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    Free market ideology needs to grasp the distinction between commerce and finance. The basic libertarian ideology revolves around the government only preventing "acts of force or fraud." So, we don't need a whole Indian-style Permit Raj to tell Procter & Gamble whether or not they can bring out a new flavor of Crest. If the...
  • “Fraud, including unwitting fraud, is always a big risk in finance.”
    Under the common law, there’s no such thing as ‘unwitting fraud’ as one of the elements of fraud is the speaker’s knowledge of the falsity of the representation. What you mean by unwitting fraud sounds like just giving your money to idiots or otherwise misallocating it; too bad so sad. We can include our government representatives and their boondoggles within the rubric of idiots and misallocations. It’s our own damn fault.
    The risk of denying this is that we may be tempted to impute fraud to whole categories of financial agreements a la the commies. Me, I’d invest with guys like Jim Rogers and Peter Schiff, who called these things years ago.

  • Here are the key passages from Obama's 2001 radio interview. It's the usual with Obama -- you have to read it very closely to see where he's coming from (i.e., deep left field). I've tried to clean up the spelling and punctuation from FoxNews' awful attempt at a transcript:“I mean if you look at the...
  • This is the problem: that the office of the President is now so powerful that it is actually important to examine things a candidate said 7 years ago, in a radio interview… as a novice low-level politician…. That the two major and only two major parties are so alike and in agreement on this point and so many others, that such exegesis is almost necessary.

  • The New York Post has reported that the 67-year-old Rev. Dr. Jeremiah A. Wright, Jr.'s 2007 affair with a 37-year-old church lady employed by a black Texas megachurch headed by one of Wright's proteges has led to her divorce and firing. (And, yes, she's not black.) Payne's husband, Fred Payne, 64, said he learned of...
  • “The international financial system is in the midst of a Republican-enabled meltdown, and this is what you find to be an important election issue?”

    Why is the international financial system melting down? Look up the term “moral hazard” for part of the answer. I agree the Republicans are less than ideal. I posit that the Democrats are also partly to blame. I disagree that Mr. Wright’s failings and his relationship to Mr. Obama are completely meaningless in context but, rather, should rightfully be taken into consideration when evaluating Mr. Obama’s fitness for the office of the presidency. Plus it’s just a blast to hear about the s*** these guys try to pull.

  • A friend of mine emailed me that he scored a 21 out of 107 on the full list of Stuff White People Like. I thought it was a little tedious to count, so I wrote up a small script which counts it up for you via the checks you make. Below the fold.... .wholeRapper {...
  • 12 out of 107 Stuffs White People Like here. And I’m half-white/half-Filipino, so maybe that’s it.

  • Here's my favorite Olympic sprinting picture: Barcelona in 1992, the 4x100 meter relay, Carl Lewis followed by the Nigerian anchorman and the little Cuban anchorman who looked like Super Mario, all celebrating their medals after they crossed the finish line, not 30 meters before it as Jamaican Usain Bolt did tonight. With the race barely...
  • On a possibly more Steve-ish note, check out Michael Johnson’s commentary after the race. He, Mr. Johnson, an african-american, gets to at least partially allude to, by innuendo, without apparent fear of reprisal or challenge, the common knowledge about dominance in sprinting by West Africans. “This goes back to what I was saying before… that was the best in the world; there’s nobody out there, there’s no, you know what I mean? [unless?] there’s somebody out there, you know [?] in the jungles or somewhere…” http://uk.youtube.com/watch?v=mo6pHs0-3bQ

