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Will Lebanon be Next After Gaza?
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Few people know that Lebanon was once part of Syria. It was detached from Syria by Imperial France and made into a nominally Maronite Christian nation. Sunni Muslims, Shia Muslims and Druzes were also encompassed in this newly engineered country of 6 million.

Then came 100,000 Palestinian refugees driven from their ancestral home in what is today Northern Israel. The admixture of these Palestinian refugees enflamed Lebanon’s traditional ferocious tribal rivalries. In 1975 they burst into major civil war between Maronite Christians and Muslims and Druzes, and clashes between Sunni and Shia militias. I arrived in Beirut in 1975, Day One of the civil war.

It was a horrible affaire, marked by hideous atrocities and massacres. France, the US, Syria and Israel openly mixed into Lebanon’s mayhem. I had never seen such raw hatred, sadism and barbarity. The conflict culminated into the massacres of thousands of Palestinian civilians – mostly women and children – at the Shatila and Sabra refugee camps by Christian militiamen aided by Israel.

After the civil war in 1990, Lebanon slumped into more tribal hostility and astounding corruption as this ancient Phoenicia nation fell apart. Nitrates carelessly stored in the port of Beirut blew up, killing hundreds. The national bank was looted.

Israel invaded in 1978, 1982 and 2006 in a failed effort to crush the Palestinian resistance, PLO. I was with the Israeli Army when it attacked southern Lebanon in 1982. Lebanese Sunni guerillas fought back, joined by fighters from a new Shia militia, Hezbollah.

Now the carnage has resumed with the Gaza bloodbath and Israel’s newly launched mass air attacks on southern Lebanon on 21-23 September that killed 558 civilians and wounded 1,835.

This massive attack followed Israel’s booby trapping of Hezbollah communications that killed and injured thousands of people, blinding many or blowing off their hands or genitals. This is pure Biblical ferocity.

Israel is relentlessly driving the Arab population from southern Lebanon. Ever since its founding in 1947-48, Israel’s right-wing has had its eyes on southern Lebanon. On its northern edge lies the Litani River, one of the last major water sources not in Israeli hands. Water is growing scarce everywhere in the Mideast. The Litani is a major prize, Israel has long coveted the two ancient seaports of Tyre and Sidon. Walking through them takes you back to the Bible. Some of Israel’s wilder right-wingers also claim southern Syria should be annexed by Israel. Why stop there? Others covet Iraq’s capitol, Baghdad, which had a large Jewish population before 1948.

Israel’s now ruling hardliners seem to have in mind a plan to drive Gaza’s Palestinians – themselves already refugees from Galilee and the Haifa region – into neighboring Jordan’s deserts. Up to 40% of Jordan’s people today are Palestinians driven from what became Israel.

ORDER IT NOW

With all this in mind, President Joe Biden’s UN speech last week was a symphony of hypocrisy. Biden and the US Congress provided Israel with well over $300 billion, with more coming as well as the latest US arms. The US supplies intelligence information and blocks efforts by the UN and many nations to force Israel to halt its destruction of Gaza. As Pat Buchanan said, ‘Congress has become Israeli-occupied territory.’

Israel’s usual salami tactics of grabbing small pieces of Arab land have worked very well. So, is Lebanon next? PM Benjamin Netanyahu will face court charges of bribery and malfeasance once this conflict ends, so he’s in no rush to bury the hatchet. The big powers who could make a difference have all been bought. Russia is at war. Only the powerful Israel could act to shut down this murderous conflict.

