RSS
Cruz wins in Kansas and Maine, Trump up in Kentucky and Louisiana.
Long-promised Marcomentum seems slow to build … But Rubio did do well in the Beltway Bandit Belt of Fairfax County last Tuesday, so he’s got that going for him. From the WSJ:
DISTANT THIRD IN KANSAS: It’s not a great night so far for Florida Sen. Marco Rubio, who’s running a distant third in Kansas’s Republican caucuses. … That’s despite Mr. Rubio receiving support from Kansas notables like Gov. Sam Brownback, Sen. Pat Roberts and 1996 presidential nominee Bob Dole.
But Sunday’s the Republican primary in Puerto Rico, and the heavy turnout in Puerto Rico’s prisons in the early voting on Friday offers reason to Keep Hope Alive for the GOP establishment’s favorite choice. Granted, the Republican donors’ struggle to turn America into another Banana Republic has taken some setbacks, but it would be symbolically fitting if the GOP establishment’s Great Comeback of 2016 turns out to have begun yesterday in Puerto Rico’s penitentiaries.
Dems vote in Kansas, Louisiana, and Nebraska.
Update: Kansas and Nebraska have been been called for Bernie, Louisiana leaning Hillary.
English
Arabic
Chinese (Simplified)
Dutch
French
German
Hebrew
Hindi
Italian
Japanese
Korean
Persian
Polish
Portuguese
Russian
Spanish
Swedish
Turkish
Vietnamese
Victory of the silent majority over the loud plurality.
Also, only Dems in Nebraska.
In other Super Saturday news, Trump's supporters now accused of giving Sieg Heil salute:
http://theweek.com/speedreads/610788/donald-trump-asked-supporters-raise-right-hands-result-bit-terrifying
It must be difficult to run against not only your opponents, but the entire media, entertainment, business, government, and academic establishments.Replies: @Anonymous
So far I’m highly disappointed. But maybe fate wants our civilization to go down the toilet.
So Kansas is not exactly known for picking the eventual winner.Replies: @midtown
HA!
I was right. Well sort of. Well I quoted someone who was right and that’s close enough, right?
From my Mar 3 comment (comment #20 on ‘Super Tuesday’s Turnout: Hilary depresses Dems):
“Todd Zywicki has an article in Wapo that shows well for Cruz down the line.
So far there have been only 4 closed primaries/caucuses and Cruz has won 3 (IA, OK, AK vs NV).
Going forward there’s a lot more closed elections. For example this weekend there are 4 elections (KS, KY, LA, and ME). All are closed.
And Cruz isn’t that far behind Trump.”
Well its that weekend and Cruz has already won KS and is well ahead in ME in spite of having lost all the other New England elections.
Always trust my predictions except when I’m wrong.
It's the TV ads. The donor class are dumping tons of cash into negative anti-Trump ads.
Hmmmm I called it a few days ago when I said the booger eater won the debate . The Trump train is grinding to a halt . We will be stopping in Kentucky , Louisiana and Nebraska . Feel free do disembark at any of those locales . Step lively and uh , watch the closing doors ………
I was right. Well sort of. Well I quoted someone who was right and that's close enough, right?
From my Mar 3 comment (comment #20 on 'Super Tuesday's Turnout: Hilary depresses Dems):
"Todd Zywicki has an article in Wapo that shows well for Cruz down the line.
So far there have been only 4 closed primaries/caucuses and Cruz has won 3 (IA, OK, AK vs NV).
Going forward there’s a lot more closed elections. For example this weekend there are 4 elections (KS, KY, LA, and ME). All are closed.
And Cruz isn’t that far behind Trump."
Well its that weekend and Cruz has already won KS and is well ahead in ME in spite of having lost all the other New England elections.
Always trust my predictions except when I'm wrong.Replies: @reiner Tor, @Anon, @RadicalCenter
So, does this mean Cruz is more popular among traditional GOP voters, while Trump essentially wins with help from non-Republicans who only vote GOP because of Trump (if he’s the nominee)? Sounds possible.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/02/18/donald-trump-white-working-class-rust-belt-voters-elections-2016-column/80422422/
It was written when Jeb! was still in the race.More-marginal Trump voters* who don't have their lives together are less likely to have bothered to have gotten registered with a party, and are less likely to go to the trouble of caucusing. Think of them as the Republican party's version of the Democrats' poor Hispanic voters.
*I am generalizing here of course. There are some very intelligent, well-informed people who support Trump for ideological reasons (such as here). But the exit polls provide a picture of the typical supporter.Replies: @Alice, @Anonymous, @Glossy, @anon
So in open primaries, they can vote. But they certainly aren't caucusing as Rs.
But I think the debate flip flop on h1bs and the psycho statement on war crimes hurt Trump. His reversals since won't be repeated anywhere near as often as the original statements themselves.Replies: @AndrewR, @Pericles
In fact Cyrus Scofield and John J. Ingalls who came up fraud which is the Scofield Study Bible, the foundation of Christian Zionism, were from Kansas.
http://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2010/03/kevin-macdonald-christian-zionism/
Kansas was always going to be a tough road for Trump.
Hell, Kansas keeps reelecting the Open Borders loon Sam Brownback, first as a Senator and now as Governor.
Not as many potential independents, "Reagan Democrats" and disillusioned Republicans who been spent the last couple of decades disgusted with both parties and who would have been motivated to go out and vote for Trump.
http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2016/03/05/cruz-scores-decisive-victory-in-kansas-caucuses/
Still if Trump has raised the turnout at all I think you can not deny the Trump effect.
"What's the Matter With Kansas?" indeed!!!
Last, Steve keeps making the mistake of refering to Ted Cruz as just an Evangelical. I think it is far more accurate to call Ted Cruz and his father Christian Zionists, a seriously deluded minority of the overall Evangelical movement. Replies: @Former Darfur, @Diversity Heretic
Traditional Republicans are uptight WASPs and Protestants who are mainly in the Midwest and West now and don’t find Trump, especially his style and demeanor, as appealing as Republicans in the South and Northeast do. Republicans in the South and Northeast today aren’t traditionally Republican. They’re traditionally Democratic and became Republican following the 60s and 70s. Trump does better with the latter Republicans and with Independents and disaffected nominal Democrats.
I simply cannot imagine Cruz beating Hillary.
Which is very weird, because I can imagine Cruz beating Trump and Trump beating Hillary.
To an extent. You might appreciate this:
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/02/18/donald-trump-white-working-class-rust-belt-voters-elections-2016-column/80422422/
It was written when Jeb! was still in the race.
More-marginal Trump voters* who don’t have their lives together are less likely to have bothered to have gotten registered with a party, and are less likely to go to the trouble of caucusing. Think of them as the Republican party’s version of the Democrats’ poor Hispanic voters.
*I am generalizing here of course. There are some very intelligent, well-informed people who support Trump for ideological reasons (such as here). But the exit polls provide a picture of the typical supporter.
Well, I'm sure that watching the Republican join up with the Democratic party, the media, and every other institution in the country to destroy their chosen candidate, as well as call them a bunch of fascists for daring to have hope in him, will help with that.
How does this happen? Every other state (besides Iowa), the polls have been fairly close. But here, the deviation from the polls is colossal.
Also, only Dems in Nebraska.Replies: @Chrisnonymous
Yes, it’s interesting: Anonymous hacking Trump’s voicemail is a way of warning people against supporting Trump “silently”.
In other Super Saturday news, Trump’s supporters now accused of giving Sieg Heil salute:
http://theweek.com/speedreads/610788/donald-trump-asked-supporters-raise-right-hands-result-bit-terrifying
It must be difficult to run against not only your opponents, but the entire media, entertainment, business, government, and academic establishments.
If Trump loses the nomination he has only himself to blame. I fault him for two things.
He should have started behaving more like a president immediately after New Hampshire. Recent debates where he continues to call names and yell “Liar!” are raising real concerns about his self-control.
He needed to bone up on the issues, which some of thought he was going to do and it appears he did not. He doesn’t seem to fully understand his own position on immigration, for example. If a dummy like Rubio can memorize a bunch of facts and figures, Trump should be able to too. He’s still winging it.
I know I’ll take flak from fellow-Trump supporters, but I was counting on him to up his game as things got serious. I’ll still cast my vote for him when my state’s primary comes around, though it won’t matter by then. Hopefully Rubio will be out of the picture.
Also, how can he not be preparing for the debates at all? He needs some handlers to some extent. His campaign needs to mature.
It's clear that middle America is not too keen on Trump's zaniness. Even if he wins the nomination he needs to get more down to Earth.
My guess is the willing-to-participate GOP voters are very much constitutional and social conservatives. And they think Trump winning is the end of conservatism. My guess is Trump was winning with a large swath of non GOP registered voters, who have opted out of bothering since 1988 because they felt both parties abandoned them. They are Democrats on issues like trade and unions–they like unions and don’t like free trade (even VDH was still a registered dem!) But the Dem establishment abandoned them for the SJW coalition, and they wouldn’t ever pull the R lever for “rich guys” who talked of taxes and trade and wara overseas.
So in open primaries, they can vote. But they certainly aren’t caucusing as Rs.
But I think the debate flip flop on h1bs and the psycho statement on war crimes hurt Trump. His reversals since won’t be repeated anywhere near as often as the original statements themselves.
Trump doesn’t look very healthy to me . Granted he is 69 years old but the rigors of constant rallies and speeches and non stop travel and too many debates will take its toll on a man in his 40s. I don’t think he is in good enough health or has enough left in the tank to make it to the general election . Granted the same can be said about Hillary .
What is the deal with Trumps face ?? . His skin is neon orange except for 2 large stark white circles around his eyes .
Maybe orange is better than pasty white on TV.
I hope his wife Melania might weigh in, convince him to cut back his schedule and not to respond to every new attack. One problem with a trophy wife, however, is that she's likely to be as dazzled as anyone--a wife that "knew you when," might be in a better position to say "I know what's best for you, Donald."
