RSSVery good analogy. I will add:If Steve's neighbor were his almost identical brother who normally was friendly with Steve, even sharing his property from time to time...and if Steve's neighbor was knocked out by an American-supported mob and dragged from the property...and if that neighbor was replaced by an anti-Steve, hostile puppet thug...and if that thug and America constantly threatened Steve with violence...and if Steve's new neighbor beat up Steve's children on the edge of the property, year after year...and if Steve's neighbor was publicly considering joining an anti-Steve militia...What in the name of God would Steve do?You see, our dear host, St. Steve, likes to repeat the movie line, "because we live here." Well, God damn it, Russians live there. They can't just sell and move away from the hostility the way Steve could if he had more brains. (Sorry, Steve.)Normally around here we've admired Russian balls. We've sounded like we know they are men who act like men and take action. But now, oh no! Now some of us have become girly-men who cry "invasion," as if every military action is the same. Steve himself is applying simply, girl-logic to this: Ooh, they "invaded" somebody else's territory. What the hell else were they supposed to do in their dilemma?Replies: @Jack D, @Corvinus, @Reg Cæsar
And Ukraine agreed to be neutral. If your Russian neighbor was a heavily armed member of an anti-Steve Sailer gang, things might be less comfortable.
What the hell else were they supposed to do in their dilemma?
We didn’t invade Cuba in 1962.
I am using a similar coefficient, but not because "A Russian tank has a crew of 3 and an APC has a crew of 3 plus 7 passengers." There is a lot of variability on casualties depending on how the vehicle was destroyed, damaged, abandoned or captured.
So let’s say an average of 5 killed per destroyed vehicle.
Compare the number of Ukrainian losses with captures of Russian vehicles and they are about even. Maybe ahead because some of the captured Russian stuff is newer / better than what they had before.
You missed something that is somewhat interesting to me and possibly notable.
Compare the number of Ukrainian losses with captures of Russian vehicles and they are about even.
You don't know that.
the Russian artillery barrages seem to be mainly done for the purpose of causing destruction of property because no immediate infantry assault follows in most cases.
If you are firing arty salvos and then attack with infantry the next day, you have lost whatever the effect you are looking for from that arty support from a tactical point.Like I wrote before, the U.S. and the Russian armies have had different approaches to artillery use historically.And don't just start throwing stuff on the wall to see if anything sticks to match your unwarranted speculations.My original point in all this was to caution you that any sign of urban destruction is not an a priori evidence of intent to cause unnecessary collateral damage. Urban fighting tends to destroy... urban areas, evil intent or not.Replies: @Jack D
immediately preceding an infantry assault to take the city the very next day
I get it. You don’t want to be seen to agree with me even under any circumstances even if I agree with you. I understand.
I don’t know how many hours the Marines waited. I assume they did the barrage at night and started the assault at dawn or maybe vice versa. Midnight was in between so it goes down in history as the next day.
Stop playing word games - all you are doing is sophistry. You don't even really understand what I am saying to be agreeing with me. I certainly don't agree with you.
I get it. You don’t want to be seen to agree with me even under any circumstances even if I agree with you. I understand.
Putinists are rooting for the giant.
Thanks for this comment. A very perceptive analysis.
In general, I’m both confused and surprised that Russia hasn’t used its supposed expertise in EW and hacking to blind the Ukrainians and intimidate the West.
…you’d think one military or the other might take out (or hijack and monitor) the cell phone towers
Maybe they can’t do that. They’re not that good. Also two can play this game.
The second battle of Fallujah was the bloodiest in all of the Iraq War and ended badly for all parties concerned.
I thought you told me that destroying a city was not a good tactic – it just creates more hiding places for insurgents. Why did the Marines do this if it’s not effective?
You are talking out of your ass again.
Softening up the enemy by preceding an infantry assault with an artillery barrage is a time tested technique.
Thanks for all the detail but it doesn’t change my basic point that the Marines bombarded Fallujah immediately preceding an infantry assault to take the city the very next day while the Russian artillery barrages seem to be mainly done for the purpose of causing destruction of property because no immediate infantry assault follows in most cases.
You don't know that.
the Russian artillery barrages seem to be mainly done for the purpose of causing destruction of property because no immediate infantry assault follows in most cases.
If you are firing arty salvos and then attack with infantry the next day, you have lost whatever the effect you are looking for from that arty support from a tactical point.Like I wrote before, the U.S. and the Russian armies have had different approaches to artillery use historically.And don't just start throwing stuff on the wall to see if anything sticks to match your unwarranted speculations.My original point in all this was to caution you that any sign of urban destruction is not an a priori evidence of intent to cause unnecessary collateral damage. Urban fighting tends to destroy... urban areas, evil intent or not.Replies: @Jack D
immediately preceding an infantry assault to take the city the very next day
Take. A. Breath. And stop your hysterics. I never wrote that over 2,000 vehicles were destroyed. I wrote:
As Twinkie pointed out, it appears that over two thousand pieces of Russian equipment have been destroyed
OK, then about 1,400 destroyed. A Russian tank has a crew of 3 and and APC has a crew of 3 plus 7 passengers. Trucks can vary depending on whether they are troop trucks or what. So let’s say an average of 5 killed per destroyed vehicle. 1,400 x 5 = 7,000 which is a ballpark low estimate though the Ukrainians are claiming a much higher number. This is of course not including Russian troops killed outside of vehicles.
I am using a similar coefficient, but not because "A Russian tank has a crew of 3 and an APC has a crew of 3 plus 7 passengers." There is a lot of variability on casualties depending on how the vehicle was destroyed, damaged, abandoned or captured.
So let’s say an average of 5 killed per destroyed vehicle.
Of course not, some of the so far known reasons are:
He did not invade just to grab some territory.
they concluded it was their least bad option given the circumstances.
Well if that is what Putin concluded (and I doubt it – it was more like “I can get away with this because I have the stronger army and the West will not effectively interfere because they are weak and the Germans want my gas and when I succeed I will go down in history as a great Czar who re-enlarged Russia’s empire”) then he concluded wrong, badly wrong. The gains to Russia, if any, will be much smaller than he imagined and the losses, in men and materiel and international respectability and dollars are proving to much more painful than anyone, including Putin, even conceived.
Trolls are out in force on this one.
One tell is that they are usually new posters who haven’t been seen here before. Or post as some “Anon.”
Historical analogies often obscure facts. Neither WWII Japan or the USSR signed or adhered to the Geneva Conventions worked out in the earlier decades. So both of these committed “war crimes” willy-nilly. The Germans did respect those Conventions (not sure if they were signatories) since the Allies also did and Hitler, a former soldier, believed in reciprocity. Germans didn’t respect the Conventions with respect to the USSR, since Stalin didn’t.
Neither the Japanese or the Soviets (Russians) approved of their military personnel surrendering so their fate was of no concern. Fewer than one in 20 captured Germans on the eastern front made it back to Germany, ever. Most Soviet POWs also died; those that didn’t were gulaged by Stalin after the war. Self inflicted war crime by Soviets (Russians).
Yes, there are many hypocritical cases where “rules” of war have been disregarded by the US and others. But no one can honestly claim that the Soviets/Russians ever have shown much respect for any rules of any kind. Though despite the normal lack of top leadership concern, many military officers did uphold them.
Savage behavior begets the same in your enemies. “Mercy” is not a common Russian attribute.
Claims of “Nazis” running Ukraine or committing atrocities against other Ukrainians is pure fiction. Zelensky is Jewish and were this true, we’d be hearing about this for decades from the usual sources. Israel recognizes Ukraine. A handful of Nazi styled militia types is very useful for Russian propaganda. Suspicious minds might wonder who’s been financing them for all these years?
Ukes put out their own propaganda and some have probably shot Russian POWs and have done other bad things to collaborators. But since all the fighting so far has been on Uke territory, you can be sure that nearly all of the war crimes come from the Russians. They treat their own soldiers pretty badly too, from most accounts.
Fortunately, other than trolls, most Russian propaganda is so absurd few believe it.
LOL!"We" invaded at the Bay of Pigs. Somehow you conveniently forget that, but this is how you operate, man.
Castro created a full blown Russian allied Communist dictatorship 90 miles from the US and we still didn’t invade.
More disinformation and convenient forgetfulness on your part. For one thing, The Ukraine (and other Eastern European nations, I can tell you) IS very deep in the pocket of the US.More than that, though, Cuba's revolution was in fact VERY NOT OK with "us." Seriously, man, are you kidding me right now? Castro's communist, Soviet-aligned Cuba was a HUGE story in those days, and our deep government was hard at work to try to stop it.You are disingenuous to the max. I only hope other readers can see it and laugh out loud at you as hard as I am right now.LOL!Replies: @Jack D
Cuba was MUCH more in Russia’s pocket than Ukraine was ever in the US’s. Cuba’s “color revolution” (red) was apparently OK with us.
Putin sponsored his own “local uprising” in Donetsk and Luhansk in 2014 which was equivalent to the Bay of Pigs. The US sent not one American soldier to Cuba. If you see the Bay of Pigs as being equivalent to Putin sending a full blown Russian Army invasion force then I’m the one who’s laughing at your clear obtuseness.
Putin had every chance to undermine the Ukrainian government with bribery, poison, local collaborators, etc. and his efforts were about as successful as our efforts in Cuba. However, he wasn’t willing to concede defeat and sent a full blown Russian Army invasion force, thereby crossing the line of invading another sovereign country.
LOL. Yeah, but what tires does he prefer?All seriousness aside, you and I know nothing about this matter; we don't belong in it at all, and I refuse to expend more breath discussing it with you.
Putin had every chance...
It 'predicts' Civil War. Hmm, is that not what happened in Ukraine?
consequences of communist accession to power in italy - CIA
https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/DOC_0000258367.pdf
Castro created a full blown Russian allied Communist dictatorship 90 miles from the US and we still didn’t invade. Cuba was MUCH more in Russia’s pocket than Ukraine was ever in the US’s. Cuba’s “color revolution” (red) was apparently OK with us.
LOL!"We" invaded at the Bay of Pigs. Somehow you conveniently forget that, but this is how you operate, man.
Castro created a full blown Russian allied Communist dictatorship 90 miles from the US and we still didn’t invade.
More disinformation and convenient forgetfulness on your part. For one thing, The Ukraine (and other Eastern European nations, I can tell you) IS very deep in the pocket of the US.More than that, though, Cuba's revolution was in fact VERY NOT OK with "us." Seriously, man, are you kidding me right now? Castro's communist, Soviet-aligned Cuba was a HUGE story in those days, and our deep government was hard at work to try to stop it.You are disingenuous to the max. I only hope other readers can see it and laugh out loud at you as hard as I am right now.LOL!Replies: @Jack D
Cuba was MUCH more in Russia’s pocket than Ukraine was ever in the US’s. Cuba’s “color revolution” (red) was apparently OK with us.
Like everything involving Ukraine, the situation is FUBAR. Ukraine apparently started out (quite sensibly) with a Constitutional pledge of neutrality:
Did Ukraine and the other ex SSR’s (Baltics, Georgia, etc.) agree to neutrality at the time they left the USSR? Not saying they didn’t but I didn’t know they had.
But then . . .
The basis for neutrality can be found in the Declaration of State Sovereignty of Ukraine, passed on July 1, 1990, which declares that the country has the “intention of becoming a permanently neutral state that does not participate in military blocs and adheres to three nuclear free principles…” (Declaration of State Sovereignty 1990: Art. IX). Furthermore, the Ukrainian Constitution, which bases itself on the Declaration of Independence of August 24, 1991, contains these basic principles of non-coalition and future neutrality. However, the questions of how and when these are to be implemented remain unanswered and are subject to much debate. (Spillmann, Wenger and Müller 1999: 36).
And then . . .
The problem, however, came in 2003 with the adoption of a law concerning principles of national security which sets as the country’s priority the complete and rightful participation in European and regional systems of collective security further indicating the goals of accession into the European Union and NATO (Закон України 2003-2006). From a legislative point of view, the two discussed laws contradict each other. Theoretically, during the adoption of the former law it was necessary to cancel the earlier one; this, however, did not happen. Consequently, Ukraine is still heading in two, quite different directions simultaneously.
But then . . .
In June of 2004, President Leonid Kuchma issued a new presidential decree concerning the military doctrine, based on the new law. In July of the same year he officially proclaimed that the statement about Ukraine’s definitive preparation for accession into NATO was removed from the military and security doctrines and policies.
Replies: @Hypnotoad666, @Jack D, @HA
However, following the Orange Revolution and the election of a new president, the situation changed once again, with President Viktor Yushchenko amending the doctrine further and stating that the country’s final security goal is accession into NATO. (Pavlenko 2006). This leads to obvious problems for the country and further projects an outward image of incoherent and unstable policies. https://www.e-ir.info/2010/11/30/ukraine%E2%80%99s-neutrality-a-myth-or-reality/
One of the things that you have to understand is that in most countries (not just shitty 3rd world places) the Constitution is not as sacred and difficult to amend or replace as the American constitution (which BTW is the world’s oldest written constitution that remains in effect – so much for America being the New World). A lot of countries change their constitutions as often as they change their underwear. For example, since 1789, France has had 14 constitutions. The current French Constitution dates all the way back to 1958.
It’s also common for a lot of modern constitutions to be a lot more detailed (and therefore less timeless) than the American Constitution. For example, the US Constitution has nothing to say about the subject of neutrality. It leaves the making of treaties up to the President with the approval of 2/3 of the Senate. By leaving things vague and general, it’s not necessary to amend the Constitution very often. If we had neutrality in our constitution and then took it out, that would be a really big deal but in Ukraine it’s more like changing an ordinary law or policy.
The Constitution of France, for example, enshrines a lot of “rights” that we cover with legislation and aren’t mentioned at all in our Constitution.
Right to culture . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Right to form political parties . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3
Right to health care . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Right to join trade unions . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Right to own property . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11, 32, 33
Right to renounce citizenship . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 28
Right to rest and leisure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Right to self determination . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 3, 35
Right to strike . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
Right to transfer property . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 11
Right to work . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 34
The Russians were up to no good in Cuba and we rightly kicked them out. I'm all for the Monroe Doctrine. I don't care about the Dnieper but I do care greatly about the Rio Grande.
Russia, BTW, spent billions in Cuba for decades, 90 miles from Florida. If the ground rules prohibit spending $ in each other’s sphere of influence, what were the Russians doing in Cuba?
The Russians were up to no good in Cuba and we rightly kicked them out
I missed the part where we kicked them out. They left their giant Lourdes bases voluntarily at the end of the Cold War because they ran out of money (ironically it was done by Putin, early in his rule – the Cubans complained bitterly because the base had been a source of badly needed funds to the tune of \$200 million/year). A few years ago there was talk of Russia reopening the base but after 2014 it seems to have dropped off the (ahem) radar.
Honecker loyalists have an opportunity:
A few years ago there was talk of Russia reopening the base but after 2014 it seems to have dropped off the (ahem) radar.
Is Ukraine sovereign or a puppet of Victoria Nuland and the CIA?It's cutesy to say he should've bought the land, but as we can see, Zelensky's masters would've never allowed it. They're determined to destroy Russia. The whole point is that Russia couldn't offer anything that would satisfy the Usual Suspects.Russia isn't doing some Caesar-like adventure. They feel profoundly threatened. And given all the vitriol coming from our media and our senators is it surprising? Senators never called for the killing of Brezhnev or Stalin, but they do Putin. Something threatens them about Russia. And apparently it threatens you too.Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Anon
If Mr. Putin wants to redraw the border, he can offer to buy the land from the sovereign state of Ukraine.
“Russia isn’t doing some Caesar-like adventure. ”
Yeah, Caesar was a winner, whose life was one brilliant victory over a more numerous foe after another.
Putin single-handedly has ruined the good reputation of the Russian military that took the sacrifices of WWII and the Cold War to build up. He’s a loser.
You know that the Russians had very extensive bases in Cuba, right?
The Lourdes SIGINT (Signals Intelligence) facility, located near Havana, Cuba, was the largest facility of its kind operated by Russian foreign intelligence services[2] outside of Russia. Located less than 150 km (93 mi) from Key West, the facility covered 73 km2 (28 sq mi). Construction began in July 1962.
At its peak during the Cold War over 1,500 KGB, GRU, Cuban DGI, and Eastern Bloc technicians, engineers and intelligence operatives staffed the facility.
I wish Putin could bring it to a swift, successful conclusion and stick our elites in the eye with it.
This in essence is why the alt.right is advocating for Putin and repeating his lies with such great enthusiasm. He hates the American elites and globohomoism and so do you. He wants to cut the globohomos down a notch and this is something that you would welcome.
There are a couple of problems with this:
1. To the extent that he is a patriot (it’s mostly for show anyway) he is a Russian patriot and would want ANY America, even the nonglobohomo America of your dreams, cut down to size. He is not really your friend. Even if you told him, hey, I’m not in favor of that globohomo stuff and I’m with you on the white Christian civilization thing, he would just as soon put a bullet in the back of your head anyway if he thought that you were interfering with Russia’s goals.
2. His whole morality shtick is an act. He couldn’t really give a shit about Christian morality. Elites in Russia, of whom he is the #1 elite, have a BOTTOMLESS contempt for their own people. They live like royalty with palaces and yachts and the folks in the provinces regard a washing machine as a luxury good. Our elites treat poor whites like dogs but in Russia they treat them like shit. Putin sends young Russian (and Kalmyk and Chechen and whatever) boys from the provinces to be cannon meat in Ukraine and he can’t even be bothered to scrape up the pieces and send them back to their mamas.
Russia compared to the Warsaw Pact era URRS is a 'Paper Bear', and was regarded with contempt as a thirde rate country that no one cared what it thought, as a diplomat of Clinton's administration remembered. Before his meeting with Putin , President Biden was publicly mocking Russia as an 'Upper Volta'. Enormous disparities in military force and sophistication, international influence and financial power, population and many other things that mean Putin could not possibly have miscalculated about Europe's--still less the West's--formidable capabilities or the Americans running the West's hostility to Russia. Putin must have thought he had to invade Ukraine no matter what.
This is partly intentional on Putin’s part. He did not invade just to grab some territory. His aim was to discredit the West and show that they are a paper tiger
Putin said jut before he invaded Ukraine (Jan 2022)that Russia would not allow any more governments allied with Moscow to be toppled in so-called “color revolutions . Russian has nuclear weapons, but remember the 2011-13 anti Putin protests. Kissinger said the Communists entering the Italian government was a grave threat to the West. Putin saw Ukraine as a similar type of threat. Ukraine and its borders being recognized as a country by Russia merely meant that the Ukrainian government is understood to be in control of its claimed territory, and responsible for what happened on it.Replies: @Jack D
The irony of Putin is that he is bringing about the thing that he feared the most.
Kissinger said the Communists entering the Italian government was a grave threat to the West.
I remember when that happened, and then the American tanks surrounded Rome and they leveled Naples with rockets and artillery.
No wait, that didn’t happen.
You know what also did not happen? The commies never entered the Italian government.
No wait, that didn’t happen.
It 'predicts' Civil War. Hmm, is that not what happened in Ukraine?
consequences of communist accession to power in italy - CIA
https://www.cia.gov/readingroom/docs/DOC_0000258367.pdf
Russian chauvinists sound like teenagers who just discovered Noam Chomsky when talking about the US and then morph into Ragnar Redbeardovich when talking about Russia.
I don’t know who or how or why the Wikis are being edited – anyone can edit them. If you don’t like the edits go and revert them and see what happens (you can look at the history page to see when and how things changed).
