Net responses to the question of whether the family’s financial situation has gotten better or gotten worse over the last year, by state:
Trump will win all of the net better and net no change states, but he’ll need to win several net worse states as well to be reelected. That’s tough. The campaign strategy is to assume an understanding for the unique economic destructiveness of Covid and position Trump as the way to get back to the top of the economic mountain we tumbled down from last Spring.
Maybe it will work. Nationwide, sentiment went from a net worse 9% on election day of 2016 to a net better 19% in January of this year:
Our suspicion is we merely slipped off the summit to a crag a little ways below in March. There is a lot more falling to do to get to the base, and it’s a ride we’re going to be on in the coming years.