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From the New York Times news section:

The Spike in Shootings During the Pandemic May Outlast the Virus

About 505 people were shot in New York City through May 9, the highest year-to-date number in a decade.

A more accurately informative headline would be:

The Spike in Shootings During the Racial Reckoning May Outlast the Riots

Back to the NYT’s spin:

By Troy Closson
May 14, 2021

… The three were among 170 people shot over the last four full weeks, according to police data. The last time so many people were shot over the same four-week period in New York City was 1997.

The major rise in gun violence in the city began in 2020, after a period in which violent crime dropped to its lowest levels in more than six decades.

To be pedantic, 2018 was the best year for fewest homicides in New York City since Joe DiMaggio played for the Yankees. 2019 was slightly worse. Whether the 2018 to 2019 uptick was just random fluctuation or as an early premonition of the trend that exploded in June 2020 is probably unanswerable.

Now, even as New York City emerges from the pandemic, the spike that began as the virus spread last spring has shown no sign of receding: As of the second weekend in May, the city had recorded 505 shooting victims, the most through that point of any year in the last decade.

Experts say the economic and physical strain of the virus, which disproportionately took lives and jobs from neighborhoods that were already struggling with high levels of gun violence, most likely drove the rise in shootings.

Oddly, however, only a modest amount of evidence for the proposition that the pandemic drove the big increase in gunplay can be seen until after the media-declared the Racial Reckoning following the Memorial Day death of George Floyd.

As I pointed out seven months ago in Taki’s:

Similarly, here’s the NYPD’s graph of [cumulative] shooting victims in New York City with 2019 in red and 2020 in yellow:

Once again, 2020 was running strangely similar to 2019 despite the severe death toll NYC had absorbed in early April from the pandemic.

New York City, which has probably been the best policed big city in America in this century, did not see a rise in shootings as fast as Chicago did. But then in the first week of June 2020, gunplay ramped up and subsequently exploded in the second week of the month, the time of Floyd’s jaw-dropping funeral, with 72 victims versus 14 in the same week of 2019.

Through the end of May, 2020 shootings had been up 18 percent over 2019 in New York City. But in June through September, the number of killed or wounded has been an insane 156 percent higher than last year.

Back to the NYT:

Those factors are not likely to subside soon, criminologists warn, and the spike may persist even as virus cases plummet. That in turn has stoked fears that gun violence will slow the city’s ability to bounce back from its long lockdown.

Restaurants, stores, offices, theaters and many other businesses and cultural institutions will be allowed to open fully May 19. But the cycles of violent retaliation fueled by individual shootings in recent months will be hard to break, said Jeffrey Butts, the director of the research and evaluation center at the John Jay College of Criminal Justice.

“That kind of motivation does not go away suddenly because the lockdown is over and people are going back to work in their offices,” Dr. Butts said. “That’s my big concern. This could be a generation that we have screwed up for some time. And I don’t know how long it will take to reverse that.”

… Other large cities including Los Angeles and Philadelphia also reported jumps in gun violence during the pandemic. Chicago saw 865 shootings by the first weekend of this month with about a third of the population of New York, compared with about 550 in 2019 and 650 in 2020.

… Those who study crime statistics also caution that making direct comparisons between 2020 and this year can be misleading: Gun violence dropped last year as the city shut down early in the pandemic and did not begin to rise significantly until the second half of the year.

To be precise, the huge explosion in New York City mass shootings happened in the second weekend in June. Presumably, it took awhile for the lowlifes to notice that the long-fearsome NYPD had pulled back to avoid starring in a BLM video, so that they were finally free to carry their illegal handguns to block parties in case they needed to shoot somebody who dissed them (and several ladies twerking in the vicinity).

In contrast, in traditionally less well-policed Chicago, the mayhem exploded immediately, with the weekend following George Floyd’s death being the most murderous one in the annals of Chicago crime in the six decades such stats have been carefully recorded.

“Year-to-date comparisons right now are going to be quite fraught,” said John Pfaff, a law professor at Fordham University. “Naïve comparisons of a locked-down first quarter of 2020 to a non-locked-down first quarter of 2021 will almost surely make 2021 look worse.”

Uh, that’s just confusing. Only the last two weeks of Q1 2020 were locked down. I suspect what he’s trying to say without saying it is that the Racial Reckoning’s New Normal of roughly 50 murders per day nationally didn’t emerge until late in Q2 2020 after George Floyd, so that of course Q1 2021 is going to be worse than Q1 2020.

Michael LiPetri, the Police Department’s chief of crime control strategies, said in an interview this week that conflicts and retaliation between groups of teenagers and young men continued to fuel much of the gun violence. He estimated that about three-fourths of the shootings contained a nexus to crews, or youth gangs. Marcos Gonzalez Soler, who heads the mayor’s office of criminal justice, placed the total closer to 40 percent and added that unrelated interpersonal conflicts among people who had no prior convictions had contributed heavily.

In other words, most of the people pulling the triggers like to think of themselves as gangstas, but most of these murders aren’t as carefully considered as Michael Corleone slowly but remorselessly coming to the conclusion that his brother Fredo must be whacked.

… Experts say pointing out a single reason for their persistence is impossible, and they note that much of the discussions about factors responsible for the shooting spike remain conjecture. Dermot F. Shea, the police commissioner, often places blame on recent statewide criminal justice changes, which he says have made it harder to keep those charged with criminal offenses in jail.

