The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
A Collection of Interesting, Important, and Controversial Perspectives Largely Excluded from the American Mainstream Media
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In the recent post reporting on Trump's electoral enthusiasm advantage over Biden, several astute commenters noted that while enthusiasm for Biden was lukewarm among the former vice president's supporters, motivation to vote against Trump burns with the passion of one thousand suns inside many of them. Biden voters express more antipathy towards Trump than Trump... Read More
It's hard to find positive indicators regarding Trump's reelection chances, but voter enthusiasm is one of them: Most Trump voters are "enthusiastic" about backing the president while a plurality of Biden voters are merely "satisfied, but not enthusiastic" about the former vice president. And while only a handful of Trump voters, 6%, are dissatisfied or... Read More
Democrats warn that when the election doesn't go Trump's way, he and his supporters are going to become #TheResistance. It's going to be, they admonish, a repeat of 2016 when Trump refused to abide by the results of that election. To prove how serious they are about the importance of accepting outcomes even when things... Read More
Among those polled who have already cast a ballot--one-quarter of the voting electorate claim to have done so--Joe Biden leads Donald Trump by a staggering 68%-29% margin. The left is pushing hard for people to request ballots and send them in immediately. This may negate the seeming election night victory predicted here for Trump, a... Read More
The following graph shows the change in Donald Trump's advantage or disadvantage against his Democrat opponent by various demographics from 2016 to 2020. In 2016, Hillary Clinton had a one-point edge among those aged 45-64. In 2020, Trump has a one-point lead over Joe Biden among that age group. The change is thus represented in... Read More
Extrapolating from these poll results, well over 100 million Americans do not expect the Trump administration to go gently into that good night after Joe Biden is declared the president-elect: The 12% of respondents who answered "not sure" are included in these results of the residuals that are not shown. Among those with an opinion,... Read More
The Democrats are increasingly the party of the rich and poor, Republicans of the middle and those at risk of sliding out of it: Like other demographic trends--racial, educational, religious, marital--this bodes well for Democrat electoral prospects in the future. The ranks of the top are growing a little, the ranks of the bottom are... Read More
Per t and res, a poll from a few weeks ago with an order of magnitude more respondents concerning net support for California's Proposition 16 gets a substantially different result: Compare to the more recent SurveyUSA poll highlighted yesterday: On the backs of conservative white men, perhaps isonomy will yet be carried forward in California.... Read More
Net support (opposition) to California's Proposition 16 follows. If passed it will allow for racial and sexual characteristics to be used in considerations of public employment, contracts, and education by repealing Proposition 209, a 1996 amendment that prohibited the use of race and sex in government employment and educational placement: Proposition 209 was modeled on... Read More
A large minority of Americans think Breonna Taylor would not have been shot by police if she'd been white instead of black: From what has been reported, police blindly returned fire in the course of executing a drug-related search warrant when Taylor's boyfriend shot at them, hitting one cop in the leg. It seems neither... Read More
The betting markets by state have looked a bit better for Trump than polling averages by state have for several months, but the differences between the two have widened recently. Polling presages an electoral blowout: But skin in the game thinks it will be a considerably closer run contest: The most obvious reason for this... Read More
Despite every aspect of the nationwide psyop falling apart over the course of the last four years, the collusion hoax was still largely successful. Four-in-five Americans with an opinion think the Russians have their heavy thumbs positioned to press hard on the electoral scales in November: A couple of things potentially check that dim view... Read More
The First Step Act, attacking Biden/Harris for being tough on crime in the past, bringing the great Herschel Walker on among a host of other soul brothers at the RNC--none of these things are working: Also, dar rEpUbLiCaNs ArE tHe PaRtY oF tHe RiCh! The Democrat party has outraised the GOP in corporate donations in... Read More
Mitt Romney and Lisa Murkowski are less unpopular and modestly more popular, respectively, among Democrats than they are among Republicans: Despite appearing to have settled into his role as professional betrayer, Romney is gesturing towards a vote on President Trump's nominee. Perhaps he intends to pull a fast one and vote "no", finally settling the... Read More
From the fairly nationally representative battleground state of North Carolina, we learn most people want to see the police intervene to stop the destruction even if people are out of harm's way: The vast majority of people don't want to see people get hurt, though: One-in-ten people don't want the police intervening at all, even... Read More
In July of 2016, five police officers were fatally shot by a black nationalist in Dallas. The atrocity soured much of the country on the then ascendant Black Lives Matter movement. By April of the following year, when Civiqs commenced its tracking poll, net support among all Americans was modestly negative, at -4. In the... Read More