Kennebec County (Maine) Lots of people had Cruz stickers, some had Trump – no Rubio or Kasich to be found.
It’s crunch time for the God and oil candidate Cruz and he needs some big wins to maintain the support of his big-spending donors. If Trump chalks up some more wins in Kentucky and Louisiana then Cruz’s donors may lose patience and the wheels will come off his campaign. Maine sounds a worry though, maybe the cuckservatives have decided Rubio is dead in the water and are voting Cruz to spite Trump.
I don’t think the last debate helped Trump. I support Trump and enjoy watching his antics, but even I kind of grew tired of his obnoxiousness in the debate. In the earlier debates, there were more people debating so there were longer pauses in between Trump’s antics. But in the last one, it was relentless. It was embarrassing to watch and almost at Idiocracy levels. Also the last debate largely consisted of Cruz and Rubio constantly attacking Trump with things like Trump University, which doesn’t help.
A lot of Trump supporters are generation x(born mid sixties through mid eighties, we are the smallest birth cohort.) I suspect neither Boomers nor Millenials see things like we do. We are cursed in a way.
You had Boomer parents.Replies: @Reg Cæsar
In other Super Saturday news, Trump's supporters now accused of giving Sieg Heil salute:
http://theweek.com/speedreads/610788/donald-trump-asked-supporters-raise-right-hands-result-bit-terrifying
It must be difficult to run against not only your opponents, but the entire media, entertainment, business, government, and academic establishments.Replies: @Anonymous
Yep. And I love the armchair arbiters of decorum, with their criticism of Trump’s behavior as not being dignified enough. Few, if any men– especially alpha male ones– could withstand the dishonest attacks that Trump is receiving 24/7. One day of the attacks Trump is receiving and even Fred Rogers would be dropping f-bombs and throwing punches.
For those it was lost on, shall we say, here’s one of the best to ever do it period, as he explains this strange thing called Ted Cruz—so funny.
http://www.weeklystandard.com/washington-builds-a-bugaboo/article/753924
What is the deal with Trumps face ?? . His skin is neon orange except for 2 large stark white circles around his eyes .Replies: @Anonymous, @baby trump, @mall, @jackmcg, @Diversity Heretic
I’m guessing it’s because he spends a lot of time in Florida. You see lots of old people with orange skin in Florida.
He should have started behaving more like a president immediately after New Hampshire. Recent debates where he continues to call names and yell "Liar!" are raising real concerns about his self-control.
He needed to bone up on the issues, which some of thought he was going to do and it appears he did not. He doesn't seem to fully understand his own position on immigration, for example. If a dummy like Rubio can memorize a bunch of facts and figures, Trump should be able to too. He's still winging it.
I know I'll take flak from fellow-Trump supporters, but I was counting on him to up his game as things got serious. I'll still cast my vote for him when my state's primary comes around, though it won't matter by then. Hopefully Rubio will be out of the picture.Replies: @blahblahblah, @TangoMan, @Non-Wonk, @mall
You have things exactly right…
Kansas is a farm state that has been relatively prosperous in recent years and has limited experience with Open Borders inspired anarchy. Lots of Christian Zionists/Dispensationalists who are still deeply concerned about Israel and bombing Iran on its behalf. Also its one of few states where abortion is still a huge issue.
In fact Cyrus Scofield and John J. Ingalls who came up fraud which is the Scofield Study Bible, the foundation of Christian Zionism, were from Kansas.
http://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2010/03/kevin-macdonald-christian-zionism/
Kansas was always going to be a tough road for Trump.
Hell, Kansas keeps reelecting the Open Borders loon Sam Brownback, first as a Senator and now as Governor.
Not as many potential independents, “Reagan Democrats” and disillusioned Republicans who been spent the last couple of decades disgusted with both parties and who would have been motivated to go out and vote for Trump.
http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2016/03/05/cruz-scores-decisive-victory-in-kansas-caucuses/
Still if Trump has raised the turnout at all I think you can not deny the Trump effect.
“What’s the Matter With Kansas?” indeed!!!
Last, Steve keeps making the mistake of refering to Ted Cruz as just an Evangelical. I think it is far more accurate to call Ted Cruz and his father Christian Zionists, a seriously deluded minority of the overall Evangelical movement.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/02/18/donald-trump-white-working-class-rust-belt-voters-elections-2016-column/80422422/
It was written when Jeb! was still in the race.More-marginal Trump voters* who don't have their lives together are less likely to have bothered to have gotten registered with a party, and are less likely to go to the trouble of caucusing. Think of them as the Republican party's version of the Democrats' poor Hispanic voters.
*I am generalizing here of course. There are some very intelligent, well-informed people who support Trump for ideological reasons (such as here). But the exit polls provide a picture of the typical supporter.Replies: @Alice, @Anonymous, @Glossy, @anon
Heard the cross tabs on the iowa exit poll that said if you were a “church going evangelical” you voted Cruz, but if you were a “non church going evangelical” overwhelmingly, you voted Trump.
Think about that–we now have “cultural evangelicals”, the way we have cultural Catholics. That means they grew up evangelical, but are unformed in religious behavior, regardless of emotional belief.
Trump’s supporters have ignored his shortcomings til now. Will they continue to?
Cruz over performs in low turnout caucuses. Trump is strong in the south, east, and rust belt, and probably the far west. This race is now down to Cruz vs Trump. Rubio and John have no chance after next Tuesday.
Trump’s disastrous debate performance has to be the reason. I am favorably predisposed to Trump but in that debate he switched between sounding unhinged and sounding like a complete moron. This election cycle is very very disturbing.
He doesn't seem to have full command of issues that at this point in time he should know. I get the sense that all he cares about is negotiating. I imagine in his business dealings he is probably not too concerned with the details. Some high energy types like to micromanage and try to learn as much as they can about all subjects that affect their business. But Trump seems to be one of those who delegates to competent people and focuses on the deal making and negotiating part of his job because that serves as an outlet for his competitive juices.
It's not necessarily bad, but it does not help in debates. In a debate Trump is alone and has to defend his positions, which he has trouble doing since he is not a details guy. But in a negotiation Trump would have a few assistants around the table with him, and any questions that came up would be addressed by these competent lieutenants.Replies: @Non-Wonk
He should have started behaving more like a president immediately after New Hampshire. Recent debates where he continues to call names and yell "Liar!" are raising real concerns about his self-control.
He needed to bone up on the issues, which some of thought he was going to do and it appears he did not. He doesn't seem to fully understand his own position on immigration, for example. If a dummy like Rubio can memorize a bunch of facts and figures, Trump should be able to too. He's still winging it.
I know I'll take flak from fellow-Trump supporters, but I was counting on him to up his game as things got serious. I'll still cast my vote for him when my state's primary comes around, though it won't matter by then. Hopefully Rubio will be out of the picture.Replies: @blahblahblah, @TangoMan, @Non-Wonk, @mall
I know I’ll take flak from fellow-Trump supporters, but I was counting on him to up his game as things got serious. I’ll still cast my vote for him when my state’s primary comes around, though it won’t matter by then. Hopefully Rubio will be out of the picture.
I agree. He said something about Syrian refugees and how we now need to be humanitarian. He’s flipping and flopping, this way and that, and I suspect that he doesn’t understand what he represents, he won’t have people standing with him if he flips on all his issues. The only saving grace here is that he undermines, and maybe destroys, the existing order within the Republican Party and from this there is opportunity to rebuild.
The guy is who he is and already he’s a disappointment because he’s not upping his game and supporting his policies with argument. I happen to think that his policies can be supported with hands-down winning arguments and those arguments would go a long way to calming down a lot of his naysayers.
It’s pretty dispiriting to realize that the only solid reason left to vote for the guy is to take a flamethrower to the establishment by letting a bull run loose in their china shop, but if that’s all that is on offer, then many of us will have to take this meager offering and try to find satisfaction. The sad thing is that no other candidate offers even that.
What exactly is Sessions’ guy, Stephen Miller, doing with his days as a senior campaign adviser? I listened to his Breitbart interview – holy cow, that guy is passionate and he gets it. He’s got the chops to prepare Trump to be substantive, so what’s the hold-up?
I suspect that it is this lack of detailed substance on display in the last debate, amplified by his damn policy flips, which soured some voters on Trump this weekend.
Immigrants taking jobs or victimizing Americans is visceral pain for some. While he might not like it, he is shielded so he doesn't have the organic reaction some would.
If he listened more to his advisors that may help but he lacks the personal relationship to Main Street.Replies: @Curle
Trump can't out-wonk Ted Cruz, but he can win the GOP debates as an alpha. Trump's apparent flip-flopping is infuriating to us, but he's out of his element in wonkville. That's where Cruz can win.
Trump needs to convince voters that, yes he might mistakes on policy details because that's not who he is, but detail-oriented voters can trust him because of his advisers.Replies: @Non-Wonk
So in open primaries, they can vote. But they certainly aren't caucusing as Rs.
But I think the debate flip flop on h1bs and the psycho statement on war crimes hurt Trump. His reversals since won't be repeated anywhere near as often as the original statements themselves.Replies: @AndrewR, @Pericles
Are you talking about the killing terrorists’ kin part? Because I agree with his idea for three reasons
1. Knowing one’s kin are fair game would cause at least some would-be terrorists to think twice before terrorizing.
2. It would give kin incentive to stop terrorist kin at any cost. If I knew my brother’s crimes could get me killed I might kill my brother if he insisted on doing said crimes.
3. Kills lice while still nits. Cold af but war is hell. Dead kids don’t grow up to be terrorists.
https://www.unz.com/article/killing-someone-elses-beloved/
a) dealth-cult totalitarian religions don't really have a lot of respect for their kin,
b) the kin are usually on board
c) targeting non combatants is illegal and unethical. Whatever the line is on collateral damage, Trump wasn't trying to argue for it. He was arguing for something else.
He was arguing for the military to follow illegal orders. And he found out after it was a problem, because he already changed his position.
