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    One part of Hillary's campaign is to promise to wage war on the Orwellian / Gladwellian concept of racist implicit bias. From the transcript of Monday's debate: The Atlantic today writes up a new Yale study tracking the mass delusion that is implicit bias back to its sinister root: preschool teachers. In fact, hallucinatory implicit...
  • Jim Pinkerton has an interesting piece on implicit bias. He says the concept is being promoted to make it easier to sue for racial discrimination.

  • Introduction: For a number of years Admiral Thomas Moorer, former Chief of Naval Operations and Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff was my colleague at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Tom, after whom the F-14 Tomcat fighter is named, expressed to me his concern that US politics and foreign policy was in...
  • In a little-known book that came out a few years ago, titled LBJ: From Mastermind to the Colossus, the author Philip K. Nelson writes persuasively about the Liberty incident. According to him, Lyndon Johnson dearly wanted to go down in history as a “great” president. Looking at other presidents who achieved that status, he believed that greatness required victory in war. By 1967 the already unpopular Vietnam war seemed unlikely to provide that victory.

    In his quest for a military victory, Johnson conceived of the idea of an American naval vessel being sunk in the eastern Mediterranean with the loss of all hands, and that this would be blamed on Egypt, and would be a pretext for the US invading Egypt. Israel did indeed carry out the attack, not because they saw the Liberty or the US Navy as a hostile presence, and not by mistake, but at the urging of the head of state of their most important ally. So by this telling, Israel is not the villain of the piece; that would be President Johnson.

  • From the AP: UNIVERSITY OF MISSOURI PRESIDENT LEAVES OVER RACE COMPLAINTS BY SUMMER BALLENTINE AND ALAN SCHER ZAGIER ASSOCIATED PRESS COLUMBIA, Mo. (AP) -- The president of the University of Missouri system resigned Monday with the football team and others on campus in open revolt over his handling of racial tensions at the school. President...
  • @Anonymous

    For months, black student groups have complained of racial slurs and other slights on the overwhelmingly white flagship campus of the state’s four-college system.
     
    This whole thing might be somewhat manufactured, much like the Duke lacrosse scandal and UVA rape scandal, in that the national media and SJWs get to demonize and depict a generally white campus as hostile to minorities and/or women. I'd be interested in knowing if any big names are behind this thing.

    Replies: @John W.

    Somewhat manufactured? It’s completely manufactured. I read that Sen. McCaskill weighed in on it, taking the side of the black protesters. Everything about this story is unbelievable if taken at face value: the racist incidents that practically scream “hoax”, a black jock going on a hunger strike, the charge that the university administration was unresponsive to allegations of racism. If I had to take a wild guess, I would say that Wolfe was not a committed lefty, and as a white man, this was a way some idealogues could get rid of him.

    • Replies: @GW
    @John W.

    It was no doubt manufactured, but it got legs when the national media ran with it. Liberal sports pundits and mainstream media sources are what cost Wolfe his job--at some level perception is reality when it comes to recruiting kids to come play football at your school. If Wolfe didn't go there was a very real chance that U of Misery's reputation would be irredeemable.

    Of course this begs the question of priorities. At what point is racial hysteria and the decline of the academic side of a university too much for athletics and black grievance mongers to boss around?

  • The newly released paper by Anne Case and Angus Deaton showing that mortality rates amongst middle-aged White American males (MAWAM) increased from 1999-2013 has been generating a lot of discussion of late. This mortality increase was concentrated amongst MAWAMs with a high school degree or less ("Fishtown," to borrow from Charles Murray's archetype of a...
  • I would say that for both Russian men in the 1990s and working class white American men today, drugs and alcohol are symptoms, not the cause. Both groups grew up with a sense of themselves as mainstays of great political forces, and both came to feel disinherited. Offhand I can’t think of any other population groups who have had reason to feel a similar sense of disinheritance.

    • Agree: Travis
  • The big upturn in death rates among middle-aged whites was right around the turn of the 21st Century, say 1999-2002. So why so little publicity until this week? From the Washington Post: Prestigious medical journals rejected stunning study on deaths among middle-aged whites By Joel Achenbach and Lenny Bernstein November 3 A startling new study...
  • @stillCARealist
    @Mark Minter

    The divorce revolution is worse than anybody will admit. Some of the victims (and perps) get re-married and are happy and productive. But mostly people wind up bitter and cynical, going through subsequent miserable relationships that may or may not involve actual marriage. The trouble brought to children of this mess is always heartbreaking and traumatic. I'm watching a divorced couple right now try to parent their young children from two households and it's constant conflict and chaos.