But personally (and my mother and her family were from Galicia) that was then and this was now. When I went back my shtetl I met some really old and hunched over people. When I was younger and I met people like that I would think to myself, hmmm what were you doing in 1942? But I did the math in my head and I realized that even these toothless old dudes would have been no more than children at the time of the Holocaust. AFAIK, 99.9% of the people in Ukraine who took part in the Holocaust are either dead or close to dead. Demjanjuk, who was 22 when he became a camp guard, died a decade ago at age 91. So even if every single Ukrainian was a Nazi collaborator back in the day, no one alive today is responsible for their misdeeds.
Germany has been a good friend of the US since shortly after the end of the war. No one in America says that we shouldn’t support Germany or allow it to be in NATO, even though Germany bears even more responsibility for the Holocaust that Ukraine.
If the people in Ukraine today are “Nazis” they are a funny kind of Nazi who elected a Jewish president and where the right wing parties didn’t break 3% of the vote and hold no seats in the parliament. Hungary is a lot more “Nazi” than Ukraine. The Soviets did a lot of evil stuff but you can’t say that they didn’t thoroughly denazify Ukraine after the war, such that it really isn’t in need of further denazification by Putin. If you want to look for Ukrainians to denazify, you’ll have a lot better luck in Canada or the US because dudes like Demjanjuk didn’t make it in the post war USSR.
You really seem exceptionally "excitable" about this issue. Since the 1,351 figure was from a week ago, I'm sure it's indeed a little higher, but you don't have any evidence to say it's all that much higher.Replies: @Jack D
1,351 was an old number...Yesterday, Putin spokesman Peskov said that the casualties were “a huge tragedy for us”. He didn’t release any new #s but presumably “a huge tragedy” implies more than 1,351 deaths.
What evidence do you have beside the laughable Russian claims? As Twinkie pointed out, it appears that over two thousand pieces of Russian equipment have been destroyed (this is well documented despite of course the usual Russian attempts at denial of the obvious):
https://www.oryxspioenkop.com/2022/02/attack-on-europe-documenting-equipment.html
Each one of these tanks, APVs, trucks, etc. would have had several crew members.
Here’s some evidence:
I suppose you could go to Ukraine and actually count the bodies in the morgues. Or the Russians could accept back the bodies of their fallen soldiers and reunite them with their loved ones as is done by all civilized countries.
Maybe the Ukrainians are lying but it seems to be a strange kind of lie because the Russians could easily call them on it and if they didn’t produce the bodies it would be a source of further friction. Also they are distinguishing between the number they claim have been killed (19,000) and the number of bodies that they are holding (7,000). If they were just liars they could claim to have 19,000 corpses.
Take. A. Breath. And stop your hysterics. I never wrote that over 2,000 vehicles were destroyed. I wrote:
As Twinkie pointed out, it appears that over two thousand pieces of Russian equipment have been destroyed
You seem exactly like all those shrieking Jewish Neocons in the run-up to the totally disastrous Iraq War, which cost American many trillions of dollars and destroyed much of the Middle East. But now you and your crazy friends are focused upon provoking a hot war with nuclear-armed Russia, which is considerably more serious.
What evidence do you have beside the laughable Russian claims?...I suppose you could go to Ukraine and actually count the bodies in the morgues. Or the Russians could accept back the bodies of their fallen soldiers and reunite them with their loved ones as is done by all civilized countries.
Very good analogy. I will add:If Steve's neighbor were his almost identical brother who normally was friendly with Steve, even sharing his property from time to time...and if Steve's neighbor was knocked out by an American-supported mob and dragged from the property...and if that neighbor was replaced by an anti-Steve, hostile puppet thug...and if that thug and America constantly threatened Steve with violence...and if Steve's new neighbor beat up Steve's children on the edge of the property, year after year...and if Steve's neighbor was publicly considering joining an anti-Steve militia...What in the name of God would Steve do?You see, our dear host, St. Steve, likes to repeat the movie line, "because we live here." Well, God damn it, Russians live there. They can't just sell and move away from the hostility the way Steve could if he had more brains. (Sorry, Steve.)Normally around here we've admired Russian balls. We've sounded like we know they are men who act like men and take action. But now, oh no! Now some of us have become girly-men who cry "invasion," as if every military action is the same. Steve himself is applying simply, girl-logic to this: Ooh, they "invaded" somebody else's territory. What the hell else were they supposed to do in their dilemma?Replies: @Jack D, @Corvinus, @Reg Cæsar
And Ukraine agreed to be neutral. If your Russian neighbor was a heavily armed member of an anti-Steve Sailer gang, things might be less comfortable.
What the hell else were they supposed to do in their dilemma?
Bullies are always getting into “dilemmas” like this – “I had no choice but to punch that kid in the nose. It’s his fault, he made me do it.” Paranoids always see imaginary threats.
Was Joe Biden really threatening to invade Russia ? Germany with its (up until now) tiny army and the rest of Europe with its nice white lady defense ministers who were concerned with trannie rights in the military? Don’t make me laugh.
The irony of Putin is that he is bringing about the thing that he feared the most. Ukraine would have never dreamed of bombing Russian oil terminals or attacking Russian ships or killing Russian soldiers but now they are doing it. Germany would have never rearmed based upon Biden’s ineffective pleading. But now they are doing it. Sweden and Finland would have never joined NATO but now they are giving strong consideration to it.
This is partly intentional on Putin’s part. He did not invade just to grab some territory. His aim was to discredit the West and show that they are a paper tiger. He wanted to provoke a crisis and then win it. He was supposed to depose Zelensky and install a puppet regime who would permanently cede Crimea and “recognize” the independence of the Donbas and the West was supposed to impose some kind of slap on the wrist meaningless sanctions. China would take courage from the ineffectiveness of the West and do its thing to Taiwan and now there would be a bipolar world between the declining Western powers and the rising autocratic ones. Putin was going to make the world Safe for Autocracy. It has all just gone horribly wrong.
Kind of like Israel.
Bullies are always getting into “dilemmas” like this
True. But it's equally ironic that Ukraine, by seeking NATO membership, triggered the very Russian attack it was seeking protection from. Saying you are going to join NATO, without ever actually joining NATO, is a cosmically stupid strategy. But that was apparently the plan our Deep State foisted on Ukraine.
The irony of Putin is that he is bringing about the thing that he feared the most.
Putin's not paranoid. He's just creating an illusion of paranoia. If he said - "I am doing this to become Vladimir the Greater", he'd be lambasted as an egomaniacal sociopath, even in Russia proper. So he makes up some excuse that will sound somewhat palatable, both to Russians and some of Unz's denizens.
Bullies are always getting into “dilemmas” like this – “I had no choice but to punch that kid in the nose. It’s his fault, he made me do it.” Paranoids always see imaginary threats.
Of course not, some of the so far known reasons are:
He did not invade just to grab some territory.
Russia compared to the Warsaw Pact era URRS is a 'Paper Bear', and was regarded with contempt as a thirde rate country that no one cared what it thought, as a diplomat of Clinton's administration remembered. Before his meeting with Putin , President Biden was publicly mocking Russia as an 'Upper Volta'. Enormous disparities in military force and sophistication, international influence and financial power, population and many other things that mean Putin could not possibly have miscalculated about Europe's--still less the West's--formidable capabilities or the Americans running the West's hostility to Russia. Putin must have thought he had to invade Ukraine no matter what.
This is partly intentional on Putin’s part. He did not invade just to grab some territory. His aim was to discredit the West and show that they are a paper tiger
Putin said jut before he invaded Ukraine (Jan 2022)that Russia would not allow any more governments allied with Moscow to be toppled in so-called “color revolutions . Russian has nuclear weapons, but remember the 2011-13 anti Putin protests. Kissinger said the Communists entering the Italian government was a grave threat to the West. Putin saw Ukraine as a similar type of threat. Ukraine and its borders being recognized as a country by Russia merely meant that the Ukrainian government is understood to be in control of its claimed territory, and responsible for what happened on it.Replies: @Jack D
The irony of Putin is that he is bringing about the thing that he feared the most.
The Russians always draw the opposite lesson because they are not looking for consistency, they are looking for excuses for their own bad behavior. Instead of condemning Western misbehavior (well they do that too) they emulate it on a larger scale. Hey, the West stole an apple – who are they to tell us that car theft is wrong?
the Russians don’t want to frighten their potential collaborators in Ukraine.
Interesting thought. Many people here (falsely) claimed that the people lying dead in the street with their hands tied up might have been collaborators killed by the Ukrainian resistance during the Russian occupation but the Russians themselves made no such claims – they said that these corpses had been placed on the street AFTER they left (not taking into account that nowadays there are cameras everywhere including up in the sky).
They would have had less problems with their timeline if they made the former claim but they didn’t. Perhaps you have hit the reason, although frankly the Russian lies seem to be situational and ad hoc and there doesn’t seem to be any grand strategy or consistency to them other than to refute everything that casts them in a bad light.
Regardless of whether Ukrainians are killing collaborators elsewhere, there appears to be abundant evidence such as survivor testimony that the dead on the street in Bucha were mostly or all killed by the Russians.
In any case, a favorite Russian tactic is to point to something that the West has done in error or on a very small scale and use this to license massive and intentional misconduct by the Russians Instead of emulating the best of the West, they seek to emulate the worst. As Stalin said, quantity has its own quality. One or two collaborators or Russian prisoners killed by rogue Ukrainian irregulars is not the same as a Moscow directed campaign of genocide.
No, but Putin spent (or thought he spent) billions manipulating the internal politics of Ukraine. Yanukovych’s palace alone must have cost a pretty penny. Now it turns out that a lot of that money ended up invested in London flats and never made it to Ukraine, but he THOUGHT that he was buying influence. When Russia spends \$ that’s OK because Ukraine is in its “sphere of influence” but when we do it, it’s a “Color Revolution”.
Russia, BTW, spent billions in Cuba for decades, 90 miles from Florida. If the ground rules prohibit spending \$ in each other’s sphere of influence, what were the Russians doing in Cuba?
The Russians were up to no good in Cuba and we rightly kicked them out. I'm all for the Monroe Doctrine. I don't care about the Dnieper but I do care greatly about the Rio Grande.
Russia, BTW, spent billions in Cuba for decades, 90 miles from Florida. If the ground rules prohibit spending $ in each other’s sphere of influence, what were the Russians doing in Cuba?
You're assuming good faith on his part. Many people are thoroughly amoral. It's not about good or bad - it's about whether they get ahead. It's doubtful that morality plays a part in Putin's calculations, except as a weakness in others he can use to his advantage.Replies: @Jack D
Putin so crooked that he literally cannot imagine anyone acting from other than the most base motives because that’s all he has in his head – nothing but depravity.
Yes, that’s the whole point. Putin, as a KGB man, is thoroughly cynical. There are no honest feelings – everything is just a question of what strings you can pull to get people to do what you want. Religion, patriotism, money, kompromat, whatever works in order to get the job done. As someone else said, if you allow yourself to have such feelings that means that you’re the freier (sucker). A KGB man plays other people. He does not allow himself to be played.
This is one reason why he is so angry at his officials and has had some arrested. Putin is the one who is supposed to persuade YOU with his lies. You are not supposed to persuade HIM with yours.
By the way, building damage is not a surefire way of proving callous intent in war. Urban fighting tends to destroy buildings.
Does this look like “minimizing civilian casualties”?
I thought you told me that destroying a city was not a good tactic – it just creates more hiding places for insurgents. Why did the Marines do this if it’s not effective?
As I understand it, following the artillery bombardment, the Marines immediately (the next day) entered the city (after clearing the streets with armored bulldozers). Softening up the enemy by preceding an infantry assault with an artillery barrage is a time tested technique.
But this isn’t what the Russians are doing. They seem to randomly destroy some apartment building or train station, often quite distant from the front lines, with missiles, where the only goal seems to be to kill civilians and sow terror. They have been bombarding Mariupol for over a month now but the ground assault never comes. So this seems to be quite unlike what the Marines did in Fallujah.
This is explained but the ineptitude of Russian intelligence. It's then manifested in the classic Russian propaganda - if missiles hit some structure X and kill military = great success, our intel is the best! If civilians were killed = Ukranians nazis are again killing their own, we must liberate them. The mistake is not and can never be acknowledged, so it keeps happenining.
But this isn’t what the Russians are doing. They seem to randomly destroy some apartment building or train station, often quite distant from the front lines, with missiles, where the only goal seems to be to kill civilians and sow terror.
The second battle of Fallujah was the bloodiest in all of the Iraq War and ended badly for all parties concerned.
I thought you told me that destroying a city was not a good tactic – it just creates more hiding places for insurgents. Why did the Marines do this if it’s not effective?
You are talking out of your ass again.
Softening up the enemy by preceding an infantry assault with an artillery barrage is a time tested technique.
Interesting. I just casually looked at the Wiki page for the German army, and it gave 63K for the total, a surprisingly small figure. I naturally assumed that its air force was just a fraction of that and there wasn't a large navy so that would give me a rough overall estimate. I'm absolutely astonished that the German army numbers only 1/3 of its total military. I'd guess that the German Wehrmacht+SS had included well over 90% of its military personnel during WWII:
The Bundeswehr (“Federal Armed Forces”) has over 180,000 active personnel...Your number only accounts for the Heer (the army) and excludes the Luftwaffe (the air force) and the Marine (the navy).
Given your military expertise, what's your opinion of the Russian KIAs so far? Most people here seem to think the official US/MSM estimate of 7K-15K Russian KIAs is absurdly inflated and the Russian figure of maybe 1,350 is probably about correct, though likely excluding the Donbas militia losses.
Absolutely. However, even if Russia were to win, the cost and casualties for Russia will have been much larger than expected, not only by the Russian pre-war planning in all likelihood, but by our own (USG/Pentagon/CIA) estimates before the war as well.
1,351 was an old number. Even the Russians aren’t stuck on that lie anymore. People here who want to follow the Moscow line have to keep up because the Moscow line keeps shifting. This used to be a problem for Moscow followers in the West. Nowadays you can probably get an app or something but in the old days you had to read the Daily Worker carefully or you could really get in trouble. You might be praising the heroic work of Comrade Yezhov only to find out that Comrade Yezhov was really a wrecker and this praise might put your own loyalty in question.
Yesterday, Putin spokesman Peskov said that the casualties were “a huge tragedy for us”. He didn’t release any new #s but presumably “a huge tragedy” implies more than 1,351 deaths.
In addition to the 7,000 to 15,000 deaths estimated by NATO (that was 2 weeks ago so by now we are probably on the high end of that range) they estimated total casualties (killed and wounded) in the range of 30 to 40,000. This is a significant chunk of the total # of Russians who invaded Ukraine and would explain why they withdrew from the Kiev region. Once a unit loses more than a certain % of its troops it loses its combat effectiveness. Key men (the Russians have lost 7 generals) are no longer present, important equipment has been lost and those who remain are demoralized. There is no hope of using such units to advance further and keeping them in place was just causing further losses as ATGMs and accurately placed artillery, etc. continued to rain down on their head despite their state of the art tree branch and hay stack camouflage.
You really seem exceptionally "excitable" about this issue. Since the 1,351 figure was from a week ago, I'm sure it's indeed a little higher, but you don't have any evidence to say it's all that much higher.Replies: @Jack D
1,351 was an old number...Yesterday, Putin spokesman Peskov said that the casualties were “a huge tragedy for us”. He didn’t release any new #s but presumably “a huge tragedy” implies more than 1,351 deaths.
Replies: @Jack D
Remarks at the U.S.-Ukraine Foundation Conference
Remarks
Victoria Nuland
Assistant Secretary, Bureau of European and Eurasian Affairs
Washington, DC
December 13, 2013
[...]
Since Ukraine’s independence in 1991, the United States has supported Ukrainians as they build democratic skills and institutions, as they promote civic participation and good governance, all of which are preconditions for Ukraine to achieve its European aspirations. We’ve invested over $5 billion to assist Ukraine in these and other goals that will ensure a secure and prosperous and democratic Ukraine.
This is not the same thing as spending \$5 billion on a Color Revolution.
The US is not ashamed that it spends \$ on promoting democracy. This is no secret. Only in the mind of Putin and his followers is promoting democracy the same thing as fomenting a Color Revolution. Putin so crooked that he literally cannot imagine anyone acting from other than the most base motives because that’s all he has in his head – nothing but depravity.
You're assuming good faith on his part. Many people are thoroughly amoral. It's not about good or bad - it's about whether they get ahead. It's doubtful that morality plays a part in Putin's calculations, except as a weakness in others he can use to his advantage.Replies: @Jack D
Putin so crooked that he literally cannot imagine anyone acting from other than the most base motives because that’s all he has in his head – nothing but depravity.
This implies that Russia has a shortage of contractors, which is not the case. Just about a half of them have been sent to Ukraine.Replies: @Jack D
You’ve signed the contract (at gun point), now you are a contractor and there are no more conscripts in Ukraine!
There is free press in Russia.
Go away with your lies. Nobody wants your bullshit here. The last vestiges of a free press in Russia were destroyed when Putin started this war. This war is based on concealing the truth from the Russian public so a free press would spoil the hermetic bubble he needed to conjure up Nazi Ukraine.
As of 2021, Russia ranked 150 lowest out of 180 countries in the Press Freedom Index compiled by Reporters Without Borders. That was before the war started – I’m sure in the next ratings it will be in the high 170s. N. Korea will still beat them. Poor Russia – can’t be #1 in anything, not even in repression.
No. There are high-profile printed and online publications that are in opposition to the Kremlin. For example Kommersant or Independent Newspaper. And Russian public has access to the internet.
The last vestiges of a free press in Russia were destroyed when Putin started this war. This war is based on concealing the truth from the Russian public.
That is a biased organization with $6 million budget. It receives funding from billionaires. Their opinion is not an indication of common sense.The EU countries are in the top 20, but I can't even watch RT on TV, because it's been banned. Even the web site is unreachable. You better stop talking about free press.
Russia ranked 150 lowest out of 180 countries in the Press Freedom Index compiled by Reporters Without Borders.
Jack, the Russians have made clear from the get-go that they wanted to minimize civilian casualties consistent with achieving their objectives, and they have clearly done that: the civilian deaths would easily have been an order of magnitude higher than anyone is claiming if the Russians had wished to maximize civilian deaths.
1. Serious question – if this is not a winning (is in fact a counterproductive) tactic, then why do the Russians do it? Are they stupid, evil, misguided, what?
You are assuming as a fact something not in evidence: the Russians are claiming that the Kievan forces are preventing civilians from leaving cities under siege so as to use those civilians as human shields.
2. If you are a civilian resident of one of the cities that Russia has targeted and cannot escape (because the Russians also shoot anyone who tries to escape)
Go away, I wasn’t asking you. I’m sick of your Putinist bullshit. Russians claims that they wanted to minimize civilian casualties are sick lies in the face of what is going on in Ukraine and you are pathetic for repeating them and foolish for believing them. You remind me of the American academics who used to fall for Stalin’s lies. What is it about academics that makes them fall for totalitarian lies? Orwell said that there are some ideas so stupid that only an intellectual could believe them.
Does this look like “minimizing civilian casualties”?
Who are you going to believe, Putin or your own lying eyes?
Nah. You know, I just love ya, man!
Go away,
Jack, it is remarkably easy to kill civilians in very large numbers with modern weaponry.
Russians claims that they wanted to minimize civilian casualties are sick lies in the face of what is going on in Ukraine and you are pathetic for repeating them and foolish for believing them.
