Obviously, there is nothing hateful, violent, threatening or harassing about my utterly empirical tweet (for documentation from CDC and FBI data, see my recent columns “Triggered” and “The Floyd Effect.”)

I await my apology from Twitter.

Update:

I want to thank everybody who has contributed to my December fundraiser so far.

Here are ten ways for you to help me carry on:

First: Most banks now allow fee-free money transfers via Zelle.

Zelle is really a good system: easy to use and the fees are nonexistent.

If you have a Wells Fargo bank account, you can transfer money to me (with no fees) via Wells Fargo SurePay/Zelle. Just tell WF SurePay/Zelle to send the money to my ancient AOL email address steveslrAT aol.com — replace the AT with the usual @). (Non-tax deductible.) Please note, there is no 2.9% fee like with Paypal or Google Wallet, so this is good for large contributions.

Zelle contributions are not tax deductible.

Second: if you have a Chase bank account (or even other bank accounts), you can transfer money to me (with no fees) via Chase QuickPay/Zelle (FAQ). Just tell Chase QuickPay/Zelle to send the money to my ancient AOL email address (steveslrATaol.com — replace the AT with the usual @). If Chase asks for the name on my account, it’s StevenSailer with an n at the end of Steven. (Non-tax deductible.) There is no 2.9% fee like with Paypal or Google Wallet, so this is also good for large contributions.

Third, Zelle might work with other banks too. Here’s a Zelle link for CitiBank. And Bank of America.

Fourth: You can use Paypal (non-tax deductible) by going to the page on my old blog here. Paypal accepts most credit cards. Contributions can be either one-time only, monthly, or annual. (Monthly is nice.)

Fifth: You can mail a non-tax deductible donation to:

Steve Sailer
P.O Box 4142
Valley Village, CA 91617

I have no idea why somebody carefully hung this empty picture frame from a tree alongside the Fryman Canyon hiking trail, but I appreciate it, like I appreciate your support.

Sixth: You can make a tax deductible contribution via VDARE by clicking here.

Please don’t forget to click my name at the VDARE site so the money goes to me: first, click on “Earmark your donation,” then click on “Steve Sailer:”

This is not to say that you shouldn’t click on John’s fund too, but, please, make sure there’s a blue dot next to my name.

VDARE has been kiboshed from use of Paypal for being, I dunno, EVIL. But you can give via credit cards, Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin, check, money order, or stock.

Note: the VDARE site goes up and down on its own schedule, so if this link stops working, please let me know.

Seventh: send money via the Paypal-like Google Wallet to my Gmail address (that’s isteveslrATgmail .com — replace the AT with a @). (Non-tax deductible.)

Eight: You can send me Bitcoin. Bitcoin payments are not tax deductible.

Here’s my Bitcoin address:

1EkuvRNR86uJzpopquxdnmF23iA3vzdDuc

Here’s the OCR

Please let me know if this works, ideally by sending me Bitcoin. Or let me know what else you’d like to send me.

If you’re sending to a crypto address that belongs to another Coinbase user who has opted into Instant sends in their privacy settings, you can send your funds instantly to them with no transaction fees. This transaction will not be sent on chain, and is similar to sending to an email address.

Learn more about sending and receiving crypto.

Send off-chain funds

Mobile

1. Tap at the bottom
2. Tap Send
3. Tap your selected asset and enter the amount of crypto you’d like to send
4. Enter the Receiver’s crypto address or scan their crypto QR code to see if the address belongs to a Coinbase user

Computer

1. Sign into Coinbase.com

2. Click Send at the top right

3. Click your selected asset and enter the amount of crypto you’d like to send

4. Enter the Receiver’s crypto address or scan their crypto QR code to see if the address belongs to a Coinbase user

Obsolete: Below are links to two Coinbase pages of mine. But these don’t work anymore. I will try to fix them. This first is if you want to enter a U.S. dollar-denominated amount to pay me.

Pay With Bitcoin (denominated in U.S. Dollars)

This second is if you want to enter a Bitcoin-denominated amount. (Remember one Bitcoin is currently worth many U.S. dollars.)

