The Unz Review: An Alternative Media Selection
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Generational gap

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Spurred by an exchange between regular commenters dfordoom and EliteCommInc, following are a few graphs showing the change over time in church attendance and certainty of God's existence among American Christians, as well as the percentages of Americans identifying as Christian, all by broad age cohort: As recently as the early nineties, just one-in-ten young... Read More
From YouGov, the percentages who favor overturning the 1954 Brown v. Board of Education ruling declaring unconstitutional racial segregation in public schools. "Not sure" responses, constituting 21% of the total, are excluded so that the residuals are the percentages who favor allowing the ruling to stand unchallenged:
From the same YouGov poll, the percentages who say gun control is either "not very important" or "not at all important, by sex, age, race, and political orientation:
From GoToQuiz.com, the percentages of respondents in the US who express a partisan affiliation other than Republican or Democrat:
One thing that keeps coming up in contemporary American polling data is how, once race is taken into account, the correlation between age and partisan affiliation is either non-existent or even the inverse of what has tended to be the case over the last several decades. From the enormous--albeit not scientifically collected--GoToQuiz.com survey database, two-way... Read More
From an enormous Reuters-Ipsos poll, the percentages of people by age and by political orientation who identify their sexual orientations as something other than heterosexual or straight*:
The only reason there is a modest correlation between age and support for Donald Trump among men is because older generational cohorts are whiter than younger ones are. Once race is taken into account, the relationship vanishes among whites, is revealed to be weak among Hispanics and Asians, and acutely inverts among blacks and Jews.... Read More
A recurring theme here is that Jews in America are either going to have throw in with the Heritage American whites they've long despised--if Heritage America will have them--or face the brown invasion in isolation. Despite Jews' best efforts, the POC ascendancy increasingly not only denies them claim to victim status, it views them as... Read More
216 writes: From an enormous R-I survey (N = 330,063), percentages by age range who consider themselves "very" conservative or liberal as opposed to "moderately" or "lean" conservative or liberal: Age "very"lib/con 18-29 27.9% 30-39 29.1% 40-49 24.6% 50-59 24.5% 60+ 25.1% Since I ran the numbers I may as well share them, but there's... Read More
The graphs in this post are derived from a Reuters-Ipsos poll asking respondents if "to achieve my idea of a better society, violent acts are acceptable". To preface, The Current Year is not Weimerica. We're nowhere near the levels of political violence the country experienced in the late 1960s and 1970s, when domestic terrorist bombings... Read More
More evidence gun grabbers are disproportionately geriatric (or in the case of David Hogg, have the bone density of the average geezer) from Reuters-Ipsos:
I'm fond of referencing Razib Khan's observation--and auguring--about how we haven't had our Sulla... yet. Trust in institutions, and the processes of those institutions, is plummeting. Across the Western world it increasingly feels as though every dispute involves bad blood. Good faith disagreements are the exception. Do not expect millennials or Zs to arrest that... Read More
An overarching reason political dissolution seems likely is how starkly generational feelings about it are. Among Jews, for example, while just 6.8% of those aged fifty and older favor peaceful secession, 35.6% of those under fifty years old do. Those are the buckets I had to use to get statistical significant sample sizes, but the... Read More
The marriage gap is not merely a disguised age gap. To the contrary, the younger the cohort, the more pronounced the marriage gap. Married people of all ages vote quite similarly:
It's said the culture wars are primarily fought boomer elites on team red and team blue. When the boomers die off, politics will get back to bread and butter issues again. Trump and Sanders, not Cruz and Clinton. One of our most appreciated regular commenters frequently argues as much. I've long been incredulous. Clinton beat... Read More
From a SurveyUSA poll conducted back in April, illustration 364,140 of how in a multiracial society, democracy inevitably devolves into a skins game, even on the left. The following shows the percentages of whites, Hispanics, and Asians who said they were supporting gubernatorial hopefuls Gavin Newsom, Antonio Villaraigosa, and John Chiang:
Open borders and the aging of Heritage America do not bode well for Israel's relationship with the US. The following graph is sourced from Reuters-Ipsos polling data. It shows percentages of respondents by selected demographics who gauge Israel as a "moderate", "serious", or "imminent" threat--as opposed to a "minimal" or "no" threat. "Not sure" responses,... Read More