    George HW Bush, of all people, correctly identified this as the biggest problem in America back in 1991 or so during a debate. Does anybody else remember the details? It was the one time I thought he had some honest wits about him.

    The late Tony Snow said once, and may have been quoting someone else, "surrender to marriage". I like that. No more fighting what's bigger and more important than our own selfishness. Probably I'm just a part of a small contingent that still values life-long marriage with all it's blessings and burdens. But I'll teach it to whoever will listen and learn.

    Sigh. Perhaps we need to go back to making divorces really difficult to get.

    Replies: @John W.

    One evening a few years ago I went to an open house at my son’s school. In one of the classes students each made ten statements about themselves on posterboard. One of my son’s friends, whose parents divorced some years earlier, had as his #1 statement: “My parents are divorced, and have been since I was 6.” I have to think there was a lot of pain that led to that statement.

  • I wonder whether Americans realize just how closely the United States is coming to resemble a country of the Third World, not just in its corruption and attributes of a police state, but in the incompetence of governmental bureaucracies. Federal agencies don’t work. They are rotted by affirmative action. The bureaucrats are inattentive, unaccountable, anonymous,...
  • Fred is right about the government not liking to use email. I think it’s because they don’t want people to have a convenient record of their often high-handed or slipshod communications. A few years ago the Dept. of Labor audited my employer’s payroll practices. Everything was done either by mail, in person, or on the phone. Half way through the audit we didn’t hear from them for literally over a year. In the end they made some trivial findings and we had to issue adjustment payments totaling about $800 for the two year period being audited.

  • One of the weird things about the anti-vaccination movement in the United States is that though it is often perceived to be liberal, its political orientation is pretty mixed. Chris Mooney put up a long data filled post a few weeks ago detailing this, including citing some of my old posts looking at GSS data....
  • The certainty that so many people have that vaccines have no significant downside for the general population is very disturbing to me. Not the belief, mind you, just the certainty. In my experience the anti-vaccine segment is not “stupid” as Mr. Khan suggests, it has doubts about the integrity of our institutions, and is more willing than most to draw their own conclusions. I would like very much to see a large scale study of the general health of vaccinated vs. unvaccinated populations. This shouldn’t be a very difficult study to do. Several religious groups – Christian Science, Jehovah’s Witnesses, Orthodox Jews, the Amish – as well as many others who decide for non-religious reasons, have chosen not to vaccinate. A systematic comparison of rates of crib death, food allergies, autism, asthma, childhood cancer, measles, meningitis, etc. among the vaccinated and unvaccinated would go a long way to putting this controversy to rest, depending on the results. But I don’t expect the study to be funded. I suspect the authorities (i.e. the CDC and the corporations with which it’s in a symbiotic relationship) are afraid of what they might find out. There is a host of immune related disorders that have increased dramatically in the last generation, along with increased vaccinations.

    There is a widespread faith in the integrity of science. For areas such as physics and astronomy I think the faith is warranted. But where the profit motive comes into play, for example in medical research, the journalist’s creed of ‘follow the money’ makes sense.

  • To study the effects of political propaganda in what used to be called the ‘free world’ there could hardly be a better time than now. We are living through an instance of insidious propaganda that has clean contours. It fills a common need. In a period of large-scale slaughter and other man-made disaster the morally...
  • In George Will’s latest column he openly compared Putin to Adolf Hitler. We can roll our eyes at yet another example of this trite and overworked accusation. But does anyone ever survive the accusation? With a bigfoot commentator like Will using language like that, I hope Putin has some top notch security.

  • The third and final estimate (until the annual GDP revisions) of first quarter 2014 real GDP growth released June 25 by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis was a 2.9% contraction in GDP growth, a 5.5 percentage point difference from the January forecast of 2.6% growth. Apparently, the first quarter contraction was dismissed by those...
  • I don’t think John Williams gives hedonics their due. We often hear that average real wages in America haven’t increased since the mid ’70s. And yet life has improved since then in innumerable ways: houses are bigger, cars run better, coffee tastes better, lawns are greener, fresh produce is more varied, TV reception is sharper. And anyone reading this could easily give other examples. These technological improvements are, I think, much more significant than those of the previous 40 years (the ’30s to the ’70s) at least as they affect daily life. This increasing pace of innovation represents a source of increased “wealth”, and one that we all share in.

