The Unz Review • An Alternative Media Selection$
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media

Bookmark Toggle AllToCAdd to LibraryRemove from Library • B
Show CommentNext New CommentNext New ReplyRead More
ReplyAgree/Disagree/Etc. More... This Commenter This Thread Hide Thread Display All Comments
AgreeDisagreeThanksLOLTroll
These buttons register your public Agreement, Disagreement, Thanks, LOL, or Troll with the selected comment. They are ONLY available to recent, frequent commenters who have saved their Name+Email using the 'Remember My Information' checkbox, and may also ONLY be used three times during any eight hour period.
Ignore Commenter Follow Commenter
Current Commenter
says:

Leave a Reply -


 Remember My InformationWhy?
 Email Replies to my Comment
$
Submitted comments have been licensed to The Unz Review and may be republished elsewhere at the sole discretion of the latter
Commenting Disabled While in Translation Mode
Commenters to FollowHide Excerpts
By Authors Filter?
Alastair Crooke Ambrose Kane Anatoly Karlin Andrew Anglin Andrew Joyce Audacious Epigone Boyd D. Cathey C.J. Hopkins E. Michael Jones Eric Margolis Eric Striker Fred Reed Gilad Atzmon Gregory Hood Guillaume Durocher Hua Bin Ilana Mercer Israel Shamir ISteve Community James Kirkpatrick James Thompson Jared Taylor John Derbyshire Jonathan Cook Jung-Freud Karlin Community Kevin Barrett Kevin MacDonald Larry Romanoff Laurent Guyénot Linh Dinh Michael Hudson Mike Whitney Pat Buchanan Patrick Cockburn Paul Craig Roberts Paul Kersey Pepe Escobar Peter Frost Philip Giraldi Razib Khan Ron Unz Steve Sailer The Saker Tobias Langdon A. Graham A. J. Smuskiewicz A Southerner Academic Research Group UK Staff Adam Hochschild Aedon Cassiel Agha Hussain Ahmad Al Khaled Ahmet Öncü Al X Griz Alain De Benoist Alan Macleod Albemarle Man Alex Graham Alexander Cockburn Alexander Hart Alexander Jacob Alexander Wolfheze Alfred De Zayas Alfred McCoy Alison Weir Allan Wall Allegra Harpootlian Amalric De Droevig Amr Abozeid Anand Gopal Anastasia Katz Andre Damon Andre Vltchek Andreas Canetti Andrei Martyanov Andrew Cockburn Andrew Fraser Andrew Hamilton Andrew J. Bacevich Andrew Napolitano Andrew S. Fischer Andy Kroll Angie Saxon Ann Jones Anna Tolstoyevskaya Anne Wilson Smith Anonymous Anonymous American Anonymous Attorney Anonymous Occidental Anthony Boehm Anthony Bryan Anthony DiMaggio Tony Hall Antiwar Staff Antonius Aquinas Antony C. Black Ariel Dorfman Arlie Russell Hochschild Arno Develay Arnold Isaacs Artem Zagorodnov Astra Taylor AudaciousEpigone Augustin Goland Austen Layard Ava Muhammad Aviva Chomsky Ayman Fadel Bailey Schwab Barbara Ehrenreich Barbara Garson Barbara Myers Barry Kissin Barry Lando Barton Cockey Beau Albrecht Belle Chesler Ben Fountain Ben Freeman Ben Sullivan Benjamin Villaroel Bernard M. Smith Beverly Gologorsky Bill Black Bill Moyers Blake Archer Williams Bob Dreyfuss Bonnie Faulkner Book Brad Griffin Bradley Moore Brenton Sanderson Brett Redmayne-Titley Brett Wilkins Brian Dew Brian McGlinchey Brian R. Wright Britannicus Brittany Smith Brooke C.D. Corax C.J. Miller Caitlin Johnstone Cara Marianna Carl Boggs Carl Horowitz Carolyn Yeager Cat McGuire Catherine Crump César Keller Chalmers Johnson Chanda Chisala Charles Bausman Charles Goodhart Charles Wood Charlie O'Neill Charlottesville Survivor Chase Madar ChatGPT Chauke Stephan Filho Chris Hedges Chris Roberts Chris Woltermann Christian Appy Christophe Dolbeau Christopher DeGroot Christopher Donovan Christopher Harvin Christopher Ketcham Chuck Spinney Civus Non Nequissimus CODOH Editors Coleen Rowley Colin Liddell Cooper Sterling Courtney Alabama Craig Murray Cynthia Chung D.F. Mulder Dahr Jamail Dakota Witness Dan E. Phillips Dan Roodt Dan Sanchez Daniel Barge Daniel McAdams Daniel Moscardi Daniel Vinyard Danny Sjursen Dave Chambers Dave Kranzler Dave Lindorff David Barsamian David Boyajian David Bromwich David Chibo David Chu David Gordon David Haggith David Irving David L. McNaron David Lorimer David Martin David North David Skrbina David Stockman David Vine David Walsh David William Pear David Yorkshire Dean Baker Declan Hayes Dennis Dale Dennis Saffran Diana Johnstone Diego Ramos Dilip Hiro Dirk Bezemer Dmitriy Kalyagin Don Wassall Donald Thoresen Alan Sabrosky Dr. Ejaz Akram Dr. Ridgely Abdul Mu’min Muhammad Dries Van Langenhove E. Frederick Stevens E. Geist Eamonn Fingleton Ed Warner Edmund Connelly Eduardo Galeano Edward Curtin Edward Dutton Egbert Dijkstra Egor Kholmogorov Ehud Shapiro Ekaterina Blinova Ellen Brown Ellen Packer Ellison Lodge Emil Kirkegaard Emilio García Gómez Emma Goldman Enzo Porter Eric Draitser Eric Paulson Eric Peters Eric Rasmusen Eric Zuesse Erik Edstrom Erika Eichelberger Erin L. Thompson Eugene Gant Eugene Girin Eugene Kusmiak Eve Mykytyn F. Douglas Stephenson F. Roger Devlin Fadi Abu Shammalah Fantine Gardinier Federale Fenster Fergus Hodgson Finian Cunningham The First Millennium Revisionist Fordham T. Smith Former Agent Forum Francis Goumain Frank Key Frank Tipler Franklin Lamb Franklin Stahl Frida Berrigan Friedrich Zauner Gabriel Black Ganainm Gary Corseri Gary Heavin Gary North Gary Younge Gavin Newsom Gene Tuttle George Albert George Bogdanich George Galloway George Koo George Mackenzie George Szamuely Georgia Hayduke Georgianne Nienaber Gerhard Grasruck Gilbert Cavanaugh Gilbert Doctorow Giles Corey Glen K. Allen Glenn Greenwald A. Beaujean Agnostic Alex B. Amnestic Arcane Asher Bb Bbartlog Ben G Birch Barlow Canton ChairmanK Chrisg Coffee Mug Darth Quixote David David B David Boxenhorn DavidB Diana Dkane DMI Dobeln Duende Dylan Ericlien Fly Gcochran Godless Grady Herrick Jake & Kara Jason Collins Jason Malloy Jason s Jeet Jemima Joel John Emerson John Quiggin JP Kele Kjmtchl Mark Martin Matoko Kusanagi Matt Matt McIntosh Michael Vassar Miko Ml Ole P-ter Piccolino Rosko Schizmatic Scorpius Suman TangoMan The Theresa Thorfinn Thrasymachus Wintz Godfree Roberts Gonzalo Lira Graham Seibert Grant M. Dahl Greg Garros Greg Grandin Greg Johnson Greg Klein Gregg Stanley Gregoire Chamayou Gregory Conte Gregory Wilpert Guest Admin Gunnar Alfredsson Gustavo Arellano H.G. Reza Hank Johnson Hannah Appel Hans-Hermann Hoppe Hans Vogel Harri Honkanen Heiner Rindermann Henry Cockburn Hewitt E. Moore Hina Shamsi Howard Zinn Howe Abbot-Hiss Hubert Collins Hugh Kennedy Hugh McInnish Hugh Moriarty Hugh Perry Hugo Dionísio Hunter DeRensis Hunter Wallace Huntley Haverstock Ian Fantom Ian Proud Ichabod Thornton Igor Shafarevich Ira Chernus Irmin Vinson Ivan Kesić J. Alfred Powell J.B. Clark J.D. Gore J. Ricardo Martins Jacek Szela Jack Antonio Jack Dalton Jack Kerwick Jack Krak Jack Rasmus Jack Ravenwood Jack Sen Jake Bowyer James Bovard James Carroll James Carson Harrington James Chang James Dunphy James Durso James Edwards James Fulford James Gillespie James Hanna James J. O'Meara James K. Galbraith James Karlsson James Lawrence James Petras James W. Smith Jane Lazarre Jane Weir Janice Kortkamp Janko Vukic Jared S. Baumeister Jason C. Ditz Jason Cannon Jason Kessler Jay Stanley Jayant Bhandari JayMan Jean Bricmont Jean Marois Jean Ranc Jef Costello Jeff J. Brown Jeffrey Blankfort Jeffrey D. Sachs Jeffrey St. Clair Jen Marlowe Jeremiah Goulka Jeremy Cooper Jeremy Kuzmarov Jesse Mossman JHR Writers Jim Daniel Jim Fetzer Jim Goad Jim Kavanagh Jim Mamer Jim Smith JoAnn Wypijewski Joe Atwill Joe Dackman Joe Lauria Joel Davis Joel S. Hirschhorn Johannes Wahlstrom John W. Dower John Feffer John Fund John Gorman John Harrison Sims John Helmer John Hill John Huss John J. Mearsheimer John Jackson John Kiriakou John Macdonald John Morgan John Patterson John Leonard John Pilger John Q. Publius John Rand John Reid John Ryan John Scales Avery John Siman John Stauber John T. Kelly John Taylor John Titus John Tremain John V. Walsh John Wear John Williams Jon Else Jon Entine Jonas E. Alexis Jonathan Alan King Jonathan Anomaly Jonathan Revusky Jonathan Rooper Jonathan Sawyer Jonathan Schell Jordan Henderson Jordan Steiner Jorge Besada Jose Alberto Nino Joseph Correro Joseph Kay Joseph Kishore Joseph Sobran Josephus Tiberius Josh Neal Jeshurun Tsarfat Juan Cole Judith Coburn Julian Bradford Julian Macfarlane K.J. Noh Kacey Gunther Karel Van Wolferen Karen Greenberg Karl Haemers Karl Nemmersdorf Karl Thorburn Kees Van Der Pijl Keith Woods Kelley Vlahos Kenn Gividen Kenneth A. Carlson Kenneth Vinther Kerry Bolton Kersasp D. Shekhdar Kevin DeAnna Kevin Folta Kevin Michael Grace Kevin Rothrock Kevin Sullivan Kevin Zeese Kit Klarenberg Kshama Sawant Lance Welton Larry C. Johnson Laura Gottesdiener Laura Poitras Lawrence Erickson Lawrence G. Proulx Leo Hohmann Leonard C. Goodman Leonard R. Jaffee Liam Cosgrove Lidia Misnik Lilith Powell Linda Preston Lipton Matthews Liv Heide Logical Meme Lorraine Barlett Louis Farrakhan Lydia Brimelow M.G. Miles Mac Deford Maciej Pieczyński Mahmoud Khalil Maidhc O Cathail Malcolm Unwell Marc Sills Marco De Wit Marcus Alethia Marcus Apostate Marcus Cicero Marcus Devonshire Marcy Winograd Margaret Flowers Margot Metroland Marian Evans Mark Allen Mark Bratchikov-Pogrebisskiy Mark Crispin Miller Mark Danner Mark Engler Mark Gullick Mark H. Gaffney Mark Lu Mark O'Brien Mark Perry Mark Weber Marshall Yeats Martin Jay Martin K. O'Toole Martin Lichtmesz Martin Webster Martin Witkerk Mary Phagan-Kean Matt Cockerill Matt Parrott Mattea Kramer Matthew Battaglioli Matthew Caldwell Matthew Ehret Matthew Harwood Matthew Richer Matthew Stevenson Max Blumenthal Max Denken Max Jones Max North Max Parry Max West Maya Schenwar Merlin Miller Metallicman Michael A. Roberts Michael Averko Michael Gould-Wartofsky Michael Hoffman Michael Masterson Michael Quinn Michael Schwartz Michael T. Klare Michelle Malkin Miko Peled Mnar Muhawesh Moon Landing Skeptic Morgan Jones Morris V. De Camp Mr. Anti-Humbug Muhammed Abu Murray Polner N. Joseph Potts Nan Levinson Naomi Oreskes Nate Terani Nathan Cofnas Nathan Doyle Ned Stark Neil Kumar Nelson Rosit Neville Hodgkinson Niall McCrae Nicholas R. Jeelvy Nicholas Stix Nick Griffin Nick Kollerstrom Nick Turse Nicolás Palacios Navarro Nils Van Der Vegte Noam Chomsky NOI Research Group Nomi Prins Norman Finkelstein Norman Solomon OldMicrobiologist Oliver Boyd-Barrett Oliver Williams Oscar Grau P.J. Collins Pádraic O'Bannon Patrice Greanville Patrick Armstrong Patrick Cleburne Patrick Cloutier Patrick Lawrence Patrick Martin Patrick McDermott Patrick Whittle Paul Bennett Paul Cochrane Paul De Rooij Paul Edwards Paul Engler Paul Gottfried Paul Larudee Paul Mitchell Paul Nachman Paul Nehlen Paul Souvestre Paul Tripp Pedro De Alvarado Peter Baggins Ph.D. Peter Bradley Peter Brimelow Peter Gemma Peter Haenseler Peter Lee Peter Van Buren Philip Kraske Philip Weiss Pierre M. Sprey Pierre Simon Povl H. Riis-Knudsen Pratap Chatterjee Publius Decius Mus Qasem Soleimani R, Weiler Rachel Marsden Raches Radhika Desai Rajan Menon Ralph Nader Ralph Raico Ramin Mazaheri Ramziya Zaripova Ramzy Baroud Randy Shields Raul Diego Ray McGovern Raymond Wolters Rebecca Gordon Rebecca Solnit Reginald De Chantillon Rémi Tremblay Rev. Matthew Littlefield Ricardo Duchesne Richard Cook Richard Falk Richard Faussette Richard Foley Richard Galustian Richard Houck Richard Hugus Richard Knight Richard Krushnic Richard McCulloch Richard Parker Richard Silverstein Richard Solomon Rick Shenkman Rick Sterling Rita Rozhkova Rob Crease Robert Baxter Robert Bonomo Robert Debrus Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Robert Fisk Robert Hampton Robert Henderson Robert Inlakesh Robert LaFlamme Robert Lindsay Robert Lipsyte Robert Parry Robert Roth Robert S. Griffin Robert Scheer Robert Stark Robert Stevens Robert Trivers Robert Wallace Robert Weissberg Robin Eastman Abaya Roger Dooghy Rolo Slavskiy Romana Rubeo Romanized Visigoth Ron Paul Ronald N. Neff Rory Fanning Rose Pinochet RT Staff Ruuben Kaalep Ryan Andrews Ryan Dawson Sabri Öncü Salim Mansur Sam Dickson Sam Francis Sam Husseini Samuel Sequeira Sayed Hasan Scot Olmstead Scott Howard Scott Locklin Scott Ritter Seaghan Breathnach Servando Gonzalez Sharmine Narwani Sharmini Peries Sheldon Richman Sidney James Sietze Bosman Sigurd Kristensen Sinclair Jenkins Southfront Editor Spencer Davenport Spencer J. Quinn Stefan Karganovic Steffen A. Woll Stephanie Savell Stephen F. Cohen Stephen J. Rossi Stephen J. Sniegoski Stephen Paul Foster Sterling Anderson Steve Fraser Steve Keen Steve Penfield Steven Farron Steven Starr Steven Yates Subhankar Banerjee Susan Southard Sybil Fares Sydney Schanberg Talia Mullin Tanya Golash-Boza Taxi Taylor McClain Taylor Young Ted O'Keefe Ted Rall The Crew The Zman Theodore A. Postol Thierry Meyssan Thomas A. Fudge Thomas Anderson Thomas Hales Thomas Dalton Thomas Ertl Thomas Frank Thomas Hales Thomas Jackson Thomas O. Meehan Thomas Steuben Thomas Zaja Thorsten J. Pattberg Tim Shorrock Tim Weiner Timothy Vorgenss Timur Fomenko Tingba Muhammad Todd E. Pierce Todd Gitlin Todd Miller Tom Engelhardt Tom Mysiewicz Tom Piatak Tom Suarez Tom Sunic Torin Murphy Tracy Rosenberg Travis LeBlanc Trevor Lynch Vernon Thorpe Virginia Dare Vito Klein Vladimir Brovkin Vladimir Putin Vladislav Krasnov Vox Day W. Patrick Lang Walt King Walter E. Block Warren Balogh Washington Watcher Washington Watcher II Wayne Allensworth Wei Ling Chua Wesley Muhammad White Man Faculty Whitney Webb Wilhelm Kriessmann Wilhem Ivorsson Will Jones Will Offensicht William Binney William DeBuys William Hartung William J. Astore Winslow T. Wheeler Wyatt Peterson Wyatt Reed Ximena Ortiz Yan Shen Yaroslav Podvolotskiy Yvonne Lorenzo Zhores Medvedev
Nothing found
By Topics/Categories Filter?
2020 Election Academia American Media American Military American Pravda Anti-Semitism Benjamin Netanyahu Black Crime Black Lives Matter Blacks Britain Censorship China China/America Conspiracy Theories Covid Culture/Society Donald Trump Economics Foreign Policy Gaza Genocide Hamas History Holocaust Ideology Immigration IQ Iran Israel Israel Lobby Israel/Palestine Jews Joe Biden NATO Nazi Germany Neocons Open Thread Political Correctness Race/Ethnicity Russia Science Ukraine Vladimir Putin World War II 汪精衛 100% Jussie-free Content 2008 Election 2012 Election 2016 Election 2018 Election 2022 Election 2024 Election 23andMe 9/11 Abortion Abraham Lincoln Academy Awards Achievement Gap ACLU Acting White Adam Schiff Addiction ADL Admin Administration Admixture Adolf Hitler Advertising AfD Affective Empathy Affirmative Action Affordable Family Formation Afghanistan Africa African Americans African Genetics Africans Afrikaner Age Age Of Malthusian Industrialism Agriculture AI AIPAC Air Force Aircraft Carriers Airlines Airports Al Jazeera Al Qaeda Alain Soral Alan Clemmons Alan Dershowitz Albania Albert Einstein Albion's Seed Alcohol Alcoholism Alejandro Mayorkas Alex Jones Alexander Dugin Alexander Vindman Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Alexei Navalny Algeria Ali Dawabsheh Alien And Sedition Acts Alison Nathan Alt Right Altruism Amazon Amazon.com America America First American Civil War American Dream American History American Indians American Israel Public Affairs Committee American Jews American Left American Nations American Presidents American Prisons American Renaissance Amerindians Amish Amnesty Amnesty International Amos Hochstein Amy Klobuchar Anarchism Ancient DNA Ancient Genetics Ancient Greece Ancient Rome Andrei Nekrasov Andrew Bacevich Andrew Yang Anglo-America Anglo-imperialism Anglo-Saxons Anglos Anglosphere Angola Animal IQ Animal Rights Wackos Animals Ann Coulter Anne Frank Anthony Blinken Anthony Fauci Anthrax Anthropology Anti-Defamation League Anti-Gentilism Anti-Semites Anti-Vaccination Anti-Vaxx Anti-white Animus Antifa Antifeminism Antiquity Antiracism Antisemitism Antisemitism Awareness Act Antisocial Behavior Antizionism Antony Blinken Apartheid Apartheid Israel Apollo's Ascent Appalachia Apple Arab Christianity Arab Spring Arabs Archaeogenetics Archaeology Architecture Arctic Arctic Sea Ice Melting Argentina Ariel Sharon Armageddon War Armenia Armenian Genocide Army Arnold Schwarzenegger Arnon Milchan Art Arthur Jensen Arthur Lichte Artificial Intelligence Arts/Letters Aryan Invasion Theory Aryans Aryeh Lightstone Ashkenazi Intelligence Ashkenazi Jews Asia Asian Americans Asian Quotas Asians Assassination Assassinations Assimilation Atheism Atlanta AUMF Auschwitz Austin Metcalf Australia Australian Aboriginals Automation Avril Haines Ayn Rand Azerbaijan Azov Brigade Babes And Hunks Baby Gap Balfour Declaration Balkans Balochistan Baltics Baltimore Riots Banjamin Netanyahu Banking Industry Banking System Banks #BanTheADL Barack Obama Baseball Statistics Bashar Al-Assad Basketball BBC BDS BDS Movement Beauty Behavior Genetics Behavioral Genetics Belarus Belgium Belgrade Embassy Bombing Ben Cardin Ben Rhodes Ben Shapiro Ben Stiller Benny Gantz Bernard Henri-Levy Bernie Sanders Betar US Betsy DeVos Betty McCollum Bezalel Smotrich Bezalel Yoel Smotrich Biden BigPost Bilateral Relations Bilingual Education Bill Clinton Bill De Blasio Bill Gates Bill Kristol Bill Maher Bill Of Rights Billionaires Billy Graham Bioethics Biology Bioweapons Birmingham Birth Rate Bitcoin Black Community Black History Month Black Muslims Black People Black Slavery BlackLivesMatter Blackmail Blake Masters Blank Slatism BLM Blog Blogging Blogosphere Blond Hair Blood Libel Blue Eyes Boasian Anthropology Boeing Boers Bolshevik Revolution Bolshevik Russia Books Boomers Border Wall Boris Johnson Bosnia Boycott Divest And Sanction Brain Scans Brain Size Brain Structure Brazil Bret Stephens Bretton Woods Brexit Brezhnev Bri Brian Mast BRICs British Empire British Labour Party British Politics Buddhism Build The Wall Bulldog Bush Business Byzantine Caitlin Johnstone California Californication Camp Of The Saints Canada Canary Mission Cancer Candace Owens Capitalism Carlos Slim Caroline Glick Carroll Quigley Cars Carthaginians Catalonia Catholic Church Catholicism Catholics Cats Caucasus CCP CDC Ceasefire Cecil Rhodes Census Central Asia Central Intelligence Agency Chanda Chisala Chaos And Order Charles De Gaulle Charles Kushner Charles Lindbergh Charles Manson Charles Murray Charles Schumer Charlie Hebdo Charlie Kirk Charlottesville ChatGPT Checheniest Chechen Of Them All Chechens Chechnya Chetty Chicago Chicagoization Chicken Hut Child Abuse Children Chile China Vietnam Chinese Chinese Communist Party Chinese Evolution Chinese IQ Chinese Language Christian Zionists Christianity Christmas Christopher Steele Christopher Wray Chuck Schumer CIA Cinema Civil Liberties Civil Rights Civil Rights Movement Civil War Civilization Clannishness Clash Of Civilizations Class Classical Antiquity Classical History Classical Music Clayton County Climate Change Clint Eastwood Clintons Coal Coalition Of The Fringes Coen Brothers Cognitive Elitism Cognitive Science Cold Cold War Colin Kaepernick Colin Woodard College Admission College Football Colombia Colonialism Color Revolution Columbia University Columbus Comic Books Communism Computers Confederacy Confederate Flag Confucianism Congress Conquistador-American Conservatism Conservative Movement Conservatives Conspiracy Theory Constantinople Constitution Constitutional Theory Consumerism Controversial Book Convergence Core Article Corona Corporatism Corruption COTW Counterpunch Country Music Cousin Marriage Cover Story Covert Action COVID-19 Craig Murray Creationism Crime Crimea Crispr Critical Race Theory Cruise Missiles Crusades Crying Among The Farmland Crypto Cryptocurrency Ctrl-Left Cuba Cuban Missile Crisis Cuckery Cuckservative CUFI Cuisine Cultural Marxism Cultural Revolution Culture Culture War Czars Czech Republic DACA Daily Data Dump Dallas Shooting Damnatio Memoriae Dan Bilzarian Danny Danon Daren Acemoglu Darwinism Darya Dugina Data Data Analysis Dave Chappelle David Bazelon David Brog David Cole David Duke David Friedman David Frum David Irving David Lynch David Petraeus Davide Piffer Davos Death Of The West Deborah Lipstadt Debt Debt Jubilee Decadence Deep State DeepSeek Deficits Degeneracy Democracy Democratic Party Demograhics Demographic Transition Demographics Demography Denmark Dennis Ross Department Of Education Department Of Homeland Security Deplatforming Deportation Abyss Deportations Derek Chauvin Detroit Development Dick Cheney Diet Digital Yuan Dinesh D'Souza Discrimination Disease Disinformation Disney Disparate Impact Disraeli Dissent Dissidence Diversity Diversity Before Diversity Diversity Pokemon Points Dmitry Medvedev DNA Dogs Dollar Domestic Surveillance Domestic Terrorism Doomsday Clock Dostoevsky Doug Emhoff Doug Feith Dresden Drone War Drones Drug Cartels Drug Laws Drugs Duterte Dysgenic Dystopia E. Michael Jones E. O. Wilson East Asia East Asian Exception East Asians East Turkestan Easter Eastern Europe Ebrahim Raisi Economic Development Economic History Economic Sanctions Economy Edmund Burke Edmund Burke Foundation Education Edward Snowden Effective Altruism Effortpost Efraim Zurofff Egor Kholmogorov Egypt El Salvador Election 2016 Election 2018 Election 2020 Election Fraud Elections Electric Cars Eli Rosenbaum Elie Wiesel Eliot Cohen Eliot Engel Elise Stefanik Elites Elizabeth Holmes Elizabeth Warren Elliot Abrams Elliott Abrams Elon Musk Emigration Emmanuel Macron Emmett Till Employment Energy England Enoch Powell Entertainment Environment Environmentalism Epidemiology Equality Erdogan Eretz Israel Eric Zemmour Ernest Hemingway Espionage Espionage Act Estonia Ethics Ethics And Morals Ethiopia Ethnic Cleansing Ethnic Nepotism Ethnicity Ethnocentricty EU Eugene Debs Eugenics Eurabia Eurasia Euro Europe European Genetics European Right European Union Europeans Eurozone Evolution Evolutionary Biology Evolutionary Genetics Evolutionary Psychology Existential Risks Eye Color Face Shape Facebook Faces Fake News False Flag Attack Family Fantasy FARA Farmers Fascism Fast Food FBI FDA FDD Federal Reserve FEMA Feminism Ferguson Ferguson Shooting Fermi Paradox Fertility Fertility Fertility Rates Film Finance Financial Bailout Financial Bubbles Financial Debt Finland Finn Baiting First Amendment First World War FISA Fitness Flash Mobs Flight From White Floyd Riots 2020 Fluctuarius Argenteus Flynn Effect Food Football For Fun Forecasts Foreign Agents Registration Act Foreign Aid Foreign Policy Fourth Amendment Fox News France Francesca Albanese Frank Salter Frankfurt School Franklin D. Roosevelt Franklin Scandal Franz Boas Fraud Fred Kagan Free Market Free Speech Free Trade Freedom Of Speech Freedom Freemasons French French Revolution Friedrich Karl Berger Friends Of The Israel Defense Forces Frivolty Frontlash Furkan Dogan Future Futurism G20 Gambling Game Game Of Thrones Gavin McInnes Gavin Newsom Gay Germ Gay Marriage Gays/Lesbians Gaza Flotilla GDP Gen Z Gender Gender And Sexuality Gender Equality Gender Reassignment Gene-Culture Coevolution Genealogy General Intelligence General Motors Generation Z Generational Gap Genes Genetic Diversity Genetic Engineering Genetic Load Genetic Pacification Genetics Genomics Gentrification Geography Geopolitics George Floyd George Galloway George Patton George Soros George Tenet George W. Bush Georgia Germans Germany Ghislaine Maxwell Gilad Atzmon Gina Peddy Giorgia Meloni Gladwell Glenn Greenwald Global Warming Globalism Globalization Globo-Homo God Gold Golf Gonzalo Lira Google Government Government Debt Government Spending Government Surveillance Government Waste Grant Smith Graphs Great Bifurcation Great Depression Great Leap Forward Great Powers Great Replacement Greece Greeks Greenland Greg Cochran Gregory Clark Gregory Cochran Greta Thunberg Grooming Group Selection GSS Guardian Guest Guilt Culture Gun Control Guns GWAS Gypsies H.R. McMaster H1-B Visas Haim Saban Hair Color Haiti Hajnal Line Halloween HammerHate Hannibal Procedure Happening Happiness Harvard Harvard University Harvey Weinstein Hassan Nasrallah Hate Crimes Fraud Hoax Hate Hoaxes Hate Speech Hbd Hbd Chick Health Health And Medicine Health Care Healthcare Hegira Height Hell Henry Harpending Henry Kissinger Heredity Heritability Hezbollah High Speed Rail Hillary Clinton Hindu Caste System Hindus Hiroshima Hispanic Crime Hispanics Historical Genetics History Of Science Hitler HIV/AIDS Hoax Holland Hollywood Holocaust Denial Holocaust Deniers Homelessness Homicide Homicide Rate Hominin Homomania Homosexuality Hong Kong Houellebecq Housing Houthis Howard Kohr Huawei Huddled Masses Huey Newton Human Achievement Human Biodiversity Human Evolution Human Evolutionary Genetics Human Evolutionary Genomics Human Genetics Human Genomics Human Rights Human Rights Watch Humor Hungary Hunt For The Great White Defendant Hunter Biden Hunter-Gatherers I.F. Stone I.Q. I.Q. Genomics #IBelieveInHavenMonahan ICC Icj Ideas Identity Ideology And Worldview IDF Idiocracy Igbo Ilan Pappe Ilhan Omar Illegal Immigration Ilyushin IMF Impeachment Imperialism Inbreeding Income Income Tax India Indian Indian IQ Indians Individualism Indo-Europeans Indonesia Inequality Inflation Intelligence Intelligence Agencies Intelligent Design International International Comparisons International Court Of Justice International Criminal Court International Relations Internet Interracial Marriage Interracism Intersectionality Intifada Intra-Racism Intraracism Invade Invite In Hock Invade The World Invite The World Iosef Stalin Iosif Stalin Iq And Wealth Iran Nuclear Agreement Iran Nuclear Program Iranian Nuclear Program Iraq Iraq War Ireland Irish Is Love Colorblind Isaac Herzog ISIS Islam Islamic Jihad Islamic State Islamism Islamophobia Isolationism Israel Bonds Israel Defense Force Israel Defense Forces Israel Separation Wall Israeli Occupation IT Italy Itamar Ben-Gvir It's Okay To Be White Ivanka Ivy League J Street Jacky Rosen Jair Bolsonaro Jake Sullivan Jake Tapper Jamal Khashoggi James Angleton James Clapper James Comey James Forrestal James Jeffrey James Mattis James Watson James Zogby Janet Yellen Janice Yellen Japan Jared Diamond Jared Kushner Jared Taylor Jason Greenblatt JASTA Javier Milei JCPOA JD Vance Jeb Bush Jeffrey Epstein Jeffrey Goldberg Jeffrey Sachs Jen Psaki Jennifer Rubin Jens Stoltenberg Jeremy Corbyn Jerry Seinfeld Jerusalem Jerusalem Post Jesus Jesus Christ Jewish Genetics Jewish History Jewish Intellectuals Jewish Power Jewish Power Party Jewish Supremacism JFK Assassination JFK Jr. Jihadis Jill Stein Jimmy Carter Jingoism JINSA Joe Lieberman Joe Rogan John Bolton John Brennan John Derbyshire John F. Kennedy John Hagee John Kirby John Kiriakou John McCain John McLaughlin John Mearsheimer John Paul Joker Jonathan Freedland Jonathan Greenblatt Jonathan Pollard Jordan Peterson Joseph McCarthy Josh Gottheimer Josh Paul Journalism Judaism Judea Judge George Daniels Judicial System Judith Miller Julian Assange Jussie Smollett Justice Justin Trudeau Kaboom Kahanists Kaiser Wilhelm Kamala Harris Kamala On Her Knees Kanye West Karabakh War 2020 Karen Kwiatkowski Karine Jean-Pierre Karmelo Anthony Kash Patel Kashmir Kay Bailey Hutchison Kazakhstan Keir Starmer Kenneth Marcus Kevin MacDonald Kevin McCarthy Kevin Williamson Khazars Kids Kim Jong Un Kinship Kkk KKKrazy Glue Of The Coalition Of The Fringes Knesset Kompromat Korea Korean War Kosovo Kristi Noem Ku Klux Klan Kubrick Kurds Kushner Foundation Kyle Rittenhouse Kyrie Irving Language Laos Larry Ellison Larry C. Johnson Late Obama Age Collapse Latin America Latinos Laura Loomer Law Lawfare LDNR Lead Poisoning Leahy Amendments Leahy Law Lebanon Lee Kuan Yew Leftism Lenin Leo Frank Leo Strauss Let's Talk About My Hair LGBT LGBTI Liberal Opposition Liberal Whites Liberalism Liberals Libertarianism Libya Lindsey Graham Linguistics Literacy Literature Lithuania Litvinenko Living Standards Liz Cheney Liz Truss Lloyd Austin long-range-missile-defense Longevity Looting Lord Of The Rings Lorde Los Angeles Loudoun County Louis Farrakhan Love And Marriage Low-fat Lukashenko Lula Lyndon B Johnson Lyndon Johnson Madeleine Albright Mafia MAGA Magnitsky Act Mahmoud Abbas Malaysia Malaysian Airlines MH17 Manufacturing Mao Zedong Maoism Map Marco Rubio Maria Butina Maria Corina Machado Marijuana Marine Le Pen Marjorie Taylor Greene Mark Milley Mark Steyn Mark Warner Market Economy Martin Luther King Martin Scorsese Marvel Marx Marxism Masculinity Mass Immigration Mass Shootings Mate Choice Mathematics Matt Gaetz Max Blumenthal Max Boot Max Weber Maxine Waters Mayans McCain McCain/POW McDonald's Meat Media Media Bias Medicine Medieval Christianity Medieval Russia Mediterranean Diet Medvedev Megan McCain Meghan Markle Mein Obama Mel Gibson Men With Gold Chains Meng Wanzhou Mental Health Mental Illness Mental Traits Meritocracy Merkel Merkel Youth Merkel's Boner Merrick Garland Mexico MH 17 MI-6 Michael Bloomberg Michael Collins PIper Michael Flynn Michael Hudson Michael Jackson Michael Lind Michael McFaul Michael Moore Michael Morell Michael Pompeo Michelle Goldberg Michelle Ma Belle Michelle Obama Microaggressions Middle Ages Middle East Migration Mike Huckabee Mike Johnson Mike Pence Mike Pompeo Mike Signer Mike Waltz Mikhael Gorbachev Miles Mathis Militarized Police Military Military Analysis Military Budget Military History Military Spending Military Technology Millennials Milner Group Minimum Wage Minneapolis Minorities Minsk Accords Miriam Adelson Miscegenation Miscellaneous Misdreavus Mishima Missile Defense Mitch McConnell Mitt Romney Mixed-Race MK-Ultra Mohammed Bin Salman Monarchy Mondoweiss Money Mongolia Mongols Monkeypox Monopoly Monotheism Moon Landing Hoax Moon Landings Moore's Law Morality Mormonism Mormons Mortality Mortgage Moscow Mossad Movies Muhammad Multiculturalism Music Muslim Ban Muslims Mussolini NAEP Naftali Bennett Nakba NAMs Nancy Pelos Nancy Pelosi Narendra Modi NASA Natanz Nation Of Hate Nation Of Islam National Assessment Of Educational Progress National Debt National Endowment For Democracy National Review National Security Strategy National Socialism National Wealth Nationalism Native Americans Natural Gas Nature Vs. Nurture Navalny Affair Navy Standards Nazis Nazism Neandertals Neanderthals Negrolatry Nehru Neo-Nazis Neoconservatism Neoconservatives Neoliberalism Neolithic Neoreaction Nesta Webster Netherlands Never Again Education Act New Cold War New Dark Age New Deal New Horizon Foundation New Silk Road New Tes New Testament New World Order New York New York City New York Times New Zealand New Zealand Shooting NFL Nicholas II Nicholas Wade Nick Eberstadt Nick Fuentes Nicolas Maduro Niger Nigeria Nike Nikki Haley NIMBY Nina Jankowicz Noam Chomsky Nobel Peace Prize Nobel Prize Nord Stream Nord Stream Pipelines Nordics Norman Braman Norman Finkelstein North Africa North Korea Northern Ireland Northwest Europe Norway Novorossiya NSA NSO Group Nuclear Energy Nuclear Power Nuclear Proliferation Nuclear War Nuclear Weapons Nuremberg Nutrition Nvidia NYPD Obama Obama Presidency Obamacare Obesity Obituary Obscured American Occam's Razor Occupy Wall Street October Surprise OFAC Oil Oil Industry OJ Simpson Olav Scholz Old Testament Oliver Stone Olympics Open Borders OpenThread Opinion Poll Opioids Orban Organized Crime Orlando Shooting Orthodoxy Orwell Osama Bin Laden OTFI Ottoman Empire Our Soldiers Speak Out Of Africa Model Paganism Pakistan Pakistani Palantir Palestine Palestinians Palin Pam Bondi Panhandling Papacy Paper Review Parasite Burden Parenting Parenting Paris Attacks Partly Inbred Extended Family Pat Buchanan Patriot Act Patriotism Paul Craig Roberts Paul Findley Paul Ryan Paul Singer Paul Wolfowitz Pavel Grudinin Paypal Peak Oil Pearl Harbor Pedophilia Pentagon Personal Genomics Personality Pete Buttgieg Pete Hegseth Peter Frost Peter Thiel Petro Poroshenko Phil Rushton Philadelphia Philippines Philosophy Phoenicians Phyllis Randall Physiognomy Piers Morgan Pigmentation Pigs Piracy PISA Pizzagate POC Ascendancy Podcast Poetry Poland Police Police State Polio Political Correctness Makes You Stupid Political Dissolution Political Economy Politicians Politics Polling Pollution Polygamy Polygyny Pope Francis Population Population Genetics Population Growth Population Replacement Populism Porn Pornography Portland Portugal Portuguese Post-Apocalypse Postindustrialism Poverty Power Pramila Jayapal PRC Prediction Prescription Drugs President Joe Biden Presidential Race '08 Presidential Race '12 Presidential Race '16 Presidential Race '20 Prince Andrew Prince Harry Princeton University Priti Patel Privacy Privatization Progressives Propaganda Prostitution protest Protestantism Protocols Of The Elders Of Zion Proud Boys Psychology Psychometrics Psychopathy Public Health Public Schools Puerto Rico Puritans Putin Putin Derangement Syndrome QAnon Qasem Soleimani Qassem Soleimani Qatar Quantitative Genetics Quiet Skies R2P Race Race And Crime Race And Genomics Race And Iq Race And Religion Race/Crime Race Denialism Race/IQ Race-Ism Race Riots Rachel Corrie Racial Purism Racial Reality Racialism Racism Rafah Raj Shah Rand Paul Randy Fine Rape Rare Earths Rashida Tlaib Rationality Ray McGovern Raymond Chandler Razib Khan Real Estate RealWorld Recep Tayyip Erdogan Reconstruction Red Sea Refugee Crisis Religion Religion And Philosophy Rentier Reparations Reprint Republican Party Republicans Review Revisionism Rex Tillerson RFK Assassination Ricci Richard Dawkins Richard Goldberg Richard Grenell Richard Haas Richard Lewontin Richard Lynn Richard Nixon Rightwing Cinema Riots R/k Theory RMAX Robert A. Heinlein Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Robert Ford Robert Kagan Robert Kraft Robert Maxwell Robert McNamara Robert Mueller Robert Reich Robots Rock Music Roe Vs. Wade Roger Waters Rolling Stone Roman Empire Romania Romans Romanticism Rome Ron DeSantis Ron Paul Ron Unz Ronald Reagan Rotherham Rothschilds Roy Cohn RT International Rudy Giuliani Rush Limbaugh Russiagate Russian Demography Russian Elections 2018 Russian History Russian Media Russian Military Russian Nationalism Russian Occupation Government Russian Orthodox Church Russian Reaction Russians Russophobes Russophobia Rwanda Ryan Dawson Sabrina Rubin Erdely Sacha Baron Cohen Sacklers Sailer Strategy Sailer's First Law Of Female Journalism Saint Peter Tear Down This Gate! Saint-Petersburg Salman Rushie Salt Sam Altman Sam Bankman-Fried Sam Francis Samantha Power Samson Option San Bernadino Massacre Sandy Hook Sapir-Whorf SAT Satan Satanic Age Satanism Saudi Arabia Scandal Science Denialism Science Fiction Scooter Libby Scotland Scott Bessent Scott Ritter Scrabble Secession Self Determination Self Indulgence Semites Serbia Sergei Lavrov Sergei Skripal Sergey Glazyev Seth Rich Sex Sex Differences Sexism Sexual Harassment Sexual Selection Sexuality Seymour Hersh Shai Masot Shakespeare Shame Culture Shanghai Cooperation Organisation Sheldon Adelson Shias And Sunnis Shimon Arad Shireen Abu Akleh Shmuley Boteach Shoah Shorts And Funnies Shoshana Bryen Shulamit Aloni Shurat HaDin Sigal Mandelker Sigar Pearl Mandelker Sigmund Freud Silicon Valley Singapore Single Women Sinotriumph Six Day War Sixties SJWs Skin Color Slavery Slavery Reparations Slavs Smart Fraction Social Justice Warriors Social Media Social Science Socialism Society Sociobiology Sociology Sodium Solzhenitsyn Somalia Sotomayor South Africa South Asia South China Sea South Korea Southeast Asia Soviet History Soviet Union Sovok Space Space Exploration Space Program Spain Spanish Spanish River High School SPLC Sport Sports Srebrenica St Petersburg International Economic Forum Stabby Somali Staffan Stage Stalinism Standardized Tests Star Trek Star Wars Starvation Comparisons State Department Statistics Statue Of Liberty Steny Hoyer Stephen Cohen Stephen Jay Gould Stereotypes Steroids Steve Bannon Steve Sailer Steve Witkoff Steven Pinker Steven Witkoff Strait Of Hormuz Strategic Ambiguity Stuart Levey Stuart Seldowitz Student Debt Stuff White People Like Sub-Saharan Africa Sub-Saharan Africans Subhas Chandra Bose Subprime Mortgage Crisis Suburb Suella Braverman Sugar Suicide Superintelligence Supreme Court Surveillance Susan Glasser Svidomy Sweden Switzerland Symington Amendment Syria Syrian Civil War Ta-Nehisi Coates Taiwan Take Action Taliban Talmud Tariff Tariffs Tatars Taxation Taxes Technical Considerations Technology Ted Cruz Telegram Television Terrorism Terrorists Terry McAuliffe Tesla Testing Testosterone Tests Texas THAAD Thailand The AK The American Conservative The Bell Curve The Bible The Black Autumn The Cathedral The Confederacy The Constitution The Eight Banditos The Family The Free World The Great Awokening The Left The Middle East The New York Times The South The States The Zeroth Amendment To The Constitution Theranos Theresa May Third World Thomas Jefferson Thomas Massie Thomas Moorer Thought Crimes Tiananmen Massacre Tibet Tiger Mom TikTok TIMSS Tom Cotton Tom Massie Tom Wolfe Tony Blair Tony Blinken Tony Kleinfeld Too Many White People Torture Trade Trains Trans Fat Trans Fats Transgender Transgenderism Transhumanism Translation Translations Transportation Travel Trayvon Martin Trolling True Redneck Stereotypes Trump Trump Derangement Syndrome Trust Tsarist Russia Tucker Carlson Tulsa Tulsi Gabbard Turkey Turks TWA 800 Twins Twitter Ucla UFOs UK Ukrainian Crisis UN Security Council Unbearable Whiteness Unemployment United Kingdom United Nations United Nations General Assembly United Nations Security Council United States Universal Basic Income UNRWA Urbanization Ursula Von Der Leyen Uruguay US Blacks US Capitol Storming 2021 US Civil War II US Congress US Constitution US Elections 2016 US Elections 2020 US State Department USA USAID USS Liberty USSR Uyghurs Uzbekistan Vaccination Vaccines Valdimir Putin Valerie Plame Vdare Venezuela Victor Davis Hanson Victoria Nuland Victorian England Video Video Games Vietnam Vietnam War Vietnamese Vikings Viktor Orban Viktor Yanukovych Violence Vioxx Virginia Virginia Israel Advisory Board Vitamin D Vivek Ramaswamy Vladimir Zelensky Volodymyr Zelensky Vote Fraud Voting Rights Voting Rights Act Vulcan Society Waffen SS Wall Street Walmart Wang Ching Wei Wang Jingwei War War Crimes War Guilt War In Donbass War On Christmas War On Terror War Powers War Powers Act Warhammer Washington DC WASPs Watergate Wealth Wealth Inequality Web Traffic Weight WEIRDO Welfare Wendy Sherman West Bank Western Civilization Western Decline Western European Marriage Pattern Western Hypocrisy Western Media Western Religion Western Revival Westerns White America White Americans White Death White Flight White Guilt White Helmets White Liberals White Man's Burden White Nakba White Nationalism White Nationalists White People White Privilege White Race White Racialism White Slavery White Supremacy White Teachers Whiterpeople Whites Whitney Webb Who Whom Whoopi Goldberg Wikileaks Wikipedia Wildfires William Browder William F. Buckley William Kristol William Latson William McGonagle William McRaven WINEP Winston Churchill Woke Capital Women Woodrow Wilson Workers Working Class World Bank World Economic Forum World Health Organization World Population World War G World War H World War Hair World War I World War III World War R World War T WTF WVS WWII Xi Jinping Xinjiang Yahya Sinwar Yair Lapid Yemen Yevgeny Prigozhin Yoav Gallant Yogi Berra's Restaurant Yoram Hazony YouTube Yugoslavia Yuval Noah Harari Zbigniew Brzezinski Zimbabwe Zionism Zionists Zohran Mamdani Zvika Fogel
Nothing found
Filter?
anonguy
Comments
• My
Comments
1,570 Comments • 160,000 Words •  RSS
(Commenters may request that their archives be hidden by contacting the appropriate blogger)
All Comments
 All Comments
    I mentioned awhile back that two decades ago I had known a Russian illegal alien lady whose latest plan was trying to get documentation from Russia demonstrating she was Jewish so she could stay here under the Lautenberg Amendment's Religious Minority Refugee proviso. (As we all know, it's completely un-American for religion to play any...
  • I went through the INS review with my (legitimate) foreign born wife. It was a formality for us, obviously well-to-do professionals, my wife from a Euro country, etc.

