The Unz Review • An Alternative Media Selection$
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media
 BlogviewEric Margolis Archive
Muddling the Way to War
Email This Page to Someone

 Remember My Information



=>

Bookmark Toggle AllToCAdd to LibraryRemove from Library • B
Show CommentNext New CommentNext New ReplyRead More
ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
AgreeDisagreeThanksLOLTroll
These buttons register your public Agreement, Disagreement, Thanks, LOL, or Troll with the selected comment. They are ONLY available to recent, frequent commenters who have saved their Name+Email using the 'Remember My Information' checkbox, and may also ONLY be used three times during any eight hour period.
Ignore Commenter Follow Commenter
Search Text Case Sensitive  Exact Words  Include Comments
List of Bookmarks

Those familiar with Russian history know that wars usually begin with disastrous muddles. It’s the Russian way.

But Russians are also renowned for surmounting great obstacles after enormous sacrifices and finally achieving victory. World War II, in which the Soviet Union lost around 8.6 million soldiers killed, is a mighty example.

Right now, Russia is in its typical early war muddle in Ukraine, which not so long ago was an integral part of the Soviet Union/Russia. The initial Russian offensive in Ukraine has broken down and ground to a halt. NATO spokesmen and anti-Russian Ukrainians are crowing about an apparent military defeat for Moscow’s invasion forces. Most estimations are absurdly exaggerated.

There is lots of loose talk about chemical and nuclear weapons – all designed to scare the other side. The deeply anti-Russian British establishment is using its influential BBC to whip up sentiment against Moscow – as the Brits have done since 1917.

So have the forces of light and good in Ukraine really defeated Russia’s army of wicked ‘orcs’?

It depends on Moscow’s real goal in Ukraine. It’s very likely that President Putin’s strategic goal in Ukraine is to dismantle its independent nationalist government and re-attach minor Russian-speaking parts to the Russian federation. Recall that some 36% of Ukrainians use Russian as their native language; many want no part of Ukraine.

In fact, a low intensity civil war has flared in Ukraine for the past 14 years between anti-Russian nationalists (‘Nazis’ according to the nationalists) and pro-Russians (‘traitors’ say the nationalists), notably in the border enclaves of the Donets Basin, the center of that nation’s heavy industry and mining.

Ukraine will remain steeped in profound corruption no matter who rules it.

The best way out of this dangerous mess would be partition into pro and anti-Russian zones. But the pro-Russians have weak leadership and the current government forces see themselves as world heroes backed by NATO – which is another name for American military power.

While the fighting goes on, the conflict in Ukraine is increasingly dangerous. Defeat in Ukraine would fatally undermine the Russian Federation which went to war to prevent NATO/US from taking over Ukraine, then breaking up what’s left of Russia. That is Washington’s ambition before it turns on China.

This is playing with nuclear fire. The prime goal of the US should be to end the Ukraine conflict and stop pouring weapons and encouragement into Ukraine. But a wounded nation – particularly a past or former enemy – is too much of a target to ignore. Ukrainians must re-learn co-existence with Russia, like Finns.

They must end their conflict before the rupture of Ukraine’s vital exports of wheat, other key grains, uranium and metals sends world trade into a tailspin. Middle East stability alone depends on US-subsidized Ukrainian wheat exports.

What if the hard men in Moscow get fed up watching hundreds of millions worth of US and British arms pour across the Polish-Ukraine border? Sound military sense suggests Russia should attack these supply lines, depots and railroads.

ORDER IT NOW

Good statecraft demands that Washington move mountains to settle the conflict in Ukraine in which it has no vital national interest but faces nuclear peril. But the Ukraine civil war is a political godsend for the Biden administration which has lost much of its voter support due to charges it is weak and timid. A Russian defeat in Ukraine would nicely compensate for the humiliating US defeat in Afghanistan for which Biden is blamed though it was mainly Donald Trump who lit the fuse of that disaster.

Unfortunately, Ukraine has become what little Belgium was in 1914, a highly emotional issue propelling the mad rush to war. Westerners feel the sorrow of Ukrainians while totally ignoring the terrors they inflicted on Gaza, Afghans, Iraqis, Syrians, Yemenis, Somalis and Libyans. Our media wails for Ukrainians while ignoring the waves of B-52 heavy bombers carpet bombing Afghan villages.

 
• Category: Foreign Policy • Tags: American Military, NATO, Russia, Ukraine 
Hide 12 CommentsLeave a Comment
Commenters to Ignore...to FollowEndorsed Only
Trim Comments?
    []
  1. mijj says:

    > “The initial Russian offensive in Ukraine has broken down and ground to a halt.”

    … really? .. what’s your source of info?

  2. A Russian defeat in Ukraine would nicely compensate for the humiliating US defeat in Afghanistan for which Biden is blamed though it was mainly Donald Trump who lit the fuse of that disaster.

    What a stupid, gratuitous sentence.

  3. @The Anti-Gnostic

    Mr. Margolis’s TDS is just another manifestation of his snobby, self-described “Eisenhower Republican[ism].” Gratuitous swipes at American people and culture outside his East Coast enclave appear frequently in his columns.

  4. Jim H says:

    ‘Unfortunately, Ukraine has become what little Belgium was in 1914, a highly emotional issue propelling the mad rush to war.’ — Eric Margolis

    Now as then, military cross-guarantees can escalate a local dust-up into a major power conflict.

    ‘An attack on one is an attack on all,’ declares the NATO treaty. One aggrieved member can invoke the military guarantees of the other 29 — though one seriously doubts they all would respond.

    Far from assuring the security of Europe, NATO has become its worst destabilizer.

    Seventy-seven long years after WW II ended, isn’t it time to put counterproductive, self-serving, value-subtracting NATO out of business for good?

