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Sailer's Law of Mass Shootings Tested in Kenosha
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Last night in a tavern in Kenosha, WI, three men were murdered and three more (and possibly a fourth) were wounded.

As you’ll recall, Sailer’s Law of Mass Shootings (four or more casualties) says that if there are more wounded than dead, then the shooter was probably black, but in the rarer cases where there are more dead than wounded, the shooter was probably nonblack. But what do you do when there are as many dead as wounded?

One tiebreaker is whether the mass shooting’s setting involved fun (probably black) vs. not fun such as school, church, or work (probably nonblack). This was a bar, so the tiebreaker would point toward a black shooter with above average aim.

From the Kenosha County Eye:

Somers House Shooter ID’d – Previously Arrested For Felony Possession of Firearm But Later Dismissed By Racine County DA
Published by kenoshacountyeye on April 18, 2021

According to the Kenosha Sheriff’s department, 24 year-old Rakayo Vinson was booking in to the Kenosha County Jail for 1st degree intentional homicide. He is alleged to have opened fire in a Kenosha County tavern just after midnight Sunday morning killing 3 and injuring at least 3 more. His address is listed as “homeless”, but according to court records, he previously lived in Racine.

On March 28, 2018 he was arrested by the Racine Police Department and charged for being a felon in possession of a firearm. The Racine County DA’s office, lead by Patricia Hanson (R) dismissed the charge on September 20, 2019. He was allowed to plead guilty to a misdemeanor count of “carrying a concealed weapon.” The judge gave him 7 days in jail and a fine. He was facing 10 years in prison until the prosecutor gave him the sweet deal.

… He was charged in Kansas with felony unlawful use of a weapon in 2015.

If we are actually serious about gun control laws, the first step should be to enforce the ones we already have, even though that would mean jailing more blacks.

 
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  1. On March 28, 2018 he was arrested by the Racine Police Department and charged for being a felon in possession of a firearm. The Racine County DA’s office, lead by Patricia Hanson (R) dismissed the charge on September 20, 2019. He was allowed to plead guilty to a misdemeanor count of “carrying a concealed weapon.” The judge gave him 7 days in jail and a fine. He was facing 10 years in prison until the prosecutor gave him the sweet deal.

    Vote Republican, y’all, they’re our only hope!

    Also muh favorite sportsball team is the Washington Generals.

    • Replies: @Anon
  2. Anon[130] • Disclaimer says:

    To what extent do blacks’s built-in armor affect deaths? Thicker fat layers, more musculature, thicker skulls (really, at least in men, I read that) … they even seem to be less affected by Tazers and often rip off the wires and walk away.

  3. El Dato says:

    > Somers House Shooter identified …

    “House Shooter?”

    My my – how times have changed.

    “That guy is a regular house shooter!”
    “He doesn’t look *that* Black to me…”

  4. Zoos says:

    If we are actually serious about gun control laws, the first step should be to enforce the ones we already have, even though that would mean jailing more blacks.

    Indeed. But then the problem of blacks and guns always circles around to IQ, doesn’t it?

    Would requiring IQ tests for gun ownership reduce overall homicides? What if, by law, nobody with an IQ below 100 were allowed to own a gun? How much lower would the dead black pile be a year after such a law was passed?

    While we ponder that, there’s this…

    https://nypost.com/2021/04/18/teen-with-ak-47-in-times-square-subway-confused-about-gun-laws-lawyer/

  5. Well, at least young Saadiq is an “aspiring mechanic.” (His lawyer, one Jacqueline Phipps, has figured out that “aspiring rapper” is somewhat out of vogue.)

  6. @Zoos

    Well, at least young Saadiq is an “aspiring mechanic.” (His lawyer, one Jacqueline Phipps — whether she’s from the Legal Aid Society isn’t clear — has obviously figured out that “aspiring rapper” is too common, too plebeian, but “aspiring academic” would be risible. So “aspiring mechanic” it is.)

    • LOL: Johann Ricke
  7. Twinkie says:
    @Zoos

    What if, by law, nobody with an IQ below 100 were allowed to own a gun?

    That would disarm at least 50% of whites of firearms. It would be unjust. I know lots of slightly below average IQ white folks who are perfectly good citizens and safe gun owners. They might not be bright, but they follow the rules, including gun safety rules (once taught).

