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    Over the years I have occasionally expressed doubts over the tenets of evolutionism which, perhaps wrongly, has seemed to me a sort of political correctness of science, or maybe a metaphysics somewhat related to science. As a consequence I have been severely reprimanded. The editor of a site devoted to genetic expression furiously began deleting...
  • @syonredux
    @robwbright

    "Given that homosexuals cannot naturally reproduce (sure, they can using surrogates or test tubes, but are you going to qualify that as “natural”?):

    How do you explain the existence of homosexuals?"


    Greg Cochran has a theory that sounds quite promising:


    "I’ve said it before, but it’s probably time to say it again. The most likely explanation for human homosexuality is that it is caused by some pathogen. It’s too common to be mutational pressure (and we don’t see syndromic versions, as we would in that case), it’s not new, identical twins are usually discordant (~75% of the time), and it’s hell on reproductive fitness. There is no way it is adaptive: the helpful gay uncle notion, group selection, compensating advantage in females, etc: these range from impossible to bloody unlikely. It doesn’t exist in most hunter-gatherers: you have to explain what it is you’re even talking about when you ask them. Presumably with diagrams.

    As for Freudian explanations, exotic-becomes-erotic, etc: just reading the social-science literature on the subject is enough to make you wonder if the human brain really does exist to cool the blood.

    A fair number of the smarter people interested in the subject agree with me. Not that they think it proven, but they agree that it is the only theory out there that makes any evolutionary sense. Bill Hamilton thought it made sense. So does Alan Grafen. Mike Bailey thinks it more likely than any other explanation tendered thus far."

    http://westhunt.wordpress.com/2012/02/16/depths-of-madness/

    Replies: @Muse

    Homosexuality may very well be adaptive should it exisit at regular rates within a population. Societies with specialized roles for individuals might benefit as a whole if individuals with certain traits (gender preference linked) are present.

    Priests come to mind immediately. Imagine a group of individuals, selected by sexual preference, with extremely high social skills running an institution such as the church. This group is tasked with maintaining academic, cultural and artistic knowledge, as well as maintaining structure and theatrical rituals designed to keep the less cognitively gifted working and not having bastards willy nilly.

    A proclivity for caddiness and gossip might very well provide for effective informal communication channels, information sharing and consensus building prior to the invention of things like the printing press, twitter and blogs. Once you have the printing press, perhaps the old ways fall to literate protestants, and homosexual traits become evolutionary artifacts, leaving us with Broadway musicals, fashion magazines et.c…

    • Replies: @syonredux
    @Muse

    "Homosexuality may very well be adaptive should it exisit at regular rates within a population. Societies with specialized roles for individuals might benefit as a whole if individuals with certain traits (gender preference linked) are present."

    This is the group selection hypothesis (aka the gay uncle theory); it's extremely unlikely:


    "You can imagine situations in which natural selection would favor an increase in frequency for a trait that aided group survival while hurting individual reproductive success – but it’s not all that easy. Here’s the problem: imagine a situation in which some individuals in the group have an allele that causes them to fight in a way that saves the collective – the catch is that some get killed in the process. Members of the tribe that don’t have this allele are saved as well, but they don’t pay the price. At the end of this fight, the frequency of the self-sacrificing allele has gone down, not up. So how can the altruistic allele hang around? How would it ever have become common in the first place?

    If the altruistic act (defined as one that increases the fitness of another individuals while reducing personal fitness) is aimed at close relatives, an altruistic allele can succeed. As Haldane once said, “I would lay down my life for two brothers or eight cousins”. It’s called kin selection. Close relatives are more likely to carry a copy of that same altruistic allele than the average bear, so altruistic acts focused on close relatives can pay off – can cause the causal alleles to increase in frequency. This is particularly so if circumstances allow very big payoff from altruistic acts, for example, species that nest in cavities. Successful defense of a breach in the nest is tactically easy, rather like Horatius at the bridge, and greatly increases the fitness of many relatives.

    You also see a kind of altruism among some infectious organisms. Some bacteria make a toxin that furthers the infection process. Each individual bacterium would be better off if he stopped making that toxin and relied on all the other bacteria to do it – it would save energy – but if the infection starts with a single organism, the descendants are all closely related and kin selection can favor expensive cooperation. In some cases, like cholera or diphtheria, phages carry genes that code for the production of toxins. You can think of this as a method of forcing high relatedness.

    Some people have suggested that human homosexuality is an adaptation produced by group selection. I can’t see how this could possibly work. They would have to do stuff for close relatives – lots of stuff. This is a quantitative question: if they concentrated on the closest possible relatives, nephews and nieces, they’d have to cause far more to survive than would otherwise. We’re talking a behavior stronger and more effective than mother love. It doesn’t exist. And how would being homosexual help?

    In some other loony scenarios, homosexuality was favored by benefits to the group as a whole. Disregarding the fact that this kind of selection is almost impossible in the first place, and that we don’t even find homosexuality in most hunter-gatherer populations, what is it they are supposed to have done to save or aid the tribe?"

    http://westhunt.wordpress.com/2013/01/10/group-selection-and-homosexuality/

  • From The New Republic, which is owned by Chris Hughes because he lived down the hall from Mark Zuckerberg in the Harvard dorm: I always had the same GPA: 3.7 to 3.8 (out of 4.0) from high school to college to B-school. Partly, this was because some classes were genuinely very hard for me. But...
  • @syonredux
    Interesting to note, though, that he doesn't advocate sending your kid to the local State Uni:

    "If there is anywhere that college is still college—anywhere that teaching and the humanities are still accorded pride of place—it is the liberal arts college. Such places are small, which is not for everyone, and they’re often fairly isolated, which is also not for everyone. The best option of all may be the second-tier—not second-rate—colleges, like Reed, Kenyon, Wesleyan, Sewanee, Mount Holyoke, and others. Instead of trying to compete with Harvard and Yale, these schools have retained their allegiance to real educational values."

    Replies: @Bill M, @Art Deco, @Muse

    Hillsdale College in Hillsdale, Michigan.

  • Before I moved to Chicago in 1982, I separated my record collection into 2 stacks, the stuff I wanted to keep and the stuff I didn't care for. I lugged the latter to a used record store where a clerk much like Comic Book Guy on The Simpsons paid me $0.50 to $2.00 for the...
  • Queen appears to be intergenerational. My 14 year old has been listing to Queen (and Supertramp) constantly for the past few months. Queen is not Led Zep, but it is cheeky and fun.

    • Replies: @Bill M
    @Muse

    "Cheeky and fun" i.e. campy and gay.

  • The word "autism" has come to serve a couple of purposes that are somewhat orthogonal although often overlapping: to characterize individuals at the extreme pole of nerd-Asperger's syndrome (e.g., Temple Grandin) and as more or less of a synonym for mentally retarded. In the 1960s, few would have thought to lump together retardation and autism...
  • My observations on autism:

    There are two components:
    1) lack of empathy – two flavors
    A completely cant detect others emotions
    B can detect others emotions, but could care less (sociopath)

    2) lack of social imagination – cant model social situations to predict outcomes (social IQ)

    These traits are normally distributed. Not necessarily correlated

    The most dangerous sociopaths are highly skilled at 1 and 2, are intelligent, and don’t care how others feel.

    The most autistic of persons cant detect the emotional states of others, nor can they socially imagine how you might feel, or construct theories of cause and effect in social interactions. They have little awareness of others.

    Blends of social perception, social imagination and intelligence vary. It is best to think of social perception as a spectrum of communication bandwidth that can vary widely.

    Individuals with Limited social communications bandwidth excess channel noise (overstimulation) and complexity (too many nodes/individuals) degrades their ability to communicate. Working with the socially gifted can improve the apparent communication effectiveness of autistics in my observation.

    Smart kids with low communication bandwidth and/or social imagination can use their high IQ to improve social effectiveness. Not sure which combo of traits or what thresholds and what therapies make for the best “recovered autistics”.

    Highly recommend a book by Joseph Palombo. Believe it is called “nonverbal learning disabilities, a clinical perspective. ”

  • In "Is Everyone a Little Bit Racist?," NYT columnist Nicholas Kristof says we must redouble The War on Subconscious Crimethink: I've cited this many times before, such as in my 2013 Taki's Magazine article, but here's a fairly crisp version: The best current data on rates of killing by race are found in a 2011...
  • I prefer to use the judgement of locals when determining if area is safe. Having lived in Chicago for nearly 20 years, the litmus test for crime is the presence of steel security/screen doors on front entry ways.

    Invariably, a heavy presence of these doors indicates you are in a black neighborhood. For an unknown reason the black residents have determined that these metal security doors are desireable.

    What do blacks know that Mr. Krostof does not?

    • Replies: @peterike
    @Muse

    Invariably, a heavy presence of these doors indicates you are in a black neighborhood. For an unknown reason the black residents have determined that these metal security doors are desireable.


    True, but often those metal doors were installed by the whites who used to live there, shortly before they gave up and moved elsewhere.

  • Reader joey/joe/joe comments: Yet, high iq isn’t a guarantee of curiosity about the world. If you are like me, when you meet someone for the first time, you can very quickly tell if they are ‘interesting’- specifically, if they are what I’m calling ‘curious.’ This isn’t exactly identical to iq, though iq is almost always...
  • @ Harry Baldwin

    Are you interested in the works of genius of 80 years old, or works that are result of having exceptional wisdom/knowledge amongst the elderly?

    It seems that notable intellectual work of seniors would be the result of experience that can only be accumulated over time. You don’t have to be brilliant, you just have to age/decline much slower than average. Thus, like a competent scientist, the elderly have observed events over the long term, remembered them, hypothesized and drawn conclusions.

    A true genius, like Steve Jobs exemplifies in his famous playboy interview seem to be able to develop abstract models of how the world works and predict what will happen far into the future without having ever witnessing the events before.

  • The search for genetic variants that contribute to higher intelligence has been slow, perhaps unsurprisingly. After all, your brain is, arguably, the most complicated thing in the known universe. Here's a big new paper that might mark a milestone in this research. Common genetic variants associated with cognitive performance identified using the proxy-phenotype method Significance...
  • @shamu

    No. Evidence is not welcome, or listened to by the Cathedral/orthodoxy at this time.

    It it the first trickle through the dam in the sense that it now might now be OK for more researchers to do research on related topics, even in an attempt at disproval.

    The fact that Steve Hsu was hired in his current position to me means that there are friends of the truth in large research institutions. They are hamstrung by enormous political problems due to the prevailing political culture at these institutions.

    To remain relevant in the frontiers of scientific discovery (which is their reason for the existence of the modern research university) administrators have to find a way to make these inquiries not toxic to researchers careers and and grant proposals. The large number of participants (a large school of researchers) and the addition of a few whales like Pinker aid the cause.

    If it does not work, the Chinese will be happy to take the bulk of the work from the West over the next 20 years.

  • Media darling Bryan Caplan denounces pariah Steve Sailer again: The Universal Citizenist Bryan Caplan In the past, I've argued that Steve Sailer's citizenism is a moral travesty. Advancing the interests of your in-group should always play second fiddle to respecting the rights of out-groups. But recently, he presented what sounds like a universal argument for...
  • @anon
    @Chess Fan

    "@anon: In theory, a libertarian or HBDer could believe in god. Admittedly, it is uncommon."

    Indeed. Although I don't want to dump all HBDers into the militant atheist category. In my experience, most are, if not believers themselves, appreciative of the role and teachings of Christianity (and sometimes, more rarely, of Judaism.) But there is a loathsome subsection of HBDers (generally, not very bright people, or autistics) who decide that their discovery of HBD allows them to determine that all traditional guidelines of ethics and morality are naive and not applicable to ubermensch like themselves.

    Replies: @Muse, @AnotherDad

    @ anon

    “Indeed. Although I don’t want to dump all HBDers into the militant atheist category. In my experience, most are, if not believers themselves, appreciative of the role and teachings of Christianity (and sometimes, more rarely, of Judaism.) But there is a loathsome subsection of HBDers (generally, not very bright people, or autistics) who decide that their discovery of HBD allows them to determine that all traditional guidelines of ethics and morality are naive and not applicable to ubermensch like themselves.”

    That is interesting. As an atheist, I find that HBD and the science behind it has given me a new appreciation of religion’s role in the success of western civilization to the point that I have asked my wife that we resume attending church regularly. I have found no equivalent secular social algorithm/institution that encourages social norms and behaviors in support of family formation.

    I do not believe that most Protestant churches are doing their job properly, and that is why they are sinking into decay irrelevance, but the Mormons get it, as well as the Amish and the Mennonites. You could argue the Jews get it too. The key it they provide guidance for their communities, and even short term support for families within reason, BUT individuals have to follow the rules or get shunned. Premarital sex, illegitimacy and what not unfairly burden the community and are unjust, dysgenic and cannot be tolerated.

    As long as state sponsored social supports come without strings, these programs will be disasters.

    If the price I have to pay is to pray to an imaginary God to force this morality and structure on the unwashed, the unthinking and the mystic, so be it.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Muse

    Three guys who had made themselves unpopular with the Wall Street Washington axis came a cropper in sex scandals: Spitzer, DSK, and Assange.

    Probably just a coincidence.

    Replies: @Art Deco

  • I had a long discussion yesterday with an individual who has been reading me since 2003. We talked about lots of things. One issue which perhaps I need to reiterate because it's implicit is that I dissent to a great extent from the premises which underlay both American conservatism and liberalism. Like American liberals I...
  • The problem with throwing money at social problems is that it is dysgenic. I will agree that the current wages of the working class are too low in the US. They are depressed due to uncontrolled immigration of low skilled workers. The incomes of the corporate elite are overinflated as well due to elite cronyism in the governance of corporations due the incestuous social structure of interlocking boards of directors, elite college admissions and kleptocratic political dynasties such as the Daley clan in Chicago; one time windfalls by genius entrpreneurs such as Gates and Jobs, not so much.

    This is a crisis in the morality system, and this imbalance cannot continue as we will eventually lack the resources to support the unproductive.

    A system of morality in a culture provides rules to determine the obligations individuals have to each other, their family, clan and society as a whole. These moral socio/cultural systems evolved in tandem with the genome of each population. The best socio/genetic proposals that were best suited to their environments conferred the highest level of fitness to that group.

    As an example, a moral/behavioral meme in the Inuit that encouraged the elderly to go wander out to an ice floe once they could no longer “chew the fat” improved the fitness of their descendants by reducing the demands for elder care. This allowed resources to be used to support a new generation.

    An English village that suppressed outwardly sexual behavior, making it taboo, and encouraged marriage only after a male had become successful enough to support a wife and children (fitness in a market economy) would discourage the unfit from reproducing.

    The unprecendented increase in productivity and mobility has created an incredible mismatch between those that reproduce and those that actually have the fitness to make the wheels of the modern technological world turn, and thus support and nurture their offspring. A traditional method to resolve this type of imbalance had been war, and the ebbing of civilization, which decreases the population so that resouces again exceed the requirements of the population, and new socio/genetic proposals may develop. Our degradation of the environment, and our ability to annihilate ourselves with modern weapons may yet provide an opportunity for the ultimate Malthusian reset.

    Given what we now know about the human genome, our nature and the biological laws of evolution, the question is what to do? If the failure of communism can teach us anything, it is that we cannot predict what behaviors and genes will be the best for “fitness” in the future. I think in this way, the free market has much to offer, and is perhaps indispensable for a complex technically driven society. It sets a price on the value of one’s labor based on the opinions and desires of the whole society. It is in a sense an organic form of the “Good Judgement Project”.

    Our moral system needs to evolve to develop rules by which market valuations of fitness have much more influence determining who reproduces, albeit in a humane fashion.

    We cannot, however continue to support policies that don’t discourage out of wedlock births, and childrearing paid for by people other than the ones making the babies.

    This will require a rethinking of the social contract on many levels of the society; familial, religious, educational and governmental.

    I have no idea of how this social contract might look, but are a great many on this board who have tremendous intellectual gifts. Perhaps thinking about what this world might look like with an “evolution friendly” social contract would be time well spent.

  • My neighbor with season tickets to UCLA football games at the Rose Bowl in Pasadena couldn't go, so we went, which is always fun. You park on the Brookside golf course in the Arroyo Seco, which is lit up like the golf course in Lars von Trier's apocalyptic sci-fi movie Melancholia. The Rose Bowl isn't...
  • Mike Sadler had several beautiful punts during MSU v. Nebraska last night. Pinned the Cornhuskers inside the 5 yard line twice. Probably made the difference in what ended up being a close game. He had a nice backspin and and unusual technique on one of the punts. Not as fancy as UCLAs punter, but you may be right that there are many defensive yards to be gained by innovating in Div 1 football in the punting game.

  • From the NYT: I'm going to be a bore about this: we have had for the last 40 years an independent National Transportation Safety Board to investigate bad foul-ups and issue safety recommendations because you need professional experts who don't have conflicts of interest. The NTSB.gov website explains: In 1974, Congress reestablished
  • Jamaica announced no flights to west Africa recently.

    The Koreans KAL cancelled their Kenyan service in August!

    No fear of not being PC in Korea.

    It will be interesting to see how long it takes the Cathedral to accept that Ebola is the first truly existential threat to the US this century, and begin appropriate travel restrictions and quarantine procedures.

    The irony is that disease may turn public opinion solidly against open borders and thus make the political class enforce immigration laws.

  • My wife and I are hoping to have more children. I am pretty convinced of paternal age effect,* so aside from issues like Down Syndrome, which is due to maternal age, the risk for various behavioral issues such as autism are on the radar for us. Also, there are people in the extended pedigree who...
  • I believe ASD is best thought of as a social impairment. Smart kids (kids of smart guys like you) that end up on the spectrum are often diagnosed with High Functioning Autism or what the DSM may still refer to PDDNOS (Pervasive Developmental Disorder Not Otherwise Specified). These kids are quirky, socially awkward, but can often find a place in the world for themselves as adults. They grow up, get educated and get jobs. They just might be unusually interested in the behavior of ants, or the impact of alleles on human traits.

    Early diagnosis, early intervention (money helps) and good parenting make all the difference in the world.

