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How Republicans Erased Trumpism
G.O.P. congressional leaders used tactics to minimize the president’s influence and maximize their own control over public policy.
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Donald Trump has a Congress problem. He can’t get Republicans to promote his policies. And when he forces the issue — as with his border wall — he can’t win their support.

But most Americans don’t know that. After all, Republican legislators voted with the president well over 90 percent of the time during the 115th Congress. Record numbers of appellate judges were confirmed, and the president signed major tax legislation. Many observers have concluded that Mr. Trump dominates the Republican Party, and his loyal base holds congressional Republicans tautly in line.

But discerning legislative influence is more difficult than it appears. Throughout the first two years of the Trump presidency, Republican leaders in Congress skillfully used a variety of tactics to minimize the president’s influence and maximize their own control over public policy.

Critically, congressional Republicans have adopted strategies that make the public — and more important, his conservative base — think Mr. Trump is in command. To casual followers of political news, the visible evidence from congressional votes and news releases suggests a powerful president leading a loyal congressional party. In reality, Republican legislators have hidden their influence, purposefully disguising a weak president with little clout on Capitol Hill while also preserving party unity.

In his 1960 book, “Presidential Power and the Modern Presidents,” the political scientist Richard Neustadt argued that presidential power is “the power to persuade.” Strong presidents have significant influence over public policy because they wield informal power, developing a reputation for getting their way and punishing those who impede their progress. Weak presidents — like Mr. Trump — fail to persuade, allowing competing political actors in Washington to block their goals and assert their own influence.

Mr. Neustadt identified a second resource that aids in presidential persuasion: public prestige. Political actors in Washington may not fear the president, but they may think twice about standing in his way if they perceive the public response to doing so may hurt them.

On this dimension, Mr. Trump appears to be stronger. His overall approval rating is very poor, but he is extremely popular among Republican voters. And his sizable conservative base is ready and willing to turn on elected Republicans in primary elections should they displease the president. The infrastructure of conservative media — Fox News, talk radio — strongly supports (and influences) Mr. Trump, augmenting this public power. Mr. Trump may not have much ability to sway Democrats, but Republican officials credibly fear crossing him.

Nevertheless, congressional Republicans have found a solution to this challenge: agenda-setting. Political power is not simply the ability to influence the positions citizens or lawmakers take on issues, but also the ability to control what issues are discussed and voted on.

Throughout the last Congress, Republican leaders simply declined to take up legislation that reflected the priority of the president but not their own. There were no votes on immigration restrictions or funding for a border wall, protectionist trade legislation or infrastructure.

The Trump budget proposals for the 2017 and 2018 fiscal years requested deep cuts in nondefense discretionary spending. Congressional Republicans quietly buried them and delivered bills both years that increased nondefense spending.

Such “negative” agenda-setting leaves little trace; without a vote, it becomes difficult for opponents or voters to identify or understand what happened. President Trump’s priorities weren’t voted down in the House or the Senate; they were just never considered.

 
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  1. This is the sort of thing that lead me to leave Texas. In 2010, Republicans, for the first time in forever, controlled the Texas State House and Senate and Governorship. Many Representatives at that time put forward some really good illegal immigration control measures. I was excited to see what would happen. But nothing happened. The bills were never brought by leadership to a vote. Republicans were preventing border security. I moved to the Midwest. Republican politicians aren’t any savvier here but the cost of their ignorance has not yet metastasized the way it has in Texas.

    • Replies: @M. Rogers
    , @Anonymous
    , @Ragno
  2. M. Rogers says:
    @Feric Jaggar

    Most Repubs aren’t true conservatives, and fear a voter backlash. Clueless, and it will cost them.

    • Replies: @Sowhat
  3. Sowhat says:
    @M. Rogers

    I agree. I’ve been (foolishly)a registered Republican for forty years. All that I can say is “How pitiful they are!” I’ve lived in a predominantly Blue State for the same period of time so I’m in a political wasteland. I suppose this shows that “Who gives a rat’s hinder parts about politics, anyway?” Washington is a screwed up mess and States’ Politics aren’t any better. I don’t believe that Republican really know what they stand for any longer. The Constitution is being dismantled and they could care less. Ideological Socialists and Communists seem to rule the day and the legislatures. Those that don’t subscribe are bought by Corporatists. It’s too late in my life to get pissed or even agitated now. Let the whole kit-and-kabutle sink. I still post but, I’m not convinced even this is worth my while. It’s just a diversion. Franklin said it best, in so many words. “There. They have what we have designed for them (a Constitutional Republic). Now let’s see how long they can keep it.” It’s gone. We’ve done a horrendous job of keeping it…absolutely disputably horrendous. It’s going to degenerate into economic and political chaos and I’m glad that I won’t be around to watch.
    The S.E.S. and all of the lower “alphabets” have ruined and complicated it. Government has grown to big for its britches. Capitalism has morphed into an egregiously greed International Criminal Cabal with military might sufficient to destroy whichever Sovereignty they chose with impunity and amorality which is the old immorality. The Nation was built on God’s foundation and God has been thrown out with the Keystone. All that I can do is shake my head in disappointment and disgust. I hope this country and everyone who has trashed it burn in throws of a nuclear Holocaust.

