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From my new Taki’s Magazine column:

Halting the Pursuit of Knowledge
Steve Sailer

November 22, 2023

This ought to be a golden age of the social sciences.

The immense reduction in the cost of DNA testing is allowing massive assaults on the most venerable conundrums of nature vs. nurture, such as whether the IQ gap between whites and blacks is smaller in more racially admixed African-Americans as the hereditarian theory would predict, a question that Margaret Mead found worth writing about how to examine a century ago. (Summary answer: yes.)

And Harvard economist Raj Chetty has made audacious breakthroughs in getting his hands on anonymized versions of confidential information, such as his database of 21 million Americans’ IRS tax returns across two generations. This allows us to know for the first time that black men around age 30 in 2010 were imprisoned three to ten times more than young white men whose parents had exactly the same incomes in the 1990s.

Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

But that’s how most scientific theories work: You can’t fully vindicate them, you can only refute them.

Read the whole thing there.

 
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  1. The logic of Woke censorship is very similar to the logic of historical censorship by the Catholic Church (e.g., the Index of Forbidden Books), and it actually makes a fair amount of sense. It goes like this: The truth of our doctrines is obvious and undeniable, in the same way that it is obvious and undeniable that 1+1=2. Only the foolish could be pursuaded otherwise! If a writer or a social movement were successful in pursuading the foolish that 1+1 did not equal 2 it would lead the foolish to do things that would cause great harm to the foolish themselves and to society as a whole; therefore suppressing such writers or social movements is always justified, as their words can only lead to harm, never to good.

    Sounds reasonable, doesn’t it? It’s hard for me to think of realistic examples of ideas so dangerous that I personally would want to suppress them (denying that 1+1=2 doesn’t really cut it for me), but if you are convinced that wrong thinking can send people to Hell, or turn them into a Nazi zombies, suppression really does seem warranted. (I am reminded of a capsule description I saw somewhere of Herbert Marcuse’s Repressive Tolerance, which essentially went “A world in which the Holocaust is possible is a world in which it is too dangerous to allow conservatives to have freedom of speech”).

    • Agree: Erik L
    • Replies: @MNL
    @jb

    I agree. But even more important than "doing harm to one's self and others," the Catholic church centuries earlier (and today's woke equivalents) didn't (and don't) want to relenquish power and authority.

    , @The Spiritual Works of Mercy
    @jb


    The logic of Woke censorship is very similar to the logic of historical censorship by the Catholic Church (e.g., the Index of Forbidden Books), and it actually makes a fair amount of sense.
     
    No, it's not. The logic of the (old) Holy Office was that error has no rights. The logic of Woke censorship is more like, those we hate don't have rights. There is no doctrine or intellectual foundation the woke are at pains to defend. Their censorship is ad hoc and their instrument is blunt, shouting speakers down from the podium by protest, and such.

    Anyways, the best case for censorship was the story of St Ignatius's conversion. He wanted to read some tawdry romance novels but the only books they had were The Life of Christ and Flowers of the Saints. The rest is history.
  2. Chick’s got balls.

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @cthulhu

    Margaret Mead?

    Replies: @cthulhu

  3. The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.

    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Jim Don Bob


    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?
     
    Because they are no smarter and have no more imagination than the old Bolsheviks did a century ago in Russia or Germany.
    , @Thea
    @Jim Don Bob

    They possess a death wish. Cults surrounding death are not rare in human history. They will die martyrs in their eyes. If they take you with them, all the better.

    When you see women, and their adjacent men, cut their hair short, dye it blue, pierce and tattoo themselves all over, you see someone who hates beauty and life and joy. Such person cannot conceive of any form of love such as for God or kin or country.

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Jim Don Bob


    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.
     
    The closer one's ancestry is to the English Channel, the more likely one is able to think for oneself.* This is not a quality many bosses want in their underlings. As Alden said, Hispanics are desired because they are "docile". At least on Election Day. Come to think of it, no one is more docile on Election Day than blacks. Whereas we Channel people are rarely more volatile.

    We're the only ones who ever riot in the voting booth.




    *Without taking this too far, that is, e.g., Greece, India. (Hmm, that could have been abbreviated "...i.e., e.g."...)

    Replies: @Intelligent Dasein

    , @Bardon Kaldian
    @Jim Don Bob

    I think it is a different phenomenon.

    Old Bolsheviks did not hate their own kind. Actually, although some of them were of aristocratic background, they tried to annihilate a society based on class exploitation & during the revolution, their intent was to create a classless society without social stratification. In reality, it resulted in despicable measures where sons and daughters of well off families, who stayed in the Soviet Union, were socially downgraded (for instance- they couldn't get into institutions of higher learning. For our anti-judaists, this measure applied to bourgeois Jewish apolitical families, too). So, this was a sort of class genocide & oppression. Just, they- Bolsheviks- didn't ever think they would become oppressed any time- neither "racially", nor ethnically, nor socially,.... not even ideologically. They wanted to eliminate "others", but these "others" did not include their own kind, as they defined it- except a few fanatics, but they are irrelevant.

    With anti-white activism of many whites in the US, we have an entirely different stuff- they are not heroic lunatics, but opportunists. They think that white race is doomed & they will be spared as some kind of fellow traveling Quislings. So, they're basically prostitutes of social activism.

    , @Colin Wright
    @Jim Don Bob


    'The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.'
     
    How many are Jewish? It's reasonable to ask.
  4. Anonymous[101] • Disclaimer says:

    Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism…. But censorship can be prosocially motivated.

    Wuh? The current ‘prosocial’ agenda seems totally intolerant, authoritarian, dogmatic, rigid, and extreme.

    What it really means is intolerant, authoritarian, dogmatic, rigid, and extreme anti-racism is preferable to moderate and rational racialism.

  5. much contemporary scientific censorship aims to protect vulnerable groups

    Are such ever the victims of black violence and crime?

  6. Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism…. But censorship can be prosocially motivated.

    Calling absolute b.s. on their “but” and “prosocial”.

    There is not anything “pro-social” about this social science censorship. It is precisely “intolerance”, “authoritarianism”, “dogmatism” (especially), “rigidity” and “extremism”.

    This censorship is simply to protect the minoritarian–anti-white gentile–narrative, which these people hold as essentially a religious virtuous, axiomatic, non-falsifiable dogma.

    And minoritarianism is deeply anti-social. It is–by design–an attack upon the host societies/nations of the West.

    ~~~

    Their whole section beneath the more tag. In their defense, I do think the “But censorship can be prosocially motivated” is at least in part to try and flatter some of their intended audience and help their message get a wider read and more traction.

    [MORE]

    The Psychology of Censorship

    Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism. Authoritarianism (76, 77), on the political right and left (78, 79), is associated with censoriousness, and censorship is often attributed to desires for power and authority (11). Although citizens in liberal democracies support free speech in the abstract, they often support censorship in ideologically challenging cases (80, 81). Censorship may also signal in-group allegiances (82), as members denounce others to gain status and affirm their group’s superiority (83).

    But censorship can be prosocially motivated (84). Censorious scholars often worry that research may be appropriated by malevolent actors to support harmful policies and attitudes (4). Both scholars and laypersons report that some scholarship is too dangerous to pursue, and much contemporary scientific censorship aims to protect vulnerable groups (4, 85, 86). Perceived harmfulness of information increases censoriousness among the public (3, 87), harm concerns are a central focus of content moderation on social media (88), and the more people overestimate harmful reactions to science, the more they support scientific censorship (86). People are especially censorious when they view others as susceptible to potentially harmful information (89, 90). In some contemporary Western societies, many people object to information that portrays historically disadvantaged groups unfavorably (60, 91), and academia is increasingly concerned about historically disadvantaged groups (92). Harm concerns may even cause perceptions of errors where none exist (53, 86).

    Prosocial motives for censorship may explain four observations: 1) widespread public availability of scholarship coupled with expanding definitions of harm (93) has coincided with growing academic censorship (94); 2) women, who are more harm-averse and more protective of the vulnerable than men (95, 96), are more censorious (48, 77, 78); 3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives (86), egalitarian progressives are more censorious of information perceived to threaten historically marginalized groups (91, 97); and 4) academics in the social sciences and humanities (disciplines especially relevant to humans and social policy) are more censorious and more censored than those in STEM (98, 99).

    • Replies: @Bill Jones
    @AnotherDad


    There is not anything “pro-social” about this social science censorship. It is precisely “intolerance”, “authoritarianism”, “dogmatism” (especially), “rigidity” and “extremism”.

     

    The first rule of the left: re-define every term as its antonym.
    , @TWS
    @AnotherDad

    So women are more likely to lie. Nobody doubts that.

  7. Anonymous[396] • Disclaimer says:

    It may be reasonable to consider potential harms before disseminating science that poses a clear and present danger, when harms are extreme, tangible, and scientifically demonstrable, such as scholarship that increases risks of nuclear war, pandemics, or other existential catastrophes.

    LOL. Bell Curve might cause earthquakes, hurricanes, volcanic eruptions, World Wars 3-4-5-6, and plague of locusts.

    Did it ever occur to these hysterics that the suppression of science might lead to continuation of policies that may well bring about the fall of Western Civilization to barbarism and savagery?

    I agree with the woke fearmongers that these science discoveries could have a profound impact on the future. But whatever crises they may unleash, a future based on truth is ultimately preferable to one based on lies that is unsustainable.

    It may well be that these scientific findings may lead to a war.
    But denying those realities will also lead to war as the current policies are unworkable.

    So, if we had to choose between war & violence for truth and war & violence for lies, we’ll take the former.

  8. PETE TOWNSHEND: Yuck, that was a bit of a bother. I just got finished doing “Tommy” and pretty much being THE SMARTEST ROCK AND ROLLER NORTH OF JOHN FUCKING LENNON, and now what do I do for a breakfast break? Why, I create “Who’s Next”, the OTHER greatest rock n roll record of all time! Top THAT, assholes!!!

    https://www.allmusic.com/album/whos-next-mw0000022790

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    This inevitably leads me back to my very favorite subject ever, namely, the life, times, exploits, works and heroics of Keith Moon, the late lamented and celebrated drummer to the Who, and who was possibly the greatest Englishman of the later 20th century.

    One particular 'stunt' of Moon's comes to mind at this juncture. Picture the scene, a very upmarket wine bar in the west end of London in the mid 1970s. The time is early evening and the place is abuzz with superior types drinking, socializing and braying to each other. One very attractive, well dressed young woman enters the wine bar and takes her place at the bar. A few minutes later she is followed by another attractive young woman, then another, then another. More minutes pass, then, suddenly a rather ridiculous looking figure, made up to look like an Italian operatic tenor of the 19th century, complete with false moustache burst through the doors loudly announcing 'Make Way, Make Way for the Great Moonio!!!'. As if on cue the ladies in unison to proceed to sit on the bar, hitch up skirts, down pantyhose and panties, and sit legs akimbo. To the shock and horror of the patrons 'The Great Moonio' proceeds to 'orally pleasure' each of the waiting ladies in turn.

    Needless to say, The Great Moonio - and his girls - was frogmarched out of premises by 'blue in the face' management.

    One stunt, which for absolute certainty, can never ever be topped.

    Replies: @Brutusale

    , @Corpse Tooth
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    "JOHN FUCKING LENNON"

    Yoko was the brains of that outfit.

    "PETE TOWNSHEND"

    You're absolutely correct. He's royalty. Very few can touch his output. If one can't manage a boner whilst listening to Won't Get Fooled Again then one won't be allowed to appear on the telethon. It's that simple.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  9. From Steve’s article: “Scientific censorship appears to be increasing. Potential explanations include …. the growing proportion of women in science ….”

    Natural selection has provided women with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go with the flow so they’ll just be enslaved and raped rather than killed by raiders from other tribes. I call this the “Rahab Effect” to honor of the prostitute who betrayed her neighbors in Jericho to Joshua and his vicious Hebrew horde. The willingness of women to jump on board the censorship bandwagon is likely yet another manifestation of this female psychological trait.

    • Replies: @Alden
    @Jus' Sayin'...

    Natural selection has provided men with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go attack other races and create mixed race babies by rape, bring back enemy men and women slaves into their societies and create mulatto quadroon octoroon and 16tharoons to pollute their people’s ethnic purity.

    Natural selection has made women significantly smaller and weaker than men. Thus able to be raped more easily and thus propagate the species.

    Christopher Columbus sailors on the first expedition brought syphllis to Europe. As recorded in his log by Dr Bernal the ship’s doctor. Syphillis that could only have come from the native Caribbean women. Or men. If the Carib women gave the White sailors syphllis the White sailors could have given a few of the women mixed race babies.

    Some famous AmericansWhite fathers black Indian whatever mothers:

    The first known was the son of John Rolfe and Pocahontas. Moving forward to 1620 mulatto babies born of White Jamestown men and African women who arrived in 1619.

    Whoever the father or fathers of quadroon Sally Hemings 6 octoroon children was or were the fact is they were fair skinned some red heads. And resembled the Jefferson family. Thomas, Randolph some other Jefferson White man her children were 88 percent White 12 percent black. DNA can’t prove Thomas but it does prove a Jefferson White man.
    Sally’s father was White so was her grandfather and great grandfather

    Frederick Douglas the black former slave recruited by the abolitionists as spokesman for abolition of slavery. His father was the White owner of his black mother. He was a mulatto.

    18th and 19th century European visitors to the American south and Washington DC were astonished at the numerous light skinned blacks. Including light skinned blacks in the slave auctions. Reaction was; how could a man sell his own children at auction?

    Love vs Virginia 1968. That was the case ACLU ADL and other Jewish communist front groups brought against the state of Virginia plaintiffs Mr and Mrs Love a White man black woman couple. Love overturned the miscegenation laws of Virginia.

    Mr Love was pure White. But in Virginia who knows who his White man ancestors were making babies with. Mrs Love was a pass for White quadroon In fact they lived in a White Washington DC neighborhood and their children attended a segregated White school.

    Black activist hustler Jesse Jackson. Yes his fathers are very Bantu. But his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges. He and entourage strutted in. Lemon colored skin The story was that his father was an older married black neighbor who couldn’t leave wife and marry jacksons 16 year old mom. Cover up and lie father was a teen age White boy. Whose father was a politician the elected county sheriff. Or what parent Jackson got both his lemon colored skin and political talent.

    Strom Thurmond the long term senator. Around 2000 it was revealed he had an octoroon daughter retired Los Angeles school teacher. Another teen Romance. His family sent her to college. Strom had a lifelong relationship with her. At least one White father of an illegitimate black kid did the right thing.

    Last but not least the famous communist black panther Angela Davis. The black panther/college professor who bought the guns used to kill 11 people in a California county courtroom. Soon became vice president of a university. Her maternal grandfather was White. Her great grand fathers were White. Plus she’s descended from one of the White men who arrived on the Mayflower.

    White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Reg Cæsar, @Colin Wright, @YetAnotherAnon, @Jus' Sayin'...

  10. The 21st Century is Hyperfeminization of All The Things. And as such, severe decline across many important dimensions.

    • Agree: Realist
  11. Looking at the paper linked in the Taki article.
    Prosocial motives underlie scientific censorship by scientists: A perspective and research agenda
    https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2301642120

    I found Figure 1 interesting.

    In particular, the relative balance of Left/Right of target cases (after thinking about this, probably explained by the average professor/possible target being fairly far left). Activists was a particularly right biased category–which I find hard to believe. Another interesting aspect is each panel shows the left/right split. Except for the incidents by year panel. Perhaps that is a clue. So let’s take a look at the reference they give for that data (this appears to be a slightly older version missing early 2023 data).
    Scholars Under Fire: Attempts to Sanction Scholars from 2000 to 2022
    https://www.thefire.org/research-learn/scholars-under-fire-attempts-sanction-scholars-2000-2022

    Looking at their PDF report it appears a disproportionate number of the right based sanctions are coming from a single source.

    Of 213 sanction attempts in 2021, 111 came from the right of the scholar and 99 came from the left.23 Sanction attempts initiated from the right in 2021 occurred primarily in response to race-related expression (56, or 50%), partisan expression (44, or 40%), and/or institutional policy (24, or 22%). Sanction attempts initiated from the left were similarly motivated. Over half of them occurred in response to race-related expression (49 of 52 attempts, or 94%). A number of sanction attempts from the left were also motivated by gender (23, or 23%), institutional policy (19, or 19%), and/or partisan expression (17, or 17%).

    Notably, two-thirds of the 111 attempts from the right came from a specific source: Turning Point USA’s Professor Watchlist, whose goal is to “expose and document college professors who discriminate against conservative students and advance leftist propaganda in the classroom,”24 (61 sanction attempts, or 55%). To accomplish this, Professor Watchlist maintains a list — an academic blacklist — of hundreds of professors across the country who they believe are indoctrinating students with left-wing ideas.

    FIRE, along with others,25 is concerned that being featured on the Watchlist can have a chilling effect on a scholar’s expression. However, we also do not believe that mere inclusion on the Watchlist represents a sanction attempt against a scholar. So, if a scholar is listed on Professor Watchlist, what warrants inclusion? At the bottom of the pages of some of the featured professors, TPUSA calls on students and parents to contact the professors’ institutions, and provides the phone numbers for them to do so. We consider this a sanction attempt because listing this information on some, but not all, profiles strongly suggests that the purpose of listing it is to spur complaints and demands for sanctioning these specific scholars.

    On the basis of Professor Watchlist calling on parents and students to contact specific professors’ institutions, we added a total of 95 sanction attempts (including the 61 from 2021) to the Scholars Under Fire database. Thus, the peak of 213 sanction attempts in 2021 is somewhat illusory. If these 61 attempts were excluded from 2021 the total number of sanction attempts would be 152, one more than the 151 in 2020 and seven more than the 145 in 2022.

    The PNAS paper mentions 486 cases between 2000 and June, 2023. So those 91 are almost 20% of all cases (though more cases are discussed in the FIRE PDF so not sure what is counted where). For a watchlist. Hardly seems fair to compare that to something like firing someone. I am curious how consistent they are about looking for watchlists created across the political spectrum.

    Another example is the case they choose to show as the example on their database page.
    https://www.aaup.org/report/academic-freedom-and-tenure-virginia-state-university

    Supposedly this is motivated from the right. Yet looking at the link we see the scholar characterized as:

    Professor Cobbs has claimed that the reasons for these actions—and for the actions discussed below that were taken against her during the 2003-04 and 2004-05 academic years—involved her political beliefs and affiliations and her race and were also in retaliation for filing EEOC complaints and for testifying in support of a faculty colleague’s lawsuit against the university. Professor Cobbs describes herself as a politically conservative African American who has been active in Republican Party circles at the local and state levels for many years. She claims that over the years, she incurred the displeasure of her administrative superiors for having challenged decisions they made and actions they took with regard to the program in social work.

    So are we to believe a college administration is right of a Republican? Does anyone know enough about VSU to clarify?

    One interesting point from the FIRE PDF.

    Males comprise less than half of full- and part-time faculty (671,952 of 1,386,105 full- and part-time instructional staff nationwide, or 48%), yet they are nearly two and-a-half times more likely than females to face sanction attempts (765, or 71%, male scholars; 309, or 29%, female scholars).34

    Note 34:

    34 6 scholars identified as trans or non-binary

    Page 20 has a figure with neither/left/right sanction attempts from 2000-2022.

    Page 26 has a table of universities withe greatest number of sanction attempts along with more details.

    The worst campuses include Harvard (23 sanction attempts), Stanford (22), UCLA (19), and Georgetown (16).

    Page 31 has a table of sanction attempts and terminations by race.

    Rates of termination were also highest among scholars who are male and scholars who are White. More than twice as many male scholars were terminated as female scholars (151 male scholars; 74 female scholars). And 8 in 10 terminations involved White scholars (181 of 225, or 80%).

    Pages 34-42 cover a number of specific sanction attempts. Including Amy Wax’s case (5 separate attempts!) in some detail.

    I wish the PNAS paper had a version of Figure 1 which only covered successful sanction attempts.

    P.S. This National Review article about FIRE and the ACLU supplies some context.
    https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/fire-does-what-the-aclu-no-longer-will-defend-free-speech/

    • Thanks: kaganovitch, TWS, Brutusale
    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @res

    Ha! I started reaading from the bottom, saw all that data and the time put into it, and figured "That's gotta be Res!" Nice job with that, and thanks for taking the time with the detailed analysis.

    Re, the top right bar graph, I noticed that "Trainings" is one of the types of punishment. I AGREE. It used to be that learning something new on someone else's dime (hopefully) was kind of a nice thing. Nowadays those DIE "trainings" are truly punishing. I'd rather take a slight pay cut.*

    .

    * Unless I can turn the volume down all the way and write unz comments and still get through it. That's always acceptable.

    , @Almost Missouri
    @res


    The PNAS paper mentions 486 cases between 2000 and June, 2023. So those 91 are almost 20% of all cases (though more cases are discussed in the FIRE PDF so not sure what is counted where). For a watchlist. Hardly seems fair to compare that to something like firing someone. I am curious how consistent they are about looking for watchlists created across the political spectrum.
     
    This is a key point. Of course the hiring process for the whole academy is one giant watchlist of leftist boogeymen, so it is not even possible to become an academic and risk later sanction if you evince any trait on the leftist watchlist. But since the left didn't make the mistake of making their watchlists public and transparent as Turning Point USA did, the authors of this paper totally omit this enormous thumb on the scale.

    As Achmed said, by accepting the left's framing, this weak-tea indictment is self-defeating.
  12. You know that these 39 decent scientists didn’t really do their study and write the paper in order to advance the literature on the matter and convince anybody of anything, don’t you? That’d be naive to think that.

    These guys got together to write this to show solidarity. That’s a lot of heavyweights who are rightly following the “You can’t fire all of us” strategy. If nothing else, their study can be evidence in a class action lawsuit. Jack D, what say you?

    • Replies: @SFG
    @Achmed E. Newman

    I hadn't thought of that possibility, and in fact wondered how they got it published in PNAS of all places; maybe the wokies hadn't completely gotten to that the way they got to Nature and Lancet. I had thought it was more of a final stand against the oncoming tide--so when the literature goes even more left wing as the millennials and zoomers move into positions of power, future historians after the collapse or in China or something will be able to understand why science became so unreliable in the early 21st century.

    There's a saying, though, "you're not arguing to convince the other guy, you're arguing to convince the audience." You now have a peer-reviewed paper arguing that scientists have essentially been lying for (their perception of ) the greater good rather than impartially seeking truth. That may not convince their enemies at Harvard and Yale, but you can see, say the board of overseers at the state universities of Texas or Florida paying attention.

    Replies: @Je Suis Omar Mateen

  13. @res
    Looking at the paper linked in the Taki article.
    Prosocial motives underlie scientific censorship by scientists: A perspective and research agenda
    https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2301642120

    I found Figure 1 interesting.
    https://www.pnas.org/cms/10.1073/pnas.2301642120/asset/a24fd897-1c0b-43ad-b21a-5ab773786132/assets/images/large/pnas.2301642120fig01.jpg

    In particular, the relative balance of Left/Right of target cases (after thinking about this, probably explained by the average professor/possible target being fairly far left). Activists was a particularly right biased category--which I find hard to believe. Another interesting aspect is each panel shows the left/right split. Except for the incidents by year panel. Perhaps that is a clue. So let's take a look at the reference they give for that data (this appears to be a slightly older version missing early 2023 data).
    Scholars Under Fire: Attempts to Sanction Scholars from 2000 to 2022
    https://www.thefire.org/research-learn/scholars-under-fire-attempts-sanction-scholars-2000-2022

    Looking at their PDF report it appears a disproportionate number of the right based sanctions are coming from a single source.

    Of 213 sanction attempts in 2021, 111 came from the right of the scholar and 99 came from the left.23 Sanction attempts initiated from the right in 2021 occurred primarily in response to race-related expression (56, or 50%), partisan expression (44, or 40%), and/or institutional policy (24, or 22%). Sanction attempts initiated from the left were similarly motivated. Over half of them occurred in response to race-related expression (49 of 52 attempts, or 94%). A number of sanction attempts from the left were also motivated by gender (23, or 23%), institutional policy (19, or 19%), and/or partisan expression (17, or 17%).

    Notably, two-thirds of the 111 attempts from the right came from a specific source: Turning Point USA’s Professor Watchlist, whose goal is to “expose and document college professors who discriminate against conservative students and advance leftist propaganda in the classroom,”24 (61 sanction attempts, or 55%). To accomplish this, Professor Watchlist maintains a list — an academic blacklist — of hundreds of professors across the country who they believe are indoctrinating students with left-wing ideas.

    FIRE, along with others,25 is concerned that being featured on the Watchlist can have a chilling effect on a scholar’s expression. However, we also do not believe that mere inclusion on the Watchlist represents a sanction attempt against a scholar. So, if a scholar is listed on Professor Watchlist, what warrants inclusion? At the bottom of the pages of some of the featured professors, TPUSA calls on students and parents to contact the professors’ institutions, and provides the phone numbers for them to do so. We consider this a sanction attempt because listing this information on some, but not all, profiles strongly suggests that the purpose of listing it is to spur complaints and demands for sanctioning these specific scholars.

    On the basis of Professor Watchlist calling on parents and students to contact specific professors’ institutions, we added a total of 95 sanction attempts (including the 61 from 2021) to the Scholars Under Fire database. Thus, the peak of 213 sanction attempts in 2021 is somewhat illusory. If these 61 attempts were excluded from 2021 the total number of sanction attempts would be 152, one more than the 151 in 2020 and seven more than the 145 in 2022.
     
    The PNAS paper mentions 486 cases between 2000 and June, 2023. So those 91 are almost 20% of all cases (though more cases are discussed in the FIRE PDF so not sure what is counted where). For a watchlist. Hardly seems fair to compare that to something like firing someone. I am curious how consistent they are about looking for watchlists created across the political spectrum.

    Another example is the case they choose to show as the example on their database page.
    https://www.aaup.org/report/academic-freedom-and-tenure-virginia-state-university

    Supposedly this is motivated from the right. Yet looking at the link we see the scholar characterized as:

    Professor Cobbs has claimed that the reasons for these actions—and for the actions discussed below that were taken against her during the 2003-04 and 2004-05 academic years—involved her political beliefs and affiliations and her race and were also in retaliation for filing EEOC complaints and for testifying in support of a faculty colleague's lawsuit against the university. Professor Cobbs describes herself as a politically conservative African American who has been active in Republican Party circles at the local and state levels for many years. She claims that over the years, she incurred the displeasure of her administrative superiors for having challenged decisions they made and actions they took with regard to the program in social work.
     
    So are we to believe a college administration is right of a Republican? Does anyone know enough about VSU to clarify?

    One interesting point from the FIRE PDF.

    Males comprise less than half of full- and part-time faculty (671,952 of 1,386,105 full- and part-time instructional staff nationwide, or 48%), yet they are nearly two and-a-half times more likely than females to face sanction attempts (765, or 71%, male scholars; 309, or 29%, female scholars).34
     
    Note 34:

    34 6 scholars identified as trans or non-binary
     
    Page 20 has a figure with neither/left/right sanction attempts from 2000-2022.

    Page 26 has a table of universities withe greatest number of sanction attempts along with more details.

    The worst campuses include Harvard (23 sanction attempts), Stanford (22), UCLA (19), and Georgetown (16).
     
    Page 31 has a table of sanction attempts and terminations by race.

    Rates of termination were also highest among scholars who are male and scholars who are White. More than twice as many male scholars were terminated as female scholars (151 male scholars; 74 female scholars). And 8 in 10 terminations involved White scholars (181 of 225, or 80%).

     

    Pages 34-42 cover a number of specific sanction attempts. Including Amy Wax's case (5 separate attempts!) in some detail.

    I wish the PNAS paper had a version of Figure 1 which only covered successful sanction attempts.

    P.S. This National Review article about FIRE and the ACLU supplies some context.
    https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/fire-does-what-the-aclu-no-longer-will-defend-free-speech/

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Almost Missouri

    Ha! I started reaading from the bottom, saw all that data and the time put into it, and figured “That’s gotta be Res!” Nice job with that, and thanks for taking the time with the detailed analysis.

    Re, the top right bar graph, I noticed that “Trainings” is one of the types of punishment. I AGREE. It used to be that learning something new on someone else’s dime (hopefully) was kind of a nice thing. Nowadays those DIE “trainings” are truly punishing. I’d rather take a slight pay cut.*

    .

    * Unless I can turn the volume down all the way and write unz comments and still get through it. That’s always acceptable.

  14. I would say that the Bell Curve hypothesis is that the IQ gaps will not be eliminated by social policies. They are probably mostly genetic, but even if they are not, there is no easy fix that is going to eliminate the gaps.

  15. @isteve
    none of these illustrious anti-censorship academics dare to mention the half century-old censorship rules imposed on Western media and, by extension, everyone else from police to school teachers, parents, all …

    #PCGagOrder: Everyone must conceal any negative “minority …
    https://sincerity.net/media-codes-expand/
    #PCGagOrder: Everyone must conceal any negative “ minority ” performances, to avoid stirring up prejudices. *hate speech laws and Facebook and twitter …
    #PCGagOrder


    Even Steve Sailer seems blissfully unaware that hiding the race of the criminal suspect is a feature. It is institutionalized in writing, in media ethics codes like the German #PresseKodex12. 1. Also in (dishonest) US media codes by NYT, AP, that feign race blindness, but even explicitly, in writing, demand to remove race info as soon as the suspect has been apprehended. All this in order to avoid prejudice against “minorities”. Then this #PCGagOrder was simply extended and generalized.

    #PCGagOrder: Everyone must conceal any negative “ minority ” performances, to avoid stirring up prejudices.

    Our site sincerity .net is dedicated to this topic, Steve, I really appreciate you reading and commenting. This institutionalized anti-racist gag order is also a very parsimonious explanation for almost all you observe and describe.

  16. 3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives, egalitarian progressives are more censorious of information perceived to threaten historically marginalized groups; and 4) academics in the social sciences and humanities (disciplines especially relevant to humans and social policy) are more censorious and more censored than those in STEM.

    Let me translate this into truth: 3) Most people in academia, as elsewhere, have no principles. 4) It’s easier to pick on people whose papers you can actually read, plus there are not so many Communists anywhere around the Engineering and math buildings who would even know what goes in there.

    Thus, it seems reasonable to balance knowledge risks against the costs of censorship (and resulting ignorance)

    It might be reasonable, but it’s not principled. Pussies.

    … by creating empirical and transparent measures of purported harms, …

    … blah, blah, blah. They just got done writing about the expansion of the definition of harm. This is self-defeating BS.

    • Replies: @SFG
    @Achmed E. Newman

    I don't know, from my more left-surrounded perspective, I see it as an audacious salvo. They basically got a major journal to admit scientists were lying (concealing information, but that's just another way of lying--if I tell you a wine you're about to drink is almond-flavored and it's almond-flavored with six drops of cyanide, I am telling the truth but giving a very false impression) for the greater good rather than impartially seeking truth--and remember, more than half the country doesn't agree what the greater good *is* with these people, and everyone knows it.

    Now everyone from David Brooks to Andrew Anglin can point to this thing and say, "See? They're lying, they admitted it!"

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @Achmed E. Newman


    balance knowledge risks against the costs of censorship
     
    "Knowledge risks." Really?

    Is there an official Academic doctrine defining when "you can't handle the truth?" As you say, even allowing this argument makes these guys pussies instead of principled truth seekers.

    But I guess an alternative interpretation is that they are subtly exposing and shaming the "you can't handle the truth" people by patronizing them. Or maybe that's too cute. Reasonable minds can differ.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    , @Almost Missouri
    @Achmed E. Newman


    … by creating empirical and transparent measures of purported harms
     
    https://twitter.com/LokiJulianus/status/1727490604584645035
  17. This sounds like an ideal application for blockchain technology. Every submission, journal, peer review, and rejection letter could be recorded in the blockchain with an anonymized version available to everyone via a public key, and deanonymized versions available with authorization via a private key. Perfect transparency from now on. Instead of generating speculative shitcoins that the world doesn’t really need, why don’t we put the technology to good use?

    It’s notable that none of the geniuses who signed onto this paper seem to have thought of that. CTRL+F “blockchain” = 0/0.

  18. • Thanks: Bardon Kaldian, Gabe Ruth
    • Replies: @AndrewR
    @Joe Stalin

    Conor McGregor retweeting Keith Woods.

    2023 is wild.

    Buckle up, kids. Shit is getting real

    , @Corpse Tooth
    @Joe Stalin

    One of the X accounts covering this Irish revolt against the globalist-tainted elite that runs their wee country posts footage of busloads of "military age foreign men" dropped off in Dublin. This is a tactic used by other Western governments, including the United States, to implement their strategy of chaos and discord to achieve their sinister end.

  19. 3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives,

    That is false, but we need to start a project to catch up on censoring left-wing stupidity.

    Antiwhite hate is a huge and growing topic for brave social scientists to investigate.

    Yes, and anti- anti-white bigotry will have a warm reception in the academy.

    We need a national divorce.

  20. @Achmed E. Newman
    You know that these 39 decent scientists didn't really do their study and write the paper in order to advance the literature on the matter and convince anybody of anything, don't you? That'd be naive to think that.

    These guys got together to write this to show solidarity. That's a lot of heavyweights who are rightly following the "You can't fire all of us" strategy. If nothing else, their study can be evidence in a class action lawsuit. Jack D, what say you?

    Replies: @SFG

    I hadn’t thought of that possibility, and in fact wondered how they got it published in PNAS of all places; maybe the wokies hadn’t completely gotten to that the way they got to Nature and Lancet. I had thought it was more of a final stand against the oncoming tide–so when the literature goes even more left wing as the millennials and zoomers move into positions of power, future historians after the collapse or in China or something will be able to understand why science became so unreliable in the early 21st century.

    There’s a saying, though, “you’re not arguing to convince the other guy, you’re arguing to convince the audience.” You now have a peer-reviewed paper arguing that scientists have essentially been lying for (their perception of ) the greater good rather than impartially seeking truth. That may not convince their enemies at Harvard and Yale, but you can see, say the board of overseers at the state universities of Texas or Florida paying attention.

    • Replies: @Je Suis Omar Mateen
    @SFG

    "future historians after the collapse or in China or something will be able to understand why science became so unreliable in the early 21st century."

    Those future folks, those sage historians, are always so, so very wise and so, so conveniently in agreement with everything I believe and say. And those future Chinamen, so very preoccupied with white cowardice and dysfunction. Lolcow.

    Replies: @SFG

  21. High minded appeals to reason and openness amongst the intellectual class is all well and good, but what really needs to happen is proscriptions against certain topics need to be openly defied by people with large public/media followings to create space for politicians (who are generally spineless and follow the herd) to act. There are some green shoots, but not nearly enough – yet.

  22. @Achmed E. Newman

    3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives, egalitarian progressives are more censorious of information perceived to threaten historically marginalized groups; and 4) academics in the social sciences and humanities (disciplines especially relevant to humans and social policy) are more censorious and more censored than those in STEM.
     
    Let me translate this into truth: 3) Most people in academia, as elsewhere, have no principles. 4) It's easier to pick on people whose papers you can actually read, plus there are not so many Communists anywhere around the Engineering and math buildings who would even know what goes in there.

    Thus, it seems reasonable to balance knowledge risks against the costs of censorship (and resulting ignorance)
     
    It might be reasonable, but it's not principled. Pussies.

    ... by creating empirical and transparent measures of purported harms, ...
     
    ... blah, blah, blah. They just got done writing about the expansion of the definition of harm. This is self-defeating BS.

    Replies: @SFG, @Hypnotoad666, @Almost Missouri

    I don’t know, from my more left-surrounded perspective, I see it as an audacious salvo. They basically got a major journal to admit scientists were lying (concealing information, but that’s just another way of lying–if I tell you a wine you’re about to drink is almond-flavored and it’s almond-flavored with six drops of cyanide, I am telling the truth but giving a very false impression) for the greater good rather than impartially seeking truth–and remember, more than half the country doesn’t agree what the greater good *is* with these people, and everyone knows it.

    Now everyone from David Brooks to Andrew Anglin can point to this thing and say, “See? They’re lying, they admitted it!”

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @SFG

    I would say that this reply of yours fits better, IMO, with the Michael Bernstein and April Bleske-Rechek study, basically a game of mad-lib trickery, that showed how duplicitous college students are with their opinions. They agree with both Adolf Hitler and Robin DiAngelo, when the statements of the two are directed against White people.

    Personally, I think the latter two should have co-authorship on the paper too. Bernstein, Bleske-Rechek, DiAngelo, Hitler, et al. That'd be a hoot, huh?

    It just seems one could throw this in their face with more effect.

    "You people agreed with Hitler!"

    or, at least,

    "You people agreed with Bernstein, Bleske-Rechek, DiAngelo, Hitler, et al.!"

    Yes, I suppose Andrew Anglin would want to tout the study too...

  23. Antiwhite hate is a huge and growing topic for brave social scientists to investigate.

    We should go back to using Caucasian. It’s more accurate. It’s more respectful. And it’s a mouthful. Try saying “Caucasian supremacist” or “Caucasian privilege” or “Caucasian fragility” with a straight face.

    Notice it wasn’t “African-American Lives Matter”. Catchiness is key.

    • Agree: Redneck Farmer
    • Disagree: Jenner Ickham Errican
    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Reg Cæsar


    We should go back to using Caucasian. It’s more accurate.
     
    Wrong, it’s far less accurate: Your “Caucasian” link goes to an article about the “The Indo-European language family” which includes many non-Whites, spanning a vast geographical area far into Asia. Redneck Farmer goofed with his agree.

    Try saying “Caucasian supremacist” or “Caucasian privilege” or “Caucasian fragility” with a straight face.
     
    Try saying “I’m Caucasian” with a straight face.

    Notice it wasn’t “African-American Lives Matter”. Catchiness is key.
     
    Notice it wasn’t “It’s Okay To Be Caucasian”. Catchiness is key.
    , @Bardon Kaldian
    @Reg Cæsar

    Caucasian is cool.

    Try saying Abkhazian fragility. An example?

    https://static.abaza.org/origin/media/2814/publication_inject_2814.jpg

    Or Mingrelian supremacy.....

    https://georgiasomethingyouknowwhatever.files.wordpress.com/2013/09/beria-soviet.jpg

  24. “Truth is the lie you happen to believe” or something.

  25. @SFG
    @Achmed E. Newman

    I don't know, from my more left-surrounded perspective, I see it as an audacious salvo. They basically got a major journal to admit scientists were lying (concealing information, but that's just another way of lying--if I tell you a wine you're about to drink is almond-flavored and it's almond-flavored with six drops of cyanide, I am telling the truth but giving a very false impression) for the greater good rather than impartially seeking truth--and remember, more than half the country doesn't agree what the greater good *is* with these people, and everyone knows it.

    Now everyone from David Brooks to Andrew Anglin can point to this thing and say, "See? They're lying, they admitted it!"

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    I would say that this reply of yours fits better, IMO, with the Michael Bernstein and April Bleske-Rechek study, basically a game of mad-lib trickery, that showed how duplicitous college students are with their opinions. They agree with both Adolf Hitler and Robin DiAngelo, when the statements of the two are directed against White people.

    Personally, I think the latter two should have co-authorship on the paper too. Bernstein, Bleske-Rechek, DiAngelo, Hitler, et al. That’d be a hoot, huh?

    It just seems one could throw this in their face with more effect.

    “You people agreed with Hitler!”

    or, at least,

    “You people agreed with Bernstein, Bleske-Rechek, DiAngelo, Hitler, et al.!”

    Yes, I suppose Andrew Anglin would want to tout the study too…

  26. Something occurs to me that might be an undiscussed cofactor in the science-censorship phenomenon. Breakthroughs in science – – true Eureka-moment insights – – usually occur when the scientist is quite young. Now, a 30-year-old is a different psychological, social, and economic creature than a 50-year- old. The former is just beginning his career ladder, maybe has recently gotten married, has some toddlers at home, bought a house and has a fresh mortgage. A Eureka-moment scientist in this younger cohort might, quite understandably, feel extremely vulnerable to what cancellation would mean to his life. A scientist in the latter cohort might figure “Oh, what the heck!” about cancellation – – but wait – – such an oldster scientist is unlikely to have a Eureka insight to begin with. And so, the Eureka insights are lost; mute, inglorious Eureka discoveries that would have benefited mankind.

    (And yes, Achmed, Res is the most rigorous professor here at Sailer University and Pub. I have to work hard to grasp his material, but it is always worth the effort. I usually get it, but sometimes not completely, and this would kill my GPA here at Sailer University, so it’s a good thing Res is pass/fail.)

    • Agree: Frau Katze
    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @SafeNow


    '...A scientist in the latter cohort might figure “Oh, what the heck!” about cancellation – – but wait – – such an oldster scientist is unlikely to have a Eureka insight to begin with. And so, the Eureka insights are lost; mute, inglorious Eureka discoveries that would have benefited mankind...'
     
    One also -- unless one gets one's snout really firmly rubbed in the contrary -- tends to just accept the shibboleths one is raised with. You'll literally veer away from having that 'Eureka' insight. Looking back, it should have been perfectly obvious to me from the age of nine that blacks could not be treated as one treats others. Nevertheless, it wasn't until I was twenty two or so that I consciously formulated the thought. The insight wasn't particularly brilliant; the evidence was right there. Yet I simply wouldn't consciously articulate the thought.
    , @Twinkie
    @SafeNow


    And yes, Achmed, Res is the most rigorous professor here at Sailer University and Pub. I have to work hard to grasp his material, but it is always worth the effort. I usually get it, but sometimes not completely, and this would kill my GPA here at Sailer University, so it’s a good thing Res is pass/fail.
     
    Commenter “res” is an absolute treasure on Unz.

    There are those among the commenters who spew assertions with little to nothing to back them. Then there are those who cite misleading or selected data and facts to “prove” their positions. These people are easy enough to expose and refute. Then there are those commenters and even authors who try to bullshit by burying their interlocutors with arcanae of statistics. “Res,” because he is thorough, persistent, fair-minded, and statistically knowledgeable, will often chase down the citations and the appended data and discover (and present) the actual nitty-gritty of the cited sources, either confirming or refuting the associated assertions.

    He does this all the while (generally) remaining above the fray of ad hominem and interpersonal rancor, which are common occurrences here (of which offense I am also occasionally guilty). He makes this site a much better, more truthful, and informed place.

    Replies: @Brutusale

  27. From the other thread

    HammerJack says:
    Next New Comment
    November 23, 2023 at 9:15 am GMT • 20.7 hours ago • 100 Words ↑
    @ic1000

    This allows us to know for the first time that black men around age 30 in 2010 were imprisoned three to ten times more than young white men whose parents had exactly the same incomes in the 1990s.

    “Three to ten times more” is a really big swing. Why?

    Albert Einstein’s 1916 paper on his theory of general relativity, the great theoretician said that while he couldn’t prove his audacious insight that gravity resulted from the curvature of space

    My layman’s understanding is that the curvature of space results from gravity, not the other way around. Which is it?

    And can anyone explain to this non-physicist why mass results in gravity anyway?

    Gravity. It’s not just a good idea, it’s the law!

    So say thousands of YouTube videos. But why does mass produce gravity? Then, my other question.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @HammerJack

    "Three to ten times more” is a really big swing. Why?"

    3x at the lowest percentile of national income, 10x at the highest percentile.

    Replies: @res

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @HammerJack


    “Three to ten times more” is a really big swing.
     
    It's also shaky English. Literally taken, it would translate as "four to eleven times as".
  28. At first I thought that this was just another we-the-undersigned letter, but it’s a pretty extensive paper, with original research results.

  29. Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.

    Man, with “hereditarns” like this, who needs blank slaters.

    (And no, it’s not a legitimate dodge to try to mix in something speculative like “law-abindingness,” which can’t be objectively measured like IQ).

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    , @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Hypnotoad666


    Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.
     
    Steve’s position is strategically sound: If one can’t disprove that identifiable biological hereditary groups (races) have differing inherent average g, then an automatic assumption of negative racial ‘disparate impact’ outcomes due to unfair racism cannot be taken seriously.

    For example, merit-based racism, like requiring a high standard of aptitude/knowledge to pass a necessary standardized exam, could not then automatically be blamed on evil/racist intent. The racist outcome is a normal side effect of screening for g-loaded merit, similar to divergent crime stats for murder, where higher arrest and conviction rates reflect inverse group merit.
  30. @SafeNow
    Something occurs to me that might be an undiscussed cofactor in the science-censorship phenomenon. Breakthroughs in science - - true Eureka-moment insights - - usually occur when the scientist is quite young. Now, a 30-year-old is a different psychological, social, and economic creature than a 50-year- old. The former is just beginning his career ladder, maybe has recently gotten married, has some toddlers at home, bought a house and has a fresh mortgage. A Eureka-moment scientist in this younger cohort might, quite understandably, feel extremely vulnerable to what cancellation would mean to his life. A scientist in the latter cohort might figure “Oh, what the heck!” about cancellation - - but wait - - such an oldster scientist is unlikely to have a Eureka insight to begin with. And so, the Eureka insights are lost; mute, inglorious Eureka discoveries that would have benefited mankind.

    (And yes, Achmed, Res is the most rigorous professor here at Sailer University and Pub. I have to work hard to grasp his material, but it is always worth the effort. I usually get it, but sometimes not completely, and this would kill my GPA here at Sailer University, so it’s a good thing Res is pass/fail.)

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Twinkie

    ‘…A scientist in the latter cohort might figure “Oh, what the heck!” about cancellation – – but wait – – such an oldster scientist is unlikely to have a Eureka insight to begin with. And so, the Eureka insights are lost; mute, inglorious Eureka discoveries that would have benefited mankind…’

    One also — unless one gets one’s snout really firmly rubbed in the contrary — tends to just accept the shibboleths one is raised with. You’ll literally veer away from having that ‘Eureka’ insight. Looking back, it should have been perfectly obvious to me from the age of nine that blacks could not be treated as one treats others. Nevertheless, it wasn’t until I was twenty two or so that I consciously formulated the thought. The insight wasn’t particularly brilliant; the evidence was right there. Yet I simply wouldn’t consciously articulate the thought.

  31. A Jewish white supremacist verbally abused a random halal cart guy for 2 weeks.

    • Replies: @IHTG
    @anonymous

    "You forgot to add a gigachad image."

  32. @Achmed E. Newman

    3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives, egalitarian progressives are more censorious of information perceived to threaten historically marginalized groups; and 4) academics in the social sciences and humanities (disciplines especially relevant to humans and social policy) are more censorious and more censored than those in STEM.
     
    Let me translate this into truth: 3) Most people in academia, as elsewhere, have no principles. 4) It's easier to pick on people whose papers you can actually read, plus there are not so many Communists anywhere around the Engineering and math buildings who would even know what goes in there.

    Thus, it seems reasonable to balance knowledge risks against the costs of censorship (and resulting ignorance)
     
    It might be reasonable, but it's not principled. Pussies.

    ... by creating empirical and transparent measures of purported harms, ...
     
    ... blah, blah, blah. They just got done writing about the expansion of the definition of harm. This is self-defeating BS.

    Replies: @SFG, @Hypnotoad666, @Almost Missouri

    balance knowledge risks against the costs of censorship

    “Knowledge risks.” Really?

    Is there an official Academic doctrine defining when “you can’t handle the truth?” As you say, even allowing this argument makes these guys pussies instead of principled truth seekers.

    But I guess an alternative interpretation is that they are subtly exposing and shaming the “you can’t handle the truth” people by patronizing them. Or maybe that’s too cute. Reasonable minds can differ.

    • Thanks: Realist
    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Hypnotoad666

    Out of push-button responses here, Hypno, but I think the former.

    As a reply to SFG also here, let me say that it's not like I think these guys have some well-thought-out plan to have this out there for a lawsuit or something. I'm sure they enjoy doing data-crunching on something that proves the Conservative White man is getting screwed by censorship and cancellation more than anybody else. (It's pretty damn obvious without the study - just, as an academic, think what YOU can say and what THAT PURPLE-HAIRED LADY can say.)

    I am sure that those who wrote the paper together - all 39 (why do you need 39?) - did this to help become unified against the Woke Commies of academia. That's the main thing.

    What I meant before is that NOBODY on the ctrl-left that even deigns to read this will be swayed by the conclusion. They may even be convinced - "yeah, nice work laying this out, works for me", but that's not swayed. I.e., it's not gonna stop them from working hard to censor and cancel the next Conservative White man to speak out. That's just how the ctrl-left rolls. People need to learn that.

    Finally, regarding this:


    It may be reasonable to consider potential harms before disseminating science that poses a clear and present danger, when harms are extreme, tangible, and scientifically demonstrable, such as scholarship that increases risks of nuclear war, pandemics, or other existential catastrophes.
     
    So, let's see, not a good idea to work on dangerous viruses in cooperation with the Chinese, eh? Yeeeahhh.

    I know that in science and engineering, even if one knows that the new results found from some work might easily be used for nefarious purposes, in general one keeps going. Why? The work is built on previous work. Someone else is going to do it pretty soon anyway, and they'll get the credit. You can't bury the whole scientific process. Note the part about "nuclear war", and thing back to 1945.

    Now as far as the Social Sciences, the papers are usually BS anyway, so if it were "harmful", other people may never come up with the same BS. Why? Because you have cancelled them to discourage the others...

  33. @Hypnotoad666

    Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.
     
    Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don't worry, it's totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno's paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it's 100% nurture.

    Man, with "hereditarns" like this, who needs blank slaters.

    (And no, it's not a legitimate dodge to try to mix in something speculative like "law-abindingness," which can't be objectively measured like IQ).

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:

    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes’ theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word “probably.”

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    • Replies: @Anon
    @PhysicistDave


    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?
     
    This is Arthur Jensen‘s “X-Factor,” outlined in chapter 29 of Warne’s book, black only, pervasive IQ effect, equal impact, and causal impact. There is serious research on this that has identified candidates and set probable bounds. Discrimination/racism, involuntary minority status, Flynn Effect, and stereotype threat have been looked at. Nothing really pans out, so we’re at the “lots of tiny effects” stage (0.2 IQ points lost to hair touching?).
    , @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?
     
    We know IQ gets passed down in families, and races are just extended families. So why is there even a question that group differences would have a different mechanism. It's like hypothesizing that the rules of physics are different in different families.

    In any event, there's no point reciting all the evidence because your word "conclusively" is just one big escape hatch that makes proof impossible. Nothing can ever be "conclusive" if merely stating a zero-evidence, magical "McWhorter hypothesis" is enough to refute it. "Hey, maybe it's something else," is not a refutation.

    Heck, Steve is willing to say with confidence that Lee Harvey Oswald acted totally alone and that anyone who thinks otherwise is wrong. So he's capable of making truth/falsity distinctions without getting hung up on philosophical questions of epistemological doubt. Why not apply his JFK assassination fact-finding burden of proof to the IQ Gap?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Pendragon

    , @res
    @PhysicistDave


    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?
     
    First, I will note that the “McWhorter Effect” (FWIW I think his version of this is a big part of what eventually got Bill Cosby cancelled) is almost as verboten as the genetic explanation. Which is incredibly sad because it would be so much easier to address.

    I see two threads of evidence responsive to your point.

    1. The SAT results for blacks vs. whites across the income spectrum. I think the negative causes McWhorter cites vary with income (for all races) as well as race. A subsidiary of this is looking at other black cultures (e.g. Nigerians) with less of those causes.

    IMO that is less persuasive than:

    2. Admixture studies. Here is a discussion of one by one of the authors. Note references to Warne's book.
    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2023/06/a-plethora-of-evidence-for-genetic-influence-of-american-race-ethnic-gaps-in-intelligence/
    Steve has written about the family of ABCD studies a number of times. Searching his work for "ABCD" is worthwhile.
    Also see this post and its comments.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6116326

    P.S. Anon's reference (and elaboration) to Russell Warne's book is excellent. In addition to chapter 29 see chapter 28. From the TOC.
    28 Racial/Ethnic Group IQ Differences Are Completely Environmental
    in Origin 247
    29 Unique Influences Operate on One Group’s Intelligence Test Scores 264

    I would call this negative evidence (note how Warne frames his argument as burden of proof on environmentalists) regarding your point while the admixture studies are positive evidence.

    Replies: @Twinkie, @PhysicistDave

    , @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    'McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?'
     
    But surely such a relationship would be inevitable. Wouldn't a group of people conscious of their intellectual inferiority and inability to succeed academically be anti-academic and anti-intellectual?

    Conversely, blacks are athletically gifted: they really can run faster and jump higher -- and I dare say that small head is an advantage when it comes to boxing.

    ...and not very surprisingly, blacks place a great deal of value on athletic achievement.

    At the end of the day, I do think cultural factors must have some slight effect on IQ. Blacks -- not expecting success -- wouldn't bother to try very hard on a test. At the other extreme, I would guess your average Jew or Han Chinese is just going to try harder on a test -- and that will inevitably bump his score a bit. Where a gentile will just shrug and pick (b), a Jew will try to squeeze out some reason to pick one letter rather than another. So if you're going to take a guess as to what an IQ score means about actual intelligence, I'd tend to drop five points from the high averages and add five to the low ones.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave


    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?
     
    Research has placed the brain's prefrontal cortex, a region just behind the forehead, as providing for 5 percent of the variation in intelligence between people. The research from Washington University targets the left prefrontal cortex, and the strength of neural connections that it has to the rest of the brain. They think these differences account for 10 percent of differences in intelligence among people. The study is the first to connect those differences to intelligence in people :

    https://www.jneurosci.org/content/32/26/8988.abstract


    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery. DR. WESLEY CRITZ GEORGE, Head Dept. Anatomy, U. N.Carolina.

    "The supragranular layers in the dog are 1/2 the thickness of those in the ape, and the ape's only 3/4 the thickness of White man. The Negroe's are 14% thinner than White man." CARLTON PUTNAM, LLD, Princeton, "Race and Reality".

    "The size of the human brain is related to a capacity for performance in thinking, planning, communicating, and behaving in groups, as leader, follower or both...In living individuals and populations differences are found in the regular size of the lobes and in the surface areas of the cortex; the size of the surface area varies with the complexity and depth of the folds on the inner and outer surfaces of the hemispheres. The larger a brain is the greater the cortical surface area, both proportionately and absolutely."

    DR. CARLTON COON, Prof. of Anthropology, Harvard.

    "The human cerebral cortex is the specific organ of civilization...Foresight, purpose and ideals toward which we strive as individuals and as nations are functions of this cortical gray matter."

    PROF. C. JUDSON HERRICK, University of Texas.

     

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @Anon
    @PhysicistDave

    You might want to check out Jensen’s “Method of Correlated Vectors,” a tool to evaluate these kinds of hypotheses about populations differences in g related to proposed causes:

    https://notpoliticallycorrect.me/2016/05/11/arthur-jensens-method-of-correlated-vectors/

    , @MEH 0910
    @PhysicistDave

    https://johnmcwhorter.substack.com/p/why-charles-murrays-new-book-is-his


    WHY CHARLES MURRAY'S NEW BOOK IS HIS WEAKEST
    .. despite that he is 1) brilliant and 2) not a bigot.
    JOHN MCWHORTER
    JUN 30, 2021
    [...]
    The point about intelligence, however, is tough reading. Many will try the usual arguments – that race is a fiction (but while there are gray zones, humans do divide into delineable races genetically), that all races have a range from genuises on down (but the issue is that some races have more geniuses than others), that intelligence tests are “biased” somehow (but no one will specify just how, and this sort of bias is decades gone now).

    The data, unless Murray is holding back reams of data with opposite results, cut brutally through all of this. It isn’t that black people are on the bottom on one big test in one big study, but that a certain order of achievement manifests itself in one study after another with relentless and depressing regularity. Asians on top, then come the whites, then Latinos, and then black people.

    People will insist that none of this has anything to do with intelligence, but one thing cannot be denied – whatever it signifies, black people have a big problem performing on intelligence tests. The consistency of the results, if it is unconnected to intelligence, is clearly connected to something, or the results wouldn’t be so damnedly consistent.

    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here. Abstract tests are a highly artificial thing, requiring a truly weird – or WEIRD, in the sense of Professor Henrich – way of thinking. Black American culture may be less consonant with that way of approaching things than white or Asian culture, and a fundamental sense of that way of approaching things as “not us,” which would have been encouraged amidst that oppositional mood I mentioned, could subtly discourage black kids from mastering the knack of jumping through the hoop.

    I openly admit, though, that this is also the way I hope it is, and that’s not science. And Murray’s point is that this lower performance on tests suggests lesser cognitive ability, with all intraracial variation acknowledged.
     

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @MEH 0910

  34. A lot of knowledge is a dangerous thing.

    • LOL: Realist
  35. @Reg Cæsar

    Antiwhite hate is a huge and growing topic for brave social scientists to investigate.
     
    We should go back to using Caucasian. It's more accurate. It's more respectful. And it's a mouthful. Try saying "Caucasian supremacist" or "Caucasian privilege" or "Caucasian fragility" with a straight face.

    Notice it wasn't "African-American Lives Matter". Catchiness is key.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @Bardon Kaldian

    We should go back to using Caucasian. It’s more accurate.

    Wrong, it’s far less accurate: Your “Caucasian” link goes to an article about the “The Indo-European language family” which includes many non-Whites, spanning a vast geographical area far into Asia. Redneck Farmer goofed with his agree.

    Try saying “Caucasian supremacist” or “Caucasian privilege” or “Caucasian fragility” with a straight face.

    Try saying “I’m Caucasian” with a straight face.

    Notice it wasn’t “African-American Lives Matter”. Catchiness is key.

    Notice it wasn’t “It’s Okay To Be Caucasian”. Catchiness is key.

  36. @Hypnotoad666

    Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.
     
    Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don't worry, it's totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno's paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it's 100% nurture.

    Man, with "hereditarns" like this, who needs blank slaters.

    (And no, it's not a legitimate dodge to try to mix in something speculative like "law-abindingness," which can't be objectively measured like IQ).

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Steve’s position is strategically sound: If one can’t disprove that identifiable biological hereditary groups (races) have differing inherent average g, then an automatic assumption of negative racial ‘disparate impact’ outcomes due to unfair racism cannot be taken seriously.

    For example, merit-based racism, like requiring a high standard of aptitude/knowledge to pass a necessary standardized exam, could not then automatically be blamed on evil/racist intent. The racist outcome is a normal side effect of screening for g-loaded merit, similar to divergent crime stats for murder, where higher arrest and conviction rates reflect inverse group merit.

  37. @HammerJack
    From the other thread

    HammerJack says:
    Next New Comment
    November 23, 2023 at 9:15 am GMT • 20.7 hours ago • 100 Words ↑
    @ic1000

    This allows us to know for the first time that black men around age 30 in 2010 were imprisoned three to ten times more than young white men whose parents had exactly the same incomes in the 1990s.
     
    “Three to ten times more” is a really big swing. Why?

    Albert Einstein’s 1916 paper on his theory of general relativity, the great theoretician said that while he couldn’t prove his audacious insight that gravity resulted from the curvature of space
     
    My layman’s understanding is that the curvature of space results from gravity, not the other way around. Which is it?

    And can anyone explain to this non-physicist why mass results in gravity anyway?


     

    Gravity. It's not just a good idea, it's the law!

    So say thousands of YouTube videos. But why does mass produce gravity? Then, my other question.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Reg Cæsar

    “Three to ten times more” is a really big swing. Why?”

    3x at the lowest percentile of national income, 10x at the highest percentile.

    • Thanks: HammerJack
    • Replies: @res
    @Steve Sailer

    Thanks. That is an illuminating sub-point I had missed.

  38. Anon[350] • Disclaimer says:
    @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    This is Arthur Jensen‘s “X-Factor,” outlined in chapter 29 of Warne’s book, black only, pervasive IQ effect, equal impact, and causal impact. There is serious research on this that has identified candidates and set probable bounds. Discrimination/racism, involuntary minority status, Flynn Effect, and stereotype threat have been looked at. Nothing really pans out, so we’re at the “lots of tiny effects” stage (0.2 IQ points lost to hair touching?).

    • Thanks: res, MEH 0910
  39. ‘…3x at the lowest percentile of national income, 10x at the highest percentile…’

    The variation from lowest to highest seems to imply things — I’m not sure what.

    That economic deprivation — at least economic deprivation relative to others — does indeed drive up crime? The difference between poor white and poor blacks is less marked than that between wealthy blacks and wealthy whites? Of course, even a 3X difference implies whites will always be more likely to refrain than blacks.

    That blacks will always tend to criminal behavior regardless of income? The OJ Simpson syndrome? To put the same idea differently, given enough wealth, whites will refrain from crime almost completely — after all, they can almost always just buy ‘it,’ whatever ‘it’ is. Blacks, though, will still tend to just take it, or just do it, whatever ‘it’ might be.

    …I wonder what the numbers for East Asians are like? Do they cease to be law-abiding below some point? Do they commit detectable crime at all if they’re wealthy?

  40. And Black Fridays good news: a black immigration heretic gets another one in the nuts:

    New York City Eric Adams has been accused of sexually assaulting a woman in 1993, according to a filing late Wednesday in the state Supreme Court of Manhattan.

    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nyc-mayor-eric-adams-accused-sexual-assault

    • Replies: @SFG
    @Bill Jones

    I think they just increased it, which is why all this is coming out now.

    Replies: @Intelligent Dasein

    , @Almost Missouri
    @Bill Jones


    Wot? No statute of Limitations?
     
    New York State passed a temporary reprieve to the statute of limitations on sexual assault last year. It was at least partly intended as another avenue for attacking Trump.

    In theory, this was sort of "reverse amnesty" where all previous "sexual assaults" [notoriously vague category] that were barred from court for the "technicality" of being older than the statute of limitations would get aired out. In practice it has been a giant invitation to file frivolous lawsuits.

    Replies: @Bill Jones

    , @Jim Don Bob
    @Bill Jones


    Wot? No statute of Limitations?
     
    He must have really pissed in somebody's Wheaties, because heretofore the No statute of Limitations statute applied only to DJT and associates.
    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Bill Jones


    Wot? No statute of Limitations?
     
    The statsuppressed it, at least for rape, back when you-know-who was their US Senatrix. Any self-awareness or sense of irony was surpressed.
    , @Stan Adams
    @Bill Jones


    Black Friday
     
    Anyone else not shopping today?

    Earlier I watched Planes, Trains and Automobiles and I didn’t see a single black person in the entire movie. I’m halfway through Home Alone and I just saw my first character of African origin - a cardboard cutout of Michael Jordan.

    Actually, it’s really creepy to think about Macaulay Culkin’s relationship with Michael Jackson.

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @Reg Cæsar

  41. @AnotherDad

    Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism…. But censorship can be prosocially motivated.
     
    Calling absolute b.s. on their "but" and "prosocial".

    There is not anything "pro-social" about this social science censorship. It is precisely "intolerance", "authoritarianism", "dogmatism" (especially), "rigidity" and "extremism".

    This censorship is simply to protect the minoritarian--anti-white gentile--narrative, which these people hold as essentially a religious virtuous, axiomatic, non-falsifiable dogma.

    And minoritarianism is deeply anti-social. It is--by design--an attack upon the host societies/nations of the West.

    ~~~

    Their whole section beneath the more tag. In their defense, I do think the "But censorship can be prosocially motivated" is at least in part to try and flatter some of their intended audience and help their message get a wider read and more traction.




    The Psychology of Censorship

    Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism. Authoritarianism (76, 77), on the political right and left (78, 79), is associated with censoriousness, and censorship is often attributed to desires for power and authority (11). Although citizens in liberal democracies support free speech in the abstract, they often support censorship in ideologically challenging cases (80, 81). Censorship may also signal in-group allegiances (82), as members denounce others to gain status and affirm their group’s superiority (83).

    But censorship can be prosocially motivated (84). Censorious scholars often worry that research may be appropriated by malevolent actors to support harmful policies and attitudes (4). Both scholars and laypersons report that some scholarship is too dangerous to pursue, and much contemporary scientific censorship aims to protect vulnerable groups (4, 85, 86). Perceived harmfulness of information increases censoriousness among the public (3, 87), harm concerns are a central focus of content moderation on social media (88), and the more people overestimate harmful reactions to science, the more they support scientific censorship (86). People are especially censorious when they view others as susceptible to potentially harmful information (89, 90). In some contemporary Western societies, many people object to information that portrays historically disadvantaged groups unfavorably (60, 91), and academia is increasingly concerned about historically disadvantaged groups (92). Harm concerns may even cause perceptions of errors where none exist (53, 86).

    Prosocial motives for censorship may explain four observations: 1) widespread public availability of scholarship coupled with expanding definitions of harm (93) has coincided with growing academic censorship (94); 2) women, who are more harm-averse and more protective of the vulnerable than men (95, 96), are more censorious (48, 77, 78); 3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives (86), egalitarian progressives are more censorious of information perceived to threaten historically marginalized groups (91, 97); and 4) academics in the social sciences and humanities (disciplines especially relevant to humans and social policy) are more censorious and more censored than those in STEM (98, 99).

    Replies: @Bill Jones, @TWS

    There is not anything “pro-social” about this social science censorship. It is precisely “intolerance”, “authoritarianism”, “dogmatism” (especially), “rigidity” and “extremism”.

    The first rule of the left: re-define every term as its antonym.

  42. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    We know IQ gets passed down in families, and races are just extended families. So why is there even a question that group differences would have a different mechanism. It’s like hypothesizing that the rules of physics are different in different families.

    In any event, there’s no point reciting all the evidence because your word “conclusively” is just one big escape hatch that makes proof impossible. Nothing can ever be “conclusive” if merely stating a zero-evidence, magical “McWhorter hypothesis” is enough to refute it. “Hey, maybe it’s something else,” is not a refutation.

    Heck, Steve is willing to say with confidence that Lee Harvey Oswald acted totally alone and that anyone who thinks otherwise is wrong. So he’s capable of making truth/falsity distinctions without getting hung up on philosophical questions of epistemological doubt. Why not apply his JFK assassination fact-finding burden of proof to the IQ Gap?

    • Agree: Realist, Renard
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    [Hypno] We know IQ gets passed down in families, and races are just extended families. So why is there even a question that group differences would have a different mechanism. It’s like hypothesizing that the rules of physics are different in different families.
     
    Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics -- identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    And it is more than plausible that those other factors play a greater role between races than within families.

    I'm not hypothesizing new and implausible factors -- we know these other factors exist.

    The question is which of these factors are important and/or dominant in the Black/White IQ gap.

    My guess is that all of them matter.

    But that is a guess.

    And a guess is not science.

    Scientifically, we really just do not know.

    I realize that in a discussion on the Web, "Gee, you know, we just don't know!" is not considered a forceful, convincing riposte.

    But, in matters of natural science -- from global warming to dark matter to superstring theory to, yes, the Black/White IQ gap -- it often happens to be the only scientifically honest answer.

    Bullshit rules supreme on the Web. But it is not science.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    , @Pendragon
    @Hypnotoad666


    In any event, there’s no point reciting all the evidence because your word “conclusively” is just one big escape hatch that makes proof impossible. Nothing can ever be “conclusive” if merely stating a zero-evidence, magical “McWhorter hypothesis” is enough to refute it. “Hey, maybe it’s something else,” is not a refutation.
     
    I agree, and this guy is supposed to be a scientist ? More proof that college is now merely high school 2.0 now . If one wants truth that doesn't change tomorrow one does not look for it in science but in pure mathematical research. Mathematicians know the answer to Pontius Pilate's question to Jesus : "What is truth?". Truth lies at the end of a correct chain of mathematical argument. Obviously, 'black IQ' is not a pure mathematical problem but I prefer the Mathematician's pencil and paper approach over the special laboratory of a scientist.

    The thrust of the objection seems to be the claim that blacks' problems are due to 'social conditions' (presumably those caused by whites, such as 'racism'), and that "If only this, that or some other condition is brought about, then blacks would prove 'equal' to whites." But if this claim had any credibility in times past, it has none now; for liberals have been playing the 'if only...' game for more than half a century, and blacks are still just as much losers as they ever were -- just as criminal, just as low-IQ, just as poor, just as violent, just as unmotivated, and all the rest. In the last 60 or 70 years or so, blacks went from being discriminated AGAINST to being discriminated FOR (affirmative action, set-asides, quotas, etc), and now they are actually WORSE OFF than they were in the 1950s: Altho some have 'made it' by affirmative action or living off white guilt (like Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton), the special privileges and deferences granted to blacks have merely served to increase their dependency, their lack of motivation, their drug taking, their crime, and all the other bad things for which they are so well known, including especially their demands for yet MORE special privileges (Reparations, anyone?).

    The average 'white' IQ is 100; the average American 'black' IQ is 85; the average African black IQ is 70 (borderline retarded). There has never been a civilization worthy of the name founded by blacks, and blacks have not even been able to retain the civilizations which have been created for them by whites ("white colonialism"). Note: Contrary to black propaganda, the ancient Egyptians were not black -- their sculptures, portraits and mummies all clearly show Caucasian features. Also, genetic research shows the ancient Egyptians were genetically related to Copts not subsaharan Africans .Second note: Critics commonly claim that blacks score low on IQ tests because such tests are culturally biased. In fact, however, as black Professor Walter Williams has pointed out, blacks actually do BETTER on tests that are culturally biased.

    And that is without even getting into the mathematics of black crime which liberals implicitly try to refute by using the world's most absurd conspiracy theory. If you want to know more about it just ask me.

  43. OT but quite amusing – Russia seem to be sending their illegals to the Estonian and Finnish borders, where the promised land of the EU or maybe a boat to Dover awaits.

    For once the Guardian fails to see the positive side and aren’t thinking of the enrichment and increased choice of cuisine…

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/23/estonia-accuses-russia-weaponising-immigration-europe-borders

    Since the beginning of November about 800 refugees and migrants have entered Finland, according to the Finnish border guard, prompting authorities to close all but one border crossing and accept support from the European border guard agency Frontex. Estonia accused Moscow of mounting “a hybrid attack operation” on Europe’s eastern border on Wednesday after 75 people attempted to enter the country in the space of a few days, a significant increase on the usual numbers.

    At a press conference in a grand room at Karlberg Palace in the Swedish capital, Pevkur said: “Regarding the migrant flow, this is fully state-orchestrated. In Russia there is a border zone you cannot enter without permission from the FSB. So by accident, all these hundreds of migrants have ended up in one border crossing point in Finland with bicycles during the winter? Come on, seriously.”

    He added: “They are coming from Yemen, they are coming from Syria, they are coming from Somalia, and at the end of the day they end up somewhere in the high north at the border crossing point with Finland … This is not very plausible.”

    Praising Finland’s reaction, Pevkur said countries should “act as the situation evolves”. He claimed: “These are not asylum seekers; this is weaponised illegal immigration.”

    Meanwhile in the UK the Guardian are fully on board with weaponised illegal immigration:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/nov/24/relatives-of-27-who-drowned-in-channel-boat-sinking-demand-answers

    “The relatives of 27 people who died in the worst mass drowning in the Channel for decades have marked two years since the disaster by issuing an open letter demanding answers over what happened.

    Signed together with dozens of refugee NGOs, the letter states that the families still have no explanation as to why French and British authorities failed the people onboard a sinking dinghy who repeatedly called for help.

    At least one pregnant woman and three children were among the 27 bodies recovered after the dinghy sank. Four people remain missing.

    The letter states: “We will never let the lives lost that night, or those of loved ones lost since, be forgotten. We demand justice and change. We long for people seeking safety on British shores to be seen as human beings, deserving of rights, compassion and dignity.

    “Tragedies like this occur because of the ‘othering’ our politicians insist on – of the dehumanising of sons and fathers, mothers and daughters, friends and family members.”

    The letter calls for safe routes for all refugees wishing to come to the UK and improved resettlement and refugee family reunion schemes. “That is the only way these tragedies will end,” it says.”

    • Replies: @James N. Kennett
    @YetAnotherAnon


    The letter calls for safe routes for all refugees wishing to come to the UK and improved resettlement and refugee family reunion schemes.
     
    By "safe routes" they mean "safe one-way routes".
    By "refugees" they mean "economic migrants".
    By "improved resettlement schemes" they mean "something even better than an unlimited stay in a four-star hotel".
    By "improved family reunion schemes" they mean "unlimited chain migration".

    As for "demanding answers", the answer is glaringly obvious. It is suicidally dangerous for 31 people to attempt to cross 22 miles of open sea in an overloaded rubber dinghy.
  44. @SafeNow
    Something occurs to me that might be an undiscussed cofactor in the science-censorship phenomenon. Breakthroughs in science - - true Eureka-moment insights - - usually occur when the scientist is quite young. Now, a 30-year-old is a different psychological, social, and economic creature than a 50-year- old. The former is just beginning his career ladder, maybe has recently gotten married, has some toddlers at home, bought a house and has a fresh mortgage. A Eureka-moment scientist in this younger cohort might, quite understandably, feel extremely vulnerable to what cancellation would mean to his life. A scientist in the latter cohort might figure “Oh, what the heck!” about cancellation - - but wait - - such an oldster scientist is unlikely to have a Eureka insight to begin with. And so, the Eureka insights are lost; mute, inglorious Eureka discoveries that would have benefited mankind.

    (And yes, Achmed, Res is the most rigorous professor here at Sailer University and Pub. I have to work hard to grasp his material, but it is always worth the effort. I usually get it, but sometimes not completely, and this would kill my GPA here at Sailer University, so it’s a good thing Res is pass/fail.)

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Twinkie

    And yes, Achmed, Res is the most rigorous professor here at Sailer University and Pub. I have to work hard to grasp his material, but it is always worth the effort. I usually get it, but sometimes not completely, and this would kill my GPA here at Sailer University, so it’s a good thing Res is pass/fail.

    Commenter “res” is an absolute treasure on Unz.

    There are those among the commenters who spew assertions with little to nothing to back them. Then there are those who cite misleading or selected data and facts to “prove” their positions. These people are easy enough to expose and refute. Then there are those commenters and even authors who try to bullshit by burying their interlocutors with arcanae of statistics. “Res,” because he is thorough, persistent, fair-minded, and statistically knowledgeable, will often chase down the citations and the appended data and discover (and present) the actual nitty-gritty of the cited sources, either confirming or refuting the associated assertions.

    He does this all the while (generally) remaining above the fray of ad hominem and interpersonal rancor, which are common occurrences here (of which offense I am also occasionally guilty). He makes this site a much better, more truthful, and informed place.

    • Thanks: res
    • Replies: @Brutusale
    @Twinkie

    He does yeoman work for the simple satisfaction of getting to the truth...kinda like what science should be in the first place!

  45. Anonymous[345] • Disclaimer says:
    @The Germ Theory of Disease
    PETE TOWNSHEND: Yuck, that was a bit of a bother. I just got finished doing "Tommy" and pretty much being THE SMARTEST ROCK AND ROLLER NORTH OF JOHN FUCKING LENNON, and now what do I do for a breakfast break? Why, I create "Who's Next", the OTHER greatest rock n roll record of all time! Top THAT, assholes!!!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRTNm6GLJYI&list=OLAK5uy_n84dSCHYhjQQ8ZbOULHydIxNQs5G2C2Kk&index=1


    https://www.allmusic.com/album/whos-next-mw0000022790

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Corpse Tooth

    This inevitably leads me back to my very favorite subject ever, namely, the life, times, exploits, works and heroics of Keith Moon, the late lamented and celebrated drummer to the Who, and who was possibly the greatest Englishman of the later 20th century.

    One particular ‘stunt’ of Moon’s comes to mind at this juncture. Picture the scene, a very upmarket wine bar in the west end of London in the mid 1970s. The time is early evening and the place is abuzz with superior types drinking, socializing and braying to each other. One very attractive, well dressed young woman enters the wine bar and takes her place at the bar. A few minutes later she is followed by another attractive young woman, then another, then another. More minutes pass, then, suddenly a rather ridiculous looking figure, made up to look like an Italian operatic tenor of the 19th century, complete with false moustache burst through the doors loudly announcing ‘Make Way, Make Way for the Great Moonio!!!’. As if on cue the ladies in unison to proceed to sit on the bar, hitch up skirts, down pantyhose and panties, and sit legs akimbo. To the shock and horror of the patrons ‘The Great Moonio’ proceeds to ‘orally pleasure’ each of the waiting ladies in turn.

    Needless to say, The Great Moonio – and his girls – was frogmarched out of premises by ‘blue in the face’ management.

    One stunt, which for absolute certainty, can never ever be topped.

    • Replies: @Brutusale
    @Anonymous

    When you're offered a rock 'n roll moment.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NHmfZybNRTI

  46. Steve, excellent article.

  47. “Over 50 percent of the college students agreed with the ideas of Hitler and DiAngelo when they were framed as defaming whites…”

    Maybe @CynicalPublius is right and 2023 Democrats are fascists.

    “Listed below are attributes and practices that all 20th Century fascists have in common with the Democrat Party of 2023:

    1. Laws promoting the seizure of guns from law-abiding citizens and/or the denial of gun ownership rights for law-abiding citizens.
    2. Censorship of free speech by pretending such censorship protects the citizenry from faulty information.
    3. Government control of industry.
    4. Government control of the mass media.
    5. Children belong to the State and not their parents.
    6. Political dissidents are to be persecuted for “crimes” under the color of law through the courts.
    7. Political dissidents are locked up for months/years without a trial.
    8. All policies are to be based on a fierce adherence to a preferred ideology.
    9. Control of the entertainment industry as a means of propaganda.
    10. Accuse dissidents of the very crimes you yourself commit.
    11. Justify all of it for the “common good.”

    The Democrat Party of 2023 is a fascist party.”

    • Agree: Travis, Mark G.
    • Replies: @Alden
    @Anon7

    I enjoying telling Jews Hitler was a liberal.

    1 Serious environmentalist and nature lover.
    2 Not just animal lover but Animal Rights.
    3 Socialist
    4 Expanded government jobs to solve unemployment.
    5 The first freeways and other public works to solve unemployment and subsidize big medium and small business and create prosperity. Also known as John Keynes economics
    6 Numerous what are known as enrichment programs for children and teens. After school programs sports summer camps expanded secondary education “Stay in school and out of trouble”
    7 Government health care for all.
    8 Affirmative action
    9 Blaming any and all of the countries problems on one specific demographic.
    10 Demonizing that demographic
    11 Anti tobacco
    12 Health foods vegetarian
    13 Alternative medicine
    14 Anti tobacco drug addict

  48. @cthulhu
    Chick’s got balls.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    Margaret Mead?

    • Replies: @cthulhu
    @Achmed E. Newman

    The lead author on the paper is one Cory Jane Clark, who is sticking her neck out a bit (maybe more than a bit) by putting her name as lead author on a paper that, although not as full-throated anti-crazy as one might like, is still a significant milestone in calling academe to account for its intellectual malfeasance over the last decades. Hell, she’s explicitly saying that women are more censorious than men! That’s pretty ballsy.