    I asked the examiner what percentages of marriages that the INS sees does she think are fake/arranged/insincere.

    She very brightly/cheerfully responded, “Oh, about 80%”, which floored me. And mind you, this was in 1991.

    She also said this like it was a common assumption among her peers, not some personal agenda of hers.

    Something is wrong with a process where 80% of the applicants are still fraudulent/invalid at this late and high cost stage of the process (human interview). I’m certain far fewer than 80% are rejected at this stage.

  • Greg Cochran writes at WestHunter: I find it useful to store in my head a number of highly stylized but reasonably accurate interconnected numbers. For example: 4 million is a useful round number estimate of the number of Americans of any particular age: newborns, 4th-graders, 21-year-olds, etc. If the average person lives to be 80,...
  • @Jus' Sayin'...
    In a stationary population (constant age-specific death rates and annual deaths = annual births) the crude birth rate and death rate are equal to the inverse of the expectation of life at birth. (I thought this was really cool when I first saw it derived.)

    Replies: @anonguy

    “In a stationary population (constant age-specific death rates and annual deaths = annual births) the crude birth rate and death rate are equal to the inverse of the expectation of life at birth. (I thought this was really cool when I first saw it derived.)”

    Isn’t this essentially the definition of a stable population stated arithmetically (can’t even grace it with the term “mathematically”, that might make this observation by Jus’ Sayin’ sound intelligent/clever then).

  • @Harry Baldwin
    I had a rule of thumb for converting pistol and rifle calibers given in metric to Standard--multiply by four.

    5.56 mm = .22 caliber
    6.35 mm = .25 caiber
    7.62 mm = .30 caliber
    9 mm = .36 caliber (what we call .38 is really .357 or .36)

    Replies: @anonguy, @Veracitor, @BurplesonAFB

    I had a rule of thumb for converting pistol and rifle calibers given in metric to Standard–multiply by four.

    5.56 mm = .22 caliber
    6.35 mm = .25 caiber
    7.62 mm = .30 caliber
    9 mm = .36 caliber (what we call .38 is really .357 or .36)

    Lots better is simply remembering 1 inch ~ 2.5 centimeters (or its inverse, 1 cm = .4 inches, hence your factor of four above)

    Another related one is 1 meter ~ 3 feet, but if you need a little more accuracy, 1 meter ~ 3.1 feet.

    p.s. “~” is a better symbol for expressing approximations than “=”.

  • From DW: The more Occamite a statement, the more you're not allowed to say it.
  • Poll: Americans support Trump’s Muslim migration ban by a 50-46 margin.

    http://www.washingtonexaminer.com/dems-like-a-muslim-ban-much-more-when-its-not-trumps-idea/article/2578766

    Considering that the majority of Americans support the proposal, it’s amazing how hysterical the reaction has been from the media and political establishment.

    You know you are on target when you are catching flak.

  • From the NYT: As Graduation Rates Rise, Experts Fear Diplomas Come Up Short By MOTOKO RICH DEC. 26, 2015 1129 COMMENTS ... It is a pattern repeated in other school districts across the state and country — urban, suburban and rural — where the number of students earning high school diplomas has risen to historic...
  • Isn’t this simply a variant of the old, “Despite record low crime rates, prisons are bursting at the seams” type of idiocy?

  • The Hispanic population of North Carolina has famously exploded, from 77,000 in the 1990 Census to 895,000 in a 2014 estimate. Buzzfeed features a massive article on one guy in North Carolina, former civil servant/marijuana farmer Stan Eury, who has since 1989 quasi-legally imported hundreds of thousands of Mexicans on H-2 visas as guest workers:...
  • I was stationed at Camp Lejeune, NC in the late 70s. I’m 100% positive the only Mexicans (or any other Hispanics) I ever encountered there were fellow Marines.

  • From Psychology Today: And here's an article about Jussim in Quillette:
  • Stereotype threat always struck me as one of the more fanciful Just So stories. Who could ever believe something like that? Probably people who also use it console themselves about their own deficient performances on intelligence tests.

  • I guess I’m a climate skeptic. I’ve always thought it was a pseudo science given the absolute dearth of people with any real/quantitative background in heat transfer/fluid flow. From what I can tell, it is a bunch of soft science folks running around with excel spreadsheets and making “hand waving” arguments.

    FWIW, I have extensive experience in heat transfer/fluid dynamics, both professionally and academically.

    I don’t like to argue with religious people, so I don’t usually even discuss things with believers. However, on the occasion it arises, I usually explain it like this:

    Heat transfer/fluid flow problems, and in general any chaotic system, are highly non-linear. That is, even minor changes in coefficients, assumptions, not only can, but quite often will make extremely large differences in outcomes.

    So when your models aren’t yielding desired outcomes, one often reassesses one’s inputs to see if they can be adjusted to produce the desired outcomes. The entire field of climate science is populated by researchers who are looking for desired results, this is undeniable even to climate change (or whatever they call it these days) believers. Thus, even with the best intentions, the results in climate science are always going to skew to the desired result.

    In other words, global warming as a prediction is always going to get the call by researchers when resolving ambiguities, gray areas, estimations, etc. Actually, given the dynamics of the situation, it is impossible for it to work otherwise. It is inherently biased and only in very hard math/science can a lone voice occasionally prevail.

    First question to any purported climate scientist should be how much have they ever worked with Navier Stokes equations. Or maybe, if they have ever even heard of them.

    Maybe then might ask them about that assumption of constant energy input from that big ball of hydrogen fusion up in the sky. That is an unsupportable assumption simply by itself. But an interesting question would be:

    Assume there is no greenhouse effect and the entire predicted/claimed recent global warming was simply due to the sun. How much would the sun have to increase its energy output to be the cause of this trend (ps – remember heat transfer/fluid flow problems are often highly non-linear, so there is a very real possibility the answer is ‘Not very much at all, maybe even not a detectable amount’. Do we even have any way of detecting that amount of increased energy from the sun? Do we claim to fully understand all the means by which energy is transferred from the sun to the earth via the manifold types of radiation emanating from it?

    I honestly don’t know the answer(s) to these questions and, again, I have very significant background in physics, heat transfer, etc. What tells me this is not real science is the fact that I don’t see anyone in the field asking these questions and understanding the driving function – in climate, it is the sun ultimately – in any problem is among the first questions to ask and to continue to review as one models, etc.

    Sometimes a believer then asks why don’t guys like me come forward with these criticisms. I respond that they are all sensible people like me who have no wish to be “The Worst Person In The World” for a week or so on the internet. Even believers get that.

  • A. Because there are virtually no Muslims in Japan. And all strata of Japan, from the prime minister to the working class, intend to keep it that way. From the Jewish Press: Update: a lot of commenters raise doubts about the categorical assertions about policy in this article. Snopes claims they can't find any evidence...
  • The snopes debunking is done by westerners or at least people who don’t really understand how Japan operates. When you have a culturally/ethnically homogeneous society with an average IQ of 105, you really don’t have to write everything down in lawyerly detail.

    So a lot of policy manifests that isn’t written in some law/manual. For instance, I highly doubt there is any written guideline that tells airport security to search/extensively question arabic/muslim looking people. However, it has happened to every about every muslim/arab looking people every time I’ve been in a Japanese airport, which is many more times than I can count.

    Similarly, many landlords won’t rent to foreigners – this is legal, they don’t have civil rights laws – much less muslims. I would agree that muslim-appearing people are probably facing an uphill battle with landlords.

    Similarly for immigration – you can bet there is no question about religion on the forms and the Japanese immigration bureau would say they are neutral on the issue. That is because Japan learned a long time ago that what are common assumptions in Japan can cause huge clutching of pearls abroad. But you can bet your bottom yen that the immigration bureaucrats (and Japan is run by its bureaucrats) aren’t very keen on some muslim applicant sitting in front of them.

    So all the stuff is constructively true to at least some degree. Unless you’ve spent a whole bunch of time in Japan, one really can’t understand how pervasive and guiding the collective conscious is in Japan. All kinds of stuff happens that isn’t written/verbalized and so forth. But yeah, it is true that none of that stuff is on the books or even directed from somewhere, just 100m+ people with very similar backgrounds making very similar decisions.

    I live in a hi-rise and I’m certain our landlord would not rent to a muslim because he’d be worried that it would make other renters uncomfortable. And he would be right, and, in Japan, he would be within his rights. And all the other renters would be counting on him to make this decision.

    Debito Arudou quite publicly spent years tilting at these windmills, trying to pull the sorts of levers one pulls in western societies, but Japan just about always wins.

    • Replies: @Brett_McS
    @anonguy

    In that sense Japan is like a very large version of a local community in the west: fairly homogeneous, culturally integrated, etc. The difference is that if a local community in the west were to try and protect its integrity against (very) foreign invaders/immigrants the higher levels of government would probably send the troops in ... to enforce the invasion.

    , @PiltdownMan
    @anonguy

    I used to live and work in Japan circa 2000 and this post gets to the heart of the matter.

    Snopes is irrelevant-their investigation of the inner workings of Japanese immigration policy is about as useful as a committee of Chisena speakers of the Lower Zambezi investigating the policies of the membership committee at the Augusta National Golf Club.

    I'm not sure what the proportion of foreigners and immigrants is in Japan today. It was said to be about 300,000 in a population of 120,000,000 fifteen years ago.

    If you think Britain has an unwritten constitution, Japan beats it hands down. The unspoken assumptions about the right thing to do, in every situation, including dealing with foreigners, are the invisible code and the map to the lives and actions of the Japanese. Little needs to be said, let alone documented, even behind closed doors.

    An story about immigration into Japan. A colleague, born in Hong Kong of a Japanese mother, who had studied, lived and worked in Japan from his early teens, wanted to apply for citizenship, which was his right. He showed me his application form, a full 800 pages long. It took him eight years.

    The Japanese have an iron grasp on their self-identity, life is good in an advanced industrial society, and they don't want to change anything. Foreign economists and sociologists getting the vapors about zero growth rates and the labor requirements of aging populations could be on Pluto.

    That's the bottom line with the Japanese and everyone else.

  • @22pp22
    @Brett_McS

    I worked at a Japanese university for three years. Having a Japanese supervisor is pure misery. They can be very critical of those below them and with colleagues outside their department they can be savage. I don't agree with your assertion.

    Replies: @Brett_McS, @anonguy

    I worked at a Japanese university for three years. Having a Japanese supervisor is pure misery. They can be very critical of those below them and with colleagues outside their department they can be savage.

    That is the part of Japan that is hidden behind all the politesse, etc. It is a hugely top down society and just like aboriginal’s first thought upon encountering a stranger is whether they have to kill him or not, the first instinct of Japanese is where they rank relative to you. That is (one reason) why foreigners are frequently asked their age in very casual/incidental encounters with Japanese, it helps them get a fix on where you/he relate in the social hierarchy.

    Japanese bosses are famously a terror and a strongman like Trump would fit right in, although like most westerners, he talks too much for Japanese tastes. But again, there is the rest of the story. Despite all the bloviation about how awful Trump is, and all the drama of his life, it is striking that, so far, nobody from his family, ex wives, girlfriends, employees, business dealings, has much to say bad about him. I’m surmising that is because despite his bluster, he extends loyalty downward. And Japanese bosses are expected to follow this model. Doesn’t always happen, but it is the cultural expectation, far more than in the U.S. which abandoned paternalism a long time ago.

  • Here is a slice ‘o life from Japan. I’m think I the only “visible foreigner” in my neighborhood, at least for a few blocks. One day, my wife was walking past the local koban – police box – and heard one of cops milling around outside say to another, “She’s married to the foreigner”. This isn’t in Mayberryama ( the “inaka” in the parlance), but Osaka.

    The western reflex would be to see this as prejudice, etc. But my wife and I both just viewed it as normal police work, “noticing things”. That being said, I don’t delude myself and think I fit in Japanese society as anything other than a curiosity. And yeah, some Japanese probably hate me and my gaijinness, but I can hardly expect every single person in a nation of 100m+ to like me. I also get a terrific amount of liberty in Japan, the gaijin card as it were, because everyone knows that only a Japanese can understand all the rules – this even applies to Japanese professionals (and especially their children) after returning from a long posting abroad. The “children of returning overseas Japanese” receive AA-like preference on school admissions/tests and so forth.

  • From the Washington Times: Over the next few days we will see the homicide figures for 2015 from various cities. My guess from earlier in the year is that homicide rates in 2015 tended to spike in cities where BlackLivesMatter/Eric Holder/Eye of Soros Establishment had the upper hand, such as St. Louis, Baltimore, and DC,...
  • @Chris Mallory
    @David

    Which doctors "hand out opioids like candy " ? Chronic pain is criminally under treated in the US. Trying to get pain meds when you suffer from debilitating pain is next to impossible.

    Replies: @The most deplorable one, @David, @anonguy

    Which doctors “hand out opioids like candy ” ? Chronic pain is criminally under treated in the US. Trying to get pain meds when you suffer from debilitating pain is next to impossible.

    I had major surgery last summer and I expected that I would be begging for painkillers as I had heard about pain being undertreated in the U.S. for many years now. However, I was surprised, my Dr. was completely free with the juice, swapped the tylenol spiked stuff for the pure oxycodone/oxycontin when I complained a tiny bit and seemed completely willing to prescribe me as much as I wanted.

    I actually started/completed the process of weaning myself off the stuff on my own initiative – my Dr, who happens to be a very accomplished/respected, I’d say world class, surgeon, not some sleazy import in the hinterlands, gave me no pushback whatsoever or any urging to limit myself, etc. I had the impression I could have gone on for months refilling prescriptions, but gawd, that oxycodone stuff just does a number on you if you are at all tuned in on your body.

    My (anecdotal) experience, which was 180 degrees at odds with my expectation, caused me to do a little more reading on the subject and my opinion is that undertreatment of pain was indeed an issue in the past, but Drs. and the whole medical (and regulatory) apparatus has now caved to big pharma. I think the Drs. & regulators have been beaten over the head for years now about undertreatment of pain and are very sensitive to patients making this accusation like maybe employers are now about accusations of racism. I didn’t even hint at this, but it was my sense of the situation. Obviously only one data point, though, so ymmv.

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @anonguy

    My vague impression was that the government did a switcheroo on painkillers around 2000. I read up on painkillers in 1997 when I had cancer. There were a lot of articles by respectable authorities saying opioids were too restricted at the time. My impression was that they sounded like the authorities and doctors were getting closed to switching to more liberal laws and practices.

    , @Marty T
    @anonguy

    Most doctors I've ever seen seemed more interested in peddling drugs than anything else.

  • Here's a letter signed by thousands of people claiming to be professional physicists. I don't recognize any famous old grand lions of physics like Freeman Dyson, Steven Weinberg, or Stephen Hawking signing this, but I didn't do a thorough search. Enjoy: Objective, bias-free science to be funded being science that generates acceptable results.
  • Peak physics was a couple of generations ago, when things like lasers, rockets, nuclear fission/fusion, etc, were coming on stream. Since the end of the Cold War at latest, it has become irrelevant and a boondoggle. Without the gov. welfare, it would revert back to the tweedy pastime it was prior to 1920s/30s and is slowly getting there anyhow. Current crop of physicists are time-servers and really generally useless pussies.

    My undergrad is physics and this was clear to me decades ago, the whole field has been coasting on its laurels since forever.

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @anonguy

    "Peak physics was a couple of generations ago, when things like lasers, rockets, nuclear fission/fusion, etc, were coming on stream. Since the end of the Cold War at latest, it has become irrelevant and a boondoggle. Without the gov. welfare, it would revert back to the tweedy pastime it was prior to 1920s/30s and is slowly getting there anyhow. Current crop of physicists are time-servers and really generally useless pussies."

    Physics certainly doesn't have the cachet it did fifty years ago. The fact that so many particle physicists (and they consider themselves to be the true vanguard of physics) feel the need to beat their breasts in popular coffee-table books, on NPR, etc. about how supremely awesome physics is, indicates that - as a field - it is kind of past its sell-by date. They gas on about the Higgs boson and the like in popular expositions that don't even really explain anything. I sometimes wonder who it is they are trying to convince: their audience..............or themselves.

    Replies: @Anonymous, @cthulhu, @Anonymous Nephew

    , @Diversity Heretic
    @anonguy

    I am not a scientist but I have read that while the 20th Century was the century of physics, the 21st Century will be the century of biology--although that will be much more dangerous to the illusions of the social justice warriors than physics could ever be.