But others emphasize the role of the pandemic in further disrupting life in many of the areas where shootings have risen. The volume of guns in New York and elsewhere, which data suggests rose significantly during the pandemic, has made the spillover of firearms into illegal hands more common, experts add.

… Ms. Ford attributed the ongoing rise to a combination of myriad challenges of the past year: joblessness and economic downturn; persistent school absences and challenges logging onto remote classes, along with an absence of after-school activities; and more disputes turning into shootings because of the proliferation of guns over the last year.

And in a city where the virus killed more than 30,000 people, many of them older, thousands of families lost stabilizing matriarchs and patriarchs. “There’s some drastic changes that took place in people’s houses,” Ms. Ford said.

Violent crime traditionally rises in the summer, but last year was particularly alarming as the city recorded 205 shootings in June — the highest for that month since 1996.

I seem to recall a criminal justice-related event in the news in late May 2020. But, I guess that couldn’t possibly have had an effect on criminal justice statistics in June 2020, or the NYT would tell us about it.

If that trend continues in coming months, the gun violence could result in a stark divide: As some areas return to vibrant summer life in a reopened city, neighborhoods where shootings are troublingly commonplace could continue to reel. The affected areas are largely home to people of color, who are disproportionately the victims of shootings. This year, about 96 percent of shooting victims have been Black or Latino, police data shows, similar to previous years. One percent, or seven victims, have been white.

What exemplifies White Privilege more than white people not getting shot in the Gun Violence that, for reasons, must be their fault?

 
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  1. No time to worry about shootings while the hair wars continue unabated. From the frontline:

    “Black Student Athlete Was Forced to Remove Hair Beads During Game.

    https://www.nytimes.com/2021/05/13/us/north-carolina-high-school-hair-beads.html

    The worst obscenity has to be that the poor 16 year old felt disrespected.

    Must every rule, norm, or guideline bow to our new deity?

  2. Alas! Those stabilising matriarchs and patriarchs gone. Gone! (Doleful music plays)

    • Replies: @Alden
    @Cortes

    Funny, when White grandparents die their teen and young adult grandkids don’t revert to feral Africans. And what black kid knows his father, let alone grandfather?

    NYTimes, always good for a laugh.

  3. … but most of these murders aren’t as carefully considered as Michael Corleone slowly but remorselessly coming to the conclusion that his brother Fredo must be whacked.

    You gotta admit, Fredo had it coming. Heck, i’m no mafioso and i was thinking “please get rid of this chump”. And making a deal against your family with Meyer Lansky. C’mon.

    • Replies: @Inquiring Mind
    @AnotherDad

    Hyman Roth, dude.

    Yeah, we all know that Johnny Fontaine was Frank Sinatra, Margot Ashton was Ava Gardner and the guy who found his horse's head in his bead was some studio bigwig.

    But the character's name is Hyman Roth. And yes, Fredo had it coming.

    Replies: @JohnnyWalker123

  4. Racist white Republicans–is there any other kind?–systematic racistly oppressed and destabilized communities of color with these lockdowns … yadda, yadda, yadda.

    Anyway, i know it’s officially my fault.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @AnotherDad

    https://images.squarespace-cdn.com/content/v1/52c61f0de4b0bd016e66e28e/1619163278311-UT8X8OG4SW8Z8AC3HKRH/ke17ZwdGBToddI8pDm48kCia386k85PeMPdX9-G04xh7gQa3H78H3Y0txjaiv_0fDoOvxcdMmMKkDsyUqMSsMWxHk725yiiHCCLfrh8O1z5QHyNOqBUUEtDDsRWrJLTmG94TGNuzCcCPVStE9JyN8Ne5h5Q-cainjLd_FJvAHRA91zgheJ6r2cA-Q32MQ7uE/EveretteKidsSm.jpg?format=1000w

  5. COVID caused murders and shootings to surge to historically high levels. Once the pandemic is over, “The Legacy of COVID” will prevent them from going back down again.

  6. New York City, which has probably been the best policed big city in America in this century, did not see a rise in shootings as fast as Chicago did. But then in the first week of June 2020, gunplay ramped up and subsequently exploded in the second week of the month, the time of Floyd’s jaw-dropping funeral, with 72 victims versus 14 in the same week of 2019.

    Is this a new term of Soros-speak? As if what’s really happening here is kids playing spin the bottle with their guns and the guns are just accidentally going off. No need to charge anyone with attempted murder, probation should do.

  7. I guess that “criminologist” and similar academic roles are jobs that carry no discernible qualifications, other than perhaps “consummate moron.”

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @Peterike


    I guess that “criminologist” and similar academic roles are jobs that carry no discernible qualifications, other than perhaps “consummate moron.”
     
    Much like "Terrorism Expert" and "Public Health Official".
  8. @AnotherDad
    Racist white Republicans--is there any other kind?--systematic racistly oppressed and destabilized communities of color with these lockdowns ... yadda, yadda, yadda.

    Anyway, i know it's officially my fault.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  9. Anon[369] • Disclaimer says:

    https://patch.com/california/los-angeles/los-angeles-murder-rate-continues-climb

    Los Angeles Murder Rate Continues To Climb
    Killings in first quarter are 46% higher than same time in 2020.

    By Ashley Zhang/Crosstown

    Murders in Los Angeles were up sharply in the first quarter of the year, continuing a disturbing trend that began in 2020.