 
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  1. Notsofast says:

    those damn nitrites and the careless lebanese, blew up their own grain silo. we all know how careless the lebanese are, right? well once again our author attempts to hide israeli crimes against humanity and blame the victim. while he can dye his israel identity and hide behind his name, his roots are showing. the israelis have been behind most of lebanons internal strife, using the maronites as stalking horses when they started massacring civilians in refugee camps, which caused such outrage in 1982, but has been repeated so many times, the world has grown numb to their never ending warcrimes and crimes against humanity.

    lebanons economy has been attacked and purposefully destroyed for decades, by the israeli’s u.s. vassals and their imf vassals. the israeli attack on the beirut harbor and destruction of the grain silos, was just a continuation of this process, that was then blamed on hezbollah, in an attempt to turn the population of lebanon against them. this is exactly why the are bombing lebanon now, from north to south, as bibi splains to the people of lebanon, that he loves them and is only going after the evil terrorists, so if he accidentally kills your kids, it’s all hezbollah’s fault.

    his threatened invasion is just a head fake, as he blows up as much of lebanon as he can, to further destroy their economy and sow the seeds of hatred for hezbollah. they won’t invade, as israelis are cowards and don’t want to engage in a fair fight, they just want to blow up civilians and destroy their country, they are plain and simple terrorists, as in ugly and stupid. as plain and simple as this article by mr. margolis.

    • Agree: Badger Down
  2. As Eric Margolis mentions, the zionists tried to invade Lebanon 3 times and they failed 3 times, last time Hezbollah inflicted them an humiliating defeat.

    The zionists who occupy Palestine have lost the war in Gaza against the resistance groups, but their goal was never to liberate hostages but to destroy Gaza, exterminate people and grab their land.

    They now try to do the same in Lebanon, but even if Hezbollah took a big hit, they are striking back every single day and it remains to be seen how the cowards who are over funded, over equipped will manage without bombing children from far away in their US planes.

    Like the so-called ‘pagers attack’, with explosives hidden into devices directly from factories, hard to believe.

    And how do the zionists know where to target Hezbollah leaders, do they have moles within Hezbollah or simply new technologies provided by their co-genocide perpetrators (US/UK/EU) like armed satellites or directed energy weapons?

    The sure thing is they are about to launch their ground invasion and Iran, and Hezbollah know it.

    Hezbollah even said they were waiting for it.

    Hezbollah targets Israeli bases after airstrike on Beirut’s Dahiyeh
    presstv. ir /Detail /2024/09/26/734020/Lebanon-Mohammed-Srur-Beirut-Dahiyeh-

    Lebanon is an open country, contrary to locked-up Gaza, millions could travel there to fight the zionist invaders.

    What will Russia do, despite being at war, and maybe nuclear war, nothing avoid them to keep helping Iran and Syria, or to even help Lebanon.

    If they wanted to drain US/UK/EU/NATO resources out of their hair, they would be well inspired to have them drained in West Asia.

    And if China wants to become officially the first economic power, what better opportunity than having the US trying to wage wars on 3 fronts and drowning further into oblivion.

    As the two most hated nations on earth are “israel” and the US, China, Russia and Iran have a great card to play.

  3. turtle says: • Website

    Fuck the Jews.
    Mazy they rot in Hell, where they belong.

    • Agree: sanecat67
    • Disagree: meamjojo
  4. muh muh says:

    Only the powerful Israel could act to shut down this murderous conflict.

    Hmm.

    While I myself do not labor under any illusions about Israel’s capacity to inflict immense damage on those for whom it has seething contempt, I’ve learned never to discount a possibility, however seemingly remote its realization may appear.

    Israel doesn’t get deterrence without a ground war. Israel’s #1 brigade abandoned Gaza back in January and it’s not likely either they or their secondary tier comrades-in-arms are going to fare much better on the ground against Hizbullah. Did we mention that Hizbullah also has a tunnel network? One much more expansive than that of Hamas?

    Israel’s economy is already precariously balanced at the edge. How long do you think it can maintain its equilibrium once bogged down in southern Lebanon?

    Bottom line: A weak Israel would more readily act to shut down this genocide. (At this point in history, ‘murderous conflict’ is passe.)

  5. meamjojo says:

    Fuck Hezbollah. My understanding is that most of the original Lebanese hate them.

    Israel has been forced to to take actions against Hezbollah in Lebanon and elsewhere because Hezbollah chose to launch missiles into Northern Israel in sympathy for Hamas in Gaza. If they stop launching said missiles, then Israel can allow its displaced citizens to return to their homes in the north. This will remove significant political pressure on Netanyahu and his coalition and Israel will not have a need to invade Lebanon.