He apparently didn't know it, and argued it was okay because I'm Trump, and They'll Listen to Me, not because "I think war is hell, and our soldiers would agree to this, because the truth is, we have to fight this totaliarian ideology or we're dead."Replies: @fnn, @Charles Erwin Wilson
As it stands, hundreds of thousands of innocent people have been killed by the US in the Middle East, and the neocons are pushing for more wars to add to those figures. In many cases, the warmongers are also in favour of mass immigration from Muslim countries.
I predict Trump will only win in Kentucky and Louisiana. It looks as if Cruz has secured the vote of party hacks, cuckservatives and evangelicals. As for Rubio, I have no idea why anybody would vote for this guy. He looks both evil and stupid, while Cruz looks evil but reasonably smart. Evangelicalism seems to attract snake oil salesmen like Cruz, perhaps because they know their flock is full of dummies.
In fact Cyrus Scofield and John J. Ingalls who came up fraud which is the Scofield Study Bible, the foundation of Christian Zionism, were from Kansas.
http://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2010/03/kevin-macdonald-christian-zionism/
Kansas was always going to be a tough road for Trump.
Hell, Kansas keeps reelecting the Open Borders loon Sam Brownback, first as a Senator and now as Governor.
Not as many potential independents, "Reagan Democrats" and disillusioned Republicans who been spent the last couple of decades disgusted with both parties and who would have been motivated to go out and vote for Trump.
http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2016/03/05/cruz-scores-decisive-victory-in-kansas-caucuses/
Still if Trump has raised the turnout at all I think you can not deny the Trump effect.
"What's the Matter With Kansas?" indeed!!!
Last, Steve keeps making the mistake of refering to Ted Cruz as just an Evangelical. I think it is far more accurate to call Ted Cruz and his father Christian Zionists, a seriously deluded minority of the overall Evangelical movement. Replies: @Former Darfur, @Diversity Heretic
As usual, Kansas blows noise out out of its fundament. It’s a sorry state founded by sorry Abolitionists and Quantrill didn’t go far enough;-).
Just what a poisonous load of drek the Scofield Reference Bible is is something most people can’t comprehend. Christian Zionists are the world’s biggest cucks, people who would fight and die for a land they would not only not be allowed to emigrate to but which spits on them and calls their deity a debased cur and a bastard, and which wouldn’t even allow them in if they didn’t need tourist dollars.
You gotta admit, Trump is grating. You’ve gotta be a THICK SOB to be able to keep putting up with him.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/02/18/donald-trump-white-working-class-rust-belt-voters-elections-2016-column/80422422/
It was written when Jeb! was still in the race.More-marginal Trump voters* who don't have their lives together are less likely to have bothered to have gotten registered with a party, and are less likely to go to the trouble of caucusing. Think of them as the Republican party's version of the Democrats' poor Hispanic voters.
*I am generalizing here of course. There are some very intelligent, well-informed people who support Trump for ideological reasons (such as here). But the exit polls provide a picture of the typical supporter.Replies: @Alice, @Anonymous, @Glossy, @anon
In other words, Trump voters tend to be cucks.
Americans drawing a line at arrogance, playground bullying, glorified rent seeking, attention whoring, college pimping, and penis jokes? Who’d a thought?
Rent boy Marcobot is toast. Albeit briôche.
Relax. Trump’s pulling away in KY, will almost certainly romp in LA, a real primary. Looks solid in MI and MS on Tuesday. Massive early voting in OH and FL helps, in that Cruz already way behind in both and can’t easily catch up even with a surge.
Trump had a bad debate, needs to get some rest. He’s been going full bore almost 24/7 for the last two months facing off incoming from the entire GOP and media establishment. In retrospect, yes, he should have cancelled a rally or two — apparently he flew into the Thursday debate from Maine with no down time — and boned up on the issues. But he hasn’t had the time. This will all slow down after 3/15, and then he will have time to start listening to Sessions and Miller. I’m not giving up hope.
I hope Trump's recent fumbling can just be put down to tiredness, he obviously needs a rest. He could have avoided the recent Fox debate through the same Megyn Kelly reason he employed before. He needs to stay the course. The only reason he is where he is, is because there are a lot of people who are fed up with political correctness and immigration (legal and illegal). Trump is a conduit for that frustration and if he thinks that he can turn off that spigot in order to entice the other side, all he will succeed in doing is causing his base to stay home. Dyed in the wool liberals already don't trust him, he is not going to win them over.
The path to victory is to ride the wave of righteous anger, and embrace the Sailer Strategy right through to the end. Throw away the textbook that says pander to the base during the primaries and then betray the base during the general. If you get the white vote through tackling employment and standard of living concerns, you will pick up enough non-white votes simply because most everyone who votes in the USA has standard of living concerns that are impacted by immigration, even if it means that your other relatives may have to wait (permanently perhaps) to chain migrate.Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi, @Stephen R. Diamond
Keep in mind the Kansas republican caucus picked Huckabee in 2008 with 59 percent of the vote. They picked Santorum in 2012 with 51 percent of their vote.
So Kansas is not exactly known for picking the eventual winner.
Kentucky is meth country, so Trump should do well there and get the turnout he needs. And Louisiana is Duke territory, so Trump should also do well there.
My goodness Trump is blowing it. How hard is it to nix the racist stuff, memorize the Positions page on your website, and not alienate half the GOP? He’d better have huge victories in KY and LA or this train is coming off the tracks.
Here on today’s Unz Review:
https://www.unz.com/article/killing-someone-elses-beloved/
Trump is a liberal and people are starting to realize that. Also, people are turning out to fight racism and xenophobia
In the minority dominated states of KS and ME?
Seems anyplace where minorities actually reside, whites are turning out in droves to marginalize the heretofore social (and by association moral) status of multiculturalism, white guilt and anti-nationalism. Much of the hysteria on the Left and by the Establishment relates to their loss of moral stature. If you've determined that racism is anything and everything that might support American whites at the expense of absolutely anyone else in the world and the people keep showing they disagree with you, your claim to moral stature is diminished no matter how many diversity counselors and TV talking heads you can put on payroll to advance your message.
Trump needs, or needed to, tighten up his debate performances. The last two have been pretty bad. He knew ahead of time that he was going to be tag teamed against by the Cuban duo, he knew the audience was going to be stacked against him, and he knew the moderators were out to get him. Either he should have come up with a way to skip those debates without losing face, or he should have prepped better.
He doesn’t seem to have full command of issues that at this point in time he should know. I get the sense that all he cares about is negotiating. I imagine in his business dealings he is probably not too concerned with the details. Some high energy types like to micromanage and try to learn as much as they can about all subjects that affect their business. But Trump seems to be one of those who delegates to competent people and focuses on the deal making and negotiating part of his job because that serves as an outlet for his competitive juices.
It’s not necessarily bad, but it does not help in debates. In a debate Trump is alone and has to defend his positions, which he has trouble doing since he is not a details guy. But in a negotiation Trump would have a few assistants around the table with him, and any questions that came up would be addressed by these competent lieutenants.
Los Cubanos would be preferred.
Thank you.
“I predict Trump will only win in Kentucky and Louisiana. ”
Why would he have been expected to win the caucuses? Those are Cruz voters. Anytime you have to publicly come in and support a candidate, the results are going to be skewed.
If Trump doesn’t win KY & LA, then be concerned. Otherwise, this is expected.
Bang or whimper?
Tbh, I agree with his argument too but that’s neither here nor there. He needs to pick his battles in terms of the outrageous stuff he says if he wants to win the general election and treatment of terrorists is so unimportant and such easy fodder for the lefties that he really needs to stop.
Also, I am disappointed at the way he keeps saying untrue stuff over and over again like that dumb apocryphal story about General Pershing. He seems to think that his “non pc” approach to fighting terror is going to win him votes but it’s not really an issue that anyone cares about. He doesn’t seem like he is capable of learning from his mistakes. I think he missed out on a tremendous opportunity after Nevada to clean up his act
He’s awful with debates now that it’s a smaller group. He just lacks the ability to form a coherent argument and keep hammering his point the way that Cruz can. Which means that he will probably meltdown in his debates with Hillary too because she is a fairly calm and logical debater.
I wish there was a way to combine Trump’s platform and populism with Cruz’s smarts. This whole primary season has been so depressing because we got so close to someone with a near perfect vision for the future of the GOP but incredibly poor execution.
Now is the time for him to focus on events such as rallies where he can use his main strength -- his charisma. For the most part, especially against Cruz, debates are a losing proposition for Trump.
Which is very weird, because I can imagine Cruz beating Trump and Trump beating Hillary.Replies: @Intelligent Dasein, @Stephen R. Diamond
Electoral math doesn’t satisfy the transitivity postulate, which will be most unfortunate for us if enough stupid Protestant former Huckabee voters go for Cruz.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/02/18/donald-trump-white-working-class-rust-belt-voters-elections-2016-column/80422422/
It was written when Jeb! was still in the race.More-marginal Trump voters* who don't have their lives together are less likely to have bothered to have gotten registered with a party, and are less likely to go to the trouble of caucusing. Think of them as the Republican party's version of the Democrats' poor Hispanic voters.
*I am generalizing here of course. There are some very intelligent, well-informed people who support Trump for ideological reasons (such as here). But the exit polls provide a picture of the typical supporter.Replies: @Alice, @Anonymous, @Glossy, @anon
This is likely true about the voters, yet it’s Jeb who had a daughter spend time in jail for crack(!) possession and Cruz who’s talked about his sister living in a crack house and dying of an overdose. I’ve never heard anything bad about any of Trump’s kids, even though the NY tabloids’ gaze has been upon them all their lives.
btw, yesterday my co-worker got a call that her nephew had died of a heroin overdose.
If he wants to win he’ll have to kick the alt-right to the curb
In addition to the disastrous Tuesday night debate, over the past week Ben Sharpiro at Breitbart came out with one or two articles, or videos (not exactly sure), about why he would never vote for Trump. That might have influenced some people.
