Here’s a new book in French. The author Stephen Smith was born in Connecticut and is currently teaching at Duke, but has spent most of his career reporting on Africa for French outlets like Le Monde and Liberation. Here’s the Google Translate description of his book on Amazon:
Paperback – February 7, 2018
from Stephen Smith (Auteur)
Europe is aging and depopulating. Africa is full of young people and life. A mass migration will occur. Its scale and conditions constitute one of the greatest challenges of the XXI th century.
The European Union today has 510 million aging inhabitants; Africa 1.25 billion, of which forty percent are under the age of fifteen. In 2050, 450 million Europeans will face 2.5 billion Africans. By 2100, three out of four people born in the world will be born south of the Sahara.
Africa “emerges”. Coming out of absolute poverty, she starts. At first, development uproots: it gives more people the means to leave. If Africans follow the example of other parts of the developing world, in thirty years Europe will have between 150 and 200 million Afro-Europeans, compared with 9 million today.
Migratory pressure of this magnitude will subject Europe to an unprecedented ordeal, at the risk of consuming the rift between its cosmopolitan elites and its nativist populists. The welfare state without borders is a ruinous illusion. Want to make the Mediterranean the fluke of a “Fortress Europe” by erecting around the continent of opulence and social security ramparts – fences, a wall of money, a ransom paid to the police in the front line for stemming the flow – corrupts European values.
Nationalist selfishness and humanistic angelism are dangerous. Guided by the rationality of facts, this essay on human geography assumes the need to arbitrate between interests and ideals.
So, I’m not exactly sure what Smith is saying in French, but it sounds interesting for French-readers.
Commenter For-the-Record writes:
His current book focuses on Steve’s famous chart and its implications. Among the points he makes:
1. The idea that by helping Africa to “develop” one can stem the tide of immigrants is a delusion, because aid to Africa essentially serves as a subsidy for emigration — it is not the poorest who are leaving Africa for Europe, but rather those who have achieved a certain economic level (and are in a position to pay the substantial fees involved).
2. The idea that immigration will aid the population structure of Europe, by reducing the “dependency ratio”, is likewise a delusion. Once account is taken of the fact that immigrants will have more dependents than “locals” and will require more services, the effect is actually the contrary.
3. Hence how can one justify a priori that it is better to “welcome” immigrants than to encourage residents to have more children?
Here is an interview of the author on “mainstream” French television last month: …
1. He comes across very well, not at all political, simply setting out the facts in a logical and dispassionate manner. It is difficult to imagine an interview such as this on “mainstream”US television.
2. None of his books (he has written or co-authored more than 15) has been translated into English, which is interesting since he has been teaching at Duke since 2007. Protection against thought police?