WENDELL, N.C. — Yoselin Wences grew up with a constant refrain from her parents, immigrants from Mexico who became a landscaper and a cook.
“The mind-set was, ‘Don’t be like us,’” she said. “‘Don’t get married early. Don’t have children early. Don’t be one of those teen moms. We made these sacrifices so that you can get educated and start a career.’”
She followed that advice, and now, at 22, Ms. Wences, a junior at North Carolina State University, will soon become the first member of her family to graduate from college. When asked about children, Ms. Wences replied that for her, they were years away.
“Probably around 34 or 35,” she said. “That age range seems ideal to me.”
As fertility rates across the United States continue to decline — 2017 had the country’s lowest rate since the government started keeping records — some of the largest drops have been among Hispanics. The birthrate for Hispanic women fell by 31 percent from 2007 to 2017, a steep decline that demographers say has been driven in part by generational differences between Hispanic immigrants and their American-born daughters and granddaughters.
It is a story of becoming more like other Americans. Nearly two-thirds of Hispanics in the United States today are born in this country, a fact that is often lost in the noisy political battles over immigration. Young American-born Hispanic women are less likely to be poor and more likely to be educated than their immigrant mothers and grandmothers, according to the Pew Research Center, and many are delaying childbearing to finish school and start careers, just like other American-born women.
“Hispanics are in essence catching up to their peers,” said Lina Guzman, a demographer at Child Trends, a nonprofit research group.
The Hispanic decline is helping to drive a major shift in the country’s fertility patterns. Child Trends found that 2016 was the first year in which American women ages 25 to 29 did not have the highest birthrate. Instead, the rate was highest among women in their early 30s.
In the last year, as demographers have tried to better understand what is driving the country’s overall declining fertility rate, they have looked more closely at the data broken down by race and ethnic group.
The fertility rate for Hispanics — defined by demographers as people who report they are of Hispanic origin on birth certificates — dropped to 67.6 from 97.4 births per 1,000 women. By contrast, the rate for non-Hispanic whites fell by 6 percent to 57.2, and by about 12 percent for blacks to 63.1, according to Child Trends.

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Excellent news… and fertility in Mexico is now below replacement as well.
Close the border, build the wall, implement pro-white economic and social policies, and you could easily see the white births shoot back up from the precarious 52% they currently have. If only there was a guy who promised to do this… oh wait there was. The white demographics are actually recoverable – the only issue is that
And all you Republicans who are moaning about abortions… let me tell you that abortion is the reason blacks aren’t overrunning the country. White girls just use birth control anyways.
I hate to say it, but your right. Abortion, plus homicide holds the negro population in check. Without these two things the entire southeastern United States would look like Detroit. I live outside a negro enclave in the south. You want to see a failed society? Birmingham, Atlanta, New Orleans, St. Louis, Chicago, Baltimore, Washington, D.C., Detroit. Why do we out up with this? Why?
Because the west is worse than the USSR was . Locked up tax cattle. This is hell
‘… I live outside a negro enclave in the south. You want to see a failed society? …’
This is true. I used to make my living running my own long-distance moving company — one of the side benefits of which was I got to tour virtually the entire country.
Predominately black towns in the deep South? Spectacular.
I think there is a lot of “option paralysis” in the modern American marriage market. People of all ethnic backgrounds in America are bombarded with images of lotsa’ sex before marriage/happy families that started late via the media (which is assuredly statistically misleading). Groups that are less cynical about the mass media might buy into these prepackaged notions.
When they leave church, they are still getting preached to…….by the TV set, radio, YouTube, teachers, and peers. Secular families will assuredly be more influenced by Western Media, which peddles the 2-child family as the most people should have while simultaneously pushing homosexuality (which leads to fewer births).
I remember from reading Moynihan’s report that the black middle class has far less children than the black underclass. How many kids would a black welfare mom try to procreate in this day and age?
This ties well with RUnzie Baby’s thesis about low Hispanic crime rates once the second generation becomes the majority of adults.
Great news. Hispanics have been dragging down the average IQ in the US with their high birth rate. Thank goodness it’s beginning to come down. Both hispanic and black birth rates need to drop below whites’ for America to survive. Otherwise we will just turn into another Mexico/Brazil/South Africa in no time.
‘This ties well with RUnzie Baby’s thesis about low Hispanic crime rates once the second generation becomes the majority of adults.’
Hispanics — at least, Hispanics of the Mexican persuasion — turn rather quickly into more white folks. It usually takes no more than three generations.
This fact has been obscured by the enormous numbers we’ve admitted, but it is a fact. I know whereof I speak.
Paul Kersey posted 2 blog posts about abortion and Planned Parenthood worth to check an eye.
https://www.unz.com/sbpdl/hud-vs-planned-parenthood-whic
https://www.unz.com/sbpdl/baltimore-police-and-federal-governmen/
No need to imagine some circles will react exactly like the kid who shout “that’s racist”.
