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The Phony Pullout from Afghanistan
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Those wondering what lies in store for Afghanistan need only look at the way the British Empire ruled Iraq in the 1920’s. As Shakespeare wrote, “what is past is prologue.”

Imperial Britain created the state of Iraq after World War I to secure Mesopotamia’s vast oil deposits that had become vital for the Royal Navy. To control this artificial nation seething with unrest, Britain imposed a puppet king, Faisal, and created a native army commanded by British officers.

Britain’s colonial rule was formalized by the 1930 Anglo-Iraq Treaty, a deal between puppet and master.

But real power in Iraq was held by the Royal Air Force, which was “granted” two permanent bases at Habbaniyah and Basra. The RAF ruled supreme over the open wastes of Iraq.

Winston Churchill, patron saint of today’s war-lusting neoconservatives, authorized the RAF to use poison gas against “unruly” tribesmen in Iraq and Afghanistan. Britain created public institutions and sham political parties in Baghdad that had no links at all to Iraq’s population, which mostly hated their British rulers.

British Iraq was the prologue to today’s Afghanistan. The British Empire’s heir, the American Imperium, plans to duplicate the Iraqi Brittanica in Afghanistan.

Afghanistan’s US-installed current ruler, Hamid Karzai, a former CIA “asset,” may stay on after 2014 or be replaced by another US-designated president. Change the title of president to king, and, voila!, Iraq’s puppet king, Faisal.

Washington says it will withdraw all US combat troops from Afghanistan by 2014. But read the fine print. As of now, 14,000-16,000 US troops will remain on so-called “anti-terrorism” missions and for “training” – though Washington admits there are not more than 50 al-Qaida members in Afghanistan.

In other words, the old British system of white officers commanding native troops. A good $4-5 billion annually from the US and allies will go to hiring up to 400,000 pro-government troops (under US command).

These mercenaries will fight half-heartedly for the Yankee dollar, not ideology. CIA will maintain another mercenary force of about 2,000, and a fleet of killer drones. Add commandos from the shadowy US Special Ops Joint Command (JSOC), a copy of Her Majesty’s assassins, Britain’s famed SAS.

The ongoing US stealth occupation of Afghanistan will be enshrined by a new US-Afghanistan security treaty (read 1930 Anglo-Iraq Treaty), another deal between puppet and string-puller, made respectable by rigged elections and bribed chieftains and a big dose of drug money.

The Soviets did the same thing after they invaded Afghanistan. It’s good old imperialism 101.

US public relations firms will keep up a steady drumbeat of happy news about the US-run government building girl’s schools and improving public health.

ORDER IT NOW

Not a peep will come about the US-backed and paid tribal and government chiefs who run Afghanistan’s ever growing export business in morphine and heroin. Under US control, Afghanistan has become the world’s leading exporter of heroin and opium. Drug output rose 50% last year according to the UN. Drug money and laundering it has corrupted the entire Afghan government and provides most of Kabul’s
revenue, aside from US handouts.

Most important, just like the British in Iraq, the US will retain 2-4 key airbases. Bagram, built by the Soviets, will be the nerve center of the US control of Afghanistan. In Afghanistan’s arid, treeless terrain, air power is decisive. Without its total, 24-7 control of the air, the US would not be able to sustain bases in Afghanistan. The US Air Force, the primary tool of US global power, will police the skies of South Asia and defend the puppet regime in Kabul. India is expected to lend discreet support for the ongoing US occupation of Afghanistan.

That’s Plan A. But Afghanistan, rightly known as the “Graveyard of Empires,” has a way of frustrating grand imperial designs. That nation’s fierce Pashtun tribesmen, with whom this writer took the field in the 1980’s anti-Soviet struggle, have withstood the full might of US military power and its panoply of high-tech weapons, armed with nothing more than AK-47’s rifles and dauntless courage.

The British Empire, which invaded Afghanistan four times, also sought to maintain garrisons there – and utterly failed. The ongoing US occupation, re-labeled “reconstruction,” will also likely fail. So far, America’s longest war – some 12 years – has cost nearly $1 trillion, 2,000 US dead, 17,000 wounded and innumerable Afghan dead and wounded.

Taliban – a coalition of Pashtun tribes – will fight on as they always have. America faces another decade of war unless it finally decides to admit failure and depart.

So why then will the US continue to occupy and run Afghanistan? Geopolitics. US bases deep in Afghanistan will overwatch the vital energy-rich Caspian Basin. Oil has the same effect on America policy-makers as catnip does on felines.

Washington can’t bring itself to admit it was defeated in Afghanistan – and by lightly-armed tribesmen. Better to stay on and pretend victory, though supporting a US occupation garrison in Afghanistan costs billions annually.

What’s more, western politicians can’t face their voters and admit the Afghan war was an idiotic folly, a waste of a trillion dollars and the lives of their soldiers. Or admit that Taliban was never involved in the 9/11 attacks, that were mounted from Europe, and knew nothing about them. The truth is too painful and dangerous.

(Republished from EricMargolis.com by permission of author or representative)
 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: Afghanistan 
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  1. This is at best a short-term scenario. The “Great Game” is over and like Humpty-Dumpty will never be put together again, and certainly not by US bumblers attempting this and other imbecilities. The longer term contingency is short, sweet, and obvious: to wit, the United States and its Neo-Colonialist NATO condottieri will be out of Afghanistan, and very quickly, when the Chinese want them out. No western air power or bases excepted. This could be a relatively peaceful if rushed exit, should the US and allied commanders be intelligent enough to realize their plight. Or it could be very bloody, but also fairly quick. Having trouble visualizing that contingency? Think of Afghanistan as Dienbienphu, but on a much grander scale.

  2. Anonymous • Disclaimer says:

    Eric you have made the near future crystal clear. I am tempted to add my two cents. In the process of trying to coverup their failure in Afghanistan the US of A will eventually jettison the secular leadership of Pakistan army from Pakistan, throwing Pakistan into a tail spin.

  3. Obama made a faux effort to stay in Iraq as well, I suspect that was the generals and warmongers talking. Maliki saved Obama from that would be f*ck up, and the political consequences of actually making a decision, by saying “No thank you.”

    Now it’s Karzai’s turn. There is no doubt in my mind that it is again the MIC which, on account of the “gravy”, wants to continue the Afghanistan gravy train. Now it’s Karzai’s turn to say “No.” I’m convinced that 98% of the Afghan people want the US out. Their voices however are drowned into silence by the “interests” of the elites. So, with all the big dogs and their buckets of “gravy”, it’s difficult to know what the outcome will be.

    What we know for sure is that the Pashtun/Taliban will never give up. So the US will be leaving, it’s just a matter of under who’s watch, and after how much more blood and treasure.

  4. Anonymous • Disclaimer says:

    US is in Afghanistan because Pakistan Posses nuclear weapons and has made some very alarming decisions with its nuclear technology, such as having the Saudis fund their nuclear ambitions with the promise of arming them with nuclear weapons!!! Lets not make this a long and winding story please. Afghans know this and yes 98% of afghans like the US occupying forces than than the PAKISTANI/SAUDI ones. I am tired of the real truth never being revealed to the American public. If Irans nuclear technology is unacceptable than does Pakistan have a chance to have its cake and eat it too!? I don’t think so, sooner or later US will dismember Pakistan and in the chaos disarm it of any nuclear capability….yes India will help!

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