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A Foolish War, Poorly Waged
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A blitzkrieg Russian invasion of Ukraine it was not. Marshall Zhukov, the Soviet Union’s famed tank general, must be rolling in his grave. Had Stalin still been in the Kremlin, Russia’s generals and defense minister would have by now been shot. At that time, the Red Army and its 50,000 tanks were believed able to burst through Germany’s Fulda Gap and central Austria and reach the key US supply base at Rotterdam in a week.

After three months of desultory fighting, the Russian army has managed to occupy some border areas in Ukraine and the key communications hub of Mariupol, cutting off Ukraine from its access to the Black Sea. Ukraine’s very important exports of grains have been blocked, undermining its economy but not proving a decisive move to end the war between self-proclaimed independent Ukraine and its western allies on one side and Russia and neighboring Belarus on the other. The proposed joining of Finland and Sweden to NATO is a political backfire for the Kremlin, but means little from a military viewpoint since both nations have long been covert NATO allies. ‘Neutral’ Switzerland has also been another not-so-secret member of the alliance.

But in fact, the US and its NATO allies have been locked in a nasty, covert war against Russia that threatens to erupt at any time into a conventional, then nuclear conflict. This quasi-war is the result of the refusal by the US and NATO to exclude their alliance from formerly Soviet-ruled Eastern Europe and pushing it to Russia’s very borders. The conflict has re-awakened dangerous problems that date back to the end of World War I when the victorious British and French, along with the credulous Americans, sought to alter Europe’s map. Vast swathes of territory were torn away from Germany, Austro-Hungary and Russia leaving dangerous disputes active to this day.

What’s wrong today with Russia’s current army, once the terror of Europe? First, it’s too small. Early on, President Vlad Putin ordered serious reductions in the size of Russia’s then huge armed forces. China did the same. That was fine for peace-time, but not for waging war. Russia sent only 100,000 men to occupy and subjugate Ukraine, a vast territory the size of Western Europe. I suspect that Putin’s goal was to annex key border regions, then leave independence-minded Ukraine isolated and in grave economic distress. The expected western economic war against Russia would be partially mitigated by the economic/financial distress caused to the west and its vassal states like Egypt.

ORDER IT NOW

A Russian airborne attack on capital Kiev failed miserably due to Western special forces and a new supply of top-attack anti-tank weapons. Usually reliable Russian military intelligence was ignored. Civilian intelligence was allowed to design the military campaign which as we have seen turned into a stalemate. It is no coincidence that Putin was a civilian KGB intelligence officer and his powerful defense minister Sergei Shoigu was never a military officer. Russia’s forces also suffered from logistical problems. This was surprising since during WWII Soviet forces became masters of fast-moving supply support. This was a fascinating subject that I studied in depth while serving in the US Army – where I also taught military strategy and history. War is too important to be left to civilians.

What about air power, vaunted as the Queen of Battle? It’s not been much in evidence in Ukraine. NATO dares not openly intervene in Ukraine for the very good reason that Russia will likely riposte with tactical missiles against NATO air bases and major arms depots. Welcome WWIII. Convoys of tanks, armored vehicles, supply trucks, fuel and soldiers are legitimate targets for Russia’s tactical missiles, notably the accurate Iskander missiles. Cash-strapped Russia has kept its air strikes to a modest level for fear of losing valuable warplanes that it cannot afford to replace, a problem I also witnessed in Afghanistan where the deadly US Stinger missile held the Red Air Force at bay.

We have so far been very lucky that a full-scale clash has not yet occurred between the US and Russia over Ukraine, a land of no importance at all to the United States but of fundamental importance to Russia. Amid the blizzard of anti-Russian propaganda, it’s easy to forget that in 1990 Ukraine was still an integral part of the Soviet Union. Or that the US staged a coup d’état in Ukraine that brought a pro-US regime to power that shakes its fist today at Moscow. But US intelligence agencies and NATO had moved uncommonly fast to arm Ukraine with state the art anti-tank and anti-aircraft weapons as well as huge amounts of ammunition. US military and economic aid to Ukraine alone exceeded \$40 billion.

There’s no doubt that Russia has lost the information war in Ukraine. The massed western media has been acting as an amen chorus for the Kiev regime. Ukraine has become another ‘brave, little Belgium’ of World War I renown. Biden just ordered \$40 billion more US military and economic aid on top of the \$25 billion or so spent by Washington to prop up the government in Kiev. Billions more will without doubt be needed.

