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    Until the CDC releases details of its index case ('Patient Zero') there is no practical or scientific possibility of tracing Covid’s origin. Patient Zero, when he arrives, will introduce us to the animal vector that brung him. Question: Why does the US persistently refuse to release its Patient Zero data–despite being bound to do so...
  • @Godfree Roberts
    A Seattle lab uncovered Washington's coronavirus outbreak only after defying federal regulators. The Week. March 11, 2020.


    A lack of test kits for the new COVID-19 coronavirus is still obscuring the extent of the outbreak in the U.S., but for a critical period in February, there were no functional federal tests and "local officials across the country were left to work blindly as the crisis grew undetected and exponentially," The New York Times reports. The coronavirus has now infected more than 1,000 people in 36 states and Washington, D.C., according to Johns Hopkins University's count.

    The first U.S. outbreak was in Washington state, where authorities confirmed the first patient — suffering from respiratory problems after visiting Wuhan, China — only after the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention made an exception to strict testing criteria. In Seattle, Dr. Helen Chu, an infectious disease expert who was part of an ongoing flu-monitoring effort, the Seattle Flu Study, asked permission to test their trove of collected flu swabs for coronavirus.

    State health officials joined Chu in asking the CDC and Food and Drug Administration to waive privacy rules and allow clinical tests in a research lab, citing the threat of significant loss of life. The CDC and FDA said no. "We felt like we were sitting, waiting for the pandemic to emerge," Chu told the Times. "We could help. We couldn't do anything."

    They held off for a couple of weeks, but on Feb. 25, Chu and her colleagues "began performing coronavirus tests, without government approval," the Times reports. They found a positive case pretty quickly, and after discussing the ethics, they told state health officials, who confirmed the next day that a teenager who hadn't traveled abroad had COVID-19 — and the virus had likely been spreading undetected throughout the Seattle area for weeks. Later that day, the CDC and FDA told Chu and her colleagues to stop testing, then partially relented, and the lab found several more cases. On Monday night, they were ordered to stop testing again.

    "In the days since the teenager's test, the Seattle region has spun into crisis, with dozens of people testing positive and at least 22 dying," the Times notes. "The scientists said they believe that they will find evidence that the virus was infecting people even earlier, and that they could have alerted authorities sooner if they had been allowed to test."

    https://theweek.com/speedreads/901405/seattle-lab-uncovered-washingtons-coronavirus-outbreak-only-after-defying-federal-regulators

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • Nearly 30,000 Americans have died from the coronavirus during the last two weeks, and by some estimates this is a substantial under-count, while the death-toll continues to rapidly mount. Meanwhile, measures to control the spread of this deadly infection have already cost 22 million Americans their jobs, an unprecedented economic collapse that has pushed our...
  • @denk
    @Harold Smith


    set up
     
    TT and I agree.

    [[[they]]] are pushing the meme that the funding stopped when that 'GOF' research seemed to be turning risky, after that Shi carried on her own way.

    Firstly, as you can see from that 2015 report, Shi was just a bit player, the last name on the list in fact, I heard her contribution mostly come from the 'donation' of bats for her colleagues to 'experiment' on. Its obviously a murikkan project, with her name added for nefarious purpose.

    Secondly, its hilarious that [[[the mofo]]] would feel squeamish on playing with dangerous virus.
    They have no qualm messing with all kind of craps known to man, prolly many unknown too...bird flu, swine flu, Ebola, Dengue, Bubonic, HIV, Mers, you name it.

    For example, we know [[[they]]] have done extensive research on bird flu weaponisation 'threat reduction' [sic] research, hell, they even proudly publicize the proj.

    https://eclinik.net/heres-the-proof-flu-virus-was-deliberately-weaponized-for-widest-transmission/

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    • Replies: @denk
    @PandaAtWar

    PIlger


    murikkans are like mushrooms,
    kept in the dark and fed bullshit all day long
     
    https://cdn.vox-cdn.com/thumbor/2-dYDt4GfgG6j8_1KYWZL1PuLQA=/0x0:1920x1200/1200x800/filters:focal(672x359:978x665)/cdn.vox-cdn.com/uploads/chorus_image/image/59655641/bullshit_jobs.0.jpeg
  • In our last episode, Last Man Standing, we wondered if the Covid-19 outbreak might prove advantageous to China. Here we speculate about how–thanks to a bureaucratic decision about a common illness–it may cause America to lose world hegemony. *** Finding the Index Case, Patient Zero, of an epidemic is critical to understanding and curbing further...
  • @Godfree Roberts
    @Iris

    Very useful. Many thanks!

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    A short interview of Dr Peter Forster on his findings by Dr Yuan, a chemical physicist of The University of Science and Technology of China:

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ge33OP-8rU4&feature=youtu.be

    • Thanks: Godfree Roberts, Erebus
  • “Merit-based immigration” is seen as the gold standard of immigration reform by many Republicans and conservative policy wonks. But it could lead to their political ruin. We already have a clear window into what a merit-based policy could bring to the political landscape: look at the Indian colonization of Seattle’s Eastside—the area across Lake Washington...
  • @TT
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, im betting on you this time although im a usual supporter of Daniel.

    Thorfinnson may be borned in Sweden & grown up in West, with very westernized thinking. But his blood is still very Indian. No white sing in tune with Thomm like this, only another Indian.

    But he is quite ok without abusing others, with better knowledge. Still it will lend more credential to his words if he could just be forthright about his Indian race.

    Indian tribalism is obvious, facts don't count much. Chinese will quibble over disagreeable facts. Daniel is the Chinese party whip here... hehehehe.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Well done!

    Chieh came to scene here a couple of years ago, likely also in Amren and Stormfront, still too green to identify snake oil charlatans straight way, so Panda can understand, whereas that “anon” (a Chinese mainland commenter if Panda is correct) has been honing his skills arguing with Indian “Mike”s in blogospace for so many years… surely Panda recognises his old style in other forums. So that’s not a fair fight, Panda’s bad! LOL


    But he is quite ok without abusing others, with better knowledge. Still it will lend more credential to his words if he could just be forthright about his Indian race.

    That’s not issue here. lol. Allow Panda introduce the devil in some, but not all, details to let you get a hang of it:

    1. Not that subtle yet always repeatedly deliberate misleading by twisting fixed keywords in order to justify a concept/s that constantly beg for racial acceptance by the Whiteys is one of the major hallmarks of Indian “Mike”s and “Larrson”s in blogospace.


    If you are White, you don’t constantly look for acceptance by White, do you, unless you are not white but pretend to be one. Simple & straight.

    And If someone tells that [email protected] is not East Asian. Panda doesn’t get angry unlike when they’re called non-White, unless you are not white to start with of course. Also simple ?

    2. They like to do so with long posts on the same talking points again, and again, and again, enjoying the kicks that the points they twisted must be so smooth that no one would take notice.

    Who said that “Argumentative Indian” is not a good n old specific cultural trait?

    3. Of course they sound logical and furious in their own right, because that’s the norm in their standard operating environment. They’re used to it, asthe average Joes in that environment don’t have the mental power to expose them. Yet for the right side of the bell curve particularly armed by some experiences, who in his right mind wouldn’t think that they sound somewhat “funny”?

    Since Panda is used to East Asian IQ 105 environment, that’s why by simple deduction their habitual operating environment must have IQ <100 till 80s, depending on when they immigrated to the West, or still posting from their country of origin.

    And no prize to guess from where exactly they come from, since non-Western IQ 80s countries that boost quite large online populations who are quite argumentative on any India or China related topics are extremely limited.

    Hence Panda coined the phenominon as "IQ 90 Indian Mikes" years ago. It's not black magic after all. LOL

    • Replies: @Anon
    @PandaAtWar


    whereas that “anon” (a Chinese mainland commenter if Panda is correct) has been honing his skills arguing with Indian “Mike”s in blogospace for so many years… surely Panda recognises his old style in other forums. So that’s not a fair fight, Panda’s bad! LOL
     
    If you refer to anon
    https://www.unz.com/article/colonization-by-indian-leftists-the-downside-of-merit-based-immigration/#comment-2298684,

    then you are wrong. I know who is he, you don't. But i know Panda, he is not friendly cute as his deceitful handle shown, he bites.

    Thorfinnson & Thomm are too obvious Bollywood stars dancing & hiding around trees, singing Hindi songs selling Gujarat snake oil. Thorfinnson is higher class Indian grown up in West, but Thomm may be one of later arrived illegal, gd at smooth talking but get all facts miserably wrong.

  • @Thorfinnsson
    @PandaAtWar

    I second Daniel Chieh.

    You're a goddamn moron.

    At least the flood of anonymous commenters have probably never been here before.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    LMAO

    Truth hurts that much, eh?

  • @Daniel Chieh
    @PandaAtWar

    Congratulations, I always thought that you had issues but you've just become the best argument against all Chinese having >100 IQ. Things you could do:

    1) Click on Thorfinnsson's name
    2) Notice the lack of "revert" or "do the needful."
    3) Also note pretty extensive and semi-exhaustive list of opinions on everything

    Its pretty un-Indian to put it lightly.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Chill out, tiger. When [email protected] was exposing all those online “Thorfinnsson”s in the era soon after Yahoo was just invented, you probably hadn’t graduated from primary school yet…

    It’s obvious to Panda that “Anon” from post 385 has years (likely 10 years or beyond in other forums?) of experiences dealing with online fake Indian account contents & their quite unique way of reasoning- Panda used to make fun of it as “IQ 90 logic” in 2005 or so. It’s as unique as finger prints.

    How about you?

    • Replies: @Thorfinnsson
    @PandaAtWar

    I second Daniel Chieh.

    You're a goddamn moron.

    At least the flood of anonymous commenters have probably never been here before.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    , @TT
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, im betting on you this time although im a usual supporter of Daniel.

    Thorfinnson may be borned in Sweden & grown up in West, with very westernized thinking. But his blood is still very Indian. No white sing in tune with Thomm like this, only another Indian.

    But he is quite ok without abusing others, with better knowledge. Still it will lend more credential to his words if he could just be forthright about his Indian race.

    Indian tribalism is obvious, facts don't count much. Chinese will quibble over disagreeable facts. Daniel is the Chinese party whip here... hehehehe.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @Anon
    Now we have a group of Indians trolling everyone to forbid us a meaningful discussion.

    Look at how Thomm, Thorfinnson, Dagon Shield are singing in tune of Indian Bollywood songs, dancing & hiding around bushes among themselves, attacking anyone who don't agree Indian is great.

    Thomm - shameless lying fake white. Appear in every indian topic to spew fake data, trolling whites as WN thresh using wiggle.

    Thorfinnson - shameless lying fake Swedish, his father might be a sepoy trained in Sweden military to fight for European. Read what he got to say.


    I declined to attend a friend’s son’s wedding because he is marrying an Indian girl.

    It’s worth remembering when assessing Indians that they are our very, very distant cousins–especially the higher castes and fairer ones.

    I think we can assimilate the Indians very well provided further immigration from India is largely cut off.
     
    Dagon Shield - India pitbull biting everyone 7/24

    M. Thomas - liar of the day

    Why are most of them Indian? Because India provides free higher education for students who qualify.
     
    South Asian - True Indian,

    We are already here, and there is nothing you can do about it.
     
    Mike. P - Indian

    Red pill indian - Indian

    Rec4 - Indian

    Manoj - Indian

    Some Anonymous

    Replies: @Dagon Shield, @PandaAtWar

    Lol, this got to be the Post of the Thread!

    Panda had been watching the thread with a great amusement to see who would be the first smart guy who could come up with this “Comprehensive Indian Commenter Guide on Unz Review”. Congrats! ROFL

    To be frank, from the very start Panda had been eagerly expecting the appearance of Recman4 and his legendary acclaim that” high caste Indians have avg IQ of > 110″ , which has a long & distinguished history in internet. It was amongst the first dumb internet myths that Panda debunked more than a decade ago… but that’s ok.

    What is unusual this time to Panda, however, is the appearance of this hilarious “Thorfinnson” Indian, who, naturally, immediately jumped in reasserting that iq 110 dumb myth among other things…

    … sorry “Thorsfinnson”, but game over right there! LMAO, a pretty solid overall IQ 90 show nonetheless. Good luck next time with “Larsson” or “McDonald” perhaps?

    • Replies: @Daniel Chieh
    @PandaAtWar

    Congratulations, I always thought that you had issues but you've just become the best argument against all Chinese having >100 IQ. Things you could do:

    1) Click on Thorfinnsson's name
    2) Notice the lack of "revert" or "do the needful."
    3) Also note pretty extensive and semi-exhaustive list of opinions on everything

    Its pretty un-Indian to put it lightly.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • As someone who’s been following HBD for the past 10 plus years or so, I’ve simultaneously been amused and enlightened by the passionate feelings the topic often engenders. The general conceit of the HBD crowd is that they possess deep insight into a body of scientific truth opening up new avenues of understanding entirely shut...
  • @TT
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, have you ever heard of human alive without brain? So even brain doesn't matter.

    Once a Cambridge uni physicist told me, during world wars, there were records that when soldiers scalp were blasted open, some actually has no brain inside.

    Today, there are still cases people alive without brain, they live normally but only found out when they had inspection in hospital.

    Some recorded cases: a french man, some kids, baby, a china lady,... there are still many unrecorded cases.

    http://mysteriousuniverse.org/2017/07/miraculous-cases-of-people-who-lived-without-a-brain/

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-3293259/Baby-born-without-brain-amazes-doctors-celebrating-second-birthday-says-Mummy-time.html

    In Buddhism, its explained that our mind is immaterial. Its a immaterial consciousness that rely on some blood in bottom of our heart to exist. So when a heart is dead, the body will turn cold & this mind also ceased thus dead, nothing to do with brain. Brain is only considered as marrow.

    So a brain dead person can still stay alive, and revive, one famous example is China Phoenix TV presenter after train crashed was pronounced brain dead in UK, but fully revived in China using TCM. Actually brain dead people still can think, but can't physically express. So when family talk to them, sometimes their tears drop.

    One example to illustrate our mind actually reside in our heart & not brain is: when you feel very sad or happy, do you feel that in your heart area or head? Try.

    Since ancient time, people already used the word heart, 心 , to illustrate their feeling & thought 思想,感情,心思, 开心. Sweet heart, broken heart 心碎, etc. Never brain. So don't draw a brain in your love letter.

    Even ancient TCM if you read, it clearly explained our soul 魂魄 is inside our heart. But latest Chinese physicians been corrupted by West medicine, are twisting TCM text now to said its brain that think.

    If you interested to know more how our mind & body really function, then read Buddhism Abhidhamma.

    https://www.google.com.mm/url?q=http://www.buddhanet.net/pdf_file/abhidhamma.pdf&sa=U&ved=2ahUKEwij0PP9mufZAhVGj5QKHZpKDvIQFjAAegQICRAB&usg=AOvVaw0NMS-qtezWrxFT4mQ87Z0E

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Talha

    So size of hearts as well? Definitely! Thanks for the links, but before you get completely carried away by Abhidhamma metaphysics, use your heart to think what’s the ultimate to measure? Size of balls? Brain dead or not, no balls, no glory, thus no Buddha, as they say.

    • Replies: @TT
    @PandaAtWar

    I only wish to point out a medical evidence that most won't aware of, brain doesn't even need to exist for human to live normally.

    Immateriality can't be measured by materiality unit. But as you prefer to use balls to think, which must be rather large as truck wheel size consider your high intelligence, its meaningless to waste time continue any discussion.

    Abhidhamma was originated in India Buddhism more than 2500 BC ago, and its profundity is still beyond any existing theory that could explain mind & matter completely in the most scientific way.

  • @bjondo
    @PandaAtWar

    But they can build one. Not so Einstein nor Sam Harris. Nor R. Feynmann. Nor can the 'genius' folks who come up with these IQ tests.

    Replies: @bjondo, @PandaAtWar

    Yep, Panda can munch bamboo, too, creatively tie them up in lovely bundles with only back teeth, before devouring them with voracious speed and vigour. Can any big IQ genius do that? What’s your point?

    • Replies: @bjondo
    @PandaAtWar

    If you would read instead of munching bamboo and yammering, you would know my point.

    Panda middling IQ.

  • @Santoculto
    Masculinity expressivity traits among macro-races.

    Affective / psychological: Self esteem and dominance[or not so]

    ON AVERAGE

    African Blacks

    Cognitive: Non-verbal / spatial and quantitative

    ON AVERAGE

    East Asians

    Demographic: Psychological variation ['' typically masculine ''] ...

    ON AVERAGE

    White europeans

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Masculinity expressivity traits among macro-races.
    Affective / psychological: Self esteem and dominance[or not so]
    ON AVERAGE

    Nonsense.

    The “masculinity expressivity” African Black appear to show in the Western societies is under the sheer goodwill, self-guilt and self-restrain by other civilised major races. In other words, it is indeed mostly based on a sense of pity by others to be honest. They will shrink to their so-called “self-esteem” & “dominance” once seriously confronted or challenged after the leftover goodwill and/or patience wane off.

    BTW, the real meaning of Human Masculinity are way beyond the simple degree of violence shown and defined in the wild animal world. e.g. An 80-year-old softy Tai-ji practitioner may exhibit Masculinity in many more perspectives , both range and depth, than a heavyweight mad cow.

    Furthermore, the psychological concept and testing of so-called “self-esteem” is severely flawed at some point. It is so retardedly defined in the academic world that starts to annoy Panda. The concept is tested rather on a illusion more often than not. hence it’s better termed as “false self-esteem” in this case.

    • Replies: @Santoculto
    @PandaAtWar

    [... or not so...]

    Higher self-esteem is indisputably higher among blacks, on very avg.


    BTW, the real meaning of Human Masculinity are way beyond the simple degree of violence shown and defined in the wild animal world. e.g. An 80-year-old softy Tai-ji practitioner may exhibit Masculinity in many more perspectives , both range and depth, than a heavyweight mad cow.
     
    Strawman, i never said masculinity is only based on agressivity levels BUT it's doesn't mean masculinity don't correlate substantially with it, and it does.

    And i showed another aspects of masculinity, cognitive and demographic in my comment.


    Furthermore, the psychological concept and testing of so-called “self-esteem” is severely flawed at some point. It is so retardedly defined in the academic world that starts to annoy Panda. The concept is tested rather on a illusion more often than not. hence it’s better termed as “false self-esteem” in this case.
     
    Ok, define it...

    Self-esteem is basically or primarily ''non-dependant narcisism'', people who love themselves regardless people thoughts or appearance, the primary self-love some people have in intense ways.

    And self esteem is often related with extroversion and blacks are one of the most extroverted human populations..

    It's more retarded talk agressively about self-esteem concept, such a easy one.

  • @Factorize
    @res

    Thank you for the link!

    I was not sure whether China was one of those nations that officially subscribed to a non-psychometric world view.

    Do you have a link for what genetic changes might have pushed humanity to behavioral modernity 50,000 years ago. I am actually more in favor of a demographic perspective in which population density created psychometrically enhanced humans. Yet, as seen by the many disappearances of these early Paleolithic communities, such an effect was highly unstable.

    I am sure that you are aware of the Holocene article that discussed a more powerful genetic effect that occurred about 10,000 years ago. That would probably be about the time that the Asian g edge and M/V tilt emerged.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    I am sure that you are aware of the Holocene article that discussed a more powerful genetic effect that occurred about 10,000 years ago. That would probably be about the time that the Asian g edge and M/V tilt emerged.

    The only reason Panda could think of : it’s probably due to the Anunnakis or their peer competitors at a time.

    The key of g is brain size!

    The extra cubics of ultra expansive grey matters won’t be there for nothing, which bring a big present & clear un-answered question by all the IQ-researchers:

    What’s the average brain size of Ashkenazi Jews (and, the Jews in general)?

    In light of above, perhaps the seemingly Maths/Verbal split ( as Yan Shen talks about here) is also just a feel-good illusion.

    • Replies: @TT
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, have you ever heard of human alive without brain? So even brain doesn't matter.

    Once a Cambridge uni physicist told me, during world wars, there were records that when soldiers scalp were blasted open, some actually has no brain inside.

    Today, there are still cases people alive without brain, they live normally but only found out when they had inspection in hospital.

    Some recorded cases: a french man, some kids, baby, a china lady,... there are still many unrecorded cases.

    http://mysteriousuniverse.org/2017/07/miraculous-cases-of-people-who-lived-without-a-brain/

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/femail/article-3293259/Baby-born-without-brain-amazes-doctors-celebrating-second-birthday-says-Mummy-time.html

    In Buddhism, its explained that our mind is immaterial. Its a immaterial consciousness that rely on some blood in bottom of our heart to exist. So when a heart is dead, the body will turn cold & this mind also ceased thus dead, nothing to do with brain. Brain is only considered as marrow.

    So a brain dead person can still stay alive, and revive, one famous example is China Phoenix TV presenter after train crashed was pronounced brain dead in UK, but fully revived in China using TCM. Actually brain dead people still can think, but can't physically express. So when family talk to them, sometimes their tears drop.

    One example to illustrate our mind actually reside in our heart & not brain is: when you feel very sad or happy, do you feel that in your heart area or head? Try.

    Since ancient time, people already used the word heart, 心 , to illustrate their feeling & thought 思想,感情,心思, 开心. Sweet heart, broken heart 心碎, etc. Never brain. So don't draw a brain in your love letter.

    Even ancient TCM if you read, it clearly explained our soul 魂魄 is inside our heart. But latest Chinese physicians been corrupted by West medicine, are twisting TCM text now to said its brain that think.

    If you interested to know more how our mind & body really function, then read Buddhism Abhidhamma.

    https://www.google.com.mm/url?q=http://www.buddhanet.net/pdf_file/abhidhamma.pdf&sa=U&ved=2ahUKEwij0PP9mufZAhVGj5QKHZpKDvIQFjAAegQICRAB&usg=AOvVaw0NMS-qtezWrxFT4mQ87Z0E

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Talha

    , @Factorize
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, this is an astonishing idea that it could have been partially caused by Neanderthal introgression.
    As we left Africa, we immediately encountered Neanderthals that were at least half a million years genetically removed from humans and could transfer the genetic variants that helped them survive in the Europe. This is science to keep an eye on. How much of an IQ boost might they have been able to give us?

  • @Factorize
    @res

    res, thank you!

    I do not like bothering people to do my homework, though I was unclear about these contour plots.
    I am not sure why they were not explained somewhere in the article. There does not even seem to be a legend for what the colors mean. Yet, as you noted the basic interpretation that the red colored area corresponds to high Edu in East Asians and height in Europeans appeals to intuition.

    Thank you also for the url for the human family tree. I had not realized how genetically distant Aboriginal Australians and those from New Guinea were from the other branches of humanity.
    They are almost as distinct as those from Africa. Do you have a similar tree that has years on the vertical axis?

    I also followed the link to pubmed article that mentioned the SNP IQ result. When you read the comments in context, it is difficult to label this as a rebuttal. I noticed that the height article that you linked earlier and used a similar method as the IQ paper, had a very negative peer review comment. Even still as a back of envelope calculation I am not sure that there is actually a flaw in the approach.

    The 10,000 Year Explosion was a great book. I had not been fully aware of the possibility that the divide in humans might not be so much about race as species. Much of the commentary on this forum has been devoted to highlighting differences between races. Yet, there would seem to be a fair amount of merit to the position put forward by others that the time scale of human evolution is simply not sufficient for races to have acquired meaningful differentiation. However, the idea that we could be separated more by the introgression of different hominid lines into humans than by race changes the conversation.

    Could the social justice community really believe that neanderthal-European-East Asian hybrids are likely to cognitively similar to those without such an introgression?


    res, IQ and intelligence is such an exciting topic to be watching right now. This is the center of the universe! At previous times in my life I might have dozed off during the odd genetics or anthropology lecture. It seemed like so much butterfly catching. However, now this is so alive.

    The wealth creation potential that is on the table is massive! Finding the variants for IQ and selecting for them will be this huge huge moment for humanity. China could publish a 200,000 GWAS for IQ and the total genetic unlock could be within sight. It makes no sense that this is not now considered an urgent global priority. The return on investment is too large to delay.

    Even still the Genetics Revolution has already Begun! I have been surfing around the net and there are companies already marketing these products. Informed people are no
    longer kicking the tires anymore. The race has started. This is obvious to those of high g; I wish that those who might be a step behind do not think that they can take a nap. A step behind will quickly become a light year behind.

    The entire notion that natural reproduction is how babies are made needs to be completely rethought. The birds and the bees need to be retired. We are now at the start of a centuries long
    journey where reproduction will only occur in a lab. With polygenics, there will need to be substantial genetic technology used.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    …Finding the variants for IQ and selecting for them will be this huge huge moment for humanity. China could publish a 200,000 GWAS for IQ and the total genetic unlock could be within sight…

    Not so optimistic…

    a human brain is the most complicated machine on planet earth. Don’t think 200,000 GWAS will cut it. Plus, the potential genetic side-effects ought to be, if not equally, enormous, as there is after all no free lunch in either intelligent design or evolution.

  • @bjondo
    @Joe Webb

    What IQ needed to invent boomerang?

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Take a hike.

    It was behind the IQ of pre-dynastic Egyptian civilisation/s.

    Australian aboriginals still can’t figure out the aerodynamics of a stream of piss, let alone a boomerang.

    • Replies: @bjondo
    @PandaAtWar

    But they can build one. Not so Einstein nor Sam Harris. Nor R. Feynmann. Nor can the 'genius' folks who come up with these IQ tests.

    Replies: @bjondo, @PandaAtWar

  • @Thought Criminal
    There are some caveats to this:

    1. Not all parts of technology are equally complex. In sectors like aerospace, East Asia has lagged behind. Again, the design problems, analytical models for design, and materials engineering, metrology, for military and space equipment (like avionics, sensors, composite materials, optics, electronics) is much more advanced than the rest put together. The USA, Russia, Israel and so on lead in these areas. It is much more complex than consumer gadgets, and it requires larger single obstacles. Single large technology innovations, like entirely new capabilities or layers of offense/defense (hypersonic munitions, radar, acoustics) were and are all made in the West or Russia. Although China might pull ahead here in the future, its strong areas are still different.

    2. Not all scientific areas are equally complex or difficult. Namely, there (almost) aren’t any East Asian research contributions to pure math or theoretical physics, while you have plenty of these from the West. (See: Fields Medal recipients.) In fact, East Asians couldn’t even “invent the wheel” mathematically for thousands of years. They didn’t come up with basic notation, basic proofs, or anything. What they did have was stolen from India. No major scientific discovery was ever made in East Asia in modern times. It’s also a myth that more advanced pure mathematics is based on just mathematical intelligence (which at the simple levels is 'formal' instead of topological or abstract); in fact verbal methods, spatial methods, are also commonly used in discovery. (G. Polya thought ‘verbally’, Poincare thought ‘poetically’, and most thought not symbolically but used ‘soft’ visualization; see the book by Hadamard on the "psychology of invention", of visualization by research mathematicians.)