    I have found having children, even though they are flawed, to be one of the more rewarding things I have done in my life.

    That being said, all reproduction is a crap shoot.

    In the end, they wont live, but then again who does?

  • Here we go again. Last week, the country’s biggest mortgage lenders scored a couple of key victories that will allow them to ease lending standards, crank out more toxic assets, and inflate another housing bubble. Here’s what’s going on: On Monday, the head of the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA), Mel Watt, announced that Fannie...
  • You forgot that all the banks and hedge funds need to sell the housing that they took possession of during the first housing crash. They want to monetize those assets, get them off their balance sheet and sell the bad loans, transferring the risk back to the federal government (the public) while booking profits. Then of course they can buy the houses back again after the next crash.

    Also they don’t like being landlords. It is hard to make money. The property managers they have to hire get a slice of the cash stream from the tenants. Tenants don’t pay etc. It’s too much like a real business (work and risk) versus the typical racket they like to run.

  • With a few days left before the election, one of the Democrats' chief campaign stunts continues to unravel. Here are the headlines on the front page of the Washington Post: But will they pay any price? And here's the NYT's veteran police beat reporter Dan Barry (he gets sent to cover stuff like the parole...
  • @yaqub the mad scientist
    After Tuesday, we’re going to start hearing about a lot of things and stop hearing about a lot of things.

    Go ahead, say it.

    Replies: @Muse

    Of course we are. Based on this morning’s NYT, they are gearing up to start bombing Al-Assad AND ISIS. I guess the administration’s goal is to just kill everyone in Syria. It’s a new variation of the old international relations rule to avoid getting involved in another country’s civil war. If you kill everyone, you can never be accused of being on the losing side like Vietnam..

  • Every society has people of limited ability who need employment and historically many of these folk worked the land. It was a simple and effective solution: you don’t have to be especially smart, even industrious, to herd cows, pick fruit or otherwise help put food on somebody’s table. Nor did society have to spend millions...
  • How about a similar analysis in higher education? But make it all data. Over time, compare percentage of students attending, real wages , cost per student, subject matter taught, degrees granted. Etc. It would be horrifying.

    • Replies: @Realist
    @Muse

    Excellent!

  • Here's an NYT Magazine article from last month on a Harvard psychology professor named Ellen Langer who is somewhere on the genius-crank continuum. So, she does elaborate studies like putting elderly people into social environments where all the kind of things they like, such as types of music, are cool once again. She believes social...
  • Heard John Cacioppo from U of C speak last night. His research appears to confirm measureable negative physiological, neurological and mortality impacts with perceived social isolation ie. loneliness in longitudinal studies. I would say in this instance the NYT writer’s assertions are not inconsistent with these findings, although we have Ph.d’s at U of C to tease out cause from correlation, something journalists seem unable to comprehend.

    Funny though that the best solution for this appears to be a healthy marriage and good relationships with family and friends. Odd that traditional social structures might be best for human health and happiness. I can’t imagine how that came to be. No coincidence too that an emotive Italian would be able to pick up on this relationship versus a Finlander. Once again my prejudices get me in trouble. There is a reason those Italian boys stay close to mama. Everybody gets to live longer!

    http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Cacioppo

  • The Medici Palace in Florence was built in the 1440s with heavy stone on the street level and delicate windows on the top floor, both to express the upward-yearning spirit of the Renaissance and to keep the urban mob from dismantling the place when they got uppity, as they were known to do. I'm reminded...
  • @Sean
    Probably the appearance of political buildings is intended to convey a message more than to be a Krak des Chevaliers . The old British embassy in Kabul was built to look as if it would last a thousand years. But there is a problem with barriers in regard to crowd control: in a crowd with everybody pressing forward the pressure at the front becomes multiplied the further forward you are. If there is a surge because people are pushing to get trainers or in the stadium, and those at the back are going faster than those at the front, people at the bottleneck get crushed to death or rather asphyxiated because they can't expand their lungs. Hillsborough disaster happened that way and preventing that is a big part of events security now. I imagine new buildings are designed with an eye to such considerations.

    Replies: @Muse

    I was at the Rose Bowl last year and nearly got crushed in the crowd. The portals are so long and narrow that they have people holding signs in the air to stop entry into the portals until the tunnels periodically clear. Lovely venue once you get in, but it could get dangerous quickly with a rowdy crowd that has been drinking.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Muse

    Good point. It's not a really drinking place, though -- lack of public transportation or nearby bars to continue drinking means people have to get back in their cars.

  • The Blank Slate is Steven Pinker's most prominent book. Over the years I have been feeling that it is more and more important to read just to get a sense of how the world works, perhaps because I'm now a parent. Obviously incorrect assumptions about the nature of reality, and human nature, can lead to...
  • 10 years ago, when my eldest son was diagnosed with PPD-NOS (Autism Light with a 150-160 IQ), I posted info on the old GNXP site that I had observed seizures, social regression and other symptoms immediately after a he was given a large batch of shared vial, thimerisol containing vaccines. I was booed off the board at the time.

    I had tests done that revealed anomalies in both mitochondrial metabolites as well as extremely high titers for Measles. The Dr. at the time said the levels were what one might expect for a full blown case of measles, not from a vaccination.

    No doubt there are genetics involved, but because of what I observed, I delayed vaccinating my second child. I believe vaccines as a rule are good and I have had vaccines administered slowly after he reached 10 years old. The younger boy has his quirks, but no autism.

    Proof – No. What do I care. I only have one chance to get this right. Something you (Razib) might understand now that you may be having children. I have started vaccinating once my child has grown some and has a more developed immune system out of concern for my child’s health and the community.

    The CDC tells people that if they have experienced an adverse reaction such as seizures from a vaccine that subsequent boosters should be avoided. I believe that this supports using caution when vaccinating genetically similar siblings as well. I have had Doctors counsel me informally that this is the right choice, but they are legally required to recommend vaccinations, and have had me sign forms to acknowledge this was the advice that I was given.

    Do vaccines cause autism? As a sole cause – I would say no. The world, however, is complex. Do lots of vaccines, administered in a short period of time to babies and toddlers that have a genetic predisposition to communication disorders diminish social abilities? I am inclined to find this is an interesting and perhaps correct hypothesis based on my experience. I doubt that we will ever find out because there may not be any individuals with these vulnerable genotypes left after a few more generations, given the mandatory vaccination regime as currently enforced by the CDC, the medical establishment and the schools.

    That being said – I have been a regular GNXP/Razib reader for 10+ years. I have learned much over the years – Thanks.

    • Replies: @Dutch Boy
    @Muse

    The case of Hannah Poling was just such a scenario:
    http://www.ageofautism.com/2010/09/government-awards-hannah-poling-15-million-in-vaccine-injury-case.html
    Furthermore, investigators were able to find 83 more cases where the government compensated families for vaccine injuries (encephalopathy) in which the child also developed autism.
    http://www.ageofautism.com/2011/05/a-review-of-compensated-cases-of-vaccine-induced-brain-injury.html
    Needless to say, the federal government went out of its way to make sure these cases were not publicized.

    , @Dutch Boy
  • With the Establishment media suffering humiliating blows to their worldviews over the last few weeks in controversies that they chose to inflate into national crises -- Ferguson and the Rolling Stone fraternity gang rape text -- it's important to avoid two different forms of over-confidence: - Assume any kind of permanent progress has been achieved....
  • @Gallo-Roman
    @SeeAich

    Fact is, men will start behaving more like gentlemen when women start behaving more like the sorts of women gentlemen woo.

    True, but so is the converse: women will start behaving more like the women gentlemen woo when men start behaving more like gentlemen. It's not a one-way street, it's a self-amplifying feedback loop. Feminism is both a (not the) cause of, and a reaction to, the trashy, porn-addled, economically unsettled environment confused young people are stumbling around in these days. (Yes, I know this is contrary to the fondly held notion of the dumber ranks of istevers, viz., that sometime, say, in the '60s, the women went crazy and all by themselves started wrecking the culture, while the poor bewildered men made no active contribution at all to the shaping of that culture with their own choices and behavior. They merely passively adapted to the behavior of the women out of a noble if misguided sense of chivalry.)

    Nonetheless, even the most chivalrous of gentleman would not be above a certain feeling of satisfaction at seeing Erdely in the stocks.

    Replies: @MUSE

    I have to laugh while agreeing with you. The one point my old “social activist” friend made was that when he was in college during the late 60’s/early 70’s, attending any kind of protest for him almost invariably ended with the added benefit of him getting laid.

  • From Rolling Stone: A Note to Our Readers BY ROLLING STONE | December 5, 2014 To Our Readers: Last month, Rolling Stone published a story titled "A Rape on Campus" by Sabrina Rubin Erdely, which described a brutal gang rape of a woman named Jackie at a University of Virginia fraternity house; the university's failure...
  • @Luke Lea
    Where does it go from here? Anybody care to guess?

    Replies: @fish, @Muse

    Yes. They are going to continue to encourage Ferguson protests to distract the people from the fact that Obama is violating the Constitution by not enforcing immigration laws while he simutaneously tries to start a war in Ukraine with his warmongering GOP friends as we send more “advisors” to Iraq and Afganistan.

  • I've written a lot about how the computer and software industries have gotten more male dominated over the decades. Now, in the New York Times, closet misdemeanour-thinker Jodi Kantor has a long article on the ironies of the ensuing careers of the men and women of the Stanford Class of 1994: She doesn't mention Jesse...
  • @iSteveFan

    I’m not sure why people are objecting to my identifying Steve Jobs as an “Arab,” on the basis that he was adopted and/or that he’s only half-Arab. Isn’t the raison d’etre of this blog, and the HBD movement in general, that nature trumps nurture? E.g., a Jew raised in foster care will have a better chance at becoming a partner in a big NYC law firm than a black adopted by a partner in a big NYC law firm. (Or at least that would be the case in a pure meritocracy).

    And while a strict interpretation of the one-drop rule is perhaps controversial here, I believe most here believe being half an ethnicity qualifies one as that ethnicity. Is Barack Obama not black? Garry Kasparov not Jewish? Geraldo Rivera not Hispanic?
     
    I think one reason is that Arab is not really a good identifier because the Arab population is so large and diverse. Arabs can run from guys who could pass as European to guys who appear to have significant sub-saharan admixture. Most people in America probably assume Arabs are non-white or PoC.

    Is Arab a legit ethnic group like the Japanese, or is it more a nationality of sorts in that it encompasses many different people who are not closely linked? I don't know, but it would seem that there is tremendous variation among Arab peoples that one doesn't see among other ethnic groups.

    I presume you mentioned Jobs was Arab because the connotation to many would be that this is evidence of a non-white PoC making a big contribution to what has generally been a white field. I have never seen Job's real dad, but from the appearance of Jobs, he appears European. Was his Arab biological father an Arab in the sense the most Americans believe? Or was he one many would consider European?

    This topic of Arab variety is interesting and I don't know what all drives it. Are there many descendants of European Crusaders living on in the Levant? Was there a lot of race mixing between Arabs and black slaves? Or did Arab just come to encompass any population group that was conquered and assimilated into the Arab culture?

    PS. Many of you have given good examples of diversely-founded companies featuring an Englishman and a Scot or a Pole and a WASP, and I agree that is diverse. However, we know that diversity in the PC sense means less white. However, it is good to note these examples because it does show, contrary to what we are told, that America was indeed very diverse before the effects of the 1965 Immigration Act kicked in. The difference was we were diverse in a mutually beneficial sense of many different, but closely related groups, as opposed to today's population.

    Replies: @Art Deco, @Muse

    In Lawrence’s “Seven Pillars of Wisdom”, he was very deliberate and detailed regarding the striking differences in character and behavior he found in the peoples of the Middle East. There were people and tribes he felt that could be trusted, and that were great warriors, as well as those that were ineffective and duplicitous. Most were Muslim, and Lawrence used this information as a factor when determining what people England should have in lasting alliances when the borders of the ME were being drawn up. This has not been done well by our government in recent years, perhaps due to the PC ideology in the US, and we have paid dearly.

  • Although in recent years, Rupert Murdoch's Wall Street Journal and perhaps one or two British newspapers have begun to provide strong competition, it is undeniable that The New York Times currently ranks as the world's most influential and prestigious English-language newspaper. Therefore, I am very pleased to announce that Saturday's Times carried another op-ed by...
  • @David
    Razib is a jerk and a broken and laconic writer. He glories in ridiculing people. Anyone who followed him to this site and read him here would learn to loathe the field. Maybe he's like the Cole in Hannity and Cole: not the best face to present his side. Unless, like the NY Times, you want it to appear revolting.

    Replies: @Muse, @Maj. Kong

    Sure he can be a jerk. I can live with his grumpiness and arrogance because he is thoughtful and has innovative ideas based on data and the scientific method.

    I am so sick and tired of today’s journalists that can’t even differentiate between correlation and causation.

    Razib, Sailer and their ilk are a breath of fresh air.

    • Replies: @European-American
    @Muse

    Nice new features, and good news about the NYT. I often like reading Razib. Crankiness commonly, but not inevitably, goes with genius. Not everyone can be a genial genius like Steve.

    In case it helps, here's another small bug report: the @David link in this thread is broken.

  • Among journalists everywhere, there's an Agonizing Reappraisal going on over permitting readers to mouth back in comments sections with facts and logic. Why do we go to to all the trouble of telling you what to believe, when we also let you give us backtalk? This may help explain why there hasn't been much progress...
  • @Jeff W.
    I like the feature that the Daily Mail website has that lets you sort by top rated and worst rated. I use that a lot when there are over 100 comments, just to get the gist of what people are saying.

    http://www.dailymail.co.uk/ushome/index.html

    A lot of commenting software allows for voting comments up or down. But a problem with it is that it has a "regression to the mean intelligence" quality to it. The more voters there are, the more they will tend to have average intelligence, and that gives the voting results an average-man point of view. Not that there's anything wrong with that.

    If you want to try something different to support quality in argumentation, you might allow several different kinds up up votes, e.g, "Contains New Facts," "Makes a Good Point," or "Good Opposing Arguments."

    Flagging comments in that way would encourage commenters to present new facts, make good points, etc., rather than pandering to the masses who can only give a thumbs up or thumbs down.

    Replies: @Muse

    What do you suppose is the average intelligence of the readers on this blog?

    • Replies: @Paul Walker Most beautiful man ever...
    @Muse

    "What do you suppose is the average intelligence of the readers on this blog?"
    Mine is 90 . That is the speed I like to drive at as well. Dang simitry!

    , @Jeff W.
    @Muse

    Commenters on this blog obviously have high average intelligence. I don't want to guess an average IQ. Someone like Steve, who has done a lot of work with IQ data, would be better qualified to supply an estimate.

    Steve and Ron will run into a dilemma when instead of getting 100 comments to a blog post, they start getting 500. The 500 will be less intelligent, on average, than the 100 they get now.

    So then do they moderate more aggressively, culling out a high percentage of comments (and alienating readers and potential contributors by doing that)? Or do they allow the average quality of their comments to decline?

    Zerohedge used to have really good comments. They have degenerated now to the point where it is painful to read them. Bad commenters tend to drive out good commenters.

    The quality of online discussions tend to erode over time, and the intelligent few detach from discussions dominated by the ignorant and uncivil and go off to other discussion groups that are more hospitable.

    Ron and Steve do not want comments like those on Freerepublic and Zerohedge, yet that is what they are likely to get as participation grows and the average quality deteriorates.

    I would suggest that maintaining the quality of comments is a job for both software and a human moderator. As traffic increases, the job will not get easier.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer

  • The graph is from the Wall Street Journal based on a study here. Connecticut is off playing in its own league, probably due to the hedge fund industry being headquartered in Greenwich, CN. By the way, the lack of economic dynamism in very expensive Hawaii is pointed out once again. New Mexico's lack of economic...
  • Income is primarily earned by one’s labor. A few make significant income from dividends. The truly rich make most of their money from capital gains on investments, which I don’t believe is captured here. Of course, a prudent investor would live off the income, letting the capital gains accrue in a trust to be passed on to later generations, while minimizing taxes.

    20MM USD worth of shares with a 2% annual dividend yields 400k a year. Now realize that the nominal value of that investment has likely doubled since the 2008 crash. The nominal dividend yield has dropped, but your nut has doubled due to QE frothing up share values. Plus you have the benefit of no/low inflation. The Federal Reserve has done you a great service. Too bad the little people are making less. Twas ever thus.

  • @Ex Submarine Officer
    @notsaying


    Great prediction but I am sure sorry you turned out to be right. What exactly did you see that made you think we’d all fall after the Berlin Wall?
     
    I've actually tried remembering that, I can't really remember anything specific.

    We’ve had a real passivity problem for a long time on economic issues. I have given this a lot of thought. The best thing I can come up with is that we were told throughout the 1980s and 1990s that things were changing and that we could do nothing about it.
     
    I think during the 90s, right after the end of the Cold War, there was a general sense of not only did we win, but our system, democracy/capitalism, proved to be a better way of organizing human affairs. And it did seem that way for a while, the 90s were pretty much an era of good feeling, the only things I remember happening were Monica's blue dress and Princess Diana's death. It definitely felt like maybe Fukuyama was right.

    Now, I view it as a pleasant post-conflict interregnum, much as WWII was followed by the golden fifties. And now it was the chance to give our system, capitalism, a chance to work freely on a global scale, unhindered by the long standoff with the Soviets.

    So there was a lot of honorable support for free trade, etc, on a much broader basis than there is now. It really did feel like the right thing to be doing - the capitalist countries were the most advanced, the wealthiest, and had defeated a cruel, determined enemy armed to teeth almost bloodlessly. What's not to love about that? Now we were going to export this magic all over the world. There was almost a utopian feeling to the era.

    NAFTA was sort of an early tremor of what was to come, but the deindustrialization of the U.S. had really just begun, so while it was contentious, resistance diffused rapidly after its passage. In my personal space, NAFTA actually did turn out to be good for my brother, who, as an engineer, participated in the boomlet in machine tool vendors in the Rust Belt, tooling up all those factories south of the border. This sort of thing also made temporary believers out some in the middle/upper middle, as NAFTA did work for them, if not the poor blue collar schlubs.