Pay With Bitcoin (denominated in Bitcoins)

▲▼Ninth: I added Square [which is now Block] as a fundraising medium, although I’m vague on how it works. If you want to use Square, send me an email telling me how much to send you an invoice for. Or, if you know an easier way for us to use Square, please let me know.

Tenth: Venmo: https://account.venmo.com/u/SteveSailer

From the New York Times news section:

Homicides of Children Soared in the Pandemic’s First Year

Killings of children and teenagers under 18 increased sharply in 2020, federal researchers reported. Black communities were disproportionately affected.

By Roni Caryn Rabin
Dec. 19, 2022

As the pandemic spread across the United States in 2020, the number of children who were killed rose precipitously, as did the number injured by firearms, scientists reported in two studies on Monday.

A majority of the homicides were among Black children, and almost half were among children in the southern United States. Each of those groups also accounted for most of the children brought to pediatric hospitals with gun injuries.

The rate of child homicide in the United States rose by about 28 percent in 2020, from 2.2 per 100,000 in 2019 to 2.8 per 100,000 in 2020, researchers at the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention found. …

Gun homicides have also risen greatly among children in recent years. In a review of recent data on firearms, The New York Times reported last week that gun homicides involving children had increased by more than 73 percent since 2018 and that the disparity in risk between Black children and others was rapidly widening.

The authors of the new study, published in JAMA Pediatrics, said the data highlighted a public health concern “warranting immediate attention.” Child homicides are “fundamentally preventable,” yet they are becoming “more common, not less,” an accompanying editorial said.

Overall, older children and boys of all ages were more likely to be victims of gun violence than younger children and girls. The C.D.C. found a decline in homicide rates overall among girls, infants and children under 6 as well as among white children, Asian or Pacific Islander children and children in the Northeast.

Homicides of younger children often occur in or near the home and are most commonly perpetrated by parents and caregivers. The homicides often are linked to child abuse and neglect and reflect the stresses experienced by families, said Dr. Elinore J. Kaufman, a trauma surgeon at University of Pennsylvania Perelman School of Medicine and a co-author of the editorial accompanying the homicide study.

In the first weeks of the pandemic, it was widely predicted, not at all unreasonably, that domestic violence would soar due to people being cooped up with their loved ones. Instead, that mostly didn’t happen.

What did happen was that black-on-black shootings at black social events soared to a new plateau after George Floyd’s death launched the “racial reckoning” in which American elites announced that blacks had been oppressed by being expected to not resist arrest enough if they weren’t in the mood to be arrested. Stops of blacks declined sharply, and lowlifes started to carry their illegal handguns when they went out.

I know this and you know this, but almost none of the 7 million subscribers to the New York Times know this. They have been told over and over that the increase in shootings during the Mostly Peaceful Protest era was due in some vague, unspecified sense to the “pandemic” and “guns.”

“I don’t think we’re doing a good job of taking care of families, and it shows,” Dr. Kaufman said in an interview.

Older children and teenagers, on the other hand, were more likely to be killed in altercations with acquaintances or strangers in public places, she noted.

In other words, black teen criminals shooting each other.

Guns are more likely to be involved in these killings, and the violence reflects the deprivation that disproportionately affects Black people and other communities of color.

We aren’t going to come out and say that blacks commit vastly more gun crimes per capita than anybody else, but in case you are so evil as to let that thought intrude into your consciousness, note that it’s your fault because blacks suffer “deprivation.”

Especially don’t let it slip into your mind that the main pandemic-related reason blacks started shooting each other so much in 2020 was that stimulus checks and the rent moratorium, rather than depriving blacks, put unprecedented amounts of cash into their pockets to party and to buy guns and cars, which, along with the George Floyd Mania, is another why both kinds of black deaths of exuberance — homicides and car fatalities — skyrocketed in June 2020.

The study noted that racial segregation exposed children of color to “concentrated poverty, segregated and underfunded educational systems, environmental hazards, lack of safe play spaces and limited opportunity.”

And yet, black homicide rates and car crash deaths tend to decline during economic hard times such as after the end of the Housing Bubble during 2006 and rise during good times, such as during the stimulus of 2020:

The researchers suggested that such inequitable living conditions might play a large role in the persistent disparities in child homicide rates.

Blacks die by homicide 4.8 times as often as Latinos, who are roughly similar in living conditions, except for the shootiness.

