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2020's Mass Shootings Explosion Was Due Not to the Pandemic But to the Racial Reckoning
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With mass shootings back in the news, above are a couple of graphs of cumulative casualties from mass shootings that I made from Wikipedia’s list of Mass Shooting Incidents in 2020 and 2019. These shed some light on what likely caused the huge violence boom of 2020 — Covid or the Racial Reckoning — and who is doing most of the mass shooting.

Wikipedia uses the usual definition of a mass shooting as an incident with at least 4 casualties, whether killed or wounded.

As you can see, in terms of cumulative mass shooting casualties, the two years started out fairly similar, with 2020 pulling ahead in early March. During the first ten weeks of Covid, 2020 had fewer casualties than in the same period of 2019. But from Memorial Day Weekend onward, there were far more casualties from mass shootings in 2020 than in 2019:

Mass Shooting Casualties

2019 2020 Difference Diff %
Winter Jan 1-Mar 17 302 385 83 27%
Lockdowns Mar 18-May 25 384 338 -46 -12%
Racial Reckoning May 26-Dec 31 1,590 2,338 748 47%
Total Jan 1-Dec 31 2,276 3,061 785 34%
In other words, 2020 started off more violent than 2019 for reasons nobody has sought to explain (in part because they might just be a statistical fluke). When lockdowns occurred, 2020 settled down somewhat. Then George Floyd died and the Racial Reckoning was declared and mass shootings exploded.

This is not to say that we can definitively rule out the pandemic having some mysterious delayed reaction effect that suddenly caused mass shootings to explode ten weeks into it, which just coincidentally happened to be the first weekend of the Mostly Peaceful Riots.

Contrary to what you might imagine from news coverage, the New York Times reported in 2016 that in 2015’s 358 mass shootings, “nearly three-fourths of victims and suspected assailants whose race could be identified were black.” Similarly, Mass-Shootings.info reported that 68% of mass shooters charged in 2019 and 73% in 2020 were black. Of the 15 mass shootings in 2020 with the highest number of casualties, at least 13 involved black social events (the other two involved social events but the newspapers didn’t report the race of the shooters or victims).

So, my impression is that the media-declared Racial Reckoning led cops to retreat to the donut shop and led blacks to party exuberantly, which led to mass shootings. Of course, the real villain in all this is White Supremacy for reasons.

Perhaps this is all just ancient history so why am I bringing up all these hatestats?

Well, the green lines above show 2021 vs. 2019 and the new year looks bad: through March 17, total casualties from mass shootings were up 64% in 2021 over 2019.

I’d like to do similar graphs for total murders in 2020 vs 2019. Gun Violence Archive has the data, but I haven’t figured out how to download more than 2000 lines of their database. Any suggestions?

 
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  1. If you’re interested in illegally immigrating to the nation of Georgia, click on this Tweet.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Do you really want to settle in a place that can lose its entire Internet service through a scavenging Armenian grandmother?

    Oh, wait... I got that backward:

    Georgian woman cuts off web access to whole of Armenia

    Are you Caucasian enough for Georgia? Practice starting words with consonant clusters of six or seven.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    , @anon
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Not sure where you can practice with Georgian medical degrees.

    The American Medical Association cartel controls the market by limiting medical schools and residencies. There hasn't been a new medical school established in the US since 1980, despite population increase, and the residencies you have to go through are tightly controlled and limited.

    You would be better off going to a Caribbean medical school or going to an osteopathic med school in the US. Education wise, the Caribbean med schools aren't bad and follow American standards, and have relationships with US hospitals to feed grads into US residencies, although residency options are much more limited than US med school grads. Osteopaths i.e. D.O.s are much more common and mainstream these days.

    Replies: @Polistra

  2. Heaven is a place on earth.

    Apparently, so is hell.

    • Replies: @Anon
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Breitbart has it kind of scrambled.

    https://thepostmillennial.com/rob-hoogland-canada-prisoner-of-conscience

    There was an injunction against misgendering, but the main thing was that the injunction contained a gag order preventing the father from talking to the media or via social media about his son/daughter and his Mia-Farrowesque, Munchausen-by-proxy, estranged wife.

    He took to YouTube.

    Gag orders are bad news in a democracy, even when a minor is involved, when the master concerns an issue of public policy interest and debate. Both the U.K. and Canada have slowly boiling-frogged into authoritarian states.

    Replies: @Pericles

  3. The facts don’t matter anymore.

    Lest we forget, this was a headline in The New York Times:

    8 Minutes and 46 Seconds: How George Floyd Was Killed …

    • Replies: @El Dato
    @JimDandy

    "He was on-cross longer than Jesus."

    , @Dr. Krieger
    @JimDandy

    Belinda Carlisle is a gorgeous woman. This album cover says it all.
    https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/en/a/ab/Belinda_Carlisle_-_Heaven_on_Earth_cover.jpg

    She still looks great.

  4. Astronomer Mike Merrifield of the University of Nottingham tracks Covid numbers using Nightingale diagrams. He recommends it. (The process, not the virus.) Hmm… how would that look with shootings?

    These charts really help with seasonal and cyclical phenomena.

  5. @JohnnyWalker123
    If you're interested in illegally immigrating to the nation of Georgia, click on this Tweet.

    https://twitter.com/wakawaka_doctor/status/1372594409624248323

    https://twitter.com/wakawaka_doctor/status/1372594416771342338

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @anon

    Do you really want to settle in a place that can lose its entire Internet service through a scavenging Armenian grandmother?

    Oh, wait… I got that backward:

    Georgian woman cuts off web access to whole of Armenia

    Are you Caucasian enough for Georgia? Practice starting words with consonant clusters of six or seven.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @Reg Cæsar

    Are Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia part of Europe or part of Asia/Middle East? Does it matter? Enquiring minds want to know.

    Replies: @El Dato

  6. Anon[418] • Disclaimer says:
    @JohnnyWalker123
    Heaven is a place on earth.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NOGEyBeoBGM

    Apparently, so is hell.

    https://twitter.com/BreitbartNews/status/1372757851932794884

    Replies: @Anon

    Breitbart has it kind of scrambled.

    https://thepostmillennial.com/rob-hoogland-canada-prisoner-of-conscience

    There was an injunction against misgendering, but the main thing was that the injunction contained a gag order preventing the father from talking to the media or via social media about his son/daughter and his Mia-Farrowesque, Munchausen-by-proxy, estranged wife.

    He took to YouTube.

    Gag orders are bad news in a democracy, even when a minor is involved, when the master concerns an issue of public policy interest and debate. Both the U.K. and Canada have slowly boiling-frogged into authoritarian states.

    • Replies: @Pericles
    @Anon


    Gag orders are bad news in a democracy, even when a minor is involved, when the master concerns an issue of public policy interest and debate. Both the U.K. and Canada have slowly boiling-frogged into authoritarian states.

     

    Ricky Vaughn taken into FBI custody for posting political memes. <-- YOU ARE HERE
  7. anon[146] • Disclaimer says:
    @JohnnyWalker123
    If you're interested in illegally immigrating to the nation of Georgia, click on this Tweet.

    https://twitter.com/wakawaka_doctor/status/1372594409624248323

    https://twitter.com/wakawaka_doctor/status/1372594416771342338

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @anon

    Not sure where you can practice with Georgian medical degrees.

    The American Medical Association cartel controls the market by limiting medical schools and residencies. There hasn’t been a new medical school established in the US since 1980, despite population increase, and the residencies you have to go through are tightly controlled and limited.

    You would be better off going to a Caribbean medical school or going to an osteopathic med school in the US. Education wise, the Caribbean med schools aren’t bad and follow American standards, and have relationships with US hospitals to feed grads into US residencies, although residency options are much more limited than US med school grads. Osteopaths i.e. D.O.s are much more common and mainstream these days.

