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From my new column in Taki’s Magazine:

The Nobel Prize and the Cocaine Gold Rush
Steve Sailer

October 13, 2021

This week’s awarding of the (quasi-) Nobel Prize in economics to David Card for, in part, an immigration study that I definitively undermined way back in 2006 raises a nagging question in my mind: As cancel culture gets ever more pervasive, are my better insights tending, perversely, to dumb down the world by ruling ever larger chunks of reality off-limits to the ambitious?

Card’s celebrated research into the impact on Miami wages of the 1980 Mariel boatlift of immigrants is such a sitting duck that it’s hard otherwise to explain why nobody respectable has dared call it out in the last decade and a half.

Is my productivity and prescience keeping more respectable thinkers from later either:

—Citing me for a discovery, and thus risk being tarred by guilt with association for having heard of me, or

—Stealing a discovery of mine and thus risking guilt by association that way?

Read the whole thing there.

 
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  1. Some Guy says:

    You need an alter ego with a clean reputation for your non-HBD observations.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
  2. You have overturned one of the Academic Axioms. It is now Publish and Perish.

  3. We need to start printing Steve’s observations and storing them for posterity. He’ll finally get recognized for his accomplishments.
    Okay, it’s going to be in 3125, after the recovery from the oncoming dark age, but it will be recognition.

  4. What I never expected was that my breakthroughs would somehow subtract from the sum of knowledge in the world by rendering numerous good ideas increasingly off-limits to those who would, understandably, rather publish than perish.

    It’s not just you, Steve (though by doing a lot of accurate observing, it is disproportionately you). The current Establishment is hostile to truth always and everywhere. They rightly fear that if truth gets the upper hand over falsehood, it would be bad for them. They love falsehood, need falsehood, just on general principle.

    • Replies: @ChrisZ
    , @bomag
  5. SafeNow says:

    Yes, Steve, you might have dumbed-down the world by being a version of the Trump derangement syndrome. However, Sailer derangement syndrome is much smaller than TDS; you are only, alas, a (comparatively) mute inglorious Milton. Further, consider that many have no doubt stolen the ideas, and then said they are building on a concept they heard, um, someone on MSNBC mention; thus, you helped the world, but MSNBC got the credit

    I personally try to avoid instilling SafeNow derangement syndrome into my family and friends, as they despise me as a deplorable, and would react by rejecting a sound, rational idea. It’s a challenge to present the idea obliquely so that it is not attributed to me.

    • Agree: El Dato
    • Replies: @Anonymous
  6. ChrisZ says:
    @Almost Missouri

    I was going to reply that you are *almost* making a theological point in this comment, A.M. Then I clicked on the link and saw that you were already way ahead of me. Nicely done.

    “A liar, and the father of lies,” indeed.

    • Replies: @Almost Missouri
  7. You should realize what power this gives you, Steve, this ability to tarnish people’s reputation at whim*.

    About 3 years ago, Peak Stupidity wrote this same idea about an incident in which TV pundit/Trump advisor Larry Kudlow was accused of “White Nationalism” for having his friend Peter Brimelow over at his home for a Christmas party (as he had invited the Brimelow to many parties before). In this case, Mr. Brimelow didn’t want to cause his friend more grief, as related in this interview on VDare (video is gone, but transcript is there).

    However, as we wrote in “6 Degrees from Kevin Bacon”, this ability to tarnish a reputation could be used as a force for GOOD, too!

    You have access to the alt-right Kryptonite, Mr. Sailer. Find some of those really nasty people of the alt-left, say those doxxers that a guy on VDare writes about occasionally. Then write them emails thanking them for this or that, or invite them to “try to make my Christmas party this year” and get these cards and emails out there in some tweets.

    Oh, oh, right, that wouldn’t be playing fair. I guess the White race will just take that fairness to the grave then.

    .

    * There’s that “whimming” again. You like to whim stuff, don’t you, Steve?

  8. hruodland says:

    You may be underestimating the stupidity of respectable discourse.

    Levitt’s claim (which you mention in in the TakiMag version) was that aborting the babies of single black women reduces crime. Debunking it might be anti-abortion but it’s pro-black and therefore permissible. Nobody’s going to go after someone who makes it.

    “Cocaine propped up wages in Miami” would have been treated as a white supremacist talking point even without the Sailer intervention since it undercuts a claim that invasion by Latin American lowlifes is OK. Any club would have been good enough to beat it down.

    • Replies: @Stan Adams
  9. @Achmed E. Newman

    PS: I will read your Taki column now. I always enjoy them.

  10. JackOH says:

    The current Establishment is hostile to truth always and everywhere. They rightly fear that if truth gets the upper hand over falsehood, it would be bad for them. They love falsehood, need falsehood, just on general principle.

    AM, I’m sort of an insider-observer at my local Podunk Tech, and I’ve sometimes thought if you want to know what truth is:

    (1) take any assertion made by a prof or administrator,

    (2) run like hell in the opposite direction until your lungs are bursting,

    (3) when you’ve collapsed from exhaustion, that’s when you know you’re closer to the truth.

    I saw that David Card award along with a newspaper summary of his work. WTF, I thought? I think any reasonably educated person can guess that raising wages from about 6% of total revenues (as is the case at one local store) to 6.6% of total revenues won’t be much of a total employment ball-buster at all.

    Your statement that I block-quoted above may be a little exaggerated, but, depending on subject matter, not by much. (Medical economics, e. g., is so badly compromised by the professors’ own interests in not rocking the boat, that no one has bothered to truthfully examine the nature, meaning, and consequences of group health insurance for 80 years.)

    • Thanks: Almost Missouri
  11. bomag says:
    @Almost Missouri

    Used to be common to hear the Lord Acton quote “absolute power corrupts absolutely.”

    I haven’t heard the quote much anymore. I guess there is more absolute power now, and they don’t want bad press.

    The next line of Acton’s quote is “Great men are almost always bad men.”

    • Replies: @res
  12. Gunner says:

    How can Slate just completely remove Sailer’s name from something he wrote? Does this mean that in 20 years, the then-current owner of the New York Times can change the author of every Ibram X. Kendi opinion piece to “Random Black Moron”?

  13. The Smart Fraction puts their careers first, being good careerists. They don’t challenge the king, the dictator or fashionable opinion (if it has teeth).

    You need a general population. Especially those who can’t help blurting out the truth. When Enoch Powell gave his speech, did the intellectuals turn out for him? No, it was the working class. Sadly, truth tellers often court “elite” opinion instead of the people.

  14. Nonsense, Mr Sailer. People seemingly steal from you all the time (after carefully practicing “Steven the Sailor? And it’s a blog, you say…? Never heard of it. ” until they can say it without a sly grin), hence all my Planet X comments over the years.

    [Planet X (I still call it that, the relevant Wiki article is called “Planet Nine”) is a hypothesized body whose gravitational effects are believed to explain the orbits of a group of ETNOs, in other words something whose existence we don’t 100% know but can infer from its effects. Things you bring up frequently and inexplicably make their way into Megaphone-approved sources who cannot acknowledge that they read you.]

    As long as you don’t mind being an eminense grise of sorts who does not receive the credit, I think the usual suspects have ways of presenting some of your insights in ways that its origins can be concealed. And at the very least, your ideas are out there, hopefully available to be (re)discovered when they fit through the Overton window…

    I sometimes wonder if you feel like the Dr Miles Bennell character in the original Invasion of the Body Snatchers. (at the end, “Let him go, no one will believe him.”

  15. Ian Smith says:

    I saw one estimate that blacks would be around 20% of the population without abortion, so I’m not sure you completely debunked Freakonomics.

  16. Pericles says:

    “You unlock this door with the key of imagination. Beyond it is another dimension – a dimension of sound, a dimension of sight, a dimension of mind. You’re moving into a land of both shadow and substance, of things and ideas. You’ve just crossed over into the Sailer Zone.”

  17. No, you are merely elevating yourself to a higher plane.

  18. Scott Adams made similar, but less pointed, comments in his daily podcast Oct 12. He drew the comparison to the nonsense of trying to determine effectiveness of covid reponses between states or between countries. “all else being equal” is almost NEVER true. You point out a glaring difference that invalidates the study.

    Moreover, in a complex system, small changes can propagate nonlinearly. Scott neglected that there are also interaction effects. That is, the result may not depend on one thing or another, but on the synergy of the interaction.

    Scott goes on to conclude that assuming all others things are equal is unscientific. He is correct, and some unmeasured confounder is always a lurking threat to validity.

    • Thanks: Right_On
  19. Unlike the real Nobel Prizes, the Economics quasi-Nobel is not awarded to whoever has done the best work. The prize committee is greatly assisted in their endeavors by the simple fact that economists cannot agree about anything.

    So, George Borjas’ work on immigration is ignored, while David Card’s flawed work wins.

    Perhaps it is time to institute another prize “in honor of Alfred Nobel”, and award it to someone whose work has been overlooked because it does not get the PC answer. This would put the “real” Nobel Prize foundation in a dilemma. Should they sue, perhaps for trademark infringement or “passing off”? This would draw attention to the new prize. But it would also be impossible for them to ignore the new prize – they would have to insist that it is not the real thing and has nothing to do with them.