    I was working for a hi-end software company then and some of our users were outsourcing, setting up a center in Mexico City. I had the occasion to visit this place once, fortunately during the delightful non-smog season. Anyhow, you'd get to their center which was in a grim looking neighborhood of high walls, etc, big secure gate, typical timeless Mexican ratty area. But once inside the compound, it was all high tech, huge screens, super modern. All the staff was young, eager, super excited, genuinely so at this opportunity to better their lives. They were all staying on for extra english lessons, etc. I suppose I could be viewed as a dupe, but I got to know the Mexican operations all up and down the hierarchy, and the whole thing was aboveboard and earnest and everyone involved was just super excited to be involved in something that they felt was groundbreaking and part of a newer, better Mexico that they were creating.

    I was always a free-trade skeptic, but I can certainly see how such vignettes draw people in, especially back then before the gutting of the American blue collar class was far less complete.

    BTW, I still think one of the unsung achievements of that era was the dissolution/dismantlement of the Soviet Union without a single nuke going off.

    Replies: @notsaying, @MUSE

    As a child in the rust belt, I grew up watching smoke and flames spew forth from the big three foundry next door. There were well paying jobs if you wanted to work. No glory, but you could raise a family

    I remember arguing with upper middle class law students during the Clinton years that NAFTA would be a complete disaster for working people. Perhaps you can remember that by now, all the UAW members were going to become knowledge workers in our brave new world order.

    Well, as you might guess, the plant is long gone. Many of the children of the UAW workers got college degrees and are now working as baristas if they are lucky.

    It is déjà vu (all over again, of course) as I argue with nice ladies at the country club that amnesty, and the flood of H1-b immigrants will limit their children’s opportunities, but they can’t seem to make the connections.

    • Replies: @E. Rekshun
    @MUSE

    I argue with nice ladies at the country club that amnesty, and the flood of H1-b immigrants will limit their children’s opportunities, but they can’t seem to make the connections.

    This is just the next step up the class and income level. Immigration has long destroyed most job opportunities and crushed wages for the lower and working classes.

    , @unpc downunder
    @MUSE

    Many of the children of the UAW workers got college degrees and are now working as baristas if they are lucky"

    Although the free traders like to think of themselves as hard-headed rational types they don't seem to consider issues of native ability, socialisation and temperament.

    For example, they encourage everyone to try university, and then if university doesn't work out, they assume that under-employed graduates with marketing or communications degrees can simply re-train as someone more practical like an air-conditioning engineer or perhaps use their college training to help them start their own business and employ immigrant cleaners and labourers.

    However, if someone is technically talented then they will probably already be going into a technical line of work when they leave school. Similarly, if someone goes to university to do a generic degree they probably have more verbal intelligence that technical ability or organisation skills. Most people just aren't that flexible, ambitious or independently-minded and once they embark on a particular course they have a hard time changing tack.

    Free traders won't accept that it simply isn't possible to run an opaque, poorly-integrated economy with high immigration and expect everyone to figure out how it works and find a suitable place in it.

    Replies: @muse

  • @unpc downunder
    @MUSE

    Many of the children of the UAW workers got college degrees and are now working as baristas if they are lucky"

    Although the free traders like to think of themselves as hard-headed rational types they don't seem to consider issues of native ability, socialisation and temperament.

    For example, they encourage everyone to try university, and then if university doesn't work out, they assume that under-employed graduates with marketing or communications degrees can simply re-train as someone more practical like an air-conditioning engineer or perhaps use their college training to help them start their own business and employ immigrant cleaners and labourers.

    However, if someone is technically talented then they will probably already be going into a technical line of work when they leave school. Similarly, if someone goes to university to do a generic degree they probably have more verbal intelligence that technical ability or organisation skills. Most people just aren't that flexible, ambitious or independently-minded and once they embark on a particular course they have a hard time changing tack.

    Free traders won't accept that it simply isn't possible to run an opaque, poorly-integrated economy with high immigration and expect everyone to figure out how it works and find a suitable place in it.

    Replies: @muse

    I have had friends that were physicists and engineers that were able to switch to teaching or programming quant trading algorithms. These are clearly examples of high IQ.

    But there are real mechanical and spatial abilities that are not easily taught even when the individual is quite intelligent. The example comes to mine of a relative that was a fine musician, a fantastic writer and a nationally known music critic. He was incapable of hooking up his stereo and speakers, and I had to do it for him.

    Moreover, as in any profession, there are extreme outliers in terms of ability. For instance, some like to pretend that once trained, a skilled electrician is interchangeable with another. There are trades people that stand head and shoulders above their peers due to innate ability.

    As for free traders, most support the position that they feel will benefit them individually. I was in Janesville Wisconsin a few years ago, and was lamenting the closing of the GM plant and how it had hurt the town to a local resident. He would have none of it because he was a farmer and had benefitted from increased exports to Mexico due to NAFTA. I don’t think most people are able, much less willing to imagine the complete implications of a policy change beyond their own narrow self-interest.

  • There was the old American lefty paper, the Guardian, and the Village Voice, which beat the Sixties into the world, and its later imitators like the Boston Phoenix. There was Liberation News Service, the Rat in New York, the Great Speckled Bird in Atlanta, the Old Mole in Boston, the distinctly psychedelic Chicago Seed, Leviathan,...
  • The elimination of the draft was the biggest blow to the anti-war movement.

    Bring back the draft for both young men and women and these children and their parents would be in the street burning cars the next morning.

  • Governing Magazine has compiled a list of the 50 biggest cities with the highest percentage of gentrifying Census tracts from the 2000 Census to 2009-2013. Not too many surprises, with Portland and D.C. at the top. San Francisco can't really gentrify because it didn't have many poor neighborhoods to start with. It's more undergoing aristocratization....
  • This is interesting. Gentrification is a normal part of the life cycle of neighborhoods. The question is in what cities is gentrification outpacing normal decay. Are we really seeing a flight back from suburbia, or are the elite and the childless the only ones moving back to the city?

    Knowing this is a bit more complex because this lifecycle takes 50 to 100 years. Moreover, policy, such as freeway building, home loans to those lacking income and busing students altered the normal cycle of neighborhoods. Massive illegal immigration and NAFTA deindustrialization has also impacted the cycle.

    • Replies: @Chris
    @muse

    I live in Gresham, the main suburban recipient of Metro's grand plan, of moving all the unnamed, and impoverished minorities and white trash out of east Portland, NE and SE, and to crackerbox section 8 units in the burbs. It's not natural, it's planned.
    The future of Gresham looks the contemporary Ferguson, MO.

    , @Hibernian
    @muse

    In Chicago, there is gentrification of Black neighborhoods by Blacks and Hispanic neighborhoods by Hispanics, in both cases including families, in the case of one Hispanic area including a fairly high proportion of 2,3, or 4 child middle class Hispanic families. The days when gentrification meant rents and purchase prices going up when white people arrived, as a Hispanic female coworker said in about 2002, ended in the late '90s.

  • From the NYT: Except for the ones that die. Children in Fiji, for example, are not allowed to address adults, or ev
  • @pyrrhus
    @TangoMan

    Yes, as a long time resident of those North Shore suburbs of Chicago, I have observed that any attempts to move minorities there have been stopped cold. The Alsip area is very lower class, several municipalities there have been bankrupt for a while....

    Replies: @Muse

    Alsip median income per family is 47.9k per wiki. Not solid middle but not quite lower class. 81% white working class (what Ferguson Mo probably used to be like), which is why they are trying to colonize it.

    You are thinking of towns like Robbins, Markham and Harvey.

    Me thinks you need to come on down for an italian beef at Portillos on South Cicero and take a look around. If you drive into Robbins, you can tell the difference.

  • @Uptown Resident
    @Hepp

    I know, I know. I agree. I didn't realize that I even liked alcohol until I was in my twenties because none of my friends--in my large public high school in a 100% white, Dutch Reform suburb of Grand Rapids, MI--drank. We were too busy with AP classes and the usual slew of extracurriculars.

    Replies: @Muse, @Fake Herzog, @jakobscalpel

    You were not hanging out with the right kids at Forest Hills, or wast it East Great Falls?

    • Replies: @Uptown Resident
    @Muse

    Rockford!

  • Audacious Epigone has posted his table of white IQ estimates by state, using NAEP scores for 8th graders (public and private), ranging from 108.0 in Washington D.C. (which isn't a state) and 104.4 in Massachusetts and 103.5 in New Jersey to 97.7 in Oklahoma, 97.5 in Alabama and a hurting 95.1 in West Virginia. Thus,...
  • @Steve Sailer
    @ben tillman

    And I suspect that oil workers and refinery workers tend to be above average for blue collar workers.

    Replies: @Muse

    Your assumption is correct having worked in both refineries and steel mills. Pre-employment tests are far more rigorous for refineries. The majority of the non-maintenance process operating personnel in refineries work behind massive touch screen displays. Most valves, combustion and process flows are nearly all remotely actuated. Operators climb the towers on rounds to visually check for problems and to check if gauges and instrumentation are operating correctly; the valves, pumps and compressors are operated by touching screens.

    Many steel mill processes are computer controlled too, but there are huge numbers of tasks that such as material handling (cranes, forklifts and rail ) and the regular repair of consumables like rolling mill rolls and refractory lined vessels that require less abstract reasoning.

    Refining in texas is only part of the story. Petroleum exploration work requires complex 3D modeling technologies and computing; oil production itself requires lots of engineering talent. All those people are are on the far right of the curve.

  • @Anonymous
    It seems like the states with a lot of ethnic whites (Irish, Italians, Greeks) score above average like in Connecticut, NY, Pennsylvania, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Illinois.

    Replies: @SPMoore8, @Muse

    Maybe Catholic education does a better job getting the best out of average students. These schools maintain a much more orderly and rigorous learning environment than public schools with higher rates of NAM’s.

  • @Hapalong Cassidy
    @ben tillman

    For what it's worth, here are the USN&WR rankings:

    U of Michigan #29
    U of Texas #53
    TAMU #68
    Michigan St. #85

    So the average of the top 2 in each state is a little closer. That doesn't change the fact that Michigan punches well above its weight in the realm of higher education, considering all that the state has going against it.

    Another oddity in those rankings is how high the California schools score. Berkeley and UCLA I get. But San Diego, Santa Barbara, Davis, and Irvine are all in the top-50 as well.

    Replies: @Muse, @Wilkey, @anon

    Large presence of east coasters especially Ashkenazi Jews at the University of Michigan, a classic failsafe for those spurned by the Ivies. Texas public universities also automatically admit 10% of all high school students in response to affirmative action ban.

  • In Politico, Keith Gessen, the sane sibling of Masha Gessen, the American Establishment's leading voice on Russia, asks: What if instead of the Mean Putin we know, Russia were ruled by a Nice Putin?
  • The problem with US foreign policy is that Mearsheimer and Walt were right: US policy has been hijacked by the AIPAC/Neocon/Zionist cabal. Thus Bibi will be addressing the US House of represntatives as Boehner tries to prove the establishment GOP are more loyal to their paymasters than the DEMS.

    Viewed through the prism of these groups’ interests, US Policy makes complete sense. The media propaganda machine makes no sense because at this point, it has zero conmection with the traditional american polity or its interests.

    • Replies: @Hepp
    @Muse


    The problem with US foreign policy is that Mearsheimer and Walt were right: US policy has been hijacked by the AIPAC/Neocon/Zionist cabal.
     
    I believed that ten years ago. Now I believe that foreign policy has been an extension of the fantasies we engage in regarding domestic policy. Sure, American black can preform as well as whites, and Libyans and Iraqis will form peaceful democracies as soon as they're given the chance. And the right to be gay and pushy about it is the most important policy there is, at home and abroad.

    Replies: @reiner Tor

  • Now I believe that foreign policy has been an extension of the fantasies we engage in regarding domestic policy.

    I agree that this is a component of US policy. All foreign policy has to consider the political implications when viewed from within the country in question. Older themes such as “manifest destiny”, “remember the Maine”, “arsenal of democracy” , “the domino theory”, “american exceptionalism”, “shining city on a hill” and “weapons of mass destruction” were spins and justification put on external foreign policies for internal consumption. They don’t necessarily have anything to do with the true reason for the policy, just a method to confuse or guide the masses. Behind this smokescreen exists the true purposes of policy, and the interests of those that will benefit.

    Notice though that the spin has increasingly become more disconnected from the purpose of the policy.

    Harassing Putin about gay and transgendered rights is merely rhetoric to distract the polity, and get them angry at big bad Vlad. Someone (Nuland and others in the State Department) hoped to benefit somebody’s interests by fostering a coup in Ukraine. Who was to benefit, and how they would benefit as a result of the policy is open to speculation.

    The neocons have been pushing US policy towards belligerent action in Iraq, Libya, Iran, Syria, Ukraine and other countries for the past ten to fifteen years. Why and for whom? It clearly is not in the interest of the average US citizen.

  • @iSteveFan

    Russia is not that strong a nation. Economically it ranks between Mexico and Pakistan and no one believes Pakistan is going to start tossing its nuclear arsenal around over Kashmir or anything else!
     
    Where are you getting that from? According to the CIA, Russia is listed as number 7, Mexico as number 11 and Pakistan as number 27.

    Replies: @Muse, @unit472

    Russia has a large number of thermonuclear weapons and the capacity to deliver them anywhere on the planet. Thus, foreign policy blunders have the potential to become global scale black swan events.

    • Replies: @reiner Tor
    @Muse

    They are playing with nuclear fire when they're drawing Russia and Putin into a corner.

    , @AP
    @Muse


    Russia has a large number of thermonuclear weapons and the capacity to deliver them anywhere on the planet. Thus, foreign policy blunders have the potential to become global scale black swan events.
     
    True, but this goes both ways. America isn't going to go nuclear over the Baltics because that would mean the end of America via a response. Conversely, Putin wouldn't go nuclear over Crimea or Donbas because he's not going to sacrifice the existence of Russia over those areas. Nukes would only have the potential of coming into play if the nation's very existence were at stake. And in Ukraine, they are not. Avoiding nuclear holocaust is not a realistic argument for abandoning eastern Europe to the Russians.

    Replies: @MarkinLa, @Hunsdon, @Muse

    , @donut
    @Muse

    A black swan event is an event that comes as a surprise . The foolhardy and criminal adventure that the imbeciles running our foreign policy have embarked on will almost certainly lead to a nuclear war if they continue with this madness . Russia is not Iraq or Afghanistan or Granada or Panama . The US Army like the IDF has come to excel at killing unarmed civilians or civilians armed only with small arms . Russia has a real army with a history of winning the type war that our leaders seem determined to embark on . If we provoke a war with Russia how can it not lead to a nuclear war ? If the Russians feel they are losing what choice would they have ? If the US is facing a crushing defeat is there any doubt what the next step would be from the deranged leadership currently in power ? And if you think we can prevail in a nuclear war you haven't been paying attention . There have been several alarming incidents in the news related to our nuclear arsenal and it's status and leadership :

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/world/americas/article3954432.ece

    http://www.popularmechanics.com/military/a12003/the-nuke-silo-cheating-scandal-explained-16388244/

    And if you are still in doubt and have the time you can read Eric Schlosser's book "Command and Control: Nuclear Weapons, the Damascus Accident, and the Illusion of Safety"

    Replies: @Muse, @AP

  • @anonymous
    It's a good thing for that mean man Putin that he only needs to deal with the Russian public rather than run for office in America where he would certainly lose. Voters here are much more astute, preferring the friendly smiley sort, the type who are tall, have full heads of hair and look photogenic with makeup on. Sort of like the amiable, gee-whiz Bush, you know, the one who lied through his teeth and got us to invade Iraq, turning the country into a slaughterhouse that keeps on going and getting worse even after twelve years. We don't want mean over here, no sireee. Already a good number of comments into the thread and yet no one so far has mentioned Putin strutting around with his shirt off?

    Replies: @Muse, @Minnesota Mary

    Voters here are much more astute, preferring the friendly smiley sort, the type who are tall, have full heads of hair and look photogenic with makeup on.

    Ahh.. thanks to womens’ suffrage. The male equivalent of this phenomenon being Sarah Palin. One of many strategies to take advantage of the left half of the bell curve.

    Fortunately there is no danger of this happening with Hillary Clinton.

  • @AP
    @Muse


    Russia has a large number of thermonuclear weapons and the capacity to deliver them anywhere on the planet. Thus, foreign policy blunders have the potential to become global scale black swan events.
     
    True, but this goes both ways. America isn't going to go nuclear over the Baltics because that would mean the end of America via a response. Conversely, Putin wouldn't go nuclear over Crimea or Donbas because he's not going to sacrifice the existence of Russia over those areas. Nukes would only have the potential of coming into play if the nation's very existence were at stake. And in Ukraine, they are not. Avoiding nuclear holocaust is not a realistic argument for abandoning eastern Europe to the Russians.

    Replies: @MarkinLa, @Hunsdon, @Muse

    Avoiding nuclear holocaust is not a realistic argument for abandoning eastern Europe to the Russians.

    What is the strategic interest of the United States in the Crimea and Ukraine? Particularly, how will a bellicose US foreign policy in Ukraine benefit the average taxpaying stiff?

    I take no moral stance that my country owes Eastern Europe anything. I believe US policy should be in support and in the interests of my country’s citizens.

    • Replies: @AP
    @Muse


    What is the strategic interest of the United States in the Crimea and Ukraine? Particularly, how will a bellicose US foreign policy in Ukraine benefit the average taxpaying stiff?
     
    Punishing misbehavior such as invading foreign countries and unilaterally changing borders if probably good because such misbehavior should not occur. If borders can be changed on a whim why shouldn't California once its Mexican population achieves dominant demographic status pull a Crimea?

    Ukraine voluntarily gave up its huge nuke stockpile in exchange for assurances that its territory would not be violated. Now, its territory has been violated. This sends a message to everyone else about the value of Western promises regarding no nukes. It's probably in US strategic interests for there to be fewer not more countries with nukes.