Trump has too many powerful forces against him, and they seem to be taking a toll on him and his campaign.
I don’t think any of these issue run deep with him personally.
Immigrants taking jobs or victimizing Americans is visceral pain for some. While he might not like it, he is shielded so he doesn’t have the organic reaction some would.
If he listened more to his advisors that may help but he lacks the personal relationship to Main Street.
So Kansas is not exactly known for picking the eventual winner.Replies: @midtown
But whoever voted for Romney did not pick the general winner. So perhaps Kansas et al were on to something but were outvoted by losers.
The results reflect a bad debate for Trump and Rubio. Trump should have dodged that one and taken the evening off. Dropping Maine is poor but ultimately won’t effect the outcome. Needs to up his game though.
Some foreign non-Jews are allowed to live in Israel. Non-Jewish foreigners just don’t have automatic right to citizenship as covered by the law of return. It is also not the case that every Israeli Jew thinks or says bad things about Christianity or Christians. But even if what you wrote were true, there are also Christians going as far back as early doctors of the Church who have written and said nasty things about Judaism and Jews.
Thinking about that map of Trump’s strength in various states, Trump will do fairly well in states that have Appalachian mountains in them. Not so well elsewhere. So, KY will go for him, but LA may or may not. Kansas and Maine are already in Cruz’ column. Trump supporters should give Cruz a chance.
Cruz just won ME.
Apparently all those KS evangelicals have homes in ME or something.
Explaining anomalies is what a good theory should do. And the closed vs open theory explains ME.
In Louisiana, whites vote heavily Republican in presidential elections, regardless of registration. So, in Louisiana and in states like Alabama and Mississippi, it is not really a matter of the Reagan Democrat types or the disaffected who usually don't vote getting shut out of the caucus. Whether the voting group is just registered Republicans or all whites, in Louisiana the results would be very similar.
It seems there are many new iStevers among us. The influence of this blog has surely been noticed, and it seems we’ve been graced by a wave of #DumpTrump conservatives.
Apparently all those KS evangelicals have homes in ME or something.
Explaining anomalies is what a good theory should do. And the closed vs open theory explains ME.Replies: @Sean C, @Non-Wonk, @Federalist
Maine is explained by that when you have less than 20k votes it is easy for the establishment to shift Rubio’s votes to Cruz to deny Trump a win. In primary states with large amounts of voters that is harder to do.
As touched on by others, Trump is a smart alpha male who leads from his gut. He goes in and out-alphas the opposition, and leaves his genius detail guys to mop up after his victory.
Trump can’t out-wonk Ted Cruz, but he can win the GOP debates as an alpha. Trump’s apparent flip-flopping is infuriating to us, but he’s out of his element in wonkville. That’s where Cruz can win.
Trump needs to convince voters that, yes he might mistakes on policy details because that’s not who he is, but detail-oriented voters can trust him because of his advisers.
If Trump plays it right, on an issue like immigration, for example, he can essentially say "Whoops, I screwed up in the debate, but please see Jeff Sessions/Kris Kobach* and their teams for details and I support whatever they come up with" and come out ahead.
*Yes, I know Kobach hasn't formally joined. Hurry up, Donald.Replies: @415 reasons
Apparently all those KS evangelicals have homes in ME or something.
Explaining anomalies is what a good theory should do. And the closed vs open theory explains ME.Replies: @Sean C, @Non-Wonk, @Federalist
After I saw the KS result, I was off to look at how many caucuses (as opposed to primaries) were left, as I anticipated they would be certain Cruz victories.
I strongly suspect fraud in Maine’s caucus. The National GOP seems to have figured out a way to rig caucus states. How is possible that Cruz gets 46% in a New England state when the most he ever received in three previous New England state primaries was 11.7% in New Hampshire?
The only explanations I might buy is that the Canucks in Maine wanted to vote for one of their own and that LePage’s endorsement may have hurt Trump instead of helped. Still, why would they vote for a Zionist Rapture cuckoo?
At least Trump is doing well in Kentucky and Louisiana. But that raises another question, why would the French in Louisiana support Trump, but not in Maine? Cajun/Acadian split?
There’s no way to change who Trump is. He’s not a details guy.
Now is the time for him to focus on events such as rallies where he can use his main strength — his charisma. For the most part, especially against Cruz, debates are a losing proposition for Trump.
And Trump’s brother died from alcoholism. So all of them have family histories.
btw, yesterday my co-worker got a call that her nephew had died of a heroin overdose.
You have to remember that Kansas voting is limited to GOP members. Trump does better when independents and others are allowed to vote. I live in Missouri right next to Kansas. We share a metropolitan area. I believe Trump is more popular here than Cruz. But if you limit the vote to registered GOP members, then you have a Cruz victory in Kansas. I doubt Cruz will do the same in Missouri since our primary is open. Most guys I talk to on the Kansas side of the border are pro-Trump, but they are not registered party types.
Trump won only one caucus so far (LA). Rubio’s only win is caucus (MN) and the six Cruz wins four are caucuses.
CO caucus is irrelevant now but unofficial straw poll has Ted Cruz with 38 percent of the caucus vote, followed by Marco Rubio with 30 percent and Donald Trump with 18 percent. (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/mar/4/ted-cruz-wins-colorado-unofficial-straw-poll)
More evidence that Trump’s demonization by media is working.
So Trump has probably been a net benefit to Cruz for destroying Jeb and taking most of the animus from the establishment.
By the way, unenrolled (i.e. independent) voters in Maine can register Republican the day of the caucus, so the “closed caucus” aspect isn’t that big a deal unless someone hates the idea of being a registered Republican for a few months.
I guess Rubio will get his big win tomorrow in Puerto Rico!
Trump can't out-wonk Ted Cruz, but he can win the GOP debates as an alpha. Trump's apparent flip-flopping is infuriating to us, but he's out of his element in wonkville. That's where Cruz can win.
Trump needs to convince voters that, yes he might mistakes on policy details because that's not who he is, but detail-oriented voters can trust him because of his advisers.Replies: @Non-Wonk
As a quick footnote, since I ran out of time to edit:
If Trump plays it right, on an issue like immigration, for example, he can essentially say “Whoops, I screwed up in the debate, but please see Jeff Sessions/Kris Kobach* and their teams for details and I support whatever they come up with” and come out ahead.
*Yes, I know Kobach hasn’t formally joined. Hurry up, Donald.
More concerning than him not being able to go toe to toe with Cruz with statistics was more the fact that he did not even seem like an adult who has control of his emotions or his faculties.
And I say this as someone who likes the idea of giving a big middle finger to the GOP establishment. If that is as good as he can do in a debate he won't get 40% of the popular vote.
I am sympathetic to the idea that this is as good as we can do for this cycle. I can't see Cruz beating Clinton. Maybe 4 years of an anemic Clinton and 12 years of Democrat rule is what we need to make a smart nationalist politician viable against the Democratic party. But it also feels like the Democrats might be the new permanent ruling party.
Puerto Rico has 23 delegates, American Samoa 9, Northern Marianas 9, Guam 9 and US Virgin Islands 9.
59 delegates total from the commonwealth – more than Iowa and New Hampshire combined.
They could play a large role in helping the establishment thwart the will of the American electorate at the GOP convention.
If the commonwealths all became states, their 10 senators would give Democrats a permanent unassailable majority in the Senate.
They are a drain on the treasury.
It is time for independence.
Here is the GOP primary schedule.
Puerto Rico has a primary on March 6.
Hawaii has a caucus on March 8 while Idaho, Michigan and MS hold primaries.
DC has a primary on March 12.
Then we hit the big day of March 15. FL, IL, MO, NC, and OH hold primaries.
Yes–combine Trump’s position and charisma, Cruz’s brainpower, and Marco’s youth and looks, and we’d have us a champion.
He looks like a baby in a bubble bath or foam party.Replies: @Harry Baldwin
Rubio has apparently been stomped on today.
Is this the cue for Mitt to ride in on his white horse?
Live in Indiana which thankfully is an open primary state.
However, I have attended several candidate townhalls over the last decade. Christian Zionists have demonstrated a strong tendency to complete disrupt and takeover the situation. They will shout out “How will you protect Israel from Iran?” repeatedly until the candidate answers them, and if they are not satisfied that the answer is not slavishly supportive enough of Israel, they will simply continue being obnoxious. The Christian Zionists are far worse than the anti-abortion absolutists.
One thing about Christian Zionists is that I can easily see how they could render any caucus unbearable.
Kansas is an outlier.
You may like it, but
a) dealth-cult totalitarian religions don’t really have a lot of respect for their kin,
b) the kin are usually on board
c) targeting non combatants is illegal and unethical. Whatever the line is on collateral damage, Trump wasn’t trying to argue for it. He was arguing for something else.
He was arguing for the military to follow illegal orders. And he found out after it was a problem, because he already changed his position.
He apparently didn’t know it, and argued it was okay because I’m Trump, and They’ll Listen to Me, not because “I think war is hell, and our soldiers would agree to this, because the truth is, we have to fight this totaliarian ideology or we’re dead.”
Are you ready to watch someone you love die to protect the kin of terrorists? Are you ready to die for that?
Because that is what you want others to do. You are demanding than innocent people die to keep your sensibilities intact. And when those innocents die, I'll bet you will be so very pleased with yourself, because you are standing up for those poor, downtrodden, relatives of the beheading terrorists. What a win-win. You get to be all puffed up with your self-righteousness, and others die on their knees by having their head hacked off by a vicious murderer.
Thanks for demonstrating where our real problem lies. And for why Trump is so popular.
CO caucus is irrelevant now but unofficial straw poll has Ted Cruz with 38 percent of the caucus vote, followed by Marco Rubio with 30 percent and Donald Trump with 18 percent. (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/mar/4/ted-cruz-wins-colorado-unofficial-straw-poll)
More evidence that Trump's demonization by media is working.Replies: @iSteveFan, @Federalist
I also think that Trump’s demonization by the media is helping Cruz. If Trump were not in the race, some say he would be winning the South. But without Trump Cruz would be taking all the HEAT rounds coming in from the media and the GOP establishment. I don’t know if he would have lasted. Jeb would probably be running roughshod over him.