Though the betting markets suspect it will be Joe Biden: The people expect it to be Donald Trump: This result comes from a sample supporting Biden by 9 points over Trump. Not only is Trump's party more certain of his impending triumph than Biden's party is of his, independents find a Trump victory more probable... Read More
Joe Biden is wildly out of step with the Democrat electorate in his obstinate opposition to Medicare for All: Some 71% of insurance industry presidential election donations in the 2020 election cycle have gone to Democrats, while just 29% have gone to the GOP. That 71% comes to a little over $6 million in extremely... Read More
American Indians often go unmentioned in our now ceaseless lectures on racial diversity, inclusion, and equity. Their insufficient enthusiasm for the cultural revolution is presumably one big reason why: Some 447 American Indians participated in the 2018 Cooperative Congressional Election Study, so these results aren't distorted on account of a small sample size. American Indian... Read More
James Bowery: The Cooperative Congressional Election Study of 2018 surveyed 60,000 people. The smallest Jewish sample from the three items considered here is an impressive 1,490, permitting us to drill down into broad religious movement among Jews. For comparative purposes, positions of whites, blacks, Hispanics, and Asians are also shown. On building the wall: On... Read More
Irreconcilable differences, part CCXVII: Perhaps this big, diverse country constantly at war with itself should amicably split up into several smaller countries. In the meantime, the more local the solution, the more support it deserves. Let cities do their thing, let small town America and suburbia do theirs. Were I to answer literally, I'd have... Read More
Trump is the war weary end of an increasingly war weary Republican electorate; Biden is the war waging end of an increasingly war mongering party: With propitious prospects for Biden in November, the late John McCain is smiling as he gazes upward. He may be gone, but the warfare state he championed indefatigably lives on... Read More
I've no baseline to compare these results to but in combination to the severe lifestyle restrictions and high cost of living--who wants to pay $2500 a month confined to a studio apartment devoid of green space or nightlife?--this appears to presage a seismic shift in the American way of life: The residual responses are "very... Read More
The following graphs show the perceived sentiments of Joe Biden and Donald Trump towards various major demographic groupings by partisan affiliation of those doing the perceiving: A few noteworthy things: - That Democrats perceive evil orange man as caring about whites, men, and the wealthy does not reflect positively on Trump, it reflects poorly on... Read More
There is an increasingly common take on the jaded right that upon Biden's swearing in next January, all the hysteria and top-down dictates concerning COVID will evaporate like the morning dew. Same with the riots. The implicit deal with the American public is if they vote Biden/Harris things will return to normal. This blogger had... Read More
From the large 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study: Cubans and Filipinos, among Hispanics and Asians respectively, are generally considered to be the most assimilated into the American way of life and so they, like white Americans, exhibit a great deal of political diversity among their ranks. Koreans and Filipinos are considerably more likely to be... Read More
From the large 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study: Total fertility rates of non-Orthodox Jews are below replacement. TFRs for the Orthodox are hard to pin down, but they are well above replacement, with estimates ranging from anywhere between 3-8 children per woman. By the time Donald Trump's Orthodox Jewish grandchildren are his age, Jews will... Read More
The racial distribution of those who voted for Donald Trump in 2016 but for a Democrat congressperson in 2018: Those who presumably experienced voter's remorse are whiter than the electorate as a whole is. That is not the case for those who voted for Hillary Clinton in 2016 but for a Republican congressperson in 2018:... Read More
If opposition to Black Lives Matter is beyond the pale, then being a Republican is, too: We've looked at this from a few different angles over the last couple of months but all the demographic markers are dwarfed by partisan affiliation. While black Republicans--all million or so of them--are less hostile to BLM than white... Read More
Four years ago: Have they indeed been forgotten? An RNC featuring a naturalization ceremony with newly minted Americans from every corner of the globe is what citizens here--including a plurality of those forgotten men and women--is what they say they want: The total population distribution has 47% saying diversity makes America a better place to... Read More
A 1997 survey of black Chicagoans found (N = 639) that 38% believed Jews financed the slave trade (which is not strictly false in its entirety but is quite misleading in this context), 33% that Jews are "blood suckers", and 28% that white doctors intentionally released AIDS into black communities across the US. It's not... Read More
The simplest explanation for why a gentle blue wave washed over the country in the 2018 mid-terms is because over twice as many people who supported Donald Trump in 2016 voted Democrat in 2018 (8.3% of Trump voters switched) as people who supported Hillary Clinton in 2016 voted Republican in 2018 (3.4% of Clinton voters... Read More
Michael S suggests rather than an electorally unified and active black population directing the Democrat party, the DNC tells blacks what to believe and they believe it: It brings to mind the plantation analogy white conservatives love hearing non-Democrat blacks talk about. There could be some truth to it, though as Michael allows it doesn't... Read More