    On the other hand, the thought of an incompetent physicist in the management of a nuclear power plant is fairly terrifying.

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @Matthew Kelly
    @anonguy

    I know of one example supporting this: An old college buddy of mine got his doctorate in theoretical physics, and after spending a year or two in some bunker studying solar neutrino emissions said something much to the effect of your comment. He is now a lawyer.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Jack D
    @Horzabky


    “Why does physics education routinely fail brilliant minority students?”
     
    Well of course this is begging the question, but they are getting at a few things here:

    1. Many state universities (esp. in states where AA was banned by the voters) now have "top 10%" programs where the top 10% of each high school in state is automatically admitted. In the land of the blind, one eyed men are kings - the top 10% coming out of ghetto schools is not that bright by objective standards but they are still "top". But when they get to Flagship State U. and sit in the physics class with all the white and Asian students, they are instantly in over their heads.

    2. The black "self esteem" movement which proclaims blacks to be beautiful, brilliant, etc.

    3. The book that they site (and which Steve mentions) - blacks are (again without any evidence) brilliant but learn in a "different" way so "white" math/physics fails them because it is expressed in terms of all these funny Greek letters and equations instead of in a way that aligns with black brilliance.

    So basically, this is history repeating itself - instead of a Deutsche Physik we are now going to have Black Physics. In both cases, it was ultimately a power grab. Even Himmler ended up rejecting Deutsche Physik because he was more interested in winning the war than he was in promoting one side in a petty academic turf battle.

    All the nonsense that we have now is a sort of fruit of the end of the Cold War - we are no longer fighting for our survival (we think) so we can afford to take science off onto tangents.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Eustace Tilley (not), @the raven

    All the nonsense that we have now is a sort of fruit of the end of the Cold War – we are no longer fighting for our survival (we think) so we can afford to take science off onto tangents.

    Exactly – the same reason Suzy can dress up and play submariner or Marine grunt, those things don’t really matter now and consequently safe/unimportant enough for the ladies to amuse themselves with.

    Having the perspective of a few decades now, it is very striking how much society changed after the Cold War – Tailhook inquisition, paleocon purge, etc was just a taste of things to come.

  • From the NYT a couple of weeks ago: Hungary’s Migrant Stance, Once Denounced, Gains Some Acceptance By ANDREW HIGGINS DEC. 20, 2015 BUDAPEST — Like most members of Hungary’s liberal intellectual elite, George Konrad, a distinguished novelist, loathes his country’s stridently illiberal prime minister, Viktor Orban. “He is not a good democrat and I don’t...
  • @Bert
    Merkel is an ex-communist functionary who remained loyal to the "German Democratic Republic" until the Berlin Wall was literally coming down.

    Orban risked his life as a student staring down Soviet tanks in Budapest and made a speech which played a major role in the fall of Hungarian communism.

    Which one would you rather follow?

    Replies: @anonguy

    It is an utter travesty that Merkel is anywhere other than in prison or a prison grave after execution.

    I understand the strategic reasons why Bush I chose conciliation after the end of the Cold War, but now we have to suffer from the consequences of not having a purge, call to account, etc, for every Communist Party member like we are still doing with just about every ex-Nazi (or even simply late war non-German SS draftee/flunky).

    As usual, the Rs thought they were being gracious, genteel, unlike the unwashed left and got played as usual – winning the Cold War, probably about the only significant right wing accomplishment in, I dunno, a century maybe, has been completely flushed down the memory hole. The narrative has it due to the beneficence of crypto/premature SJW Gorbachev at best or simply fated to happen as an natural phenomenon if anyone remembers it at all. Certainly Reagan and the right had nothing to do with it and former commies were all just happy innocents in the sway of an innocuous system whose only identifiable fault was their shoddy consumer goods.

    Really – end of the Cold War just mean better shopping for those behind the Iron Curtain.

  • Here's a letter signed by thousands of people claiming to be professional physicists. I don't recognize any famous old grand lions of physics like Freeman Dyson, Steven Weinberg, or Stephen Hawking signing this, but I didn't do a thorough search. Enjoy: Objective, bias-free science to be funded being science that generates acceptable results.
  • @Hibernian
    Physics majors tend to be like English majors, politically.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Physics majors tend to be like English majors, politically.

    Yes, they and the math majors (I was physics) tend to gravitate towards the avant garde despite their nerdiness. Engineering students, at least traditionally, have tended to be far more conservative IME.

  • @cthulhu
    @Mr. Anon

    There's a lot more to physics than particle physics aka high energy physics. Condensed matter physics, a generalization of what used to be called solid state physics, is really hot (well, lots of it is really cold - as in barely above absolute zero - but you know what I mean).

    Replies: @anonguy, @Mr. Anon

    There’s a lot more to physics than particle physics aka high energy physics. Condensed matter physics, a generalization of what used to be called solid state physics, is really hot (well, lots of it is really cold – as in barely above absolute zero – but you know what I mean).

    This may be true, but it still doesn’t change the fact that physics is no longer Big Physics and has lost the imagination of the public. When it had it it was a field of demonstrably high and immediate consequences for, well, everyone and everything.

    I have a degree in physics and haven’t had the slightest interest in any physics breakthrough since my undergrad days. And that isn’t sour grapes, I was very capable, top student and all, sought after for grad work, etc. But even back then, I felt the glory days had passed for the field, at least in my lifetime, and went to other (highly technical) things that seemed a lot more relevant.

    The best thing about having a physics degree is everyone else invariably thinks you are the smartest guy in the room providing you are the only one there with such a thing. This actually has consistently worked to my advantage over the decades and for that reason alone I could easily recommend a young person pursuing a physics degree. Undergraduate is enough – I have a insanely propellor-headed grad degree that required a lot more mental horsepower, but the undegrad physics degree is what people always notice and defer to me as more being more intelligent than them.

    Really, it gives people a face-saving out, naturally anonguy is smart, he has a physics degree. Not that it makes him right, but conceding smart is a long way to conceding right.

    This thread is a case in point. Would anyone be paying the signatories the slightest heed if it were a petition signed by chemists? And many commenters seems to be relieved that many/most signatories aren’t really legitimate physicists rather than saying who gives a rat’s patoot about physicists.

  • Fundmentally however, it was not this or that physicist (or which ethnicity they belonged to) who permitted the US to build the bomb. It was the vast resources that the US could bring to bear on the problem.

    Exactly. Figuring out uranium enrichment at Oak Ridge, Tenn was at least as important as anything that happened in Nevada. And the theoretical basis of the bomb was understood before the war. It was engineering after that. Tons of it, but basically engineering.

    Read up on Leo Szilard. He actually had a patent on nuclear fission in the 1930s.

    • Replies: @Bliss
    @anonguy


    Read up on Leo Szilard. He actually had a patent on nuclear fission in the 1930s.
     
    I read up on Leo Szilard (thank God for the internet) and discovered that he was jewish as well (ethnic not religious). On the other hand Enrico Fermi, also known as the architect of the atomic bomb, was a gentile italian, but he did have an ethnic jewish wife so had to escape from Europe to America.

    So many of Europe's best scientists and engineers ended up in America because of Hitler...
  • @Diversity Heretic
    @anonguy

    I am not a scientist but I have read that while the 20th Century was the century of physics, the 21st Century will be the century of biology--although that will be much more dangerous to the illusions of the social justice warriors than physics could ever be.

    On the other hand, the thought of an incompetent physicist in the management of a nuclear power plant is fairly terrifying.

    Replies: @anonguy

    On the other hand, the thought of an incompetent physicist in the management of a nuclear power plant is fairly terrifying.

    The thought of a competent physicist in the management of a nuke power plant isn’t much more comforting. Nuclear power plants are run by operators who make their way up the ranks and recieve specialized training on, naturally, how to run a nuclear power plant. Typically, there is a bunch of nuclear engineering in the training in addition to straight operational stuff with enough physics theory to provide background.

    Traditionally, lots of guys come out of USN programs. Physics helps with some of the material, engineering degrees help with other portions. And other things come into play.

    I knew two guys with physics degrees who washed from Navy nuke training, one from Princeton, one from Duke, so they weren’t slouches intellectually. But managing a nuclear plant also requires personal qualities in a crisis, what the Navy calls “command presence”, the ability to take charge, impose your will upon situations, and, at the end of the day, that is what these guys lacked, both were kind of nerdy, and the Navy was pretty upfront about it. Civilian programs look for the same, can’t have a shrinking violet in charge in certain siuations.

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @anonguy

    If I recall, one of the things that caused the Three Mile Island near-meltdown was the fact that the guys they had on duty were basically low level technicians who couldn't properly analyze or respond to what was going on. They had started out with more educated operators but the job consisted of sitting and staring at dials that never moved (when everything was going right, which was almost all of the time) and it was mind numbingly boring for someone highly intelligent (and maybe the utility figured they could save money by hiring less educated operators). Then one day the dials did move and the techs on duty were incapable of dealing with it.

  • @cthulhu
    @Jack D

    Speaking of Heisenberg, I recall some speculation that he deliberately slowed down the Nazi nuclear program. Anybody know if that's true?

    Replies: @syonredux, @anonguy, @AnAnon

    Speaking of Heisenberg, I recall some speculation that he deliberately slowed down the Nazi nuclear program. Anybody know if that’s true?

    I read up on some of this years ago and my memory is sketchy. However, without reviewing the material, my impression remains that Heisenberg was rather an ardent Nazi or at least markedly slavish in courting official Nazi/governmental favor.

    The slowing down claim came across to me as post-war revisionism/rehabilitation. Most of the slow progress IIRC was simply lack of resources & commitment by the German government. Apparently Hitler was at least mildly concerned that an uncontrolled uranium fission reaction (i.e, explosion) could spread to the atmosphere in sort of an ice9 fashion, obliterating the earth.

    Sounds childish and silly then, but Hitler, and whichever advisors put this notion in his head, were hardly alone. Apparently there were at least a few sighs of relief among various (non-idiotic) Americans after Trinity/Los Alamos that this didn’t happen.

    Again, details are fuzzy, this is from long ago reading and maybe the material has been debunked/changed since then.

    • Replies: @Mr. Anon
    @anonguy

    "Apparently Hitler was at least mildly concerned that an uncontrolled uranium fission reaction (i.e, explosion) could spread to the atmosphere in sort of an ice9 fashion, obliterating the earth."

    I'm not sure that Hitler ever even contemplated the idea of an atomic bomb, or if he was ever briefed on it. The Germans had alreadly fairly early in the war given up on any idea of building a nuclear weapon. Their research was directed solely at building a reactor, based on what I have read anyway.

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @Mr. Anon
    @anonguy

    "Apparently there were at least a few sighs of relief among various (non-idiotic) Americans after Trinity/Los Alamos that this didn’t happen."

    Teller raised the concern that a fission bomb might ignite a sustained thermonuclear reaction in atmospheric nitrogen. Bethe (or maybe Teller himself, or both) were able to discount that concern fairly early in the project.

    Replies: @Brutusale

    , @5371
    @anonguy

    [my impression remains that Heisenberg was rather an ardent Nazi or at least markedly slavish in courting official Nazi/governmental favor.]

    Your impression is highly inaccurate.

    Replies: @Jack D

  • @Matthew Kelly
    @anonguy

    I know of one example supporting this: An old college buddy of mine got his doctorate in theoretical physics, and after spending a year or two in some bunker studying solar neutrino emissions said something much to the effect of your comment. He is now a lawyer.

    Replies: @anonguy

    I know of one example supporting this: An old college buddy of mine got his doctorate in theoretical physics, and after spending a year or two in some bunker studying solar neutrino emissions said something much to the effect of your comment. He is now a lawyer.

    See, all physics guys aren’t necessarily really smart if it took him that long to figure it out. Happened to me in my third year, I’m still glad I caught on early. Finished the degree and moved on.

    Another thing about physicists – yes, people tend to think they are smart and consequently often give their opinions greater weight than warranted. One result of this is the field tends to attract people who want other people to think they are smart or even to convince themselves over their insecurities that they are natural genius.

    This dynamic is/was (been out of it for years) extremely prominent, just oozes from everyone in the field, the neediness to feel like they are incredibly smart, as opposed to hardworking, people. Even as an undergrad, I could see this in all my profs and was another major thing in me pursuing other options in life, I didn’t want to have colleagues with this pathetic neediness. Really, nearly every competent physicist is constantly in a battle to prove how smart he is, even the really smart accomplished ones. Kind of sucks being around people like that all the time, IMO.

    • Replies: @5371
    @anonguy

    [See, all physics guys aren’t necessarily really smart if it took him that long to figure it out. Happened to me in my third year, I’m still glad I caught on early]

    ...

    [Really, nearly every competent physicist is constantly in a battle to prove how smart he is, even the really smart accomplished ones. Kind of sucks being around people like that all the time, IMO.]

    Irony is dead.

  • @Mr. Anon
    @anonguy

    "Apparently Hitler was at least mildly concerned that an uncontrolled uranium fission reaction (i.e, explosion) could spread to the atmosphere in sort of an ice9 fashion, obliterating the earth."

    I'm not sure that Hitler ever even contemplated the idea of an atomic bomb, or if he was ever briefed on it. The Germans had alreadly fairly early in the war given up on any idea of building a nuclear weapon. Their research was directed solely at building a reactor, based on what I have read anyway.

    Replies: @anonguy

    I’m not sure that Hitler ever even contemplated the idea of an atomic bomb, or if he was ever briefed on it. The Germans had alreadly fairly early in the war given up on any idea of building a nuclear weapon. Their research was directed solely at building a reactor, based on what I have read anyway.

    What I seem to vaguely remember is someone recounting a conversation with Hitler where he expressed this concern and maybe it was not only about bombs but reactors as well. But again, I’d have to go back and dig around for details, but I’m certain about the recollection of Hitler discussing/entertaing the thought, and it was also fairly early in the war IIRC.

  • I get a fair amount of mail wanting to know about expatriation to Mexico, whether it is a good idea, what it is like, and how to do it. I have consequently flung together the following to satisfy this curiosity. I hope it serves. Mexico is a friendly, courteous, flavorful country. It appeals to the...
  • Mexicans are just Fred Reed’s pet noble savages. This patronizing BS has been emanating from white people since at least the 19th century. Idealizing an ethnic group as Fred & other white romantics do is as racist and infantilizing to the target group as is hating them. No difference whatsoever, regardless of the patronizer’s good intentions.

    This is especially egregious in Fred’s case because he never misses a chance to say something awful about Americans, they are all fat, stupid, greedy, etc. Not at all resembling the Eloi-like Mexicans if Fred the Repetitive is to be believed.

    I don’t see why the guy just doesn’t get a job with the Mexican tourist promotion bureau or whatever and call it a day. And on top of that, this stuff is boring – it was fun to poke holes in it at first, but it is too easy.

    These columns are so predictable that I think he must have a computer program write them. Been a real long time since I’ve read anything interesting by him.

    Ron Unz – you might want to consider dropping Fred. Not because I disagree with him, but because he has become boring/repetitive and his columns no longer seem to serve any purpose.

    • Agree: Bragadocious
    • Replies: @Stan D Mute
    @anonguy


    Ron Unz – you might want to consider dropping Fred. Not because I disagree with him, but because he has become boring/repetitive and his columns no longer seem to serve any purpose.
     
    Translation:

    "Not because I disagree with him, but because I think he has become boring/repetitive and his columns no longer align with my sacred beliefs"
     
    Or, here's a novel idea, shockingly innovative yet marvelously effective: how about you just don't read Fred's columns? Seriously. Who peruses and pores over everything a writer writes then complains it is "boring/repetitive"? Is Fred Reed required reading where you live? His columns like the pop-up window ads from Hell? No matter how fast you click the "close" button, ten more windows open and you cannot escape this maze of pundit horrors until you read every terribly boring word?
    , @Clyde
    @anonguy

    Right on all your Fred Reed criticisms but I still like his material and the comments section might be better. I disagree with ol Fred but he still has the write stuff!

    , @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @anonguy

    Fred may already have a side job: Serving as Jeb!'s foreign policy PR guy on all things about Mexico. It's a two fer: more amnesty helps to rid Mexico of their undesirables and Jeb! gets to crow about how wonderful those coming across the border are. Like Fred, Jeb! has a vested interest in Mexico, in more ways than one.

    One nice thing about the US. For the most part, the crime rate isn't anywhere near the levels of Mexico (on average). Also, things work and run on time. But then, what would you expect of a nation with a national average IQ of 100 and not 90?

    Note: For some strange reason, wealthy elite Mexicans tend to send their kids to US Universities. Can't imagine why, what with all those jobs and factories that they've gained from exported/shipped out from the US, you'd think that they'd have been able to build better universities for their own kids. Strange how that works. How come the Mexican smart ones generally like to become educated in US universities if the US is such a bad place, on average?

  • The NYT finally reports on the New Year's Eve gropefest in downtown Cologne. The Köln train station is kind of the front door of Germany for travelers coming from England and the Netherlands. I changed trains there in 1980 and had two minutes to step outside and gaze at in awe at the great cathedral,...
  • @Anonymous
    Firing bullets into the air in 'celebration' is a very dumb thing to do.

    The basic laws of physics tell us, at a first approximation, if we ignore the effects of air resistance, that a projectile hurled into the air at high velocity returns to the ground at the same velocity.
    When you consider the considerable muzzle velocity of an ak 47 bullet, and the effect on range on tilting the barrel just a merest fraction of a degree, then it is hardly surprising to read accounts of persons being killed by bullets 'coming out of nowhere' and placing themselves 'right top, dead center of the head' a considerable distance away from the discharge.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @Anonymous, @anonguy

    The basic laws of physics tell us, at a first approximation, if we ignore the effects of air resistance, that a projectile hurled into the air at high velocity returns to the ground at the same velocity.

    Uncanny how this follows the recent physics thread.

    The above statement isn’t even wrong, it is just nonsense.

    First, if we ignore air resistance, i.e, we can’t in any meaningful way talk about hurling something into the air, since the only effect of air, apart from nearly negligible buoyancy, gravitational effects of air mass, etc, is air resistance. But I’ll concede that is pedantic. Anyhow, the author seems to have meant to say in a vacuum.

    In this case, the basic laws of physics don’t tell us at a first approximation, that … Rather, the basic laws of physics, if whether classical or modern, tell us that that the body will return at exactly the same velocity.

    However, if we do consider the effects of air, it isn’t to a first approximation except for very short distances. A falling human body in a prone position reaches 120 mph and gets to that pretty quickly.

    From wikipedia:

    “Higher speeds can be attained if the skydiver pulls in his or her limbs (see also freeflying). In this case, the terminal velocity increases to about 320 km/h (200 mph or 90 m/s),[2] which is almost the terminal velocity of the peregrine falcon diving down on its prey.[3] The same terminal velocity is reached for a typical .30-06 bullet dropping downwards—when it is returning to earth having been fired upwards, or dropped from a tower—according to a 1920 U.S. Army Ordnance study.[4]”

    A common physics 101 problem is working this out and students are generally amazed to find out that if you fall out of a 4th story window or so you achieve 90% or so (I qualify with “or so” because it is been a long time since I’ve done the math) of the velocity you’d achieve if you fell out of a plane at 5000 feet. Or 50,000 feet, etc.

    That isn’t a first order of approximation at all – again, in some extremely limited, low distance/low velocity cases one might justify this, but as a general case and specifically in one with the muzzle velocity of typical bullets and the height they achieve, it is not just inaccurate, it is directly at odds with the facts.

    That all being said, a typical bullet, regardless of what aspect it assumes, striking the top of one’s head at ~200 mph sounds like it could do some heavy damage – I’m not disputing that.

  • @Anon
    @Jefferson

    Not true.

    Plenty of women in the Muslim world dress modern.

    And Muslims didn't regard British women as whores during the age of empire.

    Today's western women really are whores.

    They are trash. And western fathers are a total disgrace raising girls like these.

    http://www.intouchweekly.com/posts/here-s-that-allison-williams-sex-scene-from-girls-everyone-is-talking-about-49348

    The old way was better. Never dishonor the family.

    https://youtu.be/pvrVFb-RIQc?t=9s

    Replies: @Jefferson, @anon, @Calogero, @anonguy

    Today’s western women really are whores.

    They are trash. And western fathers are a total disgrace raising girls like these.

    I abhor the behavior of the mob in Cologne of course, but I can hardly blame them for the impressions they’ve formed about western degeneracy. I’d bet that any Ozzies transported from 1950s or earlier western civ to the present day would come to conclusions closer to those of the refugees than those of a contemporary western male. They’d just differ only in what actions they might take based upon those conclusions and I’m not entirely convinced that a bunch of young, footloose partying 1950s western men might similarly conclude that they are in the midst of some Saturnalia, jungle rules apply, and decide to join the fun in some manner from which they would be inhibited in their original environment. And since they are new to all this, they might misjudge the situation a bit.

    Same thing sometimes happens with western guys visiting Boy’s Towns along the Mexican border, current/former fleshpots like Thailand, Phillipines, etc., which can seem at first like anything goes, but even degenerated social milieus have some social boundaries that aren’t at all obvious at first to people from more ordered societies.

    The only difference is that in Cologne they were running in a group of 1000+ as opposed to two or three bros getting out of hand in some unbelievable, to a typical middle class first world neophyte, red light district.

    Again, I’m not at all giving the mob a pass on behavior, but their initial conclusions aren’t entirely irrational given the stark contrast between the way many women present these days in our society and theirs.

    Judging from the minimizing statements of the left-ish media/German authorities, it seems like this is one point where social conservatives and liberals may find some agreement

    • Replies: @anon
    @anonguy

    blaming the victims is an attempt to deflect attention away from the threat

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @ben tillman
    @anonguy


    They’d just differ only in what actions they might take based upon those conclusions and I’m not entirely convinced that a bunch of young, footloose partying 1950s western men might similarly conclude that they are in the midst of some Saturnalia, jungle rules apply, and decide to join the fun in some manner from which they would be inhibited in their original environment.
     
    Well, I'm entirely convinced. Such men would be able to see that other men are not acting as if they were in the midst of a Saturnalia.
    , @Anon
    @anonguy

    What happened in Haight-Asbury that supposedly epitomized love and peace in the 60s?
    So many young girls were taken advantage by louts and thugs and hornballs.

    http://archives.chicagotribune.com/1968/12/28/page/28/article/10-hippies-held-in-girls-rape-and-slaying

    https://amietheauthor.wordpress.com/2015/09/03/the-haight-was-full-of-hate-the-true-story-of-the-summer-of-love/

    I don't see this as a Muslim problem. And I don't think the main reason is because all these young men got their ideas from the Koran.

    When you create conditions were lots of rough young men are allowed to invade a territory and given freedom to rampage around, this will happen, especially if the word is out that western women are 'begging for it' --- according to pop culture --- and western men are too afraid to stand up for their women.

    What did Soviet troops do in WWII? They didn't just rape German women but just about any women they could get their hands on.
    But there was a good deal of rapes and rampaging by US soldiers too. They were not Muslim. And what happened in Nanking? Buddhist Japanese did that stuff.

    Germany and etc are not in a state of war, but they created war-like conditions, especially since these 'refugees' are escaping from war zones. For yrs, they've lived in desperation, chaos, and anarchy. They are hungry, horny, shellshocked. They've been animalized by constant warfare and destruction. And degraded by internet culture of whore-ism and western trashism that makes them both long for the west in animal delight and despise it for its moral degradation.

    They feel both anger and gratitude to be in the West. They see the West as having created this havoc in the Middle East but they are also happy to be inside rich nations. And their expectations are high. They want free stuff, they want women.

    Besides, these guys would NOT be in Europe if Western nations hadn't surrendered to the GLOB. The power of GLOB, through media-academia-government say that 'European values' must call for deracination. Having surrendered to the GLOB, western nations opened their borders to the Muslim hordes and African hordes since the GLOB orders such.

    In ancient Babylon, adults sacrificed young children to some terrible god.
    Today, white folks sacrifice their children to toxic mammon of Pop Culture(that turns youngsters into whores or pimps) and Political Correctness(that lobotomized whites of their racial-survival instinct).

    The Muslim punks are taking advantage of the situation. But they didn't create it.
    If you cut yourself open and expose it, germs and flies will soon do their thing.

    Replies: @iSteveFan, @random observer

    , @ben tillman
    @anonguy


    I’d bet that any Ozzies transported from 1950s or earlier western civ to the present day would come to conclusions closer to those of the refugees than those of a contemporary western male. They’d just differ only in what actions they might take based upon those conclusions and I’m not entirely convinced that a bunch of young, footloose partying 1950s western men might similarly conclude that they are in the midst of some Saturnalia, jungle rules apply, and decide to join the fun in some manner from which they would be inhibited in their original environment.
     
    And another thing: This was JANUARY in GERMANY!

    The women weren't running around half-naked.
  • @iSteveFan
    @Clyde


    I have never believed these bs stories about people being killed by bullets coming down from celebratory gunfire that is fired straight up in the air. There is just too low probability of that bullet hitting hard enough and in just the right place to kill. Its an urban myth.
     
    What about anti-aircraft rounds that come back down? Are there significant casualties caused by all that falling debris? I always remember the opening rounds of Desert Storm in 1991 with all those tracer rounds lighting up the sky over Baghdad. I always wondered what happened when they came back down.

    Also I wondered what happened with the expended shell casings coming out of fighters. A WW2 Mustang would drop its .50 caliber brass casings as it fired. Surely some of those rained down on European cities. Did they cause casualties?

    Replies: @anonguy, @Anonymous Nephew

    “What about anti-aircraft rounds that come back down? Are there significant casualties caused by all that falling debris? I always remember the opening rounds of Desert Storm in 1991 with all those tracer rounds lighting up the sky over Baghdad. I always wondered what happened when they came back down.

    Also I wondered what happened with the expended shell casings coming out of fighters. A WW2 Mustang would drop its .50 caliber brass casings as it fired. Surely some of those rained down on European cities. Did they cause casualties?”

    According to this thread, the answer is yes for falling shrapnel at least and furthermore, plenty, this can be a very major cause of casualties. I didn’t see anything about casings, though.

    http://www.ww2f.com/topic/36323-ground-casualties-from-air-battles/

  • Turns out casualties from falling shrapnel, casings, and such is a pretty lively topic:

    http://www.google.com/search?q=casualties+in+war+caused+by+falling+shrapnel

  • @anon
    @anonguy

    blaming the victims is an attempt to deflect attention away from the threat

    Replies: @anonguy

    blaming the victims is an attempt to deflect attention away from the threat

    I guess you and people making similar comments have never been out for an authentically rolicking good time.

    The women act and look like whores to these guys, and probably to nearly every member of western civ until the past generation.

    There is a reason modest dress is encouraged/adopted in healthy societies. BTW, the converse does not follow, modest dress does not necessarily imply health societies, so please don’t accuse me of saying this. I shouldn’t have to write that out, but you doubtlessly have zero facility with predicate logic and if I didn’t spell this out Barney-style, you would have further cluttered this thread with another vacuous thought. Actually, “thought” would give too much credit – maybe “echo some other person’s vacuous thought” would be more accurate.

    You sound like one of those naifs who says, oh, lets put women on submarines and it is all the guys fault if one of them so much leers at a female. That school of thought contends that the men are supposed to obey orders, right?, and this is just a discipline problem, not a human nature. The difference between the male submariners and the refugees is only quantitative, not qualitative.

    I’m one of those who think maybe a machine gun emplacement at Ellis Island might have been a better idea than a welcome center, so I have no sympathy for the “refugees” in europe. But I’m not interested in being a protective male, defending some society so the women can go around acting and looking like whores.

    Problem is, you (or people from whom such mindlessly unoriginal and unthinking drivel oozes – hint: “blame the victim” was trite nlt than late 1970s – are so saturated with propaganda you’ve been co-opted yourself by the degeneracy and so forth that you probably believe you oppose.

    Despite all that, there is another thing I know. Regardless of my opinions on cultural decay, I would come to the aid of one of those victims well before you would no matter how long I paused because you never would. But I wouldn’t be waiting for the move you are never going to make, I would be acting post-haste.

    Because I have in the past, been there, done that, given and taken some lumps and I am a very lucky man to be alive and typing now. I’m sure you will dismiss this as braggadocio, though.

    To the point – why I know this about you and your ilk. People who repeat such reflexive idiocies are cowards. Mentally, simply because they parrot the small ideas of others. And physically, because the body follows the mind.

    You’d know all this too if you had the slightest hint of a backbone. Try doing or thinking something original, daring, take a risk for once in your useless life rather than just being a shallow and transparent tool.

    • Replies: @anon
    @anonguy

    That was long...

    blaming the victims is an attempt by people who want the destruction of europeans to deflect attention away from the threat.

    , @random observer
    @anonguy

    I would largely agree with your sentiments, though I admit one thing gave me pause right off the bat and one other response occurred to me later.

    One is that even when young I can't for a minute imagine myself having gone out for a good old fashioned rape party, nor anyone I knew, nor any male to whom I was related of any generation known to me. It doesn't mean I can't tell the difference between looking like a decent girl and a whore, but if I was looking for a whore I'd probably have paid her the money. [Can't imagine it would be worth the shots I might have needed, though. I was a teen in the 80s. Couldn't get the image of lesions out of my head.] Call me beta, I guess.

    The more important point by way of response would be that if European and American girls look and act like whores, then at minimum they are our whores to be managed by us if we can finally get a handle on it. Not to be lined up and pawned off to keep the trash happy.

    , @random observer
    @anonguy

    Although I admit I'm impressed by that second half...

  • @Expletive Deleted
    @Anonymous

    Oh all right then guv it's a fair cop.
    I knew all along that if you spunk a round off in the general direction of God, it just runs out of puff due to various fluids dragging it to a stop, and goes into a low orbit along with the battered relics all the ten-gallon hats, footballs, rabbits, cows, cigarette butts, beercans and fleas ever loosed upwards.

    If bullets were the size of housebricks, or cows, then I'd be worried. Any of them dropped from a mile 0r so might sting a bit, due to the influence of the ridiculously feeble force of gravity, and compounding. Their mass ensures that any buffering due to air resistance wouldn't help a lot.
    If on the other hand, there was no air, we'd still be fairly safe, as the ammo would just beetle off into space, having easily defeated gravity.
    You sla-aaaa-gggg!

    Replies: @anonguy

    “Oh all right then guv it’s a fair cop.
    I knew all along that if you spunk a round off in the general direction of God, it just runs out of puff due to various fluids dragging it to a stop, and goes into a low orbit along with the battered relics all the ten-gallon hats, footballs, rabbits, cows, cigarette butts, beercans and fleas ever loosed upwards.

    If bullets were the size of housebricks, or cows, then I’d be worried. Any of them dropped from a mile 0r so might sting a bit, due to the influence of the ridiculously feeble force of gravity, and compounding. Their mass ensures that any buffering due to air resistance wouldn’t help a lot.
    If on the other hand, there was no air, we’d still be fairly safe, as the ammo would just beetle off into space, having easily defeated gravity.
    You sla-aaaa-gggg!”

    Good thing for you that spouting physics without a clue isn’t against the law. I thought your first comment was bad, but you’d get life if not the chair for this one.

  • @Yngvar
    @festivegunfire

    The cultural practice of firing a fully automatic AK-47 up in the air isn't that ancient. Wasn't seen anywhere before 1947 as it happens.

    Firing a vertically inclined gun during celebrations have its roots in the pre-gunpowder tradition of "pumping" a sword or knife in the air, a transmuted and societally accepted way of "displaying ones manhood".