So Trump has probably been a net benefit to Cruz for destroying Jeb and taking most of the animus from the establishment.
I’m not going so far as to call vote fraud but how in the hell did Cruz win Maine? I’m not a New Englander and never been there but this Southern fried evangelical has been toxic to voters in NH, VT and MA but now he’s romping in Maine? What the hell?
Maine is somewhat different than other New England states; it is much more French (which, one would think, would work against Cruz, whose brand of Protestantism is anti-Catholic), poorer and less educated (again, ought to work for Trump).
Perhaps the caucus' 20,000 participants were simply not representative of Maine's 1.3 million people and were heavily loaded by some evangelical minority? Maine seems old-fashioned; maybe Trump's vulgarity was too much?
Maine is a caucus state, too. Caucuses should be more predictable than primaries, but not this year.
http://www.politico.com/2016-election/results/map/president/kentucky
with the detailed county level is interesting. Some counties, Trump is winning by nearly triple the votes over Cruz. Others, Cruz is winning by double digits. Others are very tight.
I can figure out the major city/county pattern, but I don’t know much else about the state. Anyone able to explain the reasons for such different results by county? How many of the OH counties will match KY’s patterns? Will the northern border counties of KY have similar results to the southern OH, would you expect?
Apparently all those KS evangelicals have homes in ME or something.
Explaining anomalies is what a good theory should do. And the closed vs open theory explains ME.Replies: @Sean C, @Non-Wonk, @Federalist
Louisiana is a closed primary. Trump won big. But I think you are still on to something.
In Louisiana, whites vote heavily Republican in presidential elections, regardless of registration. So, in Louisiana and in states like Alabama and Mississippi, it is not really a matter of the Reagan Democrat types or the disaffected who usually don’t vote getting shut out of the caucus. Whether the voting group is just registered Republicans or all whites, in Louisiana the results would be very similar.
“Trump won only one caucus so far (LA).”
Um, what? Louisiana isn’t a caucus state.
Caucus states:
IA*–Cruz
NV* — Trump
AK — Cruz
MN–Rubio
KY*–Trump, it looks like
ME–Cruz
Think that’s it.
The asterisks are for the caucuses that are run more like primaries, with ballot voting. Trump has done well there, except Iowa, and he still got second.
Cruz dominates where people have to gather publicly to vote.
This is similar to 2008, when Obama cleaned up in the caucuses, which ended up being the whole enchilada.
And are they being paid, or working for free?
CO caucus is irrelevant now but unofficial straw poll has Ted Cruz with 38 percent of the caucus vote, followed by Marco Rubio with 30 percent and Donald Trump with 18 percent. (http://www.washingtontimes.com/news/2016/mar/4/ted-cruz-wins-colorado-unofficial-straw-poll)
More evidence that Trump's demonization by media is working.Replies: @iSteveFan, @Federalist
Louisiana is a primary.
Um, what? Louisiana isn't a caucus state.
Caucus states:
IA*--Cruz
NV* -- Trump
AK -- Cruz
MN--Rubio
KY*--Trump, it looks like
ME--Cruz
Think that's it.
The asterisks are for the caucuses that are run more like primaries, with ballot voting. Trump has done well there, except Iowa, and he still got second.
Cruz dominates where people have to gather publicly to vote.
This is similar to 2008, when Obama cleaned up in the caucuses, which ended up being the whole enchilada.Replies: @Anonymous, @anonymous-antimarxist
Thanks. My mistake. I mixed up LA with KY. It’s KY that holds caucus. I also forgot that NV had caucus, too.
You did forget KS – caucus, Cruz
In my humble opinion, even in a field of power-hungry politicians, both R and D, Cruz stands out as a megalomaniac. Pass.
Is this the cue for Mitt to ride in on his white horse?Replies: @Jasper Been
Mitt should enter with a bunch of ugly flying monkeys a la The Wizard of Oz.
I was right. Well sort of. Well I quoted someone who was right and that's close enough, right?
From my Mar 3 comment (comment #20 on 'Super Tuesday's Turnout: Hilary depresses Dems):
"Todd Zywicki has an article in Wapo that shows well for Cruz down the line.
So far there have been only 4 closed primaries/caucuses and Cruz has won 3 (IA, OK, AK vs NV).
Going forward there’s a lot more closed elections. For example this weekend there are 4 elections (KS, KY, LA, and ME). All are closed.
And Cruz isn’t that far behind Trump."
Well its that weekend and Cruz has already won KS and is well ahead in ME in spite of having lost all the other New England elections.
Always trust my predictions except when I'm wrong.Replies: @reiner Tor, @Anon, @RadicalCenter
“I was right. Well sort of. Well I quoted someone who was right and that’s close enough, right?”
It’s the TV ads. The donor class are dumping tons of cash into negative anti-Trump ads.
Um, what? Louisiana isn't a caucus state.
Caucus states:
IA*--Cruz
NV* -- Trump
AK -- Cruz
MN--Rubio
KY*--Trump, it looks like
ME--Cruz
Think that's it.
The asterisks are for the caucuses that are run more like primaries, with ballot voting. Trump has done well there, except Iowa, and he still got second.
Cruz dominates where people have to gather publicly to vote.
This is similar to 2008, when Obama cleaned up in the caucuses, which ended up being the whole enchilada.Replies: @Anonymous, @anonymous-antimarxist
Isn’t Kansas a caucus state as well???
It’s been a good night for Cruz, but let’s see how many delegates he winds up with compared with Trump. It might turn out to be a roughly 50-50 split in delegates. I suppose that is a victory since he is not allowing Trump to surge ahead. Tuesday now looms pretty big with Michigan and Mississippi.
On the negative side, there are only 3 more caucuses left, Hawaii, Northern Marianas and Utah. It seems Cruz does best in caucus voting. So that can’t be good news for him.
“Marco’s youth and looks”
He looks like a baby in a bubble bath or foam party.
Trump blew it with “I’m softening my position” on HB visas at the debate.
Also Trump is spending very little money. Just like pre Iowa.
Also Carson dropped out and those voters went to Cruz.
Trump had a bad debate where he didn’t prepare again and then tacked hard to the left on immigration. He’s a jerk. Did same things before Iowa. He just doesn’t care. Look for Trump to go back to anti-immigrant rhetoric this week. But HE WON’T SPEND ANY BIG MONEY.
Unreal that the guy who won’t spend any significant money has been bitching that “we should just wrap this thing up.”
The reason we armchair arbiters of decorum are criticizing Trump’s behavior is that we’d actually like to see him to win and his behavior is making it unlikely. The fact that he’s being provoked isn’t the point.
I was right. Well sort of. Well I quoted someone who was right and that's close enough, right?
From my Mar 3 comment (comment #20 on 'Super Tuesday's Turnout: Hilary depresses Dems):
"Todd Zywicki has an article in Wapo that shows well for Cruz down the line.
So far there have been only 4 closed primaries/caucuses and Cruz has won 3 (IA, OK, AK vs NV).
Going forward there’s a lot more closed elections. For example this weekend there are 4 elections (KS, KY, LA, and ME). All are closed.
And Cruz isn’t that far behind Trump."
Well its that weekend and Cruz has already won KS and is well ahead in ME in spite of having lost all the other New England elections.
Always trust my predictions except when I'm wrong.Replies: @reiner Tor, @Anon, @RadicalCenter
And trump probably got more delegates than Cruz again tonight. And?
Steve, you think Rubio is trying to turn the US into a banana republic?
Surely, of all the people running, Donald Trump is the only one who has the look and feel of a Latin American caudillo.
What makes it more frustrating is that we all saw his victory press conference last week where he was very presidential. It was a different Trump.
The 3 pro-Trump states held primaries, whereas ME is a caucus state. The ME result supports the 2016 trend that caucus states tend to be anti-Trump.
Rubio has little show for Super Saturday – not a very impressive ROI for the Rhinos.
a) dealth-cult totalitarian religions don't really have a lot of respect for their kin,
b) the kin are usually on board
c) targeting non combatants is illegal and unethical. Whatever the line is on collateral damage, Trump wasn't trying to argue for it. He was arguing for something else.
He was arguing for the military to follow illegal orders. And he found out after it was a problem, because he already changed his position.
He apparently didn't know it, and argued it was okay because I'm Trump, and They'll Listen to Me, not because "I think war is hell, and our soldiers would agree to this, because the truth is, we have to fight this totaliarian ideology or we're dead."Replies: @fnn, @Charles Erwin Wilson
A lot of civilians were targeted in the Mexican War and the Filipino War, but USG has been targeting noncombatants on a regular basis starting with WWII. And what are you doing when you bomb a wedding party? You’re killing a suspected terrorist and most of his relatives.
It’s the caucuses that are screwing Trump. I’ve read accounts of churches busing people in to vote in KS and districts likely to vote for Trump are understaffed so people got tired of waiting and left. Maybe this will lead to a national dialogue about caucuses vs. primaries. It seems ridiculous that you have to state your vote out loud in front of other people and can be intimidated into voting against your inclination.
In other words, it's completely out of date in 2016 America, and should be replaced with a primary.Replies: @Reg Cæsar
I agree that it is strange. Closed caucus means only registered Republicans voted, which may have made a difference.
Maine is somewhat different than other New England states; it is much more French (which, one would think, would work against Cruz, whose brand of Protestantism is anti-Catholic), poorer and less educated (again, ought to work for Trump).
Perhaps the caucus’ 20,000 participants were simply not representative of Maine’s 1.3 million people and were heavily loaded by some evangelical minority? Maine seems old-fashioned; maybe Trump’s vulgarity was too much?
He should have started behaving more like a president immediately after New Hampshire. Recent debates where he continues to call names and yell "Liar!" are raising real concerns about his self-control.