    • Replies: @Polistra
    @anon

    https://thumbs.dreamstime.com/b/whoosh-comic-speech-bubble-cartoon-illustrator-eps-40456617.jpg

  8. @anon
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Not sure where you can practice with Georgian medical degrees.

    The American Medical Association cartel controls the market by limiting medical schools and residencies. There hasn't been a new medical school established in the US since 1980, despite population increase, and the residencies you have to go through are tightly controlled and limited.

    You would be better off going to a Caribbean medical school or going to an osteopathic med school in the US. Education wise, the Caribbean med schools aren't bad and follow American standards, and have relationships with US hospitals to feed grads into US residencies, although residency options are much more limited than US med school grads. Osteopaths i.e. D.O.s are much more common and mainstream these days.

    Replies: @Polistra

  9. @JimDandy
    The facts don't matter anymore.

    Lest we forget, this was a headline in The New York Times:

    8 Minutes and 46 Seconds: How George Floyd Was Killed ...

    Replies: @El Dato, @Dr. Krieger

    “He was on-cross longer than Jesus.”

    • LOL: Achmed E. Newman
  10. @Reg Cæsar
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Do you really want to settle in a place that can lose its entire Internet service through a scavenging Armenian grandmother?

    Oh, wait... I got that backward:

    Georgian woman cuts off web access to whole of Armenia

    Are you Caucasian enough for Georgia? Practice starting words with consonant clusters of six or seven.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    Are Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia part of Europe or part of Asia/Middle East? Does it matter? Enquiring minds want to know.

    • Replies: @El Dato
    @Hypnotoad666

    The real question is whether they fall under NATO's dominion.

    The answer is YES.

    Replies: @tyrone, @Reg Cæsar

  11. If Juneteenth becomes a national holiday this year, I expect it will surpass all expectations for mass shootings.

    I’m actually surprised it hasn’t already. I suppose Black Lives Matter to the point of mass riots during a pandemic but Amazon can’t abide giving workers another day off.

  12. LoL, Not a single article by Steve Sailer about the deaths of several Asian American women at the hands of a white shooter…Is busy covering Lana Del Ray’s music

    • Troll: anonymousperson
    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @NoFap_Newton

    https://s3.distributorcentral.com/uploads/E/2/E2D3D6B3E650C835C00978CC736513BA.jpg

    Replies: @kihowi

  13. lockdowns resulted in the widespread rioting across America. It was not due to the pandemic but due to the lockdowns which fueled civil unrest. Millions lost their jobs and shuttered schools resulted in millions of youths with nothing do do for months. Millions of people out of a job and stuck at home for months was a recipe for civil unrest. Banning social gatherings resulted in millions of frustrated, socially isolated people without jobs.

    In 2014, when BLM rioted in Ferguson, when the rioting was contained to Ferguson. In contrast to 2015 when the rioting was restricted to Baltimore. While these incidents sparked protests, rioting was contained to the cities where the shootings actually happened. Not so in the case of the Floyd death, which prompted intense protests, riots, and police violence in almost every American city.

    Why did the BLM riots spread across America in 2020 but not in 2014 or 2015 ?
    The protests in response to Floyd’s death provided the only opportunity for millions of bored, frustrated, and out-of-work Americans to let off some steam. The only acceptable social gathering allowed for months was attending BLM protests. Without the lockdowns the BLM protests would never have spread from Minneapolis to New York City , Philadelphia, etc…

    Millions of jobless Americans did not have to show up to work or school in the morning, and who therefore had less of a disincentive to participate in protests. At the same time, all of the social alternatives to protesting remained officially closed. Concerts, sporting events, and other forms of mass gatherings were prohibited nationwide. Yet the BLM protests were permitted while all other gatherings were banned.

    It was not the pandemic but the extended lockdowns which fueled the nationwide protests after Floyd’s death in May. Millions of people cut-off from normal social interactions for months created pent up frustrations and the BLM protests were the only way for millions to vent their frustration and interact with others.

    • Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco
    @Travis

    while Ferguson resulted in a single BLM riot in 2014, the BLM rioting in 2020 began in Minneapolis and spread to 600 cities across America like a pandemic spreading death and destruction. BLM protests were the only way for Americans to gather in groups and socialize....all other gatherings, even attending church or hiking in State Parks was banned by our governor.

    Lockdowns contributed to the spread of BLM protests and rioting, as millions of people had lost their jobs and schools, churches, concerts, clubs, etc.. were all shutdown. With no job or school to attend they had the time to protest. It was the only allowed social gathering in most states in the summer.

    Sadly the lockdowns were unable to stop the spread of COVID while they destroyed the livelihoods of millions and resulted in civil unrest and rioting.

  14. Ummm, Earth to Steve Sailer: FYI correlation is NOT causation, Einstein!!

    Listen to the Science. God!

    • LOL: Desiderius
    • Replies: @El Dato
    @slumber_j


    correlation is NOT causation
     
    But it very often is.

    Meanwhile in the European Grindhouse:

    IN THEATER 1: THE THIRD WAVE aka "We already know what you will do this summer"

    Covid curbs aren’t working, says German health minister, warning more restrictions needed as third wave grows

    Not enough vaccine in Europe to stop Covid-19 third wave, retreat into lockdown possible, German health minister warns

    In THEATER 2: WRATH OF KHAN: BRITISH SADOMASOCHISM aka "They wanted it that way."

    https://twitter.com/SadiqKhan/status/1372258572734717954
  15. Compare the Ferguson effect to the Floyd effect

    Why was the Floyd effect nationwide while the Ferguson effect was only observed in The St. Louis metro area in 2014.

    Total homicides in US
    2013 – 14,319 homicides
    2014- 14,264 homicides

    No increase in national murder rates observed in 2014 in contrast to 2020 which saw murder rates across America increase in every city except Ferguson. the Floyd effect was national while the Ferguson effect was mostly local. Rioting spread national wide in 2020 due to the lockdowns

    • Replies: @Travis
    @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    History - and Psychology - Predict Riots and Protests amid Lockdowns.
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicolefisher/2020/03/21/historyand-psychologypredict-riots-and-protests-amid-pandemic-lockdowns/?sh=7734f39014a6

    history has taught us that whether it’s caused by fear, frustration, or the helplessness that comes with imprisonment, human beings do not respond well to forced lockdowns.

    But what happens to the human brain – and subsequent behavioral responses – when placed on lockdown, much like imprisonment, is very predictable. Adrenaline and stress hormones like cortisol kick into an acute stress response. In the face of real or perceived inequality, people are quick to enter into a fight or flight response. Forced isolation, being separated from friends, co-workers, classmates or losing ones job, business and place of worship increased the stress and anger of millions of Americans. Sadly the consequences were economic destruction, riots and increased deaths of despair.

    , @Steve Sailer
    @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    During the first BLM Era, the total number of murders went up 22.9% from 2014 to 2016, with the biggest increases tending to be in cities where BLM won politically, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and Chicago.

    Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

  16. @Anon
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Breitbart has it kind of scrambled.

    https://thepostmillennial.com/rob-hoogland-canada-prisoner-of-conscience

    There was an injunction against misgendering, but the main thing was that the injunction contained a gag order preventing the father from talking to the media or via social media about his son/daughter and his Mia-Farrowesque, Munchausen-by-proxy, estranged wife.

    He took to YouTube.

    Gag orders are bad news in a democracy, even when a minor is involved, when the master concerns an issue of public policy interest and debate. Both the U.K. and Canada have slowly boiling-frogged into authoritarian states.

    Replies: @Pericles

    Gag orders are bad news in a democracy, even when a minor is involved, when the master concerns an issue of public policy interest and debate. Both the U.K. and Canada have slowly boiling-frogged into authoritarian states.