  • California is the ideal place to experiment with a fundamental redefinition of society's foremost building block, marriage. After all, there are only 38 million people in California, Californians are famously level-headed and rational, and Californians don't have any influence over the media. So, if it turns out a generation from now to have been a...
  • To expand on the more-straight-guys-reluctant theme, let us address the punitive aspect. For the sake of argument, let’s agree it’s punitive for a good many men in the ceremony. But it is, or at least must be in the perception, rewarding, for some men in the marriage. What do I mean? The day might be a drag, but lotsa mediocre guys make out ok with a monogamous traditional marriage set of rules. To the extent gay marriage weakens that overall system, then, there’s a marginal increase of high-prospect men who might use that weakening as a way to avoid taking part, with the commensurate knock-on effects of serial monogamy, hypergamy, frustrated betas, used-up women. Basically, in an anything goes system, why would a great catch of a man settle down? Why would a decent woman settle for lifetime commitment to a mediocre man? The old answers were: ’cause if he pissed off one more brother of a sister (course we have only children these days so that’s another thing) there’d be a whole posse after him; ’cause all the good ones are taken and mediocre is better than nothing, ever; and, the whole community supports this too.

  • Every few years I post this map. Anyone have good explanations for some of the patterns? (e.g., what's going on around St. Louis and Milwaukee?)
  • Even with the few data point, I am still interested in how pop seems to rule in Canada, too.

  • Unlike Others, U.S. Defends Freedom to Offend in Speech: I have to say fuck their dignity. When Muslims redact the Koran so as to satisfy the affront to my dignity as a non-Muslim at its ethno-centric and triumphalist narrative I'll be willing to pay attention to this sort of stuff from those who claim special...
  • I read and hear little that’s in favour of the sort of commission action being discussed in this item. I don’t expect the commissions to last much longer. To portray this sort of thing as somehow representative of views in Canada is well off the mark, in my view.

    I don’t think there is enough political will to get them abolished. I think most people (including me) would be happy if they lose their censorship provisions removed. The most appalling part of the whole affair isn’t the hate laws themselves, it the quasi-courts that they are held in.

  • I was poking around Fund Race 2008 and was curious how different scientist professions were giving in regards to political parties in the USA. Below is what I found.... profession Repub # Dem # Repub $ Dem $ Ratio # Dem $ mathematician 18 98 13740 72837 5.44 5.3 physicist 86 532 65722 425105 6.19...
  • Well, the GOP has been as unfriendly to the academy as its been friendly with mammon.
    As an aside, I also suspect that the geoblogers lean leftward, and are probably disproportionally academics.

  • Notice that (except for the electrical and software engineers) that engineers lean towards the GOP as well. I think it comes down to two factors.
    First, the percentage working in industry. The Republican Party has, throughout its history, been the party of business; thus people working in industry (well, at least the management) would be more GOP-friendly.
    But that wouldn’t explain the chemists or the computer experts, who probably work in industry at rate as high (or higher) than geologists and engineers. I think it may have to do with the culture common with geology and engineering. I notice , in my limited experience (undergraduate Earth Sciences), that the geology and engineering undergraduates seem to be more conservative than the student body at large. Also, many of the geology majors start in engineering.

  • Evan Thomas of Newsweek writes about General William Odom, who recently died at age 75:I had dinner with General Odom a couple of times. After one meal, Margaret Thatcher gave a speech. During the question and answer period that followed, General Odom stood up from our table and grilled her on her skepticism about German...
  • What if we can’t afford those NW Euro or NE Asia garrisons anymore? Does the deterrent still work if our guys are mercenaries, i.e. if the Euro’s and Asia’s pay a tax to support them, or is it one of those only-works-if-we’re-honest-about-it things?

  • I bought the latest book by Sen. Jim Webb (D-VA), A Time to Fight. It has a lot of good things in it, but the prose style is mediocre, and downright terrible when compared to Barack Obama's The Audacity of Hope, which was published at about the same time in their Senate careers. I was...
  • Meanwhile, Hillary: “We shall not flag nor fail. We shall go on to the end. We shall campaign at the Convention and on TV and radio; we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength via the internet and specifically YouTube. We shall defend our reputation and my husband’s reputation whatever the cost may be; we shall protest on streets, airport lounges, book signings and stereotypical middle american fast-food establishments. We shall never surrender and, even if, which I do not for the moment believe, we get kicked out of the convention and ignored by the main stream media, then our contacts beyond the scenes, rich and famous, will carry on the struggle until in good time White Middle Class America with all its remaining power and might, sets forth to the liberation and rescue of the me, and Bill, and, er, yeah, America!”