He needed to bone up on the issues, which some of thought he was going to do and it appears he did not. He doesn't seem to fully understand his own position on immigration, for example. If a dummy like Rubio can memorize a bunch of facts and figures, Trump should be able to too. He's still winging it.
I know I'll take flak from fellow-Trump supporters, but I was counting on him to up his game as things got serious. I'll still cast my vote for him when my state's primary comes around, though it won't matter by then. Hopefully Rubio will be out of the picture.Replies: @blahblahblah, @TangoMan, @Non-Wonk, @mall
Slightly OT, but I’d love for Ron to get rid of the Agree/Disagree options. This isn’t Facebook. If one can’t write even a single sentence to support one’s point of view, one likely needs to find some other blog.
No weirder than Rubio winning Minnesota. That should have been Kasich’s. He had the only literature at my caucus, but Rubio had an army of loud college brats. I suspect it was gamed, at least my district.
Maine is a caucus state, too. Caucuses should be more predictable than primaries, but not this year.
Agree.
I’ve had it, I’m giving up.
There is no longer an American people, we are just warring ethnic tribes now.
Me and my family will no longer consider ourselves to be Americans. My wife is Indian (Brahmin caste and proud of it), and our kids are half-Indian. From now on, we will identify as people of color who happen to live in one part of the territory traditionally designated “America.”
He looks like a baby in a bubble bath or foam party.Replies: @Harry Baldwin
Granted it would be better if he looked like Trump did at his age. Cruz is weird and creepy looking and that’s going to be a problem even against the Hag.
Rubio isn't bad looking but the can-head looks so babyish that I think of teletubbies when I look at him.
But less of the policy that brings that kind of leader about.
He may be a caudillo, but he’s nuestro caudillo.
His sister is on the federal bench. Appointed by Clinton. That’s pretty bad, too.
The Democrats will hang “creepy” on Cruz like a hundred-pound anvil.
I hope you are right. I note that there are a lot of new, astroturf type posters, and you are very new here. Most are anti-Trump. I have considered the possibility that you are pro-Trump, maybe related to his campaign.
I hope Trump’s recent fumbling can just be put down to tiredness, he obviously needs a rest. He could have avoided the recent Fox debate through the same Megyn Kelly reason he employed before. He needs to stay the course. The only reason he is where he is, is because there are a lot of people who are fed up with political correctness and immigration (legal and illegal). Trump is a conduit for that frustration and if he thinks that he can turn off that spigot in order to entice the other side, all he will succeed in doing is causing his base to stay home. Dyed in the wool liberals already don’t trust him, he is not going to win them over.
The path to victory is to ride the wave of righteous anger, and embrace the Sailer Strategy right through to the end. Throw away the textbook that says pander to the base during the primaries and then betray the base during the general. If you get the white vote through tackling employment and standard of living concerns, you will pick up enough non-white votes simply because most everyone who votes in the USA has standard of living concerns that are impacted by immigration, even if it means that your other relatives may have to wait (permanently perhaps) to chain migrate.
Add to that that Trump has a real chance of getting ca.70% of the total white vote and he's in.Replies: @Anonym
with the detailed county level is interesting. Some counties, Trump is winning by nearly triple the votes over Cruz. Others, Cruz is winning by double digits. Others are very tight.
I can figure out the major city/county pattern, but I don't know much else about the state. Anyone able to explain the reasons for such different results by county? How many of the OH counties will match KY's patterns? Will the northern border counties of KY have similar results to the southern OH, would you expect?Replies: @AP
Here’s a map of prescription drug overdose death rates in Kentucky, by county. It seems to match Trump support well:
Look at Bracken County, on the Ohio River in the north. It is white on the map (very few overdose deaths). Cruz beat Trump 44% to 27% here. Then look at Clay County, colored red (many overdose deaths). Trump beat Cruz 58% to 23%. Trump won a landslide in all of the high overdose death rate counties (although he won a few white counties also). It’s probably a decent correlation.
http://2.bp.blogspot.com/-jVqpQgxtjUg/Tu-zBMtov3I/AAAAAAAAEA0/cazWM9HXchw/s1600/KYprescriptionoverdosedeaths.jpg
Trump carried every one of the top ten counties with the highest prescription drug overdose death rates in KY. Many of these were landslides - Trump beat Cruz 65% to 15% in Robinson county, for example.
Cruz carried 5 of the 10 counties with no reported deaths from prescription drug overdose. His losses tended to be closer, however - he lost Barren county to Trump by 2%.
Trump is now slipping in KY. He might not win it. Even if he holds on, the margin will be small. And his big margin in LA is closing too. They called LA for him when he was up big. He’ll still win, but Cruz is now within 5 percent. Cruz took 36 delegates combined in KS and ME to Trump’s 18. But it doesn’t look like Trump will make up for it in KY and LA at this rate. So Cruz will win the delegate count tonight and close the gap.
I can see KY being somewhat close being a caucus state. But what’s up with LA?
“people are turning out to fight racism and xenophobia”
In the minority dominated states of KS and ME?
Seems anyplace where minorities actually reside, whites are turning out in droves to marginalize the heretofore social (and by association moral) status of multiculturalism, white guilt and anti-nationalism. Much of the hysteria on the Left and by the Establishment relates to their loss of moral stature. If you’ve determined that racism is anything and everything that might support American whites at the expense of absolutely anyone else in the world and the people keep showing they disagree with you, your claim to moral stature is diminished no matter how many diversity counselors and TV talking heads you can put on payroll to advance your message.
The alt-right is why Trump has gotten to where he is so far towards nomination. Even the NYT comments section tilts alt-right now. It’s not because our opinions aren’t popular. They are both popular and very strongly held. The anti-immigrationist right is coming to prominence all across the Eurosphere.
It is remarkable that Cuban-Americans are only 0.1% of the American population, and yet there are not one but two Cuban-Americans vouching to become U.S president. That is remarkable. How formidable are Cuban-Americans? And how driven to power are they?
You concerns are formulated well. As says, Trump’s debate meltdown looks particularly bad after the press conference earlier which was quite refreshing. He doesn’t believe in preparing for the debates, apparently. With just 3 or 4 others, its going to be a slow bleeding process. He’s also not spending in ads (expecting free media coverage). The candidate will be selected at the convention and DJT will have a say in the process but wont be the nominee.
What is the deal with Trumps face ?? . His skin is neon orange except for 2 large stark white circles around his eyes .Replies: @Anonymous, @baby trump, @mall, @jackmcg, @Diversity Heretic
its a tanning booth tan. the white circles are where goggles cover the eyes.
Immigrants taking jobs or victimizing Americans is visceral pain for some. While he might not like it, he is shielded so he doesn't have the organic reaction some would.
If he listened more to his advisors that may help but he lacks the personal relationship to Main Street.Replies: @Curle
Yet he was speaking about these issues, in the trade context, as far back as the 80s. There are videos from that time. Visceral or not, it is a longstanding concern of his.
I can see KY being somewhat close being a caucus state. But what's up with LA?Replies: @Non-Wonk, @AP, @Alex7
KY has just been called for Trump, but there’s no doubt today will be spun as a huge Cruz victory.
I'm assuming Cruz or Rubio will win Puerto Rico and Trump might not get any delegates. So this weekend will be huge for Cruz. Trump really needs to do well in MI and MS on Tuesday to avoid the perception that he has lost it.
Note: A recent poll has Kasich ahead by 2 in MI. Most other polls have Trump up by 15 or more.
Which is very weird, because I can imagine Cruz beating Trump and Trump beating Hillary.Replies: @Intelligent Dasein, @Stephen R. Diamond
Weird maybe, but not very weird. See Arrow’s Impossibility Theorem (https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Arrow’s_impossibility_theorem)
I can see KY being somewhat close being a caucus state. But what's up with LA?Replies: @Non-Wonk, @AP, @Alex7
LA borders Texas and Cruz won the counties along the Texas border.
Dear Sir/Madam, Kindly share the results for recent anti-racism/anti-xenophobia candidates in India, China and the Arab world. Best, Non-Wonk
I can see KY being somewhat close being a caucus state. But what's up with LA?Replies: @Non-Wonk, @AP, @Alex7
The Cruz areas (TX/LA border) in Louisiana are about 95% in, while there are still large Trump areas (Cajun) still out like St. Tammany. The concerning part for Trump right now is Michigan and by default Ohio. A new ARG poll has Kasich up by two in Michigan even though they only polled 400 people.
If Kasich wins OH, PA and, MI he will be in a very good position in a brokered convention.
As a pro-Kasich commenter on an Ohio newspaper page said about Kasich, "All he has to do is stay on the highway, and avoid the debris from the coming car wreck."Replies: @Charles Erwin Wilson
Or maybe Trump needs to show he can build an organization to win where organizations are needed?
a) dealth-cult totalitarian religions don't really have a lot of respect for their kin,
b) the kin are usually on board
c) targeting non combatants is illegal and unethical. Whatever the line is on collateral damage, Trump wasn't trying to argue for it. He was arguing for something else.
He was arguing for the military to follow illegal orders. And he found out after it was a problem, because he already changed his position.
He apparently didn't know it, and argued it was okay because I'm Trump, and They'll Listen to Me, not because "I think war is hell, and our soldiers would agree to this, because the truth is, we have to fight this totaliarian ideology or we're dead."Replies: @fnn, @Charles Erwin Wilson
I see the kin killing offends your sensibilities. You want to play the “illegal and unethical” card after Obama? Please.
Are you ready to watch someone you love die to protect the kin of terrorists? Are you ready to die for that?
Because that is what you want others to do. You are demanding than innocent people die to keep your sensibilities intact. And when those innocents die, I’ll bet you will be so very pleased with yourself, because you are standing up for those poor, downtrodden, relatives of the beheading terrorists. What a win-win. You get to be all puffed up with your self-righteousness, and others die on their knees by having their head hacked off by a vicious murderer.
