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Preliminary Vote Change by State from 2016 to 2020

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The following graph and table shows the percentage increases (and decrease in the case of our last frontier) in presidential election votes in 2020 as compared to 2016:

State Increase16to20
1) Hawaii 36%
2) Texas 30%
3) Idaho 27%
4) Arizona 25%
5) Georgia 24%
6) Tennessee 23%
7) Nevada 23%
8) Florida 22%
9) North Carolina 21%
10) South Carolina 21%
11) Montana 20%
12) Utah 20%
13) Colorado 18%
14) New Mexico 17%
15) Virginia 17%
16) Iowa 17%
17) Vermont 17%
18) New Hampshire 17%
19) South Dakota 16%
20) Minnesota 16%
21) Michigan 16%
22) Pennsylvania 16%
23) New Jersey 16%
24) North Dakota 15%
25) Ohio 15%
26) California 15%
27) Washington 15%
28) Delaware 15%
29) Kentucky 15%
30) Oregon 15%
31) Maine 14%
32) Wyoming 14%
33) Kansas 13%
34) Louisiana 13%
35) Wisconsin 12%
36) Rhode Island 12%
37) Indiana 12%
38) Connecticut 12%
39) District of Columbia 12%
40) New York 12%
41) Oklahoma 12%
42) West Virginia 12%
43) Massachusetts 11%
44) Nebraska 11%
45) Maryland 11%
46) Illinois 10%
47) Mississippi 10%
48) Alabama 10%
49) Arkansas 9%
50) Missouri 9%
51) Alaska (4%)

The claim that Wisconsin’s reported voter turnout was aberrantly high doesn’t seem to mesh with the state’s recorded vote total from 2016.

Regarding the election, there is a lot to analyze and we’ll do it in several subsequent posts. Sometimes we hit, sometimes we miss. Our post two months ago presaging what election week would look like appears to have been a precision strike. Shameless self-quote:

Democrats are destined to dominate the mail in vote. Many of those ballots will not have been received and processed by election night.

The GOP will thus be looking good with regards to confirmed vote totals on Tuesday night.

If, as this blogger expects, Biden is ultimately declared the winner, deplorables will perceive the election to have been stolen. The media will report on how Democrats are more likely to have voted by mail than Republicans and that anyone who says otherwise is a conspiracy theorist. It will be one of those rare instances in which they will be telling the truth, but Trump voters understandably won’t believe their crying “Wolf!”. The president was up by 2 million votes on election night and then wouldn’t you know they miraculously found 5 million votes for Biden, eh? Found them in a parking lot, no doubt!

The Secretary of States in all the tight must-win states for Trump–Michigan, Wisconsin, Pennsylvania, Arizona–are Democrats. Imagine the messages they’re receiving, subtle and otherwise, from the establishment about what will happen to their careers and reputations if they somehow allow a result favoring Donald Trump to be certified. Perhaps Biden/Harris won legitimately. I suspect they did. And if they didn’t, they’ll still win officially. The fix is in.

 
• Category: Culture/Society, Ideology • Tags: Election 2020, The states 
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  1. Perhaps Biden/Harris won legitimately. I suspect they did.

    lol no

    There was no goddamn way that old, demented bastard managed to pull out the number of voters that he did in the states that he did. People may have hated Trump, but there were enough people terrified of Antifa and BLM to either stay home or grab a Sharpie to vote for Orange Man. The idea that mail-in ballots were voluminous enough to push Biden well past the threshold for victory in what, half a dozen states, is idiotic. Everyone else managed to count their ballots just fine, but these Democrat cities and counties in critical states just happened to have massive issues?

    No, this is cheating, plain and simple. Trump’s at fault though. He shouldn’t have bothered with blacks and he should have had door kickers ready to go with forensics specialists in tow. All he had to do was find a handful of fraudulent ballots and he would have had a commanding position rather than this at best coin flip.

    • Agree: Almost Missouri
  2. You had to figure that the Dems would leave no stone unturned to get every last Dem voter to the polls this year. They eased up in 2016 and they paid the price. Add in the fraud, and the result was as near certain as things get in this life.

  3. Perhaps Biden/Harris won legitimately. I suspect they did.

    Then what do they need the massive cheat for? Their actions indict their prospects.

  4. Where is your fight, AE?

    There are a lot of things that are really fishy. I mean yes, mail ins should favor Biden but not by these extreme margins. Plenty of Republicans vote by mail too.

    “@nationalisttvfeed
    21h
    ·
    169K absentees in Milwaukee had to break 82-18 (!) for Biden to erase Trump’s 100K lead in Wisconsin, and they magically did, even though Biden’s margin in Milwaukee County is only 69-29. Sketchy as hell.”

    But more than that is the suppression of honest news. Trump’s performance has been just incredible. Unreal. Getting through the pandemic with so little economic destruction. Almost all other countries had much more economic destruction.

    Avoiding unnecessary wars. Abundant peace deals. Fighting for the American worker on the border and on jobs.

    Nobody got such incredible turnout as he did and I don’t know how Repubs do that ever again.

    And yet:
    – Social media cancellations of so many Trump influencers these past 4 years
    – Google suppression of conservative media
    – A media including Fox News that is largely to the left
    – Literal suppression of the Biden corruption scandal by the FBI and media until the end

    Can we praise the most incredible President we will ever see in our lifetime?

  5. The claim that Wisconsin’s reported voter turnout was aberrantly high doesn’t seem to mesh with the state’s recorded vote total from 2016.

    The Wisconsin #of votes appears suspicious.

    Turnout jumped from 77.6% to 89.1% of Registered Voters.

    A couple of details that may be throwing people off:
    — Some of the stories incorrectly show 2016 turnout as 67.6% instead of 77.6%.
    — Wisconsin lost ~150,000 voters between 2016 and 2020. Thus, the constant turnout case would have fewer voters.

    Here is what I have been able to glean from various sources:

    2016
       3.84 MM — Registered
       2.98 MM — Voted
       77.6% — Turnout

    2020
       3.69 MM — Registered
       3.29 MM — Voted
       89.1% — Turnout

    Does anyone know how Wisconsin handles voters who requested an absentee ballot showing up in person on Election Day? Could the implausible turnout be partially explained by voters casting both in-person and by-mail ballots?

    PEACE 😇

  6. Is there any state in the union where Trump did not improve his vote total? I couldn’t find one last night, but I looked exclusively at the swing states and did a rough approximation of what California’s Trump vote will eventually be.

    Trump is going to break 70 million votes easily and it’s conceivable he could get as many as 73 million votes once the counting is finished in a couple of weeks. That’s ten million more votes than he achieved in 2016 – a 16%+ increase.

  7. I couldn’t be bothered to watch on Tuesday. However, I did tune in to RT to watch a regularly scheduled program. The program had been pre-empted, and I watched, for about 30 seconds, coverage that appeared to be from Moscow. The speaker said “Joe Biden must know something we don’t.” He went on to say that with 54% (55?) counted, Trump was leading by 15 points, and yet Biden was confident he won/would win Pennsylvania. The speaker didn’t see how that was possible without a total collapse of Trump support, which according to the latest pre-election polls just wasn’t going to happen. Purely coincidental, I am sure.

  8. What is missing in the turnout numbers is an apples to apples comparison:

    Increased turnout from 2012 to 2016 vs

    Increased turnout from 2016 to 2020

    _Then_ you will see the voter fraud.

    (Hillary didn’t think she had to steal, so her numbers are the real _baseline_ numbers.)

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