    There were 92 homicides between January and March, a 46% increase over the 63 in the same period last year, according to publicly available data from the Los Angeles Police Department.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Anon

    Thanks.

    , @Charles
    @Anon

    "My wife, you kiddin'? She's a big fan. Always reads his blog. Uh, just one more thing..."

  10. Where did the guns come from to achieve the increased number of shootings ? Smith and Wesson doesn’t have any showrooms on the Magnificent Mile or on Fifth Ave and a gun store has to be as rare as a bookstore in underclass neighborhoods so the guns needed had to be in the possession of the shooters all the time. Only fear of the police kept them hidden in the waistbands and coat pockets of the hoodlum element. When the fear of being shot by police dissipated they came out and until the police are allowed to resume using lethal force there is no reason to believe the hoodlums will stop shooting.

    • Replies: @Cortes
    @UNIT472

    The Mag Mile “gunplay” could be down to this:

    https://vdare.com/posts/fort-campbell-soldiers-arrested-for-gunrunning-extremists-no-black-soldiers-from-chicago

  11. @Anon

    https://patch.com/california/los-angeles/los-angeles-murder-rate-continues-climb

    Los Angeles Murder Rate Continues To Climb
    Killings in first quarter are 46% higher than same time in 2020.

    By Ashley Zhang/Crosstown

    Murders in Los Angeles were up sharply in the first quarter of the year, continuing a disturbing trend that began in 2020.

    There were 92 homicides between January and March, a 46% increase over the 63 in the same period last year, according to publicly available data from the Los Angeles Police Department.
     


    https://i.imgur.com/AMuHa3w.jpg

     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Charles

    Thanks.

  12. the Racial Reckoning’s New Normal of roughly 50 murders per day nationally

    Oakland alone has been averaging 50 separate (unrelated) incidents of gunfire, and one murder, each week.

    The city’s murder rate is running at more than twice that of last year’s.

    • Replies: @Calvin Hobbes
    @Abolish_public_education


    Oakland alone has been averaging 50 separate (unrelated) incidents of gunfire, and one murder, each week.
     
    The poor marksmanship behind Sailer’s Law of Mass Shootings must be especially poor in Oakland.

    Sailer's Law of Mass Shootings:

    If there are more wounded than killed, then the shooter is likely black.

    If there are more killed than wounded, then the shooter is likely not black.
    , @Sagamore Sam
    @Abolish_public_education

    In 1955 (the year before I was born) there were 0 murders in Oakland, California. The OPD's historian called it a statistical fluke, as there were murders in the years before and after, but still remarkable.

    , @Alden
    @Abolish_public_education

    An old asian women was raped in Fremont near Oakland today. Were she an old White woman wouldn’t even be local news. East Bay is dangerous. The Black Plague has spread from Oakland Richmond Pittsburg to the entire area.

    Replies: @David In TN

  13. @UNIT472
    Where did the guns come from to achieve the increased number of shootings ? Smith and Wesson doesn't have any showrooms on the Magnificent Mile or on Fifth Ave and a gun store has to be as rare as a bookstore in underclass neighborhoods so the guns needed had to be in the possession of the shooters all the time. Only fear of the police kept them hidden in the waistbands and coat pockets of the hoodlum element. When the fear of being shot by police dissipated they came out and until the police are allowed to resume using lethal force there is no reason to believe the hoodlums will stop shooting.

    Replies: @Cortes

  14. The affected areas are largely home to people of color, who are disproportionately the victims of shootings.

    But the perps of those shootings are definitely not disproportionately people of color. The perps are disproportionately those white supremacists who are the greatest threat to our democracy. It can be hard to identify those white supremacists, though, since they tend to have very dark tans.

  15. @Abolish_public_education
    the Racial Reckoning’s New Normal of roughly 50 murders per day nationally

    Oakland alone has been averaging 50 separate (unrelated) incidents of gunfire, and one murder, each week.

    The city’s murder rate is running at more than twice that of last year’s.

    Replies: @Calvin Hobbes, @Sagamore Sam, @Alden

    Oakland alone has been averaging 50 separate (unrelated) incidents of gunfire, and one murder, each week.

    The poor marksmanship behind Sailer’s Law of Mass Shootings must be especially poor in Oakland.

    Sailer’s Law of Mass Shootings:

    If there are more wounded than killed, then the shooter is likely black.

    If there are more killed than wounded, then the shooter is likely not black.

  16. @Abolish_public_education
    the Racial Reckoning’s New Normal of roughly 50 murders per day nationally

    Oakland alone has been averaging 50 separate (unrelated) incidents of gunfire, and one murder, each week.

    The city’s murder rate is running at more than twice that of last year’s.

    Replies: @Calvin Hobbes, @Sagamore Sam, @Alden

    In 1955 (the year before I was born) there were 0 murders in Oakland, California. The OPD’s historian called it a statistical fluke, as there were murders in the years before and after, but still remarkable.

  17. what he’s trying to say without saying it

    what he’s trying to think without thinking it

  18. “I knew a good NYT reporter once. He was dead”.

  19. Michael decided he had to go the microsecond he figured out Fredo was the rat. He waited because their mom was still alive. When she died Fredo was gone in the next scene.

    • Replies: @Anon
    @Morton's toes

    Yep. He told someone (forget who) that he didn't want anything to happen to Fredo while his Mom was still alive.

