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Here’s one last delusional, fantastical gasp at how Trump will follow in his predecessor’s footsteps and be the president the deplorables hoped from the beginning he would be:
Just as Romney won the challenging party’s nomination after placing second in the election that gave Obama his first term, Sanders wins the 2020 nomination. Putatively on account of unforced errors and missed opportunities, Sanders loses an election that was his to win just as Romney did in 2012. Trump’s second term is then as hard-edged relative to his first as Obama’s second was to his first.
Having read and written extensively on dynastic politics in the Middle East and former Soviet Union, Sid does one better:
Trump gets fed up with Jarvanka for the last time. He tells Ivanka that it’s time for her to get out of the White House and work directly on women’s entrepreneurship in Africa or whatever nice liberal white lady cause she wants. Then Jared goes with her to head those programs.
After that, Trump listens to Junior more. Junior’s tweets are so sharp and on the mark that I think he actually gets what Trumpism is about. Junior says to his dad, “Look, how about you focus on campaigning, and we get a based Chief of Staff to build the Wall for you so you don’t get booed off stage by the crowd?”
At which point, Trump appoints someone like Kris Kobach to get the Wall built, Trump ekes out a win in 2020, and since Junior and Kobach built the Wall, got e-verify, did mass deportations, etc., it no longer matters what the old man does, even if it means Israel annexing Syria or whatever.
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Seems short for a fanfic.
lol, “if only the Führer knew!”
Beyond pathetic to still put any hopes in Trump at this point.
In case you never read the greatest sci-fi series ever written: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Path_(Dune)
I thought that the Russians also said something along the lines of "If only the Czar knew." But their faith in the "Little Father" at least had a religious origin.
We were pathetic before, but he is the only way forward.
Imagine the – well-earned – fervor on the Right if that were to happen.
I can only dream…
One of these days, there is going to be a nice, charismatic, church-going family man (or woman, I am not choosy) of a politician who is going to go “full populist.”*
And it’s going to be glorious.
Slogan:
We'll fight for you! (If there's time when we're not fighting each other.)Replies: @Twinkie
Beyond pathetic to still put any hopes in Trump at this point.Replies: @Twinkie, @Diversity Heretic, @iffen
I thought he was the Golden Path, not some mustachioed vegetarian loser with a niece-fetish.
In case you never read the greatest sci-fi series ever written: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Golden_Path_(Dune)
I can only dream...
One of these days, there is going to be a nice, charismatic, church-going family man (or woman, I am not choosy) of a politician who is going to go "full populist."*
And it's going to be glorious.Replies: @Kiwikiwikiwi, @Mark G., @Diversity Heretic, @Mike Tre, @Lot
Got your tissue box or meth shot nearby, because someone literally has to be as high as a kite to believe that would happen.
I, for one, am shocked that this website is so populated with, self-proclaimed geniuses who believe that voting for someone in D.C. is going to lead to change.Replies: @Audacious Epigone
Indeed.
I, for one, am shocked that this website is so populated with, self-proclaimed geniuses who believe that voting for someone in D.C. is going to lead to change.
I, for one, am shocked that this website is so populated with, self-proclaimed geniuses who believe that voting for someone in D.C. is going to lead to change.Replies: @Audacious Epigone
I hope by describing it as a “last delusional, fantastical gasp” that I was conveying how unrealistic I think it is!
I can only dream...
One of these days, there is going to be a nice, charismatic, church-going family man (or woman, I am not choosy) of a politician who is going to go "full populist."*
And it's going to be glorious.Replies: @Kiwikiwikiwi, @Mark G., @Diversity Heretic, @Mike Tre, @Lot
I dream about the president being some grandfatherly Eisenhower type who keeps government spending down, keeps us out of wars and keeps the budget balanced. I could vote for your guy too, though.
Beyond pathetic to still put any hopes in Trump at this point.Replies: @Twinkie, @Diversity Heretic, @iffen
Glad to see your comments again! I agree: Trump’s heart isn’t in any immigration enforcement, let alone significant curtailment. Maybe it never was; I just don’t know. I foresee a 40+ state electoral college blowout in favor of virtually any Democratic candidate in 2020.
I thought that the Russians also said something along the lines of “If only the Czar knew.” But their faith in the “Little Father” at least had a religious origin.
