours after a summit between Trump and North Korean leader Kim Jong Un came to an abrupt end with no agreement. Trump said afterward that the annual military drills with South Korea were “very, very expensive” and the government in Seoul should pay more for them.

U.S. officials said the decision is not related to the summit in Hanoi but has been under consideration for some time. …

Military planners have long considered March to be the most likely time for any potential North Korean invasion, when the ground is still hard from winter to allow tanks to roll through rice fields and North Koreans troops have just completed their annual winter training cycle, Bennett said.

Of course, if you look at it from the Norks’ perspective, March is also the most likely time for a US-South Korea tank invasion of North Korea. But that’s unmentioned in the article, nor in most coverage in recent decades of the U.S. military. (My vague impression is that the Pentagon has gotten quite good, much like 1990s movie stars, at practicing “access journalism.”)

From the Nork point of view, massive training exercises are the standard way to cover up a mobilization for an attack: “We’re not massing troops to invade you, we’re just massing troops for our annual training at stopping you from invading us.”

Of course, the great majority of the time that is true, and the South Korean leadership today seems particularly pacific.

But military intelligence is about capabilities not intentions. And big war games greatly increase the capability for a surprise attack.

For example, Georgia’s invasion of Russian-allied South Ossetia on August 7-8, 2008 was preceded by a joint US-Georgia war game, Immediate Response 2008, from July 15-30, 2008, with 1,000 U.S. troops flying in to Georgia to participate.

I was pretty interested in that weird little war at the time it happened, but I never heard about the US involvement in the training exercise that preceded it until years later. And I’ve never seen any discussion in the U.S. media of whether U.S. officials knew what the Georgians, whom the Bush Administration had recently sponsored for NATO membership, were going to do a week and a half later.

After all, why would that be an interesting question? Who cares about what led to something as minor as a tank war with Russia and a subsequent decade of bad blood between Moscow and Washington? Anyway, everybody knows that this land war in Asia between a NATO candidate and Russia couldn’t possibly have had anything to do with the Kremlin’s subsequent suspicions of the U.S. Instead, the real cause was Putin’s homophobia.

 
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  1. Mike Tre [AKA "MikeatMikedotMike"] says:

    Still waiting for the US to remove its 27000 troops from South Korea (most along the DMZ) and return them home. The US has no business there.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Mike Tre

    They are there as hostages to fortune and that makes them safe. Kim MIGHT take a chance on invading S. Korea but he knows that he is in no position to trigger a war with the United States.

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @anon1

    , @anon1
    @Mike Tre

    Agree 100%. America should have left long ago.

    , @Hail
    @Mike Tre

    South Korea wants them there. Even the pro-NK Moon government wants them. There are lots of benefits they get.

    Viewed from the perspective of the 2000s and 2010s, it was probably a mistake to ever intervene in Korea in 1950. Almost seventy years of entanglement, for what U.S. advantage?

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @William Badwhite

  2. South Korea and Japan should have nuclear weapons in their arsenals.

    Germany should have nuclear weapons too. Italians might get some nukes to keep the bankers at bay when the Italians default on their government debt and other nations and bankers start threatening them.

    The Dutch shouldn’t ever have nukes. Same with the Scottish wackos.

    Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Charles Pewitt

    I doubt that they do but if they really had the need for them, it wouldn't take them very long to put some together - they certainly have the technology.

    , @Joe Stalin
    @Charles Pewitt

    The USA could offer to lease Trident missiles and launchers to SK and Japan if they develop their own thermonuclear weapons. They could then base these cold launch systems in a fixed or mobile mode. We already do this with the UK, and certainly Japan is as important as the UK.

    , @nebulafox
    @Charles Pewitt

    >Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Ditto the South Koreans. It's called "nuclear latency". They've got the materials, tech and skilled work force to assemble a bomb within six months if they need to, and everybody knows it.

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic

    , @Buzz Mohawk
    @Charles Pewitt

    A purely maniacal reading of Amendment II would guarantee all 330 million of us 'Murkins the right to bear nuclear weapons. Mutually Assured Destruction would keep us all from harming each other. Makes as much sense as anything else at this point. I say go for it and watch the mousetraps flip.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nM-_XaBVneE

    Replies: @J.Ross

    , @Mike Tre
    @Charles Pewitt

    Can the Irish have nukes too? Pretty pretty please with a cherry on top???

    Replies: @Charles Pewitt

  3. I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don’t even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam – he had to take an ancient train across China. On paper they have a lot of tanks but they are mostly ancient (1950s) Russian and Chinese designs (T-54 variants) and who know whether they even work anymore. And however well they work now, it wouldn’t be so hot after they were hit by modern anti-tank weapons since they lack depleted uranium armor and other modern defenses (and any effective air cover). They would do a little better than Saddam’s tanks but it would still be grim. Nor could he expect to be re-supplied by the Chinese. It pays for the Pentagon to overestimate the Norks capabilities.

    And that doesn’t seem to be where Kim’s head is at – I think he is trying to figure out some way to catch up with the Vietnamese and Chinese model – maintain the his dictatorship but modernize the economy. Of course conquering S. Korea would be one way to get a lot of access to technology (at least whatever didn’t get smashed in the invasion) but he must understand that his chances of pulling this off are slim to none.

    • Replies: @Louis Renault
    @Jack D

    I never heard of a country's President dying in a train derailment. Plain crashes however,

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_heads_of_government_and_state_who_died_in_aviation_accidents_and_incidents

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @anon1

    , @istevefan
    @Jack D


    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don’t even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam – he had to take an ancient train across China.
     
    Kim's dad was afraid to fly, but little Kim seems to want to ride in his armored train.

    As for aircraft capable of such a flight, their national carrier, Air Koryo, has a couple of somewhat modern Tu-204 airliners that should have been OK to use.

    Replies: @Jack D, @jim jones

    , @dvorak
    @Jack D


    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point.
     
    Don't they have a thousand points of light (artillery and rockets within range of Seoul)? These can do some damage.
    https://nationalinterest.org/feature/north-korea-cant-destroy-seoul-artillery-23964

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

  4. @Mike Tre
    Still waiting for the US to remove its 27000 troops from South Korea (most along the DMZ) and return them home. The US has no business there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @anon1, @Hail

    They are there as hostages to fortune and that makes them safe. Kim MIGHT take a chance on invading S. Korea but he knows that he is in no position to trigger a war with the United States.

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Jack D

    I'm not sure why you felt the need to point out the obvious. It's not relevant to my point. If North Korea wants to invade South Korea, it's not the affair of the US. We have no business there.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    , @anon1
    @Jack D

    "Kim might take a chance on invading S. Korea..."


    SO WHAT? How is that America's problem anymore then Mexico or Canada?

  5. @Charles Pewitt
    South Korea and Japan should have nuclear weapons in their arsenals.

    Germany should have nuclear weapons too. Italians might get some nukes to keep the bankers at bay when the Italians default on their government debt and other nations and bankers start threatening them.

    The Dutch shouldn't ever have nukes. Same with the Scottish wackos.

    Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Joe Stalin, @nebulafox, @Buzz Mohawk, @Mike Tre

    I doubt that they do but if they really had the need for them, it wouldn’t take them very long to put some together – they certainly have the technology.

  6. Remember Archduke Franz Ferdinand was in Sarajevo to watch war games.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/July_Crisis

  7. https://www.unz.com/efingleton/north-korea-why-trump-should-kims-feet-to-the-fire/ff.

    It is fair to say that all the more important East Asian nations have a vested interest in exaggerating the North Korean threat. The more terrifying North Korea is made to appear, the more desperately Washington will seek out advice and help from China, Japan, and South Korea. That tends to ensure that trade talks with these mercantilist nations are consigned to the backburner.

    Moreover at times of tension, Pentagon officials inevitably take charge. As the East Asians have gleefully realized for generations, the Pentagon is a remarkably soft touch on trade, and in return for the merest hortatory support for its military objectives will pull the rug from under the most carefully conceived plans drawn up elsewhere in Washington to get East Asia to open up.

    The key to Trump’s strategy is China – or at least it should be. By propping up North Korea, China is heavily complicit in the present standoff.

    At this point there is probabally nothing that can be done to stop China dominating the world with its burgeoning economy, but by concentrating on trade Trump shows he understand better than the Pentagon where future military power comes from. If South Korea wants to be defended then it can pay for the privilege. Japan and Germany too.

  8. How tough are South Koreans? The k-pop phenom makes them seem like sissies; it actually shows a very disciplined machine and is emblematic of their society.

    How much do Us sanctions really matter when China is propping up NK so they don’t have US troops on the border? Seeing how the Norks were beat until the Chicoms entered the fight.

    How long would NK last without Chinese support?

    The irony is that a United Korea would be more a problem for Japan–remember memories of Japanese occupation and exploitation, than China. So it would likely further China’s geopolitical interests to see Korea united.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Bucky

    ROKs are like an eight year old kid's idea of masculinity, taken totally seriously, and then followed through on into middle age. I was once near a ROK marine base where every evening you could hear them going through kata en masse, like in the island establishing shots in Enter the Dragon (doesn't every base emit similar noise during physical training? Well, this was evening martial arts stuff on top of morning exercises, and it was a ways away). The detachment they offered to help us fight in Vietnam had to be held back because it kept winning. I would say that their general toughness is fine and unrelated to heavily overdesigned mass media acts.

    , @nebulafox
    @Bucky

    >How tough are South Koreans?

    Have you ever interacted with a ROKA non-com? Not to be messed with. It's why all the Korean dudes my age were so eager to become katusas.

    >How long would NK last without Chinese support?

    China does not control North Korea. But I think part of the reason young Kim has been willing to talk to Trump is because long-term he knows they can't have all their eggs in one basket as he tries to reconcile the family dictatorship and racial nationalism with Vietnamese style economic reforms in the long-haul.

    , @Bill B.
    @Bucky

    k-pop is probably grounded in a tougher world than might be imagined at first glance.

    A dancer here has a seizure on stage; the other dancers simply carry on around her writhing body.

    At 1' 30"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MTFrd-ORDIk

    Replies: @ThreeCranes

  9. Mike Tre [AKA "MikeatMikedotMike"] says:
    @Jack D
    @Mike Tre

    They are there as hostages to fortune and that makes them safe. Kim MIGHT take a chance on invading S. Korea but he knows that he is in no position to trigger a war with the United States.

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @anon1

    I’m not sure why you felt the need to point out the obvious. It’s not relevant to my point. If North Korea wants to invade South Korea, it’s not the affair of the US. We have no business there.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Mike Tre

    This is wrong. They're a long-established ally with unique technological importance and every square inch claimed by Norks falls under the ultimate control of Beijing. Within years after China controls that peninsula, there will be no smartphones outside their control: you will choose between a smartphone that includes ChiCom censorship and monitoring, an iffy experiment from the EFF, or no smartphone (which by the way is still an option).

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @anon1

  10. @Bucky
    How tough are South Koreans? The k-pop phenom makes them seem like sissies; it actually shows a very disciplined machine and is emblematic of their society.

    How much do Us sanctions really matter when China is propping up NK so they don't have US troops on the border? Seeing how the Norks were beat until the Chicoms entered the fight.

    How long would NK last without Chinese support?

    The irony is that a United Korea would be more a problem for Japan--remember memories of Japanese occupation and exploitation, than China. So it would likely further China's geopolitical interests to see Korea united.

    Replies: @J.Ross, @nebulafox, @Bill B.

    ROKs are like an eight year old kid’s idea of masculinity, taken totally seriously, and then followed through on into middle age. I was once near a ROK marine base where every evening you could hear them going through kata en masse, like in the island establishing shots in Enter the Dragon (doesn’t every base emit similar noise during physical training? Well, this was evening martial arts stuff on top of morning exercises, and it was a ways away). The detachment they offered to help us fight in Vietnam had to be held back because it kept winning. I would say that their general toughness is fine and unrelated to heavily overdesigned mass media acts.

  11. @Jack D
    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don't even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam - he had to take an ancient train across China. On paper they have a lot of tanks but they are mostly ancient (1950s) Russian and Chinese designs (T-54 variants) and who know whether they even work anymore. And however well they work now, it wouldn't be so hot after they were hit by modern anti-tank weapons since they lack depleted uranium armor and other modern defenses (and any effective air cover). They would do a little better than Saddam's tanks but it would still be grim. Nor could he expect to be re-supplied by the Chinese. It pays for the Pentagon to overestimate the Norks capabilities.


    And that doesn't seem to be where Kim's head is at - I think he is trying to figure out some way to catch up with the Vietnamese and Chinese model - maintain the his dictatorship but modernize the economy. Of course conquering S. Korea would be one way to get a lot of access to technology (at least whatever didn't get smashed in the invasion) but he must understand that his chances of pulling this off are slim to none.

    Replies: @Louis Renault, @istevefan, @dvorak

    I never heard of a country’s President dying in a train derailment. Plain crashes however,

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_heads_of_government_and_state_who_died_in_aviation_accidents_and_incidents

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Louis Renault

    The most powerful man in Poland thinks Putin engineered his identical twin brother's death in that terrible plane crash on the way to Katyn Forest.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Jack D, @J.Ross

    , @anon1
    @Louis Renault

    Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life. If anyone is interested in the fantatsic measures he took to protect himself see the book "Stalin's secret wars".

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

  12. @Mike Tre
    @Jack D

    I'm not sure why you felt the need to point out the obvious. It's not relevant to my point. If North Korea wants to invade South Korea, it's not the affair of the US. We have no business there.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    This is wrong. They’re a long-established ally with unique technological importance and every square inch claimed by Norks falls under the ultimate control of Beijing. Within years after China controls that peninsula, there will be no smartphones outside their control: you will choose between a smartphone that includes ChiCom censorship and monitoring, an iffy experiment from the EFF, or no smartphone (which by the way is still an option).

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @J.Ross

    Right, we've been occupying SK for almost 70 years in order to protect our cell phone interests. Who knew that South Korea is the key to taking over the entire world? Eisenhower had some foresight!

    Seriously though, your position is based on a premise that isn't established. You'll have to do a better job convincing me NK could defeat SK head to head, or that half the NK army wouldn't defect as soon as they had the chance, or that China is willing to risk intervening on the behalf of a country who's leader is known by most of the world as a clownish despot. Or that leaving a half dozen nukes behind for the SouK's wouldn't make the entire discussion mute anyway.

    I have long since grown tired of sacrificing our young (and purposely deceived) patriotic stock, as well as trillions of dollars, on endless imperialism and foreign warfare/occupation. Enough.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    , @anon1
    @J.Ross

    You lost any credibility you ever had with that ridiculous answer. That was quite possibly the stupidest thing i have ever read on the internet in all my life.

    Replies: @J.Ross

  13. @Louis Renault
    @Jack D

    I never heard of a country's President dying in a train derailment. Plain crashes however,

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_heads_of_government_and_state_who_died_in_aviation_accidents_and_incidents

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @anon1

    The most powerful man in Poland thinks Putin engineered his identical twin brother’s death in that terrible plane crash on the way to Katyn Forest.

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @Steve Sailer

    Yes and Putin tricked the Poles into loading up that plane with as many high ranking officials as they could. He also tricked the pilots into ignoring the control tower's instructions. Polish stubbornness had nothing to do with it.

    Replies: @The Alarmist

    , @Jack D
    @Steve Sailer

    I can see why he believes that as a matter of emotion. And if you are going to believe conspiracy theories concerning Russians, you will be right more often than wrt most conspiracy theories.

    But all the independent investigations pointed to (Polish) pilot error. This was a classic case of controlled flight into terrain - the pilots lost situational awareness and flew a perfectly good airplane (and the Tu-154 was actually a good plane - the crash that killed the Red Army choir was also due to pilot error and lost situational awareness) into the ground. This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) unless you do everything right, which is why good pilots train like crazy and follow rigorous procedures in order to reduce the chance of human error as much as possible. But the Polish Air Force unit flying the plane was found to have significant training deficiencies. For a Polish nationalist, that his brother's death was caused by the deficiencies of his fellow Poles must be doubly hard to accept.

    Replies: @The Alarmist, @Diversity Heretic

    , @J.Ross
    @Steve Sailer

    There's also people with nominally better intellectual qualifications and titles than "leader of the Poles" who still think Putin shot down that airliner which, alone in a tightly managed sky of jets, decided to take a shortcut over a warzone.

    Replies: @Jack D

  14. @Charles Pewitt
    South Korea and Japan should have nuclear weapons in their arsenals.

    Germany should have nuclear weapons too. Italians might get some nukes to keep the bankers at bay when the Italians default on their government debt and other nations and bankers start threatening them.

    The Dutch shouldn't ever have nukes. Same with the Scottish wackos.

    Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Joe Stalin, @nebulafox, @Buzz Mohawk, @Mike Tre

    The USA could offer to lease Trident missiles and launchers to SK and Japan if they develop their own thermonuclear weapons. They could then base these cold launch systems in a fixed or mobile mode. We already do this with the UK, and certainly Japan is as important as the UK.

  15. @Charles Pewitt
    South Korea and Japan should have nuclear weapons in their arsenals.

    Germany should have nuclear weapons too. Italians might get some nukes to keep the bankers at bay when the Italians default on their government debt and other nations and bankers start threatening them.

    The Dutch shouldn't ever have nukes. Same with the Scottish wackos.

    Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Joe Stalin, @nebulafox, @Buzz Mohawk, @Mike Tre

    >Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Ditto the South Koreans. It’s called “nuclear latency”. They’ve got the materials, tech and skilled work force to assemble a bomb within six months if they need to, and everybody knows it.

    • Agree: Jim Don Bob
    • Replies: @Diversity Heretic
    @nebulafox

    Back in the 90s, when I worked on Capitol Hill, a Department of Energy official told a group of us that the DOE estimate was that Japan could have a nuclear weapon within six weeks of a political decision to develop one.

  16. @Bucky
    How tough are South Koreans? The k-pop phenom makes them seem like sissies; it actually shows a very disciplined machine and is emblematic of their society.

    How much do Us sanctions really matter when China is propping up NK so they don't have US troops on the border? Seeing how the Norks were beat until the Chicoms entered the fight.

    How long would NK last without Chinese support?

    The irony is that a United Korea would be more a problem for Japan--remember memories of Japanese occupation and exploitation, than China. So it would likely further China's geopolitical interests to see Korea united.

    Replies: @J.Ross, @nebulafox, @Bill B.

    >How tough are South Koreans?

    Have you ever interacted with a ROKA non-com? Not to be messed with. It’s why all the Korean dudes my age were so eager to become katusas.

    >How long would NK last without Chinese support?

    China does not control North Korea. But I think part of the reason young Kim has been willing to talk to Trump is because long-term he knows they can’t have all their eggs in one basket as he tries to reconcile the family dictatorship and racial nationalism with Vietnamese style economic reforms in the long-haul.

  17. US-DPRK Mutual Defense Treaty.

    • Replies: @anon1
    @Redneck farmer

    "Mutual"?

    Are Korean soldiers standing guard in North Dakota to defend America from an attack from Canada? Are they deployed in Texas to repel an invasion from Mexico?

    Where is the "mutual" aspect?

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic

  18. istevefan says:

    From the Nork point of view, massive training exercises are the standard way to cover up a mobilization for an attack: “We’re not massing troops to invade you, we’re just massing troops for our annual training at stopping you from invading us.”

    Here’s a little trivia about the US invasion of Panama in December 1989. The US army had a base in Panama, Fort Sherman, that was used for jungle warfare training. So as part of the normal course of business US troops would regularly be flown to Panama for such training. Prior to the invasion units of soldiers were flown to Fort Sherman supposedly for such training. But they were never flown home. Instead new arrivals would come and bolster the number of troops at Fort Sherman. I don’t think the Panamanians realized the flights returning back to the USA were empty, and that the presence of US forces was increasing.

    Anyway by the time of the invasion on December 20, 1989, those forces were able to drive their vehicles off the base and were a crucial part of the takeover of Panama. There were other troops who parachuted in, but the troops who just drove out of Fort Sherman were very important to the operation.

    I suppose Panama was unique in that it hosted American bases which made the invasion that much easier. But I think the deception of flying in guys to “train”, but not flying them home was pretty sharp.

    • Replies: @Cagey Beast
    @istevefan

    It's worth comparing the Russian operation in Crimea (2014) with the American one in Panama.

    Replies: @istevefan

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @istevefan

    We've been a threat to Panama since Abraham Lincoln proposed releasing our entire African population there.

    , @Old Prude
    @istevefan

    Operation Just Cause. It went down when I was in Germany on Reforger. We called our activities "Operation Just Because". Years later I was talking with a Maine game warden who was a Ranger during the event. He had a good story about dopes from the Seventh Infantry, shooting off a round accidentally into the dirt, and and all the legs panicking and jumping into ditches, screaming "Sniper!" One guy, probably the platoon leader, got a broken leg when someone jumped on top of him. Real life ain't like the movies.

  19. istevefan says:
    @Jack D
    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don't even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam - he had to take an ancient train across China. On paper they have a lot of tanks but they are mostly ancient (1950s) Russian and Chinese designs (T-54 variants) and who know whether they even work anymore. And however well they work now, it wouldn't be so hot after they were hit by modern anti-tank weapons since they lack depleted uranium armor and other modern defenses (and any effective air cover). They would do a little better than Saddam's tanks but it would still be grim. Nor could he expect to be re-supplied by the Chinese. It pays for the Pentagon to overestimate the Norks capabilities.


    And that doesn't seem to be where Kim's head is at - I think he is trying to figure out some way to catch up with the Vietnamese and Chinese model - maintain the his dictatorship but modernize the economy. Of course conquering S. Korea would be one way to get a lot of access to technology (at least whatever didn't get smashed in the invasion) but he must understand that his chances of pulling this off are slim to none.

    Replies: @Louis Renault, @istevefan, @dvorak

    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don’t even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam – he had to take an ancient train across China.

    Kim’s dad was afraid to fly, but little Kim seems to want to ride in his armored train.

    As for aircraft capable of such a flight, their national carrier, Air Koryo, has a couple of somewhat modern Tu-204 airliners that should have been OK to use.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @istevefan

    For the Singapore summit he had to borrow one from China. Probably he didn't feel the Tupelovs were safe enough. But the optics of him coming out of the plane with "Air China" written on it were not good and he didn't want to repeat it.

    , @jim jones
    @istevefan

    Air Koryo is generally regarded as the worst airline in the World:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=g__aWSEGosI

  20. @Steve Sailer
    @Louis Renault

    The most powerful man in Poland thinks Putin engineered his identical twin brother's death in that terrible plane crash on the way to Katyn Forest.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Jack D, @J.Ross

    Yes and Putin tricked the Poles into loading up that plane with as many high ranking officials as they could. He also tricked the pilots into ignoring the control tower’s instructions. Polish stubbornness had nothing to do with it.

    • Replies: @The Alarmist
    @Cagey Beast


    "Yes and Putin tricked the Poles into loading up that plane with as many high ranking officials as they could. He also tricked the pilots into ignoring the control tower’s instructions. Polish stubbornness had nothing to do with it."
     