Your memory is failing you, Jack. I have said many times that after getting my Ph.D., I went into the semiconductor industry: I am not an academic.
You remind me of the American academics who used to fall for Stalin’s lies. What is it about academics that makes them fall for totalitarian lies?
Yes, it does. Bombs and missiles very, very often do not hit their planned targets.
Does this look like “minimizing civilian casualties”?
By the way, building damage is not a surefire way of proving callous intent in war. Urban fighting tends to destroy buildings.
Does this look like “minimizing civilian casualties”?
Have you ever been in a city that has been reduced to rubble? I am guessing not. Here is a little tip: it's extremely hard to clear destroyed urban areas of opposing forces, because every crater, destroyed building, and the widespread debris creates lots of hazard and defensive strong points. Soldiers hate fighting in destroyed cities, because it is enormously dirty, messy, and deadly.
What I was saying is that the Russian tactic is to pound the city and its inhabitants to rubble. That’s how they won in Checnya.
1. Serious question – if this is not a winning (is in fact a counterproductive) tactic, then why do the Russians do it? Are they stupid, evil, misguided, what?
2. If you are a civilian resident of one of the cities that Russia has targeted and cannot escape (because the Russians also shoot anyone who tries to escape) then the fact that this is not a “winning” strategy for the Russians makes no difference to you because you will be just as dead either way.
Jack, the Russians have made clear from the get-go that they wanted to minimize civilian casualties consistent with achieving their objectives, and they have clearly done that: the civilian deaths would easily have been an order of magnitude higher than anyone is claiming if the Russians had wished to maximize civilian deaths.
1. Serious question – if this is not a winning (is in fact a counterproductive) tactic, then why do the Russians do it? Are they stupid, evil, misguided, what?
You are assuming as a fact something not in evidence: the Russians are claiming that the Kievan forces are preventing civilians from leaving cities under siege so as to use those civilians as human shields.
2. If you are a civilian resident of one of the cities that Russia has targeted and cannot escape (because the Russians also shoot anyone who tries to escape)
Incompetence, for one. Leveling a city is usually a sign that all other methods and attempts have failed. From the time immemorial, a siege of any kind has been a sign that the attacker has decided to play chicken - "Let's make it absolutely miserable for both sides and let's see if you break before I do." Historically sieges often ravaged both the besieged and the besiegers likewise.As I wrote before, Russian "winning" in the Second Chechen War did not come from leveling Grozny, it came from a myriad of factors including a long counterinsurgency in the mountainous countryside and winning over a powerful local militia (the son of whose leader is still in power in Chechnya). Without the other conditions, the Russian army merely leveling Grozny would have meant very little.
1. Serious question – if this is not a winning (is in fact a counterproductive) tactic, then why do the Russians do it? Are they stupid, evil, misguided, what?
That's the tragedy of war. Everyone suffers (to varying degrees, of course). That's why a negotiated peace by reasonable people is better for all, but human beings, not just Russians, are often unreasonable. If NATO hadn't expanded eastward as promised, things would have been different in all likelihood. There's been a lot of "unreasonableness" going around that's exacerbated mistrust and fear on all sides.Replies: @PhysicistDave, @Johann Ricke
2. If you are a civilian resident of one of the cities that Russia has targeted and cannot escape (because the Russians also shoot anyone who tries to escape) then the fact that this is not a “winning” strategy for the Russians makes no difference to you because you will be just as dead either way.
I see there are buttons for Agree, Disagree, etc. but is there a button for “Sod Off, Wanker”?
Steve/Ron – could you add one of those please?
I suspect you'll get that button a lot.
I see there are buttons for Agree, Disagree, etc. but is there a button for “Sod Off, Wanker”?
The Pentagon will want to have a good look at the Krasukha-4. I get the feeling that the flow of military equipment from NATO to Ukraine is not 100% one way.
That being said, something like that is only good when you have absolute air supremacy. When something like this is lit up it is the equivalent of a Klieg light for anti-radiation missiles. You might as well put a giant neon “DESTROY ME” sign on the roof of this thing.
Of course it is nice that the Russians are retreating in disarray and leaving behind such valuable hardware completely intact. This is not a cheap piece of hardware.
https://www.unz.com/isteve/the-avars-of-dark-age-hungary-were-mongolians/#comment-5267960
I hadn’t followed any of those exchanges. I’m very surprised that Ritter was commenting on this website. Or was it on Twitter or in some other venue?
That wasn't "a mere show of force" - I think the Russians tried to capture an airfield near Kiev and fly in reinforcements to capture the city (or at least the administrative core of the city). But they were badly repulsed.
It’s quite possible that the Russians originally thought that a mere show of force would topple the Ukrainian government
I suspect they were intending to capture the government, not occupy the entire city. But who knows? Only the Russian national and military command know. The rest is just speculation (including my own).But feints aren't supposed to be this costly. Sure, we don't accurately know the casualty rates of both sides, but there are enough photographically confirmed counts of destroyed, damaged, abandoned, and captured vehicles to get some rough measures of casualty levels, and the Russians appeared to have suffered a considerable number in the Kiev axis of advance.
Kiev is a city of 3M and if it were hostile, a few tens of thousands of troops could never hope to seize and occupy it.
Ukraine doesn't have an "enormous" army. And its capabilities were held in low esteem by most, including our own Pentagon (which expected the fall of Kiev "any day now" for quite a while in the beginning of the Russian invasion). A lot of people and governments have been surprised by the fierceness of the Ukrainian resistance, I suspect the Russian leadership among them.
Ukraine is a large country with an enormous, well-trained military, and defeating it is hardly a trivial undertaking, especially if the Russians seem to be doing their absolute best to minimize civilian casualties and destruction.
That's a convenient speculation on his part, but completely unsupported. And Ritter is absolutely wrong on how "easy" it is to block communication channel in this day and age. When the Arab Spring began, both the Egyptian and Libyan regimes tried to cut internet and communications channels of the rebels (whose capabilities were far more primitive than that of the Ukrainians) and couldn't. I am a Luddite, but even I know ways to create communications in a "non-permissive environment."Replies: @Jack D, @Ron Unz
I thought one very interesting point Ritter made was that the Russians were deliberately allowing Zelensky to be built up into an international hero by allowing his communications channels to remain unblocked since they needed him to eventually arrange the surrender.
And Ritter is absolutely wrong on how “easy” it is to block communication channel in this day and age.
And getting easier every day. When the war started, Musk opened the Starlink (internet satellite) network to Ukraine and sent thousands of terminals (dishes). Each Starlink antenna is about 12 x 19 inches or approximately the size of a cookie sheet. Especially at night, these would be impossible to spot and could be easily camouflaged (painted to match roof tiles, etc.) , not that Russian forces were free to fly over Kiev anyway.
“
The quality of the link is excellent,” [Ukrainian Minister of Digital Transformation] Fedorov said through a translator, using a Starlink connection from an undisclosed location. “We are using thousands, in the area of thousands, of terminals with new shipments arriving every other day.”
https://www.washingtonpost.com/technology/2022/03/19/elon-musk-ukraine-starlink/
One thing that is common among Ukrainian trolls is this ridiculous ignorance, coupled with insolent lies.
There are 20,000 that look like that and the rest are various degrees of frightened conscript, drunk, dead, wounded, deserted or captured, etc.
The Moscow Times is designated as a "foreign agent" in Russia and is nothing but a NATO propaganda outlet.
Nearly 400,000 contractors serve in the Russian Army as of March 2019... in every regiment and brigade, two battalions are formed by contractors, while one is formed by recruits, who are not involved in combat missions. Currently, there are 136 battalion tactical groups in the armed forces formed by contractors. The number of conscripts amounts to 225,000 and the number of contractors amounts to 405,000 as of March 2020 and exceeds the number of conscripts by 2 times as of the end of 2021.
The Moscow Times is designated as a “foreign agent” in Russia
Being designated as a “foreign agent” in Russia is a badge of honor. Putin has used the “foreign agent” laws to shut down all activity that was not government controlled – free press, NGOs, etc.. This is straight from the Fascist playbook: “”Everything within the state, nothing outside the state, nothing against the state.”
Putin is not exactly a Nazi (not anti-Semitic for one thing) but he’s definitely a Fascist. He has created a Fascist state in the Mussolini mold.
During this war, Russia has forced many of the “conscripts” to sign contracts in order to retroactively fulfill Putin’s promise not to deploy conscripts. Voila, you’ve signed the contract (at gun point), now you are a contractor and there are no more conscripts in Ukraine!
https://www.foxnews.com/world/ukraine-invasion-russian-conscripts-military-contracts-family
This is an old Russian ploy. When my mother was sent to Siberia she was forced to sign a contract stating that she had volunteered to move there. The Russians are into “cargo cult” rule of law. You observe all of the forms associated with rule of law – contracts, a court system, trials, etc. All that is lacking is the actual substance.
This implies that Russia has a shortage of contractors, which is not the case. Just about a half of them have been sent to Ukraine.Replies: @Jack D
You’ve signed the contract (at gun point), now you are a contractor and there are no more conscripts in Ukraine!
More graphic details with photographic and video evidence from Bucha. Apparently the Ukrainians were keeping LOTs of pre-putrefied bodies in reserve so that they could bring them out when the Russian left.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/world/2022/04/06/bucha-barbarism-atrocities-russian-soldiers/
Can the heroic laborers in the Russian lie factories keep up with the increasing high pile of corpses?
It appears as if the gang that was occupying Bucha was an exceptionally psychopathic and murderous group of thugs – maybe Wagner or Chechens or both. In most other occupied towns, the Russians might have murdered a mere handful and mainly confined themselves to torture, mock executions, washing machine theft, rape, etc. but the guys in Bucha really went hog wild and outdid themselves.
Obviously the Russians are trying to absolutely minimize damage to civilian infrastructure. However, Ritter argued that it would have been relatively easy for them to use targeted attacks or other means to block Kiev's telecommunications channels with the outside world, preventing Zelensky from getting his message out internationally, and they didn't do it because they wanted him to be built up, so that his eventual surrender would carry weight.
And do you know why Putin haven’t destroyed water supplies in Ukrainian cities, yet?
Could they have jammed all the communication satellites too?
Sometimes I feel like the internet Russia supporters are living in some sort of antique reality in their head, like their knowledge of warfare ended with Clausewitz. ” The Russians should cut the telegraph lines to Kiev! Then they should lure the Ukrainian cavalry into a cauldron!”
The Russian Army itself keeps fighting as if it is 1945 . “Those bazookas will bounce right off of the invulnerable cope cages on our T-34s.” Then they talk to each other on their walkie-talkies and look for some Mädchens to rape and Nazis to kill.
Plenty of other articles indicate plenty of signs of decomposition:
Dead civilians still lay scattered over the streets of the Ukrainian country town of Bucha on Saturday, ...the smell of explosives still hung in the cold, dank air, mingling with the stench of death.
...Bucha's still-unburied dead wore no uniforms. They were civilians with bikes, their stiff hands still gripping bags of shopping. Some had clearly been dead for many days, if not weeks.
Replies: @Jack D
In recent days, Russian embassy and government accounts on Twitter and the messaging app Telegram have claimed that images which show dead bodies are “staged” and part of a concerted media campaign to garner sympathy from the West....The post further alleged that the hoax was a pretext for Ukraine to request weapons from Western countries and asked why stories about Bucha only appeared on 2 April even though Russian troops left the city on 30 March.“Their absence only confirms the fake,” it added.However, these claims were quickly debunked by fact-checkers and open-source investigation websites...And videos from Bucha shared on social media as early as 1 April show bodies strewn on the streets of the town before the date Russia claimed they appeared, 2 April....Meanwhile, reporters with the Economist say they have verified reports of what appear to be summary executions, and that the smell from the decomposing bodies they saw suggests they had been there for some time.
At this point, it’s pretty safe to assume that every single Russian denial or claim that something is “fake” is a lie. Russia has been telling parents of POWs that videos of their own children are “fake” when it’s friggin’ obvious to the parents that these are their own children. “Fake” to the Russian government no longer means “not true” it means “true but it casts us in a bad light so we will automatically say that it is fake.” Is there ANY unfavorable to Russia coverage coming out of Ukraine that is NOT fake according to Russia? It’s ALL fake according to the Russian and their shills. The photos of the damaged Russian tanks are fake, the photos of the dead are fake, everything is fake. Reality no longer exists. The headlines in Russian papers might as well be “The reports of the atrocities that will occur in the Donbas tomorrow are fake.”
It’s kind of pointless to contradict the Russian denials because the Russia supporters will just invent more lies to cover their last lies as fast as you debunk them. First the bodies weren’t there at all until the Russians left and then when the satellite photos showed that was a lie and that they were there for some time, the satellite photos were “fake”. If the BBC reporters say that there is a smell, then the BBC reporters are lying. There is always an answer for everything.
As I mentioned in another post, the purpose of such denials is not really to convince the unconvinced in the West (and the small number of convinced obviously need no convincing – they are going to buy into Russian lies no matter how thin their credibility) . It is to sow FUD (at least temporarily) among a much larger group so that people who are on the fence and maybe don’t want to have their lives disrupted by losing access to Russian gas have a face saving way of saying, “Well, the Russians are denying it and we don’t know for sure what the truth is, blah, blah, blah so how can we impose sanctions based on something that we don’t know for sure is true.” There is no level of proof that is going to satisfy those who don’t want to be satisfied.
Upton Sinclair said “it is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends on his not understanding it.”
Americans could walk into a sporting goods store and order a Thompson submachine gun by mail
This doesn’t make any sense. Why would you need to go to a store in order to order a gun by mail? You would do one or the other but not both. When Lee Harvey Oswald wanted a rifle, he just ordered it directly from Klein’s Sporting Goods located in Chicago, as advertised in the February 1963 American Rifleman.
He, being somewhat short of funds, got the \$19.95 Italian bolt action carbine.
First of all Peter Cossacks populated large areas in the Dnieper, Don, Terek, and Ural river basins, and that means from Ural to the Caucasus Mountains. Cossacks conquered Siberia. Most Cossacks were of Russian origin, Peter.
Peter Akuleyev says:
Russians are mostly descended from serfs. Large numbers of Ukrainians are descended from Cossacks – who were very proud of being free men – or from Western Ukrainians who may have toiled for Polish landlords but were far freer than Russian serfs.
Another troll.
Jack D says:
People here are speculating on Ukrainian revenge killings of collaborators but as far as I can tell, this is pure Russian disinformation that is having its intended effect. There are zero witness accounts of this. No families have come forward to say that this happened to their loved ones. There are only the Russian accusations which have already been proven false because the killing occurred during their occupation and not afterward as they were claiming.
Ukrainian propaganda relies on total, absolute censorship. No matter how much of their atrocities can be found on Telegram, none of that is reported in the newspapers or on TV. This is the reason that Ukrainians keep posting these videos – there will be no repercussions. Slava Ukraini.
bob hope says:
I suspect the crimes against Russian soldiers is minimal, mostly because it runs against Ukrainian propaganda strategy. The Ukrainains want the Russian soldiers to have low morale and surrender willingly. The Ukrainians need the Europeans to believe they’re good guys because their entire supply chain is European.
Conscripts are not participating in the operation. The Russian Armed Fores are comprised of 400,000 professionals who look like this.
HA says:
And come on, General, do you really have trouble understanding why a bunch of ill-trained conscripts, many still in their teens... do anything that indicated a “lack of experience” on their part, and instead, act like a bunch of immature, sleep-deprived, cold, miserable, ill-equipped and poorly-trained recruits that they are?
The Russian Armed Fores are comprised of 400,000 professionals who look like this.
LOL. Maybe there are 20,000 that look like that and the rest are various degrees of frightened conscript, drunk, dead, wounded, deserted or captured by the Ukrainians, etc.
Or as the Russian Army tells the families, “on assignment”:
In a cross between Dead Souls and Catch 22, a Russian soldier is not “dead” or even “missing” until their body is recovered but the Russians are refusing to take back their corpses from the Ukrainians. They are just in limbo. The ultimate mind fark is when the Ukrainians send the family a video of their POW son and the Russians tell the family that the video is “fake” as if people can’t recognize their own children.
But soldiers who have not yet been identified as deceased do not automatically fall into the category of missing. Bodies not returned to Russia, unidentifiable or buried in Ukraine are also not included in the list of those who were killed in action, lawyer Anastasia Burakova told The Moscow Times.
These men, she said, “have no legal status and are listed neither among the dead, nor among the living.”
After a year of no contact, soldiers’ relatives can apply to a court to have a serviceman declared missing in action.
President Vladimir Putin promised that the families of servicemen killed in Ukraine would receive 7.4 million rubles (approx. \$90,000) each. If a serviceman’s death is not legally established, relatives will not receive compensation, Burakova and Scherbak said.

One thing that is common among Ukrainian trolls is this ridiculous ignorance, coupled with insolent lies.
There are 20,000 that look like that and the rest are various degrees of frightened conscript, drunk, dead, wounded, deserted or captured, etc.
The Moscow Times is designated as a "foreign agent" in Russia and is nothing but a NATO propaganda outlet.
Nearly 400,000 contractors serve in the Russian Army as of March 2019... in every regiment and brigade, two battalions are formed by contractors, while one is formed by recruits, who are not involved in combat missions. Currently, there are 136 battalion tactical groups in the armed forces formed by contractors. The number of conscripts amounts to 225,000 and the number of contractors amounts to 405,000 as of March 2020 and exceeds the number of conscripts by 2 times as of the end of 2021.
Details here: https://courses.lumenlearning.com/wm-ushistory1/chapter/war-with-mexico-1846-1848/Replies: @Jack D, @Mike Tre, @Steve Sailer
Beyond the anger produced by the annexation, the two nations both laid claim over a narrow strip of land between the Nueces River, where Mexico drew the southwestern border of Texas, and the Rio Grande, roughly 150 miles farther west, where Texans claimed that the border lay.
The ground rules of war vs. diplomacy in the 19th century were different (Gen. Grant BTW regarded the Mexican War as a shameful land grab). What Russia is doing or attempting to do in Ukraine would have been entirely within the norms of 19th century conduct (and many centuries before that) for any powerful country with weaker neighbors. Putin in fact is acting EXACTLY like a 19th century Czar. From his words and deeds (and not by mind reading) it is clear that he regards himself as the restored Czar of All the Russias (this btw was the title of the previous Czar, the Russias being Russia itself, White Russia (Belarus) and “Little Russia” (Ukraine)).
The problem is that Russia is not doing this in 1822 but in 2022, on a continent where perhaps 30 million people or more died in two world wars in the previous century and in a world where nuclear weapons promise the possibility of even greater losses. (The greatest estimates of deaths in the Mexican War on both sides and counting civilian deaths and deaths from disease still don’t break 50,000). The implicit bargain at the end of WWII is that such wars for territory would no longer be permissible. Once you open the door to historical grievances and border disputes being a valid basis for war in Europe, the possibilities for endless war emerge – German has grievances against Russia (and Poland) regarding the lost territories of E. Prussia. Poland has grievances against Ukraine and Lithuania. Romania has grievances against Russia. Hungary has grievances against everyone.
That's very dandy, but that original question is more like asking if a mango tastes more like beef or an onion. My answer is: neither. What'd be yours?
That’s not a false choice. If I asked you , is a mango more like a peach or a potato, you could say, well it’s neither, a mango tastes like a mango but probably you would concede that it tastes more like a peach, because that has no political implications. There is nothing false about a choice like this.
