A few observations while picking through the 2016 FBI crime statistics follow. AmRen has written most everything there is to be written about past iterations of these reports. Additionally, I’m hesitant to delve too deeply because of the infinitely frustrating fact that non-Hispanic whites are not broken down into separate offender categories.
It’s infinitely frustrating because the FBI has the data–it presents arrest rates by race and by Hispanic ethnicity or lack thereof, but it separates the two. The bureau could easily combine them together and present the categories as non-Hispanic white, non-Hispanic black, Hispanic, non-Hispanic Asian etc as the census often does, but the bureau chooses not to. It is of course not done because doing so would reveal the true white-black arrest rate gap to be even wider than it appears as presented here.
– Black men aged 20-24 comprised over 14% of all arrests for murders last year*. Black men in that age range make up less than half of one percent of the total population. That means they are over 3,450% as likely to be arrested for murder as the rest of the population is.
Prudent people will have heightened awareness in the presence of men, in the presence of blacks, and in the presence of those aged 20-24–and they will be especially wary when all three characteristics come together in a single person or group of people.
– Blacks are 163% and 237% more likely than whites to be arrested for fraud and embezzlement, respectively.
All crime skews significantly black, including “white collar” crimes. They don’t skew as heavily black as violent crimes do because for one thing in the case of embezzlement they require being in a position of some authority in the first place, and secondly because white collar crimes require more forward planning and deferred gratification than violent crimes do.
And by “all crime skews” black, it is meant that indeed every type of crime skews black. Of the 28 different categories of crime the FBI statistics track, blacks make up a larger percentage of arrestees in all 28 of them than they comprise as a share of the total population.
– There are two categories of crime where Asians pull their criminal weight. With gambling, they are exactly as likely as non-Asians to be arrested. With prostitution, they are 6% more likely to be.
– American Indians (feather, not dot) are 53% more likely than the rest of the population to be arrested for crime in general.
The crime they are most disproportionately likely to be arrested for relative to everyone else? Drunkenness, of course (533% more likely than the rest).
The crime they are second-most likely to be arrested for relative to the population at large? Liquor law violations, for which they are 266% more likely to be arrested.
* A few assumptions were made in the calculation. The age distribution came from the 2010 census, the total population figures from 2016 estimates. The FBI statistics break arrests out by race and by age but not by both race and age together, so it was assumed that the male/female distribution in murder arrests among blacks aged 20-24 was the same as for the total arrestee population.
Finally, murders in which the race of the suspect is unknown were assumed to follow the racial distribution of known suspects. This last assumption almost certainly underestimates the actual number of murders committed by the group in question here–black men aged 20-24–as murders involving blacks have lower clearance rates than those involving non-blacks do.