Thanks for demonstrating where our real problem lies. And for why Trump is so popular.
For readers here:
The caucus concept works on a small scale, with ethnically, culturally and socially homogeneous participants.
In other words, it’s completely out of date in 2016 America, and should be replaced with a primary.
So both processes have their gaping holes.
LA is a disappointment. Trump was up huge early on. But now it looks like he will only net 2 delegates more than Cruz. Cruz will win the delegate count tonight.
I’m assuming Cruz or Rubio will win Puerto Rico and Trump might not get any delegates. So this weekend will be huge for Cruz. Trump really needs to do well in MI and MS on Tuesday to avoid the perception that he has lost it.
Note: A recent poll has Kasich ahead by 2 in MI. Most other polls have Trump up by 15 or more.
I hope Trump's recent fumbling can just be put down to tiredness, he obviously needs a rest. He could have avoided the recent Fox debate through the same Megyn Kelly reason he employed before. He needs to stay the course. The only reason he is where he is, is because there are a lot of people who are fed up with political correctness and immigration (legal and illegal). Trump is a conduit for that frustration and if he thinks that he can turn off that spigot in order to entice the other side, all he will succeed in doing is causing his base to stay home. Dyed in the wool liberals already don't trust him, he is not going to win them over.
The path to victory is to ride the wave of righteous anger, and embrace the Sailer Strategy right through to the end. Throw away the textbook that says pander to the base during the primaries and then betray the base during the general. If you get the white vote through tackling employment and standard of living concerns, you will pick up enough non-white votes simply because most everyone who votes in the USA has standard of living concerns that are impacted by immigration, even if it means that your other relatives may have to wait (permanently perhaps) to chain migrate.Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi, @Stephen R. Diamond
Regarding dyed in the wool libs, I think you’d be surprised. Hillary hasn’t locked them up yet and some could be amenable to staying home in Nov. or at least considering a vote for Trump. NYT reported last month that 20-25% of Dem voters are willing to vote for Trump, should he get the nomination. If he can get 15% of the black vote, it’s over for Hillary.
Add to that that Trump has a real chance of getting ca.70% of the total white vote and he’s in.
Add to that that Trump has a real chance of getting ca.70% of the total white vote and he’s in.
I probably should have confined it to SJW Dems. I doubt Trump is getting them.
I might accept his policy of killing innocent people if he prefaced it with the statement: “First, we’ll withdraw as quickly as possible from all Middle Eastern conflicts and stop all potential terrorists from entering our country.”
Kasich’s support in PA jumped from 1% in January to 16% in mid-February (nothing more recent), tied with Cruz, not far behind Rubio’s 18% and Trump’s 21%. If Rubio drops out (PA’s primary is April 26) Kasich probably gets most of his votes and he wins PA.
If Kasich wins OH, PA and, MI he will be in a very good position in a brokered convention.
As a pro-Kasich commenter on an Ohio newspaper page said about Kasich, “All he has to do is stay on the highway, and avoid the debris from the coming car wreck.”
In normal times I'd be glad to support Kasich. (Assuming an immigration moratorium.) But the best Kasich can do will mean that one-party democrat rule happens at least as fast, if not faster, than a SHillary victory.Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @AndrewR
There are only 3, REPEAT 3 caucus states from here on out. The other 28 are all, repeat, ALL are primaries. So that should give Trump a punchers chance to win. Think of all those meaty delegate states (NY; OH; PA; NJ; CA; MI; etc) they are all primaries.
I might accept his policy of killing innocent people if he prefaced it with the statement: “First, we’ll withdraw as quickly as possible from all Middle Eastern conflicts and stop all potential terrorists from entering our country.”
As it stands, hundreds of thousands of innocent people have been killed by the US in the Middle East, and the neocons are pushing for more wars to add to those figures. In many cases, the warmongers are also in favour of mass immigration from Muslim countries.
Kansas is very annoying in this respect. Though their delegate count is not high, Cruz will get 15 more than Trump because he almost got half the vote. I noticed that in 2008 and 2012 in similarly crowed fields, Huckabee got 58% and Santorum 51%.
So what’s the deal with Kansas? Why in such crowed fields does a guy seem to get half the vote and thus a large bump in the delegate count? Conversely, KY is going to be close and Trump will only get a couple more delegates than Cruz.
If not for Kansas, Cruz’s night is not as big.
He doesn't seem to have full command of issues that at this point in time he should know. I get the sense that all he cares about is negotiating. I imagine in his business dealings he is probably not too concerned with the details. Some high energy types like to micromanage and try to learn as much as they can about all subjects that affect their business. But Trump seems to be one of those who delegates to competent people and focuses on the deal making and negotiating part of his job because that serves as an outlet for his competitive juices.
It's not necessarily bad, but it does not help in debates. In a debate Trump is alone and has to defend his positions, which he has trouble doing since he is not a details guy. But in a negotiation Trump would have a few assistants around the table with him, and any questions that came up would be addressed by these competent lieutenants.Replies: @Non-Wonk
Terms such as “the Cuban duo” are not appropriate here.
Los Cubanos would be preferred.
Thank you.
If Kasich wins OH, PA and, MI he will be in a very good position in a brokered convention.
As a pro-Kasich commenter on an Ohio newspaper page said about Kasich, "All he has to do is stay on the highway, and avoid the debris from the coming car wreck."Replies: @Charles Erwin Wilson
Kasich is a great guy – intelligent, competent and astute. And working with Paul Ryan he will sell us out on immigration faster than you can say “Buckeye.”
In normal times I’d be glad to support Kasich. (Assuming an immigration moratorium.) But the best Kasich can do will mean that one-party democrat rule happens at least as fast, if not faster, than a SHillary victory.
So Ohioans, like Vermonters, can say, "Immigration? What's that?"
Trade, however, is a different story.
I don’t know where that Cajun vote is. Right now 99.8 percent is in and Trump is only up by slightly less than 4 percent. In the delegate count he is project to net only 1 more delegate than Cruz. That sucks.
Update regarding the death rate from prescription drug overdose and Trump support in Kentucky. Map of overdoses is here:
Trump carried every one of the top ten counties with the highest prescription drug overdose death rates in KY. Many of these were landslides – Trump beat Cruz 65% to 15% in Robinson county, for example.
Cruz carried 5 of the 10 counties with no reported deaths from prescription drug overdose. His losses tended to be closer, however – he lost Barren county to Trump by 2%.
In other words, it's completely out of date in 2016 America, and should be replaced with a primary.Replies: @Reg Cæsar
A primary is contested with dueling TV ads. In a caucus you look people in the face. (Though not while you vote.)
So both processes have their gaping holes.
If Trump plays it right, on an issue like immigration, for example, he can essentially say "Whoops, I screwed up in the debate, but please see Jeff Sessions/Kris Kobach* and their teams for details and I support whatever they come up with" and come out ahead.
*Yes, I know Kobach hasn't formally joined. Hurry up, Donald.Replies: @415 reasons
See but Trump can’t even really come close to this minimum level of competency, i.e. saying that he knows who knows the answer to this question.
More concerning than him not being able to go toe to toe with Cruz with statistics was more the fact that he did not even seem like an adult who has control of his emotions or his faculties.
And I say this as someone who likes the idea of giving a big middle finger to the GOP establishment. If that is as good as he can do in a debate he won’t get 40% of the popular vote.
I am sympathetic to the idea that this is as good as we can do for this cycle. I can’t see Cruz beating Clinton. Maybe 4 years of an anemic Clinton and 12 years of Democrat rule is what we need to make a smart nationalist politician viable against the Democratic party. But it also feels like the Democrats might be the new permanent ruling party.
http://www.usatoday.com/story/opinion/2016/02/18/donald-trump-white-working-class-rust-belt-voters-elections-2016-column/80422422/
It was written when Jeb! was still in the race.More-marginal Trump voters* who don't have their lives together are less likely to have bothered to have gotten registered with a party, and are less likely to go to the trouble of caucusing. Think of them as the Republican party's version of the Democrats' poor Hispanic voters.
*I am generalizing here of course. There are some very intelligent, well-informed people who support Trump for ideological reasons (such as here). But the exit polls provide a picture of the typical supporter.Replies: @Alice, @Anonymous, @Glossy, @anon
Trump’s voters, instead, wear an almost existential sense of betrayal.
Well, I’m sure that watching the Republican join up with the Democratic party, the media, and every other institution in the country to destroy their chosen candidate, as well as call them a bunch of fascists for daring to have hope in him, will help with that.
In normal times I'd be glad to support Kasich. (Assuming an immigration moratorium.) But the best Kasich can do will mean that one-party democrat rule happens at least as fast, if not faster, than a SHillary victory.Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @AndrewR
Ohio just isn’t getting that many immigrants. Cleveland’s economy isn’t inviting, Cincinnati has one of the lowest Hispanic percentages of any metro area in the US, and Columbus still seemed pretty American the last time we drove through.
So Ohioans, like Vermonters, can say, “Immigration? What’s that?”
Trade, however, is a different story.
I hope Trump's recent fumbling can just be put down to tiredness, he obviously needs a rest. He could have avoided the recent Fox debate through the same Megyn Kelly reason he employed before. He needs to stay the course. The only reason he is where he is, is because there are a lot of people who are fed up with political correctness and immigration (legal and illegal). Trump is a conduit for that frustration and if he thinks that he can turn off that spigot in order to entice the other side, all he will succeed in doing is causing his base to stay home. Dyed in the wool liberals already don't trust him, he is not going to win them over.
The path to victory is to ride the wave of righteous anger, and embrace the Sailer Strategy right through to the end. Throw away the textbook that says pander to the base during the primaries and then betray the base during the general. If you get the white vote through tackling employment and standard of living concerns, you will pick up enough non-white votes simply because most everyone who votes in the USA has standard of living concerns that are impacted by immigration, even if it means that your other relatives may have to wait (permanently perhaps) to chain migrate.Replies: @Yojimbo/Zatoichi, @Stephen R. Diamond
Maybe his physical conditioning isn’t up to being president.