As a trauma surgeon, Dr. Kaufman said, she has seen the fallout of record gun violence in Philadelphia, which went up during the pandemic and has continued with little evidence of abating.

“We’re sitting at that high plateau and not seeing much in terms of improvement, except maybe a tiny bit,” Dr. Kaufman said.

Homicides in 2022 will likely be down a few percent from 2021, back near 2020 levels, but still way above the Good Old Days of 2019.

The increase in child homicides is part of a decade-long trend. Rates have been rising slowly but steadily since 2013 after declining from 2007 to 2013.

Economic hard times lead to fewer Deaths of Exuberance.

In 2020, the first year of the pandemic, the number spiked, and 2,058 children aged 17 and younger were homicide victims, up from 1,611 in 2019.

Roughly the same increase as the overall total increase. America doesn’t have a child gun violence problem so much as it has a black gun violence problem, but the NYT is awfully reluctant to tell the truth about that huge fact.

From my movie review in Taki’s Magazine:

‘The Fabelmans’: A Drama About a Drama-Free Boyhood
Steve Sailer

December 21, 2022

To have been born in the USA in 1946 was to have been dealt aces in the poker game of life. Those born in the first year of the baby boom went through their days finding that there were relatively few older men born during the Depression and The War to hog the leadership roles and an abundance of younger baby boomers to look up to them and follow them.

Three presidents were born in 1946, as was a man who enjoyed an even more fabulous career, movie director Steven Spielberg, who made himself a billionaire in just about the most fun way imaginable, directing films like Duel, Raiders of the Lost Ark, and Catch Me if You Can.

Spielberg, who turned 76 last Sunday (although he long claimed to have been born in 1947 instead of 1946, apparently to augment his legend as a child prodigy), has now made a semiautobiographical film about his childhood, The Fabelmans.

On the plus side about The Fabelmans, as always Spielberg places the camera in the right spot and extracts strong performances. Michelle Williams stars as a manic-depressive bohemian musician turned the director’s housewife mom and Paul Dano as his nice guy computer scientist father.

Read the whole thing there.

I am going to do you a favor: here’s the best scene in the whole movie, when a teenaged Spielberg gets to meet the great director John Ford, director of a couple of dozen John Wayne movies, as played by the great director David Lynch:

I want to thank everybody who has contributed to my December fundraiser so far.

Here are ten ways for you to help me carry on:

First: Most banks now allow fee-free money transfers via Zelle.

Zelle is really a good system: easy to use and the fees are nonexistent.

If you have a Wells Fargo bank account, you can transfer money to me (with no fees) via Wells Fargo SurePay/Zelle. Just tell WF SurePay/Zelle to send the money to my ancient AOL email address steveslrAT aol.com — replace the AT with the usual @). (Non-tax deductible.) Please note, there is no 2.9% fee like with Paypal or Google Wallet, so this is good for large contributions.

Zelle contributions are not tax deductible.

Second: if you have a Chase bank account (or even other bank accounts), you can transfer money to me (with no fees) via Chase QuickPay/Zelle (FAQ). Just tell Chase QuickPay/Zelle to send the money to my ancient AOL email address (steveslrATaol.com — replace the AT with the usual @). If Chase asks for the name on my account, it’s StevenSailer with an n at the end of Steven. (Non-tax deductible.) There is no 2.9% fee like with Paypal or Google Wallet, so this is also good for large contributions.

Third, Zelle might work with other banks too. Here’s a Zelle link for CitiBank. And Bank of America.

Fourth: You can use Paypal (non-tax deductible) by going to the page on my old blog here. Paypal accepts most credit cards. Contributions can be either one-time only, monthly, or annual. (Monthly is nice.)

Fifth: You can mail a non-tax deductible donation to:

Steve Sailer
P.O Box 4142
Valley Village, CA 91617

I have no idea why somebody carefully hung this empty picture frame from a tree alongside the Fryman Canyon hiking trail, but I appreciate it, like I appreciate your support.

Sixth: You can make a tax deductible contribution via VDARE by clicking here.

Please don’t forget to click my name at the VDARE site so the money goes to me: first, click on “Earmark your donation,” then click on “Steve Sailer:”

This is not to say that you shouldn’t click on John’s fund too, but, please, make sure there’s a blue dot next to my name.