    3. East Asians aren’t inferior in literature, poetry, philosophy, etc. This is just a stereotype, since they have their own logographic languages. China has a long tradition of philosophy that uses verbal reasoning, but it consists in constructing complicated and abstract qualities (and how one quality transforms to its opposite, in Zen Buddhism), not complex objects. China still has “philosophers” comparable to those in the West, see Xiong Shili “New Treatise on the Uniqueness of Consciousness” recently translated to English. It’s a myth that China doesn’t have philosophy or complex conceptualizations: it does. And furthermore, the Chinese theories are also fruitful technologically (Yin-Yang thinking also used in martial arts, strategy, medicine). Also, the four vernacular novels of China were also strategic treatises (like Romance of the Three Kingdoms), and philosophical treatises on Yin-Yang progressions. Also see the work of François Jullien and Roger T. Ames on Chinese philosophy, philology and semiotics, including figures like Wang Bi. China invented a larger range of 'secondary languages' on top of natural language (while the West merely attempted it, e.g. the languages of Wilkins, Dalgarno, Leibniz). The West invented the single most rigorous language (formal mathematics).

    4. China has been superior not in science, but in pre-scientific experimentation, and China was extremely deep in developing entire language (based on Yin-Yang progressions) for heuristics. Say, Traditional Chinese Medicine still is the source for many discoveries, like the ‘Gilenya’ drug (FDA approved). The single largest Chinese advances — such as gunpowder without chemistry, the magnetic compass, earthquake prediction machines, medical advances — are based on highly complex verbal models, like the Yin-Yang system. Some Western mathematicians (like Grothendieck) find Yin-Yang thinking highly relevant for developing heuristics, since this converts the question of invention into a question of ‘where’, in predicting where the same kind of quality or aspect should be injected at which stage. Pre-scientific experimentation is still just as relevant as science: heat engines were built before thermodynamics, airplanes before aerodynamics, the 'enigma of the aerofoil', computers before computer science, and so on.

    Replies: @UnzReader, @PandaAtWar, @Bardon Kaldian, @myself

    Many sound points made there.

    Some examples you raise, however, are not entirely true:

    Current state-of-art semicon technologies inside consumer gadgets like some top smartphones don’t loss a bit in their sophistications to any defence tech. Rather, most high end defence tech are rooted on these very semicon tech.

    Aerospace is a money-devouring-machine. One of the major reasons, if not the most deciding reason, why US/RUSSIA are far ahead in aerospace is due to 50-years-cold war accumulation of IMMENSE military budgets, R&D personnel and their forced hands-on experiences competing for life-or-death dominance , which neither China nor Japan had. Panda read somewhere that China’s entire national budget for aerospace engine research & production, both tech, material & personnel cost, for the period from 1950s to 1980s were like meagerly 3 million dollars equivalent, which was less than the annual salary expenditure of a small US defence lab… If you add up fruits of earlier industrialisation foundation, US/UK/Japan/Germany were at least 100 years ahead of China in so many fields even at the 1980s…

    • Replies: @JJ
    @PandaAtWar

    I agree on the aerospace analysis. Besides aerospace, to produce meaningful results most R&D is essentially a game of burning money plus accumulated experience/data from past trial and error (that also demands real money).The US economy relies heavily on seignoiorage from the dollar hegemony, but as the national debts grow, its previous model of depending on extravagant government funds and grants in R&D development has become difficult to go on. For example, in order to verify some basic data of a certain composite material US labs would conduct thousands of experiments, whereas china could achieve the same result by dozen times.

    Many people imagine high-tech as something hidden in the lab or like alien tech. They simply ignore the fact that those lab techs are meaningful only if they are accessible to people. If smart phones could be made better yet cheaper, i'd say that's tremendous high-tech.

  • In 1980 Deng Xiaoping set 2020 as the completion date for his Reform and Opening program–a 40-year overhaul of China’s economy. On June 1, 2021 President Xi will announce that all Deng’s goals have been reached and a basic xiaokang society established: no one is poor and everyone receives an education, has paid employment, more...
  • @Polish Perspective
    What I like most about Xi Jinping is apparent love of the people. Then again, it appears to be an East Asian trait in general to have leaders behave somewhat modestly. The Japanese are famous for this. China's extreme inequality surely is grating at Xi's conception of a harmonious society. I suppose that is one area, after corruption, where he will focus next, if he isn't already.

    One criticism of Xi that hasn't been articulated yet is his apparent re-nationalisation of the Chinese economy. Zhu Rongji, who I regard as the single most gifted Chinese reformer of the past few decades, did yeoman's work in the late 1990s to clean up the bloated SOE sector which freed up tremendous resources. It also meant laying off tens of millions of people, in a very politically risky move. The result was that the Chinese economy could truly take advantage of its WTO entrance in 2001.

    Xi has changed tack. He has deepened SOE involvement. His "reforms" has mostly mean consolidation, some vague attempts at "efficiency" and infusion of equity into these SOEs without fixing their underlying inefficiency. This matters to him because he wants political control. It is not good for the economy, though, since these zombie firms clog up the credit stream which could otherwise go to healthy private sector companies.

    We're not talking about small numbers here. China's total non-financial debt is at 160% of GDP, higher than most advanced countries. Victor Shih estimates that China's total debt to GDP(public+private) is well over 320%, again higher than most advanced countries for a country at 1/4th or 1/5th the per capita income level.

    China's credit measure, called "Total Social Financing" has been growing faster than nominal GDP for a period of years now, resulting in rapid leveraging of the economy in further debt. 2017 was an outlier in that it seemed to stay still, but it did not decline and the IMF is forecasting this to continue.

    Xi's response during the 2015 stockmarket meltdown was also bizarre. He essentially instructed the central bank to take several hundreds of billions of hard-won reserves and pump it into the casino called the Shanghai stock exchange. You're supposed to save reserves for a rainy day for the economy, not the stock market, which is not the same as the economy. Yet it appeared that the "loss of face" prospect was too great for him to bear. Nobody naturally dared to stand up and point out the folly.

    I like Xi, I like his instincts, but he is not exactly an economic manager. His premier, Mr Li, is one but he is shunted aside, at least if we judge the Chinese government by what it does and not what it says. China's immense size and population will guarantee it a place among the stars. In many ways, it is already there. But the massive leveraging of its economy, it's inability to deal decisively with the zombie firms like Mr. Rongji had done, does raise worrying signs for the 2020s.

    I would be the first to celebrate if China became the undisputed world leader by the 2020s, but any realistic assessment of their economy must acknowledge the flashing warning signs that are slowing but surely building up. Once an economy becomes saturated with debt, it is very hard to get out of it. Just look at Japan. I'm less concerned of a big bang for China than a slow burn.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @luba

    Without unleashing China’s ultra high IQ intellectual elites who can and will start a new wave of Chinese Renaissance like what European Renaissance did to Europe, China will not become the undisputed world leader by the 2020s or 2030s or 40s.

    To become the undisputed world leader, one needs, above all, to have a very uniquely attractive culture and value system for others to model. Without China’s intellectual elites in the driving seat to rejunvenate the real traditional Han culture and carry out deep reforms in national education and industrial revolutions, current China is in no position to be that. Japan is not comparison here, as Japan historically has always been an excellent imitator (copy Han China in pre-industrial revolution, copy Europe in Industrial Revolution), not innovator particularly on a civilisational level.

    Xi unfortunately, like his CCP predecessors, have held back the bulk of China’s intellectual elites through varies polices till this day… We’ll see.

    • Replies: @Daniel Chieh
    @PandaAtWar


    China will not become the undisputed world leader by the 2020s or 2030s or 40s.
     
    Why is this necessary or even desirable?

    As the economic center, it just needs to offer an overall better life for its citizens versus much of the world and the positive externalities work out from there. The foundations and challenges are both there, but overall the weight of positives do indicate that this will be sustainable and accomplish a high living standard by 2030.

    Grandstanding the world seems rather pointless and may lead into the most unproductive use of capital of all: war.
    , @kauchai
    @PandaAtWar

    The Chinese Renaissance has already started 40 years ago.

    Chinese science is blazing the trail in quantum communications and computing, semi-conductor based super-computing, new materials, gene therapy, fintech with crack proof facial recognition (unlike the iPhone garden variety), internet commerce, new energy vehicles, etc. Chinese manufacturing prowess already dominates solar power, wind power, thermal power, hydro power and soon to come, methane ice or natural gas hydrate will be mined commercially. Chinese nuclear power generation technology (Hualong I) is being implemented in Pakistan and China as we speak and soon in England and Argentina.

    Where is the empire when china (a third world country with NO DEMOCRACY and NO HUMAN RIGHTS) is leading humanity towards a cleaner and brighter future? (Oh, sorry, its AMERICA FIRST, LOL!)

    Chinese methods of teaching math is being replicated all over the world, even in one of the most revered cauldrons of education, the UK.

    Chinese UCAVs are being used in Iraq, Iran, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Syria to fight ISIS, Al-qaeda, DAESH and whatever names they happened to morph themselves into at the moment with deadly accuracy. Chinese submarines are in or will be in service with the navies of Bangladesh, Pakistan, and Thailand, and more countries are coming on-board. Just ask the israelis how many of their gunboats were sunk by the hezbollahs using chinese anti-ship missiles that were one or two generations older.

    China has already unleashed its "ultra high intellectual elites" and the world can expect more goodies from china in the future. Whether or not china can become the "undisputed world leader" in 20 or 30 years times is not an aspiration of the chinese people nor its leadership. They only aspire to be a "moderately prosperous society by 2020" and " a strong and prosperous country" by 2049. Nowhere in this have they mentioned "undisputed world leader" by "regime change"," color revolutions", "economic sanctions", "if you are not with us, you are against us", "pre-emptive strikes", etc, etc.

    Why? Because china does not have DEMOCRACY, HUMAN RIGHTS and UNIVERSAL SUFFRAGE bullshit to deliver.

    Replies: @TT

  • @Bliss
    @TT


    But still ave IQ & PISA is brought down significantly by them. . Recent ave IQ has dropped if you see 10yrs result, South Indians migration increase Indian ratio from 2% to 9%....Majority (80%?) Malays & Indians are less educated, low paid workers, & highest crimes, like blacks in US.
     
    Singapore has the highest IQ and the lowest crime rate with a 25% non-chinese population. Only a stupid and shameless liar would draw the conclusions that you have above.

    How do you explain the fact that with 25% non-chinese Singapore has a lower crime rate and higher IQ than East Asian nations with hardly any muslim malays and hindu indians?

    Show us where you learned that Singaporean IQ has dropped in the last 10 years. And show us where you learned that 10 years ago the population of indians was only 2%.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @denk, @TT, @TT, @TT

    How do you explain the fact that with 25% non-chinese Singapore has a lower crime rate and higher IQ than East Asian nations with hardly any muslim malays and hindu indians?

    “the fact”? Where said that? LOL

    You want to see the crime rate and sheer 3rd-world-alike filth in Singapore? pls visit the neighbourhood called “Little India” there..

    It’s average, mind you, averaged up by 75%-80% Han Chinese, who include some recent Han immigrants with very high IQ (>2sd above Han avg)from mainland China, along with some % of very high IQ elite European/American tax-evading expat immigrants.

  • As someone who’s been following HBD for the past 10 plus years or so, I’ve simultaneously been amused and enlightened by the passionate feelings the topic often engenders. The general conceit of the HBD crowd is that they possess deep insight into a body of scientific truth opening up new avenues of understanding entirely shut...
  • A great piece, Yan Shen!

    Panda’s 2 cents:

    1, Panda too, has been arguing this spatial/verbal split for a while (lol) , and particularly doubting the rationale why they’re valued at 1:1 currently in the total IQ scores since it somehow implies somewhere along the line that it takes the same amount of intelligence & energy (or neurons, their connections, speed, general efficiency… etc, lol) in conducting these two sets of very different mental tasks. Of course some try to solve the issue by correlations/multiple regressions, etc. stats tools, yet given the correlations are not perfect, therefore much room left to dig deeper and explain.

    2, So as you claimed, some people are excel at both spatial part and verbal part, whereas some others excel at spatial & regular at verbal. To the latter group, Panda however suspects it might not be entirely true.

    It’s because one’s brain energy is limited after all. If we assume that people are naturally prone to dedicate more time&energy into where they’re naturally gifted, it’s logical to deduct that some people who have regular verbal scores have actually sacrificed the verbal part by channeling more of their limited time & energy into spatially-related tasks since early-on. So in fact some of them are not necessarily regular at verbal per se at all as measured by the test. For them it’s just a choice, a deliberate or subconscious choice due to brain energy allocation.

    Since it’s likely not an 1:1 intelligence & energy imput relationship between 1 IQ point of spatial and 1 IQ point of verbal (with the spatial tasks consuming more) as Panda intuitively speculates, vís-a-vís it’s much less the case for ones who excel at verbal while scoring average spatial to be actually excel at spatial as well due to the choice.

  • @Buzz Mohawk

    ...virtually every bit of advanced modern-day consumer electronics hardware is manufactured in East Asia.
     
    ... because detail-oriented manufacturing labor is cheap there.

    Perhaps this is one of the reasons "why tech in the United States is skewed towards software, while tech in East Asia is skewed towards hardware."

    Economics and business have helped determine which kinds of talents have grown in East Asia. Intellectual flowers have grown wherever American capital has been showered.

    Maybe someone could, uh, write a long paper about how trade might have skewed development in specific directions.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @ThreeCranes

    …because detail-oriented manufacturing labor is cheap there.

    Nonsense.

    By analysing the detailed value-added turnkey high tech parts along the value chains of the leading electronics brands such as Samsung, Huawei and Apple for instance, you’ll soon realise that it’s by and large an East Asian affair nowadays, and in the forseeable future if you look into where the most cutting-edge technological R&D and breakthroughs are made. Even some “American” contributions here largely contain technologies of East-Asian origin. Probably the only piece of European contribution worth-mentioning in the entire value chain is from Dutch tech giant ASML, which is made possible by several critical German turnkey tech suppliers who are increasingly facing the statue-quo competitions from some deep-pocket East Asian start-ups particularly from China.

  • The Chinese sure can be exasperating. Paul Midler writes in his new book What’s Wrong with China: (Laowai is the common—informal, non-hostile—Chinese term for a foreigner, equivalent to Japanese gaijin. Pronunciation here. During my own China days in the early 1980s the usual expat term for the syndrome under discus
  • @attilathehen
    @Johann Ricke

    China's not going to conquer anything. They have their own internal huge problems to deal with. It is the fastest aging country in the world. They have performed over 400 millions abortions since the 1980s. Xi Jingping's now dictator status is just a reflection of the Chinese character. The masses will accept this and do as told. The Japanese, who are smarter than the Chinese, were supposed to take over the world in the 1980s. The world didn't turn Japanese.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Joe Wong

    “The Japanese, who are smarter than the Chinese, were supposed to take over the world in the 1980s. The world didn’t turn Japanese.”

    Though you don’t sound rational, funny nonetheless.

  • @denk
    @denk

    They've found the root cause of the problem,
    Its the bloody 炒面,!

    hehehehhe

    https://www.indiatoday.in/india/story/khap-rape-chowmein-118852-2012-10-16

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Denk, are you by chance a German-speaker?

    • Replies: @denk
    @PandaAtWar

    I only learned some German words like achtung achtung from those ww2 war comics .

    I kinda like Germans, but....
    What has gotten to Merkel's head ?
    https://newsinfo.inquirer.net/970512/news-angela-merkel-china-balkans-investments-free-trade-new-silk-roads

  • With their brief existence, and dumbed down now by a degraded and warped education, most Americans have a telescoped and cartoony sense of history, so nothing matters, really, beyond the last two or three presidential elections, and each foreign country is represented, at most, by a caricature or two, so Germany is Hitler and Merkel,...
  • What is wrong with UNZ.com?

    What Panda can not stand in the last several years of this forum has been that:

    since it is, or at least was, a self-claimed “open” forum, who the heck you think you are of some self-righterous people labelling different views given by others as “troll”?

    What are these new “function” like “agree”, “disagree”, “troll”…?

    Is UNZ.com becoming a new breed of WMM? How ironic!

    “agree” what? “disagree” what? “troll” what?

    Who are the real troll here?

    Statistically speaking, you should instead feel proud to be “trolled” by larger brained people if you have any friggin intellectual curiosity after all, since at least you might learn something new from the extra 50 cm3 neurons that you’re clearly not born with.

    [email protected]~

    • Replies: @Anon
    @PandaAtWar


    Who are the real troll here?
     

    22pp22 says:
    February 16, 2018 at 12:03 pm GMT
    @Anon
    Trolling Chinese is so easy. Take a chill pill
     
    .

    Self proclaimed anglo troll, deserved some good beatings isn't it?

    Exchange ideas is good, not racist biase nonsense blaming Chinese for Mao's starving and every shit problems of Anglos, with twisted history.

    Chinese had resided in many places well before Anglos arrived. If they don't like Chinese, move on don't whine. But you can hardly find a place without Chinese present, even in Siberia or arctic consider its largest ethnic people.

    At present, total overseas Chinese is only 50M, 3.5% of China population. This is insignificant compare to most migrant countries, especially their present in Western countries is very small. And majority were diaspora of labourer migrants exploited during British colonial time, wars driven, rich economic migrants and intellectuals been purposely targeted by western countries.

    Chinese is not refugees or poor uneducated migrants, but usually of weathy, educated and hardworking, that's why they could do well and contribute much to their host countries with the lowest crimes compare to even majority white Europeans. They certainly don't deserve to be treated with such discrimination.

    Hopefully Xi could further open up dual citizenship for all overseas chinese in near future. Then we can see reversed flow, and let the Anglos whine again for their properties crash and losing economy.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Overseas_Chinese
  • America's greatest strategic mind of global recognition, Alfred Thayer Mahan, in his seminal work The Influence of Sea Power upon History saw the World Ocean and activity in it as the foundation for national greatness and power. The pivot of this greatness was a powerful navy. Through Mahan, the Theory of Navalism reached American elites...
  • @Andrei Martyanov
    @PandaAtWar


    Need a job other than trash-talking
     
    So, if your argumentation reaches this "level" than I would expect you to explain billions of dollars in hardware China buys from Russia.

    http://tass.com/defense/932131

    I am not being facetious, I really am interested. I also cannot find a rational (of course, I can and actually I know some details;-)) explanation of:

    1. Why COMAC C919 hailed as super-pooper aircraft conducted only 3 test flights in 8 months, just for comparison--MC-21 in 7 months concluded 33 flights and is going into production in 2018. Is this a reasonable question?
    2. Please explain, why China went into the JV with Russia on CR-929? Hey, China, if to read some local commenters, and some Chinese media is about to land man on Mars and is about to surpass everyone in everything there is good and nice in this universe?

    Isn't it reasonable to ask questions? Isn't it reasonable to ask a question why today Chinese Military Attache in Moscow calls on Moscow "to together counter Washington's pressure". In Russian:

    https://ria.ru/world/20180122/1513063057.html?referrer_block=index_most_popular_1

    It is rather peculiar how asking very reasonable, nay highly warranted, questions creates such a reaction from some Chinese commenters. I will omit here in general anything related to weapon systems in depth.

    P.S. As per washing machines, even in Soviet times there were several major plants producing all kinds of appliances opened in Soviet Union, including those proverbial washing machines, such as Vyatka, which were of Italian origin. So, there are many Europeans who played a role in developing those technological cycles together with Russians. A normal international practice. Now, if you want to tell me that washing machines and modern Netcentric Warfare are things of comparable complexity, I will be really fascinated;-)

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    But don’t get Panda wrong, my man. Panda has never overestimated your raw charm of intellectual inferiority complex (along with that of your Sergey, Utu, and Canspeccy pals here). Indeed you’re all quite entertaining to say the least. 🙂

    • Replies: @Ilyana_Rozumova
    @PandaAtWar

    Yes and no.
    But it certainly has a great camouflage value.

  • @Andrei Martyanov
    @Vidi


    But China would likely have caught up anyway, with or without U.S. help, because technology spreads rapidly.
     
    Making refrigerators and TVs? Sure. Dual use and purely military ones--good luck "spreading" them, this is precisely the field in which China lags. Again, count how many times COMAC C919 flew since May 1, 2017? This, mind you, while flying on US-French LEAP engines. Three flights.

    So even with no help, China would have caught up eventually.
     
    I doubt it very much.

    Replies: @Vidi, @PandaAtWar

    “Making refrigerators and TVs? Sure. …”

    Sure. http://en.yibada.com/articles/129358/20160606/haier-haier-russian-plant-haier-refrigerator-plant-haier-refrigerators.htm

    China’s Haier Invests $55 Million in Russian Refrigerator Plant …Aside from the refrigerator factory, Haier has also begun setting up a TV assembly unit and an R&D center in Russia.

    Need a job other than trash-talking, Andrei? Panda may introduce one to you, for free, if you ask nicely. 🙂

    • Replies: @Andrei Martyanov
    @PandaAtWar


    Need a job other than trash-talking
     
    So, if your argumentation reaches this "level" than I would expect you to explain billions of dollars in hardware China buys from Russia.

    http://tass.com/defense/932131

    I am not being facetious, I really am interested. I also cannot find a rational (of course, I can and actually I know some details;-)) explanation of:

    1. Why COMAC C919 hailed as super-pooper aircraft conducted only 3 test flights in 8 months, just for comparison--MC-21 in 7 months concluded 33 flights and is going into production in 2018. Is this a reasonable question?
    2. Please explain, why China went into the JV with Russia on CR-929? Hey, China, if to read some local commenters, and some Chinese media is about to land man on Mars and is about to surpass everyone in everything there is good and nice in this universe?

    Isn't it reasonable to ask questions? Isn't it reasonable to ask a question why today Chinese Military Attache in Moscow calls on Moscow "to together counter Washington's pressure". In Russian:

    https://ria.ru/world/20180122/1513063057.html?referrer_block=index_most_popular_1

    It is rather peculiar how asking very reasonable, nay highly warranted, questions creates such a reaction from some Chinese commenters. I will omit here in general anything related to weapon systems in depth.

    P.S. As per washing machines, even in Soviet times there were several major plants producing all kinds of appliances opened in Soviet Union, including those proverbial washing machines, such as Vyatka, which were of Italian origin. So, there are many Europeans who played a role in developing those technological cycles together with Russians. A normal international practice. Now, if you want to tell me that washing machines and modern Netcentric Warfare are things of comparable complexity, I will be really fascinated;-)

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • Last week, I ventured some remarks about the Justice Department case against Harvard University for discriminating against Asian Americans. This brought in a surprising number of emails. I’ll take just two main points: First main point raised by readers: Import an overclass? We already did that! Listeners who made this point were referring of course...
  • @Anonymous
    @PandaAtWar

    Multiple sources. Here's one:

    https://psychology-spot.com/did-you-know-that-intelligence-is/

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    A group of scientists just identified 40 new genes linked to intelligence in 2017 bringing the total to 52, and very likely more to come as we go forward. (https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/may/22/scientists-uncover-40-genes-iq-einstein-genius)

    Yet the experiment was conducted in 1984, according to your link, when they claimed that “intelligence genes are located on chromosome X.”

    Are these 2 groups of scientists live in parallel universes, Panda wonders.

    And “Children’s intelligence has nothing to do with fathers” is a great news for the black males, yay!

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @PandaAtWar

    Haha. The "X chromosome" activists will continue peddling their wares regardless. The truth bring less "likes" than a feel-good narrative.

  • @rec1man
    @Anonymous

    Fair skin co-relates with upper caste a lot

    Indian men want someone like a bollywood star, who is much fairer than typical Indian

    https://pbs.twimg.com/media/CsvXI5OUkAE_vZ_.jpg

    Speaks english = went to english medium school ( top 5% of India )

    Replies: @Truth, @PandaAtWar

    Too bad, that a handful of bollywood female stars can’t meet the demand of 0.6 billion Indian men, can they?

    BTW, do those H1B visa holders speak English?

    If they happen do = they went to english medium school =top 5% of India, right?

    • Replies: @rec1man
    @PandaAtWar

    Most of the H1B are Telugu, did not go to English medium school
    - often use fake resume

  • @Anonymous
    Regarding the regression to the mean, it's not always true. My IQ is in the 140's. I have one son whose IQ is in the 160's, another whose IQ is in the 130's. My husband's IQ is around 120.

    Recent studies have found that the intelligence genes only occur in the X chromosome. Since boys only have 1 X chromosome, which they get from their moms, it means boys get their intelligence from their moms, not their dads. OTOH, girls have 2 X chromosomes, so they could've gotten the intelligence genes from either the mom or the dad. What this means is, a smart mom will most likely have smart sons, but not necessarily smart daughters, unless the dad is also smart. Meanwhile, a smart dad might have smart daughters, but not necessarily smart sons, unless the mom is also smart.

    A good measure of the parents' intelligence is not just education level but also the type of degrees they hold. Many high IQ kids come from families where the moms have STEM degrees. I have a degree in Computer Science. When I homeschooled my 160 IQ kid in his elementary years, we joined a homeschool co-op and I noticed almost all the really high IQ boys have moms with STEM degrees, many in either engineering, computer science or the physical sciences. Many of these moms quit their jobs to homeschool their sons because of their extremely high IQs which makes a normal school environment a poor fit, as in our family. I also met a few girls who are high IQ with dads who work in the tech industry.

    The mother of Terence Tao, Fields Medalist and youngest winner of International Math Olympiad(at age 10), has a Master's degree in Physics. Jeremy Shuler was recently accepted to Cornell at age 12, his mom has a master's degree in Aerospace Engineering. Both boys were homeschooled by their moms. Ruth Lawrence, British-Israeli mathematician, passed her O level math at age 5, A level math at age 9. Both parents are computer consultants, dad quit his job to homeschool her.

    As for how it pertains to the Indian tech workers here, many Indians still let their parents find their spouses for them through arranged marriage. The top criteria for many Indian men for finding a wife is "fair skin" and "speaks English", not necessarily two criteria that scream "smart women" but I'm sure there are smart Indian women who meet both criteria. Unless these women also excel in STEM their children may not have the highest IQ. But of course the moms could also have high verbal ability like a lot of Jewish women, so their sons/daughters will also have high verbal ability, which might explain why so many second generation Indians gravitate toward professions popular with Jews - journalism, academia, law, investment banking, politics.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @rec1man, @utu, @Factorize, @Anon, @edgeslider, @FKA Max

    Recent studies have found that the intelligence genes only occur in the X chromosome.

    Source please?

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @PandaAtWar

    Multiple sources. Here's one:

    https://psychology-spot.com/did-you-know-that-intelligence-is/

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • There hasn’t been a whole lot of news about the Department of Justice investigation of Harvard University since I last mentioned the issue back in August. To refresh your memory: the DOJ was responding to a complaint from a coalition of Asian-American groups that their people, Asian-Americans, are discriminated against by Harvard admissions officers. Back...
  • All Panda sees here is a self-hating , blindly-white-Jap-worshiping, inferiority complex sufferer who has no clue whatsoever on North East Asia cultural history, core social codes and values, reminding Panda of the complete Nazis-apologiser, that ethnic Indian judge accidentally placed there by his British owner (who perhaps had a heart-attack afterwards by the thorough travesty of this subject), in the post ww2 Far East War Crimes Court.

    • Replies: @Anon
    @PandaAtWar

    Pandas are cute, but what they see in us, like what we see in them, is highly suspect.

