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Fact Checking Donald Trump's State of the Union
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President Trump’s State of the Union was objectively an excellent center-right speech. He told stories of strength in the face of adversity and heroism through individual Americans from all walks of life, effectively projecting the image of a unified, meritocratic, compassionate, prosperous and ascendant America on the brink of achieving world peace and Martian exploration.

It was one of the best national addresses in decades.

The problem is that it isn’t true. Here are the numbers on Trump’s two central campaign promises: trade and immigration.

Immigration

Trump’s signature issue, controlling immigration, has been put on the backburner in three years of his presidency when it comes to effective and permanent solutions.

The president touted a supposed 75% reduction in illegal border crossings last month compared to May, a superficially impressive number.

In truth, statistics on illegal border crossings are not available, only arrest numbers. The vast majority of illegal immigrants during the Trump-era willingly give themselves in to border guards in order to claim asylum. The assumption is that border patrol catches every last illegal alien, which is not true. With that said, estimated successful entries dropped significantly under the last two years of the Bush administration and throughout the Obama administration.

Furthermore, illegal crossing attempts always rise in the spring and fall during the winter, due to less agricultural work being available.

For the sake of argument, we will use apprehension statistics to check Trump’s claim. In March 2019, illegal border crossings hit 13-year highs on these terms. Crossings today are overall 81% higher than they were in 2016, when Trump was sworn into office.

In Trump’s defense, many aspects relating to asylum law and the agreement with Mexico to hold “asylum-seekers” until they get their court date could bolster his overall immigration enforcement clams. NumbersUSA has given Trump an A for effort and blamed the bureaucracy for his lack of achievements, but that doesn’t change the fact illegal immigration has dramatically risen in the last three years.

Claims of building the wall are comparatively indefensible and risible. Only one mile of new barrier has been built, not “100 miles.” The wall is not “tall and very powerful,” but slated fencing being built in the place of older existing fences that smugglers are already cutting through with household tools. This is a far cry from the highly successful Israeli-style concrete wall structure Trump campaigned on and invokes when he misrepresents what his administration is actually building.

The Economy

Trump has centered claims of unprecedented economic success around the record numbers the New York Stock Exchange has been putting up.

The Trump economy has indeed been a miracle for Wall Street. The Nasdaq has gone up 70%, while S&P and Dow Jones have enjoyed a boost of 45%.Finance-capital, while did everything in its power to block Trump’s election, benefited greatly from the Republican party’s tax-cuts and deregulation, which allowed a boon in parasitical, unproductive activities like buybacks and mergers, further concentrating wealth in the hands of the billionaire class.

Trump in his speech tried to generalize this financial growth by claiming this has benefited pensioners with 401(k)s.

The problem is that only 1/3 of Americans even contribute to a 401(k) and less than 1/5 of employers even offer a retirement plan. Furthermore, while hedgefund managers and connected capitalists can toast to the 70% boost, typical 401(k)s have increased by 10% since 2017.

The impact things like the Trump tax-cuts will have on the coffers of social programs Americans will become even more reliant on for retirement in the future, like Social Security, remains up for debate.

Trump in his SOTUS promised not to cut Social Security and Medicare, but this too is a lie. The president and the GOP have used the deficit hole produced by their own billionaire tax-cuts as an excuse to push for trillions in cuts to the programs. The way they are doing it is by making states set the standards so low, through Medicaid spending caps and block grants, that only the poorest will be able to get public health care, further locking out the largely white lower middle class who struggle the hardest to get by.

On trade, Trump celebrated new agreements like the USMCA and Phase One with China.

Trump’s use of tariffs to fight back against trade deficits are a noble effort, but have been ineffective. 700,000 jobs have been lost to China since Trump’s election, and the trade deficit has ballooned.

Under the new trade agreement, one of the main culprits behind the unfair trade, currency devaluation by the Chinese state and dollar overvaluation thanks to private speculators in America and beyond, is not addressed. The artificially inflated dollar will continue to make imports cheaper than exports, thus leaving the lopsidedness in tact.

On the USMCA, Trump claimed the new agreement will produce close to “100,000” new jobs, but independent federal committees estimated the real number at 28,000. This is better than nothing, but it’s by no means a radical overhaul of NAFTA.

Trump’s economic agenda, which is run by Wall Street Jews like Larry Kudlow, is never going to be willing to do what it takes to save American jobs and truly put America first. Without a structural overhaul that at the very least bans speculation on the dollar and implements a muscular state that plans for “Made in the USA” industry and punishes corporate outsourcing, the sucking sound of jobs will continue with little interruption.