    Also, expansion of Euro-civilization (of which America is a part) is good for all of Euro-civilization. Would we had been better off if the entire Continent had been abandoned to Communism? Expansion of western political and social structures by taking in other Western peoples (not by imperialism and taking in non-Europeans) is good for the West. Western and Central Ukrainians aren't Turks or Algerians, they are Westerners too, trying to return home. Furthermore, they are socially and politically conservative Westerners, like Poles. Their inclusion will make the West larger and more traditional. A good thing for traditionalist westerners everywhere, wouldn't you say?

    Replies: @MUSE, @iSteveFan

  • @donut
    @Muse

    A black swan event is an event that comes as a surprise . The foolhardy and criminal adventure that the imbeciles running our foreign policy have embarked on will almost certainly lead to a nuclear war if they continue with this madness . Russia is not Iraq or Afghanistan or Granada or Panama . The US Army like the IDF has come to excel at killing unarmed civilians or civilians armed only with small arms . Russia has a real army with a history of winning the type war that our leaders seem determined to embark on . If we provoke a war with Russia how can it not lead to a nuclear war ? If the Russians feel they are losing what choice would they have ? If the US is facing a crushing defeat is there any doubt what the next step would be from the deranged leadership currently in power ? And if you think we can prevail in a nuclear war you haven't been paying attention . There have been several alarming incidents in the news related to our nuclear arsenal and it's status and leadership :

    http://www.thetimes.co.uk/tto/news/world/americas/article3954432.ece

    http://www.popularmechanics.com/military/a12003/the-nuke-silo-cheating-scandal-explained-16388244/

    And if you are still in doubt and have the time you can read Eric Schlosser's book "Command and Control: Nuclear Weapons, the Damascus Accident, and the Illusion of Safety"

    Replies: @Muse, @AP

    You don’t need to convince me that we are fortunate to have not yet had had an accidental launch during peacetime.

    My point is that shooting wars take on an unpredictable life of their own, regardless of the intentions of the parties. This is a problem when each country has many large bombs on a hair-trigger. Maybe black swan is the wrong descriptor.

  • @AP
    @Muse


    What is the strategic interest of the United States in the Crimea and Ukraine? Particularly, how will a bellicose US foreign policy in Ukraine benefit the average taxpaying stiff?
     
    Punishing misbehavior such as invading foreign countries and unilaterally changing borders if probably good because such misbehavior should not occur. If borders can be changed on a whim why shouldn't California once its Mexican population achieves dominant demographic status pull a Crimea?

    Ukraine voluntarily gave up its huge nuke stockpile in exchange for assurances that its territory would not be violated. Now, its territory has been violated. This sends a message to everyone else about the value of Western promises regarding no nukes. It's probably in US strategic interests for there to be fewer not more countries with nukes.

    Also, expansion of Euro-civilization (of which America is a part) is good for all of Euro-civilization. Would we had been better off if the entire Continent had been abandoned to Communism? Expansion of western political and social structures by taking in other Western peoples (not by imperialism and taking in non-Europeans) is good for the West. Western and Central Ukrainians aren't Turks or Algerians, they are Westerners too, trying to return home. Furthermore, they are socially and politically conservative Westerners, like Poles. Their inclusion will make the West larger and more traditional. A good thing for traditionalist westerners everywhere, wouldn't you say?

    Replies: @MUSE, @iSteveFan

    Punishing misbehavior such as invading foreign countries and unilaterally changing borders if probably good because such misbehavior should not occur. If borders can be changed on a whim why shouldn’t California once its Mexican population achieves dominant demographic status pull a Crimea?

    The United States should not be the world’s policeman. The U.S. has often tried to justify policies as promoting democracy and human rights and enforcing international law but these are hollow arguments to obscure the true objectives. Should Russia invade California, much like the soft invasion Mexico is conducting now, it would be in the US interests to repel that invasion. That we are not using the military to repel the current Mexican invasion is a travesty.

    Ukraine voluntarily gave up its huge nuke stockpile in exchange for assurances that its territory would not be violated. Now, its territory has been violated. This sends a message to everyone else about the value of Western promises regarding no nukes. It’s probably in US strategic interests for there to be fewer not more countries with nukes.

    Seems like it was a mistake for Ukraine. You can add Ukraine to the list of trusting saps including Saddam Hussein, Polpot and innumerable native american tribes. It appears the Iranians and the North Koreans know better than to trust the US.

    Also, expansion of Euro-civilization (of which America is a part) is good for all of Euro-civilization. Would we had been better off if the entire Continent had been abandoned to Communism? Expansion of western political and social structures by taking in other Western peoples (not by imperialism and taking in non-Europeans) is good for the West. Western and Central Ukrainians aren’t Turks or Algerians, they are Westerners too, trying to return home. Furthermore, they are socially and politically conservative Westerners, like Poles. Their inclusion will make the West larger and more traditional. A good thing for traditionalist westerners everywhere, wouldn’t you say?

    Having good relations between the US, Russia and Ukraine would be in the interest of average citizens. That was not the goal of US policy in Ukraine. It was to make Ukraine a vassal of the US financial system and deny Russia the benefits and security it enjoyed from having Ukraine closely integrated with its economy.

    As for traditional western culture, the US seems hellbent on destroying traditional western institutions such as marriage, religion , freedom of expression, birthright citizenship and the right to privacy.

  • One of the first things that the author of 2002's Religion Explained had to address is the fact that everyone thinks they have the "explanation" for religion. Unlike quantum physics, or even population genetics, people think they "get" religion, and have a pretty good intuition and understanding of the phenomenon without any scholarly inquiry. Most...
  • So religion just popped up when humans shifted from a hunter gatherer based social organization to a stratified, larger more complex agriculturally based organization?

    Is religion a social artifact from the old Neolithic structures, or a new adaptation?

    If you accept that a society is bio-cultural algorithm of genes and learned behaviors, and it constitutes one of many possible solutions to group survival in a given environment; how does religion as a component of this new social organization promote the fitness of the group? Does it mitigate (as a work around) genetically determined social traits that were a better fit in the old bio-cultural algorithm?

    We lived in small hunter gatherer bands for thousands of years. No doubt we were under selection for genetic traits and learned social behaviors (culture) that helped us survive in those groups.

    I would suggest that religion improved the fitness of societies. It was a method for humans to purposely influence patterns of collective behavior of much larger groups, without wasting as much energy on coercion. It would have been wildly more efficient to replace the external force of the club with internal restraints of guilt in the occident and shame in the peoples of the orient. Moreover, it allowed scalability in human organization. When done right, smaller tribal structures without the direction and coordination of the new religious superstructure with its larger scale would not have had a chance.

    Genetic technology appears to offer a similar opportunity for humans to engineer the genome like we have done with social organization using politics and religion. No wonder eugenics and it’s successor genetic engineering are taboo subjects for polite dinner conversation.

    The old bio-social algorithm of the small hunter gatherer organization still exists in practice on a very limited basis, but I believe the genes are still there, although under selection pressure AND drift because our social and technological innovation have so radically changed the environment as experienced by the individual human organism.

    Many of the old traits, and in fact the physical structures still remain. The brain structure retains and has integrated the old hardware (medulla, amygdala etc) with the new hardware (big prefrontal cortex).

    Religion helps the individual live with these cultural and physical dualities, which are both artifacts and components of various bio-social algorithms..

    So tonight, I am going to a church social function to be with my tribe. It is not too large, so I will have the comfort of knowing nearly everyone. I will share my food with them and they will share theirs with me. We will be a community in the most primal of ways, and as the fire dies, and the embers glow, my wife, my children and I will go to our home and our dog.

    I will pray to a god my prefrontal cortex does not believe in, the child in my lower brain will be comforted, the raging fearful terror that lives with him will be calmed, and I will sleep peacefully.

    I have gotten over my overt atheism, not because God has come to me in a dream, but because it serves no constructive purpose. The current industrialized secular culture in the West does not seem to be working out so well in combination with the collective occidental genome. Other peoples seem to be performing better, if population growth is the true measure of fitness, than the West without its God.

    It appears that Islam an Orthodox Judaism understand this. Russia appears to have relearned the lesson to some degree. China and the West, who knows? May the best algorithm win.

    • Replies: @Razib Khan
    @Muse

    you need to be more concise. in any case, i think religion has roots in the paleolithic. it's not new.

    If you accept that a society is bio-cultural algorithm of genes and learned behaviors

    the term 'bio-cultural' is bandied about in a way that often makes no sense or adds no value. it's like saying if you "accept that history is the outcome of newtonian mechanics."

    Replies: @muse, @TB

  • @Razib Khan
    @Muse

    you need to be more concise. in any case, i think religion has roots in the paleolithic. it's not new.

    If you accept that a society is bio-cultural algorithm of genes and learned behaviors

    the term 'bio-cultural' is bandied about in a way that often makes no sense or adds no value. it's like saying if you "accept that history is the outcome of newtonian mechanics."

    Replies: @muse, @TB

    Concise – agree.

    It is extremely useful because out here amongst the commoners, the interplay of a culture and its genome with the environment, and thus fitness is not understood. If it can be understood, it is often rejected.

    If we ever hope to have better policy, this relationship needs to be more accessible, implicit in the nomenclature, and widespread.

    If there is a concise way of explaining it, I am all ears, because I am struggling.

  • When my son was about 24 months old, he'd watch over and over a VHS tape with 9 music videos devoted to different NBA stars. This was the best video.
  • @Stan D Mute
    As I read Sailer's sycophantic sports posts I keep experiencing cognitive dissonance and I think I just had an epiphany. The fans of the negro dominated team sports (ie basketball/football) are NOT conservative men. They may have been in the past, but they're not today. Today these are the negro worshippers who adore hiphop/rap, hipster dress, and "work" in a cube farm. Real men (aka conservatives) are hunting and killing things, fishing and killing things, target shooting, fiddling with a car/bike, repairing crap around the house, or sleeping in their La-z-boy while their wife/girlfriend watches some insipid garbage on TV. I realized that I don't even know anyone who is a "sports fan" today since the only liberals I know now are female.

    Replies: @Muse, @ben tillman, @Truth

    This must be why I am getting rid of my Big Ten football season tickets on the 50 yard line after having them for 18 years.

  • Charles Murray writes in the Wall Street Journal: Why the SAT Isn’t a ‘Student Affluence Test’ A lot of the apparent income effect on standardized tests is owed to parental IQ—a fact that needs addressing. By CHARLES MURRAY March 24, 2015 7:11 p.m. ET ... The results are always the same: The richer the parents,...
  • @Abe Humbles
    @SPMoore8

    There seems to be a bell curve relationshjp between IQ and executive functioning, one I have seen often in the military and business. As one moves up the IQ scale, effectiveness and leadership increase until somewhere around IQ=125, at which point it declines rapidly as you move higher. It is frequently remarked upon among military psychologists. This may be due to higher tendencies among intelligent people toward introspection, or greater curiosity or greater tendency among high-IQ folks to observe and explore than to decide and effect.

    Replies: @Muse

    Assuming that the multiple traits that are required for good executive function (working memory, attention, initiative etc. ) are somewhat independent of each other and IQ , AND that the incidence of these traits are normally distributed on the curve like IQ, hitting on all of them at 90th percentile or higher would be exceedingly rare.

    This is why so few people are suitable to be law partners or investment bankers.

  • From today's New York Times: ‘The Heidi Chronicles’ Is Trailed by Questions of Feminism and Legacy By MICHAEL PAULSON and JENNIFER SCHUESSLER APRIL 22, 2015 Twenty-five years after “The Heidi Chronicles” closed on Broadway, believers in the work of Wendy Wasserstein seized an opening. In the era of “Lean In” and “Girls,” and a paucity...
  • @Mike Zwick
    It's odd sitting in Peoria reading this and seeing the city mentioned. It gets attention because of the old Vaudeville saying, "If it plays in Peoria.." But, today's Peoria is not really mentioned much in the press other than if the Caterpillar Corporation does something, so Peoria is kind of a backwater. Most people in the Peoria Area don't feel much guilt since they do not get much scrutiny from the national media (ala, Ferguson). Their mindset is more of the Duck Dynasty type of politically incorrect and proud of it mentality than feeling shame because "some guy did something to somebody somewhere, and it's all our fault" mentality that is the current mainstream mentality in larger cities.

    Replies: @Muse, @SFG

    Peoria happens to be the district of Aaron Schock, the gay member of the U.S. House of Representatives, now embroiled in scandal for among other things, his lavish decorating of his office in Downton Abbey style.

    Peoria ain’t what used to be.

  • This is bizarre. The imagery will be memorable. From the New York Times: Obama could show his support for the national pastime by coptering in, landing on second base, then sitting behind home plate in splendid isolation, the lone fan in Camden Yards (although surrounded -- at a respectful dista
  • @5371
    @iSteveFan

    Strange. The shortest-living whites in the whole US are in virtually black-free eastern Kentucky.

    Replies: @MUSE

    I had the pleasure of needing emergency medical care on a weekend in Hazard County Kentucky Baptist Hospital. The ER was chock full of emphysema sufferers on Oxygen in every room and in the hallways. The ER doc said it happened every Friday night. He said the rates of smoking and black lung is extremely high and after eating a large meal, scores of sufferers end up in the ER unable to breath.

    The population was inactive, liked their bacon, and Colonel Sanders (which started down the street). Smoking and coal mining did the rest.

  • As distasteful as all this has become, Isn’t it time for all of us to BOYCOTT THE CIRCUS.

    Get rid of your tickets, quit attending college and professional sports, and cut your cable to prevent ESPN and other college networks from invading your home.

    Get a hobby, play golf or tennis, go fly fishing or hunting and quit being a jock sniffer. Why pay money to support a culture that abhors you and is undermining your children’s future.

    • Replies: @AnotherDad
    @MUSE


    Get a hobby, play golf or tennis, go fly fishing or hunting and quit being a jock sniffer. Why pay money to support a culture that abhors you and is undermining your children’s future.
     
    Well said Muse.

    I kept all that crap pretty much outta my house as the kids grew up. My son scouted--paddled Ross Lake, rafted the Salmon, built and slept in an igloo, backpacked over the Gallatin range in Yellowstone and 100 miles at Philmont and ran track and XC. He's taken some interest in watching football the last few years, but i've reminded him all those black guys on the Seahawks aren't really "his people" and don't give a crap about him--and he gets it.

    White guys need to just get over this whole slavish pro sports--inc. college--worship. Yeah, black guys (West African black guys) generally have more fast twitch muscle fiber and are quick. But they aren't "you". They are piss poor at carrying on civilization--even when it's handed to them. And are now often just hostile miscreants. They do not deserve white worship but rather scorn or simply deserve to be ignored.

    White guys need to get on with just *doing* as white guys--building themselves, their families, their culture--and cut all that black jock-sniffing sycophantism out of their lives.

    BTW, beyond athletic stuff and staying in shape and basic outdoor skills, getting a shotgun and blasting a few clays now and again not a bad white guy hobby, which may come in handy down the road.
  • Ken Belson in the NYT has an interesting article tracking down the 25 NFL first round draft picks from 25 years ago. They averaged 9 years in the NFL and $15 million in salary. A big problem that athletes from the poorer half of society have is that even when they are in the mood...
  • NFL franchises have staff and spend a great deal of time providing guidance to players regarding long term financial planning and off field behavior. I believe that the players union is all over this as well.

    Some players learn and benefit from the advice, others not so much. Many players take advice from those they knew prior to the NFL. Player agents have been known to solicit their clients with questionable investment opportunities.

    You can bet these pinhookers are crawling all over the place at the NFL draft today to take advantage of the inexperienced and cognitively challenged.

  • @Prof. Woland
    Many moons ago, I used to work for the Equitable when they handled the retirement plan for the baseball players. The old timers game (which I have no idea if it still exists). The real idea behind it was to raise money for the guys who played prior to there being a pension. My own take on this is that the league, for a modest amount of money, could have a defined benefit plan that would pay out around the age of 60. This way they could not touch the money and would not have to be responsible for investment performance. When you are investing for a 22 year old, there is a lot of time for the money to compound. Even if the plan was hyper conservative and modest in scope, for a smallish amount of money up front, they could guarantee everybody who put on a uniform that they could have at least enough money that they could eat when they were old. What they did between 26 and 59 would be their problem.

    Replies: @Muse

    Sure the league could do it, but it has to be a priority of the players association and the owners, and then be negotiated as part of the contract. Free agency does not help because ultimately it lowers the comp of the high dollar players, so they are less likely to support deferred compensation.

    Plus again, it requires impulse control, and forward thinking that is not so prevalent in 20 year olds.

    • Replies: @Prof. Woland
    @Muse

    Just make it 100% employer paid and give it immediate vesting, albeit with the benefits paid no sooner than 60. I have a second cousin who made it to the NFL for a couple of games and spent 2 years on the practice squad of about 5 teams. His minimum pay was $5,000 per week, and that was league policy. It would not even be noticed to salt away $50k - $100K up front for each player to insure a small annuity in old age.

  • Dave Goldberg, the Silicon Valley CEO who died Friday, May 1 from head trauma, was vacationing at a classy resort north of Puerto Vallarta, which is in Jalisco, Mexico (although the resort itself appears to be just over the state line). The day Goldberg died saw a major outbreak of cartel carnage in Puerto Vallarta...
  • @Jack Hanson
    Speaking of weird things unsaid, anyone else think its odd that two days on Steve's blog the only talk about Garland is occuring in shadow convos in the comments?

    Replies: @Muse

    Usually this means he is working on the blog entry. Lot’s of curious, but diffuse media activity regarding Garland that needs to be synthesized. Sailer needs an intern or two to chase leads.

  • I'm very pleased to report that our small webzine once again broke records last month, both in total readership and in comments. Steve Sailer's results were particularly impressive, with his April comment total coming in nearly 2,000 above his previous March record, a truly remarkable result given that the time period was one day shorter....
  • I don’t read the UNZ review for news, but I do read it to help me decide what to think about it.

    If you could get John Mearsheimer from U of C as a regular contributor, that would be great.

    • Replies: @International Jew
    @Muse


    If you could get John Mearsheimer
     
    Great idea! That would smoke out whether Mearsheimer is content to stick with the genteel antisemites, or if he's ready to be associated with the real hard core.