    If Hezbollah refuses to do this, then Israel must roll into Lebanon and see if their current weapons and capabilities produce a different result than their prior incursions into the country. Whether Israel is held to a stalemate or not, many more Lebanese will die if Hezbollah continues on the path it is currently on.

  6. meamjojo says:

    “Israel invaded in 1978, 1982 and 2006 in a failed effort to crush the Palestinian resistance, PLO. I was with the Israeli Army when it attacked southern Lebanon in 1982. Lebanese Sunni guerillas fought back, joined by fighters from a new Shia militia, Hezbollah.”

    Israel should drop a neutron bomb on Lebanon and Gaza. This will kill most living things and bring these engagements to a quick close.

  7. The horrors inflicted by the western powers on Muslims in the Middle East following the conquest and dismemberment of the Ottoman Empire in the Great War are simply unspeakable, the culmination of centuries of economic rivalry and religious hatred. At stake now is far more than the continuance of a small artificial state of extremist racialists, which must inevitably vanish from the pages of history, as Iran’s former president Ahmadinejad observed years ago.

  8. A123 says: • Website

    Lebanon is a failed state. The Nasrallah-shima blast at the Port of Beirut finished off the domestic economy. The government was never strong and is now dysfunctional.

    Hezbollah is in disarray with shattered command and control. Under the UN approved deal, the area south of the Litani River is supposed to be guaranteed free of terrorists. (1)

    UN Security Council approved Resolution 1701, which called for a full cessation of hostilities by the combatants, a full Israeli troop withdrawal from Lebanese territory, Hezbollah’s withdrawal north of the Litani River, and the deployment of UN and Lebanese army troops to maintain the peace.

     

     
    Faced with Israeli attacks, Hezbollah may now be forced to withdraw north of the river, Dr Burcu Ozcelik from the Royal United Services Institute defence thinktank argues.

    She told Sky News: “Hezbollah may not have a choice if it seeks to survive this fierce new escalation in the war in some form.

    “It will emerge diminished, battered and bruised, with its high-ranking commanders killed, and its strike capability eroded significantly.

    “Moreover, Hezbollah’s claim that it is the formidable guardian of all Lebanese people against Israeli aggression is in tatters as thousands of frightened civilians flee to Beirut in the north with Hezbollah unable to deter the Israeli aerial bombardment, and the possible ground incursion that may still follow.”

    Neither Hezbollah nor the UN has delivered. Could this wind up as a permanent security zone where Israeli forces remain to exclude Hezbollah? Without a functioning Lebanese government, what other option is there? Who else can exclude Hezbollah south of the Litani? Absent another viable alternative, Palestinian Jews protecting themselves is prudent.

    The best solution would be a partition into Muslim North Lebanon and a Maronite/Druze federation in South Lebanon. Unfortunately, the population distribution does not lead to a clean & easy breakup. It would be more like India/Pakistan, achievable but difficult.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://news.sky.com/story/litani-river-the-uns-attempt-at-a-buffer-zone-between-israel-and-hezbollah-13221300

    • Thanks: meamjojo
    • Replies: @meamjojo
  9. meamjojo says:
    @A123

    Good article here:

    Why Lebanon can’t be saved A full-scale evacuation might be the only option
    Tom McTague
    September 27, 2024

    In 2018, Henry Kissinger observed that Donald Trump was one of those historical characters who “appears from time to time to mark the end of an era and to force it to give up its old pretences”. The same could be said about last year’s October 7 attacks, the full impact of which we are only now beginning to comprehend.

    Before that act of appalling barbarism, the world was strangely optimistic about the future of the Middle East — despite the catastrophic scale of human suffering, millenarian fanaticism and economic collapse that was already evident across the region. The root of the hopefulness could be found in the Abraham Accords, that potentially transformative set of Trump initiatives, the aim of which was — somewhat euphemistically — to “normalise” relations between Israel and some of its Arab enemies. Last September, the great glittering prize of Middle East peace seemed to be in touching distance: Saudi rapprochement with Israel.