    Replies: @Inquiring Mind

  20. With the return of 24 hour subway service and the likely return of nightlife to New York City, how long before a promising, young Goldman Sachs associate or hedge funder is killed after midnight while out on the town? If law abiding New Yorkers start staying out late, there could be some real horror stories this Summer.

    For the past year, civilians have been at home by 10:00 at night.

    • Replies: @Perspective
    @clifford brown

    Deblasio is of course in denial about what is going on at street level, there's been an incredible uptick in random stranger assaults in NYC, especially on the subway:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FK9ekChbXOs

    Replies: @Forbes

    , @Thomas
    @clifford brown

    The killing that's sometimes thought of as a historical watershed event in New York City was the September 4, 1990 murder in the subway of Brian Watkins, a Mormon tourist from Utah who was in town to watch the U.S. Open. 1990 was New York's bloodiest year in history, with 2,245 murders (more than five times 2020's level).

    https://www.nytimes.com/1990/09/04/nyregion/tourist-slain-in-a-subway-in-manhattan.html

    Replies: @njguy73

    , @Harry Baldwin
    @clifford brown

    For the past year, civilians have been at home by 10:00 at night.

    Firearms trainer John Farnam came up with the advice that the best way to stay out of danger was to avoid the Three Stupids. He recently added an additional tip.


    eJournal: What else helps manage risk?

    Farnam: Don’t go to stupid places; don’t associate with stupid people; don’t do stupid things. We will add to that, be in bed by 10 o’clock.
     
  21. OT Some Harvard students demand that Harvard condemn Israel for the latest riots and divest itself of all Israeli investments. Boston ADL is freaking out. Time to grift and grab donations for another holocaust museum. What’s interesting is that while the State Department is as no Whites need apply as the post office and DMVs, jews are way way over represented especially in the LGBTQ missionary sections. In some consulates and embassies Jews are the only Whites.

  22. “… One percent, or seven victims, have been white.”

    I find myself curious about these seven cases. Stray bullets or what?

  23. OT, or not? In a search for Eastern bluebird stickers, the first hit was a nice one on Redbubble, reasonably priced. Until I saw the trigger warning: “All proceeds from this product are being donated to Black Lives Matter.”

    No thanks. I’ll gladly pay double elsewhere.

  24. @Abolish_public_education
    the Racial Reckoning’s New Normal of roughly 50 murders per day nationally

    Oakland alone has been averaging 50 separate (unrelated) incidents of gunfire, and one murder, each week.

    The city’s murder rate is running at more than twice that of last year’s.

    Replies: @Calvin Hobbes, @Sagamore Sam, @Alden

    An old asian women was raped in Fremont near Oakland today. Were she an old White woman wouldn’t even be local news. East Bay is dangerous. The Black Plague has spread from Oakland Richmond Pittsburg to the entire area.

    • Replies: @David In TN
    @Alden

    The perp, a Usual Suspect, was caught in the act while raping a third victim, age 57. He's supposedly homeless, from Hayward.

    Replies: @stillCARealist

  25. @clifford brown
    With the return of 24 hour subway service and the likely return of nightlife to New York City, how long before a promising, young Goldman Sachs associate or hedge funder is killed after midnight while out on the town? If law abiding New Yorkers start staying out late, there could be some real horror stories this Summer.

    For the past year, civilians have been at home by 10:00 at night.

    Replies: @Perspective, @Thomas, @Harry Baldwin

    Deblasio is of course in denial about what is going on at street level, there’s been an incredible uptick in random stranger assaults in NYC, especially on the subway:

    • Replies: @Forbes
    @Perspective

    Even the reporting is shit. Starting with an assault at the Columbus Circle station (west side), the report then moves to the multiple assaults committed (reportedly within 12 min) on the #4 train (east side) from Union Sq into Brooklyn. Not connected--but reported as if they were.

    But getting four arrests is quick work by the NYPD.

  26. @Cortes
    Alas! Those stabilising matriarchs and patriarchs gone. Gone! (Doleful music plays)

    Replies: @Alden

    Funny, when White grandparents die their teen and young adult grandkids don’t revert to feral Africans. And what black kid knows his father, let alone grandfather?

    NYTimes, always good for a laugh.

  27. @Anon

    https://patch.com/california/los-angeles/los-angeles-murder-rate-continues-climb

    Los Angeles Murder Rate Continues To Climb
    Killings in first quarter are 46% higher than same time in 2020.

    By Ashley Zhang/Crosstown

    Murders in Los Angeles were up sharply in the first quarter of the year, continuing a disturbing trend that began in 2020.

    There were 92 homicides between January and March, a 46% increase over the 63 in the same period last year, according to publicly available data from the Los Angeles Police Department.
     


    https://i.imgur.com/AMuHa3w.jpg

     

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Charles

    “My wife, you kiddin’? She’s a big fan. Always reads his blog. Uh, just one more thing…”

  28. @clifford brown
    With the return of 24 hour subway service and the likely return of nightlife to New York City, how long before a promising, young Goldman Sachs associate or hedge funder is killed after midnight while out on the town? If law abiding New Yorkers start staying out late, there could be some real horror stories this Summer.

    For the past year, civilians have been at home by 10:00 at night.