  4. polistra says:

    Establishment politicians uniting against an outsider is normal. That’s not the problem. The problem is that Trump ALLOWS them to demonize Trump supporters. A true outsider would mobilize his strong political base to defeat the establishment.

    Trump is either incompetent or part of the Establishment.

  5. AWM says:

    The New York Times?
    Who would believe anything from this Fake News/Disinformation outfit!
    It used to produce decent, although biased journalism. That was near 20 years ago.

  6. Bronxite says:

    The shortsightedness of the Rino RATS ( repubs against Trump) will lead to the end of the Republican party. Kelly Ayotte ( 2016) Kevin Yoder , Jeff Denham(2018) all failed to win re-election because they would not embrace the policies that Trump advocated. After losing , the three of them blamed Trump , even though they distanced themselves from DJT. Yoder pandered to the Indian tech lobby & and Denham to the farm lobby using illegal labor in krazy California.
    The demographic election of a new people is proceeding non-stop and once FLA is flipped ; the repubs will be irrelevant; then there will be no reason to bribe and layoff repubs , as the Dems can force through anything they want with only Dems, as is done in Kali, NY, NJ & Mass.

    Jug eared boy scout on speed, Lying Paul Ryan bears most of the blame ; with many able assistants. DJT is isolated, and even his son in law is against many MAGA policies. SAD-NOT NICE !
    Hopefully he can pull our troops out of Mideast & put them on the border. The red herring argument of ‘ fight them there so they don’t attack us here ‘ can be refuted by the observation that the 9-11hijackers were here because of poor imigration law enforcement . Jorge Arbusto had to be prevented from allowing more Moslem immigration right after 9-11; by “adults in the room ” . More moslem’s have immigrated to the USA After 9-11 than from 1776 to 2000.

    Ex ambassador Ryan Crock of shyte on breathless Brian kilmeade show, pushing for forever war in the most pathetic cliches imaginable. After dismissing theories of drug money influence in the swamp have to reassess. Besides cheap labor and voters, has to be more to the uniparty push for open border .

  7. We may be Deplorable, but we voters are not as stupid as elites think. We know that Trump has not been able to push through the main agenda items of Deplorables, specifically an end to 4 decades of welfare-swilling illegal immigration and a major reduction in legal immigration, which has likewise driven down wages for underemployed US citizens for 40 years.

    Poll results don’t matter to Déplorables.

    Election results are supposed to matter, although they really don’t in an oligarchy. It is not surprising that, in an oligarchy, Trump was quickly able to push through a debt-financed tax cut that benefits rich legislators, the heirs of rich legislators, rich campaign donors, the heirs of rich campaign donors and womb-productive employees who got several thousand in yet another upgrade to the non-refundable child tax credit.

    This includes many dual-earner crony parents, taking two jobs in an underemployed nation while enjoying copious womb-privileged absenteeism lenience, and many of the immigrant temp workers favored by deep-pocketed campaign donors.

    Instant-citizen kids qualify millions of legal and illegal immigrants for layers of monthly welfare that covers their major monthly household bills and refundable child tax credits up to $6,431, enabling those at the low end of the wage scale to work for extremely low wages as willing, groveling servants to the rich.

    And so-called “conservative” Republicans have done almost nothing to reduce the welfare-fueled undercutting of citizens in the labor market.

    This administration has increased the number of legal immigrants who take both the low-end jobs and some of the better paying jobs. The total number of legal immigrants went from an already way-too-high number of 1.5 million per year to 1.7 million in one of the last two years of the Trump Administration.

    Of course, corporate lobbyists prevailed over Trump on this issue. Not only were more legal immigrants admitted—with Trump boasting about the jobs they got, even though the labor force-participation rate for working-aged US citizens barely budged—but Republicans gave the womb-productive visa workers a non-refundable child tax credit in the thousands.

    Due to the progressive tax code, not only do they get a big cash-assistance check at tax time to reward sex and reproduction, but their paychecks are higher than the paychecks of single, childless citizens in adjacent cubicles, struggling to cover rent on one, earned-only income stream. The unaffordable rent of non-tax-privileged citizens climbs higher and higher, partially because more and more immigrants and their kids pile in here, competing for rental units and driving prices up there while driving wages down by competing for jobs.

    Most likely voters are middle-aged and older.

    Most do not have kids under 18 or custody of kids under 18. Many of the people with kids under 18 are not even registered to vote. Twenty-eight percent of US citizens over 40 have not pumped out any kids at all—they are childless—but are likely voters due to their age, like it or not, anti-individual Republicans. Another huge group has kids over 18. More and more in this category are single, with one earned-only income stream to cover all bills.

    Most American citizens got a Costco membership-sized tax cut from the Republicans—-a slap-in-the-face tax cut in exchange for all that debt Uncle Sam is racking up.

