After his publication of Race, Intelligence and Education ( 1971), Eysenck was a marked man. Unfortunately, he was "cucking" ( in the modern parlance ) even as he published it. He got Paul Barker, Editor of New Society, to write the preface. They claimed that most of the gap might be closed if black Africans were better nourished and given multivitamins, especially when they were children.
After that, it was all back pedalling. His work on racial differences and IQ rapidly diminished, as his desire to maintain his foothold in academia increased.

Like many people, I have trouble with Prof Lynn's claims of quite large differences in IQ between closely connected countries of the same race, e.g. 9 IQ points between Greece and Albania. However, his work on the IQ differences between races has stood up to serious scrutiny. He has never cucked and has stood his ground. He is a real academic and a real man. Modern academia would never let someone like him in, now. That's the measure of the collapse of standards in the West.

Replies: @Kiss János

These annual "wave like" small short-term fluctuation of "total fertility rate" is usually just noise created by the design of the measurement.

So if total fertility rate in Hungary is 1,3 in 2010, and than 1,7 in 2015, and 1,3 in 2020, and 1,7 in 2025 - the main cause of the higher measure in 2015 and 2025, will have likely been the lower measure in 2010 or 2020. The low number in one year, is what is causing the higher number in a subsequent year, as it is the same women being measured both times, who simply displace the timing of the births from one year to another (timing of births is also very sensitive to economic situation).

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As for the situation in Hungary, (aside from discussion about gypsies) it seems to be the same as other countries of Central and Eastern Europe.

If you look at women who are up to age 40 in 2020 - all of this region of Europe has been somewhere around 1,5-1,8 in the completed fertility rates. Hungary seems typical of the central Europe.

https://i.imgur.com/rnaoUNe.jpg

Replies: @Kiss János

By all accounts, TFR in Hungary is below 1.6 -- which means that it's substantially below China's current level.

Apparently Hungarian TFR in 2019 was 1.51. This is, to be sure, an improvement over their historic low of 1.29 (2003) -- it looks like there has been a slow rebound since then, over these past 17 years.

I don't know if Orban's heroic measures will get them back to replacement-level fertility within the next decade, but I sure wouldn't bet that way...

People talk about China "collapsing" due to low fertility. This must be either stupidity or malice. China's TFR is higher, and in many cases much higher, than all of the following: Germany, Italy, Spain, Portugal, Greece, Ukraine, Belarus, Finland, Canada, Japan, S.Korea, Thailand, Taiwan, Austria, Croatia, Poland, Hungary, Chile, Czechia, and more.

Native birthrates in France, Sweden, Norway, and the UK are also probably below China's level.

"Non-Hispanic White" birthrates in the USA are also already below China's level.


China is really not doing all that poorly where fertility is concerned. And let's not forget their massive, and largely ethnically-homogenous/high-IQ, population base. Concerns about China's impending decline are overwrought, and may be politically motivated.

Replies: @Korenchkin, @Kiss János, @Daniel Chieh

We live in a fundamentally stupid age.

BTW, anybody else notice how much widespread historical illiteracy is coming back to bite American society in the butt? The term "accelerationism" is not new. It is ripped off a Russian socialist author that ended up inspiring Lenin and other Russian leftist revolutionaries, and who Dostoevsky mercilessly grilled in "Notes From the Underground". Not that any self-proclaimed "accelerationists" on either wing of the political spectrum in the 21st Century US know that, of course.

Replies: @Kiss János, @Jenner Ickham Errican