Lastly, Trump celebrated his low unemployment statistics, which he previously and rightfully dismissed as fake during the Obama years. The average unemployment rate under Trump hovers just below 4%, down from 4.7% when Trump took office. Compared to the term averages of 5% under Clinton and Bush, and 7.4% during the Obama administration (partially thanks to the “Great Recession”), this is technically true but not nearly as impressive as the speech wants us to believe. What the actual unemployment rate is remains a mystery. The 6.7 million new jobs also check out, but 8 million jobs were supposedly created in the three years before Trump took office as well.

Wages too are up in some labor sectors, but this is more to do with over a dozen states increasing their minimum wage. Trump has expressed interest in a successful House bill that would increase the Federal minimum wage to \$15 dollars (up from a pathetic \$7.25 today), but his top economic advisor Larry Kudlow has expressed outrage at the idea.

Household Income has been ticking upwards, but the typical family is still poorer than in 1999. The steady rise in household incomes since the 1970s and 80s is unimpressive when you take into account that they are mostly thanks to the “two-income” trap of women going into the work force.

Conclusion

Trump apologists can make the argument that he is hamstrung by the courts, his advisors and his own party.

But he was elected specifically to take risks and purge the GOP, appoint the plethora of figures just as “unqualified” as Betsy DeVos or Jared Kirchner outside of Washington who support his agenda, and mobilize popular power against a corrupt, unconstitutional and tyrannical plutocrat’s judiciary, as with the man he has previously compared himself to, Andrew Jackson.

Instead all the authors of our national misery have gotten significantly more powerful and ushered in an era of runaway corruption: Wall Street, the FBI, Silicon valley and Zionists.

But the power of Trump’s personality will assure his fans that everything is fine.

(Republished from National Justice by permission of author or representative)
 
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  1. The word Trump in the UK is another meaning of Breaking Wind and he is full of hot air.
    He is a pathological liar and I am suprised how many people swallow is fictitious ramblings.

    Why does he have the look on his face of being seriously constipated.

  2. Another meaning for the word Trump in the UK is to Break Wind which suits him well with his constant lies and hot air that comes out of his mouth.

    Even though he has a case of severe verbal diarrhoea his face has the look of a person suffering from uncurable constipation. Surely his mates in Big Pharma can make a Vaccine for that.

    Sadly there is no vaccine that cures stupidity.

    • Replies: @Digital Samizdat
  3. “All this was inspired by the principle – which is quite true in itself – that in the big lie there is always a certain force of credibility; because the broad masses of a nation are always more easily corrupted in the deeper strata of their emotional nature than consciously or voluntarily; and thus in the primitive simplicity of their minds they more readily fall victims to the big lie than the small lie, since they themselves often tell small lies in little matters but would be ashamed to resort to large-scale falsehoods. It would never come into their heads to fabricate colossal untruths, and they would not believe that others could have the impudence to distort the truth so infamously. Even though the facts which prove this to be so may be brought clearly to their minds, they will still doubt and waver and will continue to think that there may be some other explanation. For the grossly impudent lie always leaves traces behind it, even after it has been nailed down, a fact which is known to all expert liars in this world and to all who conspire together in the art of lying.” -Adolf Hitler, Mein Kampf, Chapter 10

    • Replies: @NPleeze
  4. Dutch Boy says:

    All true but the really sad fact is that Trump is still the best candidate of a very bad lot.

    • Agree: getaclue
    • Replies: @NPleeze
  5. BingoBoingo says: • Website

    Trump is indeed the best of a sad lot. The biggest handicaps he has are a GOP that was more alligned with his opposition them his platform before the 2018 midterm and a pool of appointees and civil servants that are still feeding him shit.

    Still the fact that Trump was baiting into getting Iranian missiles fired at US troops… for some reason that failing is immaterial. Probably because it is that failing that highlights the National Security state’s failures the most. The US left 1991 an undisputed superpower and entered 2020 getting beat up and chased off the block by a mid size regional power.

    • Replies: @barr
  6. anonymous[276] • Disclaimer says:

    Speeches by politicians are all bunk as well as their supposed debates. I never pay attention. Much of politics are just a source of aggravation so many people just tune it all out. The US may be on a downward spiral and people hoped something could be done to reverse the trend. Maybe it slowed somewhat but didn’t stop. In 20 years the US is going to be a roiling mess. Just one ill-advised military adventure somewhere else ending in defeat will accelerate this trend. All this multi-culturalism and diversity have destroyed whatever sense of unity and belonging there was. It’s hardly a country anymore and is increasingly riven by factionalism. When the dollar loses it’s reserve currency status, and it will, we’ll see some real plummeting standard of living leading to chaos. Mass poverty and dictatorship are in our future. It could have been avoided but the blind greed of the elites destroyed the US. One look at the Dem party and its recent behavior during this impeachment circus shows how politics has degenerated into power struggles and avarice with absolutely no concern for the welfare of the country. The US has its momentum and stopping it is probably impossible. Presidents are salesmen glibly selling policies put together elsewhere.