    The spent casings on the ground also represent a real problem. They act like roller bearings and it's easy to trip on them and get hurt. So watch your step and don't fire unless you're standing still!

    Replies: @anonguy

    The cultural practice of firing a fully automatic AK-47 up in the air isn’t that ancient. Wasn’t seen anywhere before 1947 as it happens.

    The AK47 was still in development in 1947, so I guess that is a pretty safe statement.

    What about other firearms?

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @anonguy

    Afghans started firing muskets into the air in the 18th Century or so. Musket balls didn't have enough exit velocity to get high enough usually to do more than give concussions. Modern rifles, which as the young Churchill noted, were introduced into the Highlands in the late 19th Century could kill, but by then firing into the air to celebrate was Tradition.

    , @festivegunfire
    @anonguy

    Cretan Greeks don't fire AK 47's, they fire pistols and other kinds of rifles, including those old ones with beautiful engravings on them, and the practice goes very, very far back in the relevant regions of the Balkans. But I doubt it's as embedded a cultural practice in all the parts of the world that we now witness it with AK 47's or even handguns. How interesting that it evolved from a macho display of pumping a sword or knife.

    Every so often a Greek politician or high-profile celebrity will launch an earnest campaign against Crete's gun culture, and fail spectacularly. And it's really more of an indirect campaign against vendetta culture, because vendettas are often sparked by accidental gun deaths, such as during festivities. Intentional gun violence is incredibly low in Crete, especially when you consider the abundance of (mostly unregistered) guns. I think it was Mikis Theodorakis, who led one such failed campaign, and said with resignation that they've loved their weapons for thousands of years, how could we possibly believe we could change it?

  • From my new book review in Taki's Magazine: Forecasting a Million Muslim Mob by Steve Sailer January 06, 2016 In the news and opinion business, late December and early January are the dead season as journalists go on vacation, leaving behind their canned top 10 lists for last year and forecasts for the new year....
  • @Sam Haysom
    @AndrewR

    Most cultures demand a level of exposure to risk and hard labor that ensured a base line level of virility in men. yours is a perfect encapsulation of red-pill alt-rightery though. "Why doesn't the government make chicks sleep with us like it did in the Middle Ages. Only we don't want to have to do any of the snake-handling religious crap or go to church. Also we want a ton of porn."

    Replies: @AndrewR, @anonguy

    Most cultures demand a level of exposure to risk and hard labor that ensured a base line level of virility in men. yours is a perfect encapsulation of red-pill alt-rightery though. “Why doesn’t the government make chicks sleep with us like it did in the Middle Ages. Only we don’t want to have to do any of the snake-handling religious crap or go to church. Also we want a ton of porn.”

    Thread winner.

  • @tbraton
    I wasn't familiar with the name Philip Tetlock when I posted the following message on TAC 4-1/2 years ago (in response to a Phil Giraldi blog), although it seems to fall more in the category of superUNforecasting by the noted CIA analyst (to go with Tetlock's pretty damn good call of a coming Soviet breakup):

    "tbraton says:
    April 19, 2011 at 9:25 am
    “The utter wastefulness of this spending is really brought into focus when you consider the abysmal track record of the CIA. What are we getting for all this money–just more of the same failure!”

    When Bob Gates was at the CIA in the 1980’s, his area of specialty was the Soviet Union. Wikipedia has the following anecdote under the heading “Predictions of Soviet Collapse”:

    “Steward Brand said when introducing the work of Philip Tetlock that Brand’s partner had given a talk in the 1980s to top CIA people about the future of the Soviet Union. One scenario he raised was that the Soviet bloc might break up; a sign of this happening would be the rise of unknown Mikhail Gorbachev through the party ranks. A CIA analyst said that the presentation was fine, but there was no way the Soviet Union was going to break up in his lifetime or his children’s lifetime. The analyst’s name was Robert Gates.[36]” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_of_Soviet_collapse#Robert_Gates

    I can remember reading a review of a book written by a female analyst at the Hoover Institution around 1983 to 1985 with the title “The Coming Economic Collapse of the Soviet Union” or something like that. I have been trying to track down the book but have been unsuccessful so far."

    [Note: another poster came up with the name of the female analyst I was searching for, Judy Shelton, and I posted the correct name of her book, "The Coming Soviet Crash" (1989), along with the correct date of publication. Remembering the past can sometimes be as hard as forecasting the future.]

    Replies: @anonguy

    A CIA analyst said that the presentation was fine, but there was no way the Soviet Union was going to break up in his lifetime or his children’s lifetime. The analyst’s name was Robert Gates.[36]” http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Predictions_of_Soviet_collapse#Robert_Gates

    World events were feeling awfully hinky/unusual through spring/summer 1989, but I’d say it wasn’t until autumn 1989 and especially the opening of the Berlin Wall that this wasn’t the view of nearly everyone on planet earth who had an opinion on the topic. The Soviet Union was just part of the firmament.

    1989 was truly a year of miracles and I’m very happy I had the opportunity to both live and participate in those times.

    • Replies: @tbraton
    @anonguy

    There were two events cited in my message, the prediction by Gates that the Soviet Union would be in existence when his grandchildren were alive and Judy Shelton's prediction that the Soviet collapse was near. The Gates' comment happened a few years before 1989. Shelton's book was published in the summer of 1989, but she had been working on the book for several years before it was published. BTW the Berlin Wall only was opened up in November 1989. Even after the Wall came down, there was no assurance that the Soviet Union would break up. That happened two years later and surprised many people when it occurred. So it still remains a very bad call by Gates and a very good call by Shelton.

    , @Anonymous
    @anonguy

    1989 wasn't surprising at all. I called it in 1987 and by 1988 a large proportion of USSR population knew where Warsaw Bloc is heading.

  • Commenter Olorin has been using the term "dolt wrangling" to describe what appears to be one of the central methods of getting rich in the 21st Century: clever guys with spreadsheets offer attractive-seeming but implausible bets to less clever folks: subprime mortgages in the last decade, subprime car loans now, for-profit colleges financed by government...
  • @Muse
    I think it is no surprise that tradition western Christian culture frowned on, if not prohibited things like ursury and gambling. There was an understanding that there needed to be limits on the bright being able to take advantage of the dim, lest it undercut the society, and gambling and ursury or clearly great methods to take money from the weak minded. It is really no different than the belief that men should not take advantage of women, children or the elderly because they are weaker. This was tecognized as behaving in a civilized manner.

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar, @anonguy

    I think it is no surprise that tradition western Christian culture frowned on, if not prohibited things like ursury and gambling. There was an understanding that there needed to be limits on the bright being able to take advantage of the dim, lest it undercut the society, and gambling and ursury or clearly great methods to take money from the weak minded. It is really no different than the belief that men should not take advantage of women, children or the elderly because they are weaker. This was tecognized as behaving in a civilized manner.

    Public lotteries are effectively a tax on people with low mathematical skills.

  • @Sparkling Wiggle
    @MarkinLA

    Collusion among players in online poker is difficult to do. Even more difficult to do profitably. Yet even more difficult to do profitably without getting caught. And impossible to do consistently, profitably, and without getting caught. A high schooler could design a script to detect it.

    This assumes that we're talking about regular players and not insiders as in the Absolute Poker/Ultimate Bet superuser scandal.

    Replies: @anonguy, @MarkinLA

    Collusion among players in online poker is difficult to do. Even more difficult to do profitably. Yet even more difficult to do profitably without getting caught. And impossible to do consistently, profitably, and without getting caught. A high schooler could design a script to detect it.

    Why is this? I’m genuinely curious, having zero experience with online poker.

    • Replies: @Sparkling Wiggle
    @anonguy

    In Texas Hold 'em, the most popular poker game at the moment, each player is dealt 2 hole cards which only he can see. Let's say that you and I are colluding in a cash game online (meaning not a tournament; you can cash out your chips at any time and leave the table).

    If I'm involved in a hand with someone other than you, my partner in crime, how much of an edge will it give me to know your cards? Not much. Knowing your cards will allow me to calculate pot odds more accurately, which is certainly an advantage in the long run.

    But in online poker, the long run is tortuously long. I seem to remember David Sklansky saying it takes over 100,000 hands to know if you're even a long-run winning player after rake. So you and I are going to be at a lot of poker tables together for a very long time, giving people plenty of opportunities to discover what we're up to. So that's the first thing the anti-collusion software would look for: you and me sitting at 12 tables together.

    There is a basic strategy in poker, just as in blackjack. Except that instead of 1 correct play for each situation, it's more of a range of plays. If I have a strong hand, I'm going to bet and raise most of the time. A small percent of the time, I will vary the way I play those strong hands just to keep from being too predictable. If the online poker room sees you and me making a lot of highly improbable plays and winning, that's a clue that we may be colluding with someone. That's the second thing the software would look for.

    They would check our hand history for cases where knowledge of your hand would be particularly useful to me (like if I only had 2 outs to make my hand and you folded them), and the picture becomes pretty clear.

    None of those measures are airtight, and colluding players could possibly slip through the cracks. But again, in order to make it profitable, they have to skate through the cracks for thousands of hands, all while playing otherwise competent poker in the cases where collusion isn't beneficial.

    There are other kinds of collusion which may offer a greater payoff, but they involve coordinated play like chip dumping or trying to isolate certain players rather than just knowledge of 2 random cards.

    If you want to see what real cheating looks like, here's a simulation of the tournament that Absolute Poker player "potripper" won by accessing a superuser account, which was able to see every player's cards at the table.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Yojimbo/Zatoichi
    @Jason Bayz

    Hold it hold it hold it. That would be among the worst things to do regarding gambling. If it goes underground it wouldn't be too long before the Mob took it over again. If you made a bet and lost and couldn't pay the gambling debt, you may have to pay for it....literally in other ways that aren't to your liking. At least when its legal you don't have the quite literal threat of having to pay up; you'd just go bankrupt, but you wouldn't be sleeping with the fishes.

    Replies: @anonguy, @EriK

    Hold it hold it hold it. That would be among the worst things to do regarding gambling. If it goes underground it wouldn’t be too long before the Mob took it over again.

    From what I’ve heard, and I may be completely wrong, not everything about having the Mob run gambling is 100% negative. One thing I’ve seen cited is that one’s odds/percentage of the ticket/take that goes to payoffs was far higher in the numbers racket than it is in a typical state run lottery.

    • Replies: @MarkinLA
    @anonguy

    Off shore sports books have been known to just all of a sudden shut down and run off with the money. That probably won't happen with the mob because they money they make is good and even though they could stiff their bettors and nobody would go after them, then they lose a lucrative cash, no tax business.

    I used to have an account when they first started up. Mine was with a legitimate British sports book but their on-line stuff was operating out of Mauritius. Initially I went on a winning streak and got a check from them. Then I went on a losing streak and lost it all back and then some. They had a deal where they started giving you your vigorish back on losers. My last bet was a loser and I got the vig back - maybe 10 bucks. I never replenished my account. Every penny of those last bets were the vig I got from my other losers, that's how bad my losing streak was. That was the end of my account.

  • Commenter Millennial Falcon notes:
  • Remember also, William Shockley, another Nobel Laureate and MIT PhD in physics, whose IQ was in the 120′s. Maybe all the great doers weren’t bullshiting us when they kept touting the most important element to accomplishment, namely perseverance?

    There are lots of models for why people achieve intellectual excellence. Certainly one of them is personal insecurities about one’s ranking in the cognitive hierarchy. In another thread, I mentioned that this is endemic in physics and was one of the reasons, after acing an undergraduate degree in physics, I decided to pursue another path in life.

    At the same time, the reason I chose physics in the first place – apart from the fact that a some portion of the field is devoted to creating loud explosions, always alluring to young men – was its reputation as the hardest major, that the people in it were the smartest. And if people in the field are truly honest with themselves, it is an extremely common factor (among others) in choosing this path. Not very complicated really, everyone likes the prospect of being a member of some sort of elite.

    I’d fairly say that an inordinate percentage of the guys that got the highest grades and distinguished themselves were guys who were a bit of the mark from being the most natively intelligent because of the drive, in addition to having a high degree of native intelligence when considered against the “general population” but a bit off from the highest, engendered by these insecurities. That combination often put them ahead of “naturals” unwracked, and often these people are quietly but profoundly obsessed with this, by these concerns.

    And throughout many technical endeavors that have followed, I’ve observed this pattern regularly. It isn’t universal, but it is a fairly common theme.

    Achievement, as conventionally recognized, in intellectual endeavors, is strongly correlated with mental capacity measured by IQ and other devices, but it is far from a perfect correlation. Even psychology formally recognizes this, acknowledging that IQ above about 150 is where the already imperfect correlation starts significantly decreasing. Basically, “intelligence” or IQ above this level is so abnormal that it often results in outcomes that are categorized as dysfunctional wrt to what one would expect from a person with an IQ of 160. It is surprising how many people at this level end up as waitresses and so forth.

    Overachieving is as common as underachieving and that applies all the way up the IQ scale. Actually, it may be more common if one thinks about distribution curves – almost by convention, only people with superior intelligence will be tagged as underachievers, whereas anyone can be an overachiever.

    If you are truly confident that you are smarter than nearly anyone you’ve ever met, it just becomes something as mundane as being really tall or having good hair. It is pretty cool, any gift in life is, but you don’t sweat it. And you think, well, why should I spend 20 years slaving away in obscurity for a shot, at best, for a Field prize just so everyone thinks I’m smart? Heck, you know that already, why not chase some babes, make some money, have some thrills. That is appealing to someone with an IQ of 100, why wouldn’t it to at least some with an IQ of 160? Just because one is born with an upclocked processor doesn’t necessarily mean one desires the life of a geek at the chalkboard.

    Incidentally, that is a nearly universal assumption made by people closer to the mean, that people with inordinately high IQs are always attracted to such a life and if they aren’t, something is the matter with them. Believe me, the headwinds, social approbation, etc, one receives for bucking these expectations, especially when young and in the clutches of the education apparatus, are enormous. You are seen to be wasting a gift from God and so forth and are basically a bad person.

    Were I king, I’d ban IQ testing, at least for uses by the education establishment – it isn’t any of their f**king business, IMO.

    Trump is natively brilliant and clearly knows it, hasn’t the slightest doubt or insecurity about it. Heck, he says it all the time more or less, but people take it as bluster. But believe him, he simply chose, whether consciously or not, to live a vigorous life and directed his gifts quite successfully towards that goal.

    If you are really smart, you catch on very early in life that the nerds don’t get the cheerleaders. And if it is cheerleaders you want, why not apply your intelligence, and whatever else, to that goal. Pretty natural conclusion for someone of average intelligence, dontcha think it at least occasionally occurs to someone a few sigmas on the high side?

    I’m always highly amused at how he is described as an idiotic buffoon and such by his opponents.

  • Continuing along that high IQ/unconventional outcomes thought. It wouldn’t surprise me if Steve Sailer has an higher IQ than most people would expect. I wouldn’t guarantee it, but his output & life pattern has many of the fingerprints of such a scenario. I mean, he’s figured out how to live a singularly unusual, interesting/stimulating, and comfortable life far outside the bounds of social expectations basically doing what the f**K he likes while implicitly/explicitly shooting the bird to the dead weight of social expectations, PC, respectability, etc. That is not an easy problem to solve, lots harder than some math proof.

  • One further thought on Steve. Though he isn’t boastful about it, he obviously has intimates/associates who are recognized as world class brainwaves or achievers. Dollars to doughnuts, more than one of them has told him, or at least thinks, that he is one of the smartest people they’ve ever met.

    Steve?

    • Replies: @Steve Sailer
    @anonguy

    There are a lot of people smarter than me.

    Replies: @Anonym, @anonguy

  • From the NYT: I actually don't believe that psycho lunatics who go on kamikaz
  • Yeah, cowardly in this emerging usage usually actually indicates something that takes a terrific amount of nerve but is illegal/wrong, etc. Like the 9/11 hijackers being described as cowards. Say what you will about them and their cause, but being a kamikaze pilot is not for the faint of heart. Same with taking potshots at the police.

    This is how words change meaning over time. Maybe a century on, coward will simply mean bad person who did something dramatic. Or just bad person, and the dictionaries will note the archaic usage pertaining to timid/fearful.

    Here is one for Steve – could this changing meaning of coward be tied to a greater social trend, i.e., the increasing tendency in the west to completely demonize the opposition in recent decades? Walter Palmer, the lion hunter, was often described as a coward, etc. I don’t know how much realistic danger he faced sneaking up close to huge wild animals to take them out with a bow and arrow, but it seems like a situation that could be risky. In any event, it certainly didn’t decrease the danger level in his life, if he was a coward he would have just stayed home and took a few more dental appointments.

    • Agree: NOTA
    • Replies: @gruff
    @anonguy


    the increasing tendency in the west to completely demonize the opposition in recent decades
     
    It's now routine in the US to describe someone one disagrees with but doesn't know personally as "insane" or some other term meaning mentally ill.

    And hey! A fresh story on precisely this point!

    https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/grade-point/wp/2016/01/07/my-college-got-caught-up-in-the-horrifying-rage-over-wheatons-muslim-christian-god-debate/?tid=article_nextstory

    Replies: @slumber_j

    , @yaqub the mad scientist
    @anonguy

    How about "shameful", that newly repopularized word across the Voxosphere? If the sinner feels no shame (which is usually the case with those that Salonistas are trying to shame, especially since half the time they're describing something from a century ago that we're supposed be up in arms about now), how is it shameful?

    , @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy


    …if he was a coward he would have just stayed home and took a few more dental appointments.
     
    I don't know about that. I'd sooner chase lions with a pointed stick than stick my fingers in my neighbors' craws all day.
    , @JackOH
    @anonguy

    anonguy, you're on to something there. I've very loosely followed the careers of "cowardice" and "courage"--the words--and I'm not sure they're being used in ways that respect their dictionary meanings or their uses by skilled writers of history and fiction. I think it was a brilliant English critic (Empson? "Seven Types of Irony"? My brain isn't functioning this early.) who wrote at length about how words end up being used as fill dirt, as emotives, as expletives, as intensifiers, etc.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • Commenter Millennial Falcon notes:
  • @Dick Whitman
    @JLoHo

    Sessions is not electable. More importantly, Trump is the only candidate who doesn't have to answer to the (((donor class))), so he could at least theoretically pursue the policies he thinks are best for the country. Whether he will or not remains to be seen, but with everyone else there is ZERO CHANCE.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Sessions is not electable.

    His accent alone ensures that. Too much of the public now just unconsciously thinks, bad person, probably a closet racist. The only way someone with an accent like that could win a national election is for them to be some off the hook guy like Trump who can just blithely roll over this sort of noise and Sessions, for whatever his merits, isn’t that guy.

    He also has a bit of Ron Paul in his presentation, flap ear guy who is courtly in his arguments, but you can’t tell he is pretty exasperated that more of the general public can’t seem to get the obvious rightness of the stuff he presents.

  • @Steve Sailer
    @anonguy

    There are a lot of people smarter than me.

    Replies: @Anonym, @anonguy

    There are a lot of people smarter than me.

    That clinches it. That is what 10s always say. If you tell a knockout women that she’s the most beautiful women you’ve ever seen, the stock response is, “There are a lot of prettier women than me”.

  • From Politico: Europe’s Man Problem Migrants to Europe skew heavily male—and that’s dangerous. By Valerie Hudson 1/05/2016 ... According to Swedish government statistics, as of the end of November, 71 percent of all applicants for asylum to Sweden in 2015 were male. More than 21 percent of all migrants to Sweden were classified as unaccompanied...
  • Isn’t this another example of the “Luck of the Trump”, says something outrageous and events bear him out.

    Last summer he said migrants to the U.S. were rapists, howls of outrage. Admittedly, he wasn’t talking about euro-migrants, but it is hard not to draw parallels….

    • Replies: @JohnnyWalker123
    @anonguy

    Good point. Trump's most controversial statements are those about immigrant rapists and banning Muslims. Now suddenly we have mass sexual assaults in Germany and refugees being arrested for terrorist links.

    Rather than looking like a deranged bigot, Trump seems like a prescient statesman. It's the "respectable" members of our overclass who appear incompetent, blind, and apathetic.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • Commenter Millennial Falcon notes:
  • @Polymath
    (1) Both Feynman and Shockley were extraordinarily intelligent and the IQ numbers associated with them there are obviously way off. (Also, don't forget that some geniuses aren't prodigies and don't really mature intellectually until at least college, after all the IQ tests they took got taken.) And one test means nothing. I topped out every IQ test I ever took in school (which had a scale that went up to 150 or so) except one which for some reason is the one that my school district provided to my teachers -- although 133 is quite smart they knew it couldn't be right and all told me I was the smartest kid the school had ever had. Above 150 I don't think IQs are as linearly ordered, so I won't estimate mine, but I got 2400 on the GREs (before they were renormed to make high scores easier) and was a member of the Four Sigma Society until I figured out that although they were smarter and more accomplished than Mensans they were underachieving relative to their IQs by the same factor.

    I knew Feynman reasonably well in the 80's and he was definitely smarter than I was. I know a few people who are.

    (2) Several people are talking nonsense about Cruz. "Natural Born Citizen" means a citizen at birth, by virtue of one of two conditions: U.S. Citizen parent, or born on U.S. soil. The controversy over "birthright citizenship" is about whether the latter ought to automatically guarantee citizenship, but the former is sufficient for Cruz. If you are a citizen, and you never underwent an official naturalization process involving a U.S. government document with a particular date after your birth date on which you became a citizen, you must be a natural-born citizen, because "natural-born" and "naturalized" are the ONLY two possibilities.

    With Obama there are two ways in which it gets slightly vague -- because of technical conditions involving his mother's age and his father's non-citizenship some think that if he had actually been born in Kenya it would invalidate him, which is incorrect, and some others think that he somehow renounced his (natural-born) citizenship by applying to college in the USA as a foreign student, which is also incorrect. With both Cruz and Obama the only real question is whether having one parent rather than two be a U.S. citizen is sufficient to make one a citizen if one was not born on U.S. soil. The case for Obama being a natural-born citizen is stronger than the case for Cruz (because Obama Sr., being already married in Kenya, had no valid marriage to Ann Dunham, and there was never a legal finding of paternity, so no legal path to invalidate him) but the case for Cruz is plenty strong enough, there is no precedent for someone with Cruz's circumstances to be told as an adult that he is not a citizen (and if he is not a natural-born citizen he is not a citizen period because there never was any official "naturalization" for him).

    Replies: @anonguy, @PhysicistDave

    Both Feynman and Shockley were extraordinarily intelligent and the IQ numbers associated with them there are obviously way off. (Also, don’t forget that some geniuses aren’t prodigies and don’t really mature intellectually until at least college, after all the IQ tests they took got taken.) And one test means nothing. I topped out every IQ test I ever took in school (which had a scale that went up to 150 or so) except one which for some reason is the one that my school district provided to my teachers — although 133 is quite smart they knew it couldn’t be right and all told me I was the smartest kid the school had ever had. Above 150 I don’t think IQs are as linearly ordered, so I won’t estimate mine, but I got 2400 on the GREs (before they were renormed to make high scores easier) and was a member of the Four Sigma Society until I figured out that although they were smarter and more accomplished than Mensans they were underachieving relative to their IQs by the same factor.

    You make two important points that one doesn’t often hear:

    1) Replicability – by the time people are in their 20’s, they’ve likely had a number of tests that correlate imperfectly with intelligence – early age IQ, SAT, military tests, GRE, etc. What is the trend rather than what is one’s best/worst score. I’ve never been interested in Mensa, although I share your opinion, and wonder how many of their members would still qualify based upon their aggregate record rather than their cherry-picked best score.

    My guess is that it would be not insignificant based upon my observations about many of the people who join these things. I’d further guess that there is a statistically significant cluster of people in these things that just barely qualify for membership and that is the best score they ever received.

    2) The significance of scores thought to correlate with IQ above 150. First, as you note, the scores really become just scattershot – what does it mean to compare a score of 180 with 190? Can you really say one is substantially smarter than the other? Similarly, what does it mean to compare a score of 55 with 50?

    These tests are not designed to measure at extrema of intelligence, it just out of the scale of the measuring tool and the accuracy becomes something like measuring the distance of one’s daily commute with a yardstick.

    That’s because there aren’t even enough people around with IQ > 150/160 to reliably form a model applicable to that range of the scale and normalize the various tests. Can anyone think of a problem set that everyone with an IQ > 180 should be able to largely answer but those with IQ = 175 shouldn’t? How does one even begin to devise such a thing? And even were it possible, what would be the point?

  • From the NYT: I actually don't believe that psycho lunatics who go on kamikaz
  • @JackOH
    @anonguy

    anonguy, you're on to something there. I've very loosely followed the careers of "cowardice" and "courage"--the words--and I'm not sure they're being used in ways that respect their dictionary meanings or their uses by skilled writers of history and fiction. I think it was a brilliant English critic (Empson? "Seven Types of Irony"? My brain isn't functioning this early.) who wrote at length about how words end up being used as fill dirt, as emotives, as expletives, as intensifiers, etc.

    Replies: @anonguy

    anonguy, you’re on to something there. I’ve very loosely followed the careers of “cowardice” and “courage”–the words–and I’m not sure they’re being used in ways that respect their dictionary meanings

    I’d be awfully surprised if linguists don’t have methodologies for measuring and expressing the rate of change in word meanings. It would be interesting to find out if things have accelerated since the inception of PC.

    But even if they have, there are a lot of other variables in play, so one would have to figure out a way to isolate the effect, if any, of PC on language change. I’d guess I’d start looking for ways to do so by assembling a list of the words/phrases with the fastest “word meaning change velocity” during the period of interest.

    Any linguists in the crowd?

    • Replies: @yaqub the mad scientist
    @anonguy

    I’d be awfully surprised if linguists don’t have methodologies for measuring and expressing the rate of change in word meanings. It would be interesting to find out if things have accelerated since the inception of PC.

    Good point. I"ve always wanted to see such a study on the similar topic of the absorption of loan words, particulary in the way that English absorbed French post Norman Conquest. I've noticed how the conquered English gave otherwise neutral French words an authoritarian shade: march, demand, chant, and so forth. The use of common French words to give a shade of prestige and cultivation is pretty well established (and decried by Orwell in "Politics and the English Language").

    , @JackOH
    @anonguy

    anonguy, thanks. Back when I was doing smalltime local issue politicking, my brain ached as I learned how little of the English language I could actually use in public discourse. (Ex: I'd thought of using organized labor's onetime closed shop as an illustration. I dropped the idea: (1) nobody would know what I was talking about, (2) nobody would care that they didn't know what I was talking about, (3) most people would simply impose their own disparate meanings on the term. Yeah, I'm broad-brushing, but not by much.)

    The vacating of meaning, or distortion (think, e.g., of a signal-to-noise ratio), of English words and phrases to me is bad mojo for a civilized society. PC has something to do with it; ditto, debauched education, especially formal credentialing with diplomas and degrees after social promotion; ditto, canned news narratives, advertising sloganeering, etc.

    I agree 100% it would be worthwhile to have a good study of change and rates of change in word meanings. I think it's actually done in popular writing: e. g., some of the late William Safire's writings.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @anonguy

  • From Politico: Europe’s Man Problem Migrants to Europe skew heavily male—and that’s dangerous. By Valerie Hudson 1/05/2016 ... According to Swedish government statistics, as of the end of November, 71 percent of all applicants for asylum to Sweden in 2015 were male. More than 21 percent of all migrants to Sweden were classified as unaccompanied...
  • @JohnnyWalker123
    @anonguy

    Good point. Trump's most controversial statements are those about immigrant rapists and banning Muslims. Now suddenly we have mass sexual assaults in Germany and refugees being arrested for terrorist links.

    Rather than looking like a deranged bigot, Trump seems like a prescient statesman. It's the "respectable" members of our overclass who appear incompetent, blind, and apathetic.

    Replies: @anonguy

    And now you hear about the SJWs organizing to block attendance to trump rallies by reserving all the tickets and more nefarious schemes.

    So where are the civil rights prosecutions of the individuals and the RICO prosecutions of them acting collectively. Blocking people’s right to assemble for political purposes is a major, major civil rights violation, I’d believe, regardless of the criminal severity of the underly offense?

    Any takers on whether Trump will eventually mention (but not whine) about how were the shoe on the other foot – i.e, right wing folks doing something like this?….

    This is the best election cycle ever…. Trump has got to be thinking this is like shooting fish in a barrel.

  • Commenter Millennial Falcon notes:
  • @PhysicistDave
    @anon

    anon wrote:


    Feynman was probably lying about his IQ because he supported the blank slate for political reasons – either that or he got bored part way through and didn’t finish it.
     
    No, he wasn't very PC: he wrote, for example, about how his personal observations convinced him that socialism did not work.

    As someone suggested above, he probably did like how the moderately high but not super-high IQ played into his public image.

    I have known some people (e.g., a friend who entered grad school in math at Caltech at age fifteen) who seemed to me to have substantially higher IQs than Feynman. They achieved much less in life. My guess is that an IQ of 125 or so is necessary for high achievement, but, beyond that, it is the hard work.

    Dave

    Replies: @anonguy

    I have known some people (e.g., a friend who entered grad school in math at Caltech at age fifteen) who seemed to me to have substantially higher IQs than Feynman. They achieved much less in life. My guess is that an IQ of 125 or so is necessary for high achievement, but, beyond that, it is the hard work.

    Here is a fun recent example. Extremely good, nearly lifelong friend of mine, IQ in the mid 140s. Chem e undergrad from top school (i’m keeping this anonymized), MBA from top Ivy, brilliant career on both the tech and then mgt. consulting side, has made tons of dough, e.g., current hobby is collecting high end porsches with all the dough he’s made.

    I’m moderately successful, but nowhere like him and I’ve had pretty aimless periods of my life. Anyhow, the other day, chatting on the phone, he mentioned some brain-teaser math problem he was working on, had been working on it for days, even wrote a computer program to test all possible answers. He says, hey, wanna give this a shot?

    So he sends it along, I solve it in about 30 minutes, shoot it back. He’s always said I was super deluxe smartest guy he knows, all that, but still amazed by this.

    I suggest, well, I dunno, some of this is how mathematicians think about problems and you are thinking like an engineer, save his ego a bit, even though I’m not a mathematician. I say, why don’t we send it to my sister, who is phd abd in math (decided to go mom-hood or just a slacker, hard to tell) and is married to shit hot math prof at top school.

    She sends it back in about 2 hours, kind of apologetic that she was sort of tired and it took a while to refine the proof. My friend is somewhat mollified, although I didn’t tell him that my sister is this way out there IQ person and has been a total slacker her entire life – one of those genius waitresses, married a loser early on, that sort of thing.

    This brain teaser was a monthly sendout by a high intellect society, so I surmise it wasn’t entirely a trivial thing. Personally, I think being a little behind the curve as opposed to ahead of it up the IQ scale on the average results in higher achievement. I’ve seen this sort of thing way too many times. Her husband, for example, is quite sharp in his field, world class dude, but she’s way smarter than him and he knows it.

    But he’s hard working, organized, directed, long-term planning, everything my sister is not.

    I asked my sister to give it to him, but I’ve never gotten anything back. She probably doesn’t want to risk banging his ego.

  • @Steve Sailer
    @PhysicistDave

    Most of the other famous physicists had highbrow tastes in culture -- Bach, Kierkegaard, that kind of thing. Feynman liked Regular Guy stuff.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Most of the other famous physicists had highbrow tastes in culture — Bach, Kierkegaard, that kind of thing. Feynman liked Regular Guy stuff.