VDARE has been kiboshed from use of Paypal for being, I dunno, EVIL. But you can give via credit cards, Bitcoin, Ethereum and Litecoin, check, money order, or stock.

Note: the VDARE site goes up and down on its own schedule, so if this link stops working, please let me know.

Seventh: send money via the Paypal-like Google Wallet to my Gmail address (that’s isteveslrATgmail .com — replace the AT with a @). (Non-tax deductible.)

Eight: You can send me Bitcoin. Bitcoin payments are not tax deductible.

Here’s my Bitcoin address:

1EkuvRNR86uJzpopquxdnmF23iA3vzdDuc

Here’s the OCR

Please let me know if this works, ideally by sending me Bitcoin. Or let me know what else you’d like to send me.

If you’re sending to a crypto address that belongs to another Coinbase user who has opted into Instant sends in their privacy settings, you can send your funds instantly to them with no transaction fees. This transaction will not be sent on chain, and is similar to sending to an email address.

Learn more about sending and receiving crypto.

Send off-chain funds

Mobile

1. Tap at the bottom
2. Tap Send
3. Tap your selected asset and enter the amount of crypto you’d like to send
4. Enter the Receiver’s crypto address or scan their crypto QR code to see if the address belongs to a Coinbase user

Computer

1. Sign into Coinbase.com

2. Click Send at the top right

3. Click your selected asset and enter the amount of crypto you’d like to send

4. Enter the Receiver’s crypto address or scan their crypto QR code to see if the address belongs to a Coinbase user

Obsolete: Below are links to two Coinbase pages of mine. But these don’t work anymore. I will try to fix them. This first is if you want to enter a U.S. dollar-denominated amount to pay me.

Pay With Bitcoin (denominated in U.S. Dollars)

This second is if you want to enter a Bitcoin-denominated amount. (Remember one Bitcoin is currently worth many U.S. dollars.)

Pay With Bitcoin (denominated in Bitcoins)

▲▼Ninth: I added Square [which is now Block] as a fundraising medium, although I’m vague on how it works. If you want to use Square, send me an email telling me how much to send you an invoice for. Or, if you know an easier way for us to use Square, please let me know.

Tenth: Venmo: https://account.venmo.com/u/SteveSailer

From Time magazine 64 years ago:

National Affairs: THE NEGRO CRIME RATE: A FAILURE IN INTEGRATION
Monday, Apr. 21, 1958

THEY are afraid to say so in public, but many of the North’s big-city mayors groan in private that their biggest and most worrisome problem is the crime rate among Negroes.

In 1,551 U.S. cities, according to the FBI tally for 1956, Negroes, making up 10% of the U.S. population, accounted for about 30% of all arrests, and 60% of the arrests for crimes involving violence or threat of bodily harm—murder, non-negligent manslaughter, rape, robbery and aggravated assault.

OK, that’s a 13.5 to 1 ratio of blacks to all non-blacks for violent crime.

In one city after another, the figures—where they are not hidden or suppressed by politicians—reveal a shocking pattern. Items:

New York (14% Negro). Of the prisoners confined in houses of detention last year to await court disposition of their cases, 44% of the males and 65% of the females were Negroes.

For males, that’s only a 4.8 ratio.

Chicago (15% Negro). In 1956 twice as many Negroes as whites—1,366 to 679—were arrested on charges of murder, non-negligent manslaughter, rape and robbery.

About 10.7 to 1 ratio, assuming whites made up 80% of the population, 15% black, and 5% miscellaneous.

Detroit (25% Negro). Two out of three prisoners held in the Wayne County jail are Negroes.

6.0 to 1.

… Los Angeles (13% Negro). In 1956 Negroes accounted for 28% of all arrests, and 48% of the arrests for homicide, rape, aggravated assault, robbery, burglary, larceny and auto theft.

6.2 ratio for serious arrests vs. nonblacks, some of whom were Mexican.

San Francisco (7% Negro). The victims in 896 of last year’s 1,564 recorded robbery cases reported that the assailants were Negroes.

17.8 to 1 ratio for robbery.