    The cheap immigrant servants of the rich, rewarded with thousands for sex and reproduction by the US Treasury Department, will not face the repercussions for all of that reckless spending. It’ll be US citizens facing that, including the majority of US citizens who got the Costco membership-sized tax cut.

    The next thing on the Establishment Republican agenda will be telling voters who got the Costco membership-sized tax cut——including voters who were never, ever paid thousands each year by their government for womb-reductive sex——-that, although either 7.65% or 15.3% of every paltry penny they ever earned was put into the SS trust fund, they will need to cut SS to cover those profligate tax cuts for heirs, donors, congresspeople making $174 while taking off 218 days per year, womb-privileged and constantly vacationing dual-earner parents in their family-friendly and above-firing jobs and womb-prolific immigrants brought in to replace US citizens in their own country’s labor market.

    There is a reason why Republicans score high in polls created by rich corporate owners who got big tax cuts, but lost in the midterms.

    I went ahead and voted for them again after voting Republican for the first time for Trump, holding my nose while doing it since nothing has been done about immigration, but I don’t think I will vote for either of the Oligarchial Parties next time. Fool me twice is enough. No, I have voted in every midterm and primary since I was 19, voting against myself each and every time, so it was fool me far more times than I wish to count.

  8. swamped says:

    this is about the size of it; if there was ever any doubt that congressional Repub’s were (are) balking, the latest outrageous resolution (albeit non-binding) by McConnell & Co. of flat out opposing troop withdrawals from Syria and Afghanistan gives the game away.If Pelosi ever needs a day off, Paul Ryan could easily stand in for her.

  9. Anonymous [AKA "My Shari\'a Moor"] says: • Website
    @Feric Jaggar

    Texas had a BAD all-powerful ‘Speaker of the House’ for the last 8 years, one (((Strauss))), who was pro-tranny bathrooms, but is now gone!

    • Replies: @APilgrim
  10. APilgrim says:
    @Anonymous

    The former RINO speaker of the Texas House, Ashkenazim Joseph Richard Straus III (San Antonio) was elected by Democrats, with about 8 Republican cross-over votes. This followed Republican member infighting related to ouster of Conservative Republican Thomas Russell Craddick, Sr. of Midland.

    Straus mostly tried to pass gambling bills which directly helped his father’s Horse Racetrack gambling enterprises, and thwarted conservative initiatives.

  11. APilgrim says:

    If Democrats nominate a human for senator, I will vote for them over John Cornyn.

    If Texas Democrats persist in nominating radical socialists …

    I will vote for some independent in November 2020.

    There is probably little chance of ‘primaring’ Cornyn.

  12. APilgrim says:

    Vote Counts: YEAs 70, NAYs 26, Not Voting 4

    https://www.senate.gov/legislative/LIS/roll_call_lists/roll_call_vote_cfm.cfm?congress=116&session=1&vote=00014

    Cruz (R-TX) Nay
    Kennedy (R-LA) Nay
    Lee (R-UT) Nay
    Paul (R-KY) Nay

    Not Voting:

    Gardner (R-CO)
    Murkowski (R-AK)
    Perdue (R-GA)

    The rest of the Republican Senators voted to undermine President Trump, again.

  13. @Endgame Napoleon

    If you think your vote, or any vote by a deplorable counts. you might be as stupid as the elites think? The constitution does not allow you to vote. Voting is a divide and conquer activity conducted against the deplorables by the elite, who have labeled you and me deplorables. The electorial college does the voting.

    Voting is useless. the outcome is manipulated. and the choice of candidates controlled by the elites.
    https://www.presstv.com/Detail/2019/02/05/587763/Syria-accuses-US-allied-militants-of-blocking-humanitarian-aid-in-Dayr-alZawr But no matter who is elected the result is the same.

    Trump said he is pulling out of Syria..
    you believe him

  14. All true and spot on, but POTUS Trump knew that the RINO Republicrat shit-weasels were back-stabbing/stifling/sand-bagging his MAGA! agenda, and he did nothing to work around it. So, his Administration’s first six months was the honeymoon period in which he should have noticed, as did fly-over plebeian deporables like me, that the Republicrats were as much his enemy as were the Demotards and the jew press. He is to blame for where he now is.

    • Replies: @Ragno
  15. Ragno says:
    @Feric Jaggar

    They’re the Donor Party through and through, and they might as well have called a bipartisan secret caucus in November of 2017 to enact a handshake deal to do nothing, save hold Democrats’ coats as they grease the skids for our glorious One Party Tomorrow.

    No wonder they all despise Putin! There’s only room on this planet for one Supreme Soviet, and it’s no longer located anywhere remotely near Russia.

  16. Ragno says:
    @Truth-hammer

    …..his Administration’s first six months was the honeymoon period in which he should have noticed, as did fly-over plebeian deporables like me, that the Republicrats were as much his enemy as were the Demotards and the jew press. He is to blame for where he now is.

    No. The blame falls squarely upon corrupt Republicans, treasonous Democrats and the jew press. If we don’t have the will to punish the monsters among us, let’s at least have the stones to call them out by name.

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