    Ricky Vaughn taken into FBI custody for posting political memes. <– YOU ARE HERE

  17. So, my impression is that the media-declared Racial Reckoning led cops to retreat to the donut shop and led blacks to party exuberantly, which led to mass shootings. Of course, the real villain in all this is White Supremacy …

    Yes it is, because the whites don’t want black ghettoes to be broken up and their former denizens given vouchers to move into suburbia. Biden is going to make a start on that for Harris she hopes; it is is doable now because the black birthrate has fallen enough, and so has the white. With the coming county–busting the remaining criminally inclined blacks will longer be concentrated in propinquity, and shooting deaths will decline precipitously.

    Netflix’s Fear City is not so much about the Mafia, as a time when there were real Italian neighborhoods and huge Catholic families (Gotti was one of 13 children) in NTC. It was as much the use of contraception and block busting as the RICO laws taking down the mafia. Once those ethnic neighbourhoods crumbled, the killings faded away. Italian crime was not really that different to the Bloods and Crips. Youth gangs such as almost all the mafia started in were extremely violent, Gotti’s underboss Gravano was habitually carrying a gun by his mid teens, and got shot on sight on two separate occasions by members of a rival Bensonhurst street gang.

    • Replies: @AnotherDad
    @Sean


    Yes it is, because the whites don’t want black ghettoes to be broken up and their former denizens given vouchers to move into suburbia.
     
    White people have approximately zero interest in telling blacks where to live. What most whites want is the right to live in their own communities, with their people, norms, values, culture. A fundamental right.

    The issue is the same one as immigration. I don't have any interest in, nor right to tell, say Guatemalans, where to live, or to pin them up in Guatemala. However, i have the right to prevent them from coming to live with me--in my nation.

    The issue is the same one as having a house. I don't have any right to lock my neighbor up in his house. But i have the right to keep him out of mine.

    The issue is freedom of association.

    In short: white peoples' bodies do not exist for the benefit of blacks or any other people, nor for the social engineering desires of the state.
  18. Of course, all of the concerns about riots, increase in murders and car-jackings, and rogue district attorneys would be so much stronger is the idiot Republicans can not decided to storm the US Capitol on Jan 6 and had not decided to make the Covid-19 response partisan and discount the deaths of over 500k Americans.

    Steve used to propose that the Republican Party could survive by being the white people’s party. However, not the Trumpist have decided that the Republican Party can survive by being the sociopaths party that will appeal to black men and some Latinos while alienating college graduates. The focus on crime in deep blue cities while ignoring Covid-19 deaths fits with this approach.

    • Troll: Je Suis Omar Mateen
    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @guest007


    ...the sociopaths party that will appeal to black men and some Latinos while alienating college graduates.
     
    College graduates have alienated themselves. Many are as sociopathic as BLM. Many are BLM.

    That you're in the Dr Fauxi camp-- i.e., Trump wasn't fascist enough-- speaks volumes.

    Replies: @guest007

    , @AnotherDad
    @guest007


    is the idiot Republicans can not ...
    and had not decided to make the Covid-19 response partisan and discount the deaths of over 500k Americans.
     
    Back in college i would have said, "pass that over here, man".

    Replies: @guest007

  19. @slumber_j
    Ummm, Earth to Steve Sailer: FYI correlation is NOT causation, Einstein!!

    Listen to the Science. God!

    https://youtu.be/dOd84nP1kSA

    Replies: @El Dato

    correlation is NOT causation

    But it very often is.

    Meanwhile in the European Grindhouse:

    IN THEATER 1: THE THIRD WAVE aka “We already know what you will do this summer”

    Covid curbs aren’t working, says German health minister, warning more restrictions needed as third wave grows

    Not enough vaccine in Europe to stop Covid-19 third wave, retreat into lockdown possible, German health minister warns

    In THEATER 2: WRATH OF KHAN: BRITISH SADOMASOCHISM aka “They wanted it that way.”

  20. @Hypnotoad666
    @Reg Cæsar

    Are Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia part of Europe or part of Asia/Middle East? Does it matter? Enquiring minds want to know.

    Replies: @El Dato

    The real question is whether they fall under NATO’s dominion.

    The answer is YES.

    • Replies: @tyrone
    @El Dato

    So, do you find yourself day-dreaming that Biden will do something monumentally stupid ....yeah me too.

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @El Dato



    Are Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia part of Europe or part of Asia/Middle East? Does it matter? Enquiring minds want to know.

     

    The real question is whether they fall under NATO’s dominion.

     

    Culture trumps geopolitics. The real real question is whether they fall under Eurovision. All do, though Armenia has left:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest#Participants

    China, of all places, would have been accepted, but were turned down for editing out same-sex Irishmen and tatooed Albanians from their broadcast. Good for them!

    Scotland and Wales are barred from independent participation in Eurovision, but can join Cornwall, Catalonia, Corsica, and the Faroes at Liet Ynternasjonaal. Where English is banned.


    https://liet-international.com/friksbeheer/wp-content/themes/Stichting%20Liet/images/logo.png

    Replies: @Luzzatto

  21. Damn.

    • Replies: @Hypnotoad666
    @JohnnyWalker123

    They need one of these.

    https://www.acornstairlifts.co.uk/assets/acorn-stairlifts-alt.jpg

  22. • Replies: @anon
    @JohnnyWalker123

    Alex! I'll take "What is Who? Whom?" for $500!

  23. I’d like to do similar graphs for total murders in 2020 vs 2019. Gun Violence Archive has the data, but I haven’t figured out how to download more than 2000 lines of their database. Any suggestions?

    2000 lines gets you 7/16/16 through 3/18/21. I see that downloading “Mass Shootings – All Years” from their standard reports page.
    https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/reports

    That page also has yearly reports for 2014-2019. It seems straightforward to merge the All Years data with the 2014-2016 yearly data to get what you want.

    Or am I misunderstanding what you are asking for?

    • Replies: @res
    @res

    To get all murders I think the best approach is to go to their "Search Database" page
    https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/query

    Then create queries with different date ranges and Incident Characteristics containing Murder/Suicide (the latter cuts the number of matches dramatically). I think you will be able to get all of 2019-2020 in one report with that, but it might be better to do individual years all the way from 2014-2021.

    If that does not do it for you please let me know.

    Replies: @David

  24. @res

    I’d like to do similar graphs for total murders in 2020 vs 2019. Gun Violence Archive has the data, but I haven’t figured out how to download more than 2000 lines of their database. Any suggestions?
     
    2000 lines gets you 7/16/16 through 3/18/21. I see that downloading "Mass Shootings - All Years" from their standard reports page.
    https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/reports

    That page also has yearly reports for 2014-2019. It seems straightforward to merge the All Years data with the 2014-2016 yearly data to get what you want.

    Or am I misunderstanding what you are asking for?

    Replies: @res

    To get all murders I think the best approach is to go to their “Search Database” page
    https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/query

    Then create queries with different date ranges and Incident Characteristics containing Murder/Suicide (the latter cuts the number of matches dramatically). I think you will be able to get all of 2019-2020 in one report with that, but it might be better to do individual years all the way from 2014-2021.

    If that does not do it for you please let me know.

    • Replies: @David
    @res

    I sent Steve an excel workbook with the data. It excludes accidental shootings and suicides. Contains about 107,000 records.

    Did you continue to follow Verisk's covid 19 pandemic model that you once linked to? How did they do?

    Replies: @res

  25. Speaking of statistics, Chicago public schools has stated that “73% of [earlier than high school] kids have returned to the classroom.”

    Complete bull.

    Brief analysis reveals that:

    • CPS enrolls ~205K kids (inmates) total in those grades.

    • “Returned” means show-up (in-person) at least 1d/cal-m; special ed are allowed in every day; for others, the max is ~8 (i.e. “hybrid” model).

    • “73%” is a total fudge.

    The numerator is how many kids returned (see above): ~49K; avg attendance was ~30K/d.

    The denominator is how many kids district officials “expected”: 60K (a figure revised downward a few times).

    • 49/60 = 82%. (The discrepancy must be due to the bureaucratic way the district calculates FTE students, or something.)

