Gillespie is a longtime murk dweller who was part of Dubya’s presidency and of Romney’s failed 2012 candidacy. He’s been in the lobbying ‘business’ for decades. As physiognomy confirms, he’s the epitome of cuckservative boomer nationalism.
The only reason to pull for him was because, during the gubernatorial campaign, he feigned to care about the worst aspects of illegal immigration for the first time in his life. If this particular GOPe creature could ride immigration restrictionism to an upset victory in an increasingly blue state, other pols would likely follow suit.
It wasn’t close to enough, but there are lessons to be learned in the exit poll results if the stupid party cares to learn them.
The pickup truck ad that served as a window into the leftist id was salient, but it didn’t move the needle much. Among those for whom immigration was the most important issue, Gillespie crushed Northam. The problem lies in the fact that just 1-in-8 considered it the most important thing in the race. Everything, including health care, is downstream of immigration. Demographics is destiny.
Speaking of health care, it’s hard to understate how poorly the Stupid Party has handled it. Premiums are skyrocketing everywhere. I’ve gone from paying $80 a month for myself and my family to $400 a month over a span of two years. The unAffordable Care Act is a bomb the Democrats constructed that is now exploding in the GOP’s hands.
Despite nominally opposing the passage–and then campaigning for years on the repeal–of Obamacare, said Stupid Party has somehow managed to own the frustration and anger over this assault on middle America’s monetary standard of living the bill has wrought. If the adults in the Democrat party are able to shut the SJWs up about all the -isms and -phobias for the next year and concentrate on health care costs instead, the 2018 mid-terms could be a route.
Northam’s margin of victory was twice that of Hillary Clinton’s, even though Northam did worse among non-whites than Clinton did. The WaPo helpfully includes exit poll results from 2016 alongside those from tonight’s governor’s race:
The numbers in the columns on the right show how much better (or worse) Clinton and Trump did relative to Northam and Gillespie. Northam’s performance among non-whites was marginally weaker than Clinton’s, but he stole 7 points from Gillespie among whites.
Who were these whites? See here:
They were the whites outside of northern Virginia who came out strong for Trump last November but who were unimpressed by globalist Gillespie’s late-life, half-hearted appeals to national sovereignty. As a consequence, the mean white voter shifted away from the western heartland and towards the northern Virginia government feeding troughs.
Racially, Virginia is pretty representative of the country as a whole, albeit with an extra helping of black thrown in to keep it real. It has a large number of both goodwhites and badwhites engaged in a perpetual cold civil war with one another that mirroring the one that is being waged at the national level. Trump mobilized a lot of those Virginian badwhites and managed to make an increasingly blue state halfway competitive. Gillespie was unable to do the same and got clobbered.
To repeat, there are lessons to be learned from this.
I’m skeptical that’ll happen. Instead, the Narrative will likely be that Gillespie lost because he doubled down on Trumpism by talking about MS-13 (never mind that he’s distanced himself from Trump since Trump announced his candidacy in the summer of 2015 and that his former bosses are two of the highest profile #NeverTrumpers in the Republican party). Paul Ryan and John McCain will call for a message of optimism and inclusion in 2018, and another chapter in The Decline and Fall of the American Empire will be written.