Walter Mitty for President!
I can only dream...
One of these days, there is going to be a nice, charismatic, church-going family man (or woman, I am not choosy) of a politician who is going to go "full populist."*
And it's going to be glorious.Replies: @Kiwikiwikiwi, @Mark G., @Diversity Heretic, @Mike Tre, @Lot
It’s going to take a Pinochet. But a Pinochet of the left is also depressingly possible.
At most Trump’s legacy will be showing we can’t rely on the federal government to ever enforce immigration laws, and more importantly the people that Trump inspires to run on a nationalist platform when they’re older
Well, I’m waiting
What, is he going to pull a surprise and announce that Elon Musk is taking over the closed GM factory in Ohio?
We get told by the courts that it is illegal for the President to block these accounts, but yet there is nothing forcing Twitter to allow alleged Nazis. Such hypocrisy cannot stand the test of anything but naked partisanship.
You are so right, AE. It is fantastical.
I can only dream...
One of these days, there is going to be a nice, charismatic, church-going family man (or woman, I am not choosy) of a politician who is going to go "full populist."*
And it's going to be glorious.Replies: @Kiwikiwikiwi, @Mark G., @Diversity Heretic, @Mike Tre, @Lot
Twinkie/Rosie 2020.
Slogan:
We’ll fight for you! (If there’s time when we’re not fighting each other.)
Slogan:
We'll fight for you! (If there's time when we're not fighting each other.)Replies: @Twinkie
You don’t want me in power. I’d go full Francoist. I’m pretty vengeful.
This is also a winning campaign slogan.Replies: @Twinkie
Nice fantasy, but will never happen. POTUS Trump blew it. He will lose in 2020. We deserved better.
I can only dream...
One of these days, there is going to be a nice, charismatic, church-going family man (or woman, I am not choosy) of a politician who is going to go "full populist."*
And it's going to be glorious.Replies: @Kiwikiwikiwi, @Mark G., @Diversity Heretic, @Mike Tre, @Lot
There a name for the belief that the winning political formula is to advocate for exactly your positions: pundit’s fallacy.
I will take either Twinkie or Zombie Franco over Kamala or Biden.
“You don’t want me in power. I’d go full Francoist. I’m pretty vengeful.”
This is also a winning campaign slogan.
I also think there are some parallels between Sanders and Romney, but also a contrast: Romney acted far more militant in the 2012 primaries than he actually was. He sounded like Mr. Tea Party wannabe in the primaries, then became his actual “La Raza Lite” self in the general.
Sanders, on the other hand, can be his actual leftist radical self in the 2020 Dem primaries and still win, but will have to tone it down for the general. Romney couldn’t find the right balance between his phony self and his real self to make it happen, and I believe that the same thing will happen to Bernie. Once Bernie becomes more moderate in the general, the “Onward Social Justice Soldiers Marching Off to War” contingent of the radical left will hound and harass him horribly, much the way open borders Hispanics shouted down Nancy Pelosi and black grievance studies people screamed that Bill Clinton’s “three strikes” crime plan was racist.
Trump can win again – with the end of the collusion mythology (and with the associated media bias surrounding it more clearly exposed than ever before) he has as much momentum right now as he’s ever had in the last two years. The question is: Can he still defeat the candidate that will give the most opposition? (I.E., himself.)
With over a million non whites entering every year, plus with the jews pushing for total internet censorship, how can he do this?
Deaths now outnumber births among white people in America. In 2017 2.3 million Whites died and only 2 million whites were born.
Trump won Pennsylvania by 45,000 votes , yet in 2017 alone 112,000 White Pennsylvanians passed away and only 12,000 Black residents died. Even if immigration was stopped completely in 2017 the demographics of America keeps getting worse. The average White person is now 45 years-old and the average Black is 31 years-old , average hispanic is 27 years-old. White fertility has been below 1.6 for decades now. There are more whites aged 55-70 than aged 20-35 today.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Feryl
This is also a winning campaign slogan.Replies: @Twinkie
With people on this blog, perhaps. Unfortunately (or fortunately), there is a pretty strong selection effect at work here. We are cranks and malcontents and don’t reflect the larger electorate.