    After all that deviousness, he had to have people walking around the wreckage to shoot the survivors.
  21. @istevefan

    From the Nork point of view, massive training exercises are the standard way to cover up a mobilization for an attack: “We’re not massing troops to invade you, we’re just massing troops for our annual training at stopping you from invading us.”
     
    Here's a little trivia about the US invasion of Panama in December 1989. The US army had a base in Panama, Fort Sherman, that was used for jungle warfare training. So as part of the normal course of business US troops would regularly be flown to Panama for such training. Prior to the invasion units of soldiers were flown to Fort Sherman supposedly for such training. But they were never flown home. Instead new arrivals would come and bolster the number of troops at Fort Sherman. I don't think the Panamanians realized the flights returning back to the USA were empty, and that the presence of US forces was increasing.

    Anyway by the time of the invasion on December 20, 1989, those forces were able to drive their vehicles off the base and were a crucial part of the takeover of Panama. There were other troops who parachuted in, but the troops who just drove out of Fort Sherman were very important to the operation.

    I suppose Panama was unique in that it hosted American bases which made the invasion that much easier. But I think the deception of flying in guys to "train", but not flying them home was pretty sharp.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Reg Cæsar, @Old Prude

    It’s worth comparing the Russian operation in Crimea (2014) with the American one in Panama.

    • Replies: @istevefan
    @Cagey Beast

    Good point.

  22. @Steve Sailer
    @Louis Renault

    The most powerful man in Poland thinks Putin engineered his identical twin brother's death in that terrible plane crash on the way to Katyn Forest.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Jack D, @J.Ross

    I can see why he believes that as a matter of emotion. And if you are going to believe conspiracy theories concerning Russians, you will be right more often than wrt most conspiracy theories.

    But all the independent investigations pointed to (Polish) pilot error. This was a classic case of controlled flight into terrain – the pilots lost situational awareness and flew a perfectly good airplane (and the Tu-154 was actually a good plane – the crash that killed the Red Army choir was also due to pilot error and lost situational awareness) into the ground. This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) unless you do everything right, which is why good pilots train like crazy and follow rigorous procedures in order to reduce the chance of human error as much as possible. But the Polish Air Force unit flying the plane was found to have significant training deficiencies. For a Polish nationalist, that his brother’s death was caused by the deficiencies of his fellow Poles must be doubly hard to accept.

    • Replies: @The Alarmist
    @Jack D


    "This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) ...."
     
    My money is on Hillary and Mossad taking him down. John-John had enough time "under the hood" to make that flight with ease.

    Replies: @Jack D, @William Badwhite

    , @Diversity Heretic
    @Jack D

    John Kennedy Jr.'s crash was not controlled flight into terrain. It was continued visual flight into instrument meteorological conditions, spatial disorientation, and loss of control. Twilight flight over water in haze should only be done by instruments--it's very easy to lose the horizon.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

  23. : “We’re not massing troops to invade you, we’re just massing troops for our annual training at stopping you from invading us.”

    FDR to Japan, 1940: “We’re not instituting a peacetime draft for the first time in our history to invade your empire. We’re just preparing in case you invade our empire.”

    • Replies: @Redneck farmer
    @Reg Cæsar

    To be fair, FDR was more concerned about Germany than Japan at the time.

  24. @istevefan

    From the Nork point of view, massive training exercises are the standard way to cover up a mobilization for an attack: “We’re not massing troops to invade you, we’re just massing troops for our annual training at stopping you from invading us.”
     
    Here's a little trivia about the US invasion of Panama in December 1989. The US army had a base in Panama, Fort Sherman, that was used for jungle warfare training. So as part of the normal course of business US troops would regularly be flown to Panama for such training. Prior to the invasion units of soldiers were flown to Fort Sherman supposedly for such training. But they were never flown home. Instead new arrivals would come and bolster the number of troops at Fort Sherman. I don't think the Panamanians realized the flights returning back to the USA were empty, and that the presence of US forces was increasing.

    Anyway by the time of the invasion on December 20, 1989, those forces were able to drive their vehicles off the base and were a crucial part of the takeover of Panama. There were other troops who parachuted in, but the troops who just drove out of Fort Sherman were very important to the operation.

    I suppose Panama was unique in that it hosted American bases which made the invasion that much easier. But I think the deception of flying in guys to "train", but not flying them home was pretty sharp.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Reg Cæsar, @Old Prude

    We’ve been a threat to Panama since Abraham Lincoln proposed releasing our entire African population there.

  25. donut says:

    I lived in Venezuela in the 50’s I was 7-8 , the old man worked for Shell Oil . A blue five story apt. building all either Shell employees or contractors . The “road” in front was a dirt road . It seems odd now but I would just go and visit random adults , everybody knew everybody . I remember this white couple from Borneo , the husband was a joker , red hair . Doris Day on the stereo , but I remember this song :

    I was the only American in my class , it was all Brits and Dutch kids . The teachers were all Brits . My main teacher was always nice enough and as I have mentioned before she had a magnificent full untrimmed bush that would have won a prize if they gave out prizes for that sort of thing , mesh panties too . The music teacher once told me in front of the class that I was the stupidest boy she had ever known . A fair enough assessment in hindsight but rather unprofessional I think . No TV so it was the songs of the times or reading . There was this series of English Children’s books and Comic Classics , does anybody remember those ? “Man without a Country” , “Robinson Crusoe” , “A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur’s Court” , that sort of thing . My classmates had the prejudices of their parents . We used to play Soccer in the morning before school . Once I kicked a goal and the Dutch kid playing goalie between two trash cans called me some name . I grabbed him and threw him on the ground and an English kid jumped on my back . The principal came out and pulled me out of the pile and dragged me to the office for a whacking .
    There was this Italian American family living in the building . Real stereotypes with about 4-5 kids , the youngest was a toddler still in diapers , her ears were pierced , shocking . Her mother the irresponsible South Italian trash used to put her in a diaper and tell us to watch out for her . The kid used to take her diaper off first thing and wonder around wearing nothing but those little gold beads in her ears . One day this old local came down the drive holding the kid by her hand , naked except for her earrings , he had found her wandering about a half mile up the road , in a town with one traffic light , and gone door to door to find her home . At the bus stop in front of the building we would steal Mangoes from the tree where we waited , the Venezuelan family never complained .
    The seasons were water balloon season , to throw at cars . I hit a local in a truck one time and he hit the brakes and chased us , threw a rock at us , scared the shit out of us . Kite season when the local kids would make hexagonal kites out of sticks . There was another season when they would find especially tortuous shaped branches strip the bark from them and catch butterflies and squish them on to the branches to make colorful blossoms . They hunted iguanas all year round with slingshots . Man they were deadly shots with those slingshots . We lived in an apt. building but a lot of the Americans were living large in BIG ole houses with a small staff . There was the Buena Vista Swimming Club , my old man gave me a Bolivar to dive off the high board my second time up . I saw an animated version of “Animal Farm” on the roof projected on an outdoor screen . One slow day at the pool there was a little girl floating face down at the bottom of the deep end . Someone spotted her and they pulled her out and strapped her to this contraption that was like a seesaw stretcher combo . They rocked her back and forth , water spewed from her mouth , she started coughing and she was okay .
    The babysitter was a dusky local girl in her white uniform from work . Jet black hair .The poor girl just wanted to sleep but I wouldn’t let her . My folks would leave and I would come bounding out of my bedroom and jump on her on the sofa . Man I didn’t know what to do with it but I wanted to get close to it . The scent of her , her fragrance . I was ravenous , an intense , unbridled sexual desire , delicious . She made me go back to bed , despite my promises to be good .
    Two doors down from the apt. driveway was a local family 4-5 kids . I only knew a few phrases of Spanish and they knew even less English but I felt as much at home there as I did with my folks . I would go over and knock on the door and walk in . Freddy was the oldest one of the kids , he was in the eighth grade . So about 4-5 years older than me and his siblings , He looked out for all the younger kids . He wasn’t an aggressive Alpha . He was like Gary Cooper , he wasn’t bad but the bad didn’t f**k with him . When my folks decided to split up my old man flew me up to Ohio to unload me on his parents . At the airport he left me in the car by myself (can you imagine that today?) while he went in to do something . I’m just sitting there in my usual state of carelessness when suddenly there is someone at the window , it was Freddy , he had made his way across town to say goodbye and give me a present , a top . You know one of those tops you wrap a string around and throw on the ground . More of a heartfelt send off than I got from either my sire or my dam .
    That must be the reason I’m a NAZI at heart , if they were trying to kill Ramon they couldn’t have been all bad , you feel me ?

    • Replies: @Old Prude
    @donut

    Poor Donut. So lonely. It's like there's something missing...like he has an empty hole...right in the middle...

    Replies: @donut

    , @Corn
    @donut

    “My main teacher was always nice enough and as I have mentioned before she had a magnificent full untrimmed bush that would have won a prize”

    Dare I ask how you know this?

    Replies: @donut

    , @Kyle
    @donut

    That’s a fantastic story. Were you looking up the teachers skirt? How did you know that?

  26. Mike Tre [AKA "MikeatMikedotMike"] says:
    @J.Ross
    @Mike Tre

    This is wrong. They're a long-established ally with unique technological importance and every square inch claimed by Norks falls under the ultimate control of Beijing. Within years after China controls that peninsula, there will be no smartphones outside their control: you will choose between a smartphone that includes ChiCom censorship and monitoring, an iffy experiment from the EFF, or no smartphone (which by the way is still an option).

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @anon1

    Right, we’ve been occupying SK for almost 70 years in order to protect our cell phone interests. Who knew that South Korea is the key to taking over the entire world? Eisenhower had some foresight!

    Seriously though, your position is based on a premise that isn’t established. You’ll have to do a better job convincing me NK could defeat SK head to head, or that half the NK army wouldn’t defect as soon as they had the chance, or that China is willing to risk intervening on the behalf of a country who’s leader is known by most of the world as a clownish despot. Or that leaving a half dozen nukes behind for the SouK’s wouldn’t make the entire discussion mute anyway.

    I have long since grown tired of sacrificing our young (and purposely deceived) patriotic stock, as well as trillions of dollars, on endless imperialism and foreign warfare/occupation. Enough.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Mike Tre

    Smartphones didn't exist in the fifties, but they exist now. They're important: countries at the edge of smartphone technology can spy on other countries more effectively, and RoK is at the cutting edge of that. Given the recent kerfluffle where even the Georgetown graduates who run our government managed to comprehend that Huawei is not just a way to look at music videos, Korean phone technology falling into Chinese hands would be a bad thing.
    >but I'm tired of late stage imperialist adverturism
    Me too. Was there a gigantic nonconsensual aliyah recently? No? Then adventurism is still firmly on the menu.

    Replies: @Mike Tre

  27. @Steve Sailer
    @Louis Renault

    The most powerful man in Poland thinks Putin engineered his identical twin brother's death in that terrible plane crash on the way to Katyn Forest.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Jack D, @J.Ross

    There’s also people with nominally better intellectual qualifications and titles than “leader of the Poles” who still think Putin shot down that airliner which, alone in a tightly managed sky of jets, decided to take a shortcut over a warzone.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @J.Ross

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces - there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type. This is all well documented. So you can say it was shot down on Putin's orders. Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians - not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy - shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare. They obviously mistook the plane for a Ukrainian military jet. Stuff happens in warfare although Russians were not really supposed to be at war with Ukraine or be in that spot, but that's the Russian MO too - little green men and all that. I understand that too - to paraphrase Mao a war is not a dinner party.

    I don't understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He's not really your friend.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin, @J.Ross, @anon1, @inertial, @Cagey Beast

  28. @istevefan
    @Jack D


    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don’t even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam – he had to take an ancient train across China.
     
    Kim's dad was afraid to fly, but little Kim seems to want to ride in his armored train.

    As for aircraft capable of such a flight, their national carrier, Air Koryo, has a couple of somewhat modern Tu-204 airliners that should have been OK to use.

    Replies: @Jack D, @jim jones

    For the Singapore summit he had to borrow one from China. Probably he didn’t feel the Tupelovs were safe enough. But the optics of him coming out of the plane with “Air China” written on it were not good and he didn’t want to repeat it.

  29. Counted 38 Korean army divisions, 5 separate armored brigades, and 6 special forces brigades.

    2 Korean marine divisions and 2 marine brigades.

    We have 1 armored brigade that rotates in every 9 months.

    I assume our troops train at home then get beat up at Fort Irwin and continue training on their own in Korea.

    • Replies: @Hail
    @Goatweed

    A joke has long had it that the 'task' of the relatively small number of personnel in U.S. Forces Korea is "to die" (rather than to fight and win), their deaths thereby allowing the media to wave the bloody shirt and giving the President carte blanche as the rapid scale-up U.S. assets by a factor of at least 10 proceeds.

    With air power, etc., you don't necessarily need large, standing garrisons to win a war. You do need some serious U.S. casualties to get people behind an immediate war, though.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

  30. @Charles Pewitt
    South Korea and Japan should have nuclear weapons in their arsenals.

    Germany should have nuclear weapons too. Italians might get some nukes to keep the bankers at bay when the Italians default on their government debt and other nations and bankers start threatening them.

    The Dutch shouldn't ever have nukes. Same with the Scottish wackos.

    Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Joe Stalin, @nebulafox, @Buzz Mohawk, @Mike Tre

    A purely maniacal reading of Amendment II would guarantee all 330 million of us ‘Murkins the right to bear nuclear weapons. Mutually Assured Destruction would keep us all from harming each other. Makes as much sense as anything else at this point. I say go for it and watch the mousetraps flip.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Buzz Mohawk

    You have this right. You (and Russell Seitz) do not have proper storage. So at this time you cannot exercise it.

  31. @Buzz Mohawk
    @Charles Pewitt

    A purely maniacal reading of Amendment II would guarantee all 330 million of us 'Murkins the right to bear nuclear weapons. Mutually Assured Destruction would keep us all from harming each other. Makes as much sense as anything else at this point. I say go for it and watch the mousetraps flip.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nM-_XaBVneE

    Replies: @J.Ross

    You have this right. You (and Russell Seitz) do not have proper storage. So at this time you cannot exercise it.

  32. @J.Ross
    @Steve Sailer

    There's also people with nominally better intellectual qualifications and titles than "leader of the Poles" who still think Putin shot down that airliner which, alone in a tightly managed sky of jets, decided to take a shortcut over a warzone.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type. This is all well documented. So you can say it was shot down on Putin’s orders. Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy – shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare. They obviously mistook the plane for a Ukrainian military jet. Stuff happens in warfare although Russians were not really supposed to be at war with Ukraine or be in that spot, but that’s the Russian MO too – little green men and all that. I understand that too – to paraphrase Mao a war is not a dinner party.

    I don’t understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He’s not really your friend.

    • Replies: @Joe Stalin
    @Jack D

    " Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil."


    It was the morning of Sept. 1, 1983, and Lieut. Col. Gennadi Osipovich's unit had scrambled from its secret base on Sakhalin Island to intercept an intruder. After trailing the unidentified plane for more than 60 miles, the Soviet pilot zoomed alongside to get a look for himself.

    ''I was just next to him, on the same altitude, 150 meters to 200 meters away,'' he recalled in conversations with a reporter this weekend.

    From the flashing lights and the configuration of the windows, he recognized the aircraft as a civilian type of plane, he said.

    ''I saw two rows of windows and knew that this was a Boeing,'' he said. ''I knew this was a civilian plane. But for me this meant nothing. It is easy to turn a civilian type of plane into one for military use.''

    Minutes later, he fired two air-to-air missiles, sending Korean Air Lines Flight 007 crashing into the sea, killing 269 people and causing what President Boris N. Yeltsin has called the greatest tragedy of the cold war.

    A confirmed Communist who lives in the Caucasus region, Colonel Osipovich insists that the jetliner was on a spy mission and that there were no civilian passengers aboard. He even considers himself fortunate to have achieved a measure of celebrity by having destroyed Flight 007.

    For years, experts have debated whether the Soviet pilot was aware he was downing a civilian plane or had mistaken the 747 for an RC-135 American military reconnaissance plane.

    But Colonel Osipovich says he knew he had no doubts that he was dealing with a civilian plane and not an RC-135. Viewed through the prism of the cold war, the pilot treated the plane not as a lost commercial airliner, but as part of a nefarious mission against the Soviet homeland.

    Colonel Osipovich also disclosed that in the pressure of the moment, he did not provide a full-description of the intruder to Soviet ground controllers.

    ''I did not tell the ground that it was a Boeing-type plane,'' he recalled. ''They did not ask me.''

    He did, however, tell Soviet ground controllers that the plane had blinking lights on, which he says was an indication that it could be a transport plane.

    ''For us, that is everything,'' he said, recalling the order. ''It means that we just have to go up and kill someone.''

    Colonel Osipovich was directed toward the intruder and intercepted the plane about 95 miles from Soviet airspace. He maneuvered behind the plane and from a distance of 13 kilometers, nearly 8 miles, soon had him in his sights.

    ''It was huge,'' he said. ''I saw everything, including the blinking lights on top and bottom.''

    His first thought was that it was a Soviet transport plane being used to test the readiness of the air defense forces.

    ''I thought it was some kind of inspection because never before had I seen foreign planes fly with those blinking lights,'' he said. While American intelligence planes commonly flew along the Soviet periphery, Western commercial airlines never came close to the heavily militarized Soviet region, flying their passenger routes hundreds of miles away.

    Disputing reports that he urged his superiors to be cautious, Colonel Osipovich said he was prepared to shoot the plane down as soon as it crossed the border and still regrets that he was not allowed to do so.

    ''I asked the ground what to do,'' he said. ''They got scared and told me to force him to land, and this was our big mistake.''

    If the plane had crashed on Soviet territory, he said, the authorities would have recovered proof that it was on a spy mission.

    Zooming to his target, Colonel Osipovoich pulled his SU-15 jet alongside the lumbering 747 at an altitude of about 34,000 feet. The 747's double row of windows were visible, he said.

    But the Soviet pilot could not see inside the cockpit of the Korean plane or see passengers through the windows. Some experts believe that many of the shades over the windows would have been pulled down at that time of night.

    To try to force the plane down he fired his cannon three times, shooting off a total of 520 rounds. But the shells did not contain tracers and were not visible at night.

    He said the Korean pilots still should have seen the flashes from his gun and also noticed when the SU-15 flashed his lights. That, he said, was a signal to follow the Soviet interceptor to his base or risk destruction.

    ''I would have landed him on our airfield, and I wanted it very much,'' he said. ''Do you think I wanted to kill him? I would rather have shared a bottle with him.''

    But he did not try to use his radio to call, saying that there was no time and that the intruder would not have understood Russian.

    ''How can I talk with him?'' he said. ''You must know the language.''

    Colonel Osipovich says he used a standard procedure to insure that he was not shooting down a Soviet transport plane. His SU-15 fighter sent out electronic signals that would have brought a response from a Soviet plane identifying it as friendly.

    Western commercial airplanes are not equipped to respond to Soviet military signals, and no ''friendly'' response was received.

    At that point, the Soviets' big problem was no longer establishing the identify of the intruder, but rather time, he said. The intruder plane would soon have passed over Sakhalin Island and re-entered international airspace.

    Worried that the intruder might get away, the Soviet pilot became concerned when it slowed down to 350 knots, causing Colonel Osipovich's jet to overshoot its quarry.

    Colonel Osipovich viewed the slowdown as an indication that the Korean jet had seen him and was trying to evade his pursuit. Some experts believe that the Korean plane was simply beginning a planned ascent in accordance with its flight plan.

    But Colonel Osipovich insists that the 747 did not ascend or descend. In any event, he was ordered to shoot down the plane.

    Making a maneuver Russian pilots called the ''snake,'' he descended and pulled behind the intruder. He fired two missiles.

    ''Thank god, they hit,'' he recalled.

    When KAL 007 was shot down, it was only 20 to 25 seconds from reaching neutral territory, he said, which would have prevented the shootdown.

    For years, the pilot was precluded from talking to the press. He was made the navigator of a regiment and had another brush with danger when an engine failure force him to eject, hurting his back and making it difficult to fly. He left the military in 1986 with little fanfare.

    Now 52, with a thick shock of white hair, Colonel Osipovich, like many former military men, relies on a small pension, some $150 a month, he said.

    But with the Government strapped for cash, he said he could not recall the last time he received his pension, and he depends on his small garden plot for food. Cucumbers are one of his staples.

    He is still treated with respect. At a recent seminar in Moscow sponsored by the left-leaning newspaper Trud, which organized Colonel Osipovich's trip to the capital, the former pilot was toasted at a reception.

    Poor, and vilified in most of the Western world, he is proud of his fame, which still brings numerous interview requests.

    Downing a glass of vodka, he told a visitor, ''I am a lucky guy.''

    https://www.nytimes.com/1996/12/09/world/ex-soviet-pilot-still-insists-kal-007-was-spying.html
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Jack D

    , @J.Ross
    @Jack D

    A "regular" path (a year prior?) which other flights were being told to avoid, and which they did avoid, what with there being a war there.

    , @anon1
    @Jack D

    They were flying on a regular international flight path...

    Not true at all. They were flying over what was essentially a war zone. An extremely retarded thing to do.

    As for Putin he is neither a friend or an enemy.

    , @inertial
    @Jack D


    It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type.
     
    The opposite is true. There were several Ukrainian Buks in the vicinity. Plenty of photo and video evidence for that, and the Ukrainian government never denied it. The rebels managed to capture one Buk but it was non functioning, according to the Ukrainians.

    So what's the Ukrainian and the Western official version of how MH17 was shot down? (Note that it's rarely explicitly spelled out in the West because it sounds retarded when you do.) Russian army smuggled a Buk and its crew into Ukraine without anyone noticing, deliberately shot down the plane, and then disappeared across the border. And why would the Russians do it? Because RussiaPutinKremlin; do you need any other explanation?

    Incidentally, Ukrainian government refused to provide the radar data that could've shown where the missile came from. They claim that all the radar stations in the area were down for maintenance that day, which is totally not suspicious.

    Replies: @Jack D, @J.Ross

    , @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type.

    Apart from the Ukrainian military.

    Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy – shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare.

    Says a patriotic American. Do you have any sense of how notorious your military is for:

    A: Gratuitous use of force on civilians?
    B: Friendly fire incidents?

    Also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655

    I don’t understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He’s not really your friend.

    Putin and the rest of the Russian government don't want to abolish us as a people. The same cannot be said of our ruling class in the West.

    Replies: @Jack D

  33. @Cagey Beast
    @istevefan

    It's worth comparing the Russian operation in Crimea (2014) with the American one in Panama.

    Replies: @istevefan

    Good point.

  34. @Jack D
    @J.Ross

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces - there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type. This is all well documented. So you can say it was shot down on Putin's orders. Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians - not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy - shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare. They obviously mistook the plane for a Ukrainian military jet. Stuff happens in warfare although Russians were not really supposed to be at war with Ukraine or be in that spot, but that's the Russian MO too - little green men and all that. I understand that too - to paraphrase Mao a war is not a dinner party.

    I don't understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He's not really your friend.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin, @J.Ross, @anon1, @inertial, @Cagey Beast

    ” Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil.”