    Replies: @Perspective, @Thomas, @Harry Baldwin

    The killing that’s sometimes thought of as a historical watershed event in New York City was the September 4, 1990 murder in the subway of Brian Watkins, a Mormon tourist from Utah who was in town to watch the U.S. Open. 1990 was New York’s bloodiest year in history, with 2,245 murders (more than five times 2020’s level).

    https://www.nytimes.com/1990/09/04/nyregion/tourist-slain-in-a-subway-in-manhattan.html

    • Replies: @njguy73
    @Thomas

    I remember that. Two weeks later, Time magazine put on its cover "The Rotting of the Big Apple."

  29. @clifford brown
    With the return of 24 hour subway service and the likely return of nightlife to New York City, how long before a promising, young Goldman Sachs associate or hedge funder is killed after midnight while out on the town? If law abiding New Yorkers start staying out late, there could be some real horror stories this Summer.

    For the past year, civilians have been at home by 10:00 at night.

    Replies: @Perspective, @Thomas, @Harry Baldwin

    For the past year, civilians have been at home by 10:00 at night.

    Firearms trainer John Farnam came up with the advice that the best way to stay out of danger was to avoid the Three Stupids. He recently added an additional tip.

    eJournal: What else helps manage risk?

    Farnam: Don’t go to stupid places; don’t associate with stupid people; don’t do stupid things. We will add to that, be in bed by 10 o’clock.

  30. This could be a generation that we have screwed up for some time.

    I don’t think “we” had anything to do with it.

    • Agree: Forbes
  31. White people need to organize marksmanship classes for the inner city yoofs.
    Why should they be denied a shot at starting their own (crime) families?

  32. Why, another symptom of COVID: causing people to shoot one another! Is there nothing this virus can’t do? I suppose the continuation of urban violence is a form of “Long COVID”. Do vaccinated people tend to shoot other people less? Perhaps Kevlar vests should be mandated along with masks. Unless, that is, you’re one of those “anti-vesters”.

  33. @Peterike
    I guess that “criminologist” and similar academic roles are jobs that carry no discernible qualifications, other than perhaps “consummate moron.”

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    I guess that “criminologist” and similar academic roles are jobs that carry no discernible qualifications, other than perhaps “consummate moron.”

    Much like “Terrorism Expert” and “Public Health Official”.

  34. File under “so gaslightingly stupid it’s good and will be put into a time capsule by Chinese Scientists”

    Violent extremists could ‘exploit’ lifting of Covid-19 restrictions & attack large gatherings, US officials warn

    There have been no large gatherings in years. NONE!

    The DHS said that extremists motivated by racial and ethnic hatred have in the past attacked “houses of worship and crowded commercial facilities or gatherings.”

    The agency also warned that violent criminals could target protesters at events linked to “racial justice grievances and police use of force concerns,” referring to the mass protests that swept across the US last year following the death of George Floyd.

    Attorney General Merrick Garland testified before the Senate Appropriations Committee this week, and stated that domestic violent extremists pose “an elevated threat” in 2021, with white supremacists being the biggest threat.

    Garland cited the FBI, saying that 2019, the year before the pandemic began, was “the deadliest year for violent domestic extremism since 1995.”

    What happened in 2019? One dead heather?
    What happened in 1995? A TLA false flag attack?

    • Thanks: Rob McX
    • Replies: @Rob McX
    @El Dato

    It just shows that even a devastating pandemic has a silver lining. It probably saved thousands from being massacred by white supremacists. What we need is a new strain of the Black Death. The resulting lockdowns should keep everyone safe from "domestic terrorists" for another decade or so.

  35. In addition to the most murderous weekend ever in 2020, the Chicago Fire Department fought the most structure fires ever. Unlike 1968, in which many commercial districts were left to burn, CFD actually did a good job. The ambulance system mostly collapsed for civilians, so a lot of people bled out in the street.

  36. We really have to go through this stupid cycle again. The Ms. Ford mentioned above who attributes the increase in murders in part to challenges logging onto remote classes is “Erica Ford, the founder of LIFE Camp in the South Jamaica neighborhood of Queens, an organization in the city’s crisis management system that focuses on gun violence prevention and intervention.” The group’s website shows it is well funded and has the great stated purpose, essentially, of reducing gun violence by black youths. There is no way she really believes remote classes have anything to do with crime.

    Black community “peacemakers” used to point the blame at their own community. I even recall two rap collaborations with a bunch of their stars in the early 90s, Self Destruction and We’re All In The Same Gang, telling black kids to knock it off. These new groups are full on grifters who must know that more violence equals more funding from white liberals and city grants. If they really wanted less crime they would collectively concede that they need aggressive policing and stiffer sentencing. These groups only continue the deception.

    • Replies: @gent
    @william munny

    I'm more or less convinced black community dysfunction is purposefully exacerbated as policy so the talented 10%/high yellas transfer their loyalty from their kinsmen to the government/institutions. It would put them in a uniquely adversarial position, too, relative to all organic institutions in the society.

    , @njguy73
    @william munny

    At one point in the song "Self Destruction," the lyric is "I never had to run from the Ku Klux Klan/I shouldn't have to run from a Black man."

    How against The Narrative is that?

  37. What if what is being called a “spike” is our new normal.

  38. @william munny
    We really have to go through this stupid cycle again. The Ms. Ford mentioned above who attributes the increase in murders in part to challenges logging onto remote classes is "Erica Ford, the founder of LIFE Camp in the South Jamaica neighborhood of Queens, an organization in the city’s crisis management system that focuses on gun violence prevention and intervention." The group's website shows it is well funded and has the great stated purpose, essentially, of reducing gun violence by black youths. There is no way she really believes remote classes have anything to do with crime.

