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    An interesting aspect of the development of artificial intelligence is that most of the excitement right now is over AI on the creative and/or propaganda sides: "Paint a picture in the style of Seurat of Shohei Ohtani pitching and hitting," "Write a poem in the style of e.e. cummings about police brutality," or whatever. Now,...
  • Hi Steve, I’m a fabulously wealthy trader over on Manifold, so if you’re ever taking a look and want help getting started, let me know. It would be great to have you!

  • I'm recuperating from my first of two cataract eye surgeries this summer. The first went smoothly. I want to thank everybody who contributed to to make this possible. Steve
  • You’ll be pleased to hear Scott Alexander has been covering for you in your abscence: https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/what-caused-the-2020-homicide-spike

  • From the Financial Times opinion section: Rising sea levels will explain why Afghans must move to Louisiana, Bolivians to Miami, Ethiopians to Washington D.C., Rwandans to Belgium, and Cape Coloreds to the Netherlands. We must bridge the gap between the hyper-sensitised and short-term political discourse around migration and the collective strategy needed to house humanity....
  • Canada already has tried this, letting in many millions of migrants over the last few decades, with virtually none of them becoming sod-busters

    Now that’s just not true! In fact, I could swear I remember reading about a family of immigrant blueberry farmers in the news not so long ago. Ah, here we go:

    https://vancouversun.com/news/local-news/jassi-sidhu-the-tragedy-of-a-forbidden-love

  • I appreciate the Internet for giving me an outlet for all these obscure statistics I come up with without my having to inflict them on people in real life.
  • What’s the Griffith Observatory theory?

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Etcetera

    I don't know. I've been to the Griffith Observatory a lot, but I can't recall developing a theory about it. If I had, my readers would be the first to know!

    Replies: @The Germ Theory of Disease

  • The shooting of Ahmaud Arbery, a saintly "jogger," by a white man in the South while trying to take the man's gun was used by the national press as George Floyd 0.9 in early May 2020 to whip up racial hatred, which exploded catastrophically later in the month in the Racial Reckoning. Not surprisingly, it...
  • @Etcetera
    Scott Alexander had a piece on this question. ("The Toxoplasma of Rage")

    He argues that a case needs to be flawed to capture the national conversation. It's counterarguments and counter-counterarguments which keep a story in the news. If conservatives just say "yup. looks pretty bad," liberals would get bored quick and move on. Big stories need a feedback loop of mutual rage to fuel them.

    A related element is signalling. Libs want to show how committed to racial justice they are and an open and shut case doesn't further that. Talking about Tamar Rice doesn't demonstrate your anti-racist credentials: everyone agrees that was horrible. Even Steve freaking Sailer says so!

    Replies: @Etcetera, @James N. Kennett

    Oh, the Rice example was from a commenter, not Steve. Okay, pretend I said Botham Jean instead.

  • Scott Alexander had a piece on this question. (“The Toxoplasma of Rage”)

    He argues that a case needs to be flawed to capture the national conversation. It’s counterarguments and counter-counterarguments which keep a story in the news. If conservatives just say “yup. looks pretty bad,” liberals would get bored quick and move on. Big stories need a feedback loop of mutual rage to fuel them.

    A related element is signalling. Libs want to show how committed to racial justice they are and an open and shut case doesn’t further that. Talking about Tamar Rice doesn’t demonstrate your anti-racist credentials: everyone agrees that was horrible. Even Steve freaking Sailer says so!

    • Replies: @Etcetera
    @Etcetera

    Oh, the Rice example was from a commenter, not Steve. Okay, pretend I said Botham Jean instead.

    , @James N. Kennett
    @Etcetera

    OTOH, an unflawed case can cause days or weeks of rioting, and the rioting both keeps the story in the news and becomes the flaw that generates counterarguments. In all cases, those who hold the Megaphone can declare themselves the winners.