    The prize subject would have to be something that is as high-minded as the original prizes, so it plausibly honors Alfred Nobel. Perhaps History, the Humanities, or Human Sciences.

    • Replies: @El Dato
  20. With or without a cocaine economy, a sudden surge in population is going to result in economic growth under the conditions generally associated with modernity. More people means more producers and consumers. As long as there is enough liquidity elsewhere in the system to provide for their credit needs, and enough surplus capacity to provide for their consumption, then more people means a bigger economy overall.

    If anything, a drug-induced boom results in less economic growth than would have occurred with a land- or resource-boom. Drugs have a low multiplier effect: Unlike more mundane goods like steel and concrete and hydrocarbons, you can’t use them to build out additional capacity; and the resulting increases in crime, addiction, broken families, and healthcare needs impose burdensome social costs. On the other hand, a small coterie of people in the FIRE sector may become ultra-productive for a few short years during their coke-fueled marathons, but that kind of growth is more inflationary than real (kind of like the drugs themselves).

    I don’t know what all the vainglorious self-praise in this column was about, especially since the only real point that you end up making, the only conclusion that can be logically sifted from the otiose, ironical humble-bragging—and that quite independently of your intentions—is that coke is great for the economy. So are you dumbing down the world, Steve? With ideas like that, certainly yes—but not in the manner you would like to believe.

    • LOL: Twinkie
    • Replies: @kaganovitch
  21. It’s an interesting concept: Steve Sailer as a sort of black hole of knowledge. Once something gets into a Sailer orbit, it disappears.

    Or, Steve Sailer as an if-then logic gate installed bassackwards or sideways or something, such that “if it is true according to Sailer, then it must be treated as false or ignored.”

    Why though, did the dombåsses on the Nobel committee feel compelled to follow this anti-Sailer logic? Surely they didn’t need some other economist to confirm for them what Steve made obvious. They simply could have ignored Card’s work and given the prize to someone else, preferably a black woman, and pretended not to “notice.”

    • Replies: @Bert
  22. Charon says:
    @Bill Jones

    Haven’t heard that joke since the 1980s! Then again, I haven’t been in school since the 1980s. Back then we said it with “and” in [verbal] italics.

  23. Charon says:
    @Redneck farmer

    It’s an interesting theory–very popular around here–that Asians will someday resurrect Western Civilization.

    Aside from some selections of classical music, I don’t see it happening.

  24. Steve,

    I think the problem is that you are not using the current tools of econometric analysis to attack Card’s conclusion; you are attacking the the tools themselves by raising the (correct, in my view) point that they fail to account for an obvious confounder. Because N=1 (Miami) for this confounder, there is no piece of clever math that can adjust the analysis to account for it.

    You’re attacking a paradigm, not a specific finding.

    Of course, the truth that most of the real-world “findings” of causal impacts of policy changes that are derived form non-experimental methods are horseshit will eventually out, but that may take a long, long time.

  25. Mr. Sailer also shouldn’t hold his breath waiting for the Nobel Prize for Modesty.

  26. Sure, to some extent, yes of course. Whether that’s true in this case or not, who knows? About five years ago, I had someone tell me that the immigration into Florida/Miami was great by virtue of the economic boom. Having read your take on it, I had a pretty good rejoinder, and the person I was talking to ultimately conceded that I/(Steve Sailer) was correct. That would seem to imply that they understood, or were at least open to on some subconscious level, that this cocaine-fueled boom was a big part of the economic success they had been arguing for. Whether or not the Nobel winning thesis has anything to do with your more interesting assessment, it’s certainly not novel. Which is why you were responding to it in the first place. The real takeaway, I hope, is that there is absolutely no value in trying to appeal to the Bari Weiss character class. Whatever else you do, please never do that again. Or continue to do it again with the understanding that it’s completely futile and stupid.

  27. I’m Sailer, the man so insightful
    the mundane of brain find me frightful.
    Too shrewd for my shirt;
    so productive it hurts!
    So prescient I find me delightful!

    ********************************

    Go by the name of Kid Insight
    Super-educated I’m brighter than bright
    If you ever read me you will confess
    Ain’t no brother like the S.E.S.

    Know what I mean? I’m tellin’ you! With the echo? I’m tellin’ you!
    https://genius.com/Beastie-boys-intergalactic-lyrics

  28. Ralph L says:

    It doesn’t sound right to call you a “sell-in.” How about “hot potato?”

  29. Lex says:

    As I remember some British traitors were using BNP talking about grooming as an excuse for not investigating the issue and sweeping it under the rug.

  30. Anonymous[141] • Disclaimer says:

    It’s not just you, Steve. The issue is that macro-weenies routinely want to do these small sample size experiments (with lots of uncontrolled variables) to try to repudiate supply and demand. Had my issues with James Hamilton discussing oil for example. He lacked good micro instincts (for example explaining Saudi cuts after a price drop as normal response, but of course Saudis are at the LOW end of the cost curve, not the marginal barrel).

    Micro uber macro. Macro is for weenies. Micro is for thinkers.

  31. Well, you must be because you do not appear on the Facebook Dangerous Individuals list.

    Anyone not on that list is obviously a globalist stooge. You know the type, parroting official Covid talking points and worrying about the vaccine efficacy for a not-vaccine gene-editing killer jab.

    The rich white industrialists, Wall Street & non-profit types must really do share your views on criminality, HBD and golf course architecture.

    Congrats!

    https://theintercept.com/document/2021/10/12/facebook-dangerous-individuals-and-organizations-list-reproduced-snapshot/

  32. Harvard professor George Borjas debunked Card’s work on Miami as well. He has also shown that immigrants are a huge burden on society and hurt working and middle class and the rich get richer.

    In effect, immigration furthers redistribution of wealth from the vast majority to the very rich. The oligarchs like the increased inequality. Of course, increased inequality will destroy the country, but they expect to be on top when that happens.

    • Thanks: ziggurat
  33. It’s been my suspicion for some time that this column, and you, are gateway drugs seeding with doubt scientists and intellectuals who’d otherwise seek all their standards and interpretations from the stagnant, rotting establishment hive.

  34. It’s much like Trump Derangement — if he says the sky is blue liberals pray for rain, grab their umbrellas and don their LL Bean rain gear. The very air realistiic white people breathe becomes toxic

  35. Is this usual? Not the usual Tendency to Interpersonal Victimhood (“racial microaggressions were rife, experienced by 71% of Black music creators“) but the level of mental and physical impairment?

    https://www.theguardian.com/music/2021/oct/13/black-music-makers-uk-racism-industry-study-pay-gap-discrimination

    Black Lives in Music is a body advocating for equal opportunities for Black people to work in the UK music industry without discrimination. The study is the first of its kind and intended to address the lack of data on the everyday reality for Black music personnel.

    It surveyed 1,718 performers, creatives and industry staff. Sixty-four per cent of respondents were from Black, mixed and Asian ethnicities, working across genres and from grassroots to established levels. The majority (55%) lived in London, and 17% had a longstanding physical or mental impairment, condition, illness or disability.

    That’s nearly 1 in 5. Seems an awful lot, or is that par for “creatives” of any race?

    The rest of the piece is par for the course.

    Anonymous respondents reported “having to repeatedly ask other artists to stop using the N-word”

    White musicians are renowned for scattering N-words throughout their conversation, as we know.

    “The data clearly shows change is needed across the entire music ecosystem, from grassroots education all the way up to record labels,” said the chief executive of Black Lives in Music, Charisse Beaumont. “I hope this report provokes change in the way we do our music business, which has greatly profited from Black talent.”

    I’ve been hearing black music on the BBC ever since Radio 1 opened up in 1967, and indeed well before that. The BBC has an entire radio network (1Xtra) devoted to black music, and another aimed at Asian (Indian/Pakistani) listeners.

    In recent years, prominent Black British musicians such as Leigh-Anne Pinnock of Little Mix, Keisha Buchanan of Sugababes, Raye, VV Brown, Heather Small and the X Factor winners Alexandra Burke and Rebecca Ferguson have opened up about their experiences of racism and its effects on their mental health within the UK music industry.

    The rapper Tinie Tempah also recently spoke of the inequalities facing Black artists within the UK music industry. “You’re a rapper so this is your budget and you’re Black, but this is a folk artist from Shropshire … they haven’t sold as many records as you but we think that they are more viable, so we’re going to spend more,” he told PA Media.

    We’ve all noted the huge marketing budgets devoted to folk singers from Shropshire. That’s why the late Fred Jordan sold so many records, and why Dennis Crowther has 26 million views on youtube.

    Heather Small (of M people) faces such racism that her son (with rugby legend Shaun Edwards) not only got a plum Parliamentary intern job but is now a prospective Labour Party candidate.

    Maybe Mr Tempah was thinking of a folk singer from Worcestershire?

  36. It’s just that you are embarrassing them. Watching you comment on the accepted wisdom in your core topics is a little like watching Pele play soccer with a group of third grade girls. Unlike actual third grade girls, the bien pensants have a very high opinion of their skills and very thin skins.