    My guess is, he wouldn't touch this site with a ten-foot pole.

    Replies: @MUSE, @iffen, @silviosilver

  • @International Jew
    @Muse


    If you could get John Mearsheimer
     
    Great idea! That would smoke out whether Mearsheimer is content to stick with the genteel antisemites, or if he's ready to be associated with the real hard core.

    My guess is, he wouldn't touch this site with a ten-foot pole.

    Replies: @MUSE, @iffen, @silviosilver

    Same old schmear, different day. Pathetic.

  • Here's the top story on NYTimes.com: The 50-Year Plan has not failed, comrades. It just hasn't been given enough time, due to sabotage by Wreckers. Long live the 500-Year Plan!
  • @Anonymous
    Rotherham Labour 50%, UKIP 30%.
    People are that stupid.


    There are several explanations for this:

    1. After some initial interest in the Rotherham abuse scandal, the UKIP quickly abandoned both the issue and the victims so as to avoid appearing “racist.” Later, they criticized public marches and protests on the issue, warning that efforts to bring attention to the issue were divisive, expensive to police, put the taxpayers at risk of legal costs and fees, and damaged local business interests. Why should the people of Rotherham support a party who would rather condone widespread child sexual abuse than risk being called “racist?”

    2. Thanks to Blair-era “reforms” such as widespread postal voting, the British electoral system increasing reflects Stalin's adage that elections are decided by those who count, not cast, the votes. In Labor and Islamic strongholds, it is not uncommon for ballots to be sent to and completed by people who may or may not exist; delivered to community leaders by postmen, taxi drivers, or their recipients to be completed; to be completed by or under the watchful eye of community leaders; and/or harvested from the mails and sent to the aforementioned political and religious leaders for “review.” It seems unlikely that ballots which are completed, reviewed, or “corrected” by local Islamic and Labor Party leaders will reflect pro-UKIP sentiment.

    3. Communities such as Rotherham are little more than one-party state-within-a-states where careers are made and broken based upon perceived loyalty to local leaders rather than the so-called rule of law. Just as career-minded employees of local governmental and quasi-governmental agencies (quangos) ignored, enabled, or assisted
    in child sexual abuse, career-minded – if apolitical – employees will ignore, enable, or assist in elections fraud to protect their careers and pensions. Again, elections are decided in the counting room, not the voting booth.

    Replies: @MUSE

    Communities such as Rotherham are little more than one-party state-within-a-states where careers are made and broken based upon perceived loyalty to local leaders rather than the so-called rule of law.

    Surely you are confused and are talking about state and local politics in Chicago.

  • MUSE says:
    @SnakeEyes
    @Jack D

    "When and why did Scotland become so socialist?"

    When all the high quality Scottish human capital emigrated and bestowed its gifts on the rest of the world.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @MUSE

    Scots of faith, ability and motivation left Scotland to engineer and build the canals, ships and steel mills of the world. It’s just like the competent hardworking Greeks, they left Greece to run the worlds diners to insure you could get quick breakfast. Both have improved the world. They problem is what was left behind in Scotland and Greece. This insight was explained to me by a greek friend that is a businessman.

  • In Taki's Magazine, I have a quite long column up: After a couple of years of sniping at obvious absurdities, I finally dove deep into economist Raj Chetty's colossal IRS 1040 data trove (comparing parents' income in 1996-2000 to their kids' income in 2011-12) to see what can be salvaged: what's merely an artifact of...
  • MUSE says:
    @Uptown Resident
    @emptyfree

    James Howard Kunstler likens suburban upbringing to a form of child abuse. A kid remains dependent on his parents to chauffeur him from home to school to XYZ activity, and he is deprived of experiencing an activated civic life.

    There are plenty of good public schools in Chicago, especially since the economic downturn has led affluent north side whites to pull their kids from private school and collectively enroll them in now majority white public magnet schools. The Waters school district in the Lincoln Square area is excellent. Lane Tech High School is rated 6th in the state of Illinois.

    Chicago real estate is a steal compared to Coastal cities.

    Replies: @MC, @MUSE

    There are plenty of good public schools in Chicago, especially since the economic downturn has led affluent north side whites to pull their kids from private school and collectively enroll them in now majority white public magnet schools. The Waters school district in the Lincoln Square area is excellent. Lane Tech High School is rated 6th in the state of Illinois.

    The selective enrollment elementary schools in Chicago Public Schools are OK, but I do not believe they are great. Having moved from the city to a north shore suburb, my kid went from a gifted magnet elementary that had test scores in the top five state wide with mostly A’s, yet required math tutoring for a year to catch up with the suburban kids in accelerated math.

    Additionally, the extracurricular opportunities do not come close to what is available in high quality suburban schools such as orchestra, band, art, music education and drama, as well as athletics. This is of course about the money, maybe culture as well. Chicago Public Schools spend a huge sum providing free breakfast and lunch, and lord knows where the rest of the money goes, but given that the current superintendent is on leave during an investigation of no-bid contracts, one can guess.

    Don’t get me wrong, if you live in the city, selective enrollment programs are head and shoulders above most neighborhood schools (with a few exceptions); compared to Latin, Lab and the British School – not so much. Some of the selective enrollment High schools are quite good, but this is primarily because of the extreme selectivity of admissions. The reality though is that the vast majority of kids can’t get in, so where does that leave parents. Well off whites can afford to try their luck in the city because ultimately, they can afford private or east coast prep if junior can’t get into Northside or Payton. (And yes, Lane is good and improving, but not quite Payton yet).

  • From the Daily Mail: Carney is from Canada. He said sluggish earnings were a key risk to the country’s recovery from the worst recession in a century. The comments coincide with the release of figures showing a record 4.8million foreigners work in Britain – making up one sixth of the labour force. Almost two million...
  • MUSE says:

    Hmm. Increasing the labor supply lowers wages. How novel.

    Could somebody please notify the Illinois State Assembly and the Chicago City Council that this new and amazing relationship might mean they should revoke Chicago’s sanctuary city status prior to raising the minimum wage.

    One wait! Didn’t Nobel Prize winning Economist Paul Samuelson say this in 1964?

    Note to Sen. Dick Durbin et al that lowering immigration will help raise poor people’s income

    • Replies: @fnn
    @MUSE

    Mayor Daley II was an early and almost embarrassingly enthusiastic supporter of illegal immigration. I always suspected it had something to do with preventing Chicago from becoming another Detroit.

    , @Desiderius
    @MUSE


    Note to Sen. Dick Durbin et al that lowering immigration will help raise poor people’s income
     
    The AM immigrants are squeezing the top end and the NAM immigrants are squeezing the bottom.

    If only Tsar Obama knew!

    Just wait 'til Comrade Hillary gets here to slam her loafer on the table!

    She will bury you!
    , @24AheadDotCom
    @MUSE

    On 03/27/2009 I posted an entry urging people to go ask Durbin about the anti-American DREAMAct. If people had done that, we might not have had Obama's two (so far) amnesties among many other bad things.

    Then, on 08/22/09, Teaparty protested against Obamacare outside Durbin's office while he wasn't even there. Their highly intelligent slogans included "no more Dick". That had zero impact on him or Obamacare.

    Dick Durbin is never going to read your note, and his loudest opponents are idiots who suffer from Dunning-Kruger. When you decide to actually do something to discredit Durbin, try things my way.

  • From Slate: Duke University Professor on Leave After Racist Online Comments Spark Outrage By Daniel Politi A Duke University professor has reportedly been placed on leave after posting racist comments online that included talk of “the blacks” and “the Asians.” Jerry Hough commented on a New York Times editorial titled “How Racism Doomed Baltimore” with...
  • Muse says:
    @Desiderius
    @Drake

    Great comment, deserves the yellow frame.

    If there is ever to be a real conversation on race, this will be the shape it has to take. The implication of a normal distribution of Black IQs where even +1SD falls short of 100 are sobering and far-reaching. Expecting black communities to be functional in the way other communities are in Western countries with such a shortage in, say, the 115 cohort, let alone genius-level, is just not realistic. Likewise expecting Blacks to be represented among the elite in numbers that match their percentage of the population is likewise a fools game.

    The problem is exacerbated by the overvaluation of abstract-thinking in Western societies, and the concomitant undervaluation of a grounding in concrete reality (Sailer's "common sense"). If a better balance can be achieved there, the problems with low Black (and to a lesser extent, Mestizo) IQ will be somewhat ameliorated, but only if they are honestly confronted in the first place.


    he’s not “racist” enough
     
    The scare quotes don't do enough work for you there. Don't give in to their frame. Calling someone a racist still packs the punch it does because it still means for the common man the tendency to pre-judge individuals based on group characteristics rather than giving each man a fair shake as a fellow citizen. The critical race theory bullshit with which the elites (sic) have betrayed that consensus doesn't merit use even in scare quotes.

    Replies: @Muse

    Whenever this conversation on race starts, besides policy implications, it somehow needs to end with a Supreme Court decision that negates, or at least modifies the adverse impact ruling in Griggs v. Duke Power in order to allow IQ to be used in evaluating job candidates.

    The current case law allows for bona fide occupational qualifications in defense of a finding of adverse impact. Employment tests can be validated. It would be nice to have an employer with some balls try to use minimum IQ required as a defense in a finding of adverse impact.

  • SlateStarCodex.com has a nice graph and discussion of typical California water usage, including the remarkable amount of water used to grow alfalfa (which is mostly fed to dairy cows). But if you want to tie your brain into a knot, try figuring out the market for water. Most of the articles tell you something like...
  • Muse says:

    Alfalfa is an interesting crop. It is desireable because it grows year round in California, and can grow for many seasons before being reseeded. Most of it is used for dairy production, and it contains relatively high levels of protein compared to grasses that are used for hay.

    It also hits a sweet spot because it’s production is not terribly labor intensive. One man, a tractor and a few implements is all you need to bring in a hay crop. Moreover, irrigated alfalfa in an arid climate does not suffer from the biggest problem confronting hay production (besides insects), and that is rain when you have cut a field to dry. Rain delays baling, can at a minimum reduce the quality of the hay or destroy the cutting.

    A libertarian would say that alfalfa production is high because dairy production is subsidized by the government. This is similar to the relationship between ethanol and corn in the Midwest.

    Most agricultural policies are concerned with crops that are relatively capital intensive, vs labor intensive. When you look at sugar and corn/ethanol, dairy and others, you get into a web of highly concentrated industrial concerns, that are very politically active in pursuit of industry protection and favorable trade deals.

    My understanding of this crystallized while I was at a wedding reception at a country club in Janesville Wi. I was chatting with a prosperous farmer about the recent closing of the GM Janesville assembly and the negative impact it was having on the community. He and I both agreed that NAFTA had been part of the reason for the decline, yet he was all for NAFTA, as was his fellow club member congressman Paul Ryan because it had opened up export markets for agriculture.

    This helped me to understand that the coalition that has enacted NAFTA and other trade deals was the monied finance class including cheap importers like Walmart, and the capital and land owners of agribusiness. The battle between the lords against the commoners continues on as it did in England 500 years ago. California’s water problem is rooted in this power imbalance and results in there being insufficient water for municipalities. Water water everywhere and not a drop to drink. This is a strange outcome of private rights choking off water even though it was the government that built the water projects.

    The nation’s rising income inequality is also partially caused by the trade and immigration policies enacted due to the influence of these groups.

    • Replies: @EriK
    @Muse

    NAFTA gets beat up a lot around here. Just curious, do you know what countries it involved and what it actually did (without looking it up)?

    Replies: @Muse, @MarkinLA

  • Muse says:
    @Anonymous
    When this whole mess was starting I saw a great piece on how that alfalfa is not used here in the US, but sent to China/Asia on ships that would otherwise be empty on the return trip. So don't go digging into campaign donations from Asia. This wasn't what I saw, but explains it.

    http://news.nationalgeographic.com/news/2014/01/140123-colorado-river-water-alfalfa-hay-farming-export-asia/

    Replies: @Muse

    I saw a great piece on how that alfalfa is not used here in the US, but sent to China/Asia on ships that would otherwise be empty on the return trip. So don’t go digging into campaign

    I did not realize they were shipping huge quantities of alfafa to Asia. So really, this is more like the landlords shipping out food from Ireland during the potato famine!

  • Muse says:
    @myb6
    Just declare the owners of land over the aquifer the collective owners of the milkshake. Apportion shares in the new water-rights venture according to square footage above aquifer boundaries. Let the market bid for the right to pump x water and use the income to pay dividends.

    Big Bill, bookkeeping would be indistinguishable from any decent-sized corporation.

    I know of historical situations where propertarian solutions work well, like the Japanese samurai and their government bonds. Are there examples where they failed? State privatization schemes aren't the same: because in the marketing of state (ie no one's) property, the results deeply depend on that state's capabilities (eg Scandinavian privatization worked well, Soviet did not). In the Japanese and hypothetical aquifer examples, we're talking about individuals holding and protecting their rights, just exchanging one fuzzy, archaic set of rights for a defined, modern set of rights.

    Replies: @Muse

    Just declare the owners of land over the aquifer the collective owners of the milkshake. Apportion shares in the new water-rights venture according to square footage above aquifer boundaries. Let the market bid for the right to pump x water and use the income to pay dividends.

    This may be OK for the aquifer, but most of California water is from river diversions. The best solution is to tax irrigated agricultural production or water usage at a level until it becomes more profitable for the industry to sell water than grow crops. The trick is how to repeal or reduce the tax after the drought is over, although water authorities might not buy water at any once their current alloted supply becomes available.

  • @EriK
    @Muse

    NAFTA gets beat up a lot around here. Just curious, do you know what countries it involved and what it actually did (without looking it up)?

    Replies: @Muse, @MarkinLA

    NAFTA gets beat up a lot around here. Just curious, do you know what countries it involved and what it actually did (without looking it up)?

    Yes..

  • The Jewish Daily Forward reports: Striking, yet unsurprising. Political activists have known for years that members of the Jewish community are over-represented in the field of political contributions. And now, with the 2016 election cycle beginning to warm up, these Jewish donors are on the minds of all prospective candidates. The 2014 list represents donors...
  • Don’t believe Dick Uihlein is Jewish.

  • Here's a fun New Yorker article by Tad Friend, "Tomorrow's Advance Man," about former Netscape guy Marc Andreessen of the big Silicon Valley venture capital firm Andreessen Horowitz. Something that's not mentioned but that I always find interesting is that his partner Ben Horowitz is the son of famous writer David Horowitz. Andreessen has lots...
  • @Steve Sailer
    @AnonymousCoward

    I saw a Nobel prize winner looking at the books on that table once.

    Replies: @Muse, @fish, @Mike Zwick, @Pincher Martin

    I saw a Nobel prize winner looking at the books on that table once.

    If you go down to Powell’s Bookstore in Hyde Park, you can see them every day.

  • Some software projects go less smoothly than others, and for the last three weeks I've been totally preoccupied with a frustrating major overhaul of the website code at The Review, by far the biggest since I originally launched the webzine in late 2013. My intent was to modify the design to accommodate a substantial expansion...
  • Muse says:
    @Ron Unz
    @Dave Pinsen


    I had an exchange with a libertarian economist about this on Twitter earlier ( https://twitter.com/dpinsen/status/603674479672348672 )
     
    Well, that Nowrasteh fellow tends to illustrate my point. He's one of those fanatic pro-immigration nuts, of the libertarian variety (or at least he acts that way due to his paycheck). So, yes, based on his ideology he wants unlimited numbers of immigrants. He's also fanatically anti-Minimum Wage for similar libertarian reasons.

    Being fanatically pro-immigration and anti-MW, he naturally launched ferocious attacks against me during my MW initiative campaign, publishing an extremely harsh op-ed in my hometown San Jose Mercury news that denounced me as an anti-immigrant activist and notorious xenophobe.

    But he's also a very lazy young idiot, since I immediately pointed out that if he'd ever bothered checking my background, he'd have discovered that I'd for decades always been one of the strongest *pro-immigrant* voices in policy circles, with something like 200,000 published words taking that position. As just one example, during the 1994 Prop. 187 campaign I'd been one of the top featured speakers at the 70,000 strong LA March, the largest pro-immigrant political rally in American history. I presented all these facts in a short published rebuttal to his absurd nonsense:

    https://www.unz.com/runz/raising-the-minimum-wage-isnt-an-anti-immigrant-idea/

    Just before launching my MW initiative I'd been in a major televised debate on unlimited immigration against another one or two of those same types, and easily crushed them by emphasizing the craziness of their ideas:

    https://www.unz.com/runz/open-borders-american-elites-and-the-minimum-wage/

    Since so much of the agitated immigration debate occurs between pro-immigration nuts (like those gentlemen) and anti-immigration nuts (like almost all of the commenters on this website), both groups naturally conclude that *everyone* is an immigration nut, either one way or the other. But that's just not true. For long stretches of time, immigration typically ranks well below the top political issues in polls, though at times it jumps up when the MSM focuses on it. My guess is that 90% of people usually don't really regard it as a burning issue, but the 10% who do spend all their time arguing with each other, which gives them a distorted impression.

    he offered some (unconvincing, to me) non-immigration explanations for why unions might want to be able to negotiate sub-minimum wages, but neither of us came up with your explanation above. It sounds too ridiculous to be true.
     
    Well, I haven't followed the doings in LA and my suggested motive was speculative, but it seems totally obvious and plausible. Basically, the union idea would be to use the threat of paying much higher wages to pressure businesses to unionize. In fact, that's exactly what the unions had been talking about doing a year or two ago with regard to large hotels in LA, and the their opponents were publicly citing that explanation, which seemed plausible to me.

    As far as I know, the SEIU and the other unions had never been pro-immigration. During the 1980s and early 1990s, lots of unionized jobs were lost to a flood of poor immigrants, and the unions were unhappy about immigration. But once millions of immigrants had been in America and working for a decade or two, the SEIU decided to start organizing them and bringing them into the union, which makes perfect sense. Since so many of them (or their friends and relatives) were illegal, naturally their union backs them by supporting amnesty. But supporting amnesty for long-time illegal immigrants is quite different from wanting a flood of new immigration, though admittedly one thing may lead to the other.