  • On paper, the US still has by far the world's strongest military. This is the case whether or not you measure it by military spending, by various indices of military power (e.g. MEU, CAP, or the CMP developed on this blog), or as pertains to the narrower if arguably more relevant naval sphere, by naval...
  • The middle class liberals of America seem extremely competent to me. Wokeness took over because they backed it. The military is in decline because they’re disinterested in it.

    If they perceived external enemies, rather than dedicating all their energies to fighting the Americans they don’t like, I think they could rapidly inject a lot of effectiveness into American actions.

    • Agree: sher singh, Not Only Wrathful
    • Replies: @songbird
    @Etcetera

    To the contrary, it is not disinterest. Wokenes is a tool designed to facilitate political purges. Has there ever been a coup by a tranny and homo-infested military?

    , @Icy Blast
    @Etcetera

    You've obviously never done any military service. Your observations are comically stupid.

    , @Verymuchalive
    @Etcetera


    The middle class liberals of America seem extremely competent to me.
     
    You are very erroneous. They have permitted the offshoring of American industry to China and elsewhere. This has been very beneficial for the oligarchs and their house servants and has greatly aided the rise of China. It has been deeply damaging to the American middle classes, liberal or otherwise.

    Likewise, the degradation of the American military by Globohomo policies comes at a time when demands on it have sharply increased and economic collapse beckons.
    I would not call these people competent in any way.
    , @Generalfeldmarschall von Hindenburg
    @Etcetera

    "The middle class liberals of America seem extremely competent to me. Wokeness took over because they backed it. The military is in decline because they’re disinterested in it. "

    Respectfully, I am not so sure about what they are competent at. Finance? Creating false media narratives to baffle the plebs? The financial and social engineering the US and UK bourgeousie have excelled at for a century are creating fissures in the entire civilization that may be ultimately fatal. Wasn't it Tolstoy's trip that Russia would ultimately have to save the West? Turns out that looks to be the case.

    , @EldnahYm
    @Etcetera


    The middle class liberals of America seem extremely competent to me.
     
    Based on what? Certainly not their response to the coronavirus epidemic, which was worse than many third world countries.

    Middle class liberals of today have almost no skills. It's partly because of overspecialization is advanced economies, but it's partly because they're just parasites in the first place.
    , @Jordi
    @Etcetera

    Spot on

    Author A Karlin made a comparison with the Red Army from 1939. Yet 6 years later, the Red Army was parading in Berlin, depsite horrible losses that did NOT prevent Stalin from sleeping calmly. The fact that the US army is under ideological transformation, now serving woke AMerica rather than heritage America, does not disminish its strength, the main of which is an ocean of isolation from any continental opposing force.

    Replies: @Comment6

  • Update: the video of the interview will be up on Bitchute in several hours. Just go to Bitchute.com and search for Steve Sailer. You can watch it live, or later on Bitchute. Any hints on lighting or camera angle to make me look less like Mitch McConnell?
  • @YetAnotherAnon
    @Gary in Gramercy

    "If a woman is a true 8, with a pleasant personality and placid temperament, an IQ of 120-130 is perfectly adequate to produce bright offspring when her male partner has an IQ of 140 or so"

    This is an iStevey question - is intelligence inherited more from the mother than the father, as I've seen alleged?

    Frankly I'd take a pleasant 5 or probably less over an unpleasant 8. Is there any level of beauty for a long term relationship where unpleasantness could be acceptable?

    "It is better to dwell in a corner of the housetop, than with a brawling woman and in a wide house"

    Replies: @Etcetera

    This is an iStevey question – is intelligence inherited more from the mother than the father, as I’ve seen alleged?

    It’s going to be almost exactly 50/50.

    The math is pretty easy. Child’s intelligence is sampled randomly from a bell curve centered on the mean of the parents’ intelligences (after adjusting for regression to the mean, as necessary).

    The only other wrinkle is that the bell curve has a slightly fatter left tail, since there’s a lot that can go horribly wrong, but not much that can go dramatically right.