    Although IQ matters a great deal, the related-but-not-the-same traits of compliance and conscientiousness are also important for gun safety (and life outcomes in general). Many below average IQ white have those traits (though of course some don’t). The problem with lots of blacks is that they have not just low IQ, but also low compliance with rules, low conscientiousness, and high impulsivity. Those are not ideal combinations for safe gun handling (or low criminality).

  8. unit472 says:

    When Richmond, Va. homicide rate soared they began ‘Project Exile’ which promised 5 years in prison to anyone carrying an illegal weapon. It was promoted on TV, city buses and on billboards that showed a black square with the caption “actual size a of prison cell.” It worked too as the targeted population of hoodlums were sent to prison and the murder rate fell.

    • Replies: @Jim Bob Lassiter
    , @res
  9. We must stand up for the right to posit and test hypotheses, even if the results don’t please the PC police.

    All of Sailer’s laws are taboo because they are intrinsically “racist”.
    Assuming that Blacks are too inept to be efficients killers is “racist’ and stirs up prejudices against Black minorities.

    All of our social sciences and political decisions are wrong, because racist facts must never be mentioned.

  10. Mike Tre says:
    @Zoos

    ” What if, by law, nobody with an IQ below 100 were allowed to own a gun?”

    IQ and high impulsivity are two different things.

    What if we just repatriate the negroes? 80% of the US violent crime problem is solved.

    • Replies: @Patrick Boyle
  11. anon[188] • Disclaimer says:

    If the shooter is white, his photo is immediately published. If Black, never published.

  12. Dr. X says:

    If we are actually serious about gun control laws, the first step should be to enforce the ones we already have, even though that would mean jailing more blacks.

    We should not have ANY gun laws. The Second Amendment says that the “right of the people” “shall not be infringed,” period.

    There is no qualifying language such as “peaceable” assembly and in the First Amendment and “unreasonable” searches and seizures in the Fourth Amendment.

    Existing gun laws do not stop blacks and criminals from getting guns and murdering people, so why enforce them at all? The only thing that existing gun laws do is disarm whites who have jobs and homes and mortgages and children to protect.

  13. @unit472

    What is the timeline on Project Exile? What are the numbazz?

  14. When and how was this guy’s head flattened out? He haid look like it was put between the pinch rollers on my grandma’s old wringer washer.

    • LOL: Genrick Yagoda
  15. res says:
    @unit472

    Thanks. Project Exile was new to me. Not sure I trust Wikipedia on this topic, but the page seems informative. If anyone knows more, please elaborate.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Project_Exile

    It looks like it was successful enough to be expanded statewide.

    Project Exile, which was confined to Richmond and surrounding areas, has since been supplanted by Virginia Exile, the Commonwealth’s statewide program which carries bail restrictions and imposes a mandatory minimum sentence of five years in a Virginia prison for those who:

    – have a prior conviction for a violent felony and are convicted of possessing a firearm;
    – are convicted of possessing a firearm on school property with the intent to use it, or displaying it in a threatening manner;
    – are convicted of possessing a firearm and Schedule I or II drugs such as cocaine or heroin, or convicted of possessing more than a pound of marijuana with the intent to sell.

    Here’s a 2016 article slamming it (I love the “no evidence” trope) and associating it with Trump ; )
    https://www.thetrace.org/2016/08/tim-kaine-donald-trump-project-exile/

    • Replies: @hooodathunkit
  16. Anon[391] • Disclaimer says:
    @Ghost of Bull Moose

    Ironically, it’s snarky amoral douchebags like you who are the reason why our country is in the condition it’s in. Enjoy the human suffering that is being created by the destruction of the social fabric in the USA. I know that’s what you guys (leftists and cryptoleftists) are into.

    • Replies: @Ghost of Bull Moose
  17. Farenheit says:

    Whenever my leftist friends start wailing about the need for gun control, my go to answer is “when the constitution was written, who did the founders want to own guns and who did the founders not want to own guns, and why?”

    Answer that question, honestly, and the problem solves itself.

    • Replies: @Detroit Refugee
  18. @Dr. X

    Obviously, all federal gun laws violate #2. I can live with the patchwork of zero/strict gun laws from state to state.

    But it really annoys me how California, whose:

    • state constitution incorporates (by reference?) the US Bill of Rights (a violation of federalism),

    • left-wing lawyers exploit that clause (a wet-dream for them) in order to attack and nullify popular initiatives (e.g. Prop #8)

    conveniently chooses to disregard #2.