    Europe might choose to keep rump NATO as a regional alliance. But the US should get the hell out of defending its rich, occupied, politically stunted client states of Europe.

  5. Alistair says:

    Ukraine is just a bait to get Russia in the quagmire, and expelling it from the global economy.

    President Zelensky is getting his tough lessons of international diplomacy, sadly his people are paying too high price for his naivety; Zelensky certainly overplayed his NATO hand, and gambled hard with Mr. Putin, he underestimated the veteran KGB officer who is also a veteran stateman — Zelensky also overestimated Western support to bail him out of the mess that he has created for his country, perhaps, he should’ve read the book “The Dispensable Nation” by Vali Nasr. so to get better understanding of America in 2022.

    Zelensky didn’t understand that Ukraine is just a bait to get Russia into the quagmire, while imposing the harshest economic sanctions on it, virtually expelling Russia from the global economy, yet the bigger losers of it all, will be the Ukrainian people, what a tragedy.

    • Replies: @Derer
  6. Miro23 says:

    While the fighting goes on, the conflict in Ukraine is increasingly dangerous. Defeat in Ukraine would fatally undermine the Russian Federation which went to war to prevent NATO/US from taking over Ukraine, then breaking up what’s left of Russia. That is Washington’s ambition before it turns on China.

    Now why would that be Washington’s ambition? If the ultimate target is China, the logical sequence would be to build a (false) friendship with Russia until China was neutralized. A much safer strategy than taking on both at once.

    Probably events/technology are moving too fast for the old guys of WEF/Davos (e.g. Henry Kissinger and Klaus Schwab).

    China has already reached conventional military parity with the US in Asia and is fast catching up in nuclear (ICBM’s) . Russia already has nuclear parity with the US and superior conventional military power in Ukraine (despite NATO efforts).

    One theory is that the ZioGlob still has the idea of making a new home in Russia/Ukraine when they exit the collapsing US. The first attempt under Yeltsin failed (when Putin turned on them) – so Putin is enemy No1 – attracting a hatred that is difficult to fathom. He was actually one their own WEF/Davos “Young Leaders” trained to protect the looters after Yeltsin’s exit.

    Now, after the US economy crashes, they’re still homeless, and can only dominate the remaining wreckage of the United States – or what’s left of it – or maybe not even that.

    • Replies: @Derer
  7. Alistair says:

    Thus far, the Russian plan for Ukraine appears to be something like the Israel’s plan for Syria and Iraq, i.e. demilitarization and total destruction of the country’s infrastructure; so the Ukrainians spend the next 30 years rebuilding their broken country, in other words. slowing and stopping Ukraine’s socio-economic development, so to magnify the asymmetric power relationship with Russia, just like what the Israelis asked the US to do with Syria, Iraq and Libya.

  8. @The Anti-Gnostic

    Agree. America was 15 years into its wild goose chase in Afghanistan before Trump even became president.

  9. Derer says:
    @Alistair

    Alistair: “Ukraine is just a bait to get Russia in the quagmire, and expelling it from the global economy.”

    This is only Washington illiterate narcissists wishful thinking. I agree, they could perhaps expel successfully Grenada but Russia? The biggest and richest country on this planet guarded by a massive nuclear power cannot be eliminated from the global economy. Your “great idea” would end up with US and EU economies collapsing and competing nations would greatly benefits from Russian resources.

    • Replies: @Alistair
  10. Derer says:
    @Miro23

    They will finish like Hitler especially when the Washington swamp are amateurs in comparison.

  11. Alistair says:
    @Derer

    This is not just my idea, these are the facts on the ground now;
    I agree, Russia is powerful and certainly rich in resources, but today, amid the war of attrition in Ukraine, Russia is isolated, at least economically, and Russians are certainly enduring an uncertain future — though this is an unravelling crisis and things will change by the hour, but as of right now, it appears “Ukraine is just a bait to get Russia into the quagmire — so using up its capabilities, to wear it down, while the West expelling it from the global economy” — just yesterday, the UN have voted to expel Russia from its “Human Right Commission”. it’s raw deal. but it’s the fact,
    I am just worried about Russia’s reactions to all of these unfriendly measures; pocking the polar bear in the eyes, is bad idea.

  12. Derer says:

    To Alistair
    I agree with your sentiment. I am not Russian, but I disdain the US fanatical hate and slanderous and dishonest anti-Russian propaganda. It must be the envy of Russian abundance of resources or advancement in modern military hardware that threaten US monopoly. It certainly cannot be for Russian diplomatic insults or arming Taliban in Afghanistan which ironically slimy US did during Soviet presence there.

    Russia will now turn away from illiterate consuming EU and US and turn to huge markets in China and India – reversing the intended damage. One cannot cut this planet population from dominant resources without economic mayhem. US should have been expelled from the Human Right Commission for killing 3.5 mil civilians since the WWII on far away sovereign countries just because they disagree with self-appointed corrupt policeman.

Current Commenter
says:

Leave a Reply - Comments on articles more than two weeks old will be judged much more strictly on quality and tone


 Remember My InformationWhy?
 Email Replies to my Comment
$
Submitted comments have been licensed to The Unz Review and may be republished elsewhere at the sole discretion of the latter
Commenting Disabled While in Translation Mode
Subscribe to This Comment Thread via RSS Subscribe to All Eric Margolis Comments via RSS
Personal Classics
“America’s strategic and economic interests in the Mideast and Muslim world are being threatened by the agony in...
Bin Laden is dead, but his strategy still bleeds the United States.
Egyptians revolted against American rule as well as Mubarak’s.
A menace grows from Bush’s Korean blind spot.
Far from being a model for a “liberated” Iraq, Afghanistan shows how the U.S. can get bogged down Soviet-style.