  37. @Achmed E. Newman

    Steve could pull an Address Unknown and get libs in big trouble just by sending them friendly approving tweets

    • Agree: Achmed E. Newman
  38. Occam’s razor says they push this miami labor market narrative because it serves the interests economists always serve (jews, the rich, elite schools, and corporations especially finance) and because economists, being charlatans, can never admit that the entire mathematic-centric modern form of the discipline only exists because of assumptions that oversimplify the real world to the point of rendering any non trivial conclusion useless.

    I don’t think this has anything to do with you, Steve.

  39. TWS says:

    Maybe you could help Unz with his more Hispanics less crime modeling. But what do my lying eyes know?

  40. Muggles says:

    Here’s another looming iSteve effect soon to be enacted:

    Based upon Sailer’s Law, legal sanctions against shooting people in mass settings and possession of hidden weapons will no longer be enforced against blacks.

    Since Sailer’s Law tells us that death rates from shootings by blacks are orders of magnitude lower than shootings by others, there is no reason to hold blacks (in general) to the same rigorous standards applied to non blacks. They simply can’t shoot straight and are inherently less dangerous.

    “Shots rang out, hitting surprisingly few…”

  41. At least David Card’s boatlift study isn’t nearly as bad as his fast-food minimum wage study, his other famous paper. I just put together a web page with on the two article that destroy that paper:

    https://www.rasmusen.org/rasmapedia/index.php?title=Minimum_Wage#The_Card-Kreuger_Study

    • Thanks: El Dato
    • Replies: @Luke Lea
  42. @Redneck farmer

    We need to start printing Steve’s observations and storing them for posterity. He’ll finally get recognized for his accomplishments.
    Okay, it’s going to be in 3125, after the recovery from the oncoming dark age, but it will be recognition.

    Steve is, like Pat Buchanan, a modern day Cassandra.

  43. Bycycle says:

    Troy Apke. Steve your dreams have now been fulfilled. A starting CB for Washington. And he white

  44. anon[148] • Disclaimer says:

    Ignoring both Miami Vice and Scarface? Only a profession based on ignoring all common sense.

  45. Luke Lea says:

    “Steve Sailer, the Greatest Journalist in America Nobody Has Ever Heard Of” would make a good headline.

    We’ll know we’ve turned a corner when that article (or book review?) appears in a mainstream publication.

    My own contribution to that, perhaps, far off day:

    “Realism is the first desideratum for moral responsibility in this world.”

  46. Rob McX says:

    Steve, possibly some confirmation (from London) of your Armenian theory.

    Businessman, 43, who bludgeoned PA of ”Ukrainian mafia boss ‘Odessa Don”’ to death in bid to steal her cash because he was £100,000 in debt is found guilty of murder

    Armen Aristakesyan, 43, had debts of more than £100,000

    Maybe the Kardashians are the good ones, as some commenter said.

    More OT news:

    Members of the Dutch royal family can marry same sex partners without giving up the throne.

    • Thanks: BB753
  47. guest says:
    @Redneck farmer

    Maybe he could ghost publish under a false identity. Like Stephen Normal.

  48. Anonymous[324] • Disclaimer says:

    The law of supply and demand is *the* axiom upon which economics is based upon, much in the same way as the axioms of Euclid’s Elements undergird all his varied theorems, and indeed the subject of geometry.
    Similarly, Darwin’s theory of evolution is the basis of contemporary thought in biology, in electricity, the concept of ‘charge’ holds pride of place, and as the physics books never cease to lecture us, gravity is both ‘vertical’ and ‘unavoidable’.
    Mathematics has the law of addition as its basic building block, while without an alphabet, or pictograms, written literature would be impossible.

    Simply put, the law of supply and demand holds that rational, self interested actors making free exchanges in freely held bargains do so in accordance with the adundance and utility of that which they have to offer, that is, the price of a commodity is determined by what the buyer is prepared to pay for it, given the availability of that commodity.

  49. This is a lot like another celebrated economics paper that I subverted by pointing out a different cocaine extravaganza ignored by academic economists: Steven “Freakonomics” Levitt’s theory that Roe v. Wade lowered the murder rate by aborting bad boys.

    Levitt compared 1985’s crime rate with 1997’s and noticed that 1997’s was lower, and therefore theorized—to great acclaim from other economists—that this was due to abortion being legalized in January 1973. Abortion, you see, would serve to cull the criminal class, making us all safer on the streets.

    This reminds me of another observable fact that is beyond the pale in fashionable left circles – viz, that increased and aggressive policing has a positive impact upon violent crime.

    In 1994, the Clinton administration with an assist from the Senior Democratic Senator from Delaware, and in a “triangulation” effort to save the sinking ship that was his administration signed into law the Violent Crime Control and Law Enforcement Act and promised the Federal funding of 100,000 new additional police officers. The VCCLEA Federalized a lot of crimes and introduced mandatory sentencing minimums for Federal offenses. So beginning thereafter it was possible for your local U.S. Attorney’s Office to decapitate entire narcotics trafficking enterprises and cast their Kingpins and associates to the four winds of the Federal penal system for 30+ years. The successors in those organizations – to the extent that they wanted to risk the same fate – were near universally less competent than the predecessors.

    Naturally this was a clear triumph of government policy – we locked up the real bad guys terrorizing our nation’s urban cores and low income exurbs. But leftist politics had lurched so far left that by the time that Clinton’s wife could actually secure the Democratic nomination for President in 2016 her previous anti-crime statements had become political liabilities with elements of the Democratic base.

    So the left is about trying to explain away the reduction in violent crime beginning in the mid 1990s by any means other than the obvious fact that we prioritized more aggressive policing in cities. The two favorites (because they simultaneously stroke lefty erogenous zones) are “hell, I guess we killed the Kingpins in the womb!” and “abatement of lead paint and lead gasoline additives made people less criminally insane.”

    I’d say the late Obama BLM era has given us another set of data points – de-policing was followed by sharp increases in violent crimes, often localized to areas which served as the venue for anti-police advocacy. I suppose, however, that we should be looking for upticks in abortions in the early 2000s or people in the early 2000s painting rental properties in inner cities with contraband lead paint.

  50. Luke Lea says:
    @Eric Rasmusen

    Unless I am mistaken, a simple way to refute the idea that a \$15/hour minimum wage would not lead to greater involuntary unemployment is to point out that there are people willing to work for less. To raise the minimum would, at the very least, not decrease the supply of labor while almost certainly decreasing the demand (because those increased labor costs would be passed on in the form of higher prices and/or more automation).

    The problem here, at least as I see it, is that too many academic economists are attempting to saw off the limb on which their whole discipline depends, namely, the law of supply and demand. They want to cancel Adam Smith.

  51. El Dato says:

    “Our research indicates that it came too close to Steve Sailer and was … deliberately buried … on the moon”.
    “… deliberately buried!?”
    “Yes. Deliberately. Buried.”

  52. El Dato says:
    @Rob McX

    I raise you a Nancy:

    Queen of Investing: Just how did Nancy Pelosi build a \$120mn fortune on a \$223,000 annual salary?

    “The week before the House Judiciary Committee voted on reigning in big tech,” reported Fortune in July, “Speaker Nancy Pelosi’s husband exercised a bullish bet on Google-parent Alphabet, in a timely transaction that netted him \$5.3 million.”

    Definitely beats beating poor PAs to death.

  53. theMann says:

    HAH!

    I knew there was a reason I feel dumber than I did five years ago. Shame on you Steve!

  54. @Luke Lea

    Shut down immigration and you can have higher wages — or you can employ younger people the way we used to. Teenagers used to do the jobs stoop labor immigrants are doing here now. It’s disgusting.

    Fast food, landscaping, lawn mowing, gas stations. You name it, my teenage friends did it.

    You want supply and demand? Yes. Cut the supply of cheap labor coming into our country. It’s so simple that nobody can do a paper on it, and that’s why nobody does.

    • Agree: Rich, 2BR, Realist, TWS
  55. @Luke Lea

    Before the introduction of a minimum wage in Germany in the year 2015 many leading economists tried to intervene in an unparalleled explicit way: they argued that the minimum wage would lead to stark rise of unemployment. They made it is very clear that from a scientific viewpoint they were no doubts this would happen. Then the minimum wage got introduced and unemployment did not rise.

  56. @Luke Lea

    The “law” of supply and demand is a scam.

    You know nothing about real life. They used to raise the MW all the time. You wouldn’t know that, though. You are too young. And young means stupid.

    • Troll: El Dato, ic1000
  57. @Luke Lea

    I just found a fun fact that shows your lovely “free” markets at work:

    The UK is experiencing some of the worst shortages of oil. The old strategic reserve of oil was privatized, then when it was considered unprofitable to keep it running (repairs and maintainence were needed) most of it was gotten rid of.

    So much for your “laws”. Hardehar.

    • Replies: @El Dato
  58. nobody with an ounce of self-preservation instinct can even steal my ideas anymore.

    “He that findeth his life shall lose it: and he that loseth his life for my sake shall find it.”