    That is why they could make (and understand when hearing) witticisms about Eine Kleine Nachtphysik.

  • From the NYT: I actually don't believe that psycho lunatics who go on kamikaz
  • No silly, Steve is not saying that if race-skeptics are nicer then these real time tragedies wouldn’t happen. Steve is saying if the raw news is making your case for you, AND the narrative is already that you are a whacko nut… then its better to let the news change people’s minds and not go over the top on the rhetoric, allowing the topic to change from the facts to “look at the Nazi whackos!”. Its a point about what tactic is most effective at persuading the public, not which is likely to stop the events that are doing the persuading.

    Back in 2007, the spiel from Ron Paul & supporters about, for example, the Fed was seen in the mainstream, whether left/right, as lunacy akin to something like Larouche going on about the British royal family masterminding the international drug trade. To the average person at that time, the Fed was this very innocuous institution like the local zoo or something. So going on about the Fed truly sounded like a lunatic delusion to a lot of people.

    Since that time, skepticism about the Fed has become a lot more mainstream. And the Tea Party, then Trump movement, inheritors of much of the skepticism about the direction of the U.S., have become increasingly broader. But Ron Paul & supporters are still widely considered nuts even though on some fairly major issues they’ve been proven spot on.

    As you note, keeping the proper focus entails keeping it on the desired outcome, not on getting ones opponents to admit that people they reviled were correct and that they themselves were completely wrong. That is directly counterproductive, nobody likes to do that & the byproduct of that is they will increase their defenses against the desired change out of pride rather than accepting it.

    Backing people into a corner often makes them fight harder.

    And then there is the saw about how when your opponent is destroying himself, it is better to let them continue without your assistance or something like that.

    • Replies: @NOTA
    @anonguy

    I think most people judge you based on how well your words and actions agree with the respectable consensus, not with reality. Thus the not-quite-a-joke that the only qualification for being taken seriously as a foreign policy thinker is that you have to have supported the Iraq invasion.

  • @Bayonet
    @SFG

    I've heard that argument before and I understand the reasoning behind it, but I completely disagree with it.

    When it comes to any sort of conflict, I see combatants attacking non-combatants as cowardice. The addition of certain suicide doesn't make it 'heroic' or 'gutsy'. Fighting people who can't/won't fight back is always cowardly.

    The guys who rammed a plane into a building full of officer workers is about as brave as the guy who stabs a pensioner, or the guy who goes into a school to shoot a bunch of 8 year olds.

    Replies: @Kevin O'Keeffe, @anonguy, @dfordoom, @NOTA

    When it comes to any sort of conflict, I see combatants attacking non-combatants as cowardice. The addition of certain suicide doesn’t make it ‘heroic’ or ‘gutsy’. Fighting people who can’t/won’t fight back is always cowardly.

    The absence of cowardice is not necessarily heroism, or bravery/gutsiness.

    It seems like you are understanding the term coward more by its emerging new meaning rather than its more traditional one, which is exactly the point here. You don’t like what they did, so they are cowards. Traditional meaning is cowards refuse to do things because of a fear of death or other personal injury/harm.

    I’d suggest that a more accurate term, as others have noted, for your sentiment is dishonorable, which is not necessarily cowardly. Pretty much, actually, the entirety of your comment precisely makes the case that the meaning of the term coward has been undergoing a lot of change recently.

    I’d also note that you have a rhetorical argument style rather than a logical one, just presenting opinions with vehemence but sans any supporting rationale. That is another increasingly prominent style in our public discourse.

    Are drone operators cowards? Do you make that case like you do this one? Seems to follow from your argument.

    • Replies: @dfordoom
    @anonguy


    Are drone operators cowards?
     
    Since they're running no personal risks they certainly seem to qualify.
    , @Dirk Dagger
    @anonguy


    I’d also note that you have a rhetorical argument style rather than a logical one, just presenting opinions with vehemence but sans any supporting rationale. That is another increasingly prominent style in our public discourse.
     
    Actually, 'nettie has upped his game ... he used to always start with 'as a man with military and combat experience ... blah, blah, blah' ... So this is actually a big step for him. God save the internet He-Man!
  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • I’m a white guy that has been involved with a few women from other races.

    Western society views the white male/asian female pairing far more innocuously than white male/non-white other than asian* female**. This is to the point where describing your relationship, or even your mixed kids, as “interracial” often seems to like an exaggeration to many white people, like you are inflating things. They don’t come out and say it, but they seem to be expecting a high drama, guess who’s coming to dinner thing with that word and they know that isn’t that way with asians* in western society.

    That’s because, for whatever reason(s), whites/asians seems to be able to get on pretty well as mixed social/societal groups compared to other possible pairings. There is just a lot less drama emanating from asians minorities in the west and the converse is true in northeast asia and, at least in some cases, no fundamental hostility/grievance between the minority and majority in white/east asian mixed societies.

    So the mixed kids can in some (note I said some, not all) in the minority side can fully identify with the majority culture without hesitation. I’ve seen this work in Japan as well. So the mixed white/asian kid can feel like he is marrying into his ingroup marrying a white person in America.

    Here is an anecdote – years ago, I was with three friends, 2 who were white, 1 was Korean adoptee into white family. We were driving through rough part of town, Rob observes,”I wonder what people thing of 4 white guys driving through?”. Not only were we not 4 white guys, the speaker, Rob, was the one of Korean ancestry.

    Northeast asians and whites just innately don’t perceive themselves as incompatible as they do with other peoples. They may not realize it, but there is the whole revealed preference thing and it is immense.

    I actually was involved with one women for a surprisingly long while before I learned she was half white/half asian* rather than a white person as I had assumed. And it wasn’t because she was hiding things at all, it was simply so unremarkable to her that it just didn’t come up for a while and her look was pretty Caucasian, which isn’t too uncommon in these mixes. And when it did come up, for me it was at the level of, “Huh, whaddya know..”

    *By asian, I mean what the now proscribed word “oriental” used to mean – Chinese, Korean, and Japanese. Maybe Vietnamese, but that is getting a bit of a stretch for purposes of this discussion.

    **Can’t speak to white female/non-white male from a personal perspective although it may be exactly the same.

    • Replies: @Bill Jones
    @anonguy

    "There is just a lot less drama emanating from asians minorities in the west and the converse is true in northeast asia and, at least in some cases, no fundamental hostility/grievance between the minority and majority in white/east asian mixed societies. "

    It's because both are equally convinced of their superiority.

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @BB753
    @anonguy

    What about the in-laws? I can see how a White/ Asian relationship may run smoothly, but I wonder about the extended Asian family. Isn't it a bit awkward to have Asian in-laws for a White man? Particularly if they're FOB?
    The culture is very different and you may not be accepted. Just curious.
    And what about the angry looks from Asian men, seeing you're stealing one of their women? There's loads of frustrated young Asian kids who find themselves excluded from the dating pool. And I can understand them.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • One can actually have a bit of fun with this white/asian dynamic. You describe yourself as being in an interracial marriage, having interracial kid(s) to a bunch of libs and they start falling all over themselves giving you social justice pokemon points. Then you let on that your wife is east asian – you literally can see them becoming crestfallen.

    They want to take the pokemon points back, the emotion is, “that’s not *really* interracial”, but they know they can’t say/feel that. It is a very uncomfortable moment for them and a very good way to punk these types of people and show them their hypocrisies.

    • Replies: @Foreign Expert
    @anonguy

    Maybe because the best DNA study show that Europeans are a kind of East Asian.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Anonymous

  • @Bill Jones
    @anonguy

    "There is just a lot less drama emanating from asians minorities in the west and the converse is true in northeast asia and, at least in some cases, no fundamental hostility/grievance between the minority and majority in white/east asian mixed societies. "

    It's because both are equally convinced of their superiority.

    Replies: @anonguy

    It’s because both are equally convinced of their superiority.

    I’d actually contend something of the reverse, that both groups are convinced, and much of their respective histories reflect this attitude if not always expected outcomes, of their superiority to outgroups except with respect to each other, where they have some, perhaps unconscious, doubts about this assumption.

    Generally, and usually quite reflexively/unconsciously, whites/east asians tend to sincerely treat each other as fully competent individuals in social groups, etc, at least by my anecdotal observation. The unequal treaties, extraterritoriality for europeans, etc, of the latter 1800s were hugely galling in east asia. These were comparatively mild manifestations of imperialism for the time, but they spurred far more resistance in much shorter time than much more severe forms of imperialism did elsewhere in the world.

    Much of the history of east asia during that time was founded upon the determination of east asia to be on an equal footing with the great powers.

  • From the NYT: I actually don't believe that psycho lunatics who go on kamikaz
  • @Diversity Heretic
    @Former Darfur

    Sociopaths are usually poor to indifferent marksmen, but not invariably. Clyde Barrow was quite good. Police training tends to be rudimentary, but some police take an interest in pistol marksmanship and become fine shots. (The Border Patrol traditionally won many matches.) One thing that police do tend to do is to "hose," firing as many shots as possible downrange and hope one will hit the target. With a belt-fed machine gun that technique actually works, but rarely with a handgun. Large capacity self-loading pistols lend themselves to this technique and I've heard it suggested that police might be better with five or six-shot .44 Special revolvers. You can't hose with one, the .44 Special is pretty decisive; if you can't solve your problem with five or six shots from one, it's probably past solving. But many qualified people like 9mm and .40 S&W automatic pistols and if they're well trained, the combination is quite effective.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Police training tends to be rudimentary, but some police take an interest in pistol marksmanship and become fine shots.

    You are ignoring the fact that a lot of police officers have become quite fine shots before they became police officers because of their military experience, which is a very common resume item for police officers. And police departments, at least when I got out of the Corps, seemed especially interested in former Marines – I had a number of solicitations that I did absolutely nothing to attract during several years after I got out. One reason for this is that police departments know that the USMC makes a relatively acceptable marksman out of nearly anyone, it is pretty unavoidable in the Corps even if you are an airplane mechanic, clerk, etc.

    There are other reasons that police departments like military in general and Marines in particular, but the facility with firearms/other weaponry is definitely part of it.

    I googled around a bit for percentage of police with military experience currently – doesn’t look like there is an authoritative figure, but the general answer seems to be lots.

    • Replies: @Diversity Heretic
    @anonguy

    The interest in marksmanship can precede or arise after entry into a police force. Since the Marines, as far as I know, still take the position that every Marine is first a rifleman, and only after that some other military occupational specialty, they would tend to be good police recruits insofar as firearms proficiency goes. People in other services can develop the proficiency (Admiral Chester Nimitz was a very good pistol shot) and it can arise from avocation, but in the case of the Marines, it "goes with the territory."

    If you served in the Marines (a very fine service, my compliments) you may be familiar with the late Jeff Cooper (a Marine lieutenant colonel) and his system of color-coded readiness. A police officer on duty should always be in condition yellow. But now I wonder whether any police officer, seeing a black male or someone dressed in Islamic clothing, should automatically be in condition orange (specific threat identified).

    I also wonder about solitary officers such as the one in Philadelphia. In France you almost never see solitary police; they generally travel in groups of three (two is minimum). When they go into certain neighborhoods, it's usually no less than eight to ten. I wonder if urban police departments in the U.S. will begin adopting similar policies.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • @Jack D
    @Reg Cæsar

    Any Congo will do.

    But if you think that the Muslims were acting wild in Cologne, just wait until you tell them that they are being put on a plane to Africa.

    The "refugees" are very picky about which countries they want refuge in. They have no interest in receiving refuge in E. Europe or Greece or any Arab country (let alone sub-Saharan Africa) but want to go where the social benefits are the most generous and where they perceive they will have the greatest latitude to prey upon the local population. Real refugees are no longer refugees as soon as they cross a border into a safe country but these are not real refugees. We see the same thing with Central Americans who "flee" 1,000 miles across Mexico all the way to the US border.

    Replies: @anonguy

    But if you think that the Muslims were acting wild in Cologne, just wait until you tell them that they are being put on a plane to Africa.

    Hong Kong had a huge influx of boat people – btw, the official designation used at the time to distinguish them as economic rather than political refugees – in the years after the Vietnam War and eventually decided to repatriate many of them back to Vietnam. This didn’t sit well with the refugees and they resorted to forcible repatriations for a tiny percentage.

    This resulted in very negative international coverage and likely inhibited the government there from further resorting to this practice. And this was pre-Internet.

    Al Haig, during the Marielito boatlift, suggested we load them all on ships and simply anchor them in Havana Bay. That was thirty five years ago and even then this idea was not politically acceptable.

    About the only lever anyone in Europe who currently has access to the levers is willing to pull is paying the refugees/migrants to leave voluntarily and even that likely would be hugely controversial. There would have to be a profound, millenial probably, political shift in Europe before the slightest hint of coercion would ever be used to deport migrants en masse or maybe to deport them under any circumstance at all.

    And that isn’t going to happen, nor is Trump going to do anything paradigm shifting in the unlikely event he were to win the presidency however entertaining the event would be. He may make some feints, but even as awesome as many on this and other alt-right sites find him, he is just one man bucking history at least on this point.

    White nationalists, etc, need to realize that the golden era of white people is in its end game after a 500 or so year run. It isn’t going to return any more than the South is going to rise again or the Roman Empire is going to have an encore. It is simply yearning for a romanticized past, like southerners do about the Confederacy, that is a mental liferaft for people in changing times.

    And it is quite interesting times in which we live, and as always better to look/plan realistically for one’s era and future rather than a passed (and sentimentalized) era. A white homogeneous nation these days would be an artificial, curated construct rather than some vigorous, naturally occurring phenomenon, the analogy is a wildlife refugee for endangered animals as opposed to a free ranging population.

    So it isn’t even an issue whether the white nationalistic feelings expressed by many here are right or wrong, just as few things in history are truly objectively so. Whether one supports/opposes this viewpoint, it really doesn’t matter, since it is just a fantasy, not going to happen and decades of events consistently, uniformly, almost without exception demonstrate this.

    For my part, I think it is as silly a pastime/delusion as any other delusional revanchist movement and anyone who has any belief, much less devotes a minute of their precious life to the goal, is simply a misguided fool ignorant of history, ignorant of politics, ignorant of how most white people think/feel, and even ignorant of themselves and their comrades.

    Good luck with all that, and come back in 10 years or so and read my words here if you decide to ignore this type advice which I’m certain many others would give. At that time, I guarantee you will wish you hadn’t ignored this and had spent that time on something productive rather than wasting your life on some romantic vision that is clearly folly at best and viewed by at least the inevitable victors of this trend, and the overwhelming majority today as reprehensibly evil.

    “But, but, what about all the polls showing people want immigration shut down” splutter the WN’s or WN-friendlies?

    Revealed preferences, decades of it uniformly, nearly exclusively expressed across time and space…It is incredible, given the incidence of dweeby PUA types here that will go on about how women say they want one thing but do another, seem to have a blind spot about this when talking about what white people in America/Europe presumably say they want while at the same time taking it as an article of faith that western men have been feminized.

    So there isn’t even a lot of consistency in the arguments presented here, and hence some may do well to check their backpacks about who may have been “feminized”, as lack of logic on the part of women is also one of the stock items in many iSteve commenters belief systems.

    • Replies: @Wilkey
    @anonguy

    "For my part, I think it is as silly a pastime/delusion as any other delusional revanchist movement and anyone who has any belief"

    For my part, no one cares what you think.

    Enforcing our immigration laws is entirely plausible.

    Deporting millions of illegals - or creating conditions that cause them to deport themselves - is entirely plausible.

    Kicking out those who refuse to assimilate is entirely plausible. We don't have to grant them legal status. We don't have to give them government benefits. Take Greece: it has hundreds of islands in the Aegean. All those "refugees" coming across from Turkey? Stick them on those islands. Let them pack it from shore to shore. Say "there you will remain, unless you choose to return home." Eventually they will return home.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Rob McX

    , @iffen
    @anonguy

    Don't sugar coat it; tell it like it is.

    , @ben tillman
    @anonguy


    Revealed preferences, decades of it uniformly, nearly exclusively expressed across time and space…It is incredible, given the incidence of dweeby PUA types here that will go on about how women say they want one thing but do another, seem to have a blind spot about this when talking about what white people in America/Europe presumably say they want while at the same time taking it as an article of faith that western men have been feminized.
     
    What the hell are you talking about?
    , @iffen
    @anonguy


    A white homogeneous nation these days would be an artificial, curated construct rather than some vigorous, naturally occurring phenomenon,
     
    What is your evidence for the idea that nations are naturally occurring phenomenon?

    Replies: @reiner Tor

  • @BB753
    @anonguy

    What about the in-laws? I can see how a White/ Asian relationship may run smoothly, but I wonder about the extended Asian family. Isn't it a bit awkward to have Asian in-laws for a White man? Particularly if they're FOB?
    The culture is very different and you may not be accepted. Just curious.
    And what about the angry looks from Asian men, seeing you're stealing one of their women? There's loads of frustrated young Asian kids who find themselves excluded from the dating pool. And I can understand them.

    Replies: @anonguy

    What about the in-laws? I can see how a White/ Asian relationship may run smoothly, but I wonder about the extended Asian family. Isn’t it a bit awkward to have Asian in-laws for a White man? Particularly if they’re FOB?

    The culture is very different and you may not be accepted. Just curious.
    And what about the angry looks from Asian men, seeing you’re stealing one of their women? There’s loads of frustrated young Asian kids who find themselves excluded from the dating pool. And I can understand them.

    IME, there are at least as many benefits as drawbacks in having a language barrier with your in-laws. As for the kids, it is interesting how naturally they bridge these divides, at least, again, in my experience. It is actually like watching a magic trick, as they code switch between cultures/ethnicities.

    The only two scenarios where I’ve encountered at least palpable hostility from males of the other when pursuing/attached with a women from their group has been with blacks in the U.S. and Mexicans in night spots somewhat off the gringo track in Mexico. I’ve not gotten anything that ever disturbed me enough to even notice with asians, and that includes the bona fide article in both asia/america and asian-american in U.S.

    I did come uncomfortably close to a bad end once in Mexico, but again, there were other factors involved, like me being obnoxious for starters.

    Don’t take that as commentary/comparison of general black/Mexican/asian attitudes, since a lot of other variables involved, small sample size for my observations (I’m just one guy), and the fact in each of these populations the overwhelming majority reaction was neutral and in probably equal measure in each population frequently positive.

    Actually, I’d make one slightly broader observation – walking into lily white joints in the Deep South a few decades ago with a black women obviously on my arm would invariably make a presumably negative impression that even back then everyone would immediately repress. It would be like the whole place had a big silent gasp for a moment while at the same time everyone trying to pretend that they didn’t notice a thing.

    And you knew that many of the white guys envied me, but were trying to hide it from their dates, since B was quite the looker.

    Really fun to brazen through that kind of thing. Ahh, to be young again…

    • Replies: @BB753
    @anonguy

    Perhaps Asians are better at concealing their disgust for mixed couples? And certainly less aggressive to act upon it.
    You should read what Asian men write in forums about white men stealing their women.
    Start here:
    www.blog.angryasianman.com

    Also, you were lucky not to be roughed up by Blacks while parading around with a good-looking Black girl! Mexicans don't really care that much.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Foreign Expert
    @anonguy

    Maybe because the best DNA study show that Europeans are a kind of East Asian.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Anonymous

    Maybe because the best DNA study show that Europeans are a kind of East Asian.

    Do you have a reference? I’m being curious rather than argumentative.

    • Replies: @Foreign Expert
    @anonguy

    http://gbe.oxfordjournals.org/content/6/3/466.full

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Wilkey
    @anonguy

    "For my part, I think it is as silly a pastime/delusion as any other delusional revanchist movement and anyone who has any belief"

    For my part, no one cares what you think.

    Enforcing our immigration laws is entirely plausible.

    Deporting millions of illegals - or creating conditions that cause them to deport themselves - is entirely plausible.

    Kicking out those who refuse to assimilate is entirely plausible. We don't have to grant them legal status. We don't have to give them government benefits. Take Greece: it has hundreds of islands in the Aegean. All those "refugees" coming across from Turkey? Stick them on those islands. Let them pack it from shore to shore. Say "there you will remain, unless you choose to return home." Eventually they will return home.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Rob McX

    Oh never mind.

  • Commenter Olorin has been using the term "dolt wrangling" to describe what appears to be one of the central methods of getting rich in the 21st Century: clever guys with spreadsheets offer attractive-seeming but implausible bets to less clever folks: subprime mortgages in the last decade, subprime car loans now, for-profit colleges financed by government...
  • @Sparkling Wiggle
    @anonguy

    In Texas Hold 'em, the most popular poker game at the moment, each player is dealt 2 hole cards which only he can see. Let's say that you and I are colluding in a cash game online (meaning not a tournament; you can cash out your chips at any time and leave the table).

    If I'm involved in a hand with someone other than you, my partner in crime, how much of an edge will it give me to know your cards? Not much. Knowing your cards will allow me to calculate pot odds more accurately, which is certainly an advantage in the long run.

    But in online poker, the long run is tortuously long. I seem to remember David Sklansky saying it takes over 100,000 hands to know if you're even a long-run winning player after rake. So you and I are going to be at a lot of poker tables together for a very long time, giving people plenty of opportunities to discover what we're up to. So that's the first thing the anti-collusion software would look for: you and me sitting at 12 tables together.

    There is a basic strategy in poker, just as in blackjack. Except that instead of 1 correct play for each situation, it's more of a range of plays. If I have a strong hand, I'm going to bet and raise most of the time. A small percent of the time, I will vary the way I play those strong hands just to keep from being too predictable. If the online poker room sees you and me making a lot of highly improbable plays and winning, that's a clue that we may be colluding with someone. That's the second thing the software would look for.

    They would check our hand history for cases where knowledge of your hand would be particularly useful to me (like if I only had 2 outs to make my hand and you folded them), and the picture becomes pretty clear.

    None of those measures are airtight, and colluding players could possibly slip through the cracks. But again, in order to make it profitable, they have to skate through the cracks for thousands of hands, all while playing otherwise competent poker in the cases where collusion isn't beneficial.

    There are other kinds of collusion which may offer a greater payoff, but they involve coordinated play like chip dumping or trying to isolate certain players rather than just knowledge of 2 random cards.

    If you want to see what real cheating looks like, here's a simulation of the tournament that Absolute Poker player "potripper" won by accessing a superuser account, which was able to see every player's cards at the table.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Thanks for the very informative reply.

    My question would be whether the online poker places have any interest in rooting out cheating or does it work to their advantage as a business? At least in the past, that charge has been leveled against ebay wrt to shill bidding. And online dating sites are hardly diligent in rooting out misrepresentations by their users, which suggests that this is viewed at least neutrally if not positively by operators of such sites. There is lots of easy, low buck stuff they all could be doing but they all don’t.

  • From the Washington Post: A lot of effort has been put into stuffing the UVA - Rolling Stone gang rape on broken glass hate hoax down the Memory Hole by making the scandal seem as boring and technical as imaginable: mistakes were made in following proper journalistic procedures. Nothing else to remember here, move along....
  • @Glossy
    Did Shapiro get the term "catfishing" from reading iSteve? I've never heard of this word until Steve used it.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @anonguy, @Jack D

    Did Shapiro get the term “catfishing” from reading iSteve? I’ve never heard of this word until Steve used it.

    I became vaguely aware of it several years ago & upon a bit of research discovered that it is a commonly understood term among educated 20-somethings at least.

  • @Stan Adams
    @Jean Cocteausten

    Are you kidding me? How many lives have been wrecked by the lies spread by rabid SJWs? How many innocent men (and women) have been hounded to the ends of the earth?

    Keep giving her hell, Steve.

    Replies: @Kylie, @anonguy

    Are you kidding me? How many lives have been wrecked by the lies spread by rabid SJWs? How many innocent men (and women) have been hounded to the ends of the earth?

    I’d say at least an order of magnitude, and perhaps more than that, less than those killed in falls down steps or in the bathtub, which,as we know, is an unconscionable plague upon the earth.

    And probably even less than those killed (not just struck) by lightning in the U.S., much less the world every year.

    • Replies: @anon
    @anonguy

    And probably even less than those killed (not just struck) by lightning in the U.S., much less the world every year.

    You're probably right, but people know not to go out in a lightning storm. Most people can avoid that.

    It's really kind of the same thing with SJWs. People can avoid trouble with them, but you have to avoid doing things you really shouldn't have to. How many conversations weren't had, and how many people in the media don't say things that need to be said because they're afraid of what will happen? There would be a lot more careers ruined if people didn't walk on eggshells about so many things.

    It's kind of like saying how people can avoid being mugged by staying out of the bad side of town. It's true, but it doesn't take into account the fact that there are parts of your town where you just can't go.

    Why do you think most of us around here are anonymous? Would you want your boss finding out that you read and comment here?

  • @Broski
    Apparently she has, indeed, gotten both fat and married: http://gotnews.com/breaking-wedding-photos-of-jackiecoakley-uva-rape-hoax/. Poor fellow whoever he is.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Reg Cæsar

    Apparently she has, indeed, gotten both fat and married: http://gotnews.com/breaking-wedding-photos-of-jackiecoakley-uva-rape-hoax/. Poor fellow whoever he is.

    It is amazing how obesity has become mainstreamed in recent years. At least on the surface, her beau looks like a reasonably together guy. Some years back, the only young guys seen with such grossly overweight partners were visibly losers. Either the losers are getting better at outward presentation or the young guys are lowering their standards, or some combination thereof is the only explanation that occurs to me.

    • Replies: @anon
    @anonguy

    Either the losers are getting better at outward presentation or the young guys are lowering their standards, or some combination thereof is the only explanation that occurs to me.

    Keep in mind that you're only seeing professional photographs taken for their wedding. The thing about young guys is that, if they're physically healthy, most of them can clean up and look presentable for a day when they have to.

    He has kind of a weird smile in the first picture. He either doesn't look like he's all that thrilled to be there, or just doesn't seem like a guy who's really confident about life in general.

    I also think it's weird that the photographer didn't airbrush out the jet contrail in the third picture. It seems like it must have been a pretty cheap photographer, so I would guess that neither of them is very wealthy.

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @SFG
    @anonguy

    If everyone gets fatter, more men have to marry fat women. (And more women have to marry fat men, but they don't care as much.)

    Replies: @Kylie, @Tracy

    , @anowow
    @anonguy

    Watch a movie such as Honeysuckle Rose or any cheaply made flick from the 70's. Compare the extras with our current Rubenesque damsels, youth and elders.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • @anonymous
    "Merkel’s Germany decided to keep the Poles and others out of their labour markets until end 2011. They obviously weren’t desperate for new workers."

    It's possible that Merkel and a segment of other top German pols and bigwigs really are simply truly ignorant of real-world HBD. It truly never occurred to them that everybody in the world might not be all the same, except maybe looking different.

    So the New Soviet/German Man could easily be created by a simple exercise in assimilation. Classes at the community college on respect for women, for instance.

    So maybe when somebody (Greece?) called Merkel's bluff ("You want them? Then you take them.") she thought she could do it.

    Merkel apparently came out against multiculturalism not so long ago, but apparently something was lost in translation. She was against people like Turks in Germany not assimilating as Germans. She wanted them to assimilate and become German, with one German culture. Not to have Germans and "Turks" who wanted to have their own culture. So when all the refugees became "available", maybe she thought she could show those Turks how assimilation was really done.

    And now the education begins.

    This might be a form of the Dunning-Kruger effect (or its corollary):


    "...The Dunning–Kruger effect is a cognitive bias in which relatively unskilled individuals suffer from illusory superiority, mistakenly assessing their ability to be much higher than it really is. ...

    ...corollaries: highly skilled individuals may underestimate their relative competence and may erroneously assume that tasks which are easy for them are also easy for others.

    ..."The miscalibration of the incompetent stems from an error about the self, whereas the miscalibration of the highly competent stems from an error about others." ...

    ...Dunning has since drawn an analogy – "the anosognosia of everyday life" ...


    ...Charles Darwin... ("Ignorance more frequently begets confidence than does knowledge"). ...

    ...Shakespeare... in As You Like It ("The Foole doth thinke he is wise, but the wiseman knowes himselfe to be a Foole" (V.i))..."

     

    One simple way to state the Dunning-Kruger corollary might be that smart people think everyone else in the world really is just like them, so they treat all others exactly like they would want to be treated---even when others aren't like them.

    This article brings up a word that might be useful in discussing the modern world: Anosognosia:


    "...a deficit of self-awareness, a condition in which a person who suffers some disability seems unaware of the existence of his or her disability. ...

    ...'anosognosia' is occasionally used to describe the lack of insight shown by some people..."

     

    Replies: @anonguy, @Corvinus

    This article brings up a word that might be useful in discussing the modern world: Anosognosia:

    Anosognosia is a fascinating topic and understanding it, how to work within its constraints, is critical to any understanding of schizophrenia and effectively communicating with (many/most) sufferers.

    Xavier Amador wrote “I Am Not Sick, I Don’t Need Help”, which is as good a place as any to start on the topic and learning the basic skills of communicating with the anosognosic. I fully agree with the OP that the concept and the skills for dealing with it are far more broadly applicable than just dealing with those formally deemed mentally ill.

    A recent deep dive into this subject and then applying its concepts in a situation did much to expand my thinking about how we perceive reality and how to connect/communicate/reason with those who essentially live in a different reality. It is a short read and a way better investment of a few hours of one’s life than (yet again) watching some guys on the tube chase a ball around a field.

  • From the NYT: I actually don't believe that psycho lunatics who go on kamikaz
  • @JackOH
    @anonguy

    anonguy, thanks. Back when I was doing smalltime local issue politicking, my brain ached as I learned how little of the English language I could actually use in public discourse. (Ex: I'd thought of using organized labor's onetime closed shop as an illustration. I dropped the idea: (1) nobody would know what I was talking about, (2) nobody would care that they didn't know what I was talking about, (3) most people would simply impose their own disparate meanings on the term. Yeah, I'm broad-brushing, but not by much.)

    The vacating of meaning, or distortion (think, e.g., of a signal-to-noise ratio), of English words and phrases to me is bad mojo for a civilized society. PC has something to do with it; ditto, debauched education, especially formal credentialing with diplomas and degrees after social promotion; ditto, canned news narratives, advertising sloganeering, etc.

    I agree 100% it would be worthwhile to have a good study of change and rates of change in word meanings. I think it's actually done in popular writing: e. g., some of the late William Safire's writings.

    Replies: @Steve Sailer, @anonguy

    I actually love mid 19th century to pre-WWI prose, both anglo and american. Such lovely yet surgically precise turns of phrases – a modern remnant of this, for example, is the anglo term “articulated lorry”, which I adore.

    Melville was unsurpassed in this regard – I can read anything he wrote just for the pure joy of his prose. His little bit about the relative social standing of whalers and pirates predicated upon the practice of hanging pirates has to be the cleverest several paragraphs I may have ever read.

    But that was an era when the written word was paramount, the only means to communicate at a distance, so it was absolutely critical to be able to convey one’s intended meaning via writing in absolutely critical scenarios – no calling up to straighten out misunderstandings. So naturally reading/writing muscles were more developed then and have since progressively atrophied as visual/audio options have emerged.

    I had an editor once who remarked that I wrote compelling prose and whatever that really means, it seems the heart of the issue – the more that readers are in the grip of something, the less they will be deterred by the impedance of challenging words, sentence structures, etc. That is a bit of a conundrum however – how can it be compelling if it is daunting? Presumably, reconciling that contradiction is the art of it. I’ve occasionally, a distressingly scant few occasions though, succeeded at this but haven’t the slightest prescription of any principles for doing so.