    It was the morning of Sept. 1, 1983, and Lieut. Col. Gennadi Osipovich’s unit had scrambled from its secret base on Sakhalin Island to intercept an intruder. After trailing the unidentified plane for more than 60 miles, the Soviet pilot zoomed alongside to get a look for himself.

    ”I was just next to him, on the same altitude, 150 meters to 200 meters away,” he recalled in conversations with a reporter this weekend.

    From the flashing lights and the configuration of the windows, he recognized the aircraft as a civilian type of plane, he said.

    ”I saw two rows of windows and knew that this was a Boeing,” he said. ”I knew this was a civilian plane. But for me this meant nothing. It is easy to turn a civilian type of plane into one for military use.”

    Minutes later, he fired two air-to-air missiles, sending Korean Air Lines Flight 007 crashing into the sea, killing 269 people and causing what President Boris N. Yeltsin has called the greatest tragedy of the cold war.

    A confirmed Communist who lives in the Caucasus region, Colonel Osipovich insists that the jetliner was on a spy mission and that there were no civilian passengers aboard. He even considers himself fortunate to have achieved a measure of celebrity by having destroyed Flight 007.

    For years, experts have debated whether the Soviet pilot was aware he was downing a civilian plane or had mistaken the 747 for an RC-135 American military reconnaissance plane.

    But Colonel Osipovich says he knew he had no doubts that he was dealing with a civilian plane and not an RC-135. Viewed through the prism of the cold war, the pilot treated the plane not as a lost commercial airliner, but as part of a nefarious mission against the Soviet homeland.

    Colonel Osipovich also disclosed that in the pressure of the moment, he did not provide a full-description of the intruder to Soviet ground controllers.

    ”I did not tell the ground that it was a Boeing-type plane,” he recalled. ”They did not ask me.”

    He did, however, tell Soviet ground controllers that the plane had blinking lights on, which he says was an indication that it could be a transport plane.

    ”For us, that is everything,” he said, recalling the order. ”It means that we just have to go up and kill someone.”

    Colonel Osipovich was directed toward the intruder and intercepted the plane about 95 miles from Soviet airspace. He maneuvered behind the plane and from a distance of 13 kilometers, nearly 8 miles, soon had him in his sights.

    ”It was huge,” he said. ”I saw everything, including the blinking lights on top and bottom.”

    His first thought was that it was a Soviet transport plane being used to test the readiness of the air defense forces.

    ”I thought it was some kind of inspection because never before had I seen foreign planes fly with those blinking lights,” he said. While American intelligence planes commonly flew along the Soviet periphery, Western commercial airlines never came close to the heavily militarized Soviet region, flying their passenger routes hundreds of miles away.

    Disputing reports that he urged his superiors to be cautious, Colonel Osipovich said he was prepared to shoot the plane down as soon as it crossed the border and still regrets that he was not allowed to do so.

    ”I asked the ground what to do,” he said. ”They got scared and told me to force him to land, and this was our big mistake.”

    If the plane had crashed on Soviet territory, he said, the authorities would have recovered proof that it was on a spy mission.

    Zooming to his target, Colonel Osipovoich pulled his SU-15 jet alongside the lumbering 747 at an altitude of about 34,000 feet. The 747’s double row of windows were visible, he said.

    But the Soviet pilot could not see inside the cockpit of the Korean plane or see passengers through the windows. Some experts believe that many of the shades over the windows would have been pulled down at that time of night.

    To try to force the plane down he fired his cannon three times, shooting off a total of 520 rounds. But the shells did not contain tracers and were not visible at night.

    He said the Korean pilots still should have seen the flashes from his gun and also noticed when the SU-15 flashed his lights. That, he said, was a signal to follow the Soviet interceptor to his base or risk destruction.

    ”I would have landed him on our airfield, and I wanted it very much,” he said. ”Do you think I wanted to kill him? I would rather have shared a bottle with him.”

    But he did not try to use his radio to call, saying that there was no time and that the intruder would not have understood Russian.

    ”How can I talk with him?” he said. ”You must know the language.”

    Colonel Osipovich says he used a standard procedure to insure that he was not shooting down a Soviet transport plane. His SU-15 fighter sent out electronic signals that would have brought a response from a Soviet plane identifying it as friendly.

    Western commercial airplanes are not equipped to respond to Soviet military signals, and no ”friendly” response was received.

    At that point, the Soviets’ big problem was no longer establishing the identify of the intruder, but rather time, he said. The intruder plane would soon have passed over Sakhalin Island and re-entered international airspace.

    Worried that the intruder might get away, the Soviet pilot became concerned when it slowed down to 350 knots, causing Colonel Osipovich’s jet to overshoot its quarry.

    Colonel Osipovich viewed the slowdown as an indication that the Korean jet had seen him and was trying to evade his pursuit. Some experts believe that the Korean plane was simply beginning a planned ascent in accordance with its flight plan.

    But Colonel Osipovich insists that the 747 did not ascend or descend. In any event, he was ordered to shoot down the plane.

    Making a maneuver Russian pilots called the ”snake,” he descended and pulled behind the intruder. He fired two missiles.

    ”Thank god, they hit,” he recalled.

    When KAL 007 was shot down, it was only 20 to 25 seconds from reaching neutral territory, he said, which would have prevented the shootdown.

    For years, the pilot was precluded from talking to the press. He was made the navigator of a regiment and had another brush with danger when an engine failure force him to eject, hurting his back and making it difficult to fly. He left the military in 1986 with little fanfare.

    Now 52, with a thick shock of white hair, Colonel Osipovich, like many former military men, relies on a small pension, some $150 a month, he said.

    But with the Government strapped for cash, he said he could not recall the last time he received his pension, and he depends on his small garden plot for food. Cucumbers are one of his staples.

    He is still treated with respect. At a recent seminar in Moscow sponsored by the left-leaning newspaper Trud, which organized Colonel Osipovich’s trip to the capital, the former pilot was toasted at a reception.

    Poor, and vilified in most of the Western world, he is proud of his fame, which still brings numerous interview requests.

    Downing a glass of vodka, he told a visitor, ”I am a lucky guy.”

    https://www.nytimes.com/1996/12/09/world/ex-soviet-pilot-still-insists-kal-007-was-spying.html

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Joe Stalin

    The Korean airliner in 1983 crossed Soviet airspace twice, and was shot down the second time.

    Russians screw up a lot (I had a chance to fly back to America from Ireland in 1994 on Aeroflot when my Aer Lingus Irish aircrew had to cancel a 747 flight because they were still drunk from celebrating Ireland's victory over Italy in the World Cup, but no way was I going to risk my neck in a semi-Soviet airline), so you have to be careful around them. The Koreans screwed up massively and their passengers paid the price.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

    , @Jack D
    @Joe Stalin

    Col. Osopovich is probably dead now - he would be past the average life expectancy of a Russian man and he clearly liked his vodka. Even Osopovich said that he didn't think the plane was loaded with civilians, just that it was a civilian type on a spy mission. The next level of rationalization is to say that the evil capitalists PURPOSELY sent a plane loaded with civilians on a spy mission in order to make Russia look bad. Russians don't need any help looking bad - they are very good at this on their own.

  35. Can i not care? Good, cause i don’t.

    Seems like Trump has put more effort toward these useless dog-n-ponys with Kim III than with dealing with the single issue that actually matters to the sort of future my kids and their descendants will have–the flood of foreigners into the US. Which just happens to be the issue that got Trump the Republican nomination and won him the election.

    • Replies: @Old Prude
    @AnotherDad

    Agree. (Blasted website won't give me the buttons).

    , @Diversity Heretic
    @AnotherDad

    Agreed! And to top it off, the Trump Administration just extended "Temporary" Protected Status for another bunch of Third World oompah-loompahs. And I keep reading that Jared Kushner is working on some "compromise" to let the DACA criminal infiltrators stay. The Trump Administration is by this stage hopeless.

  36. @Jack D
    @J.Ross

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces - there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type. This is all well documented. So you can say it was shot down on Putin's orders. Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians - not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy - shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare. They obviously mistook the plane for a Ukrainian military jet. Stuff happens in warfare although Russians were not really supposed to be at war with Ukraine or be in that spot, but that's the Russian MO too - little green men and all that. I understand that too - to paraphrase Mao a war is not a dinner party.

    I don't understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He's not really your friend.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin, @J.Ross, @anon1, @inertial, @Cagey Beast

    A “regular” path (a year prior?) which other flights were being told to avoid, and which they did avoid, what with there being a war there.

  37. @istevefan
    @Jack D


    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don’t even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam – he had to take an ancient train across China.
     
    Kim's dad was afraid to fly, but little Kim seems to want to ride in his armored train.

    As for aircraft capable of such a flight, their national carrier, Air Koryo, has a couple of somewhat modern Tu-204 airliners that should have been OK to use.

    Replies: @Jack D, @jim jones

    Air Koryo is generally regarded as the worst airline in the World:

  38. @Mike Tre
    @J.Ross

    Right, we've been occupying SK for almost 70 years in order to protect our cell phone interests. Who knew that South Korea is the key to taking over the entire world? Eisenhower had some foresight!

    Seriously though, your position is based on a premise that isn't established. You'll have to do a better job convincing me NK could defeat SK head to head, or that half the NK army wouldn't defect as soon as they had the chance, or that China is willing to risk intervening on the behalf of a country who's leader is known by most of the world as a clownish despot. Or that leaving a half dozen nukes behind for the SouK's wouldn't make the entire discussion mute anyway.

    I have long since grown tired of sacrificing our young (and purposely deceived) patriotic stock, as well as trillions of dollars, on endless imperialism and foreign warfare/occupation. Enough.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    Smartphones didn’t exist in the fifties, but they exist now. They’re important: countries at the edge of smartphone technology can spy on other countries more effectively, and RoK is at the cutting edge of that. Given the recent kerfluffle where even the Georgetown graduates who run our government managed to comprehend that Huawei is not just a way to look at music videos, Korean phone technology falling into Chinese hands would be a bad thing.
    >but I’m tired of late stage imperialist adverturism
    Me too. Was there a gigantic nonconsensual aliyah recently? No? Then adventurism is still firmly on the menu.

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @J.Ross

    "Was there a gigantic nonconsensual aliyah recently? No? Then adventurism is still firmly on the menu."

    Thanks for the laugh. But yes I am aware of the difference between what is and what should be.

    If the US ever found itself in a position to return its military forces home, I like to think it would have the ingenuity to properly address the cell phone issue you are concerned with, one way or another.

  39. Trump should tell Kim, either denuclearize or we pull All troops out of South Korea. That would get his attention. Our options then would be greatly increased since there would be almost nothing he could do to hurt us.

  40. @Mike Tre
    Still waiting for the US to remove its 27000 troops from South Korea (most along the DMZ) and return them home. The US has no business there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @anon1, @Hail

    Agree 100%. America should have left long ago.

  41. “For example, Georgia’s invasion of Russian-allied South Ossetia on August 7-8, 2008 was preceded by a joint US-Georgia war game, Immediate Response 2008, from July 15-30, 2008, with 1,000 U.S. troops flying in to Georgia to participate.”

    I agree with the point about the war game. However, South Ossetia isn’t some independent country. It’s part of Georgia in which Russia sponsored a secessionist movement in order to have a puppet on Georgian sovereign territory. Georgia can’t “invade” itself.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @For what it's worth

    I think it's kind of like the Yom Kippur War of 1973. Did Egypt invade itself by crossing the Suez Canal into the Sinai which Israel had occupied since 1967? Did Syria invade itself by invading the Golan Heights?

    Russia and Georgia signed a treaty in 1993 over South Ossetia setting up international observers on the South Ossetia-Georgia border. (Georgia withdrew from the treaty earlier in 2008). I think that gives Russia more international legitimacy in defending South Ossetia than Israel had in defending its 1967 conquests in 1973. But I also think Israel had the right to defend its conquests in 1973.

    On the other hand, some Israeli leaders like Dayan panicked in 1973 and thought Israel itself was desperately threatened. (Sharon kept his head and improvised magnificently.) Russia proper was hardly threatened by Georgia, due to the size differential and the gigantic mountain range in the way. So you could argue it the other way too.

    , @Cagey Beast
    @For what it's worth

    The Russian troops attacked in South Ossetia were there under treaty as peacekeepers.

  42. @Jack D
    @Mike Tre

    They are there as hostages to fortune and that makes them safe. Kim MIGHT take a chance on invading S. Korea but he knows that he is in no position to trigger a war with the United States.

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @anon1

    “Kim might take a chance on invading S. Korea…”

    SO WHAT? How is that America’s problem anymore then Mexico or Canada?

  43. @Louis Renault
    @Jack D

    I never heard of a country's President dying in a train derailment. Plain crashes however,

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_heads_of_government_and_state_who_died_in_aviation_accidents_and_incidents

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @anon1

    Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life. If anyone is interested in the fantatsic measures he took to protect himself see the book “Stalin’s secret wars”.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @anon1

    "Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life."

    That's interesting. Civilian flying in Stalin's day, especially in Russia with its high accident rates, was really really dangerous by modern standards

    I bet, in contrast, that Hitler liked to fly. Stalin was a worrywart, Hitler was a "What's the worst that could happen?" kind of guy.

    Replies: @inertial, @Jack D, @nebulafox, @anon1

  44. @J.Ross
    @Mike Tre

    This is wrong. They're a long-established ally with unique technological importance and every square inch claimed by Norks falls under the ultimate control of Beijing. Within years after China controls that peninsula, there will be no smartphones outside their control: you will choose between a smartphone that includes ChiCom censorship and monitoring, an iffy experiment from the EFF, or no smartphone (which by the way is still an option).

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @anon1

    You lost any credibility you ever had with that ridiculous answer. That was quite possibly the stupidest thing i have ever read on the internet in all my life.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @anon1

    Well at least somebody's resisting the urge to keep up with the Duck.
    I think this is totally sound. I don't see this happening any time soon, but if the Chinese could pull it off I think they'd try. It's easier without the loud invasion (that is, using spies) and it could be avoided by having a modicum of nationalism and technical ability, but the Chinese pie in the sky goal is to be like we were in the aftermath of WWII: no need to conquer because you need and want their stuff.

  45. @Redneck farmer
    US-DPRK Mutual Defense Treaty.

    Replies: @anon1

    “Mutual”?

    Are Korean soldiers standing guard in North Dakota to defend America from an attack from Canada? Are they deployed in Texas to repel an invasion from Mexico?

    Where is the “mutual” aspect?

    • Replies: @Diversity Heretic
    @anon1

    Putting Koreans on the Mexican border has a real appeal to me.

  46. @Jack D
    @J.Ross

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces - there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type. This is all well documented. So you can say it was shot down on Putin's orders. Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians - not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy - shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare. They obviously mistook the plane for a Ukrainian military jet. Stuff happens in warfare although Russians were not really supposed to be at war with Ukraine or be in that spot, but that's the Russian MO too - little green men and all that. I understand that too - to paraphrase Mao a war is not a dinner party.

    I don't understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He's not really your friend.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin, @J.Ross, @anon1, @inertial, @Cagey Beast

    They were flying on a regular international flight path…

    Not true at all. They were flying over what was essentially a war zone. An extremely retarded thing to do.

    As for Putin he is neither a friend or an enemy.

  47. Anonymous[190] • Disclaimer says:

    I was pretty interested in that weird little war at the time it happened, but I never heard about the US involvement in the training exercise that preceded it until years later. And I’ve never seen any discussion in the U.S. media of whether U.S. officials knew what the Georgians, whom the Bush Administration had recently sponsored for NATO membership, were going to do a week and a half later.

    I suspected for years that somebody in Washington had put Sakashvilli up to that stupid attack on S. Ossetia, but now I’m really suspicious. I had never heard that bit about our having conducted a ‘drill’ with them just before the attack. Figures …

    • Replies: @Hail
    @Anonymous


    Sakashvilli
     
    Is he still living as a stateless, homeless person somewhere in the Netherlands, or have I been misinformed?

    Replies: @J.Ross

  48. @Reg Cæsar

    : “We’re not massing troops to invade you, we’re just massing troops for our annual training at stopping you from invading us.”
     
    FDR to Japan, 1940: "We're not instituting a peacetime draft for the first time in our history to invade your empire. We're just preparing in case you invade our empire."

    Replies: @Redneck farmer

    To be fair, FDR was more concerned about Germany than Japan at the time.

  49. @donut
    I lived in Venezuela in the 50's I was 7-8 , the old man worked for Shell Oil . A blue five story apt. building all either Shell employees or contractors . The "road" in front was a dirt road . It seems odd now but I would just go and visit random adults , everybody knew everybody . I remember this white couple from Borneo , the husband was a joker , red hair . Doris Day on the stereo , but I remember this song :

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GOAH9X7gIYQ



    I was the only American in my class , it was all Brits and Dutch kids . The teachers were all Brits . My main teacher was always nice enough and as I have mentioned before she had a magnificent full untrimmed bush that would have won a prize if they gave out prizes for that sort of thing , mesh panties too . The music teacher once told me in front of the class that I was the stupidest boy she had ever known . A fair enough assessment in hindsight but rather unprofessional I think . No TV so it was the songs of the times or reading . There was this series of English Children's books and Comic Classics , does anybody remember those ? "Man without a Country" , "Robinson Crusoe" , "A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court" , that sort of thing . My classmates had the prejudices of their parents . We used to play Soccer in the morning before school . Once I kicked a goal and the Dutch kid playing goalie between two trash cans called me some name . I grabbed him and threw him on the ground and an English kid jumped on my back . The principal came out and pulled me out of the pile and dragged me to the office for a whacking .
    There was this Italian American family living in the building . Real stereotypes with about 4-5 kids , the youngest was a toddler still in diapers , her ears were pierced , shocking . Her mother the irresponsible South Italian trash used to put her in a diaper and tell us to watch out for her . The kid used to take her diaper off first thing and wonder around wearing nothing but those little gold beads in her ears . One day this old local came down the drive holding the kid by her hand , naked except for her earrings , he had found her wandering about a half mile up the road , in a town with one traffic light , and gone door to door to find her home . At the bus stop in front of the building we would steal Mangoes from the tree where we waited , the Venezuelan family never complained .
    The seasons were water balloon season , to throw at cars . I hit a local in a truck one time and he hit the brakes and chased us , threw a rock at us , scared the shit out of us . Kite season when the local kids would make hexagonal kites out of sticks . There was another season when they would find especially tortuous shaped branches strip the bark from them and catch butterflies and squish them on to the branches to make colorful blossoms . They hunted iguanas all year round with slingshots . Man they were deadly shots with those slingshots . We lived in an apt. building but a lot of the Americans were living large in BIG ole houses with a small staff . There was the Buena Vista Swimming Club , my old man gave me a Bolivar to dive off the high board my second time up . I saw an animated version of "Animal Farm" on the roof projected on an outdoor screen . One slow day at the pool there was a little girl floating face down at the bottom of the deep end . Someone spotted her and they pulled her out and strapped her to this contraption that was like a seesaw stretcher combo . They rocked her back and forth , water spewed from her mouth , she started coughing and she was okay .
    The babysitter was a dusky local girl in her white uniform from work . Jet black hair .The poor girl just wanted to sleep but I wouldn't let her . My folks would leave and I would come bounding out of my bedroom and jump on her on the sofa . Man I didn't know what to do with it but I wanted to get close to it . The scent of her , her fragrance . I was ravenous , an intense , unbridled sexual desire , delicious . She made me go back to bed , despite my promises to be good .
    Two doors down from the apt. driveway was a local family 4-5 kids . I only knew a few phrases of Spanish and they knew even less English but I felt as much at home there as I did with my folks . I would go over and knock on the door and walk in . Freddy was the oldest one of the kids , he was in the eighth grade . So about 4-5 years older than me and his siblings , He looked out for all the younger kids . He wasn't an aggressive Alpha . He was like Gary Cooper , he wasn't bad but the bad didn't f**k with him . When my folks decided to split up my old man flew me up to Ohio to unload me on his parents . At the airport he left me in the car by myself (can you imagine that today?) while he went in to do something . I'm just sitting there in my usual state of carelessness when suddenly there is someone at the window , it was Freddy , he had made his way across town to say goodbye and give me a present , a top . You know one of those tops you wrap a string around and throw on the ground . More of a heartfelt send off than I got from either my sire or my dam .
    That must be the reason I'm a NAZI at heart , if they were trying to kill Ramon they couldn't have been all bad , you feel me ?

    Replies: @Old Prude, @Corn, @Kyle

    Poor Donut. So lonely. It’s like there’s something missing…like he has an empty hole…right in the middle…

    • Replies: @donut
    @Old Prude

    I just reread my post . I don't know why you would think or say that . The time we lived in Venezuela is really one of the happiest memories I have . Although "like he has an empty hole…right in the middle…" while an obvious shot , it was a good one , you should have saved it . Maybe being an Old Prude you were offended by the bits about my teacher's (I can't help it) magnificent , prize winning , full untrimmed bush (oh , God I'll have to take a moment) , or perhaps the bits about the dusky , fragrant baby sitter that after more than seven decades still revives in me three of the seven deadly sins , to wit : lust , greed and gluttony . If it will give you any comfort I also have sloth and wrath checked off as well .

    See you in Hell ,

    your humble servant

    donut .

    Replies: @Old Prude

  50. @istevefan

    From the Nork point of view, massive training exercises are the standard way to cover up a mobilization for an attack: “We’re not massing troops to invade you, we’re just massing troops for our annual training at stopping you from invading us.”
     
    Here's a little trivia about the US invasion of Panama in December 1989. The US army had a base in Panama, Fort Sherman, that was used for jungle warfare training. So as part of the normal course of business US troops would regularly be flown to Panama for such training. Prior to the invasion units of soldiers were flown to Fort Sherman supposedly for such training. But they were never flown home. Instead new arrivals would come and bolster the number of troops at Fort Sherman. I don't think the Panamanians realized the flights returning back to the USA were empty, and that the presence of US forces was increasing.

    Anyway by the time of the invasion on December 20, 1989, those forces were able to drive their vehicles off the base and were a crucial part of the takeover of Panama. There were other troops who parachuted in, but the troops who just drove out of Fort Sherman were very important to the operation.

    I suppose Panama was unique in that it hosted American bases which made the invasion that much easier. But I think the deception of flying in guys to "train", but not flying them home was pretty sharp.

    Replies: @Cagey Beast, @Reg Cæsar, @Old Prude

    Operation Just Cause. It went down when I was in Germany on Reforger. We called our activities “Operation Just Because”. Years later I was talking with a Maine game warden who was a Ranger during the event. He had a good story about dopes from the Seventh Infantry, shooting off a round accidentally into the dirt, and and all the legs panicking and jumping into ditches, screaming “Sniper!” One guy, probably the platoon leader, got a broken leg when someone jumped on top of him. Real life ain’t like the movies.

  51. @Bucky
    How tough are South Koreans? The k-pop phenom makes them seem like sissies; it actually shows a very disciplined machine and is emblematic of their society.

    How much do Us sanctions really matter when China is propping up NK so they don't have US troops on the border? Seeing how the Norks were beat until the Chicoms entered the fight.

