The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
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Presidential Race '16

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Broadly speaking, there are three wings of the contemporary Democrat party--the POC ascendancy, corporate globalists, and socialist progressives. Securing the Democrat presidential nomination will be contingent upon garnering each wing's support, in respective order of importance. Obama won the 2008 nomination by dominating the POC ascendancy vote. Hillary similarly won it in 2016 by doing... Read More
Looking through past polling on Calexit over the last couple of years led to a poll from SurveyUSA with some interesting results. The range of questions the organization puts forward is laudable, though the sample sizes are small. Reuters-Ipsos' huge samples have spoiled me. In this particular survey, questions focus less on perceptions of Trump... Read More
If the Republican party is to remain politically viable at the national level, the country must remain majority-white. At what point will a Republican in an official capacity at the national level admit the obvious? What's the over-under on it happening before the country becomes majority-minority? Sure, it'll happen at sometime after the demographic flip,... Read More
The canine crusader pointed to a website maintained by the US Interagency Council on Homelessness--now I can't say I don't get some utility out of federal government agencies!--that tracks homelessness by state. The site itself inexplicably does not include per capita filters for graphical representations, which makes the map outputs so misleading that they're not... Read More
The 2008 numbers are virtually complete for the 50 states, DC, and the four American territories that hold nominating contests. The 2016 numbers include 26 states. For 2016, Texas, Florida, and New York are included but California is not because Hillary Clinton had already secured the nomination by the time California's Democrat primary voters had... Read More
This religious service--where rigid intellectual, moral, and spiritual conformity is assumed--fronts as a corporate activity led by chief executives of the country's leading tech company, one of the largest publicly-traded firms in the world:
No. The ideas and sentiments driving it live on, perhaps--as Swedes go to the polls to possibly make the Sweden Democrats the country's largest party--stronger than ever before. But the term itself may have been a casualty. The following graph shows internet search engine interest for "alt right" since January of 2016:
The last time the Republican candidate for president raised more money than the Democrat did was in 2004, when George Bush brought in 10% more than John Kerry. In 2016, Hillary Clinton raised nearly twice as much as Donald Trump. The following table shows how much the top five vote-getting candidates in 2016 'paid' for... Read More
The civic nationalists want to believe it. A part of me would like to believe it, too. I've mostly shed that part of myself over the last couple of years as it has become obvious that Trump's Authentic American (whites and blacks) vs Fake American (invaders) paradigm isn't going to materialize, but I'm a pragmatist.... Read More
The correlation between gun ownership rates at the state level and Romney's share of the presidential vote in 2012 was a robust .78. Late last year into early this year, Reuters-Ipsos ran a poll on gun ownership with a 2016 presidential vote filter included for cross-tabbing. Trump won the gun owner vote 71%-29%. Though exit... Read More
Z-Man devotes another full-length show to a single topic. As he concedes, an hour isn't enough to cover everything, but this is an invaluable primer for alt lite guys who are becoming restless with the captain of the Washington Generals and lessons from the dragon in Solzhenitsyn. Charon ferrying people across the river: Ngrams only... Read More
A decade ago, immigration was a fringe issue, even among Republican voters. The following graph shows the percentages of registered voters in 2008 and today, by partisan affiliation, who identified (or identify) "immigration" as the most important issue facing the country:
Reuters-Ipsos' interactive polling explorer site has just added state filters back into the mix after pulling them a couple of years ago. This finally allows a look at non-Hispanic white vote share by state for the 2016 US presidential election. The sample size is huge, with 84,210 whites who either voted for Trump or Clinton... Read More
Ted Cruz has a sharp mind and a quick wit, and he knows how to find his way to a polemical jugular: Want to know what a male Hillary Clinton supporter--a nümale--looks like? Find a Facebook employee. That's right, crooked Hillary received more than 85% of all campaign contributions made by Facebook employees during the... Read More
Agnostic regularly offers unique insights that are not found elsewhere. With thought-provoking takes so often unconventional, he can be forgiven for not bowling 300. But I'm compelled to take issue with his reading of the DACA showdown. Several months ago he asserted matter-of-factly that DACAmnesty was a foregone conclusion and that it would be bad... Read More
In the comments to the post on how Trump is raising awareness about the diversity visa lottery and chain migration, Pithom reacts disdainfully: For the sake of argument, let's grant him the "may well lead to". So what? Immigration restrictionism has been a populist issue for decades, hell probably forever. Its lack of popular support... Read More