    “To this end was I born, and for this cause came I into the world, that I should bear witness unto the truth. Every one that is of the truth heareth my voice.

    Pilate saith unto him, What is truth?”

    “Thomas saith unto him, Lord, we know not whither thou goest; and how can we know the way?

    Jesus saith unto him, I am the way, the truth, and the life”

    This was the Heart of the civilization people evidently expect to carry on as always without it. A brain without a heart is a dead lump of necrotic tissue.

    The True, the Good, and the Beautiful are not a “choose 2” quip. It’s a package deal.

    https://www.gutenberg.org/files/23772/23772-h/23772-h.htm

  59. El Dato says:
    @Rob McX

    Funnily enough, the Grauntards’ heading says

    Dutch royals can marry person of same gender without giving up throne, says PM

    So a body 1 identifying as male can marry body 2 identifying as male even if both are equipped with royal vaginas?

  60. —Stealing a discovery of mine and thus risking guilt by association that way?

    I would think that stealing from such a notorious badthinker as Steve would be seen as a virtue. Or one could proclaim ignorance of any specific arguments he makes because of avoiding the writings of such a problematic person altogether.

  61. @Rob McX

    Re: the story about the Armenian bludgeoner of the “Odessa Don crime boss’s” secretary: I noted that 2/3rds of the way down the Daily Mail article, it’s mentioned the crime boss is actually “Russian/Israeli”. Thus confirming another unpopular fact (that these alleged Russian crime bosses are very rarely Slavic gentiles).

    • Replies: @kaganovitch
  62. Rich says:

    Maybe something else we can learn from the early 80s is that if you let enough illegals in, and have a wild drug trade going on, people will make a lot of money. Restaurant workers, construction workers, car salesmen, real estate developers, etc. can make a bundle. For a while. Then you can shut it all down, lock up a bunch of the criminals, and start the game all over again. I bet Krugman would approve.

  63. Hey Steve, let’s keep that ego under control. Here, I’ll help.
    You haven’t run any pro-vax propaganda in weeks. What happened? Just because it doesn’t work doesn’t mean there’s no reason to keep pushing it on ignorant plebs and virtue-signalling idiot liberals. Bernard at moon of alabama is made of sterner stuff. He’s still all in on the vax hoax.

  64. Anonymous[264] • Disclaimer says:

    Megalomaniac: “The world is as it is because it turns around me.”

    Negalolmaniac: “The world is as it is because it turns away from me.”

    It’s actually more the what than the who.

    Gladwell wrote something on David v Goliath with Palestinians as the David, and his star has fallen since.

  65. Bert says:
    @Buzz Mohawk

    It’s an interesting concept: Steve Sailer as a sort of black hole of knowledge. Once something gets into a Sailer orbit, it disappears.

    That seems to be the case.

    Therefore I should be glad that Mr. Sailer did not engage my hypothesis that the Homo sapiens clade represents 3 extant species not 1, these being defined by the level of cultural attainment in the year 1800 of the Eurasians, the Sub-Saharans, and the aborigines of Australia-New Guinea, respectively the 3 species.

    As best I recall I posted the hypothesis here a couple of months ago. The idea could be argued in a book length exposition backed by strong evidence, not only from the archaeological record but also from contemporary evidence of non-Eurasian dysfunction in majority Eurasian countries. It of course assumes that, in a culture-producing creature, the level of attainment of the extended phenotype that is culture has more relevance for classification than mere inter-fertility, which exists between numerous parapatric and allopatric vertebrate congeneric species and is not considered the crucial factor in those cases for species recognition.

    It’s lucky that my hypothesis, being too incendiary for Mr. Sailer to be willing to address, is saved from the black hole. Maybe I will write the book myself.

    • Replies: @Bert
  66. immigration doesn’t hurt native workers’ wages!

    Wages don’t fall as quickly as producer prices, so across an economy, despite lower average wages, consumers can still buy more.

    Government policies prevent prices from falling. Or maybe you think that consumers really do want new, \$70K, 40 mpg, hybrid pickup trucks?

  67. @Luke Lea

    “The problem here, at least as I see it, is that too many academic economists are attempting to saw off the limb on which their whole discipline depends, namely, the law of supply and demand. They want to cancel Adam Smith.”

    Yes!

  68. Bert says:
    @Bert

    For the biologically interested:

    A Temporary Convenience: A Critical Review of the Species Concept
    William S. Abruzzi
    (2015)

    http://www.drabruzzi.com/species_concept.htm

  69. Am I, Personally, Dumbing Down the World?

    I say:

    YES!

    Steve Sailer is doing three things to dumb down the world:

    Sailer is dumbing down the world by 1) refusing to focus on monetary policy when monetary policy has clear and direct ties to human biodiversity and 2) by claiming to have figured out the political and cultural logic of the 21st Century and by 3) not moderating all my comments on through the Sailer Whim Machine.

    Monetary policy that benefits the billionaires and the top ten percent loot holders and mass immigration that destroys cultural cohesion and national sovereignty — or debt and demography — is the logic of the 21st century and a further elaboration helps explain why the White people in various European Christian nations stood by and did nothing while their nations were flooded out with foreigners.

    The globalized central banks are involved in the greatest inter-generational ripoff scam of all time. That is why we find negative interest rates and zero interest rates and asset purchases and quantitative easing and money printing and all the rest. Debt created and sustained by the monetary extremism of central banks has been used to buy off the greedy White dolts born before 1965. Mass immigration is only tolerated because of the greedy White scum who are bought off by the machinations of the globalized central banks.

    The greedy White scum born before 1965 will deserve the curses of those who come after. They stood by and did nothing while their nations were turned into Third World hellholes.

    On second thought, if you’re business model is to stay off the main essential logic of the 21st Century in order to clam rake loot out of White greedy slobs born before 1965, then maybe it makes sense to avoid talk of asset bubbles and monetary policy extremism and inter-generational late stage imperial cultural rot and just keep the pedal to the metal on World War Tranny and the like.

    Don’t forget the Great Lakes states instead of some college football conference name to further describe the SAILER STRATEGY states.

    Okay, maybe this Sailer guy ain’t dumbing things down too much.

    Heat wave in New England just as the nice cool weather had settled in.

    • Replies: @kaganovitch
    , @Steve Sailer
  70. OT

    Her predecessor, Keith Vaz, was one of the dodgiest Asian MPs ever elected to Parliament. Now Leicester East’s black Labour MP, Claudia Webbe, has been convicted of harassment.

    https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-10088553/MP-threatened-throw-acid-suspected-love-rival-gets-glowing-reference-Corbyn.html

    Former Labour MP Claudia Webbe has been found guilty of harassment after threatening to throw acid over a suspected love rival.

    Chief Magistrate Paul Goldspring announced the verdict Wednesday afternoon following a trial at Westminster Magistrates’ Court.

    The trial heard how Ms Webbe, 56, allegedly called Michelle Merritt, 59, ‘a slag’ and said she would send naked photos of her to her family.

    So far so normal. But reading the full report, it sounds as if

    a) the stuff about acid was an allegation – but the judge seems to be treating it as proven – which could well mean prison.

    b) Ms Webbe’s boyfriend, a football agent, was winding her up something rotten. He had frequently visited the harassee during his relationship with Ms Webbe, following Roissy’s injunction to “keep her jealous and always keep two in the kitty”. He knew it drove her up the bedroom wall, but, as Roissy said, “chicks dig jerks”.

    In the recording, played to the court, Ms Webbe answers the phone and immediately begins shouting at Ms Merritt.

    Webbe says: ‘Why are you still butting in and getting with Lester? Why, why?

    ‘He’s not your friend, he’s with me and I don’t want you to be in touch with me, I don’t want you to be in touch with him.’

    In the background Lester Thomas, Ms Webbe’s partner, can be heard shouting: ‘Don’t listen to her, send me a message whenever you like.

    ‘Michelle, come off the phone and call the police.’

    Webbe screams: ‘Lester why don’t you go and live with her? Take everything and go and live with her!’

    Ms Merritt asks why Webbe keeps calling her but Webbe screams: ‘Can you stop. Can you get out of my relationship, get out of my relationship!

    ‘Get out of my relationship!’

    ‘I’ve seen all of your posts, I’ve seen all of your naked pictures, I’ve seen all of your relationship with Lester.

    ‘Get out of my relationship!

    ‘Otherwise I will tell all of your family and I will show them all of your pictures.’

    Giving evidence last month Ms Webbe admitted she rang Ms Merritt on April 25 because her and Mr Thomas had ‘repeatedly breached lockdown’ rules by meeting up.

    She said she was arguing with Mr Lester when Ms Merritt called her back.

    So her chap actually suggested that the police be called! (They were called by a neighbour who heard the screaming through the walls).

    “She confirmed she was still in a relationship with Mr Thomas and they were engaged.”

    Paging Whiskey! Paging Whiskey!

  71. “Am I, Personally, Dumbing Down the World?”

    He’s got the whole world…in his hands,
    He’s got the whole wide world…in his hands,
    He’s got the whole world…in his hands,
    He’s got the whole world in his hands.