    Just like that silly Nowrasteh fellow assumes that anyone opposed to Open Borders must be a fanatical anti-immigrant activist, the anti-immigration nuts just assume that anyone supporting amnesty must also support unlimited immigration.

    there is another potential explanation, consistent with the unions’ desire to increase their numbers: they are worried that the higher minimum wage will lead to more automation, fewer jobs, and, consequently, fewer union members.
     
    That's totally ridiculous. If so, why would the unions have invested such enormous amounts of time and money over the last year to pass the $15/hour law? They were the main backers, and if they believed it would destroy large numbers of their members' jobs, they probably wouldn't have done so.

    No, they got exactly what they wanted and they're not worried about union jobs being lost. But now right at the end, they've gotten a little greedy and decided to also try to use the law to squeeze non-unionized businesses into becoming unionized, possibly blowing themselves up politically as a result.

    Replies: @Muse, @Dave Pinsen

    In the words of John L. Lewis, Unions want MORE. I believe Lewis wrote it in capital letters to emphasize this. Unions acquire members and collect dues in return for MORE. Wages are a mandatory subject of bargaining, and having them pegged at $15 an hour limits the usefulness of organized labor.

    I too am worried about low wages, but believe that a minimum wage increase is the wrong way to go about raising income. Workers at all levels have had their earning power eroded by illegal immigration. Surely you understand that increasing the supply of labor lowers the price that workers can command? Offshoring work, loosening trade restrictions and technological change has also reduced demand for labor and further weakened workers market power.

    Moreover, the economy suffers from lack of demand. Workers need more money, and they need to spend those dollars. Billions of dollars in wages earned in the US by immigrants are sent as remittances back home, and immigrants are willing to live crowded into substandard housing. This severely limits the impact that economic stimulus such as increased government spending or a minimum wage increase might have to promote domestic growth.

    Immigration, trade and technology have taken a terrible toll on the unskilled, less able and less bright amongst us. Technological change will not stop, but immigration and trade are policy decisions that have been made in favor of the wealthy and non-citizens, with immigration enforcement ignored, contrary to the law of the land.

  • It's easy to point out the cultural Left's adherence to all sorts of social constructionisms. My post Men Are Stronger Than Women (On Average) has a lot of Google juice because it now gets cited online a fair amount in arguments...because people are obviously taking the converse position (not that women are stronger, but that...
  • Muse says:
    @Karl Zimmerman
    @Welt

    I know Razib hates it when other people speak for him. So I'll just express the usual "hereditarian" explanation for why divorce leads to bad social outcomes, which has been discussed in the past.

    Basically, people vary in terms of their personalities in various traits, all of which seem to be approximately 50% genetic. At least some of these traits seem to track with martial health. For example, some studies have found that high neuroticism leads to less happy marriages, while high agreeableness leads to more happy marriages.

    Regardless, in the modern era people who have personality traits which tend to lead towards marital instability tend to get divorced. Their kids inherit predispositions to the same traits, which leads them to also be likely to get divorced (or have "comorbid" negative outcomes with marital instability). Historically, however, such people would have stuck in unhappy marriages, either being miserable or flagrantly cheating on their spouses.

    A good way to see if divorce actually hurts children, or of it's just the "divorce temperament" being inherited is to see how adoptive children from divorced households fare. There have been several studies of this sort, and the results have been mixed, some indicating only environmental effects, while others indicated a mixture of environmental and genetic effects. All of the studies I have seen have been somewhat flawed as well, as they do not track children into adulthood. We know that, when out of the home they were raised in, offspring seem to regress to the mean along many traits. Divorce may be a bad thing to live through as a child, but have limited effects by adulthood. It certainly deserves more study regardless.

    Replies: @Muse

    It would interesting to see the results of these studies to see the relationship between young children that live through a divorce and their life outcomes as adults.

    There is no doubt though that the traits of parents, notwithstanding marital status impact life outcomes of children.

    I jokingly tell my neighbor that I judge how well our neighbors’ households are functioning based on how quickly each household brings their trash can back from the curb after it is collected. Every house has an occaisional time when the trash can is left out for an extended time, but the married families I perceive as having problems leave the trash can at the curb for over 24 hours far more frequently than those households of married coulples that seem to have it together.

    The single divorcee with kids invariably leave the can out for an extended period of time, while the young widow with children manages to get her trash can off the curb promptly. I need a bigger sample size if I wanted to do more than amuse myself here! The widow, luckily has means and does not need to work, yet the divorcee does and this gets me to my final point.

    Perhaps outcomes for children are negatively impacts from divorce during childhood, but regardless most families with lesser means are impacted in a negative way economically when households break apart. No doubt this causes demands on supports provided by government, and thus as a taxpayer, it seems reducing divorce rates (or bad matches and their subsequent offspring) is in my interest. Religion may very well be the most effective institution for doing this.

    • Replies: @SolontoCroesus
    @Muse


    Religion may very well be the most effective institution for doing this.
     
    Which religion?

    The root misunderstanding is conceiving of morality and ethics as a historical human invention, as opposed to formalizations of deep cognitive intuitions and social-cultural adaptations.

     

    Applying what Khan seems to be saying here is -- maybe the divorcee happens to be genetically less energetic; the widow is obsessive-compulsive; the married family is too busy having a good time, or being creative, or caring for their handicapped child/aged grandmother -----

    Maybe I'm not reading carefully enough --
    As I understand the use of the word "religion" in this article, it refers to those groups associated with the Hebrew scriptures and New Testament.

    In my view, that's a fundamental mistake. As the evangelical reflects, the Hebrew and New Testament traditions are only a small -- but crabbed -- subset of the world's religious myth systems, and one of its most mordant, due to its insistence on the impossible combination of monotheism and choosiness.

    Machiavelli maintained that the good republic required religion; even more did the good army require religion, and he linked good armies with good laws.

    But the religion that Machiavelli -- more specifically, Machiavelli's Livy -- was referring to was not the religions based on Hebrew scriptures and New Testament. In fact, the specific reference is ambiguous -- Machiavelli was advocating reverence for the Roman gods most likely.

    The essential point for Machiavelli/Livy was the cohesive force of a shared mythos. In that sense, it may be the case that the Iranian people come closest to being a diverse group most successfully united around a shared mythos, that of the Shahnameh.

    The Greek and Roman myths, as well as the Shahnameh and other Persian poetry, as well as the Nordic, and Chinese mythologies, are the glue that hold these respective cultures together. They are those culture's religion.

    What is, in my view, pernicious about the Hebrew and New Testament mythos is the insistence on ONE god, and that god being superior. The Hebrew god myth gets even more confusing because the myths incorporate several gods who evolve, but nevertheless confer upon themselves the right to destroy the gods of others; and also, because the Hebrew mythos insists on one god ruling over all peoples but with special regard carved out for a sub-group of "all people."

    ps The Greek and other myths all have their nasty bits, but I don't think anyone celebrates the eating of Pelops.

  • Thank goodness it's just play: Gunplay Rises in New York, Reviving Issue for de Blasio By AL BAKER and J. DAVID GOODMAN JUNE 1, 2015 Shootings in New York City have been rising for two straight years, the first time that has happened since the end of the 1990s, when the city was still in...
  • @Arclight
    @Reg Cæsar

    Exactly - I read elsewhere about how the racial economic gap was slowly closing from the 60s until about 1990, when it started to widen again. This seemed to more or less line up with when when the percentage the percentage of blacks entering adulthood and had grown up in single parent households exceeded those who had grown up in a traditional family.

    Replies: @Muse

    You can’t export well paying, low skill jobs to China and Mexico while loosening immigration and maintain the incomes of people on the lower half of the bell curve..

    1990
    http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Immigration_Act_of_1990

    1994
    http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/North_American_Free_Trade_Agreement

    Gee, why might the income gap have widened in 1990?

  • One of the stranger developments of the last decade or two is the emergence of a widespread public taste for historical racism porn: the younger generation gets titillated in a quasi-sexual fashion by depictions of things in the past that set off their Warning: Problematic brain alarms. You can hear it in movie theaters with...
  • @Auntie Analogue
    Is it possible that country clubs simply include a 15% gratuity on their members dining bills?

    Replies: @Muse, @Anon

    No.

    Many clubs make an appeal at the end of the year from all members to contribute to what used to be known as a Christmas, now end of year bonus for the house staff. Every board member knows if you are a cheapskate using this method.

  • How you tip indicates your view your relationship with your social inferiors. Tipwell and you believe your status obliges you to serve society as part and parcel of your social position. It is required service for the cultured well-to-do to spend some time giving away money on the local charity circuit and appearing in the society glossy mags each year.

    Cultures that believe their inferiors exist purely to benefit them do not tip well. Let his be lesson on who you decide to work and vote for.

    • Replies: @Greg Pandatshang
    @Muse

    Cultures that believe their inferiors exist purely to benefit them do not tip well ... cultures such as Canada?

    , @Anonymous
    @Muse

    "How you tip indicates your view your relationship with your social inferiors."

    This notion that wait staff are our "social inferiors" is very strange to me.

    Many waiters and waitresses are very popular people with lots of friends. They often have very good personalities and are quite attractive. Many will grow up to be quite affluent eventually and it's not unusual for them to be from relatively well-off families.

    Replies: @Grumpy, @Ed

  • The United States will do whatever is necessary to maintain its dominant position in the world. Less than two years ago, no one thought that Washington would topple a regime on Moscow’s doorstep, insert a US-backed stooge in Kiev, arm and train neo-Nazi extremists in the Ukrainian Army, instigate and oversee a vicious war of...
  • Oh my, how will I get my new iPhone and running shoes once the blockade is in place!

    • Replies: @Kiza
    @Muse

    Even if there is no blockade in place, the iMoron 29 will cost US$785,489.37 because all these US$ would come back and cause huge inflation.

  • The murderer who perpetrated this Charleston black church massacre appears to have intended to maximize publicity for himself by pushing every conceivable hot button of the mainstream media in the fashion that would generate the most unending coverage of his Teachable Moment. Back in 2012, I wrote a Taki's Magazine column, "Monsters of Egotism" about...
  • Nothing new about serial killers and crazies. Surely you have read about the serial killer from the Englewood neighborhood of Chicago that murdered young women during the Columbian Exhibition? It was detailed in the book “Devil in White City”. There was also a nut in Bath Michigan that blew up a school in 1927.

  • "If God does not exist, then everything is permissible." Ivan Karamazov's insight came to mind while watching the video of Deborah Nucatola of Planned Parenthood describe, as she sipped wine and tasted a salad, how she harvests the organs of aborted babies for sale to select customers. "Yesterday was the first time ... people wanted...
  • @Realist
    @Anonymous

    "That’s not what is meant. The point is metaphysical: without God their is no moral law. "

    The same thing. Without a 'sky daddy' people will have no morals.

    Religion is used to control people.

    P.S. Should be there....not their.

    Replies: @Muse, @Hibernian

    How do you propose to enlighten the left half of the bell curve so that they might live well and not have them and their children be a burden on the rest of society? You must admit nearly 50 years of the “Great Society” programs have been a disaster.

    • Replies: @Realist
    @Muse

    "You must admit nearly 50 years of the “Great Society” programs have been a disaster."

    Of course that's true, but what has that to do with religion?

    End government welfare programs and leave the indigent to private organizations, many of which are not religious based. I am not for forced elimination of religion.

    Replies: @Wyrd

  • I'm slowly reading philosopher Robert Nozick's 1974 book Anarchy, State, and Utopia, which begins with an explanation of why some kind of minimal state would automatically evolve out of a Lockean state of nature: when individuals hired "protective associations" (or private police forces) they'd inevitably evolve toward territorially concentrated monopolies on violence. And to some...
  • On the Southside of Chicago, Jesse Jackson’s small neighborhood of Jackson Park Highlands has employed private security for years. Additionally, near the UofC, in the neighborhood of Kenwood (where Obama owns a home) the Nation of Islam leader Louis Farrakhan owns a home and garage/bunkhouse across the street that was allegedly connected by a tunnel. Supposedly, his Nation of Islam body guards stayed in the bunkhouse/garage to provide protection. There were reports of the secret service and reporters having a slight misunderstanding with Farrakans forces when Obama first was elected.

  • I've often referred to the differing fates of the Austin neighborhood on the far West Side of Chicago (where my wife grew up in the 1960s) and the adjoining suburb of Oak Park (where my father grew up in the 1920s). In the 1970s the city of Oak Park imposed a covert "black-a-block" racial quota...
  • @Citizen of a Silly Country
    Steve,

    Just curious. How did/do the city father's enforce the black a block system? Peer pressure, alone?

    Also, what about the schools in Oak Park, particularly the high school? Typically, a problem of one neighborhood going black is that often times, those black kids while not living directly in your neighborhood will attend your middle and high schools, changing the schools' make-up from say 80-90% white to 50-60% white. I've found white tolerance for the black percentage of a high school to be ~10% to 30%. Once blacks start to become more than 30%, whites tend to get out of Dodge. (Whites seem to have a much higher tolerance for Hispanics.

    Replies: @prosa123, @AndrewR, @Muse

    Oak Park River Forest HS, while integrated, has a pronounced bi-modal distribution on standardized tests. This is much to the consternation of school administrators and the town’s liberal citizens.

    http://iirc.niu.edu/Classic/School.aspx?source=PSAE&source2=PSAEResults&schoolID=060162000130001&level=S

  • @Reg Cæsar
    @Steve Sailer


    Do blacks tend to work at airports all across the country, or is that an LAX thing?
     
    Now that would be a good subject for a study. How does the proportion of blacks in the airport workforce compare to that in its city?

    There are all kinds of factors complicating this. Is the airport in town (Midway), or way the hell outside (Denver, Pittsburgh)? Good transit connections, or bad?

    How many jobs outside the security perimeter, vs inside? Lots of immigrant competition, or relatively little?

    How bad does a felony on record hurt you? (You not only have to persuade an employer, but the airport commission as well, and often the TSA and, in international, customs and immigration officials. Good luck!)

    Replies: @International Jew, @muse

    Airport services are provided by government contractors. Preferences are given to minority and female owned businesses, and they are required to hire a minimum number of minority and female employees.

    It is like the U.S. Post Office.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @muse


    It is like the U.S. Post Office.

     

    Or NFL and NBA franchises, almost all government contractors at their venues. How else would you explain their demographics than the quotas you describe?

    Actually, here the porters contract directly with the airlines, and the airport itself is a quango, which even gives its people Good Friday off (or high overtime pay). How many government workers get a holiday at Easter?
  • A simple meta-principle that should govern vast social engineering experiments such as immigration, housing policies, disparate impact quotas and so forth is the health and research concept of "Informed Consent." The potential consequences of government policies such as lack of enforcement of immigration laws or Affirmatively Furthering Fair Housing should be explained to American citizenry...
  • @Anonymous
    @Gato de la Biblioteca

    " ... just like the use of the word “homophobe”. Most of the men I knew that were “homophobic” weren’t scared of gays, they were disgusted by them."

    This is a great point. And it's not about personally disliking people who happen to be gay, but feeling disgust for gay sex. Fear of gays doesn't have much to do with it.

    Replies: @Muse, @ben tillman

    Homophobic = Not being afraid of homosexuals – afraid of being identified as a homosexual.

    • Replies: @Gato de la Biblioteca
    @Muse

    Not according to the dictionaries. Here's one:

    Definition of HOMOPHOBIA
    : irrational fear of, aversion to, or discrimination against homosexuality or homosexuals

  • From Money magazine: Magazines go through a lot of churn in these listing so that they don't just come up with the usual suspects year after year ("Latest findings! If you are really rich, La Jolla is still a nice place to live. Also, don't forget about Park Avenue!") Still, it's worth taking a look...
  • @Former Darfur
    @ben tillman

    The real wealth of the West-that is, of the white world-isn't its gold or silver, its oil, or gas or coal. Savages lived on top of such things for millennia and never touched them. It's the creativity, the intelligence and the social order of Western man that are its real wealth.

    Asians and Semites (not just Sephardic/Mizrahi Jews, the better Levantines of all kinds) have a good portion of the last two but not the first. Ashkenazi Jews have intelligence, but their creativity is of a wholly different nature. And their social order is inimical to real development. Mesoamericans, Australoids, and Congoids have nothing, but in some cases a great adaptation to nature.

    I get a kick of those who say, well, the Ashkenazim are as above us as we are above blacks. Bullshit. Let's look at real creativity. Show me an original aircraft, a race car, a locomotive, anything an Ashkenazi has invented.

    Israel makes weapons, and in some cases pretty good ones. But they are all derivative. The Merkava tank and the Kfir fighter are classic examples. They do certain things well, but they are adaptations of existing machines, as is the Galil rifle. The Kfir is a Mirage with a GE engine and canards originally developed by Dassault themselves (in somewhat different form). The Galil rifle is a modified FN-FAL. It isn't an especially good one either.

    Indeed, firearms design gives us an outstanding example. In any discussion of modern small arms we will name a few designers: Eugene Stoner, Mikhail Kalashnikov, Mitch WerBell, and of course Israel's Uziel Gal. His designs are two: the aforementioned Galil rifle and the Uzi SMG. In some ways it is the best "buzz gun" in production today, and it is a good design. But it isn't terribly innovative. Submachineguns are not even a particularly key military weapon: American gun nuts slather over them because they are forbidden fruit. They are urban intimidators more than anything else, outside of legitimate special warfare operations.

    If we go back a few years we have Paul Mauser and John Garand, and several others. But all these men put together pale in significance to one man in the history of firearms design. He was an American, and an American of that most American and peculiar religion and people, the Mormons. His name is John Moses Browning. Browning invented a list of firearms that is without parallel in the field: further, several of his designs, in essentially unmodified form, are still considered best in class designs despite being in more than one case a century old.

    The Ashkenazim can invent, and they can manufacture. But there is not one Ashkenazi Jew that can boast of half the kind of accomplishment in the physical engineering arts that John Moses Browning could. (Software is another matter: Jews and high caste Hindus are quite good at that, but it takes a different kind of thinking to make real machinery.)