Trump lost the outer Swamp* 31.8%-68.2 to Clinton (in a two-way race). Gillespie lost the outer Swamp by a nearly identical 31.9%-68.1% to Northam. The outer Swamp represents nearly one-third of the state's total electorate. Trump won the rest of the state by 6.6 points, 53.3%-46.7%. Gillespie won it by a narrower 2.4 points, 51.2%-48.8%.... Read More
The pickup truck ad that served as a window into the leftist id was salient, but it didn't move the needle much. Among those for whom immigration was the most important issue, Gillespie crushed Northam. The problem lies in the fact that just 1-i
The year 2016 was one of cultural upheaval, the full significance of which will become fully apparent only with the passing of time. Since the late seventies, the GSS has regularly asked about the reasons for black underachievement in "jobs, income, and housing" (correctly assessing it to be a relevant question to be put included... Read More
Looking at the Voting and Registration Supplement to the Census current population survey for the 2016 election, I expected to find that part of the low turnout rates among Asians and Hispanics relative to whites and blacks could be accounted for by differing age profiles. Older people vote more than younger ones do, and the... Read More
At least that's the implication from Hillary Clinton's new book (via Steve Sailer): The figure she cites checks out. What percentage of Democrats belong in that same basket of deplorables, you ask? A mere 35% of them is all. That's barely even one-third of Hillary's putative supporters! Most of her backers are still With Her.... Read More
Here's one to file neatly under the blog's tagline. The following graph shows the electoral behavior of foreign-born voters--mostly voting legally--in US presidential elections since 1992*:
The Hispanic Heritage Foundation's 2016 presidential primary survey asked participants about their "attitude[s] towards politicians". Other than the no opinion/don't know answers, there were five possible responses. Three fit into one bucket. The remaining two fit into another. They've been separated accordingly below. The distribution of high school student responses on attitudes towards politicians in... Read More
Trump, on more of the same in Afghanistan: Remember when the Establishment's licentious left and cowardly cucks made a big fuss over candidate Trump questioning the advice of "the generals"? Well, congratulations to them for having committed America to pouring another decade or three's worth--if she lasts that long--of her blood and treasure into that... Read More
Senate majority leader Mitch McConnell has occupied the upper chamber for as long as I've been alive. Every six years, Kentucky Republicans dutifully return him to office, and his colleagues have honored him as the ultimate Establishment Republican by awarding him the position of majority leader. For those who want to see the Stupid Party... Read More
As we wrap up with the Hispanic Heritage Foundation's surveys of high school students in 2016 (a sincere thanks again to Sid for pointing it out), we'll look beyond the strong preference for Trump over Clinton among non-Hispanic whites and look at the enthusiasm gap among those expressing a preference. There's nothing edgy about being... Read More
As it turns out, the Hispanic Heritage Foundation also conducted a massive nationwide poll during the primaries in 2016. Looking at non-Hispanic whites (n = 57,196), Sanders obliterates Clinton among students who support a Democrat,84%-16% in a two-way race. Trump gets three times the support Cruz--who runs a distant second among Republicans--does. Where this gets... Read More
There are a couple more miles yet to get out of the Hispanic Heritage Foundation's huge presidential preference survey administered to high school students across the US in the Fall of 2016. The following map* shows, by state, how much more (less) Trumpish Gen Z 'voters' were than the actual electorate was. The subsequent table... Read More
Last November lots of people in my social media network were consoling themselves with an electoral map showing how badly Trump would've been smashed by Clinton if the election had been restricted to millennial voters. Even if the present is out of reach, the future is theirs! The rather tepid response to those unwelcoming of... Read More
The Hispanic Heritage Foundation's poll conducted on over 80,000 high school students in the fall of 2016 found non-Hispanic whites overwhelmingly favored Trump over Clinton. The poll also found white Gen Zers to be substantially more pro-Trump than any other co-racial generational cohort. While I have plenty of anecdotes to place alongside some major cultural... Read More
Sid, detecting a switch from Hitler to Stalin as the Most Evil Person in History: That would be one hell of a rhetorical contortion for the zeitgeist to undergo if Stalin becomes the new Hitler. If it comes to pass I'll have to shelve one of my favorite normie-triggering Steve Sailer quotes: "Lenin, Stalin, and... Read More
Agnostic suggests breaking the major media companies up: If it can be done then by all means do so. A less herculean task, and one that would prove more popular in the nearer-term, is for Trump and his team to simply bar them from press conferences--including Sean Spicer's daily briefings--and grant members of select organizations... Read More