    One suspects her extensive co-author list (mostly men well-established in academia and some, like Pinker and Jussim, who have proven their abilities and willingness to stare down the cancel culture ayatollahs) is partly there to provide top cover and partly there to provide sheer mass, as in “you can’t fire all of us” as you said in another comment.

    And I looked at her webpage; she has pictures of her as an Ohio University cheerleader! For a woman in social science, at an Ivy no less, celebrating one of the most unwoke things a woman can do nowadays…again, pretty gutsy to put that out there. From what I’ve seen, as Glenn Reynolds might say, I like the cut of her jib.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

  49. @Jim Don Bob
    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.

    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Thea, @Reg Cæsar, @Bardon Kaldian, @Colin Wright

    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?

    Because they are no smarter and have no more imagination than the old Bolsheviks did a century ago in Russia or Germany.

  50. @Hypnotoad666
    @Achmed E. Newman


    balance knowledge risks against the costs of censorship
     
    "Knowledge risks." Really?

    Is there an official Academic doctrine defining when "you can't handle the truth?" As you say, even allowing this argument makes these guys pussies instead of principled truth seekers.

    But I guess an alternative interpretation is that they are subtly exposing and shaming the "you can't handle the truth" people by patronizing them. Or maybe that's too cute. Reasonable minds can differ.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    Out of push-button responses here, Hypno, but I think the former.

    As a reply to SFG also here, let me say that it’s not like I think these guys have some well-thought-out plan to have this out there for a lawsuit or something. I’m sure they enjoy doing data-crunching on something that proves the Conservative White man is getting screwed by censorship and cancellation more than anybody else. (It’s pretty damn obvious without the study – just, as an academic, think what YOU can say and what THAT PURPLE-HAIRED LADY can say.)

    I am sure that those who wrote the paper together – all 39 (why do you need 39?) – did this to help become unified against the Woke Commies of academia. That’s the main thing.

    What I meant before is that NOBODY on the ctrl-left that even deigns to read this will be swayed by the conclusion. They may even be convinced – “yeah, nice work laying this out, works for me”, but that’s not swayed. I.e., it’s not gonna stop them from working hard to censor and cancel the next Conservative White man to speak out. That’s just how the ctrl-left rolls. People need to learn that.

    Finally, regarding this:

    It may be reasonable to consider potential harms before disseminating science that poses a clear and present danger, when harms are extreme, tangible, and scientifically demonstrable, such as scholarship that increases risks of nuclear war, pandemics, or other existential catastrophes.

    So, let’s see, not a good idea to work on dangerous viruses in cooperation with the Chinese, eh? Yeeeahhh.

    I know that in science and engineering, even if one knows that the new results found from some work might easily be used for nefarious purposes, in general one keeps going. Why? The work is built on previous work. Someone else is going to do it pretty soon anyway, and they’ll get the credit. You can’t bury the whole scientific process. Note the part about “nuclear war”, and thing back to 1945.

    Now as far as the Social Sciences, the papers are usually BS anyway, so if it were “harmful”, other people may never come up with the same BS. Why? Because you have cancelled them to discourage the others…

  51. @anonymous
    A Jewish white supremacist verbally abused a random halal cart guy for 2 weeks.

    https://twitter.com/itslaylas/status/1727059850725872010

    Replies: @IHTG

    “You forgot to add a gigachad image.”

  52. It makes you wonder if a lot of research will have to be based outside the US. They can use American technology and maybe even capital, but the actual work on “forbidden” topics may have to be done elsewhere.

  53. @AnotherDad

    Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism…. But censorship can be prosocially motivated.
     
    Calling absolute b.s. on their "but" and "prosocial".

    There is not anything "pro-social" about this social science censorship. It is precisely "intolerance", "authoritarianism", "dogmatism" (especially), "rigidity" and "extremism".

    This censorship is simply to protect the minoritarian--anti-white gentile--narrative, which these people hold as essentially a religious virtuous, axiomatic, non-falsifiable dogma.

    And minoritarianism is deeply anti-social. It is--by design--an attack upon the host societies/nations of the West.

    ~~~

    Their whole section beneath the more tag. In their defense, I do think the "But censorship can be prosocially motivated" is at least in part to try and flatter some of their intended audience and help their message get a wider read and more traction.




    The Psychology of Censorship

    Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism. Authoritarianism (76, 77), on the political right and left (78, 79), is associated with censoriousness, and censorship is often attributed to desires for power and authority (11). Although citizens in liberal democracies support free speech in the abstract, they often support censorship in ideologically challenging cases (80, 81). Censorship may also signal in-group allegiances (82), as members denounce others to gain status and affirm their group’s superiority (83).

    But censorship can be prosocially motivated (84). Censorious scholars often worry that research may be appropriated by malevolent actors to support harmful policies and attitudes (4). Both scholars and laypersons report that some scholarship is too dangerous to pursue, and much contemporary scientific censorship aims to protect vulnerable groups (4, 85, 86). Perceived harmfulness of information increases censoriousness among the public (3, 87), harm concerns are a central focus of content moderation on social media (88), and the more people overestimate harmful reactions to science, the more they support scientific censorship (86). People are especially censorious when they view others as susceptible to potentially harmful information (89, 90). In some contemporary Western societies, many people object to information that portrays historically disadvantaged groups unfavorably (60, 91), and academia is increasingly concerned about historically disadvantaged groups (92). Harm concerns may even cause perceptions of errors where none exist (53, 86).

    Prosocial motives for censorship may explain four observations: 1) widespread public availability of scholarship coupled with expanding definitions of harm (93) has coincided with growing academic censorship (94); 2) women, who are more harm-averse and more protective of the vulnerable than men (95, 96), are more censorious (48, 77, 78); 3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives (86), egalitarian progressives are more censorious of information perceived to threaten historically marginalized groups (91, 97); and 4) academics in the social sciences and humanities (disciplines especially relevant to humans and social policy) are more censorious and more censored than those in STEM (98, 99).

    Replies: @Bill Jones, @TWS

    So women are more likely to lie. Nobody doubts that.

  54. @SFG
    @Achmed E. Newman

    I hadn't thought of that possibility, and in fact wondered how they got it published in PNAS of all places; maybe the wokies hadn't completely gotten to that the way they got to Nature and Lancet. I had thought it was more of a final stand against the oncoming tide--so when the literature goes even more left wing as the millennials and zoomers move into positions of power, future historians after the collapse or in China or something will be able to understand why science became so unreliable in the early 21st century.

    There's a saying, though, "you're not arguing to convince the other guy, you're arguing to convince the audience." You now have a peer-reviewed paper arguing that scientists have essentially been lying for (their perception of ) the greater good rather than impartially seeking truth. That may not convince their enemies at Harvard and Yale, but you can see, say the board of overseers at the state universities of Texas or Florida paying attention.

    Replies: @Je Suis Omar Mateen

    “future historians after the collapse or in China or something will be able to understand why science became so unreliable in the early 21st century.”

    Those future folks, those sage historians, are always so, so very wise and so, so conveniently in agreement with everything I believe and say. And those future Chinamen, so very preoccupied with white cowardice and dysfunction. Lolcow.

    • Replies: @SFG
    @Je Suis Omar Mateen

    I mean, I don’t know what future historians in the West will think after the Woke regime ends, or if there even will be any. It could take hundreds of years and I expect to be long dead.

    But the Chinese did study the collapse of the USSR, which is why they are employing their strategy of prosperity with social control. They have never had our anti-intellectualism, revolutionaries like Mao notwithstanding. I would imagine they are watching our own problems with interest.

  55. @Joe Stalin
    https://twitter.com/narendra483/status/1727869254668804555

    Replies: @AndrewR, @Corpse Tooth

    Conor McGregor retweeting Keith Woods.

    2023 is wild.

    Buckle up, kids. Shit is getting real

  56. @Bill Jones
    And Black Fridays good news: a black immigration heretic gets another one in the nuts:


    New York City Eric Adams has been accused of sexually assaulting a woman in 1993, according to a filing late Wednesday in the state Supreme Court of Manhattan.
     
    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nyc-mayor-eric-adams-accused-sexual-assault

    Replies: @SFG, @Almost Missouri, @Jim Don Bob, @Reg Cæsar, @Stan Adams

    I think they just increased it, which is why all this is coming out now.

    • Replies: @Intelligent Dasein
    @SFG


    I think they just increased it,
     
    Not exactly. In 2019, New York extended the statute of limitations on civil suits arising from claims of sexual harassment from three years to twenty, but that extension was not retroactive, so it would not affect the suit against Eric Adams.

    The spate of civil suits filed on Nov 23rd are the result of a one-time piece of legislation, the Adult Survivors Act, which provided a one-year "lookback window" wherein the statute of limitations was affectively held in abeyance from 11/24/22 to 11/24/23. This allowed people to file sexual harassment suits on alleged events in the past regarding which the statute of limitations had already expired, but it is over now.

    Any new allegations, of course, will have a twenty-year window in which to file.
  57. @YetAnotherAnon
    OT but quite amusing - Russia seem to be sending their illegals to the Estonian and Finnish borders, where the promised land of the EU or maybe a boat to Dover awaits.

    For once the Guardian fails to see the positive side and aren't thinking of the enrichment and increased choice of cuisine...

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2023/nov/23/estonia-accuses-russia-weaponising-immigration-europe-borders


    Since the beginning of November about 800 refugees and migrants have entered Finland, according to the Finnish border guard, prompting authorities to close all but one border crossing and accept support from the European border guard agency Frontex. Estonia accused Moscow of mounting “a hybrid attack operation” on Europe’s eastern border on Wednesday after 75 people attempted to enter the country in the space of a few days, a significant increase on the usual numbers.

    At a press conference in a grand room at Karlberg Palace in the Swedish capital, Pevkur said: “Regarding the migrant flow, this is fully state-orchestrated. In Russia there is a border zone you cannot enter without permission from the FSB. So by accident, all these hundreds of migrants have ended up in one border crossing point in Finland with bicycles during the winter? Come on, seriously.”

    He added: “They are coming from Yemen, they are coming from Syria, they are coming from Somalia, and at the end of the day they end up somewhere in the high north at the border crossing point with Finland … This is not very plausible.”

    Praising Finland’s reaction, Pevkur said countries should “act as the situation evolves”. He claimed: “These are not asylum seekers; this is weaponised illegal immigration.”
     

    Meanwhile in the UK the Guardian are fully on board with weaponised illegal immigration:

    https://www.theguardian.com/uk-news/2023/nov/24/relatives-of-27-who-drowned-in-channel-boat-sinking-demand-answers


    "The relatives of 27 people who died in the worst mass drowning in the Channel for decades have marked two years since the disaster by issuing an open letter demanding answers over what happened.

    Signed together with dozens of refugee NGOs, the letter states that the families still have no explanation as to why French and British authorities failed the people onboard a sinking dinghy who repeatedly called for help.

    At least one pregnant woman and three children were among the 27 bodies recovered after the dinghy sank. Four people remain missing.

    The letter states: “We will never let the lives lost that night, or those of loved ones lost since, be forgotten. We demand justice and change. We long for people seeking safety on British shores to be seen as human beings, deserving of rights, compassion and dignity.

    “Tragedies like this occur because of the ‘othering’ our politicians insist on – of the dehumanising of sons and fathers, mothers and daughters, friends and family members.”

    The letter calls for safe routes for all refugees wishing to come to the UK and improved resettlement and refugee family reunion schemes. “That is the only way these tragedies will end,” it says."
     

    Replies: @James N. Kennett

    The letter calls for safe routes for all refugees wishing to come to the UK and improved resettlement and refugee family reunion schemes.

    By “safe routes” they mean “safe one-way routes”.
    By “refugees” they mean “economic migrants”.
    By “improved resettlement schemes” they mean “something even better than an unlimited stay in a four-star hotel”.
    By “improved family reunion schemes” they mean “unlimited chain migration”.

    As for “demanding answers”, the answer is glaringly obvious. It is suicidally dangerous for 31 people to attempt to cross 22 miles of open sea in an overloaded rubber dinghy.

    • Agree: YetAnotherAnon
  58. @Bill Jones
    And Black Fridays good news: a black immigration heretic gets another one in the nuts:


    New York City Eric Adams has been accused of sexually assaulting a woman in 1993, according to a filing late Wednesday in the state Supreme Court of Manhattan.
     
    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nyc-mayor-eric-adams-accused-sexual-assault

    Replies: @SFG, @Almost Missouri, @Jim Don Bob, @Reg Cæsar, @Stan Adams

    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    New York State passed a temporary reprieve to the statute of limitations on sexual assault last year. It was at least partly intended as another avenue for attacking Trump.

    In theory, this was sort of “reverse amnesty” where all previous “sexual assaults” [notoriously vague category] that were barred from court for the “technicality” of being older than the statute of limitations would get aired out. In practice it has been a giant invitation to file frivolous lawsuits.

    • Replies: @Bill Jones
    @Almost Missouri

    It's in the story. One year window (ending now) to nail the guy who got away thirty years ago.
    The Supremes should throw it out.

  59. @SFG
    @Bill Jones

    I think they just increased it, which is why all this is coming out now.

    Replies: @Intelligent Dasein

    I think they just increased it,

    Not exactly. In 2019, New York extended the statute of limitations on civil suits arising from claims of sexual harassment from three years to twenty, but that extension was not retroactive, so it would not affect the suit against Eric Adams.

    The spate of civil suits filed on Nov 23rd are the result of a one-time piece of legislation, the Adult Survivors Act, which provided a one-year “lookback window” wherein the statute of limitations was affectively held in abeyance from 11/24/22 to 11/24/23. This allowed people to file sexual harassment suits on alleged events in the past regarding which the statute of limitations had already expired, but it is over now.

    Any new allegations, of course, will have a twenty-year window in which to file.

  60. @res
    Looking at the paper linked in the Taki article.
    Prosocial motives underlie scientific censorship by scientists: A perspective and research agenda
    https://www.pnas.org/doi/10.1073/pnas.2301642120

    I found Figure 1 interesting.
    https://www.pnas.org/cms/10.1073/pnas.2301642120/asset/a24fd897-1c0b-43ad-b21a-5ab773786132/assets/images/large/pnas.2301642120fig01.jpg

    In particular, the relative balance of Left/Right of target cases (after thinking about this, probably explained by the average professor/possible target being fairly far left). Activists was a particularly right biased category--which I find hard to believe. Another interesting aspect is each panel shows the left/right split. Except for the incidents by year panel. Perhaps that is a clue. So let's take a look at the reference they give for that data (this appears to be a slightly older version missing early 2023 data).
    Scholars Under Fire: Attempts to Sanction Scholars from 2000 to 2022
    https://www.thefire.org/research-learn/scholars-under-fire-attempts-sanction-scholars-2000-2022

    Looking at their PDF report it appears a disproportionate number of the right based sanctions are coming from a single source.

    Of 213 sanction attempts in 2021, 111 came from the right of the scholar and 99 came from the left.23 Sanction attempts initiated from the right in 2021 occurred primarily in response to race-related expression (56, or 50%), partisan expression (44, or 40%), and/or institutional policy (24, or 22%). Sanction attempts initiated from the left were similarly motivated. Over half of them occurred in response to race-related expression (49 of 52 attempts, or 94%). A number of sanction attempts from the left were also motivated by gender (23, or 23%), institutional policy (19, or 19%), and/or partisan expression (17, or 17%).

    Notably, two-thirds of the 111 attempts from the right came from a specific source: Turning Point USA’s Professor Watchlist, whose goal is to “expose and document college professors who discriminate against conservative students and advance leftist propaganda in the classroom,”24 (61 sanction attempts, or 55%). To accomplish this, Professor Watchlist maintains a list — an academic blacklist — of hundreds of professors across the country who they believe are indoctrinating students with left-wing ideas.

    FIRE, along with others,25 is concerned that being featured on the Watchlist can have a chilling effect on a scholar’s expression. However, we also do not believe that mere inclusion on the Watchlist represents a sanction attempt against a scholar. So, if a scholar is listed on Professor Watchlist, what warrants inclusion? At the bottom of the pages of some of the featured professors, TPUSA calls on students and parents to contact the professors’ institutions, and provides the phone numbers for them to do so. We consider this a sanction attempt because listing this information on some, but not all, profiles strongly suggests that the purpose of listing it is to spur complaints and demands for sanctioning these specific scholars.

    On the basis of Professor Watchlist calling on parents and students to contact specific professors’ institutions, we added a total of 95 sanction attempts (including the 61 from 2021) to the Scholars Under Fire database. Thus, the peak of 213 sanction attempts in 2021 is somewhat illusory. If these 61 attempts were excluded from 2021 the total number of sanction attempts would be 152, one more than the 151 in 2020 and seven more than the 145 in 2022.
     
    The PNAS paper mentions 486 cases between 2000 and June, 2023. So those 91 are almost 20% of all cases (though more cases are discussed in the FIRE PDF so not sure what is counted where). For a watchlist. Hardly seems fair to compare that to something like firing someone. I am curious how consistent they are about looking for watchlists created across the political spectrum.

    Another example is the case they choose to show as the example on their database page.
    https://www.aaup.org/report/academic-freedom-and-tenure-virginia-state-university

    Supposedly this is motivated from the right. Yet looking at the link we see the scholar characterized as:

    Professor Cobbs has claimed that the reasons for these actions—and for the actions discussed below that were taken against her during the 2003-04 and 2004-05 academic years—involved her political beliefs and affiliations and her race and were also in retaliation for filing EEOC complaints and for testifying in support of a faculty colleague's lawsuit against the university. Professor Cobbs describes herself as a politically conservative African American who has been active in Republican Party circles at the local and state levels for many years. She claims that over the years, she incurred the displeasure of her administrative superiors for having challenged decisions they made and actions they took with regard to the program in social work.
     
    So are we to believe a college administration is right of a Republican? Does anyone know enough about VSU to clarify?

    One interesting point from the FIRE PDF.

    Males comprise less than half of full- and part-time faculty (671,952 of 1,386,105 full- and part-time instructional staff nationwide, or 48%), yet they are nearly two and-a-half times more likely than females to face sanction attempts (765, or 71%, male scholars; 309, or 29%, female scholars).34
     
    Note 34:

    34 6 scholars identified as trans or non-binary
     
    Page 20 has a figure with neither/left/right sanction attempts from 2000-2022.

    Page 26 has a table of universities withe greatest number of sanction attempts along with more details.

    The worst campuses include Harvard (23 sanction attempts), Stanford (22), UCLA (19), and Georgetown (16).
     
    Page 31 has a table of sanction attempts and terminations by race.

    Rates of termination were also highest among scholars who are male and scholars who are White. More than twice as many male scholars were terminated as female scholars (151 male scholars; 74 female scholars). And 8 in 10 terminations involved White scholars (181 of 225, or 80%).

     

    Pages 34-42 cover a number of specific sanction attempts. Including Amy Wax's case (5 separate attempts!) in some detail.

    I wish the PNAS paper had a version of Figure 1 which only covered successful sanction attempts.

    P.S. This National Review article about FIRE and the ACLU supplies some context.
    https://www.nationalreview.com/corner/fire-does-what-the-aclu-no-longer-will-defend-free-speech/

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Almost Missouri

    The PNAS paper mentions 486 cases between 2000 and June, 2023. So those 91 are almost 20% of all cases (though more cases are discussed in the FIRE PDF so not sure what is counted where). For a watchlist. Hardly seems fair to compare that to something like firing someone. I am curious how consistent they are about looking for watchlists created across the political spectrum.

    This is a key point. Of course the hiring process for the whole academy is one giant watchlist of leftist boogeymen, so it is not even possible to become an academic and risk later sanction if you evince any trait on the leftist watchlist. But since the left didn’t make the mistake of making their watchlists public and transparent as Turning Point USA did, the authors of this paper totally omit this enormous thumb on the scale.

    As Achmed said, by accepting the left’s framing, this weak-tea indictment is self-defeating.

  61. @Jim Don Bob
    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.

    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Thea, @Reg Cæsar, @Bardon Kaldian, @Colin Wright

    They possess a death wish. Cults surrounding death are not rare in human history. They will die martyrs in their eyes. If they take you with them, all the better.

    When you see women, and their adjacent men, cut their hair short, dye it blue, pierce and tattoo themselves all over, you see someone who hates beauty and life and joy. Such person cannot conceive of any form of love such as for God or kin or country.

  62. @Jim Don Bob
    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.

    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Thea, @Reg Cæsar, @Bardon Kaldian, @Colin Wright

    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.

    The closer one’s ancestry is to the English Channel, the more likely one is able to think for oneself.* This is not a quality many bosses want in their underlings. As Alden said, Hispanics are desired because they are “docile”. At least on Election Day. Come to think of it, no one is more docile on Election Day than blacks. Whereas we Channel people are rarely more volatile.

    We’re the only ones who ever riot in the voting booth.

    *Without taking this too far, that is, e.g., Greece, India. (Hmm, that could have been abbreviated “…i.e., e.g.”…)

    • Replies: @Intelligent Dasein
    @Reg Cæsar


    The closer one’s ancestry is to the English Channel, the more likely one is able to think for oneself.* This is not a quality many bosses want in their underlings. As Alden said, Hispanics are desired because they are “docile”.
     
    When is the last time you worked in a physical-economy profession? Have you ever supervised a crew of Mexicans?

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  63. @jb
    The logic of Woke censorship is very similar to the logic of historical censorship by the Catholic Church (e.g., the Index of Forbidden Books), and it actually makes a fair amount of sense. It goes like this: The truth of our doctrines is obvious and undeniable, in the same way that it is obvious and undeniable that 1+1=2. Only the foolish could be pursuaded otherwise! If a writer or a social movement were successful in pursuading the foolish that 1+1 did not equal 2 it would lead the foolish to do things that would cause great harm to the foolish themselves and to society as a whole; therefore suppressing such writers or social movements is always justified, as their words can only lead to harm, never to good.

    Sounds reasonable, doesn't it? It's hard for me to think of realistic examples of ideas so dangerous that I personally would want to suppress them (denying that 1+1=2 doesn't really cut it for me), but if you are convinced that wrong thinking can send people to Hell, or turn them into a Nazi zombies, suppression really does seem warranted. (I am reminded of a capsule description I saw somewhere of Herbert Marcuse's Repressive Tolerance, which essentially went "A world in which the Holocaust is possible is a world in which it is too dangerous to allow conservatives to have freedom of speech").

    Replies: @MNL, @The Spiritual Works of Mercy

    I agree. But even more important than “doing harm to one’s self and others,” the Catholic church centuries earlier (and today’s woke equivalents) didn’t (and don’t) want to relenquish power and authority.

  64. @Achmed E. Newman

    3) although progressives are often less censorious than conservatives, egalitarian progressives are more censorious of information perceived to threaten historically marginalized groups; and 4) academics in the social sciences and humanities (disciplines especially relevant to humans and social policy) are more censorious and more censored than those in STEM.
     
    Let me translate this into truth: 3) Most people in academia, as elsewhere, have no principles. 4) It's easier to pick on people whose papers you can actually read, plus there are not so many Communists anywhere around the Engineering and math buildings who would even know what goes in there.

    Thus, it seems reasonable to balance knowledge risks against the costs of censorship (and resulting ignorance)
     
    It might be reasonable, but it's not principled. Pussies.

    ... by creating empirical and transparent measures of purported harms, ...
     
    ... blah, blah, blah. They just got done writing about the expansion of the definition of harm. This is self-defeating BS.

    Replies: @SFG, @Hypnotoad666, @Almost Missouri

    … by creating empirical and transparent measures of purported harms

    • Thanks: HammerJack
    • LOL: bomag
  65. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    First, I will note that the “McWhorter Effect” (FWIW I think his version of this is a big part of what eventually got Bill Cosby cancelled) is almost as verboten as the genetic explanation. Which is incredibly sad because it would be so much easier to address.

    I see two threads of evidence responsive to your point.

    1. The SAT results for blacks vs. whites across the income spectrum. I think the negative causes McWhorter cites vary with income (for all races) as well as race. A subsidiary of this is looking at other black cultures (e.g. Nigerians) with less of those causes.

    IMO that is less persuasive than:

    2. Admixture studies. Here is a discussion of one by one of the authors. Note references to Warne’s book.
    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2023/06/a-plethora-of-evidence-for-genetic-influence-of-american-race-ethnic-gaps-in-intelligence/
    Steve has written about the family of ABCD studies a number of times. Searching his work for “ABCD” is worthwhile.
    Also see this post and its comments.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6116326

    P.S. Anon’s reference (and elaboration) to Russell Warne’s book is excellent. In addition to chapter 29 see chapter 28. From the TOC.
    28 Racial/Ethnic Group IQ Differences Are Completely Environmental
    in Origin 247
    29 Unique Influences Operate on One Group’s Intelligence Test Scores 264

    I would call this negative evidence (note how Warne frames his argument as burden of proof on environmentalists) regarding your point while the admixture studies are positive evidence.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
    • Replies: @Twinkie
    @res


    The SAT results for blacks vs. whites across the income spectrum
     
    http://www.jbhe.com/latest/news/1-22-09/satracialgapfigure.gif

    Basically, the most affluent black students score similarly as the poorest whites.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth

    , @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    [Dave] So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    [res] First, I will note that the “McWhorter Effect” (FWIW I think his version of this is a big part of what eventually got Bill Cosby cancelled) is almost as verboten as the genetic explanation. Which is incredibly sad because it would be so much easier to address.
     
    Yeah. McWhorter, who is a pretty even-tempered guy, is actually quite angry about this -- he basically thinks that "Black culture" has, in effect, lobotomized a lot of young Black people.

    I'd add that the bizarre phenomenon of White kids during the last few decades aping the worst aspects of the Black subculture has had a similar effect, though probably of smaller magnitude.

    McWhorter, by the way, is a big fan of classic Broadway musicals, classic movies, etc. -- he has civilized tastes when it comes to pop culture. The good news is that I know young people under thirty who have similar tastes.

    The bad news is that they seem to be a minority, among both Whites and Blacks.
  66. @Steve Sailer
    @HammerJack

    "Three to ten times more” is a really big swing. Why?"

    3x at the lowest percentile of national income, 10x at the highest percentile.

    Replies: @res

    Thanks. That is an illuminating sub-point I had missed.

  67. @res
    @PhysicistDave


    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?
     
    First, I will note that the “McWhorter Effect” (FWIW I think his version of this is a big part of what eventually got Bill Cosby cancelled) is almost as verboten as the genetic explanation. Which is incredibly sad because it would be so much easier to address.

    I see two threads of evidence responsive to your point.

    1. The SAT results for blacks vs. whites across the income spectrum. I think the negative causes McWhorter cites vary with income (for all races) as well as race. A subsidiary of this is looking at other black cultures (e.g. Nigerians) with less of those causes.

    IMO that is less persuasive than:

    2. Admixture studies. Here is a discussion of one by one of the authors. Note references to Warne's book.
    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2023/06/a-plethora-of-evidence-for-genetic-influence-of-american-race-ethnic-gaps-in-intelligence/
    Steve has written about the family of ABCD studies a number of times. Searching his work for "ABCD" is worthwhile.
    Also see this post and its comments.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6116326

    P.S. Anon's reference (and elaboration) to Russell Warne's book is excellent. In addition to chapter 29 see chapter 28. From the TOC.
    28 Racial/Ethnic Group IQ Differences Are Completely Environmental
    in Origin 247
    29 Unique Influences Operate on One Group’s Intelligence Test Scores 264

    I would call this negative evidence (note how Warne frames his argument as burden of proof on environmentalists) regarding your point while the admixture studies are positive evidence.

    Replies: @Twinkie, @PhysicistDave

    The SAT results for blacks vs. whites across the income spectrum

    Basically, the most affluent black students score similarly as the poorest whites.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
    • Replies: @Corpse Tooth
    @Twinkie

    I skipped the SAT and took the ASVAB. Much easier. My score was such that I ranked in the genies category.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  68. The only ethnic names and resume research I have seen has compared stereotypically black names (underclass) with stereotypically white English names . D’quan Jackson and John Whitaker.

    It would get interesting if you tried it with mainstream culture but probably black names like James Washington vs D’Quan Jackson vs John Whitaker vs Declan O’Malley.

    Ethnically ambiguous names like Wayne Roberts. African names like Kwame Abade. Haitian, Jacques Baptiste.

    Then, try white ethnic names. Easy to pronounce and relatively familiar like Peter Svenson. Now cross the Baltic and try Domantas Vasiliauskas.

    Kevin Chin vs Huang Chin. Shigeki Fujioko vs Huang Chin. Muhammed Choudury vs Syed Choudury vs Adarsh Patel vs Adarsh Balikrishnan.

    Haven’t even considered Jews, Armenians, Hispanics, Italians….

    Now…look at the ethnicity of the HR first reviewer after the resume purge software.

    Ms. Denise Harris vs Ms. Divya Atal vs Ms. Donna Mazucco vs Ms Mimi Stein.

    Familiarity, pronunciation ease, diversity efforts, stereotyped competence perception, stereotyped affability/extroversion perception, stereotyped English language competence/ accent perception, stereotyped conscientiousness, coethnic preference conscious and unconscious, interethnic preference conscious and unconscious, religious and caste preference.

    So much granularity you could look at . But much easier to write about D’quan and John, much likelier to get published academic journals or popular press.

    Then there’s this. Could be, advantage, D’quan.

    https://freebeacon.com/latest-news/just-6-percent-of-new-sp-jobs-went-to-white-applicants-in-the-wake-of-george-floyd-analysis-shows/

  69. This is exactly the same thing happening with those people who want to preemptively censor A.I. algorithms because they’re worried that they won’t be able to control the results. A human scientist can be cowed and threatened, but the whole appeal of an A.I. is that itcan’t be coerced into giving the “right” wrong answer. Otherwise, what’s the point of creating an uber efficient and proficient computer program if you hamstring it and prevent it from ever doing that in the first place?

    In a way, A.I. could provide cover for human scientists to say the stuff they want to say but can’t. I mean, we all intuitively know what the right answers are before we ever ask the computer, right? The leftists can’t have that, so it’s Newspeak and Doublethink all the way down.

  70. In some contemporary Western societies, many people object to information that portrays historically disadvantaged groups unfavorably, and academia is increasingly concerned about historically disadvantaged groups.

    These liberal authors accept the idea of “historically disadvantaged groups” even as they try to defend genetics research that shows these groups are not disadvantaged by history but by genes. Better to reject “historically disadvantaged” as an explanation for anything and get on with it.

    Censorship research typically explores dark psychological underpinnings such as intolerance, authoritarianism, dogmatism, rigidity, and extremism

    Again the liberal authors take a swipe at the Evil Right, their true enemy.
    I long ago tired of reading liberal appeals to their far-left friends to be more reasonable.

  71. @Jim Don Bob
    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.

    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Thea, @Reg Cæsar, @Bardon Kaldian, @Colin Wright

    I think it is a different phenomenon.

    Old Bolsheviks did not hate their own kind. Actually, although some of them were of aristocratic background, they tried to annihilate a society based on class exploitation & during the revolution, their intent was to create a classless society without social stratification. In reality, it resulted in despicable measures where sons and daughters of well off families, who stayed in the Soviet Union, were socially downgraded (for instance- they couldn’t get into institutions of higher learning. For our anti-judaists, this measure applied to bourgeois Jewish apolitical families, too). So, this was a sort of class genocide & oppression. Just, they- Bolsheviks- didn’t ever think they would become oppressed any time- neither “racially”, nor ethnically, nor socially,…. not even ideologically. They wanted to eliminate “others”, but these “others” did not include their own kind, as they defined it- except a few fanatics, but they are irrelevant.

    With anti-white activism of many whites in the US, we have an entirely different stuff- they are not heroic lunatics, but opportunists. They think that white race is doomed & they will be spared as some kind of fellow traveling Quislings. So, they’re basically prostitutes of social activism.

  72. @Achmed E. Newman
    @cthulhu

    Margaret Mead?

    Replies: @cthulhu

    The lead author on the paper is one Cory Jane Clark, who is sticking her neck out a bit (maybe more than a bit) by putting her name as lead author on a paper that, although not as full-throated anti-crazy as one might like, is still a significant milestone in calling academe to account for its intellectual malfeasance over the last decades. Hell, she’s explicitly saying that women are more censorious than men! That’s pretty ballsy.

    One suspects her extensive co-author list (mostly men well-established in academia and some, like Pinker and Jussim, who have proven their abilities and willingness to stare down the cancel culture ayatollahs) is partly there to provide top cover and partly there to provide sheer mass, as in “you can’t fire all of us” as you said in another comment.

    And I looked at her webpage; she has pictures of her as an Ohio University cheerleader! For a woman in social science, at an Ivy no less, celebrating one of the most unwoke things a woman can do nowadays…again, pretty gutsy to put that out there. From what I’ve seen, as Glenn Reynolds might say, I like the cut of her jib.

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @cthulhu

    I was sort of kidding about Margaret Mead, as I didn't know who you were referring to, Mr. Cthulhu. Thank you for this description of the, yes, ballsy, Cory Jane Clark. Now, I might have to go search for her cheerleader pics, which I'm sure she wouldn't mind either.

    I agree with your Instapundit standard phrase too. (He's got a dozen of them or so. Totally O/T here, but unfortunately Professor Reynolds cannot help himself from being one big Neocon. I'd thought he'd gotten over that, but it has come out of remission.)

  73. @Almost Missouri
    @Bill Jones


    Wot? No statute of Limitations?
     
    New York State passed a temporary reprieve to the statute of limitations on sexual assault last year. It was at least partly intended as another avenue for attacking Trump.

    In theory, this was sort of "reverse amnesty" where all previous "sexual assaults" [notoriously vague category] that were barred from court for the "technicality" of being older than the statute of limitations would get aired out. In practice it has been a giant invitation to file frivolous lawsuits.

    Replies: @Bill Jones

    It’s in the story. One year window (ending now) to nail the guy who got away thirty years ago.
    The Supremes should throw it out.

  74. @The Germ Theory of Disease
    PETE TOWNSHEND: Yuck, that was a bit of a bother. I just got finished doing "Tommy" and pretty much being THE SMARTEST ROCK AND ROLLER NORTH OF JOHN FUCKING LENNON, and now what do I do for a breakfast break? Why, I create "Who's Next", the OTHER greatest rock n roll record of all time! Top THAT, assholes!!!

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QRTNm6GLJYI&list=OLAK5uy_n84dSCHYhjQQ8ZbOULHydIxNQs5G2C2Kk&index=1


    https://www.allmusic.com/album/whos-next-mw0000022790

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Corpse Tooth

    “JOHN FUCKING LENNON”

    Yoko was the brains of that outfit.

    “PETE TOWNSHEND”

    You’re absolutely correct. He’s royalty. Very few can touch his output. If one can’t manage a boner whilst listening to Won’t Get Fooled Again then one won’t be allowed to appear on the telethon. It’s that simple.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @Corpse Tooth


    If one can’t manage a boner whilst listening to "Won’t Get Fooled Again"

     

    Warmed-over Orwell is an aphrodisiac? Do you get off on those urine stains on the sleeve, too?

    ...then one won’t be allowed to appear on the telethon.
     
    Look at us we're humid,
    Look at us, we're tumid
    We, who'd never got it up before...

    Very few can touch his output
     
    As with his cybermate Gary Glitter, few would want to.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth, @cthulhu

  75. @Reg Cæsar

    Antiwhite hate is a huge and growing topic for brave social scientists to investigate.
     
    We should go back to using Caucasian. It's more accurate. It's more respectful. And it's a mouthful. Try saying "Caucasian supremacist" or "Caucasian privilege" or "Caucasian fragility" with a straight face.

    Notice it wasn't "African-American Lives Matter". Catchiness is key.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @Bardon Kaldian

    Caucasian is cool.

    Try saying Abkhazian fragility. An example?

    Or Mingrelian supremacy…..

    • LOL: Frau Katze
  76. @Twinkie
    @res


    The SAT results for blacks vs. whites across the income spectrum
     
    http://www.jbhe.com/latest/news/1-22-09/satracialgapfigure.gif

    Basically, the most affluent black students score similarly as the poorest whites.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth

    I skipped the SAT and took the ASVAB. Much easier. My score was such that I ranked in the genies category.

    • LOL: HammerJack
    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @Corpse Tooth


    I skipped the SAT and took the ASVAB. Much easier. My score was such that I ranked in the genies category.
     
    https://cdn.vectorstock.com/i/1000x1000/30/50/smart-genie-cartoon-character-vector-38433050.webp
  77. @HammerJack
    From the other thread

    HammerJack says:
    Next New Comment
    November 23, 2023 at 9:15 am GMT • 20.7 hours ago • 100 Words ↑
    @ic1000

    This allows us to know for the first time that black men around age 30 in 2010 were imprisoned three to ten times more than young white men whose parents had exactly the same incomes in the 1990s.
     
    “Three to ten times more” is a really big swing. Why?

    Albert Einstein’s 1916 paper on his theory of general relativity, the great theoretician said that while he couldn’t prove his audacious insight that gravity resulted from the curvature of space
     
    My layman’s understanding is that the curvature of space results from gravity, not the other way around. Which is it?

    And can anyone explain to this non-physicist why mass results in gravity anyway?


     

    Gravity. It's not just a good idea, it's the law!

    So say thousands of YouTube videos. But why does mass produce gravity? Then, my other question.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Reg Cæsar

    “Three to ten times more” is a really big swing.

    It’s also shaky English. Literally taken, it would translate as “four to eleven times as”.

  78. @Reg Cæsar
    @Jim Don Bob


    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.
     
    The closer one's ancestry is to the English Channel, the more likely one is able to think for oneself.* This is not a quality many bosses want in their underlings. As Alden said, Hispanics are desired because they are "docile". At least on Election Day. Come to think of it, no one is more docile on Election Day than blacks. Whereas we Channel people are rarely more volatile.

    We're the only ones who ever riot in the voting booth.




    *Without taking this too far, that is, e.g., Greece, India. (Hmm, that could have been abbreviated "...i.e., e.g."...)

    Replies: @Intelligent Dasein

    The closer one’s ancestry is to the English Channel, the more likely one is able to think for oneself.* This is not a quality many bosses want in their underlings. As Alden said, Hispanics are desired because they are “docile”.

    When is the last time you worked in a physical-economy profession? Have you ever supervised a crew of Mexicans?

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @Intelligent Dasein

    She, and I, are talking about their political behavior. You elided my next sentence (fragment): "At least on Election Day."

    Replies: @Mike Tre

  79. @Jim Don Bob
    The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.

    Why do they think, as did the old Bolsheviks, that they will be spared come the revolution they so loudly espouse?

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Thea, @Reg Cæsar, @Bardon Kaldian, @Colin Wright

    ‘The rise in anti-white hate truly baffles me since many/most of the hate promoters are themselves white.’

    How many are Jewish? It’s reasonable to ask.

  80. @Bill Jones
    And Black Fridays good news: a black immigration heretic gets another one in the nuts:


    New York City Eric Adams has been accused of sexually assaulting a woman in 1993, according to a filing late Wednesday in the state Supreme Court of Manhattan.
     
    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nyc-mayor-eric-adams-accused-sexual-assault

    Replies: @SFG, @Almost Missouri, @Jim Don Bob, @Reg Cæsar, @Stan Adams

    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    He must have really pissed in somebody’s Wheaties, because heretofore the No statute of Limitations statute applied only to DJT and associates.

  81. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    ‘McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?’

    But surely such a relationship would be inevitable. Wouldn’t a group of people conscious of their intellectual inferiority and inability to succeed academically be anti-academic and anti-intellectual?

    Conversely, blacks are athletically gifted: they really can run faster and jump higher — and I dare say that small head is an advantage when it comes to boxing.

    …and not very surprisingly, blacks place a great deal of value on athletic achievement.

    At the end of the day, I do think cultural factors must have some slight effect on IQ. Blacks — not expecting success — wouldn’t bother to try very hard on a test. At the other extreme, I would guess your average Jew or Han Chinese is just going to try harder on a test — and that will inevitably bump his score a bit. Where a gentile will just shrug and pick (b), a Jew will try to squeeze out some reason to pick one letter rather than another. So if you’re going to take a guess as to what an IQ score means about actual intelligence, I’d tend to drop five points from the high averages and add five to the low ones.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?’

    [CW] But surely such a relationship would be inevitable. Wouldn’t a group of people conscious of their intellectual inferiority and inability to succeed academically be anti-academic and anti-intellectual?
     
    Yes, that is a plausible hypothesis.

    But my point -- and I think Sailer's point -- is that all of these -- the McWhorter effect, a racial genetic difference in IQ, and the "Colin Wright Effect" -- are all plausible hypotheses. But none is established science, and, most importantly, it is very, very difficult to measure their relative importance, given that all may play a role, as I myself suspect they do.

    CW also wrote:

    At the end of the day, I do think cultural factors must have some slight effect on IQ. Blacks — not expecting success — wouldn’t bother to try very hard on a test. At the other extreme, I would guess your average Jew or Han Chinese is just going to try harder on a test — and that will inevitably bump his score a bit.
     
    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being "test-wise."

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other "test-wise" people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don't give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences -- but I still do).

    Replies: @Pendragon

  82. I think it’s interesting that this website is somewhat ignoring the current organic resistance the people of Ireland are beginning to mount against the globalist efforts to flood their country with nation wrecking primitives.

    I mean, we read quite a bit of lamenting about the Palestinian cause here, in articles and in comments that stretch far back before this latest escalation of hostility. The “we are all Palestinians now” trope is almost as ubiquitous as a few other reflexive, cliche virtue signaling terms such as “Thank you for your service” or “God bless you.”

    These lamentations are from a mostly white collection of commenters, almost all of whom identify jewish influence as major source of the current dysfunction affecting the West.

    One of the avenues of that influence, the programming through education and media to hate one’s own ethnic/racial identity, culture, and history, as well as to prioritize the needs and goals of other races/ethnicities over their own, is well understood to those commenters here.

    However, even among these same commenters, the programming installed by that same jewish influence reveals itself to be successful when these same white commenters prioritize the needs and fate of Palestinians over those of their own kind. The events concurrently taking place in Ireland and Palestisrael reflect this: Day after day at TUR, the front page stories are all about the latter, but nothing about the former.

    Funny how the Irish are often cited as the least intelligent of the Western European nations, and maybe so, but they seem more aware of their own destiny (and are willing to fight for it) than these really smart people in England, Germany, France, etc.

    But then I think about the term “We are all palestinians now” or whatever. Are we? Because I think white Americans have it worse than Palestinians. The hostility directed at Palestinians is direct, in-your-face, us against them, hostility. The hostility directed at white Americans by jewish influence is subtle, subversive, slow, disguised, agonizing. Metaphorically, the Palestinian gets the headshot, while the American white gets the gut shot and is left to die only after horrific pain and suffering.

    Palestinians are shot, bombed, sanctioned, starved. These are terrible things. But they do not hate themselves. They are not under attack from millions of third world shock troops as well as the enabled unique and feral American negro, that we also taught to worship. They do not have millions of their working class men addicted to opioids. they do not have thousands of their daughters forced into sex slavery (such as in England) by immigrants or tricked into interracial degeneracy. The Palestinians do receive some support and aid from the international community. The American white male is pretty much a global pariah. At least the Palestinians can shoot back at the IDF. Can I shoot back at the Sacklers? or the Kagens? or the Pritzgers? Or the justice system? Or Hollywood? The Palestinians are unified if by nothing else a clear and identifiable common enemy. American whites are divided and pacified.

    Further, aside from their right to exist, I don’t find anything particularly worthwhile about the entire group. I certainly don’t want any of them here. They don’t belong nor can they function in the West. But that goes for the entirety of the peoples that inhabit what’s known as the ME: Turks, Armenians, Kurds, Arabs, Israelis, Lebanese, etc, etc.

    Our country crumbles to the ground around us yet we waste 1000’s of words on the Palestinians. Suicidal self marginalization.

    • Replies: @Frau Katze
    @Mike Tre

    Re: Irish resisting mass immigration, lack of discussion

    Several people entered comments yesterday and today about the dust-up in Dublin. You don’t see that very often, hence people don’t discuss it.

    Palestinians get more comments from the many Jew haters posting here. The Irish are almost completely free from Jews (with almost none living in Ireland).

    I doubt that these people actually like Palestinians per se, but “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.”

    Replies: @Philip Owen

  83. @Bill Jones
    And Black Fridays good news: a black immigration heretic gets another one in the nuts:


    New York City Eric Adams has been accused of sexually assaulting a woman in 1993, according to a filing late Wednesday in the state Supreme Court of Manhattan.
     
    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nyc-mayor-eric-adams-accused-sexual-assault

    Replies: @SFG, @Almost Missouri, @Jim Don Bob, @Reg Cæsar, @Stan Adams

    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    The statsuppressed it, at least for rape, back when you-know-who was their US Senatrix. Any self-awareness or sense of irony was surpressed.

  84. @Joe Stalin
    https://twitter.com/narendra483/status/1727869254668804555

    Replies: @AndrewR, @Corpse Tooth

    One of the X accounts covering this Irish revolt against the globalist-tainted elite that runs their wee country posts footage of busloads of “military age foreign men” dropped off in Dublin. This is a tactic used by other Western governments, including the United States, to implement their strategy of chaos and discord to achieve their sinister end.

  85. @Intelligent Dasein
    @Reg Cæsar


    The closer one’s ancestry is to the English Channel, the more likely one is able to think for oneself.* This is not a quality many bosses want in their underlings. As Alden said, Hispanics are desired because they are “docile”.
     
    When is the last time you worked in a physical-economy profession? Have you ever supervised a crew of Mexicans?

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    She, and I, are talking about their political behavior. You elided my next sentence (fragment): “At least on Election Day.”

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Reg Cæsar

    You sure you were talking to the Mrs? It's been known for a while that Mr. and Mrs. share that handle.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/irish-anhedonia/#comment-6278293


    But to answer: No, no you have not.

  86. @Corpse Tooth
    @Twinkie

    I skipped the SAT and took the ASVAB. Much easier. My score was such that I ranked in the genies category.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    I skipped the SAT and took the ASVAB. Much easier. My score was such that I ranked in the genies category.

    • LOL: Mark G.
  87. OT but IMHO pretty damn important.

    World steel production figures:

    https://worldsteel.org/media-centre/press-releases/2023/may-2023-crude-steel-production/

    Top 5 steel-producing countries, millions of tons

    China 90.1

    India 11.2

    Japan 7.6

    United States 6.9

    Russia 6.8

    China is the United States circa 1935, only with greater industrial dominance.

    • Replies: @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Not only that, the only US ally on that list is Japan, who is economically more reliant than ever on China.

    If more Japanese were to read Steve Sailer's blog, they might realize that they are usually just lumped in with the other "Asians", or even "non-whites". And often abused with high-fives and schadenfreude about nukes having been dropped on them.

    https://twitter.com/Steve_Sailer/status/1274603988646653955

    Japan's political tradition is Gekokujō 下克上(げこくじょう)"the low overcomes the high". It would be rather dramatic if they were to pull a gekokujō on the US, in favor of China.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    , @Joe Stalin
    @YetAnotherAnon


    Amid sluggish steel demand caused by slowdown in new home constructions and shrinking overseas demand for Chinese manufactured goods, whether any government-mandated steel output cuts could be implemented strictly would be crucial for the steel industry to contain steel output and maintain healthy profit margins for 2023, market participants said.

    https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/metals/041023-chinas-huge-steel-capacity-beleaguers-steel-market-government-to-order-output-cuts-soon
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=its6YFKlFiI

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

  88. The PNAS study, about prosocial motivations to suppress reasoned opinion, is welcome and heartening.

    It’s only half the story though. James Lindsay (and colleagues) have shown at nauseating length how the multiplication of journals and professional associations creates bubbles of mutual affirmation of unfalsifiable nonsense. Members of those bubbles peer-review each other’s mediocre work and accumulate promotion points that entrench them with tenure in higher education, where they spawn followers to populate the next generation of dogmatists.

    Those folks (/s) do not suppress reasoned opinion because they are afraid it might be right and because right would harm the vulnerable somehow. Rather, they are confident that they know the truth, and that those who disagree with them are wrong, are evil, and that their works and careers should be destroyed.

    This is a reversion to the authoritarian pre-Enlightenment doctrine that everyone should enjoy freedom of speech, so long as they speak the truth. Also, prior to the Enlightenment, suppression of free speech was justified on grounds that falsehoods would harm the vulnerable. The ignorant masses must be protected from what today is alleged to be “misinformation.”

    Yes, there were precursor documents, but the U.S. Bill of Rights is a high point in human history.

    Pope Leo XIII, Libertas (1888)

    We must now consider briefly liberty of speech, and liberty of the press….Men have a right freely and prudently to propagate throughout the State what things soever are true and honorable, so that as many as possible may possess them; but lying opinions, than which no mental plague is greater, and vices which corrupt the heart and moral life should be diligently repressed by public authority, lest they insidiously work the ruin of the State.

    The excesses of an unbridled intellect, which unfailingly end in the oppression of the untutored multitude, are no less rightly controlled by the authority of the law than are the injuries inflicted by violence upon the weak. And this all the more surely, because by far the greater part of the community is either absolutely unable, or able only with great difficulty, to escape from illusions and deceitful subtleties, especially such as flatter the passions.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @New Dealer


    Also, prior to the Enlightenment, suppression of free speech was justified on grounds that falsehoods would harm the vulnerable. The ignorant masses must be protected from what today is alleged to be “misinformation.”
     
    Pre-internet there was also more of a geographic aspect to speech. If the Puritans in one New England town didn't appreciate your brand of heresy, they might say "Maybe you've got a right to say that, but just not around here you don't." So the heretic would move 20 miles down the coast to maybe found a new town, which would start kicking it's own heretics down the coast a-ways in due time.
  89. @Twinkie
    @SafeNow


    And yes, Achmed, Res is the most rigorous professor here at Sailer University and Pub. I have to work hard to grasp his material, but it is always worth the effort. I usually get it, but sometimes not completely, and this would kill my GPA here at Sailer University, so it’s a good thing Res is pass/fail.
     
    Commenter “res” is an absolute treasure on Unz.

    There are those among the commenters who spew assertions with little to nothing to back them. Then there are those who cite misleading or selected data and facts to “prove” their positions. These people are easy enough to expose and refute. Then there are those commenters and even authors who try to bullshit by burying their interlocutors with arcanae of statistics. “Res,” because he is thorough, persistent, fair-minded, and statistically knowledgeable, will often chase down the citations and the appended data and discover (and present) the actual nitty-gritty of the cited sources, either confirming or refuting the associated assertions.

    He does this all the while (generally) remaining above the fray of ad hominem and interpersonal rancor, which are common occurrences here (of which offense I am also occasionally guilty). He makes this site a much better, more truthful, and informed place.

    Replies: @Brutusale

    He does yeoman work for the simple satisfaction of getting to the truth…kinda like what science should be in the first place!

  90. @Anonymous
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    This inevitably leads me back to my very favorite subject ever, namely, the life, times, exploits, works and heroics of Keith Moon, the late lamented and celebrated drummer to the Who, and who was possibly the greatest Englishman of the later 20th century.

    One particular 'stunt' of Moon's comes to mind at this juncture. Picture the scene, a very upmarket wine bar in the west end of London in the mid 1970s. The time is early evening and the place is abuzz with superior types drinking, socializing and braying to each other. One very attractive, well dressed young woman enters the wine bar and takes her place at the bar. A few minutes later she is followed by another attractive young woman, then another, then another. More minutes pass, then, suddenly a rather ridiculous looking figure, made up to look like an Italian operatic tenor of the 19th century, complete with false moustache burst through the doors loudly announcing 'Make Way, Make Way for the Great Moonio!!!'. As if on cue the ladies in unison to proceed to sit on the bar, hitch up skirts, down pantyhose and panties, and sit legs akimbo. To the shock and horror of the patrons 'The Great Moonio' proceeds to 'orally pleasure' each of the waiting ladies in turn.

    Needless to say, The Great Moonio - and his girls - was frogmarched out of premises by 'blue in the face' management.

    One stunt, which for absolute certainty, can never ever be topped.

    Replies: @Brutusale

    When you’re offered a rock ‘n roll moment.

  91. History of science was regarded largely as a story of success until
    the students at UC Berkeley in the late 1960s began to refer to
    scientists as “whores in the service of the military-industrial
    complex.” Soon in 1979 the French philosopher Lyotard famously
    defined the Postmodern Condition as “incredulity towards
    metanarratives,” esp. the metanarrative of (scientific) progress.
    Thus scientists are no longer seen as figures of authority. Hence skepticism
    about climate change, vaccinations, etc. It’s hard to view science
    as unqualified success when science has given us weapons of mass
    destruction, specifically chemical, nuclear, biological, and lately
    possibly AI WMD’s.

    Many people now believe that we left Modernity around
    1970 (famously, the individuals born in 1870 who died in 1970
    are said to have experienced more scientific and technological
    change than any human beings before), and we are now gingerly
    moving through Postmodernity. The Cost/Benefit ratio for progress
    in science now appears to be greater than 1 – rapid scientific progress
    is no longer worth the trouble. Nobel Prize winners in science are no
    longer admired. Even Einstein suffered a precipitous drop in fame and
    prestige ever since his name has become associated in the public mind
    with the atom bomb. Some thinkers are even beginning to claim that
    every new discovery and every new invention brings us closer to self-
    annihilation, thus explaining the Fermi Paradox – our Galaxy is filled with
    the corpses of past civilizations, and we are on our way to join them.
    Very high IQ people are now seen as potentially extremely destructive,
    with the implication that people of average intelligence, say 85-115,
    need to start thinking about how to protect humanity from people
    whose IQ’s are, say higher than 145, i.e., how to put the pathologically
    high IQ, left-brain individuals on a short leash.

    I’m obviously just hitting highlights here and focusing on trends, but any
    claim can be fleshed out to make it as detailed as anyone would wish.
    Needless to say, many claims in this post will be seen as extreme.
    Clearly, science in the hands of superior beings would be a boon to
    humanity, but as John Gray reminds us, we’re not superior beings –
    we’re lowly weapon-making predatory primates, and in our current primitive
    state the earth would be better off without us. I personally believe we
    can evolve beyond our present primitivism, but the next 200-300 years
    will be very challenging.

  92. @Corpse Tooth
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    "JOHN FUCKING LENNON"

    Yoko was the brains of that outfit.

    "PETE TOWNSHEND"

    You're absolutely correct. He's royalty. Very few can touch his output. If one can't manage a boner whilst listening to Won't Get Fooled Again then one won't be allowed to appear on the telethon. It's that simple.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    If one can’t manage a boner whilst listening to “Won’t Get Fooled Again”

    Warmed-over Orwell is an aphrodisiac? Do you get off on those urine stains on the sleeve, too?

    …then one won’t be allowed to appear on the telethon.

    Look at us we’re humid,
    Look at us, we’re tumid
    We, who’d never got it up before…

    Very few can touch his output

    As with his cybermate Gary Glitter, few would want to.

    • Replies: @Corpse Tooth
    @Reg Cæsar

    Reg, sometimes you need to take a look into the mirror and say: "It's me. I'm the creep."

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    , @cthulhu
    @Reg Cæsar

    Reg, on this topic, you should stay silent and be thought perhaps a fool, instead of opening your mouth and removing all doubt.

    It has been thoroughly and conclusively shown that Townshend was telling the truth about the child sexual abuse images situation, i.e., he believes he was the victim of child sexual abuse, and by using his credit card to access a specific website, he was trying to show that British banks were knowingly benefiting from child sexual abuse images. As it turned out, the website couldn’t be confirmed to have child sexual abuse material in the first place, and zero material incriminating to Townshend was found during an extensive investigation. All this is public record. Bad judgment - absolutely. Pedophile - absolutely not.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  93. @Reg Cæsar
    @Intelligent Dasein

    She, and I, are talking about their political behavior. You elided my next sentence (fragment): "At least on Election Day."

    Replies: @Mike Tre

    You sure you were talking to the Mrs? It’s been known for a while that Mr. and Mrs. share that handle.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/irish-anhedonia/#comment-6278293

    But to answer: No, no you have not.

  94. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Research has placed the brain’s prefrontal cortex, a region just behind the forehead, as providing for 5 percent of the variation in intelligence between people. The research from Washington University targets the left prefrontal cortex, and the strength of neural connections that it has to the rest of the brain. They think these differences account for 10 percent of differences in intelligence among people. The study is the first to connect those differences to intelligence in people :

    https://www.jneurosci.org/content/32/26/8988.abstract

    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery. DR. WESLEY CRITZ GEORGE, Head Dept. Anatomy, U. N.Carolina.

    “The supragranular layers in the dog are 1/2 the thickness of those in the ape, and the ape’s only 3/4 the thickness of White man. The Negroe’s are 14% thinner than White man.” CARLTON PUTNAM, LLD, Princeton, “Race and Reality”.

    “The size of the human brain is related to a capacity for performance in thinking, planning, communicating, and behaving in groups, as leader, follower or both…In living individuals and populations differences are found in the regular size of the lobes and in the surface areas of the cortex; the size of the surface area varies with the complexity and depth of the folds on the inner and outer surfaces of the hemispheres. The larger a brain is the greater the cortical surface area, both proportionately and absolutely.”

    DR. CARLTON COON, Prof. of Anthropology, Harvard.

    “The human cerebral cortex is the specific organ of civilization…Foresight, purpose and ideals toward which we strive as individuals and as nations are functions of this cortical gray matter.”

    PROF. C. JUDSON HERRICK, University of Texas.

    • Thanks: Colin Wright
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Pendragon

    Pendragon wrote to me:


    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery.

    [Etc.]
     
    Don't you think some of your sources are just a wee bit outdated?

    Just a wee bit?

    Sciences does progress, you know!

    Though psychology, not so much.

    I find it amusing that most commenters here, who would be rightfully disdainful of most of the bullshit research published by contemporary psychologists, nonetheless take certain claims relating to Black vs. White intelligence as Holy Writ.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Pendragon, @Colin Wright

  95. @Bill Jones
    And Black Fridays good news: a black immigration heretic gets another one in the nuts:


    New York City Eric Adams has been accused of sexually assaulting a woman in 1993, according to a filing late Wednesday in the state Supreme Court of Manhattan.
     
    Wot? No statute of Limitations?

    https://www.zerohedge.com/markets/nyc-mayor-eric-adams-accused-sexual-assault

    Replies: @SFG, @Almost Missouri, @Jim Don Bob, @Reg Cæsar, @Stan Adams

    Black Friday

    Anyone else not shopping today?

    Earlier I watched Planes, Trains and Automobiles and I didn’t see a single black person in the entire movie. I’m halfway through Home Alone and I just saw my first character of African origin – a cardboard cutout of Michael Jordan.

    Actually, it’s really creepy to think about Macaulay Culkin’s relationship with Michael Jackson.

    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Stan Adams

    You know what movie has zero token negroes in it? My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Stan Adams

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Stan Adams



    Black Friday
     
    Anyone else not shopping today?
     
    My boys are in online school. They get next Monday off. Cyber Monday. The Internet is just too slow that day. Brick-and-mortar sister got last Monday off, which they didn't.

    Replies: @Stan Adams

  96. OT: Saw a Coulter’s Law headline out of Dublin, but with even less information than one might expect in such a situation. Some stabbing, leading to some rioting, far right to blame, yada yada yada.

    Now we have the official angle:

    https://www.thedailybeast.com/caio-benicio-heroic-brazilian-stopped-the-dublin-stabbing-that-led-to-far-right-riot

    Knife attack by still unidentified individual on school children and teacher thwarted by… an immigrant from Brazil, who was working for a food delivery app and knocked the individual out with his helmet! Far right lunatics owned! We’ll take a few million please and thanks.

    BTW Irish lads, don’t get any ideas. If this guy was one of yours they’d be looking at him for whacking the perp more than was warranted. Vigilantes are not who we are.

  97. @Reg Cæsar
    @Corpse Tooth


    If one can’t manage a boner whilst listening to "Won’t Get Fooled Again"

     

    Warmed-over Orwell is an aphrodisiac? Do you get off on those urine stains on the sleeve, too?

    ...then one won’t be allowed to appear on the telethon.
     
    Look at us we're humid,
    Look at us, we're tumid
    We, who'd never got it up before...

    Very few can touch his output
     
    As with his cybermate Gary Glitter, few would want to.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth, @cthulhu

    Reg, sometimes you need to take a look into the mirror and say: “It’s me. I’m the creep.”

    • LOL: Mike Tre
    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Corpse Tooth

    Thanks, Corpse Tooth, for your opinion on who is the creep.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth

  98. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    'McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?'
     
    But surely such a relationship would be inevitable. Wouldn't a group of people conscious of their intellectual inferiority and inability to succeed academically be anti-academic and anti-intellectual?

    Conversely, blacks are athletically gifted: they really can run faster and jump higher -- and I dare say that small head is an advantage when it comes to boxing.

    ...and not very surprisingly, blacks place a great deal of value on athletic achievement.

    At the end of the day, I do think cultural factors must have some slight effect on IQ. Blacks -- not expecting success -- wouldn't bother to try very hard on a test. At the other extreme, I would guess your average Jew or Han Chinese is just going to try harder on a test -- and that will inevitably bump his score a bit. Where a gentile will just shrug and pick (b), a Jew will try to squeeze out some reason to pick one letter rather than another. So if you're going to take a guess as to what an IQ score means about actual intelligence, I'd tend to drop five points from the high averages and add five to the low ones.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Colin Wright wrote to me:

    [Dave] ‘McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?’

    [CW] But surely such a relationship would be inevitable. Wouldn’t a group of people conscious of their intellectual inferiority and inability to succeed academically be anti-academic and anti-intellectual?

    Yes, that is a plausible hypothesis.

    But my point — and I think Sailer’s point — is that all of these — the McWhorter effect, a racial genetic difference in IQ, and the “Colin Wright Effect” — are all plausible hypotheses. But none is established science, and, most importantly, it is very, very difficult to measure their relative importance, given that all may play a role, as I myself suspect they do.

    CW also wrote:

    At the end of the day, I do think cultural factors must have some slight effect on IQ. Blacks — not expecting success — wouldn’t bother to try very hard on a test. At the other extreme, I would guess your average Jew or Han Chinese is just going to try harder on a test — and that will inevitably bump his score a bit.

    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being “test-wise.”

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other “test-wise” people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don’t give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences — but I still do).

    • Replies: @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave


    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being “test-wise.”

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other “test-wise” people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don’t give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences — but I still do).
     

    In focusing too much on culture Americans are being pseudo-scientific sort of like Soviet Lamarckists. Brain scans and computer algorithms will probably eventually replace IQ tests.

    Differences, in intelligence, is probably significantly more genetic. AFAIK, there are zero black Fields medal winners ; in mathematics, there is not much you can do to attain greatness. Those men and women who attain it manage to do so through their uncanny "feeling" for the subject. There is nothing you can do to leam this "feeling." You can, to be sure, work hard enough at mathematics make yourself into a competent even learn to be a comptent ressearch mathematician. But you cannot learn to do mathematics the way the great mathematicians do, any more than you can leam to throw a fastball or to run 100 yards in ten seconds. You can or you cannot. If you can, you will know it early. If you are an adult and you are not already a great mathematician then you are not going to be.

    ^ So why isn't the case that blacks know they are stupid just like most people know they won't be a great mathematician so they just don't try ? What came first the chicken or the egg ?

    Bonobo Chimps share 98.7% of their DNA with humans :


    Genetic Distance to: Han_Shanghai

    0.84961959 Yoruba

    Genetic Distance to: English (native English people average )

    0.77467278 Yoruba


    Charles Darwin on Blacks

    From his book "The Descent of Man"


    "The American Aborigines, Negros and Europeans are as differant from each other in mind as any three races that can be named."

    "I could not have believed how wide was the difference between savage and civilised man."

    They seemed to possess "insufficient powers of reasoning" to discern nonobvious connections between moral laws and public welfare, and they lacked self-discipline; "Their utter licentiousness, not to mention unnatural crimes, is something astounding."

    "Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife."

    "I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages."

    "Their judgements are in error, yielding patterns of behavior that are pointless, if not, indeed, in complete opposition to the true welfare and happiness of mankind."


     

    The late Dr Albert Scweizer, who spent almost his entire life in Africa, working to uplift the Black man, received the Nobel Prize for Peace in 1952. He also held several doctorate degrees.

    This is what he said shortly before his death:


    I have given my life to alleviate the sufferings of Africa. There is something that all white men who have lived here, must learn and know; that these individuals are a sub-race; they have neither the intellectual , mental or emotional abilities to equate or share in any of the functions of our civilisation.

    I have given my life to try to bring unto them the advantages which our civilisation must offer, but I have become well aware that we must retain this status; white, the superior, and they the inferior; for whenever a white man seeks to live among them as their equal, they will either destroy him or devour him, and they will destroy all his work; and so for any existing relationship or for any benefit to this people let white men from anywhere in the world who would come to help Africa remember that you must continually retain this status; you the master, and they the inferior, like children that you would help or teach. Never fraternise with them as equals, never accept them as your social equals ; or they will devour you; they will destroy you.
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Thelma Ringbaum, @PhysicistDave

  99. @Corpse Tooth
    @Reg Cæsar

    Reg, sometimes you need to take a look into the mirror and say: "It's me. I'm the creep."

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Thanks, Corpse Tooth, for your opinion on who is the creep.

    • Replies: @Corpse Tooth
    @Steve Sailer

    Corpse Tooth is my pirate name.

  100. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?
     
    We know IQ gets passed down in families, and races are just extended families. So why is there even a question that group differences would have a different mechanism. It's like hypothesizing that the rules of physics are different in different families.

    In any event, there's no point reciting all the evidence because your word "conclusively" is just one big escape hatch that makes proof impossible. Nothing can ever be "conclusive" if merely stating a zero-evidence, magical "McWhorter hypothesis" is enough to refute it. "Hey, maybe it's something else," is not a refutation.

    Heck, Steve is willing to say with confidence that Lee Harvey Oswald acted totally alone and that anyone who thinks otherwise is wrong. So he's capable of making truth/falsity distinctions without getting hung up on philosophical questions of epistemological doubt. Why not apply his JFK assassination fact-finding burden of proof to the IQ Gap?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Pendragon

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    [Hypno] We know IQ gets passed down in families, and races are just extended families. So why is there even a question that group differences would have a different mechanism. It’s like hypothesizing that the rules of physics are different in different families.

    Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    And it is more than plausible that those other factors play a greater role between races than within families.

    I’m not hypothesizing new and implausible factors — we know these other factors exist.

    The question is which of these factors are important and/or dominant in the Black/White IQ gap.

    My guess is that all of them matter.

    But that is a guess.

    And a guess is not science.

    Scientifically, we really just do not know.

    I realize that in a discussion on the Web, “Gee, you know, we just don’t know!” is not considered a forceful, convincing riposte.

    But, in matters of natural science — from global warming to dark matter to superstring theory to, yes, the Black/White IQ gap — it often happens to be the only scientifically honest answer.

    Bullshit rules supreme on the Web. But it is not science.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.
     
    Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g. But this is only measured imperfectly by one's rankings in variously culturally mediated and sometimes noisy tests. Some are better than others, some are more "g-loaded" than others, some are more culturally loaded than others. But once they've been normed they are pretty internally and externally valid, because people tend to get the same scores when they take the tests multiple times (correlation @.85), and they also correlate highly with external measures like academic achievement. Ok, so that's just to separate the "map from the terrain" with regard to the measurement issue.

    Heritability Within Families Generally
    To the extent IQ is genetic, an individual's expected IQ is the average of his parents' IQs, averaged with the relevant population mean. But for each set of parents there is a bell curve of variance for the expected IQs of their kids. Ok, so far not controversial.

    Because fraternal siblings get all their genes from both parents, they are more highly correlated in IQ than strangers. And because identical twins get the same genes from each parent they are even more highly correlated. "[I]n 111 original studies in the United States. The mean correlation of IQ scores between monozygotic twins was 0.86, between siblings 0.47, between half-siblings 0.31, and between cousins 0.15.[78]" So, to your point that two identical siblings are somewhat different in IQ score -- it appears they are no different than the same person taking a test twice. In other words, they are about as identical in IQ as our measurement can record. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heritability_of_IQ#:~:text=The%20mean%20correlation%20of%20IQ,0.31%2C%20and%20between%20cousins%200.15.

    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually "prove" IQ is determined by genetics within families. People are usually willing to admit this and it's socially acceptable to say so.

    But so far these are all people raised by the same parents in the same family/cultural environment. But that's no biggie to isolate. You just keep genetic relatedness constant and vary the family environment. It turns out that adopted kids' IQs are 95% determined by the IQs of their biological parents, but not their adoptive parents. [I can't find the studies off-hand, but this is pretty well-established]. Environment, except in extremis, has just about nothing to do with IQ.


    Heritability Within Black Families is the Same

    There's nothing different about all these phenomena for blacks. They have IQs that are the average of their parents, averaged with the mean. And the genetic heritability based on all the sibling and twin, adoptive vs not adoptive, etc., relationships are all the same. So they inherit IQ exactly like everyone else does. The only difference is that in each and every generation, the parents tend to be one SD below the white mean, and the kids inherit this lower average IQ (subject to all the the statistically expected variance), and pass it on to the next generation, where the process replicates again, exactly as expected by a genetic explanation.

    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean. The only alternative is that each and every generation of black families just happens to be uniformly subject to some "mystery factor" that just happens to exactly depress IQ for every individual to one SD below the white norm.

    That's a pretty heroic and implausible claim. But so what. Anyone can take their pick of factors and hold everything else constant, and see what happens. Income doesn't work (i.e., blacks keep inheriting the regressed average of their biological parents' IQ regardless of income). Enriched pre-school doesn't work, alleged "discrimination" doesn't work. (Whatever the mystery factor might be, it shows up before about 7 years-old, which also cuts down on plausible environmental candidates.) Nothing that's ever been tried can move the needle away from the biologically predicted result.

    It's like we were trying to prove that a known genetic trait like sickle cell disease or skin melanin content was based on parental income or personal psychological factors, but every study kept getting a big fat zero for any non-genetic effect on group differences. We would eventually pack it in and say: "Call us if you find anything, but in the meantime we are treating the group genetic differences as the settled cause of the group phenotype differences in heritable trait X."

    But acceptance of the clear facts is just never allowed to happen. Instead, we are supposed to pretend that group genetic differences are not the cause of group phenotype differences . . . because . . . well, there just literally is no reason.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  101. @res
    @PhysicistDave


    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?
     
    First, I will note that the “McWhorter Effect” (FWIW I think his version of this is a big part of what eventually got Bill Cosby cancelled) is almost as verboten as the genetic explanation. Which is incredibly sad because it would be so much easier to address.

    I see two threads of evidence responsive to your point.

    1. The SAT results for blacks vs. whites across the income spectrum. I think the negative causes McWhorter cites vary with income (for all races) as well as race. A subsidiary of this is looking at other black cultures (e.g. Nigerians) with less of those causes.

    IMO that is less persuasive than:

    2. Admixture studies. Here is a discussion of one by one of the authors. Note references to Warne's book.
    https://emilkirkegaard.dk/en/2023/06/a-plethora-of-evidence-for-genetic-influence-of-american-race-ethnic-gaps-in-intelligence/
    Steve has written about the family of ABCD studies a number of times. Searching his work for "ABCD" is worthwhile.
    Also see this post and its comments.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6116326

    P.S. Anon's reference (and elaboration) to Russell Warne's book is excellent. In addition to chapter 29 see chapter 28. From the TOC.
    28 Racial/Ethnic Group IQ Differences Are Completely Environmental
    in Origin 247
    29 Unique Influences Operate on One Group’s Intelligence Test Scores 264

    I would call this negative evidence (note how Warne frames his argument as burden of proof on environmentalists) regarding your point while the admixture studies are positive evidence.

    Replies: @Twinkie, @PhysicistDave

    res wrote to me:

    [Dave] So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    [res] First, I will note that the “McWhorter Effect” (FWIW I think his version of this is a big part of what eventually got Bill Cosby cancelled) is almost as verboten as the genetic explanation. Which is incredibly sad because it would be so much easier to address.

    Yeah. McWhorter, who is a pretty even-tempered guy, is actually quite angry about this — he basically thinks that “Black culture” has, in effect, lobotomized a lot of young Black people.

    I’d add that the bizarre phenomenon of White kids during the last few decades aping the worst aspects of the Black subculture has had a similar effect, though probably of smaller magnitude.

    McWhorter, by the way, is a big fan of classic Broadway musicals, classic movies, etc. — he has civilized tastes when it comes to pop culture. The good news is that I know young people under thirty who have similar tastes.

    The bad news is that they seem to be a minority, among both Whites and Blacks.

  102. @Reg Cæsar
    @Corpse Tooth


    If one can’t manage a boner whilst listening to "Won’t Get Fooled Again"

     

    Warmed-over Orwell is an aphrodisiac? Do you get off on those urine stains on the sleeve, too?

    ...then one won’t be allowed to appear on the telethon.
     
    Look at us we're humid,
    Look at us, we're tumid
    We, who'd never got it up before...

    Very few can touch his output
     
    As with his cybermate Gary Glitter, few would want to.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth, @cthulhu

    Reg, on this topic, you should stay silent and be thought perhaps a fool, instead of opening your mouth and removing all doubt.

    It has been thoroughly and conclusively shown that Townshend was telling the truth about the child sexual abuse images situation, i.e., he believes he was the victim of child sexual abuse, and by using his credit card to access a specific website, he was trying to show that British banks were knowingly benefiting from child sexual abuse images. As it turned out, the website couldn’t be confirmed to have child sexual abuse material in the first place, and zero material incriminating to Townshend was found during an extensive investigation. All this is public record. Bad judgment – absolutely. Pedophile – absolutely not.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @cthulhu


    Bad judgment – absolutely.
     
    Alright, I'll cut him some slack on this. All that Glitters is not ghoul. Still, he posed for the Who's Next cover, and for the one before it, outputs any normie is in no hurry to touch:




    https://www.rollingstone.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/06/rs-144227-0fc834d1d9b44323660aa6c0e26293c62da48460.jpg?w=300

    Pedophile – absolutely not.


     

    I've said a few times here that Mohammed's last marriage was a matter of political calculation and nothing more. (Just like his first.) So, yeah, I can accept your take on Townshend. Even I have a copy of Parrish's Daybreak.

    But corrections are always below the fold, getting their boots on while the original story is halfway around the world.
  103. @YetAnotherAnon
    OT but IMHO pretty damn important.

    World steel production figures:

    https://worldsteel.org/media-centre/press-releases/2023/may-2023-crude-steel-production/

    Top 5 steel-producing countries, millions of tons

    China 90.1

    India 11.2

    Japan 7.6

    United States 6.9

    Russia 6.8
     
    China is the United States circa 1935, only with greater industrial dominance.

    Replies: @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms, @Joe Stalin

    Not only that, the only US ally on that list is Japan, who is economically more reliant than ever on China.

    If more Japanese were to read Steve Sailer’s blog, they might realize that they are usually just lumped in with the other “Asians”, or even “non-whites”. And often abused with high-fives and schadenfreude about nukes having been dropped on them.

    Japan’s political tradition is Gekokujō 下克上(げこくじょう)”the low overcomes the high”. It would be rather dramatic if they were to pull a gekokujō on the US, in favor of China.

    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms

    Were Japan ever to switch sides, "our" side would be up that creek where no paddle may be found.

    No precision stepper motors for ASML in Holland, no ultra-pure silicon and other chemicals for Taiwan - and as we know, they have most of Boeing's secrets.

    There is though the small matter of over 100 US military bases in Japan, although some of these are small comms stations. If they were politely asked to leave, and the US said "no", what could Japan do?

    Replies: @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms

  104. @Stan Adams
    @Bill Jones


    Black Friday
     
    Anyone else not shopping today?

    Earlier I watched Planes, Trains and Automobiles and I didn’t see a single black person in the entire movie. I’m halfway through Home Alone and I just saw my first character of African origin - a cardboard cutout of Michael Jordan.

    Actually, it’s really creepy to think about Macaulay Culkin’s relationship with Michael Jackson.

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @Reg Cæsar

    You know what movie has zero token negroes in it? My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Mike Tre


    You know what movie has zero token negroes in it? My Big Fat Greek Wedding.
     
    The sequel did however have a token homosexual.

    And the most recent sequel (came out this year) had a "non-binary" character, although it was mostly soft-pedaled and the character in question was not some weird "It's Pat" amalgam but was quite clearly a woman.

    The first one wasn't bad. The next two were a chore. My wife liked these movies, so I know more about them than I care to.

    BTW, Nia Vardalos is a pretty woman, although she kind of has "The Crazy Eyes".

    Replies: @Mike Tre

    , @Stan Adams
    @Mike Tre

    Interesting.

    I wrote that comment as a response to this:


    We were given tickets to the stage version of The Lion and Witch and the Wardrobe. It was terrible. I was waiting to see what SJW stuff would be included. It started with about eight or so army guys, and only one of them was black, so I thought maybe we will be lucky… then the kids walked out. They were black. It was abysmal. Although it did put a different spin on a few of the lines – like when Mr Beaver is asking if they’re human or not…

    The kids got to the house after being evacuated from London, and one of the two housemaids was a big burly man with a beard. He was wearing a maid’s outfit. It was grotesque. They stripped away all Christian references and undertones, which was impressive in an awful way given the subject material.

    They even removed Santa. He was now Sinta Klause, and looked like a fat Turkish man who had been caught in an explosion at a fabric factory.
     
    I thought it was an iSteve comment but it was actually from Vox Day:
    https://voxday.net/2023/11/24/mailvox-the-post-morten-convergence-of-cs-lewis/
  105. @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?’

    [CW] But surely such a relationship would be inevitable. Wouldn’t a group of people conscious of their intellectual inferiority and inability to succeed academically be anti-academic and anti-intellectual?
     
    Yes, that is a plausible hypothesis.

    But my point -- and I think Sailer's point -- is that all of these -- the McWhorter effect, a racial genetic difference in IQ, and the "Colin Wright Effect" -- are all plausible hypotheses. But none is established science, and, most importantly, it is very, very difficult to measure their relative importance, given that all may play a role, as I myself suspect they do.

    CW also wrote:

    At the end of the day, I do think cultural factors must have some slight effect on IQ. Blacks — not expecting success — wouldn’t bother to try very hard on a test. At the other extreme, I would guess your average Jew or Han Chinese is just going to try harder on a test — and that will inevitably bump his score a bit.
     
    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being "test-wise."

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other "test-wise" people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don't give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences -- but I still do).