The key to winning elections is turnout, not positioning. Stacy Abrams realized this, that’s how she nearly won Georgia.
But no, TINVOWOOT.
most of the 4 million non-whites who have migrated into the United States over the last 3 years will not be eligible voters, and their infant children are too young to vote….But over 6 million whites have died since trump was elected, and this may well result in the democrats winning in 2020.
Deaths now outnumber births among white people in America. In 2017 2.3 million Whites died and only 2 million whites were born.
Trump won Pennsylvania by 45,000 votes , yet in 2017 alone 112,000 White Pennsylvanians passed away and only 12,000 Black residents died. Even if immigration was stopped completely in 2017 the demographics of America keeps getting worse. The average White person is now 45 years-old and the average Black is 31 years-old , average hispanic is 27 years-old. White fertility has been below 1.6 for decades now. There are more whites aged 55-70 than aged 20-35 today.
In 2018 it was 1.66, the lowest ever, so that assertion isn't quite accurate... yet.
But come on man, mentioning that means you could be the next New Zealand shooter so put a lid on it!Replies: @silviosilver
Since the '08 recession, all ethnic groups have seen their birthrate decline, which I think is part of the reason elites are more pro-immigrant than ever before. They soak up the non-sense from neo-liberals that constant population growth is the only way to "grow" the economy.
We need to slam the gates shut on immigrants, get our shit together financially, and then figure out how many kids it makes sense to have. Ask anyone who lived through the early 1990's ghetto era about how wonderful it is to pump out babies. You certainly can't expect broke-ass Millennials to pump out a bunch of kids, not when they worry that they don't have the funds or time to properly raise kids.
Sanders, on the other hand, can be his actual leftist radical self in the 2020 Dem primaries and still win, but will have to tone it down for the general. Romney couldn't find the right balance between his phony self and his real self to make it happen, and I believe that the same thing will happen to Bernie. Once Bernie becomes more moderate in the general, the "Onward Social Justice Soldiers Marching Off to War" contingent of the radical left will hound and harass him horribly, much the way open borders Hispanics shouted down Nancy Pelosi and black grievance studies people screamed that Bill Clinton's "three strikes" crime plan was racist.
Trump can win again - with the end of the collusion mythology (and with the associated media bias surrounding it more clearly exposed than ever before) he has as much momentum right now as he's ever had in the last two years. The question is: Can he still defeat the candidate that will give the most opposition? (I.E., himself.)Replies: @Audacious Epigone
I’m not sure Sanders will be able to pivot. He is like a ratchet under pressure, only turning to the racialist left when he gets yelled at. His instincts are Old Left colorblindism but he crumbles immediately whenever he’s called on it, which as you rightly point out he will be relentlessly both during the primaries and in the general election.
The short answer is by making it up with strong support from boomercons and former NeverTrumper types. I don’t think that will be enough, but I think it is inaccurate to think Trump will not be able to make any electoral inroads in 2020 relative to 2016. There will be demographic subgroups more supportive of him this time around than they were the first time.
Has Trump been as right-wing as we would have liked on immigration? No. But we have, in effect, a gaggle of life-appointed kings and princes in the federal judiciary countermanding many of his executive orders. So even on this score, Trump has done all of the things a conservative president would have done, and he's way to the right of Bush on this subject. I like Ann Coulter, but what she doesn't seem to get is that Trump is president, not "dear respected" Kim Jong-un. Obama had the partial cooperation of a mostly liberal federal judiciary. Trump is getting mostly flak from that direction.
Bottom line is that conservatives are far better off with Trump as president than they would have been under Hillary. And that is why I believe Trump has a better than even chance of re-election. Trump is as conservative as anyone could have hoped for, and that will boost conservative turnout in 2020, as compared to 2016.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Twinkie, @Mark G., @Feryl
Deaths now outnumber births among white people in America. In 2017 2.3 million Whites died and only 2 million whites were born.
Trump won Pennsylvania by 45,000 votes , yet in 2017 alone 112,000 White Pennsylvanians passed away and only 12,000 Black residents died. Even if immigration was stopped completely in 2017 the demographics of America keeps getting worse. The average White person is now 45 years-old and the average Black is 31 years-old , average hispanic is 27 years-old. White fertility has been below 1.6 for decades now. There are more whites aged 55-70 than aged 20-35 today.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Feryl
White fertility has been below 1.6 for decades now.