    How long would NK last without Chinese support?

    The irony is that a United Korea would be more a problem for Japan--remember memories of Japanese occupation and exploitation, than China. So it would likely further China's geopolitical interests to see Korea united.

    Replies: @J.Ross, @nebulafox, @Bill B.

    k-pop is probably grounded in a tougher world than might be imagined at first glance.

    A dancer here has a seizure on stage; the other dancers simply carry on around her writhing body.

    At 1′ 30″

    • Replies: @ThreeCranes
    @Bill B.

    Probably the strobe lights did it. What modern cinema does to me. I like the way the stretcher bearers drag her body off the set. True professionalism. The show must go on!

  52. @AnotherDad
    Can i not care? Good, cause i don't.

    Seems like Trump has put more effort toward these useless dog-n-ponys with Kim III than with dealing with the single issue that actually matters to the sort of future my kids and their descendants will have--the flood of foreigners into the US. Which just happens to be the issue that got Trump the Republican nomination and won him the election.

    Replies: @Old Prude, @Diversity Heretic

    Agree. (Blasted website won’t give me the buttons).

  53. @Cagey Beast
    @Steve Sailer

    Yes and Putin tricked the Poles into loading up that plane with as many high ranking officials as they could. He also tricked the pilots into ignoring the control tower's instructions. Polish stubbornness had nothing to do with it.

    Replies: @The Alarmist

    “Yes and Putin tricked the Poles into loading up that plane with as many high ranking officials as they could. He also tricked the pilots into ignoring the control tower’s instructions. Polish stubbornness had nothing to do with it.”

    After all that deviousness, he had to have people walking around the wreckage to shoot the survivors.

  54. @Jack D
    @Steve Sailer

    I can see why he believes that as a matter of emotion. And if you are going to believe conspiracy theories concerning Russians, you will be right more often than wrt most conspiracy theories.

    But all the independent investigations pointed to (Polish) pilot error. This was a classic case of controlled flight into terrain - the pilots lost situational awareness and flew a perfectly good airplane (and the Tu-154 was actually a good plane - the crash that killed the Red Army choir was also due to pilot error and lost situational awareness) into the ground. This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) unless you do everything right, which is why good pilots train like crazy and follow rigorous procedures in order to reduce the chance of human error as much as possible. But the Polish Air Force unit flying the plane was found to have significant training deficiencies. For a Polish nationalist, that his brother's death was caused by the deficiencies of his fellow Poles must be doubly hard to accept.

    Replies: @The Alarmist, @Diversity Heretic

    “This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) ….”

    My money is on Hillary and Mossad taking him down. John-John had enough time “under the hood” to make that flight with ease.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @The Alarmist

    Again with the conspiracy theories. No one gave a damn about John John. He was not the sharpest knife in the drawer. Smarter pilots did not fly that day. There are old pilots and bold pilots but no old, bold pilots.

    Replies: @The Alarmist, @Jim Don Bob

    , @William Badwhite
    @The Alarmist


    My money is on Hillary and Mossad taking him down. John-John had enough time “under the hood” to make that flight with ease.
     
    Citation needed - how much time did he have "under the hood", and how recently?

    It was a typical summer day there - hazy. The combination of haze and being over water led to him not having a visible horizon to reference. Its very easy to become disoriented in such a situation, your inner ear lies to you, tells you you are descending or turning or climbing, etc when you are not and it's easy to have the urge to correct for what isn't happening and fairly soon you've departed controlled flight.

    Fortunately for "John-John" virtually all airplanes have artificial horizons in the cockpit. Flying by reference to one is a basic part of primary flight training. It is not difficult at all. You just have to do it when the conditions warrant.

    Unfortunately for him and for the women he killed (killing women while acting stupidly seems to be a Kennedy thing) he was incompetent. That also seems to be a Kennedy thing.
  55. The real issue for the Norks is that these military drills coincide with planting and harvest season, the Norks have to call up their conscripts when they are needed in the fields.

    https://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/04/the-reason-behind-north-koreas-nuclear-program-and-its-offer-to-end-it.html

    Each time the U.S. and South Korea launch their very large maneuvers, the North Korean conscription army (1.2 million strong) has to go into a high state of defense readiness. Large maneuvers are a classic starting point for military attacks. The U.S.-South Korean maneuvers are (intentionally) held during the planting (April/May) or harvesting (August) season for rice when North Korea needs each and every hand in its few arable areas. Only 17% of the northern landmass is usable for agriculture and the climate in not favorable. The cropping season is short. Seeding and harvesting days require peak labor.

    The southern maneuvers directly threaten the nutritional self-sufficiency of North Korea. In the later 1990s they were one of the reasons behind a severe famine. (Lack of hydrocarbons and fertilizer due to sanctions as well as a too rigid economic system were other main reasons.)

    I watched Michael Palin visit North Korea recently, they are more advanced, as you would expect with their IQ, but there was a lot of drunkenness, I guess a common feature of Communism.

    • Replies: @Joe Stalin
    @LondonBob

    But South Korea must have a zillion NorK sympathizers as well as agents by virtue of family relationships. That would mean Nork must have a pretty good handle on what constitutes possible immanent threat. So my take is their reaction to SK/US maneuvers is political theater for internal consumption. In the run-up for Kuwait, the Pentagon didn't even have enough smallarms ammunition, so had to get ammo from Israel to be replaced in kind. A successful invasion of Nork is going to take a whole lot munitions accumulation from SK & USA. Something that Congress is going to take notice of.

  56. @For what it's worth
    "For example, Georgia’s invasion of Russian-allied South Ossetia on August 7-8, 2008 was preceded by a joint US-Georgia war game, Immediate Response 2008, from July 15-30, 2008, with 1,000 U.S. troops flying in to Georgia to participate."

    I agree with the point about the war game. However, South Ossetia isn't some independent country. It's part of Georgia in which Russia sponsored a secessionist movement in order to have a puppet on Georgian sovereign territory. Georgia can't "invade" itself.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Cagey Beast

    I think it’s kind of like the Yom Kippur War of 1973. Did Egypt invade itself by crossing the Suez Canal into the Sinai which Israel had occupied since 1967? Did Syria invade itself by invading the Golan Heights?

    Russia and Georgia signed a treaty in 1993 over South Ossetia setting up international observers on the South Ossetia-Georgia border. (Georgia withdrew from the treaty earlier in 2008). I think that gives Russia more international legitimacy in defending South Ossetia than Israel had in defending its 1967 conquests in 1973. But I also think Israel had the right to defend its conquests in 1973.

    On the other hand, some Israeli leaders like Dayan panicked in 1973 and thought Israel itself was desperately threatened. (Sharon kept his head and improvised magnificently.) Russia proper was hardly threatened by Georgia, due to the size differential and the gigantic mountain range in the way. So you could argue it the other way too.

  57. @Joe Stalin
    @Jack D

    " Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil."


    It was the morning of Sept. 1, 1983, and Lieut. Col. Gennadi Osipovich's unit had scrambled from its secret base on Sakhalin Island to intercept an intruder. After trailing the unidentified plane for more than 60 miles, the Soviet pilot zoomed alongside to get a look for himself.

    ''I was just next to him, on the same altitude, 150 meters to 200 meters away,'' he recalled in conversations with a reporter this weekend.

    From the flashing lights and the configuration of the windows, he recognized the aircraft as a civilian type of plane, he said.

    ''I saw two rows of windows and knew that this was a Boeing,'' he said. ''I knew this was a civilian plane. But for me this meant nothing. It is easy to turn a civilian type of plane into one for military use.''

    Minutes later, he fired two air-to-air missiles, sending Korean Air Lines Flight 007 crashing into the sea, killing 269 people and causing what President Boris N. Yeltsin has called the greatest tragedy of the cold war.

    A confirmed Communist who lives in the Caucasus region, Colonel Osipovich insists that the jetliner was on a spy mission and that there were no civilian passengers aboard. He even considers himself fortunate to have achieved a measure of celebrity by having destroyed Flight 007.

    For years, experts have debated whether the Soviet pilot was aware he was downing a civilian plane or had mistaken the 747 for an RC-135 American military reconnaissance plane.

    But Colonel Osipovich says he knew he had no doubts that he was dealing with a civilian plane and not an RC-135. Viewed through the prism of the cold war, the pilot treated the plane not as a lost commercial airliner, but as part of a nefarious mission against the Soviet homeland.

    Colonel Osipovich also disclosed that in the pressure of the moment, he did not provide a full-description of the intruder to Soviet ground controllers.

    ''I did not tell the ground that it was a Boeing-type plane,'' he recalled. ''They did not ask me.''

    He did, however, tell Soviet ground controllers that the plane had blinking lights on, which he says was an indication that it could be a transport plane.

    ''For us, that is everything,'' he said, recalling the order. ''It means that we just have to go up and kill someone.''

    Colonel Osipovich was directed toward the intruder and intercepted the plane about 95 miles from Soviet airspace. He maneuvered behind the plane and from a distance of 13 kilometers, nearly 8 miles, soon had him in his sights.

    ''It was huge,'' he said. ''I saw everything, including the blinking lights on top and bottom.''

    His first thought was that it was a Soviet transport plane being used to test the readiness of the air defense forces.

    ''I thought it was some kind of inspection because never before had I seen foreign planes fly with those blinking lights,'' he said. While American intelligence planes commonly flew along the Soviet periphery, Western commercial airlines never came close to the heavily militarized Soviet region, flying their passenger routes hundreds of miles away.

    Disputing reports that he urged his superiors to be cautious, Colonel Osipovich said he was prepared to shoot the plane down as soon as it crossed the border and still regrets that he was not allowed to do so.

    ''I asked the ground what to do,'' he said. ''They got scared and told me to force him to land, and this was our big mistake.''

    If the plane had crashed on Soviet territory, he said, the authorities would have recovered proof that it was on a spy mission.

    Zooming to his target, Colonel Osipovoich pulled his SU-15 jet alongside the lumbering 747 at an altitude of about 34,000 feet. The 747's double row of windows were visible, he said.

    But the Soviet pilot could not see inside the cockpit of the Korean plane or see passengers through the windows. Some experts believe that many of the shades over the windows would have been pulled down at that time of night.

    To try to force the plane down he fired his cannon three times, shooting off a total of 520 rounds. But the shells did not contain tracers and were not visible at night.

    He said the Korean pilots still should have seen the flashes from his gun and also noticed when the SU-15 flashed his lights. That, he said, was a signal to follow the Soviet interceptor to his base or risk destruction.

    ''I would have landed him on our airfield, and I wanted it very much,'' he said. ''Do you think I wanted to kill him? I would rather have shared a bottle with him.''

    But he did not try to use his radio to call, saying that there was no time and that the intruder would not have understood Russian.

    ''How can I talk with him?'' he said. ''You must know the language.''

    Colonel Osipovich says he used a standard procedure to insure that he was not shooting down a Soviet transport plane. His SU-15 fighter sent out electronic signals that would have brought a response from a Soviet plane identifying it as friendly.

    Western commercial airplanes are not equipped to respond to Soviet military signals, and no ''friendly'' response was received.

    At that point, the Soviets' big problem was no longer establishing the identify of the intruder, but rather time, he said. The intruder plane would soon have passed over Sakhalin Island and re-entered international airspace.

    Worried that the intruder might get away, the Soviet pilot became concerned when it slowed down to 350 knots, causing Colonel Osipovich's jet to overshoot its quarry.

    Colonel Osipovich viewed the slowdown as an indication that the Korean jet had seen him and was trying to evade his pursuit. Some experts believe that the Korean plane was simply beginning a planned ascent in accordance with its flight plan.

    But Colonel Osipovich insists that the 747 did not ascend or descend. In any event, he was ordered to shoot down the plane.

    Making a maneuver Russian pilots called the ''snake,'' he descended and pulled behind the intruder. He fired two missiles.

    ''Thank god, they hit,'' he recalled.

    When KAL 007 was shot down, it was only 20 to 25 seconds from reaching neutral territory, he said, which would have prevented the shootdown.

    For years, the pilot was precluded from talking to the press. He was made the navigator of a regiment and had another brush with danger when an engine failure force him to eject, hurting his back and making it difficult to fly. He left the military in 1986 with little fanfare.

    Now 52, with a thick shock of white hair, Colonel Osipovich, like many former military men, relies on a small pension, some $150 a month, he said.

    But with the Government strapped for cash, he said he could not recall the last time he received his pension, and he depends on his small garden plot for food. Cucumbers are one of his staples.

    He is still treated with respect. At a recent seminar in Moscow sponsored by the left-leaning newspaper Trud, which organized Colonel Osipovich's trip to the capital, the former pilot was toasted at a reception.

    Poor, and vilified in most of the Western world, he is proud of his fame, which still brings numerous interview requests.

    Downing a glass of vodka, he told a visitor, ''I am a lucky guy.''

    https://www.nytimes.com/1996/12/09/world/ex-soviet-pilot-still-insists-kal-007-was-spying.html
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Jack D

    The Korean airliner in 1983 crossed Soviet airspace twice, and was shot down the second time.

    Russians screw up a lot (I had a chance to fly back to America from Ireland in 1994 on Aeroflot when my Aer Lingus Irish aircrew had to cancel a 747 flight because they were still drunk from celebrating Ireland’s victory over Italy in the World Cup, but no way was I going to risk my neck in a semi-Soviet airline), so you have to be careful around them. The Koreans screwed up massively and their passengers paid the price.

    • Replies: @William Badwhite
    @Steve Sailer

    The lack of flying skills among Koreans is well known in the professional pilot community (witness the Asiana clown landing short of the field in San Francisco a few years back). Until fairly recently, KAL was not allowed to fly into the United States without a western pilot in the cockpit. Such common sense is unthinkable today because racist.

    My guess it stems from a combination of their education system emphasizing memorization over understanding and their often astounding arrogance.

    See this post from a western pilot that worked in Korea as an instructor:

    http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3041469/posts

  58. @anon1
    @Louis Renault

    Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life. If anyone is interested in the fantatsic measures he took to protect himself see the book "Stalin's secret wars".

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    “Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life.”

    That’s interesting. Civilian flying in Stalin’s day, especially in Russia with its high accident rates, was really really dangerous by modern standards

    I bet, in contrast, that Hitler liked to fly. Stalin was a worrywart, Hitler was a “What’s the worst that could happen?” kind of guy.

    • Replies: @inertial
    @Steve Sailer

    Flying is unpleasant. When you are a dictator you don't have to do things that are (physically) unpleasant.

    , @Jack D
    @Steve Sailer

    In Triumph of the Will, it opens footage of Hitler descending from the clouds (on a plane) like a god. I don't know how often he flew but I'll bet you're right.

    OTOH, Hitler had German planes and German pilots and Stalin had Russian planes and Russian pilots, so their attitude toward flying might have been rational.

    On the third hand, the Russians have always been pretty good at aviation, even in Czarist times. We got some top talent after the revolution (Sikorsky) but many stayed. Russia is a funny place in that primitive conditions and cutting edge technology have always existed side by side. The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic, @res

    , @nebulafox
    @Steve Sailer

    Stalin didn't like to travel, period. Most of his traveling done before the Revolution was simply because he was an outlaw working for an underground terrorist movement. Moment he had the choice, he holed up in Moscow and only left for an occasional private dacha break, or when he absolutely had to, such as to meet Roosevelt and Churchill.

    >Hitler was a “What’s the worst that could happen?” kind of guy.

    I think Hitler was the first guy to understand the propaganda value of using a plane to fly around the country and appear to great fanfare. Worked well in 1932 because he could give multiple speeches within a day. But don't forget, public oratory was his MO, unlike Stalin.

    Personality-wise, I agree that Hitler was more relaxed and *way* less conscientious, but Hitler was pretty paranoid about someone bumping him or him croaking (both of his parents died young, and he genuinely believed he would, too) before his "great mission" could be embarked on. From his diet choices to his security regime, that's pretty apparent.

    , @anon1
    @Steve Sailer

    It was at the Tehran conference at the end of 1943. Stalin only flew because there was no rail line to take him there. Stalin then played FDR and Churchill like a violin.

    Replies: @nebulafox

  59. Mike Tre [AKA "MikeatMikedotMike"] says:
    @J.Ross
    @Mike Tre

    Smartphones didn't exist in the fifties, but they exist now. They're important: countries at the edge of smartphone technology can spy on other countries more effectively, and RoK is at the cutting edge of that. Given the recent kerfluffle where even the Georgetown graduates who run our government managed to comprehend that Huawei is not just a way to look at music videos, Korean phone technology falling into Chinese hands would be a bad thing.
    >but I'm tired of late stage imperialist adverturism
    Me too. Was there a gigantic nonconsensual aliyah recently? No? Then adventurism is still firmly on the menu.

    Replies: @Mike Tre

    “Was there a gigantic nonconsensual aliyah recently? No? Then adventurism is still firmly on the menu.”

    Thanks for the laugh. But yes I am aware of the difference between what is and what should be.

    If the US ever found itself in a position to return its military forces home, I like to think it would have the ingenuity to properly address the cell phone issue you are concerned with, one way or another.

  60. Mike Tre [AKA "MikeatMikedotMike"] says:
    @Charles Pewitt
    South Korea and Japan should have nuclear weapons in their arsenals.

    Germany should have nuclear weapons too. Italians might get some nukes to keep the bankers at bay when the Italians default on their government debt and other nations and bankers start threatening them.

    The Dutch shouldn't ever have nukes. Same with the Scottish wackos.

    Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Joe Stalin, @nebulafox, @Buzz Mohawk, @Mike Tre

    Can the Irish have nukes too? Pretty pretty please with a cherry on top???

    • Replies: @Charles Pewitt
    @Mike Tre

    Liam Neeson can have nukes; the Irish can't have nukes. The Welsh can have nukes, as long as they stay sober and agreeable. Welsh nukes get taken away the second they become sauced and surly.

  61. @Jack D
    @J.Ross

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces - there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type. This is all well documented. So you can say it was shot down on Putin's orders. Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians - not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy - shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare. They obviously mistook the plane for a Ukrainian military jet. Stuff happens in warfare although Russians were not really supposed to be at war with Ukraine or be in that spot, but that's the Russian MO too - little green men and all that. I understand that too - to paraphrase Mao a war is not a dinner party.

    I don't understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He's not really your friend.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin, @J.Ross, @anon1, @inertial, @Cagey Beast

    It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type.

    The opposite is true. There were several Ukrainian Buks in the vicinity. Plenty of photo and video evidence for that, and the Ukrainian government never denied it. The rebels managed to capture one Buk but it was non functioning, according to the Ukrainians.

    So what’s the Ukrainian and the Western official version of how MH17 was shot down? (Note that it’s rarely explicitly spelled out in the West because it sounds retarded when you do.) Russian army smuggled a Buk and its crew into Ukraine without anyone noticing, deliberately shot down the plane, and then disappeared across the border. And why would the Russians do it? Because RussiaPutinKremlin; do you need any other explanation?

    Incidentally, Ukrainian government refused to provide the radar data that could’ve shown where the missile came from. They claim that all the radar stations in the area were down for maintenance that day, which is totally not suspicious.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @inertial

    I believe the JIT and not the Russians.

    https://www.government.nl/topics/mh17-incident/achieving-justice/the-criminal-investigation

    Replies: @inertial

    , @J.Ross
    @inertial

    Even if it were granted that Russians made the decision to pull it, it's still one hundred per cent not their fault. Where are all the other airliners they should have also mistaken for the Ukrainian Air Force that was heavily attacking at that time? Oh, right, they we redirected safely around that whole war zone thing.
    Ukraine right now is everything we hated about Central America in the eighties, but with much more powerful weapons.

  62. @Bill B.
    @Bucky

    k-pop is probably grounded in a tougher world than might be imagined at first glance.

    A dancer here has a seizure on stage; the other dancers simply carry on around her writhing body.

    At 1' 30"

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MTFrd-ORDIk

    Replies: @ThreeCranes

    Probably the strobe lights did it. What modern cinema does to me. I like the way the stretcher bearers drag her body off the set. True professionalism. The show must go on!

  63. @The Alarmist
    @Jack D


    "This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) ...."
     
    My money is on Hillary and Mossad taking him down. John-John had enough time "under the hood" to make that flight with ease.

    Replies: @Jack D, @William Badwhite

    Again with the conspiracy theories. No one gave a damn about John John. He was not the sharpest knife in the drawer. Smarter pilots did not fly that day. There are old pilots and bold pilots but no old, bold pilots.

    • Replies: @The Alarmist
    @Jack D

    The correct statement of that phrase ends with "But there are few old bold pilots." Take it from an old pilot.

    , @Jim Don Bob
    @Jack D


    There are old pilots and bold pilots but no old, bold pilots.
     
    Right. He, his wife, and his sister-in-law were late taking off because his ditz wife couldn't make up her mind about what color of nail polish she wanted.

    He took off into a twilight haze, lost the horizon, and landed in the drink. Every military pilot I knew said, "dumb f**k".

    He'd had some instrument training. He might have lived if he'd turned them on and called the tower.

    The Kennedy family reportedly paid $10 million for killing the sister in law.

    That said, he seemed like a decent guy, for a Kennedy.

    Replies: @Jack D

  64. @Joe Stalin
    @Jack D

    " Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil."


    It was the morning of Sept. 1, 1983, and Lieut. Col. Gennadi Osipovich's unit had scrambled from its secret base on Sakhalin Island to intercept an intruder. After trailing the unidentified plane for more than 60 miles, the Soviet pilot zoomed alongside to get a look for himself.

    ''I was just next to him, on the same altitude, 150 meters to 200 meters away,'' he recalled in conversations with a reporter this weekend.

    From the flashing lights and the configuration of the windows, he recognized the aircraft as a civilian type of plane, he said.

    ''I saw two rows of windows and knew that this was a Boeing,'' he said. ''I knew this was a civilian plane. But for me this meant nothing. It is easy to turn a civilian type of plane into one for military use.''

    Minutes later, he fired two air-to-air missiles, sending Korean Air Lines Flight 007 crashing into the sea, killing 269 people and causing what President Boris N. Yeltsin has called the greatest tragedy of the cold war.

    A confirmed Communist who lives in the Caucasus region, Colonel Osipovich insists that the jetliner was on a spy mission and that there were no civilian passengers aboard. He even considers himself fortunate to have achieved a measure of celebrity by having destroyed Flight 007.

    For years, experts have debated whether the Soviet pilot was aware he was downing a civilian plane or had mistaken the 747 for an RC-135 American military reconnaissance plane.

    But Colonel Osipovich says he knew he had no doubts that he was dealing with a civilian plane and not an RC-135. Viewed through the prism of the cold war, the pilot treated the plane not as a lost commercial airliner, but as part of a nefarious mission against the Soviet homeland.

    Colonel Osipovich also disclosed that in the pressure of the moment, he did not provide a full-description of the intruder to Soviet ground controllers.

    ''I did not tell the ground that it was a Boeing-type plane,'' he recalled. ''They did not ask me.''

    He did, however, tell Soviet ground controllers that the plane had blinking lights on, which he says was an indication that it could be a transport plane.