Negro leaders sometimes argue passionately that arrest statistics wildly distort the comparative incidence of crime among Negroes and whites because cops are more likely to arrest Negroes for petty crimes or on mere suspicion. …

But inequality of treatment by the police may actually tend to shrink rather than inflate the statistics of Negro crime. Says Newsman Wartman in the next breath: “When Negroes violate social morals—sex, drinking, gambling—white cops bypass this as ‘typically Negro.’ ” Many Negro leaders protest that the police are far from diligent enough in dealing with crimes committed against Negroes—and Negroes are the victims in the great majority of Negro crimes of violence. Since Negroes, even when they are victims or innocent bystanders, are often wary of calling the police, many offenses of disorder and assault go unreported when committed by Negroes in the depths of a ghetto.

Whether the statistics of Negro crime overstate or understate the reality, they are shrouded from public attention by what a Chicago judge last week called a “conspiracy of concealment.” In many cities, Negro leaders and organizations such as the National Association for the Advancement of Colored People put pressure on politicians, city officials and newspapers to play down the subject. Fearing loss of Negro votes, few elected officials dare to resist the pressures.

Abetting the concealment campaign is the feeling shared by many whites that it is unfair, inflammatory and even un-American to talk about Negro crime. This feeling is reflected in the widespread newspaper practice of not mentioning a criminal’s race unless he is at large and the fact would help in identifying him.

In hiding the facts about Negro crime, the “conspiracy of concealment” helps blur the causes of it. Negro leaders themselves often put forward explanations that are oversimple. …

Crime rates run high in the Negro slums of Harlem and South Side Chicago, but they also run high in the Negro districts of Los Angeles and San Francisco, where the houses are comparatively decent. As many a public-housing official has learned to his dismay, better housing does not automatically bring about the improvement in character and conduct that do-gooders used to predict. Slum dwellers who move into brand-new public-housing projects often turn them into new slums as verminous and crime-ridden as the tenements they left behind.

Negro leadership could make a start toward lowering Negro crime rates by abandoning the conspiracy of concealment and urging full disclosure of the facts to be met. …

But even heroic efforts by Negro leadership could only dent the Negro crime problem, because essentially it is a white problem. And it will remain a severe problem until Northern whites, private citizens as well as civic officials, recognize that Negro crime is basically a symptom of a failure in integration, and start attacking discrimination in the North with the same fervor they show in arguing for civil rights in the South.

In part because soccer games are usually rather boring to watch, soccer highlights can be exciting in contrast. Here are the most famous goals by the most famous Argentines, Diego Maradona’s Goal of the Century against England in the 1986 World Cup quarterfinals and 19-year-old Lionel Messi against Getafe in 2007.

One of the funnier patterns that you can’t unsee is how the New York Times works hard to make many of its article more boring than they have to be to avoid upsetting the delicate amour propre of subscribers.

From the New York Times news section:

Ex-Google Contractor Settles Lawsuit Over Religious Sect

The suit claimed that the Fellowship of Friends, an obscure group based in the Sierra Nevada foothills, gained influence inside Google.

The entrance to the Fellowship of Friends in Oregon House, Calif. Credit…Rozette Rago for The New York Times

By Cade Metz
Cade Metz, based in San Francisco, has followed developments on this story since early this year.

Dec. 19, 2022

A former video producer for Google has settled a lawsuit that claimed he was fired after he complained that a religious sect had gained a foothold inside a business unit of the company.

Look at all those American flags the religious sect is flying!

Kevin Lloyd, 34, said in the suit that he had been fired after complaining that the Fellowship of Friends, a religious organization based in the foothills of the Sierra Nevada mountains,

Obviously, some redneck Christian church up in foothills

dominated a business unit called Google Developer Studios, which makes videos showcasing the company’s technologies.

The suit claimed that the leader of the business unit — Peter Lubbers, a longtime member of the Fellowship of Friends — hired many of the religious group’s members onto the team as contractors, helped some advance to full-time positions and gave work to many others when staffing company conferences and parties.

… Mr. Lloyd last year brought the suit against both Google and Advanced Systems Group, or ASG, a staffing company that brought him into Google as a contractor. It accused both companies of violating a California employment law that protects workers from discrimination.

