One of the common objections to political dissolution is that the idea is dead on arrival because the cultural commissars will never let the others go. A recent poll from Bright Line Watc h casts doubt on that presumption. It found 29% of Americans in support (10% strongly, 19% somewhat) of the US breaking up into five smaller regional unions. Regional support by political orientation is as follows:
Of particular interest to the objection above is that in blue regions, Democrats are more supportive of secession while in red regions, Republicans are. The country’s political, cultural, and technological power centers are in the Northeast and on the West Coast. Democrat support is relatively high in those regions, 34% and 41% respectively. Conversely, in the one region the right has some cultural influence, half of Republicans are on board with the putatively ‘fringe’ secession position.
This is the opposite of what we would expect if the strongest resistance to dissolution will come from dominant forces not wanting to cede the scope of their dominance.
Maybe we shouldn’t expect that. These results make sense. If you’re a progressive in California, you own the state and local governments, and the culture they exist in, from top to bottom. The biggest obstacle to getting what you want is the influence of a state like Texas on federal legislation and enforcement. What do you need that retrograde deadweight for? Get out from under Texas’ weight and you can do whatever you want to. The converse case for conservatives in flyover country is even more obvious.
Rather than regional strong horses worried about ceding their ability to bully other parts of the country, the greatest resistance to the idea of political dissolution comes from Democrats in Redland and to a lesser extent Republicans in Blueistan. That is a tougher problem. These people don’t want to be left to twist in the wind. The solution may be more of what already occurs when people move out of progressive states like California and into conservative states like Idaho and Wyoming.