    ''For us, that is everything,'' he said, recalling the order. ''It means that we just have to go up and kill someone.''

    Colonel Osipovich was directed toward the intruder and intercepted the plane about 95 miles from Soviet airspace. He maneuvered behind the plane and from a distance of 13 kilometers, nearly 8 miles, soon had him in his sights.

    ''It was huge,'' he said. ''I saw everything, including the blinking lights on top and bottom.''

    His first thought was that it was a Soviet transport plane being used to test the readiness of the air defense forces.

    ''I thought it was some kind of inspection because never before had I seen foreign planes fly with those blinking lights,'' he said. While American intelligence planes commonly flew along the Soviet periphery, Western commercial airlines never came close to the heavily militarized Soviet region, flying their passenger routes hundreds of miles away.

    Disputing reports that he urged his superiors to be cautious, Colonel Osipovich said he was prepared to shoot the plane down as soon as it crossed the border and still regrets that he was not allowed to do so.

    ''I asked the ground what to do,'' he said. ''They got scared and told me to force him to land, and this was our big mistake.''

    If the plane had crashed on Soviet territory, he said, the authorities would have recovered proof that it was on a spy mission.

    Zooming to his target, Colonel Osipovoich pulled his SU-15 jet alongside the lumbering 747 at an altitude of about 34,000 feet. The 747's double row of windows were visible, he said.

    But the Soviet pilot could not see inside the cockpit of the Korean plane or see passengers through the windows. Some experts believe that many of the shades over the windows would have been pulled down at that time of night.

    To try to force the plane down he fired his cannon three times, shooting off a total of 520 rounds. But the shells did not contain tracers and were not visible at night.

    He said the Korean pilots still should have seen the flashes from his gun and also noticed when the SU-15 flashed his lights. That, he said, was a signal to follow the Soviet interceptor to his base or risk destruction.

    ''I would have landed him on our airfield, and I wanted it very much,'' he said. ''Do you think I wanted to kill him? I would rather have shared a bottle with him.''

    But he did not try to use his radio to call, saying that there was no time and that the intruder would not have understood Russian.

    ''How can I talk with him?'' he said. ''You must know the language.''

    Colonel Osipovich says he used a standard procedure to insure that he was not shooting down a Soviet transport plane. His SU-15 fighter sent out electronic signals that would have brought a response from a Soviet plane identifying it as friendly.

    Western commercial airplanes are not equipped to respond to Soviet military signals, and no ''friendly'' response was received.

    At that point, the Soviets' big problem was no longer establishing the identify of the intruder, but rather time, he said. The intruder plane would soon have passed over Sakhalin Island and re-entered international airspace.

    Worried that the intruder might get away, the Soviet pilot became concerned when it slowed down to 350 knots, causing Colonel Osipovich's jet to overshoot its quarry.

    Colonel Osipovich viewed the slowdown as an indication that the Korean jet had seen him and was trying to evade his pursuit. Some experts believe that the Korean plane was simply beginning a planned ascent in accordance with its flight plan.

    But Colonel Osipovich insists that the 747 did not ascend or descend. In any event, he was ordered to shoot down the plane.

    Making a maneuver Russian pilots called the ''snake,'' he descended and pulled behind the intruder. He fired two missiles.

    ''Thank god, they hit,'' he recalled.

    When KAL 007 was shot down, it was only 20 to 25 seconds from reaching neutral territory, he said, which would have prevented the shootdown.

    For years, the pilot was precluded from talking to the press. He was made the navigator of a regiment and had another brush with danger when an engine failure force him to eject, hurting his back and making it difficult to fly. He left the military in 1986 with little fanfare.

    Now 52, with a thick shock of white hair, Colonel Osipovich, like many former military men, relies on a small pension, some $150 a month, he said.

    But with the Government strapped for cash, he said he could not recall the last time he received his pension, and he depends on his small garden plot for food. Cucumbers are one of his staples.

    He is still treated with respect. At a recent seminar in Moscow sponsored by the left-leaning newspaper Trud, which organized Colonel Osipovich's trip to the capital, the former pilot was toasted at a reception.

    Poor, and vilified in most of the Western world, he is proud of his fame, which still brings numerous interview requests.

    Downing a glass of vodka, he told a visitor, ''I am a lucky guy.''

    https://www.nytimes.com/1996/12/09/world/ex-soviet-pilot-still-insists-kal-007-was-spying.html
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Jack D

    Col. Osopovich is probably dead now – he would be past the average life expectancy of a Russian man and he clearly liked his vodka. Even Osopovich said that he didn’t think the plane was loaded with civilians, just that it was a civilian type on a spy mission. The next level of rationalization is to say that the evil capitalists PURPOSELY sent a plane loaded with civilians on a spy mission in order to make Russia look bad. Russians don’t need any help looking bad – they are very good at this on their own.

  65. @Jack D
    @J.Ross

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces - there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type. This is all well documented. So you can say it was shot down on Putin's orders. Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians - not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy - shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare. They obviously mistook the plane for a Ukrainian military jet. Stuff happens in warfare although Russians were not really supposed to be at war with Ukraine or be in that spot, but that's the Russian MO too - little green men and all that. I understand that too - to paraphrase Mao a war is not a dinner party.

    I don't understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He's not really your friend.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin, @J.Ross, @anon1, @inertial, @Cagey Beast

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type.

    Apart from the Ukrainian military.

    Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy – shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare.

    Says a patriotic American. Do you have any sense of how notorious your military is for:

    A: Gratuitous use of force on civilians?
    B: Friendly fire incidents?

    Also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655

    I don’t understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He’s not really your friend.

    Putin and the rest of the Russian government don’t want to abolish us as a people. The same cannot be said of our ruling class in the West.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    Putin would not hesitate to shoot you down individually or as a people any more that Col. Osipovich did - if you stay out of his way, he really doesn't give a damn about whether you live or die but if he sees you as an obstacle to his interests (which he conflates with the interests of the Russian people) then he will want you dead. At best he is indifferent to your life.

    It's ridiculous that people are buying into Russian disinformation. They are rejoicing in Moscow that their BS actually works (at least on some people). I can understand that if you are Russian you might have a psychological need to buy into this stuff (no one wants to believe that their revered leaders are monsters who shoot down civilian aircraft) but as Americans there's really nothing in it for you.

    Replies: @Vinteuil

  66. @For what it's worth
    "For example, Georgia’s invasion of Russian-allied South Ossetia on August 7-8, 2008 was preceded by a joint US-Georgia war game, Immediate Response 2008, from July 15-30, 2008, with 1,000 U.S. troops flying in to Georgia to participate."

    I agree with the point about the war game. However, South Ossetia isn't some independent country. It's part of Georgia in which Russia sponsored a secessionist movement in order to have a puppet on Georgian sovereign territory. Georgia can't "invade" itself.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Cagey Beast

    The Russian troops attacked in South Ossetia were there under treaty as peacekeepers.

  67. @Jack D
    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point. They don't even have a plane that Kim could use to fly to Vietnam - he had to take an ancient train across China. On paper they have a lot of tanks but they are mostly ancient (1950s) Russian and Chinese designs (T-54 variants) and who know whether they even work anymore. And however well they work now, it wouldn't be so hot after they were hit by modern anti-tank weapons since they lack depleted uranium armor and other modern defenses (and any effective air cover). They would do a little better than Saddam's tanks but it would still be grim. Nor could he expect to be re-supplied by the Chinese. It pays for the Pentagon to overestimate the Norks capabilities.


    And that doesn't seem to be where Kim's head is at - I think he is trying to figure out some way to catch up with the Vietnamese and Chinese model - maintain the his dictatorship but modernize the economy. Of course conquering S. Korea would be one way to get a lot of access to technology (at least whatever didn't get smashed in the invasion) but he must understand that his chances of pulling this off are slim to none.

    Replies: @Louis Renault, @istevefan, @dvorak

    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point.

    Don’t they have a thousand points of light (artillery and rockets within range of Seoul)? These can do some damage.
    https://nationalinterest.org/feature/north-korea-cant-destroy-seoul-artillery-23964

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @dvorak

    They could probably do a lot of damage to Seoul (not to the point of totally flattening it but still a lot of damage) but destroying the place is not the same thing as conquering it.

    , @Jim Don Bob
    @dvorak

    This guy says most of the Norks artillery is old, of short range, and would be quickly annihilated by aircraft or counter battery fire.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mGKqMi6ZatQ

  68. @Steve Sailer
    @anon1

    "Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life."

    That's interesting. Civilian flying in Stalin's day, especially in Russia with its high accident rates, was really really dangerous by modern standards

    I bet, in contrast, that Hitler liked to fly. Stalin was a worrywart, Hitler was a "What's the worst that could happen?" kind of guy.

    Replies: @inertial, @Jack D, @nebulafox, @anon1

    Flying is unpleasant. When you are a dictator you don’t have to do things that are (physically) unpleasant.

  69. @Steve Sailer
    @anon1

    "Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life."

    That's interesting. Civilian flying in Stalin's day, especially in Russia with its high accident rates, was really really dangerous by modern standards

    I bet, in contrast, that Hitler liked to fly. Stalin was a worrywart, Hitler was a "What's the worst that could happen?" kind of guy.

    Replies: @inertial, @Jack D, @nebulafox, @anon1

    In Triumph of the Will, it opens footage of Hitler descending from the clouds (on a plane) like a god. I don’t know how often he flew but I’ll bet you’re right.

    OTOH, Hitler had German planes and German pilots and Stalin had Russian planes and Russian pilots, so their attitude toward flying might have been rational.

    On the third hand, the Russians have always been pretty good at aviation, even in Czarist times. We got some top talent after the revolution (Sikorsky) but many stayed. Russia is a funny place in that primitive conditions and cutting edge technology have always existed side by side. The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.

    • Replies: @Diversity Heretic
    @Jack D

    Benito Mussolini learned to fly an airplane, but I don't know if he ever soloed and I'm certain he didn't fly himself on official missions. He was rescued by Otto Skorzeny and flown out in a two-place Feisler Storch, which, given his knowledge of flying, must have been fairly psychologically stressful.

    , @res
    @Jack D


    The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.
     
    I recently read a Time-Life book about military aviation and the author made a huge issue (to the point of seeming obsessed) about the importance of the ability to operate from short, relatively unimproved runways (he was a big Harrier fan). The point was that airstrips are an easy target (e.g. for ICBMs).

    Gravel runway ability makes much more sense given that idea. The Tu-154 isn't military, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Russians kept dual use in mind.

    The point they make in the wiki is probably more relevant: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-154

    Capable of operating from unpaved and gravel airfields with only basic facilities, it was widely used in the extreme Arctic conditions of Russia's northern/eastern regions where other airliners were unable to operate.
     

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

  70. “America is great because America is good”
    ~ Hillary Clinton

  71. @donut
    I lived in Venezuela in the 50's I was 7-8 , the old man worked for Shell Oil . A blue five story apt. building all either Shell employees or contractors . The "road" in front was a dirt road . It seems odd now but I would just go and visit random adults , everybody knew everybody . I remember this white couple from Borneo , the husband was a joker , red hair . Doris Day on the stereo , but I remember this song :

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GOAH9X7gIYQ



    I was the only American in my class , it was all Brits and Dutch kids . The teachers were all Brits . My main teacher was always nice enough and as I have mentioned before she had a magnificent full untrimmed bush that would have won a prize if they gave out prizes for that sort of thing , mesh panties too . The music teacher once told me in front of the class that I was the stupidest boy she had ever known . A fair enough assessment in hindsight but rather unprofessional I think . No TV so it was the songs of the times or reading . There was this series of English Children's books and Comic Classics , does anybody remember those ? "Man without a Country" , "Robinson Crusoe" , "A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court" , that sort of thing . My classmates had the prejudices of their parents . We used to play Soccer in the morning before school . Once I kicked a goal and the Dutch kid playing goalie between two trash cans called me some name . I grabbed him and threw him on the ground and an English kid jumped on my back . The principal came out and pulled me out of the pile and dragged me to the office for a whacking .
    There was this Italian American family living in the building . Real stereotypes with about 4-5 kids , the youngest was a toddler still in diapers , her ears were pierced , shocking . Her mother the irresponsible South Italian trash used to put her in a diaper and tell us to watch out for her . The kid used to take her diaper off first thing and wonder around wearing nothing but those little gold beads in her ears . One day this old local came down the drive holding the kid by her hand , naked except for her earrings , he had found her wandering about a half mile up the road , in a town with one traffic light , and gone door to door to find her home . At the bus stop in front of the building we would steal Mangoes from the tree where we waited , the Venezuelan family never complained .
    The seasons were water balloon season , to throw at cars . I hit a local in a truck one time and he hit the brakes and chased us , threw a rock at us , scared the shit out of us . Kite season when the local kids would make hexagonal kites out of sticks . There was another season when they would find especially tortuous shaped branches strip the bark from them and catch butterflies and squish them on to the branches to make colorful blossoms . They hunted iguanas all year round with slingshots . Man they were deadly shots with those slingshots . We lived in an apt. building but a lot of the Americans were living large in BIG ole houses with a small staff . There was the Buena Vista Swimming Club , my old man gave me a Bolivar to dive off the high board my second time up . I saw an animated version of "Animal Farm" on the roof projected on an outdoor screen . One slow day at the pool there was a little girl floating face down at the bottom of the deep end . Someone spotted her and they pulled her out and strapped her to this contraption that was like a seesaw stretcher combo . They rocked her back and forth , water spewed from her mouth , she started coughing and she was okay .
    The babysitter was a dusky local girl in her white uniform from work . Jet black hair .The poor girl just wanted to sleep but I wouldn't let her . My folks would leave and I would come bounding out of my bedroom and jump on her on the sofa . Man I didn't know what to do with it but I wanted to get close to it . The scent of her , her fragrance . I was ravenous , an intense , unbridled sexual desire , delicious . She made me go back to bed , despite my promises to be good .
    Two doors down from the apt. driveway was a local family 4-5 kids . I only knew a few phrases of Spanish and they knew even less English but I felt as much at home there as I did with my folks . I would go over and knock on the door and walk in . Freddy was the oldest one of the kids , he was in the eighth grade . So about 4-5 years older than me and his siblings , He looked out for all the younger kids . He wasn't an aggressive Alpha . He was like Gary Cooper , he wasn't bad but the bad didn't f**k with him . When my folks decided to split up my old man flew me up to Ohio to unload me on his parents . At the airport he left me in the car by myself (can you imagine that today?) while he went in to do something . I'm just sitting there in my usual state of carelessness when suddenly there is someone at the window , it was Freddy , he had made his way across town to say goodbye and give me a present , a top . You know one of those tops you wrap a string around and throw on the ground . More of a heartfelt send off than I got from either my sire or my dam .
    That must be the reason I'm a NAZI at heart , if they were trying to kill Ramon they couldn't have been all bad , you feel me ?

    Replies: @Old Prude, @Corn, @Kyle

    “My main teacher was always nice enough and as I have mentioned before she had a magnificent full untrimmed bush that would have won a prize”

    Dare I ask how you know this?

    • Replies: @donut
    @Corn

    Occasionally we would have story time when we would sit on the floor at her feet as she read to us . Since it was the 50's I can't say she knew what she was doing but the view was unobstructed .

  72. @LondonBob
    The real issue for the Norks is that these military drills coincide with planting and harvest season, the Norks have to call up their conscripts when they are needed in the fields.

    https://www.moonofalabama.org/2017/04/the-reason-behind-north-koreas-nuclear-program-and-its-offer-to-end-it.html


    Each time the U.S. and South Korea launch their very large maneuvers, the North Korean conscription army (1.2 million strong) has to go into a high state of defense readiness. Large maneuvers are a classic starting point for military attacks. The U.S.-South Korean maneuvers are (intentionally) held during the planting (April/May) or harvesting (August) season for rice when North Korea needs each and every hand in its few arable areas. Only 17% of the northern landmass is usable for agriculture and the climate in not favorable. The cropping season is short. Seeding and harvesting days require peak labor.

    The southern maneuvers directly threaten the nutritional self-sufficiency of North Korea. In the later 1990s they were one of the reasons behind a severe famine. (Lack of hydrocarbons and fertilizer due to sanctions as well as a too rigid economic system were other main reasons.)
     
    I watched Michael Palin visit North Korea recently, they are more advanced, as you would expect with their IQ, but there was a lot of drunkenness, I guess a common feature of Communism.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin

    But South Korea must have a zillion NorK sympathizers as well as agents by virtue of family relationships. That would mean Nork must have a pretty good handle on what constitutes possible immanent threat. So my take is their reaction to SK/US maneuvers is political theater for internal consumption. In the run-up for Kuwait, the Pentagon didn’t even have enough smallarms ammunition, so had to get ammo from Israel to be replaced in kind. A successful invasion of Nork is going to take a whole lot munitions accumulation from SK & USA. Something that Congress is going to take notice of.

  73. Korean Air Lines Flight 902 (KAL 902) was a scheduled Korean Air Lines flight from Paris to Seoul via Anchorage. On 20 April 1978, Soviet air defense shot down the aircraft serving the flight, a Boeing 707, near Murmansk, Soviet Union, after the aircraft violated Soviet airspace.[2][3]

    Flight 902 had veered off course over the Arctic Ocean and entered Soviet airspace near the Kola Peninsula, whereupon it was intercepted and fired upon by a Soviet aircraft. The incident killed two of the 109 passengers and crew members aboard and forced the plane to make an emergency landing on the frozen Korpiyarvi lake near the Finnish border.[4]

    Flight 902 departed from Paris, France, at 13:39 local time on a course to Seoul, South Korea.[5] The plane’s only scheduled stop was in Anchorage, Alaska, US, where it would refuel and proceed to Seoul, avoiding Soviet airspace.[5] It was commanded by Captain Kim Chang Kyu, with co-pilot S.D. Cha and navigator Lee Khun Shik making up the other flight deck crew.[6][7] The aircraft made regular radio check-ins as it flew northwest, the last of which, five hours and twenty one minutes after takeoff, placed it near CFS Alert on Ellesmere Island.[5] The aircraft’s flight path took it almost directly over the North Magnetic Pole, causing large errors in the aircraft’s magnetic compass-based navigation systems. Its course then turned to the southeast and it flew over the Barents Sea and into Soviet airspace, reaching the Soviet coast an estimated three hours and 1,500 miles (2,400 km) after its southward turn.[5]
    Soviet air defence

    Soviet air defence radar spotted the plane at 20:54, when the plane was approximately 400 kilometres (250 mi) away from Soviet territorial waters.[8] At 21:19 the plane entered Soviet airspace. As the plane did not respond to multiple requests from the ground, a Su-15 interceptor, piloted by Alexander Bosov, was dispatched to intercept the airliner. Having approached KAL902, Bosov waggled the Su-15’s wings multiple times, using the international signal for the airliner to follow the interceptor. Instead KAL902 made a 90 degree turn towards the Soviet-Finnish border. Bosov reported the attempted escape from Soviet airspace to the Air Defence Command Officer Vladimir Tsarkov, and the latter, based on internal instructions, commanded to Bosov to shoot down KAL902.

    According to Kim’s account of the attack, the interceptor approached his aircraft from the right side rather than the left as required by International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) regulation.[8] Kim decreased his speed and turned on the navigation lights, indicating that he was ready to follow the Soviet fighter for landing.[8]

    According to Soviet reports, the airliner repeatedly ignored commands to follow the interceptor.[9] Flight 902’s co-pilot, S.D. Cha, said that the crew had attempted to communicate with the interceptor via radio, but did not receive a response.[6]

    Bosov tried to convince his superiors that the plane was not a military threat, but after receiving orders to shoot it down[10][8] at 21:42 he fired a R-60 missile. The missile flew past the target.[8] The second one hit the left wing, knocking off approximately 4 metres (13 ft) of its length. The missile also punctured the fuselage, causing rapid decompression and jamming one of the plane’s four turbines.[8] Korean passenger Bahng Tais Hwang died in the missile strike, which wounded several others.[6]

    After being hit, the airliner quickly descended from an altitude of 9,000 m (30,000 ft).[8] It fell into a cloud, disappearing from Soviet air defence radars. Soviets mistook the part of the wing that had fallen off Flight 902 for a cruise missile and dispatched another Su-15 interceptor to fire at it.[8] Bosov’s Su-15 had to return to airbase due to low fuel. Another Su-15 piloted by Anatoly Kerefov approached the plane and forced it at 23:05 to land upon the frozen surface of Lake Korpiyarvi.

    The Soviet Union refused to cooperate with international experts while they investigated the incident and did not provide any data from the plane’s “black box”.[8] The airplane was dismantled and all equipment transferred by helicopter onto a barge in Kandalaksha Gulf.[8] The deputy chief commanding officer of Soviet air defense, Yevgeniy Savitsky, personally inspected the aircraft’s cockpit.[8] The crew of Flight 902 blamed navigational error for the plane’s course—passengers said that Kim had told them upon landing that he had suspected the aircraft’s navigation equipment was in error but had followed it anyway; after being released from Soviet custody, navigator Lee said similarly that the navigational gyro had malfunctioned.[7]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korean_Air_Lines_Flight_902

    • Replies: @Yngvar
    @Joe Stalin


    It fell into a cloud, disappearing from Soviet air defence radars.
     
    Dezinformatsia.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin

  74. @nebulafox
    @Charles Pewitt

    >Sneaky Japanese most likely have a few hidden here or there.

    Ditto the South Koreans. It's called "nuclear latency". They've got the materials, tech and skilled work force to assemble a bomb within six months if they need to, and everybody knows it.

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic

    Back in the 90s, when I worked on Capitol Hill, a Department of Energy official told a group of us that the DOE estimate was that Japan could have a nuclear weapon within six weeks of a political decision to develop one.

  75. @Jack D
    @Steve Sailer

    I can see why he believes that as a matter of emotion. And if you are going to believe conspiracy theories concerning Russians, you will be right more often than wrt most conspiracy theories.

    But all the independent investigations pointed to (Polish) pilot error. This was a classic case of controlled flight into terrain - the pilots lost situational awareness and flew a perfectly good airplane (and the Tu-154 was actually a good plane - the crash that killed the Red Army choir was also due to pilot error and lost situational awareness) into the ground. This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) unless you do everything right, which is why good pilots train like crazy and follow rigorous procedures in order to reduce the chance of human error as much as possible. But the Polish Air Force unit flying the plane was found to have significant training deficiencies. For a Polish nationalist, that his brother's death was caused by the deficiencies of his fellow Poles must be doubly hard to accept.

    Replies: @The Alarmist, @Diversity Heretic

    John Kennedy Jr.’s crash was not controlled flight into terrain. It was continued visual flight into instrument meteorological conditions, spatial disorientation, and loss of control. Twilight flight over water in haze should only be done by instruments–it’s very easy to lose the horizon.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Diversity Heretic

    Reading further, it seems like for some reason his autopilot disengaged. At that moment he was taken by surprise. Suddenly the plane was banking 125 degrees right (i.e. beyond vertical, almost upside down) and nose down 30 degrees possibly because the plane was out of balance due to fuel but he was not oriented due to the haze and couldn't figure out how to level it back out. At that point he was at 2,000 feet and less than a minute away from hitting the water.

    http://www.aviationsafetymagazine.com/issues/36_6/features/Revisiting-JFK-Jr_11190-1.html

    JFK Jr. was not "swift". It took him 3 tried to pass the NY Bar exam. He was the kind of a guy who might have been able to solve that puzzle if he had had another minute or two to figure it out, but he didn't . This is the kind of thing you are supposed to practice on the simulator and with an instructor at a safer altitude but I guess he didn't study enough and the consequences were worse than having to take the bar exam again.