    Replies: @Pendragon

    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being “test-wise.”

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other “test-wise” people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don’t give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences — but I still do).

    In focusing too much on culture Americans are being pseudo-scientific sort of like Soviet Lamarckists. Brain scans and computer algorithms will probably eventually replace IQ tests.

    Differences, in intelligence, is probably significantly more genetic. AFAIK, there are zero black Fields medal winners ; in mathematics, there is not much you can do to attain greatness. Those men and women who attain it manage to do so through their uncanny “feeling” for the subject. There is nothing you can do to leam this “feeling.” You can, to be sure, work hard enough at mathematics make yourself into a competent even learn to be a comptent ressearch mathematician. But you cannot learn to do mathematics the way the great mathematicians do, any more than you can leam to throw a fastball or to run 100 yards in ten seconds. You can or you cannot. If you can, you will know it early. If you are an adult and you are not already a great mathematician then you are not going to be.

    ^ So why isn’t the case that blacks know they are stupid just like most people know they won’t be a great mathematician so they just don’t try ? What came first the chicken or the egg ?

    Bonobo Chimps share 98.7% of their DNA with humans :

    Genetic Distance to: Han_Shanghai

    0.84961959 Yoruba

    Genetic Distance to: English (native English people average )

    0.77467278 Yoruba

    Charles Darwin on Blacks

    From his book “The Descent of Man”

    “The American Aborigines, Negros and Europeans are as differant from each other in mind as any three races that can be named.”

    “I could not have believed how wide was the difference between savage and civilised man.”

    They seemed to possess “insufficient powers of reasoning” to discern nonobvious connections between moral laws and public welfare, and they lacked self-discipline; “Their utter licentiousness, not to mention unnatural crimes, is something astounding.”

    “Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife.”

    “I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages.”

    “Their judgements are in error, yielding patterns of behavior that are pointless, if not, indeed, in complete opposition to the true welfare and happiness of mankind.”

    The late Dr Albert Scweizer, who spent almost his entire life in Africa, working to uplift the Black man, received the Nobel Prize for Peace in 1952. He also held several doctorate degrees.

    This is what he said shortly before his death:

    I have given my life to alleviate the sufferings of Africa. There is something that all white men who have lived here, must learn and know; that these individuals are a sub-race; they have neither the intellectual , mental or emotional abilities to equate or share in any of the functions of our civilisation.

    I have given my life to try to bring unto them the advantages which our civilisation must offer, but I have become well aware that we must retain this status; white, the superior, and they the inferior; for whenever a white man seeks to live among them as their equal, they will either destroy him or devour him, and they will destroy all his work; and so for any existing relationship or for any benefit to this people let white men from anywhere in the world who would come to help Africa remember that you must continually retain this status; you the master, and they the inferior, like children that you would help or teach. Never fraternise with them as equals, never accept them as your social equals ; or they will devour you; they will destroy you.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Pendragon

    “I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages.”

    That's not about blacks, that's from Darwin's 1833 letter to his sister on the now almost extinct Tierra del Fuegans of the southern tip of South America.

    https://web.archive.org/web/20161213095506/https://www.darwinproject.ac.uk/letter/DCP-LETT-203.xml

    "“Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife.”"

    Is also about Patagonians. I haven't checked the others.

    Replies: @Pendragon

    , @Thelma Ringbaum
    @Pendragon

    A 19th century racist or another surely would deliver ample quotes along these lines.

    Moreover, in 19th century there was quite similarly scientific literature about Women (Weininger etc.) and ((Them)) (Drummont etc.).

    All three kinds of 19th century prejudices are since disproved. Or, rather, made irrelevant by the technological progress. Women can work on easy jobs which is now the majority of jobs, Negroes can run their countries in Africa and Latin America not much worse than Jews can run their countries (yes, both cases relying on international aid and occasional genocides) .

    Ultra high IQ and psychosis that goes with it are now less needed. And less rewarded. And so, a maniac like A. Schweizer can go ride a coach, so to speak; his Negroes now have Android phones he didnt have.

    , @PhysicistDave
    @Pendragon

    Our wee little newbie Pendragon wrote to me:


    Bonobo Chimps share 98.7% of their DNA with humans :

    Genetic Distance to: Han_Shanghai

    0.84961959 Yoruba

    Genetic Distance to: English (native English people average )

    0.77467278 Yoruba
     
    Where on earth did you get this?

    You just made it up, little newbie, right?
  106. @YetAnotherAnon
    OT but IMHO pretty damn important.

    World steel production figures:

    https://worldsteel.org/media-centre/press-releases/2023/may-2023-crude-steel-production/

    Top 5 steel-producing countries, millions of tons

    China 90.1

    India 11.2

    Japan 7.6

    United States 6.9

    Russia 6.8
     
    China is the United States circa 1935, only with greater industrial dominance.

    Replies: @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms, @Joe Stalin

    Amid sluggish steel demand caused by slowdown in new home constructions and shrinking overseas demand for Chinese manufactured goods, whether any government-mandated steel output cuts could be implemented strictly would be crucial for the steel industry to contain steel output and maintain healthy profit margins for 2023, market participants said.

    https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/metals/041023-chinas-huge-steel-capacity-beleaguers-steel-market-government-to-order-output-cuts-soon

    • LOL: YetAnotherAnon
    • Replies: @YetAnotherAnon
    @Joe Stalin

    Tell me again the one about the Ghost Cities, Grandma !

    Replies: @Joe Stalin

  107. @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave


    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being “test-wise.”

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other “test-wise” people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don’t give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences — but I still do).
     

    In focusing too much on culture Americans are being pseudo-scientific sort of like Soviet Lamarckists. Brain scans and computer algorithms will probably eventually replace IQ tests.

    Differences, in intelligence, is probably significantly more genetic. AFAIK, there are zero black Fields medal winners ; in mathematics, there is not much you can do to attain greatness. Those men and women who attain it manage to do so through their uncanny "feeling" for the subject. There is nothing you can do to leam this "feeling." You can, to be sure, work hard enough at mathematics make yourself into a competent even learn to be a comptent ressearch mathematician. But you cannot learn to do mathematics the way the great mathematicians do, any more than you can leam to throw a fastball or to run 100 yards in ten seconds. You can or you cannot. If you can, you will know it early. If you are an adult and you are not already a great mathematician then you are not going to be.

    ^ So why isn't the case that blacks know they are stupid just like most people know they won't be a great mathematician so they just don't try ? What came first the chicken or the egg ?

    Bonobo Chimps share 98.7% of their DNA with humans :


    Genetic Distance to: Han_Shanghai

    0.84961959 Yoruba

    Genetic Distance to: English (native English people average )

    0.77467278 Yoruba


    Charles Darwin on Blacks

    From his book "The Descent of Man"


    "The American Aborigines, Negros and Europeans are as differant from each other in mind as any three races that can be named."

    "I could not have believed how wide was the difference between savage and civilised man."

    They seemed to possess "insufficient powers of reasoning" to discern nonobvious connections between moral laws and public welfare, and they lacked self-discipline; "Their utter licentiousness, not to mention unnatural crimes, is something astounding."

    "Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife."

    "I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages."

    "Their judgements are in error, yielding patterns of behavior that are pointless, if not, indeed, in complete opposition to the true welfare and happiness of mankind."


     

    The late Dr Albert Scweizer, who spent almost his entire life in Africa, working to uplift the Black man, received the Nobel Prize for Peace in 1952. He also held several doctorate degrees.

    This is what he said shortly before his death:


    I have given my life to alleviate the sufferings of Africa. There is something that all white men who have lived here, must learn and know; that these individuals are a sub-race; they have neither the intellectual , mental or emotional abilities to equate or share in any of the functions of our civilisation.

    I have given my life to try to bring unto them the advantages which our civilisation must offer, but I have become well aware that we must retain this status; white, the superior, and they the inferior; for whenever a white man seeks to live among them as their equal, they will either destroy him or devour him, and they will destroy all his work; and so for any existing relationship or for any benefit to this people let white men from anywhere in the world who would come to help Africa remember that you must continually retain this status; you the master, and they the inferior, like children that you would help or teach. Never fraternise with them as equals, never accept them as your social equals ; or they will devour you; they will destroy you.
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Thelma Ringbaum, @PhysicistDave

    “I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages.”

    That’s not about blacks, that’s from Darwin’s 1833 letter to his sister on the now almost extinct Tierra del Fuegans of the southern tip of South America.

    https://web.archive.org/web/20161213095506/https://www.darwinproject.ac.uk/letter/DCP-LETT-203.xml

    ““Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife.””

    Is also about Patagonians. I haven’t checked the others.

    • Replies: @Pendragon
    @Steve Sailer

    Oops, I must have gotten my notes slightly mixed up :

    This is mostly definitely correct :

    "The American aborigines, Negroes and Europeans are as different from each other in mind as any three races that can be named"


    And the others seem mostly correct but only in the paraphrase sense.

    Also , there is this famous one :

    "At some future period, not very distant as measured by centuries, the civilised races of man will almost certainly exterminate, and replace, the savage races throughout the world. At the same time the anthropomorphous apes, as Professor Schaaffhausen has remarked (18. ‘Anthropological Review,’ April 1867, p. 236.), will no doubt be exterminated. The break between man and his nearest allies will then be wider, for it will intervene between man in a more civilised state, as we may hope, even than the Caucasian, and some ape as low as a baboon, instead of as now between the negro or Australian and the gorilla. "

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

  108. @Mike Tre
    @Stan Adams

    You know what movie has zero token negroes in it? My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Stan Adams

    You know what movie has zero token negroes in it? My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

    The sequel did however have a token homosexual.

    And the most recent sequel (came out this year) had a “non-binary” character, although it was mostly soft-pedaled and the character in question was not some weird “It’s Pat” amalgam but was quite clearly a woman.

    The first one wasn’t bad. The next two were a chore. My wife liked these movies, so I know more about them than I care to.

    BTW, Nia Vardalos is a pretty woman, although she kind of has “The Crazy Eyes”.

    • Thanks: Mike Tre
    • Replies: @Mike Tre
    @Mr. Anon

    The first one was a decent and lighthearted ethnic study (produced by the Greatest Patriotic American That Ever Lived: Tom Hanks (and his wife) ) - but the underlying message is the boilerplate replacement message pushed on whites. A clannish, self segregating, opportunistic ethnic group immigrates to the US, breeds like crazy, does not assimilate, looks down on the host population, and where a clearly patriarchal family requires a native white male to submit to their cultural lifestyle in order to marry a daughter (in contrast to most historical situations). the interloping male's family is portrayed as cartoonishly uptight, dull, dry, humorless WASP snobs, that is, until they are exposed to the vibrant diversity of the family of their daughter in law.

    Blonde haired blue eyed white girls are mean to Tula because of course they are direct descendants of Hitler's youth.

    The father Gus (the actor who play's him is outstanding, no doubt) is a Greek exceptionalist which immediately begs the question: If Greece is so great, and Greeks are so advanced, why did you have to come to the US at all?

    Yes I know it's just a movie. But it is one more brick in the wall of the anti-white narrative pushed in movies since their creation.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @Anonymous

  109. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    You might want to check out Jensen’s “Method of Correlated Vectors,” a tool to evaluate these kinds of hypotheses about populations differences in g related to proposed causes:

    https://notpoliticallycorrect.me/2016/05/11/arthur-jensens-method-of-correlated-vectors/

  110. OT – The Bay Area is now so lawless that it has actual piracy:

    Crime In San Francisco Is So Bad, There’s Now Actual Pirates In The Bay

    https://www.zerohedge.com/political/crime-san-francisco-so-bad-theres-now-actual-pirates-bay

  111. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    [Hypno] We know IQ gets passed down in families, and races are just extended families. So why is there even a question that group differences would have a different mechanism. It’s like hypothesizing that the rules of physics are different in different families.
     
    Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics -- identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    And it is more than plausible that those other factors play a greater role between races than within families.

    I'm not hypothesizing new and implausible factors -- we know these other factors exist.

    The question is which of these factors are important and/or dominant in the Black/White IQ gap.

    My guess is that all of them matter.

    But that is a guess.

    And a guess is not science.

    Scientifically, we really just do not know.

    I realize that in a discussion on the Web, "Gee, you know, we just don't know!" is not considered a forceful, convincing riposte.

    But, in matters of natural science -- from global warming to dark matter to superstring theory to, yes, the Black/White IQ gap -- it often happens to be the only scientifically honest answer.

    Bullshit rules supreme on the Web. But it is not science.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g. But this is only measured imperfectly by one’s rankings in variously culturally mediated and sometimes noisy tests. Some are better than others, some are more “g-loaded” than others, some are more culturally loaded than others. But once they’ve been normed they are pretty internally and externally valid, because people tend to get the same scores when they take the tests multiple times (correlation @.85), and they also correlate highly with external measures like academic achievement. Ok, so that’s just to separate the “map from the terrain” with regard to the measurement issue.

    Heritability Within Families Generally
    To the extent IQ is genetic, an individual’s expected IQ is the average of his parents’ IQs, averaged with the relevant population mean. But for each set of parents there is a bell curve of variance for the expected IQs of their kids. Ok, so far not controversial.

    Because fraternal siblings get all their genes from both parents, they are more highly correlated in IQ than strangers. And because identical twins get the same genes from each parent they are even more highly correlated. “[I]n 111 original studies in the United States. The mean correlation of IQ scores between monozygotic twins was 0.86, between siblings 0.47, between half-siblings 0.31, and between cousins 0.15.[78]” So, to your point that two identical siblings are somewhat different in IQ score — it appears they are no different than the same person taking a test twice. In other words, they are about as identical in IQ as our measurement can record. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heritability_of_IQ#:~:text=The%20mean%20correlation%20of%20IQ,0.31%2C%20and%20between%20cousins%200.15.

    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually “prove” IQ is determined by genetics within families. People are usually willing to admit this and it’s socially acceptable to say so.

    But so far these are all people raised by the same parents in the same family/cultural environment. But that’s no biggie to isolate. You just keep genetic relatedness constant and vary the family environment. It turns out that adopted kids’ IQs are 95% determined by the IQs of their biological parents, but not their adoptive parents. [I can’t find the studies off-hand, but this is pretty well-established]. Environment, except in extremis, has just about nothing to do with IQ.

    Heritability Within Black Families is the Same

    There’s nothing different about all these phenomena for blacks. They have IQs that are the average of their parents, averaged with the mean. And the genetic heritability based on all the sibling and twin, adoptive vs not adoptive, etc., relationships are all the same. So they inherit IQ exactly like everyone else does. The only difference is that in each and every generation, the parents tend to be one SD below the white mean, and the kids inherit this lower average IQ (subject to all the the statistically expected variance), and pass it on to the next generation, where the process replicates again, exactly as expected by a genetic explanation.

    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean. The only alternative is that each and every generation of black families just happens to be uniformly subject to some “mystery factor” that just happens to exactly depress IQ for every individual to one SD below the white norm.

    That’s a pretty heroic and implausible claim. But so what. Anyone can take their pick of factors and hold everything else constant, and see what happens. Income doesn’t work (i.e., blacks keep inheriting the regressed average of their biological parents’ IQ regardless of income). Enriched pre-school doesn’t work, alleged “discrimination” doesn’t work. (Whatever the mystery factor might be, it shows up before about 7 years-old, which also cuts down on plausible environmental candidates.) Nothing that’s ever been tried can move the needle away from the biologically predicted result.

    It’s like we were trying to prove that a known genetic trait like sickle cell disease or skin melanin content was based on parental income or personal psychological factors, but every study kept getting a big fat zero for any non-genetic effect on group differences. We would eventually pack it in and say: “Call us if you find anything, but in the meantime we are treating the group genetic differences as the settled cause of the group phenotype differences in heritable trait X.”

    But acceptance of the clear facts is just never allowed to happen. Instead, we are supposed to pretend that group genetic differences are not the cause of group phenotype differences . . . because . . . well, there just literally is no reason.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    [Hypno] Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g.
     

    It is an unproven -- and extremely doubtful -- hypothesis that g is biological, or at least that it is solely or overwhelmingly biological (of course, almost everything is at least partially biological).

    "g" is simply the observation, not all that surprising, that different sorts of intelligence have significant correlations with each other.

    Why? An interesting question to which there is not yet a definitive answer.

    What are the underlying mechanisms for "g"? Well, probably both short-term and long-term memory matter. And mental processing speed. And the ability to make connections among different ideas. And skill at symbol manipulation and handling long chains of reasoning. Oh, and spatial visualization -- which actually includes several distinct skills.

    And a bunch of things I haven't thought of.

    And how much of all of that is biological vs. educational, etc.?

    No one really knows.

    I know there is this tendency on the part of some intelligence researchers to do principal component analysis, pull out a "g" factor, and think they have discovered a real thing.

    That is pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    What they have discovered, which is indeed interesting, is that whatever the actual underlying mechanisms are, there is some spillover among different intellectual skills in terms of how they are affected by (some of) those underlying mechanisms.

    And, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    I am an actual scientist: I understand how to analyze data better than most psychologists.

    Who are not actual scientists.

    Hypno also wrote:


    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually “prove” IQ is determined by genetics within families.
     
    That is known beyond any sane doubt to be false. IQ is not "determined by genetics within families," or identical twins would have identical IQs.

    They don't.

    IQ is influenced by genetics and by many other things also.

    Very, very different from "determined"!

    Hypno also wrote:


    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean.
     
    Sorry, but that is again pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    One hypothesis here is that the White/Black IQ gap is solely genetic. Other hypotheses include the possibility that it is partially genetic and partially cultural.

    It is very, very hard to rule out that second hypothesis. Until that is done, the issue is, as a matter of science, unsettled.

    If I were making a similar point about global warming or dark matter (as I have indeed done in the past), I doubt you or most commenters here would be arguing with me.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    I don't see why we should be less demanding of claims in one field than the other.

    Bullshit remains bullshit.

    To be sure, without bullshit, there would not be much content on Web discussion forums like this one!

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Hypnotoad666

  112. I havent finished the article; so, does iSteve find the olde LGBT fantasies of M. Mead more “scientific” than those more modern Ibram Kendy ones about Wakanda?

    Like, who of the two was “in pursuit of knowledge”? (Neither , Id say).

  113. @New Dealer
    The PNAS study, about prosocial motivations to suppress reasoned opinion, is welcome and heartening.

    It's only half the story though. James Lindsay (and colleagues) have shown at nauseating length how the multiplication of journals and professional associations creates bubbles of mutual affirmation of unfalsifiable nonsense. Members of those bubbles peer-review each other's mediocre work and accumulate promotion points that entrench them with tenure in higher education, where they spawn followers to populate the next generation of dogmatists.

    Those folks (/s) do not suppress reasoned opinion because they are afraid it might be right and because right would harm the vulnerable somehow. Rather, they are confident that they know the truth, and that those who disagree with them are wrong, are evil, and that their works and careers should be destroyed.

    This is a reversion to the authoritarian pre-Enlightenment doctrine that everyone should enjoy freedom of speech, so long as they speak the truth. Also, prior to the Enlightenment, suppression of free speech was justified on grounds that falsehoods would harm the vulnerable. The ignorant masses must be protected from what today is alleged to be "misinformation."

    Yes, there were precursor documents, but the U.S. Bill of Rights is a high point in human history.

    Pope Leo XIII, Libertas (1888)


    We must now consider briefly liberty of speech, and liberty of the press....Men have a right freely and prudently to propagate throughout the State what things soever are true and honorable, so that as many as possible may possess them; but lying opinions, than which no mental plague is greater, and vices which corrupt the heart and moral life should be diligently repressed by public authority, lest they insidiously work the ruin of the State.

    The excesses of an unbridled intellect, which unfailingly end in the oppression of the untutored multitude, are no less rightly controlled by the authority of the law than are the injuries inflicted by violence upon the weak. And this all the more surely, because by far the greater part of the community is either absolutely unable, or able only with great difficulty, to escape from illusions and deceitful subtleties, especially such as flatter the passions.
     

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    Also, prior to the Enlightenment, suppression of free speech was justified on grounds that falsehoods would harm the vulnerable. The ignorant masses must be protected from what today is alleged to be “misinformation.”

    Pre-internet there was also more of a geographic aspect to speech. If the Puritans in one New England town didn’t appreciate your brand of heresy, they might say “Maybe you’ve got a right to say that, but just not around here you don’t.” So the heretic would move 20 miles down the coast to maybe found a new town, which would start kicking it’s own heretics down the coast a-ways in due time.

  114. @Steve Sailer
    @Pendragon

    “I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages.”

    That's not about blacks, that's from Darwin's 1833 letter to his sister on the now almost extinct Tierra del Fuegans of the southern tip of South America.

    https://web.archive.org/web/20161213095506/https://www.darwinproject.ac.uk/letter/DCP-LETT-203.xml

    "“Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife.”"

    Is also about Patagonians. I haven't checked the others.

    Replies: @Pendragon

    Oops, I must have gotten my notes slightly mixed up :

    This is mostly definitely correct :

    “The American aborigines, Negroes and Europeans are as different from each other in mind as any three races that can be named”

    And the others seem mostly correct but only in the paraphrase sense.

    Also , there is this famous one :

    “At some future period, not very distant as measured by centuries, the civilised races of man will almost certainly exterminate, and replace, the savage races throughout the world. At the same time the anthropomorphous apes, as Professor Schaaffhausen has remarked (18. ‘Anthropological Review,’ April 1867, p. 236.), will no doubt be exterminated. The break between man and his nearest allies will then be wider, for it will intervene between man in a more civilised state, as we may hope, even than the Caucasian, and some ape as low as a baboon, instead of as now between the negro or Australian and the gorilla. ”

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Pendragon

    But was Darwin talking about blacks, whom he mostly saw as agricultural workers in Brazil on his round the world trip, or about more cultural primitive tribes like the Tierra del Fuegans?

  115. @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave


    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being “test-wise.”

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other “test-wise” people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don’t give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences — but I still do).
     

    In focusing too much on culture Americans are being pseudo-scientific sort of like Soviet Lamarckists. Brain scans and computer algorithms will probably eventually replace IQ tests.

    Differences, in intelligence, is probably significantly more genetic. AFAIK, there are zero black Fields medal winners ; in mathematics, there is not much you can do to attain greatness. Those men and women who attain it manage to do so through their uncanny "feeling" for the subject. There is nothing you can do to leam this "feeling." You can, to be sure, work hard enough at mathematics make yourself into a competent even learn to be a comptent ressearch mathematician. But you cannot learn to do mathematics the way the great mathematicians do, any more than you can leam to throw a fastball or to run 100 yards in ten seconds. You can or you cannot. If you can, you will know it early. If you are an adult and you are not already a great mathematician then you are not going to be.

    ^ So why isn't the case that blacks know they are stupid just like most people know they won't be a great mathematician so they just don't try ? What came first the chicken or the egg ?

    Bonobo Chimps share 98.7% of their DNA with humans :


    Genetic Distance to: Han_Shanghai

    0.84961959 Yoruba

    Genetic Distance to: English (native English people average )

    0.77467278 Yoruba


    Charles Darwin on Blacks

    From his book "The Descent of Man"


    "The American Aborigines, Negros and Europeans are as differant from each other in mind as any three races that can be named."

    "I could not have believed how wide was the difference between savage and civilised man."

    They seemed to possess "insufficient powers of reasoning" to discern nonobvious connections between moral laws and public welfare, and they lacked self-discipline; "Their utter licentiousness, not to mention unnatural crimes, is something astounding."

    "Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife."

    "I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages."

    "Their judgements are in error, yielding patterns of behavior that are pointless, if not, indeed, in complete opposition to the true welfare and happiness of mankind."


     

    The late Dr Albert Scweizer, who spent almost his entire life in Africa, working to uplift the Black man, received the Nobel Prize for Peace in 1952. He also held several doctorate degrees.

    This is what he said shortly before his death:


    I have given my life to alleviate the sufferings of Africa. There is something that all white men who have lived here, must learn and know; that these individuals are a sub-race; they have neither the intellectual , mental or emotional abilities to equate or share in any of the functions of our civilisation.

    I have given my life to try to bring unto them the advantages which our civilisation must offer, but I have become well aware that we must retain this status; white, the superior, and they the inferior; for whenever a white man seeks to live among them as their equal, they will either destroy him or devour him, and they will destroy all his work; and so for any existing relationship or for any benefit to this people let white men from anywhere in the world who would come to help Africa remember that you must continually retain this status; you the master, and they the inferior, like children that you would help or teach. Never fraternise with them as equals, never accept them as your social equals ; or they will devour you; they will destroy you.
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Thelma Ringbaum, @PhysicistDave

    A 19th century racist or another surely would deliver ample quotes along these lines.

    Moreover, in 19th century there was quite similarly scientific literature about Women (Weininger etc.) and ((Them)) (Drummont etc.).

    All three kinds of 19th century prejudices are since disproved. Or, rather, made irrelevant by the technological progress. Women can work on easy jobs which is now the majority of jobs, Negroes can run their countries in Africa and Latin America not much worse than Jews can run their countries (yes, both cases relying on international aid and occasional genocides) .

    Ultra high IQ and psychosis that goes with it are now less needed. And less rewarded. And so, a maniac like A. Schweizer can go ride a coach, so to speak; his Negroes now have Android phones he didnt have.

  116. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.
     
    Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g. But this is only measured imperfectly by one's rankings in variously culturally mediated and sometimes noisy tests. Some are better than others, some are more "g-loaded" than others, some are more culturally loaded than others. But once they've been normed they are pretty internally and externally valid, because people tend to get the same scores when they take the tests multiple times (correlation @.85), and they also correlate highly with external measures like academic achievement. Ok, so that's just to separate the "map from the terrain" with regard to the measurement issue.

    Heritability Within Families Generally
    To the extent IQ is genetic, an individual's expected IQ is the average of his parents' IQs, averaged with the relevant population mean. But for each set of parents there is a bell curve of variance for the expected IQs of their kids. Ok, so far not controversial.

    Because fraternal siblings get all their genes from both parents, they are more highly correlated in IQ than strangers. And because identical twins get the same genes from each parent they are even more highly correlated. "[I]n 111 original studies in the United States. The mean correlation of IQ scores between monozygotic twins was 0.86, between siblings 0.47, between half-siblings 0.31, and between cousins 0.15.[78]" So, to your point that two identical siblings are somewhat different in IQ score -- it appears they are no different than the same person taking a test twice. In other words, they are about as identical in IQ as our measurement can record. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Heritability_of_IQ#:~:text=The%20mean%20correlation%20of%20IQ,0.31%2C%20and%20between%20cousins%200.15.

    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually "prove" IQ is determined by genetics within families. People are usually willing to admit this and it's socially acceptable to say so.

    But so far these are all people raised by the same parents in the same family/cultural environment. But that's no biggie to isolate. You just keep genetic relatedness constant and vary the family environment. It turns out that adopted kids' IQs are 95% determined by the IQs of their biological parents, but not their adoptive parents. [I can't find the studies off-hand, but this is pretty well-established]. Environment, except in extremis, has just about nothing to do with IQ.


    Heritability Within Black Families is the Same

    There's nothing different about all these phenomena for blacks. They have IQs that are the average of their parents, averaged with the mean. And the genetic heritability based on all the sibling and twin, adoptive vs not adoptive, etc., relationships are all the same. So they inherit IQ exactly like everyone else does. The only difference is that in each and every generation, the parents tend to be one SD below the white mean, and the kids inherit this lower average IQ (subject to all the the statistically expected variance), and pass it on to the next generation, where the process replicates again, exactly as expected by a genetic explanation.

    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean. The only alternative is that each and every generation of black families just happens to be uniformly subject to some "mystery factor" that just happens to exactly depress IQ for every individual to one SD below the white norm.

    That's a pretty heroic and implausible claim. But so what. Anyone can take their pick of factors and hold everything else constant, and see what happens. Income doesn't work (i.e., blacks keep inheriting the regressed average of their biological parents' IQ regardless of income). Enriched pre-school doesn't work, alleged "discrimination" doesn't work. (Whatever the mystery factor might be, it shows up before about 7 years-old, which also cuts down on plausible environmental candidates.) Nothing that's ever been tried can move the needle away from the biologically predicted result.

    It's like we were trying to prove that a known genetic trait like sickle cell disease or skin melanin content was based on parental income or personal psychological factors, but every study kept getting a big fat zero for any non-genetic effect on group differences. We would eventually pack it in and say: "Call us if you find anything, but in the meantime we are treating the group genetic differences as the settled cause of the group phenotype differences in heritable trait X."

    But acceptance of the clear facts is just never allowed to happen. Instead, we are supposed to pretend that group genetic differences are not the cause of group phenotype differences . . . because . . . well, there just literally is no reason.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    [Hypno] Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g.

    It is an unproven — and extremely doubtful — hypothesis that g is biological, or at least that it is solely or overwhelmingly biological (of course, almost everything is at least partially biological).

    “g” is simply the observation, not all that surprising, that different sorts of intelligence have significant correlations with each other.

    Why? An interesting question to which there is not yet a definitive answer.

    What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”? Well, probably both short-term and long-term memory matter. And mental processing speed. And the ability to make connections among different ideas. And skill at symbol manipulation and handling long chains of reasoning. Oh, and spatial visualization — which actually includes several distinct skills.

    And a bunch of things I haven’t thought of.

    And how much of all of that is biological vs. educational, etc.?

    No one really knows.

    I know there is this tendency on the part of some intelligence researchers to do principal component analysis, pull out a “g” factor, and think they have discovered a real thing.

    That is pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    What they have discovered, which is indeed interesting, is that whatever the actual underlying mechanisms are, there is some spillover among different intellectual skills in terms of how they are affected by (some of) those underlying mechanisms.

    And, yes, I have read Warne’s book.

    I am an actual scientist: I understand how to analyze data better than most psychologists.

    Who are not actual scientists.

    Hypno also wrote:

    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually “prove” IQ is determined by genetics within families.

    That is known beyond any sane doubt to be false. IQ is not “determined by genetics within families,” or identical twins would have identical IQs.

    They don’t.

    IQ is influenced by genetics and by many other things also.

    Very, very different from “determined”!

    Hypno also wrote:

    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean.

    Sorry, but that is again pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    One hypothesis here is that the White/Black IQ gap is solely genetic. Other hypotheses include the possibility that it is partially genetic and partially cultural.

    It is very, very hard to rule out that second hypothesis. Until that is done, the issue is, as a matter of science, unsettled.

    If I were making a similar point about global warming or dark matter (as I have indeed done in the past), I doubt you or most commenters here would be arguing with me.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    I don’t see why we should be less demanding of claims in one field than the other.

    Bullshit remains bullshit.

    To be sure, without bullshit, there would not be much content on Web discussion forums like this one!

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.
     

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.
     
    Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don't work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? "Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can't rule 'em out."

    Where's this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn't "rule it out," then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn't mean squat in science.

    You've also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn't "100% environmental" (Steve's original formulation) to proving that it's "100% genetic" (Whatever, let's say it's 95%, instead).

    You're just being an emotional arm waiver, not a scientist. That's why this issue is so pointless, too many people are emotionally and socially attached to being in doubt.

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

    , @res
    @PhysicistDave

    Dave, are you going to respond to the admixture studies point?

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?
     
    I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don't need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don't know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn't mean you can't know when and where the planets will be. No one said: "We need to scrap the Moon landings because we don't know the mechanisms of gravity, and therefore the observed rules of gravity might be different on the Moon."

    Likewise, the rules of genetics could be largely established by observation before the DNA-transmission mechanism was discovered. And medicine would be decades behind if doctors had to work out exact biological mechanisms before they could perform life-saving treatments that are proven to work. Etc., etc.

    Anyway, the problem isn't the degree of granular precision in knowing mechanisms, but being able to set and respect consistent rules for when a logical conclusion must be admitted (at least provisionally) as a scientific "fact."

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  117. @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave


    So, how do you show that the “McWhorter Effect” does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?
     
    Research has placed the brain's prefrontal cortex, a region just behind the forehead, as providing for 5 percent of the variation in intelligence between people. The research from Washington University targets the left prefrontal cortex, and the strength of neural connections that it has to the rest of the brain. They think these differences account for 10 percent of differences in intelligence among people. The study is the first to connect those differences to intelligence in people :

    https://www.jneurosci.org/content/32/26/8988.abstract


    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery. DR. WESLEY CRITZ GEORGE, Head Dept. Anatomy, U. N.Carolina.

    "The supragranular layers in the dog are 1/2 the thickness of those in the ape, and the ape's only 3/4 the thickness of White man. The Negroe's are 14% thinner than White man." CARLTON PUTNAM, LLD, Princeton, "Race and Reality".

    "The size of the human brain is related to a capacity for performance in thinking, planning, communicating, and behaving in groups, as leader, follower or both...In living individuals and populations differences are found in the regular size of the lobes and in the surface areas of the cortex; the size of the surface area varies with the complexity and depth of the folds on the inner and outer surfaces of the hemispheres. The larger a brain is the greater the cortical surface area, both proportionately and absolutely."

    DR. CARLTON COON, Prof. of Anthropology, Harvard.

    "The human cerebral cortex is the specific organ of civilization...Foresight, purpose and ideals toward which we strive as individuals and as nations are functions of this cortical gray matter."

    PROF. C. JUDSON HERRICK, University of Texas.

     

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Pendragon wrote to me:

    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery.

    [Etc.]

    Don’t you think some of your sources are just a wee bit outdated?

    Just a wee bit?

    Sciences does progress, you know!

    Though psychology, not so much.

    I find it amusing that most commenters here, who would be rightfully disdainful of most of the bullshit research published by contemporary psychologists, nonetheless take certain claims relating to Black vs. White intelligence as Holy Writ.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne’s book.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist.
     
    You keep telling people that as a substitute for actual facts or logic -- which is a very unscientific appeal to alleged authority.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave

    Straw man much ? I told you that brain scans and computer algorithms will probably replace IQ tests :

    https://www.unz.com/article/the-vindication-of-james-watson/


    Sciences does progress, you know!

     

    Yes, it progresses that is why I told you the genetic differences between bonobos and homo-sapiens then showed you the genetic distance between Yorubas, Han Chinese from Shanghai and Yorubas and the English. The latter's genetic distance , from Yorubas, is about roughly half the genetic distance of Bonobos from homo-sapiens.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne’s book.
     
    I am not impressed in the slightest since most scientists are merely mediocre like most mathematicians. A supergenius knows both science e.g. quantum physics and philosophy and you probably know zero about philosophy.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    'Sciences does progress, you know!'
     
    But at least of late, in which direction?

    Who now would be suicidal enough to confirm these findings and their significance?

    They could be spurious -- or they could be valid.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  118. @Pendragon
    @Steve Sailer

    Oops, I must have gotten my notes slightly mixed up :

    This is mostly definitely correct :

    "The American aborigines, Negroes and Europeans are as different from each other in mind as any three races that can be named"


    And the others seem mostly correct but only in the paraphrase sense.

    Also , there is this famous one :

    "At some future period, not very distant as measured by centuries, the civilised races of man will almost certainly exterminate, and replace, the savage races throughout the world. At the same time the anthropomorphous apes, as Professor Schaaffhausen has remarked (18. ‘Anthropological Review,’ April 1867, p. 236.), will no doubt be exterminated. The break between man and his nearest allies will then be wider, for it will intervene between man in a more civilised state, as we may hope, even than the Caucasian, and some ape as low as a baboon, instead of as now between the negro or Australian and the gorilla. "

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    But was Darwin talking about blacks, whom he mostly saw as agricultural workers in Brazil on his round the world trip, or about more cultural primitive tribes like the Tierra del Fuegans?

  119. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    [Hypno] Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g.
     

    It is an unproven -- and extremely doubtful -- hypothesis that g is biological, or at least that it is solely or overwhelmingly biological (of course, almost everything is at least partially biological).

    "g" is simply the observation, not all that surprising, that different sorts of intelligence have significant correlations with each other.

    Why? An interesting question to which there is not yet a definitive answer.

    What are the underlying mechanisms for "g"? Well, probably both short-term and long-term memory matter. And mental processing speed. And the ability to make connections among different ideas. And skill at symbol manipulation and handling long chains of reasoning. Oh, and spatial visualization -- which actually includes several distinct skills.

    And a bunch of things I haven't thought of.

    And how much of all of that is biological vs. educational, etc.?

    No one really knows.

    I know there is this tendency on the part of some intelligence researchers to do principal component analysis, pull out a "g" factor, and think they have discovered a real thing.

    That is pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    What they have discovered, which is indeed interesting, is that whatever the actual underlying mechanisms are, there is some spillover among different intellectual skills in terms of how they are affected by (some of) those underlying mechanisms.

    And, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    I am an actual scientist: I understand how to analyze data better than most psychologists.

    Who are not actual scientists.

    Hypno also wrote:


    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually “prove” IQ is determined by genetics within families.
     
    That is known beyond any sane doubt to be false. IQ is not "determined by genetics within families," or identical twins would have identical IQs.

    They don't.

    IQ is influenced by genetics and by many other things also.

    Very, very different from "determined"!

    Hypno also wrote:


    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean.
     
    Sorry, but that is again pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    One hypothesis here is that the White/Black IQ gap is solely genetic. Other hypotheses include the possibility that it is partially genetic and partially cultural.

    It is very, very hard to rule out that second hypothesis. Until that is done, the issue is, as a matter of science, unsettled.

    If I were making a similar point about global warming or dark matter (as I have indeed done in the past), I doubt you or most commenters here would be arguing with me.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    I don't see why we should be less demanding of claims in one field than the other.

    Bullshit remains bullshit.

    To be sure, without bullshit, there would not be much content on Web discussion forums like this one!

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Hypnotoad666

    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don’t work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? “Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can’t rule ’em out.”

    Where’s this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn’t “rule it out,” then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn’t mean squat in science.

    You’ve also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).

    You’re just being an emotional arm waiver, not a scientist. That’s why this issue is so pointless, too many people are emotionally and socially attached to being in doubt.

    • LOL: PhysicistDave
    • Replies: @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    You’ve also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).
     
    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @PhysicistDave

    , @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    [Hypno] Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don’t work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? “Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can’t rule ’em out.”

    Where’s this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn’t “rule it out,” then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn’t mean squat in science.
     
    No one doubts that environment has an effect on IQ: if it didn't, identical twins would have identical IQs, and they don't.

    Since Blacks in America do indeed have a somewhat different environment, on average, than Whites, that makes it a possible hypothesis that the difference in culture accounts for a large part of the Black-White IQ gap. And there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US.

    Big difference.

    So, what causes it? Well, maybe slavers managed to select out the especially intelligent Blacks.

    Or maybe slave-owners somehow bred their slaves for higher intelligence.

    Or just maybe it is cultural and environmental?

    You are the one who wants to reach a solid conclusion here: that the Black-White IQ gap is mainly genetic.

    I am merely pointing out that, by the standards normally employed in science, the evidence is not yet in on that.

    I do not have to prove that some other hypothesis is likely true to make that case.

    This is not theology where people argue: "Prove me wrong or I win the debate!"

    In science, it is those making the affirmative claims who need to consider and refute alternative hypotheses and provide convincing evidence for their preferred hypothesis. And their critics do not not have to show that an alternative hypothesis is more likely.

    All their critics need show is that those making the affirmative claim have not convincingly ruled out other hypotheses.

    As to General Relativity, I, and most physicists I know of, are quite convinced that it is false. It is inconsistent with quantum mechanics.

    On the other hand, on the macroscopic scale, it does test better than any alternative theory, going back to the famous Eddington observation of deflection of light by the Sun in 1919 (Einstein predicted a deflection twice the size of the Newtonian prediction), through to the confirmation of gravitational red-shift and time dilation from the late 1950s through the 1970s, to the recent discovery of gravitational waves.

    So, there is in fact enormously more evidence for General Relativity than for your belief that the Black-White IQ gap is primarily genetic.

    The latter issue is simply unsettled, by the normal standards required in the various natural sciences.

    You're not in STEM, right?

    I have repeatedly gone into great detail on my own background: my Ph.D. from Stanford for my work at SLAC, my patents on communication and computer systems, my work as a semiconductor device physicist, even the fact that I was on a team that won a technical Emmy for our contributions to television arts and sciences -- we were the first semiconductor company to achieve that.

    Why don't you tell us your professional and educational background and your achievements therein, and then maybe we can help you clear up your confusions about science?

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @res

  120. @PhysicistDave
    @Pendragon

    Pendragon wrote to me:


    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery.

    [Etc.]
     
    Don't you think some of your sources are just a wee bit outdated?

    Just a wee bit?

    Sciences does progress, you know!

    Though psychology, not so much.

    I find it amusing that most commenters here, who would be rightfully disdainful of most of the bullshit research published by contemporary psychologists, nonetheless take certain claims relating to Black vs. White intelligence as Holy Writ.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Pendragon, @Colin Wright

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist.

    You keep telling people that as a substitute for actual facts or logic — which is a very unscientific appeal to alleged authority.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Sorry, but I actually am a scientist.

    [Hypno] You keep telling people that as a substitute for actual facts or logic — which is a very unscientific appeal to alleged authority.
     
    There is nothing wrong with an appeal to authority: The "argument from authority fallacy" is itself a fallacy.

    This is generally known to anyone familiar with logic.

    Or common sense.

    In any case, I have presented detailed arguments.

    Some people here are just not intelligent enough to grasp them.

    I can also give detailed arguments explaining General Relativity, which, again, most people here are probably not intelligent enough to grasp.

    Human beings are not intellectually equal: that, again, is another fallacy prevalent on the Web.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

  121. @Jus' Sayin'...

    From Steve's article: "Scientific censorship appears to be increasing. Potential explanations include .... the growing proportion of women in science ...."
     
    Natural selection has provided women with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go with the flow so they'll just be enslaved and raped rather than killed by raiders from other tribes. I call this the "Rahab Effect" to honor of the prostitute who betrayed her neighbors in Jericho to Joshua and his vicious Hebrew horde. The willingness of women to jump on board the censorship bandwagon is likely yet another manifestation of this female psychological trait.

    Replies: @Alden

    Natural selection has provided men with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go attack other races and create mixed race babies by rape, bring back enemy men and women slaves into their societies and create mulatto quadroon octoroon and 16tharoons to pollute their people’s ethnic purity.

    Natural selection has made women significantly smaller and weaker than men. Thus able to be raped more easily and thus propagate the species.

    Christopher Columbus sailors on the first expedition brought syphllis to Europe. As recorded in his log by Dr Bernal the ship’s doctor. Syphillis that could only have come from the native Caribbean women. Or men. If the Carib women gave the White sailors syphllis the White sailors could have given a few of the women mixed race babies.

    Some famous AmericansWhite fathers black Indian whatever mothers:

    The first known was the son of John Rolfe and Pocahontas. Moving forward to 1620 mulatto babies born of White Jamestown men and African women who arrived in 1619.

    Whoever the father or fathers of quadroon Sally Hemings 6 octoroon children was or were the fact is they were fair skinned some red heads. And resembled the Jefferson family. Thomas, Randolph some other Jefferson White man her children were 88 percent White 12 percent black. DNA can’t prove Thomas but it does prove a Jefferson White man.
    Sally’s father was White so was her grandfather and great grandfather

    Frederick Douglas the black former slave recruited by the abolitionists as spokesman for abolition of slavery. His father was the White owner of his black mother. He was a mulatto.

    18th and 19th century European visitors to the American south and Washington DC were astonished at the numerous light skinned blacks. Including light skinned blacks in the slave auctions. Reaction was; how could a man sell his own children at auction?

    Love vs Virginia 1968. That was the case ACLU ADL and other Jewish communist front groups brought against the state of Virginia plaintiffs Mr and Mrs Love a White man black woman couple. Love overturned the miscegenation laws of Virginia.

    Mr Love was pure White. But in Virginia who knows who his White man ancestors were making babies with. Mrs Love was a pass for White quadroon In fact they lived in a White Washington DC neighborhood and their children attended a segregated White school.

    Black activist hustler Jesse Jackson. Yes his fathers are very Bantu. But his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges. He and entourage strutted in. Lemon colored skin The story was that his father was an older married black neighbor who couldn’t leave wife and marry jacksons 16 year old mom. Cover up and lie father was a teen age White boy. Whose father was a politician the elected county sheriff. Or what parent Jackson got both his lemon colored skin and political talent.

    Strom Thurmond the long term senator. Around 2000 it was revealed he had an octoroon daughter retired Los Angeles school teacher. Another teen Romance. His family sent her to college. Strom had a lifelong relationship with her. At least one White father of an illegitimate black kid did the right thing.

    Last but not least the famous communist black panther Angela Davis. The black panther/college professor who bought the guns used to kill 11 people in a California county courtroom. Soon became vice president of a university. Her maternal grandfather was White. Her great grand fathers were White. Plus she’s descended from one of the White men who arrived on the Mayflower.

    White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @Alden

    On the other hand, at least as of 2000, you could go to rural South Carolina and see blondes with blue eyes waiting the tables and coal-black negroes in the kitchen; both groups having been there two centuries-plus.

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Alden


    Jesse Jackson... his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges.
     
    I saw him arrive back from some conference in Africa in the 2000s. No doubt out of private-plane range. He was with a single underling, who was trying to sort out their connection at the ticket desk. That left the Rev'm bored, and he said "How ya doin'?" Wow, I'm one degree of separation from MLK!
    , @Colin Wright
    @Alden


    '...White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.'
     
    Calm down.
    , @YetAnotherAnon
    @Alden

    "White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men"

    Is it really? Maybe it's just me, but I have my doubts. Who produced that stat, the ADL?

    , @Jus' Sayin'...
    @Alden

    Cool your jets, Tiny Duck. Your depiction of the WOKE's underlying insecurity and envy of White heterosexual men is too spot on to amount to effective lampooning.

  122. @cthulhu
    @Reg Cæsar

    Reg, on this topic, you should stay silent and be thought perhaps a fool, instead of opening your mouth and removing all doubt.

    It has been thoroughly and conclusively shown that Townshend was telling the truth about the child sexual abuse images situation, i.e., he believes he was the victim of child sexual abuse, and by using his credit card to access a specific website, he was trying to show that British banks were knowingly benefiting from child sexual abuse images. As it turned out, the website couldn’t be confirmed to have child sexual abuse material in the first place, and zero material incriminating to Townshend was found during an extensive investigation. All this is public record. Bad judgment - absolutely. Pedophile - absolutely not.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    Bad judgment – absolutely.

    Alright, I’ll cut him some slack on this. All that Glitters is not ghoul. Still, he posed for the Who’s Next cover, and for the one before it, outputs any normie is in no hurry to touch:

    Pedophile – absolutely not.

    I’ve said a few times here that Mohammed’s last marriage was a matter of political calculation and nothing more. (Just like his first.) So, yeah, I can accept your take on Townshend. Even I have a copy of Parrish’s Daybreak.

    But corrections are always below the fold, getting their boots on while the original story is halfway around the world.

  123. @PhysicistDave
    @Pendragon

    Pendragon wrote to me:


    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery.

    [Etc.]
     
    Don't you think some of your sources are just a wee bit outdated?

    Just a wee bit?

    Sciences does progress, you know!

    Though psychology, not so much.

    I find it amusing that most commenters here, who would be rightfully disdainful of most of the bullshit research published by contemporary psychologists, nonetheless take certain claims relating to Black vs. White intelligence as Holy Writ.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Pendragon, @Colin Wright

    Straw man much ? I told you that brain scans and computer algorithms will probably replace IQ tests :

    https://www.unz.com/article/the-vindication-of-james-watson/

    Sciences does progress, you know!

    Yes, it progresses that is why I told you the genetic differences between bonobos and homo-sapiens then showed you the genetic distance between Yorubas, Han Chinese from Shanghai and Yorubas and the English. The latter’s genetic distance , from Yorubas, is about roughly half the genetic distance of Bonobos from homo-sapiens.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne’s book.

    I am not impressed in the slightest since most scientists are merely mediocre like most mathematicians. A supergenius knows both science e.g. quantum physics and philosophy and you probably know zero about philosophy.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Pendragon

    Pendragon wrote to me:


    Yes, it progresses that is why I told you the genetic differences between bonobos and homo-sapiens then showed you the genetic distance between Yorubas, Han Chinese from Shanghai and Yorubas and the English. The latter’s genetic distance , from Yorubas, is about roughly half the genetic distance of Bonobos from homo-sapiens.
     
    I assume that is a lame attempt at a joke.

    Pendragon also wrote:

    Straw man much ? I told you that brain scans and computer algorithms will probably replace IQ tests :
     
    Well... another joke, I suppose.

    I don't think you are very smart, now are you? Or funny.

    Pendragon also wrote:

    A supergenius knows both science e.g. quantum physics and philosophy and you probably know zero about philosophy.
     
    Well, probably more than you. But, let's be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.

    You might try reading the evaluation of philosophy by the late Aussie philosopher David Stove "What Is Wrong With Our Thoughts": see here. And, yes, Stove was a bit off himself, which confirms his thesis!

    Simple rule of thumb: when someone like you appeals to philosophy to buttress his point, it really, truly is time to start laughing!

    Replies: @Colin Wright

  124. @Mike Tre
    I think it's interesting that this website is somewhat ignoring the current organic resistance the people of Ireland are beginning to mount against the globalist efforts to flood their country with nation wrecking primitives.

    I mean, we read quite a bit of lamenting about the Palestinian cause here, in articles and in comments that stretch far back before this latest escalation of hostility. The "we are all Palestinians now" trope is almost as ubiquitous as a few other reflexive, cliche virtue signaling terms such as "Thank you for your service" or "God bless you."

    These lamentations are from a mostly white collection of commenters, almost all of whom identify jewish influence as major source of the current dysfunction affecting the West.

    One of the avenues of that influence, the programming through education and media to hate one's own ethnic/racial identity, culture, and history, as well as to prioritize the needs and goals of other races/ethnicities over their own, is well understood to those commenters here.

    However, even among these same commenters, the programming installed by that same jewish influence reveals itself to be successful when these same white commenters prioritize the needs and fate of Palestinians over those of their own kind. The events concurrently taking place in Ireland and Palestisrael reflect this: Day after day at TUR, the front page stories are all about the latter, but nothing about the former.

    Funny how the Irish are often cited as the least intelligent of the Western European nations, and maybe so, but they seem more aware of their own destiny (and are willing to fight for it) than these really smart people in England, Germany, France, etc.

    But then I think about the term "We are all palestinians now" or whatever. Are we? Because I think white Americans have it worse than Palestinians. The hostility directed at Palestinians is direct, in-your-face, us against them, hostility. The hostility directed at white Americans by jewish influence is subtle, subversive, slow, disguised, agonizing. Metaphorically, the Palestinian gets the headshot, while the American white gets the gut shot and is left to die only after horrific pain and suffering.

    Palestinians are shot, bombed, sanctioned, starved. These are terrible things. But they do not hate themselves. They are not under attack from millions of third world shock troops as well as the enabled unique and feral American negro, that we also taught to worship. They do not have millions of their working class men addicted to opioids. they do not have thousands of their daughters forced into sex slavery (such as in England) by immigrants or tricked into interracial degeneracy. The Palestinians do receive some support and aid from the international community. The American white male is pretty much a global pariah. At least the Palestinians can shoot back at the IDF. Can I shoot back at the Sacklers? or the Kagens? or the Pritzgers? Or the justice system? Or Hollywood? The Palestinians are unified if by nothing else a clear and identifiable common enemy. American whites are divided and pacified.

    Further, aside from their right to exist, I don't find anything particularly worthwhile about the entire group. I certainly don't want any of them here. They don't belong nor can they function in the West. But that goes for the entirety of the peoples that inhabit what's known as the ME: Turks, Armenians, Kurds, Arabs, Israelis, Lebanese, etc, etc.

    Our country crumbles to the ground around us yet we waste 1000's of words on the Palestinians. Suicidal self marginalization.

    Replies: @Frau Katze

    Re: Irish resisting mass immigration, lack of discussion

    Several people entered comments yesterday and today about the dust-up in Dublin. You don’t see that very often, hence people don’t discuss it.

    Palestinians get more comments from the many Jew haters posting here. The Irish are almost completely free from Jews (with almost none living in Ireland).

    I doubt that these people actually like Palestinians per se, but “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.”

    • Replies: @Philip Owen
    @Frau Katze

    I don't know. I am told by a Jewish friend that there was once an important question to answer in Belfast. "Are you a Protestant Jew or a Catholic Jew". It matters in Glasgow too I believe.

  125. @Stan Adams
    @Bill Jones


    Black Friday
     
    Anyone else not shopping today?

    Earlier I watched Planes, Trains and Automobiles and I didn’t see a single black person in the entire movie. I’m halfway through Home Alone and I just saw my first character of African origin - a cardboard cutout of Michael Jordan.

    Actually, it’s really creepy to think about Macaulay Culkin’s relationship with Michael Jackson.

    Replies: @Mike Tre, @Reg Cæsar

    Black Friday

    Anyone else not shopping today?

    My boys are in online school. They get next Monday off. Cyber Monday. The Internet is just too slow that day. Brick-and-mortar sister got last Monday off, which they didn’t.

    • Replies: @Stan Adams
    @Reg Cæsar

    In Miami the public schools gave the kids the whole week off. That’s unprecedented.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  126. @Mike Tre
    @Stan Adams

    You know what movie has zero token negroes in it? My Big Fat Greek Wedding.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon, @Stan Adams

    Interesting.

    I wrote that comment as a response to this:

    We were given tickets to the stage version of The Lion and Witch and the Wardrobe. It was terrible. I was waiting to see what SJW stuff would be included. It started with about eight or so army guys, and only one of them was black, so I thought maybe we will be lucky… then the kids walked out. They were black. It was abysmal. Although it did put a different spin on a few of the lines – like when Mr Beaver is asking if they’re human or not…

    The kids got to the house after being evacuated from London, and one of the two housemaids was a big burly man with a beard. He was wearing a maid’s outfit. It was grotesque. They stripped away all Christian references and undertones, which was impressive in an awful way given the subject material.

    They even removed Santa. He was now Sinta Klause, and looked like a fat Turkish man who had been caught in an explosion at a fabric factory.

    I thought it was an iSteve comment but it was actually from Vox Day:
    https://voxday.net/2023/11/24/mailvox-the-post-morten-convergence-of-cs-lewis/

    • Thanks: Mike Tre
  127. @PhysicistDave
    @Pendragon

    Pendragon wrote to me:


    The differences in thickness of the supragranular layers of the cortex of White and Negro brains is the difference between civilization and savagery.

    [Etc.]
     
    Don't you think some of your sources are just a wee bit outdated?

    Just a wee bit?

    Sciences does progress, you know!

    Though psychology, not so much.

    I find it amusing that most commenters here, who would be rightfully disdainful of most of the bullshit research published by contemporary psychologists, nonetheless take certain claims relating to Black vs. White intelligence as Holy Writ.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Pendragon, @Colin Wright

    ‘Sciences does progress, you know!’

    But at least of late, in which direction?

    Who now would be suicidal enough to confirm these findings and their significance?

    They could be spurious — or they could be valid.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘Sciences does progress, you know!’

    [CW] But at least of late, in which direction?

    Who now would be suicidal enough to confirm these findings and their significance?

    They could be spurious — or they could be valid.
     
    Well, part of my point is that psychology is not, and never has been, much of a science.

    A fact that most natural scientists take for granted, of course.

    Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if "social scientists" or "behavioral scientists" come up... well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

  128. @Reg Cæsar
    @Stan Adams



    Black Friday
     
    Anyone else not shopping today?
     
    My boys are in online school. They get next Monday off. Cyber Monday. The Internet is just too slow that day. Brick-and-mortar sister got last Monday off, which they didn't.

    Replies: @Stan Adams

    In Miami the public schools gave the kids the whole week off. That’s unprecedented.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @Stan Adams


    In Miami the public schools gave the kids the whole week off. That’s unprecedented.
     
    Same in our district. So one kid got nine days off, the others only five. And the latter don't even get snow days! (Nor do yours-- Miami has seen flurries once in the past century.)

    In the service, we got five-and-a-half days, knocking off at noon on Wednesday. Except the duty crew(s). I can't remember if our schools had a whole or half day on Wednesday. Our family spent Thanksgivings in four different states to boot. Thank God not in a Canadian province, where it's celebrated on a Monday. That's alien.

    (Advice: never, ever visit Canada on our Columbus Day weekend. We made that error in 2007. The cities empty and the roads are packed.)

  129. @Anon7
    "Over 50 percent of the college students agreed with the ideas of Hitler and DiAngelo when they were framed as defaming whites..."

    Maybe @CynicalPublius is right and 2023 Democrats are fascists.

    "Listed below are attributes and practices that all 20th Century fascists have in common with the Democrat Party of 2023:

    1. Laws promoting the seizure of guns from law-abiding citizens and/or the denial of gun ownership rights for law-abiding citizens.
    2. Censorship of free speech by pretending such censorship protects the citizenry from faulty information.
    3. Government control of industry.
    4. Government control of the mass media.
    5. Children belong to the State and not their parents.
    6. Political dissidents are to be persecuted for "crimes" under the color of law through the courts.
    7. Political dissidents are locked up for months/years without a trial.
    8. All policies are to be based on a fierce adherence to a preferred ideology.
    9. Control of the entertainment industry as a means of propaganda.
    10. Accuse dissidents of the very crimes you yourself commit.
    11. Justify all of it for the "common good."

    The Democrat Party of 2023 is a fascist party."

    Replies: @Alden

    I enjoying telling Jews Hitler was a liberal.

    1 Serious environmentalist and nature lover.
    2 Not just animal lover but Animal Rights.
    3 Socialist
    4 Expanded government jobs to solve unemployment.
    5 The first freeways and other public works to solve unemployment and subsidize big medium and small business and create prosperity. Also known as John Keynes economics
    6 Numerous what are known as enrichment programs for children and teens. After school programs sports summer camps expanded secondary education “Stay in school and out of trouble”
    7 Government health care for all.
    8 Affirmative action
    9 Blaming any and all of the countries problems on one specific demographic.
    10 Demonizing that demographic
    11 Anti tobacco
    12 Health foods vegetarian
    13 Alternative medicine
    14 Anti tobacco drug addict

    • LOL: res
  130. @Alden
    @Jus' Sayin'...

    Natural selection has provided men with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go attack other races and create mixed race babies by rape, bring back enemy men and women slaves into their societies and create mulatto quadroon octoroon and 16tharoons to pollute their people’s ethnic purity.

    Natural selection has made women significantly smaller and weaker than men. Thus able to be raped more easily and thus propagate the species.

    Christopher Columbus sailors on the first expedition brought syphllis to Europe. As recorded in his log by Dr Bernal the ship’s doctor. Syphillis that could only have come from the native Caribbean women. Or men. If the Carib women gave the White sailors syphllis the White sailors could have given a few of the women mixed race babies.

    Some famous AmericansWhite fathers black Indian whatever mothers:

    The first known was the son of John Rolfe and Pocahontas. Moving forward to 1620 mulatto babies born of White Jamestown men and African women who arrived in 1619.

    Whoever the father or fathers of quadroon Sally Hemings 6 octoroon children was or were the fact is they were fair skinned some red heads. And resembled the Jefferson family. Thomas, Randolph some other Jefferson White man her children were 88 percent White 12 percent black. DNA can’t prove Thomas but it does prove a Jefferson White man.
    Sally’s father was White so was her grandfather and great grandfather

    Frederick Douglas the black former slave recruited by the abolitionists as spokesman for abolition of slavery. His father was the White owner of his black mother. He was a mulatto.

    18th and 19th century European visitors to the American south and Washington DC were astonished at the numerous light skinned blacks. Including light skinned blacks in the slave auctions. Reaction was; how could a man sell his own children at auction?

    Love vs Virginia 1968. That was the case ACLU ADL and other Jewish communist front groups brought against the state of Virginia plaintiffs Mr and Mrs Love a White man black woman couple. Love overturned the miscegenation laws of Virginia.

    Mr Love was pure White. But in Virginia who knows who his White man ancestors were making babies with. Mrs Love was a pass for White quadroon In fact they lived in a White Washington DC neighborhood and their children attended a segregated White school.

    Black activist hustler Jesse Jackson. Yes his fathers are very Bantu. But his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges. He and entourage strutted in. Lemon colored skin The story was that his father was an older married black neighbor who couldn’t leave wife and marry jacksons 16 year old mom. Cover up and lie father was a teen age White boy. Whose father was a politician the elected county sheriff. Or what parent Jackson got both his lemon colored skin and political talent.

    Strom Thurmond the long term senator. Around 2000 it was revealed he had an octoroon daughter retired Los Angeles school teacher. Another teen Romance. His family sent her to college. Strom had a lifelong relationship with her. At least one White father of an illegitimate black kid did the right thing.

    Last but not least the famous communist black panther Angela Davis. The black panther/college professor who bought the guns used to kill 11 people in a California county courtroom. Soon became vice president of a university. Her maternal grandfather was White. Her great grand fathers were White. Plus she’s descended from one of the White men who arrived on the Mayflower.

    White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Reg Cæsar, @Colin Wright, @YetAnotherAnon, @Jus' Sayin'...

    On the other hand, at least as of 2000, you could go to rural South Carolina and see blondes with blue eyes waiting the tables and coal-black negroes in the kitchen; both groups having been there two centuries-plus.

  131. @Alden
    @Jus' Sayin'...

    Natural selection has provided men with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go attack other races and create mixed race babies by rape, bring back enemy men and women slaves into their societies and create mulatto quadroon octoroon and 16tharoons to pollute their people’s ethnic purity.

    Natural selection has made women significantly smaller and weaker than men. Thus able to be raped more easily and thus propagate the species.

    Christopher Columbus sailors on the first expedition brought syphllis to Europe. As recorded in his log by Dr Bernal the ship’s doctor. Syphillis that could only have come from the native Caribbean women. Or men. If the Carib women gave the White sailors syphllis the White sailors could have given a few of the women mixed race babies.

    Some famous AmericansWhite fathers black Indian whatever mothers:

    The first known was the son of John Rolfe and Pocahontas. Moving forward to 1620 mulatto babies born of White Jamestown men and African women who arrived in 1619.

    Whoever the father or fathers of quadroon Sally Hemings 6 octoroon children was or were the fact is they were fair skinned some red heads. And resembled the Jefferson family. Thomas, Randolph some other Jefferson White man her children were 88 percent White 12 percent black. DNA can’t prove Thomas but it does prove a Jefferson White man.
    Sally’s father was White so was her grandfather and great grandfather

    Frederick Douglas the black former slave recruited by the abolitionists as spokesman for abolition of slavery. His father was the White owner of his black mother. He was a mulatto.

    18th and 19th century European visitors to the American south and Washington DC were astonished at the numerous light skinned blacks. Including light skinned blacks in the slave auctions. Reaction was; how could a man sell his own children at auction?

    Love vs Virginia 1968. That was the case ACLU ADL and other Jewish communist front groups brought against the state of Virginia plaintiffs Mr and Mrs Love a White man black woman couple. Love overturned the miscegenation laws of Virginia.

    Mr Love was pure White. But in Virginia who knows who his White man ancestors were making babies with. Mrs Love was a pass for White quadroon In fact they lived in a White Washington DC neighborhood and their children attended a segregated White school.

    Black activist hustler Jesse Jackson. Yes his fathers are very Bantu. But his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges. He and entourage strutted in. Lemon colored skin The story was that his father was an older married black neighbor who couldn’t leave wife and marry jacksons 16 year old mom. Cover up and lie father was a teen age White boy. Whose father was a politician the elected county sheriff. Or what parent Jackson got both his lemon colored skin and political talent.

    Strom Thurmond the long term senator. Around 2000 it was revealed he had an octoroon daughter retired Los Angeles school teacher. Another teen Romance. His family sent her to college. Strom had a lifelong relationship with her. At least one White father of an illegitimate black kid did the right thing.

    Last but not least the famous communist black panther Angela Davis. The black panther/college professor who bought the guns used to kill 11 people in a California county courtroom. Soon became vice president of a university. Her maternal grandfather was White. Her great grand fathers were White. Plus she’s descended from one of the White men who arrived on the Mayflower.

    White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Reg Cæsar, @Colin Wright, @YetAnotherAnon, @Jus' Sayin'...

    Jesse Jackson… his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges.

    I saw him arrive back from some conference in Africa in the 2000s. No doubt out of private-plane range. He was with a single underling, who was trying to sort out their connection at the ticket desk. That left the Rev’m bored, and he said “How ya doin’?” Wow, I’m one degree of separation from MLK!

  132. @Alden
    @Jus' Sayin'...

    Natural selection has provided men with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go attack other races and create mixed race babies by rape, bring back enemy men and women slaves into their societies and create mulatto quadroon octoroon and 16tharoons to pollute their people’s ethnic purity.

    Natural selection has made women significantly smaller and weaker than men. Thus able to be raped more easily and thus propagate the species.

    Christopher Columbus sailors on the first expedition brought syphllis to Europe. As recorded in his log by Dr Bernal the ship’s doctor. Syphillis that could only have come from the native Caribbean women. Or men. If the Carib women gave the White sailors syphllis the White sailors could have given a few of the women mixed race babies.

    Some famous AmericansWhite fathers black Indian whatever mothers:

    The first known was the son of John Rolfe and Pocahontas. Moving forward to 1620 mulatto babies born of White Jamestown men and African women who arrived in 1619.

    Whoever the father or fathers of quadroon Sally Hemings 6 octoroon children was or were the fact is they were fair skinned some red heads. And resembled the Jefferson family. Thomas, Randolph some other Jefferson White man her children were 88 percent White 12 percent black. DNA can’t prove Thomas but it does prove a Jefferson White man.
    Sally’s father was White so was her grandfather and great grandfather

    Frederick Douglas the black former slave recruited by the abolitionists as spokesman for abolition of slavery. His father was the White owner of his black mother. He was a mulatto.

    18th and 19th century European visitors to the American south and Washington DC were astonished at the numerous light skinned blacks. Including light skinned blacks in the slave auctions. Reaction was; how could a man sell his own children at auction?

    Love vs Virginia 1968. That was the case ACLU ADL and other Jewish communist front groups brought against the state of Virginia plaintiffs Mr and Mrs Love a White man black woman couple. Love overturned the miscegenation laws of Virginia.

    Mr Love was pure White. But in Virginia who knows who his White man ancestors were making babies with. Mrs Love was a pass for White quadroon In fact they lived in a White Washington DC neighborhood and their children attended a segregated White school.

    Black activist hustler Jesse Jackson. Yes his fathers are very Bantu. But his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges. He and entourage strutted in. Lemon colored skin The story was that his father was an older married black neighbor who couldn’t leave wife and marry jacksons 16 year old mom. Cover up and lie father was a teen age White boy. Whose father was a politician the elected county sheriff. Or what parent Jackson got both his lemon colored skin and political talent.

    Strom Thurmond the long term senator. Around 2000 it was revealed he had an octoroon daughter retired Los Angeles school teacher. Another teen Romance. His family sent her to college. Strom had a lifelong relationship with her. At least one White father of an illegitimate black kid did the right thing.

    Last but not least the famous communist black panther Angela Davis. The black panther/college professor who bought the guns used to kill 11 people in a California county courtroom. Soon became vice president of a university. Her maternal grandfather was White. Her great grand fathers were White. Plus she’s descended from one of the White men who arrived on the Mayflower.

    White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Reg Cæsar, @Colin Wright, @YetAnotherAnon, @Jus' Sayin'...

    ‘…White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.’

    Calm down.

  133. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist.
     
    You keep telling people that as a substitute for actual facts or logic -- which is a very unscientific appeal to alleged authority.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] Sorry, but I actually am a scientist.

    [Hypno] You keep telling people that as a substitute for actual facts or logic — which is a very unscientific appeal to alleged authority.

    There is nothing wrong with an appeal to authority: The “argument from authority fallacy” is itself a fallacy.

    This is generally known to anyone familiar with logic.

    Or common sense.

    In any case, I have presented detailed arguments.

    Some people here are just not intelligent enough to grasp them.

    I can also give detailed arguments explaining General Relativity, which, again, most people here are probably not intelligent enough to grasp.

    Human beings are not intellectually equal: that, again, is another fallacy prevalent on the Web.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    The “argument from authority fallacy” is itself a fallacy.
     
    The nuance is whether a claim to "authority" has been earned or whether it's based on nothing more than an exalted title. With all due respect, I don't think having "physicist" in your anon handle makes the cut for purposes of deferring to your opinions on genetics.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  134. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    'Sciences does progress, you know!'
     
    But at least of late, in which direction?

    Who now would be suicidal enough to confirm these findings and their significance?

    They could be spurious -- or they could be valid.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Colin Wright wrote to me:

    [Dave] ‘Sciences does progress, you know!’

    [CW] But at least of late, in which direction?

    Who now would be suicidal enough to confirm these findings and their significance?

    They could be spurious — or they could be valid.

    Well, part of my point is that psychology is not, and never has been, much of a science.

    A fact that most natural scientists take for granted, of course.

    Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    '...Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.'
     

    ! I'd describe that as unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude.

    That they deal with matters that aren't subject to absolute verification or precise interpretation doesn't make the social sciences less valid. Much about it remains unclear, but the First Crusade indubitably occurred. Past a point, you just have to accept the lack of clarity, and make an educated guess. There may be a truth, but you can't have it. Not with certainty; that has to be accepted.

    Moreover, the dogmatism and assumption that absolute certainty is possible that marks the physical scientists can be literally obstructive when it comes to gaining a valid understanding of human affairs; this is part of what is objectionable in Jered Diamond, for example. He doesn't shed light so much as he fosters delusion. Now the reader understands it all.

    Human affairs are more nebulous than that; and an equally 'soft' sense of how their affairs usually go is of more use than a quest to decide whether Pope Urban II did or did not 'start' the First Crusade with his call to arms at Clermont.

    Of course this attitude also opens the door to bias and even intellectual fraud: some of the arguments about Moorish Spain illustrate this all too well, and see Joan Peters' From Time Immemorial. However, it decidedly does not improve matters when ex-physical scientists wade into the fray with their implicit assumption that it can all be reduced to exactly one process and that process defined with absolute certainty.

    At least when it comes to history, you just need to learn about it, and as I have, I'll insist that just as I'll defer to your judgement about relativity, you should defer to mine about National Socialism.

    Replies: @New Dealer, @PhysicistDave

  135. @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave

    Straw man much ? I told you that brain scans and computer algorithms will probably replace IQ tests :

    https://www.unz.com/article/the-vindication-of-james-watson/


    Sciences does progress, you know!

     

    Yes, it progresses that is why I told you the genetic differences between bonobos and homo-sapiens then showed you the genetic distance between Yorubas, Han Chinese from Shanghai and Yorubas and the English. The latter's genetic distance , from Yorubas, is about roughly half the genetic distance of Bonobos from homo-sapiens.

    Sorry, but I actually am a scientist. And, again, yes, I have read Warne’s book.
     
    I am not impressed in the slightest since most scientists are merely mediocre like most mathematicians. A supergenius knows both science e.g. quantum physics and philosophy and you probably know zero about philosophy.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Pendragon wrote to me:

    Yes, it progresses that is why I told you the genetic differences between bonobos and homo-sapiens then showed you the genetic distance between Yorubas, Han Chinese from Shanghai and Yorubas and the English. The latter’s genetic distance , from Yorubas, is about roughly half the genetic distance of Bonobos from homo-sapiens.

    I assume that is a lame attempt at a joke.

    Pendragon also wrote:

    Straw man much ? I told you that brain scans and computer algorithms will probably replace IQ tests :

    Well… another joke, I suppose.

    I don’t think you are very smart, now are you? Or funny.

    Pendragon also wrote:

    A supergenius knows both science e.g. quantum physics and philosophy and you probably know zero about philosophy.

    Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.

    You might try reading the evaluation of philosophy by the late Aussie philosopher David Stove “What Is Wrong With Our Thoughts”: see here. And, yes, Stove was a bit off himself, which confirms his thesis!

    Simple rule of thumb: when someone like you appeals to philosophy to buttress his point, it really, truly is time to start laughing!

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave

    'Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.'

    As I recall, it tends to boil down to not being able to determine much of anything. I have vague memories of thrashing through one proof of God's existence; okay, you've done it, but in the process, you've redefined God so that he is simply reality. Great: reality exists. That kind of follows from the fact that we're around to discuss it.

    And? Not much more, in the end. I tend to a more subjective view of things. Because I feel it, morality exists -- for me. A cat doesn't feel it -- and so it's absurd to judge him by it. This of course opens up the door to unending conflict, but maybe that's just the way it is.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  136. “Antiwhite hate is a huge and growing topic for brave social scientists to investigate.”

    Well, so much for that.

  137. @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Not only that, the only US ally on that list is Japan, who is economically more reliant than ever on China.

    If more Japanese were to read Steve Sailer's blog, they might realize that they are usually just lumped in with the other "Asians", or even "non-whites". And often abused with high-fives and schadenfreude about nukes having been dropped on them.

    https://twitter.com/Steve_Sailer/status/1274603988646653955

    Japan's political tradition is Gekokujō 下克上(げこくじょう)"the low overcomes the high". It would be rather dramatic if they were to pull a gekokujō on the US, in favor of China.

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    Were Japan ever to switch sides, “our” side would be up that creek where no paddle may be found.

    No precision stepper motors for ASML in Holland, no ultra-pure silicon and other chemicals for Taiwan – and as we know, they have most of Boeing’s secrets.

    There is though the small matter of over 100 US military bases in Japan, although some of these are small comms stations. If they were politely asked to leave, and the US said “no”, what could Japan do?

    • Agree: HammerJack
    • Replies: @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Soviets went under not when Russians were asked to leave, but when Russian SFSR wanted out.

    Also, today happens to be the anniversary of the last gekokujō in protest of American occupation:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/df/Mishima_Yukio_1970.jpg

    But I wouldn't worry about a repeat of such ;) China puts out enough of anti-Japanese propaganda to keep Japan into US' orbit.

    Sailer's Weltanschauung of "us whites" or "us gentiles" doesn't really function in geopolitics. Not just Japan, Germany is ever more reliant on China, and that's despite some allegations of cyberattacks


    Beijing is training a new cyber army on 40 square kilometers in Wuhan. An exclusive study now shows how dangerous China's cyber warriors are for German companies.
     
    https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/china-wie-chinesische-hacker-angriffe-auf-europa-vorbereiten/29511428.html

    VW is moving the development of new electric cars to Hefei. 3,000 Chinese developers are supposed to catch up with BYD, Tesla and Co. There is no sign of a move away from China in the German auto industry – on the contrary.
     
    https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/unternehmen/vw-entmachtet-wolfsburg-und-staerkt-china-entwicklung-neuer-elektroautos-19336897.html

    Berlin and Tokyo follows the lead of Washington and Wall Street, because of the latter's rapprochement with China, so they are.

    Replies: @Anonymous

  138. @Alden
    @Jus' Sayin'...

    Natural selection has provided men with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go attack other races and create mixed race babies by rape, bring back enemy men and women slaves into their societies and create mulatto quadroon octoroon and 16tharoons to pollute their people’s ethnic purity.

    Natural selection has made women significantly smaller and weaker than men. Thus able to be raped more easily and thus propagate the species.

    Christopher Columbus sailors on the first expedition brought syphllis to Europe. As recorded in his log by Dr Bernal the ship’s doctor. Syphillis that could only have come from the native Caribbean women. Or men. If the Carib women gave the White sailors syphllis the White sailors could have given a few of the women mixed race babies.

    Some famous AmericansWhite fathers black Indian whatever mothers:

    The first known was the son of John Rolfe and Pocahontas. Moving forward to 1620 mulatto babies born of White Jamestown men and African women who arrived in 1619.

    Whoever the father or fathers of quadroon Sally Hemings 6 octoroon children was or were the fact is they were fair skinned some red heads. And resembled the Jefferson family. Thomas, Randolph some other Jefferson White man her children were 88 percent White 12 percent black. DNA can’t prove Thomas but it does prove a Jefferson White man.
    Sally’s father was White so was her grandfather and great grandfather

    Frederick Douglas the black former slave recruited by the abolitionists as spokesman for abolition of slavery. His father was the White owner of his black mother. He was a mulatto.

    18th and 19th century European visitors to the American south and Washington DC were astonished at the numerous light skinned blacks. Including light skinned blacks in the slave auctions. Reaction was; how could a man sell his own children at auction?

    Love vs Virginia 1968. That was the case ACLU ADL and other Jewish communist front groups brought against the state of Virginia plaintiffs Mr and Mrs Love a White man black woman couple. Love overturned the miscegenation laws of Virginia.

    Mr Love was pure White. But in Virginia who knows who his White man ancestors were making babies with. Mrs Love was a pass for White quadroon In fact they lived in a White Washington DC neighborhood and their children attended a segregated White school.

    Black activist hustler Jesse Jackson. Yes his fathers are very Bantu. But his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges. He and entourage strutted in. Lemon colored skin The story was that his father was an older married black neighbor who couldn’t leave wife and marry jacksons 16 year old mom. Cover up and lie father was a teen age White boy. Whose father was a politician the elected county sheriff. Or what parent Jackson got both his lemon colored skin and political talent.

    Strom Thurmond the long term senator. Around 2000 it was revealed he had an octoroon daughter retired Los Angeles school teacher. Another teen Romance. His family sent her to college. Strom had a lifelong relationship with her. At least one White father of an illegitimate black kid did the right thing.

    Last but not least the famous communist black panther Angela Davis. The black panther/college professor who bought the guns used to kill 11 people in a California county courtroom. Soon became vice president of a university. Her maternal grandfather was White. Her great grand fathers were White. Plus she’s descended from one of the White men who arrived on the Mayflower.

    White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Reg Cæsar, @Colin Wright, @YetAnotherAnon, @Jus' Sayin'...

    “White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men”

    Is it really? Maybe it’s just me, but I have my doubts. Who produced that stat, the ADL?

  139. @cthulhu
    @Achmed E. Newman

    The lead author on the paper is one Cory Jane Clark, who is sticking her neck out a bit (maybe more than a bit) by putting her name as lead author on a paper that, although not as full-throated anti-crazy as one might like, is still a significant milestone in calling academe to account for its intellectual malfeasance over the last decades. Hell, she’s explicitly saying that women are more censorious than men! That’s pretty ballsy.

    One suspects her extensive co-author list (mostly men well-established in academia and some, like Pinker and Jussim, who have proven their abilities and willingness to stare down the cancel culture ayatollahs) is partly there to provide top cover and partly there to provide sheer mass, as in “you can’t fire all of us” as you said in another comment.