    , @Malla
    @PandaAtWar

    Oh you mean Radhabinod Pal. He was trying to shoo away the Kangaroo in the Kangaroo court of the Tokyo Trials after WW2.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Radhabinod_Pal

    He held the view that the legitimacy of the tribunal was suspect and questionable, because the spirit of retribution, and not impartial justice, was the underlying criterion for passing the judgment.

    He concluded:

    I would hold that every one of the accused must be found not guilty of every one of the charges in the indictment and should be acquitted on all those charges.

    Judge Pal never intended to offer a juridical argument on whether a sentence of not guilty would have been a correct one. However, he argued that the United States had clearly provoked the war with Japan and expected Japan to act.[4]

    In his lone dissent, Judge Pal refers to the trial as a "sham employment of legal process for the satisfaction of a thirst for revenge." According to Norimitsu Onishi, while he fully acknowledged Japan's war atrocities – including the Nanjing massacre – he said they were covered in the Class B and Class C trials.[5]

    Furthermore, he believed that the exclusion of Western colonialism and the use of the atom bomb by the United States from the list of crimes, as well as the exclusion of judges from the vanquished nations on the bench, signified the "failure of the Tribunal to provide anything other than the opportunity for the victors to retaliate."[6] In this he was not alone among Indian jurists of the time; one prominent Calcutta barrister wrote that the Tribunal was little more than "a sword in a wig".


    Judge Pal's lone dissenting opinion, that the Japanese soldiers were only following orders and that the acts committed by them weren't illegal in an indictable sense, was dismissed by the West as a biased judgement by another Asian judge. Pal wrote that the Tokyo Trials were an exercise in victor's justice and that the Allies were equally culpable in acts such as strategic bombings of civilian targets. In 1966, Pal visited Japan and said that he had admired Japan from an early age for being the only Asian nation that "stood up against the West".

  • Last week, I ventured some remarks about the Justice Department case against Harvard University for discriminating against Asian Americans. This brought in a surprising number of emails. I’ll take just two main points: First main point raised by readers: Import an overclass? We already did that! Listeners who made this point were referring of course...
  • @Daniel Chieh
    @PandaAtWar

    Are you saying that there aren't intelligent South Asians?

    That's obviously untrue. The current Modi government might be dickweeds and overall there's pretty saddening levels of corruption, but I've witnessed their competence at politics. My main complaint is that the "high-caste" particularly emphasize politics seemingly beyond any other virtues and it isn't very productive. This is how you get a country that can reap billions but still can't provide water or electricity widely to the countryside, let alone consideration about toilets.

    Arguably, Modi's ability to be an eternal pain is a kind of political success. India will probably be a thorn in China's side for all foreseeable future in the time to come. Its some sort of achievement, I guess.

    There are parts of India that are interesting: Sanskrit is a beautiful language, there is a lot of interesting culture and it is the homeland of Buddhism. Recent history has been pretty tragic though.

    Replies: @random rand, @PandaAtWar

    Are you saying that there aren’t intelligent South Asians?

    Hi Chieh, Panda loves when you started with this popular strawman. Were you insinuating that Panda can stop reading all the stuff your wrote afterwards? ROFL

    That’s ok.

    But when Panda claimed that?

    Or has Panda ever come across to you as an intellectual giant who would claim that stupidity?

    Of course there’re intelligent , say IQ> 100, South Asians, a lot actually! And many of them are in the US via H1B.

    In fact ANY big-sized group has intelligent people. It’s the Bell Curve all about, darn it!

    But that’s not the point. For you to catch up to the speed:

    Panda’s point was that there’s no established, or logically apparent reason why India’s self-identified “upper castes” have “high IQ ” ( loosely defined as “with average IQ >=100″ by common sense for the sake of argument). Ditto for case of Ibo in Nigeria!

    Yan Shen, as most Hindu nationalists, tried to make a point that since there’re tens of thousands “upper castes”Indians in the US who “seem” in general, many of them actually do, have high IQ, therefore their claimed “castes” (i.e. implied meaning of worldwide population, including most of their corresponding IQ Bell Curves residing in India) must have high average IQ as well. This logic is heavily flawed.

    With no apparent reason in sight, therefore, Panda had to question Yan Shen’s personal relationship with these “upper castes” in order to justify his view.

    Yes, there’re some proofs that India is a heterogeneous place with many different groups, or “castes”, with different average IQs respectively.

    However, therefore to claim 1 or many of these self-identified “upper castes” with different avg IQ from India’s “low castes” must all have high average IQs ( again, loosely defined as “with average IQ >=100″ by common sense for the sake of argument) requires a quantum leap of faith, is it not?

    ——

    BTW, contrary to Hindu fanatics and your claim, India never was, and is not, the homeland of Buddhism by any stretch of sensible standard :

    e.g. ethnic origin; % of Buddhism population; important defining Buddhism thoughts, works, schools, scholars, leaders, ceremonies, architectures/temples, continuous development path & plans…across time and their impacts to the home nation and the larger world, as one would easily identify in both Islam and Christianity in the ME & Europe respectively.

    If India were the homeland of Buddhism, Iran would be the Mother Macca of Christianity, Panda tells ya! lol

  • “Time to Stop Importing an Immigrant Overclass”

    Brilliant!

    Import Immigrant Undercalss only please.

  • @Yan Shen

    There’s also regression to the mean. The offspring of these high-IQ immigrants will regress towards their population mean —
     
    But if India is highly racially heterogeneous with a minority of high IQ upper castes, for all intents and purposes aren't these upper castes distinct racial sub-groups and thus their offspring would in theory regress to the mean of higher subgroup?

    Replies: @Logan, @Wizard of Oz, @Anonymous, @Joe Wong, @PandaAtWar

    India is highly racially heterogeneous with a minority of high IQ upper castes,…

    Hahahaha!

    Who exactly are these “high IQ upper castes”, Yan Shen?

    Any proven biological/physical characters that differentiate among these castes themselves? and them from other castes, and other races? Or “self-identification” only?

    Avg IQ how high for each of them? C’mon, at least give some rounded-up numbers?

    And what did you mean by “high IQ upper castes”? 80 is high? or 86? or 95 is high? 100? or 120?, 140? 200? … at least choose one if you are making a specific statement on high IQ .

    errr… any academic quotations on these respective “high IQs ” of each of these “upper castes”?

    or any plain vanilla common sense logic to deduce those numbers without too much of wild assumptions?

    or any specific IQ tests on each of these castes? sources?

    or any specific quasi-IQ tests? (e.g.PISA? TIMASS?)

    None. Zero. Zilch. Nada!

    errr… “a minority of high IQ upper castes” as if god-given. LMAO. Love that humour!

    —–

    BTW, are there these kinds of “high IQ upper castes” in Germany? Canada? China? Russia? Iran? Japan? Spain? Belgium? Morocco? United Arab Emirates? Vietnam? Hungry? … if no, why not by the very same logic of yours ??

    ——

    Again, is your wife or relative an ethnic “high IQ upper caste” Indian, Yan Shen, Panda wonders?

  • @Yan Shen
    Well I'd love to get a response from Derbyshire on my point that he, as an immigrant from the UK, wouldn't have qualified under any of the own criteria he offered forth. I think you're on the right track Derb, but are a bit unrealistic about what can be achieved. Trump wants to cut legal immigration in half to 500,000 or so from the 1 million it's been at for the past decade.

    I think if we adopt a sane immigration policy favoring skilled immigrants, like they do in places like Hong Kong, Singapore, Cananda, or Australia, we can probably cut that down even further, say to 200,000 or so a year. Capping it out at 1,000 a year plus a handful of exceptions seems unrealistic. Of course we're only talking about permanent settlement, if I'm understanding the argument correctly.

    What about foreign students who study in the US? I personally tend to think that at the undergrad level, schools shouldn't be favoring foreigners over Americans merely because foreigners will pay full tuition compared to students here. Graduate school is obviously a different situation though, so I have less of a problem with those students.

    Here's the main point that Derb and others here may be missing. There actually aren't that many Chinese or Indians in the United States, especially when you consider the large populations from which they're drawn from. There are about 5 million Chinese Americans and over 4 million Indian Americans. Giving that America has an official population of about 320 million, the total Chinese+Indian American population is about 2.5% of the overall population.

    Furthermore, consider that mainland China has over 1380 million people and mainland India has over 1320 million people. 5/1380 and 4/1320 are .36% and .30% respectively, which makes it amusing to hear people complain for instance about how the Chinese are supposedly all leaving China and overwhelming America. In actuality, immigration from China to America or anywhere else in the West is fairly minimal. There are maybe 10 million Chinese living in all Western countries worldwide. By comparison, the Chinese diaspora in Southeast Asia numbers somewhere between 40 to 50 million.

    Chinese and Indian immigrants also tend to be disproportionately concentrated in certain parts of America. For instance, half of Chinese Americans live in either California or NYC. So the impact of this immigration on the country as a whole is minimized, in my opinion. Not too many rednecks in the middle of nowhere have to deal with Chinese or Indian Americans. East Asians obviously tend to have a disproportionate impact relative to their actual numbers, especially in quantitative STEM areas, given their visuospatial strengths. Is this bad for the country? I'm actually not convinced. As Derbyshire himself notes, East Asians mostly skew away from the arenas of politics, business, law, media, and the likes, where public opinion and policy on social matters are formed. So unlike the questionable influence that Jewish Americans may have in terms of advancing this country's agenda, East Asians are far more of a technical overclass than a ruling overclass. Your average American in the middle of nowhere probably feels the impact of East Asian Americans mostly through whatever is coming out of Silicon Valley these days.

    Replies: @Yan Shen, @Thomm, @Discard, @PandaAtWar

    Yan Shen, Panda is very disappointed by this post of yours. The way you argued here is terminologically, hence logically, very messy by seeminglessly jumping back and forth amongst 3 concepts of “Asians”, “East Asians” , and “Chinese and Indians”( as if “Indians” is an obligatory term that must be attached whenever the word “Chinese” appears).

    On top of that, the absurdly stubborn way you stick to the claim of “high IQ Indian casts” with no apparent logical reason has made Panda already in awe…

    Panda thus wonders, Yan, do you have “high caste” Indian wife? or gf? or boss? or biz partner? who would castrate you if you speak a “wrong” word they are not used to, or something?

    • Replies: @Daniel Chieh
    @PandaAtWar

    Are you saying that there aren't intelligent South Asians?

    That's obviously untrue. The current Modi government might be dickweeds and overall there's pretty saddening levels of corruption, but I've witnessed their competence at politics. My main complaint is that the "high-caste" particularly emphasize politics seemingly beyond any other virtues and it isn't very productive. This is how you get a country that can reap billions but still can't provide water or electricity widely to the countryside, let alone consideration about toilets.

    Arguably, Modi's ability to be an eternal pain is a kind of political success. India will probably be a thorn in China's side for all foreseeable future in the time to come. Its some sort of achievement, I guess.

    There are parts of India that are interesting: Sanskrit is a beautiful language, there is a lot of interesting culture and it is the homeland of Buddhism. Recent history has been pretty tragic though.

    Replies: @random rand, @PandaAtWar

    , @lao gu
    @PandaAtWar

    I guess Yang Shen must be Indian who us the name like Chinese.

  • It is sad to hear from Chandra Chisala that our double act will no longer be available for hire, denying us both the prospect of a lecture tour, but if this really is his last word, that is a pity, because debates generally reveal new sources of data, and although personal positions rarely change immediately,...
  • @Jorge Videla
    i have a cousin who is chair in class-ism at mushy peas college london.

    he's taught me every thing i know about blighty.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    lol

    is his name mikey cohen?

    • Replies: @Jorge Videla
    @PandaAtWar

    no members of the tribe in my pedigree...

    thank God!

    (((HBD)))

    SAD!

  • @Lars Porsena
    @PandaAtWar

    Australoid is australoid, it isn't negroid. Indian peoples are (depending on which) combinations of caucasoid, australoid and mongoloid. Mainly the first 2 for most of them. Ostensibly all the other central asian peoples who aren't caucasoid or mongoloid are also australoid, for instance Turkic peoples. The southern mongoloids in SE asia, who are a bit darker, are also supposedly part australoid.

    Negroid is pretty isolated and possibly rather new. Bantu expansion to take over Africa from the pygmies only happened about 1-2 thousand years ago. And the pygmy are not really negroid or any other oid, they are a small number of people not a major group but supposedly genetic testing puts them as totally unrelated to other black africans and quite distinct from the rest of humanity. Pygmoid, essentially. It's not a "major" group because there are probably only tens to hundreds of thousands of them in total. But pure pygmies are supposedly no closer related to modern Bantu africans than they are to Swedes and Koreans.

    Why do you think high caste indians who claim to have high IQs are contradicting themselves?

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Why do you think high caste indians who claim to have high IQs are contradicting themselves?

    ?

    Where you put them in that Line? choose a place there, then see is that place “high IQ” enough to you?

    • Replies: @Lars Porsena
    @PandaAtWar

    PandaAtWar,

    First I can say that Rushton's line is not some gospel or established indisputable scientific fact. They do not have to fit into it, if they don't fit, that means the line is wrong not them.

    But the line is not terrible so let's look in terms of that line with those 3.

    Where do upper caste indians fit on the line. Fit compared to whom? When it comes to upper caste indians the first comparison is to other indian castes. Does New York complain that North Carolina is a misnomer because it is south? It is the northern most of the Carolinas. So you compare it to the other castes to determine if it has a higher IQ then the other castes.

    But you are asking where it fits in globally with caucasians and asians. OK which mongoloids, the Outer Mongolians, the Uyghurs and the Hmong? All those 3 are mongoloid. Where do upper caste Indians compare to them? I don't know but they could be smarter. They are definitely more civilizationally accomplished.

    Historically, hereditarally, culturally, where do they fall on the line? In India it would be ungodly complicated and really depend. It is a very diverse and multicultural place that has been settled by caucasoids, mongoloids and australoids and all sorts of various mixtures. I guess that is the point, you would expect them to be all over that line because they come from all 3 places historically and genetically.

    India is a subcontinent. In all of it's entire human history it has never been entirely occupied by 1 homogeneous people or ever ruled by 1 culture and government until the British took it over and created the Raj, and British India also included Pakistan and Bangladesh.

    From what (media reports of) genetic testing I have seen, Bangladeshis are actually considerably more mongoloid than most. And Alexander the Great conquered and Hellenized parts of Pakistan.

  • @RaceRealist88
    @PandaAtWar

    >still pushing Rushton's r/K bullshit

    Rushton has been destroyed numerous times.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Oh? in video games?

    • Replies: @RaceRealist88
    @PandaAtWar

    No in real life, in scientific journals.

    Replies: @Santoculto

  • @AaronB
    Ancient Indian metaphysicians produced some of the most subtle thinking anywhere, whatever you think of its practical value.

    Remember, all of East Asia had to borrow their religion from India. The Chinese would send monks on perilous journeys across deserts and mountains to recover as much of this rich and subtle Indian thought as they could, so impressed were they with it, and this at a time when India's population was a fraction of what it it is now.

    As someone who has studied Indian thought I have zero doubt India has a supremely capable intellectual caste.

    I find it hard to believe anyone could seriously doubt this considering the many fine intellects India has produced even in modern times.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Ancient “Indian”= Modern Indian?

    Remember, all of East Asia had to borrow their religion from India

    Really? Sorry, but Panda doesn’t remember that.

    As someone who has studied Indian thought I have zero doubt India has a supremely capable intellectual caste

    .

    Then try to answer Panda’s 6 related questions in post 21. Piece of cake, right?

    In fact, Panda doesn’t see any miracle or major achievement, economic, intellectual or otherwise (not even indoor-plumbing has been tackled properly yet), coming from a supposely supremely capable intellectual caste that has enjoyed the allround supreme treatments in India’s caste-based society where there has been no Mao/ Soviet/NK – style communism or massive all-out wars in almost a century.

    Where could go wrong Panda wonders? This supremely capable intellectual castemust have been hiding under a huge rock meditating a secret form of Yoga meantime, eh?

    • Replies: @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, perhaps you are familiar with the most popular Chinese novel of all time, Journey To The West?

    It is a fantastical treatment of the Chinese monk Xuanzang's journey to India to recover Buddhist manuscripts.

    Your ancestors had the necessary humility to sit at the feet of India and drink deep of its wisdom, and this does immense credit to their intelligence and sagacity.

    They did the world an immense favor by helping preserve these works of timeless wisdom.

    You should do them reverence.

    As for plumbing, it is one of the glories of Indian civilization that it does not concern itself with such trivialities. Modern efficiency simply isn't compatible with the life of the spirit.

    I will answer your 6 related questions, Panda, with my 4 incontrovertible responses, but tomorrow, as I am a few whiskeys too deep right now.

    Replies: @Lars Porsena

  • @Yan Shen
    @PandaAtWar

    If we assume average IQ 82, SD 15, population 1,300,000,000, there would only be roughly 910,000 people with IQ 130 or higher. At IQ 140 that drops to about 130,000.

    My guess is that most truly accomplished individuals have an IQ of probably at least 3-4 SD. 130-140 IQ seems to me to be more of your normal smart person. Think for instance of people who graduate from a good school and work in tech or finance.

    There are over 4 million Indian Americans alone in this country and given the significant numbers of high end talent, it's hard to reconcile that against a global base population of 910,000 people with 130+ IQ or 130,000+ people with 140+ IQ, given that these thresholds are not particularly high. The numbers don't add up if you ask me.

    I believe the other advantage of positing elite racial subgroups is that it deals with issues such as regression to the mean, where for instance 2nd generation children of such elite individuals perform better than expected given regression to the mean, since they would not be regressing to the overall Indian mean of 82, etc.

    Replies: @MarkinLA, @PandaAtWar

    130-140 IQ seems to me to be more of your normal smart person.

    Perhaps this basic assumption of yours is overdone. Try lossen it a bit to 120, or even 110. Don’t look down on 110 which, for instance, is almost 1 SD above American mean.

    By my own experiences, Panda can train almost any normal 110IQ person into a bit sophisticated junior investment banker within half an year from scratch, regardless his major in uni. Panda sees that a person with IQ in the 130 range could be sufficient enough to be a regular STEM professor, or most social sciences, in a regular university… a regular law, auditing, talk show, editor, stats, or social science-related profession with a decently high social statue, however, requires way lower than 130 IQ range.

    Many other issues as well such as net income or social fame is not correlated that high with IQ. Panda sees even many public company CEOs have IQ WAY lower than 130, let alone directors, managers, team leaders, etc ..

    All these make your “normal smart person” threshold , 910,000 figure, severely underestimated.

    The numbers don’t add up if you ask me.

    Hence can’t see why the numbers don’t add up.

    In the objective reality, either the number must add up more or less, or we are facing a major breakthrough in finding an entirely new major race of humanity, no other explaination, and Panda doubts it’s the latter.

  • @MarkinLA
    @PandaAtWar

    If one day, the US changes her foreign policy and lures the top 1% or 5% of Iran’s bell curve go to work in the US via H1B1, wouldn’t these Iranians become the newest “high IQ caste”in America? Or we would be deeply puzzled that how to reconcile these brilliant Iranians talents with Iran’s avg 86 IQ?

    Actually, there are a lot of refugges from the days of the Shah and many of them are quite successful. The problem is that many are likely indentifying as their religion or ethnicity (Armenian versus Persian) and not country of origin. They probably do not represent such a large group that the US tracks them independently. I would bet that as a group their income is above that of Indians.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Yep, used to hear a lot about them and Beverly Hills… lol

    Actually, Panda’s best guess of avg IQ of Indian “high castes” ( literally means the average IQ of these ” high castes” Indians in both America and India) could be somewhere between mid/high 80s to low 90s, about somewhere >= the Iranians to <= the Southern Med Euros.

  • @Lars Porsena

    There’re 3 major races in the world. Pretty sure that almost 100% of “elite Indian talents in America” don’t fall into Negroid or Mongoloid categories.
     
    There is at least 4, it's not indiaroid it's australoid.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    The point here is what-Panda-called Rushton’s 3-point-Line:

    Negroid and Mongoloid are at the 2 sides, with Caucasoid in between yet somewhere closer to Mongoloid.

    (australoid may be somewhere closer to Negroid, yet it doesn’t matter, really.)

    It’s a powerfully predictive line, because not only IQ, but also almost all the major physical characteristics and personal traits of these 3 groups fall into this line.

    The problem for the claim of “High castes High IQ Indians” is that no matter where they put them within that Line, they’re self-contradicting themselves.

    The only chance that they could self-claim as such would be to completely destroy JP Rushton to start with.

    • Replies: @Lars Porsena
    @PandaAtWar

    Australoid is australoid, it isn't negroid. Indian peoples are (depending on which) combinations of caucasoid, australoid and mongoloid. Mainly the first 2 for most of them. Ostensibly all the other central asian peoples who aren't caucasoid or mongoloid are also australoid, for instance Turkic peoples. The southern mongoloids in SE asia, who are a bit darker, are also supposedly part australoid.

    Negroid is pretty isolated and possibly rather new. Bantu expansion to take over Africa from the pygmies only happened about 1-2 thousand years ago. And the pygmy are not really negroid or any other oid, they are a small number of people not a major group but supposedly genetic testing puts them as totally unrelated to other black africans and quite distinct from the rest of humanity. Pygmoid, essentially. It's not a "major" group because there are probably only tens to hundreds of thousands of them in total. But pure pygmies are supposedly no closer related to modern Bantu africans than they are to Swedes and Koreans.

    Why do you think high caste indians who claim to have high IQs are contradicting themselves?

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    , @RaceRealist88
    @PandaAtWar

    >still pushing Rushton's r/K bullshit

    Rushton has been destroyed numerous times.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @James Thompson
    @Yan Shen

    As you say regarding India, it is a plausible explanation that there is a great deal of heterogeneity, and in some cases that is amplified by the degree of cousin marriage.

    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/the-heterogeneous-states-of-india

    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/more-sex-cousin

    https://www.unz.com/jthompson/inbreeding-two-tribes

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Heterogeneity of ethnicities does not necessarily imply the existence of huge IQ gaps per se, does it?

    It alone can not be taken as a sufficient proof that avg IQ of self-claimed “high castes” are so much higher than so-called “low-castes”.

    Indian’s “high castes” at their “purest” by looks are about likes of the modern Iranians, who have avg IQ of about 86.

    If one day, the US changes her foreign policy and lures the top 1% or 5% of Iran’s bell curve go to work in the US via H1B1, wouldn’t these Iranians become the newest “high IQ caste”in America? Or we would be deeply puzzled that how to reconcile these brilliant Iranians talents with Iran’s avg 86 IQ?

    • Replies: @MarkinLA
    @PandaAtWar

    If one day, the US changes her foreign policy and lures the top 1% or 5% of Iran’s bell curve go to work in the US via H1B1, wouldn’t these Iranians become the newest “high IQ caste”in America? Or we would be deeply puzzled that how to reconcile these brilliant Iranians talents with Iran’s avg 86 IQ?

    Actually, there are a lot of refugges from the days of the Shah and many of them are quite successful. The problem is that many are likely indentifying as their religion or ethnicity (Armenian versus Persian) and not country of origin. They probably do not represent such a large group that the US tracks them independently. I would bet that as a group their income is above that of Indians.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @Yan Shen
    @PandaAtWar

    How else would you reconcile India's abysmally low performance on national IQ tests or PISA with the clear and obvious fact of elite Indian talent, particularly in America? Various commenters in the HBD blogosphere have attempted to answer the questions you've posed above. That clear answers to these questions may not yet be known hardly negates the hypothesis I've offered. I myself don't claim to be a uh expert on the matter.

    I'm merely positing that sub-Saharan Africa is a lesser version of India, so to speak. Certain ethnic groups such as the Igbo seem to excel relative to other Africans, although they're still clearly not at the same level as say elite Indians. However when stories of relatively intelligent African immigrants disproportionately reveal that such individuals are Igbo from Nigeria or the likes, it's not unreasonable to speculate that a similar albeit lesser phenomenon like in India may be at work in Africa. It seems to me that this would also resolve many of the empirical data points under discussion here.

    Replies: @James Thompson, @PandaAtWar

    How else would you reconcile India’s abysmally low performance on national IQ tests or PISA with the clear and obvious fact of elite Indian talent, particularly in America

    Quite easy to reconcile: top 0.1% or 1% of the right side of the bell curve of 1.3 billion are a huge number, pretty straightforward really.

    Actually if you take the top 0.1% or even 1% (de facto implemented by H1B1-alike visa policy) of any country with a sizable population (e.g. Vietnam, Russia, Nigeria, or even Germany, Poland, let alone India) , regardless her population average IQ, this group of people would be IQ-ready to excel compared to the average of almost any host country, as long as the former country has a reasonable indegenious culture of emphasising on learning & education. That’s just simple maths.

    The question now are :

    1. will Vietnam, Russia, Nigeria, Germany and Poland all have “high IQ castes” as well a-la-India-standard?
    2.And what race/s are they?
    3. e.g. How much richer and more eliter, will Russian Americans be, compared to Indian Americans, if the former must also be on H1B1, aka top 1% or so.

    The underlying racial rationale is also straightforward:

    There’re 3 major races in the world. Pretty sure that almost 100% of “elite Indian talents in America” don’t fall into Negroid or Mongoloid categories.

    Unless a new race is discovered (Indiaroid?) , these people are either Caucasoid or some kind of mixed, which by definition have average IQ somewhere below the European standard 100 for sure (assuming JP Rushton is not completely BSing his data in Race, evolution, and behavior) , except, of course, that these Indians are actually East Asian-European mixed whom they don’t look like.

    Simple.

    Therefore, Panda wonders which standard we’re talking about, given that “castes” of average IQ somewhere below 100 are defined as “high iq castes” here?

    • Replies: @Yan Shen
    @PandaAtWar

    If we assume average IQ 82, SD 15, population 1,300,000,000, there would only be roughly 910,000 people with IQ 130 or higher. At IQ 140 that drops to about 130,000.

    My guess is that most truly accomplished individuals have an IQ of probably at least 3-4 SD. 130-140 IQ seems to me to be more of your normal smart person. Think for instance of people who graduate from a good school and work in tech or finance.

    There are over 4 million Indian Americans alone in this country and given the significant numbers of high end talent, it's hard to reconcile that against a global base population of 910,000 people with 130+ IQ or 130,000+ people with 140+ IQ, given that these thresholds are not particularly high. The numbers don't add up if you ask me.

    I believe the other advantage of positing elite racial subgroups is that it deals with issues such as regression to the mean, where for instance 2nd generation children of such elite individuals perform better than expected given regression to the mean, since they would not be regressing to the overall Indian mean of 82, etc.

    Replies: @MarkinLA, @PandaAtWar

  • @Yan Shen

    Differences between African American and Africans. I like this argument. African Americans should have more high-performing outliers than Africans, per head of population. When corrected for population size the pool of talent to be drawn from is 41 million African Americans and over 1 billion Sub-Saharan Africans (reportedly between 1,014 million and, from the World Population Review, 1023 million). Chisala has somewhat different figures, 46 million for African Americans and 800 million for Sub-Saharan Africa. He has said these are his last words so we cannot resolve these differences in discussion. If I take my figures for sub-Saharan Africa at 1014 million and African Americans at 41 million, and assume that African Americans at IQ 85 and Africans at IQ 70 and have to compete against each other for IQ 130 occupations, then there will be 167,124 African Americans against 55,345 Africans at that level, so I agree with Chisala that the former should predominate. If Africans do better than African Americans on a broad range of intellectual indicators in the US, this is an important anomaly. We can check this against a common standard school leaving examination in the US.
     
