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One thing BlackRock's voracious acquisition of residential real estate across the country at rates far in excess of market listings indicates is that the econoclysm we're early on in won't be a repeat of 2008. Inflation isn't transitory, it's perennial. If the Fed had any intention of raising rates, BlackRock wouldn't be paying 30% above... Read More
The Ron Paul moment may not have passed. Perhaps after lying dormant for a decade it is poised to return with a vengeance: Or perhaps having non-Democrats split and most of the left arrayed in opposition is too hostile an environment for the moment's renaissance. If it's not an idea whose time has yet come,... Read More
If you have not yet reached forty years of age, you had not until this last month experienced the rate of consumer price increases Americans experienced in April. We have to journey all the way back to 1981 for that. How, with the labor force participation rate so low and so many jobs unfilled, can... Read More
The latest expiration date for the national eviction moratorium, set by the CDC (!) is July 1. Over the last six months, an average of 5.9% of renters have failed to make rent. Over the same six month period one year ago, 4.0% failed to do so. That's a nearly 50% increase in payment delinquencies... Read More
He has a lot of work in front of him to stake out territory on Mars, but Elon Musk's weekly trips to the moon are becoming a regular thing. He tweets about a financial instrument, any financial instrument, and it immediately shoots up by double-digit percentages. What's going on here? A few possibilities come to... Read More
You're a hedge fund client. That means there's a good chance you make the rules or own those who do. Among those rules are those about Covid--the restrictions, the severity, who is impacted, how long the disruptions will last, how long the fear will linger--not because you know the specifics from the beginning, but because... Read More
Janet Yellen is being floated as one of the top two potential Treasury Secretary nominations in a Biden administration. Recall she was Obama's Fed chair. She would be only the second person in American history to have held both positions. The other person to do it was William Miller of the Carter administration, one of... Read More
The idea of a strong efficient-market has always been more academically entertained than actually believed, and whatever supporters it had have been hemorrhaging away over the last couple of decades. It is implausible on its face–and it would be even without federal monetary policy scrambling market signals. The intention isn’t to puff myself up by... Read More