Legate of Judea pointed to an exit poll conducted by the Asian American Legal Defense and Education Fund that found Hillary Clinton's margin of victory among the country's "fastest growing minority" to be wider than the 'official' Edison poll commissioned by several major media companies. By reverse engineering results from Reuters-Ipsos' ongoing presidential approval poll,... Read More
This week we get the US supreme court reinstating most of the travel ban with the rest to be reinstated a few months down the road, the House passing Kate's Law and a bill defunding sanctuary cities, the vice chair of the presidential advisory committee on electoral integrity requesting state-level voter registration data for federal... Read More
Commenter Random Dude on the Internet turns a light bulb on in my head: While I spend an inordinate amount of time mining the GSS, I still miss things. Big things, sometimes, and this is one of them. In three iterations the survey has asked respondents if they are citizens or not. Across these three... Read More
Reuters-Ipsos presidential approval polling results from last week:
- Multiple people have balked at Trump's apparent Mormon support. This comment at Heartiste's is illustrative: Keep in mind the results were in the context of a two-way race. Evan McMullin, the Mormon who was futilely pushed by cuckservatives in a ridiculously far-fetched attempt to send the election to the House of representatives, sucked up... Read More
If you haven't, see Steve Sailer's and Heartiste's reactions to the Reuters-Ipsos detailed exit poll data. First, Heartiste notes a commenter at Steve's pointing out what I should've emphasized: A couple of clarifying comments. Steve's subsequent post looked at work from professor George Hawley who asserted that "the relationship between marriage and voting declined" in... Read More
The following map and table show the change in the margin of victory in the 2016 presidential election relative to 2012, by state, with positive (negative) figures indicating an improvement (deterioration) in the margin for Republicans. That is, the colors do not indicate who won the state in 2016, but show how much better (worse)... Read More
Some immediate questions and observations about the BuzzFeed article alleging Trump's "deep ties" to Russia follow. - The dossier reports that Trump was offered several sweetheart real estate deals inside Russia but elected not to capitalize on any of them: This is excerpted verbatim. Notice how clunky the sentence above is. The supposed source is... Read More
As Obama gives his farewell address leaving the party he's lead for eight years in shambles, now is as good a time as ever to point out how much more interest the Trump phenomenon garnered than the Obama one ever did. From Google Trends, search volumes over time since the beginning of 2007: You
SurveyUSA commissioned polls in California and Minnesota after the 2016 presidential election. Both asked Clinton supporters if they thought Trump voters were racist and also if they thought Trump voters were sexist. The wording of these questions were identical in each survey. Perceived racism, by state: Racist? Yes No Unsure California 65% 16% 19% Minnesota... Read More
I decided to check in on Hillary Clinton's social media feed, doing so for the purposes of trolling having fallen out of my daily routine nearly two months ago. This post, with the two leading comments from the same bot engine aside a creepy robotic head shot, is uncanny:
It's worth remembering that the Obama administration was actively making foreign policy concessions to Ecuador in an attempt to get that country to influence the outcome of the presidential election:
Trump's shattering expectations. I got on the Trump Train back in July 2015 for three primary reasons: 1) Immigration -- his candidacy was a referendum on a wall. 2) Political correctness -- any other political figure who'd said one-tenth of the things he did would've been toast. Instead of groveling, he doubled down. Rather than... Read More
In the previous post it was noted that according to exit polling data the entire increase in Hispanic turnout in the 2016 election compared to the 2012 election was accounted for--and then some--by an increase in California's Hispanic turnout. Pithom doesn't buy it: I didn't make it clear enough that I'm skeptical of the veracity... Read More
With the caveats about the reliability and precision of exit polling data kept in mind, consider that Hispanics went from 10% to 11% of the national electorate between 2012 and 2016, an increase of about 10%. In California, Hispanics went from 22% to 31% between 2012 and 2016, an increase of about 40%. Some 30%... Read More
Trebek: For $1000, blacks, liberals, and Democrats were more likely to vote for Donald Trump and less likely to vote for Hillary Clinton than this group of people. Trebek: Yes, Pepe? Pepe: Who are residents of Washington DC? Trebek: That is correct.
The Coalition of the Fringes is tearing and fraying more and more by the day. In response to the public pillorying of Mike Pence, #BoycottHamilton started up. Yes, it's silly to think a status-signalling display of conspicuous consumption where the dynamic is one of artificially restricted supply designed to insure demand remains unsatisfied is vulnerable... Read More
The following table and map show Trump's electoral performance relative to RCP's two-way polling averages, by state. The poll results were averaged except for the few cases where no polling had been conducted since October 1--in those states, the most recent poll was used as the RCP 'average'. There was no polling data available at... Read More