    .

    Isn't it likely that sub-Saharan Africa is simply a lesser version of India? Instead of assuming a uniform population with some mean and SD, it seems to me more likely that sub-Saharan Africa is racially diverse, with certain subgroups like the Igbo ahead of others on the continent in terms of aptitude.

    We resolve the paradox of low average IQ scores in India partly by realizing that there are probably high IQ castes from which high achieving Indians are drawn from. Wouldn't this also imply a regression to a higher sub-group mean for the children of these upper caste Indians? Could not a lesser version of this apply to sub-Saharan Africa? I feel like that would go a long way towards explaining many of the data points Chanda points out...

    Replies: @James Thompson, @PandaAtWar, @PandaAtWar

    On the legendary claim that

    “Indian Americans are the richest (have the highest avg income) people in the US, hence these Indian high castes have avg 120+ IQ” :

    Just curious, does the US also keep average income list of, for instance–

    Norwegium Americans

    Belgium Americans

    United Arab Emirates Americans

    Sierra Leone Americans

    Andorran Americans

    to compare apple-to-apple with that of Indian Americans, even assuming that most of these people are also on H1B1 Visa hence highly-selected?

  • @Yan Shen

    Differences between African American and Africans. I like this argument. African Americans should have more high-performing outliers than Africans, per head of population. When corrected for population size the pool of talent to be drawn from is 41 million African Americans and over 1 billion Sub-Saharan Africans (reportedly between 1,014 million and, from the World Population Review, 1023 million). Chisala has somewhat different figures, 46 million for African Americans and 800 million for Sub-Saharan Africa. He has said these are his last words so we cannot resolve these differences in discussion. If I take my figures for sub-Saharan Africa at 1014 million and African Americans at 41 million, and assume that African Americans at IQ 85 and Africans at IQ 70 and have to compete against each other for IQ 130 occupations, then there will be 167,124 African Americans against 55,345 Africans at that level, so I agree with Chisala that the former should predominate. If Africans do better than African Americans on a broad range of intellectual indicators in the US, this is an important anomaly. We can check this against a common standard school leaving examination in the US.
     
    .

    Isn't it likely that sub-Saharan Africa is simply a lesser version of India? Instead of assuming a uniform population with some mean and SD, it seems to me more likely that sub-Saharan Africa is racially diverse, with certain subgroups like the Igbo ahead of others on the continent in terms of aptitude.

    We resolve the paradox of low average IQ scores in India partly by realizing that there are probably high IQ castes from which high achieving Indians are drawn from. Wouldn't this also imply a regression to a higher sub-group mean for the children of these upper caste Indians? Could not a lesser version of this apply to sub-Saharan Africa? I feel like that would go a long way towards explaining many of the data points Chanda points out...

    Replies: @James Thompson, @PandaAtWar, @PandaAtWar

    We resolve the paradox of low average IQ scores in India partly by realizing that there are probably high IQ castes from which high achieving Indians are drawn from.

    Can’t believe that you also seem to buy into this Hindu Nationalist BS of high IQ castes in India… LOL

    1. What are of these castes?

    2. Where they came from? (i.e. racially speaking, they’re Mongoloid? Caucasoid? Negroid? or new-found Indiaroid? )

    3. How big are their underlying total populations respectively in India?

    4. What are their avg IQ respectively? (e.g. any IQ studies done there, or just again the legendary claim that “the richest and the most successful people in the US, hence avg 120+ IQ” ?)

    5. Why they are high? (e.g. are they “cold-selected” populations? They have unusally larger brain sizes than Mongoloid or Caucasoid? What are their corresponding maturation rates, personality traits, reproductive rates, etc.. all kinds of “JP Rushton measures” that fit in with their claimed IQ range? …)

    6. How they are high? (e.g. they’re high on verbal? or spatial? or both? compared to which standard?)

    Panda sees that Hindu nationalists are pretty successful on propagating the “high IQ castes” from India BS (compared to whom? to avg 82?), without even trying to present clear answers to any of above basic questions or the underlying rationale. Before that happens , high my paw! lol

    • Replies: @Yan Shen
    @PandaAtWar

    How else would you reconcile India's abysmally low performance on national IQ tests or PISA with the clear and obvious fact of elite Indian talent, particularly in America? Various commenters in the HBD blogosphere have attempted to answer the questions you've posed above. That clear answers to these questions may not yet be known hardly negates the hypothesis I've offered. I myself don't claim to be a uh expert on the matter.

    I'm merely positing that sub-Saharan Africa is a lesser version of India, so to speak. Certain ethnic groups such as the Igbo seem to excel relative to other Africans, although they're still clearly not at the same level as say elite Indians. However when stories of relatively intelligent African immigrants disproportionately reveal that such individuals are Igbo from Nigeria or the likes, it's not unreasonable to speculate that a similar albeit lesser phenomenon like in India may be at work in Africa. It seems to me that this would also resolve many of the empirical data points under discussion here.

    Replies: @James Thompson, @PandaAtWar

    , @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar

    Ok, Panda, I've looked at your six questions and you're right, I can't really answer them.

    But I don't think I need to in order to make my claim that India has always produced some of the finest minds the world has known and continues to do so.

    I meant caste only in the sense of class, not in a racial sense.

    I doubt the Indian intellectual caste is racially distinguished - certainly they don't look any different from ordinary Indians.

    Whatever Aryan invasions happened long ago, the race mixing is probably total.

    In fact, I actually think ordinary Indians are intelligent and the state of the country is explained by India being the Land Of The Gods - i.e like all religious people, they don't see this world as worth taking very seriously at all, much less furiously building up.

    I've been to India like eight times, and I've never thought the average person there is stupid. They just want different things than we do.

    Replies: @Lars Porsena, @Santoculto

  • Once upon a time in America the ruling dwarves, mostly psychologists, sociologists, academics, and suchlike riffraff, held that all people were equal in everything, that men and women were identical, as were all races, ethnic groups, and cultures. Criticizing any of this could, and did, lead to firing, ostracism, and having to suffer crowds of...
  • @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Hey Panda,


    don’t tell Panda they are no “Black Swans” in your definition

     

    These aren't black swan events - without the first event none of these matter. Adopting a good policy is not a black swan event - formulating a unique and long-lasting comprehensive philosophy in the first place is.

    Mostly likely he would be cut by machetes and eaten alive.
     
    Conjecture - I can spin it the other way too. For instance, some of the Sub-Saharan Africans like those of the Sahel region, Timbuktu, Sene-Gambia, etc. came across the rest of the world when some of their emperors made the pilgrimage to Makkah. They were intelligent enough to invite scholars from all over the rest of the Muslim world to their region to help teach them everything from religion, mathematics, astronomy, etc. the manuscripts from centuries ago are available for anyone to see. They even invited architects from as far away as Spain to help them understand the tools necessary to raise their construction capabilities. Timbuktu flourished as a trade and learning center for centuries until invaded and dismantled by Morocco. So yes, some Sub-Saharan sovereigns did make good policy decisions that resulted in an upliftment of their people - this is not speculation, this is fact.

    Persia then ( at her high civilisation) was not “Persia” now aka Iran.
     
    Prove it. Some of the highest Persian civilization was right before the Mongols rolled over it. How are they different from the current admixture other than by mixing in with more of the conquerors from Central and East Asia (which should have boosted their IQ if anything)?

    Panda suspects
     
    So this is your conjecture. You can spin it, I can spin it. Nothing I am saying contradicts any of the facts on the ground with regards to IQ.

    different elites, different values
     
    OK - so factors other than IQ matter.

    Mongolia has had at least 5 IQ point diff from China back then
     
    Prove it.

    Later when Mongolians did get the chance to conquer almost the whole Eurasia (they got sufficiently high IQ to have done that with many Made-in & Invent-by China weapon systems and techniques btw)
     
    Arabs pulled down the Byzantine and Persian Empires - Berbers did in the Visigoths - without resort to Chinese weapons.

    The early battles between China (with her weapons) and the Umayyad and Abbasid were a back and forth until this one which spelled the end of westward expansion of China:
    https://thediplomat.com/2016/01/the-battle-that-kept-the-chinese-out-of-central-asia/

    Again, no contradiction of IQ here.
     
    You just posited a different track for why the Mongols may have a higher IQ; namely that they may have had a vastly lower IQ until they adopted Confucian policies which helped lift it. Neither does my theory contradict current IQ measurements.

    Peace.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Look Talha, you’re abusing the phrase “black swan event” to such a degree that they’re becoming pink. One person alone can not change a society for such a long time. You need the support of the underlying widespread grassroot people in order for the change to happen and maintained. Without the underlying people (aka avg IQ), nothing is possible and long-lived in the long run. In this case, if the underlying Chinese people were as dumb and as lazy as fuck, there would be no legacy left even came along a 900-IQ-E.T., not to mention Confucius.

    This talk drags for too long…Panda doesn’t have sufficient time here to take your points down one by one, lol, just too many issues shown…

    Prove this and prove that…just read the relevant moutained-sized reproducible significant stats for goodness. The evidences are all over the places as long as you’re intellectually honest and look around you.

    Gonna go, excuse Panda.

    • Replies: @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Hey Panda,


    One person alone can not change a society for such a long time.
     
    I did not say that, but one person's ideas can if adopted by and perpetuated.

    dumb and as lazy as fuck
     
    Never said they were.

    Without the underlying people (aka avg IQ), nothing is possible and long-lived in the long run.
     
    And yet the West has plenty of IQ and people around here are talking as if it's going to collapse soon. What gives? Why can't smart people figure a way out of this mess? They're smart, right? Also they should have kids.

    Let's take two things into account and compare them side-by-side:
    1) the Muslim conquests
    2) the Mongol conquests

    The Muslim conquests (set in motion by a black swan event) obviously required more than one person to carry them out. The Mongols conquered far more territory in a far more bloody fashion and apparently have a much higher IQ than the average for the peoples of the various countries of the Arabian peninsula.

    Why did the Arab conquests leave a far, far more lasting legacy in every facet of their territories than the Mongols? The Mongols left little lasting legacy of their culture practically anywhere - according to you, they had both high IQ and initiative. What gives?

    How come people from Morocco to Lebanon to Iran make pilgrimage to Makkah and Madinah and nobody cares to make pilgrimage to the mountain where the Great Khan was born? Why didn't people adopt their language?


    just read the relevant moutained-sized reproducible significant stats for goodness
     
    Waiting for these IQ tests published from the 10th century. Any time now. I'm open to admitting you are 100% right if you can produce them - you will have facts on your side.

    As for stats, I posted a video by Prof. Flynn talking about how IQ is a moving target within our own lifetimes. How are we supposed to take seriously the idea they have remained constant throughout history?

    Peace.

  • @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    Who claims that?
     
    That is how it has come to be viewed, by laymen and experts alike.

    IQ highly correlates with innate ability – that’s the claim.
     
    And it is an unscientific claim, asserted by its advocates typically in a state of emotional agitation, arrived at by excluding from consideration factors that undermine this claim.

    The power of IQ, and any scientific statement, is correlation and prediction.
     
    The power of a scientific statement is prediction for purposes of control. Corelation, as yet, has little scientific value.

    Panda saw the hidden assumption you mentioned. In fact anything (even 1+1=2) has one, or numerous, hidden assumption/s. Yet that doesn’t prevent us from making scientific statments, does it? Any deducible or meaningful scientific statement (as you admitted that there are) must operate under assumption/s to make predictions with resonablely high degrees of re-producible accuracies. IQ-related statements do exactly that. Where is the problem?
     
    The problem, as I have elaborated at length, is that advocates of IQ do not confine themselves to making the modest predictions supported by the evidence, but indulge in the unscientific luxury of making extravagant claims on innate differences between groups, and individuals.

    The burden of my efforts, Panda, is precisely to return IQ to the modest confines of what can be supported by evidence, and cease from describing speculation, interpretation, and emotion-based assertion, as hard science.

    However, we also know that according to stats IQ highly correlates with life-long success results and a whole host of other important issues with some being as critical as survival or extinction.

     

    That is not in dispute. It is the illegitimate interprettions of the significance of this fact that are, as well as the unfounded assumption that the arrow of causality runs from IQ towards success.

    since we can reasonablely assume that all humans during our life-time, at all times, have our utmost desires, motivations, and wants that each of our individual brains can gather together, willing to make the utmost sacrifices, exert the utmost effort, towards the ultimate goals of to be alive, to survive and to survive better, regardless how “dumb” or how “smart”he/she could be , can’t we? ,
     
    Tendentious, as you well know.

    IQ has little to do with survival. African bushman are supremely adapted to survival.

    IQ is corelated with success in a modern industrial society - and the distinctive feature of modern society is the desire for power well beyond the limited needs of survival.

    As for "better" survival, this betrays the depths to which you have assimilated the hidden assumptions of modernity. Traditional societies strove for contentment and sufficiency, not ceaseless improvement.

    They would work till they had enough, and stop.

    African bushman, to this day, cease gathering food once they have enough for the day, which takes only a few hours, despite seemingly living on the very margins of survival, and an abundance of food left in the fields, and many hours left in the day.

    Your own ancestors, Panda, expressed frequent hostility towards technological improvements, and often nipped innovation in the bud.

    There is a legend that the Chinese invented flying machines, only to destroy it as pointless. True or not, it expresses the traditional mindset superbly.

    The notion of ceaseless (physical, material) improvement, beyond necessity, was a striking innovation of modernity, and has become lost to our view as another hidden assumption.

    Far from being a human universal, it had its origin in time and place, and cries out for explanation, as being unnatural to humans.

    therefore we can reasonablely deduct that IQ can be highly positively correlated with motivations in the very first place. It makes measuing motivation on a standalone basis more or less irrelevent in the context of both IQ test and innate ability.

     

    Perhaps this is progress that you concede this much, although I note you are only prepared to do so on the assumption that motivation is a human constant.

    But alas, that is unscientific, and cannot be maintained.

    While mere survival, up to a point, may reasonably be regarded as a human constant - but only up a point, because history shows striking variance in the importance of survival between groups snd individuals, so much so, perhaps, that I am tempted to withdraw my initial assent. Some groups have chosen suicide over slavery, and have fought to the last man. Others have not. But let it stand - we are talking of something well beyond mere survival.

    In modern society, we see some people expend enormous amounts of energy to amass power, wealth, and status, while others remain indifferent.

    Clearly, motivation, beyond survival, admits of enormous variation in degrees.

    In short: your “motivation”, “creativity”, “emotional ability”, “personal skills”, and whatever that comes out of your innate grey matters, unless they hide and grow inside knees of course(still innate though!), will be ultimately reflected at their utmost in your survival grande finale to be a successfully living and breathing organism. And that finale is highly correlate with IQ.
     
    You have conspicuously failed to demonstate this proposition beyond reasonable dispute, but at any rate, one cannot claim this as scientific fact.

    At best, it is interpretation, dubious and highly partisan in nature.

    But where it is no longer a question of scientific fact, let each decide for himself.

    So it is progress, at least, that we have drawn clear lines around what is science here, and what conjecture.

    End of story?
     
    If your thirst for understanding is quenched, them yes, my friend.

    Replies: @Talha, @PandaAtWar

    Hence we agree to disagree.

    • Replies: @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar

    Mostly :)

    But I have wrung from you the concession that it is indeed an unproven assumption that motivation is a human constant, an unproven assumption on which depends many of the bolder claims of IQ advocates - no mean feat when dealing with a man of your intellectual convictions.

    So I consider this a fruitful discussion so far as it goes, and salute your intellectual honesty, Panda.

  • I don’t think you get the idea of a “black swan” event; one is all you need. If a Confucius-type figure didn’t arise in Sub-Saharan Africa, where are they supposed to find these ideals? Would the Chinese civilization have been the same without him?

    {sigh} , it appears that Panda does understand “black swan”, my man.

    Yet the question in hand is not “black swan”, but “black swanS“, which cast heavy doubt on your assumption that “Confucious is black swan event”, because, as Panda repeatedly said, a single Confucius is FAR FAR away from switching China into Confucious state and maintain as such for 2,5oo years without shaken. let’s start from the beginning:

    1) you need at least another scholar who understood the importance of Confucious ideals and reported them to the cultural miniter, now that was a critical “black swan” event, was it not?

    2) you need a miniter who understood the importance of Confucious, and referred his ideals to the emperor. Here you got another “black swan” event?

    3) you need an emperor who saw the value of Confucious, hence decided to impliment the ideals in the end. So definitely emperor “black swan”, yes?

    4) you need generations of Confucious deciples to write down his ideals and keep treaching… another groups of “black swans”!

    5) you need the whole society, for countless generations, wholeheartedly believe in Confucious ideals and study further in order to impliment and maintain them… don’t tell Panda they are no “Black Swans” in your definition.

    When you got all these countless “black swans” events, Panda would sincerely suggest you call them “Black Bears” events instead.

    On the contrary, assume that Confucious had been born in SS Africa 2,500 years ago in a village there:

    it is a fair assumption since he could have equal chance being born anywhere on earth if it were a “black swan”event, huh?

    Then in all honesty do you really have a shred of doubt that Confucious himself, let alone his ideals, would survive his 25th birthday? Mostly likely he would be cut by machetes and eaten alive.

    Can you really imagine that an Africa scholar then would have reported his ideal to the Pan African Cultural Minitry, then to an African emperor to impliment them?

    And millions of Africans for the following 2,500 years would have read and studied Confucious ideals in their mud-made windowless, balcony-less (Confucious loved balconies, Panda tells ya!) classrooms in order to have made SS Africa, and maintained it, as a Confucious region instead of China? …

    Seriously? If you can imagine this from time to time, Panda would suggest you go to Hollywood tomorrow and start schooling George Lucas on sci fi.

    On Mongolia, Persia thing:

    Persia then ( at her high civilisation) was not “Persia” now aka Iran. Panda suspects largely different people, different elites, different values… no contradiction of IQs there.

    Mongolia has had at least 5 IQ point diff from China back then and now. Their poor geography fitted their normad lifestyle well. They couldn’t change it even they wanted to at a time, cuz there’s thing called “the Great Wall of China”!

    Later when Mongolians did get the chance to conquer almost the whole Eurasia(they got sufficiently high IQ to have done that with many Made-in & Invent-by China weapon systems and techniques btw), and established Yuan Dynasty, they did try to change from their normad lifestyle, as their elites were eager studing Confucious, writing Chinese poems, dressing in Chinese suits, adopting all kinds of Chinese systems, trying to be the Chinese… the rest is history. Again, no contradiction of IQ here.

    • Replies: @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Hey Panda,


    don’t tell Panda they are no “Black Swans” in your definition

     

    These aren't black swan events - without the first event none of these matter. Adopting a good policy is not a black swan event - formulating a unique and long-lasting comprehensive philosophy in the first place is.

    Mostly likely he would be cut by machetes and eaten alive.
     
    Conjecture - I can spin it the other way too. For instance, some of the Sub-Saharan Africans like those of the Sahel region, Timbuktu, Sene-Gambia, etc. came across the rest of the world when some of their emperors made the pilgrimage to Makkah. They were intelligent enough to invite scholars from all over the rest of the Muslim world to their region to help teach them everything from religion, mathematics, astronomy, etc. the manuscripts from centuries ago are available for anyone to see. They even invited architects from as far away as Spain to help them understand the tools necessary to raise their construction capabilities. Timbuktu flourished as a trade and learning center for centuries until invaded and dismantled by Morocco. So yes, some Sub-Saharan sovereigns did make good policy decisions that resulted in an upliftment of their people - this is not speculation, this is fact.

    Persia then ( at her high civilisation) was not “Persia” now aka Iran.
     
    Prove it. Some of the highest Persian civilization was right before the Mongols rolled over it. How are they different from the current admixture other than by mixing in with more of the conquerors from Central and East Asia (which should have boosted their IQ if anything)?

    Panda suspects
     
    So this is your conjecture. You can spin it, I can spin it. Nothing I am saying contradicts any of the facts on the ground with regards to IQ.

    different elites, different values
     
    OK - so factors other than IQ matter.

    Mongolia has had at least 5 IQ point diff from China back then
     
    Prove it.

    Later when Mongolians did get the chance to conquer almost the whole Eurasia (they got sufficiently high IQ to have done that with many Made-in & Invent-by China weapon systems and techniques btw)
     
    Arabs pulled down the Byzantine and Persian Empires - Berbers did in the Visigoths - without resort to Chinese weapons.

    The early battles between China (with her weapons) and the Umayyad and Abbasid were a back and forth until this one which spelled the end of westward expansion of China:
    https://thediplomat.com/2016/01/the-battle-that-kept-the-chinese-out-of-central-asia/

    Again, no contradiction of IQ here.
     
    You just posited a different track for why the Mongols may have a higher IQ; namely that they may have had a vastly lower IQ until they adopted Confucian policies which helped lift it. Neither does my theory contradict current IQ measurements.

    Peace.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • The claim that IQ isolates and measures innate cognitive ability…

    Who claims that?

    IQ highly correlates with innate ability – that’s the claim.

    The power of IQ, and any scientific statement, is correlation and prediction.

    IQ doesn’t need to isolate, as nothing can be 100% isolated strictly speaking. Yet that doesn’t affect us at this stage to make some resonable statements, as any scientific experiment does. That how science progresses.

    Panda saw the hidden assumption you mentioned. In fact anything (even 1+1=2) has one, or numerous, hidden assumption/s. Yet that doesn’t prevent us from making scientific statments, does it? Any deducible or meaningful scientific statement (as you admitted that there are) must operate under assumption/s to make predictions with resonablely high degrees of re-producible accuracies. IQ-related statements do exactly that. Where is the problem?

    On motivation:

    We know that it is impossible for “all humans, at all times, have the exact same desires, motivations, and wants, and are willing to make the same sacrifices, exert the same effort, towards the same goals.”

    However, we also know that according to stats IQ highly correlates with life-long success results and a whole host of other important issues with some being as critical as survival or extinction.

    — since we can reasonablely assume that all humans during our life-time, at all times, have our utmost desires, motivations, and wants that each of our individual brains can gather together, willing to make the utmost sacrifices, exert the utmost effort, towards the ultimate goals of to be alive, to survive and to survive better, regardless how “dumb” or how “smart”he/she could be , can’t we? ,

    — therefore we can reasonablely deduct that IQ can be highly positively correlated with motivations in the very first place. It makes measuing motivation on a standalone basis more or less irrelevent in the context of both IQ test and innate ability.

    In short: your “motivation”, “creativity”, “emotional ability”, “personal skills”, and whatever that comes out of your innate grey matters, unless they hide and grow inside knees of course(still innate though!), will be ultimately reflected at their utmost in your survival grande finale to be a successfully living and breathing organism. And that finale is highly correlate with IQ. End of story?

    • Replies: @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    Who claims that?
     
    That is how it has come to be viewed, by laymen and experts alike.

    IQ highly correlates with innate ability – that’s the claim.
     
    And it is an unscientific claim, asserted by its advocates typically in a state of emotional agitation, arrived at by excluding from consideration factors that undermine this claim.

    The power of IQ, and any scientific statement, is correlation and prediction.
     
    The power of a scientific statement is prediction for purposes of control. Corelation, as yet, has little scientific value.

    Panda saw the hidden assumption you mentioned. In fact anything (even 1+1=2) has one, or numerous, hidden assumption/s. Yet that doesn’t prevent us from making scientific statments, does it? Any deducible or meaningful scientific statement (as you admitted that there are) must operate under assumption/s to make predictions with resonablely high degrees of re-producible accuracies. IQ-related statements do exactly that. Where is the problem?
     
    The problem, as I have elaborated at length, is that advocates of IQ do not confine themselves to making the modest predictions supported by the evidence, but indulge in the unscientific luxury of making extravagant claims on innate differences between groups, and individuals.

    The burden of my efforts, Panda, is precisely to return IQ to the modest confines of what can be supported by evidence, and cease from describing speculation, interpretation, and emotion-based assertion, as hard science.

    However, we also know that according to stats IQ highly correlates with life-long success results and a whole host of other important issues with some being as critical as survival or extinction.

     

    That is not in dispute. It is the illegitimate interprettions of the significance of this fact that are, as well as the unfounded assumption that the arrow of causality runs from IQ towards success.

    since we can reasonablely assume that all humans during our life-time, at all times, have our utmost desires, motivations, and wants that each of our individual brains can gather together, willing to make the utmost sacrifices, exert the utmost effort, towards the ultimate goals of to be alive, to survive and to survive better, regardless how “dumb” or how “smart”he/she could be , can’t we? ,
     
    Tendentious, as you well know.

    IQ has little to do with survival. African bushman are supremely adapted to survival.

    IQ is corelated with success in a modern industrial society - and the distinctive feature of modern society is the desire for power well beyond the limited needs of survival.

    As for "better" survival, this betrays the depths to which you have assimilated the hidden assumptions of modernity. Traditional societies strove for contentment and sufficiency, not ceaseless improvement.

    They would work till they had enough, and stop.

    African bushman, to this day, cease gathering food once they have enough for the day, which takes only a few hours, despite seemingly living on the very margins of survival, and an abundance of food left in the fields, and many hours left in the day.

    Your own ancestors, Panda, expressed frequent hostility towards technological improvements, and often nipped innovation in the bud.

    There is a legend that the Chinese invented flying machines, only to destroy it as pointless. True or not, it expresses the traditional mindset superbly.

    The notion of ceaseless (physical, material) improvement, beyond necessity, was a striking innovation of modernity, and has become lost to our view as another hidden assumption.

    Far from being a human universal, it had its origin in time and place, and cries out for explanation, as being unnatural to humans.

    therefore we can reasonablely deduct that IQ can be highly positively correlated with motivations in the very first place. It makes measuing motivation on a standalone basis more or less irrelevent in the context of both IQ test and innate ability.

     

    Perhaps this is progress that you concede this much, although I note you are only prepared to do so on the assumption that motivation is a human constant.

    But alas, that is unscientific, and cannot be maintained.

    While mere survival, up to a point, may reasonably be regarded as a human constant - but only up a point, because history shows striking variance in the importance of survival between groups snd individuals, so much so, perhaps, that I am tempted to withdraw my initial assent. Some groups have chosen suicide over slavery, and have fought to the last man. Others have not. But let it stand - we are talking of something well beyond mere survival.

    In modern society, we see some people expend enormous amounts of energy to amass power, wealth, and status, while others remain indifferent.

    Clearly, motivation, beyond survival, admits of enormous variation in degrees.

    In short: your “motivation”, “creativity”, “emotional ability”, “personal skills”, and whatever that comes out of your innate grey matters, unless they hide and grow inside knees of course(still innate though!), will be ultimately reflected at their utmost in your survival grande finale to be a successfully living and breathing organism. And that finale is highly correlate with IQ.
     