    Overall, only ~25% of kids eligible to show up actually did so (including those who only did once).

    [MORE]

    That just goes to show you that, as I’ve been posting for years, if compulsory attendance (i.e. the draft) were abolished, come the first day of school, 2/3 of the kids wouldn’t bother to go.

  26. @JohnnyWalker123
    https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1372938964307480585

    Damn.

    Replies: @Hypnotoad666

    They need one of these.

  27. Um, like DUH because there wasn’t and isn’t a pandemic.

  28. Anon[130] • Disclaimer says:

    Andrew Sullivan today:

    We have yet to find any credible evidence of anti-Asian hatred or bigotry in this man’s history….

    And yet. Well, you know what’s coming. Accompanying one original piece on the known facts, the NYT ran nine — nine! — separate stories about the incident as part of the narrative that this was an anti-Asian hate crime, fueled by white supremacy and/or misogyny.

    Not to be outdone, the WaPo ran sixteen separate stories on the incident as an anti-Asian white supremacist hate crime. Sixteen! One story for the facts; sixteen stories on how critical race theory would interpret the event regardless of the facts.

    For good measure, one of their columnists denounced reporting of law enforcement’s version of events in the newspaper, because it distracted attention from the “real” motives.

    Today, the NYT ran yet another full-on critical theory piece disguised as news on how these murders are proof of structural racism and sexism — because some activists say they are.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Anon

    Thanks.

  29. @El Dato
    @Hypnotoad666

    The real question is whether they fall under NATO's dominion.

    The answer is YES.

    Replies: @tyrone, @Reg Cæsar

    So, do you find yourself day-dreaming that Biden will do something monumentally stupid ….yeah me too.

  30. @El Dato
    @Hypnotoad666

    The real question is whether they fall under NATO's dominion.

    The answer is YES.

    Replies: @tyrone, @Reg Cæsar

    Are Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia part of Europe or part of Asia/Middle East? Does it matter? Enquiring minds want to know.

    The real question is whether they fall under NATO’s dominion.

    Culture trumps geopolitics. The real real question is whether they fall under Eurovision. All do, though Armenia has left:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest#Participants

    China, of all places, would have been accepted, but were turned down for editing out same-sex Irishmen and tatooed Albanians from their broadcast. Good for them!

    Scotland and Wales are barred from independent participation in Eurovision, but can join Cornwall, Catalonia, Corsica, and the Faroes at Liet Ynternasjonaal. Where English is banned.

    • Replies: @Luzzatto
    @Reg Cæsar

    The Chinese Communist Government make Mike Pence look like a Liberal on LGBTQ issues. Yet GLAAD hates Mike Pence a gazillion times more than they hate China!

  31. @NoFap_Newton
    LoL, Not a single article by Steve Sailer about the deaths of several Asian American women at the hands of a white shooter...Is busy covering Lana Del Ray's music

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    • LOL: Dr. Krieger
    • Replies: @kihowi
    @Reg Cæsar

    Tiny Donk

  32. @guest007
    Of course, all of the concerns about riots, increase in murders and car-jackings, and rogue district attorneys would be so much stronger is the idiot Republicans can not decided to storm the US Capitol on Jan 6 and had not decided to make the Covid-19 response partisan and discount the deaths of over 500k Americans.

    Steve used to propose that the Republican Party could survive by being the white people's party. However, not the Trumpist have decided that the Republican Party can survive by being the sociopaths party that will appeal to black men and some Latinos while alienating college graduates. The focus on crime in deep blue cities while ignoring Covid-19 deaths fits with this approach.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @AnotherDad

    …the sociopaths party that will appeal to black men and some Latinos while alienating college graduates.

    College graduates have alienated themselves. Many are as sociopathic as BLM. Many are BLM.

    That you’re in the Dr Fauxi camp– i.e., Trump wasn’t fascist enough— speaks volumes.

    • Replies: @guest007
    @Reg Cæsar

    All President Trump needed to go was repeat every day that "we are all in this together and will get through this" while letting VP Pence do all of the real work. Trump did best when he outsourced such as judicial appointments and screw up the most when trying to hog the credit.

    Of course, one of the long term lessons from the pandemic response will be to avoid partisanship. Something that the Trump Administration failed on.

  33. Anon[237] • Disclaimer says:

    I’d like to do similar graphs for total murders in 2020 vs 2019. Gun Violence Archive has the data, but I haven’t figured out how to download more than 2000 lines of their database. Any suggestions?

    Could you explain this more. I found a Murder/Suicides page, but there are only, for instance, a little over 200 incidents for 2019. For Mass Shootings the online table for all years tops out at 2,000, but that goes back from yesterday to mid-2016.

    What page URL is the link or table you want to download on?

    I could not locate a general murder database on the site, even with a “site:gunviolencearchive.org” search.

    • Replies: @Anon
    @Anon

    Are you referring to the All Incidents databases, which include incidents with no deaths? Those are north of 2,000 for every year as far as I can tell.

  34. @Reg Cæsar
    @El Dato



    Are Georgia, Azerbaijan, and Armenia part of Europe or part of Asia/Middle East? Does it matter? Enquiring minds want to know.

     

    The real question is whether they fall under NATO’s dominion.

     

    Culture trumps geopolitics. The real real question is whether they fall under Eurovision. All do, though Armenia has left:

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_countries_in_the_Eurovision_Song_Contest#Participants

    China, of all places, would have been accepted, but were turned down for editing out same-sex Irishmen and tatooed Albanians from their broadcast. Good for them!

    Scotland and Wales are barred from independent participation in Eurovision, but can join Cornwall, Catalonia, Corsica, and the Faroes at Liet Ynternasjonaal. Where English is banned.


    https://liet-international.com/friksbeheer/wp-content/themes/Stichting%20Liet/images/logo.png

    Replies: @Luzzatto

    The Chinese Communist Government make Mike Pence look like a Liberal on LGBTQ issues. Yet GLAAD hates Mike Pence a gazillion times more than they hate China!

  35. Anon[237] • Disclaimer says:

    Some background on the Gun Violence Archive:

    GVA has a staff of 20 professionals, with specialities from [library science]-degreed researchers and data archivists to systems architects and software engineers.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_Violence_Archive

    Thanks to a nonprofit, nonpartisan project known as the Gun Violence Archive, data on gun homicides and nonfatal shootings is now available well before the federal government releases its statistics. Those data include location information that makes it possible to plot those shootings on a map showing how many have taken place in your vicinity.

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/crime/2015/12/gun_deaths_map_how_many_people_have_died_or_been_injured_in_shootings_around.html

    Bryant is a retired computer systems analyst. He first started looking closely at gun deaths while following Slate magazine’s tally in the wake of the 2012 Sandy Hook shooting in Newtown, Connecticut. Doing his own research, he kept finding missing bodies that hadn’t been counted….

    With a small staff and limited resources, Kirk knew he wasn’t capturing as much data as he could. So he started relying on volunteers to report incidents. Almost by default, Bryant began to organize the volunteers, divvying up responsibilities and helping Kirk solve problems. The gun deaths kept adding up.

    “Eventually, they got tired of me and gave me the keys,” Bryant said.

    Bryant took over the Slate project in late 2013, when he secured funding from philanthropist and open government advocate Mike Klein.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/23/kentucky-gun-owner-gun-violence-archive-mark-bryant

    • Replies: @Joe Stalin
    @Anon


    Bryant took over the Slate project in late 2013, when he secured funding from philanthropist and open government advocate Mike Klein.
     

    The Sunlight Foundation was founded by Ellen S. Miller and Michael R. Klein because of their concern about the influence of money in politics. The Foundation was launched in April 2006 with a $3.5 million contribution from co-founder Klein, a securities lawyer and the founder of CoStar Group.