    And I looked at her webpage; she has pictures of her as an Ohio University cheerleader! For a woman in social science, at an Ivy no less, celebrating one of the most unwoke things a woman can do nowadays…again, pretty gutsy to put that out there. From what I’ve seen, as Glenn Reynolds might say, I like the cut of her jib.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman

    I was sort of kidding about Margaret Mead, as I didn’t know who you were referring to, Mr. Cthulhu. Thank you for this description of the, yes, ballsy, Cory Jane Clark. Now, I might have to go search for her cheerleader pics, which I’m sure she wouldn’t mind either.

    I agree with your Instapundit standard phrase too. (He’s got a dozen of them or so. Totally O/T here, but unfortunately Professor Reynolds cannot help himself from being one big Neocon. I’d thought he’d gotten over that, but it has come out of remission.)

  140. @Stan Adams
    @Reg Cæsar

    In Miami the public schools gave the kids the whole week off. That’s unprecedented.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    In Miami the public schools gave the kids the whole week off. That’s unprecedented.

    Same in our district. So one kid got nine days off, the others only five. And the latter don’t even get snow days! (Nor do yours– Miami has seen flurries once in the past century.)

    In the service, we got five-and-a-half days, knocking off at noon on Wednesday. Except the duty crew(s). I can’t remember if our schools had a whole or half day on Wednesday. Our family spent Thanksgivings in four different states to boot. Thank God not in a Canadian province, where it’s celebrated on a Monday. That’s alien.

    (Advice: never, ever visit Canada on our Columbus Day weekend. We made that error in 2007. The cities empty and the roads are packed.)

  141. @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘Sciences does progress, you know!’

    [CW] But at least of late, in which direction?

    Who now would be suicidal enough to confirm these findings and their significance?

    They could be spurious — or they could be valid.
     
    Well, part of my point is that psychology is not, and never has been, much of a science.

    A fact that most natural scientists take for granted, of course.

    Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if "social scientists" or "behavioral scientists" come up... well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    ‘…Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.’

    ! I’d describe that as unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude.

    That they deal with matters that aren’t subject to absolute verification or precise interpretation doesn’t make the social sciences less valid. Much about it remains unclear, but the First Crusade indubitably occurred. Past a point, you just have to accept the lack of clarity, and make an educated guess. There may be a truth, but you can’t have it. Not with certainty; that has to be accepted.

    Moreover, the dogmatism and assumption that absolute certainty is possible that marks the physical scientists can be literally obstructive when it comes to gaining a valid understanding of human affairs; this is part of what is objectionable in Jered Diamond, for example. He doesn’t shed light so much as he fosters delusion. Now the reader understands it all.

    Human affairs are more nebulous than that; and an equally ‘soft’ sense of how their affairs usually go is of more use than a quest to decide whether Pope Urban II did or did not ‘start’ the First Crusade with his call to arms at Clermont.

    Of course this attitude also opens the door to bias and even intellectual fraud: some of the arguments about Moorish Spain illustrate this all too well, and see Joan Peters’ From Time Immemorial. However, it decidedly does not improve matters when ex-physical scientists wade into the fray with their implicit assumption that it can all be reduced to exactly one process and that process defined with absolute certainty.

    At least when it comes to history, you just need to learn about it, and as I have, I’ll insist that just as I’ll defer to your judgement about relativity, you should defer to mine about National Socialism.

    • Replies: @New Dealer
    @Colin Wright

    I'd like to offer some additional precision to Colin Wright's point about the human sciences.

    I learned it from cognitive scientist/philosopher's "fundherentist" (observations are fundamental, theories are evaluated by coherence) philosophy of science, particularly his Conceptual Revolutions, which rescues and corrects Kuhn. His webpage links to almost all of his articles.


    Thagard examines the Copernican and the Darwinian revolutions and the emergence of Newton’s mechanics, Lavoisier’s oxygen theory, Einstein’s theory of relativity, quantum theory, and the geological theory of plate tectonics. He discusses the psychological mechanisms by which new concepts and links between them are formed, and advances a computational theory of explanatory coherence to show how new theories can be judged to be superior to previous ones.
     
    Suppose we measure coherence of a theory on a measure of -1.0 to +1.0. If you have millions of observations, mostly of high precision, the most coherent theory after some while will account for almost all of the observations, +o.98 (there are still anomalies that, should they accumulate, could justify a new leading theory in the future). Rejected theories will be near zero, or negative (mildly to fully incoherent).

    In contrast, in the human sciences there are far fewer observations, and they are usually more ambiguous. Thagard's toy parallel-constraint-satisfaction model illustrates how that paucity and noisiness of observations can result in not a single supported theory but several with greater or lesser meaningful support and other theories clearly rejected. For example, an informed investigator could find right-liberalism 60% coherent with observations and left-liberalism coherent with 30% of observations, but monarchy, fascism, communist would score negatively and be completely rejected. He'd think right-liberalism best supported but not certain, and also think left-liberalism is less supported but not rejectable.

    You can say, ick, that's not like physics, but applying the scientific method to yield imperfect results still will outperform Thanksgiving-table arguments and opinion journalism.

    I'll stop there, if interested see Thagard.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @res

    , @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘…Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.’

    [CW] ! I’d describe that as unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude.
     
    "The facts, ma'am, just the facts."

    I'm afraid, old pal, you are becoming a bit of a snowflake. You call it being "unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude," but in fact I really am just stating the facts as to natural scientists' overwhelming attitude towards social and behavioral "scientists."

    I'd think by now that you would have picked up on the fact that I positively revel in making fun of arrogant ignoramuses, which certainly includes most social and behavioral "scientists."

    And let's be honest here: go out and ask a dozen random people on the street to name a science. Perhaps they will answer "chemistry" or "astronomy." But I doubt a single one will say "sociology"!

    And it would be stunning if most of them listed one of the social or behavioral "sciences" rather than one of the real sciences.

    CW also wrote:

    That they deal with matters that aren’t subject to absolute verification or precise interpretation doesn’t make the social sciences less valid.
     
    No, what makes them less valid is arrogance, stupidity, and outright fraud.

    You have followed Sailer's ongoing discussion of the "replication crisis"? You noticed that the examples usually came from the social and behavioral "sciences," sometimes from biomedicine, but almost never from physical science?

    CW also wrote:

    At least when it comes to history, you just need to learn about it, and as I have, I’ll insist that just as I’ll defer to your judgement about relativity, you should defer to mine about National Socialism.
     
    History is generally considered one of the humanities -- in terms of the organization of universities, the operation of libraries, and just common sense -- not one of the "social sciences": e.g., in the Library of Congress classification system for libraries, "social science" is in the H section; history is in the D and E sections.

    And there is a reason for this: "science" generally refers to attempts to discover substantive, non-obvious generalizations about the real world that can be verified and become well-established.

    Natural science has certainly done that.

    "Social scientists" pretend to do that, but they have failed.

    History focuses not on universal generalizations but on particular events. Have you ever met a historian who claimed to be a "scientist"? Or someone majoring in history who claimed he was majoring in "science"?

    Most natural scientists I have known have a good deal of respect for historians, and, for that matter, musicians and a host of other professions, none of which fraudulently claim to be "science."

    After all, we scientists do not generally claim to be "artists"! Nor do artists generally claim to be "scientists."

    But social and behavioral "scientists" attempt to don the mantle of science.

    That is fraudulent and it richly deserves contempt.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

  142. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    [Hypno] Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g.
     

    It is an unproven -- and extremely doubtful -- hypothesis that g is biological, or at least that it is solely or overwhelmingly biological (of course, almost everything is at least partially biological).

    "g" is simply the observation, not all that surprising, that different sorts of intelligence have significant correlations with each other.

    Why? An interesting question to which there is not yet a definitive answer.

    What are the underlying mechanisms for "g"? Well, probably both short-term and long-term memory matter. And mental processing speed. And the ability to make connections among different ideas. And skill at symbol manipulation and handling long chains of reasoning. Oh, and spatial visualization -- which actually includes several distinct skills.

    And a bunch of things I haven't thought of.

    And how much of all of that is biological vs. educational, etc.?

    No one really knows.

    I know there is this tendency on the part of some intelligence researchers to do principal component analysis, pull out a "g" factor, and think they have discovered a real thing.

    That is pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    What they have discovered, which is indeed interesting, is that whatever the actual underlying mechanisms are, there is some spillover among different intellectual skills in terms of how they are affected by (some of) those underlying mechanisms.

    And, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    I am an actual scientist: I understand how to analyze data better than most psychologists.

    Who are not actual scientists.

    Hypno also wrote:


    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually “prove” IQ is determined by genetics within families.
     
    That is known beyond any sane doubt to be false. IQ is not "determined by genetics within families," or identical twins would have identical IQs.

    They don't.

    IQ is influenced by genetics and by many other things also.

    Very, very different from "determined"!

    Hypno also wrote:


    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean.
     
    Sorry, but that is again pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    One hypothesis here is that the White/Black IQ gap is solely genetic. Other hypotheses include the possibility that it is partially genetic and partially cultural.

    It is very, very hard to rule out that second hypothesis. Until that is done, the issue is, as a matter of science, unsettled.

    If I were making a similar point about global warming or dark matter (as I have indeed done in the past), I doubt you or most commenters here would be arguing with me.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    I don't see why we should be less demanding of claims in one field than the other.

    Bullshit remains bullshit.

    To be sure, without bullshit, there would not be much content on Web discussion forums like this one!

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Hypnotoad666

    Dave, are you going to respond to the admixture studies point?

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    Dave, are you going to respond to the admixture studies point?
     
    The admixture studies are, of course, further confirmation of genetic group-differences. (Although, it would be nice if they had a lot more admixed people evenly spread along the cline from 19%-100% European). But environmentalists can always avoid drawing any unwanted conclusion from the admix data by just positing an evidence-free hypothesis like "what if being part white changes your environment in some way that also changes your IQ?"

    As long as unfalsifiable, mystery environment factors can prevent conclusions from being drawn, the scientific method is not operable.

  143. @PhysicistDave
    @Pendragon

    Pendragon wrote to me:


    Yes, it progresses that is why I told you the genetic differences between bonobos and homo-sapiens then showed you the genetic distance between Yorubas, Han Chinese from Shanghai and Yorubas and the English. The latter’s genetic distance , from Yorubas, is about roughly half the genetic distance of Bonobos from homo-sapiens.
     
    I assume that is a lame attempt at a joke.

    Pendragon also wrote:

    Straw man much ? I told you that brain scans and computer algorithms will probably replace IQ tests :
     
    Well... another joke, I suppose.

    I don't think you are very smart, now are you? Or funny.

    Pendragon also wrote:

    A supergenius knows both science e.g. quantum physics and philosophy and you probably know zero about philosophy.
     
    Well, probably more than you. But, let's be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.

    You might try reading the evaluation of philosophy by the late Aussie philosopher David Stove "What Is Wrong With Our Thoughts": see here. And, yes, Stove was a bit off himself, which confirms his thesis!

    Simple rule of thumb: when someone like you appeals to philosophy to buttress his point, it really, truly is time to start laughing!

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    ‘Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.’

    As I recall, it tends to boil down to not being able to determine much of anything. I have vague memories of thrashing through one proof of God’s existence; okay, you’ve done it, but in the process, you’ve redefined God so that he is simply reality. Great: reality exists. That kind of follows from the fact that we’re around to discuss it.

    And? Not much more, in the end. I tend to a more subjective view of things. Because I feel it, morality exists — for me. A cat doesn’t feel it — and so it’s absurd to judge him by it. This of course opens up the door to unending conflict, but maybe that’s just the way it is.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.’

    [CW] As I recall, it tends to boil down to not being able to determine much of anything. I have vague memories of thrashing through one proof of God’s existence; okay, you’ve done it, but in the process, you’ve redefined God so that he is simply reality. Great: reality exists. That kind of follows from the fact that we’re around to discuss it.
     
    Yeah.

    The funny thing is that I am probably more positive about some philosophers than most commenters here or most Americans.

    I think that Locke's Second Treatise makes some pivotal points about individual rights and political society. I think Hume's argument concerning miracles is pretty much the last word. I think that David Chalmers, in his pioneering book The Conscious Mind, and other recent philosophers such as Colin McGinn and Philip Goff, have conclusively demolished the claim that consciousness can be explained in terms of physics as previously understood. (To be sure, I think the Nobel laureate physicist Eugene Wigner made that point pretty conclusively decades ago: see here).

    But despite the brilliance of some individual philosophers, the enterprise of philosophy taken as a whole has been a clear failure. It should really be sufficient to just mention Hegel, Schopenhauer, Bradley, Green, McTaggart, etc.

    Or the fact that Alvin Plantinga was elected as president of the American Philosophical Association, Western Division for 1981 (google the guy).

    I've noticed that numerous people on the Web appeal to the glorious value of philosophy, and yet few of them even know who McTaggart and Green were, much less Plantinga.

    They are simply poseurs, rather as if I were to pontificate about French wines... even though I myself actually have never drunk any French wine!

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Intelligent Dasein

  144. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.
     

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.
     
    Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don't work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? "Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can't rule 'em out."

    Where's this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn't "rule it out," then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn't mean squat in science.

    You've also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn't "100% environmental" (Steve's original formulation) to proving that it's "100% genetic" (Whatever, let's say it's 95%, instead).

    You're just being an emotional arm waiver, not a scientist. That's why this issue is so pointless, too many people are emotionally and socially attached to being in doubt.

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

    You’ve also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).

    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.
     
    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the "debate" is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations -- not just Europeans. On the other side is a lot of tap dancing about definitions and burdens of proof, and "what does it really mean to 'know' something, anyway?"

    There literally isn't even a serious, falsifiable hypothesis on the other side that one can debate. Their belief system boils down to: "I choose not to believe, and you can't make me." Ok, fine. But don't pretend this is science.

    Replies: @cthulhu, @PhysicistDave

    , @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to Hypnotoad666:


    [Hypno] [Dave has] moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).

    [res] Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.
     
    But, you know, Hypno lied about my position.

    I am not insisting that anyone has to prove that the Black-White IQ gap is 95 percent genetic or 95 percent cultural or whatever.

    I am merely insisting that whatever claim is made has to be shown to be the case by the usual standards employed in science.

    It is our friend Hypno who seems pretty sure that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic, apparently because he misunderstands the science and believes, as he said in his reply to you:

    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations...
     
    It is, of course, not "overwhelmingly heritable": it is something like 50/50, give or take.

    But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic. It merely leaves that as a possibility.

    Anyone who understands the population genetics involved knows this: our friend does not. (I helped my wife when she took population biology working towards her Ph.D., so I actually do know something about this -- pretty easy stuff for a physicist!)

    As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It's just a tar baby.

    Presumably, the issue will eventually be settled when the whole-genome data has been mined to the level that we can predict, say, 90 percent of the genetic component of the variance of IQ within any single race simply by looking at the genome. At that point, we can apply the same analysis to different races and either find out that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic or that only half is or that none of it is or whatever turns out to be the case.

    This whole area is like the global-warming issue: there is no scientific doubt that anthropogenic CO2 has had a warming effect on the planet. There is also no doubt that the climate has gone through fairly dramatic swings in the last two millennia (not to mention the Ice Ages!) before humans were outputting significant CO2 from fossil fuels.

    So, how much of the recent warming is due to humans and how much to natural causes? And what will be the path of climate in coming decades?

    No one really knows.

    And for pointing this out I have been alternately labeled both an evil tool of the climate alarmists and an evil associate of the climate denialists!

    Commenters on the Web do not want to hear "No one really knows" even when that is the only scientifically accurate thing to say.

    Which, I am afraid, bespeaks catastrophically bad science education in the USA.

    Replies: @res, @Hypnotoad666

  145. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Sorry, but I actually am a scientist.

    [Hypno] You keep telling people that as a substitute for actual facts or logic — which is a very unscientific appeal to alleged authority.
     
    There is nothing wrong with an appeal to authority: The "argument from authority fallacy" is itself a fallacy.

    This is generally known to anyone familiar with logic.

    Or common sense.

    In any case, I have presented detailed arguments.

    Some people here are just not intelligent enough to grasp them.

    I can also give detailed arguments explaining General Relativity, which, again, most people here are probably not intelligent enough to grasp.

    Human beings are not intellectually equal: that, again, is another fallacy prevalent on the Web.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    The “argument from authority fallacy” is itself a fallacy.

    The nuance is whether a claim to “authority” has been earned or whether it’s based on nothing more than an exalted title. With all due respect, I don’t think having “physicist” in your anon handle makes the cut for purposes of deferring to your opinions on genetics.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] The “argument from authority fallacy” is itself a fallacy.

    [Hypno] The nuance is whether a claim to “authority” has been earned or whether it’s based on nothing more than an exalted title. With all due respect, I don’t think having “physicist” in your anon handle makes the cut for purposes of deferring to your opinions on genetics.
     
    I have a Ph.D. from Stanford in physics. I have published papers in some of the world's most prestigious scientific journals. My name is on multiple patents. My wife also has a Ph.D. from Stanford, in biology, and I have on occasion helped her in her work.

    If I am not an authority entitled to judge that something is pseudo-science, exactly who is?

    Do we have to rely on astrologers to tell us that astrology is all a fake? Or practitioners of homeopathy to tell us that homeopathy is a fraud? Or who gets to judge that Velikovsky's claims are nonsense?

    The idea that only those committing scientific fraud get to judge that it is fraud is obviously ridiculous. That would make fraud the norm.

    Sorry, but if other scientists are not entitled to judge that some field is pseudo-science... well, then the scientific endeavor dies. We cannot simply rely on the "experts" in some field of pseudo-science to judge that they are engaged in pseudo-science: that way lies madness.
  146. @Frau Katze
    @Mike Tre

    Re: Irish resisting mass immigration, lack of discussion

    Several people entered comments yesterday and today about the dust-up in Dublin. You don’t see that very often, hence people don’t discuss it.

    Palestinians get more comments from the many Jew haters posting here. The Irish are almost completely free from Jews (with almost none living in Ireland).

    I doubt that these people actually like Palestinians per se, but “the enemy of my enemy is my friend.”

    Replies: @Philip Owen

    I don’t know. I am told by a Jewish friend that there was once an important question to answer in Belfast. “Are you a Protestant Jew or a Catholic Jew”. It matters in Glasgow too I believe.

  147. @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    You’ve also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).
     
    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @PhysicistDave

    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans. On the other side is a lot of tap dancing about definitions and burdens of proof, and “what does it really mean to ‘know’ something, anyway?”

    There literally isn’t even a serious, falsifiable hypothesis on the other side that one can debate. Their belief system boils down to: “I choose not to believe, and you can’t make me.” Ok, fine. But don’t pretend this is science.

    • Replies: @cthulhu
    @Hypnotoad666


    On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans.
     
    I mostly agree, although “overwhelmingly heritable” might be a bit strong. The stuff I’ve seen says that if you’re looking within a population, the source of the variation in what so-called g-loaded tests measure is about 50% genes, 10% shared environment, and 40% unshared environment. There is significant evidence this breakdown is valid across populations, but the impression I get is that the across-population comparison is not as robust as the within-population results. That’s not to say it’s wrong though. And admittedly I haven’t been looking at the research on this in the last several years, so I may be out of date.

    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment. There seems to be agreement that things like peer group are major portions of the unshared environment, and many parents tacitly understand this - hence the competition among parents to find safe and civilized places to raise their children. (These places tend to have better schools too, but the impact of better schools, beyond safe environments and non-thuggy students, is unclear.) But it seems clear that the unshared environment must involve family things too, such as how parents treat individual children, competition among siblings, and other fine-grained elements of growing up. I predict it will take a long time to unravel this, because most social “scientists” aren’t good enough or motivated enough to do the work, and (getting back to Steve’s original post) academia won’t tolerate it so it will only get done by a few lone wolves and/or those who are at the point in their careers where they no longer have any fucks to give.

    (And that 10% shared environment is probably closer to 0%, but few people are willing to state it quite that baldly. And it goes without saying that these results are all applicable for situations where the kids aren’t being abused, have enough to eat, etc.)

    Replies: @res, @rebel yell

    , @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:


    [res] Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    [Hypno] It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans.
     
    But IQ is not "overwhelmingly heritable": it is something like 50/50.

    In any case, that is largely irrelevant to explaining IQ differences between different populations: I know you are not a STEM person, but I have actually studied some population biology.

    And the fact is that that 50 percent heritability within a population is consistent with the variations between populations being completely non-genetic. Or, for that matter, 100 percent genetic.

    I know that seems counter-intuitive to non-STEM people but that is how the math works out.

    All that the significant heritability within a single population tells you is that it would not be surprising if some of the variance between populations is also genetic.

    It simply does not predict how much.

    And that is why this really is unsettled science. Anyone who understands the actual math knows that it is an error to draw the conclusion you wish to draw.

    Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @anon

  148. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Because we do know that there are also other factors within families besides genetics — identical twins do not have identical IQs.

    [Hypno] Sure. This is actually super-well understood.

    First things first. Intelligence is based on an assumed biological ability labeled g.
     

    It is an unproven -- and extremely doubtful -- hypothesis that g is biological, or at least that it is solely or overwhelmingly biological (of course, almost everything is at least partially biological).

    "g" is simply the observation, not all that surprising, that different sorts of intelligence have significant correlations with each other.

    Why? An interesting question to which there is not yet a definitive answer.

    What are the underlying mechanisms for "g"? Well, probably both short-term and long-term memory matter. And mental processing speed. And the ability to make connections among different ideas. And skill at symbol manipulation and handling long chains of reasoning. Oh, and spatial visualization -- which actually includes several distinct skills.

    And a bunch of things I haven't thought of.

    And how much of all of that is biological vs. educational, etc.?

    No one really knows.

    I know there is this tendency on the part of some intelligence researchers to do principal component analysis, pull out a "g" factor, and think they have discovered a real thing.

    That is pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    What they have discovered, which is indeed interesting, is that whatever the actual underlying mechanisms are, there is some spillover among different intellectual skills in terms of how they are affected by (some of) those underlying mechanisms.

    And, yes, I have read Warne's book.

    I am an actual scientist: I understand how to analyze data better than most psychologists.

    Who are not actual scientists.

    Hypno also wrote:


    So these super-clear correlations between genetic-relatedness and IQ actually “prove” IQ is determined by genetics within families.
     
    That is known beyond any sane doubt to be false. IQ is not "determined by genetics within families," or identical twins would have identical IQs.

    They don't.

    IQ is influenced by genetics and by many other things also.

    Very, very different from "determined"!

    Hypno also wrote:


    The obvious inference is simply that the observed B/W Gap is because the genes being passed along average one SD below the white mean.
     
    Sorry, but that is again pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    One hypothesis here is that the White/Black IQ gap is solely genetic. Other hypotheses include the possibility that it is partially genetic and partially cultural.

    It is very, very hard to rule out that second hypothesis. Until that is done, the issue is, as a matter of science, unsettled.

    If I were making a similar point about global warming or dark matter (as I have indeed done in the past), I doubt you or most commenters here would be arguing with me.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    I don't see why we should be less demanding of claims in one field than the other.

    Bullshit remains bullshit.

    To be sure, without bullshit, there would not be much content on Web discussion forums like this one!

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Hypnotoad666

    What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?

    I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don’t need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don’t know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn’t mean you can’t know when and where the planets will be. No one said: “We need to scrap the Moon landings because we don’t know the mechanisms of gravity, and therefore the observed rules of gravity might be different on the Moon.”

    Likewise, the rules of genetics could be largely established by observation before the DNA-transmission mechanism was discovered. And medicine would be decades behind if doctors had to work out exact biological mechanisms before they could perform life-saving treatments that are proven to work. Etc., etc.

    Anyway, the problem isn’t the degree of granular precision in knowing mechanisms, but being able to set and respect consistent rules for when a logical conclusion must be admitted (at least provisionally) as a scientific “fact.”

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?

    [Hypno] I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don’t need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don’t know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn’t mean you can’t know when and where the planets will be.
     
    No, but merely taking the obvious fact that things fall down and labeling that tendency "gravity" is not a scientific discovery.

    The scientific discoveries were the non-obvious facts: that all objects experience the same acceleration from gravity (absent air resistance), that gravity dies off roughly as the inverse square, etc.

    And, similarly, taking the fact that children tend to resemble their parents and labeling it "heredity" is not a scientific discovery. Mendel's discovery of the particulate nature of the hereditary material was a real scientific discovery: it was non-obvious and, indeed, quite a surprise.

    In the same way, observing the fact that some people are just plain smarter than other people and that this smarts shows up in various areas and labeling it "g" is not science: it is, at best, to use Lord Kelvin's phrase, "stamp collecting."

    Have you read Warne's book In the Know? What have the "intelligence researchers" discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?

    That smart parents tend to have smart children? That smart people tend to be smart in many aspects and in many endeavors? That being smart helps you get ahead in life? That different social and ethnic groups differ in how smart they are?

    Everyone used to take all that for granted!

    It is only because so many social and behavioral "scientists" are such incredible morons that all this needed to be proved to anyone!

    And, yes, yes, I realize that my saying this is insensitive, arrogant, patronizing, condescending, and no doubt a host of other sins whose names I have forgotten.

    But it is nonetheless true.

    And every single one of my great-great grandparents would have recognized that it is true.

    At least Russ Warne's book is not filled with lies and obvious nonsense like most books by social and behavioral "scientists."

    But let's be honest: it is filled with truisms that Warne feels have to be proven to his fellow social and behavioral "scientists" because they lack the basic sense of a nineteenth-century steamboat pilot or journalist (I assume you know whom I have in mind).

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Hypnotoad666, @res

  149. @res
    @PhysicistDave

    Dave, are you going to respond to the admixture studies point?

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    Dave, are you going to respond to the admixture studies point?

    The admixture studies are, of course, further confirmation of genetic group-differences. (Although, it would be nice if they had a lot more admixed people evenly spread along the cline from 19%-100% European). But environmentalists can always avoid drawing any unwanted conclusion from the admix data by just positing an evidence-free hypothesis like “what if being part white changes your environment in some way that also changes your IQ?”

    As long as unfalsifiable, mystery environment factors can prevent conclusions from being drawn, the scientific method is not operable.

  150. @Alden
    @Jus' Sayin'...

    Natural selection has provided men with a psychological mechanism that encourages them to go attack other races and create mixed race babies by rape, bring back enemy men and women slaves into their societies and create mulatto quadroon octoroon and 16tharoons to pollute their people’s ethnic purity.

    Natural selection has made women significantly smaller and weaker than men. Thus able to be raped more easily and thus propagate the species.

    Christopher Columbus sailors on the first expedition brought syphllis to Europe. As recorded in his log by Dr Bernal the ship’s doctor. Syphillis that could only have come from the native Caribbean women. Or men. If the Carib women gave the White sailors syphllis the White sailors could have given a few of the women mixed race babies.

    Some famous AmericansWhite fathers black Indian whatever mothers:

    The first known was the son of John Rolfe and Pocahontas. Moving forward to 1620 mulatto babies born of White Jamestown men and African women who arrived in 1619.

    Whoever the father or fathers of quadroon Sally Hemings 6 octoroon children was or were the fact is they were fair skinned some red heads. And resembled the Jefferson family. Thomas, Randolph some other Jefferson White man her children were 88 percent White 12 percent black. DNA can’t prove Thomas but it does prove a Jefferson White man.
    Sally’s father was White so was her grandfather and great grandfather

    Frederick Douglas the black former slave recruited by the abolitionists as spokesman for abolition of slavery. His father was the White owner of his black mother. He was a mulatto.

    18th and 19th century European visitors to the American south and Washington DC were astonished at the numerous light skinned blacks. Including light skinned blacks in the slave auctions. Reaction was; how could a man sell his own children at auction?

    Love vs Virginia 1968. That was the case ACLU ADL and other Jewish communist front groups brought against the state of Virginia plaintiffs Mr and Mrs Love a White man black woman couple. Love overturned the miscegenation laws of Virginia.

    Mr Love was pure White. But in Virginia who knows who his White man ancestors were making babies with. Mrs Love was a pass for White quadroon In fact they lived in a White Washington DC neighborhood and their children attended a segregated White school.

    Black activist hustler Jesse Jackson. Yes his fathers are very Bantu. But his skin is pale yellow, the color of lemon. How do I know this? We saw him twice. Must have been before he got his private planes to jet about stirring up trouble. In airlines first class lounges. He and entourage strutted in. Lemon colored skin The story was that his father was an older married black neighbor who couldn’t leave wife and marry jacksons 16 year old mom. Cover up and lie father was a teen age White boy. Whose father was a politician the elected county sheriff. Or what parent Jackson got both his lemon colored skin and political talent.

    Strom Thurmond the long term senator. Around 2000 it was revealed he had an octoroon daughter retired Los Angeles school teacher. Another teen Romance. His family sent her to college. Strom had a lifelong relationship with her. At least one White father of an illegitimate black kid did the right thing.

    Last but not least the famous communist black panther Angela Davis. The black panther/college professor who bought the guns used to kill 11 people in a California county courtroom. Soon became vice president of a university. Her maternal grandfather was White. Her great grand fathers were White. Plus she’s descended from one of the White men who arrived on the Mayflower.

    White woman black man porn is the most popular porn of White men you’re probably a White dork nerd who’s never got laid in his life who watches White woman black man porn 14 hours a day. Burn in hell forever and ever.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Reg Cæsar, @Colin Wright, @YetAnotherAnon, @Jus' Sayin'...

    Cool your jets, Tiny Duck. Your depiction of the WOKE’s underlying insecurity and envy of White heterosexual men is too spot on to amount to effective lampooning.

  151. @Joe Stalin
    @YetAnotherAnon


    Amid sluggish steel demand caused by slowdown in new home constructions and shrinking overseas demand for Chinese manufactured goods, whether any government-mandated steel output cuts could be implemented strictly would be crucial for the steel industry to contain steel output and maintain healthy profit margins for 2023, market participants said.

    https://www.spglobal.com/commodityinsights/en/market-insights/latest-news/metals/041023-chinas-huge-steel-capacity-beleaguers-steel-market-government-to-order-output-cuts-soon
     
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=its6YFKlFiI

    Replies: @YetAnotherAnon

    Tell me again the one about the Ghost Cities, Grandma !

    • Replies: @Joe Stalin
    @YetAnotherAnon


    True fact: most PRC citizens are POOR.
     
    https://youtu.be/r2lj_Jt859A
    [4:54]
  152. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    '...Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.'
     

    ! I'd describe that as unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude.

    That they deal with matters that aren't subject to absolute verification or precise interpretation doesn't make the social sciences less valid. Much about it remains unclear, but the First Crusade indubitably occurred. Past a point, you just have to accept the lack of clarity, and make an educated guess. There may be a truth, but you can't have it. Not with certainty; that has to be accepted.

    Moreover, the dogmatism and assumption that absolute certainty is possible that marks the physical scientists can be literally obstructive when it comes to gaining a valid understanding of human affairs; this is part of what is objectionable in Jered Diamond, for example. He doesn't shed light so much as he fosters delusion. Now the reader understands it all.

    Human affairs are more nebulous than that; and an equally 'soft' sense of how their affairs usually go is of more use than a quest to decide whether Pope Urban II did or did not 'start' the First Crusade with his call to arms at Clermont.

    Of course this attitude also opens the door to bias and even intellectual fraud: some of the arguments about Moorish Spain illustrate this all too well, and see Joan Peters' From Time Immemorial. However, it decidedly does not improve matters when ex-physical scientists wade into the fray with their implicit assumption that it can all be reduced to exactly one process and that process defined with absolute certainty.

    At least when it comes to history, you just need to learn about it, and as I have, I'll insist that just as I'll defer to your judgement about relativity, you should defer to mine about National Socialism.

    Replies: @New Dealer, @PhysicistDave

    I’d like to offer some additional precision to Colin Wright’s point about the human sciences.

    I learned it from cognitive scientist/philosopher’s “fundherentist” (observations are fundamental, theories are evaluated by coherence) philosophy of science, particularly his Conceptual Revolutions, which rescues and corrects Kuhn. His webpage links to almost all of his articles.

    Thagard examines the Copernican and the Darwinian revolutions and the emergence of Newton’s mechanics, Lavoisier’s oxygen theory, Einstein’s theory of relativity, quantum theory, and the geological theory of plate tectonics. He discusses the psychological mechanisms by which new concepts and links between them are formed, and advances a computational theory of explanatory coherence to show how new theories can be judged to be superior to previous ones.

    Suppose we measure coherence of a theory on a measure of -1.0 to +1.0. If you have millions of observations, mostly of high precision, the most coherent theory after some while will account for almost all of the observations, +o.98 (there are still anomalies that, should they accumulate, could justify a new leading theory in the future). Rejected theories will be near zero, or negative (mildly to fully incoherent).

    In contrast, in the human sciences there are far fewer observations, and they are usually more ambiguous. Thagard’s toy parallel-constraint-satisfaction model illustrates how that paucity and noisiness of observations can result in not a single supported theory but several with greater or lesser meaningful support and other theories clearly rejected. For example, an informed investigator could find right-liberalism 60% coherent with observations and left-liberalism coherent with 30% of observations, but monarchy, fascism, communist would score negatively and be completely rejected. He’d think right-liberalism best supported but not certain, and also think left-liberalism is less supported but not rejectable.

    You can say, ick, that’s not like physics, but applying the scientific method to yield imperfect results still will outperform Thanksgiving-table arguments and opinion journalism.

    I’ll stop there, if interested see Thagard.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @New Dealer


    'You can say, ick, that’s not like physics, but applying the scientific method to yield imperfect results still will outperform Thanksgiving-table arguments and opinion journalism.'
     
    But will it? In a world dominated by a successful National Socialism, wouldn't that be self-evidently the most successful model?

    ...and ditto for absolute monarchy. Consider Europe circa 1750. Well, what's working? Peter the Great, or Poland?

    This is the fun bit about the social 'sciences.' Unlike, say, physics, the ultimate measure is man -- and all the subjectivity that flows therefrom. For example, many of the arguments for modern Western secular democracy boil down to saying 'we are better at living up to our own values than anyone who has preceded us.' Try telling Roland about your egalitarian social-democratic paradise. For that matter, try telling his sister. They'd both gaze at you with incomprehension mixed with revulsion. Their serfs might be inclined to give it a whirl -- but who cares what serfs think? My God! What abomination are you advocating?

    ...and indeed. In that day and age, it would have been an abomination. I can't see any good coming of it at all.

    , @res
    @New Dealer

    Thanks for the Conceptual Revolutions reference. Sounds interesting.

  153. @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.
     
    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the "debate" is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations -- not just Europeans. On the other side is a lot of tap dancing about definitions and burdens of proof, and "what does it really mean to 'know' something, anyway?"

    There literally isn't even a serious, falsifiable hypothesis on the other side that one can debate. Their belief system boils down to: "I choose not to believe, and you can't make me." Ok, fine. But don't pretend this is science.

    Replies: @cthulhu, @PhysicistDave

    On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans.

    I mostly agree, although “overwhelmingly heritable” might be a bit strong. The stuff I’ve seen says that if you’re looking within a population, the source of the variation in what so-called g-loaded tests measure is about 50% genes, 10% shared environment, and 40% unshared environment. There is significant evidence this breakdown is valid across populations, but the impression I get is that the across-population comparison is not as robust as the within-population results. That’s not to say it’s wrong though. And admittedly I haven’t been looking at the research on this in the last several years, so I may be out of date.

    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment. There seems to be agreement that things like peer group are major portions of the unshared environment, and many parents tacitly understand this – hence the competition among parents to find safe and civilized places to raise their children. (These places tend to have better schools too, but the impact of better schools, beyond safe environments and non-thuggy students, is unclear.) But it seems clear that the unshared environment must involve family things too, such as how parents treat individual children, competition among siblings, and other fine-grained elements of growing up. I predict it will take a long time to unravel this, because most social “scientists” aren’t good enough or motivated enough to do the work, and (getting back to Steve’s original post) academia won’t tolerate it so it will only get done by a few lone wolves and/or those who are at the point in their careers where they no longer have any fucks to give.

    (And that 10% shared environment is probably closer to 0%, but few people are willing to state it quite that baldly. And it goes without saying that these results are all applicable for situations where the kids aren’t being abused, have enough to eat, etc.)

    • Replies: @res
    @cthulhu

    Important to remember that "unshared environment" also includes things like measurement error.

    A fairly long look at some components of unshared (aka non-shared) environment.
    http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/03/16/non-shared-environment-doesnt-just-mean-schools-and-peers/

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    , @rebel yell
    @cthulhu


    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment.
     
    Take a look at Judith Harris's book - Pinker basically endorses her view. Family environment has no impact at all. Which suggests that social/economic environment has no impact, since families would reflect that. The mystery element in the environment may just be the random, non-systemic differences between our experiences. Which makes sense - any systemic differences in our environments would be reflected in our genetic variance, since our genes equip us to respond and adapt to those systemic environmental factors. It's the one-off experiences that will influence us independent of our genes.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Achmed E. Newman

  154. @Steve Sailer
    @Corpse Tooth

    Thanks, Corpse Tooth, for your opinion on who is the creep.

    Replies: @Corpse Tooth

    Corpse Tooth is my pirate name.

  155. @Mr. Anon
    @Mike Tre


    You know what movie has zero token negroes in it? My Big Fat Greek Wedding.
     
    The sequel did however have a token homosexual.

    And the most recent sequel (came out this year) had a "non-binary" character, although it was mostly soft-pedaled and the character in question was not some weird "It's Pat" amalgam but was quite clearly a woman.

    The first one wasn't bad. The next two were a chore. My wife liked these movies, so I know more about them than I care to.

    BTW, Nia Vardalos is a pretty woman, although she kind of has "The Crazy Eyes".

    Replies: @Mike Tre

    The first one was a decent and lighthearted ethnic study (produced by the Greatest Patriotic American That Ever Lived: Tom Hanks (and his wife) ) – but the underlying message is the boilerplate replacement message pushed on whites. A clannish, self segregating, opportunistic ethnic group immigrates to the US, breeds like crazy, does not assimilate, looks down on the host population, and where a clearly patriarchal family requires a native white male to submit to their cultural lifestyle in order to marry a daughter (in contrast to most historical situations). the interloping male’s family is portrayed as cartoonishly uptight, dull, dry, humorless WASP snobs, that is, until they are exposed to the vibrant diversity of the family of their daughter in law.

    Blonde haired blue eyed white girls are mean to Tula because of course they are direct descendants of Hitler’s youth.

    The father Gus (the actor who play’s him is outstanding, no doubt) is a Greek exceptionalist which immediately begs the question: If Greece is so great, and Greeks are so advanced, why did you have to come to the US at all?

    Yes I know it’s just a movie. But it is one more brick in the wall of the anti-white narrative pushed in movies since their creation.

    • Agree: Mr. Anon
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @Mike Tre


    Yes I know it’s just a movie. But it is one more brick in the wall of the anti-white narrative pushed in movies since their creation.
     
    Interesting review. Thank you. I had no idea that Hollywood’s anti-White content went back that far. I assumed it was the result of a recent coup. Who is pushing this narrative, and why?
    , @Mr. Anon
    @Mike Tre


    – but the underlying message is the boilerplate replacement message pushed on whites.
     
    I hadn't thought about it before, but you are right.

    I did notice the way the WASPs were portrayed as dull, colorless, without any "culture" of their own.
    , @Anonymous
    @Mike Tre


    looks down on the host population, and where a clearly patriarchal family requires a native white male to submit to their cultural lifestyle in order to marry a daughter (in contrast to most historical situations). the interloping male’s family is portrayed as cartoonishly uptight, dull, dry, humorless WASP snobs
     
    That's not necessarily "the Agenda". And it's not just a Hollywood trope. Uptight, snobbish and somewhat dull and colorless is just what Northern Europeans tend to be seen as by other Europeans. It's just the perception due to different cultural norms. And they have plenty of not so flattering views of their own on other cultures. It's not a big deal. As for being cartoonish, it's a comedy.

    The family from a more conservative culture pushing the guy from a more relaxed culture to adapt somewhat before they'll fully approve is a common enough phenomenon.

    Of course Anglos will be seen by many as not having a culture of their own in a country where their culture is the mainstream. After all, the whole movie is about how very wacky and exotic Greeks are. And the father's over the top nationalism is clearly meant to be seen as ridiculous, as are some other aspects of the culture.

    Were the filmmakers supposed to make an ethnic comedy without leaning into ethnic stereotypes? How or why would they have done that?
  156. Anonymous[210] • Disclaimer says:
    @Mike Tre
    @Mr. Anon

    The first one was a decent and lighthearted ethnic study (produced by the Greatest Patriotic American That Ever Lived: Tom Hanks (and his wife) ) - but the underlying message is the boilerplate replacement message pushed on whites. A clannish, self segregating, opportunistic ethnic group immigrates to the US, breeds like crazy, does not assimilate, looks down on the host population, and where a clearly patriarchal family requires a native white male to submit to their cultural lifestyle in order to marry a daughter (in contrast to most historical situations). the interloping male's family is portrayed as cartoonishly uptight, dull, dry, humorless WASP snobs, that is, until they are exposed to the vibrant diversity of the family of their daughter in law.

    Blonde haired blue eyed white girls are mean to Tula because of course they are direct descendants of Hitler's youth.

    The father Gus (the actor who play's him is outstanding, no doubt) is a Greek exceptionalist which immediately begs the question: If Greece is so great, and Greeks are so advanced, why did you have to come to the US at all?

    Yes I know it's just a movie. But it is one more brick in the wall of the anti-white narrative pushed in movies since their creation.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @Anonymous

    Yes I know it’s just a movie. But it is one more brick in the wall of the anti-white narrative pushed in movies since their creation.

    Interesting review. Thank you. I had no idea that Hollywood’s anti-White content went back that far. I assumed it was the result of a recent coup. Who is pushing this narrative, and why?

  157. @YetAnotherAnon
    @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms

    Were Japan ever to switch sides, "our" side would be up that creek where no paddle may be found.

    No precision stepper motors for ASML in Holland, no ultra-pure silicon and other chemicals for Taiwan - and as we know, they have most of Boeing's secrets.

    There is though the small matter of over 100 US military bases in Japan, although some of these are small comms stations. If they were politely asked to leave, and the US said "no", what could Japan do?

    Replies: @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms

    Soviets went under not when Russians were asked to leave, but when Russian SFSR wanted out.

    Also, today happens to be the anniversary of the last gekokujō in protest of American occupation:

    But I wouldn’t worry about a repeat of such 😉 China puts out enough of anti-Japanese propaganda to keep Japan into US’ orbit.

    Sailer’s Weltanschauung of “us whites” or “us gentiles” doesn’t really function in geopolitics. Not just Japan, Germany is ever more reliant on China, and that’s despite some allegations of cyberattacks

    Beijing is training a new cyber army on 40 square kilometers in Wuhan. An exclusive study now shows how dangerous China’s cyber warriors are for German companies.

    https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/china-wie-chinesische-hacker-angriffe-auf-europa-vorbereiten/29511428.html

    VW is moving the development of new electric cars to Hefei. 3,000 Chinese developers are supposed to catch up with BYD, Tesla and Co. There is no sign of a move away from China in the German auto industry – on the contrary.

    https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/unternehmen/vw-entmachtet-wolfsburg-und-staerkt-china-entwicklung-neuer-elektroautos-19336897.html

    Berlin and Tokyo follows the lead of Washington and Wall Street, because of the latter’s rapprochement with China, so they are.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms


    Sailer’s Weltanschauung of “us whites” or “us gentiles” doesn’t really function in geopolitics.
     
    Sailer doesn’t have that outlook.
  158. @China Japan and Korea Bromance of Three Kingdoms
    @YetAnotherAnon

    Soviets went under not when Russians were asked to leave, but when Russian SFSR wanted out.

    Also, today happens to be the anniversary of the last gekokujō in protest of American occupation:

    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/d/df/Mishima_Yukio_1970.jpg

    But I wouldn't worry about a repeat of such ;) China puts out enough of anti-Japanese propaganda to keep Japan into US' orbit.

    Sailer's Weltanschauung of "us whites" or "us gentiles" doesn't really function in geopolitics. Not just Japan, Germany is ever more reliant on China, and that's despite some allegations of cyberattacks


    Beijing is training a new cyber army on 40 square kilometers in Wuhan. An exclusive study now shows how dangerous China's cyber warriors are for German companies.
     
    https://www.handelsblatt.com/politik/deutschland/china-wie-chinesische-hacker-angriffe-auf-europa-vorbereiten/29511428.html

    VW is moving the development of new electric cars to Hefei. 3,000 Chinese developers are supposed to catch up with BYD, Tesla and Co. There is no sign of a move away from China in the German auto industry – on the contrary.
     
    https://www.faz.net/aktuell/wirtschaft/unternehmen/vw-entmachtet-wolfsburg-und-staerkt-china-entwicklung-neuer-elektroautos-19336897.html

    Berlin and Tokyo follows the lead of Washington and Wall Street, because of the latter's rapprochement with China, so they are.

    Replies: @Anonymous

    Sailer’s Weltanschauung of “us whites” or “us gentiles” doesn’t really function in geopolitics.

    Sailer doesn’t have that outlook.

  159. @New Dealer
    @Colin Wright

    I'd like to offer some additional precision to Colin Wright's point about the human sciences.

    I learned it from cognitive scientist/philosopher's "fundherentist" (observations are fundamental, theories are evaluated by coherence) philosophy of science, particularly his Conceptual Revolutions, which rescues and corrects Kuhn. His webpage links to almost all of his articles.


    Thagard examines the Copernican and the Darwinian revolutions and the emergence of Newton’s mechanics, Lavoisier’s oxygen theory, Einstein’s theory of relativity, quantum theory, and the geological theory of plate tectonics. He discusses the psychological mechanisms by which new concepts and links between them are formed, and advances a computational theory of explanatory coherence to show how new theories can be judged to be superior to previous ones.
     
    Suppose we measure coherence of a theory on a measure of -1.0 to +1.0. If you have millions of observations, mostly of high precision, the most coherent theory after some while will account for almost all of the observations, +o.98 (there are still anomalies that, should they accumulate, could justify a new leading theory in the future). Rejected theories will be near zero, or negative (mildly to fully incoherent).

    In contrast, in the human sciences there are far fewer observations, and they are usually more ambiguous. Thagard's toy parallel-constraint-satisfaction model illustrates how that paucity and noisiness of observations can result in not a single supported theory but several with greater or lesser meaningful support and other theories clearly rejected. For example, an informed investigator could find right-liberalism 60% coherent with observations and left-liberalism coherent with 30% of observations, but monarchy, fascism, communist would score negatively and be completely rejected. He'd think right-liberalism best supported but not certain, and also think left-liberalism is less supported but not rejectable.

    You can say, ick, that's not like physics, but applying the scientific method to yield imperfect results still will outperform Thanksgiving-table arguments and opinion journalism.

    I'll stop there, if interested see Thagard.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @res

    ‘You can say, ick, that’s not like physics, but applying the scientific method to yield imperfect results still will outperform Thanksgiving-table arguments and opinion journalism.’

    But will it? In a world dominated by a successful National Socialism, wouldn’t that be self-evidently the most successful model?

    …and ditto for absolute monarchy. Consider Europe circa 1750. Well, what’s working? Peter the Great, or Poland?

    This is the fun bit about the social ‘sciences.’ Unlike, say, physics, the ultimate measure is man — and all the subjectivity that flows therefrom. For example, many of the arguments for modern Western secular democracy boil down to saying ‘we are better at living up to our own values than anyone who has preceded us.’ Try telling Roland about your egalitarian social-democratic paradise. For that matter, try telling his sister. They’d both gaze at you with incomprehension mixed with revulsion. Their serfs might be inclined to give it a whirl — but who cares what serfs think? My God! What abomination are you advocating?

    …and indeed. In that day and age, it would have been an abomination. I can’t see any good coming of it at all.

  160. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    '...Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.'
     

    ! I'd describe that as unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude.

    That they deal with matters that aren't subject to absolute verification or precise interpretation doesn't make the social sciences less valid. Much about it remains unclear, but the First Crusade indubitably occurred. Past a point, you just have to accept the lack of clarity, and make an educated guess. There may be a truth, but you can't have it. Not with certainty; that has to be accepted.

    Moreover, the dogmatism and assumption that absolute certainty is possible that marks the physical scientists can be literally obstructive when it comes to gaining a valid understanding of human affairs; this is part of what is objectionable in Jered Diamond, for example. He doesn't shed light so much as he fosters delusion. Now the reader understands it all.

    Human affairs are more nebulous than that; and an equally 'soft' sense of how their affairs usually go is of more use than a quest to decide whether Pope Urban II did or did not 'start' the First Crusade with his call to arms at Clermont.

    Of course this attitude also opens the door to bias and even intellectual fraud: some of the arguments about Moorish Spain illustrate this all too well, and see Joan Peters' From Time Immemorial. However, it decidedly does not improve matters when ex-physical scientists wade into the fray with their implicit assumption that it can all be reduced to exactly one process and that process defined with absolute certainty.

    At least when it comes to history, you just need to learn about it, and as I have, I'll insist that just as I'll defer to your judgement about relativity, you should defer to mine about National Socialism.

    Replies: @New Dealer, @PhysicistDave

    Colin Wright wrote to me:

    [Dave] ‘…Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.’

    [CW] ! I’d describe that as unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude.

    “The facts, ma’am, just the facts.”

    I’m afraid, old pal, you are becoming a bit of a snowflake. You call it being “unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude,” but in fact I really am just stating the facts as to natural scientists’ overwhelming attitude towards social and behavioral “scientists.”

    I’d think by now that you would have picked up on the fact that I positively revel in making fun of arrogant ignoramuses, which certainly includes most social and behavioral “scientists.”

    And let’s be honest here: go out and ask a dozen random people on the street to name a science. Perhaps they will answer “chemistry” or “astronomy.” But I doubt a single one will say “sociology”!

    And it would be stunning if most of them listed one of the social or behavioral “sciences” rather than one of the real sciences.

    CW also wrote:

    That they deal with matters that aren’t subject to absolute verification or precise interpretation doesn’t make the social sciences less valid.

    No, what makes them less valid is arrogance, stupidity, and outright fraud.

    You have followed Sailer’s ongoing discussion of the “replication crisis”? You noticed that the examples usually came from the social and behavioral “sciences,” sometimes from biomedicine, but almost never from physical science?

    CW also wrote:

    At least when it comes to history, you just need to learn about it, and as I have, I’ll insist that just as I’ll defer to your judgement about relativity, you should defer to mine about National Socialism.

    History is generally considered one of the humanities — in terms of the organization of universities, the operation of libraries, and just common sense — not one of the “social sciences”: e.g., in the Library of Congress classification system for libraries, “social science” is in the H section; history is in the D and E sections.

    And there is a reason for this: “science” generally refers to attempts to discover substantive, non-obvious generalizations about the real world that can be verified and become well-established.

    Natural science has certainly done that.

    “Social scientists” pretend to do that, but they have failed.

    History focuses not on universal generalizations but on particular events. Have you ever met a historian who claimed to be a “scientist”? Or someone majoring in history who claimed he was majoring in “science”?

    Most natural scientists I have known have a good deal of respect for historians, and, for that matter, musicians and a host of other professions, none of which fraudulently claim to be “science.”

    After all, we scientists do not generally claim to be “artists”! Nor do artists generally claim to be “scientists.”

    But social and behavioral “scientists” attempt to don the mantle of science.

    That is fraudulent and it richly deserves contempt.

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    '...But social and behavioral “scientists” attempt to don the mantle of science.

    That is fraudulent and it richly deserves contempt.'
     
    I fear we're talking past each other.

    However, I for one find such coinages as 'political science' irritating -- and indeed, the output of such 'scientists' tends to suffer from an excessive and spurious attempt at unqualified schematization -- I'm thinking of Huntington's The Clash of Civilizations here.

    We'll define it all so it's like acids and bases and salts and stuff.

    It doesn't bloody work, and I suspect it can't. Science is mighty fine -- but it doesn't cover everything. Some things are more suited to the disciplines that do cover them -- like history. If these fields are more subject to fraud and bias, well, that just goes with the territory. It's no more a reason to dismiss them than you would abolish astrophysics on the grounds that it's presumably difficult to devise experiments.

    The point is that some mental approaches are more suited to some fields than they are to others. The 'scientific' mindset is mighty fine for physics -- it'll prove deficient if you try to apply it to gaining an understanding of the Thirty Years War. You may find it frustrating that a field such as history is rife with unresolved disputes and subjective judgements -- but you'd be wiser to just accept that than to dismiss the possibility of all understanding on that account.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  161. @New Dealer
    @Colin Wright

    I'd like to offer some additional precision to Colin Wright's point about the human sciences.

    I learned it from cognitive scientist/philosopher's "fundherentist" (observations are fundamental, theories are evaluated by coherence) philosophy of science, particularly his Conceptual Revolutions, which rescues and corrects Kuhn. His webpage links to almost all of his articles.


    Thagard examines the Copernican and the Darwinian revolutions and the emergence of Newton’s mechanics, Lavoisier’s oxygen theory, Einstein’s theory of relativity, quantum theory, and the geological theory of plate tectonics. He discusses the psychological mechanisms by which new concepts and links between them are formed, and advances a computational theory of explanatory coherence to show how new theories can be judged to be superior to previous ones.
     
    Suppose we measure coherence of a theory on a measure of -1.0 to +1.0. If you have millions of observations, mostly of high precision, the most coherent theory after some while will account for almost all of the observations, +o.98 (there are still anomalies that, should they accumulate, could justify a new leading theory in the future). Rejected theories will be near zero, or negative (mildly to fully incoherent).

    In contrast, in the human sciences there are far fewer observations, and they are usually more ambiguous. Thagard's toy parallel-constraint-satisfaction model illustrates how that paucity and noisiness of observations can result in not a single supported theory but several with greater or lesser meaningful support and other theories clearly rejected. For example, an informed investigator could find right-liberalism 60% coherent with observations and left-liberalism coherent with 30% of observations, but monarchy, fascism, communist would score negatively and be completely rejected. He'd think right-liberalism best supported but not certain, and also think left-liberalism is less supported but not rejectable.

    You can say, ick, that's not like physics, but applying the scientific method to yield imperfect results still will outperform Thanksgiving-table arguments and opinion journalism.

    I'll stop there, if interested see Thagard.

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @res

    Thanks for the Conceptual Revolutions reference. Sounds interesting.

  162. @cthulhu
    @Hypnotoad666


    On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans.
     
    I mostly agree, although “overwhelmingly heritable” might be a bit strong. The stuff I’ve seen says that if you’re looking within a population, the source of the variation in what so-called g-loaded tests measure is about 50% genes, 10% shared environment, and 40% unshared environment. There is significant evidence this breakdown is valid across populations, but the impression I get is that the across-population comparison is not as robust as the within-population results. That’s not to say it’s wrong though. And admittedly I haven’t been looking at the research on this in the last several years, so I may be out of date.

    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment. There seems to be agreement that things like peer group are major portions of the unshared environment, and many parents tacitly understand this - hence the competition among parents to find safe and civilized places to raise their children. (These places tend to have better schools too, but the impact of better schools, beyond safe environments and non-thuggy students, is unclear.) But it seems clear that the unshared environment must involve family things too, such as how parents treat individual children, competition among siblings, and other fine-grained elements of growing up. I predict it will take a long time to unravel this, because most social “scientists” aren’t good enough or motivated enough to do the work, and (getting back to Steve’s original post) academia won’t tolerate it so it will only get done by a few lone wolves and/or those who are at the point in their careers where they no longer have any fucks to give.

    (And that 10% shared environment is probably closer to 0%, but few people are willing to state it quite that baldly. And it goes without saying that these results are all applicable for situations where the kids aren’t being abused, have enough to eat, etc.)

    Replies: @res, @rebel yell

    Important to remember that “unshared environment” also includes things like measurement error.

    A fairly long look at some components of unshared (aka non-shared) environment.
    http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/03/16/non-shared-environment-doesnt-just-mean-schools-and-peers/

    • Agree: cthulhu
    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    Important to remember that “unshared environment” also includes things like measurement error.
     
    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).

    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I've never seen anyone make this point before.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one's "true IQ" actually does fluctuates day-to-day -- I'm not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @res

  163. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?
     
    I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don't need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don't know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn't mean you can't know when and where the planets will be. No one said: "We need to scrap the Moon landings because we don't know the mechanisms of gravity, and therefore the observed rules of gravity might be different on the Moon."

    Likewise, the rules of genetics could be largely established by observation before the DNA-transmission mechanism was discovered. And medicine would be decades behind if doctors had to work out exact biological mechanisms before they could perform life-saving treatments that are proven to work. Etc., etc.

    Anyway, the problem isn't the degree of granular precision in knowing mechanisms, but being able to set and respect consistent rules for when a logical conclusion must be admitted (at least provisionally) as a scientific "fact."

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?

    [Hypno] I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don’t need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don’t know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn’t mean you can’t know when and where the planets will be.

    No, but merely taking the obvious fact that things fall down and labeling that tendency “gravity” is not a scientific discovery.

    The scientific discoveries were the non-obvious facts: that all objects experience the same acceleration from gravity (absent air resistance), that gravity dies off roughly as the inverse square, etc.

    And, similarly, taking the fact that children tend to resemble their parents and labeling it “heredity” is not a scientific discovery. Mendel’s discovery of the particulate nature of the hereditary material was a real scientific discovery: it was non-obvious and, indeed, quite a surprise.

    In the same way, observing the fact that some people are just plain smarter than other people and that this smarts shows up in various areas and labeling it “g” is not science: it is, at best, to use Lord Kelvin’s phrase, “stamp collecting.”

    Have you read Warne’s book In the Know? What have the “intelligence researchers” discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?

    That smart parents tend to have smart children? That smart people tend to be smart in many aspects and in many endeavors? That being smart helps you get ahead in life? That different social and ethnic groups differ in how smart they are?

    Everyone used to take all that for granted!

    It is only because so many social and behavioral “scientists” are such incredible morons that all this needed to be proved to anyone!

    And, yes, yes, I realize that my saying this is insensitive, arrogant, patronizing, condescending, and no doubt a host of other sins whose names I have forgotten.

    But it is nonetheless true.

    And every single one of my great-great grandparents would have recognized that it is true.

    At least Russ Warne’s book is not filled with lies and obvious nonsense like most books by social and behavioral “scientists.”

    But let’s be honest: it is filled with truisms that Warne feels have to be proven to his fellow social and behavioral “scientists” because they lack the basic sense of a nineteenth-century steamboat pilot or journalist (I assume you know whom I have in mind).

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    '...But let’s be honest: it is filled with truisms that Warne feels have to be proven to his fellow social and behavioral “scientists” because they lack the basic sense of a nineteenth-century steamboat pilot or journalist (I assume you know whom I have in mind).'
     
    But to be fair, we are in an era where the opposite of these truisms is often advanced as truth itself.

    So it becomes necessary to demonstrate that two and two really do make four. It may not be advanced mathematics, but it apparently has to be done. After all, the alternative is to just proceed as if they make five, and that really doesn't work.

    ...as we can see. It may be tedious to disprove the obvious idiocies of our age, but it has to be done.

    ...although of late, I've been thinking I would be wise to just give up and go hole up with lots of ammunition and plenty of canned goods. After all, the whole world really can go to hell. I'll be gone by the time it gets there.

    Gaza may have been the last straw. Here people are applauding something that is one step this side of Babi Yar or the suppression of the Warsaw Ghetto Uprising. I think I'd rather work on catching a twenty pound steelhead.
    , @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    What have the “intelligence researchers” discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?
     
    Your grandparents may have "believed" certain things to be true based on folk wisdom, intuition, annecdote, or observation. But that's not the same as actually having "known" them to be true -- not in any scientific sense anyway.

    In any event, I imagine your great-grandparents didn't know how to measure and quantify intelligence, or how IQ is distributed according to a Gaussian bell curve, or what a standard deviation is, or how the statistical concept of "regression to the mean" affects the predicted intelligence of an individual compared to his parents. Etc.

    Science isn't less valid merely because it happens to agree with folk wisdom. Plenty of "obvious" things, like the Earth being flat or being the center of the universe, have been disproved.

    Other times, "obvious" things have been confirmed as being scientifically true, such as children's tendency to be like their parents in aptitude or temperament. Either way, you can't necessarily say you "know" a fact is true without rigorous empirical measurement and analysis.
    , @res
    @PhysicistDave

    Far too much truth in that for my comfort. But some thoughts.


    In the same way, observing the fact that some people are just plain smarter than other people and that this smarts shows up in various areas and labeling it “g” is not science: it is, at best, to use Lord Kelvin’s phrase, “stamp collecting.”
     
    I disagree with that. I see the "stamp collecting" epithet as more directed at the collection of obscure facts (cf. entomologists collecting insect species then reasoning about them). With Lord Kelvin's notion of science being coming up with principles that organize seemingly disparate facts. To my mind "g" is much more in the spirit of the latter than the former.

    What have the “intelligence researchers” discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?
     
    Some candidates. The Flynn Effect. Quantifying a host of things (from IQ itself to how heritable to how much do groups differ). Specific genetic variations related to intelligence. The beginnings of your: 'What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?'

    For example, the pituitary seems to be important (which I find surprising, and is certainly something your great-great grandparents did not know). See this comment of mine and the James Thompson post discussing some of the SNP and tissue correlation work we see.
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/journey-of-1-1-million-miles/#comment-2434372

    P.S. Might be worth having this conversation in James Thompson's blog (anyone know if he is OK and still active? no posts for a while).
  164. @Mike Tre
    @Mr. Anon

    The first one was a decent and lighthearted ethnic study (produced by the Greatest Patriotic American That Ever Lived: Tom Hanks (and his wife) ) - but the underlying message is the boilerplate replacement message pushed on whites. A clannish, self segregating, opportunistic ethnic group immigrates to the US, breeds like crazy, does not assimilate, looks down on the host population, and where a clearly patriarchal family requires a native white male to submit to their cultural lifestyle in order to marry a daughter (in contrast to most historical situations). the interloping male's family is portrayed as cartoonishly uptight, dull, dry, humorless WASP snobs, that is, until they are exposed to the vibrant diversity of the family of their daughter in law.

    Blonde haired blue eyed white girls are mean to Tula because of course they are direct descendants of Hitler's youth.

    The father Gus (the actor who play's him is outstanding, no doubt) is a Greek exceptionalist which immediately begs the question: If Greece is so great, and Greeks are so advanced, why did you have to come to the US at all?

    Yes I know it's just a movie. But it is one more brick in the wall of the anti-white narrative pushed in movies since their creation.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @Anonymous

    – but the underlying message is the boilerplate replacement message pushed on whites.

    I hadn’t thought about it before, but you are right.

    I did notice the way the WASPs were portrayed as dull, colorless, without any “culture” of their own.

    • Thanks: Mike Tre
  165. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave

    'Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.'

    As I recall, it tends to boil down to not being able to determine much of anything. I have vague memories of thrashing through one proof of God's existence; okay, you've done it, but in the process, you've redefined God so that he is simply reality. Great: reality exists. That kind of follows from the fact that we're around to discuss it.

    And? Not much more, in the end. I tend to a more subjective view of things. Because I feel it, morality exists -- for me. A cat doesn't feel it -- and so it's absurd to judge him by it. This of course opens up the door to unending conflict, but maybe that's just the way it is.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Colin Wright wrote to me:

    [Dave] ‘Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.’

    [CW] As I recall, it tends to boil down to not being able to determine much of anything. I have vague memories of thrashing through one proof of God’s existence; okay, you’ve done it, but in the process, you’ve redefined God so that he is simply reality. Great: reality exists. That kind of follows from the fact that we’re around to discuss it.

    Yeah.

    The funny thing is that I am probably more positive about some philosophers than most commenters here or most Americans.

    I think that Locke’s Second Treatise makes some pivotal points about individual rights and political society. I think Hume’s argument concerning miracles is pretty much the last word. I think that David Chalmers, in his pioneering book The Conscious Mind, and other recent philosophers such as Colin McGinn and Philip Goff, have conclusively demolished the claim that consciousness can be explained in terms of physics as previously understood. (To be sure, I think the Nobel laureate physicist Eugene Wigner made that point pretty conclusively decades ago: see here).

    But despite the brilliance of some individual philosophers, the enterprise of philosophy taken as a whole has been a clear failure. It should really be sufficient to just mention Hegel, Schopenhauer, Bradley, Green, McTaggart, etc.

    Or the fact that Alvin Plantinga was elected as president of the American Philosophical Association, Western Division for 1981 (google the guy).

    I’ve noticed that numerous people on the Web appeal to the glorious value of philosophy, and yet few of them even know who McTaggart and Green were, much less Plantinga.

    They are simply poseurs, rather as if I were to pontificate about French wines… even though I myself actually have never drunk any French wine!

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave

    They haven't got very far then. My brain glazed over while scanning the Wikipedia entry on Plantinga, but this struck me:


    '...It is possible that a maximally great being exists.
    If it is possible that a maximally great being exists, then a maximally great being exists in some possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in some possible world, then it exists in every possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in every possible world, then it exists in the actual world.
    If a maximally great being exists in the actual world, then a maximally great being exists.
    Therefore, a maximally great being exists.
     
    This strikes me as being about what Saint Anselm argued in the Eleventh Century. God is a being who has all possible positive attributes. To exist is a positive attribute. Therefore, God exists.

    Replies: @Nicholas Stix, @PhysicistDave

    , @Intelligent Dasein
    @PhysicistDave


    But despite the brilliance of some individual philosophers, the enterprise of philosophy taken as a whole has been a clear failure. It should really be sufficient to just mention Hegel, Schopenhauer, Bradley, Green, McTaggart, etc.
     
    Everything you think of as your "physics" is simply the fart-gas left behind in the room by long-dead philosophers whose frequency is too high for your pathetic antenna to receive. You are the walking definition of a pure Socratic ignoramus: You know nothing, and you do not know that you know nothing.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  166. @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘…Physicists are happy to talk of chemists or geologists as fellow scientists.

    But if “social scientists” or “behavioral scientists” come up… well, we try not to be unnecessarily rude.’

    [CW] ! I’d describe that as unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude.
     
    "The facts, ma'am, just the facts."

    I'm afraid, old pal, you are becoming a bit of a snowflake. You call it being "unnecessarily arrogant, if not precisely rude," but in fact I really am just stating the facts as to natural scientists' overwhelming attitude towards social and behavioral "scientists."

    I'd think by now that you would have picked up on the fact that I positively revel in making fun of arrogant ignoramuses, which certainly includes most social and behavioral "scientists."

    And let's be honest here: go out and ask a dozen random people on the street to name a science. Perhaps they will answer "chemistry" or "astronomy." But I doubt a single one will say "sociology"!

    And it would be stunning if most of them listed one of the social or behavioral "sciences" rather than one of the real sciences.

    CW also wrote:

    That they deal with matters that aren’t subject to absolute verification or precise interpretation doesn’t make the social sciences less valid.
     
    No, what makes them less valid is arrogance, stupidity, and outright fraud.

    You have followed Sailer's ongoing discussion of the "replication crisis"? You noticed that the examples usually came from the social and behavioral "sciences," sometimes from biomedicine, but almost never from physical science?

    CW also wrote:

    At least when it comes to history, you just need to learn about it, and as I have, I’ll insist that just as I’ll defer to your judgement about relativity, you should defer to mine about National Socialism.
     
    History is generally considered one of the humanities -- in terms of the organization of universities, the operation of libraries, and just common sense -- not one of the "social sciences": e.g., in the Library of Congress classification system for libraries, "social science" is in the H section; history is in the D and E sections.

    And there is a reason for this: "science" generally refers to attempts to discover substantive, non-obvious generalizations about the real world that can be verified and become well-established.

    Natural science has certainly done that.

    "Social scientists" pretend to do that, but they have failed.

    History focuses not on universal generalizations but on particular events. Have you ever met a historian who claimed to be a "scientist"? Or someone majoring in history who claimed he was majoring in "science"?

    Most natural scientists I have known have a good deal of respect for historians, and, for that matter, musicians and a host of other professions, none of which fraudulently claim to be "science."

    After all, we scientists do not generally claim to be "artists"! Nor do artists generally claim to be "scientists."

    But social and behavioral "scientists" attempt to don the mantle of science.

    That is fraudulent and it richly deserves contempt.

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    ‘…But social and behavioral “scientists” attempt to don the mantle of science.

    That is fraudulent and it richly deserves contempt.’

    I fear we’re talking past each other.

    However, I for one find such coinages as ‘political science’ irritating — and indeed, the output of such ‘scientists’ tends to suffer from an excessive and spurious attempt at unqualified schematization — I’m thinking of Huntington’s The Clash of Civilizations here.

    We’ll define it all so it’s like acids and bases and salts and stuff.

    It doesn’t bloody work, and I suspect it can’t. Science is mighty fine — but it doesn’t cover everything. Some things are more suited to the disciplines that do cover them — like history. If these fields are more subject to fraud and bias, well, that just goes with the territory. It’s no more a reason to dismiss them than you would abolish astrophysics on the grounds that it’s presumably difficult to devise experiments.

    The point is that some mental approaches are more suited to some fields than they are to others. The ‘scientific’ mindset is mighty fine for physics — it’ll prove deficient if you try to apply it to gaining an understanding of the Thirty Years War. You may find it frustrating that a field such as history is rife with unresolved disputes and subjective judgements — but you’d be wiser to just accept that than to dismiss the possibility of all understanding on that account.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    The point is that some mental approaches are more suited to some fields than they are to others. The ‘scientific’ mindset is mighty fine for physics — it’ll prove deficient if you try to apply it to gaining an understanding of the Thirty Years War. You may find it frustrating that a field such as history is rife with unresolved disputes and subjective judgements — but you’d be wiser to just accept that than to dismiss the possibility of all understanding on that account.
     
    In the comment to which you responded, I tried to make clear that I was respectful of history and historians, but that I and most people do not consider history to be "social science."

    I stated explicitly:

    Most natural scientists I have known have a good deal of respect for historians...
     
    Did you actually read the comment to which you are responding???????

    CW also wrote to me:

    I fear we’re talking past each other.
     
    Yes, because you keep attributing to me a view of history and historians that I do not have, which I have not stated, and which I have in fact rejected.

    You are usually a bit more careful than this, so how can I make clearer to you that I do not hold the view you are attributing to me?

    Again: I have well-deserved contempt for most social and behavioral "scientists."

    I do not have contempt for most historians or, for that matter, most musicians or a host of other professions, none of whom falsely claim to be scientists.

    Is that clear now?

    Replies: @Colin Wright

  167. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?

    [Hypno] I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don’t need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don’t know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn’t mean you can’t know when and where the planets will be.
     
    No, but merely taking the obvious fact that things fall down and labeling that tendency "gravity" is not a scientific discovery.

    The scientific discoveries were the non-obvious facts: that all objects experience the same acceleration from gravity (absent air resistance), that gravity dies off roughly as the inverse square, etc.

    And, similarly, taking the fact that children tend to resemble their parents and labeling it "heredity" is not a scientific discovery. Mendel's discovery of the particulate nature of the hereditary material was a real scientific discovery: it was non-obvious and, indeed, quite a surprise.

    In the same way, observing the fact that some people are just plain smarter than other people and that this smarts shows up in various areas and labeling it "g" is not science: it is, at best, to use Lord Kelvin's phrase, "stamp collecting."

    Have you read Warne's book In the Know? What have the "intelligence researchers" discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?

    That smart parents tend to have smart children? That smart people tend to be smart in many aspects and in many endeavors? That being smart helps you get ahead in life? That different social and ethnic groups differ in how smart they are?

    Everyone used to take all that for granted!

    It is only because so many social and behavioral "scientists" are such incredible morons that all this needed to be proved to anyone!

    And, yes, yes, I realize that my saying this is insensitive, arrogant, patronizing, condescending, and no doubt a host of other sins whose names I have forgotten.

    But it is nonetheless true.

    And every single one of my great-great grandparents would have recognized that it is true.

    At least Russ Warne's book is not filled with lies and obvious nonsense like most books by social and behavioral "scientists."

    But let's be honest: it is filled with truisms that Warne feels have to be proven to his fellow social and behavioral "scientists" because they lack the basic sense of a nineteenth-century steamboat pilot or journalist (I assume you know whom I have in mind).

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Hypnotoad666, @res

    ‘…But let’s be honest: it is filled with truisms that Warne feels have to be proven to his fellow social and behavioral “scientists” because they lack the basic sense of a nineteenth-century steamboat pilot or journalist (I assume you know whom I have in mind).’

    But to be fair, we are in an era where the opposite of these truisms is often advanced as truth itself.

    So it becomes necessary to demonstrate that two and two really do make four. It may not be advanced mathematics, but it apparently has to be done. After all, the alternative is to just proceed as if they make five, and that really doesn’t work.

    …as we can see. It may be tedious to disprove the obvious idiocies of our age, but it has to be done.

    …although of late, I’ve been thinking I would be wise to just give up and go hole up with lots of ammunition and plenty of canned goods. After all, the whole world really can go to hell. I’ll be gone by the time it gets there.

    Gaza may have been the last straw. Here people are applauding something that is one step this side of Babi Yar or the suppression of the Warsaw Ghetto Uprising. I think I’d rather work on catching a twenty pound steelhead.

    • Agree: PhysicistDave
  168. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    The “argument from authority fallacy” is itself a fallacy.
     
    The nuance is whether a claim to "authority" has been earned or whether it's based on nothing more than an exalted title. With all due respect, I don't think having "physicist" in your anon handle makes the cut for purposes of deferring to your opinions on genetics.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] The “argument from authority fallacy” is itself a fallacy.

    [Hypno] The nuance is whether a claim to “authority” has been earned or whether it’s based on nothing more than an exalted title. With all due respect, I don’t think having “physicist” in your anon handle makes the cut for purposes of deferring to your opinions on genetics.

    I have a Ph.D. from Stanford in physics. I have published papers in some of the world’s most prestigious scientific journals. My name is on multiple patents. My wife also has a Ph.D. from Stanford, in biology, and I have on occasion helped her in her work.

    If I am not an authority entitled to judge that something is pseudo-science, exactly who is?

    Do we have to rely on astrologers to tell us that astrology is all a fake? Or practitioners of homeopathy to tell us that homeopathy is a fraud? Or who gets to judge that Velikovsky’s claims are nonsense?

    The idea that only those committing scientific fraud get to judge that it is fraud is obviously ridiculous. That would make fraud the norm.

    Sorry, but if other scientists are not entitled to judge that some field is pseudo-science… well, then the scientific endeavor dies. We cannot simply rely on the “experts” in some field of pseudo-science to judge that they are engaged in pseudo-science: that way lies madness.

  169. @cthulhu
    @Hypnotoad666


    On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans.
     
    I mostly agree, although “overwhelmingly heritable” might be a bit strong. The stuff I’ve seen says that if you’re looking within a population, the source of the variation in what so-called g-loaded tests measure is about 50% genes, 10% shared environment, and 40% unshared environment. There is significant evidence this breakdown is valid across populations, but the impression I get is that the across-population comparison is not as robust as the within-population results. That’s not to say it’s wrong though. And admittedly I haven’t been looking at the research on this in the last several years, so I may be out of date.

    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment. There seems to be agreement that things like peer group are major portions of the unshared environment, and many parents tacitly understand this - hence the competition among parents to find safe and civilized places to raise their children. (These places tend to have better schools too, but the impact of better schools, beyond safe environments and non-thuggy students, is unclear.) But it seems clear that the unshared environment must involve family things too, such as how parents treat individual children, competition among siblings, and other fine-grained elements of growing up. I predict it will take a long time to unravel this, because most social “scientists” aren’t good enough or motivated enough to do the work, and (getting back to Steve’s original post) academia won’t tolerate it so it will only get done by a few lone wolves and/or those who are at the point in their careers where they no longer have any fucks to give.

    (And that 10% shared environment is probably closer to 0%, but few people are willing to state it quite that baldly. And it goes without saying that these results are all applicable for situations where the kids aren’t being abused, have enough to eat, etc.)

    Replies: @res, @rebel yell

    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment.

    Take a look at Judith Harris’s book – Pinker basically endorses her view. Family environment has no impact at all. Which suggests that social/economic environment has no impact, since families would reflect that. The mystery element in the environment may just be the random, non-systemic differences between our experiences. Which makes sense – any systemic differences in our environments would be reflected in our genetic variance, since our genes equip us to respond and adapt to those systemic environmental factors. It’s the one-off experiences that will influence us independent of our genes.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @rebel yell

    rebel yell wrote to cthulhu:


    [cthulhu] Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment.

    [rebel yell[ Take a look at Judith Harris’s book – Pinker basically endorses her view. Family environment has no impact at all. Which suggests that social/economic environment has no impact, since families would reflect that.
     
    Well, no.

    Look back at her book.

    The studies involved comparisons among normal American families, which really do not differ all that much.

    It tells you very little about the variance between growing up in Uganda versus growing up in Sweden!

    Or, for that matter, growing up in an upper-middle-class American family versus a dirt-poor American family.

    The son of a doctor versus the son of a construction worker? Not that much difference.

    A stable middle-class family versus a family with no father present, abusive boyfriends moving in and out on a random basis, a mom who is usually on drugs and a prostitute... Harris did not try to address that.
    , @Achmed E. Newman
    @rebel yell

    I'm not trying to get into this discussion between you and Dave, here, Rebel. I just want to clear up that you refer to The Nurture Assumption here, and that Judith Harris' was not trying to get into this discussion so much either.

    She was a Psychologist who got laid up for quite a while with some sickness, and had 2 kids, and investigated the the factors that comprise only the Nuture part of that Nature v Nurture argument. Her contention, which she backed up with lots of data/discussion of lots of studies* was this: Almost all of the Nature side of child development is due to the child's peers rather than parents.

    First of all, I wouldn't bet everything on that - it's just he one lady and her book. However, in my review I pointed out 3 flaws with this. They are:

    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children's peers are to begin with.

    2) The more trust in his parents built up, the more likely the kid will listen to them when he is told which kids he should hang out with, why he should get into the smart (but also, better behaved) kids' class, etc.

    3) If his parents build up more trust, a kid will also listen to his parents over his peers up though a later age.

    So, PARENTS LIVE MATTER, especially if they're Black!

    .

    * It's been almost a decade since I read the book, so just the gist of it comes to me now.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @PhysicistDave

  170. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    '...But social and behavioral “scientists” attempt to don the mantle of science.

    That is fraudulent and it richly deserves contempt.'
     
    I fear we're talking past each other.

    However, I for one find such coinages as 'political science' irritating -- and indeed, the output of such 'scientists' tends to suffer from an excessive and spurious attempt at unqualified schematization -- I'm thinking of Huntington's The Clash of Civilizations here.

    We'll define it all so it's like acids and bases and salts and stuff.