    I certainly agree that the increasing national debt, and the deteriorating balance sheet of the average American household, are matters of serious concern, and which could possibly lead to widespread poverty, depending on events. But for now people, although straining, are enjoying an improved lifestyle. This is probably why there isn’t more protest or outrage.

    Anyway, I think Mr. Williams would be more persuasive if, instead of just rolling forward the 1970s methodology for calculating inflation, he gave due credit to the increasing benefits of technology.

    • Replies: @Ron Unz
    @John W.

    I noticed your reasonable-sounding comment and decided to take a brief break from my programming work to provide my own contrary perspective.

    What you say is absolutely true, but barely scratches the surface of your argument.

    Consider the poorest people in the world today, perhaps hungry African peasants. They may be extremely poor, but they have ready access to *amazing* technologies, like cellphones and Google. Such technologies would have been almost beyond imagination of the wealthiest people anywhere in the world in 1960, so does that mean that starving African peasants are actually exceptionally wealthy people?

    Or take even a stronger example. They also have reasonable access to modern medical technology, like antibiotics and vaccines. Queen Victoria's beloved consort and lots of her children and other close relatives could have had their lives saved by such technologies, and I suspect that she---and any powerful monarch of the last several thousand years---would have traded half their empires for a few vials and syringes. Alexander the Great ruled half the known world but died at 33 from some sort of trivial disease.

    So if starving African peasants are actually among the wealthiest people in all of human history, why should anyone complain about their poverty or the bad behavior of their leaders that is partly responsible for it.

    And if tens of millions of Americans were reduced to living in hovels and surviving on beans and water, they would still be unimaginably wealthy by the standards of history and certainly relative to their grandparents of the 1950s. But that's still not a very positive result.

    The problem is that the exponential growth of technology over the last couple of hundred years automatically distorts all economic calculations.

    Replies: @Kiza

  • So I read The God Delusion. I wasn't going to. The reason is this: I didn't want to read an atheist manifesto. I'm an atheist, no need to strengthen my unfaith. I have read books on atheism before, so I have that under my belt. Now, I am interested in religion as a natural phenomenon,...
  • razib wrote: ” …so i’m an agnostic on many gods, and an atheist on a subset of those. …”
    Actually, you and I may be saying almost the same thing, but just in different words: I’m about 99.99% confident that the “God of Abraham” does not exist (i.e. the traditional Judeo-Christian-Muslim God, who sits up at night deciding which sparrows are going to fall out of the sky the next day). That ‘God’was almost certainly created by Man in Man’s image & likeness, rather than the other way around.
    I’m also extremely confident that everything which has happened in the universe during the last 14 billion years (including the evolution of the human brain*) can be explained by a few simple laws of Physics, without recourse to anything supernatural.
    But on the other hand, the idea that the Big Bang itself may have been engineered by some superior Being for some rational purpose seems at least as plausible as the alternative explanation of “Well, Duh, it just happened by random chance.”
    * P.S. >> Does everybody here already know the definition of Hydrogen: “A colorless, odorless gas which, if you have enough of it and leave it alone for a long enough time, will spontaneously turn into Human Beings.” ??

  • Thanks for the excellent review. I’m afraid it re-inforces my decision not to spend money on the book, though. My impression of Dawkins, based on his earlier stuff, is that he is a shrill, strident, irrational, dogmatic fundamentalist — exactly like the people that he attacks, except that his Belief System happens to be 180 degrees opposite to theirs.
    By the way, Razib, just out of curiousity: Why do you call yourself an atheist rather than an agnostic?? I would argue that it is orders of magnitude beyond the capabilities of the human brain to *ever* know for certain whether God exists or not.

  • Which is the correct tree?* One could argue that this is fallacious insofar as Judaism is the "ancestor" of both Islam and Christianity, but my own opinion is that the Jewish traditions of this day and age (including "Orthodox" Judaism) are very different from ancient Judaism (the transition from ancient to modern Judaism might be...
  • Can somebody give me a quick History lesson here:
    At what point in the evolution of Christianity did the Trinity start to become such a central concept?? When did Jesus stop being thought of as just the son of a God (a very commonplace thing in Greek/Roman mythology) and start being thought of as an actual God? And when (& how) did the “Holy Spirit” stop being an abstract emotion, and become a distinct, autonomous “Person” ?