Video Link
You are correct. In fact, I think it takes less than three generations, since a large percentage (35-40%) of 2nd-gen Mexican-Americans interbreeds with non-Hispanic whites.
The offspring become generic Italian-looking white Americans. No discussion about US Mexican-Americans is complete without including the topic their very high intermarriage/interbreeding rate with whites.
If you think the Jews will give up so easily on their project of replacement in America you are kidding yourselves. If East Asians and Mexicans can’t provide replacement level migration anymore they will go and get them in Central America, Central Asia or Sub-Saharan Africa where birthrates are still above replacement level, sometimes significantly so.
In fact, Trump is leading that project with his whole “merit-based legal immigration” thing. High IQ non-whites of the world unite.
I live in Palm Springs in the winter. Someone better send this info to the Hispanics here. I see babies having even more babies. May be when the Reconquista is complete. Shouldn’t take long now.
This’ll be a good indirect test of Unz’s thesis that Hispanic genetic IQs are similar to white ones. Once the kids of women like Wences start applying for college, compare their SAT scores with those of the white population.
I’m not quite as optimistic as he is.
All those Central Americans currently busting across our border and claiming asylum. They are high birthrate. Many to most coming across are women w children. They will be popping out anchor babies. These people are anywhere from 50-100% Indian. Primitives who barely speak Spanish, they prefer Mayan dialects. They will be having all the babies they could never support or afford in Guatemala. Guess who will be paying for their babies and children.
OT
Ron,
BUG REPORT
On the dedicated comments page, when the BY AUTHOR option is chosen, the last year or so of comments do not display.
Because they’re frightened to death of getting pregnant. A fear that the contraceptive abortion mentality brings about.
Didn’t Canadians feel morally superior to Americans during those sixteen years when abortion was legal in the US but not in Canada? Or did I miss something?
Is that what caused Mississippi and South Carolina to become 60% black in the 19th century? It’s all Judah Benjamin’s fault?
Incorrect. In fact Trump endorsed the Raise Act whuich roughly halves immigration. Its a measure of the priority that displacement level immigration has always been that it, nor any other reduction, will have the remotest possiblility of being enacted into law. Settle for small wins. The ending of the refugeee program. The muslim ban on visas and green cards. The collapse of student visas for chinese spies. Large efforts at deportation. Canceling of TPS status and the subsequent large numbers that have fled to Canada. Stop posturing and work.
Illegal abortion clinics will pop up. Yes, blacks are R breeders, but to ignore the damage to white women and other K breeders is to ignore the big picture.
Abortion has allowed ALL WOMEN to devalue their eggs. They are riding the c*ck carousel and blowing themselves out on the wall when they hit 30. Nobody wants a women with old eggs after they have hit the wall, they will go for the younger women. Historically, the age gap was 10 years or so, as the older man was stable, and the younger women was fecund.
By riding the co*k carousel, women lose the chemical bonding necessary for good marriage and raising kids.
Abortion has negative civilization knock on effects, and between both abortions and feminism, women in much of the western world have become unfit to be mothers.
Nazi Germany had it right. Young pregnant women could sneak away to state sponsored centers, where they could live and have their baby, and not suffer social opprobrium.
If R breeding blacks are a problem for higher civilization, then that is another subject. They can be paid to leave, to go to a country in alignment with their DNA expression.
get out!!!
Clyde, how you dare calling primitive one of the greatest cultures of Native Americans, Mayas are on the level of Aztec and Inca greatness, few other Amerindians have as much culture as Mayas, meanwhile Americans love to go to vacation to Cancun, city which is part of the Mayan world.
My good friend Hendricks who spent years in Mexico as a seismologist said he loved Mexican girls but grew tired of the brown nipples, therefore had to return to the US occasionally for R&R. How much intermarriage before turning pink?
Thanks, it’s now fixed.
If you walk into any large-scale urban welfare agency—and this liberal NY Times worker likely never will—you will notice a disproportionate number of foreign nationals, applying for the copious amount of welfare available to womb-productive single-breadwinner households with American-born children. Immigrants consume more welfare than citizens.
The womb-prolific legal / illegal immigrant moms bring their kids’ SS cards and a boyfriend or husband’s 8 paycheck stubs, proving part-time, traceable income that falls below the very low earned-income limis for the means-tested welfare programs. Most of them qualify for hundreds in free EBT food, monthly cash assistance, housing assistance and electrcity assistance, all of which is allotted in increasing amounts per US-born kid. They also get up to $6,431 in refundable child tax credit cash to beef up their earned income.