In 2018 it was 1.66, the lowest ever, so that assertion isn’t quite accurate… yet.
But come on man, mentioning that means you could be the next New Zealand shooter so put a lid on it!
Beyond pathetic to still put any hopes in Trump at this point.Replies: @Twinkie, @Diversity Heretic, @iffen
Beyond pathetic to still put any hopes in Trump at this point.
We were pathetic before, but he is the only way forward.
Epigone, let go of the black pill! Do not despair. Despair is useless. Just like his election was a miracle, something else like it, or even better, might still be in store for us. On we go! Taking notes, taking names, polishing up the guillotines for the right day. The day is coming.
In 2018 it was 1.66, the lowest ever, so that assertion isn't quite accurate... yet.
But come on man, mentioning that means you could be the next New Zealand shooter so put a lid on it!Replies: @silviosilver
Like most people, you have failed to adjust for mixed-race births. Since the white miscegenation rate is around 15% today, the real white TFR was only 1.41 in 2018. To fail to make this adjustment is count non-white births as white, which is a bizarre kind of thing to do.
While there are conservatives like Bill Kristol, David Frum and Max Boot who are never-Trump because he clashes with their sense of propriety, there are probably a good number of righties who sat out 2016 because they thought Trump was not only a fake conservative (a la Bloomberg) but an actual liberal. Now that Trump has at least done the minimum any right wing president would have done (i.e. attempted to kneecap Obamacare, cut taxes, and appointed right-wing federal judges), while going beyond, by slashing global warming regulations put in place by Obama, moving the embassy to Jerusalem, and recognizing the annexation of the Golan *and* sticking it to both China and Russia, I don’t think there’s any question that he’s been a conservative president.
Has Trump been as right-wing as we would have liked on immigration? No. But we have, in effect, a gaggle of life-appointed kings and princes in the federal judiciary countermanding many of his executive orders. So even on this score, Trump has done all of the things a conservative president would have done, and he’s way to the right of Bush on this subject. I like Ann Coulter, but what she doesn’t seem to get is that Trump is president, not “dear respected” Kim Jong-un. Obama had the partial cooperation of a mostly liberal federal judiciary. Trump is getting mostly flak from that direction.
Bottom line is that conservatives are far better off with Trump as president than they would have been under Hillary. And that is why I believe Trump has a better than even chance of re-election. Trump is as conservative as anyone could have hoped for, and that will boost conservative turnout in 2020, as compared to 2016.
Ha Ha, Trump won in 2016 by not being a conservative. He won in PA, Michigan, and Iowa because he didn't sound like doddering neo-con McCain, or uber-WASP yuppie creep Romney. Blue collar whites don't want privatization, tax cuts for the rich, off-shoring of industry, and Pentagon pork/endless warfare. Well, not Midwestern whites, anyway. The GOP is running out of people to con. The budget is shot as ever, inequality gallops along, we're now threatening Venezuela and Iran while Iraq and Afghanistan drag on, and China still makes way too much of the crap that Americans buy. I would hope that anyone in their right mind would have some serious buyer's remorse over ever having bought into the idea that America has been financially and psychologically improved by the GOP ever since Reagan took office.
It's possible that Trump could be primaried out (the GOP never liked Trump for how he took shots at the neo-cons and Paul Ryan type Randroids). If Trump still ran again, The Dems could easily win if they run a populist. Trump is likely going to lose PA in 2020; he won't win MN or NH, though he nearly won these states in 2016. He might lose MI, too. But if the Dem candidate sucks, then Trump might be able to squeak out a re-election.
Otoh, to apply a one-drop rule to be a POC is also a bizarre thing to do, isn’t it? For every one white woman who has a mixed race baby with a black man–giving birth to a baby that is more European than African by ancestry–there is a Hispanic or Asian woman giving birth to a child fathered by a white man.
Has Trump been as right-wing as we would have liked on immigration? No. But we have, in effect, a gaggle of life-appointed kings and princes in the federal judiciary countermanding many of his executive orders. So even on this score, Trump has done all of the things a conservative president would have done, and he's way to the right of Bush on this subject. I like Ann Coulter, but what she doesn't seem to get is that Trump is president, not "dear respected" Kim Jong-un. Obama had the partial cooperation of a mostly liberal federal judiciary. Trump is getting mostly flak from that direction.