    , @Jim Don Bob
    @Diversity Heretic

    I worked with a guy who flew helo SAR off carriers. He said if you don't trust your instruments when you're out there at night, you will end up dead. Your mind plays tricks on you as it tries to orient itself.

  76. @AnotherDad
    Can i not care? Good, cause i don't.

    Seems like Trump has put more effort toward these useless dog-n-ponys with Kim III than with dealing with the single issue that actually matters to the sort of future my kids and their descendants will have--the flood of foreigners into the US. Which just happens to be the issue that got Trump the Republican nomination and won him the election.

    Replies: @Old Prude, @Diversity Heretic

    Agreed! And to top it off, the Trump Administration just extended “Temporary” Protected Status for another bunch of Third World oompah-loompahs. And I keep reading that Jared Kushner is working on some “compromise” to let the DACA criminal infiltrators stay. The Trump Administration is by this stage hopeless.

  77. @anon1
    @Redneck farmer

    "Mutual"?

    Are Korean soldiers standing guard in North Dakota to defend America from an attack from Canada? Are they deployed in Texas to repel an invasion from Mexico?

    Where is the "mutual" aspect?

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic

    Putting Koreans on the Mexican border has a real appeal to me.

  78. @Jack D
    @Steve Sailer

    In Triumph of the Will, it opens footage of Hitler descending from the clouds (on a plane) like a god. I don't know how often he flew but I'll bet you're right.

    OTOH, Hitler had German planes and German pilots and Stalin had Russian planes and Russian pilots, so their attitude toward flying might have been rational.

    On the third hand, the Russians have always been pretty good at aviation, even in Czarist times. We got some top talent after the revolution (Sikorsky) but many stayed. Russia is a funny place in that primitive conditions and cutting edge technology have always existed side by side. The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic, @res

    Benito Mussolini learned to fly an airplane, but I don’t know if he ever soloed and I’m certain he didn’t fly himself on official missions. He was rescued by Otto Skorzeny and flown out in a two-place Feisler Storch, which, given his knowledge of flying, must have been fairly psychologically stressful.

  79. @Jack D
    @The Alarmist

    Again with the conspiracy theories. No one gave a damn about John John. He was not the sharpest knife in the drawer. Smarter pilots did not fly that day. There are old pilots and bold pilots but no old, bold pilots.

    Replies: @The Alarmist, @Jim Don Bob

    The correct statement of that phrase ends with “But there are few old bold pilots.” Take it from an old pilot.

  80. @inertial
    @Jack D


    It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type.
     
    The opposite is true. There were several Ukrainian Buks in the vicinity. Plenty of photo and video evidence for that, and the Ukrainian government never denied it. The rebels managed to capture one Buk but it was non functioning, according to the Ukrainians.

    So what's the Ukrainian and the Western official version of how MH17 was shot down? (Note that it's rarely explicitly spelled out in the West because it sounds retarded when you do.) Russian army smuggled a Buk and its crew into Ukraine without anyone noticing, deliberately shot down the plane, and then disappeared across the border. And why would the Russians do it? Because RussiaPutinKremlin; do you need any other explanation?

    Incidentally, Ukrainian government refused to provide the radar data that could've shown where the missile came from. They claim that all the radar stations in the area were down for maintenance that day, which is totally not suspicious.

    Replies: @Jack D, @J.Ross

    • Replies: @inertial
    @Jack D

    Nothing in what I wrote requires you to "believe Russians."

    JIT never even considered a possibility of Ukraine's guilt because Ukraine was one of the investigators. They just followed the pattern of every single investigation in recent years involving Russia - "sentence first verdict afterwards."

  81. @Jack D
    @inertial

    I believe the JIT and not the Russians.

    https://www.government.nl/topics/mh17-incident/achieving-justice/the-criminal-investigation

    Replies: @inertial

    Nothing in what I wrote requires you to “believe Russians.”

    JIT never even considered a possibility of Ukraine’s guilt because Ukraine was one of the investigators. They just followed the pattern of every single investigation in recent years involving Russia – “sentence first verdict afterwards.”

  82. res says:
    @Jack D
    @Steve Sailer

    In Triumph of the Will, it opens footage of Hitler descending from the clouds (on a plane) like a god. I don't know how often he flew but I'll bet you're right.

    OTOH, Hitler had German planes and German pilots and Stalin had Russian planes and Russian pilots, so their attitude toward flying might have been rational.

    On the third hand, the Russians have always been pretty good at aviation, even in Czarist times. We got some top talent after the revolution (Sikorsky) but many stayed. Russia is a funny place in that primitive conditions and cutting edge technology have always existed side by side. The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.

    Replies: @Diversity Heretic, @res

    The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.

    I recently read a Time-Life book about military aviation and the author made a huge issue (to the point of seeming obsessed) about the importance of the ability to operate from short, relatively unimproved runways (he was a big Harrier fan). The point was that airstrips are an easy target (e.g. for ICBMs).

    Gravel runway ability makes much more sense given that idea. The Tu-154 isn’t military, but I wouldn’t be surprised if the Russians kept dual use in mind.

    The point they make in the wiki is probably more relevant: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-154

    Capable of operating from unpaved and gravel airfields with only basic facilities, it was widely used in the extreme Arctic conditions of Russia’s northern/eastern regions where other airliners were unable to operate.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @res

    Russia is enormous. Some places are only reachable by air. Think Alaska but on an even more vast scale and with some big (but isolated) cities. And the Russians didn't have (0r weren't willing to devote) the resources needed to build paved runways (and otherwise decent civilian airport facilities) in each of these cities. The Il-86 was supposed to use a "luggage at hand" system for this reason - passengers were going to bring their own checked baggage on board and deposit it in underfloor compartments so no baggage handling systems would be needed at the airport. This proved impractical.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilyushin_Il-86#The_%22Luggage_at_hand%22_system

    The Soviet Union had the same "military first" system that still prevails in N. Korea. Their GDP per capita was lower but they wanted to maintain military parity with the US so the solution was to allocate as much resources as necessary to the military and then the civilian sector got the crumbs that were left over.

    , @Jim Don Bob
    @res


    The point was that airstrips are an easy target (e.g. for ICBMs).
     
    Planes are in hardened shelters at most US bases, and runways can be repaired. A guy I worked with at a war game said the way to knock out a US base is to target the pilot's quarters.
  83. @Mike Tre
    @Charles Pewitt

    Can the Irish have nukes too? Pretty pretty please with a cherry on top???

    Replies: @Charles Pewitt

    Liam Neeson can have nukes; the Irish can’t have nukes. The Welsh can have nukes, as long as they stay sober and agreeable. Welsh nukes get taken away the second they become sauced and surly.

  84. @Diversity Heretic
    @Jack D

    John Kennedy Jr.'s crash was not controlled flight into terrain. It was continued visual flight into instrument meteorological conditions, spatial disorientation, and loss of control. Twilight flight over water in haze should only be done by instruments--it's very easy to lose the horizon.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

    Reading further, it seems like for some reason his autopilot disengaged. At that moment he was taken by surprise. Suddenly the plane was banking 125 degrees right (i.e. beyond vertical, almost upside down) and nose down 30 degrees possibly because the plane was out of balance due to fuel but he was not oriented due to the haze and couldn’t figure out how to level it back out. At that point he was at 2,000 feet and less than a minute away from hitting the water.

    http://www.aviationsafetymagazine.com/issues/36_6/features/Revisiting-JFK-Jr_11190-1.html

    JFK Jr. was not “swift”. It took him 3 tried to pass the NY Bar exam. He was the kind of a guy who might have been able to solve that puzzle if he had had another minute or two to figure it out, but he didn’t . This is the kind of thing you are supposed to practice on the simulator and with an instructor at a safer altitude but I guess he didn’t study enough and the consequences were worse than having to take the bar exam again.

  85. @Cagey Beast
    @Jack D

    Malaysia Airlines Flight 17 was flying on a regular international flight path. It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type.

    Apart from the Ukrainian military.

    Now they did not intend to shoot down a plane full of civilians – not even the Russians are that evil. But they are stupid and trigger happy – shoot first and ask questions later is always the Russian way of warfare.

    Says a patriotic American. Do you have any sense of how notorious your military is for:

    A: Gratuitous use of force on civilians?
    B: Friendly fire incidents?

    Also: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Iran_Air_Flight_655

    I don’t understand why people here feel the gratuitous need to defend Putin. He’s not really your friend.

    Putin and the rest of the Russian government don't want to abolish us as a people. The same cannot be said of our ruling class in the West.

    Replies: @Jack D

    Putin would not hesitate to shoot you down individually or as a people any more that Col. Osipovich did – if you stay out of his way, he really doesn’t give a damn about whether you live or die but if he sees you as an obstacle to his interests (which he conflates with the interests of the Russian people) then he will want you dead. At best he is indifferent to your life.

    It’s ridiculous that people are buying into Russian disinformation. They are rejoicing in Moscow that their BS actually works (at least on some people). I can understand that if you are Russian you might have a psychological need to buy into this stuff (no one wants to believe that their revered leaders are monsters who shoot down civilian aircraft) but as Americans there’s really nothing in it for you.

    • Replies: @Vinteuil
    @Jack D

    I don't think Putin is my friend - but I respect him, just as I respect Bibi - because, however imperfect, however corrupt they may be, they don't side with outsiders against their own people.

    Replies: @nebulafox

  86. @res
    @Jack D


    The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.
     
    I recently read a Time-Life book about military aviation and the author made a huge issue (to the point of seeming obsessed) about the importance of the ability to operate from short, relatively unimproved runways (he was a big Harrier fan). The point was that airstrips are an easy target (e.g. for ICBMs).

    Gravel runway ability makes much more sense given that idea. The Tu-154 isn't military, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Russians kept dual use in mind.

    The point they make in the wiki is probably more relevant: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-154

    Capable of operating from unpaved and gravel airfields with only basic facilities, it was widely used in the extreme Arctic conditions of Russia's northern/eastern regions where other airliners were unable to operate.
     

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

    Russia is enormous. Some places are only reachable by air. Think Alaska but on an even more vast scale and with some big (but isolated) cities. And the Russians didn’t have (0r weren’t willing to devote) the resources needed to build paved runways (and otherwise decent civilian airport facilities) in each of these cities. The Il-86 was supposed to use a “luggage at hand” system for this reason – passengers were going to bring their own checked baggage on board and deposit it in underfloor compartments so no baggage handling systems would be needed at the airport. This proved impractical.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Ilyushin_Il-86#The_%22Luggage_at_hand%22_system

    The Soviet Union had the same “military first” system that still prevails in N. Korea. Their GDP per capita was lower but they wanted to maintain military parity with the US so the solution was to allocate as much resources as necessary to the military and then the civilian sector got the crumbs that were left over.

  87. @dvorak
    @Jack D


    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point.
     
    Don't they have a thousand points of light (artillery and rockets within range of Seoul)? These can do some damage.
    https://nationalinterest.org/feature/north-korea-cant-destroy-seoul-artillery-23964

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

    They could probably do a lot of damage to Seoul (not to the point of totally flattening it but still a lot of damage) but destroying the place is not the same thing as conquering it.

  88. control-F “missile”.

    aha! we got a hit!

    that’s why there will never be serious action here. missiles. just like everywhere else.

    those missiles that came into NK from ukraine have made the entire area much safer. wonder if swedish ‘researchers’ included that in their report.

    there’s little reason to do conventional force exercises every year now, when it’s simply missiles pointing at each other from this point forward. just like with any other missile equipped opponent the US faces these days. they do a war game exercise against china or russia every couple years to stay in practice, and that’s good enough beyond regular training.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @prime noticer

    Thanks to Obama we do a lot of conventional stuff in Africa, and thanks to Trump we narrowly avoided doing more in Syria (although we are already doing too much); you can't subvert a population or steal an asset with a missile. In fact, you could say that the CIA/NPR case against Assad consists of what happens when you fight sneaky humans with dumb distance weapons. But you are right that in this case Norks have leapfrogged their own technological backwardness with some long-reaching strength. There must be people in the DC area who would give both legs to be able to infiltrate un-missile-able individuals into the hermit kingdom like they blatantly do everywhere else.

  89. Hail says: • Website

    the South Korean leadership today seems particularly pacific.

    This is a wrong interpretation, but is exactly the self-serving propaganda line broadcast out by the Moon people (President Moon Jae-In).

    The correct interpretation is that the Moon government is, at core, pro North Korean.

    The examples are many, but one is that this whole push to scale way down (or call off) military exercises is entirely the initiative of the Moon government (Trump characteristically takes and gets credit by U.S. media on both sides). Moon was swept into power in a dubious palace coup in late 2016 to early 2017, in which the previous president was imprisoned for life for nothing amid a hysterical ]ly inflated scandal that amounted to little to nothing. Since coming into power in 2017, and beginning in earnest in Jan. 2018 with the Winter Olympics, he has done everything in his power to promote NK; an active co-participant in one of NK’s periodic Peace Offensives.

    The correction interpretation: Moon and his base are ethnonationalists, not pacifists by principle (but the latter image is marketed successfully for U.S./Western consumption). This is not hard to figure out.

    They are also savvy enough to keep milking the U.S. if possible, but will promote North Korean interests until the end.

    None of this is ever covered in the U.S. media. Moon gets a pass, and in the U.S. press he is universally called by the water-muddying term “liberal.” Why?

    People talk about Jews, motivated by a kind of ethnonationalism, doing this or that in the USA. Jews are hardly unique in this regard. The advantage for South Koreans (and North Koreans, in principle, if a U.S. President is willing to dive in and directly negotiate) is that their culture is so alien and their goings-on so distant-seeming that no one is able to figure out what’s going on. And so it is today.

    Given perfect information, the U.S. would demand either an end to pro-NK policies from Moon, or an end to the U.S. alliance.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Hail

    If "Moon the Crypto-Nork" succeeds, and we extricated ourselves, I think most Americans would accept that as resolution.

  90. @Mike Tre
    Still waiting for the US to remove its 27000 troops from South Korea (most along the DMZ) and return them home. The US has no business there.

    Replies: @Jack D, @anon1, @Hail

    South Korea wants them there. Even the pro-NK Moon government wants them. There are lots of benefits they get.

    Viewed from the perspective of the 2000s and 2010s, it was probably a mistake to ever intervene in Korea in 1950. Almost seventy years of entanglement, for what U.S. advantage?

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Hail

    "South Korea wants them there. Even the pro-NK Moon government wants them. There are lots of benefits they get."

    No doubt. And as usual, the US gets nothing.

    "Viewed from the perspective of the 2000s and 2010s, it was probably a mistake to ever intervene in Korea in 1950. Almost seventy years of entanglement, for what U.S. advantage?"

    I get that the original intervention and subsequent occupation was related to Cold War stratagem, but it doesn't change my opinion that we should have never intervened in the first place. Like you say, to what advantage? If global military policing was really ever about stopping the spread of communism, then all of our forces world wide should have been returned home after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    , @William Badwhite
    @Hail

    At the time the issue was having a communist country only about 100 miles from Japan. Agree that we shouldn't still be there.

  91. Hail says: • Website
    @Goatweed
    Counted 38 Korean army divisions, 5 separate armored brigades, and 6 special forces brigades.

    2 Korean marine divisions and 2 marine brigades.

    We have 1 armored brigade that rotates in every 9 months.

    I assume our troops train at home then get beat up at Fort Irwin and continue training on their own in Korea.

    Replies: @Hail

    A joke has long had it that the ‘task’ of the relatively small number of personnel in U.S. Forces Korea is “to die” (rather than to fight and win), their deaths thereby allowing the media to wave the bloody shirt and giving the President carte blanche as the rapid scale-up U.S. assets by a factor of at least 10 proceeds.

    With air power, etc., you don’t necessarily need large, standing garrisons to win a war. You do need some serious U.S. casualties to get people behind an immediate war, though.

    • Replies: @William Badwhite
    @Hail

    I know a guy who was stationed at Kunsan in the '80s, flying F-16's. The assumption was the South would be overrun. Their role in the event of a Nork invasion was to fling tactical nukes onto the invading forces, then take the jets to Japan and the Philippines.

  92. @Anonymous

    I was pretty interested in that weird little war at the time it happened, but I never heard about the US involvement in the training exercise that preceded it until years later. And I’ve never seen any discussion in the U.S. media of whether U.S. officials knew what the Georgians, whom the Bush Administration had recently sponsored for NATO membership, were going to do a week and a half later.
     
    I suspected for years that somebody in Washington had put Sakashvilli up to that stupid attack on S. Ossetia, but now I'm really suspicious. I had never heard that bit about our having conducted a 'drill' with them just before the attack. Figures ...

    Replies: @Hail

    Sakashvilli

    Is he still living as a stateless, homeless person somewhere in the Netherlands, or have I been misinformed?

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Hail

    He was briefly in New Goldmansachsland and talked seriously about becoming the next hetman.

  93. @inertial
    @Jack D


    It was shot down by Russian forces – there is little doubt. They were the only ones in the vicinity to have weapons of this type.
     
    The opposite is true. There were several Ukrainian Buks in the vicinity. Plenty of photo and video evidence for that, and the Ukrainian government never denied it. The rebels managed to capture one Buk but it was non functioning, according to the Ukrainians.

    So what's the Ukrainian and the Western official version of how MH17 was shot down? (Note that it's rarely explicitly spelled out in the West because it sounds retarded when you do.) Russian army smuggled a Buk and its crew into Ukraine without anyone noticing, deliberately shot down the plane, and then disappeared across the border. And why would the Russians do it? Because RussiaPutinKremlin; do you need any other explanation?

    Incidentally, Ukrainian government refused to provide the radar data that could've shown where the missile came from. They claim that all the radar stations in the area were down for maintenance that day, which is totally not suspicious.

    Replies: @Jack D, @J.Ross

    Even if it were granted that Russians made the decision to pull it, it’s still one hundred per cent not their fault. Where are all the other airliners they should have also mistaken for the Ukrainian Air Force that was heavily attacking at that time? Oh, right, they we redirected safely around that whole war zone thing.
    Ukraine right now is everything we hated about Central America in the eighties, but with much more powerful weapons.

  94. @prime noticer
    control-F "missile".

    aha! we got a hit!

    that's why there will never be serious action here. missiles. just like everywhere else.

    those missiles that came into NK from ukraine have made the entire area much safer. wonder if swedish 'researchers' included that in their report.

    there's little reason to do conventional force exercises every year now, when it's simply missiles pointing at each other from this point forward. just like with any other missile equipped opponent the US faces these days. they do a war game exercise against china or russia every couple years to stay in practice, and that's good enough beyond regular training.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    Thanks to Obama we do a lot of conventional stuff in Africa, and thanks to Trump we narrowly avoided doing more in Syria (although we are already doing too much); you can’t subvert a population or steal an asset with a missile. In fact, you could say that the CIA/NPR case against Assad consists of what happens when you fight sneaky humans with dumb distance weapons. But you are right that in this case Norks have leapfrogged their own technological backwardness with some long-reaching strength. There must be people in the DC area who would give both legs to be able to infiltrate un-missile-able individuals into the hermit kingdom like they blatantly do everywhere else.

  95. @Hail
    @Anonymous


    Sakashvilli
     
    Is he still living as a stateless, homeless person somewhere in the Netherlands, or have I been misinformed?

    Replies: @J.Ross

    He was briefly in New Goldmansachsland and talked seriously about becoming the next hetman.

  96. @Hail

    the South Korean leadership today seems particularly pacific.
     
    This is a wrong interpretation, but is exactly the self-serving propaganda line broadcast out by the Moon people (President Moon Jae-In).

    The correct interpretation is that the Moon government is, at core, pro North Korean.

    The examples are many, but one is that this whole push to scale way down (or call off) military exercises is entirely the initiative of the Moon government (Trump characteristically takes and gets credit by U.S. media on both sides). Moon was swept into power in a dubious palace coup in late 2016 to early 2017, in which the previous president was imprisoned for life for nothing amid a hysterical ]ly inflated scandal that amounted to little to nothing. Since coming into power in 2017, and beginning in earnest in Jan. 2018 with the Winter Olympics, he has done everything in his power to promote NK; an active co-participant in one of NK's periodic Peace Offensives.

    The correction interpretation: Moon and his base are ethnonationalists, not pacifists by principle (but the latter image is marketed successfully for U.S./Western consumption). This is not hard to figure out.

    They are also savvy enough to keep milking the U.S. if possible, but will promote North Korean interests until the end.

    None of this is ever covered in the U.S. media. Moon gets a pass, and in the U.S. press he is universally called by the water-muddying term "liberal." Why?

    People talk about Jews, motivated by a kind of ethnonationalism, doing this or that in the USA. Jews are hardly unique in this regard. The advantage for South Koreans (and North Koreans, in principle, if a U.S. President is willing to dive in and directly negotiate) is that their culture is so alien and their goings-on so distant-seeming that no one is able to figure out what's going on. And so it is today.

    Given perfect information, the U.S. would demand either an end to pro-NK policies from Moon, or an end to the U.S. alliance.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    If “Moon the Crypto-Nork” succeeds, and we extricated ourselves, I think most Americans would accept that as resolution.

  97. @Corn
    @donut

    “My main teacher was always nice enough and as I have mentioned before she had a magnificent full untrimmed bush that would have won a prize”

    Dare I ask how you know this?

    Replies: @donut

    Occasionally we would have story time when we would sit on the floor at her feet as she read to us . Since it was the 50’s I can’t say she knew what she was doing but the view was unobstructed .

  98. @Jack D
    @The Alarmist

    Again with the conspiracy theories. No one gave a damn about John John. He was not the sharpest knife in the drawer. Smarter pilots did not fly that day. There are old pilots and bold pilots but no old, bold pilots.

    Replies: @The Alarmist, @Jim Don Bob

    There are old pilots and bold pilots but no old, bold pilots.

    Right. He, his wife, and his sister-in-law were late taking off because his ditz wife couldn’t make up her mind about what color of nail polish she wanted.

    He took off into a twilight haze, lost the horizon, and landed in the drink. Every military pilot I knew said, “dumb f**k”.

    He’d had some instrument training. He might have lived if he’d turned them on and called the tower.

    The Kennedy family reportedly paid $10 million for killing the sister in law.