  19. anonn says:

    The Second Amendment says that the “right of the people” “shall not be infringed,” period.

    It absolutely does not say that. It’s one sentence, how hard is it for you to just not lie and quote the whole thing.

    A well regulated Militia, being necessary to the security of a free State, the right of the people to keep and bear Arms, shall not be infringed.

    The qualifying language is in the first part of the sentence. It’s not hidden.

  20. @Mike Tre

    Repatriation has been tried several times. It hasn’t worked very well. I can’t seem to imagine a set of political circumstances in which repatriation would ever be attempted again. No, I’m sorry, things have gone too far. The present troubles will lead to stronger solutions.

    • Replies: @AndrewR
  21. njguy73 says:

    “If we were actually serious about gun control laws”

    Sailer, you owe me a new phone, ’cause I just spit coffee all over mine.

  22. Anonymous[262] • Disclaimer says:

    After you get through all the commercials depicting happy, whole black families, three generations’ worth, sitting around drinking wine and opening presents in their restored bungalow, you get the real news which is one zombie-eyed atrocity after another, as our darker brothers ping each other with insane sloppiness. I believe THAT is driving the upsurge in other mass shootings, convincing other on-the-edge psychos that life has no meaning, the fun now of shooting folks fully compensates for life in prison or police gun-down. The general pall of nihilism starts in ghetto and oozes across the landscape like a deadly pathogen. The tragedy is that we know how to stop it: stop and frisk, allow cop instincts to come into play, don’t look too carefully at arrest methods, define police brutality out of existence, R-E-S-P-E-C-T the man in blue. But the usual suspects make that impossible.

  23. anonymous[251] • Disclaimer says:

    Yep.

    In areas with large numbers of violent Black cons and ex cons – we should support practical gun control and of course immigration control.

    Any pandering Libertarians like Rand Paul who insist every Black African American put in jail for hard drug possession, drug trafficking should be set free and then Black Americans will start voting for the GOP because they’ll see that the GOP Conservatives/Liberarians aren’t RACIST anymore – these idiots should be left to fend for themselves in a BLM riot – which damn near happened to Rand Paul and his pretty wife in a BLM Washington DC protest/riot.

    Gun control under strong law and order mayors like NYC GOP Mayor Guliani – that works.

    Stop and frisk along with..

    BUILD THE WALL, BUILD THE WALL

    IN contrast idiot Texas GOP are wasting their times with loosening even more gun laws saying folks in Texas can carry guns without bothering to qualify for a concealed carry license.

    These Texans are idiots – won’t secure their border, love all the ZOG Neo Con wars and still think World War II was the best thing ever. F**** em.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
  24. @George Rockwell

    Stillwater, birthplace of Minnesota. Michele Bachmann’s home. Where Mikhail Baryshnikov’s daughter grew up. Half antique downtown, half strip-mall freeway.

    What is BLM even doing there?

    The 5 largest ethnic groups in Stillwater, MN are White (Non-Hispanic) (91.8%), Black or African American (Non-Hispanic) (2.62%), Two+ (Non-Hispanic) (2.29%), White (Hispanic) (1.71%), and Asian (Non-Hispanic) (0.649%). 0% of the people in Stillwater, MN speak a non-English language, and 99.3% are U.S. citizens.

    DATA USA: Stillwater, MN

  25. @anonymous

    Gun control under strong law and order mayors like NYC GOP Mayor Guliani – that works.

    The city’s gun policies apply to whites as well. There is no excuse for that.

    The “idiot” GOP policy was pushing through the Fourteenth Amendment rather than the American Colonization Society’s plan. People who cannot be trusted with firearms have no place at all in a free man’s republic.

    I.e., New York, 1777:

    XL. And whereas it is of the utmost importance to the safety of every State that it should always be in a condition of defence; and it is the duty of every man who enjoys the protection of society to be prepared and willing to defend it; this convention therefore, in the name and by the authority of the good people of this State, doth ordain, determine, and declare that the militia of this State, at all times hereafter, as well in peace as in war, shall be armed and disciplined, and in readiness for service… And that a proper magazine of warlike stores, proportionate to the number of inhabitants, be, forever hereafter, at the expense of this State, and by acts of the legislature, established, maintained, and continued in every county in this State.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitution_of_New_York#Constitution_of_New_York,_1777

  26. AndrewR says:
    @Patrick Boyle

    It’s not a binary thing. ADOS could be offered $500k or something like that to relocate to Africa in exchange for giving up US citizenship permanently. The African countries would love the influx of cash, although maybe not the influx of American blacks.

