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Tea Party Support by State
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The following table shows net support (% of voters supporting – % of voters opposing) for the tea party movement by state among voters in the 2010 mid-term elections. Exit polling was only conducted extensively in states where the Senate and/or gubernatorial races were at least somewhat competitive:

State Support Oppose Net
1) Texas 48 25 23
2) Arkansas 43 23 20
3) Indiana 46 27 19
4) West Virginia 40 24 16
4) Ohio 43 27 16
4) Arizona 46 30 16
7) Kentucky 43 28 15
8) South Carolina 43 29 14
9) Missouri 41 28 13
9) Louisiana 42 29 13
National 41 30 11
11) New Hampshire 41 32 9
12) Colorado 41 34 7
12) Florida 39 32 7
14) Wisconsin 37 32 5
15) Illinois 36 32 4
15) Pennsylvania 39 35 4
15) Iowa 36 32 4
18) Nevada 38 35 3
19) Oregon 36 36 0
20) California 34 35 (1)
20) New York 36 37 (1)
22) Washington 37 40 (3)
23) Connecticut 35 42 (7)
24) Delaware 35 45 (10)
25) Hawaii 26 37 (11)
26) Vermont 24 43 (19)

Nothing surprising here. The correlation between McCain’s share of the vote in ’08 and support for the tea party today is a nearly perfect .89. The phenomenon is a battle for the ‘heart and soul’ of the Republican party–there are very few leftists joining the cause.

What is remarkable is how the perceptions of the tea party compare with those of the two major parties. The following table shows net support for the tea party and each major political party, this time by net support for Democrats. Because the questions regarding the parties asks about favorability/unfavorability while the tea party question asks about support/opposition, it’s not quite an apples-to-apples comparison, but it’s close. For whatever reason, exit pollsters in five states did not inquire about feelings towards the two parties, so those states are omitted:

State Dem Rep TP
California +6 (28) (1)
Illinois +6 (19) +4
Delaware +5 (20) (10)
Washington +4 (23) (3)
Pennsylvania (1) (13) +4
Oregon (3) (33) +0
Wisconsin (6) (4) +5
West Virginia (7) (4) +16
National (8) (12) +11
Colorado (10) (18) +7
Florida (11) (8) +7
Iowa (11) (2) +4
Nevada (11) (12) +3
Ohio (11) (12) +16
Missouri (15) (5) +13
Kentucky (16) +2 +15
Arkansas (17) +8 +20
Indiana (18) +5 +19
New Hampshire (18) (1) +9
South Carolina (19) +9 +14
Texas (19) +5 +23
Arizona (23) +1 +16

In no state does the GOP receive greater support than the tea party. I’ve resigned myself to the idea that I will be voting without exception for hopeless third party presidential candidates for my entire life, but if ever the ground seems fertile enough for a perennial third party to take root, now is that time.

Even in some competitive blue states like Pennsylvania, Oregon, and Wisconsin, the tea party does better than Democrats do. Even in solidly Democratic states like California and Illinois, feelings towards the tea party are decidedly mixed. Christine O’Donnell, like Sarah Palin, appears to have a knack for really grating some people. Consequently, opposition to the tea party is especially high in Delaware relative to its political profile.

(Republished from The Audacious Epigone by permission of author or representative)
 
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  1. I think this is why libs hate the tea party more than they hate Republicans. Plenty of Republicans are de facto liberals like Bush.

  2. Silly girl,

    Yes, and they seem ever eager to pin the tea party movement as something socially right, whatever that manifestation happens to be–mostly insinuated racism so far, but you know they'd love the tea party movement to be associated with the pro life movement or something along those cultural lines.

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