    Funding

    The Sunlight Foundation's donors included the Open Society Foundations, The Pew Charitable Trusts, the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, the Rockefeller Foundation, the Ford Foundation, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the Omidyar Network, Bloomberg Philanthropies, and the Laura and John Arnold Foundation.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunlight_Foundation
     

    Standard gun control support from the usual anti-gun zillionaires.

    For example, let's take the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation:


    New Venture Fund
    For Research On Gun Violence Prevention

    Overview

    The Joyce Foundation, with support from New Venture Fund, recently established the Fund for a Safer Future aimed at collaboratively supporting research and developing strategies to reduce U.S. gun violence. Since the mid-1990s, U.S. government-sponsored research on gun violence has been effectively banned. The lack of empirical evidence—on issues ranging from risk factors for gun violence, to the efficacy of proposed federal and state policies, to gun dealer behavior—hampers efforts at reducing gun violence. With this grant, New Venture Fund, with strategic oversight from the Joyce Foundation and other experts, will fund additional studies aimed at improving the evidence base to help understand the sources of and, eventually, to reduce U.S. gun violence.

    https://hewlett.org/grants/new-venture-fund-for-research-on-gun-violence-prevention-0/

     

    Interestingly, the Gun Violence Archive (1133 Connecticut Avenue, NW) and the New Venture Fund (1201 Connecticut Ave NW, Ste 300, Washington, DC) are practically neighbors; guess it's easy to keep up their monkey's paw of gun control.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  36. @Anon

    I’d like to do similar graphs for total murders in 2020 vs 2019. Gun Violence Archive has the data, but I haven’t figured out how to download more than 2000 lines of their database. Any suggestions?
     
    Could you explain this more. I found a Murder/Suicides page, but there are only, for instance, a little over 200 incidents for 2019. For Mass Shootings the online table for all years tops out at 2,000, but that goes back from yesterday to mid-2016.

    What page URL is the link or table you want to download on?

    I could not locate a general murder database on the site, even with a "site:gunviolencearchive.org" search.

    Replies: @Anon

    Are you referring to the All Incidents databases, which include incidents with no deaths? Those are north of 2,000 for every year as far as I can tell.

  37. @JimDandy
    The facts don't matter anymore.

    Lest we forget, this was a headline in The New York Times:

    8 Minutes and 46 Seconds: How George Floyd Was Killed ...

    Replies: @El Dato, @Dr. Krieger

    Belinda Carlisle is a gorgeous woman. This album cover says it all.

    She still looks great.

  38. @Reg Cæsar
    @NoFap_Newton

    https://s3.distributorcentral.com/uploads/E/2/E2D3D6B3E650C835C00978CC736513BA.jpg

    Replies: @kihowi

    Tiny Donk

  39. @JohnnyWalker123
    https://twitter.com/disclosetv/status/1372840221901996033

    Replies: @anon

    Alex! I’ll take “What is Who? Whom?” for $500!

  40. @Travis
    lockdowns resulted in the widespread rioting across America. It was not due to the pandemic but due to the lockdowns which fueled civil unrest. Millions lost their jobs and shuttered schools resulted in millions of youths with nothing do do for months. Millions of people out of a job and stuck at home for months was a recipe for civil unrest. Banning social gatherings resulted in millions of frustrated, socially isolated people without jobs.

    In 2014, when BLM rioted in Ferguson, when the rioting was contained to Ferguson. In contrast to 2015 when the rioting was restricted to Baltimore. While these incidents sparked protests, rioting was contained to the cities where the shootings actually happened. Not so in the case of the Floyd death, which prompted intense protests, riots, and police violence in almost every American city.

    Why did the BLM riots spread across America in 2020 but not in 2014 or 2015 ?
    The protests in response to Floyd’s death provided the only opportunity for millions of bored, frustrated, and out-of-work Americans to let off some steam. The only acceptable social gathering allowed for months was attending BLM protests. Without the lockdowns the BLM protests would never have spread from Minneapolis to New York City , Philadelphia, etc...

    Millions of jobless Americans did not have to show up to work or school in the morning, and who therefore had less of a disincentive to participate in protests. At the same time, all of the social alternatives to protesting remained officially closed. Concerts, sporting events, and other forms of mass gatherings were prohibited nationwide. Yet the BLM protests were permitted while all other gatherings were banned.

    It was not the pandemic but the extended lockdowns which fueled the nationwide protests after Floyd’s death in May. Millions of people cut-off from normal social interactions for months created pent up frustrations and the BLM protests were the only way for millions to vent their frustration and interact with others.

    Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    while Ferguson resulted in a single BLM riot in 2014, the BLM rioting in 2020 began in Minneapolis and spread to 600 cities across America like a pandemic spreading death and destruction. BLM protests were the only way for Americans to gather in groups and socialize….all other gatherings, even attending church or hiking in State Parks was banned by our governor.

    Lockdowns contributed to the spread of BLM protests and rioting, as millions of people had lost their jobs and schools, churches, concerts, clubs, etc.. were all shutdown. With no job or school to attend they had the time to protest. It was the only allowed social gathering in most states in the summer.

    Sadly the lockdowns were unable to stop the spread of COVID while they destroyed the livelihoods of millions and resulted in civil unrest and rioting.

  41. @Anon
    Some background on the Gun Violence Archive:

    GVA has a staff of 20 professionals, with specialities from [library science]-degreed researchers and data archivists to systems architects and software engineers.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gun_Violence_Archive
     

    Thanks to a nonprofit, nonpartisan project known as the Gun Violence Archive, data on gun homicides and nonfatal shootings is now available well before the federal government releases its statistics. Those data include location information that makes it possible to plot those shootings on a map showing how many have taken place in your vicinity.

    http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/crime/2015/12/gun_deaths_map_how_many_people_have_died_or_been_injured_in_shootings_around.html
     

    Bryant is a retired computer systems analyst. He first started looking closely at gun deaths while following Slate magazine’s tally in the wake of the 2012 Sandy Hook shooting in Newtown, Connecticut. Doing his own research, he kept finding missing bodies that hadn’t been counted....

    With a small staff and limited resources, Kirk knew he wasn’t capturing as much data as he could. So he started relying on volunteers to report incidents. Almost by default, Bryant began to organize the volunteers, divvying up responsibilities and helping Kirk solve problems. The gun deaths kept adding up.

    “Eventually, they got tired of me and gave me the keys,” Bryant said.

    Bryant took over the Slate project in late 2013, when he secured funding from philanthropist and open government advocate Mike Klein.

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/apr/23/kentucky-gun-owner-gun-violence-archive-mark-bryant
     

    Replies: @Joe Stalin

    Bryant took over the Slate project in late 2013, when he secured funding from philanthropist and open government advocate Mike Klein.

    The Sunlight Foundation was founded by Ellen S. Miller and Michael R. Klein because of their concern about the influence of money in politics. The Foundation was launched in April 2006 with a $3.5 million contribution from co-founder Klein, a securities lawyer and the founder of CoStar Group.

    Funding

    The Sunlight Foundation’s donors included the Open Society Foundations, The Pew Charitable Trusts, the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, the Rockefeller Foundation, the Ford Foundation, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the Omidyar Network, Bloomberg Philanthropies, and the Laura and John Arnold Foundation.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunlight_Foundation

    Standard gun control support from the usual anti-gun zillionaires.

    For example, let’s take the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation:

    New Venture Fund
    For Research On Gun Violence Prevention

    Overview

    The Joyce Foundation, with support from New Venture Fund, recently established the Fund for a Safer Future aimed at collaboratively supporting research and developing strategies to reduce U.S. gun violence. Since the mid-1990s, U.S. government-sponsored research on gun violence has been effectively banned. The lack of empirical evidence—on issues ranging from risk factors for gun violence, to the efficacy of proposed federal and state policies, to gun dealer behavior—hampers efforts at reducing gun violence. With this grant, New Venture Fund, with strategic oversight from the Joyce Foundation and other experts, will fund additional studies aimed at improving the evidence base to help understand the sources of and, eventually, to reduce U.S. gun violence.

    https://hewlett.org/grants/new-venture-fund-for-research-on-gun-violence-prevention-0/

    Interestingly, the Gun Violence Archive (1133 Connecticut Avenue, NW) and the New Venture Fund (1201 Connecticut Ave NW, Ste 300, Washington, DC) are practically neighbors; guess it’s easy to keep up their monkey’s paw of gun control.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @Joe Stalin


    The Sunlight Foundation’s donors included the Open Society Foundations...