1) I don't always agree with our host.
our gracious host’s perfectly valid question
I'll give you a complex answer, because the situation is complex. For example...
you’ll do anything not to give a straight answer.
Just read the simplistic hysterics here on your part. "Another genocide"? How many Ukrainians have died in this war so far? "The heart of Europe"? Really, Ukraine?
Anything not to have to deal with the implications of another genocide in the heart of Europe.
That’s very dandy, but that original question is more like asking if a mango tastes more like beef or an onion.
Absolutely not. The Russian Army, the LAPD and the SS are all types of armed forces so it’s a fair question to ask whether the actions of Russian Army more closely resembled one or the other. Our host, BTW, seemed to think it was more like the LAPD and that the Russians were shooting people only out of mistaken identity in a panic situation.
Now since he wrote that, further evidence of SS like behavior has come out. German intelligence was apparently listening to the Russian coms in Bucha ( the fact that the Russians have unencrypted coms is further indication of what clowns they are – even the Nazis had Enigma). In these communications, there are orders issued that state: “First you interrogate soldiers, then you shoot them.” AFAIK, the LAPD never does this. Even the SS, for the most part, did not shoot American and British POWs (but the Russians did execute the Polish officer corps at Katyn so I suppose you are right that the Russian Army is behaving most like the Russian Army – it’s just that the Russian Army is WORSE than the SS in some respects).
Apparently the Wagner Group played a leading role in the atrocities. More to the point, you could compare the Russian Army to the Wehrmacht and the Wagner Group is the SS.
The people who are quibbling over whether the publicly release satellite images are real/fake and what day they were taking on and whether the satellites were even overhead on those days (the quibbles are almost certainly false and just more Russian disinformation) are fighting the wrong battle because the intelligence services have their own satellites and probably have more and better images. Such disinformation might serve to create FUD now (which is the point – Russian disinformation isn’t really supposed to convince people in the West other than a handful of Putin fanbois – it’s supposed to make you think “we really don’t know for sure what is happening” and it works remarkably well in that role as you can see here) but at the war crimes trials evidence with a formal chain of custody will be presented and will be correlated with radio transmissions and forensic evidence and maybe even testimony from underlings who are captured, etc.
The Russian UN Ambassador (who BTW looks and sounds like a cartoon caricature of a Russian official) is clearly nervous and stumbles over a question about the bodies on the street in Bucha:

He makes a Kinsley Gaffe:
the corpses that lie on the streets [in Bucha] that were never existing before the Russian troops arrived
He is probably nervous about whether he is going to get dragged into the war crimes trials. Von Ribbentrop ended up on the gallows.
Right. I remember Colin Powell making his presentation. See those little dark splotches there in the satellite image? Those are shadows cast by trucks carrying yellowcake. See how they appear and disappear? That means the trucks dropped off yellowcake and then drove away. He even had a little glass vial. Glass vial! I mean, imagine if Blinken went to the UN with satellite images and a little white cloth. Slam dunk!
the intelligence services have their own satellites
Like that's going to happen! Even if it did, you seem to be under the hold of some fantasy in which Putin is connected to everything bad that happens in the same way the Nazi hierarchy was connected to the Holocaust. LOL. There is no Ukrainian genocide. If there were Russian atrocities, they were likely the result of local commanders or lack of discipline. If there had been a higher up order to shoot Ukrainians, the bodies wouldn't be randomly strewn around city streets and various places. This is not to say Putin has the high ethical standards we want in a world leader, but poisoning political opponents and pointlessly and counterproductively slaughtering lots of civilians are two different things. Show me the pattern of Russian military units consistently leaving behind similar conditions when they withdraw, and I'll consider jumping on your bandwagon.
at the war crimes trials
Mango, beef, and onion are all food items.
Absolutely not. The Russian Army, the LAPD and the SS are all types of armed forces
By your logic, almost all armed forces engage in "SS like behavior," because there are varying (quite varying, obviously) degrees of killing of civilians, prisoners, as well as atrocities/war crimes committed by national armed forces. Need I remind you of Abu Ghraib and numerous other instances of contraventions of rules of war our own military has engaged in? And that's the most lawyered-up military force in human history. The IDF routinely engages in similar behaviors, including bulldozing of civilian homes of families of Palestinian attackers (guilt-by-association) and "interrogations with moderate physical pressure," i.e. torture of prisoners. Is the IDF also "SS-like"?
Now since he wrote that, further evidence of SS like behavior has come out.
Actually he died (or grew close to death – I think they moved him to bed in the end) lying in a puddle of his own filth on the ground, untreated and then poorly treated for many hours because #1 only Stalin could give orders (including orders that Stalin receive medical treatment) and he was unconscious and in no position to give orders, so Catch 22, and #2 Stalin had had all the best doctors in Moscow imprisoned so that all that was left was a bunch of hacks.
And soon after his death, his fellow Georgian and right hand man/henchman was deposed and executed and soon after that, Stalin himself was denounced and Stalin’s body removed from its place of honor in Lenin’s Tomb.
So there was some small measure of cosmic justice in the end.
And isn’t annexation to Moscow’s rule a way for DNR and LNR to circumvent local crime lords?
1. Putin is not proposing formal annexation to Russia for DNR and LNR. His demand is that Ukraine recognize their “independence”.
2. Such independence (in the “rebel held” areas) is nominal. Such governments and their thug rulers exist as Moscow puppets – they are armed and funded by Moscow and remain in office only for so long as Moscow wants them to. Presumably after the war, the same thug rulers will control the enlarged territory of the DNR and LNR on behalf of Moscow. Putin likes these fake “independent” states because they give him deniability, just like all the shell corporations that own his yachts and palaces.
Wasn’t getting bombarded by the Ukrainian military part of what made DNR and LNR a nasty place?
The border areas inside Ukraine adjacent to the DNR and LNR have been getting equally bombarded by the “rebels” and they aren’t comparably thug run.
The DNR and LNR are little microcosms of Russia – the way your country would be if John Gotti or Whitey Bulger was the President. Putin is just the Capo di Tutti Capi – the Thug in Chief and their puppet rulers are his captains. BTW, one of the things that Putin did early on was to abolish elected regional governors in Russia – he appoints the governors now. All power must emanate from the center.
Duh. You can’t have an anti Jewish pogrom without Jews and few Jews lived in Russia outside the Pale.
I hadn't followed any of those exchanges. I'm very surprised that Ritter was commenting on this website. Or was it on Twitter or in some other venue?
But Scott Ritter has a credibility problem of his own, even setting aside his personal issues...His dismissal of Steven Sailer’s point about the apparent Russian shift in strategy – retreating from the Kiev and Chernigov areas – with ad hominem and appeal to self-authority...Mr. Ritter should try altering his views when they turn out to be wrong, instead of dying on every hill along with his credibility.
If Ukraine is the Russian`s absolute best effort at damage control I’d hate see their worst.
Well... he is articulate. I would guess that his verbal SAT score was pretty good, math not so hot.
You are right. Jack D might not be that bright.
You’re wrong. My SAT scores were within 20 points of each other and both were high. My kids were the same. Jews are strong in both math and verbal as are S Asians.
Correction: Ashkenazi* Jews were strong in both verbal and quantitative sections. I would surely love to see the stats for these days. But the collapse of Jewish academic excellence documented by Mr. Unz is pretty convincing that Jews no longer perform the way they once did in America.*Non-Ashkenazi Jews never performed above average in the West.Historically, you are correct that Ashkenazi Jews had higher average quantitative and verbal components of IQ than Europeans. However, they also had much lower visuospatial IQ than Europeans, let alone East Asians. This has been documented extensively by Cochran, Hardy, and Harpending.I might also add that between the sexes, males far exceed females in the visuospatial element of the IQ (hunting!) and the females do better in verbal (chattering women!). ;)
Jews are strong in both math and verbal as are S Asians.
You are right. Jack D might not be that bright. Here is an example of why. Is he actually suggesting that, in a military context, a group of riflemen loses to a howitzer crew, because the howitzer is much more powerful than a rifle? How incredibly stupid is that?
Those invading howitzer (and tank, etc.) crews would be surrounded and outnumbered from Day 1 by combined regular and civilian armed forces (the latter would outnumber the former by at least an order of magnitude). You may not realize this, but heavy weapons crews have to step outside their machines from time to time. That makes them vulnerable to rifle attack.
What I was saying is that the Russian tactic is to pound the city and its inhabitants to rubble. That’s how they won in Checnya.
I can't see how keeping Chechens in your country is a "win" in any way. We only have a handful, and look what they did in Boston. They must have the highest terrorism rate in America.
That’s how they won in Checnya.
Have you ever been in a city that has been reduced to rubble? I am guessing not. Here is a little tip: it's extremely hard to clear destroyed urban areas of opposing forces, because every crater, destroyed building, and the widespread debris creates lots of hazard and defensive strong points. Soldiers hate fighting in destroyed cities, because it is enormously dirty, messy, and deadly.
What I was saying is that the Russian tactic is to pound the city and its inhabitants to rubble. That’s how they won in Checnya.
And what about people touching the hair of Black Women. Hair touching is WORSE than genocide. The dead no longer care but the anguish a Black Woman whose hair has been touched is endless.
Is Ukraine the “heart of Europe”? News to me! And has a genocide occurred, or just “implications”?If you’re really anti-genocide, why don’t you advocate for arming civilians, as I’ve described? Such armed societies could still be wiped out by nukes, but they would be sure tough to occupy. But I think you rather savor the maudlin drama of Shoah-business vignettes of helpless civilians getting rounded up and whacked. You are sick.Replies: @Jack D
Anything not to have to deal with the implications of another genocide in the heart of Europe.
Again with the guns. Can’t we get Abolish Public Schools in to complain about the public schools in Ukraine? I gave you the link – there are already something like 5 to 7 million guns in private hands in Ukraine or enough to equip most men of fighting age. These guns were of limited use when the Russian Army rolled in with armor.
Ukraine (at least the Kyiv region) was tough to occupy ( largely due to heavy weapons and official armed forces, not hunting rifles) but the Russians nevertheless managed to slaughter a lot of innocent civilians. Amateurs equipped only with rifles are simply no match for a modern army, especially a ruthless one that is willing to slaughter civilians indiscriminately. Had there been more partisan type activity, the Russians would have massacred even more civilians in their Nazi style – you kill one of ours, we shoot ten civilians. In Chechnya and in Syria there was heavy resistance and the Russians just pounded their cities into dust the same as the Germans did with the Warsaw Ghetto. Rifles vs. howitzers is no contest.
You started with fake umbrage about civilians executed in cold blood by soldiers with guns. That can’t happen if both sides have guns. Especially if the armed civilians outnumber the invaders.
Again with the guns.
Again, your crappy non sequitur link didn’t specify combat rifles (i.e. AK-variants). It could be (low-caliber) bolt actions, shotguns, etc.
I gave you the link – there are already something like 5 to 7 million guns in private hands in Ukraine or enough to equip most men of fighting age.
Homegrown amateurs (and trained civilian militia) in great enough numbers can beat a modern invading army, if they are willing. The only way for that army to hold territory would be to physically level all the structures and kill everyone. That would be a tall order for Russia to do in vast Ukraine without using nukes.
Amateurs equipped only with rifles are simply no match for a modern army
We haven’t seen that in Ukraine, e.g. Kiev and other cities still stand. Russia either does not have the will or (conventional) means to level the entire place. It appears Russia’s physical goal is to control Ukraine (or parts of it), not destroy it. Azov strongholds may be an exception to the latter.
especially a ruthless one that is willing to slaughter civilians indiscriminately
Chechnya is much smaller than Ukraine. And two wars were needed there (the second lasting ten years!), including a major inter-war defection from Akhmad Kadyrov. Damage in Syria (also much smaller than Ukraine) mostly happened before the Russians showed up. So neither are comparable to Ukraine, both politically and physically.
In Chechnya and in Syria there was heavy resistance and the Russians just pounded their cities into dust
Not true. Those invading howitzer (and tank, etc.) crews would be surrounded and outnumbered from Day 1 by combined regular and civilian armed forces (the latter would outnumber the former by at least an order of magnitude). You may not realize this, but heavy weapons crews have to step outside their machines from time to time. That makes them vulnerable to rifle attack.Replies: @Twinkie
Rifles vs. howitzers is no contest.
Your just playing word games . Being a slave to the machinations of the elite in America is just a metaphor and is nothing like actual slavery.
Americans have such an easy life that they are prone to this. My father once told me a story about something a woman said to him when he was working in a butcher shop in the early 1950s, after he had come to America, something that stuck with him for decades. The woman must have somehow known or figured out that he was a Holocaust survivor (some of the guys had the number tattoos on their arm but he hadn’t stayed at Auschwitz long enough to get tattooed – the Russians were approaching and they shipped him on to Germany right away). And unprompted (except by her own feelings of guilt) she said to him, “You know, in America during the war we didn’t have it so great either. We had meat rationing, you know.” As if having meat rationing and being nearly starved to death as a concentration camp prisoner are really the same thing.
I keep seeing the same thing here – our government is “oppressive”, so therefore it’s really no different than the kind of reign of terror that exists when the Russians come to town and start executing people. You really have no idea what real oppression is.
Those “Israelis”(Israel didn’t exist yet) were Irgun and notorious for bombing the British and killing Arab civilians in order to terrorize the rest to flee. They later lost a little civil war against the Haganah and was absorbed into the IDF. Their leaders later formed the core of the Likud Party.
Those Israelis with rifles are all well and good fighting against Fedayeen
I don’t do false choices, so neither. The Russian Army reminds me of… the Russian Army.
As between the two, I pick SS. Which one do you vote for? Does the Russian Army remind you more of the LAPD?
No, yet again. There was no National Guard until the 20th Century.
As for who thought the 2nd Amendment applied to the National Guard, that would be the Supreme Court for most of the post Civil War period. It wasn’t until Heller (2008) that the court firmly recognized an individual right to keep and bear arms.
You know a Javelin is useless against a rifleman, right? Just as an ATGM-wielding hunter-killer team can ambush vehicles, a few infantrymen with small arms can ambush the hunter-killer team and take the ATGMs. If you need more explanations, just ask instead of posing like you know anything about weaponry.Replies: @Jack D
BTW, since a Javelin is something that you can bear in your arms, does the 2nd Amendment extend to the private ownership of Javelins? Asking for a friend.
I don’t do false choices.
That’s not a false choice. If I asked you , is a mango more like a peach or a potato, you could say, well it’s neither, a mango tastes like a mango but probably you would concede that it tastes more like a peach, because that has no political implications. There is nothing false about a choice like this.
But here you are just trying to dodge our gracious host’s perfectly valid question because it leads to further implications that you don’t like. First you try to deflect it onto me even though it was Steve’s question and then you say the question is not valid (you should take that up with Steve – how dare he post false choices!) – you’ll do anything not to give a straight answer. Others are screaming false flag or the Ukrainians do that too or the Americans do that too or my dog does that too. Anything not to have to deal with the implications of another genocide in the heart of Europe.
Is Ukraine the “heart of Europe”? News to me! And has a genocide occurred, or just “implications”?If you’re really anti-genocide, why don’t you advocate for arming civilians, as I’ve described? Such armed societies could still be wiped out by nukes, but they would be sure tough to occupy. But I think you rather savor the maudlin drama of Shoah-business vignettes of helpless civilians getting rounded up and whacked. You are sick.Replies: @Jack D
Anything not to have to deal with the implications of another genocide in the heart of Europe.
That's very dandy, but that original question is more like asking if a mango tastes more like beef or an onion. My answer is: neither. What'd be yours?
That’s not a false choice. If I asked you , is a mango more like a peach or a potato, you could say, well it’s neither, a mango tastes like a mango but probably you would concede that it tastes more like a peach, because that has no political implications. There is nothing false about a choice like this.
1) I don't always agree with our host.
our gracious host’s perfectly valid question
I'll give you a complex answer, because the situation is complex. For example...
you’ll do anything not to give a straight answer.
Just read the simplistic hysterics here on your part. "Another genocide"? How many Ukrainians have died in this war so far? "The heart of Europe"? Really, Ukraine?
Anything not to have to deal with the implications of another genocide in the heart of Europe.
The Maine presumably blew up from an accidental explosion in the magazines. So I guess it falls into a category you might call "opportunistic false flags," in which the event wasn't planned but was nevertheless pinned on the enemy after-the-fact. The Gulf of Tonkin is another example. Jumpy radar operators and gunners started shooting at ghosts and then reported they had repelled an attack by the North Vietnamese navy. After the dust settled it was pretty clear no attack had actually happened. But the initial reports were too good of an opportunity to let go to waste.
Well, The Maine was a false flag
In the 1950's the Israelis got busted running a false flag operation that bombed Western targets in Egypt and blamed the terrorism on the Islamic Brotherhood. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lavon_Affair#:~:text=As%20part%20of%20the%20false,several%20hours%20after%20closing%20time.
To make the attack seem more convincing, the Gestapo executed Franciszek Honiok, a 43-year-old unmarried Upper Silesian[7] Catholic farmer, known for sympathising with the Poles. He had been arrested the previous day by the Gestapo and dressed to look like a saboteur, then rendered unconscious by an injection of drugs, then killed by gunshot wounds.[8] Honiok was left dead at the scene so that he appeared to have been killed while attacking the station. His corpse was then presented to the police and press as proof of the attack.[9] Several prisoners from the Dachau concentration camp were drugged, shot dead on the site and their faces disfigured to make identification impossible.[4][6][10] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Gleiwitz_incident
There have been false flags in the past so therefore everything that happens is a false flag. Nothing is ever real, especially not things that you don’t like and wish to ignore.
I day or two ago, you were focusing on the alleged Bucha Massacre, and I said I was skeptical it had happened that way mostly because Scott Ritter, a high-credibility military expert, had looked into it and thought it was an obvious false-flag. You cited the NYT and satellite images as absolutely conclusive proof, and ridiculed me when I said that Intelligence agencies could always fake that sort of evidence so I hadn't bothered looking into any of the details.
There have been false flags in the past so therefore everything that happens is a false flag. Nothing is ever real, especially not things that you don’t like and wish to ignore.
Do you know any slaves personally? No because we abolished slavery 150 years ago.
You're straw-manning, preceded by an appeal to authority.
You’re saying that genocide is OK.
The 2nd Amendment guys tell me that the militia consists of all able bodied men. Therefore you belong to the militia and it’s ok for the Russians to kill you.

That was meant as an ironic joke by Billy Wilder, not a policy proposal.
The crux of the matter is that the Russian military was blamed for the massacre back in mid-March, but most of civilians were killed after the troops withdrew from Bucha.
At that time, Maxar Technologies provided images that were proof of the massacre. Maxar Technologies has several satellites (models WorldView-1 32060, WorldView-2 35946, WorldView-3 40115, GeoEye-1 33331). Three satellites were moving in all. The satellites started moving on March 19, but none of them had a trajectory over Bucha (watch the video below). Hence we can conclude that there was no information on Bucha from these satellites.
As Americans our moral duty is to control our own government, not the governments of Ukraine and Russia.
Of course the Ukrainians are human and not angels but I can see that many people here are eager to put them and the Russian on the same plane because this morally excuses them from having to do anything.
the \$5B in color revolution money we provided
Please provide a source for \$5B in color revolution money. There was no such thing.