    I worked in electronics manufacturing tooling for years-that is, making the machines to make components such as high precision resistors-and I worked for a number of Jews, some of whom were really into Zionist ideology. And occasionally I'd ask them why Israel didn't get into any of several lucrative manufacturing niches. They have the workforce and they have the capital and Israel, like New Jersey, actually has some open space to build infrastructure. In fact, they do have manufacturing plant and it is nowhere near maximally used. They would always avoid the subject or get nervous and "uncomfortable", but finally I had a couple of them tell me the truth:"that's too much like work". What I found fascinating and rewarding they regarded as simply an unpleasant necessity. Jews regard designing and building stuff the way they regard having sex with their wives, something that occasionally needs doing but to be avoided if possible.

    People joke about Israel being the one place in the Middle East with no oil, but no one talks about the Dead Sea. Its salts contain trillions of dollars worth of precious and rare earth elements and the Israelis have exactly zero interest in extracting them. Indeed, even though the diamond trade is largely of Jewish creation, if Jews actually had to mine them they never would have bothered.

    Jews will go back to living in tents and defecating on the desert sands if the White race is amalgamated out of existence, and even though they know it, it doesn't change their behavior.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Wilkey, @Anonymous, @Will, @a reader, @Muse, @kaganovitch, @Twinkie

    As a former Chicagoan, I am not a great fan of Frank Gearhy (Pritzker Pavillion)or Bertrand Goldberg (Marina City , River City and Prentiss Women’s. Hospital). They all are interesting from a theoretical perspective, and have lots of fine curves. They fail to inspire, and they are very uncomfortable structures to be in or around. Additionally, excepting the Pavillion, they are not as well suited to their purposes as they might be because Goldberg put his theoretical flight of fancy (form ) above the intended function of the structure. It is as if the designers mind was unable make a sensible transition when applying the theoretical to the physical world, and the human sense of asthetic. As a final point, all of the structures completely reject any connection with what we have learned are good first principals of design and asthetics in 1500 years of Western Civilization. Whether this has anything to do with the architects being Jewish, or just living in the 20th century is for minds greater than mine.

    An example of a newer building that hits the sweet spot is the NBC tower by Adrian Smith. It pays homage to its Art Deco big brother Rockefeller Center and its media neighbor Tribune Tower.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Muse

    I remember visiting Chicago in 1965 when I was six. A tour guide pointed to the round Marina Towers, with its apartments shaped like slices of pie, and assured us that all skyscrapers in the future would be round because it was more efficient. Therefore, I've always been surprised that that didn't turn out to be true.

    Replies: @Muse, @International Jew

  • @Steve Sailer
    @Muse

    I remember visiting Chicago in 1965 when I was six. A tour guide pointed to the round Marina Towers, with its apartments shaped like slices of pie, and assured us that all skyscrapers in the future would be round because it was more efficient. Therefore, I've always been surprised that that didn't turn out to be true.

    Replies: @Muse, @International Jew

    If you calculate costs per square foot to build, heat and cool spheroid or circular structures, I believe the answer is true. See monolithic domes http://www.monolithic.org/homes/floorplans

    Domes can be done well, but I have not seen many designed in a visually pleasing way.

    Another failure was Buckminster Fullers Dymaxion house, now at the Henry Ford Museum. All the men thought it would be great until the wives saw the kitchen and the bathrooms. Which gets me back to Marina Towers. All the apartments are shaped like a piece of pie. The area where the pie slice gets narrow is away from the windows and where core and the utilities run, and is where baths and kitchen are normally placed. The area available near the tip of the pie is smaller, which leads to smaller kitchens and baths, which is not where home design has been moving for the past 100 years. Remember, your wife wants a place to put the dishwasher.

    I have been in all these buildings and they have irregular room plans with weird angles which makes it hard to place furniture and use the space.

    Additionally, the thing that makes the structure cheaper to build, heat and cool is the lower ratio of exterior area to interior space, which reduces the amount of window area per square foot of structure. Not so good in a high rise as view is everything. A better solution in modern residential architecture is Lake Point Tower by Navy Pier, which I believe was a rehashed Mies design.

  • David Leonhard writes in the Upshot section of the NYT: Republicans Say They Are Happier With Their Marriages AUG. 17, 2015 David Leonhardt @DLeonhardt W. Bradford Wilcox, a sociologist, has written two recent papers noting that children in conservative parts of the country are more likely to grow up with both parents than in liberal...
  • @JohnnyWalker123
    @Lot

    I like Sanders for 2 reasons.

    1. He also helps shift the overton window on the left. He makes it acceptable for left-wing Democrats to be anti-immigration. If Trump takes the Whitehouse, Sanders could help him pass a bill to end H1b permanently.

    2. If the Trump candidacy collapses, Sanders could be our go-to guy.

    While Trump is the best candidate overall, Sanders is far better than any of the other Republicans and highly preferable to Clinton.

    Replies: @Nico, @WhatEvvs, @Muse, @AnotherDad

    In a Sanders candidacy, the Democratic nominee for VP will be a big deal..

  • @International Jew
    I think the arrow of causality runs the other way. It's not conservatism that makes a person happy. Rather, a predisposition to seek out life satisfaction in marriage and family means less interest in seeking satisfaction in grand schemes to perfect society.

    Replies: @Muse

    Finding a mate and having children is a test of fitness. Not having completed that task by a certain point in life indicates that there might be problems with the individual. People with more problems are more unhappy. It is axiomatic if they are not crazy.

    • Replies: @dcite
    @Muse

    Where have you been the last 60 years? Bad breeders and bad maters are what most of our problems are about. They are as ubiquitous as the trash I see everywhere on the metro in the last 15 years since the area became heavily hispanic (that's the only answer--the area has always had a lot of blacks and the metro looked ok for a long time.)
    "Finding a mate" is as easy as pinning a tail on a donkey for those of the right age. "Having children" (i.e. conceiving) is biologically effortless for most people of the right age. Neither is any test of fitness. Traditionally in European/American society, 90% of all people did it, and it was a test of, if anything, willingness to conform to society, to care what people thought of you, and to raise another generation. You didn't get a metaphorical medal for doing what came naturally, but did get tacit approval for getting married before the naturalness commenced.
    In Asian and African societies, such participation was 100%. Options in such activities, especially for females, was a trait that distinguished European, Christian culture, and caused us to evolve and develop in ways other peoples never imagined. One might kiss the ground as soon as one's date drops one off, because one is glad to be by oneself again. Politics are the last thing I would think of in relation to that. Some people are happy single. But it should not be the default for society.

    Finding a mate (for how long?) and having children (only takes a few seconds really) is not a test of "fitness." Maintaining a working relationship with a mate over a long period of time, and taking full responsibility for children for many years, is a test of fitness. Now that deserves a metaphorical medal. And many Democrats, Repubicans, and Independents should get one.

  • Cartoonist Scott Adams blogs at dilbert.com about what he's learned from Donald Trump's 1987 memoir/advice book Trump: The Art of the Deal: Debunking Trump's claim to be worth $10 billion when Forbes lists him as worth only $4.1 billion just reminds everybody that Trump is now very much a billionaire (which he often hasn't been...
  • The most interesting question about Trump to me is the question “is he a Judas Goat” leading the the last of the true American conservatives to slaughter. To me this question means is he really an establishment guy being sent by the same old folks (list your hated group here – Wall Street, GOP, Chamber of Commerce, AIPAC, the Illuminati, Cathedral whatever). Once ensconced, we will get the same old Fed backed empire of aggression and slow liberal destruction of a once great nation.

    It seems he Is allied with the wealthy Zionist side of the Jewish electorate. I say this because of his vocal support for US military action in the Middle East (seizing the oil fields to deprive ISIS of funds). This Middle East position is a clear stake in the ground. Certainly as a developer in Manhattan, he must have been getting along well with plenty of the monied New York Jews all along. What I find interesting is that his stance on immigration appears to have him throwing the more liberal social justice warriors of the Jewish electorate under the bus.

    Perhaps the events in Ferguson and Baltimore, Obama’s Iran deal and the general tenor amongst the now angry white electorate have convinced the powers that be that the actions of the SJWs in support of radical African American causes and Amnesty Inc. are no longer winning propositions. Maybe somebody has realized the destruction of the country is not in anyone’s best interest. One can only hope.

  • When reading articles in the American press about problems in America, such as high prices for homes, inequality, low wages, low test scores, and so forth, it's always fun to hit CTRL-F (or Command-F on a Mac) to see if the text string "migra" is included anywhere in the article. Normally, in articles about troubles...
  • @Socially Extinct
    In our capitalist-consumerist matrix, if you aren't growing and expanding (despite the unfavorable triggers that would perpetuate such growth), you're doing something wrong. Either collectively, as a culture, or individually, as a spending consumerist.

    Evidently Japan's natural "downsizing" needs to be remedied. They need to take note of Sweden's illustrious experiment.

    Replies: @Muse

    Have you ever considered that without a certain rate of growth, capital might not be able to charge enough to generate true “economic rent” in the classical economic sense? Things like cheap money, war, immigration and technological change with intellectual property protection are some of the policies that come to mind that might “create wealth”, by accelerating growth above some minimum level that would then generate profit.

    https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Economic_rent

    Perhaps the wealthy can’t become relatively wealthier, nor can the more modestly situated accrue wealth on a grand scale without purposely overstimulating the economy. It might explain the push for what are ultimately unsustainable policies on a macro scale by the powerful in pursuit their individual interests (profit).

    • Replies: @anon
    @Muse


    Have you ever considered that without a certain rate of growth, capital might not be able to charge enough to generate true “economic rent” in the classical economic sense?
     
    That's what is driving the oligarchs but the underlying problem is the banking mafia created the situation themselves out of short-term greed.

    The *only* source of real growth is innovation leading to improved productivity and the mass immigration of cheap labor kills innovation and lowers productivity.

    It's a vicious cycle. They created the problem and all their solutions make the problem worse.

    Replies: @cwhatfuture

  • Jeb was right to point out Asian culpability in ripping off American citizens via birth tourism to get their children American citizenship. As I pointed out in VDARE in 2011, this ad for pregnant Chinese women who pay to give birth in Southern California itemizes the advantages of having an anchor baby: The bad translations...
  • Should Trump actually win the Presidency, the real challenge will be forging coalitions with Congress. Most of them are owned by special interests. He would be wise to begin picking allies to ride on his coattails in congressional elections. Doing this work now will help him govern later.

  • From the NYT business section: Business Group Assails Donald Trump for Urging Higher Taxes on Some Companies His political platform is based largely on his business acumen, but Donald J. Trump is making a habit of rankling the business world with his ideas on trade and taxes. On Wednesday, the conservative Club for Growth took...
  • @Anonymous
    It's surprising that that other multidecade NYC fixture, Tom Wolfe, has never written anything about or directly inspired by The Donald.

    Replies: @Muse

    In Wolfe’s “Man In Full”, Charlie Crocker was a real estate developer facing bankruptcy.

  • @Ivy
    @MarkinLA

    You can buy almost three pairs of jeans at Costco (13.99 each) for the price of one pair of Levi's. As much as I loved my old 501s (which dates me), at a certain point the value differential becomes more important. But then, I'm just cheap.

    Replies: @Former Darfur, @Muse

    It’s not the price of the jeans. Your just getting older and don’t give a damn what anybody thinks.

    Speaking of old, when I was a kid, all the old men would mow their lawns wearing shorts and black socks. The kids wouldn’t be caught dead in anything but tube socks. Now I’m mowing the lawn in tube socks, and my kid with black socks snickers at me. From now on, he can mow the lawn, and that will solve that problem. As an added plus, he can do some of the work Americans supposedly won’t do.

    • Replies: @Ivy
    @Muse

    Older, don't give a damn, but still cheap. Having parents from the Dustbowl '30s will do that to a kid.

    , @Anonymous
    @Muse

    "Speaking of old, when I was a kid, all the old men would mow their lawns wearing shorts and black socks."

    I think my dad maybe used to do that when we were kids. He also used to wear a pair of old brown leather golf shoes with cleats when he cut the grass.

    Replies: @Brutusale

  • A friend points out this article in today's New York Post: Variety of mutilated animals found strewn in city parks By Aaron Short September 6, 2015 | 3:18am There’s magic in New York City’s parks — black magic. More than a dozen mutilated animals have been discovered in the past 18 months, apparent victims of...
  • A Justice Department press release: Department of Justice Office of Public Affairs FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE Monday, August 24, 2015 Justice Department Settles Immigration-Related Discrimination Claim Against Nebraska-Based Meat Packing Company The Justice Department announced today that it reached a settlement with Nebraska Beef Ltd., a meat packing company headquartered in Omaha, Nebraska. The settlement resolves...
  • @Vinay
    OK, what exactly is wrong with this? The company can avoid this whole problem by simply requiring all employees to show proof of eligibility.

    Steve, you've relentlessly mocked liberals for their "who-whom" approach to deciding what's an outrage -- "cop shoots unarmed black man, details irrelevant!!" Why are you encouraging the same approach? "Justice Department penalizes company for requiring documentation, doesn't matter why". Are you really saying that companies should just be allowed to make arbitrary determination about who's required to show documentation? Why?

    Replies: @bomag, @ben tillman, @Muse

    The Feds are fairly specific about what they require to complete an I9 form.

    http://www.uscis.gov/i-9-central/acceptable-documentshttp://www.uscis.gov/i-9-central/acceptable-documents

    Potential employees that are not legally authorized to work in the U.S. regularly falsify these documents. The harassment of employers by the U.S. Government seeks to prevent a patriotic employer from doing due diligence when they know the applicant is providing fake social security documents. If employers can ask questions, the house of cards collapses.

    This procedure is the single most important component of immigration reform. A thousand times more important than any fence. You need it to cut the blood supply to the tumor, and e-verify is the knife.

    That is why the Feds are giving this employer trouble. They are ramping up for the fight over this administrative procedure. This is where the war in the trenches will be won or lost. People without jobs self-deport and the whole narrative collapses.

    • Replies: @Prof. Woland
    @Muse

    It is often done with a wink and a nod. Without secure bio-metric ID each side can blame the other. Once the identity can be fully established up front then the employer is on the hook too which means they are subject to fines and penalties; and they are the ones with the deep pockets. If an illegal gets caught they just magically disappear and then reappear with their other cousin's name and social security number. Modernizing our ID will also make a fence 100 X more effective because once someone gets caught illegally entering they will fingered and automatically be prevented from working on a payroll which is why they come here in the first place. Ironically, this is what will make a true guest worker program work.

    Replies: @PaulExChandler

    , @PaulExChandler
    @Muse

    The key with the I-9 is that the employer is specifically not allowed to validate any documents. This means someone can show up with a crayon forgery and it must, by law, be accepted.

    Someone has to verify the employment status, which is what E-Verify does. If this were required nationwide and there were teeth to require employers to use it, "illegal immigration" as we know it would be over.

    Replies: @Anonymous

  • A New York Times article reporting on a sharp increase in homicides over the last year in places like Milwaukee, Baltimore and St. Louis led to much tut-tutting from outlets like Nate Silver's FiveThirtyEight about how this was cherrypicking and all around Bad Science . So now FiveThirtyEight has rounded up the homicide numbers for...
  • @Glossy
    I had exactly the same reaction. I even tweeted in response to the 538 tweet announcing this study that the verbiage clashed with the data and that this was a disgrace. First, 16% is a lot. Second, "In 16 of the 59 cities, there was a [statistically] significant increase; we’d expect about three cities to show an increase that big by chance alone. In two cities — Boston and Arlington — there was a [statistically] significant decrease."

    The main centers of gentrification are NYC and DC, +9% and +44%, respectively. San Francisco is +25%, Chicago, which gentrified somewhat, is +20%, Austin is +50%, Seattle is +20%, Portland is +27%. Swipple land is hurting. Blood on the bike lane.

    If this is the beginning of the end of the gentrification trend, this is huge. Where would hipsters run? Back to the suburbs, because their parents are still there and because they know the places where they grew up well. Someone's going to make a killing in suburban real estate.

    Or it could be a blip. Steve, you have a good ear for social trends. Do you think this is long-term?

    Replies: @Busby, @Muse, @Whiskey

    Regarding the impact of crime on gentrification, HUD’s strategy is to affirmatively move the criminal element to the suburbs.

    As for the crime wave being a blip, in Chicago’s gentrified Wrigleyville/boystown, police protection is down due to intractable budgetary problems and crime is up. See: http://www.cwbchicago.com. Not sure what the future holds for these areas.

  • From the New York Times: Yeah, but Ms. Merkel's humanitarian spasm garnered a lot of Facebook Likes, so there's that. Who knew that a mess of Afghans would take it seriously? Aren't we yet living in a virtual world where there are no actual consequences to our gestures of moral superiority? Merkie, you're doing a...
  • @Former Darfur
    @Reg Cæsar

    German cars have traditionally had good mechanical reliability, but high repair costs, high repair parts prices and electrics not as good as their mechanicals. Those things are all still true.

    The electronics have went from expensive to insanely expensive in the last ten to fifteen years, and in addition, the engines and transmissions are becoming so expensive and difficult to work on internally the mechanical reliability edge is going away. Tool costs are now phenomenally high for engine work. While the actual failure rate is not all that high, when they do happen it can be catastrophic economically.

    German cars do have a feeling of solidity and on the average have a little better roadholding than Japanese cars, but Japanese cars have better electrics, are easier to work on, and overall certainly have a lower probability of making you late for work with car trouble on any given day than do German cars.

    Replies: @Muse, @Anonymous

    So why can’t Germans make decent electrical systems in automobiles? My experience with electrical systems in German made tractors is dismal as well, yet you can’t find an easier Diesel engine to repair than a Deutz air cooled tractor engine.

    Using German man/machine interfaces on their electronics often remind me of programming a 1980’s VHS player – think of the first generation BMW idrive.. I have no experience using SAP, but I have to wonder how they have been successful with software.

    • Replies: @Former Darfur
    @Muse

    So why can’t Germans make decent electrical systems in automobiles? My experience with electrical systems in German made tractors is dismal as well, yet you can’t find an easier Diesel engine to repair than a Deutz air cooled tractor engine.