    Black community "peacemakers" used to point the blame at their own community. I even recall two rap collaborations with a bunch of their stars in the early 90s, Self Destruction and We're All In The Same Gang, telling black kids to knock it off. These new groups are full on grifters who must know that more violence equals more funding from white liberals and city grants. If they really wanted less crime they would collectively concede that they need aggressive policing and stiffer sentencing. These groups only continue the deception.

    Replies: @gent, @njguy73

    I’m more or less convinced black community dysfunction is purposefully exacerbated as policy so the talented 10%/high yellas transfer their loyalty from their kinsmen to the government/institutions. It would put them in a uniquely adversarial position, too, relative to all organic institutions in the society.

  39. @Alden
    @Abolish_public_education

    An old asian women was raped in Fremont near Oakland today. Were she an old White woman wouldn’t even be local news. East Bay is dangerous. The Black Plague has spread from Oakland Richmond Pittsburg to the entire area.

    Replies: @David In TN

    The perp, a Usual Suspect, was caught in the act while raping a third victim, age 57. He’s supposedly homeless, from Hayward.

    • Replies: @stillCARealist
    @David In TN

    If you're homeless, you can't really be "from" somewhere.

    It's not where you start, it's where you finish.

  40. @Morton's toes
    Michael decided he had to go the microsecond he figured out Fredo was the rat. He waited because their mom was still alive. When she died Fredo was gone in the next scene.

    Replies: @Anon

    Yep. He told someone (forget who) that he didn’t want anything to happen to Fredo while his Mom was still alive.

    • Replies: @Inquiring Mind
    @Anon

    Yeah, I know it is only a movie.

    The reason a Mafia guy has to "whack" a member of his crime family like Tessio is not only the betrayal but also incoraggiare gli altri.

    But Fredo is is flesh-and-blood full brother. There are severe moral consequences to doing him in, and I guess that was part of the downfall of Michael after the pattern of a Greek tragedy?

    The Greeks knew about this sort of thing, and exile was an alternative they considered.

    Couldn't Fredo been whisked off to some obscure Sicilian village to be "put on ice"? Or would some rival Mafia guy have found out, omerta notwithstanding, and some guy would have been bribed to bring Fredo back to the US where he could harm Michael?

    But maybe the movie sequels wouldn't be interesting if Michael grew old and fat and "retired" to Gross Pointe, Michigan?

    Replies: @J.Ross

  41. @Perspective
    @clifford brown

    Deblasio is of course in denial about what is going on at street level, there's been an incredible uptick in random stranger assaults in NYC, especially on the subway:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FK9ekChbXOs

    Replies: @Forbes

    Even the reporting is shit. Starting with an assault at the Columbus Circle station (west side), the report then moves to the multiple assaults committed (reportedly within 12 min) on the #4 train (east side) from Union Sq into Brooklyn. Not connected–but reported as if they were.

    But getting four arrests is quick work by the NYPD.

  42. @David In TN
    @Alden

    The perp, a Usual Suspect, was caught in the act while raping a third victim, age 57. He's supposedly homeless, from Hayward.

    Replies: @stillCARealist

    If you’re homeless, you can’t really be “from” somewhere.

    It’s not where you start, it’s where you finish.

  43. There’s an interesting aspect to the huge spike in NYC crime that people haven’t focused upon.

    Back in 2013, I did a very detailed statistical analysis of crime in America and discovered something remarkable. Across all our major cities, the correlation between urban crime rates and the percentage of the local black population was extraordinarily high, probably higher than just about any other relationship ever found in the social sciences:

    https://www.unz.com/runz/race-and-crime-in-america/

    However, there was one huge outlier, New York City: “Based on its racial composition, we would expect New York City’s homicide rate to be some 70% higher than it actually is, with robbery and violent crime also being far more widespread.”

    https://www.unz.com/runz/race-and-crime-in-america/#the-remarkable-new-york-city-exception

    Presumably, this was due to many years of very harsh policing practices under Giuliani and Bloomberg. But now that the local criminals have realized that those policies have been entirely eliminated and the BLM riots provided a trigger, NYC is becoming more of a “normal” city, therefore having dramatically higher crime rates.

    Given the massive hostility to the harsh Giuliani/Bloomberg policies, I doubt whether the next mayor will be able to put the cat back in the bag.

    • Replies: @UNIT472
    @Ron Unz

    I made a similar point that, under normal circumstances, shootings could not suddenly soar in cities with strict gun control laws unless the guns were already there but their use was being restrained by another force.... The police.

    As police withdrew from the urban 'battlefield' in the wake of anti police riots and policies the restraints on gun use dissipated so urban thugs and gangsters felt free to open fire whereas before they had to be cautious less they come under fire from the cops.