Meanwhile, US, British and Canadian TV are accusing Russia of massive war crimes in Ukraine. There was little such reporting when the US invaded and destroyed important parts of Iraq, Syria, Libya, Yemen or Somalia. Afghanistan was ravaged for nearly 20 years, with B-52 heavy bombers used to raze villages and towns. All wars are a crime against mankind. There are no ‘good’ wars.

 
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  1. Notsofast says:

    your soviet perspective seems a bit dated, you’re going to have to look at the larger economic war, that your stalinist heroes couldn’t and wouldn’t understand to begin to comprehend the full extent of the hiding that russia is inflicting upon the west. wake up before you futher embarrass yourself.

    • Thanks: 36 ulster
  2. What a piece. Pure propaganda, Hasbara style.

    Russia sent only 100,000 men to occupy and subjugate Ukraine.

    Yes, not only to occupy but also to rape twenty million Ukrainian women. You forgot to mention that but it should have been implied. There is a lot of raping these Russians will have to do, once they are done with occupation. Maybe they will have to bring some conscripts to help after all.

    A Russian airborne attack on capital Kiev failed miserably due to Western special forces and a new supply of top-attack anti-tank weapons.

    Yes of course it failed, it failed. An airborne attack with tanks against anti-tank weapons – of course it failed. A plane can only take one tank – for your information. There were no tanks. And the attack was not on Kiev but on the airport near it and it didn’t fail.

    Also the design of the Russian tanks is such that it takes three or four direct hits from the top to destroy one.

    Convoys of tanks, armored vehicles, supply trucks, fuel and soldiers are legitimate targets for Russia’s tactical missiles, notably the accurate Iskander missiles.

    Notably the Russians are good at math so they don’t waste an Iskander on a supply truck or even a tank. There are plenty of other less expensive options available.

    Cash-strapped Russia has kept its air strikes to a modest level for fear of losing valuable warplanes that it cannot afford to replace, a problem I witnessed in Afghanistan where the deadly US Stinger missile held the Red Air Force at bay.

    A Stinger has a ceiling of 5 km, warplanes are out of its range. The new Russian helicopters have an automatic Stinger detection system, the pilots can see them as soon as they are fired. The times have changed.

    There’s no doubt that Russia has lost the information war in Ukraine. The massed western media has been acting as an amen chorus for the Kiev regime.

    You lost the information war, because you were the first to ban the opponent’s media.

    • Replies: @36 ulster
  3. meamjojo says:

    “But in fact, the US and its NATO allies have been locked in a nasty, covert war against Russia that threatens to erupt at any time into a conventional, then nuclear conflict.”

    You’re right about that!
    ——–
    I Thought Putin Invaded Only Ukraine. I Was Wrong.
    May 31, 2022
    By Thomas L. Friedman

    BERLIN — I’ve been writing nonstop about the Ukraine war ever since Russia invaded on Feb. 24, but I confess that it took coming to Europe and meeting with politicians, diplomats and entrepreneurs here for me to fully grasp what happened. You see, I thought Vladimir Putin had invaded Ukraine. I was wrong. Putin had invaded Europe.

    He shouldn’t have done that. This could be the biggest act of folly in a European war since Hitler invaded Russia in 1941.

    I only fully understood this when I got to this side of the Atlantic. It was easy from afar to assume — and probably easy for Putin to assume — that eventually Europe would reconcile itself to the full-scale invasion Putin launched against Ukraine on Feb. 24, the way Europe reconciled with his 2014 devouring of Ukraine’s Crimean peninsula, a remote slice of land where he met little resistance and set off limited shock waves.

    Wrong, wrong, wrong.

    This invasion — with Russian soldiers indiscriminately shelling Ukrainian apartment buildings and hospitals, killing civilians, looting homes, raping women and creating the biggest refugee crisis in Europe since World War II — is increasingly seen as a 21st-century rerun of Hitler’s onslaught against the rest of Europe, which started in September 1939 with the German attack on Poland. Add on top of that Putin’s seeming threat to use nuclear weapons, warning that any country that interfered with his unprovoked war would face “consequences you have never seen,” and it explains everything.
    ….
    https://www.nytimes.com/2022/05/31/opinion/putin-europe-ukraine.html

    • Replies: @George 1
  4. Anon[761] • Disclaimer says:

    Eric,

    Your otherwise fine reporting is deeply marred in this article. If the goals are demilitarization and denazification of Ukraine, then doesn‘t it stand to reason that demilitarization is best accomplished 100km from home base rather than 1.000km ?