    That said, he seemed like a decent guy, for a Kennedy.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @Jim Don Bob

    See #86. There is a little more to it than that - if the plane had just stayed in level flight he might not have lost orientation. He did have some instrument training (and others that night reported that it was possible to see the stars). But usually in these tragedies there is more than 1 thing that goes wrong. The autopilot snapped off unexpectedly for some reason. The plane was perhaps out of balance due to uneven amounts of fuel in the wing tanks. A second before he is daydreaming but now suddenly it is his airplane and it's almost upside down and diving for the sea and it's only 2,000 feet before the water and you have less than a minute to orient yourself and execute the correct control inputs to level the wings and pull the plane out of the dive and the sky is below you and the ocean is above. What do you do? You only have a few seconds formulate a plan and execute it or your are dead. It was not unrecoverable for a better pilot but he was not that pilot.

    We are seeing these situations now with self driving cars - supposedly (since they are in test mode) the backup drivers are supposed to be ready to take over at a moment's notice when the self driving system flakes out. But in practice, when the automated system bugs out they are not ready to take over instantly.

  99. @dvorak
    @Jack D


    I doubt that North Korea really has the resources to mount a successful surprise attack against S. Korea at this point.
     
    Don't they have a thousand points of light (artillery and rockets within range of Seoul)? These can do some damage.
    https://nationalinterest.org/feature/north-korea-cant-destroy-seoul-artillery-23964

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

    This guy says most of the Norks artillery is old, of short range, and would be quickly annihilated by aircraft or counter battery fire.

  100. @Diversity Heretic
    @Jack D

    John Kennedy Jr.'s crash was not controlled flight into terrain. It was continued visual flight into instrument meteorological conditions, spatial disorientation, and loss of control. Twilight flight over water in haze should only be done by instruments--it's very easy to lose the horizon.

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

    I worked with a guy who flew helo SAR off carriers. He said if you don’t trust your instruments when you’re out there at night, you will end up dead. Your mind plays tricks on you as it tries to orient itself.

  101. @res
    @Jack D


    The Tu-154 was OTOH one of the fastest modern jetliners but OTOH it had features for landing on gravel runways.
     
    I recently read a Time-Life book about military aviation and the author made a huge issue (to the point of seeming obsessed) about the importance of the ability to operate from short, relatively unimproved runways (he was a big Harrier fan). The point was that airstrips are an easy target (e.g. for ICBMs).

    Gravel runway ability makes much more sense given that idea. The Tu-154 isn't military, but I wouldn't be surprised if the Russians kept dual use in mind.

    The point they make in the wiki is probably more relevant: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tupolev_Tu-154

    Capable of operating from unpaved and gravel airfields with only basic facilities, it was widely used in the extreme Arctic conditions of Russia's northern/eastern regions where other airliners were unable to operate.
     

    Replies: @Jack D, @Jim Don Bob

    The point was that airstrips are an easy target (e.g. for ICBMs).

    Planes are in hardened shelters at most US bases, and runways can be repaired. A guy I worked with at a war game said the way to knock out a US base is to target the pilot’s quarters.

  102. @Jack D
    @Cagey Beast

    Putin would not hesitate to shoot you down individually or as a people any more that Col. Osipovich did - if you stay out of his way, he really doesn't give a damn about whether you live or die but if he sees you as an obstacle to his interests (which he conflates with the interests of the Russian people) then he will want you dead. At best he is indifferent to your life.

    It's ridiculous that people are buying into Russian disinformation. They are rejoicing in Moscow that their BS actually works (at least on some people). I can understand that if you are Russian you might have a psychological need to buy into this stuff (no one wants to believe that their revered leaders are monsters who shoot down civilian aircraft) but as Americans there's really nothing in it for you.

    Replies: @Vinteuil

    I don’t think Putin is my friend – but I respect him, just as I respect Bibi – because, however imperfect, however corrupt they may be, they don’t side with outsiders against their own people.

    • Replies: @nebulafox
    @Vinteuil

    Putin's policy record is more complex than many of the alt-right crowd here thinks. It is true that he's got a lot of social and "how the world works" views that would fit in quite nicely here, but he's no white nationalist, or even an extreme Russian ethno-nationalist. He has allowed mass Muslim migration, albeit from highly secularized former Soviet states, throughout his tenure. He's on great terms with half-Russians or non-ethnic Russians like Shoygu and Gareev. He is also on quite good terms with what is left of Russia's Jewish community. This is why Russia's own hardcore ethno-nationalists have little use for him. And this is fully reciprocated: they've often found themselves in jail under Putin because of their potential to set off ethnic conflicts.

    That said, it should be pretty obvious that this bears little resemblance to Western immigration policies where assimilation has become thought of as an immoral concept. Russia's minorities are allowed to keep their religions and traditions, but they are expected to toe the line, support the state, and assimilate to a reasonable level. This kind of "hard multiculturalism" under explicit Russian domination also has a long-standing basis in Russian culture: they've been dealing with Muslims since the conquest of Kazan, for example. It's not a blood and soil thing: many non-ethnic Russians have identified as Russian while serving the empire, from Germans-who made up a good percentage of the royal family-to Central Asians. It's just a very different history from Western Europe.

    (You could say the same of Israel, to an extent, once you get past the fact that Israel is a democracy and has to work within those parameters. Often forgotten here is that Israel is a highly multicultural place, receiving people from France to Ethiopia.)

    Replies: @J.Ross

  103. @Old Prude
    @donut

    Poor Donut. So lonely. It's like there's something missing...like he has an empty hole...right in the middle...

    Replies: @donut

    I just reread my post . I don’t know why you would think or say that . The time we lived in Venezuela is really one of the happiest memories I have . Although “like he has an empty hole…right in the middle…” while an obvious shot , it was a good one , you should have saved it . Maybe being an Old Prude you were offended by the bits about my teacher’s (I can’t help it) magnificent , prize winning , full untrimmed bush (oh , God I’ll have to take a moment) , or perhaps the bits about the dusky , fragrant baby sitter that after more than seven decades still revives in me three of the seven deadly sins , to wit : lust , greed and gluttony . If it will give you any comfort I also have sloth and wrath checked off as well .

    See you in Hell ,

    your humble servant

    donut .

    • Replies: @Old Prude
    @donut

    Just one lonely old man feeling it for another lonely old man pining for a lost world. The bush and the babysitter didn't bother me a bit. Glad to know how you knew.

  104. @anon1
    @J.Ross

    You lost any credibility you ever had with that ridiculous answer. That was quite possibly the stupidest thing i have ever read on the internet in all my life.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    Well at least somebody’s resisting the urge to keep up with the Duck.
    I think this is totally sound. I don’t see this happening any time soon, but if the Chinese could pull it off I think they’d try. It’s easier without the loud invasion (that is, using spies) and it could be avoided by having a modicum of nationalism and technical ability, but the Chinese pie in the sky goal is to be like we were in the aftermath of WWII: no need to conquer because you need and want their stuff.

  105. @Jim Don Bob
    @Jack D


    There are old pilots and bold pilots but no old, bold pilots.
     
    Right. He, his wife, and his sister-in-law were late taking off because his ditz wife couldn't make up her mind about what color of nail polish she wanted.

    He took off into a twilight haze, lost the horizon, and landed in the drink. Every military pilot I knew said, "dumb f**k".

    He'd had some instrument training. He might have lived if he'd turned them on and called the tower.

    The Kennedy family reportedly paid $10 million for killing the sister in law.

    That said, he seemed like a decent guy, for a Kennedy.

    Replies: @Jack D

    See #86. There is a little more to it than that – if the plane had just stayed in level flight he might not have lost orientation. He did have some instrument training (and others that night reported that it was possible to see the stars). But usually in these tragedies there is more than 1 thing that goes wrong. The autopilot snapped off unexpectedly for some reason. The plane was perhaps out of balance due to uneven amounts of fuel in the wing tanks. A second before he is daydreaming but now suddenly it is his airplane and it’s almost upside down and diving for the sea and it’s only 2,000 feet before the water and you have less than a minute to orient yourself and execute the correct control inputs to level the wings and pull the plane out of the dive and the sky is below you and the ocean is above. What do you do? You only have a few seconds formulate a plan and execute it or your are dead. It was not unrecoverable for a better pilot but he was not that pilot.

    We are seeing these situations now with self driving cars – supposedly (since they are in test mode) the backup drivers are supposed to be ready to take over at a moment’s notice when the self driving system flakes out. But in practice, when the automated system bugs out they are not ready to take over instantly.

    • Agree: Johann Ricke
  106. @Vinteuil
    @Jack D

    I don't think Putin is my friend - but I respect him, just as I respect Bibi - because, however imperfect, however corrupt they may be, they don't side with outsiders against their own people.

    Replies: @nebulafox

    Putin’s policy record is more complex than many of the alt-right crowd here thinks. It is true that he’s got a lot of social and “how the world works” views that would fit in quite nicely here, but he’s no white nationalist, or even an extreme Russian ethno-nationalist. He has allowed mass Muslim migration, albeit from highly secularized former Soviet states, throughout his tenure. He’s on great terms with half-Russians or non-ethnic Russians like Shoygu and Gareev. He is also on quite good terms with what is left of Russia’s Jewish community. This is why Russia’s own hardcore ethno-nationalists have little use for him. And this is fully reciprocated: they’ve often found themselves in jail under Putin because of their potential to set off ethnic conflicts.

    That said, it should be pretty obvious that this bears little resemblance to Western immigration policies where assimilation has become thought of as an immoral concept. Russia’s minorities are allowed to keep their religions and traditions, but they are expected to toe the line, support the state, and assimilate to a reasonable level. This kind of “hard multiculturalism” under explicit Russian domination also has a long-standing basis in Russian culture: they’ve been dealing with Muslims since the conquest of Kazan, for example. It’s not a blood and soil thing: many non-ethnic Russians have identified as Russian while serving the empire, from Germans-who made up a good percentage of the royal family-to Central Asians. It’s just a very different history from Western Europe.

    (You could say the same of Israel, to an extent, once you get past the fact that Israel is a democracy and has to work within those parameters. Often forgotten here is that Israel is a highly multicultural place, receiving people from France to Ethiopia.)

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @nebulafox

    Nobody wants Putin to take over the US, or to live under Russia's Chinese-style legal system (a situation in which it is not possible for the State to be wrong, even if it contradicts itself). The "love" of Putin is only noteworthy because it is exagerrated as scapegoating and because our brainless ruling elite have decided to paint Putin as Hitler. Putin's not Hitler, so any reasonable assessment of him looks like love in this hystrical scale. Mark Ames hates Putin and lost a good newspaper to Putinist censorship. When Israel and the State Department nudged Saakashviki to anger the bear, Ames pointed out that this was not Putin aggressing or expanding, and was called a Putin fanboy for it.

    Replies: @nebulafox

  107. @Steve Sailer
    @anon1

    "Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life."

    That's interesting. Civilian flying in Stalin's day, especially in Russia with its high accident rates, was really really dangerous by modern standards

    I bet, in contrast, that Hitler liked to fly. Stalin was a worrywart, Hitler was a "What's the worst that could happen?" kind of guy.

    Replies: @inertial, @Jack D, @nebulafox, @anon1

    Stalin didn’t like to travel, period. Most of his traveling done before the Revolution was simply because he was an outlaw working for an underground terrorist movement. Moment he had the choice, he holed up in Moscow and only left for an occasional private dacha break, or when he absolutely had to, such as to meet Roosevelt and Churchill.

    >Hitler was a “What’s the worst that could happen?” kind of guy.

    I think Hitler was the first guy to understand the propaganda value of using a plane to fly around the country and appear to great fanfare. Worked well in 1932 because he could give multiple speeches within a day. But don’t forget, public oratory was his MO, unlike Stalin.

    Personality-wise, I agree that Hitler was more relaxed and *way* less conscientious, but Hitler was pretty paranoid about someone bumping him or him croaking (both of his parents died young, and he genuinely believed he would, too) before his “great mission” could be embarked on. From his diet choices to his security regime, that’s pretty apparent.

  108. @Steve Sailer
    @anon1

    "Joseph Stalin also hated flying in planes too and did so only one single time in his life."

    That's interesting. Civilian flying in Stalin's day, especially in Russia with its high accident rates, was really really dangerous by modern standards

    I bet, in contrast, that Hitler liked to fly. Stalin was a worrywart, Hitler was a "What's the worst that could happen?" kind of guy.

    Replies: @inertial, @Jack D, @nebulafox, @anon1

    It was at the Tehran conference at the end of 1943. Stalin only flew because there was no rail line to take him there. Stalin then played FDR and Churchill like a violin.

    • Replies: @nebulafox
    @anon1

    He didn't play Churchill, who was a dedicated anti-Bolshevik going back to 1918 and had few illusions about the nature of the Soviet regime. Though wholeheartedly endorsing the anti-Nazi alliance, he always tried to keep a sense of unsentimental distance with the USSR in a way he didn't the USA.

    FDR was a different story. It didn't help that a lot of the people surrounding him like Harry Dexter White and Alger Hiss were in Uncle Joe's employ. And by 1943, it was clear that the UK simply was in no position to challenge the US. Old Europe was finally killed in WWII, its two last hurrahs were Churchill and Hitler. The future was going to be about the two massive pseudo-European centaurs lurking outside.

    (Churchill also fundamentally *got* Adolf Hitler as a human being and why he was so scary in a way that FDR and Stalin, for opposite reasons, never did. Churchill was nothing if not an old school anti-universalist realist-you know, what right-wingers are supposed to be and historically have been-in foreign policy and when it came to dealing with foreign cultures in general. Leave the universalist ideals up to the libbies, folks, that's their societal function, their job. When they try to do ours or we try to do theirs, the results are pretty nasty.)

  109. @donut
    @Old Prude

    I just reread my post . I don't know why you would think or say that . The time we lived in Venezuela is really one of the happiest memories I have . Although "like he has an empty hole…right in the middle…" while an obvious shot , it was a good one , you should have saved it . Maybe being an Old Prude you were offended by the bits about my teacher's (I can't help it) magnificent , prize winning , full untrimmed bush (oh , God I'll have to take a moment) , or perhaps the bits about the dusky , fragrant baby sitter that after more than seven decades still revives in me three of the seven deadly sins , to wit : lust , greed and gluttony . If it will give you any comfort I also have sloth and wrath checked off as well .

    See you in Hell ,

    your humble servant

    donut .

    Replies: @Old Prude

    Just one lonely old man feeling it for another lonely old man pining for a lost world. The bush and the babysitter didn’t bother me a bit. Glad to know how you knew.

  110. @Joe Stalin

    Korean Air Lines Flight 902 (KAL 902) was a scheduled Korean Air Lines flight from Paris to Seoul via Anchorage. On 20 April 1978, Soviet air defense shot down the aircraft serving the flight, a Boeing 707, near Murmansk, Soviet Union, after the aircraft violated Soviet airspace.[2][3]

    Flight 902 had veered off course over the Arctic Ocean and entered Soviet airspace near the Kola Peninsula, whereupon it was intercepted and fired upon by a Soviet aircraft. The incident killed two of the 109 passengers and crew members aboard and forced the plane to make an emergency landing on the frozen Korpiyarvi lake near the Finnish border.[4]

    Flight 902 departed from Paris, France, at 13:39 local time on a course to Seoul, South Korea.[5] The plane’s only scheduled stop was in Anchorage, Alaska, US, where it would refuel and proceed to Seoul, avoiding Soviet airspace.[5] It was commanded by Captain Kim Chang Kyu, with co-pilot S.D. Cha and navigator Lee Khun Shik making up the other flight deck crew.[6][7] The aircraft made regular radio check-ins as it flew northwest, the last of which, five hours and twenty one minutes after takeoff, placed it near CFS Alert on Ellesmere Island.[5] The aircraft's flight path took it almost directly over the North Magnetic Pole, causing large errors in the aircraft's magnetic compass-based navigation systems. Its course then turned to the southeast and it flew over the Barents Sea and into Soviet airspace, reaching the Soviet coast an estimated three hours and 1,500 miles (2,400 km) after its southward turn.[5]
    Soviet air defence

    Soviet air defence radar spotted the plane at 20:54, when the plane was approximately 400 kilometres (250 mi) away from Soviet territorial waters.[8] At 21:19 the plane entered Soviet airspace. As the plane did not respond to multiple requests from the ground, a Su-15 interceptor, piloted by Alexander Bosov, was dispatched to intercept the airliner. Having approached KAL902, Bosov waggled the Su-15's wings multiple times, using the international signal for the airliner to follow the interceptor. Instead KAL902 made a 90 degree turn towards the Soviet-Finnish border. Bosov reported the attempted escape from Soviet airspace to the Air Defence Command Officer Vladimir Tsarkov, and the latter, based on internal instructions, commanded to Bosov to shoot down KAL902.

    According to Kim's account of the attack, the interceptor approached his aircraft from the right side rather than the left as required by International Civil Aviation Organization (ICAO) regulation.[8] Kim decreased his speed and turned on the navigation lights, indicating that he was ready to follow the Soviet fighter for landing.[8]

    According to Soviet reports, the airliner repeatedly ignored commands to follow the interceptor.[9] Flight 902's co-pilot, S.D. Cha, said that the crew had attempted to communicate with the interceptor via radio, but did not receive a response.[6]

    Bosov tried to convince his superiors that the plane was not a military threat, but after receiving orders to shoot it down[10][8] at 21:42 he fired a R-60 missile. The missile flew past the target.[8] The second one hit the left wing, knocking off approximately 4 metres (13 ft) of its length. The missile also punctured the fuselage, causing rapid decompression and jamming one of the plane's four turbines.[8] Korean passenger Bahng Tais Hwang died in the missile strike, which wounded several others.[6]

    After being hit, the airliner quickly descended from an altitude of 9,000 m (30,000 ft).[8] It fell into a cloud, disappearing from Soviet air defence radars. Soviets mistook the part of the wing that had fallen off Flight 902 for a cruise missile and dispatched another Su-15 interceptor to fire at it.[8] Bosov's Su-15 had to return to airbase due to low fuel. Another Su-15 piloted by Anatoly Kerefov approached the plane and forced it at 23:05 to land upon the frozen surface of Lake Korpiyarvi.

    The Soviet Union refused to cooperate with international experts while they investigated the incident and did not provide any data from the plane's "black box".[8] The airplane was dismantled and all equipment transferred by helicopter onto a barge in Kandalaksha Gulf.[8] The deputy chief commanding officer of Soviet air defense, Yevgeniy Savitsky, personally inspected the aircraft's cockpit.[8] The crew of Flight 902 blamed navigational error for the plane's course—passengers said that Kim had told them upon landing that he had suspected the aircraft's navigation equipment was in error but had followed it anyway; after being released from Soviet custody, navigator Lee said similarly that the navigational gyro had malfunctioned.[7]

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Korean_Air_Lines_Flight_902
     

    Replies: @Yngvar

    It fell into a cloud, disappearing from Soviet air defence radars.

    Dezinformatsia.

    • Replies: @Joe Stalin
    @Yngvar

    Elucidate us on what really happened. We are all ears.

  111. Mike Tre [AKA "MikeatMikedotMike"] says:
    @Hail
    @Mike Tre

    South Korea wants them there. Even the pro-NK Moon government wants them. There are lots of benefits they get.

    Viewed from the perspective of the 2000s and 2010s, it was probably a mistake to ever intervene in Korea in 1950. Almost seventy years of entanglement, for what U.S. advantage?

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @William Badwhite

    “South Korea wants them there. Even the pro-NK Moon government wants them. There are lots of benefits they get.”

    No doubt. And as usual, the US gets nothing.

    “Viewed from the perspective of the 2000s and 2010s, it was probably a mistake to ever intervene in Korea in 1950. Almost seventy years of entanglement, for what U.S. advantage?”

    I get that the original intervention and subsequent occupation was related to Cold War stratagem, but it doesn’t change my opinion that we should have never intervened in the first place. Like you say, to what advantage? If global military policing was really ever about stopping the spread of communism, then all of our forces world wide should have been returned home after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Mike Tre

    It was probably a mistake for the US to grab half of Korea in 1945. The history of how the US decided to take half of Korea is obscure enough that I've never managed to track it down, although it's probably not hidden or anything, just obscure.

    Interestingly, Britain and France offered Armenia to the US in 1919 at Versaille. I bet we would have had a lot of adventures if we'd taken up that offer.

    Replies: @the Supreme Gentleman, @J.Ross

  112. @The Alarmist
    @Jack D


    "This is very easy to do (see JFK, Jr.) ...."
     
    My money is on Hillary and Mossad taking him down. John-John had enough time "under the hood" to make that flight with ease.

    Replies: @Jack D, @William Badwhite

    My money is on Hillary and Mossad taking him down. John-John had enough time “under the hood” to make that flight with ease.

    Citation needed – how much time did he have “under the hood”, and how recently?

    It was a typical summer day there – hazy. The combination of haze and being over water led to him not having a visible horizon to reference. Its very easy to become disoriented in such a situation, your inner ear lies to you, tells you you are descending or turning or climbing, etc when you are not and it’s easy to have the urge to correct for what isn’t happening and fairly soon you’ve departed controlled flight.

    Fortunately for “John-John” virtually all airplanes have artificial horizons in the cockpit. Flying by reference to one is a basic part of primary flight training. It is not difficult at all. You just have to do it when the conditions warrant.

    Unfortunately for him and for the women he killed (killing women while acting stupidly seems to be a Kennedy thing) he was incompetent. That also seems to be a Kennedy thing.

  113. @Steve Sailer
    @Joe Stalin

    The Korean airliner in 1983 crossed Soviet airspace twice, and was shot down the second time.

    Russians screw up a lot (I had a chance to fly back to America from Ireland in 1994 on Aeroflot when my Aer Lingus Irish aircrew had to cancel a 747 flight because they were still drunk from celebrating Ireland's victory over Italy in the World Cup, but no way was I going to risk my neck in a semi-Soviet airline), so you have to be careful around them. The Koreans screwed up massively and their passengers paid the price.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

    The lack of flying skills among Koreans is well known in the professional pilot community (witness the Asiana clown landing short of the field in San Francisco a few years back). Until fairly recently, KAL was not allowed to fly into the United States without a western pilot in the cockpit. Such common sense is unthinkable today because racist.

    My guess it stems from a combination of their education system emphasizing memorization over understanding and their often astounding arrogance.

    See this post from a western pilot that worked in Korea as an instructor:

    http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/3041469/posts

  114. @Hail
    @Mike Tre

    South Korea wants them there. Even the pro-NK Moon government wants them. There are lots of benefits they get.

    Viewed from the perspective of the 2000s and 2010s, it was probably a mistake to ever intervene in Korea in 1950. Almost seventy years of entanglement, for what U.S. advantage?

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @William Badwhite

    At the time the issue was having a communist country only about 100 miles from Japan. Agree that we shouldn’t still be there.

  115. @Hail
    @Goatweed

    A joke has long had it that the 'task' of the relatively small number of personnel in U.S. Forces Korea is "to die" (rather than to fight and win), their deaths thereby allowing the media to wave the bloody shirt and giving the President carte blanche as the rapid scale-up U.S. assets by a factor of at least 10 proceeds.

    With air power, etc., you don't necessarily need large, standing garrisons to win a war. You do need some serious U.S. casualties to get people behind an immediate war, though.

    Replies: @William Badwhite

    I know a guy who was stationed at Kunsan in the ’80s, flying F-16’s. The assumption was the South would be overrun. Their role in the event of a Nork invasion was to fling tactical nukes onto the invading forces, then take the jets to Japan and the Philippines.