    Yeah but, the prices on Deutz parts are very high. A Deutz is, or was, all mechanical: the starter and the shutdown solenoid were, as I recall, all the electrics there were.

    I had a couple of the OM615/OM616 powered Benz sedans -220, 240D, and the electrics mostly were reliable, but there wasn't much electrics there. The turn signal stalks always broke and the Bosch alternator was $400, but I applied hillbilly fixes like using a toggle switch and converting to a GM alternator.

  • The New York Times editorial "Europe Should See Refugees as a Boon, Not a Burden" has not struck a chord with NYT readers. None of the top 30 or more Reader's Pick comments are supportive. Here are the top two dozen comments: Maureen New York 4 hours ago Why? There are large colonies of Muslims...
  • In this Saturday’s NYT, the Obama administration announced is is beginning talks with Moscow to coordinate together to fix the problem in Syria. This is a waving white flag of surrender by the West. Perhaps Putin had something to do with the hordes traveling north to Europe.

    While the U.S. position is the replacement of Assad, he, Saddam Hussein and Khadafi are looking pretty good compared to the chaos 15 years of U.S. military and NGO cluster****s have given us.

    My guess is the flow of refugees will be stopping a little closer to home.

    • Replies: @Niccolo Salo
    @Muse

    " Perhaps Putin had something to do with the hordes traveling north to Europe. "

    Not at all. Some 2 million have been sitting in Turkey for some time now and Turkey simply opened up the valve. The reason for this is that the West has been planning to use the refugee/migrant crisis as a new attempt for a causus belli to remove Assad.

    ...problem is that Putin caught on and has sent his advisors and material to bolster the Assad regime in tandem with Iran :)

    Recall that Berlusconi, Putin's close buddy, struck a deal with Gaddafi to end the flow of migrants from Africa to Europe. Gaddafi was removed and all hell broke loose. There is someone else wishing these flows into Europe and it ain't Putin.

    Funny how we never hear about these smugglers and who they are. My speculation is that state intelligence services are making some nice cash off the books by opening up and directing these ratlines.

  • From Marginal Revolution, a pretty perfunctory, numbers-free bit of Open Borders rationalization followed by supercommenter Peter Schaeffer's demolition job. You can read the comment thread in order at MR (including impressive performances by many other commenters), but here I'll just excerpt Schaeffer's replies. Open Borders and the Welfare State by Alex Tabarrok on September 22,...
  • If there was any doubt that the Left vs Right dichotomy is a charade, the Democrat’s recent announcement that they intend to support Boehner as speaker of the house given the effort of some in the GOP to oust him is proof in the pudding.

    If through some miracle the Trump campaign survives the concerted attack on him by the plutocracy’s media and political whores, he will lack allies in Congress to do anything but to be an obstructionist. He can try to have influence through executive order, but the plutocrats will neuter him through court order, much like the crooks of the Chicago Machine are doing to Gov. Bruce Rauner in Illinois.

    Boehner and his ilk will clearly be of no assistance.

    He needs to broaden the campaign by calling out congressional candidates to take a stand with him while the primaries are in play. Once the primaries are over, he can no longer build coalitions within the GOP. He needs to build coalitions to take advantage of any coattail effect he can muster. This is just good “Chicago style” politics.

  • From my new column in Taki's Magazine: Read the whole thing there.
  • @Sunbeam
    @Doug

    "Steroids are so effective that men who take steroids and don’t work out gain more multiple times more muscle mass than natural lifters. Steroids are absolutely necessary to push past certain physiological limits. In studies of the best natural bodybuilders, men with excellent genetics and singular minded focus, there’s never been a competitor with an over 26 fat-free BMI.

    In comparison Mr Universe champion Ronnie Coleman’s easily over 40. I’d say even the median NFL players is around 28, with many significantly higher."

    Obviously that is your own eyeball estimate, and we don't have measurements (or do we? I imagine NFL clubs have this data, whether public or not), but the sheer fact you can reasonably make a guess that this is the case seems to me to indicate something.

    Namely that they are all on performance enhancing drugs. Sometimes your mind can lead you to funny conjectures, but consider:

    1) We have substances that can enhance your ability to be a pro athlete, and to perform if you make it that far.

    2) If you don't use them, you might be surpassed by someone who has less athletic ability.

    3) If you use them, you might surpass someone who was unfairly gifted with more athletic ability. God, how did you screw that up? I'm just gonna have to fix your mess with good old moxie.

    4) It's really crazy how the weights of NFL linemen, particularly offensive linemen skyrocketed in the early 80's. In the 70's Rayfield Wright was a perennial all pro at 260, John Hannah was a hall of famer and a legendary beast ... at 265. I could put up more names.

    Then about 5 or 6 years later we start seeing the Joe Jacoby size linemen (though he would be on the small side now).

    And you started to read about unearthly 40 times at pro tryout days... things like 270 and 280 pound linemen running 4.7's.

    Even a few years before you just couldn't find these things.

    I think they are all on things. It might not be "Canseco" formula, but they all use something. And I think it is in all sports.

    What I don't have a feel for is how far down it goes. I'm pretty sure most college athletes, at least in the popular sports do them. But how extensive is it in high school?

    Come on, everyone has encountered the male version of the stage mom with regard to children and athletics. You really think some of those guys don't get enhancers for their children?

    Sad thing is, if it got you admission and a scholarship to Stanford, it was probably worth the money and health risk.

    Another interesting thing to me is Human Growth Hormone (HGH) and height. A few years ago I saw some articles about parents wanting their children prescribed this so the kids could grow taller. Given the documented advantage of being tall, I can see lots of people being interested in this for their children. And not just for sports; you really think someone would pay 30,000 for junior's preschool per year, and not consider something like this if possible?

    Like I said, I saw a few articles, then nothing. And I've looked.

    Replies: @Doug, @Muse

    And when in their career do merely gifted hulking athletes become the freak of nature known as an NFL lineman? The transformation happens during their 1st year as a redshirt college freshman and their second year when they are not yet developed enough to play as a first string guard, tackle or nose guard. By their third year any decent lineman will have a receding hairline from the “roids”. Look at the pictures.

    This is why you see true truly gifted freshman running backs and receivers, and even defensive backs playing, but rarely if ever will you see an offensive linemen play as a freshman in big time college programs.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @Muse

    A fellow I knew was listed as a 200 pound offensive lineman in high school and a 260 pound lineman at Berkeley.

    Replies: @Dave Pinsen, @Ola

  • An op-ed in the New York Times: What Really Keeps Women Out of Tech By EILEEN POLLACK OCT. 10, 2015 TECHNOLOGY companies know they have a gender and diversity problem in their work force, and they are finally taking steps to try to fix it. But where are those new employees going to come from...
  • So the lesson is: you can’t have it all.

    If a couple wants to have and raise children, it is best that somebody , father or mother, needs to work less than full time, or not at all.

    The unfortunate reality for employers is that this reduces the size of the labor pool, and thus raises employment costs. Particularly problematic for employers needing very bright employees is the limited supply, thus all the grinding of teeth having educated and trained capable women, only to find many of them opting out of full time work to make babies.

    It is all about the money, not the liberation of women.

    • Replies: @maciano
    @Muse

    They can take a nanny/au pair

  • From The Street: A friend recommends calling the ice cream flavor dedicated to the the ex-New Yorker Senator from Vermont who dreams of Nordicizing America: White Flight Vanilla Delight.
  • @Bert
    Ben & Jerry's is ridiculously expensive fattening garbage, so it's not too surprising it's popular mostly with asshole hipsters. Give me Breyer's any day of the week. Much lighter, and you get more for the same price.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @Buzz Mohawk, @D. K., @RobinG, @Yak-15, @Jack D, @Dirk Dagger, @Buffalo Joe, @Muse, @Polymath, @Dave Pinsen

    If you must know, some of the best ice cream made can be purchased at large Midwestern universities that have dairy programs, my favorite being simple chocolate at Michigan State’s dairy store. Alas, the Michigan/MSU game will be in Ann Arbor this weekend, so I will have to suffer through a delicious pastrami sandwich at Zingerman’s deli in AA.

    • Replies: @scrivener3
    @Muse

    University of Delaware also has an Ag program and makes their own ice cream. They distribute it during prospect visiting days and probably increase their enrollment by hundreds.

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @Muse


    If you must know, some of the best ice cream made can be purchased at large Midwestern universities that have dairy programs…
     
    Does Cornell make ice cream, too? (Not the Iowa college, but the state ag school in the Ivy League. )

    Replies: @Muse

  • @Reg Cæsar
    @Muse


    If you must know, some of the best ice cream made can be purchased at large Midwestern universities that have dairy programs…
     
    Does Cornell make ice cream, too? (Not the Iowa college, but the state ag school in the Ivy League. )

    Replies: @Muse

    Yes, Cornell University makes and sells dairy products too. They also sell fantastic wool blankets they make from Cornell Sheep, but it only comes in red and white (well cream really). They are great Christmas gifts.

    http://living.sas.cornell.edu/dine/wheretoeat/cafescoffeehouses/cornelldairybar.cfm

  • In the New York Times, veteran columnist Thomas B. Edsall writes: Crimes Without Punishment? OCT. 21, 2015 Thomas B. Edsall Capitol Hill in Washington, D.C., is one of the most liberal neighborhoods in the country. In 2012, President Obama won Ward 6, which includes Capitol Hill, with 87.3 percent of the vote. The Hill has...
  • @timothy
    Edsall doesn't mention him, but Rahm Emanuel, Chicago mayor and former Obama chief of staff, recently caused a stir by endorsing the Ferguson Effect as an explanation for crime trends in Chicago. He embodies Edsall's thesis that there is a national/local disconnect on these issues.

    I'm not sure Ferguson has much to do with what's going on in Chicago, however. 2015 just seems like a random fluctuation much like 2012 was. There's frankly not much a mayor can do about it.

    Replies: @Muse

    2015 just seems like a random fluctuation much like 2012 was. There’s frankly not much a mayor can do about it.

    Wrong!

    Fewer Cops, liberal policies such as reduced sentencing guidelines, lenient parole boards and judges have caused nightmare problems on Chicago’s Northside. Looks just like DC.

    Read about it here: http://www.cwbchicago.com/

  • This is taking the average of four 2015 federal NAEP scores: both Math and Reading for both 4th and 8th Grades.
  • @Ezra
    How come people in Michigan are so dumb?

    Replies: @AndrewR, @Anonymous, @tbraton, @E. Harding, @Muse

    During WW2, large numbers of southern scots-Irish moved to Michigan to work in the factories. Since then, generation after generation of college educated kids have left because there was no work due the decline of industry and things like NAFTA.

  • Blogger Sendil has kindly sent along a table he or she made from Center for Disease Control data on the change in death rates among whites (both sexes) age 45-54 by state between 1999 and 2013. It looks like it correlates with white drugs (opioids, meth), obesity, smoking, and low real estate prices (i.e., expensive...
  • @Steve Sailer
    @Robert Hume

    Good point. Maybe West Virginia's clannishness contributes to its drug problems?

    The only time in my life when I was interested in buying marijuana was when I started chemotherapy and, yeah, I ran through a list of all my kin to figure out who could supply me (then realizing: none of them).

    Replies: @Desiderius, @Desiderius, @muse, @anon

    It seems to me that death rates relative to average income/unemployment and/or the cost of living are begging to be examined. Perhaps marginalized people are drinking more and doing meth because they see no light at the end of the tunnel. If you can’t afford to form a family, you are already dead.

  • From the NYT: Three Teams of Coordinated Attackers Carried Out Assault on Paris, Officials Say; Hollande Blames ISIS By ADAM NOSSITER, AURELIEN BREEDEN and KATRIN BENNHOLD NOV. 14, 2015 1505 COMMENTS PARIS — Three teams of Islamic State attackers acting in unison carried out the terrorist assault in Paris on Friday night, officials said Saturday,...
  • @Anonymous
    @Pat Hannagan


    Just like 9/11 resulted in an attack on Iraq, this will resolve into an attack on the Assad government.

    The media do not do fine detail, only you and the likes of the blogs you support.

    France and the USA could announce a retaliatory bombing of Syria/Northern Iraq in response that will in actual fact be an assault on the Assad govt and her Russian ally.
     
    I hope that the Paris attacks do not result in more war. A better and more proper response would be to shut the borders (of France, the U.S., and other Western nations) and expel relatively recent refugees or immigrants who are Muslims or from Islamic countries (you'd have to decide exactly what the criteria for expulsion would be). Until the borders are closed, any military actions seem pointless with little chance of long-term success in stopping Islamic terrorism in Western countries.

    Replies: @Muse

    Closing US borders would have been the proper response to 9/11 if you want to protect the average citizen of the United States.

    Instead, the US invaded Iraq.

    Remember the Maine!
    Assassination of Ferdinand
    Pearl Harbor
    Gulf of Tonkin
    9/11

    Notice any patterns?

  • Three questions about Paris: 1) Was the over-the-top, no-holds-barred, 24-7 media blitz really an attempt to keep the public informed about a critically important event or was the coverage geared to pressure President Obama into sending ground troops to Syria? 2) Is Obama’s excuse for not putting boots on the ground in Syria to fight...
  • How did we get I this mess. Well who benefits? Hypothetically….

    The US wanted to expand NATO, and shrink Moscow’s sphere of influence a la Mearsheimer’s great powers doctrine. Moscow has a strong lever over Europe because it is the primary supplier of natural gas to Europe. This resource also gives Russia money, and makes them a player in world financial markets. Combined with the Chinese and the Iranians, the three powers are trying to form a pan-Asian land based prosperity sphere and currency to challenge the dollar and American/Anglo/Jewish domination of the financial markets. So the US via Victoria Nuland start a small NGO fomented revolution Ukraine, but Vlad counters by grabbing the Crimea and stopping the revolution. Meanwhile, shills like Evo Daalder are running around on the Crown Family dime (think Jewish owners of General Dynamics) screaming how we need to fight the Russians.

    Israel will do anything to expand its security zone in its immediate neighborhood. They hate Syria and Iran because they are viable challenges to this goal. Israel also has a new huge gas field it would like to connect to Europe, but it has to go through Syria and Turkey.

    The Saudi’s like the Sunnis, and hate the Shia and the Alawites. They also would love to connect their gas line through Israel and Syria because the crude oil output will soon decline and they need that cash. Other small Arab states have lots of gas to sell.

    So a deal is cut. John Kerry goes to The Saudi’s and ask them to kill the price of oil, believing this will put the hurt on Russia, and bring them to their knees. It also has the nice benefit of bankrupting all the fracking entrepreneurs who have created wealth by finding new oil reserves (something the Saudi’s don’t want just yet, and something the Rockefeller family abhors because they believe it is their right to own all the oil production in the US). Conveniently, the Rockefeller family trust sold all their interests in oil just before Saudi Arabia opened the spigot. Great market timing by the way, you should hire their securities analysts! No doubt they will be picking up fracked oilfields for a song as companies like Emerald EOX go bankrupt, or maybe they already own the bonds.

    Meanwhile the Saudis funded ISIS/Al Quaeda radicals and mercenaries are cut loose to attack Syria and the Kurds. Israel even helps. EVERYBODY But Putin wins.

    Except Putin makes a move to support Syria, and intimates, not too subtly that he has many thermonuclear devices should cool heads not prevail. Hard to know what has been said behind closed doors to the POTUS.

    About this time, Obama realizes he can’t go into Syria and beat the Russians without destroying the world and perhaps he realizes he has been played a few too many times by Bibi N. Perhaps he is just getting back for Bibi snubbing him and speaking to the House at Boehner’s request. He says hell no, I am not sending in troops. FU Bibi, and the media that is controlled by your tribe.

    Either way… the next move is?

  • One of the weirder trends in American discourse these days is the decline in any sense of how long ago specific dates in the past were when asserting theories of historical causality. Black students at Princeton are oppressed by Woodrow Wilson, while Genius T. Coates blames everything on FDR's FHA. For example, here's a big...
  • @2Mintzin1
    Interesting topic. There are lots of black people in Syracuse today who believe that the raised highway was deliberately installed to split up black neighborhoods, and thus dilute the black vote. That kind of silly paranoid non– analysis is almost not worth refuting. The fact is that the I – 81 elevated highway permits a lot of truck and vacationing automobile traffic to move between Pennsylvania/downstate New York and points upstate without encountering a traffic light.

    The kerfuffle which is taking place right now involves the proposal of the SJW locals to replace the elevated highway with... A surface street! With traffic lights! Traffic calming devices will be installed!
    Jesus wept.

    This is such a dumb idea, I'm not even sure how to argue against it.

    Look, when you get down to it, New York state really doesn't want to pay to replace the elevated highway, it is expensive. And Syracuse, despite its reliably Dem leadership, does not have the political pull that it had that it back in the 1960s.

    The only hope Syracuse has is that Cuomo II can be convinced to lay some state money on it, as he recently did for Buffalo.

    Replies: @Ed, @AndrewR, @Another Canadian, @Buffalo Joe, @Muse

    Boston used billions of federal. dollars to put the elevated freeway underground through downtown. It was a high water mark of leftist pork barrel spending, and corrupt construction contracts, and we all paid for it.

    It should be no surprise that Syracuse wants to copy Boston. Residents of liberal Oak Park IL have been proposing the same type of project for the freeway that bisects their community. The common denominator in all these boondoggles is that the democratic constituents enjoy the benefits of the infrastructure project while others pay for it. No different than a water park for students at Mizzou I guess.

    • Replies: @Brutusale
    @Muse

    Ah, the Thomas P. O'Neill Tunnel, or Tip's Tunnel to the local wags. Notice that the Wiki article said that the elevated Route 93 "cut off the North End from the rest of the city, hampering economic growth", leaving out that there were pathways through the area among the parking lots owned by the North End mafiosi.

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Thomas_P._O%27Neill_Jr._Tunnel

    And for the the $14.6 billion (190% cost overrun), you'd hope that the rust and corrosion wouldn't be such a problem. An engineering marvel indeed...

    http://www.wcvb.com/news/review-state-spends-millions-to-pump-out-of-big-dig-tunnels/35854308