  72. PSR says:

    I can’t answer your question but I do know you’re blocked around here in Panera, Culver’s and Cafe Zupas. I assume that is due to the lying liars at SPLC.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
  73. @Luke Lea

    The problem here, at least as I see it, is that too many academic economists are attempting to saw off the limb on which their whole discipline depends, namely, the law of supply and demand. They want to cancel Adam Smith.

    I say:

    Adam Smith was a semi-honest Scottish guy and he rightly said that money-grubbers are always conspiring like rats fighting over cheese and sometimes the rats make agreements to split up the cheese but those rats are always eating the cheese of others.

    Now the cheese is electronically conjured up out of thin air by the globalized central banks and the billionaires and the top ten percent loot holders don’t want the other 90 percent to figure it out. Authentic ruling class decapitating populism arrives when monetary policy is the center of focus in politics.

    I asked Jebby Bush about the wage-reducing and US worker replacement effects of mass legal immigration and mass illegal immigration and that baby boomer turd Jebby Bush just dismissed the question by saying that for every study that shows the harmful effects of mass immigration on workers he could show another study saying the opposite. Most of the nasty scum in the economics fraud field are corrupt whores who say whatever the plutocrats and the Cheap Labor Lobby want them to say.

    NATIONALIZE THE FEDERAL RESERVE BANK NOW!

    POP THE FED-CREATED ASSET BUBBLES IN STOCKS, BONDS AND REAL ESTATE.

    PEWITT CONJURED LOOT PORTION NOW!

    The Pewitt Conjured Loot Portion(PCLP) will pay each American who has all blood ancestry born in colonial America or the USA before 1924 a cool ten thousand dollars a month. The US Treasury and the Federal Reserve Bank shall work together to electronically conjure up the cash out of thin air, just like the JEW/WASP Ruling Class of the American Empire is doing now.

    This Third Worlder El-Erian ain’t as bad as most other economists and his name sounds somewhat Irish:

  74. Another person who undermined Card’s study is George J. Borjas in his book We Wanted Workers. In chapter 7 “The Labor Market Impact” he analyses the Marielitos case and arrives at another result than Card.

    • Thanks: ziggurat
  75. Am I, Personally, Dumbing Down the World?

    I say:

    Steve Sailer would be smart to start writing about the asset bubbles in stocks and bonds and real estate created by the monetary policy extremism of the globalized central banks.

    • Replies: @El Dato
  76. anon[307] • Disclaimer says:

    yes.

    because that’s what your people do, steve.

    1. make the goyim dumb.

    2. then claim to be smarter than the goyim.

    steve still cries every day because abe simon was KOed by joe louis TWICE.

  77. JimB says:

    Maybe this is the first Nobel prize for a theory based on an enthymeme, an argument in which a major premise is missing but understood. Perhaps the entire political establishment understands that trafficking heroin and fentanyl is key to maintaining mass immigration without totally collapsing wages, mainly by knocking citizens out of the job market by turning them into junkies so they can be replaced by migrants.

    • Thanks: Sean
    • Replies: @epebble
  78. iSteve, officially, by self-avowal, you are not “for” WN, right?

    i.e.: Citizenism WN

    It would hardly surprise to find that both WN and Mainstream need you to be WN, for their own purposes, even though you aren’t – and, if they did have that in common, that’s kind of something to notice.

  79. Sailer’s Law is subjected to another test?

    OSLO, Oct 13 (Reuters) – A man using a bow and arrow killed several people and wounded others in attacks in the Norwegian town of Kongsberg on Wednesday, local police said.

    “The man has been apprehended … from the information we now have, this person carried out these actions alone,” police chief Oeyvind Aas told reporters.

    “Several people have been injured and several are dead,” Aas said. He declined to comment on the number of casualties.

    The attacks took place over “a large area” of Kongsberg, a municipality of about 28,000 people in southeastern Norway, 68 km (42 miles) from the capital, Oslo.

    Following the attacks, the police directorate said it had immediately ordered officers nationwide to carry firearms. Norwegian police are normally unarmed but officers have access to guns and rifles when needed.

    “This is an extra precaution. The police have no indication so far that there is a change in the national threat level,” the directorate said in a statement.

    Norway’s minister of justice and public security, Monica Maeland, has received updates on the attacks and was closely monitoring the situation, the ministry said.

    Reporting by Terje Solsvik; Editing by Jonathan Oatis and Peter Cooney

    Inside sources tell me the perps middle name is either “D’Thor” or “Magnus-Blingus”. I.D. to be confirmed.

    • Replies: @Joe Stalin
  80. vinteuil says:

    The pretend right always does this.

    Enoch Powell said “pickaninny” – and after that, nobody could oppose mass immigration into England, ’cause Powell had made that position toxic.

    Steve Sailer said “African-Americans tend to possess poorer native judgment than members of better-educated groups, and thus need stricter moral guidance from society” – and after that, nobody can agree with anything else he says, ’cause he’s toxic.

    • Agree: Harry Baldwin
  81. anon[914] • Disclaimer says:

    Some senior Nobel guy said they would not go woke in awarding prized a few days ago, according
    to Steve’s blog

    They award a prize the next day to a Woke participant

  82. El Dato says:
    @James N. Kennett

    The prize committee is greatly assisted in their endeavors by the simple fact that economists cannot agree about anything.

    So it’s actually a prized in Economic Philosophy?

    It’s a bit appalling that M. Card apparently got the prize for finally bringing empiricism and rigor and comparative studies into the field (in the mid 90s!) but that the results are still not good.

    I mean, Software Engineering is a mess, but at least some projects yield good results…

  83. Anonymous[960] • Disclaimer says:

    Very off topic, but I was reading an old isteve thread (about difficulties with algebra). And there was an interesting poster, Pat Boyle (retired, Oakland, CA, per his blogger profile). I Googled it and found an obituary. Dude was interesting because quite smart, but not math-y. Little Rushmore-ish. Hard for me to understand at first although I do remember a guy in high school who was not good at math but won quiz bowls and did high end English and History. Read Gibbon and all those awful literary books that aren’t fun (like at least Dickens and Twain and the like have an adventure dimension).

    https://www.grissomsmortuary.com/obituaries/detail/patrick-l-boyle

    Just felt strange to see the fellow’s obituary while reading his words fresh. (Fucking Internet.)

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
  84. @SimplePseudonymicHandle

    supposed to be a “not equal to” symbol between “Citizenism” and “WN” in the original – apparently didn’t fly with the markup

  85. Sean says:

    Every Miami bank had a guy whose job was to deal with the big depositors of illegal drugs cash. Michael Hudson has said that dirty money was substantial enough that attracting it was an object of national policy.

  86. El Dato says:
    @Charles Pewitt

    These are not “mistakes”, at best they are “buying votes” and at worst they are just wholesale looting and transferring assets to oneself with no concern for the peons on the lower feudal rungs.

    I just can’t see Biden extruding another TARP of maybe 3-4 trillion dollar this time. Is there even enough paper in renewable forestry? And what about the B-21 Raider, “the future of deterrence”, eh?

    Energy prices rising across the board can’t be good for the bottom line of whole industries. Something is gonna pop.

    Currently from “Russian Energy Week”

    Price of crude oil could ‘quite possibly’ rise to \$100 per barrel, despite efforts of Russia & OPEC to stabilize market – Putin

    Soaring gas prices in Western Europe down to mistaken reliance on wind farms, Russia on track for record exports in 2021 – Putin

    Speaking as part of a keynote address at Russian Energy Week on Wednesday, Putin said that a fall in output from wind farms had meant electricity prices shot up, having a knock-on effect on demand for gas. Wind power makes up an increasingly large share of Europe’s energy generation, particularly in the west of the continent, he went on.

    The french are sitting pretty with their nuclear industry.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
  87. @the one they call Desanex

    This is the part of the Beastie Boys song I was spoofing; Biz Markie, right at the end.

  88. El Dato says:
    @obwandiyag

    Listen up now, Sachem. You need to get in at the floor level. Start here:

    Economics in One Lesson [PDF] by Henry Hazlitt

    It’s a bit old, but, hey the principles don’t change much. It’s them laws you know.

    About Henry Hazlitt

    His lesson is simple but profound: “The art of economics consists of looking not merely at the immediate but at the longer effects of any act or policy; it consists in tracing the consequences of that policy not merely for one group but for all groups.”

    [MORE]

    Hazlitt—journalist, literary critic, economist, philosopher—was one of the most brilliant public intellectuals of the twentieth century. In his final years, he often expressed surprise that Economics in One Lesson had become his most enduring contribution. He wrote it to expose the popular fallacies of its day. He did not know that those fallacies would be government policy for the duration of the century.

    Hazlitt also wanted to be known for his other contributions, which include the novel Time Will Run Back, a reflection on literature called The Anatomy of Criticism, Man vs. the Welfare State, several edited volumes, and countless chapters in books, articles, commentaries, reviews. He once estimated that he had written 10 million words and that his collected works would run to 150 volumes.