    One thing is certain, however. It won’t ever happen if the writer surrenders to mediocrity. So if others are willing to allow themselves to devolve into brutes communicating with grunts, that is their business but I’m not going to join them.

    I’m not sold that the decline of the written word is any more than that, i.e, more alternative forms of communication, as Steve notes about possible increases in image recognition. There may well be an Orwellian factor due to the rise of PC, sounds quite plausible, but I’d have to see more evidence, perhaps beginning with, as previously noted, a list of words that currently have the greatest “word meaning change velocity”. Such a list may provide clues about how to further proceed in assessing the effect of PC, mob rule on Facebook, etc, on language.

    I’d really be interested in that, it could be a fascinating exercise although it is unclear what one might do with the results.

    • Replies: @JackOH
    @anonguy

    " . . . [U]nclear what one might do with the results." Agree. All I can think of is something trite, such as "deal with it", a phrase I apply to myself. When my local TV station routinely and with good intentions introduces a segment on veterans as "our Valley's bravest", I privately think the phrase ill serves the very real distinctions between the combat veteran and the Stateside PFC in logistics.

    I suspect there's a relevant literature that deals robustly with changes in denotation and connotation of words, but it could be a real slog through specialized linguistics, or lexicography, or literary criticism.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • @Whiskey
    I'd like to add, speaking as someone who would make EXCEPTIONALLY poor motorcycle gang member material -- I can barely ride though I do think a cheap Harley makes more sense than anything -- Harley rarely changes parts and you can get them serviced anywhere compared to cheap Japanese bikes where every model year uses different parts and good luck getting them -- that you were wrong about the battle of the sexes.

    Steve you said that there can be no permanent winner in the battle of the sexes because there is too much fraternization of the enemy.

    That's plausibly wrong if Merkel just keeps the open door for "Syrian" men propped open. As noted you have now 20% of the military age men -- 15-40, being Muslim in Germany alone. As Roissy/Heartiste noted, this is taking place with the active desire of a good portion of Germany's women.

    Roissy/Heartiste quotes one of your commentors responding to the "weird, sexual vibe" of strutting Syrian military age men with smartphones, that it is easy to explain. “I know it is stupid, but I need to see if these sexy, strong foreigners might make better lovers and rulers.”

    Heartiste then goes on to say:

    Women are aroused by male strength and dominance above all other considerations. If the wider culture and ruling classes are arranging society so that Muslim migrants have the run of the place, and the native White men are hindered from expressing their displeasure and acting on it, the native White women will begin to feel desirous of those migrants, feeling in their bones that these are the tribe leaders they are looking for. But this is heady, Heartistian id analysis that is far too dark for most people, so I don’t expect any public shaming campaign of women’s redirected desire to begin any time soon.
     
    As other commentors noted, there ARE losers, and permanent losers in the war between the sexes: White men. Many German men, and the way it is going, almost NONE, will have no wife nor children. The BEST they can expect is some "humane" slavery and the worst is the worst ISIS has to offer: being burned alive in cages, beheaded on video, etc.

    Most German women seem fine with this. They certainly have made the calculation. If much of the White male brain is taken up with sports statistics and trivia, and lusty thoughts about women, much of the White female brain is taken up with calculations about who the fathers of their children will be, and which man is sexiest, and could or should they matchmake for some people? The fact that most of the rapefugees are strutting military age men crowding out the men they know cannot have escaped them. And by all accounts the German women are fine with that, most of them anyway.

    I do believe the quote: “I know it is stupid, but I need to see if these sexy, strong foreigners might make better lovers and rulers.”

    Well it nails it. I think the evidence suggests that the current crop of "nice" and decent metrosexual White men has produced a real eternal victory at least where White women are concerned. More evidence if any was needed for a population's men to have a greater, and significant status than its women. Otherwise you get Merkel Youth and rapefugees.

    The West's greatest strength, and also our greatest weakness, is the good treatment of women.

    Replies: @ben tillman, @anonguy, @anonguy

    Steve you said that there can be no permanent winner in the battle of the sexes because there is too much fraternization of the enemy.

    Steve quoted Henry Kissinger’s remark, which, while being a clever remark, is so well known that it should be a hackneyed, timeworn saw to anyone minimally informed and educated. You’d be surprised how much, and it all should be embarrassing, you reveal about yourself by your mistake.

    • Replies: @iffen
    @anonguy

    hackneyed, timeworn

    This is kind of hackneyed and timeworn itself. Is it not? You reveal a little about yourself with comments like this one.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Whiskey
    I'd like to add, speaking as someone who would make EXCEPTIONALLY poor motorcycle gang member material -- I can barely ride though I do think a cheap Harley makes more sense than anything -- Harley rarely changes parts and you can get them serviced anywhere compared to cheap Japanese bikes where every model year uses different parts and good luck getting them -- that you were wrong about the battle of the sexes.

    Steve you said that there can be no permanent winner in the battle of the sexes because there is too much fraternization of the enemy.

    That's plausibly wrong if Merkel just keeps the open door for "Syrian" men propped open. As noted you have now 20% of the military age men -- 15-40, being Muslim in Germany alone. As Roissy/Heartiste noted, this is taking place with the active desire of a good portion of Germany's women.

    Roissy/Heartiste quotes one of your commentors responding to the "weird, sexual vibe" of strutting Syrian military age men with smartphones, that it is easy to explain. “I know it is stupid, but I need to see if these sexy, strong foreigners might make better lovers and rulers.”

    Heartiste then goes on to say:

    Women are aroused by male strength and dominance above all other considerations. If the wider culture and ruling classes are arranging society so that Muslim migrants have the run of the place, and the native White men are hindered from expressing their displeasure and acting on it, the native White women will begin to feel desirous of those migrants, feeling in their bones that these are the tribe leaders they are looking for. But this is heady, Heartistian id analysis that is far too dark for most people, so I don’t expect any public shaming campaign of women’s redirected desire to begin any time soon.
     
    As other commentors noted, there ARE losers, and permanent losers in the war between the sexes: White men. Many German men, and the way it is going, almost NONE, will have no wife nor children. The BEST they can expect is some "humane" slavery and the worst is the worst ISIS has to offer: being burned alive in cages, beheaded on video, etc.

    Most German women seem fine with this. They certainly have made the calculation. If much of the White male brain is taken up with sports statistics and trivia, and lusty thoughts about women, much of the White female brain is taken up with calculations about who the fathers of their children will be, and which man is sexiest, and could or should they matchmake for some people? The fact that most of the rapefugees are strutting military age men crowding out the men they know cannot have escaped them. And by all accounts the German women are fine with that, most of them anyway.

    I do believe the quote: “I know it is stupid, but I need to see if these sexy, strong foreigners might make better lovers and rulers.”

    Well it nails it. I think the evidence suggests that the current crop of "nice" and decent metrosexual White men has produced a real eternal victory at least where White women are concerned. More evidence if any was needed for a population's men to have a greater, and significant status than its women. Otherwise you get Merkel Youth and rapefugees.

    The West's greatest strength, and also our greatest weakness, is the good treatment of women.

    Replies: @ben tillman, @anonguy, @anonguy

    Women are aroused by male strength and dominance above all other considerations. If the wider culture and ruling classes are arranging society so that Muslim migrants have the run of the place, and the native White men are hindered from expressing their displeasure and acting on it, the native White women will begin to feel desirous of those migrants, feeling in their bones that these are the tribe leaders they are looking for. But this is heady, Heartistian id analysis that is far too dark for most people, so I don’t expect any public shaming campaign of women’s redirected desire to begin any time soon.

    Good Lord, you PUA guys present this stuff like it is the key to cold fusion or something. Women don’t like losers, what is so complicated about that and why didn’t that lesson sink in rather unremarkably somewhere between grades 5-8 along with, for instance, algebra, which, trivially simple as it is, is far harder to understand than this basic truth of the human condition.

    Women like being pretty too. They like babies. They like nice cars, warm places to sleep, tasty food, entertaining entertainment, and so forth. And like men, they don’t like losers – why should they, no one else does. For the life of me, I can’t understand why this is such a great epiphany to some adult human males and furthermore why it is treated like some mystic, founding principle. It would be a lot more significant if the reverse were true.

    When you guys first read something like that, did you slap your foreheads and exclaim, “Wow, and I always thought women liked losers?”. Honestly….

    As for each individual German guy, the definition of a loser is one who accepts being beaten, the proof is in the pudding. And as in any situation, each individual has to decide whether working for change is worth it or maybe time to move on to greener pastures, like, say, the refugees recently have. They certainly haven’t acquiesced to the raw deal they were apparently getting handed in MENA, it would seem.

    A loser only becomes one when he surrenders. Women (and other sundry human beings) understand that as well, just in case that concept also has been elusive.

  • From the NYT: I actually don't believe that psycho lunatics who go on kamikaz
  • @JackOH
    @Steve Sailer

    Steve, sure, photographs, motion pictures, computerized imagery of all sorts may have some "dys-literacy" (my made-up term) effects.

    FWIW-it's a pretty damned creepy feeling to publicly address an aspect of Topic A, about which you think there's common knowledge, and discover you're the only SOB who knows anything at all about Topic A.

    Replies: @anonguy

    FWIW-it’s a pretty damned creepy feeling to publicly address an aspect of Topic A, about which you think there’s common knowledge, and discover you’re the only SOB who knows anything at all about Topic A.

    To crib from, well some guy, what America needs is a better class of idiots.

    Testing your thesis, my expectation is that at least the senior set (maybe ~55yo or older) among the WNs tuning in here from their parent’s basement should know who the cribbee here is immediately as “some guy” used to be one of their fellow travelers.

  • @Diversity Heretic
    @anonguy

    The interest in marksmanship can precede or arise after entry into a police force. Since the Marines, as far as I know, still take the position that every Marine is first a rifleman, and only after that some other military occupational specialty, they would tend to be good police recruits insofar as firearms proficiency goes. People in other services can develop the proficiency (Admiral Chester Nimitz was a very good pistol shot) and it can arise from avocation, but in the case of the Marines, it "goes with the territory."

    If you served in the Marines (a very fine service, my compliments) you may be familiar with the late Jeff Cooper (a Marine lieutenant colonel) and his system of color-coded readiness. A police officer on duty should always be in condition yellow. But now I wonder whether any police officer, seeing a black male or someone dressed in Islamic clothing, should automatically be in condition orange (specific threat identified).

    I also wonder about solitary officers such as the one in Philadelphia. In France you almost never see solitary police; they generally travel in groups of three (two is minimum). When they go into certain neighborhoods, it's usually no less than eight to ten. I wonder if urban police departments in the U.S. will begin adopting similar policies.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Since the Marines, as far as I know, still take the position that every Marine is first a rifleman, and only after that some other military occupational specialty, they would tend to be good police recruits insofar as firearms proficiency goes. People in other services can develop the proficiency (Admiral Chester Nimitz was a very good pistol shot) and it can arise from avocation, but in the case of the Marines, it “goes with the territory.”

    If one compares the marksmanship of Marines vs. Army soldiers, the finding isn’t that the best shooters are Marines – the best Marine marksmen aren’t consistently significantly better than those of the Army. Rather, it is that the worst marksmen are from the Army. And that isn’t entirely accurate, the lowest score won’t necessarily be from the Army group. However, the Army group, at least those whose members are from outside combat arms fields, typically will contain a significant fraction of shooters with a poor level of skill only found in the rare outlier Marine who is invariably a standout defective in many other regards.

    This won’t be a subtle finding, it will be evident immediately – I’ve had occasion to observe this repeatedly. And it is simply because the USMC formally trains/qualifies all Marines in the basic principles of marksmanship in boot camp and repeats this two week training/qualification every year for all Marines – everyone, all ranks, I don’t think anyone ever achieves a rank where they don’t have to do this, at least by policy. And one’s qual scores are considered in promotions and even in basic respect among Marines.

    Ask any Marine, current and former, about his rifle scores. If he did well, he’ll often be willing to go on in interminable detail about his shooting, some shot he fluffed (and why..) on qual day the 3rd time he qualified, on and on. Even within the expert range, Marines will make an unofficial distinction between expert and “high expert” which, in my iron sight days, started around a score of 230. Being able to shoot high expert consistently is the stud level and those who do so are usually quite proud of this accomplishment.

    If he did poorly, he’ll likely want to talk about other things. Or he’ll inflate his scores – self reported rifle scores by former Marines are notoriously unreliable, only a DD214 will tell for sure. I think I’ve encountered more claimed holders of range records than there are range records possible.

    One’s level of proficiency is prominently displayed on one’s dress uniforms via a qual badge. It tends to register negatively with junior Marines if someone they are supposed to respect – officer, staff NCO, sports the “toilet bowl” and really, most junior Marines expect that a senior officer/NCO “in full” should be wearing an expert badge, even a sharpshooter one is questionable. I know it was to me. And not only is one’s qual level displayed, but if at expert level, how many times one has achieved that.

    So what one finds with any random group of Marines is that virtually all of them are able to handle their weapons with a basic degree of competence (as defined by the Corps), getting rounds down range with some accuracy. One can’t say that about the Army, at least during the era I had occasion to observe this and I’d guess this is still largely the same.

    I’ve read that this distinction was noted by the enemy in Korea at least, that Americans wearing the yellow leggings – a Marine uniform item then that distinguished them from the Army – could return fire from greater distances. Similarly, that they should be more cautious attacking U.S. support groups so attired because they are going to be able to return fire far more effectively than one would expect from truck drivers, clerks, etc.

    Perhaps it is USMC myth, I haven’t dug into it deeply, but it sounds believable to most Marines at least.

    Even at that early stage of life, I was impressed by the institutional excellence of Marine marksmanship training. Again, it wasn’t that they produced the best shots, but how they could consistently make such a high percentage of people into reasonably acceptable ones. And they do this in a very broad fashion, decade after decade, for hundreds of thousands of people from all walks of life, demographics and so forth.

    Everyone knows that drill instructors wear special headdress – the smokey the bear hat (I’m using non-Marine terminology for clarity). Rifle/pistol range personnel are the only others in the Corps with special headdress, a khaki pith helmet. As with drill instructors, it identifies those who are in charge – one can’t be screwing around on a live firing range with hundreds of shooters in the relays. But one can also take it as a bit of acknowledgement that, like boot camp, the rifle range is a bit of Marine “holy ground”, where part of what makes the Corps the Corps is learned and exercised by all Marines no matter what their job may be. The USMC loves its traditions and rituals, no doubt.

    Here is a bit on the pith helmet, all this goes way back:

    http://www.3rdmaw.marines.mil/News/NewsArticleDisplay/tabid/8112/Article/548527/the-history-behind-the-hat.aspx

    This ethic is also acknowledged by the cross rifles on Marine enlisted rank insignia that the Army analogs do not have. Marksmanship is one central element of the Marine identity – everyone is at root a fighter – without which it would be a fundamentally different institution.

  • @JackOH
    @anonguy

    " . . . [U]nclear what one might do with the results." Agree. All I can think of is something trite, such as "deal with it", a phrase I apply to myself. When my local TV station routinely and with good intentions introduces a segment on veterans as "our Valley's bravest", I privately think the phrase ill serves the very real distinctions between the combat veteran and the Stateside PFC in logistics.

    I suspect there's a relevant literature that deals robustly with changes in denotation and connotation of words, but it could be a real slog through specialized linguistics, or lexicography, or literary criticism.

    Replies: @anonguy

    I suspect there’s a relevant literature that deals robustly with changes in denotation and connotation of words, but it could be a real slog through specialized linguistics, or lexicography, or literary criticism.

    My thought as well – I’m hoping a linguistic sherpa might show up here and short circuit the need for that slog.

  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • @iffen
    @anonguy

    hackneyed, timeworn

    This is kind of hackneyed and timeworn itself. Is it not? You reveal a little about yourself with comments like this one.

    Replies: @anonguy

    This is kind of hackneyed and timeworn itself. Is it not? You reveal a little about yourself with comments like this one.

    Yeah, that I sometimes forget the need to dumb down stuff for people who can’t perceive the obvious irony/intensifier in using a hackneyed and timeworn device to criticize another example of the same.

    Get it now?

    • Replies: @iffen
    @anonguy

    Still have my socks on.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Former Darfur
    @Corvinus

    White people have the biological ability to procreate with whomever amongst the featherless bipeds has a similar enough chromosomal structure, but a community wishing to stay White will put up some defense against it. White men in the South who married black women or who fathered illegitimate children with them were considered more or less outcasts from proper society, but they were not lynched, because the children were considered Black. The other way around was more severely dealt with, but such couples lived openly in most major Southern cities after Reconstruction.

    The question is, is it "right" for Whites to defend their genetic continuity as a people and if it is, do they have the will to enforce it? It's my belief that the answer to the first question is yes. We exist because we did have that will for centuries. We are losing that rapidly.

    Mixing with the nonwhite peoples means the end of progress on this planet, if not forever, at least for many, many thousands of years. I want my children's children to go to the stars, not living in ghettos and barrios. I don't care what others, white or nonwhite, think.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Corvinus

    The question is, is it “right” for Whites to defend their genetic continuity as a people and if it is, do they have the will to enforce it? It’s my belief that the answer to the first question is yes. We exist because we did have that will for centuries. We are losing that rapidly.

    You feel you have the right to decide who I can breed with? Ok, I don’t think people with such totalitarian and racist tendencies should be able to breed on the chance that this may be heritable.

    Such tendencies have led to a lot of disastrous outcomes, why take the chance?

    And, I’d wager that more people in the U.S., or even limited to the white people for whom you claim to care so much, would support my proposed restriction set than yours if they had to choose and by a very wide margin.

    Wow, just wow… Do you really, honestly support your proposed policy or are you making some joke that is going over my head?

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy


    You feel you have the right to decide who I can breed with?
     
    You're not permitted to breed with your mother, sister, aunt, niece, or (assuming you got lucky once) daughter. Or, more accurately, you're punished if you do. Is this a violation of your rights?

    Today you're permitted to breed with as many people as you can talk into it, but can only offer legal protection to one of them at a time. Is this a violation of your rights?

    Are those who support these laws as arrogant as those above whom you criticize?

    Replies: @anonguy, @anonguy

    , @William BadWhite
    @anonguy

    "racist" and "wow, just wow" in the same post! Congratulations, well done troll!

    Replies: @Reg Cæsar

  • @Brutusale
    By far the most white male/Asian female couples I've known include guys who, to put it gently, weren't exactly ripping it up with the white ladies. They're the gender equivalent of the fat white girls with black guys. It's called a lack of options.

    Replies: @BB753, @anonguy

    By far the most white male/Asian female couples I’ve known include guys who, to put it gently, weren’t exactly ripping it up with the white ladies. They’re the gender equivalent of the fat white girls with black guys. It’s called a lack of options.

    Even though I’m married to an Asian lady and have ripped it up with women of a lot of races, not just (but including) white ones, I’d agree with this, including the “by far” part. This stereotype is actually one of the downsides of having an Asian wife. It isn’t a huge thing, a minor irritant at best, but it is there and, again, doesn’t seem to be without at least some basis.

    I have found the effect tends to decrease with age, as Asian women generally seem to age a lot better – probably a combination of genetics and cultural stuff. So the hit on status for being Asian is somewhat offset by an increase in appearance ranking – you may not have had the fever in your youth, but you’d maybe now swap the fat cow your wife has become for one now. Plus, I’ve found Japanese women at least tend to retain a certain spirit of fun/girlishness (p.s. don’t confuse this with obedience/submissiveness, a common western mistake) a lot longer than American women do if they ever had it at all. That also increases appeal/attractiveness.

    There are a lot of variables there and even within Asian ethnicities. In short, people tend to accord somewhat higher status to an Asian wife of Japanese origin than Korean and Chinese. One could say this is due to the economic rankings of those countries, but interestingly enough, it mirrors the perceived social rankings of very long standing in Hawaii of ethnic groups from these countries.

    Actually, I’d even go so far as to say that the negative stereotype often dissipates entirely when the stereotyper finds out the women in question is Japanese, which is a lot less of the percentage of Asian wives of Americans the past generation or two. In a lot of cases, the impression even becomes distinctly positive. Seems to me that many American whites, and across the spectrum from SJW to Stormfronter, seem to view Japanese as sort of honorary whites or something, even though they may not recognize themselves that they are making this distinction.

    With an Asian wife, esp. one with accented English, people will frequently ask how we met. I sometimes lean right into the stereotype and answer that I bought her on the Internet or in a Yokohama whorehouse, depending on my mood. She’s a remarkably good sport about this sort of thing.

    Anyow, just one guy’s experience, ymmv.

    • Replies: @Brutusale
    @anonguy

    It's skewed by location. I live in Boston, one of the top Nerdvanas in the world, so women coming from a culture that respects intellectual prowess will have a field day. As has been repeatedly pointed out, these women bring much less baggage to the table, a bonus to tech white guys with somewhat less than sterling social skills.

    And the men from said culture are, by dating site metrics, the least desirable males.

  • @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy


    You feel you have the right to decide who I can breed with?
     
    You're not permitted to breed with your mother, sister, aunt, niece, or (assuming you got lucky once) daughter. Or, more accurately, you're punished if you do. Is this a violation of your rights?

    Today you're permitted to breed with as many people as you can talk into it, but can only offer legal protection to one of them at a time. Is this a violation of your rights?

    Are those who support these laws as arrogant as those above whom you criticize?

    Replies: @anonguy, @anonguy

    Are those who support these laws as arrogant as those above whom you criticize?

    No, because those incestuous ones are nearly universal taboos that are central to just about any civilization, very, very limited exceptions. It is as controversial as acknowledging that feces stinks or something.

    Outgroup restrictions on breeding are far less common, and are often controversial within the groups themselves. Gotta make a more explicit case for them, just the facts mate, you are not comparing like things.

    Today you’re permitted to breed with as many people as you can talk into it, but can only offer legal protection to one of them at a time. Is this a violation of your rights?

    Non sequitur on your part, no response necessary on my part.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy


    No, because those incestuous ones are nearly universal taboos that are central to just about any civilization, very, very limited exceptions.
     
    So was buggery, until very recently. Now it consummates a marriage. And same-sex incest is arguably impossible under the laws of my state and many others. (It is impossible in Iowa, where incest is defined as the "sex act", which requires both.)

    Once you throw out the two-sex requirement for mating, you've also thrown out the case for two individuals and two families, upon which those additional requirements were based. At least , thrown it out for the new "marriages". They still make sense for the regular kind.

    Outgroup restrictions on breeding are far less common…
     
    And, like ingroup restrictions (i.e., incest taboos), those are defined variously in different cultures. Sephardic Jews can marry their nieces-- legally, in Rhode Island-- but Roman Catholics can't marry their second cousins without a dispensation. (Ironically, the only jurisdictions in the world that even outlaw first-cousin marriages are about half the American states. And those laws were pushed through by eugenicists, not the Vatican's best friends, to say the least.)

    The older Scandinavians in my neck of the woods remember a time when the union of a Swedish-American Lutheran with a Norwegian-American Lutheran would have been considered an outgroup marriage.

    Non sequitur on your part, no response necessary on my part.
     
    Funny how "non sequitur" is often used to mean "I can't think of an answer to your question, so I won't even try."

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy


    You feel you have the right to decide who I can breed with?
     
    You're not permitted to breed with your mother, sister, aunt, niece, or (assuming you got lucky once) daughter. Or, more accurately, you're punished if you do. Is this a violation of your rights?

    Today you're permitted to breed with as many people as you can talk into it, but can only offer legal protection to one of them at a time. Is this a violation of your rights?

    Are those who support these laws as arrogant as those above whom you criticize?

    Replies: @anonguy, @anonguy

    Sorry, forgot this:

    You’re not permitted to breed with your mother, sister, aunt, niece, or (assuming you got lucky once) daughter.

    For your sake, I’d hope you are only using a figure of speech as luck has little to do with this sort of thing. Thinking about it now, I’d say using that figure of speech may sometimes be a bit of a tell on a guy who isn’t doing too well romantically, or at least as well as he would like. Unconsciously reveals a fundamental view by the user of the term that guys are innately the needy ones/supplicants in sexual politics.

    Care to comment on that?

    Given the source, it dovetails with my opinion that white nationalist/racist views are essentially rent-seeking loser white guys.

    • Replies: @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy

    Good thing I'm at work now, rather than at home. It's hard to compose a reply when the kids are making so much noise. And no, we can't send them outside, because it's below zero on the Fahrenheit scale.

  • From the Washington Post: A lot of effort has been put into stuffing the UVA - Rolling Stone gang rape on broken glass hate hoax down the Memory Hole by making the scandal seem as boring and technical as imaginable: mistakes were made in following proper journalistic procedures. Nothing else to remember here, move along....
  • @anowow
    @anonguy

    Watch a movie such as Honeysuckle Rose or any cheaply made flick from the 70's. Compare the extras with our current Rubenesque damsels, youth and elders.

    Replies: @anonguy

    I’m old enough to have seen/parleyed with the women of the 70s. I started noticing about 15 years ago that surprisingly few of the women at the beach were sexy. And I had expected that one of the compensations of age was that more of the younger women looked hot.

    But it wasn’t the case and it has only got worse – obesity among the very young everywhere and it seems more common among young women than men. I tell the young guys that I do feel sorry for them because of this, but they seem oblivious, since this is the only reality they’ve experienced.

    And even at least some guys that are doing quite well, have hot girlfriends, are likely to make a positive remark about a women who by prevailing standards in the past would have been relegated to “fat chick” status by most anyone.

    I guess this is good from the female perspective, they get to eat all they want and still be a player. And the young guys, with no basis of comparison, don’t seem to be complaining, so ultimately who am I to criticize.

    Overall, seems to be an example of how rapidly standards of beauty can change.

  • @anon
    @anonguy

    Either the losers are getting better at outward presentation or the young guys are lowering their standards, or some combination thereof is the only explanation that occurs to me.

    Keep in mind that you're only seeing professional photographs taken for their wedding. The thing about young guys is that, if they're physically healthy, most of them can clean up and look presentable for a day when they have to.

    He has kind of a weird smile in the first picture. He either doesn't look like he's all that thrilled to be there, or just doesn't seem like a guy who's really confident about life in general.

    I also think it's weird that the photographer didn't airbrush out the jet contrail in the third picture. It seems like it must have been a pretty cheap photographer, so I would guess that neither of them is very wealthy.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Good forensics!

  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • @BB753
    @anonguy

    Perhaps Asians are better at concealing their disgust for mixed couples? And certainly less aggressive to act upon it.
    You should read what Asian men write in forums about white men stealing their women.
    Start here:
    www.blog.angryasianman.com

    Also, you were lucky not to be roughed up by Blacks while parading around with a good-looking Black girl! Mexicans don't really care that much.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Perhaps Asians are better at concealing their disgust for mixed couples? And certainly less aggressive to act upon it.
    You should read what Asian men write in forums about white men stealing their women.

    I’m aware if this material. I didn’t say these attitudes don’t exist, just that I personally haven’t perceived it (I even noted that, that maybe it was there, but I didn’t notice) and was quite clear on that point. Very clear.

    Also, you were lucky not to be roughed up by Blacks while parading around with a good-looking Black girl!

    Luck has nothing to do with it. And one of the basics of squiring any woman, in my view at least, is understanding that the attractive power of female sexuality is attractive to evil as well and it at least linearly correlates with the degree of female attractiveness broadcast into the ether. For my part, I take my duties as the male member of the team quite seriously. It isn’t a specifically racial thing in any way.

    Incidentally, evil is infinitely resourceful in presenting itself in a form attractive to female sexuality. Bad boys, anyone? And this is hardly a new observation, or opinion at least. There is a reason the Bible story has the serpent approaching Eve rather than Adam.

    Considering the insight I gained from it, I had the good fortune to have had a hard 10, and I mean that quite literally, early in life for a girlfriend. As an aside, good fortune had nothing to do with me acquiring her, just in considering what I gained from the experience. Women like that are bombarded constantly with negative stuff.

    At best it is stuff like the creepy guy two doors down who has been working up the nerve, thinking about her obsessively, for 6 months to simply say hi and it only gets worse from minor stuff like this. They live in a world where there are always people trying to capture her by some means or another, and that includes just guys passing by in public.

    This is of course true in varying degrees for any woman – it is just that the intensity and amount of it is brought into such stark relief at an extreme level of female attractiveness it is hard not to observe and draw conclusions from such an abundant data set. It is pretty much in your face 24/7 in this scenario.

    So one of your jobs as a guy is to protect her from direct assaults by naked evil and to help filter out evil packaging itself in a manner designed to make itself attractive to female impulses.

    Again, this is true of any woman, at least the ones I have experience with which, admittedly, is a vanishingly small fraction of the entirety of womanhood. However, the consistency of my experiences has made me conclude this is a basically universal condition.

    At the high extremum, this constant barrage can be awful hard on a woman – it is hard not because they are women, just because it is a constant stressor. Men have can difficulties managing their sex-specific stressors as well.

    That is why it is a nearly universal constant in human cultures that women need be shepherded. It isn’t that they are stupid or inferior, as feminists wrongly infer from the custom. It is that female sexuality is so powerfully attractive to evil and that evil is so ambitious and creative in its means that it is unrealistic to expect anyone to be waging this fight in life alone.

    In the case of the aforementioned 10, her beauty ultimately proved a curse that destroyed her. Her story would read like a biblical parable. Strong, dark stuff, let me tell you…

    Mexicans don’t really care that much.

    I don’t think anyone really cares that much in general – this stuff is highly situational and beyond that, attitudes of the same demographic, to the extent that attitudes can be generalized across such, are quite fluid over time. Sixty years ago, black/white pairings were almost invariably viewed negatively, and quite highly so, by the vast majority of white Americans, not just Southerners and some of it formally enshrined in law.

    Whatever the degree of antipathy to such now among white Americans, at the very minimum anyone would agree that it is far, far less to the point that the difference is of kind rather than degree. And there is no shortage of white Americans who essentially will give you a merit badge for such a relationship these days.

    So I take all that with a grain of salt and hasn’t really ever been a concern distinctly apart from the general duties of being the guy I outlined above. My observation is that people who – I don’t exactly what word to use, because I don’t want it to necessarily sound pejorative – care about race overestimate how much of a factor this is, especially in black/white pairings.

    Trouble can find one in many ways in life and I’d say the troubles associated with interracial relationships have been down at the trivial noise level at worst in my life. As I said in my original post, the trouble that found me in Mexico was really do to other factors than a Mexican girl but it used that as a an easy point of departure.

    • Replies: @rvg
    @anonguy

    Well back in the good old days males had a good way of disciplining their wayward wives if you know what I mean.

    , @BB753
    @anonguy

    Dating a very beautiful woman breeds envy, that's true. It only happened to me once, that is, escorting a 9 or a 10 I was romantically involved with , so to speak. We were both white though. It was embarrassing to see the amount of unsolicited attention and bad vibes her radiant beauty brought forth. But well worth the hassle in hindsight! For most of my life I've dated cute but otherwise ordinary ladies.

    Replies: @anonguy

  • BTW, in light of my last comment and as a hint for the cargo cult PUAs milling around here. My experience of one very strong tell that some lady is really into you very early on, even first date/encounter, is that she will say something along the lines of, “I feel safe with you”. IME looking retrospectively, this is a highly reliable indication. Probably even more significant these days as I’d think the prevailing culture might frown upon women expressing such sentiments, they are all supposed to be strong, independent, etc.

    As background, I’m not any sort of hulking brute, just average height/weight.

    • Replies: @rvg
    @anonguy

    Jeb Bush posts as anonguy O.o?