No way.
in America for a long time it was thought that the 2nd Amendment applied mainly to the national guard and that cities could regulate handgun carry to the point where it was effectively banned except for a handful of special exceptions
Replies: @Jack D
FREEDMEN, THE FOURTEENTH AMENDMENT,
AND THE RIGHT TO BEAR ARMS, 1866-1876. By
Stephen P. Halbrook. 1 Westport, Ct. Praeger Publishers.
1998. Pp. xiii, 230. Hardcover. $55.00
Halbrook's book presents a chronological account of the
background and evolution of the Fourteenth Amendment and
several important pieces of related legislation, as well as of initial
enforcement efforts during Reconstruction. Halbrook's eye is
always focused on showing that protection of the freedmen's
right to arms was both a central and a "cutting edge" element in
the Reconstruction effort. This is followed by a very detailed
description of the events leading up to the Supreme Court's decision in United States v. Cruikshank. 4 This case arose when federal authorities used the Enforcement Act of 1870 to prosecute a
number of whites who had allegedly participated in a massacre
of black citizens. In a decision that Halbrook treats as the death
knell for Reconstruction, the Supreme Court held that the indictment was legally insufficient.
Halbrook's exploration of Reconstruction history is a
means to other ends. His principal goals are to show that the
Privileges or Immunities Clause prohibits infringement by the
states of the right to keep and bear arms, that the Supreme
Court has never decided otherwise, and that the Court should
now decide that the Fourteenth Amendment does protect that
right. Though it does not fully address every question relevant
to its thesis, this book is a valuable addition to the literature, and
it deserves more serious consideration than it is likely to get today. But perhaps its time will come.
https://scholarship.law.umn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1819&context=concomm
it deserves more serious consideration than it is likely to get today. But perhaps its time will come.
This is a polite way of someone is a crank who holds eccentric views that are out of step with mainstream scholarship.
And yet the Second Amendment is considered a restraint on the States NOW so Halbrook's consistant thesis of the Fourteenth Amendment incorporating the Second Amendment as applying to the States is now accepted.
This is a polite way of someone is a crank who holds eccentric views that are out of step with mainstream scholarship.
Twinkie (and I) replied to your original post, which wasn’t about tank warfare, but hands-on interpersonal violence:
Russia has a (fairly) modern army with tanks and such, against which rifles are suicidal. Unless you think that the Ukrainians should have been keeping Javelins in their gun cabinets, the lack of a 2nd Amendment in the Ukrainian Constitution is not really their problem.
The execution as described above literally could not have happened if the people were armed (with combat rifles) and resisted. Maybe the Russians could have leveled their house (with tanks) from a distance but that’s not “like the SS” specifically. So—it still stands that you would rather the execution have taken place than Ukraine citizens have combat rifles to resist such executions. You would rather people suffer so you can complain about perpetrators.Replies: @Jack D
More like the SS. I just saw an interview with a woman from Bucha. The Russians dragged her husband (she says he was not military and had never fired a gun in his life) out of their home in his slippers and made him kneel and executed him. Then they threw a grenade into their house and set it on fire. This was no accident in the heat of combat.
Maybe the Russians could have leveled their house (with tanks) from a distance but that’s not “like the SS” specifically.
That’s what the SS did to the Warsaw Ghetto. In any case they would have been just as dead.
The Russian army can’t go door-to-door committing executions with only tanks. Russian tankers, in your scenario, would have to waste hundreds or thousands of tank rounds shooting at houses which may or may not be occupied, in a contested combat zone where every tank round is needed to fight the Ukrainian army. To round up civilians and commit executions, a force needs dismounted (exposed) infantry to kick down doors. That can’t be done (without huge losses) if the civilians have combat rifles.Ukraine civilians being unarmed allowed Bucha to happen (as reported), and yet you still hold that governments should have a “monopoly on force”. Ridiculous.
That’s what the SS did to the Warsaw Ghetto. In any case they would have been just as dead.
According to President Zelensky, every Ukrainian man 18-60 is a combatant.
Show me the evidence that the people who were murdered were enemy combatants.
That’s not how it works under the Geneva convention. You’re saying that genocide is OK.
You're straw-manning, preceded by an appeal to authority.
You’re saying that genocide is OK.
LOL!Jack, if you ended up like our friend Oleg, you would be getting off easy.
But honest to goodness
I specifically mentioned “civilian ownership of combat rifles (and ammo)”. (You, a liar, brought up “handguns” as a red herring to slander White America by citing America's “very high rate of hand gun homicide by white country standards”.)Why are you against civilians owning combat rifles and ammo? Especially in a country neighboring a “criminal regime” as you put it?Your "goverment monopoly on force" doesn’t jibe with your (fake) tears about Bucha.Replies: @Jack D
the problems of the recently deceased citizens of Bucha (individually or collectively) would not be solved if handgun ownership was legal in Ukraine
Are you OK with private citizens owning Javelins? Because even rifles (WITH ammo) are worthless against tanks.
Again, you have set this up as heads I win, tails you lose situation. If Oleg and his neighbors are all executed by the Russians because they are bearing rifles (WITH ammo) then the Russian are justified in executing them as irregulars out of uniform – it’s not even a war crime. If they DON’T get rifles (which BTW are legal in Ukraine), then they were stupid for not resisting and got what was coming to them. Either way they are dead.
Estimates of the number of guns in private hands – including 2 million registered and an estimated 3-5 million unregistered firearms – suggest that in Ukraine there are between 9.9 and 15.8 firearms per 100 people.10 3 5 Based on data from the study which calculated the lowest estimates in this range, Ukraine ranked 14th in the world for the number of civilian firearms in its national stockpile, and 49th in the world for the number of civilian firearms per head of population.3
https://www.gunpolicy.org/firearms/region/cp/ukraine
The reason I mentioned handguns was not to denigrate (are you still allowed to use that word) fine white Americans but because ownership of rifles is legal in Ukraine so I assumed you were talking about their restrictive handgun laws.
I repeat that lack of rifles (AND ammunition) or bad gun laws in Ukraine or my musings about the monopoly of force in another context several years ago or whatever your obsession is has nothing to do with the topic at hand which is that the Russians are executing unarmed non-combatants in cold blood.
No. But tanks aren’t committing the ‘SS crimes’ that have got you unconvincingly all worked up.
Are you OK with private citizens owning Javelins?
You set up your own loss, Jack. Your anti-execution position is inconsistent with your “government monopoly on force” stance.
Again, you have set this up as heads I win, tails you lose situation.
They cannot be “executed” if they are armed and resisting. Sure, they can be killed in combat—that’s a normal part of war. My advice—kill your enemies and don't get captured. YMMV.
If Oleg and his neighbors are all executed by the Russians because they are bearing rifles (WITH ammo) then the Russian are justified in executing them as irregulars out of uniform – it’s not even a war crime.
What kind are legal? I specifically wrote “combat rifles” which in Ukraine would mostly be AK-variants. Your source mentions unspecified “rifles and shotguns”.
If they DON’T get rifles (which BTW are legal in Ukraine)
I literally specified “combat rifles”, liar.
but because ownership of rifles is legal in Ukraine so I assumed you were talking about their restrictive handgun laws
That literally could not happen if the population was armed with combat rifles.But you would rather the civilians not own the rifles. Sick.Replies: @Twinkie
whatever your obsession is has nothing to do with the topic at hand which is that the Russians are executing unarmed non-combatants in cold blood
I had an AMC station wagon which was pretty close to a Javelin, perhaps even on the same chassis. Ran great, and was pretty solid even with a rusted roof.
Are you OK with private citizens owning Javelins?
I haven't looked into the matter and I anyway don't bother with details like that. Intelligence agencies have large teams of specialists tasked with producing that sort of faked evidence when ordered.
Then how can you explain the satellite photos of these same people lying dead in the street for 2 weeks before the Russians left?
You are a man of wide ranging curiosity – how Jews made Matzos in the Middle Ages and so on. But suddenly when it comes to such “details” you are uninterested.
The satellite photos from March 18, which were downloaded to many sources before the Bucha Massacre became public, show bodies lying in the street in the positions in which they were later found when Bucha was liberated, thus falsifying the Russian claim that the bodies did not not appear until after they had left. The Russians apparently did not take into account that Bucha may have been photographed by satellite during their occupation when they invented their lie. Ooops. Had they known this, they would have invented a better lie that was consistent with the satellite photos. But they didn’t.
Unless our intelligence agencies have a time machine, it is simply not possible that the satellite photos were faked.
Look, that's probably what you and your sources are claiming, but why should I believe a word of it? You obviously didn't take the satellite photos, so you're just relying upon the claims of those who say they did.
The satellite photos from March 18, which were downloaded to many sources before the Bucha Massacre became public, show bodies lying in the street in the positions in which they were later found when Bucha was liberated, thus falsifying the Russian claim...Unless our intelligence agencies have a time machine, it is simply not possible that the satellite photos were faked.
As a lawyer or at least someone highly-conversant in law you certainly appreciate the fact that performing an action where the loss of innocent life is possible, even probable, and performing that action repeatedly makes you culpable- to an extent increasingly indistinguishable from murder, as reflected practically in sentencing- the more often and the more callously you perform that act. The US has been droning for almost 2 decades now. We know that innocent people will inevitably be killed the next time we do it, that when it happens no one will be held accountable, and yet we have no problem doing it all over again next week.
Again, what people are doing here (the Russians love when you do this) is conflating American mistakes with Russian intentional acts. There is a big difference in the treatment at law of accidental homicide vs. intentional homicide.
The US Army executed German POW’s in cold blood when they proved inconvenient (cf. THE IRISHMAN).
LOL. A Hollywood movie is your source. Frank Sheeran was a bullshitter and a drunk and maybe beat up a few guys for the union in his younger days. But the idea that he was this James Bond type hitman who went around killing people by the dozen either in the war or after it was just a tall tale of the type that drunken Irishmen love to spin.
John Carlyle Berkery, who worked in the Philadelphia mob at the same time as Sheeran, said he was “full of shit.” Berkery added, “Frank Sheeran never killed a fly. The only things he ever killed were countless jugs of red wine.”
Jesus, Jack, just take the L-
LOL. A Hollywood movie is your source. Frank Sheeran was a bullshitter and a drunk and maybe beat up a few guys for the union in his younger days. But the idea that he was this James Bond type hitman who went around killing people by the dozen either in the war or after it was just a tall tale of the type that drunken Irishmen love to spin.
On Desperate Ground: The Marines at The Reservoir by Hampton Sides
Captain Barber, meanwhile, had been stewing over what to do with his own prisoners. By this point, Fox Company had captured more than thirty Chinese soldiers, including the three frightened kids Cafferata had collected on the hill. The prisoners were nearly freezing to death, they were hungry, they were lame with frostbite. Many of them had serious battle wounds. Some of them had already died of exposure. The ones who were left sat on their haunches in a pitiful cluster, shielding one another from the wind. Barber could let them go, but who knew what would become of them? The Chinese officers might not take them back. Fox Company had seen commissars shooting Red deserters, and these prisoners—the uninjured ones, at least—might be perceived as such. But if their superiors did take them back, they’d put weapons in their hands and send them up the hill to kill more Marines. Captain Barber had been avoiding the obvious, but he knew what he had to do. It was the hardest decision he would make in his entire life—harder than anything he’d been forced to do on Iwo Jima. He was a God-fearing man, a Christian, a churchgoer. But he thought he had no choice. He called for a private from Georgia and told him to get a few other Marines and take care of the problem. And so they went around back, behind the command post and the med tent, back where the prisoners squatted in the snow. Then they shot every one of them in the head.
It's always the Holocaust morality play with you.
More like the SS.
I wasn’t the one who brought up the SS. Steve did.
The title of his post was Bucha: More Like the SS or the LAPD?
As between the two, I pick SS. Which one do you vote for? Does the Russian Army remind you more of the LAPD?
Those Israelis with rifles are all well and good fighting against Fedayeen, but as you point out in your other post, Russia has a (fairly) modern army with tanks and such, against which rifles are suicidal. Unless you think that the Ukrainians should have been keeping Javelins in their gun cabinets, the lack of a 2nd Amendment in the Ukrainian Constitution is not really their problem.
As for who thought the 2nd Amendment applied to the National Guard, that would be the Supreme Court for most of the post Civil War period. It wasn’t until Heller (2008) that the court firmly recognized an individual right to keep and bear arms.
BTW, since a Javelin is something that you can bear in your arms, does the 2nd Amendment extend to the private ownership of Javelins? Asking for a friend.
Twinkie (and I) replied to your original post, which wasn’t about tank warfare, but hands-on interpersonal violence:
Russia has a (fairly) modern army with tanks and such, against which rifles are suicidal. Unless you think that the Ukrainians should have been keeping Javelins in their gun cabinets, the lack of a 2nd Amendment in the Ukrainian Constitution is not really their problem.
The execution as described above literally could not have happened if the people were armed (with combat rifles) and resisted. Maybe the Russians could have leveled their house (with tanks) from a distance but that’s not “like the SS” specifically. So—it still stands that you would rather the execution have taken place than Ukraine citizens have combat rifles to resist such executions. You would rather people suffer so you can complain about perpetrators.Replies: @Jack D
More like the SS. I just saw an interview with a woman from Bucha. The Russians dragged her husband (she says he was not military and had never fired a gun in his life) out of their home in his slippers and made him kneel and executed him. Then they threw a grenade into their house and set it on fire. This was no accident in the heat of combat.
Those “Israelis”(Israel didn’t exist yet) were Irgun and notorious for bombing the British and killing Arab civilians in order to terrorize the rest to flee. They later lost a little civil war against the Haganah and was absorbed into the IDF. Their leaders later formed the core of the Likud Party.
Those Israelis with rifles are all well and good fighting against Fedayeen
I don’t do false choices, so neither. The Russian Army reminds me of… the Russian Army.
As between the two, I pick SS. Which one do you vote for? Does the Russian Army remind you more of the LAPD?
No, yet again. There was no National Guard until the 20th Century.
As for who thought the 2nd Amendment applied to the National Guard, that would be the Supreme Court for most of the post Civil War period. It wasn’t until Heller (2008) that the court firmly recognized an individual right to keep and bear arms.
You know a Javelin is useless against a rifleman, right? Just as an ATGM-wielding hunter-killer team can ambush vehicles, a few infantrymen with small arms can ambush the hunter-killer team and take the ATGMs. If you need more explanations, just ask instead of posing like you know anything about weaponry.Replies: @Jack D
BTW, since a Javelin is something that you can bear in your arms, does the 2nd Amendment extend to the private ownership of Javelins? Asking for a friend.
Weird. One would think that after WWII, the means of lethal self-defense (civilian herd immunity) would be a big deal. Unless the Holocaust, and genocide in general, is rhetorically overblown by some in its significance. I guess some people would rather kvetch about past (and present) government massacres than actually deter them.
Most European societies don’t have a tradition of civilian gun ownership, especially not handguns.
America has a lot of Blacks. Probably more, per capita, than “most European societies”. You should look up the murder stats by race in America. There’s a blog and Twitter account by some guy named Steve Sailer that addresses this from time to time.
Maybe America (which BTW has a very high rate of hand gun homicide by white country standards) …
Well, massive wars with civilian slaughter are normal for Europe, and yet here you are kvetching. Are you for European “normal” or not? Maybe restrictive gun ownership laws have something to do with civilians being helplessly slaughtered by governments? If that’s normal for Europe, and you like whatever’s normal, I don’t understand your complaints about Bucha. It’s normal.
… is the outlier here and Ukraine is the “normal” country in regard to its gun ownership laws.
An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. An invasion might have been deterred, and failing that, executions of unarmed adult civilians would not be possible. Unless those individuals chose to be unarmed.
OTOH, when the war was imminent
It has everything to do with Oleg’s specific fate.
You’re changing the subject here – what you are saying has nothing to do with what happened to Oleg.
Not by himself. I didn’t write that the Ukraine government should allow only Oleg to have a rifle and ammo.
Would it have helped Oleg if he had a gun? Was he suppose to take on the Russian Army by himself?
It’s called war. Shooting happens. I would rather civilians be armed, but you would rather them be totally at the mercy of others, so you can cry crocodile tears about the results. Curious.
If he had had one, people here would say that he was a combatant out of uniform and the Russians would have been justified in shooting him.
Kind of hard to do, physically, if the LAPD is outnumbered by legally armed civilians. A totalitarian LAPD may be able to hit a few houses until word gets around and then bye-bye LAPD.Replies: @Jack D
the LAPD doesn’t drag innocent civilians out of their houses and execute them
Look, I understand that the 2nd Amendment is your thing like abolishing public education is Abolish Public Education’s thing. But honest to goodness, Ukraine’s problems with the Russian Army and its tanks and specifically the problems of the recently deceased citizens of Bucha (individually or collectively) would not be solved if handgun ownership was legal in Ukraine. You are off on a tangent.
LOL!Jack, if you ended up like our friend Oleg, you would be getting off easy.
But honest to goodness
I specifically mentioned “civilian ownership of combat rifles (and ammo)”. (You, a liar, brought up “handguns” as a red herring to slander White America by citing America's “very high rate of hand gun homicide by white country standards”.)Why are you against civilians owning combat rifles and ammo? Especially in a country neighboring a “criminal regime” as you put it?Your "goverment monopoly on force" doesn’t jibe with your (fake) tears about Bucha.Replies: @Jack D
the problems of the recently deceased citizens of Bucha (individually or collectively) would not be solved if handgun ownership was legal in Ukraine
Yes, and Afghans prefer naan and lamb and Ukrainians prefer rye bread and pork, but this does not change the fundamental nature of war which is that it’s difficult to take and hold someone else’s country when everyone there hates you, even the people who didn’t hate you before you invaded their country. And in the end, the Afghans, for all their primitiveness, had Western shoulder fired missiles to shoot at Russia tanks and helicopters and the Ukrainians have the same so that the battles were not that different.
According to you, the Russians are supposed to draw lessons from America’s invasion of Afghanistan but not their own. Rather strange wouldn’t you say?
As for what you are thinking, you are thinking of having lunch. Amiright?
I think you’re not giving the American people enough credit:
People in America live a sheltered life. They literally cannot imagine how a criminal regime operates
Again, what people are doing here (the Russians love when you do this) is conflating American mistakes with Russian intentional acts. There is a big difference in the treatment at law of accidental homicide vs. intentional homicide. It’s quite obvious that many of the civilian deaths that the Russians are causing are 100% intentional murder/ executions and not accident or mistaken identity (unless you consider mistaking all Ukrainians for Nazis to be a legitimate case of mistaken identity).
As a lawyer or at least someone highly-conversant in law you certainly appreciate the fact that performing an action where the loss of innocent life is possible, even probable, and performing that action repeatedly makes you culpable- to an extent increasingly indistinguishable from murder, as reflected practically in sentencing- the more often and the more callously you perform that act. The US has been droning for almost 2 decades now. We know that innocent people will inevitably be killed the next time we do it, that when it happens no one will be held accountable, and yet we have no problem doing it all over again next week.
Again, what people are doing here (the Russians love when you do this) is conflating American mistakes with Russian intentional acts. There is a big difference in the treatment at law of accidental homicide vs. intentional homicide.
Ukraine is what what Makinder called the heartland: key to world domination
Like the ancient silk road, Mackinder argued the Trans-Siberian railway could provide the Russian Empire with an infrastructure capable of exploiting the resources of its Siberian territory and linking it with the markets of the far east.
Beijing to Moscow high speed railway. It will be the biggest job for the highest stakes ever.