    Hazlitt was also the most important public intellectual within the Austrian tradition of Ludwig von Mises, F.A. Hayek, and Murray N. Rothbard, all of whom he credited as primary sources in economics. He wrotein every important public forum of his day, most prominently the Nation, the Wall Street Journal, the New York Times (frequently headlining the powerful book review section), the American Mercury, Century, the Freeman, National Review, Newsweek, and many more. His every article is unfailingly poignant, provocative, and learned.

    At various points in his career, he was among the most influential literary critics, editorialists, and financial writers in the country. For example, Hazlitt’s review of Ludwig von Mises’s first book to be translated into English made Socialism an instant classic in this country. His review of F.A. Hayek’s Road to Serfdom led Reader’s Digest to publish the condensed version that catapulted Hayek to fame.

    Throughout his life, Hazlitt became more and more opposed to government intervention in the economy, and time and again he refused to give in to pressure from publishers and editors to change his views. He chose principle and integrity over fame and fortune, and as a consequence, he was squeezed out of a series of prestigious jobs.

  89. Mike Tre says:

    If you’re going to naval gaze, at least refer to yourself in the third person. Much more diabolical.

    • Thanks: Intelligent Dasein
  90. epebble says:
    @JimB

    totally collapsing wages, mainly by knocking citizens out of the job market

    Knocking citizens out of job market leads to labor scarcity that leads to rise in wages not collapse. Like what Covid is doing now.

  91. ATBOTL says:

    The problem, Steve, is that you refuse to write a book. Only people who write books are part of the conversation. Mere bloggers are not. Write a book and call it “The World According To Steve.”

  92. res says:
    @bomag

    Thanks. Here is the long form version of his quote from Wikipedia.
    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Dalberg-Acton,_1st_Baron_Acton#Religion_and_writings

    But if we might discuss this point until we found that we nearly agreed, and if we do agree thoroughly about the impropriety of Carlylese denunciations and Pharisaism in history, I cannot accept your canon that we are to judge Pope and King unlike other men, with a favourable presumption that they did no wrong. If there is any presumption it is the other way, against the holders of power, increasing as the power increases. Historic responsibility has to make up for the want of legal responsibility. Power tends to corrupt, and absolute power corrupts absolutely. Great men are almost always bad men, even when they exercise influence and not authority, still more when you superadd the tendency or the certainty of corruption by authority. There is no worse heresy than that the office sanctifies the holder of it. That is the point at which the negation of Catholicism and the negation of Liberalism meet and keep high festival, and the end learns to justify the means. You would hang a man of no position like Ravaillac; but if what one hears is true, then Elizabeth asked the gaoler to murder Mary, and William III of England ordered his Scots minister to extirpate a clan. Here are the greatest names coupled with the greatest crimes; you would spare those criminals, for some mysterious reason. I would hang them higher than Haman, for reasons of quite obvious justice, still more, still higher for the sake of historical science.

    • Thanks: Harry Baldwin, bomag
  93. Certainly your comment section is contributing to the spread of this anti-vaxxer idiocy, Steve.

    But you spoke against it a couple times back in January, it would be unreasonable to ask for more.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
  94. Altai says:

    I mean, the story here, that the presence of a single mixed-race rugby player in the late 19th century among the thousands if not tens of thousands therefore means that the native population of Britain should be ethnically displaced to no limit is pretty stupid too. The implication, that Britain’s ethnic purity was sullied by tiny numbers of black individuals and therefore no longer worth saving is an interesting one. Does it mean if blacks had been kept out until circa 2020 then it would be fine today to keep them out?

    Frank Anderson: The newly discovered story of Northampton Saints’ first mixed-race player
    https://www.bbc.com/sport/rugby-union/58886060

    “You won’t have heard of Frank Anderson before, but I hope we’re going to put that right.”

    Northampton is steeped in black history within sport – Walter Tull was the town’s football club’s first black player and the British Army’s first black officer to command white troops.

    His inspirational story is now told in schools.

    Recently I watched a YouTube video detailing Ghosn’s escape from Japan and whole Nissan-Renault tumult and the Bloomberg people painted the whole of the Japanese establishment from corporations to judges to politicians conspiring to protect a Japanese company from the ruinous antisocial wages of global capital is portrayed as evil is very telling.

    Given how we’re now in the shadow of China’s rise and the USA’s decline precisely because America’s corporate, academic and political elite (Including the CEOs of those companies) betrayed American companies to global capital and China didn’t, balking at the ‘rules’ of global capitalism collecting foreign capital and blocking it leaving it’s shores along with ownership of local companies; it’s pretty bold for them to still pretend the Japanese are savages in suits.

  95. The mainstream media (Establishment, Cathedral, Deep State, Sky People, und so wieter) in the USA has the same problem as the CCP.

    If they liberalize the economy allow private property and private contract, people get rich and everyone is happier, except just as they taught me in social studies as the middle class got richer they demanded political power be more dispersed.

    If they crack down and direct everything politically from the center people get poorer and goods become scarce and unrest increases.

    If the mainstream media keeps on the party line they are boring and their explanations don’t explain anything.

    If the mainstream media dips into the Blogosphere they get better more exciting ideas but they undermine the official narrative.

    Tucker is one of the mainstream that cribs ideas from the blogosphere, (iSteve and others) and he has the number one show on cable TV. Risen from twenty years of obscurity to number one, think of that. No one has to attribute anything (the great replacement) to isteve or any internet crazies blogging from their parents basements, but there is a big reward for taking their ideas without attribution.

  96. SAILER STRATEGY

    AFFORDABLE FAMILY FORMATION

    INVADE THE WORLD — INVITE THE WORLD — IN HOCK TO THE WORLD

    WORLD WAR TRANNY

    MINORITY MORTGAGE MELTDOWN

    WHITE CORE AMERICANS

    MANY MANY OTHERS

    The non-aborted intensity level is what matters when contemplating the gruesome question of abortion keeping murderous behaviour of certain cohorts in check.

    Blacks run amok when cops pull back is a well-known social science phenomena and when the drugs are vibrant and the drug market produces extra vibrancy and when the cops are pulled away from protecting the citizenry it is the intensity level of the non-aborted cohorts that tells the tale.

    Intensity level is why immigration and trade are gut issues in politics and why Brexit occurred and why Trump was elected and INTENSITY and REPETITION are the thing in mass democracy politics.

    The Violent Black Criminals and the JEW/WASP Ruling Class of the American Empire go through periods of intense nation-wrecking disorder and we are now in a period of high-intensity run-amokness in regards to the Blacks and the JEWS and WASPS running amok.

    We need an Anglo-Norman like George Washington or a Scotch-Irish warrior like Andrew Jackson to bring peace to the valley.

  97. Sailer ain’t dumb, he just focuses on his topics and that’s that.

    Intensity level explains why New Hampshire Governor Sununu and the Executive Council rejected a little bit of loot to push vaccine drugs.

    NH got a lot of loot from the Federal Reserve Bank and Governor Sununu got some of that PPP loot himself and Sununu wants to maintain electoral viability in his efforts to run or not run against sitting US Senator Maggie Hassan in 2022.

    • Replies: @Charles Pewitt
  98. @hruodland

    Nobody’s going to go after someone who makes it.

    Did you mean to say that nobody is going to go after someone who debunks Levitt’s claim, even if the debunker is someone as politically incorrect as Steve? Because people have, indeed, lost their jobs for making the claim. William Bennett had to resign from a company that he co-founded.

    William J. Bennett, the U.S. secretary of education from 1985 to 1988, drew fire for his comments about abortion and crime during this exchange Sept. 28 on the Salem Radio Network’s “Bill Bennett’s Morning in America.”
    CALLER: I noticed the national media, you know, they talk a lot about the loss of revenue, or the inability of the government to fund Social Security, and I was curious, and I’ve read articles in recent months here, that the abortions that have happened since Roe v. Wade, the lost revenue from the people who have been aborted in the last 30-something years, could fund Social Security as we know it today. And the media just doesn’t—never touches this at all.
    BENNETT: Assuming they’re all productive citizens?
    CALLER: Assuming that they are. Even if only a portion of them were, it would be an enormous amount of revenue.
    BENNETT: Maybe, maybe, but we don’t know what the costs would be, too. I think as —abortion[s] disproportionately occur among single women? No.
    CALLER: I don’t know the exact statistics, but quite a bit are, yeah.
    BENNETT: All right, well, I mean, I just don’t know. I would not argue for the pro-life position based on this, because you don’t know. I mean, it cuts both—you know, one of the arguments in this book Freakonomics that they make is that the declining crime rate, you know, they deal with this hypothesis, that one of the reasons crime is down is that abortion is up. Well—
    CALLER: Well, I don’t think that statistic is accurate.
    BENNETT: Well, I don’t think it is either, I don’t think it is either, because first of all, there is just too much that you don’t know. But I do know that it’s true that if you wanted to reduce crime, you could, if that were your sole purpose, you could abort every black baby in this country, and your crime rate would go down. That would be an impossible, ridiculous, and morally reprehensible thing to do, but your crime rate would go down. So these far-out, these far-reaching, extensive extrapolations are, I think, tricky.

    https://www.edweek.org/leadership/bennett-quits-k12-inc-under-fire/2005/10

    • Replies: @Anon
  99. Steve Sailer in 2015:

    Jeb Bush moved from Houston to Miami in late 1980, right after his father’s election as Vice President assured him he’d be very welcome in business circles in the capital of Latin America. Jeb explained his move three years later: “I want to be very wealthy, and I’ll be glad to tell you when I’ve accomplished that goal.”