    The ones who choose to remain will be told in no uncertain terms that any complaints about racism will not only fall on deaf ears but will result in a far worse fate than getting half a million to move to Africa.

    • Agree: new Stalin
    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    , @anon
  27. @anonn

    Conclusion

    The phrase “well regulated militia” in the Second Amendment cannot be interpreted to mean the same thing as the Army or National Guard (which constitutes only those portions of the Militia referenced in Articles I and II of the Constitution, called forth into the “actual service of the United States”). It is also separate from state militaries. Rather, along with the rest of the Bill of Rights, the Second Amendment sets forth restrictions on governmental interference with personal liberties. This “right” to keep and bear arms in the Second Amendment uses the same language as two other deeply held “a fortiori” rights that rest with individuals. The language of the Second Amendment is not mere surplusage (an abhorrent proposition under ordinary rules of construction). And the term was commonly understood to refer to all persons capable of defending themselves, their communities, their states, and their country.

    https://www.isba.org/sections/bench/newsletter/2017/04/whatdoesthesecondamendmentreallymea

  28. @Farenheit

    Farenheit
    Clear and concise. I will use this.
    But leftists mangle and twist everything. Facts, language you name it.

  29. DPD had to shoot an aspiring rapper last night. Seems they were investigating a scene of a crash or shooting, when a “man” drove his SUV through the investigation and fired rounds at them. A chase ensued and resulted in the “armed black man” overdosing on lead.

  30. Mike Tre says:
    @AndrewR

    My standing offer is 10k and a carton of Newports per.

    • Replies: @new Stalin
  31. anon[208] • Disclaimer says:
    @AndrewR

    It’s not a binary thing. ADOS could be offered $500k or something like that to relocate to Africa in exchange for giving up US citizenship permanently. The African countries would love the influx of cash, although maybe not the influx of American blacks.

    Are you proposing the government give 500K to each ADOS or only to individuals who are DOAS?

    • Replies: @AndrewR
  32. AndrewR says:
    @anon

    No clue what you’re asking.

    Half a million dollars/black x 40 million blacks equals about the annual GDP of the US. Imagine how much money we would save long term

  33. @res

    Project Exile was discontinued and “replaced” with a similarly-named toothless Virginia law.

    What set the original project apart was the gun-related part of felony crime or felon-in-possession got referred to the Feds as A) federal felon[y] in possession charge, B) no pre-trial bail or bond, and C) no prosecution discretion was allowed. No plea bargain, no reduction, no trades.

    Most prosecutors, judges, and defense attorneys (public defenders) hated it —it made more work— and it died the instant the funding expired. But it dropped the murder rate 35%-45% the first 2 years, and other violent felonies plummeted as well.

    https://www.sfgate.com/crime/article/Gun-Enforcement-Holds-Down-Richmond-s-Homicide-2946640.php

    • Thanks: res
  34. @Mike Tre

    No black reparations without repatriation back to darkest Africa.

  35. Jiminy says:

    I’m sure that if gun laws were tightened up and enforced, killers would probably switch to using knifes. In England, a favourite with the gangs is to go around stabbing victims in the butt-hole, with them often needing major surgery and bags. Eliminate the guns, without addressing the violent nature of the beast doesn’t really add up.
    Maybe a more passive society would eventually be the result of strict gun laws, which could lead to America’s thoughts on world domination coming to a close. That would be good for all of us. I was also thinking that there must be a roaring trade for Kevlar undergarments or coats for anxious people looking for that extra protection.

  36. @Anon

    Enjoy your new John Boehner memoir. Did you get W’s book of immigrant portraits yet? I vote GOP for lack of a better choice but the Republicans and their apologists can kiss my ass.

  37. @Dr. X

    The Second Amendment is a right only in context of all other rights, which cannot be contradicted without appeal to a greater right. This is the fundamental function of common law, on which the entirety of the Constitution rests. Thus the Second Amendment does not grant its protection to felons, illegal aliens, the neurologically impaired, and children. It also does not impart the right to keep and bear an F14 Tomcat, M134 minigun, or Daisy Cutter.

  38. Ian M. says:

    One tiebreaker is whether the mass shooting’s setting involved fun (probably black) vs. not fun such as school, church, or work (probably nonblack).

    The church criterion should have a caveat: if a funeral, probably black.

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