Bottom line is that conservatives are far better off with Trump as president than they would have been under Hillary. And that is why I believe Trump has a better than even chance of re-election. Trump is as conservative as anyone could have hoped for, and that will boost conservative turnout in 2020, as compared to 2016.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Twinkie, @Mark G., @Feryl
Fair, thanks.
Has Trump been as right-wing as we would have liked on immigration? No. But we have, in effect, a gaggle of life-appointed kings and princes in the federal judiciary countermanding many of his executive orders. So even on this score, Trump has done all of the things a conservative president would have done, and he's way to the right of Bush on this subject. I like Ann Coulter, but what she doesn't seem to get is that Trump is president, not "dear respected" Kim Jong-un. Obama had the partial cooperation of a mostly liberal federal judiciary. Trump is getting mostly flak from that direction.
Bottom line is that conservatives are far better off with Trump as president than they would have been under Hillary. And that is why I believe Trump has a better than even chance of re-election. Trump is as conservative as anyone could have hoped for, and that will boost conservative turnout in 2020, as compared to 2016.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Twinkie, @Mark G., @Feryl
Agreed. Also, he has the power of the incumbency on his side, and that is tangible in elections. And despite the constant demonization in the media, we haven’t quite hit the Trump-fatigue just yet (if anything he’s still quite unpredictable). That usually takes two terms.
Has Trump been as right-wing as we would have liked on immigration? No. But we have, in effect, a gaggle of life-appointed kings and princes in the federal judiciary countermanding many of his executive orders. So even on this score, Trump has done all of the things a conservative president would have done, and he's way to the right of Bush on this subject. I like Ann Coulter, but what she doesn't seem to get is that Trump is president, not "dear respected" Kim Jong-un. Obama had the partial cooperation of a mostly liberal federal judiciary. Trump is getting mostly flak from that direction.
Bottom line is that conservatives are far better off with Trump as president than they would have been under Hillary. And that is why I believe Trump has a better than even chance of re-election. Trump is as conservative as anyone could have hoped for, and that will boost conservative turnout in 2020, as compared to 2016.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Twinkie, @Mark G., @Feryl
Trump may end up discrediting conservatism because he isn’t doing the things he most needs to do. He’s spending like a reckless liberal. The deficit was 540 billion dollars the first five months of fiscal year 2019. At that rate, it will be over a trillion by the end of the year. Spending is at the highest level in 10 years since the aftermath of the 2008 economic crisis in 2009 under Obama. He is doing nothing to deal with the looming crisis involving Social Security and Medicare running out of money when all the baby boomers retire. He increased defense spending when most people are tired of the military-industrial complex dragging us into endless wars. Instead of doing something to end the stock market bubble which primarily benefits the wealthiest ten percent, he’s pushing the Fed to cut interest rates to keep it going. Since he has taken credit for the booming economy based on a bubble, when the recession comes he’ll have to take the blame for that too. I think he will go down in history as a Herbert Hoover type of figure rather than as a successful president.
Voters born since the late 70's are getting more, not less, important over time, as older generations fade due to attrition and the fact that their views get marginalized since, after all, someone born in 2000 can't possibly relate to someone born in 1940.
The GOP can hang onto Oklahoma and Wyoming forever, but in more densely populated areas, which are sort of important, the GOP is finished. The days of this country electing four consecutive presidents, from 1980-1992, to destroy the New Deal are over. The now 60-70-80 year old morons who commenced the "Reagan Revolution" and Clintonite neo-liberalism can't live (or vote) forever.
The sad fact is that people born from the 1930's-1950's piled up ginormous gobs of money and assets, and the only thing many of them care about is keeping the government's hands off it. All of the things you listed about this country's current chaotic condition are irrelevant to the greedy elderly assholes who tore through this country's social fabric (and financial, cultural, and psychological well being) so they could make a buck.