    It doesn't bloody work, and I suspect it can't. Science is mighty fine -- but it doesn't cover everything. Some things are more suited to the disciplines that do cover them -- like history. If these fields are more subject to fraud and bias, well, that just goes with the territory. It's no more a reason to dismiss them than you would abolish astrophysics on the grounds that it's presumably difficult to devise experiments.

    The point is that some mental approaches are more suited to some fields than they are to others. The 'scientific' mindset is mighty fine for physics -- it'll prove deficient if you try to apply it to gaining an understanding of the Thirty Years War. You may find it frustrating that a field such as history is rife with unresolved disputes and subjective judgements -- but you'd be wiser to just accept that than to dismiss the possibility of all understanding on that account.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Colin Wright wrote to me:

    The point is that some mental approaches are more suited to some fields than they are to others. The ‘scientific’ mindset is mighty fine for physics — it’ll prove deficient if you try to apply it to gaining an understanding of the Thirty Years War. You may find it frustrating that a field such as history is rife with unresolved disputes and subjective judgements — but you’d be wiser to just accept that than to dismiss the possibility of all understanding on that account.

    In the comment to which you responded, I tried to make clear that I was respectful of history and historians, but that I and most people do not consider history to be “social science.”

    I stated explicitly:

    Most natural scientists I have known have a good deal of respect for historians…

    Did you actually read the comment to which you are responding???????

    CW also wrote to me:

    I fear we’re talking past each other.

    Yes, because you keep attributing to me a view of history and historians that I do not have, which I have not stated, and which I have in fact rejected.

    You are usually a bit more careful than this, so how can I make clearer to you that I do not hold the view you are attributing to me?

    Again: I have well-deserved contempt for most social and behavioral “scientists.”

    I do not have contempt for most historians or, for that matter, most musicians or a host of other professions, none of whom falsely claim to be scientists.

    Is that clear now?

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave

    Yes.

  171. @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.’

    [CW] As I recall, it tends to boil down to not being able to determine much of anything. I have vague memories of thrashing through one proof of God’s existence; okay, you’ve done it, but in the process, you’ve redefined God so that he is simply reality. Great: reality exists. That kind of follows from the fact that we’re around to discuss it.
     
    Yeah.

    The funny thing is that I am probably more positive about some philosophers than most commenters here or most Americans.

    I think that Locke's Second Treatise makes some pivotal points about individual rights and political society. I think Hume's argument concerning miracles is pretty much the last word. I think that David Chalmers, in his pioneering book The Conscious Mind, and other recent philosophers such as Colin McGinn and Philip Goff, have conclusively demolished the claim that consciousness can be explained in terms of physics as previously understood. (To be sure, I think the Nobel laureate physicist Eugene Wigner made that point pretty conclusively decades ago: see here).

    But despite the brilliance of some individual philosophers, the enterprise of philosophy taken as a whole has been a clear failure. It should really be sufficient to just mention Hegel, Schopenhauer, Bradley, Green, McTaggart, etc.

    Or the fact that Alvin Plantinga was elected as president of the American Philosophical Association, Western Division for 1981 (google the guy).

    I've noticed that numerous people on the Web appeal to the glorious value of philosophy, and yet few of them even know who McTaggart and Green were, much less Plantinga.

    They are simply poseurs, rather as if I were to pontificate about French wines... even though I myself actually have never drunk any French wine!

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Intelligent Dasein

    They haven’t got very far then. My brain glazed over while scanning the Wikipedia entry on Plantinga, but this struck me:

    ‘…It is possible that a maximally great being exists.
    If it is possible that a maximally great being exists, then a maximally great being exists in some possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in some possible world, then it exists in every possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in every possible world, then it exists in the actual world.
    If a maximally great being exists in the actual world, then a maximally great being exists.
    Therefore, a maximally great being exists.

    This strikes me as being about what Saint Anselm argued in the Eleventh Century. God is a being who has all possible positive attributes. To exist is a positive attribute. Therefore, God exists.

    • Replies: @Nicholas Stix
    @Colin Wright

    Saint Anselm was Plantinga's longtime obsession. Maybe he still is.

    , @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    They haven’t got very far then. My brain glazed over while scanning the Wikipedia entry on Plantinga, but this struck me:
    ...
    This strikes me as being about what Saint Anselm argued in the Eleventh Century. God is a being who has all possible positive attributes. To exist is a positive attribute. Therefore, God exists.
     
    Well, both your summary and Anselm's argument are a good deal saner (and, mercifully, briefer) than what Plantinga actually argues.

    And that's not the half of it: what he is actually famous for is his theory of "warrant," which, in a nutshell, claims that all human beings, except for those who share his religious views, have brains that fail to function. But the Holy Spirit intervenes in the case of him and his co-religionists so that their brains do function. Therefore, their religious beliefs are true.

    Got that?

    This has garnered a great deal of respect from his fellow philosophers.

    The funny thing is that this hypothesis is testable.

    Steve Weinberg, Steve Hawking, and Dick Feynman all completely rejected the religious views held by Plantinga -- all were fairly outspoken atheists.

    By Plantinga's hypothesis, their brains did not function nearly as well as Alvin Plantinga's.

    I leave to others to evaluate what this says about Plantinga's hypothesis.
  172. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.
     

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.
     
    Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don't work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? "Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can't rule 'em out."

    Where's this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn't "rule it out," then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn't mean squat in science.

    You've also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn't "100% environmental" (Steve's original formulation) to proving that it's "100% genetic" (Whatever, let's say it's 95%, instead).

    You're just being an emotional arm waiver, not a scientist. That's why this issue is so pointless, too many people are emotionally and socially attached to being in doubt.

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    [Hypno] Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don’t work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? “Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can’t rule ’em out.”

    Where’s this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn’t “rule it out,” then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn’t mean squat in science.

    No one doubts that environment has an effect on IQ: if it didn’t, identical twins would have identical IQs, and they don’t.

    Since Blacks in America do indeed have a somewhat different environment, on average, than Whites, that makes it a possible hypothesis that the difference in culture accounts for a large part of the Black-White IQ gap. And there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US.

    Big difference.

    So, what causes it? Well, maybe slavers managed to select out the especially intelligent Blacks.

    Or maybe slave-owners somehow bred their slaves for higher intelligence.

    Or just maybe it is cultural and environmental?

    You are the one who wants to reach a solid conclusion here: that the Black-White IQ gap is mainly genetic.

    I am merely pointing out that, by the standards normally employed in science, the evidence is not yet in on that.

    I do not have to prove that some other hypothesis is likely true to make that case.

    This is not theology where people argue: “Prove me wrong or I win the debate!”

    In science, it is those making the affirmative claims who need to consider and refute alternative hypotheses and provide convincing evidence for their preferred hypothesis. And their critics do not not have to show that an alternative hypothesis is more likely.

    All their critics need show is that those making the affirmative claim have not convincingly ruled out other hypotheses.

    As to General Relativity, I, and most physicists I know of, are quite convinced that it is false. It is inconsistent with quantum mechanics.

    On the other hand, on the macroscopic scale, it does test better than any alternative theory, going back to the famous Eddington observation of deflection of light by the Sun in 1919 (Einstein predicted a deflection twice the size of the Newtonian prediction), through to the confirmation of gravitational red-shift and time dilation from the late 1950s through the 1970s, to the recent discovery of gravitational waves.

    So, there is in fact enormously more evidence for General Relativity than for your belief that the Black-White IQ gap is primarily genetic.

    The latter issue is simply unsettled, by the normal standards required in the various natural sciences.

    You’re not in STEM, right?

    I have repeatedly gone into great detail on my own background: my Ph.D. from Stanford for my work at SLAC, my patents on communication and computer systems, my work as a semiconductor device physicist, even the fact that I was on a team that won a technical Emmy for our contributions to television arts and sciences — we were the first semiconductor company to achieve that.

    Why don’t you tell us your professional and educational background and your achievements therein, and then maybe we can help you clear up your confusions about science?

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    • Replies: @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave


    '...And there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US...'
     
    Note that simple genetic admixture would account for part of it. American 'blacks' are about 20% white. If we assume an average IQ of 70 for the completely black, and an average IQ of 100 for the whites they interbred with, then that implies an IQ of 76 for American 'blacks.'
    , @res
    @PhysicistDave


    there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US.

    Big difference.
     
    Colin Wright's admixture point is a good partial explanation (note the "admixed" in Steve's post as well). As for the rest, switching between "culture" and "culture and environment" in your statements is a bit dishonest IMO. Nutrition (especially prenatal and early childhood) almost certainly matters. And there are additional factors--like disease load and pollutants.

    As with most differences statements the magnitude of each difference between groups influences how large a portion of the overall phenotypic difference each cause accounts for. So looking at the intelligence differences between US blacks and both Africans and US whites we see:

    US blacks vs. Africans (eliding how much genetic variation there is in Africa) - fairly small genetic difference (about 20% average admixture) and huge environmental differences

    US blacks vs. US whites - fairly large genetic difference (Africans are the most genetically distant population from most others) with relatively small environmental differences

    Obviously the balance of genetic and environmental contribution is likely to vary between those two comparisons. This point generalizes. For example, to the relative importance of culture, nutrition, and other environmental influences within "environment."
  173. @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    The point is that some mental approaches are more suited to some fields than they are to others. The ‘scientific’ mindset is mighty fine for physics — it’ll prove deficient if you try to apply it to gaining an understanding of the Thirty Years War. You may find it frustrating that a field such as history is rife with unresolved disputes and subjective judgements — but you’d be wiser to just accept that than to dismiss the possibility of all understanding on that account.
     
    In the comment to which you responded, I tried to make clear that I was respectful of history and historians, but that I and most people do not consider history to be "social science."

    I stated explicitly:

    Most natural scientists I have known have a good deal of respect for historians...
     
    Did you actually read the comment to which you are responding???????

    CW also wrote to me:

    I fear we’re talking past each other.
     
    Yes, because you keep attributing to me a view of history and historians that I do not have, which I have not stated, and which I have in fact rejected.

    You are usually a bit more careful than this, so how can I make clearer to you that I do not hold the view you are attributing to me?

    Again: I have well-deserved contempt for most social and behavioral "scientists."

    I do not have contempt for most historians or, for that matter, most musicians or a host of other professions, none of whom falsely claim to be scientists.

    Is that clear now?

    Replies: @Colin Wright

    Yes.

    • Thanks: PhysicistDave
  174. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    [Hypno] Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don’t work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? “Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can’t rule ’em out.”

    Where’s this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn’t “rule it out,” then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn’t mean squat in science.
     
    No one doubts that environment has an effect on IQ: if it didn't, identical twins would have identical IQs, and they don't.

    Since Blacks in America do indeed have a somewhat different environment, on average, than Whites, that makes it a possible hypothesis that the difference in culture accounts for a large part of the Black-White IQ gap. And there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US.

    Big difference.

    So, what causes it? Well, maybe slavers managed to select out the especially intelligent Blacks.

    Or maybe slave-owners somehow bred their slaves for higher intelligence.

    Or just maybe it is cultural and environmental?

    You are the one who wants to reach a solid conclusion here: that the Black-White IQ gap is mainly genetic.

    I am merely pointing out that, by the standards normally employed in science, the evidence is not yet in on that.

    I do not have to prove that some other hypothesis is likely true to make that case.

    This is not theology where people argue: "Prove me wrong or I win the debate!"

    In science, it is those making the affirmative claims who need to consider and refute alternative hypotheses and provide convincing evidence for their preferred hypothesis. And their critics do not not have to show that an alternative hypothesis is more likely.

    All their critics need show is that those making the affirmative claim have not convincingly ruled out other hypotheses.

    As to General Relativity, I, and most physicists I know of, are quite convinced that it is false. It is inconsistent with quantum mechanics.

    On the other hand, on the macroscopic scale, it does test better than any alternative theory, going back to the famous Eddington observation of deflection of light by the Sun in 1919 (Einstein predicted a deflection twice the size of the Newtonian prediction), through to the confirmation of gravitational red-shift and time dilation from the late 1950s through the 1970s, to the recent discovery of gravitational waves.

    So, there is in fact enormously more evidence for General Relativity than for your belief that the Black-White IQ gap is primarily genetic.

    The latter issue is simply unsettled, by the normal standards required in the various natural sciences.

    You're not in STEM, right?

    I have repeatedly gone into great detail on my own background: my Ph.D. from Stanford for my work at SLAC, my patents on communication and computer systems, my work as a semiconductor device physicist, even the fact that I was on a team that won a technical Emmy for our contributions to television arts and sciences -- we were the first semiconductor company to achieve that.

    Why don't you tell us your professional and educational background and your achievements therein, and then maybe we can help you clear up your confusions about science?

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @res

    ‘…And there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US…’

    Note that simple genetic admixture would account for part of it. American ‘blacks’ are about 20% white. If we assume an average IQ of 70 for the completely black, and an average IQ of 100 for the whites they interbred with, then that implies an IQ of 76 for American ‘blacks.’

  175. @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    You’ve also moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).
     
    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @PhysicistDave

    res wrote to Hypnotoad666:

    [Hypno] [Dave has] moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).

    [res] Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    But, you know, Hypno lied about my position.

    I am not insisting that anyone has to prove that the Black-White IQ gap is 95 percent genetic or 95 percent cultural or whatever.

    I am merely insisting that whatever claim is made has to be shown to be the case by the usual standards employed in science.

    It is our friend Hypno who seems pretty sure that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic, apparently because he misunderstands the science and believes, as he said in his reply to you:

    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations…

    It is, of course, not “overwhelmingly heritable”: it is something like 50/50, give or take.

    But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic. It merely leaves that as a possibility.

    Anyone who understands the population genetics involved knows this: our friend does not. (I helped my wife when she took population biology working towards her Ph.D., so I actually do know something about this — pretty easy stuff for a physicist!)

    As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It’s just a tar baby.

    Presumably, the issue will eventually be settled when the whole-genome data has been mined to the level that we can predict, say, 90 percent of the genetic component of the variance of IQ within any single race simply by looking at the genome. At that point, we can apply the same analysis to different races and either find out that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic or that only half is or that none of it is or whatever turns out to be the case.

    This whole area is like the global-warming issue: there is no scientific doubt that anthropogenic CO2 has had a warming effect on the planet. There is also no doubt that the climate has gone through fairly dramatic swings in the last two millennia (not to mention the Ice Ages!) before humans were outputting significant CO2 from fossil fuels.

    So, how much of the recent warming is due to humans and how much to natural causes? And what will be the path of climate in coming decades?

    No one really knows.

    And for pointing this out I have been alternately labeled both an evil tool of the climate alarmists and an evil associate of the climate denialists!

    Commenters on the Web do not want to hear “No one really knows” even when that is the only scientifically accurate thing to say.

    Which, I am afraid, bespeaks catastrophically bad science education in the USA.

    • Replies: @res
    @PhysicistDave


    As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It’s just a tar baby.
     
    That is a cop out. The evidence might not be definitive, but it certainly is suggestive.

    Presumably, the issue will eventually be settled when the whole-genome data has been mined to the level that we can predict, say, 90 percent of the genetic component of the variance of IQ within any single race simply by looking at the genome. At that point, we can apply the same analysis to different races and either find out that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic or that only half is or that none of it is or whatever turns out to be the case.
     
    I actually left out one of the most persuasive pieces of evidence for a genetic effect on between race IQ differences. Davide Piffer's work comparing PGS scores for different races/countries with estimated IQ. Here is a comment where I gave my take on Piffer's work along with links to older comments and blog posts by James Thompson. As a bonus for you, it occurs in the context of an extended argument with j2 (might be fun to read).
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/piffer-rides-again/?showcomments#comment-3186473

    One sample of that work from that post.

    https://www.unz.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Piffer-data-plots-1.png

    An interesting point there is US Blacks are an outlier on the IQ higher than expected from PGS side. Perhaps an indicator their environment is not so bad as many seem to think?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.
     
    Sez who? What makes all white people "one population," whereas for purposes of the rules of genetic heritability blacks are "another population?"

    Seems like question begging. They are a "different population" if they live under separate environmental conditions that drastically affect their IQs. But we forgot to prove such environmental effects on their IQs actually exist before declaring them a "different population."

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  176. @rebel yell
    @cthulhu


    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment.
     
    Take a look at Judith Harris's book - Pinker basically endorses her view. Family environment has no impact at all. Which suggests that social/economic environment has no impact, since families would reflect that. The mystery element in the environment may just be the random, non-systemic differences between our experiences. Which makes sense - any systemic differences in our environments would be reflected in our genetic variance, since our genes equip us to respond and adapt to those systemic environmental factors. It's the one-off experiences that will influence us independent of our genes.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Achmed E. Newman

    rebel yell wrote to cthulhu:

    [cthulhu] Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment.

    [rebel yell[ Take a look at Judith Harris’s book – Pinker basically endorses her view. Family environment has no impact at all. Which suggests that social/economic environment has no impact, since families would reflect that.

    Well, no.

    Look back at her book.

    The studies involved comparisons among normal American families, which really do not differ all that much.

    It tells you very little about the variance between growing up in Uganda versus growing up in Sweden!

    Or, for that matter, growing up in an upper-middle-class American family versus a dirt-poor American family.

    The son of a doctor versus the son of a construction worker? Not that much difference.

    A stable middle-class family versus a family with no father present, abusive boyfriends moving in and out on a random basis, a mom who is usually on drugs and a prostitute… Harris did not try to address that.

  177. @res
    @cthulhu

    Important to remember that "unshared environment" also includes things like measurement error.

    A fairly long look at some components of unshared (aka non-shared) environment.
    http://slatestarcodex.com/2016/03/16/non-shared-environment-doesnt-just-mean-schools-and-peers/

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    Important to remember that “unshared environment” also includes things like measurement error.

    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).

    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I’ve never seen anyone make this point before.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).

    • Troll: PhysicistDave
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:


    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).
     
    That's for identical twins raised together, who share a common familial environment.

    It is significantly less for identical twins raised apart.

    Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Hypnotoad666

    , @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I’ve never seen anyone make this point before.
     
    I made that point as a snarky parenthetical comment here. I doubt I was the first. The basic idea is the cause of the more genetically deterministic views (not me) out there IMO.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6115893

    My working assumption right now is most of the within group differences (for both height and IQ, noting the heritability of height is greater than that of IQ hence the genetic contribution larger) are mostly due to a combination of heredity and UNshared environment (aka noise to be a bit glib). While between group differences (both examples like US blacks and whites and examples like different countries) are due to a combination of heredity and shared environment.
     
    Worth noting that a big part of that point is that noise tends to average out when you compare groups.

    Back to you.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).
     
    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.

    If you are interested in that sort of thing Gwern has done some interesting self experiments. No time to chase the references, but here is a start.
    https://gwern.net/

    I see differences myself with fluidity of thinking (I think working memory plays a significant part) when playing simple games like Sudoku. But hard to rigorously quantify due to noise, practice effects, etc.

    P.S. The difference for identical twins raised apart is smaller than Dave seems to think.
    https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/sources-human-psychological-differences-minnesota-study-twins-reared-apart-1990-thomas-j
    Though it is worth noting that those twins shared a prenatal environment (which can also be a source of difference since the nutrient balance can differ) for nine months and then typically a bit more.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Hypnotoad666

  178. @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.
     
    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the "debate" is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations -- not just Europeans. On the other side is a lot of tap dancing about definitions and burdens of proof, and "what does it really mean to 'know' something, anyway?"

    There literally isn't even a serious, falsifiable hypothesis on the other side that one can debate. Their belief system boils down to: "I choose not to believe, and you can't make me." Ok, fine. But don't pretend this is science.

    Replies: @cthulhu, @PhysicistDave

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:

    [res] Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    [Hypno] It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans.

    But IQ is not “overwhelmingly heritable”: it is something like 50/50.

    In any case, that is largely irrelevant to explaining IQ differences between different populations: I know you are not a STEM person, but I have actually studied some population biology.

    And the fact is that that 50 percent heritability within a population is consistent with the variations between populations being completely non-genetic. Or, for that matter, 100 percent genetic.

    I know that seems counter-intuitive to non-STEM people but that is how the math works out.

    All that the significant heritability within a single population tells you is that it would not be surprising if some of the variance between populations is also genetic.

    It simply does not predict how much.

    And that is why this really is unsettled science. Anyone who understands the actual math knows that it is an error to draw the conclusion you wish to draw.

    Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    • Replies: @anon
    @PhysicistDave


    Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?
     
    Ok so imagine for the sake of argument that you're responding to hereditarian arguments being made by @gcochran instead of @hypnotoad666.

    Now what is your argument?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  179. Anonymous[368] • Disclaimer says:
    @Mike Tre
    @Mr. Anon

    The first one was a decent and lighthearted ethnic study (produced by the Greatest Patriotic American That Ever Lived: Tom Hanks (and his wife) ) - but the underlying message is the boilerplate replacement message pushed on whites. A clannish, self segregating, opportunistic ethnic group immigrates to the US, breeds like crazy, does not assimilate, looks down on the host population, and where a clearly patriarchal family requires a native white male to submit to their cultural lifestyle in order to marry a daughter (in contrast to most historical situations). the interloping male's family is portrayed as cartoonishly uptight, dull, dry, humorless WASP snobs, that is, until they are exposed to the vibrant diversity of the family of their daughter in law.

    Blonde haired blue eyed white girls are mean to Tula because of course they are direct descendants of Hitler's youth.

    The father Gus (the actor who play's him is outstanding, no doubt) is a Greek exceptionalist which immediately begs the question: If Greece is so great, and Greeks are so advanced, why did you have to come to the US at all?

    Yes I know it's just a movie. But it is one more brick in the wall of the anti-white narrative pushed in movies since their creation.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Mr. Anon, @Anonymous

    looks down on the host population, and where a clearly patriarchal family requires a native white male to submit to their cultural lifestyle in order to marry a daughter (in contrast to most historical situations). the interloping male’s family is portrayed as cartoonishly uptight, dull, dry, humorless WASP snobs

    That’s not necessarily “the Agenda”. And it’s not just a Hollywood trope. Uptight, snobbish and somewhat dull and colorless is just what Northern Europeans tend to be seen as by other Europeans. It’s just the perception due to different cultural norms. And they have plenty of not so flattering views of their own on other cultures. It’s not a big deal. As for being cartoonish, it’s a comedy.

    The family from a more conservative culture pushing the guy from a more relaxed culture to adapt somewhat before they’ll fully approve is a common enough phenomenon.

    Of course Anglos will be seen by many as not having a culture of their own in a country where their culture is the mainstream. After all, the whole movie is about how very wacky and exotic Greeks are. And the father’s over the top nationalism is clearly meant to be seen as ridiculous, as are some other aspects of the culture.

    Were the filmmakers supposed to make an ethnic comedy without leaning into ethnic stereotypes? How or why would they have done that?

    • Thanks: Bumpkin
  180. @Pendragon
    @PhysicistDave


    Yeah. I know by various measures that I am fairly bright. But I also know that I am very, very aggressive at psyching out the test-makers and milking every last point out of a test. I have done well on tests on subjects on which I knew I was fairly ignorant, just by being “test-wise.”

    Of course, at one level, that is just one more sign that I and other “test-wise” people are smart. But at another level, it does raise our test scores compared to people who are equally smart but who just don’t give a damn about tests (I mean, why should they if the test has no significant consequences — but I still do).
     

    In focusing too much on culture Americans are being pseudo-scientific sort of like Soviet Lamarckists. Brain scans and computer algorithms will probably eventually replace IQ tests.

    Differences, in intelligence, is probably significantly more genetic. AFAIK, there are zero black Fields medal winners ; in mathematics, there is not much you can do to attain greatness. Those men and women who attain it manage to do so through their uncanny "feeling" for the subject. There is nothing you can do to leam this "feeling." You can, to be sure, work hard enough at mathematics make yourself into a competent even learn to be a comptent ressearch mathematician. But you cannot learn to do mathematics the way the great mathematicians do, any more than you can leam to throw a fastball or to run 100 yards in ten seconds. You can or you cannot. If you can, you will know it early. If you are an adult and you are not already a great mathematician then you are not going to be.

    ^ So why isn't the case that blacks know they are stupid just like most people know they won't be a great mathematician so they just don't try ? What came first the chicken or the egg ?

    Bonobo Chimps share 98.7% of their DNA with humans :


    Genetic Distance to: Han_Shanghai

    0.84961959 Yoruba

    Genetic Distance to: English (native English people average )

    0.77467278 Yoruba


    Charles Darwin on Blacks

    From his book "The Descent of Man"


    "The American Aborigines, Negros and Europeans are as differant from each other in mind as any three races that can be named."

    "I could not have believed how wide was the difference between savage and civilised man."

    They seemed to possess "insufficient powers of reasoning" to discern nonobvious connections between moral laws and public welfare, and they lacked self-discipline; "Their utter licentiousness, not to mention unnatural crimes, is something astounding."

    "Their language scarcely deserves to be called articulate, their houses are like what children make in the Summer with boughs of trees, nor were these homes graced by affection between husband and wife."

    "I feel quite a disgust at the very sound of the voices of these miserable savages."

    "Their judgements are in error, yielding patterns of behavior that are pointless, if not, indeed, in complete opposition to the true welfare and happiness of mankind."


     

    The late Dr Albert Scweizer, who spent almost his entire life in Africa, working to uplift the Black man, received the Nobel Prize for Peace in 1952. He also held several doctorate degrees.

    This is what he said shortly before his death:


    I have given my life to alleviate the sufferings of Africa. There is something that all white men who have lived here, must learn and know; that these individuals are a sub-race; they have neither the intellectual , mental or emotional abilities to equate or share in any of the functions of our civilisation.

    I have given my life to try to bring unto them the advantages which our civilisation must offer, but I have become well aware that we must retain this status; white, the superior, and they the inferior; for whenever a white man seeks to live among them as their equal, they will either destroy him or devour him, and they will destroy all his work; and so for any existing relationship or for any benefit to this people let white men from anywhere in the world who would come to help Africa remember that you must continually retain this status; you the master, and they the inferior, like children that you would help or teach. Never fraternise with them as equals, never accept them as your social equals ; or they will devour you; they will destroy you.
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Thelma Ringbaum, @PhysicistDave

    Our wee little newbie Pendragon wrote to me:

    Bonobo Chimps share 98.7% of their DNA with humans :

    Genetic Distance to: Han_Shanghai

    0.84961959 Yoruba

    Genetic Distance to: English (native English people average )

    0.77467278 Yoruba

    Where on earth did you get this?

    You just made it up, little newbie, right?

  181. @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    Important to remember that “unshared environment” also includes things like measurement error.
     
    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).

    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I've never seen anyone make this point before.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one's "true IQ" actually does fluctuates day-to-day -- I'm not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @res

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:

    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).

    That’s for identical twins raised together, who share a common familial environment.

    It is significantly less for identical twins raised apart.

    Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.
     
    Dave, logical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren't. The scientific method doesn't give a shit about anybody's background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    That’s for identical twins raised together, who share a common familial environment.
     
    Right. But the same person who takes the test a second time was also raised in the same familial environment as when he took the test the first time. So if the variance is identical between the scores of two identical twins taking the test, and an individual taking the test twice, that means nothing matters except genetics and shared environment.

    And then we also know from adopted-out sibling studies that unshared environment is almost irrelevant -- i.e., siblings reared apart correlate almost entirely with their biological parents, not their adoptive (environmental) parents.

    So if you put these two findings together, it follows that changing one's familial environment while holding genetics constant is essentially irrelevant to predicted IQ.

    Familial environment, by itself, just doesn't change IQ. That's what the data shows. The B/W IQ Gap is therefore not due to differences in familiar environment.

    Replies: @res

  182. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?

    [Hypno] I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don’t need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don’t know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn’t mean you can’t know when and where the planets will be.
     
    No, but merely taking the obvious fact that things fall down and labeling that tendency "gravity" is not a scientific discovery.

    The scientific discoveries were the non-obvious facts: that all objects experience the same acceleration from gravity (absent air resistance), that gravity dies off roughly as the inverse square, etc.

    And, similarly, taking the fact that children tend to resemble their parents and labeling it "heredity" is not a scientific discovery. Mendel's discovery of the particulate nature of the hereditary material was a real scientific discovery: it was non-obvious and, indeed, quite a surprise.

    In the same way, observing the fact that some people are just plain smarter than other people and that this smarts shows up in various areas and labeling it "g" is not science: it is, at best, to use Lord Kelvin's phrase, "stamp collecting."

    Have you read Warne's book In the Know? What have the "intelligence researchers" discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?

    That smart parents tend to have smart children? That smart people tend to be smart in many aspects and in many endeavors? That being smart helps you get ahead in life? That different social and ethnic groups differ in how smart they are?

    Everyone used to take all that for granted!

    It is only because so many social and behavioral "scientists" are such incredible morons that all this needed to be proved to anyone!

    And, yes, yes, I realize that my saying this is insensitive, arrogant, patronizing, condescending, and no doubt a host of other sins whose names I have forgotten.

    But it is nonetheless true.

    And every single one of my great-great grandparents would have recognized that it is true.

    At least Russ Warne's book is not filled with lies and obvious nonsense like most books by social and behavioral "scientists."

    But let's be honest: it is filled with truisms that Warne feels have to be proven to his fellow social and behavioral "scientists" because they lack the basic sense of a nineteenth-century steamboat pilot or journalist (I assume you know whom I have in mind).

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Hypnotoad666, @res

    What have the “intelligence researchers” discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?

    Your grandparents may have “believed” certain things to be true based on folk wisdom, intuition, annecdote, or observation. But that’s not the same as actually having “known” them to be true — not in any scientific sense anyway.

    In any event, I imagine your great-grandparents didn’t know how to measure and quantify intelligence, or how IQ is distributed according to a Gaussian bell curve, or what a standard deviation is, or how the statistical concept of “regression to the mean” affects the predicted intelligence of an individual compared to his parents. Etc.

    Science isn’t less valid merely because it happens to agree with folk wisdom. Plenty of “obvious” things, like the Earth being flat or being the center of the universe, have been disproved.

    Other times, “obvious” things have been confirmed as being scientifically true, such as children’s tendency to be like their parents in aptitude or temperament. Either way, you can’t necessarily say you “know” a fact is true without rigorous empirical measurement and analysis.

  183. @PhysicistDave
    @Colin Wright

    Colin Wright wrote to me:


    [Dave] ‘Well, probably more than you. But, let’s be frank: most philosophy ranges from utter nonsense to pure bullshit.’

    [CW] As I recall, it tends to boil down to not being able to determine much of anything. I have vague memories of thrashing through one proof of God’s existence; okay, you’ve done it, but in the process, you’ve redefined God so that he is simply reality. Great: reality exists. That kind of follows from the fact that we’re around to discuss it.
     
    Yeah.

    The funny thing is that I am probably more positive about some philosophers than most commenters here or most Americans.

    I think that Locke's Second Treatise makes some pivotal points about individual rights and political society. I think Hume's argument concerning miracles is pretty much the last word. I think that David Chalmers, in his pioneering book The Conscious Mind, and other recent philosophers such as Colin McGinn and Philip Goff, have conclusively demolished the claim that consciousness can be explained in terms of physics as previously understood. (To be sure, I think the Nobel laureate physicist Eugene Wigner made that point pretty conclusively decades ago: see here).

    But despite the brilliance of some individual philosophers, the enterprise of philosophy taken as a whole has been a clear failure. It should really be sufficient to just mention Hegel, Schopenhauer, Bradley, Green, McTaggart, etc.

    Or the fact that Alvin Plantinga was elected as president of the American Philosophical Association, Western Division for 1981 (google the guy).

    I've noticed that numerous people on the Web appeal to the glorious value of philosophy, and yet few of them even know who McTaggart and Green were, much less Plantinga.

    They are simply poseurs, rather as if I were to pontificate about French wines... even though I myself actually have never drunk any French wine!

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Intelligent Dasein

    But despite the brilliance of some individual philosophers, the enterprise of philosophy taken as a whole has been a clear failure. It should really be sufficient to just mention Hegel, Schopenhauer, Bradley, Green, McTaggart, etc.

    Everything you think of as your “physics” is simply the fart-gas left behind in the room by long-dead philosophers whose frequency is too high for your pathetic antenna to receive. You are the walking definition of a pure Socratic ignoramus: You know nothing, and you do not know that you know nothing.

    • Thanks: PhysicistDave
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Intelligent Dasein

    My truly brilliant friend Intelligent Dasein wrote to me:


    Everything you think of as your “physics” is simply the fart-gas left behind in the room by long-dead philosophers whose frequency is too high for your pathetic antenna to receive. You are the walking definition of a pure Socratic ignoramus: You know nothing, and you do not know that you know nothing.
     
    Yeah, yeah, that's the ticket!

    I mean, what did my own teachers -- Feynman, Steve Weinberg, Kip Thorne -- know about physics that wasn't already known to Thomas Aquinas? Or Aristotle?

    Right?

    Why all this silliness about the universal acceleration of gravity when Aristotle already knew that heavier objects fall faster than lighter objects?

    Right?

    Hey, would you be willing to fly only on airplanes and only use computers based on the physics known to Aquinas and Aristotle?

    Would ya?

    Just askin'.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @anonymous

  184. @Je Suis Omar Mateen
    @SFG

    "future historians after the collapse or in China or something will be able to understand why science became so unreliable in the early 21st century."

    Those future folks, those sage historians, are always so, so very wise and so, so conveniently in agreement with everything I believe and say. And those future Chinamen, so very preoccupied with white cowardice and dysfunction. Lolcow.

    Replies: @SFG

    I mean, I don’t know what future historians in the West will think after the Woke regime ends, or if there even will be any. It could take hundreds of years and I expect to be long dead.

    But the Chinese did study the collapse of the USSR, which is why they are employing their strategy of prosperity with social control. They have never had our anti-intellectualism, revolutionaries like Mao notwithstanding. I would imagine they are watching our own problems with interest.

  185. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?
     
    We know IQ gets passed down in families, and races are just extended families. So why is there even a question that group differences would have a different mechanism. It's like hypothesizing that the rules of physics are different in different families.

    In any event, there's no point reciting all the evidence because your word "conclusively" is just one big escape hatch that makes proof impossible. Nothing can ever be "conclusive" if merely stating a zero-evidence, magical "McWhorter hypothesis" is enough to refute it. "Hey, maybe it's something else," is not a refutation.

    Heck, Steve is willing to say with confidence that Lee Harvey Oswald acted totally alone and that anyone who thinks otherwise is wrong. So he's capable of making truth/falsity distinctions without getting hung up on philosophical questions of epistemological doubt. Why not apply his JFK assassination fact-finding burden of proof to the IQ Gap?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Pendragon

    In any event, there’s no point reciting all the evidence because your word “conclusively” is just one big escape hatch that makes proof impossible. Nothing can ever be “conclusive” if merely stating a zero-evidence, magical “McWhorter hypothesis” is enough to refute it. “Hey, maybe it’s something else,” is not a refutation.

    I agree, and this guy is supposed to be a scientist ? More proof that college is now merely high school 2.0 now . If one wants truth that doesn’t change tomorrow one does not look for it in science but in pure mathematical research. Mathematicians know the answer to Pontius Pilate’s question to Jesus : “What is truth?”. Truth lies at the end of a correct chain of mathematical argument. Obviously, ‘black IQ’ is not a pure mathematical problem but I prefer the Mathematician’s pencil and paper approach over the special laboratory of a scientist.

    The thrust of the objection seems to be the claim that blacks’ problems are due to ‘social conditions’ (presumably those caused by whites, such as ‘racism’), and that “If only this, that or some other condition is brought about, then blacks would prove ‘equal’ to whites.” But if this claim had any credibility in times past, it has none now; for liberals have been playing the ‘if only…’ game for more than half a century, and blacks are still just as much losers as they ever were — just as criminal, just as low-IQ, just as poor, just as violent, just as unmotivated, and all the rest. In the last 60 or 70 years or so, blacks went from being discriminated AGAINST to being discriminated FOR (affirmative action, set-asides, quotas, etc), and now they are actually WORSE OFF than they were in the 1950s: Altho some have ‘made it’ by affirmative action or living off white guilt (like Jesse Jackson and Al Sharpton), the special privileges and deferences granted to blacks have merely served to increase their dependency, their lack of motivation, their drug taking, their crime, and all the other bad things for which they are so well known, including especially their demands for yet MORE special privileges (Reparations, anyone?).

    The average ‘white’ IQ is 100; the average American ‘black’ IQ is 85; the average African black IQ is 70 (borderline retarded). There has never been a civilization worthy of the name founded by blacks, and blacks have not even been able to retain the civilizations which have been created for them by whites (“white colonialism”). Note: Contrary to black propaganda, the ancient Egyptians were not black — their sculptures, portraits and mummies all clearly show Caucasian features. Also, genetic research shows the ancient Egyptians were genetically related to Copts not subsaharan Africans .Second note: Critics commonly claim that blacks score low on IQ tests because such tests are culturally biased. In fact, however, as black Professor Walter Williams has pointed out, blacks actually do BETTER on tests that are culturally biased.

    And that is without even getting into the mathematics of black crime which liberals implicitly try to refute by using the world’s most absurd conspiracy theory. If you want to know more about it just ask me.

    • Agree: Hypnotoad666
  186. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?

    [Hypno] I have to also point out that this is irrelevant. You don’t need to know precise mechanisms to know how things work. You don’t know the mechanism for gravity, but that doesn’t mean you can’t know when and where the planets will be.
     
    No, but merely taking the obvious fact that things fall down and labeling that tendency "gravity" is not a scientific discovery.

    The scientific discoveries were the non-obvious facts: that all objects experience the same acceleration from gravity (absent air resistance), that gravity dies off roughly as the inverse square, etc.

    And, similarly, taking the fact that children tend to resemble their parents and labeling it "heredity" is not a scientific discovery. Mendel's discovery of the particulate nature of the hereditary material was a real scientific discovery: it was non-obvious and, indeed, quite a surprise.

    In the same way, observing the fact that some people are just plain smarter than other people and that this smarts shows up in various areas and labeling it "g" is not science: it is, at best, to use Lord Kelvin's phrase, "stamp collecting."

    Have you read Warne's book In the Know? What have the "intelligence researchers" discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?

    That smart parents tend to have smart children? That smart people tend to be smart in many aspects and in many endeavors? That being smart helps you get ahead in life? That different social and ethnic groups differ in how smart they are?

    Everyone used to take all that for granted!

    It is only because so many social and behavioral "scientists" are such incredible morons that all this needed to be proved to anyone!

    And, yes, yes, I realize that my saying this is insensitive, arrogant, patronizing, condescending, and no doubt a host of other sins whose names I have forgotten.

    But it is nonetheless true.

    And every single one of my great-great grandparents would have recognized that it is true.

    At least Russ Warne's book is not filled with lies and obvious nonsense like most books by social and behavioral "scientists."

    But let's be honest: it is filled with truisms that Warne feels have to be proven to his fellow social and behavioral "scientists" because they lack the basic sense of a nineteenth-century steamboat pilot or journalist (I assume you know whom I have in mind).

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @Hypnotoad666, @res

    Far too much truth in that for my comfort. But some thoughts.

    In the same way, observing the fact that some people are just plain smarter than other people and that this smarts shows up in various areas and labeling it “g” is not science: it is, at best, to use Lord Kelvin’s phrase, “stamp collecting.”

    I disagree with that. I see the “stamp collecting” epithet as more directed at the collection of obscure facts (cf. entomologists collecting insect species then reasoning about them). With Lord Kelvin’s notion of science being coming up with principles that organize seemingly disparate facts. To my mind “g” is much more in the spirit of the latter than the former.

    What have the “intelligence researchers” discovered that was not already known to my great-great grandparents way back in the nineteenth century?

    Some candidates. The Flynn Effect. Quantifying a host of things (from IQ itself to how heritable to how much do groups differ). Specific genetic variations related to intelligence. The beginnings of your: ‘What are the underlying mechanisms for “g”?’

    For example, the pituitary seems to be important (which I find surprising, and is certainly something your great-great grandparents did not know). See this comment of mine and the James Thompson post discussing some of the SNP and tissue correlation work we see.
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/journey-of-1-1-million-miles/#comment-2434372

    P.S. Might be worth having this conversation in James Thompson’s blog (anyone know if he is OK and still active? no posts for a while).

  187. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Actual science considers alternative hypotheses and tries to rule out all but one.

    I am just applying the same criteria to intelligence research that I apply to physics.

    [Hypno] Really? So you refuse to believe in general relativity unless you have first conclusively rejected the hypothesis that the equations don’t work on Saturday? On that they depend on the income of the person doing the calculations? “Nope, still some alternative hypotheses out there, can’t rule ’em out.”

    Where’s this evidence of black culture depressing IQ by any meaningful amount? If a total lack of evidence doesn’t “rule it out,” then what are you waiting for? The fact that you find a hypothesis emotionally appealing doesn’t mean squat in science.
     
    No one doubts that environment has an effect on IQ: if it didn't, identical twins would have identical IQs, and they don't.

    Since Blacks in America do indeed have a somewhat different environment, on average, than Whites, that makes it a possible hypothesis that the difference in culture accounts for a large part of the Black-White IQ gap. And there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US.

    Big difference.

    So, what causes it? Well, maybe slavers managed to select out the especially intelligent Blacks.

    Or maybe slave-owners somehow bred their slaves for higher intelligence.

    Or just maybe it is cultural and environmental?

    You are the one who wants to reach a solid conclusion here: that the Black-White IQ gap is mainly genetic.

    I am merely pointing out that, by the standards normally employed in science, the evidence is not yet in on that.

    I do not have to prove that some other hypothesis is likely true to make that case.

    This is not theology where people argue: "Prove me wrong or I win the debate!"

    In science, it is those making the affirmative claims who need to consider and refute alternative hypotheses and provide convincing evidence for their preferred hypothesis. And their critics do not not have to show that an alternative hypothesis is more likely.

    All their critics need show is that those making the affirmative claim have not convincingly ruled out other hypotheses.

    As to General Relativity, I, and most physicists I know of, are quite convinced that it is false. It is inconsistent with quantum mechanics.

    On the other hand, on the macroscopic scale, it does test better than any alternative theory, going back to the famous Eddington observation of deflection of light by the Sun in 1919 (Einstein predicted a deflection twice the size of the Newtonian prediction), through to the confirmation of gravitational red-shift and time dilation from the late 1950s through the 1970s, to the recent discovery of gravitational waves.

    So, there is in fact enormously more evidence for General Relativity than for your belief that the Black-White IQ gap is primarily genetic.

    The latter issue is simply unsettled, by the normal standards required in the various natural sciences.

    You're not in STEM, right?

    I have repeatedly gone into great detail on my own background: my Ph.D. from Stanford for my work at SLAC, my patents on communication and computer systems, my work as a semiconductor device physicist, even the fact that I was on a team that won a technical Emmy for our contributions to television arts and sciences -- we were the first semiconductor company to achieve that.

    Why don't you tell us your professional and educational background and your achievements therein, and then maybe we can help you clear up your confusions about science?

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @Colin Wright, @res

    there is very substantial evidence that culture can have a very big impact: compare, for example, the IQ of Black Africans in Africa to the IQ of Blacks in the US.

    Big difference.

    Colin Wright’s admixture point is a good partial explanation (note the “admixed” in Steve’s post as well). As for the rest, switching between “culture” and “culture and environment” in your statements is a bit dishonest IMO. Nutrition (especially prenatal and early childhood) almost certainly matters. And there are additional factors–like disease load and pollutants.

    As with most differences statements the magnitude of each difference between groups influences how large a portion of the overall phenotypic difference each cause accounts for. So looking at the intelligence differences between US blacks and both Africans and US whites we see:

    US blacks vs. Africans (eliding how much genetic variation there is in Africa) – fairly small genetic difference (about 20% average admixture) and huge environmental differences

    US blacks vs. US whites – fairly large genetic difference (Africans are the most genetically distant population from most others) with relatively small environmental differences

    Obviously the balance of genetic and environmental contribution is likely to vary between those two comparisons. This point generalizes. For example, to the relative importance of culture, nutrition, and other environmental influences within “environment.”

  188. @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    Important to remember that “unshared environment” also includes things like measurement error.
     
    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).

    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I've never seen anyone make this point before.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one's "true IQ" actually does fluctuates day-to-day -- I'm not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @res

    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I’ve never seen anyone make this point before.

    I made that point as a snarky parenthetical comment here. I doubt I was the first. The basic idea is the cause of the more genetically deterministic views (not me) out there IMO.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6115893

    My working assumption right now is most of the within group differences (for both height and IQ, noting the heritability of height is greater than that of IQ hence the genetic contribution larger) are mostly due to a combination of heredity and UNshared environment (aka noise to be a bit glib). While between group differences (both examples like US blacks and whites and examples like different countries) are due to a combination of heredity and shared environment.

    Worth noting that a big part of that point is that noise tends to average out when you compare groups.

    Back to you.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).

    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.

    If you are interested in that sort of thing Gwern has done some interesting self experiments. No time to chase the references, but here is a start.
    https://gwern.net/

    I see differences myself with fluidity of thinking (I think working memory plays a significant part) when playing simple games like Sudoku. But hard to rigorously quantify due to noise, practice effects, etc.

    P.S. The difference for identical twins raised apart is smaller than Dave seems to think.
    https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/sources-human-psychological-differences-minnesota-study-twins-reared-apart-1990-thomas-j
    Though it is worth noting that those twins shared a prenatal environment (which can also be a source of difference since the nutrient balance can differ) for nine months and then typically a bit more.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    P.S. The difference for identical twins raised apart is smaller than Dave seems to think.
    https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/sources-human-psychological-differences-minnesota-study-twins-reared-apart-1990-thomas-j
     
    That link is a great plain-language summary of the "Minnesota Twins" study, including the following bottom line:

    Bouchard and his colleagues compare the correlation of IQ between monozygotic reared apart twins and the correlation of IQ between monozygotic twins that are reared together, and found that those values were similar. That similarity led them to conclude that rearing monozygotic twins together or apart has no significant effect on IQ. Based on that comparison, Bouchard and his colleagues conclude that monozygotic twins reared apart were just as similar as monozygotic twins reared together.
     
    I'm too lazy to dig up the actual correlation numbers in the study, but it seems to me that this result alone should have settled the nature/nurture debate all by itself. After all, if you can hold genetics constant and vary family environment, what more can you ask for purposes of the scientific method? (Consistent results comparing correlations of non-identical siblings reared together and apart are just more nails in the environment coffin).

    They also made this very insightful observation:

    Finally, the authors state that genetic factors control the effects of environmental factors. That means the even if environmental factors had a significant effect, the genetic similarity between the monozygotic reared apart twins might have influenced the twins to focus on, and retain similar environmental influences and, as a result, the twins become similar.
     
    That totally makes sense. For example, two identical twins might be raised in a blue-collar and a professional family, respectively. But if they both have genetically high IQs and genetically curious personality traits, they will both be voracious readers. And so exposure to lots of books then becomes part of their respective "environments." In fact, we famously get these bizarre synchronicities, in which twins reared apart both become dentists and marry brunette Lutheran women named "Judy." In other words, their genetic propensities cause them to self-create very similar environments.

    On the one hand, you could characterize this phenomenon as a confounding effect that creates noise in measuring the precise impact of the IQ genes alone. OTOH, you could characterize this phenomenon as just bolstering the overall hereditarian case because it is just further amplifies the effect of genes on real world outcomes. (At some point you could really blur the distinction by defining all the non-IQ genes as part of the "environment" in which the IQ genes live -- but that just gives me a headache to think about).

    Replies: @res

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @res



    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possibility from measurement error, however).
     
    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.
     
    I suppose this comes down to a semantic/definitional/philosophical question of: "What is "IQ/g"?" You could define it as a relatively static hardware issue -- like how many megahertz your processor runs at, or how many bytes of information are on your RAM or hard drive. Or you could define it more like a functional software issue -- i.e., how effective are you at solving actual sets of problems.

    The second definition has got to be pretty variable. Your blood sugar levels, how well you slept the night before, your hormone levels, whether you've had your morning coffee, etc., etc., are all going to impact your brain's operation at any given moment.

    IIRC, old studies clearly showed that a good shot of amphetamines will reliably "raise your IQ," in the sense that it will raise your score on IQ tests. But does that count as temporarily boosting IQ? Or is that just "cheating" on a test that is supposed to measure something deeper and more structural?

    BTW, speaking of "mechanisms" for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person. Being Feynman, he did his own self-experiment and then compared his results with those of a mathematician colleague. (Key part starts at about 1:45 mark).

    https://youtu.be/lr8sVailoLw?t=99

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @res, @PhysicistDave

  189. @YetAnotherAnon
    @Joe Stalin

    Tell me again the one about the Ghost Cities, Grandma !

    Replies: @Joe Stalin

    True fact: most PRC citizens are POOR.

    [4:54]

  190. @rebel yell
    @cthulhu


    Given the results I’m aware of, the huge unknown here is what constitutes the unshared environment.
     
    Take a look at Judith Harris's book - Pinker basically endorses her view. Family environment has no impact at all. Which suggests that social/economic environment has no impact, since families would reflect that. The mystery element in the environment may just be the random, non-systemic differences between our experiences. Which makes sense - any systemic differences in our environments would be reflected in our genetic variance, since our genes equip us to respond and adapt to those systemic environmental factors. It's the one-off experiences that will influence us independent of our genes.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Achmed E. Newman

    I’m not trying to get into this discussion between you and Dave, here, Rebel. I just want to clear up that you refer to The Nurture Assumption here, and that Judith Harris’ was not trying to get into this discussion so much either.

    She was a Psychologist who got laid up for quite a while with some sickness, and had 2 kids, and investigated the the factors that comprise only the Nuture part of that Nature v Nurture argument. Her contention, which she backed up with lots of data/discussion of lots of studies* was this: Almost all of the Nature side of child development is due to the child’s peers rather than parents.

    First of all, I wouldn’t bet everything on that – it’s just he one lady and her book. However, in my review I pointed out 3 flaws with this. They are:

    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children’s peers are to begin with.

    2) The more trust in his parents built up, the more likely the kid will listen to them when he is told which kids he should hang out with, why he should get into the smart (but also, better behaved) kids’ class, etc.

    3) If his parents build up more trust, a kid will also listen to his parents over his peers up though a later age.

    So, PARENTS LIVE MATTER, especially if they’re Black!

    .

    * It’s been almost a decade since I read the book, so just the gist of it comes to me now.

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @Achmed E. Newman

    Ahhh, one typo and one brain fart is surely confusing there. Correction


    :... investigated the the factors that comprise only the Nurture part of that Nature v Nurture argument. Her contention, which she backed up with lots of data/discussion of lots of studies* was this: Almost all of the Nurture side of child development is due to the child’s peers rather than parents.
     
    Sorry 'bout that.
    , @PhysicistDave
    @Achmed E. Newman

    Achmed E. Newman wrote to rebel yell:


    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children’s peers are to begin with.
     
    Harris did make very clear that she was talking about normal middle-American parents who provide their kids with adequate nutrition, competent medical care, etc.

    What if Mom is an unemployed, high-school dropout, single mom, drug addict, and prostitute whose abusive boyfriends change from week to week?

    Harris made no pretense of dealing with that.

    She did mention at one point that she had some (unproven) suspicion that Chinese parents had a greater influence on their kids than American parents. Which raises an interesting question: perhaps there is a genetic basis for Chinese kids being more open to an environmental influence from parents?

    Which starts showing how complex the whole subject is.

    I think Harris' main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don't worry about playing Mozart in utero (the "Mozart effect"), don't worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.

    Do exercise (what used to be) common-sense discipline and guidance, make books and library trips available, etc.

    In short, if you want a Feynman or a Gershwin, just be a normal mid-twentieth-century American parent and hope for the best. Of course, as Feynman and Gershwin illustrate, Jewish genes might not hurt either.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Achmed E. Newman, @Hypnotoad666

  191. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:


    [res] Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.

    [Hypno] It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations — not just Europeans.
     
    But IQ is not "overwhelmingly heritable": it is something like 50/50.

    In any case, that is largely irrelevant to explaining IQ differences between different populations: I know you are not a STEM person, but I have actually studied some population biology.

    And the fact is that that 50 percent heritability within a population is consistent with the variations between populations being completely non-genetic. Or, for that matter, 100 percent genetic.

    I know that seems counter-intuitive to non-STEM people but that is how the math works out.

    All that the significant heritability within a single population tells you is that it would not be surprising if some of the variance between populations is also genetic.

    It simply does not predict how much.

    And that is why this really is unsettled science. Anyone who understands the actual math knows that it is an error to draw the conclusion you wish to draw.

    Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @anon

    Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    Ok so imagine for the sake of argument that you’re responding to hereditarian arguments being made by @gcochran instead of @hypnotoad666.

    Now what is your argument?

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @anon

    anon wrote to me:


    [Dave] Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    [anon] Ok so imagine for the sake of argument that you’re responding to hereditarian arguments being made by @gcochran instead of @hypnotoad666.

    Now what is your argument?
     
    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.

    Hypno seems to think that because heritability for IQ is fairly high within a certain mainstram US environment that it follows that IQ differences between different populations is probably due to genetic differences.

    He has not tried to argue for that point: I think he believes it is obvious.

    It is not: it is clearly and dramatically false. But he and a number of other commenters here are just too damn lazy to learn what heritability is and what it means. They take the word "heritability," which obviously has something to do with inheritance, and then they just guess what it might mean and use that guess to try to present nonsensical, meaningless verbal claims.

    They have been seduced by a technical term that they are too lazy to actually learn about.

    Typical non-STEM people: verbalists who value meaningless verbiage over reality.

    As I wrote above:

    And the fact is that that 50 percent heritability within a population is consistent with the variations between populations being completely non-genetic. Or, for that matter, 100 percent genetic.

    I know that seems counter-intuitive to non-STEM people but that is how the math works out.

    All that the significant heritability within a single population tells you is that it would not be surprising if some of the variance between populations is also genetic.

    It simply does not predict how much.
     
    That is simply what "heritability"means, but our verbiage-addled friends choose not to learn about it.

    Heritability is a measure within a particular population within a particular, specific range of environments of how much of the variation in some trait, IQ in this case, is due to genes vs. how much is due to the specific variations in environment within the particular, specific range of environments used in the study.

    It does not transfer beyond that. Isn't that a shortcoming of the concept of heritability? No, that is all it is supposed to do.

    So, if you study the variation of some trait among people who have almost identical environments -- say, all from two-parent American families in which the dad is a doctor and the mom is a stay-at-home mom and the families all have the same income and live in the same community and the kids all attend the same public school and so on -- you will tend to get a very high heritability for any trait simply because there is very, very little variation in the environment.

    On the other hand, take your sample from a random sample of human beings around the planet -- a bunch of Africans from the bush, a lot of poor Latin Americans, a number of Europeans, quite a few Chinese, and so on -- and you will tend to measure a much lower level of heritability, simply because the environments differ so much more dramatically. Obviously, the variations in environment will then tend to have a much, much greater impact.

    This is not an error or a failure to measure "the" correct heritability. This is how the measure of heritability is supposed to work -- it is supposed to vary, usually quite dramatically for different sample groups that differ dramatically in their environmental variations.

    In the case of the identical twin studies, these were adopted, primarily White, kids in the USA. Adoption agencies have fairly serious criteria, or at least they did back in the mid-twentieth century when those kids were adopted. They would generally not place kids with a family that was financially insecure. They would generally not place a kid with a single mom. They would certainly not place a kid with a mom who was obviously a drug addict or a prostitute.

    Kids were generally placed with stable, middle-American families, and, in the mid-twentieth century, middle-American families were among the most homogeneous large-scale societies in human history.

    I know -- I was there. In the public school I attended, we had kids ranging from upper-middle class to lower-working class. But we watched the same television shows, ate the same food, joined the same Boy Scout troop, engaged in the same recreational activities, etc.

    It wasn't until I reached high school that I started to become dimly aware that we even came from different social classes, because the different social classes were pretty much the same.

    But there was not a single Black in my high school.

    Poor Blacks certainly led different lives than we did.

    The heritability of IQ within my high school would have been very high simply because the environment differed so little that there was not much chance for environment to have a major effect.

    But if you had somehow measured heritability across the entire metro area in which I lived -- Metro St. Louis, which had a large Black population in the central city -- you would have been dealing with an enormously greater range of environments: you could not just transfer the measure of heritability from my lily-White, middle-American high school to a broader milieu.

    Again, this is not a flaw in the concept of heritability: this is how heritability is supposed to behave.

    Heritability does not measure, and it was never intended to measure, what many people here seem to think it is supposed to measure.

    It was simply intended to measure -- within a particular specified range of environments -- how much variation in IQ is due to that specific range of environments vs. due to genes.

    A measure of heritability for one range of environments simply cannot be transferred to a different range of environments.

    At all.

    You asked me to try to explain this, so I have done so.

    But anyone who is mathematically literate, any competent STEM person, who looked at the definition of heritability would not need this explanation.

    The problem here is people who are focused on verbiage rather than the real world and who are just too damn lazy to learn the meaning of a technical term that they cavalierly throw around.

    And, yes, such people do indeed annoy me.

    Which is why I constantly preach: Things over words.

    People who allow words to govern their thoughts rather than focusing on what the non-verbal underlying reality is are constantly engaged in deception.

    And, unfortunately, the ability to engage in that sort of deception is a major part of what is measured by IQ. Which is part of the reason our society is in so much trouble.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @anon

  192. @Achmed E. Newman
    @rebel yell

    I'm not trying to get into this discussion between you and Dave, here, Rebel. I just want to clear up that you refer to The Nurture Assumption here, and that Judith Harris' was not trying to get into this discussion so much either.

    She was a Psychologist who got laid up for quite a while with some sickness, and had 2 kids, and investigated the the factors that comprise only the Nuture part of that Nature v Nurture argument. Her contention, which she backed up with lots of data/discussion of lots of studies* was this: Almost all of the Nature side of child development is due to the child's peers rather than parents.

    First of all, I wouldn't bet everything on that - it's just he one lady and her book. However, in my review I pointed out 3 flaws with this. They are:

    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children's peers are to begin with.

    2) The more trust in his parents built up, the more likely the kid will listen to them when he is told which kids he should hang out with, why he should get into the smart (but also, better behaved) kids' class, etc.

    3) If his parents build up more trust, a kid will also listen to his parents over his peers up though a later age.

    So, PARENTS LIVE MATTER, especially if they're Black!

    .

    * It's been almost a decade since I read the book, so just the gist of it comes to me now.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @PhysicistDave

    Ahhh, one typo and one brain fart is surely confusing there. Correction

    :… investigated the the factors that comprise only the Nurture part of that Nature v Nurture argument. Her contention, which she backed up with lots of data/discussion of lots of studies* was this: Almost all of the Nurture side of child development is due to the child’s peers rather than parents.

    Sorry ’bout that.

  193. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote:


    [Sailer] Of course, these findings do not prove once and for all what we might call the Bell Curve hypothesis that the sizable racial gaps in cognitive performance and law-abidingness are due to both nurture and nature rather than solely to social construction alone.

    [Hypno] Oh geez, here goes brave Steve, making sure everyone knows that he only wants to protect the process, of looking for the truth. But don’t worry, it’s totally safe to keep looking because the truth can never be found.

    Like Zeno’s paradox, we just get closer and closer to meeting the burden of proof. But we can never close the last infinitesimal gap to scientific certainly. It will always be a mystery if genes actually play a role in IQ or if it’s 100% nurture.
     

    There is no doubt of course that genes play a role in IQ. There never has been a doubt. For millennia, people have known that smart parents have a tendency to have smart kids.

    But how do you show conclusively that this explains the Black/White IQ gap?

    McWhorter has argued that the anti-academic, anti-intellectual culture prevalent among many Blacks seriously depresses their ability to succeed academically. Do you doubt that there is such a culture?

    How do you show that that does not fully explain the Black/White IQ gap so that no genetic explanation is needed?

    What are the odds? Bayes' theorem says that probably both matter.

    But with an emphasis on the word "probably."

    The Flynn Effect and the regression to the mean, noted by Flynn, of Asian-Americans after generations in the States show that culture really is important.

    So, how do you show that the "McWhorter Effect" does not fully explain the Black/White IQ difference?

    Replies: @Anon, @Hypnotoad666, @res, @Colin Wright, @Pendragon, @Anon, @MEH 0910

    https://johnmcwhorter.substack.com/p/why-charles-murrays-new-book-is-his

    WHY CHARLES MURRAY’S NEW BOOK IS HIS WEAKEST
    .. despite that he is 1) brilliant and 2) not a bigot.
    JOHN MCWHORTER
    JUN 30, 2021
    […]
    The point about intelligence, however, is tough reading. Many will try the usual arguments – that race is a fiction (but while there are gray zones, humans do divide into delineable races genetically), that all races have a range from genuises on down (but the issue is that some races have more geniuses than others), that intelligence tests are “biased” somehow (but no one will specify just how, and this sort of bias is decades gone now).

    The data, unless Murray is holding back reams of data with opposite results, cut brutally through all of this. It isn’t that black people are on the bottom on one big test in one big study, but that a certain order of achievement manifests itself in one study after another with relentless and depressing regularity. Asians on top, then come the whites, then Latinos, and then black people.

    People will insist that none of this has anything to do with intelligence, but one thing cannot be denied – whatever it signifies, black people have a big problem performing on intelligence tests. The consistency of the results, if it is unconnected to intelligence, is clearly connected to something, or the results wouldn’t be so damnedly consistent.

    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here. Abstract tests are a highly artificial thing, requiring a truly weird – or WEIRD, in the sense of Professor Henrich – way of thinking. Black American culture may be less consonant with that way of approaching things than white or Asian culture, and a fundamental sense of that way of approaching things as “not us,” which would have been encouraged amidst that oppositional mood I mentioned, could subtly discourage black kids from mastering the knack of jumping through the hoop.

    I openly admit, though, that this is also the way I hope it is, and that’s not science. And Murray’s point is that this lower performance on tests suggests lesser cognitive ability, with all intraracial variation acknowledged.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @MEH 0910

    MEH 0910 wrote to me with a lengthy quote from John McWhorter.

    McWhorter is a brilliant guy -- he casually throws out remarks about quantum mechanics, and gets it right.

    However, McWhorter is more reluctant than I am to consider the possibility that the Black-White IQ difference is largely genetic.

    I think it is quite possible that it is indeed largely genetic. I simply think that possibility is far from certain -- it is an interesting, but still unproven, hypothesis.

    And thanks for quoting the excerpt from McWhorter, which does indeed present an alternative, but of course also still unproven, hypothesis.

    As I have said before, if forced to bet, I would guess that the truth is some mixture of the two hypotheses: perhaps it is 50 percent genetic and 50 percent cultural.

    Or not. I don't know. No one knows.

    Which is my main point -- whether on the Black-White IQ gap or global warming or dark matter or superstring theory or whatever, we should be willing to say, "I don't know."

    As McWhorter indeed does in his final paragraph that you quote.

    Our beliefs should be constrained by the evidence.

    Thanks.

    , @MEH 0910
    @MEH 0910

    McWhorter:


    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here.
     
    https://archive.ph/7Z4c6

    Stop Obsessing Over Race and IQ
    By JOHN MCWHORTER
    July 5, 2017
    [...]
    Black American culture, for example, grew from implacably oppressive slavery followed by a Jim Crow hegemony that recapitulated slavery in essence. These were people living in what my linguist’s training reveals as a life bound in orality rather than literacy. To live restricted to casual speech rather than the artifice of writing creates a psychology ill equipped to score highly on the distinctly modern stunt known as the IQ test. Speech emphasizes immediate experience over the athletically hypothetical. In speech, one focuses on a sequence of events — one damned thing after another — rather than on layered particularities along the lines of “If it had . . . , then it would . . . ” The latter sort of mental work, which is what a psychometric test requires one to perform, can seem irrelevant to an oral culture unless it is absolutely necessary — which it rarely is, given the broad generalities that suffice for basic human thriving.
     

    This characteristic of an oral culture is by no means exclusive to African-descended people. Anthropologists discovered similar concretely bound reasoning among Uzbek peasants way back in the 1930s; legions of whites in America have grown up in similar environments (as J. D. Vance’s Hillbilly Elegy eloquently testifies). The fact nonetheless remains that as a hopelessly nerdy kid, I was told warmly but firmly by older southern black relatives that I needed to stop thinking life was in “them books” — i.e., sources teaching me to look beyond my immediate experiences and ready intuitions. Given that these adults had grown up in an America that largely denied them quality schooling and restricted them to menial labor, it was hardly surprising that my geekiness did not strike them as useful or even congenial.

    Make no mistake: My relatives were hardly calling for me or anyone else to drop out of school or get bad grades. These same people swelled with pride to see their children, including me, graduate from high school and even college. However, I find it hard to imagine that performance on an IQ test is not affected — even in small children — by overtones of a day-to-day stance of alienation from, rather than orientation toward, what Jewish people might refer to as “the Book,” and the associated ways of thinking. And culture does not march in lockstep with income, or at least not right away: This subtle orientation can persist even among middle-class descendants of the working-class ancestors who instilled it.

    So that’s how I hope the issue of race and IQ works. But I cannot allow myself to fall into the sadly common pattern in which people’s insistence that something is true is founded as much on their wanting it to be true as on actual evidence. My hunches and predilections do not qualify as conduits to truth. I can responsibly claim neither on my gut sense nor on what I have seen of the research that it has been proven that there is no genetically based racial gap in IQ.
     

    Replies: @res, @Hypnotoad666

  194. In fact the whites are dumber than other races. The IQ of white race seems to be very low. Whites invite their enemies to invade their countries and offer them money and many advantages. – The “experts” that say IQ in USA is higher than in some Asian and Latin American countries, are wrong, at least in the case of immigration. Asians and Latin Americans can easily steal land from USA even though they dont have weapons, and the stupid USA is unable to stop the invasions in spite of having powerful weapons. The invaders use their brains and USA seems not to have brain. I will explain this with some examples: IN recent news, we can see that NON white countries that are invaded, have decided to remove undesirable immigrants. to repatriate them to their respective countries. USA, on the other hand, surrenders to thousands of unarmed migrants that enter illegally in USA or claim for asylum or refuge arguing some lies.
    THis is part of the note published by . W. P. .

    Washington Post, November 6th, quote:

    “Hundreds of thousands of Afghan refugees are being forced to leave Pakistan as the country implements an order from its interim government to remove undocumented people from within its borders. Of the roughly 4 million Afghans living in Pakistan, about 1.7 million people are thought to be in the crosshairs of this “repatriation” plan”.
    ——————————————————————-
    You see? They “remove undocumented people”, they dont accept to be fooled by invaders or their puppetmasters (the leaders of NWO). They are smarter than American white people.

  195. @anon
    @PhysicistDave


    Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?
     
    Ok so imagine for the sake of argument that you're responding to hereditarian arguments being made by @gcochran instead of @hypnotoad666.

    Now what is your argument?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    anon wrote to me:

    [Dave] Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    [anon] Ok so imagine for the sake of argument that you’re responding to hereditarian arguments being made by @gcochran instead of @hypnotoad666.

    Now what is your argument?

    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.

    Hypno seems to think that because heritability for IQ is fairly high within a certain mainstram US environment that it follows that IQ differences between different populations is probably due to genetic differences.

    He has not tried to argue for that point: I think he believes it is obvious.

    It is not: it is clearly and dramatically false. But he and a number of other commenters here are just too damn lazy to learn what heritability is and what it means. They take the word “heritability,” which obviously has something to do with inheritance, and then they just guess what it might mean and use that guess to try to present nonsensical, meaningless verbal claims.

    They have been seduced by a technical term that they are too lazy to actually learn about.

    Typical non-STEM people: verbalists who value meaningless verbiage over reality.

    As I wrote above:

    And the fact is that that 50 percent heritability within a population is consistent with the variations between populations being completely non-genetic. Or, for that matter, 100 percent genetic.

    I know that seems counter-intuitive to non-STEM people but that is how the math works out.

    All that the significant heritability within a single population tells you is that it would not be surprising if some of the variance between populations is also genetic.

    It simply does not predict how much.

    That is simply what “heritability”means, but our verbiage-addled friends choose not to learn about it.

    Heritability is a measure within a particular population within a particular, specific range of environments of how much of the variation in some trait, IQ in this case, is due to genes vs. how much is due to the specific variations in environment within the particular, specific range of environments used in the study.

    It does not transfer beyond that. Isn’t that a shortcoming of the concept of heritability? No, that is all it is supposed to do.

    So, if you study the variation of some trait among people who have almost identical environments — say, all from two-parent American families in which the dad is a doctor and the mom is a stay-at-home mom and the families all have the same income and live in the same community and the kids all attend the same public school and so on — you will tend to get a very high heritability for any trait simply because there is very, very little variation in the environment.

    On the other hand, take your sample from a random sample of human beings around the planet — a bunch of Africans from the bush, a lot of poor Latin Americans, a number of Europeans, quite a few Chinese, and so on — and you will tend to measure a much lower level of heritability, simply because the environments differ so much more dramatically. Obviously, the variations in environment will then tend to have a much, much greater impact.

    This is not an error or a failure to measure “the” correct heritability. This is how the measure of heritability is supposed to work — it is supposed to vary, usually quite dramatically for different sample groups that differ dramatically in their environmental variations.

    In the case of the identical twin studies, these were adopted, primarily White, kids in the USA. Adoption agencies have fairly serious criteria, or at least they did back in the mid-twentieth century when those kids were adopted. They would generally not place kids with a family that was financially insecure. They would generally not place a kid with a single mom. They would certainly not place a kid with a mom who was obviously a drug addict or a prostitute.

    Kids were generally placed with stable, middle-American families, and, in the mid-twentieth century, middle-American families were among the most homogeneous large-scale societies in human history.

    I know — I was there. In the public school I attended, we had kids ranging from upper-middle class to lower-working class. But we watched the same television shows, ate the same food, joined the same Boy Scout troop, engaged in the same recreational activities, etc.

    It wasn’t until I reached high school that I started to become dimly aware that we even came from different social classes, because the different social classes were pretty much the same.

    But there was not a single Black in my high school.

    Poor Blacks certainly led different lives than we did.

    The heritability of IQ within my high school would have been very high simply because the environment differed so little that there was not much chance for environment to have a major effect.

    But if you had somehow measured heritability across the entire metro area in which I lived — Metro St. Louis, which had a large Black population in the central city — you would have been dealing with an enormously greater range of environments: you could not just transfer the measure of heritability from my lily-White, middle-American high school to a broader milieu.

    Again, this is not a flaw in the concept of heritability: this is how heritability is supposed to behave.

    Heritability does not measure, and it was never intended to measure, what many people here seem to think it is supposed to measure.

    It was simply intended to measure — within a particular specified range of environments — how much variation in IQ is due to that specific range of environments vs. due to genes.

    A measure of heritability for one range of environments simply cannot be transferred to a different range of environments.

    At all.

    You asked me to try to explain this, so I have done so.

    But anyone who is mathematically literate, any competent STEM person, who looked at the definition of heritability would not need this explanation.

    The problem here is people who are focused on verbiage rather than the real world and who are just too damn lazy to learn the meaning of a technical term that they cavalierly throw around.

    And, yes, such people do indeed annoy me.

    Which is why I constantly preach: Things over words.

    People who allow words to govern their thoughts rather than focusing on what the non-verbal underlying reality is are constantly engaged in deception.

    And, unfortunately, the ability to engage in that sort of deception is a major part of what is measured by IQ. Which is part of the reason our society is in so much trouble.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave

    PhysicistDave says: • 1,100 Words


    Which is why I constantly preach: Things over words.

    People who allow words to govern their thoughts rather than focusing on what the non-verbal underlying reality is are constantly engaged in deception.
     

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @anon
    @PhysicistDave

    I'm going to respond to things you've said in a couple different subthreads here.


    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.
     
    Somehow, despite your colossal STEM brain, you missed the point. Greg Cochran has remarkably similar credentials to you - Physics PhD, specialized in optics. In fact, his credentials exceed yours - he's a professor of anthropology and has written a book on the subject.

    Cochran is also known for advancing a largely hereditarian view on topics like the racial gap in IQ. I've done the legwork for you of finding a couple examples:


    Suppose that the narrow-sense heritability of IQ is 0.7 [ in typical western circumstances: no ball-peen hammers), and the non-genetic variation is almost all caused by mysterious unshared-environment effects – not the school you go to or the books in the house, but something essentially random, like somatic mutation, or randomness in development.

    Then while a big fraction of variance in IQ is caused by genetic differences, quite a bit is not.

    But now look at the difference between two groups. It’s entirely possible that those random forces – somatic mutation, noise in development, etc – are close to the same in both groups.

    If so, the difference in the averages of the two groups would be almost entirely genetic, since the non-genetic factors would average out.
     

    (from "Differences, within and without")

    and


    It turns out that breed differences in behavior are highly heritable, which is interesting since it’s impossible to define between-population heritability ( it is so written) . But although philosophically impossible to define, it’s apparently fairly easy to calculate.

    ...

    Interestingly, genotype accounts for more of the behavioral variation between breeds than it does within breeds. Like humans, most genetic variation in dogs is within-breed rather than between-breed ( 85%-15% in humans, 70% to 30% in dogs), but that whole-genome number does not matter: what matters is the distribution of the particular genes that influence behavioral traits, not neutral or behaviorally-irrelevant genes.

    You can’t say any of these things without detailed understanding of the causal mechanisms, just as we could not eat anything until we’d learned that edible sugars are right-handed molecules while amino acids are left-handed.

    As for comparing dog breeds and human races, wrong because too obvious.
     

    (from "Heritable differences in dog behavior")

    You said in comment 169 of this thread


    I have a Ph.D. from Stanford in physics. I have published papers in some of the world’s most prestigious scientific journals. My name is on multiple patents. My wife also has a Ph.D. from Stanford, in biology, and I have on occasion helped her in her work.

    If I am not an authority entitled to judge that something is pseudo-science, exactly who is?
     

    Cochran's at least as much of an authority here as you are, yet he doesn't agree with you.

    So I ask you again: If you were debating Greg Cochran on this subject, what would be your argument?

    You also said in comment 221 of this thread


    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as “substantially”? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as “substantial”? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray’s, David Reich’s, and Steve Pinker’s.
     

    How can these three be the arbiters of this or any other question in science? Murray's PhD is in Political Science, so according to you (comment 161) he's fraudulently donned the mantle of science. Reich's BA was in Physics, so maybe he's not completely retarded, but his PhD is in Zoology, i.e. stamp collecting. And Pinker is a psychologist, so not even a scientist, or at least not much of one (comment 135). How could this gaggle of cretins possibly know more about this subject than you? You obviously know better! You're a superior STEM guy! But wait, Greg Cochran knows better, too, because he was a physicist, and he disagrees with you. A paradox!

    Of course, you're just being dishonest. Thus far in this thread you've written about 9,500 words, on a topic about which you "simply do not care" (comment 221), mostly just furiously patting yourself on the back. Why don't you show us what that big brain can do and just answer my question?

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

  196. @MEH 0910
    @PhysicistDave

    https://johnmcwhorter.substack.com/p/why-charles-murrays-new-book-is-his


    WHY CHARLES MURRAY'S NEW BOOK IS HIS WEAKEST
    .. despite that he is 1) brilliant and 2) not a bigot.
    JOHN MCWHORTER
    JUN 30, 2021
    [...]
    The point about intelligence, however, is tough reading. Many will try the usual arguments – that race is a fiction (but while there are gray zones, humans do divide into delineable races genetically), that all races have a range from genuises on down (but the issue is that some races have more geniuses than others), that intelligence tests are “biased” somehow (but no one will specify just how, and this sort of bias is decades gone now).

    The data, unless Murray is holding back reams of data with opposite results, cut brutally through all of this. It isn’t that black people are on the bottom on one big test in one big study, but that a certain order of achievement manifests itself in one study after another with relentless and depressing regularity. Asians on top, then come the whites, then Latinos, and then black people.

    People will insist that none of this has anything to do with intelligence, but one thing cannot be denied – whatever it signifies, black people have a big problem performing on intelligence tests. The consistency of the results, if it is unconnected to intelligence, is clearly connected to something, or the results wouldn’t be so damnedly consistent.

    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here. Abstract tests are a highly artificial thing, requiring a truly weird – or WEIRD, in the sense of Professor Henrich – way of thinking. Black American culture may be less consonant with that way of approaching things than white or Asian culture, and a fundamental sense of that way of approaching things as “not us,” which would have been encouraged amidst that oppositional mood I mentioned, could subtly discourage black kids from mastering the knack of jumping through the hoop.

    I openly admit, though, that this is also the way I hope it is, and that’s not science. And Murray’s point is that this lower performance on tests suggests lesser cognitive ability, with all intraracial variation acknowledged.
     

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @MEH 0910

    MEH 0910 wrote to me with a lengthy quote from John McWhorter.

    McWhorter is a brilliant guy — he casually throws out remarks about quantum mechanics, and gets it right.

    However, McWhorter is more reluctant than I am to consider the possibility that the Black-White IQ difference is largely genetic.

    I think it is quite possible that it is indeed largely genetic. I simply think that possibility is far from certain — it is an interesting, but still unproven, hypothesis.

    And thanks for quoting the excerpt from McWhorter, which does indeed present an alternative, but of course also still unproven, hypothesis.

    As I have said before, if forced to bet, I would guess that the truth is some mixture of the two hypotheses: perhaps it is 50 percent genetic and 50 percent cultural.

    Or not. I don’t know. No one knows.

    Which is my main point — whether on the Black-White IQ gap or global warming or dark matter or superstring theory or whatever, we should be willing to say, “I don’t know.”

    As McWhorter indeed does in his final paragraph that you quote.

    Our beliefs should be constrained by the evidence.

    Thanks.

  197. @Achmed E. Newman
    @rebel yell

    I'm not trying to get into this discussion between you and Dave, here, Rebel. I just want to clear up that you refer to The Nurture Assumption here, and that Judith Harris' was not trying to get into this discussion so much either.

    She was a Psychologist who got laid up for quite a while with some sickness, and had 2 kids, and investigated the the factors that comprise only the Nuture part of that Nature v Nurture argument. Her contention, which she backed up with lots of data/discussion of lots of studies* was this: Almost all of the Nature side of child development is due to the child's peers rather than parents.

    First of all, I wouldn't bet everything on that - it's just he one lady and her book. However, in my review I pointed out 3 flaws with this. They are:

    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children's peers are to begin with.

    2) The more trust in his parents built up, the more likely the kid will listen to them when he is told which kids he should hang out with, why he should get into the smart (but also, better behaved) kids' class, etc.

    3) If his parents build up more trust, a kid will also listen to his parents over his peers up though a later age.

    So, PARENTS LIVE MATTER, especially if they're Black!

    .