    You have conspicuously failed to demonstate this proposition beyond reasonable dispute, but at any rate, one cannot claim this as scientific fact.

    At best, it is interpretation, dubious and highly partisan in nature.

    But where it is no longer a question of scientific fact, let each decide for himself.

    So it is progress, at least, that we have drawn clear lines around what is science here, and what conjecture.

    End of story?
     
    If your thirst for understanding is quenched, them yes, my friend.

    Replies: @Talha, @PandaAtWar

  • They merely exclude from consideration all variables they cannot control for.

    The possibility that no one, even the god, can exclude all variables doesn’t mean nothing is deductible and nothing is meaningful.

    Tell me, Panda, why must we exclude motivation from consideration?

    1. define motivation (needless to add that you would insist taking consideration of all external variables when defining it, wouldn’t you? lol)

    2.how do you know that motivation is not excluded from consideration?

    • Replies: @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    The possibility that no one, even the god, can exclude all variables doesn’t mean nothing is deductible and nothing is meaningful.
     
    I never said nothing is deducible or meaningful unless we exclude all variables.

    I am arguing against a specific claim, no more.

    The claim that IQ isolates and measures innate cognitive ability, rather than a compound of ability and mental and emotional factors, and can serve as the basis for determining innate ability between groups or individuals.

    I am pointing out that this rests on a hidden assumption, for which evidence is lacking, and which is prima facie implausible - that all humans, at all times, have the exact same desires, motivations, and wants, and are willing to make the same sacrifices, exert the same effort, towards the same goals.

    The assumption that everyone really wants the glories of our wonderful civilization may come easily to our complacent and self-assured modern selves, but it is unscientific.

    1) Motivation is the willingness to exert effort towards the achievement of a particular goal - clear enough?

    And yes, any analysis of motivation would have to rest on the assumption that it is heavily influenced by external factors.

    2. Because I have read the psychometric literature, and discussed it extensively with advocates of IQ theory.

    Some, in fact, do consider motivation, although most do not, but never with any scientific rigor, and as a mere formality.
  • @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Pandas are cute and cuddly creatures, universally beloved by the world so one does not like to disagree with them.

    However, you have not given any solid proof for your position - nor can you unless you have historical records of IQ tests.

    The appearance of men like Confucius (who may or may not have been a Divinely-guided figure from our perspective) are black swan events that change the course of history for mankind. Adherence to his advice for running societies and putting the right kind of people in positions of authority to produce benefit for the people, could easily have been the catalyst for the results you see today that sets East Asia apart from the world.

    My position is also speculative since I don’t have hard data, but so is yours.

    Also, being a panda at war, you may want to encourage people to donate to a noble cause:
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sHY_xOj2M_g

    Peace.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    The appearance of men like Confucius (who may or may not have been a Divinely-guided figure from our perspective) are black swan events that change the course of history for mankind. Adherence to his advice for running societies and putting the right kind of people in positions of authority to produce benefit for the people, could easily have been the catalyst for the results you see today that sets East Asia apart from the world.

    But it seems that China has just been full of “black swans”, all the time, for 2,500 years, to not have ditched Confucius ideals, out of thousands others, but maintained them instead, whereas SS Afirca has not had a single “black swan”, in the contrary, to have built a single non-mud 2-story building with a balcony in the said period? Why is that?

    Oh btw, perhaps you may want to have a word with AaronB on what are “black”and “swan” after all? He has a strong opinion about them.

    • Replies: @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Hey Panda,

    I don't think you get the idea of a "black swan" event; one is all you need. If a Confucius-type figure didn't arise in Sub-Saharan Africa, where are they supposed to find these ideals? Would the Chinese civilization have been the same without him?


    Why is that?
     
    I don't know, you can ask them if they wanted to. I don't like balconies much, I won't have spent much effort of developing them. They are hardly the only people to not have built large buildings. Apparently indigenous Americans of the North and South variety are plenty of IQ points above Sub-Saharan Africans:
    http://www.vdare.com/articles/indians-arent-that-intelligent-on-average

    So why were some of them building enormous pyramids and some of them lived a fairly basic nomadic and hunter-gatherer existence?

    Compare Mongolia (with an impressive national IQ) with China. Right next door - why didn't they have a similar path of development? Why was their black-swan event the Great Khan and not some wise philosopher? Why didn't we see advanced civilization there when compared to Persia? The spread is 16 IQ points - what gives? They are also heads and tails above Indonesia - have you seen the pre-Islamic Buddhist temples they built on Java?

    These are the question Mr. Reed is asking in this article. The answers are obviously not linearly connected to IQ.

    Peace.

  • @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    Then we don’t know the innate ability of water, ice, wood, oxygen, and {whatever elements and living organisms in nature you want to plug in here} , only know their manifested ability, right?
     
    Now you ate starting your get it, Panda. Its elementary science, and elementary philosophy.

    All knowledge is only of the world of phenomena.

    We can only know water as it manifests in the world of phenomena, where it is necessarily conditionedby other factors like temperature, atmosphere, and interaction with physical objects (like it's container).

    We can never know water in its "innate state" - every time we observe water, we observe it as conditioned by other factors like temperature, etc.

    Similarly with IQ, we can only observe it when it is conditioned by other factors, like motivation, mental state, physical conditions, etc.

    We can never catch it in its "pure" form.

    In your logic, the very word “human” itself is in deep sh!t as well, as the innate ability of human ( “we can’t measure thus don’t know”as you stated) could actually be 100X lower than wild monkeys, which by definition makes you innately non-human, right?… is this what you try to argue?
     
    I understand your extreme agitation at having encountered for the first time the insights of Kant (troubling, I know, although this philosophy was long known in ancient Asia), bit excitement distorts thinking.

    "Human" is a term applied to observed phenomena, that's all. Of course we cannot observe the "essence" of a human, or whether humans and monkeys have different "essences".

    Many Eastern philosophies indeed claim that behind phenomena all is One.

    Modern science is gradually catching up to these these insights (see quantum physics), and Western philosophy reached them by the 19th century. Although Christian mystics, and some ancient philosophers, even before.

    As for the IQ of monkeys, as Montaigne said, "when I play with my cat, how do I know my cat doesn't play with me?"

    Panda, in your zeal to win the approval of Westerners you neglect the rich and subtle thought of your ancestors.

    But we have traveled too far afield, Panda - when it comes to science, no scientist thinks we can capture things in their "pure state", uncnditioned by other factors external to it.

    Why do some make an exception for IQ? The answer is clear - it is not science, but a political device our elites are quite happy to utilize.

    Replies: @edNels, @Anonymous, @PandaAtWar

    Panda, in your zeal to win the approval of Westerners you neglect the rich and subtle thought of your ancestors.

    Horse, in your zeal to win the approval of Panda you neglect the rich and subtle thought of your ancestors – don’t run on the wrong side of the river! lol

    Why do some make an exception for IQ? The answer is clear – it is not science, but a political device our elites are quite happy to utilize.

    But didn’t you say that “science” can’t be clearly defined, nor can “political device” and “elites”, let alone “happy”?

    Who just stated “similarly with IQ, we can only observe it when it is conditioned by other factors, like motivation, mental state, physical conditions, etc.”?

    So how do you know the “science” you referred to is true or false?
    the “device” is a real thing?
    Define “political”?
    there are people who are “elites” and you’re not one of them when you’re sad instead of “happy”?
    And what is “people”, btw?

    and how to define “sad” as it is not “innate”, which of course is another “puzzle” altogether?
    or can “puzzle” really be a form of “mental state”?
    what is “mental state” anyway? …

    yeah, now you are starting to get it?

    or are you sure you are “you”?… lamo

    • Replies: @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar

    Very well, Panda, let us take a step back.

    To use your example - water. We never observe water when it is unaffected by factors external to it, like temperature, etc.

    I am sure you would agree with this?

    If so, why do you assume we can observe IQ when it is unaffected by factors external to it, like motivation, mental state, etc?

    From a purely scientific point of view, there seems no reason to think so.

    Even scientists agree we cannot observe innate ability directly, but only deduce it by controlling for all variables.

    They merely exclude from consideration all variables they cannot control for.

    That is their sleight of hand.

    Tell me, Panda, why must we exclude motivation from consideration?

    But I do not expect an answer from you, because your emotional biases are making you far stupider than you need be, and unable to see what is plainly in front of your nose.

    Unfortunately, like many Chinese today you are in a will-to-power phase - which means you are more interested in social "victories" than genuine understanding, and argue with rhetoric rather than logic, like Jews.

    May you and your people swiftly overcome this terrible disease, and return to wisdom.

  • “Innate ability” can never be observed, hence it cannot be measured. Science can observe, and measure, only “manifested ability”.
    .

    rofl

    Then we don’t know the innate ability of water, ice, wood, oxygen, and {whatever elements and living organisms in nature you want to plug in here} , only know their manifested ability, right?

    If you play this kind of words game, then the humans know nothing, and can not say anything, let alone formulating any natural law or theory, right?

    In your logic, the very word “human” itself is in deep sh!t as well, as the innate ability of human ( “we can’t measure thus don’t know”as you stated) could actually be 100X lower than wild monkeys, which by definition makes you innately non-human, right?… is this what you try to argue?

    • Replies: @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    Then we don’t know the innate ability of water, ice, wood, oxygen, and {whatever elements and living organisms in nature you want to plug in here} , only know their manifested ability, right?
     
    Now you ate starting your get it, Panda. Its elementary science, and elementary philosophy.

    All knowledge is only of the world of phenomena.

    We can only know water as it manifests in the world of phenomena, where it is necessarily conditionedby other factors like temperature, atmosphere, and interaction with physical objects (like it's container).

    We can never know water in its "innate state" - every time we observe water, we observe it as conditioned by other factors like temperature, etc.

    Similarly with IQ, we can only observe it when it is conditioned by other factors, like motivation, mental state, physical conditions, etc.

    We can never catch it in its "pure" form.

    In your logic, the very word “human” itself is in deep sh!t as well, as the innate ability of human ( “we can’t measure thus don’t know”as you stated) could actually be 100X lower than wild monkeys, which by definition makes you innately non-human, right?… is this what you try to argue?
     
    I understand your extreme agitation at having encountered for the first time the insights of Kant (troubling, I know, although this philosophy was long known in ancient Asia), bit excitement distorts thinking.

    "Human" is a term applied to observed phenomena, that's all. Of course we cannot observe the "essence" of a human, or whether humans and monkeys have different "essences".

    Many Eastern philosophies indeed claim that behind phenomena all is One.

    Modern science is gradually catching up to these these insights (see quantum physics), and Western philosophy reached them by the 19th century. Although Christian mystics, and some ancient philosophers, even before.

    As for the IQ of monkeys, as Montaigne said, "when I play with my cat, how do I know my cat doesn't play with me?"

    Panda, in your zeal to win the approval of Westerners you neglect the rich and subtle thought of your ancestors.

    But we have traveled too far afield, Panda - when it comes to science, no scientist thinks we can capture things in their "pure state", uncnditioned by other factors external to it.

    Why do some make an exception for IQ? The answer is clear - it is not science, but a political device our elites are quite happy to utilize.

    Replies: @edNels, @Anonymous, @PandaAtWar

  • @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Hey Panda,

    What came first? Which influenced which with regard to IQ and Confucian culture? How can you prove it?

    Peace.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    IQ first of course, then culture.

    Panda, for one, is a living proof!

    • Replies: @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Pandas are cute and cuddly creatures, universally beloved by the world so one does not like to disagree with them.

    However, you have not given any solid proof for your position - nor can you unless you have historical records of IQ tests.

    The appearance of men like Confucius (who may or may not have been a Divinely-guided figure from our perspective) are black swan events that change the course of history for mankind. Adherence to his advice for running societies and putting the right kind of people in positions of authority to produce benefit for the people, could easily have been the catalyst for the results you see today that sets East Asia apart from the world.

    My position is also speculative since I don’t have hard data, but so is yours.

    Also, being a panda at war, you may want to encourage people to donate to a noble cause:
    https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=sHY_xOj2M_g

    Peace.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    Yet more often than not, the ones with high natural ability show even more personal efforts (e.g. motivation, diligence, etc) than the ones with low natural ability.
     
    Ha! Here we go again :)

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Sorry but who could resist it? lol

    Higher IQ people, on average, possess and exhibit more intellectual curiosity hence have stronger motivations to stick around a subject in hand, in order to satisfy the higher demand of stimulus of our larger and more efficient brains. This is pure physical.

    Larger and more efficient brains in turn make it natural and easier to highly concentrate on a subject/an activity of interest for a sustained longer period of time, aka diligence.

    Confucius ideals of s ceaseless self-cultivation, life-time motivation, and studious diligence, were born, and have been maintained as the core social values for millennia in China-centred East Asia instead of Sub-Sahara Africa for a reason, after all. Enlighten Panda what that reason might be?

    • Replies: @Talha
    @PandaAtWar

    Hey Panda,

    What came first? Which influenced which with regard to IQ and Confucian culture? How can you prove it?

    Peace.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    , @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    Confucius ideals of s ceaseless self-cultivation, life-time motivation, and studious diligence, were born, and have been maintained as the core social values for millennia in China-centred East Asia instead of Sub-Sahara Africa for a reason, after all. Enlighten Panda what that reason might be?
     
    Ah, my dear Panda, this is precisely the question that I have been asking, in one form or another, this entire time!

    A minute analysis of the terms of the question shows that it cannot, in principle, be answered.

    The logic is quite inescapable, my dear Panda.

    "Innate ability" can never be observed, hence it cannot be measured. Science can observe, and measure, only "manifested ability".

    Which is a compound entity, formed by the coming together of many psycho-emotional elements.

    I am afraid, Panda, that you have allowed yourself to remain content with assumption, and have not carried your analysis into the very marrow of the question.

    "Innate ability", it is now clear, must take its place on the trash-heap of discarded scientific ideas, ideas which once seemed compelling, but which time has revealed as naive simplifications.

    We must take our cue from the great Kant, Panda, whose subtle lessons we must rescue from cultural amnesia again and again -

    "Innate ability", Panda, is a noumenon, and science can only measure the phenomenon.

    Well, Panda!

    We have learned a lesson, have we not. Behind us is the naivete of youth. Our thought has reached maturity.

    No longer are we blind to the vain imaginings that posseses our minds as soon as it is no longer a question of designing a plane, a train, or a car.

    Replies: @Santoculto

  • @FKA Max
    @FKA Max

    Typo: If East Asians were not such hard-working students https://www.unz.com/freed/fun-with-iq-deep-thought/#comment-2095195 and were not performing so well on standardized IQ tests due to their studying habits *then* the global correlation between IQ and population COMT Met allele frequencies would be even higher, in my opinion

    I came across this curious video:

    Is China A Low IQ Society?

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=kY9XHd1ExYo

    US Wall Street Journal recently published an article "Will China Go to A Low IQ Society?" It mentions that many Chinese have high IQs as individuals, but the collective IQ of Chinese people is worrying.

    I googled this WSJ article but it does not seem to exist.

    Then I found this article:

    Literary push can save us from low-IQ society


    But this statement is nowhere to be found in Ohmae's book. It was made up to make a point by people online. Yet, at the same time, it reflects real fears about the level of intellectual curiosity and general literacy in modern China.
    If we look at statistics around literature, it does look as though China is sinking into the "low-IQ society." In 2010, each person in China read, on average, 4.25 books, less than half the number in developed countries. In Israel, Denmark, and Sweden, the number of books read per capita annually is 40 or 50.
    [...]
    The lack of creativity is China's great hidden flaw that prevents us from joining the ranks of developed nations. There are many reasons for it, but one clear cause is our lack of reading. Creativity doesn't grow on trees, but takes hard work, study, and absorbing the works of others.

    It's not an easy matter to change the public's reading habits.
    [...]
    More time in education means better reading habits, which China needs to cultivate its potential creativity and move into the ranks of developed nations.

    As long as China doesn't fall short in education, fears of it becoming a "low IQ society" will remain unrealized.
     

    - http://www.globaltimes.cn/content/662400.shtml

    But according to these numbers the Chinese are among the groups/countries who/which read the most:

    Which countries read the most?

    http://infographic.statista.com/normal/chartoftheday_6125_which_countries_read_the_most_n.jpg

    Source: https://www.statista.com/chart/6125/which-countries-read-the-most/

    Either the Chinese are really, really slow readers since they read on average 8 hours per week, but according to the above article they only read on average 4.25 books per year, or alternatively Chinese books are extremely long, and European books are very short and/or Europeans are speed readers ;-)

    The other, probably more plausible, explanation is that this is simply Chinese Communist Party propaganda to encourage Chinese citizens to read and study even more and harder than they already do.

    It is likely the latter since the above article was published in the Global Times https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Global_Times

    Inside the Global Times, China’s hawkish, belligerent state tabloid


    China’s most belligerent tabloid, the Global Times, is certainly a one-of-a-kind publication. The Chinese- and English-language news outlet is published by the ruling Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) paramount mouthpiece, the People’s Daily, but it goes much further than China’s typically stodgy state news. The Global Times is best known for its hawkish, insulting editorials—aggressive attacks that get it noticed, and quoted, by foreign media around the world as the “voice” of Beijing, even as the party’s official statements are more circumspect.

    That’s not exactly a mistake, the paper’s longtime editor says.

    The Global Times often reflects what party officials are actually thinking, but can’t come out and say, editor-in-chief Hu Xijin explained during a long interview with Quartz in his drab Beijing office in the People’s Daily compound. As a former army officer and current party member, Hu said, he often hangs out with officials from the foreign ministry and the security department, and they share the same sentiments and values that his paper publishes. “They can’t speak willfully, but I can,” he said.
     

    - https://qz.com/745577/inside-the-global-times-chinas-hawkish-belligerent-state-tabloid/

    Jin Li, professor of education at Brown University https://vivo.brown.edu/display/jili and author of Cultural Foundations of Learning, asserts that Asian parents tend to believe more in nurture than in nature, or in other words, they value effort over ability. – p.149 Beyond the Tiger Mom: East-West Parenting for the Global Age By Maya Thiagarajan - https://www.unz.com/jthompson/boost-your-iq/#comment-2078716

    Replies: @AaronB, @PandaAtWar

    Asian parents tend to believe more in nurture than in nature, or in other words, they value effort over ability .

    Wrong.

    East Asian parents tend to believe in nature the most, with nurture as an indispensable part to either compensate a little bit or safeguard the former.

    The Chinese value the final ability the most regardless how one gets it.

    Yet more often than not, the ones with high natural ability show even more personal efforts (e.g. motivation, diligence, etc) than the ones with low natural ability.

    Towards someone who obviously lacks natural ability yet shows much personal efforts, however, the Chinese culture values and appreciates it over someone who has apparent high natural ability yet shows little efforts to better oneself . In this case, value something over another thing is entirely a different proposition from natural ability or the lackof. The Chinese indeed are valuing humbleness & diligence of the former over the underlying arrogance & laziness of the latter.

    • Replies: @AaronB
    @PandaAtWar


    Yet more often than not, the ones with high natural ability show even more personal efforts (e.g. motivation, diligence, etc) than the ones with low natural ability.
     
    Ha! Here we go again :)

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    , @Anonymous
    @PandaAtWar

    Great post.

    , @FKA Max
    @PandaAtWar

    Completely agree.

    Thank you very much for pointing this out, and for highlighting and clarifying this for us (clueless) Westerners, Mr. Panda.

    China’s soft power comes with a very hard edge


    No animal in the world is more adored than the giant panda. There is a reason: the panda’s proportions — short fat limbs, oversized heads and big eyepatches — trigger the same neural reaction in us as the sight of human babies.
     
    - https://www.ft.com/content/ae476228-bfea-11e7-b8a3-38a6e068f464

    Pandas: clever or stupid?
    Faking pregnancies to get treats, holding out for panda porn, music and air conditioning. Could pandas be the smartest of them all?

    A panda has apparently displayed unprecedented levels of cunning in faking a pregnancy to get herself more buns, fruit and bamboo rations.
     
    - http://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/earth/wildlife/11061102/Pandas-clever-or-stupid.html

    The truth about giant pandas

    Reputation: Giant pandas are cute and harmless, with an amusing habit of sneezing. But their insistence on eating bamboo is dumb and they are rubbish at sex, so they deserve to go extinct. Except, of course, those proficient in kung fu.

    Reality: They are cute, for sure. But don't go in for a cuddle; pandas can deliver one heck of a bite. Eating bamboo is a blinding evolutionary strategy. They have an intense and productive sex drive. They do not deserve to go extinct.

    There is a lot of confusion about giant pandas, possibly more than any other species alive. This is because of the absolutely massive symbolic, political and economic baggage that is heaped on captive pandas. This burden far outweighs what we really know about this species in the wild.
    [...]
    It turns out that threesome or more-somes are pretty standard for giant pandas in the wild, an arrangement that would be hard to replicate in any zoo. In just over three hours, Schaller recorded the large male mating with Zhen-Zhen at least 48 times, roughly once every three minutes. This is way more sex than most humans get in a year.
     
    - http://www.bbc.com/earth/story/20150310-the-truth-about-giant-pandas
  • Guangzhou, China (/r/Cyberpunk) Some time ago a commenter asked me about the state of China Studies in Russia, an issue that is pretty germane as they increasingly align with each other. TL;DR - Catastrophic. Simply put, Russia does not have the cognitive tools to understand the country that Kremlin talking points describe as Russia’s "strategic...
  • @Sergey Krieger
    @Third world nationalist

    Compare those from say Beijing, Chongqing and Guangzhou. Not only they speak different languages/ dialects but even look differently. Still everyone considers himself Han Chinese. Fascinating.

    Replies: @Third world nationalist, @PandaAtWar

    Fascinating? Now you compare those from say Budapest, Copenhagen, Genoa and Marseille, not only they speak different languages by all means, not even dialects for Maria’s sake, but even look differently. Still everyone considers himself European, or “White”. Errr…repellently enchanting, isn’t it?

    • Replies: @German_reader
    @PandaAtWar


    Still everyone considers himself European, or “White”.
     
    Primary focus of self-identification for most Europeans is their own nation, or sometimes maybe even just region, a sense of pan-European identity does exist to some extent, but is much, much weaker and often left unspoken nowadays (since it excludes a lot of "new Europeans"). I'd suppose Chinese identity, with its millennia-old tradition of being unified in a single state (temporary divisions notwithstanding), is a lot stronger and more uncontroversial.
  • @Third world nationalist
    @Duke of Qin

    This is suprising. I'm a of southern descent and i always thought that northeners looked very different. Living in Singapore i can tell the mainlanders out just by looks.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Sergey Krieger

    The notion that “Han Chinese are formed by 2 quite distinct clusters of Northerners and Southerners” is lazily misleading hence largely wrong. What is “North” and what is defined as “South”?

    Many good studies have strongly suggest that Han Chinese population is clearly characterized by a continuous genetic gradient along a north-south geographical axis, rather than a distinct clustering of “northern” and “southern” samples.

    This quite fits with the fact of constant large waves of Han Chinese migrations towards the south and integrations among themselves in the last 2 millennia, so much so to such a degree that there’s no much difference among the average Northern” Han from north most point of Heilongjiang province today, “Southern” Han from Sichuan, and even more typical “Southern” Han from southern Hunan province where Chairman Mao came from. (for instance, does Mao look like a “Northern Han” or “Southern Han” to you ?)

    Thus Han Chinese are indeed quite homogeneous in most Han heartlands except China’s far southern frontiers noticeably 3 regions – Guangxi province, Guangdong Province (mainly by Cantonese, Hakka, and Teochew people) and mountainous Fujian Province(mainly by Hakka people, etc).

    Traditionally both Guangdong and Fujian are have been 2 single largest sources for perhaps over 95% of overseas Chinese populations around the world in SE Asia(inc. Singapore), North America and Europe, who have given the world the first, yet a bit misleading, impression that they are the average (Han) Chinese. Genetically they are defined as Han Chinese , yet the least typical.

    So Duke and Qin is quite right. You are also right, if you define “Southerners” mainly as people speaking Cantonese, Hakka, and Teochew dialects originally from Guangxi, Guangdong and Fujian provinces (note that we’re talking about average here, so even in these 3 provinces, you still can easily find nowadays many very “Northern” Han – both genetically and by looking – since their forefathers just haven’t had enough time to intermingle with the average locals yet).

    • Replies: @Third world nationalist
    @PandaAtWar

    Thanks for the in depth reply. Goes quite well with what Razib Khan has said about Chinese genetics. I'm Hainanese patri linearly, we have the most austro asiatic look compared to other Chinese. The rapper Namewee has this type of distinct look, contrast this to Wang Lee Hom in the video below.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=qIF8xvSA0Gw

  • It is usual to distinguish between biological and machine intelligence, and for good reason: organisms have interacted with the world for millennia and survived, machines are a recent human construction, and until recently there was no reason to consider them capable of intelligent behaviour. Computers changed the picture somewhat, but until very recently artificial intelligence...
  • Panda just can’t believe so much BS here. Current artificial intelligence is primitive to say the best.

    There are no rules in the real world where AI isn’t operating in, except the rule of self-seeking and maintaining energy sources in the most efficient way possible to eliminate the both ends of the extreme, which the current AI has absolutely no clue of.

  • Once upon a time in America the ruling dwarves, mostly psychologists, sociologists, academics, and suchlike riffraff, held that all people were equal in everything, that men and women were identical, as were all races, ethnic groups, and cultures. Criticizing any of this could, and did, lead to firing, ostracism, and having to suffer crowds of...
  • @Mao Cheng Ji
    IQ test can be useful for determining if the individual being tested is likely to be suitable for performing specific work.

    The concept of average (or mean) IQ of large groups of people is devoid of any meaning.

    Replies: @Anatoly Karlin, @PandaAtWar, @Third world nationalist

    Another proof that the Chinese are the God after all. With 1.4 billion, we do have our fair of share of stupidity.

    • Replies: @Achmed E. Newman
    @PandaAtWar


    ... we do have our fair of share of stupidity.
     
    Yeah, but, as a society they have not peaked yet. Western societies are very near Peak Stupidity, pretty much within a decade of some sort of world global-maximum. I could show you some 4-D graphs with grid-lines upon which moving green/yellow/red* zones pulsate rhythmically over time with circles and arrows, but the paper hasn't been completely peer-reviewed yet, as most of the reviewers live in the red zones.
    .
    .
    .

    green = Good (Average IQ's, common-sense prevailing - a negligible portion of the land area, totaling about the size of western Krakatoa.)

    yellow = Caution Area (Mix of high and low IQ's, general light dingbattery with a significant chance of latent-onset imbecility - size is roughly equal to the part of Asia where the Orientals live, oh, the Orient!)

    red = Danger (High IQ's, extreme stupidity prevalent trending toward flat-out moronicity. Has been asymptotically approaching a peak from they year 1965 onwards.)
  • @Priss Factor
    IQ 83. Meso-American Indians, more specifically purebred Mexican Indians, are said to have a mean IQ of 83. This is observationally plausible. Today they seem intellectually dormant.
    IQ 84. Colombia, mean IQ 84, runs modern cities, airlines, telecommunications, and other trappings of modernity.
    IQ 85. American blacks. They are thought in the hbd world to be unable to do things that Colombians do routinely, yet they have a higher IQ than Colombians..
    IQ 86. Ireland was long said by IQists to have this intelligence, odd in a white European nation, but was later promoted to 100, with some authorities averaging the two to get 93.