    Nonetheless, it was a strange move since Houston real estate was still booming due to high oil prices. Granted, Miami was also booming, but why? Not from something as straightforward as oil and gas: Miami was already notorious as the cocaine capital of the world.

    So, how exactly was a newcomer to town supposed to know whether some well-heeled Latin American who wanted to be in business with the Veep’s son was legit or was a cocaine baron?

    Maybe Poppy could have the CIA run a check?

    https://vdare.com/posts/two-guys-who-moved-to-miami-in-1980-to-get-very-wealthy-tony-montana-and-jeb-bush

    Tweets from 2015:

  100. @Charles Pewitt

    Upon further review, it turns out New Hampshire Governor Chris Sununu was in favor of grabbing the loot from the federal government to push China Lab Flu vaccine drugs in NH.

    INCREDIBLE.

    The Bushes and Sununus and Cheneys are horrible people and it is time for the Bushes and Cheneys and Sununus to be voted out of power.

  101. @Jack Armstrong

    Bow & Arrows, especially compound bows, are not to laughed in the 21st century. Killed you dead in the Cowboys & Indians, and will do it today.

    • Thanks: Harry Baldwin
  102. Anon[249] • Disclaimer says:
    @Stan Adams

    The thing about anti-abortion arguments is that they are very often not actually about abortion. They’ll say they oppose abortion because X, Y, and Z are bad, and I’ll be like, yeah, I agree. I don’t like X, Y, and Z either. But I don’t see how more illegitimate births will prevent X, Y, or Z. This is based on keeping the image of the abortion patient vague and abstract. If that image is made concrete, if people look at the statistics and see that the women aborting their pregancies are exactly the people we don’t want having more children, that falls apart. So they get angry and start calling you all these names.

  103. Anonymous[658] • Disclaimer says:
    @PSR

    Like they got pictures of him up as banned ?

  104. The problem, increasingly, is that I’ve debunked so many fashionable ideas over the decades that by this point, few with any kind of career to worry about dare admit anymore that I’ve ever been right about anything. Which, crazily, means that these days nobody with an ounce of self-preservation instinct can even steal my ideas anymore.

    Fear not, Steve. Had little to do with you.

    No economist picked up on your debunking of Card’s nonsense, because the people who matter (TPWM) have designated immigration to be officially good and holy. Any attempt to stop it and preserve a nation for the nation’s people is bad and ignorant, and Nazi for white nations–unless its name starts with “Is”. Immigration is their holy of holies. Anyone picking up your critique to debunk Card would be pissing in the tabernacle.

    Levitt’s abortion and reduced crime was more open to debate. Abortion is officially good–including (quietly) for Levitt’s reason. But he was a bit more upfront and eugenicy then is desired, and once you say “crime” you’re veering near racial territory. So some debate was permissible.

    You may indeed be radioactive, but if you put forward some idea, that the establishment is happy with, willing acolytes will simply steal it without attribution and publicize it.

    It’s just not much of your “noticing” is going to fall into that category. The establishment ideology is pretty dumb and contrary to human reality, so the “noticing” skews heavily against it.

  105. JackOH says:

    No economist picked up on your debunking of Card’s nonsense, because the people who matter (TPWM) have designated immigration to be officially good and holy.

    AD, nailed it.

    Probably most folks here know that once a policy, regulation, law, ideology, political behavior, narrative becomes entrenched, it can assume a quasi-religious, dogmatic vibe. Naive honest critics—journalists, academics, ordinary citizens—who offer temperate, measured criticism in the vain delusion they’re “participating in the process” can get banished to Coventry super-fast. They won’t know what hit them.

    I’m afraid some of our academic literature amounts to no more than “ornamental intellectualism” to pretty up policy directions already chosen by TPWM for the usual money and power reasons.

  106. @El Dato

    I just can’t see Biden extruding another TARP of maybe 3-4 trillion dollar this time. Is there even enough paper in renewable forestry?

    Green Bay is the paper capital of America, and that county went for Trump twice. So if he does, it’ll be direct deposit. After all, the bankers are on his side.

  107. @Alexander Turok

    Certainly your comment section is contributing to the spread of this anti-vaxxer idiocy, Steve.

    If you distrust Dr Fauci, you’re assumed to distrust Dr Jenner as well? A little ad hominem, don’t you think?

    • Replies: @Alexander Turok
  108. @Some Guy

    You need an alter ego with a clean reputation for your non-HBD observations.

    In other words, an altar ego.

  109. Travis says:

    Sadly most pundits and politicians agreed with the Sailer strategy for fighting COVID, which resulted in massive lockdowns, mandated masking of children and now mandated vaccines which do nothing to stop the spread.

  110. Coemgen says:

    The violent crime wave of the late 80s and early 90s.

    Was this due to a drug? There’s always some drug. Is one or another drug really going to make that much difference?

    Or, was the crime wave due to only the least intelligent, together with having least degree of executive function, women -not- having abortions after Roe v. Wade when more intelligent women with greater executive function were having abortions left-and-right?

    The apple does not fall far from the tree.

    For some reason I want to type: Hunter Biden

  111. @Reg Cæsar

    Sorry if I associated the 85-IQ post-2020 anti-vaxxers with the 80-IQ pre-2020 variety.

  112. @Intelligent Dasein

    With or without a cocaine economy, a sudden surge in population is going to result in economic growth under the conditions generally associated with modernity.

    It’s not economic growth that’s at issue here but low end wage growth/stagnation.

  113. Bobboccio says:

    Some people really hate the truth. Hard to know what to do about that. Probably not stop telling the truth though.

  114. Anonymous[234] • Disclaimer says:
    @SafeNow

    consider that many have no doubt stolen the ideas, and then said they are building on a concept they heard, um, someone on MSNBC

    Heck, Joseph Henrich, a Harvard professor, stole basically a decade of HBD Chick’s research and ideas and published a book on it, never citing her:

    https://www.amazon.com/WEIRDest-People-World-Psychologically-Particularly/dp/B08KWM6CCS/

  115. Amazed that your debate with Levitt is still even available, but as you say, the names have been removed, interesting. With Card, I can imagine since immigration has become sacred to economists very few of them want to rock the boat, but didn’t Borjas write something up in response? Or is he even too afraid?

    • Replies: @ziggurat
  116. @Lucia Chiara

    Thus confirming another unpopular fact (that these alleged Russian crime bosses are very rarely Slavic gentiles).

    “Very rarely” is something of an exaggeration. Of the 58 post Soviet gangsters listed at https://www.wikiwand.com/en/List_of_post-Soviet_gangsters , 15 are ethnic Russian or Ukranian. 7 are Jewish, and only 4 Chechens , which surprised me. The rest are a mix of Estonians , Armenians, Georgians etc.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
  117. @Charles Pewitt

    Sailer is dumbing down the world by ………3) not moderating all my comments on through the Sailer Whim Machine.

    I think the problem here is the wishy-washy, on the one hand/on the other hand nature of your comments. If you took a bolder, more forthright stance I feel confident Steve would send those comments Sailing through.

    • Replies: @Charles Pewitt
  118. Anonymous[234] • Disclaimer says:
    @kaganovitch

    That’s in Russia – and only 25% are Russian or Ukrainian. In the USA, close to 100% of the “Russian” organized crime is non-Russian.

  119. For you information, dumbasses:

    The fact that the Coke Variable might (you haven’t proven it at all) invalidate one man’s minimum wage survey in no way shape or form proves that raising the minimum wage causes unemployment.

    It doesn’t prove it. Not at all. It doesn’t prove anything. It’s just speculation.

    This is pure irrefutable logic. You may not like it. But that is the definition of logic: stuff you don’t like.

    I got you phonies’ number. You are all just shills for the big house. You talk all big, but in the end you are just the rich man’s special little pals, doing your doody.

    The poor rich guys. Suffering by having to pay more wages. I feel for them. It’s only Christian.

    • Replies: @Intelligent Dasein
  120. duncsbaby says:
    @Rob McX

    Wow, the big headline here is you can whack a Ukrainian Mob Boss’s personal assistant and not get whacked yourself. They aren’t making Mob Bosses like they used to.

  121. @Charles Pewitt

    Yeah, I’m sorry, Charles. You seem like a good guy and a lot of people here really like your comments. But your prose style does not spark joy in me.

    • Replies: @Charles Pewitt
  122. @Anonymous

    Somebody should pull together an obituary from his comments for Pat Boyle / Albertosaurus about his career adventures and his opera directing.