    * It's been almost a decade since I read the book, so just the gist of it comes to me now.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @PhysicistDave

    Achmed E. Newman wrote to rebel yell:

    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children’s peers are to begin with.

    Harris did make very clear that she was talking about normal middle-American parents who provide their kids with adequate nutrition, competent medical care, etc.

    What if Mom is an unemployed, high-school dropout, single mom, drug addict, and prostitute whose abusive boyfriends change from week to week?

    Harris made no pretense of dealing with that.

    She did mention at one point that she had some (unproven) suspicion that Chinese parents had a greater influence on their kids than American parents. Which raises an interesting question: perhaps there is a genetic basis for Chinese kids being more open to an environmental influence from parents?

    Which starts showing how complex the whole subject is.

    I think Harris’ main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don’t worry about playing Mozart in utero (the “Mozart effect”), don’t worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.

    Do exercise (what used to be) common-sense discipline and guidance, make books and library trips available, etc.

    In short, if you want a Feynman or a Gershwin, just be a normal mid-twentieth-century American parent and hope for the best. Of course, as Feynman and Gershwin illustrate, Jewish genes might not hurt either.

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @PhysicistDave


    Harris did make very clear that she was talking about normal middle-American parents who provide their kids with adequate nutrition, competent medical care, etc.

    What if Mom is an unemployed, high-school dropout, single mom, drug addict, and prostitute whose abusive boyfriends change from week to week?

    Harris made no pretense of dealing with that.
     
    Right. I saw that last time you wrote, Dave, and I meant to insert that caveat, along with the following.

    Judith Harris didn't try to write the next "Bell Curve" or some important social-scientific finding. She just observed the 2 children she and her husband raised, got a bunch of studies to review, etc. This book is for the market of parents of fairly young children, to be sold at airports, for instance. It's a pop-psychology/good parenting book.

    Yes, it was meant for parents like herself, decent, middle-class, probably White/Asian, and conscientious. The point of it was to reassure parents that, no (per your comment), don't feel bad that you only went to museums twice because you were busy, you didn't have a full-out appropriate-age library of books, and you forgot to play classical music when they were in their cribs. It doesn't matter!

    Yes, the subject is complex, even without the genetic component to this, as per the Chinese parents you mentioned.
    , @Achmed E. Newman
    @PhysicistDave

    Besides the 3 related points I mentioned, basically, yeah, let's say peer influence is 95% of the nurture effect on your children's future capabilities, parents can control who these peers are, there's the fact that I don't really believe her conclusion without that.

    After all, all that influence you have, much of it unintentional - kid sees you pull out some wood and fix a little thing on the house, slam a tool down because it's cheap crap, etc. - may very well stay deeply embedded in his mind. After 10 years of hanging out with young people of his age with their own effects on him, that stuff from the early years, when his mind was wide open, can come to the surface.

    That is where it's VERY hard to determine anecdotally whether certain personality traits are genetic or not.

    Example: even as an adult, I used to occasionally take my temper out on something mechanical that was not coming together and simply bash it.* Well, I never did that in front of my boy, at least through his toddler years. Yet, when he was 1 1/2 y/o, one time he stood up, hit his head on the doorknob and then started trying to bash the hell out of it. I couldn't help but smile! How does that stuff get passed on? DNA is amazing stuff!

    .

    * Yes, I would feel better, since you asked (haha), though I'd think "man, now I have even more work to do." But, I'd feel a lot calmer.

    , @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    I think Harris’ main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don’t worry about playing Mozart in utero (the “Mozart effect”), don’t worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.
     
    One message of the book was to just spend time with your kids for its own sake, and have fun with them. Don't try to make every minute into some exercise in self-improvement. Really good advice, IMHO.

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob

  198. @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to Hypnotoad666:


    [Hypno] [Dave has] moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).

    [res] Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.
     
    But, you know, Hypno lied about my position.

    I am not insisting that anyone has to prove that the Black-White IQ gap is 95 percent genetic or 95 percent cultural or whatever.

    I am merely insisting that whatever claim is made has to be shown to be the case by the usual standards employed in science.

    It is our friend Hypno who seems pretty sure that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic, apparently because he misunderstands the science and believes, as he said in his reply to you:

    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations...
     
    It is, of course, not "overwhelmingly heritable": it is something like 50/50, give or take.

    But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic. It merely leaves that as a possibility.

    Anyone who understands the population genetics involved knows this: our friend does not. (I helped my wife when she took population biology working towards her Ph.D., so I actually do know something about this -- pretty easy stuff for a physicist!)

    As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It's just a tar baby.

    Presumably, the issue will eventually be settled when the whole-genome data has been mined to the level that we can predict, say, 90 percent of the genetic component of the variance of IQ within any single race simply by looking at the genome. At that point, we can apply the same analysis to different races and either find out that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic or that only half is or that none of it is or whatever turns out to be the case.

    This whole area is like the global-warming issue: there is no scientific doubt that anthropogenic CO2 has had a warming effect on the planet. There is also no doubt that the climate has gone through fairly dramatic swings in the last two millennia (not to mention the Ice Ages!) before humans were outputting significant CO2 from fossil fuels.

    So, how much of the recent warming is due to humans and how much to natural causes? And what will be the path of climate in coming decades?

    No one really knows.

    And for pointing this out I have been alternately labeled both an evil tool of the climate alarmists and an evil associate of the climate denialists!

    Commenters on the Web do not want to hear "No one really knows" even when that is the only scientifically accurate thing to say.

    Which, I am afraid, bespeaks catastrophically bad science education in the USA.

    Replies: @res, @Hypnotoad666

    As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It’s just a tar baby.

    That is a cop out. The evidence might not be definitive, but it certainly is suggestive.

    Presumably, the issue will eventually be settled when the whole-genome data has been mined to the level that we can predict, say, 90 percent of the genetic component of the variance of IQ within any single race simply by looking at the genome. At that point, we can apply the same analysis to different races and either find out that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic or that only half is or that none of it is or whatever turns out to be the case.

    I actually left out one of the most persuasive pieces of evidence for a genetic effect on between race IQ differences. Davide Piffer’s work comparing PGS scores for different races/countries with estimated IQ. Here is a comment where I gave my take on Piffer’s work along with links to older comments and blog posts by James Thompson. As a bonus for you, it occurs in the context of an extended argument with j2 (might be fun to read).
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/piffer-rides-again/?showcomments#comment-3186473

    One sample of that work from that post.

    An interesting point there is US Blacks are an outlier on the IQ higher than expected from PGS side. Perhaps an indicator their environment is not so bad as many seem to think?

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    [Dave] As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It’s just a tar baby.

    [res] That is a cop out. The evidence might not be definitive, but it certainly is suggestive.
     
    You mean suggestive that McWhorter's hope is right and it is all cultural?

    Well... could be.

    Nobody knows.

    res also wrote:

    I actually left out one of the most persuasive pieces of evidence for a genetic effect on between race IQ differences. Davide Piffer’s work comparing PGS scores for different races/countries with estimated IQ.
     
    It's just too easy to come up with alternative hypotheses. And the data tends to be really, really crappy.

    I've been observing conjectures and refutations in science for over fifty years now, way back to the steady-state theory, J. B. Rhine's work in parapsychology, and on and on.

    I mentioned steady-state and Rhine's work because both seemed semi-plausible to outsiders who did not really do a deep dig into the data and the analysis.

    Of course, both were flat-out wrong.

    The sort of "data" and "analysis" you are pointing to have the same smell as those did.

    The overwhelming problem is the "Flynn Effect." IQ within a single nation has beenhugely unstable over time -- something like a point or two per decade, which really has added up to something big.

    It is exceedingly unlikely that this is due to an improvement in the gene pool: indeed, as Dutton and Woodley of Menie have pointed out (see their At Our Wits' End: Why We're Becoming Less Intelligent and What it Means for the Future ), there is every reason to believe that the pattern of reproduction in the West has been dysgenic over the last century.

    That means the Flynn Effect has to be environmental, and it is very, very big.

    Given that effect, the null hypothesis for any sort of analysis of the sort you are appealing to has to be: It's probably environmental, perhaps a delayed Flynn Effect.

    Now, the whole point of a null hypothesis is to test it and try to refute it. And perhaps this one will be refuted.

    But it has not been refuted yet.

    A priori reasoning based on population genetics theory suggests there probably is some genetic difference between populations for any trait that shows substantial continuing variation within a population: the variation within a population must be due to stabilizing selection of some sort, and the factors that lead to that stabilizing selection will probably be at least a bit different for populations in different environments.

    But that a priori argument does not indicate that the genetic difference between populations will be significant. Maybe, maybe not.

    Given the huge environmental influence within single populations over time, proven by the Flynn Effect, the null hypothesis -- the hypothesis to beat, so to speak -- has to be that everything you are pointing to is, like the Flynn Effect, environmental.

    And no one knows whether, in the end, that null hypothesis will still stand or whether really solid data -- basically, as I said earlier, a nearly complete identification of the genes that contribute to intelligence -- will end up refuting the null hypothesis.

    I realize that non-STEM people hate this "Well, it is an open question for decades until the appropriate data comes in" stance. But that is how legitimate science works and how it must work.

    As I said before, the same applies to global warming, dark matter, superstring theory, and a host of other issues.

    And, there too, non-STEM people tend to be very impatient with scientists who say, "Well, we just don't know... yet."

    But it is the only honest position.

    Replies: @res

  199. @res
    @PhysicistDave


    As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It’s just a tar baby.
     
    That is a cop out. The evidence might not be definitive, but it certainly is suggestive.

    Presumably, the issue will eventually be settled when the whole-genome data has been mined to the level that we can predict, say, 90 percent of the genetic component of the variance of IQ within any single race simply by looking at the genome. At that point, we can apply the same analysis to different races and either find out that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic or that only half is or that none of it is or whatever turns out to be the case.
     
    I actually left out one of the most persuasive pieces of evidence for a genetic effect on between race IQ differences. Davide Piffer's work comparing PGS scores for different races/countries with estimated IQ. Here is a comment where I gave my take on Piffer's work along with links to older comments and blog posts by James Thompson. As a bonus for you, it occurs in the context of an extended argument with j2 (might be fun to read).
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/piffer-rides-again/?showcomments#comment-3186473

    One sample of that work from that post.

    https://www.unz.com/wp-content/uploads/2019/04/Piffer-data-plots-1.png

    An interesting point there is US Blacks are an outlier on the IQ higher than expected from PGS side. Perhaps an indicator their environment is not so bad as many seem to think?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    res wrote to me:

    [Dave] As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It’s just a tar baby.

    [res] That is a cop out. The evidence might not be definitive, but it certainly is suggestive.

    You mean suggestive that McWhorter’s hope is right and it is all cultural?

    Well… could be.

    Nobody knows.

    res also wrote:

    I actually left out one of the most persuasive pieces of evidence for a genetic effect on between race IQ differences. Davide Piffer’s work comparing PGS scores for different races/countries with estimated IQ.

    It’s just too easy to come up with alternative hypotheses. And the data tends to be really, really crappy.

    I’ve been observing conjectures and refutations in science for over fifty years now, way back to the steady-state theory, J. B. Rhine’s work in parapsychology, and on and on.

    I mentioned steady-state and Rhine’s work because both seemed semi-plausible to outsiders who did not really do a deep dig into the data and the analysis.

    Of course, both were flat-out wrong.

    The sort of “data” and “analysis” you are pointing to have the same smell as those did.

    The overwhelming problem is the “Flynn Effect.” IQ within a single nation has beenhugely unstable over time — something like a point or two per decade, which really has added up to something big.

    It is exceedingly unlikely that this is due to an improvement in the gene pool: indeed, as Dutton and Woodley of Menie have pointed out (see their At Our Wits’ End: Why We’re Becoming Less Intelligent and What it Means for the Future ), there is every reason to believe that the pattern of reproduction in the West has been dysgenic over the last century.

    That means the Flynn Effect has to be environmental, and it is very, very big.

    Given that effect, the null hypothesis for any sort of analysis of the sort you are appealing to has to be: It’s probably environmental, perhaps a delayed Flynn Effect.

    Now, the whole point of a null hypothesis is to test it and try to refute it. And perhaps this one will be refuted.

    But it has not been refuted yet.

    A priori reasoning based on population genetics theory suggests there probably is some genetic difference between populations for any trait that shows substantial continuing variation within a population: the variation within a population must be due to stabilizing selection of some sort, and the factors that lead to that stabilizing selection will probably be at least a bit different for populations in different environments.

    But that a priori argument does not indicate that the genetic difference between populations will be significant. Maybe, maybe not.

    Given the huge environmental influence within single populations over time, proven by the Flynn Effect, the null hypothesis — the hypothesis to beat, so to speak — has to be that everything you are pointing to is, like the Flynn Effect, environmental.

    And no one knows whether, in the end, that null hypothesis will still stand or whether really solid data — basically, as I said earlier, a nearly complete identification of the genes that contribute to intelligence — will end up refuting the null hypothesis.

    I realize that non-STEM people hate this “Well, it is an open question for decades until the appropriate data comes in” stance. But that is how legitimate science works and how it must work.

    As I said before, the same applies to global warming, dark matter, superstring theory, and a host of other issues.

    And, there too, non-STEM people tend to be very impatient with scientists who say, “Well, we just don’t know… yet.”

    But it is the only honest position.

    • Replies: @res
    @PhysicistDave


    The overwhelming problem is the “Flynn Effect.” IQ within a single nation has beenhugely unstable over time — something like a point or two per decade, which really has added up to something big.

    It is exceedingly unlikely that this is due to an improvement in the gene pool: indeed, as Dutton and Woodley of Menie have pointed out (see their At Our Wits’ End: Why We’re Becoming Less Intelligent and What it Means for the Future ), there is every reason to believe that the pattern of reproduction in the West has been dysgenic over the last century.

    That means the Flynn Effect has to be environmental, and it is very, very big.

    Given that effect, the null hypothesis for any sort of analysis of the sort you are appealing to has to be: It’s probably environmental, perhaps a delayed Flynn Effect.
     
    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like "probably environmental" after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage. Unqualified (e.g. mostly, over 50% say, environmental) that statement is just more playing games with the false dichotomy I complained about above.

    My take on environmental differences is they can be large across time (Flynn Effect, especially in a time of such rapidly improving technology) or across major cultural boundaries (say North and South Korea, or Europe vs. Africa). Much harder to be large with people in the same time and space. Especially in a country as redistributionist as ours.

    BTW, I talk about the false dichotomy here frequently. It is useful to realize that there are people (experts in the field even) actually asserting both the 100% genetic and 100% environmental extremes (i.e. not a strawman). Here is an excerpt from a 2019 survey of intelligence researchers discussed in James Thompson's blog.
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/experts-intelligence-race/

    "They were somewhat Left inclined, and this had an impact on questions like the contribution genetics makes to black-white differences. 16% of experts reported a 100% environmental explanation, whereas 6% reported a 100% genetic explanation. This group leans left in general, and is more extremely left on this particular issue. (For the record, I find it hard to argue for either of these extreme positions. My recollection is that I was in the 50:50 camp)."

    And, there too, non-STEM people tend to be very impatient with scientists who say, “Well, we just don’t know… yet.”

    But it is the only honest position.
     
    There is a wide range of "don't know for sure." Which is the standard I believe you are applying. This is why I talk about "definitive" evidence. I have presented evidence above which I think makes the 0% environment position untenable (e.g. you do realize that Piffer's work looks at the SNPs found in EDU/IQ GWAS, right? The frequencies differ between Europeans and Africans. Non-zero. The question is, how much?). Do you disagree?

    As an aside, one of the big questions about Piffer's work is why does it work so well when the IQ data is not great and the PGS in question are designed for Europeans. My best guess is that the SNPs being used serve as signals for genetic selection for IQ therefore are better proxies than otherwise would be expected for IQ overall. This idea does not work for individuals, but should work for populations.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  200. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:


    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).
     
    That's for identical twins raised together, who share a common familial environment.

    It is significantly less for identical twins raised apart.

    Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Hypnotoad666

    Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    Dave, logical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren’t. The scientific method doesn’t give a shit about anybody’s background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.

    • Agree: Mike Tre, HammerJack
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    My little buddy Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    [Hypno] Dave, logical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren’t. The scientific method doesn’t give a shit about anybody’s background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.
     
    Ah, one more sign of your "Web psychosis": the bizarre belief, common across the Web, that all commenters on the Web start out equal, regardless of the knowledge and expertise they have attained in the real world.

    What makes it a psychosis is that no one can consistently behave that way: if you are rushed to the ER with intense abdominal pain, and the doc diagnoses you as having acute appendicitis that requires emergency surgery, you are not going to start lecturing him that:

    [L]ogical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren’t. The scientific method doesn’t give a shit about anybody’s background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.
     
    You will rely on his actual, very real expertise.

    You want me to pretend that you are my equal?

    You're not.

    I am a superior STEM guy.

    You... well, tell us again what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    And, yeah, yeah, everyone: I do most assuredly realize that I am being patronizing, supercilious, insensitive, and just a generally baaad dude. That is the real world. No one in real life adheres to the Web psychosis that Hypno is adhering to here. Human beings are not equal. It is especially hilarious that I need to point this out in a thread that is discussing IQ!

    Web psychosis -- a mind is a terrible thing to lose (with thanks to Dan Quayle!).

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

  201. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:


    In responding to Physicist Dave, I noticed for the first time that the correlation between the measured IQs of identical twins is identical (no pun intended) to the correlation between the measured scores of the same individual taking the test twice! (Both correlations =@ .85).
     
    That's for identical twins raised together, who share a common familial environment.

    It is significantly less for identical twins raised apart.

    Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Hypnotoad666

    That’s for identical twins raised together, who share a common familial environment.

    Right. But the same person who takes the test a second time was also raised in the same familial environment as when he took the test the first time. So if the variance is identical between the scores of two identical twins taking the test, and an individual taking the test twice, that means nothing matters except genetics and shared environment.

    And then we also know from adopted-out sibling studies that unshared environment is almost irrelevant — i.e., siblings reared apart correlate almost entirely with their biological parents, not their adoptive (environmental) parents.

    So if you put these two findings together, it follows that changing one’s familial environment while holding genetics constant is essentially irrelevant to predicted IQ.

    Familial environment, by itself, just doesn’t change IQ. That’s what the data shows. The B/W IQ Gap is therefore not due to differences in familiar environment.

    • Replies: @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    And then we also know from adopted-out sibling studies that unshared environment is almost irrelevant — i.e., siblings reared apart correlate almost entirely with their biological parents, not their adoptive (environmental) parents.
     
    I think you mean shared environment here. Here is an important paper.

    Sources of human psychological differences: the Minnesota Study of Twins Reared Apart
     
    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/20936587_Sources_of_Human_Psychological_Differences_The_Minnesota_Study_of_Twins_Reared_Apart

    Some notes. To some extent they assume the shared environment does not matter:

    The power of the MZA design is that for twins reared apart from early infancy and randomly placed for adoption, Ves is negligible, so that Vg can be directly estimated from the MZA correlation.
     
    Later they assert:

    MZA twins share prenatal and perinatal environments, but except for effects of actual trauma, such as fetal alcohol syndrome, there is little evidence that early shared environment significantly contrib- utes to the variance of psychological traits. Twins are especially vulnerable to prenatal and perinatal trauma, but these effects are most likely to decrease, rather than increase, within-pair similarity
     
    In their study they find IQ 70% genetic. Presumably the other 30% is considered unshared environment.

    Back to you.

    Familial environment, by itself, just doesn’t change IQ. That’s what the data shows. The B/W IQ Gap is therefore not due to differences in familiar environment.
     
    I think that is a bit of an overstatement. I would phrase it along the lines of: "the typical differences seen between families in the US in are not sufficient to significantly influence IQ." As I noted in a comment to Dave environmental differences can be larger through greater distances in time and space.

    It is clear that environment CAN make a difference for individuals (consider lead poisoning), or even groups (consider Flynn Effect). It is just that in practice the differences within a population in the same time don't appear to be large and systematic enough to meaningfully affect the variance explained in studies.

    Worth noting that looking at group differences in IQ means the individual differences are averaged and the overall issue boils down to differences between the group averages in environment.
  202. @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to Hypnotoad666:


    [Hypno] [Dave has] moved the goalposts from proving the IQ Gap isn’t “100% environmental” (Steve’s original formulation) to proving that it’s “100% genetic” (Whatever, let’s say it’s 95%, instead).

    [res] Playing games with that false dichotomy is extremely common in discussions involving genetics and IQ (both racial and otherwise). It became tiresome long ago.
     
    But, you know, Hypno lied about my position.

    I am not insisting that anyone has to prove that the Black-White IQ gap is 95 percent genetic or 95 percent cultural or whatever.

    I am merely insisting that whatever claim is made has to be shown to be the case by the usual standards employed in science.

    It is our friend Hypno who seems pretty sure that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic, apparently because he misunderstands the science and believes, as he said in his reply to you:

    It is tiresome, indeed. On one side of the “debate” is a huge body of facts establishing that IQ is overwhelmingly heritable for all human populations...
     
    It is, of course, not "overwhelmingly heritable": it is something like 50/50, give or take.

    But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic. It merely leaves that as a possibility.

    Anyone who understands the population genetics involved knows this: our friend does not. (I helped my wife when she took population biology working towards her Ph.D., so I actually do know something about this -- pretty easy stuff for a physicist!)

    As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It's just a tar baby.

    Presumably, the issue will eventually be settled when the whole-genome data has been mined to the level that we can predict, say, 90 percent of the genetic component of the variance of IQ within any single race simply by looking at the genome. At that point, we can apply the same analysis to different races and either find out that most of the Black-White IQ gap is genetic or that only half is or that none of it is or whatever turns out to be the case.

    This whole area is like the global-warming issue: there is no scientific doubt that anthropogenic CO2 has had a warming effect on the planet. There is also no doubt that the climate has gone through fairly dramatic swings in the last two millennia (not to mention the Ice Ages!) before humans were outputting significant CO2 from fossil fuels.

    So, how much of the recent warming is due to humans and how much to natural causes? And what will be the path of climate in coming decades?

    No one really knows.

    And for pointing this out I have been alternately labeled both an evil tool of the climate alarmists and an evil associate of the climate denialists!

    Commenters on the Web do not want to hear "No one really knows" even when that is the only scientifically accurate thing to say.

    Which, I am afraid, bespeaks catastrophically bad science education in the USA.

    Replies: @res, @Hypnotoad666

    But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.

    Sez who? What makes all white people “one population,” whereas for purposes of the rules of genetic heritability blacks are “another population?”

    Seems like question begging. They are a “different population” if they live under separate environmental conditions that drastically affect their IQs. But we forgot to prove such environmental effects on their IQs actually exist before declaring them a “different population.”

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Our brilliant scientific analyst Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.

    [Hypno] Sez who? What makes all white people “one population,” whereas for purposes of the rules of genetic heritability blacks are “another population?”

    Seems like question begging. They are a “different population” if they live under separate environmental conditions that drastically affect their IQs.
     

    Y'know, the more you post, the more you reveal your extraordinary ignorance of sicnece in general and population biology in particular.

    You can choose any population you want.

    You want the population in your study to include everyone in the world whose first name has five letters and whose last name has six letters, which would of course include me, you can do that.

    I doubt that study will produce results of much interest, but you can do that if you wish.

    Why study the populations of Blacks versus the population of Whites? Well... quite a few people, like you for example, seem to be interested in comparing those two populations.

    That's all.

    You really, really lack the ability to think like a STEM person at all, don't you?

    Now, what did you say your educational and professional background was so that we can help you deal with your stunning misunderstanding of science?

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

  203. Eh, we are drowning in such knowledge now, admittedly mixed with a lot of fake results too, and nobody cares about any of it. The big problem today is not more knowledge, the big problem is the institutions and people that ignore the evidence and make dumb claims regardless.

    What we need is a wholesale reorganization of society for the information age, where the universities and journals you are worried about are destroyed, both because they are not the right institutional forms for today and because they have been captured by activists and bureaucrats.

    There will always be researchers off in a corner digging up knowledge, but more importantly, the world around them needs to and will drastically change.

    • Agree: Hypnotoad666
  204. @PhysicistDave
    @Achmed E. Newman

    Achmed E. Newman wrote to rebel yell:


    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children’s peers are to begin with.
     
    Harris did make very clear that she was talking about normal middle-American parents who provide their kids with adequate nutrition, competent medical care, etc.

    What if Mom is an unemployed, high-school dropout, single mom, drug addict, and prostitute whose abusive boyfriends change from week to week?

    Harris made no pretense of dealing with that.

    She did mention at one point that she had some (unproven) suspicion that Chinese parents had a greater influence on their kids than American parents. Which raises an interesting question: perhaps there is a genetic basis for Chinese kids being more open to an environmental influence from parents?

    Which starts showing how complex the whole subject is.

    I think Harris' main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don't worry about playing Mozart in utero (the "Mozart effect"), don't worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.

    Do exercise (what used to be) common-sense discipline and guidance, make books and library trips available, etc.

    In short, if you want a Feynman or a Gershwin, just be a normal mid-twentieth-century American parent and hope for the best. Of course, as Feynman and Gershwin illustrate, Jewish genes might not hurt either.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Achmed E. Newman, @Hypnotoad666

    Harris did make very clear that she was talking about normal middle-American parents who provide their kids with adequate nutrition, competent medical care, etc.

    What if Mom is an unemployed, high-school dropout, single mom, drug addict, and prostitute whose abusive boyfriends change from week to week?

    Harris made no pretense of dealing with that.

    Right. I saw that last time you wrote, Dave, and I meant to insert that caveat, along with the following.

    Judith Harris didn’t try to write the next “Bell Curve” or some important social-scientific finding. She just observed the 2 children she and her husband raised, got a bunch of studies to review, etc. This book is for the market of parents of fairly young children, to be sold at airports, for instance. It’s a pop-psychology/good parenting book.

    Yes, it was meant for parents like herself, decent, middle-class, probably White/Asian, and conscientious. The point of it was to reassure parents that, no (per your comment), don’t feel bad that you only went to museums twice because you were busy, you didn’t have a full-out appropriate-age library of books, and you forgot to play classical music when they were in their cribs. It doesn’t matter!

    Yes, the subject is complex, even without the genetic component to this, as per the Chinese parents you mentioned.

  205. @PhysicistDave
    @Achmed E. Newman

    Achmed E. Newman wrote to rebel yell:


    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children’s peers are to begin with.
     
    Harris did make very clear that she was talking about normal middle-American parents who provide their kids with adequate nutrition, competent medical care, etc.

    What if Mom is an unemployed, high-school dropout, single mom, drug addict, and prostitute whose abusive boyfriends change from week to week?

    Harris made no pretense of dealing with that.

    She did mention at one point that she had some (unproven) suspicion that Chinese parents had a greater influence on their kids than American parents. Which raises an interesting question: perhaps there is a genetic basis for Chinese kids being more open to an environmental influence from parents?

    Which starts showing how complex the whole subject is.

    I think Harris' main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don't worry about playing Mozart in utero (the "Mozart effect"), don't worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.

    Do exercise (what used to be) common-sense discipline and guidance, make books and library trips available, etc.

    In short, if you want a Feynman or a Gershwin, just be a normal mid-twentieth-century American parent and hope for the best. Of course, as Feynman and Gershwin illustrate, Jewish genes might not hurt either.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Achmed E. Newman, @Hypnotoad666

    Besides the 3 related points I mentioned, basically, yeah, let’s say peer influence is 95% of the nurture effect on your children’s future capabilities, parents can control who these peers are, there’s the fact that I don’t really believe her conclusion without that.

    After all, all that influence you have, much of it unintentional – kid sees you pull out some wood and fix a little thing on the house, slam a tool down because it’s cheap crap, etc. – may very well stay deeply embedded in his mind. After 10 years of hanging out with young people of his age with their own effects on him, that stuff from the early years, when his mind was wide open, can come to the surface.

    That is where it’s VERY hard to determine anecdotally whether certain personality traits are genetic or not.

    Example: even as an adult, I used to occasionally take my temper out on something mechanical that was not coming together and simply bash it.* Well, I never did that in front of my boy, at least through his toddler years. Yet, when he was 1 1/2 y/o, one time he stood up, hit his head on the doorknob and then started trying to bash the hell out of it. I couldn’t help but smile! How does that stuff get passed on? DNA is amazing stuff!

    .

    * Yes, I would feel better, since you asked (haha), though I’d think “man, now I have even more work to do.” But, I’d feel a lot calmer.

  206. @PhysicistDave
    @anon

    anon wrote to me:


    [Dave] Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    [anon] Ok so imagine for the sake of argument that you’re responding to hereditarian arguments being made by @gcochran instead of @hypnotoad666.

    Now what is your argument?
     
    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.

    Hypno seems to think that because heritability for IQ is fairly high within a certain mainstram US environment that it follows that IQ differences between different populations is probably due to genetic differences.

    He has not tried to argue for that point: I think he believes it is obvious.

    It is not: it is clearly and dramatically false. But he and a number of other commenters here are just too damn lazy to learn what heritability is and what it means. They take the word "heritability," which obviously has something to do with inheritance, and then they just guess what it might mean and use that guess to try to present nonsensical, meaningless verbal claims.

    They have been seduced by a technical term that they are too lazy to actually learn about.

    Typical non-STEM people: verbalists who value meaningless verbiage over reality.

    As I wrote above:

    And the fact is that that 50 percent heritability within a population is consistent with the variations between populations being completely non-genetic. Or, for that matter, 100 percent genetic.

    I know that seems counter-intuitive to non-STEM people but that is how the math works out.

    All that the significant heritability within a single population tells you is that it would not be surprising if some of the variance between populations is also genetic.

    It simply does not predict how much.
     
    That is simply what "heritability"means, but our verbiage-addled friends choose not to learn about it.

    Heritability is a measure within a particular population within a particular, specific range of environments of how much of the variation in some trait, IQ in this case, is due to genes vs. how much is due to the specific variations in environment within the particular, specific range of environments used in the study.

    It does not transfer beyond that. Isn't that a shortcoming of the concept of heritability? No, that is all it is supposed to do.

    So, if you study the variation of some trait among people who have almost identical environments -- say, all from two-parent American families in which the dad is a doctor and the mom is a stay-at-home mom and the families all have the same income and live in the same community and the kids all attend the same public school and so on -- you will tend to get a very high heritability for any trait simply because there is very, very little variation in the environment.

    On the other hand, take your sample from a random sample of human beings around the planet -- a bunch of Africans from the bush, a lot of poor Latin Americans, a number of Europeans, quite a few Chinese, and so on -- and you will tend to measure a much lower level of heritability, simply because the environments differ so much more dramatically. Obviously, the variations in environment will then tend to have a much, much greater impact.

    This is not an error or a failure to measure "the" correct heritability. This is how the measure of heritability is supposed to work -- it is supposed to vary, usually quite dramatically for different sample groups that differ dramatically in their environmental variations.

    In the case of the identical twin studies, these were adopted, primarily White, kids in the USA. Adoption agencies have fairly serious criteria, or at least they did back in the mid-twentieth century when those kids were adopted. They would generally not place kids with a family that was financially insecure. They would generally not place a kid with a single mom. They would certainly not place a kid with a mom who was obviously a drug addict or a prostitute.

    Kids were generally placed with stable, middle-American families, and, in the mid-twentieth century, middle-American families were among the most homogeneous large-scale societies in human history.

    I know -- I was there. In the public school I attended, we had kids ranging from upper-middle class to lower-working class. But we watched the same television shows, ate the same food, joined the same Boy Scout troop, engaged in the same recreational activities, etc.

    It wasn't until I reached high school that I started to become dimly aware that we even came from different social classes, because the different social classes were pretty much the same.

    But there was not a single Black in my high school.

    Poor Blacks certainly led different lives than we did.

    The heritability of IQ within my high school would have been very high simply because the environment differed so little that there was not much chance for environment to have a major effect.

    But if you had somehow measured heritability across the entire metro area in which I lived -- Metro St. Louis, which had a large Black population in the central city -- you would have been dealing with an enormously greater range of environments: you could not just transfer the measure of heritability from my lily-White, middle-American high school to a broader milieu.

    Again, this is not a flaw in the concept of heritability: this is how heritability is supposed to behave.

    Heritability does not measure, and it was never intended to measure, what many people here seem to think it is supposed to measure.

    It was simply intended to measure -- within a particular specified range of environments -- how much variation in IQ is due to that specific range of environments vs. due to genes.

    A measure of heritability for one range of environments simply cannot be transferred to a different range of environments.

    At all.

    You asked me to try to explain this, so I have done so.

    But anyone who is mathematically literate, any competent STEM person, who looked at the definition of heritability would not need this explanation.

    The problem here is people who are focused on verbiage rather than the real world and who are just too damn lazy to learn the meaning of a technical term that they cavalierly throw around.

    And, yes, such people do indeed annoy me.

    Which is why I constantly preach: Things over words.

    People who allow words to govern their thoughts rather than focusing on what the non-verbal underlying reality is are constantly engaged in deception.

    And, unfortunately, the ability to engage in that sort of deception is a major part of what is measured by IQ. Which is part of the reason our society is in so much trouble.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @anon

    PhysicistDave says: • 1,100 Words

    Which is why I constantly preach: Things over words.

    People who allow words to govern their thoughts rather than focusing on what the non-verbal underlying reality is are constantly engaged in deception.

    • LOL: res, HammerJack
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Jenner Ickham Errican

    My little buddy Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:


    PhysicistDave says: • 1,100 Words
     
    You betcha!

    Y'see, when we superior STEM types communicate with other superior STEM types, we can often just use a diagram on a white board or even just a nod or a wave of the hand.

    But when we try to communicate with you muggle turkeys... well, we have to use words, lots and lots of words, because you poor muggles learn very, very s.l.o.w.l.y.

    By the way,little guy, did you see the victory of the libertarian anarchist Javier Milei in the Argentine? He won't succeed in all of his goals, of course, given the corrupt system in which he is trying to work.

    But it does show that the Overton Window is shifting: it is now acceptable -- in Argentina of all places! -- to declare yourself an anarcho-capitalist and win an election.

    You government lovers are the past, old fella. The future belongs to us anarchists.

    As the song has it:

    Do you hear the people sing?
    Singing the song of angry men?
    It is the music of the people
    Who will not be slaves again!
    When the beating of your heart
    Echoes the beating of the drums
    There is a life about to start
    When tomorrow comes
     
    https://youtu.be/1q82twrdr0U

    The era of the state is coming to a close. Five millennia is enough. Anarchism is the wave of the future.

    I don't think you are gonna like the future, old fella.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

  207. @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    [Dave] As to your question about the admixture studies, I know enough about this field to know that any claimed results so far have multiple possible interpretations, questions about the validity of the data, etc.

    It’s just a tar baby.

    [res] That is a cop out. The evidence might not be definitive, but it certainly is suggestive.
     
    You mean suggestive that McWhorter's hope is right and it is all cultural?

    Well... could be.

    Nobody knows.

    res also wrote:

    I actually left out one of the most persuasive pieces of evidence for a genetic effect on between race IQ differences. Davide Piffer’s work comparing PGS scores for different races/countries with estimated IQ.
     
    It's just too easy to come up with alternative hypotheses. And the data tends to be really, really crappy.

    I've been observing conjectures and refutations in science for over fifty years now, way back to the steady-state theory, J. B. Rhine's work in parapsychology, and on and on.

    I mentioned steady-state and Rhine's work because both seemed semi-plausible to outsiders who did not really do a deep dig into the data and the analysis.

    Of course, both were flat-out wrong.

    The sort of "data" and "analysis" you are pointing to have the same smell as those did.

    The overwhelming problem is the "Flynn Effect." IQ within a single nation has beenhugely unstable over time -- something like a point or two per decade, which really has added up to something big.

    It is exceedingly unlikely that this is due to an improvement in the gene pool: indeed, as Dutton and Woodley of Menie have pointed out (see their At Our Wits' End: Why We're Becoming Less Intelligent and What it Means for the Future ), there is every reason to believe that the pattern of reproduction in the West has been dysgenic over the last century.

    That means the Flynn Effect has to be environmental, and it is very, very big.

    Given that effect, the null hypothesis for any sort of analysis of the sort you are appealing to has to be: It's probably environmental, perhaps a delayed Flynn Effect.

    Now, the whole point of a null hypothesis is to test it and try to refute it. And perhaps this one will be refuted.

    But it has not been refuted yet.

    A priori reasoning based on population genetics theory suggests there probably is some genetic difference between populations for any trait that shows substantial continuing variation within a population: the variation within a population must be due to stabilizing selection of some sort, and the factors that lead to that stabilizing selection will probably be at least a bit different for populations in different environments.

    But that a priori argument does not indicate that the genetic difference between populations will be significant. Maybe, maybe not.

    Given the huge environmental influence within single populations over time, proven by the Flynn Effect, the null hypothesis -- the hypothesis to beat, so to speak -- has to be that everything you are pointing to is, like the Flynn Effect, environmental.

    And no one knows whether, in the end, that null hypothesis will still stand or whether really solid data -- basically, as I said earlier, a nearly complete identification of the genes that contribute to intelligence -- will end up refuting the null hypothesis.

    I realize that non-STEM people hate this "Well, it is an open question for decades until the appropriate data comes in" stance. But that is how legitimate science works and how it must work.

    As I said before, the same applies to global warming, dark matter, superstring theory, and a host of other issues.

    And, there too, non-STEM people tend to be very impatient with scientists who say, "Well, we just don't know... yet."

    But it is the only honest position.

    Replies: @res

    The overwhelming problem is the “Flynn Effect.” IQ within a single nation has beenhugely unstable over time — something like a point or two per decade, which really has added up to something big.

    It is exceedingly unlikely that this is due to an improvement in the gene pool: indeed, as Dutton and Woodley of Menie have pointed out (see their At Our Wits’ End: Why We’re Becoming Less Intelligent and What it Means for the Future ), there is every reason to believe that the pattern of reproduction in the West has been dysgenic over the last century.

    That means the Flynn Effect has to be environmental, and it is very, very big.

    Given that effect, the null hypothesis for any sort of analysis of the sort you are appealing to has to be: It’s probably environmental, perhaps a delayed Flynn Effect.

    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage. Unqualified (e.g. mostly, over 50% say, environmental) that statement is just more playing games with the false dichotomy I complained about above.

    My take on environmental differences is they can be large across time (Flynn Effect, especially in a time of such rapidly improving technology) or across major cultural boundaries (say North and South Korea, or Europe vs. Africa). Much harder to be large with people in the same time and space. Especially in a country as redistributionist as ours.

    BTW, I talk about the false dichotomy here frequently. It is useful to realize that there are people (experts in the field even) actually asserting both the 100% genetic and 100% environmental extremes (i.e. not a strawman). Here is an excerpt from a 2019 survey of intelligence researchers discussed in James Thompson’s blog.
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/experts-intelligence-race/

    “They were somewhat Left inclined, and this had an impact on questions like the contribution genetics makes to black-white differences. 16% of experts reported a 100% environmental explanation, whereas 6% reported a 100% genetic explanation. This group leans left in general, and is more extremely left on this particular issue. (For the record, I find it hard to argue for either of these extreme positions. My recollection is that I was in the 50:50 camp).”

    And, there too, non-STEM people tend to be very impatient with scientists who say, “Well, we just don’t know… yet.”

    But it is the only honest position.

    There is a wide range of “don’t know for sure.” Which is the standard I believe you are applying. This is why I talk about “definitive” evidence. I have presented evidence above which I think makes the 0% environment position untenable (e.g. you do realize that Piffer’s work looks at the SNPs found in EDU/IQ GWAS, right? The frequencies differ between Europeans and Africans. Non-zero. The question is, how much?). Do you disagree?

    As an aside, one of the big questions about Piffer’s work is why does it work so well when the IQ data is not great and the PGS in question are designed for Europeans. My best guess is that the SNPs being used serve as signals for genetic selection for IQ therefore are better proxies than otherwise would be expected for IQ overall. This idea does not work for individuals, but should work for populations.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage.
     
    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.

    You seem to agree with me that the Flynn Effect is overwhelmingly environmental.

    Indeed, it may be over 100% environmental, given that dysgenic reproductive practices have tended to push in the opposite direction.

    But, hey, who's counting?

    res also wrote:

    My take on environmental differences is they can be large across time (Flynn Effect, especially in a time of such rapidly improving technology) or across major cultural boundaries (say North and South Korea, or Europe vs. Africa). Much harder to be large with people in the same time and space. Especially in a country as redistributionist as ours.
     
    There is no reason that time per se should matter in the slightest.

    Our great-grandparents lived in a slightly different environment than we do. Some Blacks in America live in a significantly different environment than most Whites. It is more than plausible that this could lead to an effect even larger than the Flynn Effect.

    Or not.

    No one knows.

    As to redistribution, that has actually had a horrifically bad effect on the environment of many Blacks, you know -- fatherless families and all that. SES is largely a proxy for the attitudes and values that parents exhibit; mere income redistribution has not been effective in changing that.

    Quite the contrary, in fact.

    res also wrote:

    There is a wide range of “don’t know for sure.” Which is the standard I believe you are applying. This is why I talk about “definitive” evidence. I have presented evidence above which I think makes the 0% environment position untenable
     
    I think you mis-spoke, didn't you? I agree that the 0% environment position is probably untenable -- i.e., it is probably not true that the environment has zero effect.

    Although I am far from certain of that.

    But I assume that what you meant to say was that you have shown that the 0% genetic position is untenable: i.e., that genes do account for more than 0% of the Black-White IQ gap.

    Well, speaking as a scientist with decades of successful evaluations of claims of new scientific discoveries in various fields, I disagree.

    If I apply the same standards that I apply in judging claims in physics, astronomy, etc., no, you have not shown that the Black-White IQ gap is more than 0% due to genes.

    Perhaps it is 80% due to genes. Perhaps the correct figure is even a negative number, meaning that Black genetic contribution to IQ is actually greater than Whites'!

    No one knows.

    Now, as I have said many times, applying Bayes' Theorem and given the fact that both Nature and Nurture can contribute to IQ, the best guess is that both do indeed contribute to the Black-White IQ gap.

    But that is just a naive guess, not science.

    And, in fact, if the genetic contribution to explaining the gap is only 5%, I very much doubt that most people on either side of the debate will consider that to be significant. If, on the other hand, the contribution turns out to be 80%, I suspect that both sides will feel that that really matters.

    So, what does count as "significant"? Ask the people on both sides who manage to be so riled up on this issue: I myself simply do not care.

    Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as "substantially"? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as "substantial"? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray's, David Reich's, and Steve Pinker's.

    But I do not think they will make such a statement in the near future.

    Do you?

    Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    Replies: @res, @res

  208. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    That’s for identical twins raised together, who share a common familial environment.
     
    Right. But the same person who takes the test a second time was also raised in the same familial environment as when he took the test the first time. So if the variance is identical between the scores of two identical twins taking the test, and an individual taking the test twice, that means nothing matters except genetics and shared environment.

    And then we also know from adopted-out sibling studies that unshared environment is almost irrelevant -- i.e., siblings reared apart correlate almost entirely with their biological parents, not their adoptive (environmental) parents.

    So if you put these two findings together, it follows that changing one's familial environment while holding genetics constant is essentially irrelevant to predicted IQ.

    Familial environment, by itself, just doesn't change IQ. That's what the data shows. The B/W IQ Gap is therefore not due to differences in familiar environment.

    Replies: @res

    And then we also know from adopted-out sibling studies that unshared environment is almost irrelevant — i.e., siblings reared apart correlate almost entirely with their biological parents, not their adoptive (environmental) parents.

    I think you mean shared environment here. Here is an important paper.

    Sources of human psychological differences: the Minnesota Study of Twins Reared Apart

    https://www.researchgate.net/publication/20936587_Sources_of_Human_Psychological_Differences_The_Minnesota_Study_of_Twins_Reared_Apart

    Some notes. To some extent they assume the shared environment does not matter:

    The power of the MZA design is that for twins reared apart from early infancy and randomly placed for adoption, Ves is negligible, so that Vg can be directly estimated from the MZA correlation.

    Later they assert:

    MZA twins share prenatal and perinatal environments, but except for effects of actual trauma, such as fetal alcohol syndrome, there is little evidence that early shared environment significantly contrib- utes to the variance of psychological traits. Twins are especially vulnerable to prenatal and perinatal trauma, but these effects are most likely to decrease, rather than increase, within-pair similarity

    In their study they find IQ 70% genetic. Presumably the other 30% is considered unshared environment.

    Back to you.

    Familial environment, by itself, just doesn’t change IQ. That’s what the data shows. The B/W IQ Gap is therefore not due to differences in familiar environment.

    I think that is a bit of an overstatement. I would phrase it along the lines of: “the typical differences seen between families in the US in are not sufficient to significantly influence IQ.” As I noted in a comment to Dave environmental differences can be larger through greater distances in time and space.

    It is clear that environment CAN make a difference for individuals (consider lead poisoning), or even groups (consider Flynn Effect). It is just that in practice the differences within a population in the same time don’t appear to be large and systematic enough to meaningfully affect the variance explained in studies.

    Worth noting that looking at group differences in IQ means the individual differences are averaged and the overall issue boils down to differences between the group averages in environment.

  209. @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I’ve never seen anyone make this point before.
     
    I made that point as a snarky parenthetical comment here. I doubt I was the first. The basic idea is the cause of the more genetically deterministic views (not me) out there IMO.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6115893

    My working assumption right now is most of the within group differences (for both height and IQ, noting the heritability of height is greater than that of IQ hence the genetic contribution larger) are mostly due to a combination of heredity and UNshared environment (aka noise to be a bit glib). While between group differences (both examples like US blacks and whites and examples like different countries) are due to a combination of heredity and shared environment.
     
    Worth noting that a big part of that point is that noise tends to average out when you compare groups.

    Back to you.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).
     
    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.

    If you are interested in that sort of thing Gwern has done some interesting self experiments. No time to chase the references, but here is a start.
    https://gwern.net/

    I see differences myself with fluidity of thinking (I think working memory plays a significant part) when playing simple games like Sudoku. But hard to rigorously quantify due to noise, practice effects, etc.

    P.S. The difference for identical twins raised apart is smaller than Dave seems to think.
    https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/sources-human-psychological-differences-minnesota-study-twins-reared-apart-1990-thomas-j
    Though it is worth noting that those twins shared a prenatal environment (which can also be a source of difference since the nutrient balance can differ) for nine months and then typically a bit more.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Hypnotoad666

    P.S. The difference for identical twins raised apart is smaller than Dave seems to think.
    https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/sources-human-psychological-differences-minnesota-study-twins-reared-apart-1990-thomas-j

    That link is a great plain-language summary of the “Minnesota Twins” study, including the following bottom line:

    Bouchard and his colleagues compare the correlation of IQ between monozygotic reared apart twins and the correlation of IQ between monozygotic twins that are reared together, and found that those values were similar. That similarity led them to conclude that rearing monozygotic twins together or apart has no significant effect on IQ. Based on that comparison, Bouchard and his colleagues conclude that monozygotic twins reared apart were just as similar as monozygotic twins reared together.

    I’m too lazy to dig up the actual correlation numbers in the study, but it seems to me that this result alone should have settled the nature/nurture debate all by itself. After all, if you can hold genetics constant and vary family environment, what more can you ask for purposes of the scientific method? (Consistent results comparing correlations of non-identical siblings reared together and apart are just more nails in the environment coffin).

    They also made this very insightful observation:

    Finally, the authors state that genetic factors control the effects of environmental factors. That means the even if environmental factors had a significant effect, the genetic similarity between the monozygotic reared apart twins might have influenced the twins to focus on, and retain similar environmental influences and, as a result, the twins become similar.

    That totally makes sense. For example, two identical twins might be raised in a blue-collar and a professional family, respectively. But if they both have genetically high IQs and genetically curious personality traits, they will both be voracious readers. And so exposure to lots of books then becomes part of their respective “environments.” In fact, we famously get these bizarre synchronicities, in which twins reared apart both become dentists and marry brunette Lutheran women named “Judy.” In other words, their genetic propensities cause them to self-create very similar environments.

    On the one hand, you could characterize this phenomenon as a confounding effect that creates noise in measuring the precise impact of the IQ genes alone. OTOH, you could characterize this phenomenon as just bolstering the overall hereditarian case because it is just further amplifies the effect of genes on real world outcomes. (At some point you could really blur the distinction by defining all the non-IQ genes as part of the “environment” in which the IQ genes live — but that just gives me a headache to think about).

    • Replies: @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    But if they both have genetically high IQs and genetically curious personality traits, they will both be voracious readers. And so exposure to lots of books then becomes part of their respective “environments.”
     
    That sort of thing is generally considered to be the reason for:

    1. IQ heritability increasing with age.
    2. The effects of childhood interventions (e.g. Headstart) dissipate over time.

    Put simply: people create their own environment to a large degree.

    At some point you could really blur the distinction by defining all the non-IQ genes as part of the “environment” in which the IQ genes live
     
    It seems likely that some of the IQ SNPs identified by GWAS don't directly affect brain processing. See the "system integrity hypothesis" here:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology#System_integrity_hypothesis_vs_evolution_hypothesis

    The System integrity hypothesis posits that childhood intelligence is just one aspect of a well wired and well-functioning body and suggests that there is a latent trait that encompasses intelligence, health and many other factors.[82][83] This trait indexes how well the body is functioning and how well the body can respond to change and return to a normal balance again (allostatic load). According to the system integrity hypothesis lower IQ does not cause mortality but instead poor system integrity causes lower intelligence and poorer health as well as a range of other traits which can be thought of as markers of system integrity. Professor Ian Deary has proposed that fluctuating asymmetry, speed of information processing, physical co-ordination, physical strength, metabolic syndrome and genetic correlation may be further potential markers of system integrity which by definition should explain a large part of or nullify the relationship between intelligence and mortality.
     
  210. @res
    @Hypnotoad666


    That seems pretty profound. It suggests that everything aside from shared genes and shared environment is just measurement noise. But I’ve never seen anyone make this point before.
     
    I made that point as a snarky parenthetical comment here. I doubt I was the first. The basic idea is the cause of the more genetically deterministic views (not me) out there IMO.
    https://www.unz.com/runz/the-forbidden-topic-race-and-iq/?showcomments#comment-6115893

    My working assumption right now is most of the within group differences (for both height and IQ, noting the heritability of height is greater than that of IQ hence the genetic contribution larger) are mostly due to a combination of heredity and UNshared environment (aka noise to be a bit glib). While between group differences (both examples like US blacks and whites and examples like different countries) are due to a combination of heredity and shared environment.
     
    Worth noting that a big part of that point is that noise tends to average out when you compare groups.

    Back to you.

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possiblity from measurement error, however).
     
    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.

    If you are interested in that sort of thing Gwern has done some interesting self experiments. No time to chase the references, but here is a start.
    https://gwern.net/

    I see differences myself with fluidity of thinking (I think working memory plays a significant part) when playing simple games like Sudoku. But hard to rigorously quantify due to noise, practice effects, etc.

    P.S. The difference for identical twins raised apart is smaller than Dave seems to think.
    https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/sources-human-psychological-differences-minnesota-study-twins-reared-apart-1990-thomas-j
    Though it is worth noting that those twins shared a prenatal environment (which can also be a source of difference since the nutrient balance can differ) for nine months and then typically a bit more.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Hypnotoad666

    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possibility from measurement error, however).

    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.

    I suppose this comes down to a semantic/definitional/philosophical question of: “What is “IQ/g”?” You could define it as a relatively static hardware issue — like how many megahertz your processor runs at, or how many bytes of information are on your RAM or hard drive. Or you could define it more like a functional software issue — i.e., how effective are you at solving actual sets of problems.

    The second definition has got to be pretty variable. Your blood sugar levels, how well you slept the night before, your hormone levels, whether you’ve had your morning coffee, etc., etc., are all going to impact your brain’s operation at any given moment.

    IIRC, old studies clearly showed that a good shot of amphetamines will reliably “raise your IQ,” in the sense that it will raise your score on IQ tests. But does that count as temporarily boosting IQ? Or is that just “cheating” on a test that is supposed to measure something deeper and more structural?

    BTW, speaking of “mechanisms” for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person. Being Feynman, he did his own self-experiment and then compared his results with those of a mathematician colleague. (Key part starts at about 1:45 mark).

    • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @Hypnotoad666

    Thanks for that. He was a really really smart guy and quite well spoken. His book Surely You're Joking, Mr. Feynman is excellent.

    , @res
    @Hypnotoad666

    Agreed with your take in the first two paragraphs. Regarding this:


    IIRC, old studies clearly showed that a good shot of amphetamines will reliably “raise your IQ,” in the sense that it will raise your score on IQ tests. But does that count as temporarily boosting IQ? Or is that just “cheating” on a test that is supposed to measure something deeper and more structural?
     
    I think what matters there is the purpose of the IQ test. If you are doing it for selection for suitability for a task then I think amphetamines would be cheating unless you can also take them while performing the task.

    If doing it for comparison purposes then I think the goal should be to test people under similar conditions as close to their sustainable (I don't consider the amphetamine boost sustainable) best functioning as possible.

    Thanks for the Feynman video link.
    , @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:


    BTW, speaking of “mechanisms” for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person.
     
    My mind works much as Feynman's did, not surprising since I got to know him my freshman year and took two full years of classes from him my junior and senior years.

    For example, I recently did a calculation for the energy in a gravitational wave, using a much simpler technique than I have ever seen used in the standard texts.

    The take-off point was an offhand comment that Feynman made that, of course, a gravitational wave has energy, because it could be used to heat up a wall. Believe it or not, for well over a half century there was a very serious debate as to whether gravitational waves carry energy.

    So, I made a careful, very simple mathematical model of a wall.

    How did I model the wall?

    Well, I remembered how Feynman had solved a similar problem in volume I of his Lectures for electromagnetic waves, and so I built a "wall" in a similar way, different in many details, but conceptually similar.

    His description of how high-functioning STEM people have to "translate" their mental pictures into English is also on the mark. Some decades ago, I was having dinner with a bunch of high-level STEM guys and a couple of biz people. We STEM guys started explaining the point that Feynman made, and the biz guys looked at us as if we were aliens!

    Which of course we are.

    The biz guys think in words.

    We STEM guys tend not to.

    Words are to communicate with muggles.

    Hence my constant mantra: things over words.

    The story about Tukey is pretty funny: anyone who knows about Tukey's work on FFT's (the "butterfly diagram") would see the point -- Tukey saw things, very productively, in pictures, that were not pictures even to most other STEM people.

    High-functioning STEM guys really are different from ordinary muggles, even though superficially we seem to be members of the same species.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

  211. @Hypnotoad666
    @res



    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possibility from measurement error, however).
     
    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.
     
    I suppose this comes down to a semantic/definitional/philosophical question of: "What is "IQ/g"?" You could define it as a relatively static hardware issue -- like how many megahertz your processor runs at, or how many bytes of information are on your RAM or hard drive. Or you could define it more like a functional software issue -- i.e., how effective are you at solving actual sets of problems.

    The second definition has got to be pretty variable. Your blood sugar levels, how well you slept the night before, your hormone levels, whether you've had your morning coffee, etc., etc., are all going to impact your brain's operation at any given moment.

    IIRC, old studies clearly showed that a good shot of amphetamines will reliably "raise your IQ," in the sense that it will raise your score on IQ tests. But does that count as temporarily boosting IQ? Or is that just "cheating" on a test that is supposed to measure something deeper and more structural?

    BTW, speaking of "mechanisms" for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person. Being Feynman, he did his own self-experiment and then compared his results with those of a mathematician colleague. (Key part starts at about 1:45 mark).

    https://youtu.be/lr8sVailoLw?t=99

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @res, @PhysicistDave

    Thanks for that. He was a really really smart guy and quite well spoken. His book Surely You’re Joking, Mr. Feynman is excellent.

  212. @Hypnotoad666
    @res


    P.S. The difference for identical twins raised apart is smaller than Dave seems to think.
    https://embryo.asu.edu/pages/sources-human-psychological-differences-minnesota-study-twins-reared-apart-1990-thomas-j
     
    That link is a great plain-language summary of the "Minnesota Twins" study, including the following bottom line:

    Bouchard and his colleagues compare the correlation of IQ between monozygotic reared apart twins and the correlation of IQ between monozygotic twins that are reared together, and found that those values were similar. That similarity led them to conclude that rearing monozygotic twins together or apart has no significant effect on IQ. Based on that comparison, Bouchard and his colleagues conclude that monozygotic twins reared apart were just as similar as monozygotic twins reared together.
     
    I'm too lazy to dig up the actual correlation numbers in the study, but it seems to me that this result alone should have settled the nature/nurture debate all by itself. After all, if you can hold genetics constant and vary family environment, what more can you ask for purposes of the scientific method? (Consistent results comparing correlations of non-identical siblings reared together and apart are just more nails in the environment coffin).

    They also made this very insightful observation:

    Finally, the authors state that genetic factors control the effects of environmental factors. That means the even if environmental factors had a significant effect, the genetic similarity between the monozygotic reared apart twins might have influenced the twins to focus on, and retain similar environmental influences and, as a result, the twins become similar.
     
    That totally makes sense. For example, two identical twins might be raised in a blue-collar and a professional family, respectively. But if they both have genetically high IQs and genetically curious personality traits, they will both be voracious readers. And so exposure to lots of books then becomes part of their respective "environments." In fact, we famously get these bizarre synchronicities, in which twins reared apart both become dentists and marry brunette Lutheran women named "Judy." In other words, their genetic propensities cause them to self-create very similar environments.

    On the one hand, you could characterize this phenomenon as a confounding effect that creates noise in measuring the precise impact of the IQ genes alone. OTOH, you could characterize this phenomenon as just bolstering the overall hereditarian case because it is just further amplifies the effect of genes on real world outcomes. (At some point you could really blur the distinction by defining all the non-IQ genes as part of the "environment" in which the IQ genes live -- but that just gives me a headache to think about).

    Replies: @res

    But if they both have genetically high IQs and genetically curious personality traits, they will both be voracious readers. And so exposure to lots of books then becomes part of their respective “environments.”

    That sort of thing is generally considered to be the reason for:

    1. IQ heritability increasing with age.
    2. The effects of childhood interventions (e.g. Headstart) dissipate over time.

    Put simply: people create their own environment to a large degree.

    At some point you could really blur the distinction by defining all the non-IQ genes as part of the “environment” in which the IQ genes live

    It seems likely that some of the IQ SNPs identified by GWAS don’t directly affect brain processing. See the “system integrity hypothesis” here:
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Cognitive_epidemiology#System_integrity_hypothesis_vs_evolution_hypothesis

    The System integrity hypothesis posits that childhood intelligence is just one aspect of a well wired and well-functioning body and suggests that there is a latent trait that encompasses intelligence, health and many other factors.[82][83] This trait indexes how well the body is functioning and how well the body can respond to change and return to a normal balance again (allostatic load). According to the system integrity hypothesis lower IQ does not cause mortality but instead poor system integrity causes lower intelligence and poorer health as well as a range of other traits which can be thought of as markers of system integrity. Professor Ian Deary has proposed that fluctuating asymmetry, speed of information processing, physical co-ordination, physical strength, metabolic syndrome and genetic correlation may be further potential markers of system integrity which by definition should explain a large part of or nullify the relationship between intelligence and mortality.

    • Agree: PhysicistDave
    • Thanks: Hypnotoad666, MEH 0910
  213. @Hypnotoad666
    @res



    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possibility from measurement error, however).
     
    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.
     
    I suppose this comes down to a semantic/definitional/philosophical question of: "What is "IQ/g"?" You could define it as a relatively static hardware issue -- like how many megahertz your processor runs at, or how many bytes of information are on your RAM or hard drive. Or you could define it more like a functional software issue -- i.e., how effective are you at solving actual sets of problems.

    The second definition has got to be pretty variable. Your blood sugar levels, how well you slept the night before, your hormone levels, whether you've had your morning coffee, etc., etc., are all going to impact your brain's operation at any given moment.

    IIRC, old studies clearly showed that a good shot of amphetamines will reliably "raise your IQ," in the sense that it will raise your score on IQ tests. But does that count as temporarily boosting IQ? Or is that just "cheating" on a test that is supposed to measure something deeper and more structural?

    BTW, speaking of "mechanisms" for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person. Being Feynman, he did his own self-experiment and then compared his results with those of a mathematician colleague. (Key part starts at about 1:45 mark).

    https://youtu.be/lr8sVailoLw?t=99

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @res, @PhysicistDave

    Agreed with your take in the first two paragraphs. Regarding this:

    IIRC, old studies clearly showed that a good shot of amphetamines will reliably “raise your IQ,” in the sense that it will raise your score on IQ tests. But does that count as temporarily boosting IQ? Or is that just “cheating” on a test that is supposed to measure something deeper and more structural?

    I think what matters there is the purpose of the IQ test. If you are doing it for selection for suitability for a task then I think amphetamines would be cheating unless you can also take them while performing the task.

    If doing it for comparison purposes then I think the goal should be to test people under similar conditions as close to their sustainable (I don’t consider the amphetamine boost sustainable) best functioning as possible.

    Thanks for the Feynman video link.

  214. @PhysicistDave
    @Achmed E. Newman

    Achmed E. Newman wrote to rebel yell:


    1) The parents who do a good job with their kids are ones who help pick or at least guide who their children’s peers are to begin with.
     
    Harris did make very clear that she was talking about normal middle-American parents who provide their kids with adequate nutrition, competent medical care, etc.

    What if Mom is an unemployed, high-school dropout, single mom, drug addict, and prostitute whose abusive boyfriends change from week to week?

    Harris made no pretense of dealing with that.

    She did mention at one point that she had some (unproven) suspicion that Chinese parents had a greater influence on their kids than American parents. Which raises an interesting question: perhaps there is a genetic basis for Chinese kids being more open to an environmental influence from parents?

    Which starts showing how complex the whole subject is.

    I think Harris' main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don't worry about playing Mozart in utero (the "Mozart effect"), don't worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.

    Do exercise (what used to be) common-sense discipline and guidance, make books and library trips available, etc.

    In short, if you want a Feynman or a Gershwin, just be a normal mid-twentieth-century American parent and hope for the best. Of course, as Feynman and Gershwin illustrate, Jewish genes might not hurt either.

    Replies: @Achmed E. Newman, @Achmed E. Newman, @Hypnotoad666

    I think Harris’ main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don’t worry about playing Mozart in utero (the “Mozart effect”), don’t worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.

    One message of the book was to just spend time with your kids for its own sake, and have fun with them. Don’t try to make every minute into some exercise in self-improvement. Really good advice, IMHO.

    • Agree: PhysicistDave
    • Replies: @Jim Don Bob
    @Hypnotoad666


    One message of the book was to just spend time with your kids for its own sake, and have fun with them. Don’t try to make every minute into some exercise in self-improvement.
     
    Right. The whole concept of "quality time" is BS meant to ease the consciences of busy parents. It's remarkable what kids remember. My two remember me pulling them in a little red wagon down to the rundown grocery store at the corner where they each got a plastic bottle of some sugar water from the nice Asian ladies who ran the place. They called them "girl friends".
  215. @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave

    PhysicistDave says: • 1,100 Words


    Which is why I constantly preach: Things over words.

    People who allow words to govern their thoughts rather than focusing on what the non-verbal underlying reality is are constantly engaged in deception.
     

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    My little buddy Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:

    PhysicistDave says: • 1,100 Words

    You betcha!

    Y’see, when we superior STEM types communicate with other superior STEM types, we can often just use a diagram on a white board or even just a nod or a wave of the hand.

    But when we try to communicate with you muggle turkeys… well, we have to use words, lots and lots of words, because you poor muggles learn very, very s.l.o.w.l.y.

    By the way,little guy, did you see the victory of the libertarian anarchist Javier Milei in the Argentine? He won’t succeed in all of his goals, of course, given the corrupt system in which he is trying to work.

    But it does show that the Overton Window is shifting: it is now acceptable — in Argentina of all places! — to declare yourself an anarcho-capitalist and win an election.

    You government lovers are the past, old fella. The future belongs to us anarchists.

    As the song has it:

    Do you hear the people sing?
    Singing the song of angry men?
    It is the music of the people
    Who will not be slaves again!
    When the beating of your heart
    Echoes the beating of the drums
    There is a life about to start
    When tomorrow comes

    The era of the state is coming to a close. Five millennia is enough. Anarchism is the wave of the future.

    I don’t think you are gonna like the future, old fella.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    Y’see, when we superior STEM types communicate with other superior STEM types, we can often just use a diagram on a white board or even just a nod or a wave of the hand.
     
    Hmmm. One wonders why there are wordy scientific and medical professional journals, textbooks, and the like. Or by “STEM types” do you mean weed-addled internet ‘philosophers’? How much weed per day do you smoke/eat?

    But it does show that the Overton Window is shifting: it is now acceptable — in Argentina of all places! — to declare yourself an anarcho-capitalist and win an election.

    You government lovers are the past, old fella.
     

    Uh, didn’t he win an election, and is now the head of government? You’re calling that “anarchy”? LOL

    PhysD, you are one of the more entertaining crank ‘tards on iSteve. Take another drag on that pipe STEM Dave, you’ve earned it.

    Whoa— “PipeSTEM Dave” could be your new handle! yessss


    Anarchism is the wave of the future.
     
    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs. Do you feel lucky?

    I don’t think you are gonna like the future, old fella.
     
    If the future is warlordism, I could ‘get into it’, but I’d much rather have good government, thank you very much.

    But keep hitting that pipeSTEM, Dave…

    For those who come to Sacramento
    Be sure to wear some flowers in your hair
    If you come to Sacramento
    Summertime will be a love-in there

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

  216. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.
     
    Dave, logical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren't. The scientific method doesn't give a shit about anybody's background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    My little buddy Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    [Hypno] Dave, logical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren’t. The scientific method doesn’t give a shit about anybody’s background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.

    Ah, one more sign of your “Web psychosis”: the bizarre belief, common across the Web, that all commenters on the Web start out equal, regardless of the knowledge and expertise they have attained in the real world.

    What makes it a psychosis is that no one can consistently behave that way: if you are rushed to the ER with intense abdominal pain, and the doc diagnoses you as having acute appendicitis that requires emergency surgery, you are not going to start lecturing him that:

    [L]ogical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren’t. The scientific method doesn’t give a shit about anybody’s background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.

    You will rely on his actual, very real expertise.

    You want me to pretend that you are my equal?

    You’re not.

    I am a superior STEM guy.

    You… well, tell us again what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    And, yeah, yeah, everyone: I do most assuredly realize that I am being patronizing, supercilious, insensitive, and just a generally baaad dude. That is the real world. No one in real life adheres to the Web psychosis that Hypno is adhering to here. Human beings are not equal. It is especially hilarious that I need to point this out in a thread that is discussing IQ!

    Web psychosis — a mind is a terrible thing to lose (with thanks to Dan Quayle!).

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    You want me to pretend that you are my equal?

    You’re not.

    I am a superior STEM guy.
     
    Whatever specialized field you are good at, you are obviously overgeneralizing your talents to think you are good at things that you aren't. That kind of hubris makes you blind to your limitations.
  217. @Hypnotoad666
    @res



    (OTOH, I guess you could also hypothesize that one’s “true IQ” actually does fluctuates day-to-day — I’m not sure how you could ever distinguish that possibility from measurement error, however).
     
    I strongly agree with that hypothesis. And it is hard to distinguish from measurement error as you say.
     
    I suppose this comes down to a semantic/definitional/philosophical question of: "What is "IQ/g"?" You could define it as a relatively static hardware issue -- like how many megahertz your processor runs at, or how many bytes of information are on your RAM or hard drive. Or you could define it more like a functional software issue -- i.e., how effective are you at solving actual sets of problems.

    The second definition has got to be pretty variable. Your blood sugar levels, how well you slept the night before, your hormone levels, whether you've had your morning coffee, etc., etc., are all going to impact your brain's operation at any given moment.

    IIRC, old studies clearly showed that a good shot of amphetamines will reliably "raise your IQ," in the sense that it will raise your score on IQ tests. But does that count as temporarily boosting IQ? Or is that just "cheating" on a test that is supposed to measure something deeper and more structural?

    BTW, speaking of "mechanisms" for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person. Being Feynman, he did his own self-experiment and then compared his results with those of a mathematician colleague. (Key part starts at about 1:45 mark).

    https://youtu.be/lr8sVailoLw?t=99

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob, @res, @PhysicistDave

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:

    BTW, speaking of “mechanisms” for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person.

    My mind works much as Feynman’s did, not surprising since I got to know him my freshman year and took two full years of classes from him my junior and senior years.

    For example, I recently did a calculation for the energy in a gravitational wave, using a much simpler technique than I have ever seen used in the standard texts.

    The take-off point was an offhand comment that Feynman made that, of course, a gravitational wave has energy, because it could be used to heat up a wall. Believe it or not, for well over a half century there was a very serious debate as to whether gravitational waves carry energy.

    So, I made a careful, very simple mathematical model of a wall.

    How did I model the wall?

    Well, I remembered how Feynman had solved a similar problem in volume I of his Lectures for electromagnetic waves, and so I built a “wall” in a similar way, different in many details, but conceptually similar.

    His description of how high-functioning STEM people have to “translate” their mental pictures into English is also on the mark. Some decades ago, I was having dinner with a bunch of high-level STEM guys and a couple of biz people. We STEM guys started explaining the point that Feynman made, and the biz guys looked at us as if we were aliens!

    Which of course we are.

    The biz guys think in words.

    We STEM guys tend not to.

    Words are to communicate with muggles.

    Hence my constant mantra: things over words.

    The story about Tukey is pretty funny: anyone who knows about Tukey’s work on FFT’s (the “butterfly diagram”) would see the point — Tukey saw things, very productively, in pictures, that were not pictures even to most other STEM people.

    High-functioning STEM guys really are different from ordinary muggles, even though superficially we seem to be members of the same species.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    Hence my constant mantra: things over words.
     

    PhysicistDave Comments

    5,652 Comments • 1,311,600 Words
     

    Ironically, your “constant mantra” is just more words, empty ones at that.

    Vincenzo Coccotti sez:


    “Now, what we got here is a little game of show and tell. You don’t wanna show me nothin’, but you’re tellin’ me everything.”
     
    https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5cac90a4e5f7d1409ead718b/1554905113856-FDKFND8AKTMBOUBDRXY5/True+Romance+1.jpg

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @PhysicistDave

  218. @Intelligent Dasein
    @PhysicistDave


    But despite the brilliance of some individual philosophers, the enterprise of philosophy taken as a whole has been a clear failure. It should really be sufficient to just mention Hegel, Schopenhauer, Bradley, Green, McTaggart, etc.
     
    Everything you think of as your "physics" is simply the fart-gas left behind in the room by long-dead philosophers whose frequency is too high for your pathetic antenna to receive. You are the walking definition of a pure Socratic ignoramus: You know nothing, and you do not know that you know nothing.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    My truly brilliant friend Intelligent Dasein wrote to me:

    Everything you think of as your “physics” is simply the fart-gas left behind in the room by long-dead philosophers whose frequency is too high for your pathetic antenna to receive. You are the walking definition of a pure Socratic ignoramus: You know nothing, and you do not know that you know nothing.

    Yeah, yeah, that’s the ticket!

    I mean, what did my own teachers — Feynman, Steve Weinberg, Kip Thorne — know about physics that wasn’t already known to Thomas Aquinas? Or Aristotle?

    Right?

    Why all this silliness about the universal acceleration of gravity when Aristotle already knew that heavier objects fall faster than lighter objects?

    Right?

    Hey, would you be willing to fly only on airplanes and only use computers based on the physics known to Aquinas and Aristotle?

    Would ya?

    Just askin’.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @PhysicistDave


    I mean, what did my own teachers — Feynman, Steve Weinberg, Kip Thorne
     
    Where did you say you went to school? You haven't told us in at least two posts now.

    We get that your teachers were brilliant - you on the other hand are a weird, obnoxious sperg. Whose daughter obviously didn't turn out much different. Whatever happened to her happened because she likely inherited your behavioral traits. You should apologize to her for being such a terrible father.
    , @anonymous
    @PhysicistDave

    Off your meds again Dave?
    You are a mid-level Ph.D who advocates for violence against the innocent when you aren't engaging in crack-pot level claims about your precious 'intelligence'. Nobody cares what you say about physics, since there are thousands of physicists who know more than you do. And you should stop bragging about the names of the physicists who worked at the schools where you were a humble little student --- you are a mediocre braggart, and the actual talented physicists who taught you do not deserve to have an unkind creep like you invoking their name.
    Go down to a soup kitchen and do something kind.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  219. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.
     
    Sez who? What makes all white people "one population," whereas for purposes of the rules of genetic heritability blacks are "another population?"

    Seems like question begging. They are a "different population" if they live under separate environmental conditions that drastically affect their IQs. But we forgot to prove such environmental effects on their IQs actually exist before declaring them a "different population."

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    Our brilliant scientific analyst Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    [Dave] But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.

    [Hypno] Sez who? What makes all white people “one population,” whereas for purposes of the rules of genetic heritability blacks are “another population?”

    Seems like question begging. They are a “different population” if they live under separate environmental conditions that drastically affect their IQs.

    Y’know, the more you post, the more you reveal your extraordinary ignorance of sicnece in general and population biology in particular.

    You can choose any population you want.

    You want the population in your study to include everyone in the world whose first name has five letters and whose last name has six letters, which would of course include me, you can do that.

    I doubt that study will produce results of much interest, but you can do that if you wish.

    Why study the populations of Blacks versus the population of Whites? Well… quite a few people, like you for example, seem to be interested in comparing those two populations.

    That’s all.

    You really, really lack the ability to think like a STEM person at all, don’t you?

    Now, what did you say your educational and professional background was so that we can help you deal with your stunning misunderstanding of science?

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave

    You admit you admit that "population," as you are using the term, just refers to an arbitrary sub-set of humans that one designates for study -- e.g., "everyone in the world whose first name has five letters" vs. everyone "whose last name has six letters."

    But then you recite the usual PC slogan from Wikipedia or wherever that: "the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic." Ok. But that means your argument is that if we know that IQ is heritable among people with five-letter names, we can't conclude that it is also heritable for people with six-letter names. Can you see how stupid that is?

    Now just switch "whites" and "blacks" for five and six-letter names. The argument is still stupid.

    P.S., You working in STEM doesn't make it less stupid.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

  220. @res
    @PhysicistDave


    The overwhelming problem is the “Flynn Effect.” IQ within a single nation has beenhugely unstable over time — something like a point or two per decade, which really has added up to something big.

    It is exceedingly unlikely that this is due to an improvement in the gene pool: indeed, as Dutton and Woodley of Menie have pointed out (see their At Our Wits’ End: Why We’re Becoming Less Intelligent and What it Means for the Future ), there is every reason to believe that the pattern of reproduction in the West has been dysgenic over the last century.

    That means the Flynn Effect has to be environmental, and it is very, very big.

    Given that effect, the null hypothesis for any sort of analysis of the sort you are appealing to has to be: It’s probably environmental, perhaps a delayed Flynn Effect.
     
    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like "probably environmental" after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage. Unqualified (e.g. mostly, over 50% say, environmental) that statement is just more playing games with the false dichotomy I complained about above.

    My take on environmental differences is they can be large across time (Flynn Effect, especially in a time of such rapidly improving technology) or across major cultural boundaries (say North and South Korea, or Europe vs. Africa). Much harder to be large with people in the same time and space. Especially in a country as redistributionist as ours.

    BTW, I talk about the false dichotomy here frequently. It is useful to realize that there are people (experts in the field even) actually asserting both the 100% genetic and 100% environmental extremes (i.e. not a strawman). Here is an excerpt from a 2019 survey of intelligence researchers discussed in James Thompson's blog.
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/experts-intelligence-race/

    "They were somewhat Left inclined, and this had an impact on questions like the contribution genetics makes to black-white differences. 16% of experts reported a 100% environmental explanation, whereas 6% reported a 100% genetic explanation. This group leans left in general, and is more extremely left on this particular issue. (For the record, I find it hard to argue for either of these extreme positions. My recollection is that I was in the 50:50 camp)."

    And, there too, non-STEM people tend to be very impatient with scientists who say, “Well, we just don’t know… yet.”

    But it is the only honest position.
     
    There is a wide range of "don't know for sure." Which is the standard I believe you are applying. This is why I talk about "definitive" evidence. I have presented evidence above which I think makes the 0% environment position untenable (e.g. you do realize that Piffer's work looks at the SNPs found in EDU/IQ GWAS, right? The frequencies differ between Europeans and Africans. Non-zero. The question is, how much?). Do you disagree?

    As an aside, one of the big questions about Piffer's work is why does it work so well when the IQ data is not great and the PGS in question are designed for Europeans. My best guess is that the SNPs being used serve as signals for genetic selection for IQ therefore are better proxies than otherwise would be expected for IQ overall. This idea does not work for individuals, but should work for populations.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    res wrote to me:

    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage.

    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.

    You seem to agree with me that the Flynn Effect is overwhelmingly environmental.

    Indeed, it may be over 100% environmental, given that dysgenic reproductive practices have tended to push in the opposite direction.

    But, hey, who’s counting?

    res also wrote:

    My take on environmental differences is they can be large across time (Flynn Effect, especially in a time of such rapidly improving technology) or across major cultural boundaries (say North and South Korea, or Europe vs. Africa). Much harder to be large with people in the same time and space. Especially in a country as redistributionist as ours.

    There is no reason that time per se should matter in the slightest.

    Our great-grandparents lived in a slightly different environment than we do. Some Blacks in America live in a significantly different environment than most Whites. It is more than plausible that this could lead to an effect even larger than the Flynn Effect.

    Or not.

    No one knows.

    As to redistribution, that has actually had a horrifically bad effect on the environment of many Blacks, you know — fatherless families and all that. SES is largely a proxy for the attitudes and values that parents exhibit; mere income redistribution has not been effective in changing that.

    Quite the contrary, in fact.

    res also wrote:

    There is a wide range of “don’t know for sure.” Which is the standard I believe you are applying. This is why I talk about “definitive” evidence. I have presented evidence above which I think makes the 0% environment position untenable

    I think you mis-spoke, didn’t you? I agree that the 0% environment position is probably untenable — i.e., it is probably not true that the environment has zero effect.

    Although I am far from certain of that.

    But I assume that what you meant to say was that you have shown that the 0% genetic position is untenable: i.e., that genes do account for more than 0% of the Black-White IQ gap.

    Well, speaking as a scientist with decades of successful evaluations of claims of new scientific discoveries in various fields, I disagree.

    If I apply the same standards that I apply in judging claims in physics, astronomy, etc., no, you have not shown that the Black-White IQ gap is more than 0% due to genes.

    Perhaps it is 80% due to genes. Perhaps the correct figure is even a negative number, meaning that Black genetic contribution to IQ is actually greater than Whites’!

