In Wisconsin, the Democrat party successfully kept the Green Party off the 2020 ballot on a technical filing infraction. As of this writing, Biden has a 20,000 vote lead over Trump in the state. In 2016, the Green Party’s Jill Stein received over 30,000 votes. But the Green’s candidate this year, Howie Hawkins, drastically underperformed Stein’s 2016 showing. Had he been on the Wisconsin ballot, he likely would’ve received around 10,000 votes. The margin would’ve been even narrower but it wouldn’t have been enough to close the gap as it currently stands.
The third-party vote in 2020 was a fraction of what it was in 2016. It dropped from over 5% of all presidential votes in 2016 to less than 2% of the total this time around. The lion’s share of those who voted third-party in 2016 but not in 2020 went to Biden. He beat Trump among former third-party voters, 60%-25%.
The Libertarian BLM social justice strategy struck me as electoral madness, but given that the party’s target voter–people who voted for Gary Johnson in 2016–overwhelmingly backed Joe Biden, perhaps it wasn’t as crazy as it seemed. That the ‘protest vote’ went so strongly against Trump doesn’t bode well for populist nationalism.