If there is a spate of critical events coming up (e.g. Super Tuesday etc.), it makes sense to work yourself to the bone temporarily in order to generate momentum. Fact is, he's ahead with the nominations and there is every chance he will ride that to victory. He can get some rest during the coast home. It's a lot harder to start behind and have to work hard the entire time left.
Hey, I get some credit for agreeing!
With a plunger, through a shitty, brown-and-yellow clog of humanity.
He should have started behaving more like a president immediately after New Hampshire. Recent debates where he continues to call names and yell "Liar!" are raising real concerns about his self-control.
He needed to bone up on the issues, which some of thought he was going to do and it appears he did not. He doesn't seem to fully understand his own position on immigration, for example. If a dummy like Rubio can memorize a bunch of facts and figures, Trump should be able to too. He's still winging it.
I know I'll take flak from fellow-Trump supporters, but I was counting on him to up his game as things got serious. I'll still cast my vote for him when my state's primary comes around, though it won't matter by then. Hopefully Rubio will be out of the picture.Replies: @blahblahblah, @TangoMan, @Non-Wonk, @mall
Harry Baldwin, you state exactly how I feel. I can see how he does not want to get too conservative but he has gotten wilder and wilder as the debates go on.
Also, how can he not be preparing for the debates at all? He needs some handlers to some extent. His campaign needs to mature.
It’s clear that middle America is not too keen on Trump’s zaniness. Even if he wins the nomination he needs to get more down to Earth.
What is the deal with Trumps face ?? . His skin is neon orange except for 2 large stark white circles around his eyes .Replies: @Anonymous, @baby trump, @mall, @jackmcg, @Diversity Heretic
Trump looks orange with white circles covering his eye — I think — because he spray tans and wears protective eye covering so that the coloring does not cover area around his eyes.
Maybe orange is better than pasty white on TV.
Once Rube and Kasich drop out, Trump will make primary voters uncomfortable with Ted in numerous ways. Ted got most of his delegates from one state. I don’t know why many people have their panties in a bunch. Trump isn’t sweating.
Maybe his physical conditioning isn’t up to being president.
If there is a spate of critical events coming up (e.g. Super Tuesday etc.), it makes sense to work yourself to the bone temporarily in order to generate momentum. Fact is, he’s ahead with the nominations and there is every chance he will ride that to victory. He can get some rest during the coast home. It’s a lot harder to start behind and have to work hard the entire time left.
Add to that that Trump has a real chance of getting ca.70% of the total white vote and he's in.Replies: @Anonym
Regarding dyed in the wool libs, I think you’d be surprised. Hillary hasn’t locked them up yet and some could be amenable to staying home in Nov. or at least considering a vote for Trump. NYT reported last month that 20-25% of Dem voters are willing to vote for Trump, should he get the nomination. If he can get 15% of the black vote, it’s over for Hillary.
Add to that that Trump has a real chance of getting ca.70% of the total white vote and he’s in.
I probably should have confined it to SJW Dems. I doubt Trump is getting them.
What is the deal with Trumps face ?? . His skin is neon orange except for 2 large stark white circles around his eyes .Replies: @Anonymous, @baby trump, @mall, @jackmcg, @Diversity Heretic
Its spray tan. Honestly, he looks like the healthiest 69 year old I’ve ever seen, I have no idea what you’ve been seeing.
Cruz’s base is basically rapturists and his home state.
I don’t see Cruz carrying FL or OH, in the primary or the general. Last I checked Trump is still up by nearly 100 delegates.
Kasich coming from nowhere in the polls is “Rubio polls #1 in NH”
What is the deal with Trumps face ?? . His skin is neon orange except for 2 large stark white circles around his eyes .Replies: @Anonymous, @baby trump, @mall, @jackmcg, @Diversity Heretic
Like you, I am concerned about Donald Trump’s health; he is a vigorous 69, but still 69. The schedule he has been keeping would wear out a man in his 40s. I wonder too, how has the barrage of criticism affected him? Everyone from Glenn Beck to Mitt Romney to the Pope has been attacking not only his policies but his character. To them, his character is a mix of least desirable traits of Ghenghis Khan, Caesar Borgia, Hitler and Lucifer.
I hope his wife Melania might weigh in, convince him to cut back his schedule and not to respond to every new attack. One problem with a trophy wife, however, is that she’s likely to be as dazzled as anyone–a wife that “knew you when,” might be in a better position to say “I know what’s best for you, Donald.”
In fact Cyrus Scofield and John J. Ingalls who came up fraud which is the Scofield Study Bible, the foundation of Christian Zionism, were from Kansas.
http://www.theoccidentalobserver.net/2010/03/kevin-macdonald-christian-zionism/
Kansas was always going to be a tough road for Trump.
Hell, Kansas keeps reelecting the Open Borders loon Sam Brownback, first as a Senator and now as Governor.
Not as many potential independents, "Reagan Democrats" and disillusioned Republicans who been spent the last couple of decades disgusted with both parties and who would have been motivated to go out and vote for Trump.
http://losangeles.cbslocal.com/2016/03/05/cruz-scores-decisive-victory-in-kansas-caucuses/
Still if Trump has raised the turnout at all I think you can not deny the Trump effect.
"What's the Matter With Kansas?" indeed!!!
Last, Steve keeps making the mistake of refering to Ted Cruz as just an Evangelical. I think it is far more accurate to call Ted Cruz and his father Christian Zionists, a seriously deluded minority of the overall Evangelical movement. Replies: @Former Darfur, @Diversity Heretic
My Iowa Presbyterian church had an influential group of Christian Zionists, who believed firmy that the Jews remained God’s Chosen People (events of the First Century AD in Roman-occupied Palestine to the contrary notwithstanding) and that the United States had a religious duty to support the state of Israel. These people made Menachim Begin look like a wimp. It’s an attitude that’s impossible to refute, since there’s no scriptural basis for it, nor any Catholic, Protestant or Orthodox doctrinal basis for it. Has anyone ever examined the intellectual roots of this movement? It took me years to get over it and regard Israel as a U.S. ally, but one with its own interests and one that needs to be kept at arms-length, with relations conducted in the self-interest of the U.S.
Trump is neglecting basics – he spends little on TV ads and does not build enough locally. Which is really stupid – all this tremendous effort at this opportune time when he really has a good chance, all of it down the drain merely because he decided to save an extra $10 million.
We are cursed in a way.
You had Boomer parents.
Oh, and don't forget the peacetime draft. Blame their grandparents for that one, though.
A working definition of "boomer" would be someone whose parents call a pervert and whose children call a "homophobe".
https://www.unz.com/isteve/the-late-great-united-states/
So in open primaries, they can vote. But they certainly aren't caucusing as Rs.
But I think the debate flip flop on h1bs and the psycho statement on war crimes hurt Trump. His reversals since won't be repeated anywhere near as often as the original statements themselves.Replies: @AndrewR, @Pericles
Are we still arguing this after 8 chart topping years of Prezidan Pimp Drone Murda with his mixtape Tha Wedding Drone Strike and Tha Wedding Drone Strike 2: Linga Ta Kill Tha Rescue, including notable hits like I Pick Tha Kill List, Black Robes Fa Me and I Heal Tha World (No More Race War) (Global Cool Down Mix). Not to mention his frequent collaborator Hillayo who did the vocals for Lebya (We Came, We Saw, He Died, I Came). Come on.
59 delegates total from the commonwealth - more than Iowa and New Hampshire combined.
They could play a large role in helping the establishment thwart the will of the American electorate at the GOP convention.
If the commonwealths all became states, their 10 senators would give Democrats a permanent unassailable majority in the Senate.
They are a drain on the treasury.
It is time for independence.Replies: @Romanian
On the GOP website, it says that American Samoa (9 delegates), Colorado (37 delegates), Guam (9 delegates), North Dakota (28 delegates), Wyoming (29 delegates), and the U.S. Virgin Islands (9 delegates) will not hold presidential preference votes in 2016.
St. Tammany Parish is not Cajun.
You had Boomer parents.Replies: @Reg Cæsar
“Boomers’” own parents gave a landslide to LBJ. And let teachers introduce New Math. And legalized abortion, which is why there are so few of you.
Oh, and don’t forget the peacetime draft. Blame their grandparents for that one, though.
A working definition of “boomer” would be someone whose parents call a pervert and whose children call a “homophobe”.
In normal times I'd be glad to support Kasich. (Assuming an immigration moratorium.) But the best Kasich can do will mean that one-party democrat rule happens at least as fast, if not faster, than a SHillary victory.Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @AndrewR
Kasich is not a great guy.
In condemning Trump for not condemning David Duke forcefully enough, Kasich said “there is no place for white supremacists in America.”
Now I get that the non-Trump candidates are desperate, Kasich in particular. I get that playing dirty is sometimes part of politics. I don’t hold Kasich’s cheap trick here against him.
What bothers me goes deeper.
A) Is it even fair to refer to Duke as a “white supremacist”? Yes, the KKK could fairly he described as a white supremacist organization but he no longer is really part of them. I think Duke today can best be described as an anti-Jewish-supremacy-ist.
But enough about Duke.
Notice Kasich didn’t say there was no place for “ethnic/racial supremacists.” Just no place for white supremacists. Given the track record if Cuckservatism Inc it’s not unreasonable to assume Kasich has no beef with black supremacists or, especially, Jewish supremacists.
Finally, note how he didn’t say “white supremacy.” He said “white supremacists.” What does he want to do with them? Deport them? Imprison them? Kill them? It’s serious when a politician says there is no place in America for an entire class of people.
Kasich is not a “great guy.” He is merely on the right part of the anti-white spectrum. Make no mistake: a vote for Kasich is a vote for white genocide.
Cruz does look funny but I prefer his looks to Rubio’s.
Rubio isn’t bad looking but the can-head looks so babyish that I think of teletubbies when I look at him.
His face looks like it’s melting.