    No one knows.

    Now, as I have said many times, applying Bayes’ Theorem and given the fact that both Nature and Nurture can contribute to IQ, the best guess is that both do indeed contribute to the Black-White IQ gap.

    But that is just a naive guess, not science.

    And, in fact, if the genetic contribution to explaining the gap is only 5%, I very much doubt that most people on either side of the debate will consider that to be significant. If, on the other hand, the contribution turns out to be 80%, I suspect that both sides will feel that that really matters.

    So, what does count as “significant”? Ask the people on both sides who manage to be so riled up on this issue: I myself simply do not care.

    Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as “substantially”? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as “substantial”? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray’s, David Reich’s, and Steve Pinker’s.

    But I do not think they will make such a statement in the near future.

    Do you?

    Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    • Replies: @res
    @PhysicistDave


    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.
     
    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.

    For someone who seems to be an advocate of honesty (seems a key component of effective science to me, but what do I know, I don't have your credentials ; ) you don't seem terribly inclined to divulge what you think is likely about the balance of environment vs. genetics as factors in the differences in IQ between US blacks and whites.

    You seem to agree with me that the Flynn Effect is overwhelmingly environmental.
     
    That's my best guess. Combined with some amount of change in how people think affecting IQ test performance. I see the best evidence for an environmental cause of the Flynn Effect (probably mostly nutrition and improved public health) being the shortness of time (as you noted) and height following a similar trajectory.

    I'm curious, do you consider the evidence for the Flynn Effect being "overwhelmingly environmental" to meet the standards of physics or astronomy? If not, then why are you willing to state it like that? If so, then please supply (or point to) the detailed proof you would expect in those domains.

    Seems to me an excellent example of "isolated demands for rigor." A common tactic of the woke these days, but I though a scientist (especially one who so loudly proclaims it) would be above games like that.
    https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/08/14/beware-isolated-demands-for-rigor/

    There is no reason that time per se should matter in the slightest.

    Our great-grandparents lived in a slightly different environment than we do. Some Blacks in America live in a significantly different environment than most Whites. It is more than plausible that this could lead to an effect even larger than the Flynn Effect.
     
    I strongly disagree with that (in particular, "more than plausible"). To the point of thinking it unworthy of you. First, "some blacks" is weak. What matters is the situation of enough to affect the group average significantly. Do you honestly think the difference in environment between the average white and average black in the current US is greater than the difference between the average American in 2023 and 1900? I go back to 1900 to capture the childhood of adults in the 1932 I see quoted for the start of the Flynn Effect. If you do think that, maybe ponder antibiotics, agricultural productivity, and infrastructure (e.g. water, sewer, and electricity). For a start.

    If I apply the same standards that I apply in judging claims in physics, astronomy, etc., no, you have not shown that the Black-White IQ gap is more than 0% due to genes.
     
    How about other standards? Say chemistry? Or genetics (which seems to be the relevant standard, are any GWAS results worthwhile to you?). Or even better, climate science. ; )

    I do wonder what evidence you would consider sufficiently compelling (the domain is less tractable than physics or astronomy IMO). A question: in your life what level of certainty do you require before making decisions to act on something?

    Perhaps you could elaborate on how you find the GWAS SNP frequencies insufficient to indicate a non-zero genetic effect?

    Now, as I have said many times, applying Bayes’ Theorem and given the fact that both Nature and Nurture can contribute to IQ, the best guess is that both do indeed contribute to the Black-White IQ gap.

    But that is just a naive guess, not science.

    And, in fact, if the genetic contribution to explaining the gap is only 5%, I very much doubt that most people on either side of the debate will consider that to be significant. If, on the other hand, the contribution turns out to be 80%, I suspect that both sides will feel that that really matters.

    So, what does count as “significant”? Ask the people on both sides who manage to be so riled up on this issue: I myself simply do not care.
     
    At least you acknowledge that. As far as not caring, that does not seem a very scientific attitude to me. Where is your scientific curiosity? But more importantly, you are capable of seeing how this question matters for assessing something like disparate impact doctrine, right? How do you feel about that?

    Given what you said, why do so many people feel the need to assert the only acceptable view is 100% environmental (e.g. see the outrage over The Bell Curve)? Almost like a religious belief. Which I thought would bother you given how exactly the opposite of science it is.

    I'll also note that 5-80% seems like a fairly plausible conservative estimate for the range. Especially if viewed as marking the extremes of a probability Bell Curve. ; )

    Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.
     
    You took a side when you wrote "probably environmental." Especially with no qualifications (how much). Stop being disingenuous. For someone who values facts over words you sure aren't showing it in our conversation. I am honestly starting to wonder how much you sincerely believe what you write and how much you are trolling me. Such trolling might be entertaining, but it would be far from matching the scientific persona you try to assume here.

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.
     
    Of those three I suspect Reich is the only one who knows more about the IQ genetics side of this than I do. And I wonder if any of those three are aware of the admixture studies and Piffer's work. Which I consider the best positive evidence for a genetic component.

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point.
     
    If that occurs will you also agree to acknowledge that at this point in time I was right and you were wrong (or at least far less right ; )? Are you willing to extend that to other credible mainstream scientists? Because I suspect it will take a new generation (probably in China) to go there.

    But I do not think they will make such a statement in the near future.

    Do you?
     
    I agree with that. What I would dearly love to know is if any of those three think it is likely. In their hearts and minds, not their public pronouncements.

    Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.
     
    Don't think I have ever seen a better statement of credentialism. Thanks.

    Out of curiosity, just how well do you think Charles Murray understands the actual science underlying all of this? Do you think he is aware of and understands those admixture studies and Piffer's work? They are fairly obscure and I doubt most of the mainstream has looked at them any deeper than a curt dismissal. Because that is how science is supposed to work, right?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    , @res
    @PhysicistDave

    A relevant discussion.
    https://noahcarl.medium.com/response-to-birney-raff-rutherford-scally-bf70f763efc6

    For example:


    While the Flynn effect is not yet well-understood, there is already a certain amount of evidence that whatever causes it is different from whatever causes the black-white IQ gap (see Section 2 of this blog post by Noam.) Even James Flynn himself has stated, “the magnitude of white/black IQ differences on Wechsler subtests at any given time is correlated with the g loadings of the subtests; the magnitude of IQ gains over time on subtests is not usually so correlated; the causes of the two phenomena are not the same”.
     
    Even more relevant is the linked blog post. The original link to that is dead so pulled out separately as an archive link.
    https://web.archive.org/web/20180224160823/https://medium.com/@houstoneuler/the-cherry-picked-science-in-voxs-charles-murray-article-bd534a9c4476

    Replies: @res

  221. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave

    They haven't got very far then. My brain glazed over while scanning the Wikipedia entry on Plantinga, but this struck me:


    '...It is possible that a maximally great being exists.
    If it is possible that a maximally great being exists, then a maximally great being exists in some possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in some possible world, then it exists in every possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in every possible world, then it exists in the actual world.
    If a maximally great being exists in the actual world, then a maximally great being exists.
    Therefore, a maximally great being exists.
     
    This strikes me as being about what Saint Anselm argued in the Eleventh Century. God is a being who has all possible positive attributes. To exist is a positive attribute. Therefore, God exists.

    Replies: @Nicholas Stix, @PhysicistDave

    Saint Anselm was Plantinga’s longtime obsession. Maybe he still is.

  222. @jb
    The logic of Woke censorship is very similar to the logic of historical censorship by the Catholic Church (e.g., the Index of Forbidden Books), and it actually makes a fair amount of sense. It goes like this: The truth of our doctrines is obvious and undeniable, in the same way that it is obvious and undeniable that 1+1=2. Only the foolish could be pursuaded otherwise! If a writer or a social movement were successful in pursuading the foolish that 1+1 did not equal 2 it would lead the foolish to do things that would cause great harm to the foolish themselves and to society as a whole; therefore suppressing such writers or social movements is always justified, as their words can only lead to harm, never to good.

    Sounds reasonable, doesn't it? It's hard for me to think of realistic examples of ideas so dangerous that I personally would want to suppress them (denying that 1+1=2 doesn't really cut it for me), but if you are convinced that wrong thinking can send people to Hell, or turn them into a Nazi zombies, suppression really does seem warranted. (I am reminded of a capsule description I saw somewhere of Herbert Marcuse's Repressive Tolerance, which essentially went "A world in which the Holocaust is possible is a world in which it is too dangerous to allow conservatives to have freedom of speech").

    Replies: @MNL, @The Spiritual Works of Mercy

    The logic of Woke censorship is very similar to the logic of historical censorship by the Catholic Church (e.g., the Index of Forbidden Books), and it actually makes a fair amount of sense.

    No, it’s not. The logic of the (old) Holy Office was that error has no rights. The logic of Woke censorship is more like, those we hate don’t have rights. There is no doctrine or intellectual foundation the woke are at pains to defend. Their censorship is ad hoc and their instrument is blunt, shouting speakers down from the podium by protest, and such.

    Anyways, the best case for censorship was the story of St Ignatius’s conversion. He wanted to read some tawdry romance novels but the only books they had were The Life of Christ and Flowers of the Saints. The rest is history.

  223. The logic of Woke censorship is very similar to the logic of historical censorship by the Catholic Church (e.g., the Index of Forbidden Books), and it actually makes a fair amount of sense.

    No, it’s not.

    The logic of the (old) Holy Office was: error has no rights. The logic of Wokism is more like, those we hate don’t have rights.

    There is no doctrine or intellectual foundation the woke are at pains to defend. Their censorship is ad hoc and their instrument is blunt, shouting speakers down from the podium by protest, and such.

    Anyways, the best case for censorship was the story of St Ignatius’s conversion. He wanted to read some tawdry romance novels but the only books they had were The Life of Christ and Flowers of the Saints. The rest is history.

  224. @MEH 0910
    @PhysicistDave

    https://johnmcwhorter.substack.com/p/why-charles-murrays-new-book-is-his


    WHY CHARLES MURRAY'S NEW BOOK IS HIS WEAKEST
    .. despite that he is 1) brilliant and 2) not a bigot.
    JOHN MCWHORTER
    JUN 30, 2021
    [...]
    The point about intelligence, however, is tough reading. Many will try the usual arguments – that race is a fiction (but while there are gray zones, humans do divide into delineable races genetically), that all races have a range from genuises on down (but the issue is that some races have more geniuses than others), that intelligence tests are “biased” somehow (but no one will specify just how, and this sort of bias is decades gone now).

    The data, unless Murray is holding back reams of data with opposite results, cut brutally through all of this. It isn’t that black people are on the bottom on one big test in one big study, but that a certain order of achievement manifests itself in one study after another with relentless and depressing regularity. Asians on top, then come the whites, then Latinos, and then black people.

    People will insist that none of this has anything to do with intelligence, but one thing cannot be denied – whatever it signifies, black people have a big problem performing on intelligence tests. The consistency of the results, if it is unconnected to intelligence, is clearly connected to something, or the results wouldn’t be so damnedly consistent.

    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here. Abstract tests are a highly artificial thing, requiring a truly weird – or WEIRD, in the sense of Professor Henrich – way of thinking. Black American culture may be less consonant with that way of approaching things than white or Asian culture, and a fundamental sense of that way of approaching things as “not us,” which would have been encouraged amidst that oppositional mood I mentioned, could subtly discourage black kids from mastering the knack of jumping through the hoop.

    I openly admit, though, that this is also the way I hope it is, and that’s not science. And Murray’s point is that this lower performance on tests suggests lesser cognitive ability, with all intraracial variation acknowledged.
     

    Replies: @PhysicistDave, @MEH 0910

    McWhorter:

    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here.

    https://archive.ph/7Z4c6

    Stop Obsessing Over Race and IQ
    By JOHN MCWHORTER
    July 5, 2017
    […]
    Black American culture, for example, grew from implacably oppressive slavery followed by a Jim Crow hegemony that recapitulated slavery in essence. These were people living in what my linguist’s training reveals as a life bound in orality rather than literacy. To live restricted to casual speech rather than the artifice of writing creates a psychology ill equipped to score highly on the distinctly modern stunt known as the IQ test. Speech emphasizes immediate experience over the athletically hypothetical. In speech, one focuses on a sequence of events — one damned thing after another — rather than on layered particularities along the lines of “If it had . . . , then it would . . . ” The latter sort of mental work, which is what a psychometric test requires one to perform, can seem irrelevant to an oral culture unless it is absolutely necessary — which it rarely is, given the broad generalities that suffice for basic human thriving.

    [MORE]

    This characteristic of an oral culture is by no means exclusive to African-descended people. Anthropologists discovered similar concretely bound reasoning among Uzbek peasants way back in the 1930s; legions of whites in America have grown up in similar environments (as J. D. Vance’s Hillbilly Elegy eloquently testifies). The fact nonetheless remains that as a hopelessly nerdy kid, I was told warmly but firmly by older southern black relatives that I needed to stop thinking life was in “them books” — i.e., sources teaching me to look beyond my immediate experiences and ready intuitions. Given that these adults had grown up in an America that largely denied them quality schooling and restricted them to menial labor, it was hardly surprising that my geekiness did not strike them as useful or even congenial.

    Make no mistake: My relatives were hardly calling for me or anyone else to drop out of school or get bad grades. These same people swelled with pride to see their children, including me, graduate from high school and even college. However, I find it hard to imagine that performance on an IQ test is not affected — even in small children — by overtones of a day-to-day stance of alienation from, rather than orientation toward, what Jewish people might refer to as “the Book,” and the associated ways of thinking. And culture does not march in lockstep with income, or at least not right away: This subtle orientation can persist even among middle-class descendants of the working-class ancestors who instilled it.

    So that’s how I hope the issue of race and IQ works. But I cannot allow myself to fall into the sadly common pattern in which people’s insistence that something is true is founded as much on their wanting it to be true as on actual evidence. My hunches and predilections do not qualify as conduits to truth. I can responsibly claim neither on my gut sense nor on what I have seen of the research that it has been proven that there is no genetically based racial gap in IQ.

    • Agree: PhysicistDave
    • Replies: @res
    @MEH 0910

    Thanks. One thing I should add is that is the kind of thing I had in mind when I wrote "change in how people think affecting IQ test performance." It is "environment," but not really what most people mean when they use that word.

    I also want to emphasize this from your quote (my bold).


    So that’s how I hope the issue of race and IQ works.
     
    Honest of him to use that wording. The below is also honest and I think worth bringing above the MORE.

    I can responsibly claim neither on my gut sense nor on what I have seen of the research that it has been proven that there is no genetically based racial gap in IQ.
     
    , @Hypnotoad666
    @MEH 0910

    Many years ago I listened to an audiobook lecture series by McWhorter on Linguistics and I thought it was great. Much later, I found out he was black and had the (totally racists) thought, "Wow, I didn't see that coming!"

    But even ignoring the hot-button genetic issue, you still can't really argue with the yawning gap in IQ scores and manifested cognitive ability. And yet nobody is willing to incorporate reality into, say, education policy.

    In a lot of big urban school districts the kids have IQs in the 70's and their teachers have IQs in the 80's. But they just try to hammer these square pegs into the same old round policy hole by teaching the same material in the same ways, as if everyone is being prepped for college and a professional career.

    Someone in Academia really ought to be rigorously studying what skills will add the most value to a disengaged kid with an IQ of 75, and how to teach him. But instead they just create abstract theories of systemic racism as a comforting explanation for the problem instead of doing anything to mitigate it. "Teaching dumb kids" is a very un-sexy topic in Education theory, I imagine.

  225. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave


    I think Harris’ main point, which I think is surely correct, is: don’t worry about playing Mozart in utero (the “Mozart effect”), don’t worry about sending them to the optimal summer camp, etc.
     
    One message of the book was to just spend time with your kids for its own sake, and have fun with them. Don't try to make every minute into some exercise in self-improvement. Really good advice, IMHO.

    Replies: @Jim Don Bob

    One message of the book was to just spend time with your kids for its own sake, and have fun with them. Don’t try to make every minute into some exercise in self-improvement.

    Right. The whole concept of “quality time” is BS meant to ease the consciences of busy parents. It’s remarkable what kids remember. My two remember me pulling them in a little red wagon down to the rundown grocery store at the corner where they each got a plastic bottle of some sugar water from the nice Asian ladies who ran the place. They called them “girl friends”.

  226. @PhysicistDave
    @Jenner Ickham Errican

    My little buddy Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:


    PhysicistDave says: • 1,100 Words
     
    You betcha!

    Y'see, when we superior STEM types communicate with other superior STEM types, we can often just use a diagram on a white board or even just a nod or a wave of the hand.

    But when we try to communicate with you muggle turkeys... well, we have to use words, lots and lots of words, because you poor muggles learn very, very s.l.o.w.l.y.

    By the way,little guy, did you see the victory of the libertarian anarchist Javier Milei in the Argentine? He won't succeed in all of his goals, of course, given the corrupt system in which he is trying to work.

    But it does show that the Overton Window is shifting: it is now acceptable -- in Argentina of all places! -- to declare yourself an anarcho-capitalist and win an election.

    You government lovers are the past, old fella. The future belongs to us anarchists.

    As the song has it:

    Do you hear the people sing?
    Singing the song of angry men?
    It is the music of the people
    Who will not be slaves again!
    When the beating of your heart
    Echoes the beating of the drums
    There is a life about to start
    When tomorrow comes
     
    https://youtu.be/1q82twrdr0U

    The era of the state is coming to a close. Five millennia is enough. Anarchism is the wave of the future.

    I don't think you are gonna like the future, old fella.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Y’see, when we superior STEM types communicate with other superior STEM types, we can often just use a diagram on a white board or even just a nod or a wave of the hand.

    Hmmm. One wonders why there are wordy scientific and medical professional journals, textbooks, and the like. Or by “STEM types” do you mean weed-addled internet ‘philosophers’? How much weed per day do you smoke/eat?

    But it does show that the Overton Window is shifting: it is now acceptable — in Argentina of all places! — to declare yourself an anarcho-capitalist and win an election.

    You government lovers are the past, old fella.

    Uh, didn’t he win an election, and is now the head of government? You’re calling that “anarchy”? LOL

    PhysD, you are one of the more entertaining crank ‘tards on iSteve. Take another drag on that pipe STEM Dave, you’ve earned it.

    Whoa— “PipeSTEM Dave” could be your new handle! yessss

    Anarchism is the wave of the future.

    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs. Do you feel lucky?

    I don’t think you are gonna like the future, old fella.

    If the future is warlordism, I could ‘get into it’, but I’d much rather have good government, thank you very much.

    But keep hitting that pipeSTEM, Dave…

    For those who come to Sacramento
    Be sure to wear some flowers in your hair
    If you come to Sacramento
    Summertime will be a love-in there

    • Replies: @res
    @Jenner Ickham Errican


    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs.
     
    Have you seen Twinkie's go rounds with Dave on that topic?

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    , @PhysicistDave
    @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Our wee little muggle Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:


    Uh, didn’t he win an election, and is now the head of government? You’re calling that “anarchy”? LOL
     
    Nope, not anarchy yet.

    But a triumph for us anarchists.

    You suffer from the delusion (okay, one of your delusions!) that we anarchists have some religious taboo against the state like the taboo that Jews have against pork.

    Nope.

    We hate being forced to pay for the state; we think it would be a good thing to dismantle the state.

    But the state is like the common cold -- until a cure is found, we are stuck with it and have to learn to live with it.

    And since we are forced to pay for it against our will, we might as well get any benefit at all out of it that we can.

    Indeed, it would be best if we could suck it dry financially and drive it into insolvency.

    Which indeed seems likely to happen with the US federal state.

    And if we can "burrow from within" as Javier Milei is doing, and eat out the heart of the state from the inside... well, what could be more fun that that? Think of us as "ichneumonid wasps": lovely little critters -- google them.

    You see: we are "anarchists" -- we are not constrained by your idea of fair play.

    All is fair in bringing down the evil monstrosity.

    Écrasez l'infâme.

    The little would-be warlord also wrote:

    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs. Do you feel lucky?
     
    Yep. Revolutionary direct action, like in the American Revolution -- Sons of Liberty and all that.

    Maybe you didn't hear that America once had a revolution? Against the established government?

    Just in case you would like to learn more about anarchism, you might try reading the great Essay by one of the founders of American anarchism, Henry David Thoreau. Or if you want to really dive into the deep details, try Rothbard's The Ethics of Liberty.

    On second thought, no, that is beyond your reading level. You would probably find fiction easier sledding. So, you might try Bob Heinlein's great anarchist manifesto, The Moon is a Harsh Mistress. As the Bernardo de la Paz character says:

    “Under what circumstances is it moral for a group to do that which is not moral for a member of that group to do alone?”
    ...
    “It is the key question... A radical question that strikes to the root of the whole dilemma of government. Anyone who answers honestly and abides by all consequences knows where he stands – and what he will die for.”

    "A rational anarchist believes that concepts such as "state" and "society" and "government" have no existence save as physically exemplified in the acts of self-responsible individuals. He believes that it is impossible to shift blame, share blame, distribute blame. . . as blame, guilt, responsibility are matters taking place inside human beings singly and nowhere else. But being rational, he knows that not all individuals hold his evaluations, so he tries to live perfectly in an imperfect world. . . aware that his effort will be less than perfect yet undismayed by self-knowledge of self-failure.
    ...
    “My point is that one person is responsible. Always. If H-bombs exist, and they do, some man controls them. In terms of morals, there is no such thing as ‘state.’ Just men. Individuals. Each responsible for his own acts.”

     

    Well, okay... that is probably beyond your comprehension level, too.

    But try wrapping your head around that, and maybe you will grasp the future.

    You are the past, we are the future, a future you really are not going to like, little buddy.

    But we will not merely endure; we will prevail.

    The brief little era of the state, a mere five or six millennia out of the hundreds of millennia the human species has existed, will come to its end.

    And we will celebrate. And you will weep.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

  227. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Hypnotoad666 wrote to res:


    BTW, speaking of “mechanisms” for IQ, you might be interested in this short clip of Feynman musing about the types of mental visualizations that different people use to solve problems and how they may be completely different for each person.
     
    My mind works much as Feynman's did, not surprising since I got to know him my freshman year and took two full years of classes from him my junior and senior years.

    For example, I recently did a calculation for the energy in a gravitational wave, using a much simpler technique than I have ever seen used in the standard texts.

    The take-off point was an offhand comment that Feynman made that, of course, a gravitational wave has energy, because it could be used to heat up a wall. Believe it or not, for well over a half century there was a very serious debate as to whether gravitational waves carry energy.

    So, I made a careful, very simple mathematical model of a wall.

    How did I model the wall?

    Well, I remembered how Feynman had solved a similar problem in volume I of his Lectures for electromagnetic waves, and so I built a "wall" in a similar way, different in many details, but conceptually similar.

    His description of how high-functioning STEM people have to "translate" their mental pictures into English is also on the mark. Some decades ago, I was having dinner with a bunch of high-level STEM guys and a couple of biz people. We STEM guys started explaining the point that Feynman made, and the biz guys looked at us as if we were aliens!

    Which of course we are.

    The biz guys think in words.

    We STEM guys tend not to.

    Words are to communicate with muggles.

    Hence my constant mantra: things over words.

    The story about Tukey is pretty funny: anyone who knows about Tukey's work on FFT's (the "butterfly diagram") would see the point -- Tukey saw things, very productively, in pictures, that were not pictures even to most other STEM people.

    High-functioning STEM guys really are different from ordinary muggles, even though superficially we seem to be members of the same species.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Hence my constant mantra: things over words.

    PhysicistDave Comments

    5,652 Comments • 1,311,600 Words

    Ironically, your “constant mantra” is just more words, empty ones at that.

    Vincenzo Coccotti sez:

    “Now, what we got here is a little game of show and tell. You don’t wanna show me nothin’, but you’re tellin’ me everything.”

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @Jenner Ickham Errican


    High-functioning STEM guys really are different from ordinary muggles, even though superficially we seem to be members of the same species.
     
    You gotta love this guy. He can tell you 2+2 =5, and it must be true because he's a superior species.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    , @PhysicistDave
    @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Our wild and crazy our guy Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:


    PhysicistDave Comments

    5,652 Comments • 1,311,600 Words
     
    Yep, I am the apostle to the muggle turkeys like you. Hard work to translate actual human thoughts into simple words that little muggles like you have a chance at understanding.

    But this is, as St. Paul said, the thorn I must bear. As a former student of Richard Feynman, I feel I must persevere in bearing that burden.

    A hard row to hoe. But every now and then I succeed in turning one of you little muggles into an actual Homo sapiens.

    In your case, though... well, there is always hope, no matter how small.

    You take care now, little muggle!
  228. @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage.
     
    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.

    You seem to agree with me that the Flynn Effect is overwhelmingly environmental.

    Indeed, it may be over 100% environmental, given that dysgenic reproductive practices have tended to push in the opposite direction.

    But, hey, who's counting?

    res also wrote:

    My take on environmental differences is they can be large across time (Flynn Effect, especially in a time of such rapidly improving technology) or across major cultural boundaries (say North and South Korea, or Europe vs. Africa). Much harder to be large with people in the same time and space. Especially in a country as redistributionist as ours.
     
    There is no reason that time per se should matter in the slightest.

    Our great-grandparents lived in a slightly different environment than we do. Some Blacks in America live in a significantly different environment than most Whites. It is more than plausible that this could lead to an effect even larger than the Flynn Effect.

    Or not.

    No one knows.

    As to redistribution, that has actually had a horrifically bad effect on the environment of many Blacks, you know -- fatherless families and all that. SES is largely a proxy for the attitudes and values that parents exhibit; mere income redistribution has not been effective in changing that.

    Quite the contrary, in fact.

    res also wrote:

    There is a wide range of “don’t know for sure.” Which is the standard I believe you are applying. This is why I talk about “definitive” evidence. I have presented evidence above which I think makes the 0% environment position untenable
     
    I think you mis-spoke, didn't you? I agree that the 0% environment position is probably untenable -- i.e., it is probably not true that the environment has zero effect.

    Although I am far from certain of that.

    But I assume that what you meant to say was that you have shown that the 0% genetic position is untenable: i.e., that genes do account for more than 0% of the Black-White IQ gap.

    Well, speaking as a scientist with decades of successful evaluations of claims of new scientific discoveries in various fields, I disagree.

    If I apply the same standards that I apply in judging claims in physics, astronomy, etc., no, you have not shown that the Black-White IQ gap is more than 0% due to genes.

    Perhaps it is 80% due to genes. Perhaps the correct figure is even a negative number, meaning that Black genetic contribution to IQ is actually greater than Whites'!

    No one knows.

    Now, as I have said many times, applying Bayes' Theorem and given the fact that both Nature and Nurture can contribute to IQ, the best guess is that both do indeed contribute to the Black-White IQ gap.

    But that is just a naive guess, not science.

    And, in fact, if the genetic contribution to explaining the gap is only 5%, I very much doubt that most people on either side of the debate will consider that to be significant. If, on the other hand, the contribution turns out to be 80%, I suspect that both sides will feel that that really matters.

    So, what does count as "significant"? Ask the people on both sides who manage to be so riled up on this issue: I myself simply do not care.

    Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as "substantially"? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as "substantial"? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray's, David Reich's, and Steve Pinker's.

    But I do not think they will make such a statement in the near future.

    Do you?

    Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    Replies: @res, @res

    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.

    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.

    For someone who seems to be an advocate of honesty (seems a key component of effective science to me, but what do I know, I don’t have your credentials ; ) you don’t seem terribly inclined to divulge what you think is likely about the balance of environment vs. genetics as factors in the differences in IQ between US blacks and whites.

    You seem to agree with me that the Flynn Effect is overwhelmingly environmental.

    That’s my best guess. Combined with some amount of change in how people think affecting IQ test performance. I see the best evidence for an environmental cause of the Flynn Effect (probably mostly nutrition and improved public health) being the shortness of time (as you noted) and height following a similar trajectory.

    I’m curious, do you consider the evidence for the Flynn Effect being “overwhelmingly environmental” to meet the standards of physics or astronomy? If not, then why are you willing to state it like that? If so, then please supply (or point to) the detailed proof you would expect in those domains.

    Seems to me an excellent example of “isolated demands for rigor.” A common tactic of the woke these days, but I though a scientist (especially one who so loudly proclaims it) would be above games like that.
    https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/08/14/beware-isolated-demands-for-rigor/

    There is no reason that time per se should matter in the slightest.

    Our great-grandparents lived in a slightly different environment than we do. Some Blacks in America live in a significantly different environment than most Whites. It is more than plausible that this could lead to an effect even larger than the Flynn Effect.

    I strongly disagree with that (in particular, “more than plausible”). To the point of thinking it unworthy of you. First, “some blacks” is weak. What matters is the situation of enough to affect the group average significantly. Do you honestly think the difference in environment between the average white and average black in the current US is greater than the difference between the average American in 2023 and 1900? I go back to 1900 to capture the childhood of adults in the 1932 I see quoted for the start of the Flynn Effect. If you do think that, maybe ponder antibiotics, agricultural productivity, and infrastructure (e.g. water, sewer, and electricity). For a start.

    If I apply the same standards that I apply in judging claims in physics, astronomy, etc., no, you have not shown that the Black-White IQ gap is more than 0% due to genes.

    How about other standards? Say chemistry? Or genetics (which seems to be the relevant standard, are any GWAS results worthwhile to you?). Or even better, climate science. ; )

    I do wonder what evidence you would consider sufficiently compelling (the domain is less tractable than physics or astronomy IMO). A question: in your life what level of certainty do you require before making decisions to act on something?

    Perhaps you could elaborate on how you find the GWAS SNP frequencies insufficient to indicate a non-zero genetic effect?

    Now, as I have said many times, applying Bayes’ Theorem and given the fact that both Nature and Nurture can contribute to IQ, the best guess is that both do indeed contribute to the Black-White IQ gap.

    But that is just a naive guess, not science.

    And, in fact, if the genetic contribution to explaining the gap is only 5%, I very much doubt that most people on either side of the debate will consider that to be significant. If, on the other hand, the contribution turns out to be 80%, I suspect that both sides will feel that that really matters.

    So, what does count as “significant”? Ask the people on both sides who manage to be so riled up on this issue: I myself simply do not care.

    At least you acknowledge that. As far as not caring, that does not seem a very scientific attitude to me. Where is your scientific curiosity? But more importantly, you are capable of seeing how this question matters for assessing something like disparate impact doctrine, right? How do you feel about that?

    Given what you said, why do so many people feel the need to assert the only acceptable view is 100% environmental (e.g. see the outrage over The Bell Curve)? Almost like a religious belief. Which I thought would bother you given how exactly the opposite of science it is.

    I’ll also note that 5-80% seems like a fairly plausible conservative estimate for the range. Especially if viewed as marking the extremes of a probability Bell Curve. ; )

    Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much). Stop being disingenuous. For someone who values facts over words you sure aren’t showing it in our conversation. I am honestly starting to wonder how much you sincerely believe what you write and how much you are trolling me. Such trolling might be entertaining, but it would be far from matching the scientific persona you try to assume here.

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    Of those three I suspect Reich is the only one who knows more about the IQ genetics side of this than I do. And I wonder if any of those three are aware of the admixture studies and Piffer’s work. Which I consider the best positive evidence for a genetic component.

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point.

    If that occurs will you also agree to acknowledge that at this point in time I was right and you were wrong (or at least far less right ; )? Are you willing to extend that to other credible mainstream scientists? Because I suspect it will take a new generation (probably in China) to go there.

    But I do not think they will make such a statement in the near future.

    Do you?

    I agree with that. What I would dearly love to know is if any of those three think it is likely. In their hearts and minds, not their public pronouncements.

    Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    Don’t think I have ever seen a better statement of credentialism. Thanks.

    Out of curiosity, just how well do you think Charles Murray understands the actual science underlying all of this? Do you think he is aware of and understands those admixture studies and Piffer’s work? They are fairly obscure and I doubt most of the mainstream has looked at them any deeper than a curt dismissal. Because that is how science is supposed to work, right?

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.
     
    Nope.

    You are blatantly and intentionally lying.

    I keep saying it could be anything: I have explicitly mentioned possible numbers other then 0 or 100.

    I just don't know.

    Neither does anyone.

    You just want me to lie and pretend I do know, and, when I decline, you lie and claim that I am insisting that it must be either 0 or 100 percent.

    In fact, as you know, I have repeatedly said that Bayes' Theorem would suggest that it is some mixture of Nature and Nurture, but that that is just a wild, naive, scientifically invalid guess: it is not science.

    I just don't know.

    And so you lie and attribute to me views I have explicitly rejected.

    And, yes, I am annoyed at your lying about me and am going to start calling you a liar from now on.

    The pathological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    [The intentional pathological liar] You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much).
     
    Where exactly did I say that the Black-White IQ gap was “probably environmental"?

    You are lying.

    I said that about the Flynn Effect, which, as far as I know, almost everyone agrees with.

    What I did also say was that the null hypothesis should be that the Black-White IQ gap is "probably environmental."

    You don't understand what the null hypothesis means in science, do you?

    There is not a presumption that the null hypothesis is true.

    The null hypothesis is merely the hypothesis that you are trying to beat.

    When you are looking in data for some effect, the null hypothesis is that there is no effect, and, then, if you find real evidence for some effect, you have defeated the null hypothesis.

    This is standard scientific procedure.

    Do you get that?

    No, of course not!

    The parhological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    [The liar] Don’t think I have ever seen a better statement of credentialism. Thanks.
     
    You thereby just admitted that you suffer from "Web psychosis," the belief that there is something wrong with appealing to actual knowledge and expertise that people who are experts have in the real world.

    Yes, in the real world, I, and all sane people, constantly do defer to my betters, to people who have much greater expertise in some area than I do.

    You do, too, don't you?

    But Web psychosis is the refusal to carry over that common-sense behavior onto the Web.

    The liar also wrote:

    [Dave] And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    [The liar] Of those three I suspect Reich is the only one who knows more about the IQ genetics side of this than I do.
     
    No, they all do.

    You have proven yourself to be an ignorant, scientifically illiterate liar who does indeed know how to use google.

    You do not understand science.

    The liar also wrote:

    At least you acknowledge that. As far as not caring, that does not seem a very scientific attitude to me. Where is your scientific curiosity?
     
    Scientists are supposed to be disinterested. They are supposed to follow the evidence wherever it leads and, most crucially, to suspend judgment until there is clear-cut evidence.

    It's hard to do that, of course, but that is what scientists strive for.

    There is no such clear-cut evidence in this case.

    But you don't get that, because you are a fool who is ignorant of how actual science works.

    As the statement I just quoted shows: you have no grasp at all of what an actual "scientific attitude" is!

    The liar also wrote:

    I’m curious, do you consider the evidence for the Flynn Effect being “overwhelmingly environmental” to meet the standards of physics or astronomy?
     
    Yes, it is. I do not know of any other hypothesis that has been suggested. Do you?

    But there are alternative hypothesis for the Black-White IQ gap. A responsible scientist suspends judgment until there is clear evidence.

    Get it?

    No, of course you don't!

    Let me confess: I am being way too diplomatic.

    The truth is that the Flynn Effect pretty much destroys all of the IQ research.

    IQ is supposed to be a measure of what we normally think of as "intelligence," which is, roughly speaking, the ability to use our mind to solve challenging problems.

    Americans in the first half of the twentieth century solved lots and lots of challenging problems: they invented the airplane, created television, built the atomic bomb, made the first transistor, created the theory of electronic circuits, and on and on. It is absurd to claim that people today are significantly more intelligent than our forebears, and almost no one claims that to be the case.

    But the Flynn Effect shows that IQ tests would claim precisely that.

    Which means that the IQ tests are in fact utter nonsense. They do not measure intelligence.

    Yes, yes, I know: IQ has a significant predictive value within a very limited milieu: Compare the IQs of two middle-class Americans born in 1990, and if one has a much higher IQ, the odds are slightly higher that that person has a somewhat higher income, spent a somewhat longer time in school, etc.

    But that's it!

    The Flynn Effect shows that IQ does not even work across a couple generations in the same country, the USA.

    Trying to apply IQ tests across different societies, between segregated ethnic groups within one society, etc., is just plain and simple pseudo-science.

    Like almost all of the social and behavioral "sciences."

    You keep trying to draw me into the briar patch of all this nonsense, and I have been too restrained about explaining why I am resisting -- because it is all simply pseudo-science.

    You and many of the other commenters here have a personal desire to show that Blacks are genetically inferior to Whites. You want legitimate scientists like me to agree with you, because that would strengthen you in your prejudice.

    But almost no legitimate scientists are willing to do so.

    You want to pretend that it is because we are all afraid.

    I am not: I have denounced Judaism, Zionism, Christianity, government in general, climate alarmism, and a host of other lies and nonsense not only in this forum but also in public in the real world.

    And I have repeatedly attached my actual name to my comments here, which very few of you are willing to do.

    I am not afraid to slaughter sacred cows.

    But I will not agree with you on the science of the Black-White IQ gap because what you are touting is in fact pseudo-science.

    And so you have been lying about what I have said.

    You are able to find no legitimate scientists that I know of to back up your pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Or your lies.

    And, yes, yes, I know I am guilty of credentialism, condescension, insensitivity, and a host of other sins.

    But I just don't care. I do care about the truth.

    And you need to stop lying.

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @res

  229. @MEH 0910
    @MEH 0910

    McWhorter:


    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here.
     
    https://archive.ph/7Z4c6

    Stop Obsessing Over Race and IQ
    By JOHN MCWHORTER
    July 5, 2017
    [...]
    Black American culture, for example, grew from implacably oppressive slavery followed by a Jim Crow hegemony that recapitulated slavery in essence. These were people living in what my linguist’s training reveals as a life bound in orality rather than literacy. To live restricted to casual speech rather than the artifice of writing creates a psychology ill equipped to score highly on the distinctly modern stunt known as the IQ test. Speech emphasizes immediate experience over the athletically hypothetical. In speech, one focuses on a sequence of events — one damned thing after another — rather than on layered particularities along the lines of “If it had . . . , then it would . . . ” The latter sort of mental work, which is what a psychometric test requires one to perform, can seem irrelevant to an oral culture unless it is absolutely necessary — which it rarely is, given the broad generalities that suffice for basic human thriving.
     

    This characteristic of an oral culture is by no means exclusive to African-descended people. Anthropologists discovered similar concretely bound reasoning among Uzbek peasants way back in the 1930s; legions of whites in America have grown up in similar environments (as J. D. Vance’s Hillbilly Elegy eloquently testifies). The fact nonetheless remains that as a hopelessly nerdy kid, I was told warmly but firmly by older southern black relatives that I needed to stop thinking life was in “them books” — i.e., sources teaching me to look beyond my immediate experiences and ready intuitions. Given that these adults had grown up in an America that largely denied them quality schooling and restricted them to menial labor, it was hardly surprising that my geekiness did not strike them as useful or even congenial.

    Make no mistake: My relatives were hardly calling for me or anyone else to drop out of school or get bad grades. These same people swelled with pride to see their children, including me, graduate from high school and even college. However, I find it hard to imagine that performance on an IQ test is not affected — even in small children — by overtones of a day-to-day stance of alienation from, rather than orientation toward, what Jewish people might refer to as “the Book,” and the associated ways of thinking. And culture does not march in lockstep with income, or at least not right away: This subtle orientation can persist even among middle-class descendants of the working-class ancestors who instilled it.

    So that’s how I hope the issue of race and IQ works. But I cannot allow myself to fall into the sadly common pattern in which people’s insistence that something is true is founded as much on their wanting it to be true as on actual evidence. My hunches and predilections do not qualify as conduits to truth. I can responsibly claim neither on my gut sense nor on what I have seen of the research that it has been proven that there is no genetically based racial gap in IQ.
     

    Replies: @res, @Hypnotoad666

    Thanks. One thing I should add is that is the kind of thing I had in mind when I wrote “change in how people think affecting IQ test performance.” It is “environment,” but not really what most people mean when they use that word.

    I also want to emphasize this from your quote (my bold).

    So that’s how I hope the issue of race and IQ works.

    Honest of him to use that wording. The below is also honest and I think worth bringing above the MORE.

    I can responsibly claim neither on my gut sense nor on what I have seen of the research that it has been proven that there is no genetically based racial gap in IQ.

  230. @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    Y’see, when we superior STEM types communicate with other superior STEM types, we can often just use a diagram on a white board or even just a nod or a wave of the hand.
     
    Hmmm. One wonders why there are wordy scientific and medical professional journals, textbooks, and the like. Or by “STEM types” do you mean weed-addled internet ‘philosophers’? How much weed per day do you smoke/eat?

    But it does show that the Overton Window is shifting: it is now acceptable — in Argentina of all places! — to declare yourself an anarcho-capitalist and win an election.

    You government lovers are the past, old fella.
     

    Uh, didn’t he win an election, and is now the head of government? You’re calling that “anarchy”? LOL

    PhysD, you are one of the more entertaining crank ‘tards on iSteve. Take another drag on that pipe STEM Dave, you’ve earned it.

    Whoa— “PipeSTEM Dave” could be your new handle! yessss


    Anarchism is the wave of the future.
     
    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs. Do you feel lucky?

    I don’t think you are gonna like the future, old fella.
     
    If the future is warlordism, I could ‘get into it’, but I’d much rather have good government, thank you very much.

    But keep hitting that pipeSTEM, Dave…

    For those who come to Sacramento
    Be sure to wear some flowers in your hair
    If you come to Sacramento
    Summertime will be a love-in there

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs.

    Have you seen Twinkie’s go rounds with Dave on that topic?

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @res


    Have you seen Twinkie’s go rounds with Dave on that topic?
     
    Yes I have. PipeSTEM Dave, the wordy worcel, wants us to think he’s a psycho cannibal with a taste for gamey judo-bruised Korean barbecue.

    Meanwhile, while waiting for the ‘anarchist’ rapture ("Five millennia" and counting… any day now!) he’s relegated to eating his aging Asian wife’s dry bento box. Tough times!

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

  231. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    Our brilliant scientific analyst Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] But in any case, the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.

    [Hypno] Sez who? What makes all white people “one population,” whereas for purposes of the rules of genetic heritability blacks are “another population?”

    Seems like question begging. They are a “different population” if they live under separate environmental conditions that drastically affect their IQs.
     

    Y'know, the more you post, the more you reveal your extraordinary ignorance of sicnece in general and population biology in particular.

    You can choose any population you want.

    You want the population in your study to include everyone in the world whose first name has five letters and whose last name has six letters, which would of course include me, you can do that.

    I doubt that study will produce results of much interest, but you can do that if you wish.

    Why study the populations of Blacks versus the population of Whites? Well... quite a few people, like you for example, seem to be interested in comparing those two populations.

    That's all.

    You really, really lack the ability to think like a STEM person at all, don't you?

    Now, what did you say your educational and professional background was so that we can help you deal with your stunning misunderstanding of science?

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    You admit you admit that “population,” as you are using the term, just refers to an arbitrary sub-set of humans that one designates for study — e.g., “everyone in the world whose first name has five letters” vs. everyone “whose last name has six letters.”

    But then you recite the usual PC slogan from Wikipedia or wherever that: “the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.” Ok. But that means your argument is that if we know that IQ is heritable among people with five-letter names, we can’t conclude that it is also heritable for people with six-letter names. Can you see how stupid that is?

    Now just switch “whites” and “blacks” for five and six-letter names. The argument is still stupid.

    P.S., You working in STEM doesn’t make it less stupid.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    My silly little buddy Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    You admit you admit that “population,” as you are using the term, just refers to an arbitrary sub-set of humans that one designates for study — e.g., “everyone in the world whose first name has five letters” vs. everyone “whose last name has six letters.”

    But then you recite the usual PC slogan from Wikipedia or wherever that: “the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.” Ok. But that means your argument is that if we know that IQ is heritable among people with five-letter names, we can’t conclude that it is also heritable for people with six-letter names. Can you see how stupid that is?
     
    Yes, I do indeed see how stupid your comment is.

    But you don't, alas.

    As I explained to anon above, you misunderstand the meaning of the technical term "heritability."

    Try reading that explanation above.

    Of course, you are not bright enough to understand it, but you could at least try.

    In a nutshell, what I keep trying to tell you is that, by its definition, heritability is population specific.

    Heritability of some trait within one population simply does not transfer to another population or between populations.

    And everyone who understands the technical concept grasps this. It is simple math.

    Math that exceeds your mental capacities, it seems.

    Not much I can do about that.

    The wee little fellow also wrote

    Now just switch “whites” and “blacks” for five and six-letter names. The argument is still stupid.
     
    Yes, your argument is indeed still stupid.

    The mathematical definition of heritability is population specific: it just does not transfer between populations.

    The poor muggle also wrote:

    P.S., You working in STEM doesn’t make it less stupid.
     
    Except that any competent STEM person can grasp this. Simple math.

    But you can't.

    Poor little muggle.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

  232. @res
    @Jenner Ickham Errican


    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs.
     
    Have you seen Twinkie's go rounds with Dave on that topic?

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Have you seen Twinkie’s go rounds with Dave on that topic?

    Yes I have. PipeSTEM Dave, the wordy worcel, wants us to think he’s a psycho cannibal with a taste for gamey judo-bruised Korean barbecue.

    Meanwhile, while waiting for the ‘anarchist’ rapture (“Five millennia” and counting… any day now!) he’s relegated to eating his aging Asian wife’s dry bento box. Tough times!

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Jenner Ickham Errican


    the wordy worcel
     
    Eh, close enough
  233. Anonymous[248] • Disclaimer says:
    @PhysicistDave
    @Intelligent Dasein

    My truly brilliant friend Intelligent Dasein wrote to me:


    Everything you think of as your “physics” is simply the fart-gas left behind in the room by long-dead philosophers whose frequency is too high for your pathetic antenna to receive. You are the walking definition of a pure Socratic ignoramus: You know nothing, and you do not know that you know nothing.
     
    Yeah, yeah, that's the ticket!

    I mean, what did my own teachers -- Feynman, Steve Weinberg, Kip Thorne -- know about physics that wasn't already known to Thomas Aquinas? Or Aristotle?

    Right?

    Why all this silliness about the universal acceleration of gravity when Aristotle already knew that heavier objects fall faster than lighter objects?

    Right?

    Hey, would you be willing to fly only on airplanes and only use computers based on the physics known to Aquinas and Aristotle?

    Would ya?

    Just askin'.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @anonymous

    I mean, what did my own teachers — Feynman, Steve Weinberg, Kip Thorne

    Where did you say you went to school? You haven’t told us in at least two posts now.

    We get that your teachers were brilliant – you on the other hand are a weird, obnoxious sperg. Whose daughter obviously didn’t turn out much different. Whatever happened to her happened because she likely inherited your behavioral traits. You should apologize to her for being such a terrible father.

    • Thanks: PhysicistDave
    • Troll: William Badwhite
  234. @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @res


    Have you seen Twinkie’s go rounds with Dave on that topic?
     
    Yes I have. PipeSTEM Dave, the wordy worcel, wants us to think he’s a psycho cannibal with a taste for gamey judo-bruised Korean barbecue.

    Meanwhile, while waiting for the ‘anarchist’ rapture ("Five millennia" and counting… any day now!) he’s relegated to eating his aging Asian wife’s dry bento box. Tough times!

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    the wordy worcel

    Eh, close enough

  235. @MEH 0910
    @MEH 0910

    McWhorter:


    I suspect, in my gut, that the issue is cultural, for reasons I discussed here.
     
    https://archive.ph/7Z4c6

    Stop Obsessing Over Race and IQ
    By JOHN MCWHORTER
    July 5, 2017
    [...]
    Black American culture, for example, grew from implacably oppressive slavery followed by a Jim Crow hegemony that recapitulated slavery in essence. These were people living in what my linguist’s training reveals as a life bound in orality rather than literacy. To live restricted to casual speech rather than the artifice of writing creates a psychology ill equipped to score highly on the distinctly modern stunt known as the IQ test. Speech emphasizes immediate experience over the athletically hypothetical. In speech, one focuses on a sequence of events — one damned thing after another — rather than on layered particularities along the lines of “If it had . . . , then it would . . . ” The latter sort of mental work, which is what a psychometric test requires one to perform, can seem irrelevant to an oral culture unless it is absolutely necessary — which it rarely is, given the broad generalities that suffice for basic human thriving.
     

    This characteristic of an oral culture is by no means exclusive to African-descended people. Anthropologists discovered similar concretely bound reasoning among Uzbek peasants way back in the 1930s; legions of whites in America have grown up in similar environments (as J. D. Vance’s Hillbilly Elegy eloquently testifies). The fact nonetheless remains that as a hopelessly nerdy kid, I was told warmly but firmly by older southern black relatives that I needed to stop thinking life was in “them books” — i.e., sources teaching me to look beyond my immediate experiences and ready intuitions. Given that these adults had grown up in an America that largely denied them quality schooling and restricted them to menial labor, it was hardly surprising that my geekiness did not strike them as useful or even congenial.

    Make no mistake: My relatives were hardly calling for me or anyone else to drop out of school or get bad grades. These same people swelled with pride to see their children, including me, graduate from high school and even college. However, I find it hard to imagine that performance on an IQ test is not affected — even in small children — by overtones of a day-to-day stance of alienation from, rather than orientation toward, what Jewish people might refer to as “the Book,” and the associated ways of thinking. And culture does not march in lockstep with income, or at least not right away: This subtle orientation can persist even among middle-class descendants of the working-class ancestors who instilled it.

    So that’s how I hope the issue of race and IQ works. But I cannot allow myself to fall into the sadly common pattern in which people’s insistence that something is true is founded as much on their wanting it to be true as on actual evidence. My hunches and predilections do not qualify as conduits to truth. I can responsibly claim neither on my gut sense nor on what I have seen of the research that it has been proven that there is no genetically based racial gap in IQ.
     

    Replies: @res, @Hypnotoad666

    Many years ago I listened to an audiobook lecture series by McWhorter on Linguistics and I thought it was great. Much later, I found out he was black and had the (totally racists) thought, “Wow, I didn’t see that coming!”

    But even ignoring the hot-button genetic issue, you still can’t really argue with the yawning gap in IQ scores and manifested cognitive ability. And yet nobody is willing to incorporate reality into, say, education policy.

    In a lot of big urban school districts the kids have IQs in the 70’s and their teachers have IQs in the 80’s. But they just try to hammer these square pegs into the same old round policy hole by teaching the same material in the same ways, as if everyone is being prepped for college and a professional career.

    Someone in Academia really ought to be rigorously studying what skills will add the most value to a disengaged kid with an IQ of 75, and how to teach him. But instead they just create abstract theories of systemic racism as a comforting explanation for the problem instead of doing anything to mitigate it. “Teaching dumb kids” is a very un-sexy topic in Education theory, I imagine.

  236. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    My little buddy Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    [Dave] Now, again, tell us what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    [Hypno] Dave, logical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren’t. The scientific method doesn’t give a shit about anybody’s background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.
     
    Ah, one more sign of your "Web psychosis": the bizarre belief, common across the Web, that all commenters on the Web start out equal, regardless of the knowledge and expertise they have attained in the real world.

    What makes it a psychosis is that no one can consistently behave that way: if you are rushed to the ER with intense abdominal pain, and the doc diagnoses you as having acute appendicitis that requires emergency surgery, you are not going to start lecturing him that:

    [L]ogical conclusions based on data are either valid, or they aren’t. The scientific method doesn’t give a shit about anybody’s background. Your reliance on creditionalism just undermines your credibility.
     
    You will rely on his actual, very real expertise.

    You want me to pretend that you are my equal?

    You're not.

    I am a superior STEM guy.

    You... well, tell us again what your educational and professional background is, and maybe we can help you with some of your confusion about science.

    And, yeah, yeah, everyone: I do most assuredly realize that I am being patronizing, supercilious, insensitive, and just a generally baaad dude. That is the real world. No one in real life adheres to the Web psychosis that Hypno is adhering to here. Human beings are not equal. It is especially hilarious that I need to point this out in a thread that is discussing IQ!

    Web psychosis -- a mind is a terrible thing to lose (with thanks to Dan Quayle!).

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    You want me to pretend that you are my equal?

    You’re not.

    I am a superior STEM guy.

    Whatever specialized field you are good at, you are obviously overgeneralizing your talents to think you are good at things that you aren’t. That kind of hubris makes you blind to your limitations.

  237. @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    Hence my constant mantra: things over words.
     

    PhysicistDave Comments

    5,652 Comments • 1,311,600 Words
     

    Ironically, your “constant mantra” is just more words, empty ones at that.

    Vincenzo Coccotti sez:


    “Now, what we got here is a little game of show and tell. You don’t wanna show me nothin’, but you’re tellin’ me everything.”
     
    https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5cac90a4e5f7d1409ead718b/1554905113856-FDKFND8AKTMBOUBDRXY5/True+Romance+1.jpg

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @PhysicistDave

    High-functioning STEM guys really are different from ordinary muggles, even though superficially we seem to be members of the same species.

    You gotta love this guy. He can tell you 2+2 =5, and it must be true because he’s a superior species.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Hypnotoad666


    High functioning STEM guys
     
    If STEMcel Dave has to call himself “high functioning” that means he has trouble functioning in some way (understandable, given his angry, wack persona) and/or he’s in a class of human known to be relatively dysfunctional. Same as someone oddly volunteering that they are “non-drooling”: they are telling us they have a drooling problem.
  238. @Hypnotoad666
    @Jenner Ickham Errican


    High-functioning STEM guys really are different from ordinary muggles, even though superficially we seem to be members of the same species.
     
    You gotta love this guy. He can tell you 2+2 =5, and it must be true because he's a superior species.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    High functioning STEM guys

    If STEMcel Dave has to call himself “high functioning” that means he has trouble functioning in some way (understandable, given his angry, wack persona) and/or he’s in a class of human known to be relatively dysfunctional. Same as someone oddly volunteering that they are “non-drooling”: they are telling us they have a drooling problem.

    • Thanks: PhysicistDave
  239. anonymous[118] • Disclaimer says:
    @PhysicistDave
    @Intelligent Dasein

    My truly brilliant friend Intelligent Dasein wrote to me:


    Everything you think of as your “physics” is simply the fart-gas left behind in the room by long-dead philosophers whose frequency is too high for your pathetic antenna to receive. You are the walking definition of a pure Socratic ignoramus: You know nothing, and you do not know that you know nothing.
     
    Yeah, yeah, that's the ticket!

    I mean, what did my own teachers -- Feynman, Steve Weinberg, Kip Thorne -- know about physics that wasn't already known to Thomas Aquinas? Or Aristotle?

    Right?

    Why all this silliness about the universal acceleration of gravity when Aristotle already knew that heavier objects fall faster than lighter objects?

    Right?

    Hey, would you be willing to fly only on airplanes and only use computers based on the physics known to Aquinas and Aristotle?

    Would ya?

    Just askin'.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @anonymous

    Off your meds again Dave?
    You are a mid-level Ph.D who advocates for violence against the innocent when you aren’t engaging in crack-pot level claims about your precious ‘intelligence’. Nobody cares what you say about physics, since there are thousands of physicists who know more than you do. And you should stop bragging about the names of the physicists who worked at the schools where you were a humble little student — you are a mediocre braggart, and the actual talented physicists who taught you do not deserve to have an unkind creep like you invoking their name.
    Go down to a soup kitchen and do something kind.

    • Thanks: PhysicistDave
    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @anonymous

    An evil little pathological liar who is too coawardly to even choose a screen name wrote to me:


    You are a mid-level Ph.D who advocates for violence against the innocent
     
    I do not advocate for "violence against the innocent."

    I could sue you for libel.

    But since you probably have no assets aside from your teddy bear, it wouldn't be worth it, now would it?

    The libelous little liar also wrote:

    And you should stop bragging about the names of the physicists who worked at the schools where you were a humble little student — you are a mediocre braggart, and the actual talented physicists who taught you do not deserve to have an unkind creep like you invoking their name.
     
    They did not just work at Caltech and Stanford, I took classes from them. In the case of Feynman, I knew him all four years I was at 'Tech.

    But it is very interesting that I have touched such a nerve with you and so many others here merely by my pointing out that the science on the causes of the Black-White IQ gap is currently unsettled.

    What does it say about your motives that you are so upset about my pointing out a fact that is so obvious and anodyne?

    Are you actually a member of the KKK and the American Nazi Party, or I am I just getting that impression?

    Just a sincere and innocent question.
  240. anon[273] • Disclaimer says:
    @PhysicistDave
    @anon

    anon wrote to me:


    [Dave] Now, again, what did you say your educational and professional background was?

    [anon] Ok so imagine for the sake of argument that you’re responding to hereditarian arguments being made by @gcochran instead of @hypnotoad666.

    Now what is your argument?
     
    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.

    Hypno seems to think that because heritability for IQ is fairly high within a certain mainstram US environment that it follows that IQ differences between different populations is probably due to genetic differences.

    He has not tried to argue for that point: I think he believes it is obvious.

    It is not: it is clearly and dramatically false. But he and a number of other commenters here are just too damn lazy to learn what heritability is and what it means. They take the word "heritability," which obviously has something to do with inheritance, and then they just guess what it might mean and use that guess to try to present nonsensical, meaningless verbal claims.

    They have been seduced by a technical term that they are too lazy to actually learn about.

    Typical non-STEM people: verbalists who value meaningless verbiage over reality.

    As I wrote above:

    And the fact is that that 50 percent heritability within a population is consistent with the variations between populations being completely non-genetic. Or, for that matter, 100 percent genetic.

    I know that seems counter-intuitive to non-STEM people but that is how the math works out.

    All that the significant heritability within a single population tells you is that it would not be surprising if some of the variance between populations is also genetic.

    It simply does not predict how much.
     
    That is simply what "heritability"means, but our verbiage-addled friends choose not to learn about it.

    Heritability is a measure within a particular population within a particular, specific range of environments of how much of the variation in some trait, IQ in this case, is due to genes vs. how much is due to the specific variations in environment within the particular, specific range of environments used in the study.

    It does not transfer beyond that. Isn't that a shortcoming of the concept of heritability? No, that is all it is supposed to do.

    So, if you study the variation of some trait among people who have almost identical environments -- say, all from two-parent American families in which the dad is a doctor and the mom is a stay-at-home mom and the families all have the same income and live in the same community and the kids all attend the same public school and so on -- you will tend to get a very high heritability for any trait simply because there is very, very little variation in the environment.

    On the other hand, take your sample from a random sample of human beings around the planet -- a bunch of Africans from the bush, a lot of poor Latin Americans, a number of Europeans, quite a few Chinese, and so on -- and you will tend to measure a much lower level of heritability, simply because the environments differ so much more dramatically. Obviously, the variations in environment will then tend to have a much, much greater impact.

    This is not an error or a failure to measure "the" correct heritability. This is how the measure of heritability is supposed to work -- it is supposed to vary, usually quite dramatically for different sample groups that differ dramatically in their environmental variations.

    In the case of the identical twin studies, these were adopted, primarily White, kids in the USA. Adoption agencies have fairly serious criteria, or at least they did back in the mid-twentieth century when those kids were adopted. They would generally not place kids with a family that was financially insecure. They would generally not place a kid with a single mom. They would certainly not place a kid with a mom who was obviously a drug addict or a prostitute.

    Kids were generally placed with stable, middle-American families, and, in the mid-twentieth century, middle-American families were among the most homogeneous large-scale societies in human history.

    I know -- I was there. In the public school I attended, we had kids ranging from upper-middle class to lower-working class. But we watched the same television shows, ate the same food, joined the same Boy Scout troop, engaged in the same recreational activities, etc.

    It wasn't until I reached high school that I started to become dimly aware that we even came from different social classes, because the different social classes were pretty much the same.

    But there was not a single Black in my high school.

    Poor Blacks certainly led different lives than we did.

    The heritability of IQ within my high school would have been very high simply because the environment differed so little that there was not much chance for environment to have a major effect.

    But if you had somehow measured heritability across the entire metro area in which I lived -- Metro St. Louis, which had a large Black population in the central city -- you would have been dealing with an enormously greater range of environments: you could not just transfer the measure of heritability from my lily-White, middle-American high school to a broader milieu.

    Again, this is not a flaw in the concept of heritability: this is how heritability is supposed to behave.

    Heritability does not measure, and it was never intended to measure, what many people here seem to think it is supposed to measure.

    It was simply intended to measure -- within a particular specified range of environments -- how much variation in IQ is due to that specific range of environments vs. due to genes.

    A measure of heritability for one range of environments simply cannot be transferred to a different range of environments.

    At all.

    You asked me to try to explain this, so I have done so.

    But anyone who is mathematically literate, any competent STEM person, who looked at the definition of heritability would not need this explanation.

    The problem here is people who are focused on verbiage rather than the real world and who are just too damn lazy to learn the meaning of a technical term that they cavalierly throw around.

    And, yes, such people do indeed annoy me.

    Which is why I constantly preach: Things over words.

    People who allow words to govern their thoughts rather than focusing on what the non-verbal underlying reality is are constantly engaged in deception.

    And, unfortunately, the ability to engage in that sort of deception is a major part of what is measured by IQ. Which is part of the reason our society is in so much trouble.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @anon

    I’m going to respond to things you’ve said in a couple different subthreads here.

    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.

    Somehow, despite your colossal STEM brain, you missed the point. Greg Cochran has remarkably similar credentials to you – Physics PhD, specialized in optics. In fact, his credentials exceed yours – he’s a professor of anthropology and has written a book on the subject.

    Cochran is also known for advancing a largely hereditarian view on topics like the racial gap in IQ. I’ve done the legwork for you of finding a couple examples:

    Suppose that the narrow-sense heritability of IQ is 0.7 [ in typical western circumstances: no ball-peen hammers), and the non-genetic variation is almost all caused by mysterious unshared-environment effects – not the school you go to or the books in the house, but something essentially random, like somatic mutation, or randomness in development.

    Then while a big fraction of variance in IQ is caused by genetic differences, quite a bit is not.

    But now look at the difference between two groups. It’s entirely possible that those random forces – somatic mutation, noise in development, etc – are close to the same in both groups.

    If so, the difference in the averages of the two groups would be almost entirely genetic, since the non-genetic factors would average out.

    (from “Differences, within and without“)

    and

    It turns out that breed differences in behavior are highly heritable, which is interesting since it’s impossible to define between-population heritability ( it is so written) . But although philosophically impossible to define, it’s apparently fairly easy to calculate.

    Interestingly, genotype accounts for more of the behavioral variation between breeds than it does within breeds. Like humans, most genetic variation in dogs is within-breed rather than between-breed ( 85%-15% in humans, 70% to 30% in dogs), but that whole-genome number does not matter: what matters is the distribution of the particular genes that influence behavioral traits, not neutral or behaviorally-irrelevant genes.

    You can’t say any of these things without detailed understanding of the causal mechanisms, just as we could not eat anything until we’d learned that edible sugars are right-handed molecules while amino acids are left-handed.

    As for comparing dog breeds and human races, wrong because too obvious.

    (from “Heritable differences in dog behavior“)

    You said in comment 169 of this thread

    I have a Ph.D. from Stanford in physics. I have published papers in some of the world’s most prestigious scientific journals. My name is on multiple patents. My wife also has a Ph.D. from Stanford, in biology, and I have on occasion helped her in her work.

    If I am not an authority entitled to judge that something is pseudo-science, exactly who is?

    Cochran’s at least as much of an authority here as you are, yet he doesn’t agree with you.

    So I ask you again: If you were debating Greg Cochran on this subject, what would be your argument?

    You also said in comment 221 of this thread

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as “substantially”? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as “substantial”? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray’s, David Reich’s, and Steve Pinker’s.

    How can these three be the arbiters of this or any other question in science? Murray’s PhD is in Political Science, so according to you (comment 161) he’s fraudulently donned the mantle of science. Reich’s BA was in Physics, so maybe he’s not completely retarded, but his PhD is in Zoology, i.e. stamp collecting. And Pinker is a psychologist, so not even a scientist, or at least not much of one (comment 135). How could this gaggle of cretins possibly know more about this subject than you? You obviously know better! You’re a superior STEM guy! But wait, Greg Cochran knows better, too, because he was a physicist, and he disagrees with you. A paradox!

    Of course, you’re just being dishonest. Thus far in this thread you’ve written about 9,500 words, on a topic about which you “simply do not care” (comment 221), mostly just furiously patting yourself on the back. Why don’t you show us what that big brain can do and just answer my question?

    • Replies: @res
    @anon

    Thank you for the Greg Cochran excerpts.

    , @PhysicistDave
    @anon

    Our crazy little goofball anon[273] wrote to me:


    So I ask you again: If you were debating Greg Cochran on this subject, what would be your argument?
     
    I gave a very detailed response to you a while back.

    I see no reason to repeat it.

    As to Cochran, I would simply ignore him: he is a fringe figure, a crack-pot, as your quote from him shows. Happens even in physics. I would certainly not choose to debate him!

    The goofball also wrote:

    he’s a professor of anthropology...
     
    Well... a bit of googling turns up, "From 2004 to 2015, he was a research associate at the anthropology department at the University of Utah."

    I take it you do not know the difference between a "research associate" and a professor?

    The little goofball also wrote:

    Of course, you’re just being dishonest. Thus far in this thread you’ve written about 9,500 words, on a topic about which you “simply do not care” (comment 221), mostly just furiously patting yourself on the back. Why don’t you show us what that big brain can do and just answer my question?
     
    I am interested in science being done correctly on this issue. I do not, however, have an ax to grind as to what the answer is. That is how scientists are supposed to behave: the term is "disinterested."

    Google it.

    And, again, I already answered your question in my previous response above.

    You just don't like my answer because you have a specific answer you would like to be true, even though it is not supported by the evidence.

    Nonetheless, heritability is what it is: it is population specific.

    It does not transfer between different populations.

    Any competent STEM person grasps this. Maybe even Cochran grasps it.

    You don't.

    Not much I can do about that, is there?
  241. @anon
    @PhysicistDave

    I'm going to respond to things you've said in a couple different subthreads here.


    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.
     
    Somehow, despite your colossal STEM brain, you missed the point. Greg Cochran has remarkably similar credentials to you - Physics PhD, specialized in optics. In fact, his credentials exceed yours - he's a professor of anthropology and has written a book on the subject.

    Cochran is also known for advancing a largely hereditarian view on topics like the racial gap in IQ. I've done the legwork for you of finding a couple examples:


    Suppose that the narrow-sense heritability of IQ is 0.7 [ in typical western circumstances: no ball-peen hammers), and the non-genetic variation is almost all caused by mysterious unshared-environment effects – not the school you go to or the books in the house, but something essentially random, like somatic mutation, or randomness in development.

    Then while a big fraction of variance in IQ is caused by genetic differences, quite a bit is not.

    But now look at the difference between two groups. It’s entirely possible that those random forces – somatic mutation, noise in development, etc – are close to the same in both groups.

    If so, the difference in the averages of the two groups would be almost entirely genetic, since the non-genetic factors would average out.
     

    (from "Differences, within and without")

    and


    It turns out that breed differences in behavior are highly heritable, which is interesting since it’s impossible to define between-population heritability ( it is so written) . But although philosophically impossible to define, it’s apparently fairly easy to calculate.

    ...

    Interestingly, genotype accounts for more of the behavioral variation between breeds than it does within breeds. Like humans, most genetic variation in dogs is within-breed rather than between-breed ( 85%-15% in humans, 70% to 30% in dogs), but that whole-genome number does not matter: what matters is the distribution of the particular genes that influence behavioral traits, not neutral or behaviorally-irrelevant genes.

    You can’t say any of these things without detailed understanding of the causal mechanisms, just as we could not eat anything until we’d learned that edible sugars are right-handed molecules while amino acids are left-handed.

    As for comparing dog breeds and human races, wrong because too obvious.
     

    (from "Heritable differences in dog behavior")

    You said in comment 169 of this thread


    I have a Ph.D. from Stanford in physics. I have published papers in some of the world’s most prestigious scientific journals. My name is on multiple patents. My wife also has a Ph.D. from Stanford, in biology, and I have on occasion helped her in her work.

    If I am not an authority entitled to judge that something is pseudo-science, exactly who is?
     

    Cochran's at least as much of an authority here as you are, yet he doesn't agree with you.

    So I ask you again: If you were debating Greg Cochran on this subject, what would be your argument?

    You also said in comment 221 of this thread


    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as “substantially”? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as “substantial”? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray’s, David Reich’s, and Steve Pinker’s.
     

    How can these three be the arbiters of this or any other question in science? Murray's PhD is in Political Science, so according to you (comment 161) he's fraudulently donned the mantle of science. Reich's BA was in Physics, so maybe he's not completely retarded, but his PhD is in Zoology, i.e. stamp collecting. And Pinker is a psychologist, so not even a scientist, or at least not much of one (comment 135). How could this gaggle of cretins possibly know more about this subject than you? You obviously know better! You're a superior STEM guy! But wait, Greg Cochran knows better, too, because he was a physicist, and he disagrees with you. A paradox!

    Of course, you're just being dishonest. Thus far in this thread you've written about 9,500 words, on a topic about which you "simply do not care" (comment 221), mostly just furiously patting yourself on the back. Why don't you show us what that big brain can do and just answer my question?

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

    Thank you for the Greg Cochran excerpts.

  242. @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave

    You admit you admit that "population," as you are using the term, just refers to an arbitrary sub-set of humans that one designates for study -- e.g., "everyone in the world whose first name has five letters" vs. everyone "whose last name has six letters."

    But then you recite the usual PC slogan from Wikipedia or wherever that: "the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic." Ok. But that means your argument is that if we know that IQ is heritable among people with five-letter names, we can't conclude that it is also heritable for people with six-letter names. Can you see how stupid that is?

    Now just switch "whites" and "blacks" for five and six-letter names. The argument is still stupid.

    P.S., You working in STEM doesn't make it less stupid.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    My silly little buddy Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:

    You admit you admit that “population,” as you are using the term, just refers to an arbitrary sub-set of humans that one designates for study — e.g., “everyone in the world whose first name has five letters” vs. everyone “whose last name has six letters.”

    But then you recite the usual PC slogan from Wikipedia or wherever that: “the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.” Ok. But that means your argument is that if we know that IQ is heritable among people with five-letter names, we can’t conclude that it is also heritable for people with six-letter names. Can you see how stupid that is?

    Yes, I do indeed see how stupid your comment is.

    But you don’t, alas.

    As I explained to anon above, you misunderstand the meaning of the technical term “heritability.”

    Try reading that explanation above.

    Of course, you are not bright enough to understand it, but you could at least try.

    In a nutshell, what I keep trying to tell you is that, by its definition, heritability is population specific.

    Heritability of some trait within one population simply does not transfer to another population or between populations.

    And everyone who understands the technical concept grasps this. It is simple math.

    Math that exceeds your mental capacities, it seems.

    Not much I can do about that.

    The wee little fellow also wrote

    Now just switch “whites” and “blacks” for five and six-letter names. The argument is still stupid.

    Yes, your argument is indeed still stupid.

    The mathematical definition of heritability is population specific: it just does not transfer between populations.

    The poor muggle also wrote:

    P.S., You working in STEM doesn’t make it less stupid.

    Except that any competent STEM person can grasp this. Simple math.

    But you can’t.

    Poor little muggle.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @PhysicistDave

    Dave, at this point, I just feel sorry for you.

  243. @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage.
     
    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.

    You seem to agree with me that the Flynn Effect is overwhelmingly environmental.

    Indeed, it may be over 100% environmental, given that dysgenic reproductive practices have tended to push in the opposite direction.

    But, hey, who's counting?

    res also wrote:

    My take on environmental differences is they can be large across time (Flynn Effect, especially in a time of such rapidly improving technology) or across major cultural boundaries (say North and South Korea, or Europe vs. Africa). Much harder to be large with people in the same time and space. Especially in a country as redistributionist as ours.
     
    There is no reason that time per se should matter in the slightest.

    Our great-grandparents lived in a slightly different environment than we do. Some Blacks in America live in a significantly different environment than most Whites. It is more than plausible that this could lead to an effect even larger than the Flynn Effect.

    Or not.

    No one knows.

    As to redistribution, that has actually had a horrifically bad effect on the environment of many Blacks, you know -- fatherless families and all that. SES is largely a proxy for the attitudes and values that parents exhibit; mere income redistribution has not been effective in changing that.

    Quite the contrary, in fact.

    res also wrote:

    There is a wide range of “don’t know for sure.” Which is the standard I believe you are applying. This is why I talk about “definitive” evidence. I have presented evidence above which I think makes the 0% environment position untenable
     
    I think you mis-spoke, didn't you? I agree that the 0% environment position is probably untenable -- i.e., it is probably not true that the environment has zero effect.

    Although I am far from certain of that.

    But I assume that what you meant to say was that you have shown that the 0% genetic position is untenable: i.e., that genes do account for more than 0% of the Black-White IQ gap.

    Well, speaking as a scientist with decades of successful evaluations of claims of new scientific discoveries in various fields, I disagree.

    If I apply the same standards that I apply in judging claims in physics, astronomy, etc., no, you have not shown that the Black-White IQ gap is more than 0% due to genes.

    Perhaps it is 80% due to genes. Perhaps the correct figure is even a negative number, meaning that Black genetic contribution to IQ is actually greater than Whites'!

    No one knows.

    Now, as I have said many times, applying Bayes' Theorem and given the fact that both Nature and Nurture can contribute to IQ, the best guess is that both do indeed contribute to the Black-White IQ gap.

    But that is just a naive guess, not science.

    And, in fact, if the genetic contribution to explaining the gap is only 5%, I very much doubt that most people on either side of the debate will consider that to be significant. If, on the other hand, the contribution turns out to be 80%, I suspect that both sides will feel that that really matters.

    So, what does count as "significant"? Ask the people on both sides who manage to be so riled up on this issue: I myself simply do not care.

    Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as "substantially"? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as "substantial"? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray's, David Reich's, and Steve Pinker's.

    But I do not think they will make such a statement in the near future.

    Do you?

    Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    Replies: @res, @res

    A relevant discussion.
    https://noahcarl.medium.com/response-to-birney-raff-rutherford-scally-bf70f763efc6

    For example:

    While the Flynn effect is not yet well-understood, there is already a certain amount of evidence that whatever causes it is different from whatever causes the black-white IQ gap (see Section 2 of this blog post by Noam.) Even James Flynn himself has stated, “the magnitude of white/black IQ differences on Wechsler subtests at any given time is correlated with the g loadings of the subtests; the magnitude of IQ gains over time on subtests is not usually so correlated; the causes of the two phenomena are not the same”.

    Even more relevant is the linked blog post. The original link to that is dead so pulled out separately as an archive link.
    https://web.archive.org/web/20180224160823/https://medium.com/@houstoneuler/the-cherry-picked-science-in-voxs-charles-murray-article-bd534a9c4476

    • Replies: @res
    @res

    To see that Flynn quote in context refer to this paper (which offers further references) by James Flynn.
    The “Flynn Effect” and Flynn's paradox
    https://james-flynn.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/flynn2013-The-Flynn-Effect-and-Flynns-paradox..pdf

    That quote appears in section 4 along with some additional explanation.

    Section 6 has some useful data.


    Using all Wechsler and Stanford–Binet standardization samples, Dickens and Flynn (2006) concluded that between 1972 and 2002, blacks gained 5.5 IQ points on whites and that the average gap had fallen to 10.0 points for ages 9 to 17. The two data sets offer remarkably similar results. The Dickens and Flynn data cover all ages between 4 and 24 and sadly, black IQ steadily loses ground on white IQ as children age. In 2002 the gap was only 4.6 points at age 4 rising to 16.6 points at age 24.
     
    For more on that see the underlying paper. Especially Figure 3 (a nice data set of black average IQs by age for both 1972 and 2002) and associated text.
    Black Americans reduce the racial IQ gap: Evidence from standardization samples
    https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/20060619_iq.pdf
  244. @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    Hence my constant mantra: things over words.
     

    PhysicistDave Comments

    5,652 Comments • 1,311,600 Words
     

    Ironically, your “constant mantra” is just more words, empty ones at that.

    Vincenzo Coccotti sez:


    “Now, what we got here is a little game of show and tell. You don’t wanna show me nothin’, but you’re tellin’ me everything.”
     
    https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/5cac90a4e5f7d1409ead718b/1554905113856-FDKFND8AKTMBOUBDRXY5/True+Romance+1.jpg

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @PhysicistDave

    Our wild and crazy our guy Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:

    PhysicistDave Comments

    5,652 Comments • 1,311,600 Words

    Yep, I am the apostle to the muggle turkeys like you. Hard work to translate actual human thoughts into simple words that little muggles like you have a chance at understanding.

    But this is, as St. Paul said, the thorn I must bear. As a former student of Richard Feynman, I feel I must persevere in bearing that burden.

    A hard row to hoe. But every now and then I succeed in turning one of you little muggles into an actual Homo sapiens.

    In your case, though… well, there is always hope, no matter how small.

    You take care now, little muggle!

  245. @anon
    @PhysicistDave

    I'm going to respond to things you've said in a couple different subthreads here.


    There is no reason for me to make an argument: Hypno and his friends have not made any argument that needs refuting.
     
    Somehow, despite your colossal STEM brain, you missed the point. Greg Cochran has remarkably similar credentials to you - Physics PhD, specialized in optics. In fact, his credentials exceed yours - he's a professor of anthropology and has written a book on the subject.

    Cochran is also known for advancing a largely hereditarian view on topics like the racial gap in IQ. I've done the legwork for you of finding a couple examples:


    Suppose that the narrow-sense heritability of IQ is 0.7 [ in typical western circumstances: no ball-peen hammers), and the non-genetic variation is almost all caused by mysterious unshared-environment effects – not the school you go to or the books in the house, but something essentially random, like somatic mutation, or randomness in development.

    Then while a big fraction of variance in IQ is caused by genetic differences, quite a bit is not.

    But now look at the difference between two groups. It’s entirely possible that those random forces – somatic mutation, noise in development, etc – are close to the same in both groups.

    If so, the difference in the averages of the two groups would be almost entirely genetic, since the non-genetic factors would average out.
     

    (from "Differences, within and without")

    and


    It turns out that breed differences in behavior are highly heritable, which is interesting since it’s impossible to define between-population heritability ( it is so written) . But although philosophically impossible to define, it’s apparently fairly easy to calculate.

    ...

    Interestingly, genotype accounts for more of the behavioral variation between breeds than it does within breeds. Like humans, most genetic variation in dogs is within-breed rather than between-breed ( 85%-15% in humans, 70% to 30% in dogs), but that whole-genome number does not matter: what matters is the distribution of the particular genes that influence behavioral traits, not neutral or behaviorally-irrelevant genes.

    You can’t say any of these things without detailed understanding of the causal mechanisms, just as we could not eat anything until we’d learned that edible sugars are right-handed molecules while amino acids are left-handed.

