Six state Republican senators in Wisconsin face recall next week on August 9 for standing with fiscal reformer GOP Gov. Scott Walker in his fight against Big Labor.
Progressives have been pouring national money into the recall races while bashing conservative groups for doing the same.
Frontline Wisconsin is leading the defense of the Wisconsin GOP 6.
Tea Party activists on the ground and bloggers on the right are spreading the word to support the GOP targets.
Bus tour schedule is here for those in Wisconsin.
These are the 6 GOP state senators who need your help, prayers, and support:
Updates on the Tea Party tour and counter-protests today: Third Wave Dave.
The key is turnout — something both sides are worried about in this unprecedented election.
Here’s what the Left is saying:
Publicly, Democrats are projecting great confidence about the likelihood of taking back the Wisconsin state senate in the upcoming recall elections. They claim their private polling shows them ahead or tied in all six races targeting GOPers for recall, while the two Dems being targeted seem safe. Beltway observers like Stuart Rothenberg are confident Dems are on track to win.
In reality, Democrats know full well their bid to take back the state senate could still fail.
Here’s why. While it’s become a tedious cliche to point out that in the end elections all come down to turnout, in the case of the Wisconsin recall elections it really will prove decisive.
And what’s got Dems particularly nervous is that in these races, there’s no precedent for predicting what turnout is going to look like — because we’ve never before seen anything like this set of recall elections.
“We don’t have a precedent for this,” Mark Mellman, the well respected Dem pollster who is conducting recall polling for the Wisconsin Democratic Party, acknowledged to me. “The nature of the turnout is so uncertain that it really will make a huge difference. We’re dealing with big uncertainties.”
Mellman said that three of the key races — though he wouldn’t specify which — are so close that if turnout doesn’t break the Dems’ way, it could throw them to Republicans. He described them as “all very close races that could go either way.”
Dems think they’re very likely to oust senator Dan Kapanke, and are somewhat confident that they will defeat Randy Hopper. Dems need to net three wins to take back the state senate, so they are eyeing either Luther Olsen or Alberta Darling as the potential third victory. Sheila Harsdorf is also possible.
Take nothing for granted. This is the time for the Tea Party to make a difference.
More on this from Madison Conservative in the Green Room.