Christians are always going around discriminating, aren’t they?

The suit raised questions about Google’s dependence on contract employees, who now outnumber full-time workers inside the company. Most of Mr. Lloyd’s team joined the company through ASG as contractors, including many members of the Fellowship.

Mr. Lloyd agreed to settle the suit last week. Terms of the settlement — which was between Mr. Lloyd and ASG — were not disclosed.

Founded by a former schoolteacher named Robert Earl Burton in 1970, the Fellowship of Friends describes itself as “available to anyone interested in pursuing the spiritual work of awakening.” It claims about 1,500 members around the world, including roughly 500 in and around Oregon House, Calif., a tiny town about 180 miles north of Google’s Silicon Valley headquarters.

Mr. Burton believed people could achieve a higher consciousness by embracing the fine arts. Over the decades, he cultivated an extravagant lifestyle with help from his followers, who often donated 10 percent of their monthly earnings to the organization.

One of these Christian preacher sex fiends knocking up all the girls.

In 1984, a former member filed a lawsuit claiming that young men who joined the organization “had been forcefully and unlawfully sexually seduced by Burton.” In 1996, another former member accused Mr. Burton of sexual misconduct with him when he was a minor.

Fortunately, I stopped reading before the reporter got to the gay stuff.

Now, here’s how the Daily Mail’s earlier version of this story from last summer starts off:

Google whistleblower claims tech giant’s Developer Studio division has been infiltrated by ‘pedophilic religious doomsday cult’ Fellowship of Friends that was featured in a Spotify podcast series called ‘Revelations’ last year

By HARRIET ALEXANDER FOR DAILYMAIL.COM

PUBLISHED: 22:30 EST, 23 June 2022 | UPDATED: 08:23 EST, 24 June 2022

An apocalyptic ‘cult’ led by an eccentric misogynist accused of sexual abuse of young men has taken over a division of Google, a whistleblower has claimed.

… ‘Plaintiff’s preliminary research into Oregon House and the Fellowship of Friends described the Fellowship as a destructive cult, with a pedophilic leader who makes false prophecies about the end of the world,’ the lawsuit claims. …

He said it slowly dawned on him that many of the people he met at GDS were from the same small Californian town, 180 miles north of Google’s Silicon Valley home, in Mountain View….

Burton, believed to be now aged in his early 80s, sought to create a center celebrating the fine arts – with opera, ballet, works of art and literature the focus.

… But critics claimed that he had sexually abused new members of his group – in particular young boys.

In 1984 a former member filed a $2.75 million lawsuit claiming that young men who joined the organization ‘had been forcefully and unlawfully sexually seduced by Burton,’ according to documents obtained by The New York Times.

In 1996, another former member accused Burton in a law suit of sexual misconduct with him while he was minor. Both suits were settled out of court. …

Burton based his faith system on a philosophy called the Fourth Way, founded by an Armenian philosopher and mystic, George Gurdjieff, who lived from 1866 to 1949.

Burton adopted Gurdjieff’s believe that people are in a hypnotic ‘waking sleep’, and need to work on themselves through studying art, music and literature.

He named his 1,200-acre headquarters Apollo, and his 1,800 followers gave 10 percent of their earnings to the organization – which spent the money on art, fine wine and culture.

Other critics said that the group was strongly anti-women, and celebrated white European men above all.

There are even funnier pictures available online at a tell-all blog called RobertEarlBurton.blogspotcom, such as:

Claudia Goldin is a Harvard professor of economics who specializes in 2oth Century US economic history: e.g., how much good did the expansion of the percentage of students going to high school do in the 20s and 30s? Probably a lot.

American WWII soldiers were reasonably trainable to maintain a massively mechanically complex war machine. Other countries didn’t have the depth of workers ready to step right in at sophisticated duties. When the Japanese lost all four aircraft carriers at the Battle of Midway in 1942, they not only lost the ships, the planes, the pilots, but they also lost a notable percentage of the their economy’s most advanced technicians, and they never seemed able to gear up for the rest of the war to train enough farm boys to replace their aviation technician losses. In contrast, the U.S. in the 1940s, in contrast to WWI when the high rate of illiteracy in hillbilly states shocked elites, seemed to have an endless supply of guys who could read training manuals and had some shade tree mechanic experience helping their uncle work on his Model T.