Diplomacy
China-Ukraine infrastructure deal a surprise for observers of Beijing, Kyiv and Moscow geopolitics
China and Ukraine have a complicated past but they have signed a new deal to work together on roads, bridges and railway projects
Published: 12:00pm, 11 Jul, 2021
It is a fact that the Ukrainian forces are operating in civilian clothes and driving civilian cars
'Make Molotov cocktails, neutralise the occupier!': Ukrainian ministry of defence urges residents to make homemade petrol bombs in district of Kyiv
Call to action was sent via official Twitter page of Ukraine's Ministry of Defence
It urged residents to make Molotov cocktails to 'neutralise the occupier' in Kyiv
Twitter post also urged residents in Obolon to share location of Russia troops
Eighty percent of an army are soldiers are in support and logistics rather that being combat troops; of course in great many cases Ukrainian civilians ostensibly taking an innocents stroll during fighting are passing on information to set up ambushes or are look outs for a Javelin team. The civilian police in peacetime are going to shoot you about one half of a second after a warning if you are a threat to them. <Again, in Bucha one street had ten obliterated combat vehicles https://youtu.be/PS5yfhPGaWE?t=244Replies: @Jack D
Show me the evidence that the people who were murdered were enemy combatants
Most of the people killed in this war have been Russian soldiers killed by Ukrainians,
We don’t know that. The Ukrainians (like the Russians) have not been releasing military casualty figures because they don’t want to damage morale. Furthermore, we really don’t know at this point how many civilians the Russians have killed although it appears to be many thousands. If the Russian plan to starve Ukraine out succeeds, it could be millions.
of course in great many cases Ukrainian civilians ostensibly taking an innocents stroll are passing on information to set up ambushes or are look outs for a Javelin team.
Of course in great many cases Ukrainian civilians ostensibly taking an innocent stroll are actually taking an innocent stroll (or actually desperately seeking food because they are starving or trying to make it back home or to a cellar, etc.). The Russian appear to shoot on sight with no attempt to distinguish between the enemy spies and innocent civilians. How would they even know if they were spies if they just shot them on sight? Maybe by luck some of the people that they shot really were enemy spies but if so it’s only by chance because the Russians were going down the street and shooting everyone that they saw. No matter how many excuses you make, this is a war crime.
People here seem to want to give the Russians “the benefit of the doubt” but the Russians have done nothing to deserve the benefit of the doubt. Maybe the women who say that they were raped by Russian soldiers (often after the Russians had just executed their husbands) really had consensual sex with them but given the history, I would start with the presumption that they are telling the truth.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/03/29/world/europe/russian-soldiers-sexual-violence-ukraine.html
Killing the enemy males and taking their women is something that is deeply rooted in human history but this is the 21st century – we are supposed to be more civilized than that.
It appears that Putin’s bullshit about being there to eliminate Nazis is actually being believed by Russian soldiers. They are going around shooting Ukrainian civilians because they are convinced that all Ukrainians are Nazis and it’s OK to execute Nazis.
Lol! Jack D immediately takes a fog-of-war stance about possible Ukrainian misdeeds, but he's 100% dead certain about every Russian war crime story, however implausible. Do you still believe in the Ghost of Kiev, Jack? Jack also seems to post 50 times on every war thread. How very tiresome to put up with his age-old ethnic grievance.
We don’t know that.
Yes and there men in New York without criminal records who were being stopped and questioned, some of those individuals had it happen every single week. In Normandy they demolished every church tower because they became convinced that was where any shots were coming from. The Russians never saw the Ukrainians shooting at them. In a war zone after the invaders burnt out tin coffins litter a street a man under 60 out of his house is a target by virtue of Zelensky's own decree, his government's instructions, and the type of warfare Ukrainians chose to wage. That street with the bodies in the street was down to one sniper
Of course in great many cases Ukrainian civilians ostensibly taking an innocent stroll are actually taking an innocent stroll (or actually desperately seeking food because they are starving or trying to make it back home or to a cellar, etc.).
Since 2014 there have been are hundreds of thousands of refugees from Donbass in Russia, and they have many very unpleasant stories; it is not just propaganda. Ukraine is not genocidal, but it is an integral nationalist state in which an ethnic Russian who won the presidency twice was first prevented from taking office (2004) and then deposed in a coup (2014). Ukrainian integral nationalism is different to Hitler's (or Meir Kahane's) brand, but it's not entirely unfair unfair to call it 'Nazi'.
It appears that Putin’s bullshit about being there to eliminate Nazis is actually being believed by Russian soldiers. They are going around shooting Ukrainian civilians because they are convinced that all Ukrainians are Nazis and it’s OK to execute Nazis
Haditha killings were quite deliberate killings of bystanders, people in a car and two nearby houses including elderly women and children. just because they were handy. They killed the first Iraqis they saw. though the were innocent and had obeyed instructions. Any Iraqi running could be shot dead, and how many times was that explanation false but not exposed as such?. The Russian army units in Ukraine may have a lot of such incidents but they have taken far higher casualties than any US force did in Iraq.
Again, what people are doing here (the Russians love when you do this) is conflating American mistakes with Russian intentional acts.
The problem with that argument is that, while the Ukrainian actions in Donbas likely resulted in thousands of civilian deaths in the past eight years as you wrote, that number has declined to nearly zero in the last couple of years. The bulk of those deaths occurred in the early years of that conflict.
Except that, for the last eight years, the regime in Kiev has been fighting in the Donbass and seems to have killed thousands of people.
The Russians — and certainly Putin himself — seem to think that they did not start a war but rather are ending a war begun by the US puppet regime in Kiev.
That goes without saying. But one thing Russia has learned (or I hope it has learned) is something we Americans learned rather painfully in the past 20 years (all over again, having learned it in the 1970's) - "Wars begin when you will, but do not end when you please."
Everyone — Russia, Ukraine, and the West — would have been better off if the issues had been resolved diplomatically without war.
You would have thought that the Russians would have learned this in their own Afghan war, which in some ways is very similar to Ukraine. Russian tanks and helicopter cross the border to a (then) adjacent country to protect Russian interests. They are not greeted as liberators. After some early Russian advances, the people of that country are armed by Russia’s enemies and begin inflicting heavy losses on Russian armor, aircraft and troops. Russia is forced to retreat. The only difference is that Afghanistan played out over a period of years and not months, but the sequence is very similar.
Part of the reason why Putin did not draw the right lessons is that (despite his KGB background) he does not see himself as the successor to the Communists, he sees himself as the successor to the Czars.
In that case, he could have looked to the Russo-Japanese war for another case where the Russians got their asses kicked by a supposedly “inferior” country.
It's not. Any resemblance is superficial... which is about the level of your understanding of the wars in questions and wars in general.The Soviet Union was able to invade and occupy Kabul in short order and prop up a pro-Soviet faction there. Then for nearly a decade the Soviets and its proxy forces out of Kabul waged a counterinsurgency against several disparate and often mutually hostile guerilla groups, usually in rugged rural and mountainous areas. For many of the latter, it was a Jihad against infidel invaders as well as a war of national liberation.Meanwhile, the Russo-Ukrainian War is a near-peer conflict between two modern European states, in which the military action (despite all the drama of civilians making Molotov cocktails and whatnot) is almost entirely conventional and much of it urban/suburban in surroundings.
You would have thought that the Russians would have learned this in their own Afghan war, which in some ways is very similar to Ukraine.
Your continuing ability to read Putin's mind is remarkable.Can you read what I am thinking right now?Replies: @Muggles
Part of the reason why Putin did not draw the right lessons is that (despite his KGB background) he does not see himself as the successor to the Communists, he sees himself as the successor to the Czars.
So if Bush is no different than Putin, this means that Saddam Hussein is no different than Zelensky. I disagree.
This is playing into the Russian’s game. They take the West’s bottom as their starting point and they plumb the depths of depravity from there.
Suppose that heaven forbid you once hit a pedestrian by mistake with your car. In Putin’s mode of thinking, this means that he has the right to drive down the road and intentionally mow people down, as many as he feels like hitting. After all, you killed someone with your car – who are you to say that killing people with your car is wrong?
When you are six years old, your parents tell you, “if your friends jump off of a building, that doesn’t mean that you should do it too.” As the avatar of White Christian morality (supposedly) Putin should aspire to be BETTER than America, not worse. Apparently no one taught Putin that lesson.
(she says he was not military and had never fired a gun in his life)
I’m not sure why you’re complaining.According to you, "monopoly of force" is the prerogative of government (in the case of Bucha: Ukraine's government, and then Russia's).Jack D on civilian ownership of guns:https://www.unz.com/isteve/globe-and-mail-calling-the-ottawa-protests-peaceful-plays-down-non-violent-dangers-critics-say/#comment-5153914 (#109)
People in America live a sheltered life. They literally cannot imagine how a criminal regime operates. There is nothing in the American experience you can liken this to.Shame, shame on you for trying to minimize these crimes.
Odd that the Ukraine government didn’t allow (not to mention encourage) widespread civilian ownership of combat rifles (and ammo), what with being right next door to an unimaginable criminal regime. Did the Ukrainians not trust themselves, as a people, with basic, effective weaponry? And if so, why not?Replies: @J.Ross, @Jack D, @Stan Adams
The entire concept of government is based upon monopoly of force – the idea that there are some things that the government can do that we can’t do individually. We don’t allow individuals to lock people up because they have offended them or execute others for crimes or demand that you turn over a large % of your income as taxes or allow people to have tanks or nuclear weapons, etc. so guns are no different.
Most European societies don’t have a tradition of civilian gun ownership, especially not handguns. America, with its Revolutionary roots and abundant hunting tradition, is somewhat unique in this regard (and even in America for a long time it was thought that the 2nd Amendment applied mainly to the national guard and that cities could regulate handgun carry to the point where it was effectively banned except for a handful of special exceptions). Maybe America (which BTW has a very high rate of hand gun homicide by white country standards) is the outlier here and Ukraine is the “normal” country in regard to its gun ownership laws.
OTOH, when the war was imminent, Ukraine did start handing out guns so that people could form self-defense militias.
You’re changing the subject here – what you are saying has nothing to do with what happened to Oleg. Would it have helped Oleg if he had a gun? Was he suppose to take on the Russian Army by himself? If he had had one, people here would say that he was a combatant out of uniform and the Russians would have been justified in shooting him.
But in fact he was unarmed and shooting him was an undeniable war crime and no, the LAPD doesn’t drag innocent civilians out of their houses and execute them.
No way.
in America for a long time it was thought that the 2nd Amendment applied mainly to the national guard and that cities could regulate handgun carry to the point where it was effectively banned except for a handful of special exceptions
Replies: @Jack D
FREEDMEN, THE FOURTEENTH AMENDMENT,
AND THE RIGHT TO BEAR ARMS, 1866-1876. By
Stephen P. Halbrook. 1 Westport, Ct. Praeger Publishers.
1998. Pp. xiii, 230. Hardcover. $55.00
Halbrook's book presents a chronological account of the
background and evolution of the Fourteenth Amendment and
several important pieces of related legislation, as well as of initial
enforcement efforts during Reconstruction. Halbrook's eye is
always focused on showing that protection of the freedmen's
right to arms was both a central and a "cutting edge" element in
the Reconstruction effort. This is followed by a very detailed
description of the events leading up to the Supreme Court's decision in United States v. Cruikshank. 4 This case arose when federal authorities used the Enforcement Act of 1870 to prosecute a
number of whites who had allegedly participated in a massacre
of black citizens. In a decision that Halbrook treats as the death
knell for Reconstruction, the Supreme Court held that the indictment was legally insufficient.
Halbrook's exploration of Reconstruction history is a
means to other ends. His principal goals are to show that the
Privileges or Immunities Clause prohibits infringement by the
states of the right to keep and bear arms, that the Supreme
Court has never decided otherwise, and that the Court should
now decide that the Fourteenth Amendment does protect that
right. Though it does not fully address every question relevant
to its thesis, this book is a valuable addition to the literature, and
it deserves more serious consideration than it is likely to get today. But perhaps its time will come.
https://scholarship.law.umn.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1819&context=concomm
Weird. One would think that after WWII, the means of lethal self-defense (civilian herd immunity) would be a big deal. Unless the Holocaust, and genocide in general, is rhetorically overblown by some in its significance. I guess some people would rather kvetch about past (and present) government massacres than actually deter them.
Most European societies don’t have a tradition of civilian gun ownership, especially not handguns.
America has a lot of Blacks. Probably more, per capita, than “most European societies”. You should look up the murder stats by race in America. There’s a blog and Twitter account by some guy named Steve Sailer that addresses this from time to time.
Maybe America (which BTW has a very high rate of hand gun homicide by white country standards) …
Well, massive wars with civilian slaughter are normal for Europe, and yet here you are kvetching. Are you for European “normal” or not? Maybe restrictive gun ownership laws have something to do with civilians being helplessly slaughtered by governments? If that’s normal for Europe, and you like whatever’s normal, I don’t understand your complaints about Bucha. It’s normal.
… is the outlier here and Ukraine is the “normal” country in regard to its gun ownership laws.
An ounce of prevention is worth a pound of cure. An invasion might have been deterred, and failing that, executions of unarmed adult civilians would not be possible. Unless those individuals chose to be unarmed.
OTOH, when the war was imminent
It has everything to do with Oleg’s specific fate.
You’re changing the subject here – what you are saying has nothing to do with what happened to Oleg.
Not by himself. I didn’t write that the Ukraine government should allow only Oleg to have a rifle and ammo.
Would it have helped Oleg if he had a gun? Was he suppose to take on the Russian Army by himself?
It’s called war. Shooting happens. I would rather civilians be armed, but you would rather them be totally at the mercy of others, so you can cry crocodile tears about the results. Curious.
If he had had one, people here would say that he was a combatant out of uniform and the Russians would have been justified in shooting him.
Kind of hard to do, physically, if the LAPD is outnumbered by legally armed civilians. A totalitarian LAPD may be able to hit a few houses until word gets around and then bye-bye LAPD.Replies: @Jack D
the LAPD doesn’t drag innocent civilians out of their houses and execute them
Stop making up bullshit.Most European societies absolutely had a tradition of civilian gun ownership (and hunting). Until the last century or two, it was common in England for people (including ladies) to be armed for traveling on the roads for fear of "highwaymen" and in the cities against ruffians. Indeed, English common law recognized the right of civilian to possess arms for centuries. Where do you think our Founding Father's explicit protection of the gun rights came from? It didn't magically spring from the Revolution.Indeed, it was only in the 20th Century that serious limitation on the possession of guns (and handguns in particular) began in England with the Pistols Act of 1903. Likewise, it was common, until very recently, for most English and French farmhouses to have long guns for hunting. As late as World War II, German military officers had to buy their own handguns through the civilian market. It was only with the monstrous rise of the Administrative State after World War II that gun restrictions became draconian (prior to 1934, for example, Americans could walk into a sporting goods store and order a Thompson submachine gun by mail, no background checks needed).
Most European societies don’t have a tradition of civilian gun ownership, especially not handguns. America, with its Revolutionary roots and abundant hunting tradition, is somewhat unique in this regard
Love the passive tense there. Thought so by whom? Men without chests like you?The Bill of Rights is pretty explicit in protecting gun rights and the Second Amendment was never about the National Guard which did not come into being until the early 20th Century. The legal history of the term "militia" is pretty clear and referred to a combination of an organized militia and an unorganized militia, the whole body of eligible voters (in the past free, propertied white males of adult age, now all citizens over age 18).Replies: @James Forrestal, @kaganovitch
even in America for a long time it was thought that the 2nd Amendment applied mainly to the national guard
I’m sure you could find a similar bunch of stories about what the Ukrainians did to the Russians when they got the upper hand.
Show me one. AFAIK, the Ukrainians have not killed one Russian civilian in this war. It appears that some unofficial militia type guys may kneecapped a few Russian POWs in an isolated incident which of course the Russians and their supporters are trying to make hay out of in order to change the subject. There are zero reports of regular Ukrainian Army abusing prisoners or anyone else. The Ukrainian government has promised to investigate this incident and prosecute the offenders if war crimes have occurred. I have heard no such promises from the Russian government.
What the Russians are doing and what the Ukrainians are doing is NOT similar. At the end of WWII, a handful of American soldiers, shocked at what they saw at Dachau, shot some of the camp guards. This doesn’t mean that the US Army was “similar” to the SS. As Stalin said, quantity has its own quality.
The Ukrainian military has killed thousands of civilians in the Donbas since 2014. Western media have not taken much interest in it, but no one denies that it has been happening.
Show me one.
"Unofficial militia type guys" such as Azov are officially part of Ukrainian military per President Zelensky. https://rumble.com/embed/vwqvd1/?pub=10t481I'm putting the videos of war crimes and atrocities committed by Ukrainian military below the MORE tag since some of them are very graphic.There are many more like these, but the MSM, YouTube, and Twitter prefer to keep them under wraps, so you may not have heard about them. https://odysee.com/@SamSixHuit:7/War-Crimes-against-Humanity-Committed-by-the-Ukrainian-Military-Political-Leadership-in-Donbass:5If you prefer more direct testimony:Ukrainians executing Russian POWs.
some unofficial militia type guys
A Beijing to Moscow rail line … would transform the supply chain.
You’re 100 years too late.
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Trans-Siberian_Railway
the Ukrainians would surely not stop at the prewar situation and try and drive the Russians out completely,
More advance chicken counting/ speculation. Let’s try to get the Russians to stop killing now. Calibrating the aid to give the Ukrainians just barely enough to stop the Russian advances is just getting more people killed, Russian soldiers as well as Ukrainians. I think the Ukrainians themselves would be overjoyed if they could just get back to the pre-February borders. If the war was going that badly, Putin would suddenly become more interested in a negotiated cease fire.
The laws and customs of war forbid killing noncombatant civilians and civilians not engaged in spying, but ‘hero’ Zelensky forbade all men under 60 from leaving the country and was telling civilians to attack Russian vehicles with Molotov cocktails.
Is there some contradiction here? Show me the evidence that the people who were murdered were enemy combatants. We have evidence that they are dead. Not even the Russians claim that they were combatants – their claim (lie) is that they didn’t kill them at all. You can’t be holier than the Pope and invent better, more convincing lies for them.
Ukraine is what what Makinder called the heartland: key to world domination
Like the ancient silk road, Mackinder argued the Trans-Siberian railway could provide the Russian Empire with an infrastructure capable of exploiting the resources of its Siberian territory and linking it with the markets of the far east.
Beijing to Moscow high speed railway. It will be the biggest job for the highest stakes ever.
Diplomacy
China-Ukraine infrastructure deal a surprise for observers of Beijing, Kyiv and Moscow geopolitics
China and Ukraine have a complicated past but they have signed a new deal to work together on roads, bridges and railway projects
Published: 12:00pm, 11 Jul, 2021
It is a fact that the Ukrainian forces are operating in civilian clothes and driving civilian cars
'Make Molotov cocktails, neutralise the occupier!': Ukrainian ministry of defence urges residents to make homemade petrol bombs in district of Kyiv
Call to action was sent via official Twitter page of Ukraine's Ministry of Defence
It urged residents to make Molotov cocktails to 'neutralise the occupier' in Kyiv
Twitter post also urged residents in Obolon to share location of Russia troops
Eighty percent of an army are soldiers are in support and logistics rather that being combat troops; of course in great many cases Ukrainian civilians ostensibly taking an innocents stroll during fighting are passing on information to set up ambushes or are look outs for a Javelin team. The civilian police in peacetime are going to shoot you about one half of a second after a warning if you are a threat to them. <Again, in Bucha one street had ten obliterated combat vehicles https://youtu.be/PS5yfhPGaWE?t=244Replies: @Jack D
Show me the evidence that the people who were murdered were enemy combatants
According to President Zelensky, every Ukrainian man 18-60 is a combatant.