  116. @anon1
    @Steve Sailer

    It was at the Tehran conference at the end of 1943. Stalin only flew because there was no rail line to take him there. Stalin then played FDR and Churchill like a violin.

    Replies: @nebulafox

    He didn’t play Churchill, who was a dedicated anti-Bolshevik going back to 1918 and had few illusions about the nature of the Soviet regime. Though wholeheartedly endorsing the anti-Nazi alliance, he always tried to keep a sense of unsentimental distance with the USSR in a way he didn’t the USA.

    FDR was a different story. It didn’t help that a lot of the people surrounding him like Harry Dexter White and Alger Hiss were in Uncle Joe’s employ. And by 1943, it was clear that the UK simply was in no position to challenge the US. Old Europe was finally killed in WWII, its two last hurrahs were Churchill and Hitler. The future was going to be about the two massive pseudo-European centaurs lurking outside.

    (Churchill also fundamentally *got* Adolf Hitler as a human being and why he was so scary in a way that FDR and Stalin, for opposite reasons, never did. Churchill was nothing if not an old school anti-universalist realist-you know, what right-wingers are supposed to be and historically have been-in foreign policy and when it came to dealing with foreign cultures in general. Leave the universalist ideals up to the libbies, folks, that’s their societal function, their job. When they try to do ours or we try to do theirs, the results are pretty nasty.)

  117. @nebulafox
    @Vinteuil

    Putin's policy record is more complex than many of the alt-right crowd here thinks. It is true that he's got a lot of social and "how the world works" views that would fit in quite nicely here, but he's no white nationalist, or even an extreme Russian ethno-nationalist. He has allowed mass Muslim migration, albeit from highly secularized former Soviet states, throughout his tenure. He's on great terms with half-Russians or non-ethnic Russians like Shoygu and Gareev. He is also on quite good terms with what is left of Russia's Jewish community. This is why Russia's own hardcore ethno-nationalists have little use for him. And this is fully reciprocated: they've often found themselves in jail under Putin because of their potential to set off ethnic conflicts.

    That said, it should be pretty obvious that this bears little resemblance to Western immigration policies where assimilation has become thought of as an immoral concept. Russia's minorities are allowed to keep their religions and traditions, but they are expected to toe the line, support the state, and assimilate to a reasonable level. This kind of "hard multiculturalism" under explicit Russian domination also has a long-standing basis in Russian culture: they've been dealing with Muslims since the conquest of Kazan, for example. It's not a blood and soil thing: many non-ethnic Russians have identified as Russian while serving the empire, from Germans-who made up a good percentage of the royal family-to Central Asians. It's just a very different history from Western Europe.

    (You could say the same of Israel, to an extent, once you get past the fact that Israel is a democracy and has to work within those parameters. Often forgotten here is that Israel is a highly multicultural place, receiving people from France to Ethiopia.)

    Replies: @J.Ross

    Nobody wants Putin to take over the US, or to live under Russia’s Chinese-style legal system (a situation in which it is not possible for the State to be wrong, even if it contradicts itself). The “love” of Putin is only noteworthy because it is exagerrated as scapegoating and because our brainless ruling elite have decided to paint Putin as Hitler. Putin’s not Hitler, so any reasonable assessment of him looks like love in this hystrical scale. Mark Ames hates Putin and lost a good newspaper to Putinist censorship. When Israel and the State Department nudged Saakashviki to anger the bear, Ames pointed out that this was not Putin aggressing or expanding, and was called a Putin fanboy for it.

    • Replies: @nebulafox
    @J.Ross

    >Nobody wants Putin to take over the US, or to live under Russia’s Chinese-style legal system (a situation in which it is not possible for the State to be wrong, even if it contradicts itself).

    China and Russia are very different places. They are both authoritarian states. That's all they have in common. Even at the height of Communist brotherhood, the cultural and institutional gaps were very hard to patch over.

    I'd actually feel more comfortable in China, because I'd at least know what the rules are.

    >The “love” of Putin is only noteworthy because it is exagerrated as scapegoating and because our brainless ruling elite have decided to paint Putin as Hitler. Putin’s not Hitler, so any reasonable assessment of him looks like love in this hystrical scale.

    I wholly, 100% agree. I think the more intelligent commentators here can take that for granted. I'm just pointing out that Putin is not some ideological alt-right model. If you ask me, Israel under Likud and the parties further to the right is a much more feasible ideological template.

    Comparing Putin to Hitler, like so many other Hitler comparisons, reveals more about the person doing the comparing than anything else. Hitler was the returning primal being, as per Otto Hinze. He was innately destructive in a way the overwhelming majority of dictators-let alone political leaders-are not. Putin is a very, very normal man by comparison.

    (And considering that Putin's home-city came very close to being razed to the ground and genocided by the Nazis...)

    Replies: @J.Ross

  118. @Mike Tre
    @Hail

    "South Korea wants them there. Even the pro-NK Moon government wants them. There are lots of benefits they get."

    No doubt. And as usual, the US gets nothing.

    "Viewed from the perspective of the 2000s and 2010s, it was probably a mistake to ever intervene in Korea in 1950. Almost seventy years of entanglement, for what U.S. advantage?"

    I get that the original intervention and subsequent occupation was related to Cold War stratagem, but it doesn't change my opinion that we should have never intervened in the first place. Like you say, to what advantage? If global military policing was really ever about stopping the spread of communism, then all of our forces world wide should have been returned home after the collapse of the Soviet Union.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    It was probably a mistake for the US to grab half of Korea in 1945. The history of how the US decided to take half of Korea is obscure enough that I’ve never managed to track it down, although it’s probably not hidden or anything, just obscure.

    Interestingly, Britain and France offered Armenia to the US in 1919 at Versaille. I bet we would have had a lot of adventures if we’d taken up that offer.

    • Replies: @the Supreme Gentleman
    @Steve Sailer

    Max Hastings discusses it (relatively briefly) in his excellent history of the Korean War. Basically, in 1945 the US was really eager to get the Soviets to fight the Japanese in East Asia. But then, the Soviets got around to it, the Japanese surrendered and the US realized that it actually wasn't too crazy about the Red Army swallowing up East Asia.

    The interesting part is that Red Army forces were advancing through China to Korea when the US demanded a partition of the peninsula---before any US troops had set foot in Korea. Stalin agreed and halted the advance of USSR forces in Korea. Which I think goes to show that he was actually quite willing to reach an accommodation with the US after WW2; if he had simply wanted to grab any advantage and escalate conflict at any opportunity, he could have easily ignored US wishes and occupied all of Korea.

    I also think that the US' occupation of South Korea was a mistake. The US had massive naval and aerial superiority with which it could have easily defended Japan (or the Phillippines, or Australia, etc.) Getting involved in Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam probably delayed the Sino-Soviet split and Sino-US rapprochement.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    , @J.Ross
    @Steve Sailer

    Bruce Cumings is a left-leaning Korea specialist who has turned out some readable books, including North Korea: Another Country. He is interesting because his perspective is now unique (during the actual Korean War, commie sympathizers like IF Stone "broke" stories criticizing the US that were straight from the other side) and actively seeking to find blind spots. This is from a piece he wrote for the London Review of Books:


    US involvement in Korea began towards the end of the Second World War, when State Department planners feared that Soviet soldiers, who were entering the northern part of the peninsula, would bring with them as many as thirty thousand Korean guerrillas who had been fighting the Japanese in north-east China. They began to consider a full military occupation that would assure America had the strongest voice in postwar Korean affairs. It might be a short occupation or, as a briefing paper put it, it might be one of ‘considerable duration’; the main point was that no other power should have a role in Korea such that ‘the proportionate strength of the US’ would be reduced to ‘a point where its effectiveness would be weakened’. Congress and the American people knew nothing about this. Several of the planners were Japanophiles who had never challenged Japan’s colonial claims in Korea and now hoped to reconstruct a peaceable and amenable postwar Japan. They worried that a Soviet occupation of Korea would thwart that goal and harm the postwar security of the Pacific. Following this logic, on the day after Nagasaki was obliterated, John J. McCloy of the War Department asked Dean Rusk and a colleague to go into a spare office and think about how to divide Korea. They chose the 38th parallel,* and three weeks later 25,000 American combat troops entered southern Korea to establish a military government.

     

    *Cumings doesn't give a reason here but I have heard this story multiple times, and usually near-comic emphasis is placed on the "dartboard" nature of the decision: that parallel was arrived at because it pretty much divides the peninsula in half, and not for any strategic reason. The idea was that the Soviets wouldn't accept, say, the imbalance seen in the division of Germany, which they put up with there because of the circumstances of the end of the war.
    https://www.lrb.co.uk/v39/n10/bruce-cumings/a-murderous-history-of-korea
  119. @Steve Sailer
    @Mike Tre

    It was probably a mistake for the US to grab half of Korea in 1945. The history of how the US decided to take half of Korea is obscure enough that I've never managed to track it down, although it's probably not hidden or anything, just obscure.

    Interestingly, Britain and France offered Armenia to the US in 1919 at Versaille. I bet we would have had a lot of adventures if we'd taken up that offer.

    Replies: @the Supreme Gentleman, @J.Ross

    Max Hastings discusses it (relatively briefly) in his excellent history of the Korean War. Basically, in 1945 the US was really eager to get the Soviets to fight the Japanese in East Asia. But then, the Soviets got around to it, the Japanese surrendered and the US realized that it actually wasn’t too crazy about the Red Army swallowing up East Asia.

    The interesting part is that Red Army forces were advancing through China to Korea when the US demanded a partition of the peninsula—before any US troops had set foot in Korea. Stalin agreed and halted the advance of USSR forces in Korea. Which I think goes to show that he was actually quite willing to reach an accommodation with the US after WW2; if he had simply wanted to grab any advantage and escalate conflict at any opportunity, he could have easily ignored US wishes and occupied all of Korea.

    I also think that the US’ occupation of South Korea was a mistake. The US had massive naval and aerial superiority with which it could have easily defended Japan (or the Phillippines, or Australia, etc.) Getting involved in Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam probably delayed the Sino-Soviet split and Sino-US rapprochement.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @the Supreme Gentleman

    So US thinking in January 1945: We really need Stalin's help for our upcoming land war in Asia. Then in August 1945, it was: We've got the A-bomb and Hirohito folded, so we don't need the Soviets as much.

    I'm guessing that in 1945 practically nobody in the US government knew much of anything about Korea. There had been American missionaries in Korea but then the Japanese colonized Korea. Did the Japanese throw the Americans out of Korea in the early 1900s?

    The Americans had a hard time figuring out what was going on in China, but the US had more continual

    Replies: @The Alarmist

  120. @the Supreme Gentleman
    @Steve Sailer

    Max Hastings discusses it (relatively briefly) in his excellent history of the Korean War. Basically, in 1945 the US was really eager to get the Soviets to fight the Japanese in East Asia. But then, the Soviets got around to it, the Japanese surrendered and the US realized that it actually wasn't too crazy about the Red Army swallowing up East Asia.

    The interesting part is that Red Army forces were advancing through China to Korea when the US demanded a partition of the peninsula---before any US troops had set foot in Korea. Stalin agreed and halted the advance of USSR forces in Korea. Which I think goes to show that he was actually quite willing to reach an accommodation with the US after WW2; if he had simply wanted to grab any advantage and escalate conflict at any opportunity, he could have easily ignored US wishes and occupied all of Korea.

    I also think that the US' occupation of South Korea was a mistake. The US had massive naval and aerial superiority with which it could have easily defended Japan (or the Phillippines, or Australia, etc.) Getting involved in Korea, Taiwan and Vietnam probably delayed the Sino-Soviet split and Sino-US rapprochement.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    So US thinking in January 1945: We really need Stalin’s help for our upcoming land war in Asia. Then in August 1945, it was: We’ve got the A-bomb and Hirohito folded, so we don’t need the Soviets as much.

    I’m guessing that in 1945 practically nobody in the US government knew much of anything about Korea. There had been American missionaries in Korea but then the Japanese colonized Korea. Did the Japanese throw the Americans out of Korea in the early 1900s?

    The Americans had a hard time figuring out what was going on in China, but the US had more continual

    • Replies: @The Alarmist
    @Steve Sailer

    It got even better: The US agreed at the UN to peninsula-wide elections, and only when they later realised the Communists would likely win those elections did they make South Korea a thing.

  121. @J.Ross
    @nebulafox

    Nobody wants Putin to take over the US, or to live under Russia's Chinese-style legal system (a situation in which it is not possible for the State to be wrong, even if it contradicts itself). The "love" of Putin is only noteworthy because it is exagerrated as scapegoating and because our brainless ruling elite have decided to paint Putin as Hitler. Putin's not Hitler, so any reasonable assessment of him looks like love in this hystrical scale. Mark Ames hates Putin and lost a good newspaper to Putinist censorship. When Israel and the State Department nudged Saakashviki to anger the bear, Ames pointed out that this was not Putin aggressing or expanding, and was called a Putin fanboy for it.

    Replies: @nebulafox

    >Nobody wants Putin to take over the US, or to live under Russia’s Chinese-style legal system (a situation in which it is not possible for the State to be wrong, even if it contradicts itself).

    China and Russia are very different places. They are both authoritarian states. That’s all they have in common. Even at the height of Communist brotherhood, the cultural and institutional gaps were very hard to patch over.

    I’d actually feel more comfortable in China, because I’d at least know what the rules are.

    >The “love” of Putin is only noteworthy because it is exagerrated as scapegoating and because our brainless ruling elite have decided to paint Putin as Hitler. Putin’s not Hitler, so any reasonable assessment of him looks like love in this hystrical scale.

    I wholly, 100% agree. I think the more intelligent commentators here can take that for granted. I’m just pointing out that Putin is not some ideological alt-right model. If you ask me, Israel under Likud and the parties further to the right is a much more feasible ideological template.

    Comparing Putin to Hitler, like so many other Hitler comparisons, reveals more about the person doing the comparing than anything else. Hitler was the returning primal being, as per Otto Hinze. He was innately destructive in a way the overwhelming majority of dictators-let alone political leaders-are not. Putin is a very, very normal man by comparison.

    (And considering that Putin’s home-city came very close to being razed to the ground and genocided by the Nazis…)

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @nebulafox

    >China and Russia are very different
    Not on this point.

  122. @Steve Sailer
    @the Supreme Gentleman

    So US thinking in January 1945: We really need Stalin's help for our upcoming land war in Asia. Then in August 1945, it was: We've got the A-bomb and Hirohito folded, so we don't need the Soviets as much.

    I'm guessing that in 1945 practically nobody in the US government knew much of anything about Korea. There had been American missionaries in Korea but then the Japanese colonized Korea. Did the Japanese throw the Americans out of Korea in the early 1900s?

    The Americans had a hard time figuring out what was going on in China, but the US had more continual

    Replies: @The Alarmist

    It got even better: The US agreed at the UN to peninsula-wide elections, and only when they later realised the Communists would likely win those elections did they make South Korea a thing.

  123. @Yngvar
    @Joe Stalin


    It fell into a cloud, disappearing from Soviet air defence radars.
     
    Dezinformatsia.

    Replies: @Joe Stalin

    Elucidate us on what really happened. We are all ears.

  124. @nebulafox
    @J.Ross

    >Nobody wants Putin to take over the US, or to live under Russia’s Chinese-style legal system (a situation in which it is not possible for the State to be wrong, even if it contradicts itself).

    China and Russia are very different places. They are both authoritarian states. That's all they have in common. Even at the height of Communist brotherhood, the cultural and institutional gaps were very hard to patch over.

    I'd actually feel more comfortable in China, because I'd at least know what the rules are.

    >The “love” of Putin is only noteworthy because it is exagerrated as scapegoating and because our brainless ruling elite have decided to paint Putin as Hitler. Putin’s not Hitler, so any reasonable assessment of him looks like love in this hystrical scale.

    I wholly, 100% agree. I think the more intelligent commentators here can take that for granted. I'm just pointing out that Putin is not some ideological alt-right model. If you ask me, Israel under Likud and the parties further to the right is a much more feasible ideological template.

    Comparing Putin to Hitler, like so many other Hitler comparisons, reveals more about the person doing the comparing than anything else. Hitler was the returning primal being, as per Otto Hinze. He was innately destructive in a way the overwhelming majority of dictators-let alone political leaders-are not. Putin is a very, very normal man by comparison.

    (And considering that Putin's home-city came very close to being razed to the ground and genocided by the Nazis...)

    Replies: @J.Ross

    >China and Russia are very different
    Not on this point.

  125. @Steve Sailer
    @Mike Tre

    It was probably a mistake for the US to grab half of Korea in 1945. The history of how the US decided to take half of Korea is obscure enough that I've never managed to track it down, although it's probably not hidden or anything, just obscure.

    Interestingly, Britain and France offered Armenia to the US in 1919 at Versaille. I bet we would have had a lot of adventures if we'd taken up that offer.

    Replies: @the Supreme Gentleman, @J.Ross

    Bruce Cumings is a left-leaning Korea specialist who has turned out some readable books, including North Korea: Another Country. He is interesting because his perspective is now unique (during the actual Korean War, commie sympathizers like IF Stone “broke” stories criticizing the US that were straight from the other side) and actively seeking to find blind spots. This is from a piece he wrote for the London Review of Books:

    US involvement in Korea began towards the end of the Second World War, when State Department planners feared that Soviet soldiers, who were entering the northern part of the peninsula, would bring with them as many as thirty thousand Korean guerrillas who had been fighting the Japanese in north-east China. They began to consider a full military occupation that would assure America had the strongest voice in postwar Korean affairs. It might be a short occupation or, as a briefing paper put it, it might be one of ‘considerable duration’; the main point was that no other power should have a role in Korea such that ‘the proportionate strength of the US’ would be reduced to ‘a point where its effectiveness would be weakened’. Congress and the American people knew nothing about this. Several of the planners were Japanophiles who had never challenged Japan’s colonial claims in Korea and now hoped to reconstruct a peaceable and amenable postwar Japan. They worried that a Soviet occupation of Korea would thwart that goal and harm the postwar security of the Pacific. Following this logic, on the day after Nagasaki was obliterated, John J. McCloy of the War Department asked Dean Rusk and a colleague to go into a spare office and think about how to divide Korea. They chose the 38th parallel,* and three weeks later 25,000 American combat troops entered southern Korea to establish a military government.

    *Cumings doesn’t give a reason here but I have heard this story multiple times, and usually near-comic emphasis is placed on the “dartboard” nature of the decision: that parallel was arrived at because it pretty much divides the peninsula in half, and not for any strategic reason. The idea was that the Soviets wouldn’t accept, say, the imbalance seen in the division of Germany, which they put up with there because of the circumstances of the end of the war.
    https://www.lrb.co.uk/v39/n10/bruce-cumings/a-murderous-history-of-korea

  126. @donut
    I lived in Venezuela in the 50's I was 7-8 , the old man worked for Shell Oil . A blue five story apt. building all either Shell employees or contractors . The "road" in front was a dirt road . It seems odd now but I would just go and visit random adults , everybody knew everybody . I remember this white couple from Borneo , the husband was a joker , red hair . Doris Day on the stereo , but I remember this song :

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=GOAH9X7gIYQ



    I was the only American in my class , it was all Brits and Dutch kids . The teachers were all Brits . My main teacher was always nice enough and as I have mentioned before she had a magnificent full untrimmed bush that would have won a prize if they gave out prizes for that sort of thing , mesh panties too . The music teacher once told me in front of the class that I was the stupidest boy she had ever known . A fair enough assessment in hindsight but rather unprofessional I think . No TV so it was the songs of the times or reading . There was this series of English Children's books and Comic Classics , does anybody remember those ? "Man without a Country" , "Robinson Crusoe" , "A Connecticut Yankee in King Arthur's Court" , that sort of thing . My classmates had the prejudices of their parents . We used to play Soccer in the morning before school . Once I kicked a goal and the Dutch kid playing goalie between two trash cans called me some name . I grabbed him and threw him on the ground and an English kid jumped on my back . The principal came out and pulled me out of the pile and dragged me to the office for a whacking .
    There was this Italian American family living in the building . Real stereotypes with about 4-5 kids , the youngest was a toddler still in diapers , her ears were pierced , shocking . Her mother the irresponsible South Italian trash used to put her in a diaper and tell us to watch out for her . The kid used to take her diaper off first thing and wonder around wearing nothing but those little gold beads in her ears . One day this old local came down the drive holding the kid by her hand , naked except for her earrings , he had found her wandering about a half mile up the road , in a town with one traffic light , and gone door to door to find her home . At the bus stop in front of the building we would steal Mangoes from the tree where we waited , the Venezuelan family never complained .
    The seasons were water balloon season , to throw at cars . I hit a local in a truck one time and he hit the brakes and chased us , threw a rock at us , scared the shit out of us . Kite season when the local kids would make hexagonal kites out of sticks . There was another season when they would find especially tortuous shaped branches strip the bark from them and catch butterflies and squish them on to the branches to make colorful blossoms . They hunted iguanas all year round with slingshots . Man they were deadly shots with those slingshots . We lived in an apt. building but a lot of the Americans were living large in BIG ole houses with a small staff . There was the Buena Vista Swimming Club , my old man gave me a Bolivar to dive off the high board my second time up . I saw an animated version of "Animal Farm" on the roof projected on an outdoor screen . One slow day at the pool there was a little girl floating face down at the bottom of the deep end . Someone spotted her and they pulled her out and strapped her to this contraption that was like a seesaw stretcher combo . They rocked her back and forth , water spewed from her mouth , she started coughing and she was okay .
    The babysitter was a dusky local girl in her white uniform from work . Jet black hair .The poor girl just wanted to sleep but I wouldn't let her . My folks would leave and I would come bounding out of my bedroom and jump on her on the sofa . Man I didn't know what to do with it but I wanted to get close to it . The scent of her , her fragrance . I was ravenous , an intense , unbridled sexual desire , delicious . She made me go back to bed , despite my promises to be good .
    Two doors down from the apt. driveway was a local family 4-5 kids . I only knew a few phrases of Spanish and they knew even less English but I felt as much at home there as I did with my folks . I would go over and knock on the door and walk in . Freddy was the oldest one of the kids , he was in the eighth grade . So about 4-5 years older than me and his siblings , He looked out for all the younger kids . He wasn't an aggressive Alpha . He was like Gary Cooper , he wasn't bad but the bad didn't f**k with him . When my folks decided to split up my old man flew me up to Ohio to unload me on his parents . At the airport he left me in the car by myself (can you imagine that today?) while he went in to do something . I'm just sitting there in my usual state of carelessness when suddenly there is someone at the window , it was Freddy , he had made his way across town to say goodbye and give me a present , a top . You know one of those tops you wrap a string around and throw on the ground . More of a heartfelt send off than I got from either my sire or my dam .
    That must be the reason I'm a NAZI at heart , if they were trying to kill Ramon they couldn't have been all bad , you feel me ?

    Replies: @Old Prude, @Corn, @Kyle

    That’s a fantastic story. Were you looking up the teachers skirt? How did you know that?

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