  44. Anon[223] • Disclaimer says:

    Ron,
    The funniest thing about all of this is that the average jail population had actually *fallen* 70% because of the Giuliani/Bloomberg policies, because such harsh policing discourages so many people from crime that they don’t commit it and get arrested!

    https://criminaljustice.cityofnewyork.us/individual_charts/average-daily-jail-population-in-nyc/

    Presumably, liberal policy here will increase crime, cause the jail population to skyrocket, which they will complain about, which will cause another BLM type incident, creating a negative feedback loop…

    CA is in the same boat as NY, but their strict policing was the result of America’s harshest three-strikes law that was voted in via a referendum, so the liberal politicians can’t restrict it unlike NYC, where the policies were entirely executive actions by Giuliani and Bloomberg. So, combined with the low black %, CA will continue to remain a very nice place to live. NY on the other hand, somewhat more doubtful…

  45. @Thomas
    @clifford brown

    The killing that's sometimes thought of as a historical watershed event in New York City was the September 4, 1990 murder in the subway of Brian Watkins, a Mormon tourist from Utah who was in town to watch the U.S. Open. 1990 was New York's bloodiest year in history, with 2,245 murders (more than five times 2020's level).

    https://www.nytimes.com/1990/09/04/nyregion/tourist-slain-in-a-subway-in-manhattan.html

    Replies: @njguy73

    I remember that. Two weeks later, Time magazine put on its cover “The Rotting of the Big Apple.”

  46. @william munny
    We really have to go through this stupid cycle again. The Ms. Ford mentioned above who attributes the increase in murders in part to challenges logging onto remote classes is "Erica Ford, the founder of LIFE Camp in the South Jamaica neighborhood of Queens, an organization in the city’s crisis management system that focuses on gun violence prevention and intervention." The group's website shows it is well funded and has the great stated purpose, essentially, of reducing gun violence by black youths. There is no way she really believes remote classes have anything to do with crime.

    Black community "peacemakers" used to point the blame at their own community. I even recall two rap collaborations with a bunch of their stars in the early 90s, Self Destruction and We're All In The Same Gang, telling black kids to knock it off. These new groups are full on grifters who must know that more violence equals more funding from white liberals and city grants. If they really wanted less crime they would collectively concede that they need aggressive policing and stiffer sentencing. These groups only continue the deception.

    Replies: @gent, @njguy73

    At one point in the song “Self Destruction,” the lyric is “I never had to run from the Ku Klux Klan/I shouldn’t have to run from a Black man.”

    How against The Narrative is that?

  47. @Ron Unz
    There's an interesting aspect to the huge spike in NYC crime that people haven't focused upon.

    Back in 2013, I did a very detailed statistical analysis of crime in America and discovered something remarkable. Across all our major cities, the correlation between urban crime rates and the percentage of the local black population was extraordinarily high, probably higher than just about any other relationship ever found in the social sciences:

    https://www.unz.com/runz/race-and-crime-in-america/

    However, there was one huge outlier, New York City: "Based on its racial composition, we would expect New York City’s homicide rate to be some 70% higher than it actually is, with robbery and violent crime also being far more widespread."

    https://www.unz.com/runz/race-and-crime-in-america/#the-remarkable-new-york-city-exception

    Presumably, this was due to many years of very harsh policing practices under Giuliani and Bloomberg. But now that the local criminals have realized that those policies have been entirely eliminated and the BLM riots provided a trigger, NYC is becoming more of a "normal" city, therefore having dramatically higher crime rates.

    Given the massive hostility to the harsh Giuliani/Bloomberg policies, I doubt whether the next mayor will be able to put the cat back in the bag.

    Replies: @UNIT472

    I made a similar point that, under normal circumstances, shootings could not suddenly soar in cities with strict gun control laws unless the guns were already there but their use was being restrained by another force…. The police.

    As police withdrew from the urban ‘battlefield’ in the wake of anti police riots and policies the restraints on gun use dissipated so urban thugs and gangsters felt free to open fire whereas before they had to be cautious less they come under fire from the cops.

  48. @El Dato
    File under "so gaslightingly stupid it's good and will be put into a time capsule by Chinese Scientists"

    Violent extremists could ‘exploit’ lifting of Covid-19 restrictions & attack large gatherings, US officials warn

    There have been no large gatherings in years. NONE!

    The DHS said that extremists motivated by racial and ethnic hatred have in the past attacked “houses of worship and crowded commercial facilities or gatherings.”

    The agency also warned that violent criminals could target protesters at events linked to “racial justice grievances and police use of force concerns,” referring to the mass protests that swept across the US last year following the death of George Floyd.

    Attorney General Merrick Garland testified before the Senate Appropriations Committee this week, and stated that domestic violent extremists pose “an elevated threat” in 2021, with white supremacists being the biggest threat.

    Garland cited the FBI, saying that 2019, the year before the pandemic began, was “the deadliest year for violent domestic extremism since 1995.”
     
    What happened in 2019? One dead heather?
    What happened in 1995? A TLA false flag attack?

    Replies: @Rob McX

    It just shows that even a devastating pandemic has a silver lining. It probably saved thousands from being massacred by white supremacists. What we need is a new strain of the Black Death. The resulting lockdowns should keep everyone safe from “domestic terrorists” for another decade or so.

  49. Oh, absolutely, I would bet everything on crime going and staying up. Our elite did this to us deliberately. The solution is hardly mysterious. If police did police work, if existing law were enforced, if DA’s prosecuted, and if our leadership were not venal pedophile traitors, everything would be controlled as quickly and completely as in Giuliani’s New York City.

    • Replies: @Mike_from_SGV
    @J.Ross

    Degrading the quality of life of normal people is a specific aim of progressives and of all the institutions they have captured. At this point the government is uninterested in preventing crime; as a leftist-captured institution, they are on the side of the criminals and vagrants.

    Replies: @J.Ross

  50. The problem is that these guns are enchanted. Once they are in the vicinity of Tragic Dirt, they magically produce ‘gun play’ leading to ‘gun violence’ among the playful yoof.