    • Agree: Jonathan Mason
  7. onebornfree says: • Website

    “Because they are all ultimately funded via both direct and indirect theft [taxes], and counterfeiting [central bank monopolies], all governments are essentially, at their very cores, 100% corrupt  criminal scams which cannot be “reformed”or “improved”,simply because of their innate criminal nature.”   onebornfree

    Regards, onebornfree

    • Replies: @NPleeze
  8. NPleeze says:
    @Observator

    Ironic, isn’t it, that perhaps the Biggest Lie in Human History has to do with the author of the quotation himself, and his fabricated Holohoax?

    What’s not ironic is that the very same ZioNazis whom Hitler accused of habitually conjuring the Big Lie are also behind the Biggest Lie.

  9. NPleeze says:
    @onebornfree

    The counterfeiting stopped when Nixon took the dollar off the gold standard. Now it is openly admitted that currency is fiat, hence, no counterfeiting.

  10. NPleeze says:
    @Dutch Boy

    Nah, even the Communist Bern is better than the Orange ZioNazi.

    But Buttfucker is the Establishment’s choice, and I don’t see how the young man doesn’t beat the Orange Geezer, the Orange Pedophile barely beat the Wicked Witch and that was before everyone with a brain figured out what an Orange Con-man he is.

  11. barr says:
    @BingoBoingo

    Had Saddam’s Iraq sent any of these missiles to Kuwait or Syrian grounds targeting American interests!!! Just wondering !

  12. You didn’t fact check shit, dude.

    Your link about how Trump hasn’t built any wall was from last July. Since then, a lot’s happened. Trump won a major court case allowing him to use Pentagon money for the wall and he recently re-directed \$7B from the Pentagon for just that purpose. That’s all NEWS. Not stuff from last July.

    As for the whole “he’s just renovating existing wall” pap here’s a tweet from some lefty and a highly useful pic comparing the old “barrier” and the new.

    Funny, that really does look like a new wall to me. And while some Mexican could get through it with a portable angle grinder, the point is that he has to bring an angle grinder in the first place. Before he just stepped across.

    No, the wall isn’t perfect and neither is Trump. But you’re just another white nat demoralization agent who would fit right in over at the Stormer.

    • Replies: @NPleeze
  13. Half-Jap says:

    According to the methodology of shadowstats.com, unemployment is still hovering over 20%. Other indicators of economic health is declining, such as reduced orders for durable goods, for construction, retail sales, etc. Actual health of the people are fcked up too, perhaps owing to most being able to afford only fast/junk food. Sadly, the US is amongst the shithole nations.

    • Replies: @NPleeze
  14. @BDS Always

    Sadly, there’s no alternative to Trump at the moment.

  15. “But the power of Trump’s personality will assure his fans that everything is fine.”

    Whatever my support for the current executive. He will need m ore than personality to make effective responses to the failures on the agenda.

  16. NPleeze says:
    @Bragadocious

    Your link about how Trump hasn’t built any wall was from last July. Since then, a lot’s happened.

    So, please, do show us all the miles of wall Trump has built in his almost 4 years in office. Include the \$1.6 billion Congress authorized in March 2018, the \$1.4 billion Congress authorized in January 2019, and the \$2.5 billion in Pentagon funds the Supreme Court authorized him (unconstitutionally, but that’s why Republicans appointed those Justices, to shred what little remains of the Constitution) to spend in April 2019. Also, don’t forget about the \$50 billion per year that DHS has for “discretionary funds”. According to the Customs and Border Protection, as of December 2019, 93 miles of wall has been built during the Trump regime, of which at least 90 miles replaced existing structures.

    Also, please itemize how many employers the Trump regime (or any of the 26 Republican governors) has prosecuted for violating federal law and hiring illegals. After all, eliminating the economic incentive is a far better method of stopping illegal immigration than building a “wall”. So, how many of the employers employing the estimated 8 million illegals working in the US have been prosecuted by the Trump regime?

    a highly useful pic comparing the old “barrier” and the new. … he has to bring an angle grinder in the first place

    He doesn’t need an angle grinder, he needs an angle grinder, a ladder, a grappling hook, etc., or someone else to provide these tools. These tools are not only cheap, but ubiquitous. Not to mention that illegals almost all already use a coyote to help cross the border illegally.

    The fact is, total border crossings are not down from the Obama era. Nor are prosecutions of employers who pay illegals to come here illegally up.

    But you’re just another white nat demoralization agent who would fit right in over at the Stormer.

    Or you’re a TrumpTARD who would fit right in at Infowars or Breitbart.

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