  • I read the last chapter of Webb’s book in Barnes & Noble yesterday. Yawn. Was it me or did that chapter, entitled something like “What is to be done?” seem like a whitewash; no specifics? Immigration? Nothing. Get out of Iraq? ***crickets*** Did he cover the specifics in other chapters. Someone get him an editor. Better yet, get him Pat Buchanan’s editor; close with bullet points in your last chapter. Give me the executive summary.

  • I have absolutely no cognitive aptitude for criminal schemes, so I've been baffled trying to understand the apparently increasingly popular "straw buyer cash-back" mortgage fraud scam. But, while looking, I did stumble upon an equally stumped person who left this plaintive (and sadly unanswered) comment on the Mortgage Fraud website:My published articles are archived at...
  • Some people are good credit risks and, as a result, can get mortgage (loans). Some ain’t and can’t. So you get your uncle or someone to sign off as the buyer, under a gentleman’s agreement that you’ll pay. The thinking is: as long as the bank gets it’s monthly payments, why would they make a stink?

    Even with good intentions, things can go wrong. http://www.nycourts.gov/reporter/pdfs/2008/2008_31054.pdf “Though none of the matters contained in the moving papers are a sufficient defense to the foreclosure this Court does not pass on any financial breach of contract claims [non-legal buyer and resident -c] may wish to assert against Defendant [alleged straw buyer -c] upon proper substantiation of the same in a separate proceeding. Parties should be aware of the risks they take when they try to circumvent existing procedures and statutes enacted for their protection.”

    Cash-back refers to immediately taking out a home equity loan so there is cash-back at the closing. Of course, as long as you’re pretending stuff anyway, you might add some other permutations (impersonation, fake ID’s etc.).

  • The AEY Afghan ammo scandal has raised many questions around the blogs about who or what is behind it all. But I think the answer isn't all that mysterious.Have you ever tried to buy a camera from the ads in the back pages of a camera magazine? There are pages and pages in tiny type...
  • Let me get this straight: there’s a tight-knit merchant minority traditional group that, in contrast to contemporary US mores, encourages its young men to seek their fortunes in sole proprietership, partnership, or small business form, and some of those young men, in an early foray, went astray, spectacularly so.

    I’m looking at those mugshots and thinking, man, I wasted my 20’s! It’s like that goof on Darth Vader vs. Luke Skywalker:

    Darth Vader: Yes, it is true.. and you know what else? You know that brass droid of yours?
    Luke: Threepio?
    Darth Vader: Yes… Threepio… I built him… when I was 7 years old…
    Luke: No…
    Darth Vader: Seven years old! And what have you done? Look at yourself, no hand, no job, and couldn’t even levitate your own ship out of the swamp Dagobar…
    Luke: I destroyed your precious Death Star!
    Darth Vader: When you were 20! When I was 10, I single-handedly destroyed a Trade Federation Droid Control ship!
    Luke: Well, it’s not my fault…
    Darth Vader: Oh, here we go… “Poor me… my father never gave me what I wanted for my birthday… boo hoo, my daddy’s the Dark Lord of the Sith…waahhh wahhh!”
    Luke: Shut up…
    Darth Vader: You’re a slacker! By the time I was your age, I had exterminated the Jedi knights!
    Luke: I used to race my T-16 through Beggar’s Canyon…
    Darth Vader: Oh, for the love of the Emperor… 10 years old, winner of the Boonta Eve Open… Only human to ever fly a Pod Racer… right here baby!

  • From Black Sea by Neal Ascherson, a Scottish journalist, about his travels around the Black Sea region:The transition to a market economy in the lower Don requires more than laws made in Moscow. It needs nothing less than a cultural revolution, an overthrowing of inherited moral codes no less complete than the transformation which St...
  • No no no, it’s “it takes two Arabs to get the better of a Jew in a trade [by the way, from context I would guess all of this is a bit untranslatable; it’s not entirely derogatory, but a combination of admiration for, and jealousy of, the stereotypical commercial savvy of the other]; but four Jews to get the better of an Armenian.”