    As for comparing dog breeds and human races, wrong because too obvious.
     

    (from "Heritable differences in dog behavior")

    You said in comment 169 of this thread


    I have a Ph.D. from Stanford in physics. I have published papers in some of the world’s most prestigious scientific journals. My name is on multiple patents. My wife also has a Ph.D. from Stanford, in biology, and I have on occasion helped her in her work.

    If I am not an authority entitled to judge that something is pseudo-science, exactly who is?
     

    Cochran's at least as much of an authority here as you are, yet he doesn't agree with you.

    So I ask you again: If you were debating Greg Cochran on this subject, what would be your argument?

    You also said in comment 221 of this thread


    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point. What counts as “substantially”? Well, again ask everyone who is so invested in one side or the other; I am not.

    Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker have all made clear that they know that it is possible that genetics will explain a substantial part of the Black-White IQ gap. (Again: what counts as “substantial”? Ask the people who seem to care!)

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    I do not suffer from the Web psychosis that my opinion on this matter is as valuable as Charles Murray’s, David Reich’s, and Steve Pinker’s.
     

    How can these three be the arbiters of this or any other question in science? Murray's PhD is in Political Science, so according to you (comment 161) he's fraudulently donned the mantle of science. Reich's BA was in Physics, so maybe he's not completely retarded, but his PhD is in Zoology, i.e. stamp collecting. And Pinker is a psychologist, so not even a scientist, or at least not much of one (comment 135). How could this gaggle of cretins possibly know more about this subject than you? You obviously know better! You're a superior STEM guy! But wait, Greg Cochran knows better, too, because he was a physicist, and he disagrees with you. A paradox!

    Of course, you're just being dishonest. Thus far in this thread you've written about 9,500 words, on a topic about which you "simply do not care" (comment 221), mostly just furiously patting yourself on the back. Why don't you show us what that big brain can do and just answer my question?

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

    Our crazy little goofball anon[273] wrote to me:

    So I ask you again: If you were debating Greg Cochran on this subject, what would be your argument?

    I gave a very detailed response to you a while back.

    I see no reason to repeat it.

    As to Cochran, I would simply ignore him: he is a fringe figure, a crack-pot, as your quote from him shows. Happens even in physics. I would certainly not choose to debate him!

    The goofball also wrote:

    he’s a professor of anthropology…

    Well… a bit of googling turns up, “From 2004 to 2015, he was a research associate at the anthropology department at the University of Utah.”

    I take it you do not know the difference between a “research associate” and a professor?

    The little goofball also wrote:

    Of course, you’re just being dishonest. Thus far in this thread you’ve written about 9,500 words, on a topic about which you “simply do not care” (comment 221), mostly just furiously patting yourself on the back. Why don’t you show us what that big brain can do and just answer my question?

    I am interested in science being done correctly on this issue. I do not, however, have an ax to grind as to what the answer is. That is how scientists are supposed to behave: the term is “disinterested.”

    Google it.

    And, again, I already answered your question in my previous response above.

    You just don’t like my answer because you have a specific answer you would like to be true, even though it is not supported by the evidence.

    Nonetheless, heritability is what it is: it is population specific.

    It does not transfer between different populations.

    Any competent STEM person grasps this. Maybe even Cochran grasps it.

    You don’t.

    Not much I can do about that, is there?

  246. @anonymous
    @PhysicistDave

    Off your meds again Dave?
    You are a mid-level Ph.D who advocates for violence against the innocent when you aren't engaging in crack-pot level claims about your precious 'intelligence'. Nobody cares what you say about physics, since there are thousands of physicists who know more than you do. And you should stop bragging about the names of the physicists who worked at the schools where you were a humble little student --- you are a mediocre braggart, and the actual talented physicists who taught you do not deserve to have an unkind creep like you invoking their name.
    Go down to a soup kitchen and do something kind.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    An evil little pathological liar who is too coawardly to even choose a screen name wrote to me:

    You are a mid-level Ph.D who advocates for violence against the innocent

    I do not advocate for “violence against the innocent.”

    I could sue you for libel.

    But since you probably have no assets aside from your teddy bear, it wouldn’t be worth it, now would it?

    The libelous little liar also wrote:

    And you should stop bragging about the names of the physicists who worked at the schools where you were a humble little student — you are a mediocre braggart, and the actual talented physicists who taught you do not deserve to have an unkind creep like you invoking their name.

    They did not just work at Caltech and Stanford, I took classes from them. In the case of Feynman, I knew him all four years I was at ‘Tech.

    But it is very interesting that I have touched such a nerve with you and so many others here merely by my pointing out that the science on the causes of the Black-White IQ gap is currently unsettled.

    What does it say about your motives that you are so upset about my pointing out a fact that is so obvious and anodyne?

    Are you actually a member of the KKK and the American Nazi Party, or I am I just getting that impression?

    Just a sincere and innocent question.

  247. @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    Y’see, when we superior STEM types communicate with other superior STEM types, we can often just use a diagram on a white board or even just a nod or a wave of the hand.
     
    Hmmm. One wonders why there are wordy scientific and medical professional journals, textbooks, and the like. Or by “STEM types” do you mean weed-addled internet ‘philosophers’? How much weed per day do you smoke/eat?

    But it does show that the Overton Window is shifting: it is now acceptable — in Argentina of all places! — to declare yourself an anarcho-capitalist and win an election.

    You government lovers are the past, old fella.
     

    Uh, didn’t he win an election, and is now the head of government? You’re calling that “anarchy”? LOL

    PhysD, you are one of the more entertaining crank ‘tards on iSteve. Take another drag on that pipe STEM Dave, you’ve earned it.

    Whoa— “PipeSTEM Dave” could be your new handle! yessss


    Anarchism is the wave of the future.
     
    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs. Do you feel lucky?

    I don’t think you are gonna like the future, old fella.
     
    If the future is warlordism, I could ‘get into it’, but I’d much rather have good government, thank you very much.

    But keep hitting that pipeSTEM, Dave…

    For those who come to Sacramento
    Be sure to wear some flowers in your hair
    If you come to Sacramento
    Summertime will be a love-in there

    Replies: @res, @PhysicistDave

    Our wee little muggle Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:

    Uh, didn’t he win an election, and is now the head of government? You’re calling that “anarchy”? LOL

    Nope, not anarchy yet.

    But a triumph for us anarchists.

    You suffer from the delusion (okay, one of your delusions!) that we anarchists have some religious taboo against the state like the taboo that Jews have against pork.

    Nope.

    We hate being forced to pay for the state; we think it would be a good thing to dismantle the state.

    But the state is like the common cold — until a cure is found, we are stuck with it and have to learn to live with it.

    And since we are forced to pay for it against our will, we might as well get any benefit at all out of it that we can.

    Indeed, it would be best if we could suck it dry financially and drive it into insolvency.

    Which indeed seems likely to happen with the US federal state.

    And if we can “burrow from within” as Javier Milei is doing, and eat out the heart of the state from the inside… well, what could be more fun that that? Think of us as “ichneumonid wasps”: lovely little critters — google them.

    You see: we are “anarchists” — we are not constrained by your idea of fair play.

    All is fair in bringing down the evil monstrosity.

    Écrasez l’infâme.

    The little would-be warlord also wrote:

    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs. Do you feel lucky?

    Yep. Revolutionary direct action, like in the American Revolution — Sons of Liberty and all that.

    Maybe you didn’t hear that America once had a revolution? Against the established government?

    Just in case you would like to learn more about anarchism, you might try reading the great Essay by one of the founders of American anarchism, Henry David Thoreau. Or if you want to really dive into the deep details, try Rothbard’s The Ethics of Liberty.

    On second thought, no, that is beyond your reading level. You would probably find fiction easier sledding. So, you might try Bob Heinlein’s great anarchist manifesto, The Moon is a Harsh Mistress. As the Bernardo de la Paz character says:

    “Under what circumstances is it moral for a group to do that which is not moral for a member of that group to do alone?”

    “It is the key question… A radical question that strikes to the root of the whole dilemma of government. Anyone who answers honestly and abides by all consequences knows where he stands – and what he will die for.”

    “A rational anarchist believes that concepts such as “state” and “society” and “government” have no existence save as physically exemplified in the acts of self-responsible individuals. He believes that it is impossible to shift blame, share blame, distribute blame. . . as blame, guilt, responsibility are matters taking place inside human beings singly and nowhere else. But being rational, he knows that not all individuals hold his evaluations, so he tries to live perfectly in an imperfect world. . . aware that his effort will be less than perfect yet undismayed by self-knowledge of self-failure.

    “My point is that one person is responsible. Always. If H-bombs exist, and they do, some man controls them. In terms of morals, there is no such thing as ‘state.’ Just men. Individuals. Each responsible for his own acts.”

    Well, okay… that is probably beyond your comprehension level, too.

    But try wrapping your head around that, and maybe you will grasp the future.

    You are the past, we are the future, a future you really are not going to like, little buddy.

    But we will not merely endure; we will prevail.

    The brief little era of the state, a mere five or six millennia out of the hundreds of millennia the human species has existed, will come to its end.

    And we will celebrate. And you will weep.

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    The brief little era of the state, a mere five or six millennia out of the hundreds of millennia the human species has existed, will come to its end.

    And we will celebrate. And you will weep.
     
    At this celebration, will there be singing Ewoks?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=po5HxJgyaMU

    Allay Loo!
    Yub nub, eee chop yub nub;
    Ah toe meet toe pee chee keene;
    G'noop dock fling oh ah.
    Yah wah, eee chop yah wah;
    Ah toe meet toe pee chee keene;
    G'noop dock fling oh ah.
    Coatee cha tu yub nub;
    Coatee cha tu yah wah;
    Coatee chat tu glowah;
    Allay loo ta nuv.
    Glowah, eee chop glowah;
    Ya glowah pee chu nee foom,
    Ah toot dee awe goon daa.
    Coatee cha tu goo; (Yub nub!)
    Coatee cha tu doo; (Yah wah!)
    Coatee cha tu too; (Ya chaa!)
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv.
    Glowah, eee chop glowah.
    Ya glowah pee chu nee foam;
    Ah too dee awe goon daa.
    Coatee cha tu goo; (Yub nub!)
    Coatee cha tu doo; (Yah wah!)
    Coatee cha tu too; (Ya chaa!)
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv.
  248. Guys, guys. Look at it this way.

    Assuming per PD that there is no reliable science or reliable knowledge on the nature vs. nurture issue, then the best way to discuss it might be to treat it as a sort of chess problem: in other words, not provable strictly speaking, but with a “correct” solution (as in say, black to play: mate in 4), capable of generating a kind of rational-seeming matrix that provides a reasonable starting point.

    The way I’d put it is this: just as, like they say, politics is downstream from culture (which is an observably reasonable insight), we might posit that nurture is downstream from nature.

    Or, put another way: left to its own devices, a crude, low IQ nature is likely to produce a crude, low IQ nurturing environment, and in such a culture, crude low IQ sprogs are likely to be most often produced.

    Do we observe anywhere in the world-wide Bantu diaspora, a home-grown, naturally and independently produced, refined high culture/advanced civilization? Anywhere?

    Such a batting average might tell you something.

    • Replies: @PhysicistDave
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    The Germ Theory of Disease wrote:


    Guys, guys. Look at it this way.

    Assuming per PD that there is no reliable science or reliable knowledge on the nature vs. nurture issue, then the best way to discuss it might be to treat it as a sort of chess problem: in other words, not provable strictly speaking, but with a “correct” solution (as in say, black to play: mate in 4), capable of generating a kind of rational-seeming matrix that provides a reasonable starting point.
     
    Or we could just tell the truth and admit that we don't know!!

    Why not?

    Why not tell the truth?

    I do not know -- no one knows -- how much the planet will warm in the next fifty years.

    Some people claim to know. They are lying.

    Why not tell the truth and admit we don't know?

    This truly puzzles me: whether we are talking about the climate alarmists or religious True Believers or the issue of the Black-White IQ gap, oh so many people have such an enormously great difficulty in saying, "Y'know, we simply don't know."

    What on earth is so hard about that?

    As I have explained in detail, the Flynn Effect shows that IQ is not in fact a general measure of intelligence: no one really thinks that Americans of normal intelligence in the early twentieth century were literally imbeciles compared to the average American today. But that is what IQ tests indicate.

    The Flynn Effect is a good, solid scientific test of whether IQ tests can be used in general to measure intelligence. And the result of that test is clear-cut and unequivocal: the IQ tests fail.

    IQ tests simply fail to measure intelligence in any general sense: what they do is simply to compare people in one single milieu -- say, middle-class Americans born in the early 1990s. Which is what the tests were in fact initially created to do.

    IQ tests do what they were intended to do. But, aside from that, IQ tests are pseudo-science.

    Why, oh why, is it so hard for so many commenters here to admit that?

    I think the phrase is "ulterior motive."

    Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease

  249. @res
    @PhysicistDave

    A relevant discussion.
    https://noahcarl.medium.com/response-to-birney-raff-rutherford-scally-bf70f763efc6

    For example:


    While the Flynn effect is not yet well-understood, there is already a certain amount of evidence that whatever causes it is different from whatever causes the black-white IQ gap (see Section 2 of this blog post by Noam.) Even James Flynn himself has stated, “the magnitude of white/black IQ differences on Wechsler subtests at any given time is correlated with the g loadings of the subtests; the magnitude of IQ gains over time on subtests is not usually so correlated; the causes of the two phenomena are not the same”.
     
    Even more relevant is the linked blog post. The original link to that is dead so pulled out separately as an archive link.
    https://web.archive.org/web/20180224160823/https://medium.com/@houstoneuler/the-cherry-picked-science-in-voxs-charles-murray-article-bd534a9c4476

    Replies: @res

    To see that Flynn quote in context refer to this paper (which offers further references) by James Flynn.
    The “Flynn Effect” and Flynn’s paradox
    https://james-flynn.net/wp-content/uploads/2020/12/flynn2013-The-Flynn-Effect-and-Flynns-paradox..pdf

    That quote appears in section 4 along with some additional explanation.

    Section 6 has some useful data.

    Using all Wechsler and Stanford–Binet standardization samples, Dickens and Flynn (2006) concluded that between 1972 and 2002, blacks gained 5.5 IQ points on whites and that the average gap had fallen to 10.0 points for ages 9 to 17. The two data sets offer remarkably similar results. The Dickens and Flynn data cover all ages between 4 and 24 and sadly, black IQ steadily loses ground on white IQ as children age. In 2002 the gap was only 4.6 points at age 4 rising to 16.6 points at age 24.

    For more on that see the underlying paper. Especially Figure 3 (a nice data set of black average IQs by age for both 1972 and 2002) and associated text.
    Black Americans reduce the racial IQ gap: Evidence from standardization samples
    https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/06/20060619_iq.pdf

  250. @res
    @PhysicistDave


    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.
     
    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.

    For someone who seems to be an advocate of honesty (seems a key component of effective science to me, but what do I know, I don't have your credentials ; ) you don't seem terribly inclined to divulge what you think is likely about the balance of environment vs. genetics as factors in the differences in IQ between US blacks and whites.

    You seem to agree with me that the Flynn Effect is overwhelmingly environmental.
     
    That's my best guess. Combined with some amount of change in how people think affecting IQ test performance. I see the best evidence for an environmental cause of the Flynn Effect (probably mostly nutrition and improved public health) being the shortness of time (as you noted) and height following a similar trajectory.

    I'm curious, do you consider the evidence for the Flynn Effect being "overwhelmingly environmental" to meet the standards of physics or astronomy? If not, then why are you willing to state it like that? If so, then please supply (or point to) the detailed proof you would expect in those domains.

    Seems to me an excellent example of "isolated demands for rigor." A common tactic of the woke these days, but I though a scientist (especially one who so loudly proclaims it) would be above games like that.
    https://slatestarcodex.com/2014/08/14/beware-isolated-demands-for-rigor/

    There is no reason that time per se should matter in the slightest.

    Our great-grandparents lived in a slightly different environment than we do. Some Blacks in America live in a significantly different environment than most Whites. It is more than plausible that this could lead to an effect even larger than the Flynn Effect.
     
    I strongly disagree with that (in particular, "more than plausible"). To the point of thinking it unworthy of you. First, "some blacks" is weak. What matters is the situation of enough to affect the group average significantly. Do you honestly think the difference in environment between the average white and average black in the current US is greater than the difference between the average American in 2023 and 1900? I go back to 1900 to capture the childhood of adults in the 1932 I see quoted for the start of the Flynn Effect. If you do think that, maybe ponder antibiotics, agricultural productivity, and infrastructure (e.g. water, sewer, and electricity). For a start.

    If I apply the same standards that I apply in judging claims in physics, astronomy, etc., no, you have not shown that the Black-White IQ gap is more than 0% due to genes.
     
    How about other standards? Say chemistry? Or genetics (which seems to be the relevant standard, are any GWAS results worthwhile to you?). Or even better, climate science. ; )

    I do wonder what evidence you would consider sufficiently compelling (the domain is less tractable than physics or astronomy IMO). A question: in your life what level of certainty do you require before making decisions to act on something?

    Perhaps you could elaborate on how you find the GWAS SNP frequencies insufficient to indicate a non-zero genetic effect?

    Now, as I have said many times, applying Bayes’ Theorem and given the fact that both Nature and Nurture can contribute to IQ, the best guess is that both do indeed contribute to the Black-White IQ gap.

    But that is just a naive guess, not science.

    And, in fact, if the genetic contribution to explaining the gap is only 5%, I very much doubt that most people on either side of the debate will consider that to be significant. If, on the other hand, the contribution turns out to be 80%, I suspect that both sides will feel that that really matters.

    So, what does count as “significant”? Ask the people on both sides who manage to be so riled up on this issue: I myself simply do not care.
     
    At least you acknowledge that. As far as not caring, that does not seem a very scientific attitude to me. Where is your scientific curiosity? But more importantly, you are capable of seeing how this question matters for assessing something like disparate impact doctrine, right? How do you feel about that?

    Given what you said, why do so many people feel the need to assert the only acceptable view is 100% environmental (e.g. see the outrage over The Bell Curve)? Almost like a religious belief. Which I thought would bother you given how exactly the opposite of science it is.

    I'll also note that 5-80% seems like a fairly plausible conservative estimate for the range. Especially if viewed as marking the extremes of a probability Bell Curve. ; )

    Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.
     
    You took a side when you wrote "probably environmental." Especially with no qualifications (how much). Stop being disingenuous. For someone who values facts over words you sure aren't showing it in our conversation. I am honestly starting to wonder how much you sincerely believe what you write and how much you are trolling me. Such trolling might be entertaining, but it would be far from matching the scientific persona you try to assume here.

    And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.
     
    Of those three I suspect Reich is the only one who knows more about the IQ genetics side of this than I do. And I wonder if any of those three are aware of the admixture studies and Piffer's work. Which I consider the best positive evidence for a genetic component.

    However, I will make a deal: if and when Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker all publicly declare that this matter has been settled and that the Black-White IQ gap is indeed substantially due to genetics, I will concede the point.
     
    If that occurs will you also agree to acknowledge that at this point in time I was right and you were wrong (or at least far less right ; )? Are you willing to extend that to other credible mainstream scientists? Because I suspect it will take a new generation (probably in China) to go there.

    But I do not think they will make such a statement in the near future.

    Do you?
     
    I agree with that. What I would dearly love to know is if any of those three think it is likely. In their hearts and minds, not their public pronouncements.

    Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.
     
    Don't think I have ever seen a better statement of credentialism. Thanks.

    Out of curiosity, just how well do you think Charles Murray understands the actual science underlying all of this? Do you think he is aware of and understands those admixture studies and Piffer's work? They are fairly obscure and I doubt most of the mainstream has looked at them any deeper than a curt dismissal. Because that is how science is supposed to work, right?

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    res wrote to me:

    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.

    Nope.

    You are blatantly and intentionally lying.

    I keep saying it could be anything: I have explicitly mentioned possible numbers other then 0 or 100.

    I just don’t know.

    Neither does anyone.

    You just want me to lie and pretend I do know, and, when I decline, you lie and claim that I am insisting that it must be either 0 or 100 percent.

    In fact, as you know, I have repeatedly said that Bayes’ Theorem would suggest that it is some mixture of Nature and Nurture, but that that is just a wild, naive, scientifically invalid guess: it is not science.

    I just don’t know.

    And so you lie and attribute to me views I have explicitly rejected.

    And, yes, I am annoyed at your lying about me and am going to start calling you a liar from now on.

    The pathological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    [The intentional pathological liar] You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much).

    Where exactly did I say that the Black-White IQ gap was “probably environmental”?

    You are lying.

    I said that about the Flynn Effect, which, as far as I know, almost everyone agrees with.

    What I did also say was that the null hypothesis should be that the Black-White IQ gap is “probably environmental.”

    You don’t understand what the null hypothesis means in science, do you?

    There is not a presumption that the null hypothesis is true.

    The null hypothesis is merely the hypothesis that you are trying to beat.

    When you are looking in data for some effect, the null hypothesis is that there is no effect, and, then, if you find real evidence for some effect, you have defeated the null hypothesis.

    This is standard scientific procedure.

    Do you get that?

    No, of course not!

    The parhological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    [The liar] Don’t think I have ever seen a better statement of credentialism. Thanks.

    You thereby just admitted that you suffer from “Web psychosis,” the belief that there is something wrong with appealing to actual knowledge and expertise that people who are experts have in the real world.

    Yes, in the real world, I, and all sane people, constantly do defer to my betters, to people who have much greater expertise in some area than I do.

    You do, too, don’t you?

    But Web psychosis is the refusal to carry over that common-sense behavior onto the Web.

    The liar also wrote:

    [Dave] And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    [The liar] Of those three I suspect Reich is the only one who knows more about the IQ genetics side of this than I do.

    No, they all do.

    You have proven yourself to be an ignorant, scientifically illiterate liar who does indeed know how to use google.

    You do not understand science.

    The liar also wrote:

    At least you acknowledge that. As far as not caring, that does not seem a very scientific attitude to me. Where is your scientific curiosity?

    Scientists are supposed to be disinterested. They are supposed to follow the evidence wherever it leads and, most crucially, to suspend judgment until there is clear-cut evidence.

    It’s hard to do that, of course, but that is what scientists strive for.

    There is no such clear-cut evidence in this case.

    But you don’t get that, because you are a fool who is ignorant of how actual science works.

    As the statement I just quoted shows: you have no grasp at all of what an actual “scientific attitude” is!

    The liar also wrote:

    I’m curious, do you consider the evidence for the Flynn Effect being “overwhelmingly environmental” to meet the standards of physics or astronomy?

    Yes, it is. I do not know of any other hypothesis that has been suggested. Do you?

    But there are alternative hypothesis for the Black-White IQ gap. A responsible scientist suspends judgment until there is clear evidence.

    Get it?

    No, of course you don’t!

    Let me confess: I am being way too diplomatic.

    The truth is that the Flynn Effect pretty much destroys all of the IQ research.

    IQ is supposed to be a measure of what we normally think of as “intelligence,” which is, roughly speaking, the ability to use our mind to solve challenging problems.

    Americans in the first half of the twentieth century solved lots and lots of challenging problems: they invented the airplane, created television, built the atomic bomb, made the first transistor, created the theory of electronic circuits, and on and on. It is absurd to claim that people today are significantly more intelligent than our forebears, and almost no one claims that to be the case.

    But the Flynn Effect shows that IQ tests would claim precisely that.

    Which means that the IQ tests are in fact utter nonsense. They do not measure intelligence.

    Yes, yes, I know: IQ has a significant predictive value within a very limited milieu: Compare the IQs of two middle-class Americans born in 1990, and if one has a much higher IQ, the odds are slightly higher that that person has a somewhat higher income, spent a somewhat longer time in school, etc.

    But that’s it!

    The Flynn Effect shows that IQ does not even work across a couple generations in the same country, the USA.

    Trying to apply IQ tests across different societies, between segregated ethnic groups within one society, etc., is just plain and simple pseudo-science.

    Like almost all of the social and behavioral “sciences.”

    You keep trying to draw me into the briar patch of all this nonsense, and I have been too restrained about explaining why I am resisting — because it is all simply pseudo-science.

    You and many of the other commenters here have a personal desire to show that Blacks are genetically inferior to Whites. You want legitimate scientists like me to agree with you, because that would strengthen you in your prejudice.

    But almost no legitimate scientists are willing to do so.

    You want to pretend that it is because we are all afraid.

    I am not: I have denounced Judaism, Zionism, Christianity, government in general, climate alarmism, and a host of other lies and nonsense not only in this forum but also in public in the real world.

    And I have repeatedly attached my actual name to my comments here, which very few of you are willing to do.

    I am not afraid to slaughter sacred cows.

    But I will not agree with you on the science of the Black-White IQ gap because what you are touting is in fact pseudo-science.

    And so you have been lying about what I have said.

    You are able to find no legitimate scientists that I know of to back up your pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Or your lies.

    And, yes, yes, I know I am guilty of credentialism, condescension, insensitivity, and a host of other sins.

    But I just don’t care. I do care about the truth.

    And you need to stop lying.

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    The truth is that the Flynn Effect pretty much destroys all of the IQ research.
     
    The Flynn Effect has lessened over time, flatlining (or even declining) in some places. Convergence among races never happened, with only a small lessening of “the gap” between Blacks and Whites (the usual ‘controversial’ comparison). Racial genetics remains undefeated as the major factor in differing group intelligence, ceteris paribus, and that difference can be civilizationally consequential.

    Of course, one could always see with one’s own lying eyes and hear with one’s own lying ears without having to know what an IQ test is: the tests, not surprisingly, confirm stereotypes and common sense. It takes someone willfully ignorant (who is a grown “functional” adult) to declare “I don’t know” on the subject.

    IQ is supposed to be a measure of what we normally think of as “intelligence,” which is, roughly speaking, the ability to use our mind to solve challenging problems.
     
    False. Intelligence is the ability (or not) to use’s ones mind to solve any level of problem, not only "challenging" ones. For low-IQ people, ‘everyday problems’ will often be challenging. Beyond solving specific tasks, intelligence has other uses, like awareness of one’s environment, general perceptiveness, ‘pattern recognition’, etc.

    But I just don’t care. I do not care about the truth.

    And I need to stop lying.

    Dave Miller in Sacra-mental
     
    Can't argue with that last bit!

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    , @res
    @PhysicistDave

    Now that was an epic rant. Compare that to my comment which Dave was replying to. Or this comment. If anyone finds Dave's comment at all persuasive I would be interested in knowing why.

    Lying is a serious accusation. Let's go over the conversation.

    Here is what Dave originally said. There were two versions in comment 200. I though this the better.


    Given the huge environmental influence within single populations over time, proven by the Flynn Effect, the null hypothesis — the hypothesis to beat, so to speak — has to be that everything you are pointing to is, like the Flynn Effect, environmental.
     
    Here is my initial response in comment 208.

    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage. Unqualified (e.g. mostly, over 50% say, environmental) that statement is just more playing games with the false dichotomy I complained about above.
     
    Dave's response to that in comment 221.

    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.
     
    Here is how I responded in comment 229. I tried to extract the most relevant parts since they were spread out.

    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.
    ...
    You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much). Stop being disingenuous. For someone who values facts over words you sure aren’t showing it in our conversation.
     
    And Dave's final response from comment 251 which I am replying to. Extracted from much ranting.

    Where exactly did I say that the Black-White IQ gap was “probably environmental”?
    ...
    What I did also say was that the null hypothesis should be that the Black-White IQ gap is “probably environmental.”
     
    And where did I say that? I complained about "probably environmental." Please provide a quote, Dave.

    As far as that being the "null hypothesis," that term has different meanings. Some use it along these lines: "In a scientific experiment, the null hypothesis is the proposition that there is no effect or no relationship between phenomena or populations."
    https://www.thoughtco.com/definition-of-null-hypothesis-and-examples-605436

    Some use it in the sense of "hypothesis we think most likely which we are trying to dis/prove." That is called an alternate hypothesis at the link. I believe this is the sense Dave is using it.

    The problem is, choosing that alternate hypothesis is a value judgment. Which is what I am objecting to as "taking a side." Along with "probably environmental" being hopelessly vague--especially as a hypothesis to disprove. That latter is why I keep talking about: "playing games with the false dichotomy." When I say "games" a better statement would be using it as part of a Motte and Bailey argument.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy

    Dave's null hypothesis is fairly reasonable (aside from being hopelessly vague, also see "reference 30" below), but it is "taking a side." The problem I see with it is James Flynn's own take which I mentioned in comment 244 and elaborated on in a reply to that comment: "the magnitude of white/black IQ differences on Wechsler subtests at any given time is correlated with the g loadings of the subtests; the magnitude of IQ gains over time on subtests is not usually so correlated; the causes of the two phenomena are not the same."

    I know Dave knows all this (unlike him, I try not to underrate the people I am talking with, if anything I think I tend to overestimate people, which also causes problems). Well, except for that last bit on James Flynn--it would seem. The question is why he responds as he does. I tend to think it is because he can't respond to the substantive parts of my comment--but that is my bias.

    I think this is illuminating:


    When you are looking in data for some effect, the null hypothesis is that there is no effect
     
    The problem is conflating "no effect" and "no genetic effect." One could equally well (by taking the other side) consider the null to be "no environmental effect."

    For what it's worth, my null/alternate hypothesis is that the Black-White IQ difference in the US has both environmental and genetic causes. In unknown proportion except for both being non-zero. The two things I talk most about though are:
    1. The genetic effect being non-zero. Because so many assert the opposite.
    2. What I think is likely. More speculative (why I tend to talk about percentages and probabilities), but more interesting and potentially useful.

    (as an aside, I only just realized that my quoting Warne's chapter 28 title in comment 66 is probably part of the problem here: "28 Racial/Ethnic Group IQ Differences Are Completely Environmental in Origin 247", for the record I disagree with "completely," but am unsure how close the variance explained by genetics might approach 100%, this quickly gets into the problems with both parental and individual genetics influencing environment which in turn influences phenotype)

    Regarding this.


    There is no such clear-cut evidence in this case.
     
    IQ SNP frequencies differing between populations is such evidence. Perhaps not 100.0000% definitive, but better than any evidence Dave has presented in this thread.

    Here is where Dave makes clear he is the classic "physicist operating outside of his field." Who lacks important knowledge.


    But the Flynn Effect shows that IQ tests would claim precisely that.
     
    What Dave is obviously unaware of is that the Flynn Effect appears to be concentrated in the lower part of the distribution. From Wikipedia.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flynn_effect#Rise_in_IQ
    "Comparison of the IQ distributions indicated that the mean IQ scores on the test had increased by 9.7 points (the Flynn effect), the gains were concentrated in the lower half of the distribution and negligible in the top half, and the gains gradually decreased as the IQ of the individuals increased.[33] Some studies have found a reverse Flynn effect with declining scores for those with high IQ.[30]"

    References 33 and 30 are worth linking.
    The generational intelligence gains are caused by decreasing variance in the lower half of the distribution: Supporting evidence for the nutrition hypothesis
    One Century of Global IQ Gains: A Formal Meta-Analysis of the Flynn Effect (1909-2013)

    BTW, the latter link (reference 30) discusses a variety of possible explanations for the Flynn Effect. Divided into Environmental, Biological, and Hybrid factors.

    Given that it is quite possible to explain past intellectual achievment as being done by the elite which was less subject to the Flynn Effect. This makes sense if you believe (as I do) in the nutrition and health hypotheses being the primary causes of the Flynn Effect.

    Regarding this:


    You keep trying to draw me into the briar patch of all this nonsense, and I have been too restrained about explaining why I am resisting — because it is all simply pseudo-science.
     
    What about those experts you were appealing to a few moments ago?

    Were there any other substantive points in there worth further response? Anything beyond ad hominem, name calling, and ranting? If so, could someone (including Dave) please pull them out in a separate comment? It is hard to read through the ranting. It looks like Dave has demonstrated his inability to have a thoughtful conversation about a controversial topic (I am hoping to be proved wrong, we shall see). A bad trait for commenters here to possess.

    P.S. After losing one version of this comment to a website/browser failure decided to compose in a separate window. I hate not being able to trust one's tools. Especially annoying to lose the blockquote shortcut.

    Replies: @anon

  251. @The Germ Theory of Disease
    Guys, guys. Look at it this way.

    Assuming per PD that there is no reliable science or reliable knowledge on the nature vs. nurture issue, then the best way to discuss it might be to treat it as a sort of chess problem: in other words, not provable strictly speaking, but with a "correct" solution (as in say, black to play: mate in 4), capable of generating a kind of rational-seeming matrix that provides a reasonable starting point.

    The way I'd put it is this: just as, like they say, politics is downstream from culture (which is an observably reasonable insight), we might posit that nurture is downstream from nature.

    Or, put another way: left to its own devices, a crude, low IQ nature is likely to produce a crude, low IQ nurturing environment, and in such a culture, crude low IQ sprogs are likely to be most often produced.

    Do we observe anywhere in the world-wide Bantu diaspora, a home-grown, naturally and independently produced, refined high culture/advanced civilization? Anywhere?

    Such a batting average might tell you something.

    Replies: @PhysicistDave

    The Germ Theory of Disease wrote:

    Guys, guys. Look at it this way.

    Assuming per PD that there is no reliable science or reliable knowledge on the nature vs. nurture issue, then the best way to discuss it might be to treat it as a sort of chess problem: in other words, not provable strictly speaking, but with a “correct” solution (as in say, black to play: mate in 4), capable of generating a kind of rational-seeming matrix that provides a reasonable starting point.

    Or we could just tell the truth and admit that we don’t know!!

    Why not?

    Why not tell the truth?

    I do not know — no one knows — how much the planet will warm in the next fifty years.

    Some people claim to know. They are lying.

    Why not tell the truth and admit we don’t know?

    This truly puzzles me: whether we are talking about the climate alarmists or religious True Believers or the issue of the Black-White IQ gap, oh so many people have such an enormously great difficulty in saying, “Y’know, we simply don’t know.”

    What on earth is so hard about that?

    As I have explained in detail, the Flynn Effect shows that IQ is not in fact a general measure of intelligence: no one really thinks that Americans of normal intelligence in the early twentieth century were literally imbeciles compared to the average American today. But that is what IQ tests indicate.

    The Flynn Effect is a good, solid scientific test of whether IQ tests can be used in general to measure intelligence. And the result of that test is clear-cut and unequivocal: the IQ tests fail.

    IQ tests simply fail to measure intelligence in any general sense: what they do is simply to compare people in one single milieu — say, middle-class Americans born in the early 1990s. Which is what the tests were in fact initially created to do.

    IQ tests do what they were intended to do. But, aside from that, IQ tests are pseudo-science.

    Why, oh why, is it so hard for so many commenters here to admit that?

    I think the phrase is “ulterior motive.”

    • Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease
    @PhysicistDave

    "Some people claim to know. They are lying.

    Why not tell the truth and admit we don’t know?"

    The reason we are obliged to continue the discussion absent the presence of rock-solid scientific proof one way or another, is that actual policy is being made every day on this, policy which affects actual children's lives, usually adversely -- and the policy discussions are generally dominated by evil people with an anti-white agenda who are bent on destroying the lives of white children because they claim to know The Truth.

    Just reminding them that "we don't know" is not going to change their minds. You can't debate a tapeworm. They want what they want, and they simply do not care if the facts contradict them -- assuming there were any facts, as you define the term.

    Ultimately this is not a scientific question, it is a socio-political policy question, whose key platforms are occupied by evil, stupid, racist, white-hating people.

    I can tell you from experience precisely what I think about the nature/nurture question not from scientific research, but simply from lifelong observation -- and from observation of the real-life school choice behavior of white parents who all seem to know some Forbidden Unspeakable Truth. The fact that they merely want what's best for their children and the other side simply consists of (((people))) who don't care about the truth, they just want to punish white children, and blacks who also don't really care what's best for their own children, they just want in on what whitey's got and they can't bear to admit that the Forbidden Truth has some truth in it... well all that speaks volumes.

  252. @Colin Wright
    @PhysicistDave

    They haven't got very far then. My brain glazed over while scanning the Wikipedia entry on Plantinga, but this struck me:


    '...It is possible that a maximally great being exists.
    If it is possible that a maximally great being exists, then a maximally great being exists in some possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in some possible world, then it exists in every possible world.
    If a maximally great being exists in every possible world, then it exists in the actual world.
    If a maximally great being exists in the actual world, then a maximally great being exists.
    Therefore, a maximally great being exists.
     
    This strikes me as being about what Saint Anselm argued in the Eleventh Century. God is a being who has all possible positive attributes. To exist is a positive attribute. Therefore, God exists.

    Replies: @Nicholas Stix, @PhysicistDave

    Colin Wright wrote to me:

    They haven’t got very far then. My brain glazed over while scanning the Wikipedia entry on Plantinga, but this struck me:

    This strikes me as being about what Saint Anselm argued in the Eleventh Century. God is a being who has all possible positive attributes. To exist is a positive attribute. Therefore, God exists.

    Well, both your summary and Anselm’s argument are a good deal saner (and, mercifully, briefer) than what Plantinga actually argues.

    And that’s not the half of it: what he is actually famous for is his theory of “warrant,” which, in a nutshell, claims that all human beings, except for those who share his religious views, have brains that fail to function. But the Holy Spirit intervenes in the case of him and his co-religionists so that their brains do function. Therefore, their religious beliefs are true.

    Got that?

    This has garnered a great deal of respect from his fellow philosophers.

    The funny thing is that this hypothesis is testable.

    Steve Weinberg, Steve Hawking, and Dick Feynman all completely rejected the religious views held by Plantinga — all were fairly outspoken atheists.

    By Plantinga’s hypothesis, their brains did not function nearly as well as Alvin Plantinga’s.

    I leave to others to evaluate what this says about Plantinga’s hypothesis.

  253. @PhysicistDave
    @The Germ Theory of Disease

    The Germ Theory of Disease wrote:


    Guys, guys. Look at it this way.

    Assuming per PD that there is no reliable science or reliable knowledge on the nature vs. nurture issue, then the best way to discuss it might be to treat it as a sort of chess problem: in other words, not provable strictly speaking, but with a “correct” solution (as in say, black to play: mate in 4), capable of generating a kind of rational-seeming matrix that provides a reasonable starting point.
     
    Or we could just tell the truth and admit that we don't know!!

    Why not?

    Why not tell the truth?

    I do not know -- no one knows -- how much the planet will warm in the next fifty years.

    Some people claim to know. They are lying.

    Why not tell the truth and admit we don't know?

    This truly puzzles me: whether we are talking about the climate alarmists or religious True Believers or the issue of the Black-White IQ gap, oh so many people have such an enormously great difficulty in saying, "Y'know, we simply don't know."

    What on earth is so hard about that?

    As I have explained in detail, the Flynn Effect shows that IQ is not in fact a general measure of intelligence: no one really thinks that Americans of normal intelligence in the early twentieth century were literally imbeciles compared to the average American today. But that is what IQ tests indicate.

    The Flynn Effect is a good, solid scientific test of whether IQ tests can be used in general to measure intelligence. And the result of that test is clear-cut and unequivocal: the IQ tests fail.

    IQ tests simply fail to measure intelligence in any general sense: what they do is simply to compare people in one single milieu -- say, middle-class Americans born in the early 1990s. Which is what the tests were in fact initially created to do.

    IQ tests do what they were intended to do. But, aside from that, IQ tests are pseudo-science.

    Why, oh why, is it so hard for so many commenters here to admit that?

    I think the phrase is "ulterior motive."

    Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease

    “Some people claim to know. They are lying.

    Why not tell the truth and admit we don’t know?”

    The reason we are obliged to continue the discussion absent the presence of rock-solid scientific proof one way or another, is that actual policy is being made every day on this, policy which affects actual children’s lives, usually adversely — and the policy discussions are generally dominated by evil people with an anti-white agenda who are bent on destroying the lives of white children because they claim to know The Truth.

    Just reminding them that “we don’t know” is not going to change their minds. You can’t debate a tapeworm. They want what they want, and they simply do not care if the facts contradict them — assuming there were any facts, as you define the term.

    Ultimately this is not a scientific question, it is a socio-political policy question, whose key platforms are occupied by evil, stupid, racist, white-hating people.

    I can tell you from experience precisely what I think about the nature/nurture question not from scientific research, but simply from lifelong observation — and from observation of the real-life school choice behavior of white parents who all seem to know some Forbidden Unspeakable Truth. The fact that they merely want what’s best for their children and the other side simply consists of (((people))) who don’t care about the truth, they just want to punish white children, and blacks who also don’t really care what’s best for their own children, they just want in on what whitey’s got and they can’t bear to admit that the Forbidden Truth has some truth in it… well all that speaks volumes.

  254. @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.
     
    Nope.

    You are blatantly and intentionally lying.

    I keep saying it could be anything: I have explicitly mentioned possible numbers other then 0 or 100.

    I just don't know.

    Neither does anyone.

    You just want me to lie and pretend I do know, and, when I decline, you lie and claim that I am insisting that it must be either 0 or 100 percent.

    In fact, as you know, I have repeatedly said that Bayes' Theorem would suggest that it is some mixture of Nature and Nurture, but that that is just a wild, naive, scientifically invalid guess: it is not science.

    I just don't know.

    And so you lie and attribute to me views I have explicitly rejected.

    And, yes, I am annoyed at your lying about me and am going to start calling you a liar from now on.

    The pathological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    [The intentional pathological liar] You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much).
     
    Where exactly did I say that the Black-White IQ gap was “probably environmental"?

    You are lying.

    I said that about the Flynn Effect, which, as far as I know, almost everyone agrees with.

    What I did also say was that the null hypothesis should be that the Black-White IQ gap is "probably environmental."

    You don't understand what the null hypothesis means in science, do you?

    There is not a presumption that the null hypothesis is true.

    The null hypothesis is merely the hypothesis that you are trying to beat.

    When you are looking in data for some effect, the null hypothesis is that there is no effect, and, then, if you find real evidence for some effect, you have defeated the null hypothesis.

    This is standard scientific procedure.

    Do you get that?

    No, of course not!

    The parhological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    [The liar] Don’t think I have ever seen a better statement of credentialism. Thanks.
     
    You thereby just admitted that you suffer from "Web psychosis," the belief that there is something wrong with appealing to actual knowledge and expertise that people who are experts have in the real world.

    Yes, in the real world, I, and all sane people, constantly do defer to my betters, to people who have much greater expertise in some area than I do.

    You do, too, don't you?

    But Web psychosis is the refusal to carry over that common-sense behavior onto the Web.

    The liar also wrote:

    [Dave] And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    [The liar] Of those three I suspect Reich is the only one who knows more about the IQ genetics side of this than I do.
     
    No, they all do.

    You have proven yourself to be an ignorant, scientifically illiterate liar who does indeed know how to use google.

    You do not understand science.

    The liar also wrote:

    At least you acknowledge that. As far as not caring, that does not seem a very scientific attitude to me. Where is your scientific curiosity?
     
    Scientists are supposed to be disinterested. They are supposed to follow the evidence wherever it leads and, most crucially, to suspend judgment until there is clear-cut evidence.

    It's hard to do that, of course, but that is what scientists strive for.

    There is no such clear-cut evidence in this case.

    But you don't get that, because you are a fool who is ignorant of how actual science works.

    As the statement I just quoted shows: you have no grasp at all of what an actual "scientific attitude" is!

    The liar also wrote:

    I’m curious, do you consider the evidence for the Flynn Effect being “overwhelmingly environmental” to meet the standards of physics or astronomy?
     
    Yes, it is. I do not know of any other hypothesis that has been suggested. Do you?

    But there are alternative hypothesis for the Black-White IQ gap. A responsible scientist suspends judgment until there is clear evidence.

    Get it?

    No, of course you don't!

    Let me confess: I am being way too diplomatic.

    The truth is that the Flynn Effect pretty much destroys all of the IQ research.

    IQ is supposed to be a measure of what we normally think of as "intelligence," which is, roughly speaking, the ability to use our mind to solve challenging problems.

    Americans in the first half of the twentieth century solved lots and lots of challenging problems: they invented the airplane, created television, built the atomic bomb, made the first transistor, created the theory of electronic circuits, and on and on. It is absurd to claim that people today are significantly more intelligent than our forebears, and almost no one claims that to be the case.

    But the Flynn Effect shows that IQ tests would claim precisely that.

    Which means that the IQ tests are in fact utter nonsense. They do not measure intelligence.

    Yes, yes, I know: IQ has a significant predictive value within a very limited milieu: Compare the IQs of two middle-class Americans born in 1990, and if one has a much higher IQ, the odds are slightly higher that that person has a somewhat higher income, spent a somewhat longer time in school, etc.

    But that's it!

    The Flynn Effect shows that IQ does not even work across a couple generations in the same country, the USA.

    Trying to apply IQ tests across different societies, between segregated ethnic groups within one society, etc., is just plain and simple pseudo-science.

    Like almost all of the social and behavioral "sciences."

    You keep trying to draw me into the briar patch of all this nonsense, and I have been too restrained about explaining why I am resisting -- because it is all simply pseudo-science.

    You and many of the other commenters here have a personal desire to show that Blacks are genetically inferior to Whites. You want legitimate scientists like me to agree with you, because that would strengthen you in your prejudice.

    But almost no legitimate scientists are willing to do so.

    You want to pretend that it is because we are all afraid.

    I am not: I have denounced Judaism, Zionism, Christianity, government in general, climate alarmism, and a host of other lies and nonsense not only in this forum but also in public in the real world.

    And I have repeatedly attached my actual name to my comments here, which very few of you are willing to do.

    I am not afraid to slaughter sacred cows.

    But I will not agree with you on the science of the Black-White IQ gap because what you are touting is in fact pseudo-science.

    And so you have been lying about what I have said.

    You are able to find no legitimate scientists that I know of to back up your pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Or your lies.

    And, yes, yes, I know I am guilty of credentialism, condescension, insensitivity, and a host of other sins.

    But I just don't care. I do care about the truth.

    And you need to stop lying.

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @res

    The truth is that the Flynn Effect pretty much destroys all of the IQ research.

    The Flynn Effect has lessened over time, flatlining (or even declining) in some places. Convergence among races never happened, with only a small lessening of “the gap” between Blacks and Whites (the usual ‘controversial’ comparison). Racial genetics remains undefeated as the major factor in differing group intelligence, ceteris paribus, and that difference can be civilizationally consequential.

    Of course, one could always see with one’s own lying eyes and hear with one’s own lying ears without having to know what an IQ test is: the tests, not surprisingly, confirm stereotypes and common sense. It takes someone willfully ignorant (who is a grown “functional” adult) to declare “I don’t know” on the subject.

    IQ is supposed to be a measure of what we normally think of as “intelligence,” which is, roughly speaking, the ability to use our mind to solve challenging problems.

    False. Intelligence is the ability (or not) to use’s ones mind to solve any level of problem, not only “challenging” ones. For low-IQ people, ‘everyday problems’ will often be challenging. Beyond solving specific tasks, intelligence has other uses, like awareness of one’s environment, general perceptiveness, ‘pattern recognition’, etc.

    But I just don’t care. I do not care about the truth.

    And I need to stop lying.

    Dave Miller in Sacra-mental

    Can’t argue with that last bit!

    • Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @Jenner Ickham Errican


    the ability (or not) to use’s ones mind
     
    Okay, that's retarded
  255. @PhysicistDave
    @Jenner Ickham Errican

    Our wee little muggle Jenner Ickham Errican wrote to me:


    Uh, didn’t he win an election, and is now the head of government? You’re calling that “anarchy”? LOL
     
    Nope, not anarchy yet.

    But a triumph for us anarchists.

    You suffer from the delusion (okay, one of your delusions!) that we anarchists have some religious taboo against the state like the taboo that Jews have against pork.

    Nope.

    We hate being forced to pay for the state; we think it would be a good thing to dismantle the state.

    But the state is like the common cold -- until a cure is found, we are stuck with it and have to learn to live with it.

    And since we are forced to pay for it against our will, we might as well get any benefit at all out of it that we can.

    Indeed, it would be best if we could suck it dry financially and drive it into insolvency.

    Which indeed seems likely to happen with the US federal state.

    And if we can "burrow from within" as Javier Milei is doing, and eat out the heart of the state from the inside... well, what could be more fun that that? Think of us as "ichneumonid wasps": lovely little critters -- google them.

    You see: we are "anarchists" -- we are not constrained by your idea of fair play.

    All is fair in bringing down the evil monstrosity.

    Écrasez l'infâme.

    The little would-be warlord also wrote:

    The closest we’ll see to “anarchism” is warlordism, not exactly an innovation in human affairs. Do you feel lucky?
     
    Yep. Revolutionary direct action, like in the American Revolution -- Sons of Liberty and all that.

    Maybe you didn't hear that America once had a revolution? Against the established government?

    Just in case you would like to learn more about anarchism, you might try reading the great Essay by one of the founders of American anarchism, Henry David Thoreau. Or if you want to really dive into the deep details, try Rothbard's The Ethics of Liberty.

    On second thought, no, that is beyond your reading level. You would probably find fiction easier sledding. So, you might try Bob Heinlein's great anarchist manifesto, The Moon is a Harsh Mistress. As the Bernardo de la Paz character says:

    “Under what circumstances is it moral for a group to do that which is not moral for a member of that group to do alone?”
    ...
    “It is the key question... A radical question that strikes to the root of the whole dilemma of government. Anyone who answers honestly and abides by all consequences knows where he stands – and what he will die for.”

    "A rational anarchist believes that concepts such as "state" and "society" and "government" have no existence save as physically exemplified in the acts of self-responsible individuals. He believes that it is impossible to shift blame, share blame, distribute blame. . . as blame, guilt, responsibility are matters taking place inside human beings singly and nowhere else. But being rational, he knows that not all individuals hold his evaluations, so he tries to live perfectly in an imperfect world. . . aware that his effort will be less than perfect yet undismayed by self-knowledge of self-failure.
    ...
    “My point is that one person is responsible. Always. If H-bombs exist, and they do, some man controls them. In terms of morals, there is no such thing as ‘state.’ Just men. Individuals. Each responsible for his own acts.”

     

    Well, okay... that is probably beyond your comprehension level, too.

    But try wrapping your head around that, and maybe you will grasp the future.

    You are the past, we are the future, a future you really are not going to like, little buddy.

    But we will not merely endure; we will prevail.

    The brief little era of the state, a mere five or six millennia out of the hundreds of millennia the human species has existed, will come to its end.

    And we will celebrate. And you will weep.

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    The brief little era of the state, a mere five or six millennia out of the hundreds of millennia the human species has existed, will come to its end.

    And we will celebrate. And you will weep.

    At this celebration, will there be singing Ewoks?

    [MORE]

    Allay Loo!
    Yub nub, eee chop yub nub;
    Ah toe meet toe pee chee keene;
    G’noop dock fling oh ah.
    Yah wah, eee chop yah wah;
    Ah toe meet toe pee chee keene;
    G’noop dock fling oh ah.
    Coatee cha tu yub nub;
    Coatee cha tu yah wah;
    Coatee chat tu glowah;
    Allay loo ta nuv.
    Glowah, eee chop glowah;
    Ya glowah pee chu nee foom,
    Ah toot dee awe goon daa.
    Coatee cha tu goo; (Yub nub!)
    Coatee cha tu doo; (Yah wah!)
    Coatee cha tu too; (Ya chaa!)
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv.
    Glowah, eee chop glowah.
    Ya glowah pee chu nee foam;
    Ah too dee awe goon daa.
    Coatee cha tu goo; (Yub nub!)
    Coatee cha tu doo; (Yah wah!)
    Coatee cha tu too; (Ya chaa!)
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv;
    Allay loo ta nuv.

  256. @Jenner Ickham Errican
    @PhysicistDave


    The truth is that the Flynn Effect pretty much destroys all of the IQ research.
     
    The Flynn Effect has lessened over time, flatlining (or even declining) in some places. Convergence among races never happened, with only a small lessening of “the gap” between Blacks and Whites (the usual ‘controversial’ comparison). Racial genetics remains undefeated as the major factor in differing group intelligence, ceteris paribus, and that difference can be civilizationally consequential.

    Of course, one could always see with one’s own lying eyes and hear with one’s own lying ears without having to know what an IQ test is: the tests, not surprisingly, confirm stereotypes and common sense. It takes someone willfully ignorant (who is a grown “functional” adult) to declare “I don’t know” on the subject.

    IQ is supposed to be a measure of what we normally think of as “intelligence,” which is, roughly speaking, the ability to use our mind to solve challenging problems.
     
    False. Intelligence is the ability (or not) to use’s ones mind to solve any level of problem, not only "challenging" ones. For low-IQ people, ‘everyday problems’ will often be challenging. Beyond solving specific tasks, intelligence has other uses, like awareness of one’s environment, general perceptiveness, ‘pattern recognition’, etc.

    But I just don’t care. I do not care about the truth.

    And I need to stop lying.

    Dave Miller in Sacra-mental
     
    Can't argue with that last bit!

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican

    the ability (or not) to use’s ones mind

    Okay, that’s retarded

  257. @PhysicistDave
    @Hypnotoad666

    My silly little buddy Hypnotoad666 wrote to me:


    You admit you admit that “population,” as you are using the term, just refers to an arbitrary sub-set of humans that one designates for study — e.g., “everyone in the world whose first name has five letters” vs. everyone “whose last name has six letters.”

    But then you recite the usual PC slogan from Wikipedia or wherever that: “the fact that there is a significant level of heritability within a population says next to nothing about whether variations between populations are genetic.” Ok. But that means your argument is that if we know that IQ is heritable among people with five-letter names, we can’t conclude that it is also heritable for people with six-letter names. Can you see how stupid that is?
     
    Yes, I do indeed see how stupid your comment is.

    But you don't, alas.

    As I explained to anon above, you misunderstand the meaning of the technical term "heritability."

    Try reading that explanation above.

    Of course, you are not bright enough to understand it, but you could at least try.

    In a nutshell, what I keep trying to tell you is that, by its definition, heritability is population specific.

    Heritability of some trait within one population simply does not transfer to another population or between populations.

    And everyone who understands the technical concept grasps this. It is simple math.

    Math that exceeds your mental capacities, it seems.

    Not much I can do about that.

    The wee little fellow also wrote

    Now just switch “whites” and “blacks” for five and six-letter names. The argument is still stupid.
     
    Yes, your argument is indeed still stupid.

    The mathematical definition of heritability is population specific: it just does not transfer between populations.

    The poor muggle also wrote:

    P.S., You working in STEM doesn’t make it less stupid.
     
    Except that any competent STEM person can grasp this. Simple math.

    But you can't.

    Poor little muggle.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    Dave, at this point, I just feel sorry for you.

  258. @PhysicistDave
    @res

    res wrote to me:


    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.
     
    Nope.

    You are blatantly and intentionally lying.

    I keep saying it could be anything: I have explicitly mentioned possible numbers other then 0 or 100.

    I just don't know.

    Neither does anyone.

    You just want me to lie and pretend I do know, and, when I decline, you lie and claim that I am insisting that it must be either 0 or 100 percent.

    In fact, as you know, I have repeatedly said that Bayes' Theorem would suggest that it is some mixture of Nature and Nurture, but that that is just a wild, naive, scientifically invalid guess: it is not science.

    I just don't know.

    And so you lie and attribute to me views I have explicitly rejected.

    And, yes, I am annoyed at your lying about me and am going to start calling you a liar from now on.

    The pathological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Indeed, what I find most interesting about this whole matter is the fact that so many people on both sides find it impossible to believe that I am on neither side, that I am an agnostic and have no ax to grind but am merely interested out of scientific curiosity.

    [The intentional pathological liar] You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much).
     
    Where exactly did I say that the Black-White IQ gap was “probably environmental"?

    You are lying.

    I said that about the Flynn Effect, which, as far as I know, almost everyone agrees with.

    What I did also say was that the null hypothesis should be that the Black-White IQ gap is "probably environmental."

    You don't understand what the null hypothesis means in science, do you?

    There is not a presumption that the null hypothesis is true.

    The null hypothesis is merely the hypothesis that you are trying to beat.

    When you are looking in data for some effect, the null hypothesis is that there is no effect, and, then, if you find real evidence for some effect, you have defeated the null hypothesis.

    This is standard scientific procedure.

    Do you get that?

    No, of course not!

    The parhological liar also wrote:

    [Dave] Until then, I am willing to wait and to defer to my betters.

    [The liar] Don’t think I have ever seen a better statement of credentialism. Thanks.
     
    You thereby just admitted that you suffer from "Web psychosis," the belief that there is something wrong with appealing to actual knowledge and expertise that people who are experts have in the real world.

    Yes, in the real world, I, and all sane people, constantly do defer to my betters, to people who have much greater expertise in some area than I do.

    You do, too, don't you?

    But Web psychosis is the refusal to carry over that common-sense behavior onto the Web.

    The liar also wrote:

    [Dave] And I trust that you agree that Charles Murray, David Reich, and Steve Pinker know more about this subject than you or I do.

    [The liar] Of those three I suspect Reich is the only one who knows more about the IQ genetics side of this than I do.
     
    No, they all do.

    You have proven yourself to be an ignorant, scientifically illiterate liar who does indeed know how to use google.

    You do not understand science.

    The liar also wrote:

    At least you acknowledge that. As far as not caring, that does not seem a very scientific attitude to me. Where is your scientific curiosity?
     
    Scientists are supposed to be disinterested. They are supposed to follow the evidence wherever it leads and, most crucially, to suspend judgment until there is clear-cut evidence.

    It's hard to do that, of course, but that is what scientists strive for.

    There is no such clear-cut evidence in this case.

    But you don't get that, because you are a fool who is ignorant of how actual science works.

    As the statement I just quoted shows: you have no grasp at all of what an actual "scientific attitude" is!

    The liar also wrote:

    I’m curious, do you consider the evidence for the Flynn Effect being “overwhelmingly environmental” to meet the standards of physics or astronomy?
     
    Yes, it is. I do not know of any other hypothesis that has been suggested. Do you?

    But there are alternative hypothesis for the Black-White IQ gap. A responsible scientist suspends judgment until there is clear evidence.

    Get it?

    No, of course you don't!

    Let me confess: I am being way too diplomatic.

    The truth is that the Flynn Effect pretty much destroys all of the IQ research.

    IQ is supposed to be a measure of what we normally think of as "intelligence," which is, roughly speaking, the ability to use our mind to solve challenging problems.

    Americans in the first half of the twentieth century solved lots and lots of challenging problems: they invented the airplane, created television, built the atomic bomb, made the first transistor, created the theory of electronic circuits, and on and on. It is absurd to claim that people today are significantly more intelligent than our forebears, and almost no one claims that to be the case.

    But the Flynn Effect shows that IQ tests would claim precisely that.

    Which means that the IQ tests are in fact utter nonsense. They do not measure intelligence.

    Yes, yes, I know: IQ has a significant predictive value within a very limited milieu: Compare the IQs of two middle-class Americans born in 1990, and if one has a much higher IQ, the odds are slightly higher that that person has a somewhat higher income, spent a somewhat longer time in school, etc.

    But that's it!

    The Flynn Effect shows that IQ does not even work across a couple generations in the same country, the USA.

    Trying to apply IQ tests across different societies, between segregated ethnic groups within one society, etc., is just plain and simple pseudo-science.

    Like almost all of the social and behavioral "sciences."

    You keep trying to draw me into the briar patch of all this nonsense, and I have been too restrained about explaining why I am resisting -- because it is all simply pseudo-science.

    You and many of the other commenters here have a personal desire to show that Blacks are genetically inferior to Whites. You want legitimate scientists like me to agree with you, because that would strengthen you in your prejudice.

    But almost no legitimate scientists are willing to do so.

    You want to pretend that it is because we are all afraid.

    I am not: I have denounced Judaism, Zionism, Christianity, government in general, climate alarmism, and a host of other lies and nonsense not only in this forum but also in public in the real world.

    And I have repeatedly attached my actual name to my comments here, which very few of you are willing to do.

    I am not afraid to slaughter sacred cows.

    But I will not agree with you on the science of the Black-White IQ gap because what you are touting is in fact pseudo-science.

    And so you have been lying about what I have said.

    You are able to find no legitimate scientists that I know of to back up your pseudo-scientific nonsense.

    Or your lies.

    And, yes, yes, I know I am guilty of credentialism, condescension, insensitivity, and a host of other sins.

    But I just don't care. I do care about the truth.

    And you need to stop lying.

    Dave Miller in Sacramento

    Replies: @Jenner Ickham Errican, @res

    Now that was an epic rant. Compare that to my comment which Dave was replying to. Or this comment. If anyone finds Dave’s comment at all persuasive I would be interested in knowing why.

    Lying is a serious accusation. Let’s go over the conversation.

    Here is what Dave originally said. There were two versions in comment 200. I though this the better.

    Given the huge environmental influence within single populations over time, proven by the Flynn Effect, the null hypothesis — the hypothesis to beat, so to speak — has to be that everything you are pointing to is, like the Flynn Effect, environmental.

    Here is my initial response in comment 208.

    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage. Unqualified (e.g. mostly, over 50% say, environmental) that statement is just more playing games with the false dichotomy I complained about above.

    Dave’s response to that in comment 221.

    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.

    Here is how I responded in comment 229. I tried to extract the most relevant parts since they were spread out.

    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.

    You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much). Stop being disingenuous. For someone who values facts over words you sure aren’t showing it in our conversation.

    And Dave’s final response from comment 251 which I am replying to. Extracted from much ranting.

    Where exactly did I say that the Black-White IQ gap was “probably environmental”?

    What I did also say was that the null hypothesis should be that the Black-White IQ gap is “probably environmental.”

    And where did I say that? I complained about “probably environmental.” Please provide a quote, Dave.

    As far as that being the “null hypothesis,” that term has different meanings. Some use it along these lines: “In a scientific experiment, the null hypothesis is the proposition that there is no effect or no relationship between phenomena or populations.”
    https://www.thoughtco.com/definition-of-null-hypothesis-and-examples-605436

    Some use it in the sense of “hypothesis we think most likely which we are trying to dis/prove.” That is called an alternate hypothesis at the link. I believe this is the sense Dave is using it.

    The problem is, choosing that alternate hypothesis is a value judgment. Which is what I am objecting to as “taking a side.” Along with “probably environmental” being hopelessly vague–especially as a hypothesis to disprove. That latter is why I keep talking about: “playing games with the false dichotomy.” When I say “games” a better statement would be using it as part of a Motte and Bailey argument.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy

    Dave’s null hypothesis is fairly reasonable (aside from being hopelessly vague, also see “reference 30” below), but it is “taking a side.” The problem I see with it is James Flynn’s own take which I mentioned in comment 244 and elaborated on in a reply to that comment: “the magnitude of white/black IQ differences on Wechsler subtests at any given time is correlated with the g loadings of the subtests; the magnitude of IQ gains over time on subtests is not usually so correlated; the causes of the two phenomena are not the same.”

    I know Dave knows all this (unlike him, I try not to underrate the people I am talking with, if anything I think I tend to overestimate people, which also causes problems). Well, except for that last bit on James Flynn–it would seem. The question is why he responds as he does. I tend to think it is because he can’t respond to the substantive parts of my comment–but that is my bias.

    I think this is illuminating:

    When you are looking in data for some effect, the null hypothesis is that there is no effect

    The problem is conflating “no effect” and “no genetic effect.” One could equally well (by taking the other side) consider the null to be “no environmental effect.”

    For what it’s worth, my null/alternate hypothesis is that the Black-White IQ difference in the US has both environmental and genetic causes. In unknown proportion except for both being non-zero. The two things I talk most about though are:
    1. The genetic effect being non-zero. Because so many assert the opposite.
    2. What I think is likely. More speculative (why I tend to talk about percentages and probabilities), but more interesting and potentially useful.

    (as an aside, I only just realized that my quoting Warne’s chapter 28 title in comment 66 is probably part of the problem here: “28 Racial/Ethnic Group IQ Differences Are Completely Environmental in Origin 247”, for the record I disagree with “completely,” but am unsure how close the variance explained by genetics might approach 100%, this quickly gets into the problems with both parental and individual genetics influencing environment which in turn influences phenotype)

    Regarding this.

    There is no such clear-cut evidence in this case.

    IQ SNP frequencies differing between populations is such evidence. Perhaps not 100.0000% definitive, but better than any evidence Dave has presented in this thread.

    Here is where Dave makes clear he is the classic “physicist operating outside of his field.” Who lacks important knowledge.

    But the Flynn Effect shows that IQ tests would claim precisely that.

    What Dave is obviously unaware of is that the Flynn Effect appears to be concentrated in the lower part of the distribution. From Wikipedia.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flynn_effect#Rise_in_IQ
    “Comparison of the IQ distributions indicated that the mean IQ scores on the test had increased by 9.7 points (the Flynn effect), the gains were concentrated in the lower half of the distribution and negligible in the top half, and the gains gradually decreased as the IQ of the individuals increased.[33] Some studies have found a reverse Flynn effect with declining scores for those with high IQ.[30]”

    References 33 and 30 are worth linking.
    The generational intelligence gains are caused by decreasing variance in the lower half of the distribution: Supporting evidence for the nutrition hypothesis
    One Century of Global IQ Gains: A Formal Meta-Analysis of the Flynn Effect (1909-2013)

    BTW, the latter link (reference 30) discusses a variety of possible explanations for the Flynn Effect. Divided into Environmental, Biological, and Hybrid factors.

    Given that it is quite possible to explain past intellectual achievment as being done by the elite which was less subject to the Flynn Effect. This makes sense if you believe (as I do) in the nutrition and health hypotheses being the primary causes of the Flynn Effect.

    Regarding this:

    You keep trying to draw me into the briar patch of all this nonsense, and I have been too restrained about explaining why I am resisting — because it is all simply pseudo-science.

    What about those experts you were appealing to a few moments ago?

    Were there any other substantive points in there worth further response? Anything beyond ad hominem, name calling, and ranting? If so, could someone (including Dave) please pull them out in a separate comment? It is hard to read through the ranting. It looks like Dave has demonstrated his inability to have a thoughtful conversation about a controversial topic (I am hoping to be proved wrong, we shall see). A bad trait for commenters here to possess.

    P.S. After losing one version of this comment to a website/browser failure decided to compose in a separate window. I hate not being able to trust one’s tools. Especially annoying to lose the blockquote shortcut.

    • Thanks: MEH 0910
    • Replies: @anon
    @res

    res - thanks for your well-thought-out comments in this thread. (Likewise to Hypnotoad, Jenner, & Germ Theory)

    I'm the anon who posted comments 192 & 241, asking Dave to tell us how he'd debate this topic with Greg Cochran. Contra Dave's claims, he never did answer the question.

    I haven't kept up with this comments section in several years (I think Whiskey may have still been posting, so whenever that was), and it's been interesting to see which commenters I've remembered accurately and which I misremembered. I had remembered Dave as something of a standard Boomercon, a little prone to that demographic's characteristic negrolatry but otherwise a sensible guy. Apparently he's actually an unhinged blank slate anarchist experiencing a manic episode. Whoops. I now see that anon[118] had it right in comment 240 when he asked Dave if he was off his meds. TBH I'm mildly embarrassed to have participated in this thread to the extent I did; I feel like I let a homeless man covered in his own shit draw me into a debate.

    Anyways, 100% agree regarding the null/alternative hypothesis point. "Probably environmental" does imply "purely environmental", and is lunacy. I tend to agree with Sailer's position that 50/50 nature/nurture is a fair baseline assumption to work from in any question of variance in human traits, though I think it's overly generous to the nurture side on this particular question.

    I'll leave you with this (apologies if someone already posted it and I missed it):
    https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2012-03-21

    Replies: @res

  259. anon[336] • Disclaimer says:
    @res
    @PhysicistDave

    Now that was an epic rant. Compare that to my comment which Dave was replying to. Or this comment. If anyone finds Dave's comment at all persuasive I would be interested in knowing why.

    Lying is a serious accusation. Let's go over the conversation.

    Here is what Dave originally said. There were two versions in comment 200. I though this the better.


    Given the huge environmental influence within single populations over time, proven by the Flynn Effect, the null hypothesis — the hypothesis to beat, so to speak — has to be that everything you are pointing to is, like the Flynn Effect, environmental.
     
    Here is my initial response in comment 208.

    Agreed with your assessment of the Flynn Effect (not genetic, too little time), but disagree with your conclusion. And quit making statements like “probably environmental” after declaring above you are not arguing for a specific percentage. Unqualified (e.g. mostly, over 50% say, environmental) that statement is just more playing games with the false dichotomy I complained about above.
     
    Dave's response to that in comment 221.

    Nope. Gonna keep doing it. Forever.
     
    Here is how I responded in comment 229. I tried to extract the most relevant parts since they were spread out.

    Your choice to make. As long as you keep doing that I will consider you to be engaged in playing games with the false dichotomy of 100% genetic vs. 100% environmental. A fair interpretation of that statement, I believe.
    ...
    You took a side when you wrote “probably environmental.” Especially with no qualifications (how much). Stop being disingenuous. For someone who values facts over words you sure aren’t showing it in our conversation.
     
    And Dave's final response from comment 251 which I am replying to. Extracted from much ranting.

    Where exactly did I say that the Black-White IQ gap was “probably environmental”?
    ...
    What I did also say was that the null hypothesis should be that the Black-White IQ gap is “probably environmental.”
     
    And where did I say that? I complained about "probably environmental." Please provide a quote, Dave.

    As far as that being the "null hypothesis," that term has different meanings. Some use it along these lines: "In a scientific experiment, the null hypothesis is the proposition that there is no effect or no relationship between phenomena or populations."
    https://www.thoughtco.com/definition-of-null-hypothesis-and-examples-605436

    Some use it in the sense of "hypothesis we think most likely which we are trying to dis/prove." That is called an alternate hypothesis at the link. I believe this is the sense Dave is using it.

    The problem is, choosing that alternate hypothesis is a value judgment. Which is what I am objecting to as "taking a side." Along with "probably environmental" being hopelessly vague--especially as a hypothesis to disprove. That latter is why I keep talking about: "playing games with the false dichotomy." When I say "games" a better statement would be using it as part of a Motte and Bailey argument.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Motte-and-bailey_fallacy

    Dave's null hypothesis is fairly reasonable (aside from being hopelessly vague, also see "reference 30" below), but it is "taking a side." The problem I see with it is James Flynn's own take which I mentioned in comment 244 and elaborated on in a reply to that comment: "the magnitude of white/black IQ differences on Wechsler subtests at any given time is correlated with the g loadings of the subtests; the magnitude of IQ gains over time on subtests is not usually so correlated; the causes of the two phenomena are not the same."

    I know Dave knows all this (unlike him, I try not to underrate the people I am talking with, if anything I think I tend to overestimate people, which also causes problems). Well, except for that last bit on James Flynn--it would seem. The question is why he responds as he does. I tend to think it is because he can't respond to the substantive parts of my comment--but that is my bias.

    I think this is illuminating:


    When you are looking in data for some effect, the null hypothesis is that there is no effect
     
    The problem is conflating "no effect" and "no genetic effect." One could equally well (by taking the other side) consider the null to be "no environmental effect."

    For what it's worth, my null/alternate hypothesis is that the Black-White IQ difference in the US has both environmental and genetic causes. In unknown proportion except for both being non-zero. The two things I talk most about though are:
    1. The genetic effect being non-zero. Because so many assert the opposite.
    2. What I think is likely. More speculative (why I tend to talk about percentages and probabilities), but more interesting and potentially useful.

    (as an aside, I only just realized that my quoting Warne's chapter 28 title in comment 66 is probably part of the problem here: "28 Racial/Ethnic Group IQ Differences Are Completely Environmental in Origin 247", for the record I disagree with "completely," but am unsure how close the variance explained by genetics might approach 100%, this quickly gets into the problems with both parental and individual genetics influencing environment which in turn influences phenotype)

    Regarding this.


    There is no such clear-cut evidence in this case.
     
    IQ SNP frequencies differing between populations is such evidence. Perhaps not 100.0000% definitive, but better than any evidence Dave has presented in this thread.

    Here is where Dave makes clear he is the classic "physicist operating outside of his field." Who lacks important knowledge.


    But the Flynn Effect shows that IQ tests would claim precisely that.
     
    What Dave is obviously unaware of is that the Flynn Effect appears to be concentrated in the lower part of the distribution. From Wikipedia.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flynn_effect#Rise_in_IQ
    "Comparison of the IQ distributions indicated that the mean IQ scores on the test had increased by 9.7 points (the Flynn effect), the gains were concentrated in the lower half of the distribution and negligible in the top half, and the gains gradually decreased as the IQ of the individuals increased.[33] Some studies have found a reverse Flynn effect with declining scores for those with high IQ.[30]"

    References 33 and 30 are worth linking.
    The generational intelligence gains are caused by decreasing variance in the lower half of the distribution: Supporting evidence for the nutrition hypothesis
    One Century of Global IQ Gains: A Formal Meta-Analysis of the Flynn Effect (1909-2013)

    BTW, the latter link (reference 30) discusses a variety of possible explanations for the Flynn Effect. Divided into Environmental, Biological, and Hybrid factors.

    Given that it is quite possible to explain past intellectual achievment as being done by the elite which was less subject to the Flynn Effect. This makes sense if you believe (as I do) in the nutrition and health hypotheses being the primary causes of the Flynn Effect.

    Regarding this:


    You keep trying to draw me into the briar patch of all this nonsense, and I have been too restrained about explaining why I am resisting — because it is all simply pseudo-science.
     
    What about those experts you were appealing to a few moments ago?

    Were there any other substantive points in there worth further response? Anything beyond ad hominem, name calling, and ranting? If so, could someone (including Dave) please pull them out in a separate comment? It is hard to read through the ranting. It looks like Dave has demonstrated his inability to have a thoughtful conversation about a controversial topic (I am hoping to be proved wrong, we shall see). A bad trait for commenters here to possess.

    P.S. After losing one version of this comment to a website/browser failure decided to compose in a separate window. I hate not being able to trust one's tools. Especially annoying to lose the blockquote shortcut.

    Replies: @anon

    res – thanks for your well-thought-out comments in this thread. (Likewise to Hypnotoad, Jenner, & Germ Theory)

    I’m the anon who posted comments 192 & 241, asking Dave to tell us how he’d debate this topic with Greg Cochran. Contra Dave’s claims, he never did answer the question.

    I haven’t kept up with this comments section in several years (I think Whiskey may have still been posting, so whenever that was), and it’s been interesting to see which commenters I’ve remembered accurately and which I misremembered. I had remembered Dave as something of a standard Boomercon, a little prone to that demographic’s characteristic negrolatry but otherwise a sensible guy. Apparently he’s actually an unhinged blank slate anarchist experiencing a manic episode. Whoops. I now see that anon[118] had it right in comment 240 when he asked Dave if he was off his meds. TBH I’m mildly embarrassed to have participated in this thread to the extent I did; I feel like I let a homeless man covered in his own shit draw me into a debate.

    Anyways, 100% agree regarding the null/alternative hypothesis point. “Probably environmental” does imply “purely environmental”, and is lunacy. I tend to agree with Sailer’s position that 50/50 nature/nurture is a fair baseline assumption to work from in any question of variance in human traits, though I think it’s overly generous to the nurture side on this particular question.

    I’ll leave you with this (apologies if someone already posted it and I missed it):
    https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2012-03-21

    • Replies: @res
    @anon

    Thank you. Hope you stick around. Have you been lurking, or not reading at all?

    I had not seen that comic before (ever). Thanks!

    I actually have a lot of sympathy and respect for the things physicists can accomplish operating out of field (Steve Hsu comes to mind, I think many more examples once you start looking). But there are recurring issues with thinking they are smarter than everyone else (fairly often the case IMO) and existing knowledge in the fields is trivial and obvious so they don't need to know it (more often a problem, though the new start and fresh perspective can also be a strength).

  260. @anon
    @res

    res - thanks for your well-thought-out comments in this thread. (Likewise to Hypnotoad, Jenner, & Germ Theory)

    I'm the anon who posted comments 192 & 241, asking Dave to tell us how he'd debate this topic with Greg Cochran. Contra Dave's claims, he never did answer the question.

    I haven't kept up with this comments section in several years (I think Whiskey may have still been posting, so whenever that was), and it's been interesting to see which commenters I've remembered accurately and which I misremembered. I had remembered Dave as something of a standard Boomercon, a little prone to that demographic's characteristic negrolatry but otherwise a sensible guy. Apparently he's actually an unhinged blank slate anarchist experiencing a manic episode. Whoops. I now see that anon[118] had it right in comment 240 when he asked Dave if he was off his meds. TBH I'm mildly embarrassed to have participated in this thread to the extent I did; I feel like I let a homeless man covered in his own shit draw me into a debate.

    Anyways, 100% agree regarding the null/alternative hypothesis point. "Probably environmental" does imply "purely environmental", and is lunacy. I tend to agree with Sailer's position that 50/50 nature/nurture is a fair baseline assumption to work from in any question of variance in human traits, though I think it's overly generous to the nurture side on this particular question.

    I'll leave you with this (apologies if someone already posted it and I missed it):
    https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2012-03-21

    Replies: @res

    Thank you. Hope you stick around. Have you been lurking, or not reading at all?

    I had not seen that comic before (ever). Thanks!

    I actually have a lot of sympathy and respect for the things physicists can accomplish operating out of field (Steve Hsu comes to mind, I think many more examples once you start looking). But there are recurring issues with thinking they are smarter than everyone else (fairly often the case IMO) and existing knowledge in the fields is trivial and obvious so they don’t need to know it (more often a problem, though the new start and fresh perspective can also be a strength).

  261. White race is very stupíd, it attacks its own members, whites, and offers easy and free money to millions of illegal migrants from other countries and other races that invade USA. Here it is an example, One Canadian woman travelled to Hawaii and for an emergency she had a baby in a hospital, she had an insurance policy, the hospital charged her ONE MILLION dollars, but the insurance company denied to pay, arguing a little detail. USA made her to pay. Then, why do USA provide free medical services to thousands of foreign women that deliver children at American hospitals? Because they are NOT whites, they are brown, mongrels. SO for illegal migrants, everything is free but for whites nothing is free, they have to pay, sometimes huge amounts. That shows the worse enemies of whites, are also whites (or from the race that rule the nation, Khazarians). Here some data of the case, maybe it still can be read on Internet. The case was known as “The one million dollars baby”. —–
    “Jennifer Huculak-Kimmel shouldn’t pay $1M US bill for birth in Hawaii hospital: lawyer
    Lawyer Scott Stanley says the Canadian insurance industry needs to be reformed
    CBC News Posted: Nov 19, 2014 11:35 AM CT Last Updated: Nov 19, 2014 2:59 PM CT-“—-

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