  • Other things have occupied our attention, but Karabakh War II - currently by far the world's most intense conflict - continues unabated. Bad news for the Armenians. The Azeris have advanced to the edges of Sushi and the Corridor that connects Armenia to Stepanakert, the capital of its Artsakh enclave. Its capture will mean that...
  • In practical terms, why isn’t Armenia able to mobilize its diaspora more effectively? The only Armenian I know is posting incessantly on Facebook, and it’s amazing to see her this bloodthirsty, but it all amounts to “Sign this petition” and “Pressure your local politican.”

    Presumably the Amenian diaspora has enough money to put the Azeri spending advantage in the dust, and although my sample size is 1, it seems like they feel strongly enough about this to put it on the line, but I don’t see any effort to like, buy drones and send them to Armenia. (or just send the money, as that would presumably be illegal)

    So what’s the stumbling block that I’m missing? Legal barriers? Lack of passion? Lack of infrastructure? Lack of money? Lack of ingenuity?

    • Replies: @Dmitry
    @Etcetera

    Remittances are important for Armenia's economy, and so is investment by diaspora in the country's industries - but the diaspora charity money is less important. And numbers (even including remittances) can only important for GDP in small economies.

    Young Armenian workers, mass emigrate to Russia, and then many of them will spend most of their income in Russia, while Armenia only receives only a minority of this income through remittances.

    -

    Charity donation money from Armenian diaspora to Armenia - is perhaps like giving some extra vitamins to country's infrastructure or buildings.

    Armenians in wealthy countries like the USA, seem to donate. But this donation money from Americans, will not raise the income difference to stop the emigration.

    -

    I was looking at YouTube a bit. It looks like Armenians in America build up some dollars.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5tAnx4xoL38

    And they are buying things like a new school building in Stepanakert. So children in Stepanakert now had a nicer looking school building, than I had as a child.
    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=blDyVXIb-rc


    The most impressive thing the American-Armenians bought looks like a new hospital. (But they built it in Stepanakert, when they should have built it in Armenia).

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=tsae_h3FOQ4


    -

    Wealthy American-Armenians were also donating to upgrade the buildings in Shusha (which Azerbaijan has taken now).

    It reminds me of American Jews donating through charities for Israel into West Bank settlements. One difference though, is how underpopulated the region.

    https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_Ypl73KV53w

    Replies: @Dmitry, @Yevardian

  • It’s nice to see someone poking fun at the Woke crowd, but as others have pointed out, the fact that you can only attack the Left if you do it from even further Left is how we got into this mess in the first place.

  • Remember last week's crisis of the century about ICE white supremacist gynecologist performing hysterectomies on detained illegal immigrant women for Tom Buchanan eugenics reasons? Well, surprise, surprise, it turns out the incompetent and/or shady gynecologist is Dr. Mahendra Amin, an immigrant from Kashmir. But I thought immigrants like Dr. Mahendra Singh were Who We Are?
  • I wondered about this when the news broke. In India hysterectomies are considered a routine procedure and are pushed on women all the time.

    • Replies: @Sya Beerens
    @Etcetera

    Neoconialism

  • How dare Trump have no respect for the plain mandates of the Constitution that he must grant Ruth Bader Ginsburg's Dying Wish and let in Emma Lazarus's Huddled Masses. It's right there in the Constitution: "The President must do whatever Jewish ladies tell him to do."
  • I really don’t mind this business about deathbed wishes, as long as the Democrats still respect them when Thomas wills for his Supreme Court seat to go to someone just as conservative as him, and not exceeding thirty years of age.

  • From NBC News: Michigan judge denies release of teenage girl who was jailed after not doing homework "I miss my mom. I can control myself. I can be obedient," the 15-year-old girl known as Grace reportedly said during a hearing Monday. Community protests after Michigan teen jailed for not doing homework during probation JULY 17,...
  • @Dan
    It looks like Steve Sailer has been disappeared from Google. If I Google "isteve unz", I get "About 53,300 results".