Every criticism that "conservatives" leveled at the policies of the 1930's-1970's could in fact be more accurately applied to the Reagan and post-Reagan era. We've arrived at a point where budgets are out of control, the government and the courts are crooked as hell, reckless idealists (neo-cons) have too much power, and feelings take precedence over facts. And "military expansion", which we only did at large scale and for sustained periods when absolutely necessary from 1930-1980, was evidently irresistible to the Reagan Right, who've basically bankrupted us by funding and supporting Pentagon pork, stupid coups, and endless occupations of foreign lands, which have also destabilized much of the world.
The problems which developed in the 1970's and early 80's seem pretty light-weight compared to the economic, military, and demographic dystopia which the Reaganites cast us into.
And those who say the current ideological dominance of Reaganism will last forever are delusional. The Dems thought that the New Deal mindset would never be passe, so they were naive enough to run Mondale and Dukakis in the 80's, who got blown out because voters had given up on progressivism. Trump won in 2016 by being anti-Reagan in ideology; unfortunately, modern elites no longer respect popular will (unlike the elites of the 1930's-1990's), thus the ruling class has awkwardly forced Trump into being Reaganite.
What happens when elites no longer respect popular will? Tension, discord, possibly leading to a revolution. Failure to adjust our budget and tax code to reflect popular will could eventually lead to a "Million Millennial march" on D.C., no doubt with the sponsorship of some younger politicians. Look, Millennials our broke compared to older generations, and we know that we've been let down. We've got nothing to lose....Except college debt!
Bush already destroyed “conservatism” to Millennials; Trump is now doing the same for Gen Z. Older generations can cling to Reagan (instead of, uh, Eisenhower?), when ironically Reagan was a dry run for the insanity that’s taken hold since papa Bush took office in 1989.
Voters born since the late 70’s are getting more, not less, important over time, as older generations fade due to attrition and the fact that their views get marginalized since, after all, someone born in 2000 can’t possibly relate to someone born in 1940.
The GOP can hang onto Oklahoma and Wyoming forever, but in more densely populated areas, which are sort of important, the GOP is finished. The days of this country electing four consecutive presidents, from 1980-1992, to destroy the New Deal are over. The now 60-70-80 year old morons who commenced the “Reagan Revolution” and Clintonite neo-liberalism can’t live (or vote) forever.
The sad fact is that people born from the 1930’s-1950’s piled up ginormous gobs of money and assets, and the only thing many of them care about is keeping the government’s hands off it. All of the things you listed about this country’s current chaotic condition are irrelevant to the greedy elderly assholes who tore through this country’s social fabric (and financial, cultural, and psychological well being) so they could make a buck.
Every criticism that “conservatives” leveled at the policies of the 1930’s-1970’s could in fact be more accurately applied to the Reagan and post-Reagan era. We’ve arrived at a point where budgets are out of control, the government and the courts are crooked as hell, reckless idealists (neo-cons) have too much power, and feelings take precedence over facts. And “military expansion”, which we only did at large scale and for sustained periods when absolutely necessary from 1930-1980, was evidently irresistible to the Reagan Right, who’ve basically bankrupted us by funding and supporting Pentagon pork, stupid coups, and endless occupations of foreign lands, which have also destabilized much of the world.
Has Trump been as right-wing as we would have liked on immigration? No. But we have, in effect, a gaggle of life-appointed kings and princes in the federal judiciary countermanding many of his executive orders. So even on this score, Trump has done all of the things a conservative president would have done, and he's way to the right of Bush on this subject. I like Ann Coulter, but what she doesn't seem to get is that Trump is president, not "dear respected" Kim Jong-un. Obama had the partial cooperation of a mostly liberal federal judiciary. Trump is getting mostly flak from that direction.
Bottom line is that conservatives are far better off with Trump as president than they would have been under Hillary. And that is why I believe Trump has a better than even chance of re-election. Trump is as conservative as anyone could have hoped for, and that will boost conservative turnout in 2020, as compared to 2016.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Twinkie, @Mark G., @Feryl
“Bottom line is that conservatives are far better off with Trump as president than they would have been under Hillary. And that is why I believe Trump has a better than even chance of re-election. Trump is as conservative as anyone could have hoped for, and that will boost conservative turnout in 2020, as compared to 2016.”