  • Jeb Bush posts as anonguy O.o?

    You know, I was certain that someone would accuse my thoughts of beta-tude or whatever you guys call it. I was even going to qualify the material and make a disclaimer on this point, but I decided that only the most terminal PUA devotees would be unable to understand the difference between masculine leadership, for lack of a better term, and beta-tude.

    It looks like I was right. And honestly, you’d be a lot better off living by my philosophy, or at least have a more satisfactory love life, than the garbage you read on Heartiste, etc.

    Now, I wouldn’t argue that many of the observations in the PUA community are totally devoid of any basis in reality. And I wouldn’t argue that it doesn’t improve the odds of success for its practitioners, perhaps only infinitesimally, but it likely does.

    However, the fundamental flaw is that it is all retrospectively descriptive stuff that the adherents mistake for forward-looking prescription. Even myself, if I were to write down and rehearse what worked well for me in one instance and which you guys would recognize as a classic, perfect call and response between a man and woman, every word seen as perfect and exemplifying some PUA principle, something that you guys would parse as Talmudic scholars, I’m certain it would be a complete wash with the next woman. Well, maybe not a complete wash, but worse than just having a nice flowing conversation with someone.

    The only thing PUA stuff does for guys is it simply forces them to get into the presence of women by encouraging them to be constantly “sarging”, if that term is still in currency. That is a huge step for a lot of guys because the odds of success go from zero hanging around your parent’s basement to at least something non-zero, no matter how small.

    Really, that is all it is doing for you and if that is what it takes, I guess it is good therapy. But better therapy would be for you guys to lose all your misogyny, loser bitterness, and just go have fun with some women. Some of them really are fun/interesting people and such, hard as it is for you guys to believe they are no more than automata in control of a vagina. They really are more than that and, hard as it is to believe, life with that understanding is a heck of a lot more fun, rewarding, and meaningful.

  • One final tell on why PUA is BS. The most cursory review of the community will show an extraordinary and continuous amount of exhortatory material that PUA works.

    This is the hallmark of BS, the need to constantly be convincing the target that it is true, works, whatever. Is 10% or even any visible percentage of mathematics discourse devoted to maintaining mathematicians faith that mathematics works?

    No, of course not. Same for anything that gives results, success is obvious.

    However, belief systems founded on fairy tales or simply belief systems that don’t deliver, and these can be all sorts of things, always, of necessity, have to devote a significant effort to maintaining adherents belief in something because, well, it isn’t working and the adherents naturally start getting a lot of doubts.

    You know, who are you gonna believe? Your own lying penis or CH?

  • From the New York Times:
  • @Veracitor
    In courthouse corridors all over the world the cries of criminals' mothers and grandmothers echo: "my boy would never do that! He wouldn't hurt a flea! Those girls are liars, they must be crazy or jealous, my boy is innocent!"

    Germany's so-called "Syrian refugees" are the adopted black sheep of Angela Merkel and Henriette Reker (Cologne's Mayor) and all the other childless leftist women of Germany. Those women all repeat the eternal phrases of mothers whose sons have earned society's ire. They will cheerfully sacrifice anyone else to save their sons, even from natural justice.

    Natural selection guarantees this behavior and the fewer children a mother has, the more anxiously she will protect each one. But like any evolved behavior, this protective emotion can be activated sometimes by error. The limbic systems of Germany's barren women are desperately eager to protect offspring who are not actually there, so they motivate concern for child-substitutes, in this case the young foreign men that German women have morally adopted en-masse.

    Of course every complex phenomenon is driven by more than one factor. Other commenters and our friend Heartiste have suggested that some German women favor the "Syrian refugees" just because they are more virile than German men. There probably is some of that, but I think there is another, related factor at work as well.

    Subconsciously, I believe, Germany's younger women want to provoke fights between Germany's men and the "syrian refugees." Far too many German men are "sitzpinklers" and German women are disappointed, even if they cannot express it in their vocabulary of leftist feminist cliches. Women notoriously like to watch men fight-- so they can mate with the winners. Even when they already have mates they want to see them fight to reconfirm their merit (this may be sublimated into "winning a tennis game," "winning promotion ahead of a rival," etc.). In both the Great War and WWII the women of England joined the Order of the White Feather and amused themselves by accusing young men of cowardice if they were not in military uniform. Young women in bars encourage young men to brawl. Anthropology books are replete with examples of women egging men into combat.

    Even as many German women see "Syrian refugees" as adopted sons and wish to shield them from the opprobrium of everyone else, another cohort of German women is challenging German men: "Hey, sitzpinkler, prove you are worthy to mate with me! Throw out this challenger, whom I invited into the bar (neighborhood, city, Germany) and with whom I am flirting to make you jealous, or die trying!"

    Many German women, if you ask them, will tell you they would rather mate with a German man, "but," they say, "there aren't any good German men, they're all wimps!" Many of the women of Cologne who voted for Reker and her pro-immigration platform, then went down to the Cathedral square to get groped by MENA's, are essentially trying to summon up some non-wimpy German men to protect them and, as Heartiste might suggest, give them the tingle which they don't feel when they look at Ralf Jaeger and all the rest of the SDP eunuchs.

    In this situation the men of Germany can either pull themselves together and regain the respect and affection of their women, or disappear into the mists of history, remembered by no descendants and few foreign historians. German men must cast down Merkel, throw out the "Syrian refugees," and if they are really smart, import some young foreign women on which German men can get the children which can no longer spring from the shriveled wombs of Germany's middle-aged women. Let the motherhood-yearning of those women settle onto German nieces and nephews and grandchildren instead of immigrant louts, and put Germany's remaining young women into healthy rivalry with foreign ingenues for the attention of German men.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Diversity Heretic, @ic1000, @5371, @Threecranes, @27 year old, @SFG, @Corvinus

    In the spirit of who/whom, who is one of Germany’s natural economic rivals in high skill/high tech/high value add manufacturing.

    Certainly Japan is.

    So are the crafty Japanese behind this? I’d add that the Japanese are famously against mass migration because they feel it degrades civilization.

    Way back, 80’s I believe, MITI forecast a long term decline in American technical prowess because of the increasing population of Latinos and possibly blacks. This forecast specifically noted that Latinos have not demonstrated any ability to build a high tech economy anywhere on a par with U.S., Japan, Europe. IIRC, the report was extremely adamant on the fact that the number was zero as opposed to not many, rather less than U.S., etc. No, zero and no sign of one emerging.

    Created the predictable hue and cry in the West. This was during a period when Japan was beginning to be held to western standards, so there were a number incidents of PC-naive Japan raising a lot of feathers.

    These incidents largely stopped a long time ago quite dramatically. Is it because the Japanese, and more specifically economic planners in Japan, changed their viewpoints with corresponding speed and degree?

    Of course not. They just learned that westerners are super sensitive about talking about this stuff.

    This is a nation of long term business thinking. For instance, many high end Seiko watches include a movement that Seiko says took 28 years to develop. Can you imagine any American company spending 28 years on something, esp. something like a watch movement, before they even sell one of them?

    Think, McFly, think… What’s in it for Japan here?

    • Replies: @Jack D
    @anonguy

    The Japanese are getting their technological lunch eaten by the Koreans. Many of the former big names in Japanese electronics are either broke or hanging on by their fingernails. They are not at the cutting edge of smartphones or anything else. Japan is a old society - like one giant nursing home, and lacks the dynamism of countries with a younger population.

    As for the 28 years to develop a watch movement, take anything you hear about watches with a giant grain of salt - watch marketing would make PT Barnum proud. If a watch movement took 28 years to develop, that means that by now its technology is 28 years out of date (actually this is not a big problem because for example the most popular Swiss mechanical movement produced today was introduced in 1961). Accurate timekeeping was the great technological problem - of the 18th century (solved by Harrison before 1760 - google "Harrison H4"). After that, it was just a question of further miniaturization and cost cutting thru automation. Today you can buy a (quartz) watch for $10 that is as accurate as you would ever need (if you need a watch at all - most kids today just look at their cell phones and regard the wristwatch as being in the same league as wall phones). Anything beyond that is just vanity (since white men can't wear big gold chains or tooth grillz, the watch is the only place for them to display their status thru jewelry).

    Replies: @anonguy

  • I wouldn’t get too heartened by Douthat’s column. Even the most ardent left-lib has gotta be seeing that NYT has become a one-sided propaganda megaphone.

    Not that that is a bad thing, from NYT perspective, just allowing the appearance of such is a bad thing.

    Douthat is window dressing. But nice that he is there.

    I’ll believe it when the usual suspects there start writing similar opinions.

    One point, though. The NPR lovers love their high euro culture vacations as much as they hate white people. Having the NY riots on the steps of a cathedral that they might want to visit sometime, the prospect that downtown Cologne (and other German cities) might get hollowed out like American cities did 2 generations ago and are now just stumbling back to even shadows of their former selves, is understood viscerally by Americans, even lefty-lib ones who may be unwilling to acknowledge their feelings.

    I mean, f*ck, where are you going to go for that study abroad year? Third world is ok for short eco-tourism, but longer stuff requires a civilized country and knocking Germany out of the running reduces options for a lot of things.

    France maybe did a itself disservice by shuttling MENA folks to the ‘burbs and out of sight, gave visiting (lefty, they love Paris, of course) Americans the impression that Paris and by extension France was a heck of a lot less diverse that it actually was becoming.

    Americans know about aggrieved racial minorities in center cities like no one else….

    Germany might be a chilling peek into the abyss for some lefty people.

    • Agree: International Jew
  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • @Foreign Expert
    @anonguy

    http://gbe.oxfordjournals.org/content/6/3/466.full

    Replies: @anonguy

    Thanks for getting back on this, very interesting.

  • From the New York Times:
  • About 25 years ago, a member of the clergy made the oddest remark to me.

    I asked him how many people lived in the small town where he reside. He said, “10,000 and we have 4000 Turks”. Funnier still, I’ve been back a few times since then, and I’ve still yet to see a Turk, or at least someone I recognize as such.

    Around that same 25 years ago, I had some German guests on their first visit to the U.S. Initially, the appeal of suburbs was utterly lost upon them, “Why would you want to live in the country?”. They also were perplexed as to why one would lock their car doors while they were actually in their cars.

    I wonder if there are many Germans who are still like this, at least up until the recent migration.

    According to HBD’ers, we should expect Germans to react much like white Americans, German being one of the major ethnicities among white Americans and closely related northern Euros even more.

    In America, they just moved away from the problem. Sure, there was lots of bluster in white flight years, disgruntlement, the occasional firebombing of the first house on the street to be inhabited by a black (incident like that happened nearby when I was a kid), all that, but they just faded like an ebb tide.

    Same thing is going to happen in Germany. In the U.S., it took a generation to figure out how to maintain some semblance of order in center cities, expect a secular upward trend in crime in Germany w/all the attendant hand wringing but not much action for a very long while. American criminal justice system was getting positively mushy-headedly scandinavian by the time the rising crime of the 60s really started hitting home.

    If they do deport, it will be well below the amount to have any meaningful difference – even if they deported 500,000, which would require a miracle to happen, that is 500,000 remaining.

    There is no way out of this one. Germany, at least the one we knew, truly is kaput.

    It breaks my heart…


    Video Link

    • Replies: @Bill
    @anonguy


    In America, they just moved away from the problem.
     
    That's not true. There were riots. Blacks had their houses burned down. Blacks were beaten up. The government stopped this. You could argue that the Catholics targeted by the resettlement of blacks in their neighborhoods should have started a civil war over it, but do you really think they would have won? Catholics were a minority of whites at the time and were greatly underrepresented in positions of authority.
  • @Diversity Heretic
    @Veracitor

    Both of these observations appear to me to have some validity, but it leaves me thinking that German men are "screwed, blued and tatooed." Do nothing but report immigrant/invader crime to the authorities and hope that they will take the proper steps and women of your own age think you're a wimp and refuse to have your children. Form a gang, hunt down and beat or even kill a few of the immigrants/invaders and the barren menopausal women in charge whose "sons" you've just attacked hurl the full force of the law at you. And if you're a German man who has invested something in education and training to get at least an acceptable job, you have something to lose.

    Proverbial rock and a hard place. My take: the feminization of society is a rapidly unfolding disaster on a number of fronts. I hate to make this observation, but one of the strengths of Muslim society is that it keeps its women under better controls.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Anonymous, @Desiderius, @Ed, @Bill, @Veracitor

    Both of these observations appear to me to have some validity, but it leaves me thinking that German men are “screwed, blued and tatooed.” Do nothing but report immigrant/invader crime to the authorities and hope that they will take the proper steps and women of your own age think you’re a wimp and refuse to have your children. Form a gang, hunt down and beat or even kill a few of the immigrants/invaders and the barren menopausal women in charge whose “sons” you’ve just attacked hurl the full force of the law at you. And if you’re a German man who has invested something in education and training to get at least an acceptable job, you have something to lose.

    By definition, “men” face up to daunting hurdles that if they don’t overcome, they are screwed. This is one, and honestly, it really is only a minor first world problem compared to a lot of stuff that can and has happened in German history.

    Who would you rather be, a German dude living today in some comfortable German home or a member of the Wehrmacht 6th Army trapped in the Kessel. Really, if they can’t face up to this, and I don’t mean by violence, this is such a trivial problem, all they have to do is vote out the wrong people and vote in the right people.

    If German men are defeated by this, lord knows they deserve it, as sad as it is to say.

    • Replies: @JEGG
    @anonguy

    Actually, the modern day problem of how to deal with encroaching feminization can prove more intractable than anything else, including the Nazis and WWII. This is because it's so very subtle and hits people not outside their home, but actually even in their own bedrooms.

    , @Diversity Heretic
    @anonguy

    Valid point; no sane person would choose to be trapped at Stalingrad. But what really did the genuine heroism of the German fighting man in those battles get them? At least the Landser knew who their enemy was.

    Who is the true enemy of ther German man today: (1) the immigrant/invaders who, so "the authorities" tell him, are there legally and are subject to the police protection of the State, at least insofar as any retribution you and your colleagues might contemplate is concerned; (2) the women with whom you would like to have children but who despise you because somehow you are failing to protect them (even though individuals fighting back will face odds of five or six to one and group retribution will be prevented or punished (see (1) above); or (3) the politicians/ leaders who throw open the doors to the immigrant/invaders, and facilitate (1) and (2) above, but, you are told, have been placed in their position by a "democratic" process and can only be removed by that process.

    And, to continue the World War II metaphor, if your answer is (3), do you (German man) want to be Klaus von Stauffenbeg and the July 20 plotters--assuming that you could somehow organize such a movement in a pervasive surveillance state, and without the class and status protections of the German/Prussian officer class?

    Let me not judge a man until I have walked a mile in his moccasins! It's just not that simple!

    I do note some stories of retributive attacks in the press today. And the Corsicans have struck back; I haven't heard recently what Golden Dawn is up to. The best arrangement is that police authorities (at the beat cop level) simply arrange to look the other way.

    Replies: @Anonym

    , @Bill
    @anonguy

    Indeed, democracy is a machine for deflecting blame.

  • In a more open media Steve would be a fine replacement for Pat Buchanan.

    The only thing holding iSteve back from respectability should there be much further shift of the Overton window in the current direction it is currently heading is the anti-semitic and white nationalist/racist element hanging around.

    Methinks Steve is playing a good game. He has to pander subtly to these guys previously and here on unz to keep his numbers/money/rep up, but maintain as much credible deniability about himself for a future return to respectability.

    His numbers are increasing, and I think the overall increase diminishes the percentage of anti-semitic and wn types. As his numbers keep increasing in this direction, he eventually can ditch/disavow this element completely without collapsing his reader base.

    Well, it certainly would be what I would do…

    Think about the thread about Nixon being taken down. I read about the first 75 comments and there was not one single remark about “da eskimos dunnit”. About who/what took out Nixon? Nixon? Are you kidding me? I’m not sure one could get that result on Haaretz….

    Maybe it is less anti-semitic types in the readership base, maybe Komment Kontrol is coming down harder on these types, or some combination of both factors. But it was very distinctive.

    Steve’s got a shot at it and seeing all these lessers, and they are legion, getting international renown, and more importantly, the broad audience he clearly craves is a bitter pill – he’s pretty diligent about letting his readership know how his writing/ideas get transmitted to the “general public” via covert readers of his work in mainstream journalism. And he should, because he deserves a broader audience.

    So if you want to help Steve, take the anti-semitic and racist stuff to Stormfront or somewhere. Personally, I’ve heard way enough of it to last a lifetime, but if you can’t control yourself for decorum, quit ruining Steve’s shot at prime time. The PUA stuff is pretty cheesy/annoying/juvenile, but I’d have to reluctantly admit that stuff may be survivable, especially because Steve doesn’t engage at all on that.

    Think about this….

    • Replies: @Bill
    @anonguy

    Concern troll is concerned.

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @Mark2
    @anonguy

    Oh look, it's this concern troll again.

    , @Hanoi Paris Hilton
    @anonguy

    I recollect recently noting at least one especially toxic piece of Judenhass on an iSteve thread that was up for a awhile, then seemed to disappear. Maybe my imagination, but possibly Mr. Sailer thinks it's OK to let this stuff emerge into digital daylight —pre-emptive censorship being counterproductive and cowardly— and after a decent interval, to minimize the aggregate stench in his parlor. The really scary thing was how much rude Joooo-hating came up in the early days of open threads in the online NYT, WaPo, et. al. before they started taking a more hard-core approach to moderating.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    , @gbloco
    @anonguy

    I don't think Steve ever needed the wn brigade

    Replies: @rvg, @anonguy, @Desiderius

    , @Broski
    @anonguy

    If the "anti-semitic" stuff includes discussions of the 2% population to 30% billionaire/40% biglaw partner/25% or whatever tenured professor discrepancies, it's hard to have an honest discussion of power and influence in the world without bringing it up.

    The dawning Overton window WILL include these facts, and the question is how Jewish elites acknowledge these facts, and certain of the excesses of influential Jewish people (like, say, Marx, Boaz, Gramsci, Gould, Lewontin, Schumer as the chief proponent of population changing immigration, Soros/Saban/Wynn/Adelson and their various machinations etc.), without white Gentiles overestimating Jewish foibles and underestimating Jewish contributions. There's a compelling case that Jewish people have caused a lot of problems, so Jewish elites better start explicitly focusing on Jewish contributions. Technology has rendered naked emperors obsolete.

    , @Mr. Anon
    @anonguy

    Apparently, Mr. Concern Troll is also the "Komment Kontrol" nitwit, who was always complaining about his posts not getting through.

    Given that you are a guy who thinks that using a K in place of a C is witty and insightful, remind us again why we should give a single solitary damn about what you think?

  • The New York Times' front page is starting to sound like iSteve: 18 Asylum Seekers Are Tied to Attacks on Women in Germany By ALISON SMALE JAN. 8, 2016 BERLIN — The German authorities on Friday tied asylum seekers for the first time to the wave of violent assaults on women in Cologne on New...
  • @BB753
    @anonguy

    Dating a very beautiful woman breeds envy, that's true. It only happened to me once, that is, escorting a 9 or a 10 I was romantically involved with , so to speak. We were both white though. It was embarrassing to see the amount of unsolicited attention and bad vibes her radiant beauty brought forth. But well worth the hassle in hindsight! For most of my life I've dated cute but otherwise ordinary ladies.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Dating a very beautiful woman breeds envy, that’s true. It only happened to me once, that is, escorting a 9 or a 10 I was romantically involved with , so to speak. We were both white though. It was embarrassing to see the amount of unsolicited attention and bad vibes her radiant beauty brought forth. But well worth the hassle in hindsight! For most of my life I’ve dated cute but otherwise ordinary ladies.

    I’ve come to the conclusion that beauty in women is a lot like IQ in people, whether male or female. Up to some point, it is almost invariably a positive quality, enhancing life outcomes for the bearer. After that, the correlation starts breaking down.

    Above 150 IQ, it is hard to tell what is the need for that level of intelligence, what really tangible life benefit can a rare outlier with a 170 IQ achieve that someone with an IQ of 150 or so cannot.

    Similarly, the utility of increasing female beauty more or less maxes out when a women is beautiful enough to make every man who sees her attracted to her enough to do her bidding. Above that point, it just hyperdrives male lust with highly unpredictable effects from this unruly force. And, as you imply at least, it doesn’t help her relations with females, actually harms them with all the envy and such.

    It is also hard to make a case that there is any utility to it looking at it from an evolutionary viewpoint. First there are so few at these beauty/IQ levels, if it was overall positive the mean would be shifting there quickly. But it is extremely unusual for such outliers, even with mates who are very high or even at the same level in that quality to have offspring possessing that quality at that level. Very significant regression to the mean for outlying beauty and IQ across a generation.

    So really they are just random flukes as much as those with an extreme deficit of IQ or beauty. In those cases, we universally recognize the negativity of the deficit but it is hard to see any negativity on the high side. That is because IQ/beauty is nearly invariably a positive up to some point so we just extrapolate and assume a little more is just more better.

    And sometimes it is, but sometimes it isn’t, again, starts becoming random how this combines with other qualities of the person. And since it is random, on occasion the negative effect is so great that the outcomes are worse, and even sometimes far worse, if the person had even been just average on that scale.

    The problem is that having such a high degree of some quality likely creates a need for some enhanced qualities in other regards because the bearer is going to be facing some unusual situations that most people don’t and perhaps even on 24/7 basis like a insanely gorgeous woman. So other areas of mentality, personal qualities may need boosting as well, like increased horsepower in an engine requires a better transmission. But there is no assurance that the random occurrence of high IQ/beauty is going to occur accompanied by the requisite skills for managing this IQ/beauty, what other people see as a rare gift. Again, this is because the randomness that produced this rare example is past the point of evolutionary benefit/mechanisms.

    To some extent, at least cultural traditions recognize this dilemma even if it isn’t usually obvious to individuals encountering outliers like this. A common narrative theme across the ages has been the potential for tragedy in having one’s dreams come true. A common wish is to have superlative beauty or intelligence. QED.

    FWIW, I suspect this dynamic applies to extreme high side outliers for many qualities consistently viewed as positive and in a more is always better way.

  • @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy


    No, because those incestuous ones are nearly universal taboos that are central to just about any civilization, very, very limited exceptions.
     
    So was buggery, until very recently. Now it consummates a marriage. And same-sex incest is arguably impossible under the laws of my state and many others. (It is impossible in Iowa, where incest is defined as the "sex act", which requires both.)

    Once you throw out the two-sex requirement for mating, you've also thrown out the case for two individuals and two families, upon which those additional requirements were based. At least , thrown it out for the new "marriages". They still make sense for the regular kind.

    Outgroup restrictions on breeding are far less common…
     
    And, like ingroup restrictions (i.e., incest taboos), those are defined variously in different cultures. Sephardic Jews can marry their nieces-- legally, in Rhode Island-- but Roman Catholics can't marry their second cousins without a dispensation. (Ironically, the only jurisdictions in the world that even outlaw first-cousin marriages are about half the American states. And those laws were pushed through by eugenicists, not the Vatican's best friends, to say the least.)

    The older Scandinavians in my neck of the woods remember a time when the union of a Swedish-American Lutheran with a Norwegian-American Lutheran would have been considered an outgroup marriage.

    Non sequitur on your part, no response necessary on my part.
     
    Funny how "non sequitur" is often used to mean "I can't think of an answer to your question, so I won't even try."

    Replies: @anonguy

    Once you throw out the two-sex requirement for mating

    Did I do that? I don’t recall that I did in our discussion, but you use it as a necessary premise for all that follows in your response. I’d love to play, but answering straw man arguments is a fools errand…

    Funny how “non sequitur” is often used to mean “I can’t think of an answer to your question, so I won’t even try.”

    That may or may not be true as a general statement. I would add that I have no opinion other than to note I’ve not observed the same pattern qualified (generally in your favor, incidentally) by the fact that I’ve never looked for or noticed a pattern of such usage.

    Regardless, it wasn’t used in this fashion in this particular instance where it quite accurately identifies an indisputable non-sequitur by any measure.

    Read what you wrote and think about it carefully and you should understand why it was a non sequitur – critical thinking is hard work, but it can be rewarding when done with strict diligence, at least in my experience.

    Take a look at this stuff, a good place to start in improving your debating game – you’ve got a lot of enthusiasm and “gameness”, but you need to tighten up on technique. That is, of course, only if you, perhaps improbably because I know I sound like a d*ckhead to you in at least in this comment, want to keep me interested in discourses with you:

    http://www.don-lindsay-archive.org/skeptic/arguments.html

  • The death of David Bowie, professional English eccentric, reminds me of this article by Benjamin Schwarz: From The American Conservative: Unmaking England Will immigration demolish in decades a nation built over centuries? By BENJAMIN SCHWARZ • January 11, 2016 ... The common law, Roger Scruton writes, becomes a familiar companion, an unspoken background to daily...
  • England, however, was a society of reserved, reclusive, eccentric individuals who constantly turned their backs upon one another, but who lived side by side in a common home, respecting the rules and procedures like frosty members of a single club.

    I’d go even further and suggest that the anglo-saxon tradition would often have family members treating each other with no more preference accorded than that that would be given any other Englishman. I’d have taken club member, even frosty one, as a significant upgrade. My father’s side was 100% English/American founding stock and this attitude, looking back, was evident in the extreme although it all seemed normal at the time. How it propagated over the generations between England and my generation is debatable, but it was extremely in evidence.

    I could go on with a bunch of specific, and at least one rather horrifying, anecdotes, but really my father summed it up with his frequent jest that when a kid turns 18, the locks on the doors will be changed and said offspring shouldn’t be coming back with any little babies and big suitcases.

    IMO this lack of family cohesion among WASPs significantly contributed to the eventual loss of their hegemony in the U.S. OT, but I’d add that the three martini lunches, constant tippling, didn’t help much either.

    • Replies: @Hibernian
    @anonguy

    Anglo-Celtic Protestant Southerners are VERY clannish. No prizes for guessing which side of the family tree that characteristic comes from.

    Replies: @Mr. Anon

    , @Edmund Pembroke
    @anonguy

    Perhaps the northern WASPS lost cohesion due to heavy Irish, German, Italian, etc. immigration. Or perhaps a degeneration from the East Anglian Puritan-->Transcendentalist slide.

    The only people I know who have the sort of atomistic view of their families as you describe have been 1. from non-English Germanic stock, 2. the Northeast or Midwest, and 3. are of post-depression generations.

    I see the degeneration of Anglo familial, communal, and general civil life to be the effect of 200 years of affluence and world influence, particularly in urban life. Anglo-Saxons are historically a rural folk. I look the the American South, Queensland, Alberta, the West Country or Borderlands for a more historical look at English heritage.

  • From the New York Times:
  • Merkel has vandalized Germany.

    I guess karma is a mofo, even if it is 1560 later.

  • I’m not sure how much the PUA analysis has relevance here.

    Me neither, but it seems like many PUA adherents feel its principles are the General Theory Of Everything. Whatever the merits of the belief system in success with women, an unfortunate side effect is the constant explaining of all events through PUA belief prism.

    It is another secular religion like SJW left/liberalism, has all the characteristics. The de-Christianizing of the west has all sorts of pseudo-religions popping to fill the vacuum across the political spectrum, not just on the left.

    One distinct characteristic is creating extraodinary detailed explanations/rationales presented as revelation that always boil down to some obvious truism.

    Here is my distillation of this one:

    1) Woman have had an an enormous influence on current events in Germany.

    Well, of course they have. In normal populations, they usually comprise ~50% of the population so they of course have enormous effect on any event, just like men do, who comprise the other ~50%. So in Germany, with a presumably normal sex ration, it would be only significant were women not a major, major, like roughly 50% interestingly, part of the influence on what is happening there.

    Dog bites man…

    2) Women have different motivators and theirs are very distinct from men because of their role in reproduction.

    Well, duhh, what largely differentiates men/woman is due to their different roles in reproduction.

    Dog bites man…

    3) Women through innocent intentions, misplaced trust, and excessive independence, are marching themselves and their men down a path of folly that will result in catastrophe for all.

    According to at least one huge religious tradition, this is what kicked off human existence, the founding event.

    Dog bites man…

    I don’t understand why we can’t all just take these things as givens. My guess is the PUA guys were so propagandized by egalitarian propaganda growing up – it is significant the timeline/age groups where PUA began – that commonplaces about men/women really are revelations to them and they have to keep reiterating them to full supplant the egalitarian brainwashing.

    So, maybe is just deprogramming and potentially deserves a little more sympathy. I’d say 2), that men and women are really different is the truly novel proposition to these guys. And the way that PUA treats this former common sense item as the most profound of insights is a testament to how effective the egalitarian brainwashing system has been in recent decades.

    • Replies: @random observer
    @anonguy

    Your offer wisdom, but we need to be realistic. Your number 2 seems to come as a revelation to many more people than PUAs, and most of public culture is based on the premise that it is not true. Your number 3 is institutionally rejected by our entire civilization, true though it be.

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @SoItGoes
    @anonguy

    Hah, these are good observations. I wonder how much of it is due to indoctrination and how much due to smaller families meaning that most young men nowadays didn't grow up sharing a home with a sneaky/manipulative sister.

  • @Veracitor
    @Diversity Heretic


    Both of these observations appear to me to have some validity, but it leaves me thinking that German men are “screwed, blued and tatooed.” Do nothing but report immigrant/invader crime to the authorities and hope that they will take the proper steps and women of your own age think you’re a wimp and refuse to have your children. Form a gang, hunt down and beat or even kill a few of the immigrants/invaders and the barren menopausal women in charge whose “sons” you’ve just attacked hurl the full force of the law at you.
     
    Yeah. So I would suggest Germany's men try something more political, less impromptu.

    The German men's resistance movement must marshal a single-issue anti-immigration political organization and make it the decider of every election. (Of course they will give the organization some high-minded name for propaganda purposes, and to preëmptively repudiate charges of racism and hate speech). That will require determined leadership to keep the organization focused; political hacks from existing parties will try to co-opt the organization and neuter it. It may take several tries to create a suitable organization. Naturally the first few politicians to court the movement in return for crucial votes in by-elections will betray it when they take office, but as office-holders facing tough re-election campaigns (and eager-beagers contesting open or weakly-held offices) chance asking the organization for support they will move the Overton Window in the movement's favor. With a judicious mixture of interventions positive (donations, volunteer work) and negative (withdrawing support from traitors even when that means harder-leftists will win), a strong organization will eventually tame enough politicians to start changing government policy.

    The resistance movement can recruit Germany's lesbians-- they have nothing to gain from the Merkel youth and much to lose to them. The lesbians should be sicced on the local political party organizations which coordinate and promote the clammy reign of the middle-aged nulliparas like Merkel and Reker. Many of those are volunteer committees staffed by whoever shows up regularly (it may be necessary to buy some party memberships). The targets will find it hard to slap down lesbian insurgents, while the softball-whackers will enjoy intriguing for power over the Merkel brigade. As they gain it they can promote anti-immigrant candidates or at least sabotage establishment-party operations. Only a fraction of the gay men will join the resistance but they will be useful allies. To recruit as many as possible an allied organization, something like "Queers for Germany" should be set up, with a natty dress code and lots of fooling around backstage or in nearby hotels after rallies. The gays should be used to influence figures in the entertainment industry, to wheedle fruity establishment politicians in bed, and to obtain blackmail evidence, as appropriate. Influencing entertainers will be very useful since they can spread all sorts of movement propaganda easily. The resistance movement should definitely arrange for dances and concerts with music from patriotic entertainers who donate some of the ticket money to the movement organizations.