    In the case of Mexico and Colombia's modern economies, focusing on mean IQ misses the point. The fact is they have a good number of European or mostly European-blooded people. It's like South Africa under white rule. Though the mean IQ was low since blacks were the solid majority, things got done and a modern economy was maintained because whites led it. Whites did the brain power while blacks supplied labor. It's like this. Imagine a farm with 10 people and 50 cows. Suppose the IQ of humans is 100 while the IQ of cows is 20. The average is pretty low because cows are dumb, but if humans lead, they can direct the cows to plow the soil and do physical stuff.

    This goes for Israel too. Israeli average IQ isn't high because Sephardic Jews are less intelligent than Ashkenazim, and also, Israel has a sizable Arab population. But at the top, there are lots of smart Ashkenazi Jews and they run much of everything and direct the less intelligent members of society to work productively.

    Now, I don't believe Meso IQ is that low. It may be lower than white or East Asian, but the low showings probably owe to lack of schooling, diet, or lack of cultural respect for learning. Environmental factors and cultural stimulation will raise IQ points somewhat.
    So, if those kids could be fed and schooled better, they would likely to better. So, maybe 95 than 85.

    American black IQ may be higher than Meso IQ because so much more money is spent on black students in America. How much is spent on education of Meso in Colombia or Mexico? Not much. But tons of money is spent on the Negroes, and that surely has some impact, even though Negroes would rather jive than study. Also, Negroes eat well, so their brains do develop.

    Anyway, even if Meso and Negro IQ were the same -- 85 --, the reason why Meso achieved more in civilization-building is because they lack the Bongo. Negroes got the Bongo gene that makes them jive, shuck, boogie, and chuck spears 24/7. So, they are less likely to cooperate. In some ways, this was good because Negroes were less likely to be slavish and take shi* from others. In contrast, Mesos were more likely to be servile like Japanese. After all, Mesos and East Asians are related. Servility may not be an attractive trait, but such people are easier to use and train.
    I mean if a US company wanted to hire workers, it'd do better with Mesos than with blacks even if both got 85 IQ. Mesos will say 'Si senor' and do real work whereas too many Negroes will be like, 'man, what is dis shi* dey's makin' me do?"

    As for the Irish, they were probably drunk or bellyaching from consuming too many potatoes. That explains why they did poorly in the past. Also, the Irish were not taught to think but to fight and sing(songs like Danny Boy). So, they weren't used to sitting down and taking exams. They didn't have British manners and disciple. And being paranoid of the Anglos, they thought IQ tests were designed to collect information on the tater-munchers.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @lavoisier, @RaceRealist88, @Erik Sieven

    It seems that Rushton in his late years(and/or Lynn? )has revised the avg of American Black IQ from 85 to 78, since they had overestimated the race-mixed portion.

    Meso 85 vs Negroes 78 perhaps makes more sense from the way how they collectively build a society.

    • Replies: @Anonymous
    @PandaAtWar

    Also important to remember that there’s substantial regional variation in negro IQ. The national average of 85 would be a blessing in long-suffering Baltimore - where the indigenous rape-apes clock in at only 76.

  • Haha, Fred Reed is, as always, fish-baiting:

    there’s no stupid after all,

    only stupider…

    as this thread has shown thus far, and will show when afroarmy arrives. rofl

  • It is usual to distinguish between biological and machine intelligence, and for good reason: organisms have interacted with the world for millennia and survived, machines are a recent human construction, and until recently there was no reason to consider them capable of intelligent behaviour. Computers changed the picture somewhat, but until very recently artificial intelligence...
  • Several points from Panda:

    1.

    …Byron’s lament:

    When one subtracts from life infancy (which is vegetation), sleep, eating and swilling, buttoning and unbuttoning – how much remains of downright existence? The summer of a dormouse.

    Right, yet based on many downright assumptions. As sciences progress, many currently seemingly a total “waste of time” and “inactivities”of brains may be proven wrong. e.g. brains really “sleep” while doing nothing constructive?

    2. A key aspect of the ultimate process of man vs machines (e.g. masters vs alphaGo) is the competition of energies, hence it is an one-sided unfair game to even start with.

    Machines theoritically can use unlimited energy(imagine how further it can go if plug AlphaGo into the world’s #1 supercomputer in China?), and cost-free…

    …whereas as a natural system human brain of a Go master commandd energies that are 1) limited, and 2) cost dearly

    It’s like putting a v12, or V-whatever-unlimited, engine hoursepower Ferrari and a 1.15 litre 60 hp Renault Twingo on a race track, a very fair comparison?

    3. Machines such as AlphaGo, or any man-made machine, can not be truly called intelligent if you look from the angle of the rules of the system. Machine programming requires many rules and boundaries set by the human programmers as we all know. So from this angle, ultimately it will still be a comparablely dumb machine if it can not automatically ignore programming boundaries set by humans.

    However, if, for whatever purposes, machines themselves eventually jumping beyond the pre-fixed programming boundaries becomes a fact (including self-seeking energy sources for survival – pretty hauting huh? but crucial! ),

    then 2 things happen: 1) machines can then be truly called intelligent (in the sense as intelligent humans) , and 2) being a comparablely redundent species humans will loss our evolutionary edge and cease to exist, or at best at mercy of these machines…

    …this 2), on the other hand, seems to be a quite unique phenominon in its own right, and against nature by default, doesn’t it? hence Panda doubts it could and will happen. Does nature have any precedence where one species deliberatedly set up another species to eliminate themsevels just for the purpose of , errr… self-entertainment? So it most likely won’t happen. If that were the case, then for one reason or another, humans will not allow machines to make this decision in the first place by setting the boundaries, which by definition means that these machines will never achieve the human-like intelligence after all, won’t they?

    4. Take Go as an example, under its game rules, it largely tests memory (quantity , accuracy, etc) and calculations (logic, speed, etc). Of course humans gonna loss against AlphaGo eventually (if the programming are decently done), as we fought that out at the dawn of the first computer decades ago. Now here is the gist, if this win proves something intelligent, as people are all talking about, then prehaps we’ll have to be forced to take a more serious look at the current contents of IQ test, because AlphaGo’s win represents an obvious logical dilemma here:

    Can a less intelligent (proved by IQ test, and Go) being such as humans design to make a more intelligent (proved by Go, and hence most likely IQ test) being such as AlphaGo? In other words, can ants design to make humans? If this is not a logical case, then current IQ test must have missed something, as Panda suspects long ago, something that won’t affect too much the general of the IQ findings(becasue those finding are statistically significant) but still crucial, something that goes beyond the parts of both verbal IQ and spatial IQ!

  • The Atlantic asks about extra-terrestrials: At a 13-course banquet in Shanghai, billionaires looking for a cure for impotence eat them?
  • #13th got to be “Sweet & Sour Orion Penis with two StarEggs”

  • (Lumpen Capitalism refers to an economic system in which the financial and military sector exploits the state treasury and productive economy for the 1% of the population.) Introduction US journalists and commentators, politicians and Sinologists spend considerable time and space speculating on the personality of China’s President Xi Jinping and his appointments to the leading...
  • @polaco
    @PandaAtWar

    In terms of living standards the US is quite low for a major power, if one only looks at whites it may not be that bad, so are you talking about that or military strength, or that the US is the largest and strongest economy currently. Politicians explain themselves in one way or another when they want to do something major, to start a war. These wars have nothing to do with living standards and "ways of life". Why has China risen so rapidly if the US is fighting tooth and nail to prevent that. American companies have been investing in China big time, not pulling out. When Nixon persuaded the Saudis to only accept the dollar in 1973, the US was already past its prime of the 50's and 60's. Even in the 70's when Americans showed up as tourists in Europe they could easily afford much luxury, not so much anymore. How did that happen if they supposedly control the world. These politicians are so incompetent they don't see anything coming, they may try to react when things are obvious but the US will not be able to prevent the rise of China, or anybody else. The British were afraid of Germany rising before WWI, yet capital fled Europe to the US between and after both world wars and the British empire was finished. Historically every country used its military to ensure its domination and economic interests and it's better not to be on the receiving end. America's greatness has not been thanks to politicians, but they helped to destroy it, capital will go where it's treated best. And sure, a small country can't compete with one with a large economy for world reserve currency status, but it can have a high standard of living. If the EU thought the euro out better, it could compete with the dollar, but Europe would have to be one country for that to happen and issue common debt. And the debt market thwarts the oil trade by a huge margin.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    You’re way too pessimistic. American avg living standard is still very high and you don’t realise it: even for the average masses, you have very cheap daily expenses ( food, clothes, etc) + clean air + generous avg household living space… in comparison ,for instance, to the the East Asia(let alone others):
    do you know how hard and how long hours average East Asian people work everyday in thier entire life in order to afford a tiny living space, a space their American counterparts would consider a basement corner where they put their suitcases & an old bike from childhood ? A blue collar American worker who got C or less in entire his school years spending much of his time partying enjoying life would earn, quite easily, about the same as an East Asian white collar, who studied so hard & got A in his school years going to a top East Asian university working & saving like no tomorrow every day. Do you think it’s fair? Do you know that in Japan, for instance, even simple fruits like watermelon are so expansive that are sold mostly in carefully-cut small pieces so that avg people could afford, whereas in the US people buy those for dogs?… What causes such differences?

    As Panda mentioned previously, the problem of the US is not wealth, but the way to use it, and fairness of the distribution of it. US elites, as the richest group in entire human history, have been squandering unimaginable wealth for decades when the US was the sole superpower. You just can’t blame others for your own mistakes. Let’s be honest, US wars are not for charity purpose so that China or others could take a free ride, but for world-domination – pure sporting urge for power – due to their obvious nature in controlling even more natural resources and questing insatiable geopolitical & economical advantages. Both US elites and the mass profit from them directly or indirectly: e.g.

    well-oiled trillion dollar defence sector + the freedom of printing wealth 24*7 for luxurious public spending that others can only dream of or have to work extremely hard for. For starters, these are all the benefits for being #1 setting petrodollar system… heck, just imagine what kind of natural advantages and (potential)wealth of even a disadvantaged American of 80IQ with barely any education would have vís-a-vís an 105IQ study-hard work-hard middleclass East Asian? At least the former could teach English aboard in a kindergarden, as many are doing, easily earning the same as the latter, if not more, while sporting much better and relaxed lifestyle. That could be the economic bottom line for the entire far left end of US IQ curve, a pure luxury compared to the rest of world, isn’t it? Why? It’s the #1 position that sets English as the langua franca of the business that the world at large ought to spend a wealth to learn. And you’re still complaining…

  • @edgeslider
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, you are a moron with a sub 85 IQ. Most Chinese are dumb as funk.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    wow, classy!

    Yet you’re premitted by Panda to cry your grey matter out.

    • Replies: @FKA Max
    @PandaAtWar

    Mr. Panda,

    have you seen this article, yet?

    How the panda became China’s diplomatic weapon of choice

    by Jamil Anderlini, Hong Kong https://www.ft.com/comment/columnists/jamil-anderlini https://twitter.com/jamilanderlini

    https://www.ft.com/content/8a04a532-be92-11e7-9836-b25f8adaa111

    The author also narrated this short documentary:

    The end of the Chinese miracle | FT Features

    Published on Mar 9, 2016

    China's economic miracle is under threat from a slowing economy and a dwindling labour force. The FT investigates how the world's most populous country has reached a critical new chapter in its history. Jamil Anderlini narrates.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=t487ILVf87k

    Not entirely surprisingly, the pro-globalization Financial Times is the psychopath's newspaper of choice ;-)

    Kevin Dutton, a psychologist at Oxford, and the author of The Wisdom of Psychopaths, has been gathering data on musical tastes and other preferences for a psychopath study with Channel 4. More than three million people have responded so far, and while online surveys have serious weaknesses, the results so far suggest psychopaths favour rap music over classical and jazz. They also seem more likely to read the Financial Times than other newspapers.
    - https://www.theguardian.com/science/2017/sep/26/playlist-of-the-lambs-psychopaths-prefer-rap-over-classical-music-study-shows

    Xi Jinping delivers robust defence of globalisation at Davos

    The spectacle of a Chinese Communist party leader in the spiritual home of capitalism defending the liberal economic order against the dangers of protectionism from a new US president underscored the upheaval in global affairs brought about by the election of Donald Trump. - https://www.ft.com/content/67ec2ec0-dca2-11e6-9d7c-be108f1c1dce

  • @Achmed E. Newman
    @PandaAtWar


    On the contrary, so-called leaving it to the “market force”, or more voodoo style “invisible hand”, sounds a bit funny from time to time, yet enough to get through those 85 IQers nonetheless.
     
    I don't know if the IQ level to understand market forces, prices as information, and the prosperity that happens when government is restrained, is something you could aspire to, Panda-man. I think it takes an imagination that you don't have to understand freedom.

    What's funny is that the very country you and Mr. Petras are praising here for their economic prowess only got there when government in China was kept from controlling individuals in their, YES, FREE-MARKET business dealings. This started in Guangzhou, Shenzhen etc in the early 1980's due to the fortunate death of the butcher Mao and the wise move of Mr. Deng.

    This whole article is so damn stupid, because nobody would be writing much about China now if they hadn't relaxed the central planning on small business 30-40 years back. It'd still be a black hole otherwise with poverty and starvation that we didn't know the half of, besides - "eat your peas, boy, there are starving children in China!"

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Panda doesn’t know if the IQ level…errr… to understand that there’s no such a thing as perfect market info and flow.

    Perhaps what’s s even more funny is that the prosperity happens when government is restrained, yes, restrained, restrained, restrained, not eliminated, superman.

    Panda isn’t arguing for or against the article, but only on politically-charged words such as “central planning”.

  • @polaco
    @PandaAtWar

    I don't think the US is keeping anybody down in terms of living standards, it even build the Soviet industry according to Anthony Sutton's research, Cuba's unspeakable poverty is not thanks to the US embargo. Japan is a mountainous country where people live packed closely together, they live in different conditions, their culture is different. Norway gave $850M to the Clinton Foundation, then it must be a client state as you call it, yet its standard of living is the highest in the world thanks to the North Sea oil, and low, homogeneous white population. Japan has 25 times the population of Norway, their circumstances are more to blame than the US. Lacking natural resources Japan had no choice and did very well exporting quality manufactured goods. In the 80's economists in the US worried that Japan would overtake America in terms of GDP by the year 2000.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    I don’t think the US is keeping anybody down in terms of living standards,

    Hehe, really? Perhaps you should revisit some geopolitics textbooks.

    A few Switzerlands, Singapores, UAEs here and there don’t matter two hoots to the American elites obviously. The keywords are “major economy”, since those are the ones could have, in the own words of every US presidents & senators, “threaten our way of life” (aka petrodollar system).

    Has it ever occurred to you that world’s #2 economy, no matter which colour that is,
    somehow has always been threatening “American way of life”, and through “unfair means”, and “steal American technologies day and night” of course, not to mention that their currencies were/are “manipulated” and all that crap…

    Japan? Why not read up “Plaza Accord”?

    • Replies: @polaco
    @PandaAtWar

    In terms of living standards the US is quite low for a major power, if one only looks at whites it may not be that bad, so are you talking about that or military strength, or that the US is the largest and strongest economy currently. Politicians explain themselves in one way or another when they want to do something major, to start a war. These wars have nothing to do with living standards and "ways of life". Why has China risen so rapidly if the US is fighting tooth and nail to prevent that. American companies have been investing in China big time, not pulling out. When Nixon persuaded the Saudis to only accept the dollar in 1973, the US was already past its prime of the 50's and 60's. Even in the 70's when Americans showed up as tourists in Europe they could easily afford much luxury, not so much anymore. How did that happen if they supposedly control the world. These politicians are so incompetent they don't see anything coming, they may try to react when things are obvious but the US will not be able to prevent the rise of China, or anybody else. The British were afraid of Germany rising before WWI, yet capital fled Europe to the US between and after both world wars and the British empire was finished. Historically every country used its military to ensure its domination and economic interests and it's better not to be on the receiving end. America's greatness has not been thanks to politicians, but they helped to destroy it, capital will go where it's treated best. And sure, a small country can't compete with one with a large economy for world reserve currency status, but it can have a high standard of living. If the EU thought the euro out better, it could compete with the dollar, but Europe would have to be one country for that to happen and issue common debt. And the debt market thwarts the oil trade by a huge margin.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @edgeslider
    @PandaAtWar

    Your post is muddled up crap. You are equating the brain of one individual with the central planning organ of a government of a giga State. Also, market forces are not "voodoo". They are as real as gravity, men and mice. "Voodoo" economics is a term coined by some to describe the exactly the opposite of what you think - it is the meddling with the market forces to find short cuts to achieve some short term goals instead of addressing the fundamentals. According to this definition, Chinese "capitalism" is the mother of all "voodoo" economies.
    Note, I am not defending and comparing American 85 IQ economy with Han Chinese 1200 IQ economy. I am just critiquing the Chinese system on its on merits or lack there of.
    I think what you want to imply is that the 85 IQers can only hope for a "voodoo"ized market economy, while the great 12000 IQ than can use their giant brains and do better than the 85 IQ market.
    This hubris is what will take China down. Hard.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Muddled up crap? brilliant! now kindly allow Panda turn on the fan:

    Congrats, you got it well that the human brain is about the equivalent to the central planning organ of a state in the analogy. Certain degrees of central planning at any time is critical for healthy development and survival both as a state and as an individual.

    Sorry, but Panda doesn’t have such romantic imagination, perhaps as you do, that earlier hunter gatherers left themselves to the “market force”, or Trump got Melania through “invisible hand”, ok, afterwards perhaps, not before.

    FYI, Panda coined “voodoo economy” to both extremes of the curve obviously: tendency towards , 100% market economy (which only exists in the la-la land) and 100% central planning(which Mao & the Soviet found out in the hard way).

    Are you 85 IQer, or American economy is 85 IQ? Do not try to argue for it if you’re not.

    • Replies: @edgeslider
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda, you are a moron with a sub 85 IQ. Most Chinese are dumb as funk.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • In order to understand China and how the world works, I am very lucky to have lived here during two very different time periods. It started 1990-1997. In the first book of The China Trilogy, 44 Days Backpacking in China, I called this period the Wild East Deng Xiaoping Buckaroo Days. It was intense, crazy...
  • @Mefobills
    @Lin

    Lin, The U.S. and the West transferred their knowledge base as patrimony to China, especially starting in the mid to early 90's.

    Clinton's MFN status for China came soon after China swept communist era debt off the ledger. Then Wall Street starting Green Mailing American Captains of Industry. This forced American industry to leave the country, to then get wage arbitrage.

    Entire factories and 100's of years of know how was sold cheaply to make wage arbitrage today. This short circuited the normal investment, equity, more investment cycle in the West. It also screwed the future by giving away know -how cheaply.

    At night, Chinese would transfer knowledge from Western factories to copy cat Chinese factories.

    China state banks also manipulated the Yuan Dollar ratio to keep dollar exchange rate high. This was done by buying TBills, rather than goods from American Mainstreet. So, recycled Chinese dollars, would then spin back out to buy more Chinese goods.

    Chinese inflows of dollars into the U.S. also did skiff and skim. Skiff was bribe money paid to dock workers. Retail got skim to place Chinese goods on American store shelves.

    China also gave out Yuan loans for American target industry, even going to trade fairs and the like. This then attracted American genius to then work for China. The American genius was taxpayer funded.

    So, any fair assessment of China has to include the many schemes that were run by Wall Street predators, as well as games played by Chinese manipulators.

    False pride......

    Replies: @Lin, @PandaAtWar

    …At night, Chinese would transfer knowledge from Western factories to copy cat Chinese factories…

    hahaha…thanks for the chuckle!

    The evil Chinese must have done that at night in full acknowledgement that they’re dealing with a bunch of big nose retards, right?

  • (Lumpen Capitalism refers to an economic system in which the financial and military sector exploits the state treasury and productive economy for the 1% of the population.) Introduction US journalists and commentators, politicians and Sinologists spend considerable time and space speculating on the personality of China’s President Xi Jinping and his appointments to the leading...
  • @edgeslider
    Color me skeptical. Central planning did not work in the 20th Century and why would it do any better in the more complex and dynamic 21st century?

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Anonymous, @Daniel Chieh

    China’s current “Central Planning” is not a-la-Marxism/Soviet.

    Indeed being the primary function of brains, Central Planning literally has been working in the entire evolutiuonary history of mankind. Everyone uses it in fact. Whenever the West uses it though, MSM would prefer phrasing it like “long-term strategic planning”, what a beauty!

    On the contrary, so-called leaving it to the “market force”, or more voodoo style “invisible hand”, sounds a bit funny from time to time, yet enough to get through those 85 IQers nonetheless.

    • Replies: @edgeslider
    @PandaAtWar

    Your post is muddled up crap. You are equating the brain of one individual with the central planning organ of a government of a giga State. Also, market forces are not "voodoo". They are as real as gravity, men and mice. "Voodoo" economics is a term coined by some to describe the exactly the opposite of what you think - it is the meddling with the market forces to find short cuts to achieve some short term goals instead of addressing the fundamentals. According to this definition, Chinese "capitalism" is the mother of all "voodoo" economies.
    Note, I am not defending and comparing American 85 IQ economy with Han Chinese 1200 IQ economy. I am just critiquing the Chinese system on its on merits or lack there of.
    I think what you want to imply is that the 85 IQers can only hope for a "voodoo"ized market economy, while the great 12000 IQ than can use their giant brains and do better than the 85 IQ market.
    This hubris is what will take China down. Hard.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    , @Achmed E. Newman
    @PandaAtWar


    On the contrary, so-called leaving it to the “market force”, or more voodoo style “invisible hand”, sounds a bit funny from time to time, yet enough to get through those 85 IQers nonetheless.
     
    I don't know if the IQ level to understand market forces, prices as information, and the prosperity that happens when government is restrained, is something you could aspire to, Panda-man. I think it takes an imagination that you don't have to understand freedom.

    What's funny is that the very country you and Mr. Petras are praising here for their economic prowess only got there when government in China was kept from controlling individuals in their, YES, FREE-MARKET business dealings. This started in Guangzhou, Shenzhen etc in the early 1980's due to the fortunate death of the butcher Mao and the wise move of Mr. Deng.

    This whole article is so damn stupid, because nobody would be writing much about China now if they hadn't relaxed the central planning on small business 30-40 years back. It'd still be a black hole otherwise with poverty and starvation that we didn't know the half of, besides - "eat your peas, boy, there are starving children in China!"

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @Che Guava
    @PandaAtWar

    Japan has far better distribution of income than the USA. Unfortunately, like the USA, has now too many low-paid, low-rights servile jobs. Many (most) are taken by students who will later to have better opportunities.

    In Tokyo and Kansai areas, many of those are overseas people, too.

    Within the mid- to large companies, however, the pay differentials never are approaching the sickening differentials between executive and boardroom pay, and the pay of ordinary staff (from workers through technicians, technologists, to upper-middle management), that the USA is flaunting.

    Must adding, even an institution like Japan Post is now pretty bad, a close friend is desperately wanting to become a formal employee, passed the written exam, but failed the interview. Have a friendly acquaintance who is a manager at a major centre, he is surrounded by people (all men in that case, many also friendly acquaintances) who are toadying to him to get the formal employee status. ... but he is buying the most devoted dinner and drinks,

    Last time i was meeting that group, none had gone to formal employment.

    lapan Rail, or the eight or so companies into which was theoretically split (although, as with Japan Post, it is very theoretical, since the national govt. is retaining a controlling interest in all) is the same, am not having direct knowledge, not the same kind of social connections, but it is obvious, even from recruitment posters.

    However, executives, boardrooms, bosses, as is the custom in the USA, to awarding themselves 'golden parachutes', making them obscenely wealthy for life, does not happen.

    The insanely wide disparities do not happen.

    Carlli Fiorina? Running a great company into the dirt. The woman who was taking over original Yahoo, am forgetting her name, bring back Jerry Yang!

    Not to blaming women managers, but it is seeming a reliable way to place a formerly profitable company face-down in a pile of dirt, am knowing that many men have doing the same, but it is not sexism that is bringing those cases first to mind. Just their greed and incompetence, so spectacular.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Joe Wong

    It’s not a question that whether Japan’s average living standard could match that of the US.

    The problem of the US is not the wealth (as it still can print all the wealth it wants), but fairness of the redistribution of that wealth.

    • Agree: Che Guava
  • Few subjects arouse as much ire as national IQs. Questions are asked about the cultural appropriateness of the tests, whether they have sufficient scope to assess the different talents of racial and cultural groups, the representativeness and size of the samples, and even whether those results are reported correctly. National scholastic achievements, on the other...
  • The world’s IQ =86 sounds fair enough:

    for instance, in the almost absence of 1.6b East Asian, 0.6b SE Asians and another 1.6b Middle Easterner+South Asian commenters, this comment section, as the numbers grow, generally reflects the average of about 1.6b 100 IQ Euros + 1.6b 75 IQ Afros worldwide, errrr… about 86 isn’t it?

  • (Lumpen Capitalism refers to an economic system in which the financial and military sector exploits the state treasury and productive economy for the 1% of the population.) Introduction US journalists and commentators, politicians and Sinologists spend considerable time and space speculating on the personality of China’s President Xi Jinping and his appointments to the leading...
  • @phil
    @exiled off mainstreet

    Sorry, bad article. Bad comment. Economically illiterate. As was the case in the halcyon days of Japan's rapid economic growth, China's growth reflects a high-IQ people operating in now semi-open markets who are quickly adopting technologies that were already developed elsewhere (and, granted, have done some innovation on their own). China's average living standards are still below Mexico's. Japan's average living standards never matched those in the US. Growth rates moderate as the country becomes more developed and converges to its steady-state.

    Yet, alienated Western intellectuals leap to the conclusion that centralized control represents purposefulness, rationality, and competence. It turns out that Japan's industrial policy did not systematically select "winners", as a Harvard study meticulously documented in the early 1990s. Nor does the US represent "free-market ideology". Per the Fraser Institute, there has been a substantial fall in economic freedom during the last two decades. President Trump's calling CEOs to tell them where to locate their plants is not free markets. The US represents "crony capitalism" at best or "corrupt social democracy". If my wife works, 50 percent of what she earns is taken by the government before her pay is deposited (federal income tax, California state income tax, Social Security, Medicare, state disability charge, etc.)

    President Xi has consolidated power and now even has his name enshrined in the Chinese constitution. It is a personal cult, not anything resembling the Rule of Law, let alone liberty. Freedom of expression on the Internet has been sharply limited, and Christian churches (I am not a Christian) are being persecuted. Many Chinese are sincerely worried.

    The Soviet Olympic team was impressive, too.

    Replies: @FKA Max, @unpc downunder, @Verymuchalive, @PandaAtWar, @Joe Wong, @bartok, @Achmed E. Newman, @blank-misgivings, @LauraMR, @denk, @denk

    Sorry, bad article. Bad comment. Economically illiterate. As was the case in the halcyon days of Japan’s rapid economic growth, China’s growth reflects a high-IQ people operating in now semi-open markets who are quickly adopting technologies that were already developed elsewhere (and, granted, have done some innovation on their own)..

