A lot of people love making predictions about the future. This is your chance to put down your election predictions in writing in the Comments … and open yourself up to being razzed about it endlessly by other commenters.
Personally, I don’t like trying to predict the future because I don’t like being wrong, and it’s hard not to be wrong about the future. It’s hard enough being right about the past.
Say you notice that in the recent past, A tends to lead to X. And at the moment, A is happening again, so that means X will happen, right? Well, not necessarily. Even if you are absolutely right about A tending to cause X, A isn’t the only thing happening right now. B is happening, C is happening, etc. etc.
Do you have a full picture of everything that is happening right now?