Ha Ha, Trump won in 2016 by not being a conservative. He won in PA, Michigan, and Iowa because he didn’t sound like doddering neo-con McCain, or uber-WASP yuppie creep Romney. Blue collar whites don’t want privatization, tax cuts for the rich, off-shoring of industry, and Pentagon pork/endless warfare. Well, not Midwestern whites, anyway. The GOP is running out of people to con. The budget is shot as ever, inequality gallops along, we’re now threatening Venezuela and Iran while Iraq and Afghanistan drag on, and China still makes way too much of the crap that Americans buy. I would hope that anyone in their right mind would have some serious buyer’s remorse over ever having bought into the idea that America has been financially and psychologically improved by the GOP ever since Reagan took office.
It’s possible that Trump could be primaried out (the GOP never liked Trump for how he took shots at the neo-cons and Paul Ryan type Randroids). If Trump still ran again, The Dems could easily win if they run a populist. Trump is likely going to lose PA in 2020; he won’t win MN or NH, though he nearly won these states in 2016. He might lose MI, too. But if the Dem candidate sucks, then Trump might be able to squeak out a re-election.
Mark, the cultural and economic problems of the 1970’s (such as they were) caused a lot of Americans to turn their back on the liberalism of the 1930’s-1970’s. Well, it now looks like the GOP, in spite of numerous opportunities to hit the pause button, has allowed conservatism to reach levels of excess which threaten to collapse any public faith in the neo-liberal (e.g., Reagan conservative) system. There’s no such thing evidently as too much off-shoring, too many tax cuts, too many Pentagon boondoggles, etc.
The problems which developed in the 1970’s and early 80’s seem pretty light-weight compared to the economic, military, and demographic dystopia which the Reaganites cast us into.
And those who say the current ideological dominance of Reaganism will last forever are delusional. The Dems thought that the New Deal mindset would never be passe, so they were naive enough to run Mondale and Dukakis in the 80’s, who got blown out because voters had given up on progressivism. Trump won in 2016 by being anti-Reagan in ideology; unfortunately, modern elites no longer respect popular will (unlike the elites of the 1930’s-1990’s), thus the ruling class has awkwardly forced Trump into being Reaganite.
What happens when elites no longer respect popular will? Tension, discord, possibly leading to a revolution. Failure to adjust our budget and tax code to reflect popular will could eventually lead to a “Million Millennial march” on D.C., no doubt with the sponsorship of some younger politicians. Look, Millennials our broke compared to older generations, and we know that we’ve been let down. We’ve got nothing to lose….Except college debt!
Deaths now outnumber births among white people in America. In 2017 2.3 million Whites died and only 2 million whites were born.
Trump won Pennsylvania by 45,000 votes , yet in 2017 alone 112,000 White Pennsylvanians passed away and only 12,000 Black residents died. Even if immigration was stopped completely in 2017 the demographics of America keeps getting worse. The average White person is now 45 years-old and the average Black is 31 years-old , average hispanic is 27 years-old. White fertility has been below 1.6 for decades now. There are more whites aged 55-70 than aged 20-35 today.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Feryl
Black fertility has cratered. It was massively high in the early 90’s, and has been declining almost year by year since 1996. The “average” black age is heavily skewed by the massive black baby boom of the early 90’s. The white “average” is skewed by the 1946-1964 cohort being very large and very white. Given that white people basically stopped reproducing from 1973-1984 (the cocaine era), had a decent number of kids from 1985-early 2000’s, and then stopped having kids over the last 10-15 years, it’s not surprising how old the white average is. Whites had a major boom in 1946-1964, moderate “booms” in 1965-1972 and the late 80’s-early 2000’s, and very few children in 1973-1984 and post-08 recession. Whites in this country will likely never again reproduce at the high rate they did from the mid-1940’s-late 1960’s.
Since the ’08 recession, all ethnic groups have seen their birthrate decline, which I think is part of the reason elites are more pro-immigrant than ever before. They soak up the non-sense from neo-liberals that constant population growth is the only way to “grow” the economy.
We need to slam the gates shut on immigrants, get our shit together financially, and then figure out how many kids it makes sense to have. Ask anyone who lived through the early 1990’s ghetto era about how wonderful it is to pump out babies. You certainly can’t expect broke-ass Millennials to pump out a bunch of kids, not when they worry that they don’t have the funds or time to properly raise kids.