Means-tested welfare eligibility is almost entirely based on womb productivity in a single-breadwinner household, with few exceptions for non-womb-productive citizens or noncitizens in any of the means-tested programs. Womb-productivity-based welfare consumption among illegal immigrants has only gone down 10% since Trump took office, so I doubt the writer’s command of the facts, regardless of her ability to spin the shop-worn idealized-immigrant theme.
Does she have separate stats for womb-productivity-based welfare consumption among legal immigrants? How does she arrive at the lower Hispanic birth rate? Is she using Census numbers? Did they count all of the Hispanics, including the college grads? Illegal aliens attend college.
We are always hearing about the crushing burden of student debt among the cash-strapped Millennials—a massive generation of college grads no more cash-strapped than most Xers that is demanding student-debt foregiveness and free college, using the argument that the wages of underemployed college grads are not sufficient to cover the skyrocketing cost of housing.
This Greek chorus of student loan woes calls BS on idyllic visions of heroic, female college grads, taking the labor market by storm, getting good-paying jobs due to their inherent Latina superiority and their superior immigrant parents who pressured them to attend college no more than the parents of millions upon millions of underemployed whites.
A little book called “Mexifornia” provides a lot of contradictory statistical information about Hispanic college graduation rates. Albeit in the years since its publications lots of scholarship funding for immigrants, including illegal immigrants, may have changed this. The beleaguered immigrants also may have less debt due to skin-pigmentation-based college-financing privileges.
I also doubt the glowing, feminist, college-grad labor-market review based on workforce composition. Except at the management level, most private-sector jobs do not pay much, and for many of the lower-level office jobs, employers prefer non college grads with unearned income from government for womb productivity that makes up the difference between low wages from part-time work and the cost of living.
Advanced software does more of the work all of the time, making college grads in most fields less necessary unless non-work-related things, like EEOC compliance or political correctness, are overriding factors.
Maybe, it is just the Hispanic female college grads, with their access to race-based hiring preferences and gender preferences in some fields, who are experiencing such a fabulous labor market for degree holders. A bachelor’s degree in any subject still means something to oppressed minorities since EEOC-minded employers are often looking for workers with non-white skin-pigmentation hues. Some male-dominated fields search for females to fill higher-paying positions, with minority females providing a double EEOC-compliance boost.
At the average level, minority-dominated jobs that require a degree are among the few steady jobs with benefits, like say welfare-agency jobs with an overwhelming majority of minorities making it through the bully gauntlet to get civil servant status. More minorities get welfare, proportionate to their numbers in the population, and more get safe government jobs, too.
This article doesn’t align with the labor market experience of many non-Hispanic Xer college grads, but maybe, age discrimination plays a role bigger than racial preferences—a role that is de-emphasized in accounts of non-diverse, diversity-minded, feminist, Millennial workplace nirvanas, for now anyway.
Once this bigly generation goes a little farther down the road, we will hear more bellyaching about age discrimination than even with the Boomers, a smaller generation than the Millennials despite all of the noise about a lower American birth rate.
That zero-growth birth-rate noise is just used as an excuse for driving wages down with a system of pay-per-birth welfare and child tax credits that enables single moms and womb-productive immigrants to work part time for low wages, while maintaining fake-independent, government-subsidized households.
So many non-womb-productive, non-welfare-eligible, single Millennial women, including many college grads, are living with their parents or in big groups of post-college roommates, belying the concept of hear-me-roar, female college grads, abandoning the shackles of family because of superior, high-wage-fetching skills.
Realityville: Regardless of skin pigmentation, better find a husband while young to split housing costs with unless you plan to go down the lucrative, welfare-for-womb-productivity path as a single-earner female.
That path is much more lucrative than most jobs for non-welfare-eligible, non-womb-productive, single breadwinners with or without a degree, whether or not they are female, light-skinned or dark-skinned. In a highly discriminatory labor market full of “voted-best-for-moms” jobs, where almost every long-term employee and manager is a parent, a husband and / or children helps women to snag and keep one of the higher-paying, family-friendly, vacation-friendly, crony-parent jobs—the few jobs with decent wages and benefits.
The few with decent-paying jobs are not mostly single, young (or older) college grads without children, needing for earned-only income from one job to cover all bills. They are overwhelmingly“needs-the-job” parents. Regardless of how absentee from work they are, needs-the-job parents with two incomes and vacation-financing child tax credits are the ones holding most of the good jobs.
These young, non-womb-productive, Hispanic, female college grads must be superwomen—a superior skin-pigmentation group with enhanced powers that vault them above all of the crony-parent hiring, the crony-parent back-watching and the employers seeking mom employees who can work cheaply ‘cause they have “somethin’ comin’ in” from a spouse, an ex spouse or welfare and child tax credits that makes the low pay and part-time hours acceptable. I have worked with Hispanic women who were no different than mere mortals of other ethnic and racial groups, displaying all the same foibles, so forgive my skepticism.