  51. @AnotherDad

    ... but most of these murders aren’t as carefully considered as Michael Corleone slowly but remorselessly coming to the conclusion that his brother Fredo must be whacked.
     
    You gotta admit, Fredo had it coming. Heck, i'm no mafioso and i was thinking "please get rid of this chump". And making a deal against your family with Meyer Lansky. C'mon.

    Replies: @Inquiring Mind

    Hyman Roth, dude.

    Yeah, we all know that Johnny Fontaine was Frank Sinatra, Margot Ashton was Ava Gardner and the guy who found his horse’s head in his bead was some studio bigwig.

    But the character’s name is Hyman Roth. And yes, Fredo had it coming.

    • Replies: @JohnnyWalker123
    @Inquiring Mind

    Your father did business with Hyman Roth. Your father respected Hyman Roth.... but your father never trusted Hyman Roth.

    2:15-2:20

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=FqBoE9H7V7I

  52. Spike in Shootings During the Racial Reckoning May Outlast the Riots

    As will the beatings of Uber drivers (and passengers)!!

    Morgantown, WV, black population 4%. Blacks punch and kick, whites intervene to separate the victims, everybody video records.

  53. @Anon
    @Morton's toes

    Yep. He told someone (forget who) that he didn't want anything to happen to Fredo while his Mom was still alive.

    Replies: @Inquiring Mind

    Yeah, I know it is only a movie.

    The reason a Mafia guy has to “whack” a member of his crime family like Tessio is not only the betrayal but also incoraggiare gli altri.

    But Fredo is is flesh-and-blood full brother. There are severe moral consequences to doing him in, and I guess that was part of the downfall of Michael after the pattern of a Greek tragedy?

    The Greeks knew about this sort of thing, and exile was an alternative they considered.

    Couldn’t Fredo been whisked off to some obscure Sicilian village to be “put on ice”? Or would some rival Mafia guy have found out, omerta notwithstanding, and some guy would have been bribed to bring Fredo back to the US where he could harm Michael?

    But maybe the movie sequels wouldn’t be interesting if Michael grew old and fat and “retired” to Gross Pointe, Michigan?

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Inquiring Mind

    Grosse Pointe is diversifying. We honestly didn't have litter when I was a kid. Now litter is about as common as in Detroit. Grosse Pointers who can retire to Florida or more northerner northern suburbs like Chesterfield.

  54. @Inquiring Mind
    @AnotherDad

    Hyman Roth, dude.

    Yeah, we all know that Johnny Fontaine was Frank Sinatra, Margot Ashton was Ava Gardner and the guy who found his horse's head in his bead was some studio bigwig.

    But the character's name is Hyman Roth. And yes, Fredo had it coming.

    Replies: @JohnnyWalker123

    Your father did business with Hyman Roth. Your father respected Hyman Roth…. but your father never trusted Hyman Roth.

    2:15-2:20

  55. @J.Ross
    Oh, absolutely, I would bet everything on crime going and staying up. Our elite did this to us deliberately. The solution is hardly mysterious. If police did police work, if existing law were enforced, if DA's prosecuted, and if our leadership were not venal pedophile traitors, everything would be controlled as quickly and completely as in Giuliani's New York City.

    Replies: @Mike_from_SGV

    Degrading the quality of life of normal people is a specific aim of progressives and of all the institutions they have captured. At this point the government is uninterested in preventing crime; as a leftist-captured institution, they are on the side of the criminals and vagrants.

    • Replies: @J.Ross
    @Mike_from_SGV

    Exactly correct, because they are failures and self-doubters who feel they cannot make their own lives better through work (cf their belief that wealth is theft and all successful people are exploiters and you didn't build that), and so instead of making their own lives better they hope to preserve class distrubution by diminishing the lives of others.

  56. @Mike_from_SGV
    @J.Ross

    Degrading the quality of life of normal people is a specific aim of progressives and of all the institutions they have captured. At this point the government is uninterested in preventing crime; as a leftist-captured institution, they are on the side of the criminals and vagrants.

    Replies: @J.Ross

    Exactly correct, because they are failures and self-doubters who feel they cannot make their own lives better through work (cf their belief that wealth is theft and all successful people are exploiters and you didn’t build that), and so instead of making their own lives better they hope to preserve class distrubution by diminishing the lives of others.

  57. @Inquiring Mind
    @Anon

    Yeah, I know it is only a movie.

    The reason a Mafia guy has to "whack" a member of his crime family like Tessio is not only the betrayal but also incoraggiare gli altri.

    But Fredo is is flesh-and-blood full brother. There are severe moral consequences to doing him in, and I guess that was part of the downfall of Michael after the pattern of a Greek tragedy?

    The Greeks knew about this sort of thing, and exile was an alternative they considered.

    Couldn't Fredo been whisked off to some obscure Sicilian village to be "put on ice"? Or would some rival Mafia guy have found out, omerta notwithstanding, and some guy would have been bribed to bring Fredo back to the US where he could harm Michael?

    But maybe the movie sequels wouldn't be interesting if Michael grew old and fat and "retired" to Gross Pointe, Michigan?

    Replies: @J.Ross

    Grosse Pointe is diversifying. We honestly didn’t have litter when I was a kid. Now litter is about as common as in Detroit. Grosse Pointers who can retire to Florida or more northerner northern suburbs like Chesterfield.

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