    Also note, the brunt of the fighting has been borne by the LPR and the DPR. These 2 regions are contributing perhaps 60% of the ground forces.

    It would behoove you to check the full orginal texts of Lavrov and Putin‘s speeches and interviews on the subject of war aims and so forth. Also illuminating to read what the Chinese and Indian MFAs have to say.

    One should also note, there is now enough evidence (captured documents, interviews) to establish that the war party intended to attack the LPR and DPR in a full scale offensive in early March. Fortunately, the pre-emptuve defensive moves by the Allies (RF, DPR, and LPR ) prevented that NATO led bloodbath.

    Hoya Saxa my friend

  5. anon[130] • Disclaimer says:

    Russia inverted the force ratios of US doctrine and incapacitated Ukraine with discrimination the US could not dream of. They took their time gently rooting out Khazar Nazis while their terms of trade changed overwhelmingly in their favor.

    And you’re bitching about they don’t have enough soldiers? Hey, not everybody can deploy 6 million fat greasy armed settlers to stop one twelve-year-old throwing stones.

  6. Nations don’t always get the war they want: but they do, eventually, get the one they don’t want. Today, as always, governments ignore history – at their peril.
    https://patternofhistory.wordpress.com/

  7. This was was so preventable. A true tragedy. The expansion of NATO was a bad mistake and morally unjustifiable.

    • Agree: 36 ulster
  8. 36 ulster says:
    @Here Be Dragon

    The Soros Cabal (media, politics, etc.) has certainly tried to win the information war, churning out tales of Russian depredations, crusty-but-wizened Ukrainian fighters, wholesale destruction of Russian armored columns, NATO weapons ready to be sent to Feisty Ukraine, old Ukie warriors breaking out old but trusted Maxim machine guns–you get the picture. For good measure, grandson of CPUSA supremo and financial lamprey Bill Browder had appeared on the Evan, ahem, Solomon Show on Toronto’s CFRB to dish out the dirt on Putin. I didn’t have the voyeuristic inclination or the stomach to listen to two guys fellate each other. Not to mention the erasure of RT from the cable systems. RT was partisan, but their commentators and special presentations provided background info on events leading to this proxy war–including those preceding the 2014 Nuland-Soros Coup, timeframes conveniently missing from the Cabal’s reportage. The blogger Z-Man has provided a link to a map that, if accurate, would indicate that the Russian attack was a limited-objective incursion; Russia’s gains are concentrated in Russophone eastern and southeastern Ukraine. If the subjugation of Ukraine were the objective, many more than 200,000 troops would have been involved, and hundreds of thousands of troops would have swept down from Belarus in a move reminiscent of imperial Germany’s putative Schlieffen Plan. As it stands, it would seem that Russia has consolidated and fortified its territorial gains, and sooner or later, Ukraine will have to yield, however grudgingly, tacitly or in writing, areas that are hostile to Kiev, populated by indefatigable residents of the Donbass, and buttressed by Russian regulars and heavy weaponry. Eventually, the truth–or shards of it–will emerge, though the shameless Nabobs of the Narrative will have migrated to some other issue.

    • Replies: @Here Be Dragon
  9. Patriot says:

    Those who deride Russia should consider The Monroe Doctrine, the Cuban Missile Crisis and Dresden.

    • Replies: @meamjojo
  10. @36 ulster

    My point is that there is no information war because there is no presence of the other side on your terrain whatsoever. You can’t fight a war without an opponent.

    • Agree: 36 ulster
  11. George 1 says:
    @meamjojo

    We can surely rely on Mr. Friedman’s perspective. The man is always right. A veritable profit for our times.

  12. meamjojo says:

    “We can surely rely on Mr. Friedman’s perspective. The man is always right. A veritable profit for our times.”

    Such a sharp, incisive and penetrating comment! Most helpful.

    P.S. It’s “prophet”.

  13. meamjojo says:
    @Patriot

    “Those who deride Russia should consider The Monroe Doctrine, the Cuban Missile Crisis and Dresden.”

    What is it that we should be considering about these?

    • Replies: @Lurker
  14. The key difference here is that the Russians are not fighting an alien people whom they have no qualms about exterminating. They are fighting their cousins, their own brothers in some cases. They have lived with these people in peace in the past, and will again, once the American-sponsored cancer in Kiev has been cut out.

    Russia has been at war with the west since the first Anglo-American-French troops invaded in 1919. Ukraine just may be the final battle in this senseless Hundred Years’ War. The Russian Federation has had a generation to prepare for it. If they lose this one, they lose it all, and they know it, just as Washington knows that its iron grip on humanity is now hanging by a very slender thread. Its Achilles heel is its make-believe economy, and that is where Russia, with the rest of the Global South, will ultimately strike the final, winning blow.