Another one of Goldin’s topics is women in the work force. I can’t find the big paper she wrote on it (update: this is probably it), but my recollection of it goes something like this:

Economist Claudia Goldin says that in the 1950s-1960s most married women re-entered the work force at some point when their youngest child was in school, but their earnings were limited by lack of education. So their daughters resolved to get more education before marrying.

Goldin’s stylized model of life of middle class mothers of Baby Boomers in 1950s was:

Drop out of college to marry at 19
Have children at 21, 23, 26, 28.
Start part time work at 39, full time at 42, work for 23 years, but pay is limited by lack of education.

Their daughters who went to college in 1970s figured a better plan would be:

Graduate from college at 22, marry at 25, children at 27 and 29, return to part time work at 35, full time work at 39, get paid like a college grad until retiring at 65.

Sensible, if assuming no delays.

Over time, however, this model has drifted later and later in life (make partner/tenure by 37, have first baby at 38, second at 40), with less margin for error before fertility runs out.

I’d add a couple of angles to this:

A century ago, middle class women typically had a servant or two to help out around the house. Then immigration was cut back in the 1920s and when servant girls went off to work in factories during WWII, lots of bourgeois matrons had to learn in mid-life how to do numerous household chores. (In Heinlein’s The Door Into Summer, the inventor of the first home robot chooses as the brand name of his mechanical maid “Immigrant Girl.”)

But this was taken on mostly in a spirit of supporting a more egalitarian America. In Professor-Admiral Samuel Eliot Morison’s Oxford History of the American People from around 1970, he inserts a page of praise for matrons like his Boston brahmin wife who had learn how to keep house in midlife due to the democratization of American life.

Keep in mind that while childminding takes a lot of time, household chores have been getting less burdensome. Housekeeping was a vast amount of work until fairly recently: my mother, who never had a servant, got her first dryer c. 1964, her first dishwasher c. 1970 and her first microwave c. 1980. Over time, housekeeping (at least without small children) became less of a full time job, so it made more sense in terms of opportunity cost to go back to work.

The Republic of Ireland now has a very high nominal per capita GDP. Much of this is for Evado Tax reasons — e.g., Apple negotiated a 2% corporate profit tax rate with the Republic of Ireland and now, through the magic of accounting, Apple recognizes much of the profits it earns in the European Union as transpiring in County Cork.

On the other hand, while I haven’t been to Ireland since 1994, my impression is that the place now looks like a fairly prosperous modern country.

That’s interesting from an IQ and the Wealth of Nations perspective, the 2002 book by Lynn and Vanhanen that showed a strong correlation between per capita GDP and national average IQ as calculated from a miscellany of studies. Because in that book, Ireland scored the lowest Western Europe at 92. But lately Ireland is prosperous and scores quite well on the PISA school achievement test for 15 year olds.

From psychometrician Russell T. Warne’s blog:

IRISH IQ: THE MASSIVE RISE THAT NEVER HAPPENED

DEC 17, 2022RUSSELL T. WARNE

GROUP DIFFERENCES, HANS EYSENCK, INTELLIGENCE, IQ, NATIONAL AVERAGE IQ, RACE DIFFERENCES, RICHARD LYNN

One of the talking points in the discussion of average group differences in IQ is Irish IQ. People on both the hereditarian and environmentalist side of the debate have seized on this tidbit of information to advance their arguments.

Lynn and Vanhanen (2006) estimated that the average IQ of the Irish population to be 92, which is noticeably lower than the rest of northern and western Europe. Lynn (2015, pp. 38-39) attributed this lower value to the dysgenic effect of Roman Catholicism (where more educated people become celibate nuns and priests) and selective migration of brighter individuals to other countries. …

Environmentalists are heartened by this massive rise in Irish IQ. In that perspective, if one group difference can close so quickly, then the most controversial group mean IQ difference — between White Americans and African American — can also close. It is a plausible hypothesis, and it is worth investigating the Irish IQ data in order to see whether it provides grounds for hope regarding other group differences in IQ.