    German men need to produce and disseminate propaganda at several levels-- even in the teeth of establishment censorship. They must create a popular film which celebrates a myth of Germanic solidarity and kinship (like Braveheart did for the Scots). I don't understand German mythos very well but perhaps a new movie about the 1529 Siege of Vienna would serve. German men must formulate political euphemisms, slang, and code words to use when discussing anti-immigration efforts. The German State is far behind the Chinese in censorship technology; Germans could evade a lot of government Internet flyswatters just by referring, e.g. to Merkel youth as «Turisten» and the like. Of course much more elliptical approaches are feasible. German men should also spread anti-immigrant rumors and create black propaganda-- for example, movement hackers should forge, inject into official channels, and "leak" a scary memo from a high official in the public health service warning hospitals and clinics about antibiotic-resistant intestinal diseases spread by Merkel youth, then push rumors of women in Cologne and other cities suffering horribly after drinking coffee from cups inadequately-washed by filthy immigrants (not forgetting suitable Facebook posts). White propaganda too is required-- for example, publicizing the diversion of social-services funds from German retirees to Merkel youths.

    The German resistance movement must make a special, persistent (though discreet) effort to foster and recruit sympathizers in the police (including border guards, etc.) and fire services. It should be fairly easy to win over the lower ranks and many in the command structure. Policemen would naturally prefer to arrest and deport Merkel youth than to stand around watching them molest young German women. The police are supervised by establishment political hacks like Wolfgang Albers of the SDP in Cologne but without the cooperation of the "real" policemen the political hacks can only prevent action, not take it. The hacks have shown that they will prevent real policemen from interfering with MENA rape festivals. When confronted by a German resistance movement the hacks will order policemen to take action to identify and arrest patriots for "hate speech." Movement sympathizers in the police must frustrate those orders. Kripo and BKA officers can proceed with deliberate inefficiency, and connive at warning patriots to avoid provocations, traps, etc. Patrolmen can be clumsy and slow when it comes to arresting patriotic protestors. Both senior and junior police officials can bungle investigations of patriots and spoil evidence sought by prosecutors-- and they can leak information for patriotic politicians to publicize under parliamentary privilege.

    The movement must recruit some lawyers and bankers into a special allied organization to collect and administer legal-defense and jailed-martyr's-family-relief funds. Those succor mainly main-organization figures targeted for persecution by the establishment, but would be available to aid particularly sympathetic fringe allies.

    Every large political movement attracts a lunatic fringe (Carrie Nation, Black Panthers, etc.). Since this is unavoidable, it should at least be managed and exploited. The lunatics should be steered into a separate resistance organization so the main political organization can distinguish itself as the voice of reason and moderation. At rallies the lunatics should be relegated to attacking pro-immigration hecklers at the fringes of the crowd. The police will have to arrest some of them; so much the better-- eventually a few will make presentable martyrs. The main organization should never attempt unofficial violence-- its aim is to get the government to order the police to expel the Merkel youth. Any non-lunatic who wants to wrestle with migrants should join the police and demonstrate his prowess in the service of the law.

    The resistance movement should aim to: make the government concede first a substantial crimp then a pause in the influx of foreigners; force Merkel out of office; institute an aggressive scheme of deporting Merkel youth who commit crimes (at first) then infractions (next) and finally mere welfare-dependency; then to finish up, implement a repatriation scheme to send immigrants from MENA home. Departing migrants should be given a good-sized departure gift (e.g., $5K) if they go quietly and a dull ache in their backsides if they have to be frogmarched to the border and booted across it. It will be good for German men to have German women watch them expel the Merkel youth.

    In the early days of the movement most women will oppose it. Once it picks up some momentum, though, German women's sympathies will start to shift-- the more as the men appear to be defying the establishment and getting away with it.

    Replies: @anonguy

    I don’t understand German mythos very well but…

    The Battle of Stalingrad has much symbolic signficance for a lot of Germans and rightly so IMO. It is kind of downplayed here in the U.S. because of the common belief that the Normandy invasion & followon is what singlehandedly fixed the Germans’ trolley.

    The right to drive without speed limits is roughly the analog to the 2d Amendment in the U.S., viewed as a fundamental right of a free people – frei fahrt für freie bürger. Naturally, the wets are on the wrong side of this one.

    I can’t think of any Stalingrad angle off-hand, but the surest way to get German men to “drop their cocks and grab their socks” is to get them thinking that “frei fahrt” is under attack, which does happen from time to time.

  • @Corvinus
    @Veracitor

    “The limbic systems of Germany’s barren women are desperately eager to protect offspring who are not actually there, so they motivate concern for child-substitutes, in this case the young foreign men that German women have morally adopted en-masse.”

    Please do us all a favor and stop with the pop psychology analysis. If you are going to make these statements, you’re going to have to offer specific evidence rather than CH standard rhetoric.

    “Subconsciously, I believe, Germany’s younger women want to provoke fights between Germany’s men and the “syrian refugees.” 


    Ok, so you are wildly speculating here. Any sociological data to support your hypothesis, or you intellectually flailing?

    
“Far too many German men are “sitzpinklers” and German women are disappointed, even if they cannot express it in their vocabulary of leftist feminist cliches. Women notoriously like to watch men fight– so they can mate with the winners”.

    So, are you married? Have children? If not, it would appear that you haven’t fought enough.

    “Young women in bars encourage young men to brawl. Anthropology books are replete with examples of women egging men into combat.”

    Oh, those books. Praytell, what examples? Please list authors and the results of these studies.

    “Many German women, if you ask them, will tell you they would rather mate with a German man, “but,” they say, “there aren’t any good German men, they’re all wimps!””

    How many German women?

    See, all you have is mere speculation. That's it. There's little of substance to hold on to. You make these statements as if they were accurate without any proof.


    Diversity Heretic—“Both of these observations appear to me to have some validity.”

    Observations, yes. The real test is whether or not they have a factual basis.

    “I hate to make this observation, but one of the strengths of Muslim society is that it keeps its women under better controls.”

    Assuming that keeping women under control is a strength of ANY society.

    Replies: @anonguy, @Veracitor

    Observations, yes. The real test is whether or not they have a factual basis.

    No doubt this is a necessary condition for consideration of, as you rightly call it , “pop culture”, but is still insufficient. I’d go on to add that a few more necessary conditions is whether the regurgitated pop culture hairball is anything other than a unremarkable but pervasive non-issue to anyone not detoxing from egalitarian propaganda force feeding and whether it is possible that that the phenomenon comes down on one side or the other or is in any way especially relevant in this situation compared to others.

    For instance, the observation that the refugees in Germany like to drink stuff when they are thirsty. This is indisputably true, and maybe if this were all happening in a desert or drought there might be an angle to it, but need I go on?……

    Hey, what is slightly relevant is that Ossies were often considered “ruined” by their brainwashing under socialism and only a new generation supplanting them would completely eradicate the residual learned dependency, socialist reflexes, and so forth thought to be holding Ossies back. I don’t know if this thought is still much in currency leastwise because a whole generation has now indeed passed.

    I hope I don’t come to the conclusion that we may have a bit of a lost generation that has come of age in the U.S. the past 10 years or so as well (and more are in the pipeline), but things aren’t looking too positive in that regard… As irritating as the constant incantations of the PUA may be, I have to remind myself that their hearts are ok usually, has them questioning what is The Man for their age group.

  • @Percy Gryce
    All of this talk about German men presumes that they are actually "German" ethnically. I recall during my time in Berlin (U.S. Army, 1987-90) that the young male population looked distinctly unGerman--that certain Germanic virility was lacking. Of course, that was years before I learned about the mass rape of German women by the Red Army at the end of WWII:

    https://www.google.com/search?q=soviet+mass+rape+in+world+war+ii

    Replies: @Jack D, @anonguy

    I recall during my time in Berlin (U.S. Army, 1987-90) that the young male population looked distinctly unGerman–that certain Germanic virility was lacking.

    I participated in several NATO exercises a bit before your time in Berlin. The pervasive impression all of us Marines had of the Bundeswehr was that they were “chicks with d*cks”. Of course, being Marines, we were heavily biased towards drawing that conclusion about everyone that wasn’t us, but I do remember how shocked all of us were on first encounter with these guys, in our naivete most of us had expected something a bit more rough and ready than these guys.

    This was particularly so because one vaguely sensed that it wasn’t a remediable training issue, but rather something more intrinsic, a lack of a certain moral fiber. And while we were biased, we did make differentiated judgments in these situations. For instance, ROK forces and Royal Marines were highly respected and generally thought to be better, much better, on a man to man basis than the average Marine – a lot of Marines thought, or even wished, that the Corps would adopt some of their practices. The UK ground forces seemed at least a little better than the average NATO force – generally all of them seemed a bit more of a civil service populated by civil servants than a military one. But the Bundeswehr was the real head-scratcher.

    The impression received of Scandinavian force members was similarly low even for a NATO force, but that was aligned with expectations that Americans tended to have about Scandinavia even back then. The Bundeswehr was the force whose members seemed most contrary to expectations – as Americans understanding that our forebears had within living memory (then) fought two wars against Germany where it had been a legendarily formidable opposition in most every regard, I guess we had expected a lot more from these guys considered individually as opposed to their organizational skills, etc, which were of course superlative.

    I know what I’m going to write now can, likely will, be taken as supporting evidence by annoying PUA, but I’m an honest broker.

    In 1978, I participated in a humongous NATO exercise that at least partially was an early and major sabre-rattling by the west against the Soviets in the twilight of detente. It also was the first time Marines had been present in any massed formations in Europe since WWI – in WWII, USMC was dedicated to the Pacific Theatre. Just given the reputation of the Corps, the locals everywhere were pretty curious about us even though our contingent of a regimental landing team of ~3k was at best 5% of the total forces involved in this exercise which had portions all over Europe.

    However, our ops were one centerpiece of the exercise, demonstrating U.S. ability post-Vietnam to conduct major, RLT level, amphibious landings under highly adverse conditions on the Soviets doorstep. So we also got media attention for that as it was a then-novel aspect of a big NATO exercise which tended to get a lot of media coverage in Europe then.

    The Soviet propaganda mill had been putting out informative briefs describing the U.S. Marines as “troops willing to loot, murder, and rape, and lacking the basic differences that separates man from the animals” and such which I guess aligned with whatever vague expectations the Europeans had of the Corps from what they had heard of Pacific Island fighting, Vietnam, etc.

    A very common question from a random European would be if it was really true that all Marines were convicted murderers or just assumed that was true and asked how many people did you kill? Really, and often was the reason that the European had struck up a conversation, although it usually took a bit of chit-chat for them to get up the nerve to ask.

    So we were on the ground foreigners generally considered as quite violent/aggressive loutish individuals.

    The local women f*cking adored us Marines, period, although I’m certain continued exposure would have eventually changed their minds. And this was in very stark contrast to their reactions, at least as I observed, to members of other forces American or otherwise. The sailors, on whose ships we sailed and who were on liberty concurrent with us, were green with envy because they were completely invisible, if not reviled, by the same local women.

    As for local male response, there was a pattern of local guys picking a fight with a Marine specifically because he was a Marine. I’m certain there is a PUA interpretation, and I’ll throw gas on that fire by noting that the pervasive self-confessed cause by the local guy was that he wanted to be able to say he had been in a fight with a U.S. Marine whether or not he won or lost. Conversations with other non-adversarial local guys indicated that this was a common aspiration among the young local guys, kind of a “no ballz, dude” thing with them.

    PUA: Eureka! I knew it, PUA wins again – men showboating for the ladies, nyah nyah, I’m so insightful….

    Me/comrades: Huh, what? But of course, that is what guys do and women like to observe/vet and the victor gets the spoils. You didn’t know *that*?

    Anyhow, this was a pretty cool thing for the ego, albeit something of a annoyance, but ultimately just part and parcel of heightened local women interest, which of course is always the prize for young men.

    • Agree: Percy Gryce
    • Replies: @Desiderius
    @anonguy


    Me/comrades: Huh, what? But of course, that is what guys do and women like to observe/vet and the victor gets the spoils. You didn’t know *that*?
     
    How could they? The vast majority grew up with much different experiences than your own. You were living in an environment that was a holdover from WWII male glory, while back home things were going more the way of Stripes.

    There have been two generations of reaction to that, and reaction to the reaction since. If anything, things are finally starting to turn back around to where you've evidently always been. You don't get a cookie for saying, "duh, they've always been that way."
    , @Reg Cæsar
    @anonguy

    The Germans and Scandinavians of whom you write were conscripts, weren't they?

    Replies: @anonguy

  • @Bill
    @anonguy

    Concern troll is concerned.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Concern troll is concerned.

    A response like that indicates one of several things:

    1) You mistake Mr. Sailer’s tolerance for a wide range of opinions as sympathy/support for your racist/anti-semitic views and are attempting to white knight for him.

    I’m not privy to Steve’s inner thoughts, but he expresses quite a few of them and by examination of that, I’d conclude you are dead wrong on this one.

    2) You are actually an opponent of Steve’s writing/philosophies but sock puppeting in an attempt to use Steve’s tolerance against him so that he is future-slimable as an anti-semite/racist.

    3) You are so in the grip of anti-semitic/racist fantasies you don’t care what collateral damage you do in pursuit of these delusions.

    4) You have a reading comprehension level beneath the level at which I wrote, which any high-school graduate should easily understand. Note I said should, and unfortunately, I meant it in its very hypothetical/subjunctive, contrary to current fact, usage as I am aware of the appallingly low levels of literacy and critical thinking skills among many these days.

    No other possibilities, really. You’d do much better to run off to Stormfront or wherever if you can’t contribute productively. One of the notable attractions of iSteve is the lively intellect displayed by many of the commenters – it has been said, much more than once incidentally, that he has the best commenters anywhere on the Web (anywhere, not just HBD, alt-right, etc).

    However, that doesn’t apply to 100% of them, some of the chaff is people exploiting this popularity, riding its coattails, to push your notions.

    Whatever is the case with you, there is an saying that a bore is someone who deprives you of solitude without providing you company.

    I could think of a number of cute paraphrases of this thought to apply to your case, a commenter like Bill is one who deprives a thread of X without providing Y.

    Here is my challenge – demonstrate you are capable of an original thought by coming up with some clever X and Ys. Make them insulting to me if that is the motivation you need, I don’t mind, I’d like to see you up your game. Plus, iSteve commenters have a reputation to uphold and you are just dragging things down with nyah, nyah, you are a poopy face stuff.

  • @gbloco
    @anonguy

    I don't think Steve ever needed the wn brigade

    Replies: @rvg, @anonguy, @Desiderius

    I don’t think Steve ever needed the wn brigade

    I don’t think so either, but they’ve glommed onto him and having a lot of unorthodox views himself, a prominent one being how PC stifles dissent, he doesn’t seem big on censorship. Trying to set good example.

    I actually applaud him for allowing some pretty way out views (both ends of the spectrum, incidentally), takes a lot of courage this day and age. And given the prominence of the notion in HBD circles that WASPs, etc, were undermined by their commitment to fairness and other virtues, he undoubtedly, by that light, can see the danger of that happening to him on his own blog. Whether he cares or not is unknown and is his own business, its his blog. Seems like he knows what he is doing, certainly is doing what he wants.

  • @random observer
    @Eustace Tilley (not)

    I've heard of every one of those things. Not one of them, or all of them, equals the Holocaust in deliberation, motivation/purpose, scale, or brutality.

    Failure to properly discern a natural-origin crisis, lack of tools to act quickly [this is hyper-minimal government early Victorian Britain we are talking about wrt to Ireland] and to regulate commerce accordingly, and indeed even callous unwillingness to take the crisis seriously or attempt these things, is not the equal of setting out to exterminate millions for its own sake.

    Rounding up enemy civilians in wartime is an ancient practice, to be sure, and once ended up at the auction block. Rounding them up temporarily to deny support to the enemy is less cruel, and common in modern times. As it happens, the modern incarnation was not invented by the British and is attested earlier in such places as Poland and Cuba, the former as far back as the 18th century. Doing this, as the British did in South Africa, even if they do it sloppily and don't care much about health and welfare, is not the equal of setting up camps for one's own citizens in peacetime, then setting up more in surrendered territories for the purpose of mass murder. That's all on Germany. [Or Russia, but then the Germans were the first to practice it on millions of citizens of other countries. THe Russians prior to 1941 were content with their own targets.]

    The British certainly did use military force to compel the Chinese empire to accept opium imports to defray the tea trade deficit. But you can't actually force opium addiction on anyone. [Same goes for the US drug war today, of course. Every coke and heroin addict a volunteer.] It certainly does not equate to the Holocaust. The victims of the latter didn't sign up to take drugs the GErmans just happened to have forced onto the market. They were unwillingly signed up to get killed.

    Who partitioned India...? Exactly what was Britain supposed to do in 1947? The options were:

    1. Stay, at great cost and probably at the cost of war with both sides. Not to mention the US coming down on Britain like a ton of bricks.

    2. Try to force a unified India on both sides before leaving. Which would probably mean never leaving and revert to option 1.

    3. Partition, but stay longer to get the borders right or run the population movements with British personnel. Pretty much all the negatives of 1 and 2.

    4. Leave and hope the locals would not massacre one another. Oops.

    Still, It wasn't British soldiers who massacred all those millions of people. Or were they children who needed Mother England to take care of them after all?

    Aware of the Bengal famine, one of many Bengal had suffered. Plenty of political and economic structural reasons about late British India that contributed to it. SOme others about wartime exigencies do not exactly adorn Britain's record. But note even that wiki article fairly presents just how many of the problems were war related, or products of the amount of autonomy the British had already granted to Indians. Indian-controlled other provinces seemed more than willing to let Bengalis die rather than open up grain shipments, as Britain could no longer compel them to do.

    Apart from a racist comment by Churchill comparing Bengalis to Greeks, nothing in that article supports your contention.

    And none of it involves Britain setting up camps to kill millions of Bengalis or lining them up and machine gunning them into graves they had to dig themselves.

    Replies: @Jack D, @5371, @anonguy

    One theme that used to be more prominent in Holocaust literature was that another particular horror was that it occurred in Germany, the land of Kultur, Schilling, Lessing, Goethe, Kant.

    Up until WWI, many (non-Germans) considered Germany the pinnacle of western civilization because of its achievements on so many intellectual fronts for starters. That a place so eminently civilized could turn its gifts, in the blink of an eye essentially, to such barbaric savagery was considered particularly grotesque. It also served as a cautionary tale in that if it could happen in Germany – Germany! – of all places, it could happen anywhere.

    Frankly, what happened in Rwanda wasn’t entirely against expectations for a poor 3rd world country. And if a lot of people dig deep enough, the expectations are because of at least unconscious racism – bigotry of low expectations, all that.

    I think the angle that it was particularly shocking because it was in Germany has diminished because those whose expectations were set about Germany prior to WWII, and even moreso prior to WWI have nearly all dead – p.s. for pedants, I know everyone alive early enough to have formed adult opinions about Germany prior to WWI are all dead….

    • Replies: @rvg
    @anonguy

    I though it was actually the mufti of Jerusalem that came up with the idea of the Shoah, and then convinced Hitler to implement it? Or maybe the whole event was a gross exagerration altogeher? I mean if 1 million died instead of 6 million, it could point to neglect and starvation, or perhaps even Japanese POW camp like conditions, and not a deliberate genocide, btw only mass expulsion of Jews was talked based on the minutes of Wansee, but of course the Germans may have burned away all the evidence.

  • The death of David Bowie, professional English eccentric, reminds me of this article by Benjamin Schwarz: From The American Conservative: Unmaking England Will immigration demolish in decades a nation built over centuries? By BENJAMIN SCHWARZ • January 11, 2016 ... The common law, Roger Scruton writes, becomes a familiar companion, an unspoken background to daily...
  • @Anonymous
    I got through about half of the piece before stopping because it was just too depressing.
    One of the most frustrating things for a British opponent of immigration is the bovine nature of the average voter. The polls show that the vast majority of them want to drastically reduce immigration yet they continue to vote in their millions for pro open borders parties such as Labour.

    On another note, picking up on the general tone of some of the comments on other pieces about England such as that article Ling Ding wrote a while ago and Steve Sailer's piece on the review of the book about English history, and on many other comments I've read over the years, I have noticed there seems to be a strange sort of hostility towards England and the English from some Americans commenters. Unlike their attitude towards other countries they dislike, which generally seems to just be a casual contempt, there seems to be something deranged and rather pathological about their attitude towards us.

    I'd be interested to hear from any Americans suggestions as to why this is.

    (I'm not suggesting all Americans are like this, just a noticeable minority).

    Replies: @Leftist conservative, @anon, @German_reader, @Pat Casey, @Kylie, @Lot, @James N. Kennett, @anonguy, @Reg Cæsar, @SFG, @Bill P, @Jean Cocteausten, @Randal, @Anonymous, @WhatEvvs, @Stan Adams

    On another note, picking up on the general tone of some of the comments on other pieces about England such as that article Ling Ding wrote a while ago and Steve Sailer’s piece on the review of the book about English history, and on many other comments I’ve read over the years, I have noticed there seems to be a strange sort of hostility towards England and the English from some Americans commenters. Unlike their attitude towards other countries they dislike, which generally seems to just be a casual contempt, there seems to be something deranged and rather pathological about their attitude towards us.

    I’d be interested to hear from any Americans suggestions as to why this is.

    I’m of English extraction, albeit with pre-revolutionary ancestors. My mother was a huge anglophile – this used to be a standard class snobbery thing in some U.S. quarters – and when I was growing up there were at least some bits of the Empire remaining, although they were rapidly being divested.

    Lotta red in our Encyclopedia Brittanica atlas, but you really needed a new edition each year to keep up with the name changes.

    Anyhow, I got a big dose of Britannic greatness growing up. And you guys, to my child’s mind, though clearly in a downtrend clearly warranted the Great more than any other country.

    Now, as much as the United States has declined, Britain has gone further. It is sad to me, to see how far GB, cousins really, has sunk in one lifetime and with no end to the trend in sight.

    It is frightening, actually, to consider that I may be alive when all that “There Will Always Be An England” stuff is put to the lie, something I would have considered utterly impossible not very long ago.

    So basically disappointment, I can’t believe the English did this to themselves. Heck, did it to me, England is/was my shrouded in the mists of time ancestral home. I remember the first time in London in the 70s – it was amazing, Buckingham Palace, Big Ben, Picadilly Circus, I realized then how much of that formed my cultural core because it literally felt like I had been there before, completely familiar. Then you go into the British Museum and whaddya know, there is the Rosetta Stone just sitting there in a glass case.

    And then you pile on top of that the natural contempt one has for losers, especially ones who surrendered a fight they easily could have won simply at the ballot box. Heck, if you didn’t want to effortlessly save England for yourselves, you guys could have done it for folks like me. But no, you’ve thrown it away as carelessly as a used snotrag.

    So maybe also bit of a sense of betrayal at some subliminal level. You guys were supposed to be curating England for posterity and didn’t.

    • Replies: @Randal
    @anonguy


    So basically disappointment, I can’t believe the English did this to themselves.
     
    I'm English, and I can't believe we've done it to ourselves.

    Then again, I'm getting on a bit and I've been opposing mass immigration since the 1970s, long before it became the catastrophe it has since become, because it was obvious to me even then that it was a "slippery slope" issue. As I noted above, Enoch Powell in the early 1970s probably represented our last real chance. After he had been sidelined, there was no possibility of holding any line against mass immigration in the face of the anti-racist and anti-patriotic ideological dominance, and it was just a matter of time before the big business interests seeking to undercut labour prices and the leftist interests seeking to "rub the right's noses in diversity" opened the flood gates.

    And so it has come to pass.
  • From the New York Times:
  • @random observer
    @anonguy

    Your offer wisdom, but we need to be realistic. Your number 2 seems to come as a revelation to many more people than PUAs, and most of public culture is based on the premise that it is not true. Your number 3 is institutionally rejected by our entire civilization, true though it be.

    Replies: @anonguy

    Your number 3 is institutionally rejected by our entire civilization, true though it be.

    Yeah, I know. And it is deplorable, but when you have unrestricted levers of power, they get pulled.

    Your number 2 seems to come as a revelation to many more people than PUAs, and most of public culture is based on the premise that it is not true.

    This is the horrifying part and honestly, it is still sinking in to me that so many people actually believe such things. I can understand get along/go along, not everyone is some fighter for truth/justice. But no, many people apparently truly believe things that are both contra-factual to every bit of evidence, whether it is anecdotal, formally scientific/statistical, or anything in between.

    That is the part that gets me – anosognosia rather than denial. And how swiftly and pervasively the beliefs have become entrenched and passionately held by what seems to be majorities across national boundaries and so forth.

    You know, sincere belief all the way down…

    Those guys who wrote “Generations”, airport book a while back that predicted a religious revival or something similar IIRC among millenials. Maybe those guys (2 authors to the book) were right and this is it. And maybe it is like another utterly contrafactual/counterproductive belief system – Ghost Dance – that spread like wildfire among a defeated/declining people and was seemingly a last ditch effort at salvation by a people whose previous cultural tools had failed them.

    The analogy is imperfect, but something to think about. At my age, I know plenty of people from back in the day when current beliefs would be perverse in anyone, who harbored none of this then, but now by any investigation seem to be completely sincere believers in this orthodoxy.

    It may be a little more striking to me personally because I spend lots of time in east asia where these notions don’t have nearly so much traction. I have to consciously activate a mental filter when I return to the U.S. so I don’t inadvertently utter a the slightest naughty thought.

  • @Jack D
    @anonguy

    The Japanese are getting their technological lunch eaten by the Koreans. Many of the former big names in Japanese electronics are either broke or hanging on by their fingernails. They are not at the cutting edge of smartphones or anything else. Japan is a old society - like one giant nursing home, and lacks the dynamism of countries with a younger population.

    As for the 28 years to develop a watch movement, take anything you hear about watches with a giant grain of salt - watch marketing would make PT Barnum proud. If a watch movement took 28 years to develop, that means that by now its technology is 28 years out of date (actually this is not a big problem because for example the most popular Swiss mechanical movement produced today was introduced in 1961). Accurate timekeeping was the great technological problem - of the 18th century (solved by Harrison before 1760 - google "Harrison H4"). After that, it was just a question of further miniaturization and cost cutting thru automation. Today you can buy a (quartz) watch for $10 that is as accurate as you would ever need (if you need a watch at all - most kids today just look at their cell phones and regard the wristwatch as being in the same league as wall phones). Anything beyond that is just vanity (since white men can't wear big gold chains or tooth grillz, the watch is the only place for them to display their status thru jewelry).

    Replies: @anonguy

    The Japanese are getting their technological lunch eaten by the Koreans. Many of the former big names in Japanese electronics are either broke or hanging on by their fingernails. They are not at the cutting edge of smartphones or anything else. Japan is a old society – like one giant nursing home, and lacks the dynamism of countries with a younger population.

    Ditto of the the standard Washington Consensus/Chicago School spiel from Economist, WSJ, etc. I spend lots of time in Japan, the propaganda is, well, overstated would be a diplomatic term. A lot of these sources are not neutral broker, have their fundamental ideologies as dogs in the fight against Japan, which is a clear and very large refutation of much of the core of these ideologies.

    And an interesting thesis I give a lot of credit to is that there is not much pushback from Japan on these notions of a poor, failing, aging Japan because pervasive beliefs like that among foreigners because it lets Japan fly under the radar, less pressure for contributions to international this/that, allows them to credibly plead lack of resources, etc.

    You might try adding measures of outcomes for Japan’s residents to the abstract economic metrics these medicine doctors push as evidence. Consider things like dependency ratios, etc. Things are going quite well here for the Japanese by plenty more metrics – health, longevity, literacy, availability of basic services, etc. That doesn’t mean everything is perfect, but there are few nations in the world who deliver the goods for the common man in the street like Japan currently does and there is little indication that this is going to end any time soon.

    But nobody cares about that, only about how much arbitrage that can be extracted from the replaceable, commoditized peasantry inhabiting economic zones that are still often mistaken for the nation states they formerly were.

    As for the 28 years to develop a watch movement, take anything you hear about watches with a giant grain of salt ….

    I didn’t post the rest of your comment for brevity, but I’ll add first, it was just a simple example that immediately came to mind, hardly the only one I could have come up with. And the reason it came to mind is that I have pretty extensive knowledge/involvement with Japanese watches. And while it is a meaningless appeal to authority, I’ll just state that, based upon your comment, I know orders of magnitudes more about the Japanese watch industry, facts, not opinions, than you evidently do. Take that as you will.

    I also know a lot about japanese power industry, but that seemed esoteric…

    • Replies: @Bill
    @anonguy


    And an interesting thesis I give a lot of credit to is that there is not much pushback from Japan on these notions of a poor, failing, aging Japan because pervasive beliefs like that among foreigners because it lets Japan fly under the radar, less pressure for contributions to international this/that, allows them to credibly plead lack of resources, etc.
     
    This. The Japanese strategy for resisting the empire has worked out pretty well. Showing no sign of overt resistance combined with "It is difficult" has done the trick. When the empire topples, they'll either seek realignment or rebuild their military, whichever seems more prudent. And they'll still be Japanese.

    Replies: @anonguy

    , @Mr. Anon
    @anonguy

    "Ditto of the the standard Washington Consensus/Chicago School spiel from Economist, WSJ, etc. I spend lots of time in Japan, the propaganda is, well, overstated would be a diplomatic term."

    That's probably where Jack D gets his information. He is some kind of Wall Street hustler. To his kind, there is nothing to a nation but money. It is - materialist isn't the right word - a highly financialist world view.

  • The death of David Bowie, professional English eccentric, reminds me of this article by Benjamin Schwarz: From The American Conservative: Unmaking England Will immigration demolish in decades a nation built over centuries? By BENJAMIN SCHWARZ • January 11, 2016 ... The common law, Roger Scruton writes, becomes a familiar companion, an unspoken background to daily...
  • @Bill P
    @Anonymous


    I’d be interested to hear from any Americans suggestions as to why this is.
     
    English just piss off a lot of ordinary Americans because of a perceived smarminess, and the fact that a lot of American liberal holier-than-thou types affect a sort of English manner, which is infuriating on an instinctive level. Ironically, my most "English" relatives are my Catholic Irish relatives. Mint sauce with lamb and afternoon tea and all that. So really, it isn't the Irish, who are culturally more subservient to the crown and London than the Ulster Scots who played a big role in settling the American frontier.

    From my experience English are like Jews in that they are always overattributed with this or that property when in person and in fact they're mainly pretty normal people, but definitely culturally different from Americans. Still, the English all-in love-fest with "diversity," the constant anti-gun lectures and the generally catamite attitude toward Islam represent a real political threat to a lot of us concerned Americans. English have a lot of cultural influence here, and this is becoming a real problem for us.

    English really don't understand the American attitude about guns, but maybe that's because they were the ones arming the Indians on our frontier with brand new muskets instead of the people getting shot by them. It really, really bothers us when Piers Morgan and the like preach to us about this sort of thing. How many decades of getting your brains beat out by "vibrant" types will it take to get you to change your minds about it?

    Replies: @anonguy, @Rob McX, @Reg Cæsar

    English really don’t understand the American attitude about guns, but maybe that’s because they were the ones arming the Indians on our frontier with brand new muskets instead of the people getting shot by them. It really, really bothers us when Piers Morgan and the like preach to us about this sort of thing. How many decades of getting your brains beat out by “vibrant” types will it take to get you to change your minds about it?

    Man, I can’t wait to use this sometime, thanks! Never thought of it that way. F’ing brilliant.