    Hard times are coming for us, if there is such a thing as “collective guilt” and punishment, which no one questions when applied to Germans or Palestinians. And there are some in our country, masquerading as patriots, who would love to replicate here the death and destruction we see in Donbass in eight years of civil war. Many are there now, fighting as volunteer mercenaries, getting combat experience to use in their insane vision of America’s future – see https://thegrayzone.com/2022/05/31/us-trained-extremists-fighting-russia-blowback/ and https://thegrayzone.com/2022/05/31/american-neo-nazi-ukraine-hero-corporate-media/

    • Agree: GomezAdddams
  15. Alistair says:

    What would be the end cost if Russia loses the Ukraine War ?

    By now everyone should know that Ukraine war is a “Proxy War between the US and Russia”, but nobody seems to know what the Russian’s objectives are in Ukraine; yet they are surely destroying the Ukrainian cities, as if they are not interested in occupying the country but capturing for destroying; so making it useless territory in case if Russia lost the war; and at last, Ukraine ended up becoming a NATO member, then Ukraine will be a wasteland left to the Western Alliance.

    Ukraine is slightly smaller than continental France, yet thus far, the US and its allies have spent nearly US \$70 billion on direct financial aid to Ukraine; when adding the military aid, and all covert intelligence support and so on; the Western cost is reaching an estimated US\$100 Billion direct and indirect aids, that have been supplied to Ukraine over the last 100 days of its war with Russia; that’s “One Billion US Dollars Per Day” – net cost to the Western Alliance, without them even being directly involved in the fighting on the ground – such costly investment is indicating how deeply the USA and its allies are engaged in this “Proxy War between the USA and Russia” that’s fought in Ukraine.

    But what would be the end cost if Russia indeed loses this War ? Russia is already assuming Ukraine as a lost cause; at this stage, Russia seems aiming at capturing more territories as bargaining chips with the US and NATO while destroying the captured territories; and in case if Russia had to retreat from these territories and Ukraine ended up becoming a NATO member; Russia may even nuke the Ukrainian agricultural fields, so to make them useless, a wasteland left to the Western Alliance — and that’s the price of cornering a Nuclear- Armed Superpower.

    • Replies: @meamjojo
  16. Well, the only thing weaker was Ukraine’s response.

  17. Lurker says:
    @meamjojo

    That you’re a (((pos)))?

    • Replies: @meamjojo
  18. meamjojo says:
    @Lurker

    If we were in a schoolyard, I would reply “LIKE YO MAMA, BOY” but we’re not, so I won’t.

  19. meamjojo says:
    @Alistair

    When Russia loses this war, the cost to them will be siphoning off some portion of their oil/gas revenues to help rebuild Ukraine and pay reparations, if they want sanctions removed. This will go on for decades until they are paid in full.

    • Replies: @Alistair
  20. Alistair says:
    @meamjojo

    Losing the Ukraine war is not an option with Russia; the only way Russia could lose this war is when and if China withdraw it’s support for Russia, and if the US and it’s European allies go to direct war with Russia, in other words, direct nuclear confrontation with Russia, which is out of the scope of the European nations.

    As to paying for the damages of the war, Russia will do that but only if it wins the war, because they will have to rebuild Ukraine; just as they did during the Soviet era.

  21. Thanks for cool headed analysis.

    The proxy war between Russia and the USA, favored by powerful bureaucrats in the national security state, seems headed for eventual conflagration. Russia is not going to surrender its sovereignty to the US-NATO alliance, and the war hawks in the USA won’t back away from trying to destroy Russia.

    Character is destiny.

  22. acudoc1949 says: • Website

    Culture in the West is being degraded and it is being degraded by a cultural Marxist influence which has been growing in power over the last six or seven decades. War in the Ukraine is a supreme and tragic irony—-fought against a formerly communist behemoth by Western nations infected with the cultural Marxist philosophy!

    Cultural Marxists deserve to roast in hell on a spit! This vile philosophy has been responsible for the deaths of hundreds of millions worldwide. We will not let them subvert this nation. Here is the context we all need to know:



    Video Link

    And here is the solution I implore you to consider, a real striking at the root: http://www.LetJusticePrevailThoughTheHeavensFall.com (scroll down for a proposed Constitutional Amendment wresting control of our monetary system from the hands of craven KM communist Jews)

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