Warne went back and dug up every study of IQ in the Republic of Ireland (orange dots, confusingly), Northern Ireland (green dots — don’t make me tell my anecdote again about my green and orange golf balls at Ballybunion!) and Irish-Americans in the US (blue dots):

If you look at the orange dots (Republic), there was one sizable study in the early 1980s that came out at 87 and three other sizable ones in 95 to 97 range, plus some smaller ones as high as 104 (the most recent R of I study, but quite small).

Warne comes up with a weighted average mean for the Republic of Ireland of 94.0 (on a scale where England is 100). So, that is kind of a low, not super low, but 40% of a standard deviation. There has only been one small IQ test in the Republic over the last 30 years, which seems to be a global pattern. The IQ test publishers don’t see much reason to conduct many new validations tests.

On the other hand, this century has been something of a golden age for school achievement tests like TIMSS and PISA. In the World Bank’s collection of tests, Ireland comes out a strong tenth in the world, one point ahead of the UK.

Personally, I wouldn’t be all that surprised if the Republic of Ireland’s IQ had been depressed a little bit during the De Valera era when the government encouraged a farm and faith-focused culture. The Irish Free State emphasized strongly that farmers should feel as good as anybody else and that the education system shouldn’t make them feel inferior to city slickers.

In 1965 I visited my cousins at their Irish boarding school, Clongowes Wood College, which features in Joyce’s A Portrait of the Artist As a Young Man. They were always complaining that they had to take classes in Gaelic, which they didn’t see much use for when they returned to America. But teaching Gaelic was government policy even if it weren’t the absolute best use of young minds’ time.

Lately, Ireland has prospered as a corporate regional headquarters because it’s overwhelmingly English speaking (and with an understandable and likable accent).

I’m reminded of how Israel doesn’t score that highly on tests, which likely has something to do with the ancient Zionist policy of de-intellectualizing Israeli Jews, that the new Jews forged in Israel weren’t just going to be scholars and merchants, they’d also be farmers and soldiers. So, Israel has wound up with a slightly dumbed down culture (one in which, for example, Mizrahi pop culture tastes are considered more desirable than snobbish Ashkenazi tastes) and correspondingly mediocre test scores.

Something to keep in mind is that the Irish, English, Welsh, Scottish are so closely related genetically that DNA ancestry testing services often lump them all together and maybe toss in the Dutch as well. Presumably, there is a lot of demand from customers for knowing how Irish or Scottish or English they are, so it says a lot that testing companies have often punted on that profitable question.

From the New York Post news section:

Roberts halts Title 42 lift as states file last-ditch Supreme Court appeal

By Samuel Chamberlain and Mark Moore
December 19, 2022 4:42pm Updated

Supreme Court Chief Justice John Roberts temporarily halted Wednesday’s planned lifting of the Trump-era Title 42 health program Monday after more than a dozen Republican-led states filed an emergency application to the high court.

Roberts gave the Department of Homeland Security until 5 p.m. Tuesday to respond to the appeal by 19 Republican attorneys general and stayed a federal court ruling from last month that ordered the program wrapped up on Dec. 21.

Once the administration’s response is filed, Roberts can deny the states’ application on his own, or — more likely — refer the matter to the full court for consideration.

Title 42, established at the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, allows border officials to automatically refuse entry to migrants who may have been infected by the deadly virus. ​

Under the policy, law enforcement officials have removed approximately 2.5 million illegal border-crossers apprehended at the US-Mexico frontier, according to government statistics. ​

But a three-judge federal appeals court ​on Friday rejected the states’ plea to block the Nov. 15 ruling by Senior US District Judge Emmet Sullivan scrapping Title 42….

Republicans and even some Democrats have warned that lifting Title 42 will result in a surge of migrants at the southern border, and hordes have been amassing in Mexico over the past several weeks in anticipation of the policy expiring.

Arizona Attorney General Mark Brnovich, among the state officials filing the emergency application, said lifting Title 42 will worsen the “catastrophe” that already exists at the border.

“Getting rid of Title 42 will recklessly and needlessly endanger more Americans and migrants by exacerbating the catastrophe that is occurring at our southern border,” Brnovich​ said in a statement​. “Unlawful crossings are estimated to surge from 7,000 per day to as many as 18,000.”​

Argentine football:

vs. American football:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MQGXQ46cMXU