    But there are only four pages of results presented, less than 1/1000 of the results. And none of them are the Unz blog. That seems brand new.

    Meanwhile, on Bing.com, "isteve unz" gives the blog as the first result.


    This is some weird kind of censorship.

    Replies: @Etcetera, @Jack D, @Ben Kurtz, @MOG

    I’ve lately noticed that my browser’s address bar will no longer autocomplete/suggest “unz.com/isteve”, so i have to type it in manually every time i visit.

    I’m on an android phone.

    • Replies: @Lot
    @Etcetera

    Depending on your settings, autocomplete can be based on your recent history suggested by the browser or by Google reading your keystrokes and suggesting it based on its algos.

    I have the latter disabled, and iSteve pops up fine.

    Really the best advice for 95% of users is just switch to Brave.

    , @Dissident
    @Etcetera


    my browser’s address bar will no longer autocomplete/suggest “unz.com/isteve”, so i have to type it in manually every time i visit.
     
    Do you have the URL bookmarked?
  • From the New York Times news section: The ongoing Not Enough Plaques for Blacks Crisis continues to mount. It's just a crazy hunch, but I'm betting that composer Hildur Gudnadottir is very white but not very male. Sam Mendes’s visually
  • @PaceLaw
    The best Latino actors and actresses are all in Mexico or other places in South/Central America. Pretty much like how all of the great Indian actors are in Bollywood. It’s really not that hard to figure out.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Etcetera

    In India, the stereotype is that Bollywood actors are all aspiring to “make it to the big leagues” and transition to Hollywood roles. Then again, this has only happened once or twice, so I wonder if it’s true.

  • The New York Times explains that masked AntiFa goons beating up reporter Andy Ngo in Portland was, actually, when you stop and think about it, extremely complex, exaggerated, and much too boring to think about or even to remember. It's kind of like how the Rolling Stone "Rape on Campus" hate hoax was really, when...
  • I’m amazed to see the NYT unashamedly describing violent protestors as “rowdy.” That euphemism is a cliché of biased journalism.

  • From Eidolon, Donna Zuckerberg's Classics mag: Black Athena, White Power Are We Paying the Price for Classics’ Response to Bernal? Denise Eileen McCoskey Denise Eileen McCoskey is a Professor of Classics and affiliate of Black World Studies at Miami University (Ohio). She is the author of Race: Antiquity & Its Legacy, and past recipient of...
  • We know Cleopatra’s entire family tree. All the inbreeding makes it easier: not a lot to know. It’s on Wikipedia for anyone to see. She was Greek, not even Egyptian.

    That’s what makes the Black Cleopatra “controversy” so farcical.

    IIRC she’s some proportion local egyptian, but even the locals weren’t Black. We know from Greek writings what the Egyptians of their day looked like.

    @Cortes, inheritance laws weren’t as rigid in Ptolmaic Egypt. The inbreeding was something more like an attempt to maintain their eliteness and exclusivity, as a dynasty of foreign conquerors, descended from one of Alexander the Great’s generals.

    • Agree: Colin Wright
    • Replies: @pyrrhus
    @Etcetera

    But facts are such a downer...

    , @Paul Jolliffe
    @Etcetera

    Agreed.

    I've never seen an image of her on a coin that looked "black". Of course, I've never seen an image of her on a coin that was particularly attractive, either, so . . .

    http://www.wildwinds.com/coins/greece/egypt/cleopatra_VII/t.html

  • From Vox: But, honest, we were not thinking about open borders before Nov 7, 2018, 9:00am EST. The idea that it was time for fully open borders just suddenly came to us at 8:59am EST. After the election. After ... Trump was entirely making this up that we were just waiting for the election to...
  • I know an Indian couple who are renouncing their Indian citizenship… so they can get Nepali citizenship… so that their immigration applications will be subject to a less crowded quota.