    Agreed. But Japan’s success has a limit capped by its owner – the US; whereas theoritically speaking China’s has no such a limit , because as a historical statue-quo power China can operate, and have been operating, both inside and outside of the current US global system. That’s why most US political elites are panicking.

    China’s average living standards are still below Mexico’s.

    FX rate derived- so called “living standard” of non-traditionally industrialised western countries reflects the power of greatly maneuverable mainstream narrative, sometimes to the degree of being funny, of petrodollar system guaranteed by aircraft carriers and ICBMs.

    Anyone who has been to China and Mexico, for instance, can testify how absurd that “living standard” is per face value.

    Japan’s average living standards never matched those in the US. .

    In fact countries like Japan will NEVER match the living standard of the US. It has nothing to do with intelligence, innovations, organisations, etc, but because

    1/Like all other major Western economies, Japan basically is a client state (albeit in the higher rank of the pecking order whenever US national interests are called upon) in the US-led petrodollar system backed eventually by a giant barrel of nukes that simply won’t allow it happen that clients live better than their owner, and

    2/Japan’s natural resources per cap is vastly less than that of the US. Nothing can change that except major redistributions of natural resources through large scale wars which are impossible in the era of nukes.

    • Replies: @jacques sheete
    @PandaAtWar

    I do believe you hit several nails on the head in your comment.

    The wonder of it is that such truths need to be pointed out, especially to a guy who writes such accurate gems as this..


    Nor does the US represent “free-market ideology”. Per the Fraser Institute, there has been a substantial fall in economic freedom during the last two decades...The US represents “crony capitalism” at best or “corrupt social democracy”. If my wife works, 50 percent of what she earns is taken by the government before her pay is deposited ...
     
    , @Che Guava
    @PandaAtWar

    Japan has far better distribution of income than the USA. Unfortunately, like the USA, has now too many low-paid, low-rights servile jobs. Many (most) are taken by students who will later to have better opportunities.

    In Tokyo and Kansai areas, many of those are overseas people, too.

    Within the mid- to large companies, however, the pay differentials never are approaching the sickening differentials between executive and boardroom pay, and the pay of ordinary staff (from workers through technicians, technologists, to upper-middle management), that the USA is flaunting.

    Must adding, even an institution like Japan Post is now pretty bad, a close friend is desperately wanting to become a formal employee, passed the written exam, but failed the interview. Have a friendly acquaintance who is a manager at a major centre, he is surrounded by people (all men in that case, many also friendly acquaintances) who are toadying to him to get the formal employee status. ... but he is buying the most devoted dinner and drinks,

    Last time i was meeting that group, none had gone to formal employment.

    lapan Rail, or the eight or so companies into which was theoretically split (although, as with Japan Post, it is very theoretical, since the national govt. is retaining a controlling interest in all) is the same, am not having direct knowledge, not the same kind of social connections, but it is obvious, even from recruitment posters.

    However, executives, boardrooms, bosses, as is the custom in the USA, to awarding themselves 'golden parachutes', making them obscenely wealthy for life, does not happen.

    The insanely wide disparities do not happen.

    Carlli Fiorina? Running a great company into the dirt. The woman who was taking over original Yahoo, am forgetting her name, bring back Jerry Yang!

    Not to blaming women managers, but it is seeming a reliable way to place a formerly profitable company face-down in a pile of dirt, am knowing that many men have doing the same, but it is not sexism that is bringing those cases first to mind. Just their greed and incompetence, so spectacular.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Joe Wong

    , @polaco
    @PandaAtWar

    I don't think the US is keeping anybody down in terms of living standards, it even build the Soviet industry according to Anthony Sutton's research, Cuba's unspeakable poverty is not thanks to the US embargo. Japan is a mountainous country where people live packed closely together, they live in different conditions, their culture is different. Norway gave $850M to the Clinton Foundation, then it must be a client state as you call it, yet its standard of living is the highest in the world thanks to the North Sea oil, and low, homogeneous white population. Japan has 25 times the population of Norway, their circumstances are more to blame than the US. Lacking natural resources Japan had no choice and did very well exporting quality manufactured goods. In the 80's economists in the US worried that Japan would overtake America in terms of GDP by the year 2000.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @FKA Max
    @phil


    The Soviet Olympic team was impressive, too.
     
    https://www.usatoday.com/story/sports/olympics/2017/10/23/wada-investigating-claims-of-systematic-doping-in-china/106926420/

    I agree with your comment and observations. Communists are very good at pageantry, systematic doping, massaging/suppressing statistics/data, etc., and this kind of propaganda seems to impress/convince a certain (superficial, easily swayed) personality type, like Mr. Godfree Roberts, for example:

    Chou En Lai (who wrung from Henry Kissinger the admission that ‘the Chinese are smarter than us’) - https://www.unz.com/article/mao-reconsidered/#p_1_3:53-69

    What is it about Henry Kissinger?

    Part of the reason he has maintained his status is his personal schmoozing of those in power.
     
    - https://www.washingtonpost.com/posteverything/wp/2016/08/22/what-is-it-about-henry-kissinger/?utm_term=.b541ed45403a

    China’s growth reflects a high-IQ people operating in now semi-open markets who are quickly adopting technologies that were already developed elsewhere
     
    There is actually also some doubt about whether the Chinese are a high-IQ people:

    The manipulation is quite apparent, Lynn largely over-estimated China (+22), Japan (+7) to make East-Asians cluster on top, thus protecting himself from accusations of nordicism and giving support to the inter-cultural validity of the IQs that he cherry-picked.
    [...]
    By pointing this out, I’m warning honest researchers and laymen about the dangers of relying on data resulting from undisclosed, unsystematic and un-replicable methodology. And although my estimates do not result from any actual IQ measurement beyond the relationship between IQ and schooling evidenced in Norwegian cohorts, my method uses a single, universal conversion factor applied to representative official data collected by professional demographers whereas Lynn’s and the likes’ cherry-picking of samples is only the hobby of a dozen scholars and pseudo-scholars. This is how I found out strong, consistent and meaningful correlations between IQ and various development variables.
     
    - https://notpoliticallycorrect.me/2017/09/05/worldwide-iq-estimates-based-on-education-data/

    https://notpolitcallycorrect.files.wordpress.com/2017/09/average.jpg

    The Myth of East Asian Intellectual Supremacy by Peter J. White

    https://thecross-roads.org/race-culture-nation/25-the-myth-of-east-asian-intellectual-supremacy

    China may not be as strong as you think

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lu5VFxHrLi4

    Replies: @Realist, @PandaAtWar, @Joe Wong, @Rdm

    https://notpoliticallycorrect.me/2017/09/05/worldwide-iq-estimates-based-on-education-data/

    One of countless proofs of the epic mental retardation of the Afroerectus. Thanks for the laugh!

  • Commenting on the findings shown on the Government website, the Prime Minister said: “What this audit shows is there isn't anywhere to hide. That's not just for Government, it's for society as a whole. Britain has come a long way in promoting equality and opportunity but what the data we've published today shows is that...
  • @Anonymous
    Where are those final examination A's at age 18 from?: Are these GCSE scores?

    Latest bit of GCSE scores here, does not break down for blacks by sub ethnicity much except for black Caribbean FSM: https://www.gov.uk/government/uploads/system/uploads/attachment_data/file/584473/SFR03_2017.pdf

    Blacks including Caribs are only 3% away frpm whites and they are also more likely to take the harder ebacc, yet achieve it at about the same % as whites.

    The FSM one is broken down for Caribs and by points not pass rate yet they have higher points than white FSM.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    There’re some severely misleading results on those govt stats to the degree of being retarded. ROFL

    What is (A* to C) standard? LOL

    Though having some degrees of correlations with standalone A*, A, B and C, (A* to C) is deliberately blurring the boundaries, meaning, for instance, that 8 A* + 2 C have the same achivement as 2 A* and 8 C. WTF?!

    If that were the standard used in the Olympics selection, elite sprinting countries such as Jamaica could be outshone easily by population-wise larger country such as North Korea or Thailand, or even population-wise much smaller countries such as Estonia or Andorra, since the equivalent (A* to C) would be % of all who can (run 100m between 9.7 sec to 15 sec). LMAO

  • @Afrosapiens
    @Factorize

    No, factorize, no place in the world will embrace the myth of IQ enhancing genetic engineering.

    For two reasons:

    -1st: the promises of the GWAS technology are largely overblown in my opinion. It's only correlational evidence without understanding of underlying physiological processes. Further, 74% of human proteins and likely as many genes are expressed in the brain with a probably high degree of pleitropy. It means modifying the brain-expressed alleles could potentially be harmful for other body functions.

    https://www.proteinatlas.org/humanproteome/brain

    -2nd: What would be the nutritional needs of such IQ enhanced persons, could a human womb carry them and deliver them properly? I doubt.

    those who might feel that they are some disadvantage in life are highly motivated to correct such disadvantages.

    Not even close. In fact, very few people feel intellectually disadvantaged in the way so many feel bad about their looks. People don't care how smart they are. Those who fail in school seldom seek help and are just fine with it, same with those who aren't efficient at work. And at the same time, many people with high IQs, like those in MENSA, actually don't excel in any notable domain and probably wouldn't be worse off with 40 IQ points removed. So no one cares.

    In your view, might we expect to see an African race
    to high IQ?


    I don't know about IQ, I don't think it's relevant, IQ is not a thing in the real world. But there clearly are economically and educationally successful subsaharan subpopulations.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    I don’t know about IQ, I don’t think it’s relevant, IQ is not a thing in the real world. But there clearly are economically and educationally successful subsaharan subpopulations.

    Translation: I don’t know about what is smart and what is stupid, I don’t think they’re relevant, Being smart or stupid is not a thing in the real world. But there clearly are smart subsaharan subpopulations.

    Welcome to Planet of the Apes 2.0

    • Troll: Afrosapiens
  • @Santoculto
    @PandaAtWar

    I will not debate with a Chinese hasbara version....

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Of course you will not. ROFL! that was an order, not a debate, which is only appropriate among you Brazilian hasbaras.

    • Replies: @Santoculto
    @PandaAtWar

    Yes and supposedly I'm a well paid hyper nationalist who defend my marvelous country against any even a slight criticism-hasbara...

  • @Santoculto
    @Fred9

    Most Europeans don't want mass immigration and most Europeans don't what (((really is going on))). It's not democracy when people is not heard.

    Russia is a third world country with rampant std incidence, social inequality, corruption and yes, immigration: 20 million people specially from ex-soviet republics, namely Muslim-majority ones.

    China is a combination between the worst aspects of capitalism with the worst aspects of communism. People has been sacrificed to enrich their rulling-cunning elites, something that is totally unnecessary. No have freedom of speech and standard living is considerably lower than in the west as well quality of life.

    Japan?? The next stage of (((globalism))) is to invite east Asian countries to enjoy the wonders of the multicultural country (((non monolithic mode))).

    Replies: @CanSpeccy, @PandaAtWar, @PandaAtWar, @Daniel Chieh, @BengaliCanadianDude

  • @Santoculto
    @Fred9

    Most Europeans don't want mass immigration and most Europeans don't what (((really is going on))). It's not democracy when people is not heard.

    Russia is a third world country with rampant std incidence, social inequality, corruption and yes, immigration: 20 million people specially from ex-soviet republics, namely Muslim-majority ones.

    China is a combination between the worst aspects of capitalism with the worst aspects of communism. People has been sacrificed to enrich their rulling-cunning elites, something that is totally unnecessary. No have freedom of speech and standard living is considerably lower than in the west as well quality of life.

    Japan?? The next stage of (((globalism))) is to invite east Asian countries to enjoy the wonders of the multicultural country (((non monolithic mode))).

    Replies: @CanSpeccy, @PandaAtWar, @PandaAtWar, @Daniel Chieh, @BengaliCanadianDude

    “China…No have freedom of speech and standard living is considerably lower than in the west as well quality of life.”

    Do not try to trash talk something you absolutely have no clue of.

    watch:

    • Replies: @Santoculto
    @PandaAtWar

    I will not debate with a Chinese hasbara version....

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @GrenadierGunther
    @Wally

    He pulled that out of his ass. I haven't seen any direct numbers on education achievement of Pakistanis in the US, but given all together Asian Americans(which of course includes Chinese, Koreans, Japanese, etc which theoretically should have higher rates than Pakistanis) have a 53.9% rate of having Bachelor's degrees or higher, and 21.4% having advanced degrees(https://www.census.gov/content/dam/Census/library/publications/2016/demo/p20-578.pdf)

    Another figure making his claims highly unlikely is Pakistani Americans have an average income(not household income, which isn't as good an indicator of success because of differing household sizes and divorce rates among ethnic groups) of $26,739, compared to an average Asian income of $34,399, an average white income of $32,910, with various European ethnicities going over 40k(https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_ethnic_groups_in_the_United_States_by_per_capita_income)

    Add on that Pakistanis are mostly concentrated in the largest metropolitan areas of the US where people get payed more for the same jobs as rural areas because of higher costs of everything, the numbers become more dismal for Pakistani Americans.

    Reminds me of the "higher educated than white American Nigerian immigrant" myth, when the average Nigerian income is similarly only around 26k.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    “Asian” Americans include Filipinos, who are the 2nd largest group of “Asian” Americans, most of them being non-ethnic Chinese. The average IQ of Philippine is 86. So the average “Asian” income you cited has been watered down a lot.

  • If people were crops, where would they be best planted? Like many people, I have read some books which have led me astray. They were plausible, and although I could see errors in them, I continued reading so as to learn new things. I am willing to accept that authors can be wrong about some...
  • @utu
    @PandaAtWar


    1/ thus far the best common correlation power with all other measures, and

    2/ thus far the best common predictive power.
     
    This is you response to my point that different batteries of tests produce different g's that not necessarily correlate well with each other? Which of the two different g's is "the best" in whatever you saying some magical g is the best at?

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    ROFL! Good response! … didn’t read your other related posts on this thus lazily took you as a rookie, Panda’s bad.

    So if we assume you’re right that “different batteries of tests produce different g’s that not necessarily correlate well with each other” for some reason, what’s the point you try to make from there?

  • @ James Thompson

    Is the Mean Annual Temp (MAT) graph in the OP from today’s world?

    Do you have eastimated MAT info for at least 5,000 years ago?

    • Replies: @James Thompson
    @PandaAtWar

    Hertler is working on the matter, which is complicated, of looking at changes in climate over longer time periods, and changes as people migrate from one biome to another. This will also require estimates of selection pressures over the generations to provide a metric for the presumed impact of these changes in biome. As I explained, this is an attempt to improve the arguments about the effects of temperature on its own, and to take in a broader range of factors.

  • @random rand
    @Okechukwu

    Democracy is messy, but it’s superior to whatever governing model China is practicing now.

    There is literally no reason to believe this.

    Ultimately, China’s long-term prospects are dim.

    No reason to believe this either.

    These are the best people China has and they’re not at all impressive. Their English remains horrid after a period of many years, making communication with them virtually impossible.

    This is one of those Western myths that won't die because people like to tell themselves this to make themselves feel better. The Chinese brain drain is not what people think it is. Many (most) Chinese taking bachelor degrees in the NA are those who did not get optimal Chinese university entrance exam scores. The other large group of Chinese immigrants and Chinese university students are rich people who are possibly corrupt and have to get out in case the government fucks them. Needless to say, these people are not the best and brightest and many of them are complete idiots. The fact that a lot of these people can even get into top NA universities actually reflect very badly on the qualities of top NA universities. They're also hardly any dumber than most of NA's "best and brightest".

    How are these automatons ever going to be able to compete with people like my girlfriend, whose brain is constantly percolating, searching, probing, investigating and creating? I suppose they can compete to a certain degree by continuing to cheat, steal and copy. But that doesn’t make for a very bright future.

    Yeah considering how China is currently researching 600km/h maglev trains I suppose they must be cheating, stealing, and copying some alien technology from the Vulcans or something since the tech does not yet exist on Earth. By the way, the only people wh\o truly believe Chinese people can't innovate are idiots like Gordon Chang and James Fallows. One can argue that when controlling IQ maybe Chinese people have less capacity for innovation than Westerners but the idea Chinese people can only cheat, steal and copy is hilarious. I suspect you to be a follower of Gordon Chang. Also considering how American companies are copying Chinese companies' ecommerce platforms and not the other way around, I guess you would probably theorize that China copied facebook and Amazon's super secret ecommerce plan that no one but the Chinese have seen. After all, how can they possibly come up with ecommerce platforms by themselves if they can only cheat, steal, and copy?

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Daniel Chieh, @Okechukwu

    Hey, you sir! How dare you use facts and logic ?

    Let alone BLM, do you genuinely comprehend the degree of psychological trauma you’ve just caused by playing piano to a wood log?

  • @ James Thompson

    “Cold winter-harder long term planning” aside, is there any study done on absolute tempreture effect to effectiveness of a functional brain as an biological organ in the field of Medicine, professor?

    • Replies: @James Thompson
    @PandaAtWar

    Yes, there is work on performance under different temperature conditions. Don't have references to hand, but I recall that the Applied Psychology Unit studied these sorts of matters. Usually, there is a fall in performance, but it depends on the degree of training and subject motivation, and if both those are high then reasonable performance can be sustained even in difficult conditions. Also, work on bio-protection suits was done for the military during Gulf wars, and I think there was a 30% drop in performance in desert conditions.

  • @utu
    @szopen

    If the battery B1 consists of tests favoring "verbal intelligence' and battery B2 consists of tests favoring "geometric intelligence" then g1 and g2 will be less correlated than if both batteries had mixture of tests favoring both types of intelligence in the same proportions. If we denote by s1 and s2 second largest factors for the two batteries it is possible that g1 will correlate well with s2 and g2 with s1. Then the principal two factors of two batteries would be reversed: g1s2 and g2s1. Neither g1 nor g2 is "the g" of Spearman or Binet because these are different batteries of tests. The main point is that g is really arbitrary. It depends on how you compose the battery of tests.

    For some people and I suspect you are one of them the argument used by Spearman that g is something (special, unique) because it is the main factor from his factor analysis is very appealing. But this is a very disingenuous argument. There is the smoke and mirrors involved here. Mambo jumbo big words mathematics. I am just trying to demystify it. It is perfectly OK to calculate some g and use it in some studies instead of raw data of tests for various reasons. But it should be emphasized, which it never is, that any particular g being used in some study is just a g that is specific to the battery of tests used in this study. It is not a universal g because a universal g does not exist. But it is definitively not OK to use the fact that g exists as a crowning killer argument about the theory of intelligence. It is a fraudulent argument. Often in speech or written texts g is used as a purely rhetorical device such as "because there is g...." or "because it is g loaded...." . These are fallacious arguments.

    Replies: @szopen, @PandaAtWar, @CanSpeccy

    OF course to use g as a sort of be-all-end-all thing is incomplete, Panda would not say it’s “fraudulent argument” though.

    Furthermore, kinda of universial “g” does somehow exist just by common intuition, doesn’t it? If it’s not called g for the moment, it would be called “x” or “y” or “z” in the future as sciences progress.

    Most importantly, the current g in most common arguments is not the g itself, rather, it’s g’s 2 layers of underlying meanings that embody:

    1/ thus far the best common correlation power with all other measures, and

    2/ thus far the best common predictive power.

    in short, g is prediction.

    • Replies: @utu
    @PandaAtWar


    1/ thus far the best common correlation power with all other measures, and

    2/ thus far the best common predictive power.
     
    This is you response to my point that different batteries of tests produce different g's that not necessarily correlate well with each other? Which of the two different g's is "the best" in whatever you saying some magical g is the best at?

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @ Daniel Chieh

    LOL! Don’t you think it’s such a waste of your time, despite perhaps some wicked faint pleasure of entertainment, to engage into an argument with some primitive axe-grinding sapiens here when things called logic and fact don’t usually register in their small brains, which, evolutionarily speaking, seem only to have just reached the level of being capable of filling discussion threads with endless pages of nonsense?

  • Arthur Jensen's generation of race hereditarians (Eysenck, Rushton, Shockley and perhaps even Charles Murray et al) were quite different in posture from many of their current young followers. Jensen, like most of his friends, apparently wished to be proved wrong about his genetic hypothesis of racial differences in IQ because he genuinely hoped that what...
  • It’s so nice for Panda to see that the thread here has quickly turned into an exuberantly lengthy should-rubbing party of HBD-deniers, errrr… give Panda a ring when the after-party of Afro IQ Supremacy starts, will you people? lol

  • From the New York Times: - It's almost as if 45 to 50 years of affirmative action haven't succeeded in making blacks and Hispanics smarter ... Here's the 1996-2011 trends in SAT Math scores from Unsilenced Science: Not much is happening other than Asians are scoring higher. Similarly, here's Unsilenced Science's graph of trends on...
  • @Jim
    @lao gu

    But the psychometric evidence does indicate that Ashkenazi Jews are about a half-standard deviation above Northeast Asians in IQ. However Northeast Asian IQ is strongly biased toward quantitative-spatial IQ.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Panda can’t believe that for decades the so-called “mainstream IQ researchers” have been still messing apples and oranges around, due to either concerted deliberation or shared stupidity!

    Ashkenazi Jews are an ethnic, not a race, they are a tiny group out of “Caucasoid”.

    whereas Northeast Asians are not an ethnic but by and large a MAJOR race, so-called “Mongoloid”.

    They are apples/oranges in comparison.

    P.S.
    Most SouthEast Asians are NOT Mongoloid, but Mongoloid/Australoid hybrid.
    Most Central Asians are NOT Mongoloid, but Caucasoid & Caucasoid/Mongoloid hybrid.
    Most South Asians are NOT Mongoloid, but Australoid, Caucasoid, & Australoid/Caucasoid hybrid.

  • @PandaAtWar
    @Yan Shen

    "The OLED and NAND flash memory are some of the highest value added parts in many of Apple’s devices. They’re all supplied by East Asian companies..."

    Don't forget the legendary Largan Precision, founded by Tony Chen and Scott Lin of Taiwan, which currently dominates global high-end smartphones camera lens with more than 450 global patents, surpassing traditional Japanese lens powerhouses.

    Largan is the exclusive supplier of high-end lens for Apple iphones , e.g. the current Apple flagships iPhone 7 Plus and iPhone 8 (and some of Huawei phones lately).

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Actually almost all Samsung smartphones have been using copycat “Largan lens”, too. Samsung later got sued of infringe of patents by Largan and they reached an off-court deal…

  • @Yan Shen
    @Moses

    Once again, you keep bringing up past history. I get it man. Issac Newton was a great man. Charles Murray mentioned him in his book. Unfortunate Newton died hundreds of years ago, influential as he was. The Arabs had a good run of a few hundred years also, but all of that's in the past. You mention Murray's book. Let me point out that it goes through 1950. We live in 2017. The question is, how will the next 500 years look like?

    Fact of the matter is, increasingly more of the actual value creation R&D science and technology work is being disproportionately done by East Asians today, whether in East Asia or in the US. My point was that holding up Jobs as an example of creative innovation is questionable at best, given that his main strengths were in product and design, as opposed to technical. Both Bill Gates and Steve Wozniack's dad supposedly look down on Jobs. In the Walter Issacson biography Woz's dad apparently felt that Jobs had created shit.

    Even more ironic, since you accuse East Asians of stealing, Jobs has long been accused of taking credit for other people's ideas!

    https://www.quora.com/Did-Steve-Jobs-take-credit-for-some-of-the-inventions-of-others

    The fact that you're still doubling down on Jobs as this paragon of supposed uh American creative and innovative brilliance really goes back to this schism I suggested existed between how East Asians and whites view innovation. Whites are far more likely to subscribe to the Don Draper theory of innovation, while East Asians view innovation primarily through the lens of the technical

    The OLED and NAND flash memory are some of the highest value added parts in many of Apple's devices. They're all supplied by East Asian companies.

    Let me save you some time, since this information isn't in Charles Murrays book. Ching Tang, a Chinese American, is often considered to be the father of the OLED. NAND was invented by Fujio Masuoka while working for Toshiba around 1980. If you've been following recent news, one of the big things was Toshiba trying to shed its memory division or something due to financial circumstances and numerous buyers lining up to bid...

    Replies: @Yan Shen, @Rdm, @PandaAtWar

    “The OLED and NAND flash memory are some of the highest value added parts in many of Apple’s devices. They’re all supplied by East Asian companies…”

    Don’t forget the legendary Largan Precision, founded by Tony Chen and Scott Lin of Taiwan, which currently dominates global high-end smartphones camera lens with more than 450 global patents, surpassing traditional Japanese lens powerhouses.

    Largan is the exclusive supplier of high-end lens for Apple iphones , e.g. the current Apple flagships iPhone 7 Plus and iPhone 8 (and some of Huawei phones lately).

    • Replies: @PandaAtWar
    @PandaAtWar

    Actually almost all Samsung smartphones have been using copycat "Largan lens", too. Samsung later got sued of infringe of patents by Largan and they reached an off-court deal...

  • In describing the Kaplan-Meier survival graphs in "Vita Brevis, Dignitatis Inutilis" I correctly described the findings in the Iveson et al. paper, but then went a step too far in equating a decrease in mortality risk with an identical increase in lifespan. I said: The second sentence should have read “So, at IQ 115 your...
  • Seriously, what’s the minimum requirement for getting into a French law school nowadays Panda wonders?

    …a demonstrated brain power of counting correctly well into double-digits without taking off socks? lol

    • Replies: @Afrosapiens
    @PandaAtWar

    ROFL!

    Let's talk about enforcing contracts and property rights in China if you want to. You don't want to.

  • Here is the download link: (1) China B-S-J-G (Beijing-Shanghai-Jiangsu-Guangdong) has a PISA-equivalent national IQ of 102. This is actually worse than the IQ=103 leaked 2009 results based on 12 provinces, which I posted about a few years ago. Even more curiously, Beijing, Shanghai, and Jiangsu all constitute three of the top five Chinese provinces based...
  • The 1st leak out of Beijing:

    The results of Fangshan District of Beijing area (population: about 1m)are just leaked.

    Fangshan District is at the outskirt pooer area of Beijing, generally recognised at the low end of Beijing area in education. It has all 46 schools taking part of PISA 2015. 40 of them are public schools, 6 of them are lower end vocational schools.

    The avg of the entire Fangshan’s 46 schools:

    Science: 546
    Reading:529
    Maths: 561

    The avg of 40 public schools in Fangshan:

    Science: 551
    Reading: 534
    Maths: 566

    Singapore:
    Science: 556
    Reading:535
    Maths: 564

    So Beijing’s average must be (much) higher than Singapore, as predicted.

    Shanghai’s average could be similar. Jiangsu could be higher.

    So, kinda of as predicted, the low score of China in general could be primarily due to the large sample size from (poorer areas with many low end vocational schools in) Guangdong.

  • @PandaAtWar
    @Bobbii

    Where you get these data from, Bobbii? From OECD PISA 2015?

    If these data are true, then Panda will protest against Anatoly's title of this article: PISA 2015 Released: China disappoints

    No, China doesn't disappoint at all if those data are true, Anatoly! LOL Instead, Panda shall be satisfied with the results (as they are in line with Panda's predictions)because they have just explained EVERYTHING!