The extent to which the preference of older black Americans override the preferences of the many other factions of the Democrat electoral coalition is difficult to overstate: It's not predominantly the party of working people or the party of immigrants or the party of government or the party of peace. More than anything else, it... Read More
They are almost perfectly aligned, the only difference being that while the polling averages show Biden winning Ohio, the money is on Trump holding the state: A few words on Queen Kamala, the salvage maven of second-rate wannabe philosophers. Instead of eating the legendary Harris Crow, we now get to quip about being just a... Read More
Some 11% of poll respondents say they have had "a close friend" die from COVID-19. With the formal count at 173,000 deaths nationwide, this implies the average American has 218 close friends. Impressive! Dunbar's number BTFO. Wha? No, no, I'm not a loser, I didn't say just the other day that I had three close... Read More
More evidence UBI is coming. It's implicitly already here. It's a question of when, not if, its perpetual recurrence becomes codified into law: It is almost unheard of for an action explicitly tied to Trump to be this popular. Even Democrats are split down the middle. To say it's a winning issue for the president... Read More
From the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study we see that outside the progressive wing of the Democrat party, there is little desire to defund the police: Body cameras are even more popular on the left than on the right. Whether or not this holds remains to be seen. Rhetorically, it'll be tough for the left... Read More
Support for the BLM movement is primarily partisan but is also racial in nature: Hey now, the obvious still needs quantifying!
The inverse correlation between favoring stricter gun laws and Donald Trump's share of the 2016 presidential vote is a remarkable .95. That is a staggeringly strong relationship for the social sciences. Indeed, it is effectively a perfect correlation after sampling noise is accounted for. More than abortion, immigration, taxation, race relations, war, or any other... Read More
Using the 2016 Cooperative Congressional Election Study, we create a white privilege reality index using responses to a question from the racism module about whether or not white people enjoy inherent advantages in American society. Index values are computed by (2*%strongly agree)+(%somewhat agree)-(%somewhat disagree)-(2*%strongly disagree): Think the Democrat indices were off the charts way back... Read More
Americans perceive Canada to be our greatest ally, at least among the fourteen countries inquired about in a recent YouGov survey. If Australia had been included, maybe the Aussies would've been number one: Great Britain is right behind. It's almost as though after all these years we are still not yet deaf to the voice... Read More
In an election year, everything is political, including methods of voting. The question of whether a person plans to go to the ballot box or drop an envelope into the mailbox has partisan contours: Republicans assume vote by mail will permit the leftist power structure to fabricate Democrat votes. The Secretary of State or equivalent... Read More
Does your faith in the integrity of the electoral process need shoring up? Spend more time in academia: Four other responses--"a moderate amount" (28%), "only a little" (15%), "none at all" (11%), and "not sure" (11%)--were offered, so maybe it's not as bad as it looks at first blush. On the other hand, if Americans... Read More
Net favorability ratings for president Trump and presidential hopeful Biden by selected demographic profiles follow. For being a hidebound old white man, Biden does pretty well with non-white women--and abysmally with his fellow white men. For a Trumpian white pill, note that excepting women under the age of 35, Trump is viewed more favorably than... Read More
From Civiqs comes a huge survey on support for or opposition to the "Black Lives Matter movement". Net support (opposition) to BLM among whites by sex, age, and educational attainment: The gender gap is striking. It's even more pronounced among younger generations than it is among older ones. Drilling down to postgrad white women under... Read More
Democrat voters overwhelmingly want their vice presidential candidate to be a woman: Most of the residual answers are "not sure". Only 6% expressed a desire the candidate be a man. The "not sure" response will, in many cases, be a legitimate one rather than merely being a non-answer. If identity politics is not your primary... Read More
From a Civiqs tracking poll with an enormous total respondent pool (N = 393,130), president Trump's net approval among non-Hispanic white registered voters by state: State NetApproval 1) Mississippi +62 2) Alabama +59 3) Louisiana +54 4) Arkansas +48 5) South Carolina +40 6) Georgia +34 7) Wyoming +33 7) West Virginia +33 9) Oklahoma... Read More
Think of the treaty as a non-binding suggestion. If it's better for Americans to toss it in the trashcan, though, in the trashcan it goes ("not sure" responses, constituting 25% of the total, are excluded): The social contract doesn't bind individuals and the international contract doesn't bind nations. Consent is not the default. Each sovereign... Read More
About 70% of young adults enroll in college after high school. One in three end up dropping out without attaining a degree. About half of zoomers are thus on track to make it through the college grind. About one in five of them benefit beyond the credential from the experience. So anything that saps higher... Read More