Revisiting a poll from a few years ago reinforces my belief that the US is headed for political dissolution within the lifetimes of most people reading this. In the latter part of 2014, Reuters-Ipsos asked a huge number of respondents (N = 16,668) if they supported or opposed "your state peacefully withdrawing from the USA... Read More
Reuters-Ipsos polling on gun control ran for a couple more weeks after we first visited here. Sample sizes for certain populations of interest subsequently became large enough to allow for a more fine-grained analyses of the results. As a preface, consider Heartiste's rather bold assertion made last week: Say what? No, deplorable anti-semite! It's the... Read More
Over the last several weeks I've talked to several people about guns. Without fail, every one has been surprised to learn that young people are the less supportive of gun-grabbing than old folks are. Reuters-Ipsos polling shows it and the GSS corroborates. The major media's mendacity strikes again--though in fairness, NPR (!) has given it... Read More
From Anatoly's open thread round up: When Anatoly says "jump!", I ask "how high?". The following graph shows percentages of white respondents who favor allowing "racists" to speak in public, by the decade they participated in the survey and by their age at the time of participation (N = 3,378):
These are not unreasonable objections based on what was presented in the previous post. If the general tendency was for people to become more supportive of free speech as they aged, in fact, it could even be misleading. That, however, is not the case, as is illustrated below. People tend to become more conservative as... Read More
tcjfs slips a black pill into the Gen Z martini. From Survey Monkey: R-I is suboptimal in that it doesn't allow 18-24 year-olds--that is, actual Gen Zs--to be separated out from millennials. Those currently aged 25-34 represent, as best I can tell, peak SJWism. The cresting was apparent in the Alabama Senate race, for example... Read More
Paul Kersey nailed it:
In the post on millennials, I overlooked perhaps the most important data set included in the primary source. It wasn't fully fleshed out in the report the GenForward released, but the complete results are there in the topline survey (thanks to commenter milan for the heads-up). Respondents were asked to select their "top three most... Read More
In this week's Power Hour, Z-Man discussed a poll headlining with the finding that more millennials say they'd rather live in a socialist country than a capitalist one. Z gives several reasons not to read too much into this, the most salient one being that millennials don't know what socialism is--just 33% of millennials surveyed... Read More
There isn't much difference in conceptions of ideal parental arrangements for families with young children by race or sex, but what about by age? The following graph shows perceived optimal family arrangements by generational cohorts, organized into three categories--father as breadwinner and mother as caregiver (father FT and mother PT/home), mother as breadwinner and father... Read More
As we wrap up with the Hispanic Heritage Foundation's surveys of high school students in 2016 (a sincere thanks again to Sid for pointing it out), we'll look beyond the strong preference for Trump over Clinton among non-Hispanic whites and look at the enthusiasm gap among those expressing a preference. There's nothing edgy about being... Read More
As it turns out, the Hispanic Heritage Foundation also conducted a massive nationwide poll during the primaries in 2016. Looking at non-Hispanic whites (n = 57,196), Sanders obliterates Clinton among students who support a Democrat,84%-16% in a two-way race. Trump gets three times the support Cruz--who runs a distant second among Republicans--does. Where this gets... Read More
There are a couple more miles yet to get out of the Hispanic Heritage Foundation's huge presidential preference survey administered to high school students across the US in the Fall of 2016. The following map* shows, by state, how much more (less) Trumpish Gen Z 'voters' were than the actual electorate was. The subsequent table... Read More
Last November lots of people in my social media network were consoling themselves with an electoral map showing how badly Trump would've been smashed by Clinton if the election had been restricted to millennial voters. Even if the present is out of reach, the future is theirs! The rather tepid response to those unwelcoming of... Read More
The Hispanic Heritage Foundation's poll conducted on over 80,000 high school students in the fall of 2016 found non-Hispanic whites overwhelmingly favored Trump over Clinton. The poll also found white Gen Zers to be substantially more pro-Trump than any other co-racial generational cohort. While I have plenty of anecdotes to place alongside some major cultural... Read More
Heartiste, rhetorically fleshing out the unnaturalness of "the totalitarian impulse of your garden variety social scientist femme", in the context of a recent study showing that putatively liberal, open-minded college students tend to react to interracial couples with disgust: To assert that the aversion to miscegenation is some sort of social construct rather than an... Read More