  • This one article in the NYT quoting Jason Malloy and Half Sigma isn't going to change things. Heck, Nicholas Wade has been tirelessly writing about many of these issues for over a half decade as the New York Times' own genetics reporter (!) and practically nobody outside of a few thousand people in the human...
  • Is there a place that lists all of the races? I’m especially interested in how people in border areas are treated. Ethiopians, Eskimos, etc. It has always seemed odd to me that people from England are considered the same race as people from Serbia. Someone must have broken down people from every region of the world by race. It seems beyond belief that it could be done just by looking at someone’s skin color since that is just one genetic variant.

  • Genetics Has A Role In Determining Sexual Orientation In Men, Further Evidence: The size of the corpus callosum may very well be argely inherited in the general population, but one should be cautious about extrapolating the heritability to an aytpical sample such as this. Genes which result in the normal human variation in the corpus...
  • Dollars to donuts its a maternal effect. I mean, having older brothers makes you more likely to be gay. And female mice who are in between brothers in the womb have masculinized behavior when they’re grown. Isn’t it obvious by now?
    This would mean, of course, that it could be a) not genetic but b) still determined by biology.

  • In DNA Era, Worries About Revival of Prejudice by NYT genetics reporter Amy Harmon is a frank and sensitive look at the burgeoning implications of genetic science to our political and social landscape.Nothing quite like this article has ever really appeared in the press. The underlying message is that the biological information environment is changing...
  • @gc – thanks for tipping me off to the original research, whose substance but not provenance I recalled in my last comment. 
     
    Since we’re (quite happily!) going to the source literature, I’ll quote from the exact same critique that you do, i.e. Sackett et al.: 
     
    “Steele and Aronson clearly demonstrated a very interesting phenomenon in a series of persuasive and carefully conducted experiments. They have shown that stereotype threat can affect the performace of some students on some tests, an important finding worthy of careful exploration. What they have not done, and do not purport to do, is to offer stereotype threat as the general explanation for the long-observed pattern of subgroup differences on a broad range of cognitive tests.” 
     
    What Sackett said was not that this was bad research, or at all invalid — what Sackett et al. said was that *this research was widely misinterpreted.* 
     
    I would agree with Sacket: I would not dream of proposing that stereotype threat is a complete explanation for differneces in test scores between races. 
     
    I merely bring it up to inspire a thought experiment which does not require very much imagination, and one which I would argue has about as much evidence to its credit as the genetic-deterministic arguments being slung about here: 
     
    Imagine that the stereotype threat effect were not being exercised in a laboratory setting, but that it pervaded everyday life. Imagine that you were told, from birth, even implicitly, not to expect too much from your own abilities on account of your race — what effect would that have on your desire to engage in the activity you were told you would fail at? And how would that effect look when multiplied across generations, and throughout an entire sub-culture? 
     
    It seems glib to imagine that discrimination is irrelevant in the context of performance; and that culture, whose advancement we imagine is so all-important to the progress of the human race, isn’t as persistent and as powerful, in many contexts, as its genetic underpinnings. 
     
    * Just to throw out another wrinkle: The Flynn effect says that your mean IQ, regardless of race, is significantly higher than that of your great-grandparents. Do you really believe that’s so? And if not, what does that say about the fact that even tests designed to target g can, in essence, across whole generations, be taught?

  • I’m glad this discussion is happening, because at base the assertion of some here — that if it doesn’t happen, the whole thing will be co-opted by those with an agenda — is, I think, correct. 
     
    In the spirit of open debate, I’ll add this: 
     
    1. So those studies that show that merely exposing children of one race or another to discriminatory statements can negatively or positively affect their performance on a test are irrelevant? 
     
    In a system of coupled gene-environment interactions, we should be weary of self-fulfilling prophecies.