    The radical idea at the heart of Trump’s plan was that regional peace did not need to wait for “the Palestinian question” to be solved. Instead, that could be put to one side while other grand strategic moves played out. As Mohammed bin Salman “modernised” Saudi with his combination of political repression and social liberalisation, the two great anti-Iranian powers in the region could finally be brought together. A similar assessment was made about Lebanon, a country without a functioning state or economy and at the mercy of Iran’s colonial army, Hezbollah. This, also, was a situation that was thought to be containable — even as Iran exploited the anarchic chaos of Iraq and Syria to supply its proxy with enough weapons to devastate Israel.

    The central conceit of the Abraham Accords was that, irrespective of Hamas, Hezbollah and the occupation of the West Bank, once the Israel-Saudi axis was formed, Iran could be pushed back and contained without direct American involvement. But, then, the depth of Hamas’s murderous brutality on 7 October shattered that assumption, leaving not only a traumatised and vulnerable Israel, but also a traumatised and vulnerable Western order forced to confront the stark realities of the Middle East.

    https://unherd.com/2024/09/why-lebanon-cant-be-saved/

    • Replies: @A123
  10. A123 says: • Website
    @meamjojo

    Good article here:

    Why Lebanon can’t be saved A full-scale evacuation might be the only option
    ___

    Because Lebanon borders Syria to its north and east and Israel to its south, the only option for a mass evacuation would be by sea. And the only powers capable of delivering such a mission are the United States, France and Britain — each of whom is currently distracted by its own domestic political dramas.

    The primary argument of the article does not stand up to close inspection.

    Evacuation by sea is not necessary. And, it is also unsafe. Would the Houthis allow Suez transit for sea lift vessels to reach recipient nations in the Persian Gulf? Even if they agree, would they follow through?

    Muslim Lebanese wanting to escape Lebanon have a better option. A deal could be reached with Assad to facilitate land transit across Syria to Iraq. This offers convenient further access to resource rich Persian Gulf destinations, such as Iran and Qatar.
    ___

    That leaves the problem of supporting Lebanese Christians and Druze.

    Hezbollah has had few opportunities to contaminate these communities. There are options to avoid relocation. Resources could be provided to areas with no terrorist presence, and thus low risk of diversion and misuse. Christian Lebanese needing temporary refuge in Christendom could be kept to limited numbers.

    PEACE 😇

    • Replies: @meamjojo
  11. A123 says: • Website

    Good news for the people of Lebanon: (1)

    Hezbollah Confirms Leader Hassan Nasrallah Dead in Massive Israeli Airstrike

    The strike that killed Nasrallah was years in the making. Mossad, Israel’s intelligence organization, had learned how to track the terrorist chief’s movements and got the opportunity to bring its plans to fruition when Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu traveled to New York for the opening of the UN General Assembly.

    Lulling Nasrallah and Hezbollah into a false sense of security, Israel used “bunker-busting” bombs to get at Hezbollah’s headquarters under an apartment building. The blasts left a crater 65 feet deep.

    The end of Hezbollah is a prerequisite for Lebanon to have any hope.

    It looks like their leadership has been fully wiped out. Individual units will (at best) function in an uncoordinated manner, leading to poor overall effectiveness.

    PEACE 😇
    __________

    (1) https://pjmedia.com/rick-moran/2024/09/28/hezbollah-leader-hassan-nasrallah-confirmed-dead-in-massive-israeli-airstrike-n4932908

     

    • Replies: @meamjojo
  12. meamjojo says:
    @A123

    But will the people of Lebanon take this opportunity to collect and force Hezbollah associated individuals to Iraq/Syria/Iran? I doubt it.

    Lebanon’s only real solution is to ask to become part of Israel.

  13. meamjojo says:
    @A123

    When I say “good”, it does not mean that I agree with everything in the article.

    • Thanks: A123
  14. The title of this piece drips semitism. Here is one way to improve it:
    Will the fourth “israeli” war in Lebanon be next after the recent “israeli” genocide in Palestine?

    Too long?

    What wars will israliens start next?

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