     

    When foreign infil
    Gets too sinful,
    Drain accounts--
    Their checks will bounce!

    Try Burma Shave:



    Myanmar Military Junta Seizes Bank Accounts of George Soros' Open Society Foundation Over Charges Of Funding Opposition Protests

    Soros's Open Society Foundations calls for release of its staff member in Myanmar


    Couldn't have happened to a nicer guy!
  42. @Reg Cæsar
    @guest007


    ...the sociopaths party that will appeal to black men and some Latinos while alienating college graduates.
     
    College graduates have alienated themselves. Many are as sociopathic as BLM. Many are BLM.

    That you're in the Dr Fauxi camp-- i.e., Trump wasn't fascist enough-- speaks volumes.

    Replies: @guest007

    All President Trump needed to go was repeat every day that “we are all in this together and will get through this” while letting VP Pence do all of the real work. Trump did best when he outsourced such as judicial appointments and screw up the most when trying to hog the credit.

    Of course, one of the long term lessons from the pandemic response will be to avoid partisanship. Something that the Trump Administration failed on.

    • Troll: Je Suis Omar Mateen
  43. @Joe Stalin
    @Anon


    Bryant took over the Slate project in late 2013, when he secured funding from philanthropist and open government advocate Mike Klein.
     

    The Sunlight Foundation was founded by Ellen S. Miller and Michael R. Klein because of their concern about the influence of money in politics. The Foundation was launched in April 2006 with a $3.5 million contribution from co-founder Klein, a securities lawyer and the founder of CoStar Group.

    Funding

    The Sunlight Foundation's donors included the Open Society Foundations, The Pew Charitable Trusts, the John S. and James L. Knight Foundation, the Rockefeller Foundation, the Ford Foundation, the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation, the Omidyar Network, Bloomberg Philanthropies, and the Laura and John Arnold Foundation.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sunlight_Foundation
     

    Standard gun control support from the usual anti-gun zillionaires.

    For example, let's take the William and Flora Hewlett Foundation:


    New Venture Fund
    For Research On Gun Violence Prevention

    Overview

    The Joyce Foundation, with support from New Venture Fund, recently established the Fund for a Safer Future aimed at collaboratively supporting research and developing strategies to reduce U.S. gun violence. Since the mid-1990s, U.S. government-sponsored research on gun violence has been effectively banned. The lack of empirical evidence—on issues ranging from risk factors for gun violence, to the efficacy of proposed federal and state policies, to gun dealer behavior—hampers efforts at reducing gun violence. With this grant, New Venture Fund, with strategic oversight from the Joyce Foundation and other experts, will fund additional studies aimed at improving the evidence base to help understand the sources of and, eventually, to reduce U.S. gun violence.

    https://hewlett.org/grants/new-venture-fund-for-research-on-gun-violence-prevention-0/

     

    Interestingly, the Gun Violence Archive (1133 Connecticut Avenue, NW) and the New Venture Fund (1201 Connecticut Ave NW, Ste 300, Washington, DC) are practically neighbors; guess it's easy to keep up their monkey's paw of gun control.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

    The Sunlight Foundation’s donors included the Open Society Foundations…

    When foreign infil
    Gets too sinful,
    Drain accounts–
    Their checks will bounce!

    Try Burma Shave:

    Myanmar Military Junta Seizes Bank Accounts of George Soros’ Open Society Foundation Over Charges Of Funding Opposition Protests

    Soros’s Open Society Foundations calls for release of its staff member in Myanmar

    Couldn’t have happened to a nicer guy!

    • LOL: Joe Stalin
  44. @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco
    Compare the Ferguson effect to the Floyd effect

    Why was the Floyd effect nationwide while the Ferguson effect was only observed in The St. Louis metro area in 2014.

    Total homicides in US
    2013 - 14,319 homicides
    2014- 14,264 homicides

    No increase in national murder rates observed in 2014 in contrast to 2020 which saw murder rates across America increase in every city except Ferguson. the Floyd effect was national while the Ferguson effect was mostly local. Rioting spread national wide in 2020 due to the lockdowns

    Replies: @Travis, @Steve Sailer

    History – and Psychology – Predict Riots and Protests amid Lockdowns.
    https://www.forbes.com/sites/nicolefisher/2020/03/21/historyand-psychologypredict-riots-and-protests-amid-pandemic-lockdowns/?sh=7734f39014a6

    history has taught us that whether it’s caused by fear, frustration, or the helplessness that comes with imprisonment, human beings do not respond well to forced lockdowns.

    But what happens to the human brain – and subsequent behavioral responses – when placed on lockdown, much like imprisonment, is very predictable. Adrenaline and stress hormones like cortisol kick into an acute stress response. In the face of real or perceived inequality, people are quick to enter into a fight or flight response. Forced isolation, being separated from friends, co-workers, classmates or losing ones job, business and place of worship increased the stress and anger of millions of Americans. Sadly the consequences were economic destruction, riots and increased deaths of despair.

  45. @guest007
    Of course, all of the concerns about riots, increase in murders and car-jackings, and rogue district attorneys would be so much stronger is the idiot Republicans can not decided to storm the US Capitol on Jan 6 and had not decided to make the Covid-19 response partisan and discount the deaths of over 500k Americans.

    Steve used to propose that the Republican Party could survive by being the white people's party. However, not the Trumpist have decided that the Republican Party can survive by being the sociopaths party that will appeal to black men and some Latinos while alienating college graduates. The focus on crime in deep blue cities while ignoring Covid-19 deaths fits with this approach.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @AnotherDad

    is the idiot Republicans can not …
    and had not decided to make the Covid-19 response partisan and discount the deaths of over 500k Americans.

    Back in college i would have said, “pass that over here, man”.

    • Replies: @guest007
    @AnotherDad

    Since April 2020 the Republicans have been resisting any action meant to lessen the impact of Covid-19. From April 2020 on, the Republicans have argue that maintain a certain level of economic activity is more important than 550k deaths and over 1 million additional hospitalizations. The callus disregard for life and health is one of the reasons that Republicans lost the White House and the Senate in 2020. Yet, no Republican seems to care and have decided to double down on being narcissistic sociopaths no display contempt for most other Americans.

    Replies: @anon

  46. OT: “Compared to 2018 and 2019 deaths per 100k, 2020 saw one extra death among those under age five, an additional 1.5 deaths among those aged 5 to 14, and a whopping 23 additional deaths among those aged 15 to 24. Overall, deaths per 100k in this age group jumped from 106.4 per 100k in 2019 to 131.7 per 100k during 2020. That’s an increase of 23% — and Covid only accounts for 1.2% of total deaths in ages 0–24 years.”

    https://www.zerohedge.com/covid-19/more-covid-suicides-covid-deaths-kids

  47. @Sean

    So, my impression is that the media-declared Racial Reckoning led cops to retreat to the donut shop and led blacks to party exuberantly, which led to mass shootings. Of course, the real villain in all this is White Supremacy ...
     
    Yes it is, because the whites don't want black ghettoes to be broken up and their former denizens given vouchers to move into suburbia. Biden is going to make a start on that for Harris she hopes; it is is doable now because the black birthrate has fallen enough, and so has the white. With the coming county--busting the remaining criminally inclined blacks will longer be concentrated in propinquity, and shooting deaths will decline precipitously.