Show me the evidence that the people who were murdered were enemy combatants.
More like the SS. I just saw an interview with a woman from Bucha. The Russians dragged her husband (she says he was not military and had never fired a gun in his life) out of their home in his slippers and made him kneel and executed him. Then they threw a grenade into their house and set it on fire. This was no accident in the heat of combat.
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-61003878
Is this woman lying? Is she a Hollywood actress? Is her husband alive and living in Miami? Did she set her own house on fire?
People in America live a sheltered life. They literally cannot imagine how a criminal regime operates. There is nothing in the American experience you can liken this to.
Shame, shame on you for trying to minimize these crimes.
I don't know. But I do know that the Ukrainians have an incentive to lie about things like this.
Is this woman lying? Is she a Hollywood actress? Is her husband alive and living in Miami? Did she set her own house on fire?
What we can imagine is a foreign regime, in concert with the U.S. State Department and Intelligence agencies, confecting a narrative in order to get the U.S. involved in a foreign war. Are Russian soldiers bayoneting premature Ukrainian babies in the NICU?
People in America live a sheltered life. They literally cannot imagine how a criminal regime operates. There is nothing in the American experience you can liken this to.
Your upset, Jack, seems to be related to the fact that many of us won't get mad and blinded with rage right now, and are instead waiting for more facts and evidence to be revealed and asking reasonable questions instead of taking some babushka's account at face value.
Shame, shame on you for trying to minimize these crimes.
(she says he was not military and had never fired a gun in his life)
I’m not sure why you’re complaining.According to you, "monopoly of force" is the prerogative of government (in the case of Bucha: Ukraine's government, and then Russia's).Jack D on civilian ownership of guns:https://www.unz.com/isteve/globe-and-mail-calling-the-ottawa-protests-peaceful-plays-down-non-violent-dangers-critics-say/#comment-5153914 (#109)
People in America live a sheltered life. They literally cannot imagine how a criminal regime operates. There is nothing in the American experience you can liken this to.Shame, shame on you for trying to minimize these crimes.
Odd that the Ukraine government didn’t allow (not to mention encourage) widespread civilian ownership of combat rifles (and ammo), what with being right next door to an unimaginable criminal regime. Did the Ukrainians not trust themselves, as a people, with basic, effective weaponry? And if so, why not?Replies: @J.Ross, @Jack D, @Stan Adams
The entire concept of government is based upon monopoly of force – the idea that there are some things that the government can do that we can’t do individually. We don’t allow individuals to lock people up because they have offended them or execute others for crimes or demand that you turn over a large % of your income as taxes or allow people to have tanks or nuclear weapons, etc. so guns are no different.
Not my country. Not my people. On the other side of the world.
Shame, shame on you for trying to minimize these crimes.
I think you’re not giving the American people enough credit:
People in America live a sheltered life. They literally cannot imagine how a criminal regime operates
It's always the Holocaust morality play with you.
More like the SS.
.....you're joking ,right.......2008-2016 and right now?
People in America live a sheltered life. They literally cannot imagine how a criminal regime operates
Jack, old pal, do you really think you are so insightful that you can tell whether someone is a sincere ordinary person or a skilled actor playing a role?
Is this woman lying? Is she a Hollywood actress? Is her husband alive and living in Miami? Did she set her own house on fire?
Isolated incidents may have occurred but this is completely different from what the Russians have been doing which seems to be widespread and systematic. Certainly the destruction of civilian infrastructure seems to be intentional and endorsed at the highest level and is itself a war crime. As for shooting civilians, again too widespread not to have been officially endorsed or at the very least they turned a blind eye. Let me know when the Russians start prosecuting their own troops for this stuff.
If any abuses went on on the Ukrainian side they appear to be isolated incidents and not something that would be endorsed by the authorities at any level. At the very least, the authorities understand that this undermines their own case before the world.
People here are speculating on Ukrainian revenge killings of collaborators but as far as I can tell, this is pure Russian disinformation that is having its intended effect. There are zero witness accounts of this. No families have come forward to say that this happened to their loved ones. There are only the Russian accusations which have already been proven false because the killing occurred during their occupation and not afterward as they were claiming.
There do seem to be a handful of cases of prisoner abuse but again this goes against policy and Ukrainian government interest – they are trying to get Russian soldiers to run away and defect (they have promised rewards, etc.) and torturing/killing them goes against this.
Of course the Ukrainians are human and not angels but I can see that many people here are eager to put them and the Russian on the same plane because this morally excuses them from having to do anything.
Well, I haven't looked at Lira's videos, so I can't say about him. But I do know that regarding the Iraq War and Saddam's WMDs, Scott Ritter was 100% right at the time and the NYT was 100% wrong, so I consider him much more credible than the NYT. Since I think you're some sort of fanatic Neocon type, I assume you'd been gung-ho on that disastrous war.
Hmmm, who to believe, Gonzalo Lira or the NY Times?
Ritter seems pretty sure that the alleged Russian atrocities in Bucha are fraudulent, very likely involving Ukrainian “collaborators” murdered by the Ukrainian forces after they reoccupied the town.
Then how can you explain the satellite photos of these same people lying dead in the street for 2 weeks before the Russians left?
I haven't looked into the matter and I anyway don't bother with details like that. Intelligence agencies have large teams of specialists tasked with producing that sort of faked evidence when ordered.
Then how can you explain the satellite photos of these same people lying dead in the street for 2 weeks before the Russians left?
Is it really true that Ukrainian men who disagree with the war have no choice but to endure it? They really can’t leave?
I don’t know whether you are really that stupid or are faking it. All nations at war have a draft and if you are eligible for the draft you can’t evade it just by leaving. Draft evasion is a crime. This is how it was in the US until the end of the Vietnam War. If you are not allowed to fight for religious reasons, you can serve as a combat medic, etc.
Article 35 of The Constitution of Ukraine states that
[n]o one shall be relieved of his or her duties before the State or refuse to perform the laws for reasons of religious beliefs. In the case that the performance of military duty is contrary to the religious beliefs of a citizen, the performance of this duty shall be replaced by alternative (non-military) service. (Ukraine [2015])
I think normally in open country or speeding down a highway the infantry is in APCs near the tank. When people begin shooting at the tank or some obstacle stops it, the infantry is supposed to jump out of the protected APC into the open (no thank you) and run TOWARD the shots (no thank you again). It requires a high level of training to get the infantry to be willing to do this while their little lizard brains are yelling “Run away, run away!”
Also given modern ATGMs the first missile fired at the tank may also be the last one so dismounting after the tank is already a smoking pile of rubble isn’t really going to help. BTW, it might not have been a Javelin. Maybe it was an antitank grenade dropped from a drone. Maybe it was an antitank mine in the road. But now you have been lured outside your APC and maybe are trapped because there’s a big crater in the road in front of you. Maybe when the convoy stops, now 4 or 5 or 6 or more piece of equipment are now bumper to bumper and are all sitting ducks. The same instinct that makes you want to run away makes you want to huddle your wagons together. OTOH, it means that you are not inside the APC when the next Javelin comes for it.
And keep in mind the Javelin is good for a mile and a half. Are you going to run a mile and half toward the Javelin? When you get there, it won’t be there anyway. And if you bring in a helicopter the enemy is going to bring out its manpads and shoot that down too.
Apparently one of the reasons for the civilian atrocities according to survivors is that the Russians were very angry and bitter at losing men and couldn’t take it out on enemy troops who would just disappear into the night. So they took revenge on Ukrainian civilians instead.
Beside the fact that your version of history is fictional, you can’t go back in time. I’m asking what was the better decision for Ukraine’s long term future when Putin threatened them in mid-February?
Also should the US and NATO have signed the proposed treaty prepared by Putin? In case you have forgotten, this treaty required:
that NATO members commit to no further enlargement of the alliance, including in particular to Ukraine.
that NATO deploy no forces or weapons in countries that joined the alliance after May 1997
Wow, it’s all CGI and we need government control of the press to make sure that no one says otherwise. There are a lot of people around here with insane takes on what is going on in Ukraine but I think this is the #1 hot take.
It’s really amazing to see the power of denial in action . The greater the cognitive dissonance between reality and your preferred version of reality, the more powerful your denial has to be. If you were to transport John Johnson to some stinking pile of corpses in Ukraine he would STILL find a way to deny what he was seeing.
But recall, in Africa and the Middle East, Toyota 4x4s with mounted 50 caliber machine guns or other light weapons were pretty effective.
“Technicals” are generally only useful against an inferior foe. You didn’t see these fighting against the US Army very often in Iraq or Afghanistan (except maybe as suicide bombers) because their lifespan once they entered combat against a better armed foe would be measured in seconds. They are good for shooting unarmed civilians though. Maybe this is why the Russians are using them in Mariupol:
https://www.motorbiscuit.com/russia-uses-isis-style-toyota-mitsubishi-pickup-trucks-ukraine/
Likewise, to the extent that the enemy is using remote control devices like drones, the US is going to have electronic countermeasures that will jam the com links. Conversely, we will also have autonomous vehicles that don’t depend on coms once they are launched. You have to be sure that these can accurately distinguish enemy targets from friendlies. Friendlies will probably be marked in some way (that is not visible to the eye).
So they foresaw the future very accurately.Replies: @Jack D
In Yiddish they say, once my grandmother grows a beard, she will be my grandfather.
I always assumed that they were trying to say that hypothetical events that have not yet occurred (and may never occur) are not the same thing as reality (a more ironic version of “don’t count your chickens before they are hatched”) but your version works too.
Another version is “if my grandmother had wheels, she would be a trolley car.” This could have also been a prediction of the “My Mother the Car” show.
I understand now. You hate America so you are siding with its enemies.
Enemies? Friends? Who can tell the difference?
You hate America so you are siding with its enemies.
Perhaps disappointing, but hardly unexpected. It's simple tribal loyalty to the neocon/ Kolomoisky/ Zelensky consensus, combined with hatred of the goy "Other."Replies: @Jack D
I find it disappointing that your voice is among the chorus screeching “don’t think, just act!”
combined with hatred of the goy “Other.”
I’ve pointed this out before – if for some reason the alt.right had picked the Ukrainian side (normally you would expect them to side with the “Nazis” – unless maybe Ukrainians aren’t really Nazis like Putin says – Putin would never lie to you, would he?) and the Jews were on the Russian side, then you would be saying the exact same thing. Whichever side the Jews picked it would be due to “hatred of the goy”. Heads you win, tails I lose.
If you were basing this on “back in the shtetl” sympathies, Jews would have more reason to side with the (circa 1945) Russians than with the Ukrainians, who frankly behaved abominably toward the Jews in WWII (and at other times). Although as others have pointed out, the Ukrainian hatred of the Poles was if anything greater than their hatred of Jews (and yet Poland too is siding with modern day Ukraine).
In particular, Putin is no anti-Semite, the neo-Nazi parties in Russia (not counting Putinism as a form of Naziism) are even smaller than those in Ukraine, etc. As has been noted here (with disapproval, of course) Israel has been careful not to openly pick sides in this dispute – apparently their “hatred of the goy” does not extend to Russia.
So “hatred of the goy” provides no clue here and you’ll have to find a better explanation.
The Russians leave, the mayor says so, no word, no hint of massacres, then later pictures surface and I should believe the prestigious NYT over my common sense
Sorry that was yesterday’s phony timeline. The satellite photos conclusively put that lie to bed, so now Lira will have to await instructions from Moscow on what today’s new line/lie is. Maybe Zelensky time traveled to space from his Hollywood hideout on March 18 and retroactively inserted those images on to the satellite’s memory card.
It’s really embarrassing to see people in America humiliate themselves and twist themselves into pretzels to avoid the obvious. I sorta understand why people used to do this for the Soviets – the Soviets represented The Future so you were supposedly lying for a good cause. But what is the cause here? Making Russia safe for oligarchs and siloviki?
But the Kolomoislky/ Zelensky regime just <iknows that they're going to "find" more b̶a̶b̶i̶e̶s̶ ̶t̶h̶r̶o̶w̶n̶ ̶o̶u̶t̶ ̶o̶f̶ ̶i̶n̶c̶u̶b̶a̶t̶o̶r̶s̶ m̶o̶b̶i̶l̶e̶ ̶c̶r̶e̶m̶a̶t̶o̶r̶i̶a̶ monstrous Putlerite atrocities:https://i.postimg.cc/KjN1KmYW/Zelensky-Knows-He-s-Going-to-Find-More-Atrocities.pngKind of like the way Rita Katz/ SITE Intelligence just know that they're going to "find" more "ISIS" videos... uh, mental telepathy I guess.Slava Zelensky! Slava Kolomoisky! Slava Atlantic Council! Slava Bill Kristol!Replies: @Jack D, @John Johnson
Now we see the comments section of FoxNews and conservative sites filled with complaints about neocon propaganda and the Mainstream Narrative and being sick of all the lies.
That’s ridiculous. You don’t have to be The Amazing Kreskin to figure out that if the Russians have been doing atrocities in several places then the chances are pretty good that they are not just isolated incidents and that there are more atrocities that will be revealed when they retreat further. If I predict that there are going to be more snowstorms in Buffalo in February it doesn’t mean that I have a snow machine waiting to go.
Everything that Putin says has to be twisted into the most benign meaning possible (when Putin say he is going to “denazify and demilitarize” Ukraine it only means that he is going to disarm the Azov Brigade) but everything that Zelensky says has to be twisted to give it the worst possible spin.
If you have the stomach for it, find the video that Zelensky played today at the UN. It speaks more loudly than a thousand phony Russian denials.
Zelensky warned smug Lavrov that von Ribbentrop hung at Nuremberg. Just because you don’t get personally involved in “wet work” doesn’t mean you won’t hang.
Yes, all of those places (except Crimea – but Chechnya, a lot). Crimea was an exception and probably lured Putin into thinking that the rest of Ukraine would be like Crimea. Crimea was given as a (meaningless/symbolic at the time) “gift” to Ukraine by Khrushchev in 1954 and had no historical connection to Ukraine – it was Putin’s best case scenario for considering parts of Ukraine to be Russian (and even that annexation caused sanctions to be imposed, etc.).
C’mon, use your Google-foo and you’ll find plenty of evidence. When the Russians were doing this to their own people or to A-rabs, it was OK to ignore it in the interests of cheap gas and the German economy. But when they are doing it on the European continent adjacent to EU countries it becomes too much to ignore.
I don’t think so, because Xi is not as nuts as Putin. He is still connected to reality. He is not a gambler. He will only go if he thinks it is a sure thing. He would rather miss out than go down as a bad Emperor.
Russian soldiers have been committing these kind of atrocities in every war they have fought – they did it in Galicia in 1914, then again in Galicia in 1939, and the Baltics in 1940, and Finland, and Katyn, and raped half of Poland and Germany in 1944-45, and in Hungary in 1956, and in Grozny, etc,etc. I don’t know why Russia apologists even bother with their half assed excuses and whatabouts, killing civilians, looting and raping is the Russian Standard.
Are Russians worse people ? No, the fault is poor military training and using brutalization to maintain discipline. Also deep in the DNA of Russian military culture.
Terrible. Sing it with me now:
they did it in Galicia in 1914, then again in Galicia in 1939
Still not the simplest explanation. In fact it appears it would require the Ukrainians have access to a time machine. See Allahpundit .
It’s quite possible this massacre never happened.
It’s possible in the same sense that the moon landing never happened and Zelensky is in Hollywood and various other improbable conspiracies are “possible”. In conspiracy land, everything is possible, even going back in time to fix satellite photos.
But meanwhile back in the real world the obvious explanation is the right one 99% of the time. The ICC investigators will soon increase that to 100% using the forensic tools available to them.
The problem with Russian defenses is that they were not well thought out. They were based upon an alternative time line that could easily be shown to be wrong, for example one that did not depend on the corpses appearing after they pulled out when there was satellite evidence that they had been there for weeks. They should have come up with a more carefully thought out set of lies that was compatible with the satellite evidence but they didn’t know about the satellite evidence when they came up with their initial set of lies. The Russians have gotten sloppy with their lies because they feel that they have complete control of the information that the Russian public gets so the lies don’t have to be export quality. For the Russian market, cheap shoddy lies will do, just like expired rations and death trap tanks and 1940s rifles will do for their troops. The Russian elites have the deepest disrespect for their people that you could ever imagine.
Would it make you feel better if the French did the war crimes probe?
Macron tried to maintain good relations with Putin and pleaded with him up until the last minute not to invade and destroy himself but Putin wouldn’t listen to anyone.
From where I sit, Europe is more pro-NATO than ever. It’s completely opposite to what you say. Putin has united the West more than Senile Joe ever could have on his own.
Hmmm, who to believe, Gonzalo Lira or the NY Times? If only the Western public would come to its senses and take its news reporting from Gonzalo in his armchair instead of from reporters at the scene.
Not that you have to depend on just the NY Times. Every reputable non-Russian news source, liberal or conservative, is reporting this story and there is plenty of photographic and satellite evidence. But if you want to live in your own alternative reality, be my guest.
Well, I haven't looked at Lira's videos, so I can't say about him. But I do know that regarding the Iraq War and Saddam's WMDs, Scott Ritter was 100% right at the time and the NYT was 100% wrong, so I consider him much more credible than the NYT. Since I think you're some sort of fanatic Neocon type, I assume you'd been gung-ho on that disastrous war.
Hmmm, who to believe, Gonzalo Lira or the NY Times?
No, they haven't. There's been a very low level conflict in a tiny part of the country that mostly involved Russian-backed criminal gangs and actual Russian troops. It was nothing like Iraq.
Ukrainians have been murdering each other for 8 years.
Germans are quite happy to have temporarily higher expenses in order to oppose Russian war crimes and aggression in Europe. Germans produce things and invent things and have brains.
And NATO? Germany ought to drop it and open Nordstream2. NATO keeps Germany poorer.
Do they do anything advanced?
They have a fairly advanced software sector (reliant on imported hardware). Not just hackers and ransomware. However, this is precisely the segment that is least happy with Putin and with the most portable skills and a lot of them have been getting on planes out of Russia. It’s reached the point where, although legally people are still allowed to leave Russia (for now), every IT person gets stopped at the airport and grilled when he tries to leave.
They have a lot of sectors that are semi-advanced. So for example they might be able to built 80% of a (semi) modern airliner, with the remaining 20% imported (the advanced avionics, etc.) But you can’t sell 80% of an airplane and creating a Russia only-industry with 1/10th the volume of Western competitors to build that last 20% is going to be very hard and not really economically feasible. The government could support it but then the project will be a drag on the economy rather than a boost.
The Soviets knew that their economy was going to be isolated, but Russian industry has spent the last 30 years assuming access to Western technology and components (in precisely those sectors that are hardest to re-create). After 2014 they did things like cut off chicken imports from the West. No problem – how hard is it to grow chickens domestically? But a chip fab is a whole different thing than a chicken farm.
Nor is China going to bail them out 100% because this is going to cause them problems with their own Western markets. And to the extent that they do, this is only going to give them greater leverage over Russia because they will know that the Russians have nowhere else to turn to. Russia does something that displeases Xi and suddenly there are “production problems” in the factories that make chips for the Russian market.