  • Last week, I was trying to explain American high school football to three incredulous English intellectuals, and this vast but curious phenomenon struck me as a good topic to give the Sailer Treatment to in an article. So, I'm appealing to you all for interesting ideas about high school football -- please comment or email...
  • Miles [my imaginary English friend for purposes of explaining football here], what you must understand is how very American football is, both as a game, and, with regard to what we call high school, as a teenage phenomenon.

    As a game, first observe the emphasis on taking the other guy’s land, gaining yardage we call it. It’s very warlike in that fundamental. Like rugby only more so. Whether by pushing, running over, jumping over, or via aerial attack (paratroopers perhaps), the idea is to move your team further and further into the enemy’s territory and make it your own. Second, the field itself: a lovely little grid. None of this fake nature roundish Australian rules pitch or cricket pitch or overly wide Football pitch. America’s a big country, but we are going to control it, lay some math down onto it, flatten it where necessary, and play. Again with the math, we like to measure things; we don’t like to word our way to success. Real success has a number: acres, children, head of cattle, barrels of oil, cards, hell, wives where some of us can get away with it! And that number, those numbers, trump all class distinctions. We admire virtue, and so what if someone has a lot of money, he can still be a jerk. But still, we like to face reality. We don’t have a nobility; we don’t grovel before a poorer noble, or even a greater noble. We buy, we sell, we measure out and measure in. No shame in losing if you gave it your all, but don’t stand on your one yard line with your back to the wall and tell me you’re better than me because of style. And another thing. This is a long game. We break up all the plays. We stop and measure all the time. It’s inexorable. It’s constant. Style rarely counts. We make a virtue of grinding things out where necessary. But of course emotion plays a part. Basically we are beating each other up. One of our big coaches said dancing is a contact sport, but football is a hitting sport. So it’s a fight. Don’t expect the faster, smarter, better trained team to win if they can’t give and take pounding. Now, note here for a moment a little American contradiction. Or at least something that make me wonder. The equipment. The Aussies brag about their lack of padding and helmets. My dad still talks about a hurling match he saw where some guys teeth got knocked out –batted out really. And in Rugby there’s not much padding or helmets. We, on the other hand, don’t hesitate to use the latest designs from NASA, the latest in material science from Stanford and MIT, and a whole truckload of money to get the best in helmets and padding. No one seems to notice how the better the protective equipment, the more daring the hitting becomes. Now, I didn’t play, so maybe I’m speaking out of school, but it just seems an odd American blind spot to try to tech-away the injuries and the potential for injury, rather than adjust the rules or try to stay traditional. Alright, so that’s a start on the game as America thing. Shall I go on about it’s importance to teenage culture, or the teenage subculture?

  • Sam Harris says: Harris has been criticized by some secularists for his less than skeptical and critical attitude toward Eastern mysticism and supernaturalism which does not owe its existence to the followers of the One True God. But the reality is that I do not believe that Harris is an atheist in the way I...
  • Interesting take on Harris’s thoughts. I admit that I started “The End of Faith” and am only through the first couple chapters, so my own take on Harris’s thoughts may not be as informed as others who have read his two books. That said, I have closely followed the exchange you quote above (between Andrew Sullivan and Sam Harris) and I’ve listened to a handful of talks that he has given in recent months – at the Salk Institute and at Caltech,,for example.
    I wonder if this hesitation on Harris’s part to outright deny the worth of understanding religious experience reflects his own stance as a student in neurology (he’s a PhD candidate, right?) Others – from Dennett to Ramachandran – also seem to be very curious about the neurological explanations for religious experience. Reading the above bold sentence (at least the first one), I’m sure that Harris ‘s name is on that list. In one of his earlier letters to Sullivan in the same exchange (the one dated 1/29/07) Harris says that he is very hesitant to draw metaphysical conclusions about the nature of his own spiritual experiences.
    I do agree with your point that he cares a great deal about the dangers poised by modern religious belief (both in its fundamental and moderate forms), but I’m struggling to see how he would make the argument that another mystical/supernatural belief system could act as a surrogate for any of the Western religions.