    Netflix's Fear City is not so much about the Mafia, as a time when there were real Italian neighborhoods and huge Catholic families (Gotti was one of 13 children) in NTC. It was as much the use of contraception and block busting as the RICO laws taking down the mafia. Once those ethnic neighbourhoods crumbled, the killings faded away. Italian crime was not really that different to the Bloods and Crips. Youth gangs such as almost all the mafia started in were extremely violent, Gotti's underboss Gravano was habitually carrying a gun by his mid teens, and got shot on sight on two separate occasions by members of a rival Bensonhurst street gang.

    Replies: @AnotherDad

    Yes it is, because the whites don’t want black ghettoes to be broken up and their former denizens given vouchers to move into suburbia.

    White people have approximately zero interest in telling blacks where to live. What most whites want is the right to live in their own communities, with their people, norms, values, culture. A fundamental right.

    The issue is the same one as immigration. I don’t have any interest in, nor right to tell, say Guatemalans, where to live, or to pin them up in Guatemala. However, i have the right to prevent them from coming to live with me–in my nation.

    The issue is the same one as having a house. I don’t have any right to lock my neighbor up in his house. But i have the right to keep him out of mine.

    The issue is freedom of association.

    In short: white peoples’ bodies do not exist for the benefit of blacks or any other people, nor for the social engineering desires of the state.

  48. @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco
    Compare the Ferguson effect to the Floyd effect

    Why was the Floyd effect nationwide while the Ferguson effect was only observed in The St. Louis metro area in 2014.

    Total homicides in US
    2013 - 14,319 homicides
    2014- 14,264 homicides

    No increase in national murder rates observed in 2014 in contrast to 2020 which saw murder rates across America increase in every city except Ferguson. the Floyd effect was national while the Ferguson effect was mostly local. Rioting spread national wide in 2020 due to the lockdowns

    Replies: @Travis, @Steve Sailer

    During the first BLM Era, the total number of murders went up 22.9% from 2014 to 2016, with the biggest increases tending to be in cities where BLM won politically, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and Chicago.

    • Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco
    @Steve Sailer

    Why was there no increase in the murder rate in the months after the Ferguson riots ? In contrast to the Floyd riot which resulted in a 25% increase in killings in the months after The Minneapolis riots ?

    The number of murders in 2014 was actually slightly less than 2013, with one big exception - Ferguson

    While in 2020 the murder rate surged 25% in the months after the Floyd riots, no surge in US killings was observed in the months after the Ferguson riots.

    Replies: @anon

  49. @Anon
    Andrew Sullivan today:

    We have yet to find any credible evidence of anti-Asian hatred or bigotry in this man’s history....

    And yet. Well, you know what’s coming. Accompanying one original piece on the known facts, the NYT ran nine — nine! — separate stories about the incident as part of the narrative that this was an anti-Asian hate crime, fueled by white supremacy and/or misogyny.

    Not to be outdone, the WaPo ran sixteen separate stories on the incident as an anti-Asian white supremacist hate crime. Sixteen! One story for the facts; sixteen stories on how critical race theory would interpret the event regardless of the facts.

    For good measure, one of their columnists denounced reporting of law enforcement’s version of events in the newspaper, because it distracted attention from the “real” motives.

    Today, the NYT ran yet another full-on critical theory piece disguised as news on how these murders are proof of structural racism and sexism — because some activists say they are.
     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

    Thanks.

  50. @res
    @res

    To get all murders I think the best approach is to go to their "Search Database" page
    https://www.gunviolencearchive.org/query

    Then create queries with different date ranges and Incident Characteristics containing Murder/Suicide (the latter cuts the number of matches dramatically). I think you will be able to get all of 2019-2020 in one report with that, but it might be better to do individual years all the way from 2014-2021.

    If that does not do it for you please let me know.

    Replies: @David

    I sent Steve an excel workbook with the data. It excludes accidental shootings and suicides. Contains about 107,000 records.

    Did you continue to follow Verisk’s covid 19 pandemic model that you once linked to? How did they do?

    • Replies: @res
    @David

    Thanks for putting together that data. Has there been a post about it? I haven't been following iSteve closely the last few days and need to catch up.


    Did you continue to follow Verisk’s covid 19 pandemic model that you once linked to? How did they do?
     
    No. I got pretty frustrated with the Covidiocy in May and stopped paying as much attention. The link I gave in this comment
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/sneeze-and-fly/#comment-3890408
    is broken, which seems like a bad sign.

    Verisk has more at
    https://www.verisk.com/resources/COVID-19/

    This recent article states 90% is likely needed for herd immunity which makes me now inclined to think they are idiots.
    https://www.verisk.com/insurance/covid-19/iso-insights/new-models-and-ai-may-improve-covid-19-case-estimates/

    Replies: @David

  51. @Steve Sailer
    @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    During the first BLM Era, the total number of murders went up 22.9% from 2014 to 2016, with the biggest increases tending to be in cities where BLM won politically, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and Chicago.

    Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    Why was there no increase in the murder rate in the months after the Ferguson riots ? In contrast to the Floyd riot which resulted in a 25% increase in killings in the months after The Minneapolis riots ?

    The number of murders in 2014 was actually slightly less than 2013, with one big exception – Ferguson

    While in 2020 the murder rate surged 25% in the months after the Floyd riots, no surge in US killings was observed in the months after the Ferguson riots.

    • Replies: @anon
    @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    Why was there no increase in the murder rate in the months after the Ferguson riots ?

    In the comment you just replied to:


    During the first BLM Era, the total number of murders went up 22.9% from 2014 to 2016, with the biggest increases tending to be in cities where BLM won politically, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and Chicago.
     
    Suggest you read more carefully. Also the Unz search tool is pretty good. Try using it.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/q-does-the-ferguson-effect-exist-a-it-sure-does-in-ferguson/

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/liberal-researcher-now-admits-ferguson-effect-on-murder-is-real/

    ‘Some version’ of theory linking protests over police killings to increase in crime may be best explanation for increase in murders in 2015, St Louis criminologist says after deeper analysis of crime trends
     

    Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

  52. @AnotherDad
    @guest007


    is the idiot Republicans can not ...
    and had not decided to make the Covid-19 response partisan and discount the deaths of over 500k Americans.
     
    Back in college i would have said, "pass that over here, man".

    Replies: @guest007

    Since April 2020 the Republicans have been resisting any action meant to lessen the impact of Covid-19. From April 2020 on, the Republicans have argue that maintain a certain level of economic activity is more important than 550k deaths and over 1 million additional hospitalizations. The callus disregard for life and health is one of the reasons that Republicans lost the White House and the Senate in 2020. Yet, no Republican seems to care and have decided to double down on being narcissistic sociopaths no display contempt for most other Americans.

    • Replies: @anon
    @guest007

    Since April 2020 the Republicans have been resisting any action meant to lessen the impact of Covid-19.

    Troll

    Replies: @guest007

  53. anon[226] • Disclaimer says:
    @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco
    @Steve Sailer

    Why was there no increase in the murder rate in the months after the Ferguson riots ? In contrast to the Floyd riot which resulted in a 25% increase in killings in the months after The Minneapolis riots ?

    The number of murders in 2014 was actually slightly less than 2013, with one big exception - Ferguson

    While in 2020 the murder rate surged 25% in the months after the Floyd riots, no surge in US killings was observed in the months after the Ferguson riots.

    Replies: @anon

    Why was there no increase in the murder rate in the months after the Ferguson riots ?

    In the comment you just replied to:

    During the first BLM Era, the total number of murders went up 22.9% from 2014 to 2016, with the biggest increases tending to be in cities where BLM won politically, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and Chicago.