When the Chinese take action against Taiwan, they will actually be prepared for it. Xi is not going to rely on blustery reports from generals – he is going to check his math 3 times and make sure that the numbers really add up. He is going to go in with overwhelming force and with state of the art equipment. Equipment that actually works and is not ancient. It’s not going to be a clusterfark like Ukraine at all (conversely, the Taiwanese are not chopped liver either and the PLA lacks combat experience). They are not going to have their expensive tanks taken out by \$300 commercial drones – they will have countermeasures prepared. They are not going to have illusions that the civilian population is going to welcome them and be shocked when they shoot at them instead. They are watching what is going on in Ukraine and learning lessons in what NOT to do.
The Chinese are not being “cautious”, they are just getting ready, truly ready. They are going to need to mount a D-Day type operation and that requires a lot of equipment and preparation. Until they are ready it will seem as if nothing is going on and then suddenly it won’t.
The Russians don’t have to import any. They have their own, homegrown white (if you consider Chechens and Kalmyks and so on to be white) Dindu Nuffins. All these civilians with their hands bound lying dead on the street in Russian occupied towns – we dindu nuffin. All those looted washing machines and computers loaded up on retreating transport trucks – we dindu nuffin. Etc.
As I have mentioned before, Russians are best understood if you stop thinking of them as white people. They don’t really act like white people. They don’t run a military the way white people would run it. It’s all very confusing because they are (mostly) white on the outside. They are reverse Oreos – white on the outside but colored on the inside.
Oh, we’ll know. With a little bit of luck there will be a war crimes trial. The people who did this made a mistake thinking that “we’ll never know”. Nowadays, you are being watched from the sky. Your coms are being recorded. Etc. These are the early days but eventually we’ll have names and faces to attach to these particular crimes. Even if they are shielded inside Russia they are never going to be able to leave it again for fear of arrest.
Just throwing up your hands and exclaiming whaddaya whaddaya so that business as usual can go on is not going to work. Even the reluctant Germans are being boxed in to stop sending billions to Russia.
You can nitpick all you want. It’s friggin’ obvious that these were war crimes by the Russians. Accounts are now emerging from other towns which show what happened. The Russians suspected all local men of being Territorial Defense or being in communication with Territorial Defense. In some of the other towns, they only pretended to shoot them in order to get them to talk but I guess in Bucha they decided not to bother with the pretend part.
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/04/world/europe/ukraine-nova-basan-russia.html
Trigger warning – the article shows a heap of dead Russian soldiers (10, or as the Ukrainian collecting their corpses said, 9 and a half). Apparently as the Russians were retreating, a Ukrainian tank made it into town and mowed down a Russian checkpoint (maybe tanks are not worthless after all, at least against men armed only with rifles). These are probably fake too because everyone knows that no Russian soldiers have been killed in Ukraine.
You don’t believe it because you don’t WANT to believe it.
I sure would! I didn't mean to imply such systems are useless and I know Trophy performed quite well for Israelis; but like all technological solutions active protection systems come with limitations, compromises and vulnerabilities of their own. They should be understood as a supplement, not a replacement for armour.Russians in fact were something of pioneers when it comes to such systems, with the early one called Drozd installed on their tanks way back in the 80s. I really don't know what they are using today, but I imagine they continued development and have some such system in action today. Judging by the results, clearly it isn't terribly effective!Replies: @Jack D
If you had a choice between the same tank with or without Trophy, wouldn’t you want Trophy?
Drozd was typical Russian clusterfark and was abandoned. Drozd exploded a fragmentation grenade which sometimes destroyed incoming RPGs (if they were coming from exactly the right direction) but more often killed any Russian infantrymen in the vicinity. Oops.
One of Drozd’s shortcomings was that it was only able to protect a 60-degree arc around the forward part of the turret. Each unit costs around \$30,000, was 80 percent successful against incoming RPGs in Afghanistan, but caused too much collateral damage to surrounding troops that were dismounted from their armored vehicles.
For this, the developer was given the Lenin Prize.
The late 1970s Soviet electronics in Drozd are to the state of the art Israeli stuff in Trophy as a 1973 Lada is to a 2022 Mercedes S Class. Trophy actually targets the incoming projectile and doesn’t just create a huge shrapnel cloud to kill everything and everyone in a 50 yard radius.
Here’s a truckload of washing machines that didn’t make it back to Kalmykia (why are so many of the boys from Kalmykia?). I’m not so sure the boys made it back either.
https://www.trendsmap.com/twitter/tweet/1510671563833630720
It’s really a sad story – here several Ukrainian families had donated their washing machines to these brave Russian soldiers as a token of the eternal friendship between the Ukrainian and Russian peoples (oh, wait, Ukrainiains don’t exist – as a token of the eternal friendship among Russians.) And then these Azov Nazis destroyed their gifts.
At this point 3 days later there is no mention of any dead bodies at all.
And yet April 3rd the world is full of pictures of bodies that if dead must have been killed on March 30th or earlier.
Russia would have gotten away with it if it wasn’t for those pesky satellites:
https://www.nytimes.com/2022/04/04/world/europe/bucha-ukraine-bodies.html
Note to Putin: Next time you do war crimes, remember to shoot down the observation satellites first.
The Russians are really good at controlling the narrative inside Russia where the are able to control what people can and can’t see. So a lot of the seemingly outrageous lies that Lavrov and Peskov etc. are spouting are intended for domestic consumption. But outside of Russia (except for a small minority of Putin stooges) no one believes their BS.
Now explain away the satellite photos. More Hollywood fakes, right? Snap out of your denial. It’s shameful. It’s pitiful to humiliate yourself for a thug like Putin.
Please, get over yourself with your indignant obsession. The reality is that people with your attitude working over the last decade set up Ukraine for this disaster, and people with your attitude are, today, getting more Ukrainians killed than necessary.Replies: @Chrisnonymous
Note to Putin: Next time you do war crimes...
It goes beyond that. The US has kamikaze drones where not only does the drone find the tank but it flies into it and explodes. The Ukrainians also have small drones that are just big enough to carry an anti-tank grenade. The drone flies over the tank and drops the grenade on top of the tank where the armor is the thinnest. The drones are equipped with night vision cameras and hit the Russians when it is dark and it’s impossible to see the drones and when the Russians tend to park their tanks. Now imagine that instead of just one drone you have hundreds or thousands flying over the battlefield.
It’s very difficult to construct jammers for these drones because they use many different commercial models that operate on different frequencies, etc.
During the Vietnam War the Soviets gave North Vietnam frequency agile radars so you have to expend your jamming power over a large range of frequencies.
It’s very difficult to construct jammers for these drones because they use many different commercial models that operate on different frequencies, etc.
Replies: @John Johnson
Most radar warning (RW), electronic countermeasures (ECM) and electronic intelligence (ELINT) systems employ instantaneous frequency measurement (IFM) to identify threats, map the electronic battlefield and eventually implement deceptive countermeasures.
https://www.microwavejournal.com/legacy_assets/FigureImg/4322_Fig2_S.jpg
In its development of systems in this sector Elisra has made advances with the introduction of its Digital Instantaneous Frequency Measurement (DIFM) receiver, which is shown in Figure 1 as a block diagram. This receiver offers the user large broadband instantaneous frequency coverage of 2 to 18 GHz, high dynamic range, high frequency measurement accuracy and fast throughput time—less than 400 ns.
https://www.microwavejournal.com/articles/4772-a-digital-instantaneous-frequency-measurement-receiver
Such systems are not full-proof and they can be overwhelmed; they can also break down. You might stop 9 out of 10 incoming missiles but if just one gets through, you're still hit. And anti-tank missiles are a lot cheaper than a tank; even if if you waste 10 of them to destroy one tank you're likely to still be ahead, financially speaking.Also, like any active system it has limited capacity. There's only so many projectiles you can load and once you've expended them all, there goes your active protection.Replies: @Jack D
Israeli tanks feature the Israeli active protection system Trophy. A number of explosively formed projectiles destroy incoming threats before they hit the vehicle.
It’s definitely not a panacea but if the Russian tanks had Trophy a lot more of them would still be intact. If you had a choice between the same tank with or without Trophy, wouldn’t you want Trophy?
The Israelis have had very good results with it in actual combat. With ATGMs, your first shot is your best shot so if the tank survives the first shot he can often turn the tables, especially since Trophy automatically targets the tank’s gun at the point of origin of the ATGM.
I sure would! I didn't mean to imply such systems are useless and I know Trophy performed quite well for Israelis; but like all technological solutions active protection systems come with limitations, compromises and vulnerabilities of their own. They should be understood as a supplement, not a replacement for armour.Russians in fact were something of pioneers when it comes to such systems, with the early one called Drozd installed on their tanks way back in the 80s. I really don't know what they are using today, but I imagine they continued development and have some such system in action today. Judging by the results, clearly it isn't terribly effective!Replies: @Jack D
If you had a choice between the same tank with or without Trophy, wouldn’t you want Trophy?
Arguing against open war with another nuclear power is not to chose "to be associated with" that power's titular leader or to cosign his conduct.
I understand the desire of the Putin fanbois not to be associated with such vile crimes, but they are yours now – this is the person that you have chosen to be associated with. He is a man who does not hesitate to have his enemies murdered so it is no shock that his army does the same. The fish stinks from the head.
This is a dispute over where the West-East border of the former Hapsburg* and Romanov holdings should be located,
Former Romanov holdings include the Baltics and most of Poland. Are you OK with giving those back to Russia also? What about Alaska?
There is a “first they came for….” problem with staying out of these little family quarrels. Some people think that is better to nip them in the bud. The problem with megalomaniacs is that they have perverse appetites. Most people – you give them say a Ukraine and they say “this was a tasty meal – I’m full now.” But when you feed a Ukraine to the megalomaniac he says, “this tasty Ukraine has whet my appetite. I’m ready for the next course now. Will it be Poland or Lithuania or perhaps both?”
I think there are scenarios of Western involvement here that fall short of nuclear war. Russian guns killed American boys in Vietnam (and American guns killed Russians in Afghanistan) and it did not lead to nuclear war. Our choices are not either nuclear war or throwing Ukraine to the “bear”.
I’ll tell you what is cruel – giving Ukraine ALMOST enough armaments to defend itself so that the war is prolonged but it ends up losing anyway.
The U.S. isn't "giving" the Ukraine (back) to Russia. Russia is asserting its interests there by force, perhaps unreasonably, and factions of the population inhabiting the Ukraine are resisting the Russians with arms. Other populations, particularly in the East, welcomed the Russians as they are ethnically Russian, speak Russian, and are Orthodox Christians. "Ukraine" was never a nation until after the dissolution of the Austro-Hungarian Empire and the western portions were distributed to the Soviets and it is a confected one.
Former Romanov holdings include the Baltics and most of Poland. Are you OK with giving those back to Russia also?
The American interest in one of its States is clearly much more acute than its interests, if any, in the Ukraine.
What about Alaska?
It's rather evident that Russia can't masticate and digest Ukraine, much less the Baltics and Poland at this point. Howsoever Putin may want to expand Russia's Western border, that doesn't appear to be in the cards and the risk analysis of even trying it at this point has changed exponentially.
There is a “first they came for….” problem with staying out of these little family quarrels. Some people think that is better to nip them in the bud. The problem with megalomaniacs is that they have perverse appetites. Most people – you give them say a Ukraine and they say “this was a tasty meal – I’m full now.” But when you feed a Ukraine to the megalomaniac he says, “this tasty Ukraine has whet my appetite. I’m ready for the next course now. Will it be Poland or Lithuania or perhaps both?”
All scenarios of Western involvement substantially increase the likelihood of nuclear war. I have no desire to risk my family over cold Eastern European mud.
I think there are scenarios of Western involvement here that fall short of nuclear war.
Perhaps, but the Cold War rules were much clearer, and we had adults running the Country back then. Can you compare Blinken favorably to Kissinger? The Ukrainians aren't requesting small arms, they're demanding American jets shoot down Russian jets over Ukraine, and failing that all manner of advanced materiel and munitions.
Russian guns killed American boys in Vietnam (and American guns killed Russians in Afghanistan) and it did not lead to nuclear war.
Again, we're not "throwing" Ukraine anywhere - unless you're implicitly admitting that the U.S. has goaded the Ukraine into its current predicament and as a consequence owes the Ukraine victory?
Our choices are not either nuclear war or throwing Ukraine to the “bear".
This appears to be the tacit U.S. policy out of the State Department - bleed Russia in Ukraine down to the last Ukrainian to affect "regime change."
I’ll tell you what is cruel – giving Ukraine ALMOST enough armaments to defend itself so that the war is prolonged but it ends up losing anyway.
Serious question – what is worse for Ukraine in the long run:
Scenario 1 – When Putin gathers his forces at the border, Zelensky does a Yanukovych and takes the 1st helicopter to Krakow. Putin appoints a Lukashenko like figure to be the puppet ruler of Ukraine for the next 70 years.
Scenario 2 – the one that we are living in. Ukraine may or may not end up in control of the Donbas but at the end a Western aligned democratic government remains in control of at least a substantial portion of Ukraine, wrecked though it is.
Once they’re killed/captured, the war will be effectively over.
In Yiddish they say, once my grandmother grows a beard, she will be my grandfather.
Kyiv no longer matters in the grand scheme:
Those grapes were sour anyway.
I think a windfall would be the better analogy. What was beyond reach has landed in Xi's lap. It really is incredible the way for the last couple of years everything that happens China keeps getting stronger. They are the opposite of Russia in every way.Replies: @Anonymous, @Harry Baldwin
Those grapes were sour anyway.
So they foresaw the future very accurately.Replies: @Jack D
In Yiddish they say, once my grandmother grows a beard, she will be my grandfather.
Israeli tanks feature the Israeli active protection system Trophy. A number of explosively formed projectiles destroy incoming threats before they hit the vehicle.
There is an arms race between new types of armor and new types of ATGM that can defeat them but Trophy does not depend on armor protection at all.
Trophy can also detect the launch and direct the tank’s main gun to the launcher position so that no further launches are possible.
Such systems are not full-proof and they can be overwhelmed; they can also break down. You might stop 9 out of 10 incoming missiles but if just one gets through, you're still hit. And anti-tank missiles are a lot cheaper than a tank; even if if you waste 10 of them to destroy one tank you're likely to still be ahead, financially speaking.Also, like any active system it has limited capacity. There's only so many projectiles you can load and once you've expended them all, there goes your active protection.Replies: @Jack D
Israeli tanks feature the Israeli active protection system Trophy. A number of explosively formed projectiles destroy incoming threats before they hit the vehicle.
actions that will end up gaining far more for the Federation
This is called counting your chickens before they are hatched. Before you begin gloating about the downfall of globohomomerica, wait for it to actually be defeated and THEN you can gloat.
I know this is very very VERY hard for some people, but I'll give it another try.It doesn't FUCKING matter whether an independent Ukraine is, or isn't, an "existential threat" to Russia. Not a whit.What matters here is that Putin THINKS it is, and has an argument for WHY he thinks that. That we ignore this absolutely fundamental critical distinction is why we -- and by WE I mean the USA and the west in general, let alone the Ukrainian population whose lives and country are being destroyed -- are in the pickle we are in. And let me tell you, we here ARE in a pickle because cutting off Russia from the world economy -- a dubious punishment even if effective (which is doubtful) -- will have far reaching consequences.Replies: @Jack D
The existence of an independent Ukraine presents no existential threat to Russia.
Suppose that your neighbor is a paranoid drug addict. He THINKS that you are plotting to steal his drug stash and in his own crazy fashion he has concocted some backstory as to why this is true. You have no such plans at all but he THINKS that you do. One night he kicks your door down and comes at your family with a shotgun. What should you do? Negotiate a peace treaty with him?
welded metal — 18th-century tech?
There are ancient forms of welding but welding as we think of it (acetylene torch or electric arc) is from the 19th century, not the 18th. Most aircraft are riveted not welded – riveting is definitely an ancient technology. But small drones are usually some sort of plastic or composite and not metal at all.
but today’s (1980’s) weapons systems require electronics, and the Soviets just cannot manage that.
Up until the 1980s, the Soviets (and their allies the E. Germans) were able to reverse engineer Western chips by dissolving/grinding the packaging off of Western chips and taking photos that could be enlarged. It was a laborious process but doable and they had chip fabs that could produce chips of this type (although their yields were terrible – in the vicinity of 1% meaning that 99 out of 100 chips were worthless). Western chip makers used to sometimes leave little messages in Russian on their chip masks, e.g. “VAX – when you care enough to steal the very best “.
https://micro.magnet.fsu.edu/creatures/pages/russians.html
But then the Western technology progressed to the point where this was no longer doable.
Russia is a very mixed bag technologically – they can produce certain things here and there (the US produces almost no titanium – Russia was a leading supplier) that are technical marvels (though usually they start by stealing from the West) but overall they tend to be backwards.
I saw it as an entertaining back and forth exchange of fire (it was great). Let us get one thing straight, it you drive along a road in a column with tanks not matter how many infantry there are they cannot protect you from being hit unless you go at a snails pace to allow them to advance on foot each side of the road. The Russians infantry in the troop carriers jumped out ran away with their backs to where the anti-tank missiles were coming from;, maybe if aggressive and shooting instead of running in the opposite direction they could have got some of the Ukrainians , because one them stood and fought trying to get a second tank ,which is brave but not advisable. Anyway the infantry could not have prevented the destruction of the destroyed tank, because it was hit right at the begining and they were in their carriers trundling along in front of it.
He illustrates it with a popular video from Ukraine which is usually edited to show a tank being hit by an infantry antitank missile because there was no infantry support
Not what happened. The incident was extremely untypical because it was at extreme close range and at least one of the anti tank team did not shoot and scoot but stayed to fight those two tanks after both fired right at the copse where the missile trail had started from with their main guns. I posted Combat Veteran Reacts analysis https://www.unz.com/aanglin/i-am-a-russian-cheerleader/#comment-5263585One tank was destroyed with a NLAW (a Javelin would not have armed at that range). As you can see at least one of the ambush team showed total commitment stayed to hit a second tank, maybe with an RPG or a missile that didn't arm. If it was an RPG this was prolly the fellow who'd fired his RPG and missed moments earlier. He was wanting to go out in a blaze of glory, but most Ukrainian have not been doing that they have just been sitting waiting for days concealed with a view of a section of road and simply fired their guided missile and instantly got out of thereIt remains to be seen how useful tanks will be in the upcoming Donbass open country battle of encirclement the Russians are expected to try. That will involve beaching enemy defences and flanking maneuvers, which are both tasks only tanks can do. The Russians are using drones above the tanks to pinpoint from the trails where a missile came from so the survival of the missileers after taking out one of a broad wave advancing will be more dubious than sitting hidden hundreds of yards from a moving gallery of side on targets. The Russians were driving along roads as if they were in their own country.Replies: @Jack D
In his case however he does something the propagandists don’t do which is play the entire recording which shows the tanks right behind that one killing the soldiers in the anti-tank team. I think he says something along the line that what you don’t see is videos of attacks where the ambush fails and “you are now dealing with a very angry tank”.
It remains to be seen how useful tanks will be in the upcoming Donbass open country battle of encirclement the Russians are expected to try.
I keep hearing about this great upcoming battle (you forgot to mention the “cauldron”). What are the Russians waiting for? Why didn’t they try this at the beginning of the war or when the Ukes were tied up defending Kyiv?
What happened to the idea that the Russians were going to stay dug in around Kyiv so that the Kyiv defenders would remain tied up? They seem to have fled leaving only broken equipment and mass graves. The mass graves may not bother folks here (“fake”) but they have just made Putin’s political problems with the West even worse.