    AK: They are lower than China's leaked (stellar) 2009 results, so they were a disappointment in a relative sense. Of course you can't weigh results from one particular year too strongly.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    @AK, it’s very likely you’re wrong on this one. Let Panda explain:

    ……………….Read, Math, Science
    Large city: 570, 596, 588
    City: 523, 556, 542
    Town: 496, 536, 520
    Small town:449, 489, 476
    Village: 435, 486, 465

    If these data are true, inferred or leaked from OECD, then China’s results are nothing short of spectacular compared to Singapore Panda would argue, more so compared to 2012’s Shanghai as it paints a much fuller picture.

    Keep several points in mind before the analysis:

    A. PISA doesn’t test IQ by design, even though it is correlated with IQ. More than IQ, PISA tests equality aka average, which is a direct function of education resources( i.e. quality of teachers , $$$ spending) per head. A developed country, therefore, has intrincit advantages on PISA over a developing country (with similar IQ) where eduction resources are hughly uneven and the $$$ spending/head is absolutely scarce and relatively much lower.

    B. Out of 3 catagories of PISA, Maths, rather than Reading & Science, logically correlates with IQ more. The latter 2 catagories are affected more by i) country overall development statue (i.e. equality)and ii) hence education speaning/head.

    C. Panda was against the claim that urban Chinese have higher average IQ than rural Chinese due to China’s strict Hukou system that has been in place since 1950’s. This remained as true more or less till the 1980’s. However, Panda overlooked that fact that the last 20 years of urbanisation in CHina (ongoing) had the fastest urbanisation developent rate in human history. Majority of China now is urban aka cities and mega cities, contrary to the conventional wisdom that it’s mainly rural – China just changes tooooo fast even Panda sometimes doesn’t realise.

    This has a profound impact on IQ average as these data(particularly the Maths scores) have showed. It means as China quickly urbanises, more right hand of towns/villages IQ bell curve, rather than the left hand side, have flown into cities and have urbanised(logical for any society at this development stage), hence towns/villages have now lower average IQ than cities.

    Simple analysis:

    1. Large City (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Nanjing in this case, capital cities of these 4 provinces) Mean Scores in 2015 are extending the percentage lead (compared to 2012’s SH) over Singapore both on Read and on Science, with Maths’gap slightly shrinked yet still staggering. On all 3 categories, these Chinese big cities on average, with a fraction of education resources available per head, are a league ahead of 2015’s Singapore, which is one of the world’s richest city/state anyway – so directly comparable. Which you choose world’s gold standard on education to learn from if you were Mayor of London? Singapore? LOL

    BTW, it more or less reconfirms

    i) the conventional wisdom within China that Shanghai scores about avg in China whereever exams are concerned(regardless of avg IQ), as those Large City Mean Scores look suspicously like 2012’s Shanghai. lol. That is to say, SH and BJ are avg, Nanjing city is the top flyer which is more or less cancelled out by low flyer Guangzhou. – sounds logical to Panda.

    ii) Panda’s precdiction years ago that if China is allowed to enter PISA with its Large cities on standalone basis, Singapore won’t get into top 15 (since China has over 2 dozens such Large cites).

    It resolutely rejects some readers’ hypothesis (in Steve’s blog) that China’s low avg Reading scores are due to learning complexed Chinese charaters instead of English…LoL

    2. Chinese Cites (unknow places , you and most people in the world could not probably name even 1 of them , with HUGE ARSE urban population ) in these 4 provinces have mean scores just a couple of points lower than Singapore, yet ahead of world’s #2 – HK —-nothing to complain about.

    3. Chinese Towns – already sub-urban areas. Now it becomes more interesting. Their Science avg are only lower than developed East Asia. Their Reading avg considerablely lower – about US level (which in itself is an achivement , rofl, considering it’s reading – affacted more by edu resources/head. As a fully developed country, US is at least 15-20 times higher). Yet their Maths – 536! World’s #5, just lower than other Han Chinese areas: Singapore, HK, Macao, and Taiwan, but high than Japan. Stunning, AK, isn’t it?! consider that Chinese Towns are already hugely at disadvantage when they suffer from right-hand IQ drain from cities.

    4. Chinese Small Towns: that’s standard rural unbdeveloped areas. Their reading ans Science are much lower: Reading about Slovak/Malta level, Science about Hungary.Yet Math (more IQ item)– 489! the same as Italy/OECD average, higher than Iceland! Now take that.

    5. Chinese villages: google some pictures. They are teh definition of disadvantaged rural lower IQ area. Reading: about Unted Arab Emirates level, Science about Isreal level (can you imagine that, AK?), Yet Maths (read : suffering from IQ drain into cities)- only slightly lower than OECD average, the same as Luxembourg and Spain.

    Note that China is one of a few countries in the top 40 list that are not OECD countries, meaning that she has much lower GDP/head and education resource/head. Panda is aware that China’s education budget is VERY unfairly disstributed, with Beijing and Shanghai topping the list, both twice the level of Jiangsu province, for instance, whose education budge in turn sounds like heaven to Chinese rural area towns and villages. Yet the joke is that the resources available to above China’s Towns, Small Towns and Villages 3 catagories are as a little as meaningless compared to OECD countries – hugh score improvement room there.

    China’s “fall” in PISA 2015 are likely due to the following major reasons:

    1. hughly uneven distribution of already scarse edcucation resource/budget. PISA tests also equality. Since Panda takes OECD organisers’ strict professionalism of population weighted avg sampling as each of above 5 catagories as granted, resource-scarce small villiages and small towns with relatively lower IQ in China drag down the average.

    2. likely computerised test format, instead of paper-based, affected a little.

    3. OECD sampled China using 5 catagories as above with population-weighted avg smapleing, if Panda understand correctly. It is tricky and deflating scores. It seems to Panda that there is no fundamental diff btw Towns and Small Towns. Imagain if OECD had combined these 2 and sampled 4 catogories, the results would have had driven those on-line US educationers mad again.

    4. As Panda mentioned in Steve’s blog, China’s percentage of low performers stood at oddly 10.9, considerablely higher than all similar ranking countries. And OECD doesn’t explain why. Some bad luck on sampling? or not very reasonable sampling? or it’s just developed vs developing sort of things – hugely uneven resources distributuion in essence? We’ll see.

    ~PISA 2015, China dissapoints?

    In light of above data, unless AK you want to prove that China’s avg IQ is 130+, even with her most disadvantaged villagers being able to score top spots on Reading and Science without learning lessons or going to school properly( but take a look at these poor villagers’ Maths scores aka more IQ -related item within PISA BTW) , China didn’t dissapoint at all, instead it did quite spectacularly and as predicted , say business as usual.

  • @Bobbii
    Hi, Anatoly

    I just found something interesting about China's data in the report.
    ...................Read, Math, Science
    Large city: 570, 596, 588
    City: 523, 556, 542
    Town: 496, 536, 520
    Small town:449, 489, 476
    Village: 435, 486, 465

    Such huge differences inside China!
    It's much more than a question of IQ.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar, @Anatoly Karlin, @PandaAtWar

    Where you get these data from, Bobbii? From OECD PISA 2015?

    If these data are true, then Panda will protest against Anatoly’s title of this article: PISA 2015 Released: China disappoints

    No, China doesn’t disappoint at all if those data are true, Anatoly! LOL Instead, Panda shall be satisfied with the results (as they are in line with Panda’s predictions)because they have just explained EVERYTHING!

    AK: They are lower than China’s leaked (stellar) 2009 results, so they were a disappointment in a relative sense. Of course you can’t weigh results from one particular year too strongly.

    • Replies: @PandaAtWar
    @PandaAtWar

    @AK, it's very likely you're wrong on this one. Let Panda explain:

    ……………….Read, Math, Science
    Large city: 570, 596, 588
    City: 523, 556, 542
    Town: 496, 536, 520
    Small town:449, 489, 476
    Village: 435, 486, 465


    If these data are true, inferred or leaked from OECD, then China's results are nothing short of spectacular compared to Singapore Panda would argue, more so compared to 2012's Shanghai as it paints a much fuller picture.

    Keep several points in mind before the analysis:

    A. PISA doesn't test IQ by design, even though it is correlated with IQ. More than IQ, PISA tests equality aka average, which is a direct function of education resources( i.e. quality of teachers , $$$ spending) per head. A developed country, therefore, has intrincit advantages on PISA over a developing country (with similar IQ) where eduction resources are hughly uneven and the $$$ spending/head is absolutely scarce and relatively much lower.

    B. Out of 3 catagories of PISA, Maths, rather than Reading & Science, logically correlates with IQ more. The latter 2 catagories are affected more by i) country overall development statue (i.e. equality)and ii) hence education speaning/head.

    C. Panda was against the claim that urban Chinese have higher average IQ than rural Chinese due to China's strict Hukou system that has been in place since 1950's. This remained as true more or less till the 1980's. However, Panda overlooked that fact that the last 20 years of urbanisation in CHina (ongoing) had the fastest urbanisation developent rate in human history. Majority of China now is urban aka cities and mega cities, contrary to the conventional wisdom that it's mainly rural - China just changes tooooo fast even Panda sometimes doesn't realise.

    This has a profound impact on IQ average as these data(particularly the Maths scores) have showed. It means as China quickly urbanises, more right hand of towns/villages IQ bell curve, rather than the left hand side, have flown into cities and have urbanised(logical for any society at this development stage), hence towns/villages have now lower average IQ than cities.


    Simple analysis:

    1. Large City (Beijing, Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Nanjing in this case, capital cities of these 4 provinces) Mean Scores in 2015 are extending the percentage lead (compared to 2012's SH) over Singapore both on Read and on Science, with Maths'gap slightly shrinked yet still staggering. On all 3 categories, these Chinese big cities on average, with a fraction of education resources available per head, are a league ahead of 2015's Singapore, which is one of the world's richest city/state anyway - so directly comparable. Which you choose world's gold standard on education to learn from if you were Mayor of London? Singapore? LOL

    BTW, it more or less reconfirms

    i) the conventional wisdom within China that Shanghai scores about avg in China whereever exams are concerned(regardless of avg IQ), as those Large City Mean Scores look suspicously like 2012's Shanghai. lol. That is to say, SH and BJ are avg, Nanjing city is the top flyer which is more or less cancelled out by low flyer Guangzhou. - sounds logical to Panda.

    ii) Panda's precdiction years ago that if China is allowed to enter PISA with its Large cities on standalone basis, Singapore won't get into top 15 (since China has over 2 dozens such Large cites).

    It resolutely rejects some readers' hypothesis (in Steve's blog) that China's low avg Reading scores are due to learning complexed Chinese charaters instead of English...LoL

    2. Chinese Cites (unknow places , you and most people in the world could not probably name even 1 of them , with HUGE ARSE urban population ) in these 4 provinces have mean scores just a couple of points lower than Singapore, yet ahead of world's #2 - HK ----nothing to complain about.

    3. Chinese Towns - already sub-urban areas. Now it becomes more interesting. Their Science avg are only lower than developed East Asia. Their Reading avg considerablely lower - about US level (which in itself is an achivement , rofl, considering it's reading - affacted more by edu resources/head. As a fully developed country, US is at least 15-20 times higher). Yet their Maths - 536! World's #5, just lower than other Han Chinese areas: Singapore, HK, Macao, and Taiwan, but high than Japan. Stunning, AK, isn't it?! consider that Chinese Towns are already hugely at disadvantage when they suffer from right-hand IQ drain from cities.

    4. Chinese Small Towns: that's standard rural unbdeveloped areas. Their reading ans Science are much lower: Reading about Slovak/Malta level, Science about Hungary.Yet Math (more IQ item)-- 489! the same as Italy/OECD average, higher than Iceland! Now take that.

    5. Chinese villages: google some pictures. They are teh definition of disadvantaged rural lower IQ area. Reading: about Unted Arab Emirates level, Science about Isreal level (can you imagine that, AK?), Yet Maths (read : suffering from IQ drain into cities)- only slightly lower than OECD average, the same as Luxembourg and Spain.


    Note that China is one of a few countries in the top 40 list that are not OECD countries, meaning that she has much lower GDP/head and education resource/head. Panda is aware that China's education budget is VERY unfairly disstributed, with Beijing and Shanghai topping the list, both twice the level of Jiangsu province, for instance, whose education budge in turn sounds like heaven to Chinese rural area towns and villages. Yet the joke is that the resources available to above China's Towns, Small Towns and Villages 3 catagories are as a little as meaningless compared to OECD countries - hugh score improvement room there.

    China's "fall" in PISA 2015 are likely due to the following major reasons:

    1. hughly uneven distribution of already scarse edcucation resource/budget. PISA tests also equality. Since Panda takes OECD organisers' strict professionalism of population weighted avg sampling as each of above 5 catagories as granted, resource-scarce small villiages and small towns with relatively lower IQ in China drag down the average.

    2. likely computerised test format, instead of paper-based, affected a little.

    3. OECD sampled China using 5 catagories as above with population-weighted avg smapleing, if Panda understand correctly. It is tricky and deflating scores. It seems to Panda that there is no fundamental diff btw Towns and Small Towns. Imagain if OECD had combined these 2 and sampled 4 catogories, the results would have had driven those on-line US educationers mad again.

    4. As Panda mentioned in Steve's blog, China's percentage of low performers stood at oddly 10.9, considerablely higher than all similar ranking countries. And OECD doesn't explain why. Some bad luck on sampling? or not very reasonable sampling? or it's just developed vs developing sort of things - hugely uneven resources distributuion in essence? We'll see.

    ~PISA 2015, China dissapoints?

    In light of above data, unless AK you want to prove that China's avg IQ is 130+, even with her most disadvantaged villagers being able to score top spots on Reading and Science without learning lessons or going to school properly( but take a look at these poor villagers' Maths scores aka more IQ -related item within PISA BTW) , China didn't dissapoint at all, instead it did quite spectacularly and as predicted , say business as usual.

  • This table is sorted in order of scores on Science, the subject most emphasized in this 3 year period. Here's the big PDF of data. Argentina for the win! In the past, the Argentines always complained that they were doing a better job of rounding up their dimmest 15 year olds to take the international...
  • @Jack D
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda can very reasonably deduct as well that the Middle Kingdom is the center of the universe.

    There I fixed it for you.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Panda can very reasonably deduct as well that the Middle Kingdom is the centre of the unniverse, even without that many assumptions.

    You careless old bean! Rofl

  • Here is the download link: (1) China B-S-J-G (Beijing-Shanghai-Jiangsu-Guangdong) has a PISA-equivalent national IQ of 102. This is actually worse than the IQ=103 leaked 2009 results based on 12 provinces, which I posted about a few years ago. Even more curiously, Beijing, Shanghai, and Jiangsu all constitute three of the top five Chinese provinces based...
  • @Sendil
    @Astuteobservor II

    Computer ownership is much lower in China than in developed countries. It helps being used to a computer.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Indeed, not used to using computer exam format could be a major issue, but Vietnam household obviously have even less computers than China. So how could you explain Vietnam average Science easily beats B-S-J-G, the 4 economically most properous regions in China?

    Something else, and major, must also be going on here…

  • @Bobbii
    Guangdong province: 4000+ students took part in PISA
    http://www.wtoutiao.com/a/2392711.html

    China-BSJG: 9841 students (PISA database)
    I made some estimates:
    Average IQs of Beijing, Shanghai, Jiangsu are about 0.3~0.6 SD higher than national average IQ.
    Guangdong's average IQ is about 0.2 SD lower than national average.
    So if PISA result is strongly correlated to IQ, China's national average PISA score should be 0.2~0.3 SD lower than BSJG's average.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Too many other variables ( some are unknown blackbox till now such as PISA’s sample selection criteria on China’s provinces) makes such an estimation meaningless.

  • @Astuteobservor II
    @PandaAtWar

    hahaha, lets wait for leaks then. I am also curious.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

    Yeah, Panda did dangerously sound like a sore loser refusing to accept the results, but those results just unbelievable in Panda’s experiences, particularly the Chinese maths score, it’s an obvious joke, isn’t it?

    And take a look of some (there’re more) breakup mean scores:

    White Americans: 519
    Asian Americans: 517
    B-S-J-G(China): 514

    don’t you realise there’s something quite major and interesting going on with this time’s PISA? White-Black gap must be seemingly disappearing too, and why not?

    • Replies: @Astuteobservor II
    @PandaAtWar

    it wasn't sarcasm. I am genuinely curious. I think pisa changed when they received alot of flak with their leaked shanghai scores. but that is just what I think, have no bearing on whatever happened. hence my curiosity.

    , @RaceRealist88
    @PandaAtWar

    Because PISA is garbage for inferring intelligence. It's strongly predicated on school quality. In the case of Italians, that is.

  • This table is sorted in order of scores on Science, the subject most emphasized in this 3 year period. Here's the big PDF of data. Argentina for the win! In the past, the Argentines always complained that they were doing a better job of rounding up their dimmest 15 year olds to take the international...
  • @Anon
    @DukeofQin

    I would suggest you to read "Qatar School Rankings" in previous edition of PISA. 10/30 top schools were Indian that only hire Indian kids (out of 150 schools in Qatar).

    If Indians in UAE and Qatar are not breeding (which keeps up the PISA score, indeed your stupidity is amazing), then why you have 10 schools out of top 30 schools that are only reserved for Indians ?

    And even those schools hire 3x more students than rest of the schools in Qatar.
    So, at school kid level, Indians are equally represented as per their population size.

    Forget about Qatar and UAE.
    Let me take you to Singapore.

    https://themigrationist.net/2014/01/08/riot-in-singapores-little-india/
    "Of these, 760,000 are ‘low-skilled’ male migrant workers on work permit."

    "It has been estimated that South Asian men number around 300,000, they fall under the ‘low-skilled’ category and are hired largely in the construction industry."

    http://www.migrationpolicy.org/article/rapid-growth-singapores-immigrant-population-brings-policy-challenges
    "Due to policies instituted in the 1990s to recruit the highly skilled in nontraditional source countries, however, the majority of skilled workers (apart from Malaysians) are now from China and India".

    http://www.nptd.gov.sg/portals/0/news/population-in-brief-2014.pdf
    Page 8: "Foreign employment growth was mainly driven by the construction sector."

    These are from Singapore government websites.

    It is undisputed that 5% of Singaporean population is Indian expats that are mainly employed in construction worker sector (referred to as elites of India by trolls like you as they do better than expected in second generation) and take up permanent resident-ship.
    And Indian fertility rate in Singapore is much higher at 2.3 kid/women.

    If you happen to read about Singapore's PISA, bottom 5% has score of 430. Suppose all these are Indians (worst case scenario, even though Indians score better than Malays), that would still mean that kids of Indian construction workers have indeed scored 420+.

    Let me take you to UK:-

    As per Lynn, Indians in UK measure 83 IQ when they arrive and 97 after residing 4+ years in Britain.
    As they come from rural areas of Punjab and are mostly laborers (their score when they come to UK is undisputed at 83 slightly below average Indian), this is what Indian laborers will score after flynn effect is done on them.

    Let me take you to South Africa:-

    It is undisputed that Indians came as slaves in British Empire. They measure 3 points higher than colored, and 0.5 standard deviation below whites as per IQ tests.

    So, again you have non-elites scoring at 92-94 after Flynn is done on them.

    Replies: @Anon, @Anonymous Nephew, @AER, @PandaAtWar

    These are from Singapore government websites. It is undisputed that 5% of Singaporean population is Indian expats that are mainly employed in construction worker sector (referred to as elites of India by trolls like you as they do better than expected in second generation) and take up permanent resident-ship.

    As per Lynn, Indians in UK measure 83 IQ when they arrive and 97 after residing 4+ years in Britain.

    As they come from rural areas of Punjab and are mostly laborers (their score when they come to UK is undisputed at 83 slightly below average Indian), this is what Indian laborers will score after flynn effect is done on them.

    The exact source links please? not some forms of subjective “deduction”.

  • @Anonymous Nephew
    @Anon

    "As per Lynn, Indians in UK measure 83 IQ when they arrive and 97 after residing 4+ years in Britain. As they come from rural areas of Punjab and are mostly laborers (their score when they come to UK is undisputed at 83 slightly below average Indian), this is what Indian laborers will score after flynn effect is done on them."

    I don't think Indians who come to the UK have average IQs of 83. Pakistanis, maybe.

    India is so caste-stratified that we really need figures on IQ by caste. I'm not sure how many (if any) exist, but there's a good set of comments here.

    http://akarlin.com/2012/08/rec1man-on-indian-iq/


    "Each Indian diaspora is different and has a different caste blend and a different IQ
    The lowest level IQ diaspora is the agricultural laborer , 50% Shudra, 50% untouchable
    This forms about 95% of the Indian population in South Africa, Fiji, Malaysia, Trinidad, Guyana etc

    The Patels and Sikhs are Upper-Shudra / Vaishya and this is 80% of the diaspora in UK
    In UK, they outperform whites academically and per Lynn , in the 2nd generation, measured and IQ of 97.

    In the USA, 60% of the Indian diaspora is upper caste, and 40% from middle-level castes like Patels and Sikhs."
     
    More interesting stuff on the Indian diaspora here.

    http://www.managementtoday.co.uk/worlds-successful-diasporas/article/648273

    Replies: @Anon, @anon, @PandaAtWar

    http://akarlin.com/2012/08/rec1man-on-indian-iq/
    “Each Indian diaspora is different and has a different caste blend and a different IQ
    The lowest level IQ diaspora is the agricultural laborer , 50% Shudra, 50% untouchable
    This forms about 95% of the Indian population in South Africa, Fiji, Malaysia, Trinidad, Guyana etc
    The Patels and Sikhs are Upper-Shudra / Vaishya and this is 80% of the diaspora in UK
    In UK, they outperform whites academically and per Lynn , in the 2nd generation, measured and IQ of 97.
    In the USA, 60% of the Indian diaspora is upper caste, and 40% from middle-level castes like Patels and Sikhs.”

    Please don’t quote this highly subjective what-ifs and if-thens rubbish as a form of proof, because with likewise numerous groundless assumptions, Panda can very reasonablely deduct as well that the Earth is the center of the universe. ROFL

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @PandaAtWar

    Panda can very reasonably deduct as well that the Middle Kingdom is the center of the universe.

    There I fixed it for you.

    Replies: @PandaAtWar

  • @Lathdrinor
    @Steve Sailer

    I am sure their effort is commendable, but cultural bias is a problem of a different nature than the one I am talking about. The Chinese writing system, as one of the few completely logographic systems left in the world, has unique challenges absent in other systems. For an example, see: https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3549123. It is the only writing system in the world that demands the memorization of some 4,000 graphs before literacy can be achieved. For comparison, in Japanese that number is less than half, and in English, less than a hundredth.

    The effects of having to learn such a system cannot be easily determined from an education achievement test, which necessarily must test students in their native language, even if they attempt to avoid cultural bias in the questions. It would be satisfying to quantity this difference in terms of a negative score contribution, but I do not think the issue is that simple, because as the study above indicates, this difference can manifest in very strange ways - such as a significant negative correlation between reading scores and the use of one input method versus another during learning. Thus, there could be a significant generation difference in reading ability between Chinese children simply on the basis of adoption of electronic learning devices. Such differences say nothing about the children's IQ, but inevitably end up in standardized testing results that are then used as proxies for IQ, leading to general confusion about whether the average IQ is dropping.

    It is for this reason that I think PISA results should always be taken with a grain of salt. It might be the best measure that exists for comparing contemporary international populations, but that still doesn't make it an excellent measure. The fact that China and Taiwan reading scores are persistently depressed might indicate something about their verbal IQ, or it might indicate something about the writing system they use, or the way they learn that writing system. We cannot tell the difference from examining PISA scores alone, and theories built upon such scores may lead to the need for severe corrections later down the line.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @The Last Real Calvinist, @The Last Real Calvinist, @PandaAtWar

    As a native Mandarin speaker, Panda disgrees with you on “problem from writing system”. e.g. Taiwan uses traditional form of Mandarin that takes even more energy out of brain than the mainland where a simplised form is used. So why TW is ahead of China in reading if Mandarin is the major problem? True that learning Madarin take an extra brain energy, yet it’s entirely different matter when you’re a native speaker. The low reading scores are due to mainly 2 areas according to todays’feedback from Taiwanese schools:

    http://udn.com/news/story/6886/2152853-%E5%8D%87%E9%AB%98%E4%B8%80%E9%9B%A3%E9%8A%9C%E6%8E%A5-%E6%95%99%E5%B8%AB%E6%86%82%EF%BC%9A%E6%9C%83%E8%A6%BA%E5%9C%8B%E6%96%87%E5%83%8F%E6%95%B8%E5%AD%B8%E4%B8%80%E6%A8%A3%E9%9B%A3

    They are mainly 1) not used to reading long pieces of paper that covering wide arrange of topics. Exams in TW focus on much shorter content so pupils are used to reading and acting on shorter messages, particularly for the current smart-phone-generation. The youngsters are not even patient enough to read a long 3C product manual for instance; and 2) not used to computerised test format as all major local exams have been conducted using pens and paper withoutcomputers.

    Panda believes it’s the same for S-B-J-G(China) to a large extent. They, out of several others, seem to be a better explaination than Mandarin language.

  • @Autochthon
    @PandaAtWar

    Conceding data about patents are poor proxies for data about innovation while suggesting they are nevertheless the best we can do is risible. All recorded history and our lying eyes provide a surfeit of better data regarding the veritable deluge of invention and creativiry by Europeans and our diaspora versus the dearth of it by Asians and theirs. Cf. gunpowder and paper versus essentially every other significant technological advancement. (Nevermind the arts and humanities.) I'd start an illustraive list but I don't have that kind of time, and there is no honour in carrying on ungraciously after victory: just look to the example of how gracious Douglas MacArthur was to the vanquished after the flight of the Enola Gay (speaking of Occidental innovations over Oriental roboticism...). That example implicates the Japanese, and you imply allegiance to the Chinese, but then, even the Japanese have achieved far greater innovation and success than your ilk.

    A dictum: military technology is often a good reflection of a people's comparative innovation, because it is for obvious reasons not so readily shared, and more closely guarded from theft (and the Chinese steal intellectual property like nobody's business!). Yet the Chinese cannot so much as field an aircraft carrier worthy to be considered one by modern standards.

    Panda, I don't like the cut of your jib, and I don't mind saying so; my distaste stems in large part from my suspicion you are a parastic immivader, gleefully deriding the U.S.A. to praise China, despite having fled the latter to dwell in the former. Revealed preferences, hypocrisy, actions inconsistent with words...Hell's bells, a whole host of contemptible implications follow if my suspicion is correct.

    Replies: @5371, @PandaAtWar, @Against Eurocentric BS.

    hmmmmm, that typical Stormfronter way of bifurcation of yours, Panda hates to say, is too robotic, persistent as always nonetheless, and without a trace of innovation…

    Shall Panda interpret your full-on personal attack is your particularly subtle way of throwing in the towel? Thank you and pls go on. LoL

    • Replies: @Against Eurocentric BS.
    @PandaAtWar

    Please read my response.