Twice since the turn of the century, in 2006 and 2014, the GSS has asked respondents about personal net wealth (assets minus debt). The following graph shows wealth distributions by generational cohorts in roughly 2010, understanding that the "great recession" occurred in between the two survey years (n = 2,150):
More on why Trump must use and abuse social media (beyond psychologically nut-tapping cucks and leftists every time he does so):
It may be that militant atheism has turned conservatives away from secularism. It may also be that as conservatism has increasingly come to be associated with religiosity, secularists have found there are vanishingly few spiritually like-minded people in their ranks who are on the political right. Figures like Richard Dawkins and Sam Harris have, as... Read More
Pat Buchanan on the god that failed: As the late Lee Kwan Yew famously pointed out, democracy doesn't work in multiracial societies. The GSS indicates that much of the American public understands that, at least at a subconscious level. In 2004 and again in 2014, the survey asked "How well does democracy work in America... Read More
The previous post on the apparent decline in the average IQ of college graduates in the US over the last fifty years used the GSS' 10-question Wordsum vocabulary test as a basis for those IQ estimates. As was pointed out, vocabulary tends to increase with age (through the late fifties before peaking and then beginning... Read More
The mean IQ scores, converted from GSS wordsum results, assuming a national average of 98 and a standard deviation of 15, of those who attended college for at least four years by the decade they graduated in* (n = 5,124, though n for 2010s is only 49 and should be seen as merely suggestive--the trend... Read More
The Z-Man on millennials: I have twenty millennials who work under me and my perception is that truth isn't even held up as something they tell themselves they're striving for. In the context of the general election it's primarily about how Trump, Hillary, and Sanders make them feel and, secondarily, what direct benefits they represent... Read More
Heartiste points to a paper by Satoshi Kanazawa hypothesizing that "women should fear alien rule much less than men" do, but that these sex differences in attitude are specifically attributable to women under the age 50. The biological vehicle posited for driving this disparity is reproductive in nature. Nubile women want to reproduce with the... Read More
We will always have more work to do. From a recent Pew report entitled Across Racial Lines, More Say Nation Needs to Make Changes to Achieve Racial Equality, the percentage of Americans who feel more needs to be done to give blacks equal rights has gently increased over the course of the Obama presidency, and... Read More
Digging a little deeper, it's remarkable just how little trust millennials express having in other people. The following graph shows the percentages of those under 30 years of age, those over 30 years old, and the population as a whole who assert that "most people can be trusted" on a dichotomous rendering of a question... Read More
That 1-in-5 American adults and 1-in-3 under the age of 30 claim no religious affiliation naturally leads to the question of whether this is a reflection of declining religious piety in the US or a product of social cocooning and a distaste for organized religion without any meaningful corresponding decline in the belief in an... Read More
In the last chapter of an obviously dense but well-written book audaciously entitled A Short History of the World, author Alex Woolf, holding his lituus, notes that "the concept of the nation-state is itself under threat from the ever-growing forces of globalization". I suspect that statement would've met with a lot more credulity in 1994... Read More
After mulling it over, I think we need a third party presidency for budget deficit reduction to become a sustained, acted upon priority. Pew has tracked public prioritization of reducing the nation's federal budget deficit for nearly twenty years, and from someone whose default position is one of starving the beast, looking at how partisan... Read More
After reproducing a list of obscure vocabulary words, Steve Sailer wonders: No one attempted to formulate a response in the post's comments, so here it goes. While Steve's reservations about the GSS' Wordsum are duly noted, what constitutes "high end" is relative. For the left half of the bell curve, "allusion" and "emanate" are indeed... Read More
++Addition++See Steve's insights on the Pew results.---Expanding beyond the News IQ quizzes it periodically conducts, Pew Research recently released the results of what the organization calls the Political News IQ Quiz, which you can take here. I answered them all correctly, as I suspect the majority of readers of this blog and others like it... Read More
++Addition++Steve Sailer comments.---Steve Sailer comments on an article in YNet News about how "Israeli youth" (defined as those under the age of 30) are shifting politically to the right, specifically in their desire to join IDF combat units:The GSS allows us to check the racial composition issue, but not mate it. Until the year 2000,... Read More