  123. @obwandiyag

    It has never been a difficult matter to poke holes in a Sailer argument; indeed, the insufficiencies of them practically leap off the page. The problem is, you won’t get any traction around here with facts and logic. Sailer has an extremely loyal fanbase (which now apparently includes, a fortiori, himself) that will hang on every word he says and accept it as doctrine, simply because he said it. I suppose the Argument from Authority is no longer a fallacy for them as long as it is their preferred authority. The authority of God, His Church, and his revelation, no; but a Boomer blogger from Los Angeles will do nicely. They have their cult of HBD, euphemistically styled as Real Science!™, and served up daily by a science blogger who does not know how to calculate the period of a pendulum, does not know what the commutative property is, and does not know the difference between milli-, micro-, and nano-.

    It is disconcerting to see such slavish loyalty, especially when it is so evidently misplaced. Sailer’s mediocre retinue of accomplishments could not of themselves have inspired any awe. What attracts his followers here is the “Safe Space” atmosphere of the blog, as if a shingle had been hung out reading “It is permitted here to vent your spleen about blacks, women, minorities, and progressives in general.”

    If that were the extent of thing, it would be unremarkable. Everybody needs to do a little venting now and then, and the progressives in modern society have far overstepped whatever legitimate concerns they may have raised, once upon a time. They need to be put back in their place—the place of the Pardoner in the Canterbury Tales, which is to say mewling degenerates and parasitical hawkers of fake relics, but through their own hypocrisy serving to remind other men to live up to the values they profess.

    But Sailer doesn’t do that. He has rather become something more in the way of a Pardoner, himself. Instead of firmness of purpose, we get flippancy. Everything is spoken about in jargon and treated as if it were an inside joke (although what the original joke was, and whether it was ever even made, I have not been able to discover). The price of belonging to this community is to abandon one’s self-respect, to declare the emperor clothed, and to “get with” the idea that the joke is circulating, to imply by your speech and mannerisms that you “get the joke,” that you find it hilarious, that you are one of the initiated—and all this despite the fact that if you go looking for the joke, it is never there. That is the answer to the riddle of that strange and unnamed quality about Sailer that gives so many people the heebie-jeebies. It isn’t what he is saying, it is the constant drone of idolatry in the background, the forced obeisance, the subtle separating of men from their self-command that raises the red flag.

    Not to be awoken to consciousness, however, Sailer and his acolytes will not recognize any of this. Instead they will double down on the solipsism and boldly declare that “I am so radioactive that I am singlehandedly barring the way to whole departments of truth and making the human race dumber.” What firmer bulwark against objective reality could be conceived than this? What attitude more unbecoming a philosopher and a commander of men? Any ego what must needs be defended by such a high pitch of preposterous nonsense can only be an exceedingly lost cause, not fit for purpose. But ecce homo—we have heard it from his own lips! Here Sailer makes his vanity explicit, just as it was implicit in his acceptance of all his fawning admirers’ praise. If it were me, I would be uneasy in the presence of such sycophancy. I would worry that my soul or at the very least my sanity was imperiled. Not so Sailer; this seems to be what he set out for.

    By the age of 60, every man has gotten what he truly wanted out of life. His flower has bloomed and revealed the destined shape whither his inner man had been tending all along, despite the myriad incidents and accidents of fortune; and he has only himself to credit for his final state. Take, now, this self-portrait of Sailer for truth, and ponder it as he lays down the brush—a canvas staring ghostly back at a man as flat as itself.

    • LOL: bomag
    • Replies: @MEH 0910
  124. @kaganovitch

    I think the problem here is the wishy-washy, on the one hand/on the other hand nature of your comments. If you took a bolder, more forthright stance I feel confident Steve would send those comments Sailing through.

    I say:

    My comments are Lou Rawls and John Lee Hooker and somebody brings up Christopher Cross and that “Sailing” song?

    Carter Burwell wrote that “Sailing” song. The surname sounds Southern enough to me.

    • Replies: @Charles Pewitt
  125. @Steve Sailer

    Yeah, I’m sorry, Charles. You seem like a good guy and a lot of people here really like your comments. But your prose style does not spark joy in me.

    I say:

    My prose style is Grandma Moses and state university White Core American vituperation after ten good sized cups of coffee.

    BLUNT

    PLAIN

    SHORT SHARP SHOCK

    Grandma Moses had no Welsh ancestry to go along with her English and Scottish and Irish blood and that is a shame.

  126. Ah, you’re a good sport, Charles.

    • Agree: Charles Pewitt
  127. @Charles Pewitt

    Am I, Personally, Dumbing Down the World?

    I say:

    I’m personally dumbing down the internet by stating that Carter Burwell wrote the “Sailing” song sung by Christopher Cross when the “Sailing” song most Unz Review readers would be familiar with was written by Christopher Cross himself.

    More songs about sails and Scottish fiddles:

  128. @ChrisZ

    Thanks.

    “Principle” is a bit of a play on words, since Principalities are a rank of angel (and demon) in their respective theologies. They are responsible for groups of people such as … nations.

  129. ziggurat says:
    @Unladen Swallow

    Amazed that your debate with Levitt is still even available, but as you say, the names have been removed, interesting. With Card, I can imagine since immigration has become sacred to economists very few of them want to rock the boat, but didn’t Borjas write something up in response? Or is he even too afraid?

    Yes, Borjas wrote a paper, which included a graph that clearly showed that the worker influx into Miami caused a big drop in wages.

    https://vdare.org/posts/borjas-on-mariel-wages-were-affected

    Peri and Card, whose work we’ve discussed here, argued that it didn’t affect white and black Americans wages, which suggests that immigration makes the Law Of Supply and Demand run backwards.

    As Steve Sailer pointed out as long ago as 2006, even is this were true, it would not have a general application to immigration labor economics, because that period of history in Miami was characterized by billions of dollars in cocaine money.

    Here’s what Borjas has to say: On Mariel, January 25, 2016 …

    … The paper came out as an NBER working paper in September 2015. At least in my corner of the universe, it created a disturbance in the force reminiscent of the destruction of Alderaan, leading to a debate in the past few weeks (here’s the Peri-Yasenov criticism) and to my writing a follow-up paper showing that the critics are wrong. David Frum wrote the best description of the debate in the Atlantic Monthly, and came up with a terrific phrase that I’m going to borrow from now on whenever I see this kind of data manipulation: What the critics are doing, Frum wrote, is essentially “data dredging on an industrial scale.”

    The point is that if you really want to find that immigration doesn’t effect wages, you can. You just have to keep changing the assumptions until you get the answer you want—but it will still be wrong.

    • Thanks: Unladen Swallow
  130. I’ve said it before: You do publish Nobel-prize-worthy stuff here.

    Kudos for that one again about Cocaine as an immigrant economy booster.

    Never mind the bullocks getting all the goodies. It only looks so for this moment in time.

    (“Only the scoundrels are modest.” JWvG)

  131. Which, crazily, means that these days nobody with an ounce of self-preservation instinct can even steal my ideas anymore.

    Recognition is the medium that helps to form the bourgeois hero, so to speak in Hegelian tongues***. – In modern societies, you are, what others are willing to offer to you by granting you a place within their “short little attention spans” (Joni Mitchell) – which shrink even more if what you have to say is not much heard of elsewhere. That’s not least because uncommon ideas are disturbing and come at the high price of mental instability on the side of those who are (=risk to be) affected by them (=willing to recognize them).

    From a paper about Hegel and recognition:

    For Hegel, recognition is the mechanism by which our existence as social beings is generated. Therefore, our successful integration as ethical and political subjects within a particular community is dependent upon receiving (and conferring) appropriate forms of recognition.

    https://iep.utm.edu/recog_sp/

    II

    cf. William Gaddis: The Recognitions – Gaddis writes about the title of his huge first novel: “The Recognitions as a title I like perfectly because it implies the impossibility to escape from a (the) pattern.”

    http://www.williamgaddis.org/recognitions/annota.shtml
    So – he believed, he was really onto something with this title – and he was.

    PS
    Gaddis is on Traces (Ernst Bloch) here, that lead to (not only his…) recognition, but also to a complex, that founds modern thought in general: The Faustian Drive (Ernst Bloch again, this time in his Hegel-monography Subjekt-Objekt****. These are two nouns, which are indeed cornerstones (together with some others, but not that many of this caliber) of our modern times: The Faustian Drive (die Faustfahrt zur Erkenntnis), and (the Hegelian – Stephanian…) Recognition. – 

    – This is so because modernity is the attempt to synthesize 1) progress (=the Faustian Drive to know) and 2) (the field of) human interaction (= identity, religion, norms, tradition, the economy…) – recognition being the medium, which enables all these things to exist (to develop – and to become part of a productive tradition (=nations…).

    ***** In it, Bloch claims, that the Phenomenology of the Spirit could best be understood if viewed through Goethe’s lens (= Faust I + II).

    II b

    Here is the (brilliant) cartoonist F. K. Waechter on this subject – click on the cover on the right:
    http://www.fkwaechter.de/eroeffnungsrede.html

    • Replies: @Anonymous
  132. Anonymous[883] • Disclaimer says:
    @Dieter Kief

    That’s not least because uncommon ideas are disturbing and come at the high price of mental instability on the side of those who are (=risk to be) affected by them (=willing to recognize them).

    How is it that uncommon ideas cause mental instability?

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