    Suggest you read more carefully. Also the Unz search tool is pretty good. Try using it.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/q-does-the-ferguson-effect-exist-a-it-sure-does-in-ferguson/

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/liberal-researcher-now-admits-ferguson-effect-on-murder-is-real/

    ‘Some version’ of theory linking protests over police killings to increase in crime may be best explanation for increase in murders in 2015, St Louis criminologist says after deeper analysis of crime trends

    • Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco
    @anon

    There was no national surge in murders after Ferguson. The murder rate went down in 2014

    Steve then ignored this fact and jumped to 2016 statistics to show 2 year trend

    Yet 2020 had a surge of 25% within 5 months of the Floyd rioting. Very different outcome , Why?

    Because the lockdowns in 2020 resulted in a pandemic of rioting unlike 2014.....0ver 500 riots in 2020 compared to 2 in 2014. Why

    Over 2,000 BLM protests in 2020 , just 25 in 2014. Why....

    Replies: @res

  54. @guest007
    @AnotherDad

    Since April 2020 the Republicans have been resisting any action meant to lessen the impact of Covid-19. From April 2020 on, the Republicans have argue that maintain a certain level of economic activity is more important than 550k deaths and over 1 million additional hospitalizations. The callus disregard for life and health is one of the reasons that Republicans lost the White House and the Senate in 2020. Yet, no Republican seems to care and have decided to double down on being narcissistic sociopaths no display contempt for most other Americans.

    Replies: @anon

    Since April 2020 the Republicans have been resisting any action meant to lessen the impact of Covid-19.

    Troll

    • Replies: @guest007
    @anon

    The Republicans have been against shut downs, working form home, social distancing, masks, and now are against vaccines. It seems that Republicans would have been happier with 3 million dead Americans just so long as they could pack a bar on Friday night. Image what would have happened in someone like Kristi Noem has been in charge.

    Replies: @anon

  55. @anon
    @guest007

    Since April 2020 the Republicans have been resisting any action meant to lessen the impact of Covid-19.

    Troll

    Replies: @guest007

    The Republicans have been against shut downs, working form home, social distancing, masks, and now are against vaccines. It seems that Republicans would have been happier with 3 million dead Americans just so long as they could pack a bar on Friday night. Image what would have happened in someone like Kristi Noem has been in charge.

    • Replies: @anon
    @guest007

    • Troll

  56. @guest007
    @anon

    The Republicans have been against shut downs, working form home, social distancing, masks, and now are against vaccines. It seems that Republicans would have been happier with 3 million dead Americans just so long as they could pack a bar on Friday night. Image what would have happened in someone like Kristi Noem has been in charge.

    Replies: @anon

    • Troll

  57. Another GMU DC area female load of a black EEOC ‘professional’ race-baiting author of dim thought processes. Not worth the space in the Times, nor all the comments there. All our lives we’ve spent staying the hell away from blacks going back to our grandparents. Simple stuff this. Dorothy Brown is kooky in the search and reach for SOMETHING to call the basic strategy of home buying, which is a survival strategy that has but ONE priority, staying the hell away from blacks, their crime and violence, a strategy liberals cloak as the search for “good schools. When Dorothy moves out of Fairfax City, Virginia and into NE DC, say 20 blocks out from Capitol Hill on the Anacostia river, on Martin Luther King Ave in close to SE, she can then see why we move away. She’s never experienced it herself, I promise. And believe you me, if they plant hood rats near her fancy house in a White neighborhood and she realizes it’s a home invasion risk, she’ll move faster than a speeding bullet. The hypocrisy of these women is breathtaking.

  58. @anon
    @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    Why was there no increase in the murder rate in the months after the Ferguson riots ?

    In the comment you just replied to:


    During the first BLM Era, the total number of murders went up 22.9% from 2014 to 2016, with the biggest increases tending to be in cities where BLM won politically, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and Chicago.
     
    Suggest you read more carefully. Also the Unz search tool is pretty good. Try using it.

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/q-does-the-ferguson-effect-exist-a-it-sure-does-in-ferguson/

    https://www.unz.com/isteve/liberal-researcher-now-admits-ferguson-effect-on-murder-is-real/

    ‘Some version’ of theory linking protests over police killings to increase in crime may be best explanation for increase in murders in 2015, St Louis criminologist says after deeper analysis of crime trends
     

    Replies: @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco

    There was no national surge in murders after Ferguson. The murder rate went down in 2014

    Steve then ignored this fact and jumped to 2016 statistics to show 2 year trend

    Yet 2020 had a surge of 25% within 5 months of the Floyd rioting. Very different outcome , Why?

    Because the lockdowns in 2020 resulted in a pandemic of rioting unlike 2014…..0ver 500 riots in 2020 compared to 2 in 2014. Why

    Over 2,000 BLM protests in 2020 , just 25 in 2014. Why….

    • Replies: @res
    @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco


    Over 2,000 BLM protests in 2020 , just 25 in 2014. Why….
     
    The 2020 election. Is that not obvious?
  59. @David
    @res

    I sent Steve an excel workbook with the data. It excludes accidental shootings and suicides. Contains about 107,000 records.

    Did you continue to follow Verisk's covid 19 pandemic model that you once linked to? How did they do?

    Replies: @res

    Thanks for putting together that data. Has there been a post about it? I haven’t been following iSteve closely the last few days and need to catch up.

    Did you continue to follow Verisk’s covid 19 pandemic model that you once linked to? How did they do?

    No. I got pretty frustrated with the Covidiocy in May and stopped paying as much attention. The link I gave in this comment
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/sneeze-and-fly/#comment-3890408
    is broken, which seems like a bad sign.

    Verisk has more at
    https://www.verisk.com/resources/COVID-19/

    This recent article states 90% is likely needed for herd immunity which makes me now inclined to think they are idiots.
    https://www.verisk.com/insurance/covid-19/iso-insights/new-models-and-ai-may-improve-covid-19-case-estimates/

    • Replies: @David
    @res

    Thanks for the links. Steve has not posted on it yet. I'd bet he's thinking it through.

    Verisk's real product is junk models that allow insurance company management to sidestep responsibility by relying on the accepted experts. It doesn't diminish the value of their business proposition that even after an event, with all NOAA's data freely available to all, Verisk's initial estimate of damage is sometimes off by 20 times their own estimated standard deviation.

  60. @Hernan Pizzaro del Blanco
    @anon

    There was no national surge in murders after Ferguson. The murder rate went down in 2014

    Steve then ignored this fact and jumped to 2016 statistics to show 2 year trend

    Yet 2020 had a surge of 25% within 5 months of the Floyd rioting. Very different outcome , Why?

    Because the lockdowns in 2020 resulted in a pandemic of rioting unlike 2014.....0ver 500 riots in 2020 compared to 2 in 2014. Why

    Over 2,000 BLM protests in 2020 , just 25 in 2014. Why....

    Replies: @res

    Over 2,000 BLM protests in 2020 , just 25 in 2014. Why….

    The 2020 election. Is that not obvious?

  61. @res
    @David

    Thanks for putting together that data. Has there been a post about it? I haven't been following iSteve closely the last few days and need to catch up.


    Did you continue to follow Verisk’s covid 19 pandemic model that you once linked to? How did they do?
     
    No. I got pretty frustrated with the Covidiocy in May and stopped paying as much attention. The link I gave in this comment
    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/sneeze-and-fly/#comment-3890408
    is broken, which seems like a bad sign.

    Verisk has more at
    https://www.verisk.com/resources/COVID-19/

    This recent article states 90% is likely needed for herd immunity which makes me now inclined to think they are idiots.
    https://www.verisk.com/insurance/covid-19/iso-insights/new-models-and-ai-may-improve-covid-19-case-estimates/

    Replies: @David

    Thanks for the links. Steve has not posted on it yet. I’d bet he’s thinking it through.

    Verisk’s real product is junk models that allow insurance company management to sidestep responsibility by relying on the accepted experts. It doesn’t diminish the value of their business proposition that even after an event, with all NOAA’s data freely available to all, Verisk’s initial estimate of damage is sometimes off by 20 times their own estimated standard deviation.

    • Thanks: res

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