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He will graciously inform us if my memory fails me, but I believe Blinky Bill nearly perfectly predicted the 2020 electoral college map. His only miss was Georgia, the state set to have the narrowest margin of victory in the country. Unfortunately, the image link he provided in the comments section of the election prediction post is broken. It’s not foul play on account of his prediction besting mine, which was identical to his with the exception of Wisconsin, which I also missed. I didn’t do it, I swear!
Augury honorable mentions include Anatoly Karlin (missed only Arizona and Georgia), Irishman (missed Georgia and North Carolina) and Haruto Rat (missed Minnesota and Wisconsin).
The RCP polling average performed quite well with regards to predicting the winner by state (if less impressively when it came to assessing margins of victory). The only states the polling missed were Florida and Georgia. The PredictIt state markets also fared well, missing only Arizona and Georgia.
AE,
You are a little premature with the call. Or, is this only an intermediate result?
Currently, the map looks like this: (1)
Additionally, Trump flipped both the NH Senate and NH House to GOP control. It is hard to believe that he lost New Hampshire even though that result is not being formally contested.
____
Georgia Senate Run-off Prognostication (05-JAN-2021)
As a direct result of the activity by DNC controlled Fulton County, GOP controlled areas will step up to the new election standard. There will be multiple rounds of “Fultoning” (a.k.a. Discovering By Surprise) mail-in ballots across the state during the post-election period. Both sides will keep “voting” for their candidates long after election day.
Due to wide spread “Fultoning”, the total reported votes in the Georgia Runoff will *exceed* the number of Registered Voters in Georgia. The two GOP Senate candidates will “win(?)” with an amazing over 100% voter turnout.
PEACE 😇
(1) https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/12/gonna-get-real-real-soon-president-trump-still-paths-13-win-2020-election-biden-10/
https://youtu.be/ntTm-6wrLkU
I guess they can’t describe what you outline as Sumtering (county with Carter’s Americus), since that county still goes majority Dem ... maybe Houstoning, for Houston County, named after John Houstoun (nope, not a typo), who was one of the original Sons of Liberty. Long live the Republic.
You are a little premature with the call. Or, is this only an intermediate result?
Currently, the map looks like this: (1)
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/wp-content/uploads/201127-Electoral-Map.jpgAdditionally, Trump flipped both the NH Senate and NH House to GOP control. It is hard to believe that he lost New Hampshire even though that result is not being formally contested.
____
Georgia Senate Run-off Prognostication (05-JAN-2021)
As a direct result of the activity by DNC controlled Fulton County, GOP controlled areas will step up to the new election standard. There will be multiple rounds of "Fultoning" (a.k.a. Discovering By Surprise) mail-in ballots across the state during the post-election period. Both sides will keep "voting" for their candidates long after election day.
Due to wide spread "Fultoning", the total reported votes in the Georgia Runoff will *exceed* the number of Registered Voters in Georgia. The two GOP Senate candidates will "win(?)" with an amazing over 100% voter turnout.
PEACE 😇Replies: @A123, @Dieter Kief, @The Alarmist, @Audacious Epigone
Sorry. Left off the footnote:
(1) https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/2020/12/gonna-get-real-real-soon-president-trump-still-paths-13-win-2020-election-biden-10/
I believe my prediction was 2nd best. I also got 2 wrong, FL and GA. For EVs, I was Biden +14 versus actual. Irishman should be first, he got the EV count dead on.
https://www.unz.com/anepigone/2020-presidential-election-predictions/#comment-4260151
Haruto was Biden -20, Karlin was off by 27.
Thus the ranking should be
1. Irishman
2. Lot
3. haruto
4. AK
I can’t see Blinky’s so no comment there. Assuming he was right on all but GA, that’s still off 16 EVs. That creates a philosophical question of whether it is better to flip two equal states and get the margin right like Irishman or just 1 state but get the margin fairly wrong.
If we just go with total elector votes, that means if Jack got every single state correct except for picking Biden in North Carolina he is off a net of 30 EC votes. Meanwhile Adam misses North Carolina (Biden), Georgia (Trump), Ohio (Biden), and Pennsylvania (Trump). Despite missing four states, he is only off a net of 6 EC votes. By EC score, Adam did five times better than Jack on account of his four misses balancing each other out, but I think Jack's map is a lot more impressive.
You are a little premature with the call. Or, is this only an intermediate result?
Currently, the map looks like this: (1)
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/wp-content/uploads/201127-Electoral-Map.jpgAdditionally, Trump flipped both the NH Senate and NH House to GOP control. It is hard to believe that he lost New Hampshire even though that result is not being formally contested.
____
Georgia Senate Run-off Prognostication (05-JAN-2021)
As a direct result of the activity by DNC controlled Fulton County, GOP controlled areas will step up to the new election standard. There will be multiple rounds of "Fultoning" (a.k.a. Discovering By Surprise) mail-in ballots across the state during the post-election period. Both sides will keep "voting" for their candidates long after election day.
Due to wide spread "Fultoning", the total reported votes in the Georgia Runoff will *exceed* the number of Registered Voters in Georgia. The two GOP Senate candidates will "win(?)" with an amazing over 100% voter turnout.
PEACE 😇Replies: @A123, @Dieter Kief, @The Alarmist, @Audacious Epigone
Wot iss diss? – Fa’ real? – I mean, I sure don’t know how you got there. But it is interesting anyhow. – And, just in case you were right, we would hear about this stuff, wouldn’t’ we?
Hypothetically, have you ever read or seen or heard a "news" story that was mostly false?
And, just in case you were right, we would hear about this stuff, wouldn’t’ we?
Hypothetically, have you ever read or seen or heard a “news” story that was mostly false?
Credit to Trafalgar, Richard Baris, Patrick Basham and Robert Barnes, called it pretty spot on. Polling still works.
Unless you specifically factored in fraud, no prizes to you. I believes Barnes took profits before the fraud, specifically because of the fraud risk.
Stupid election is like Glenngarry
Jewish power hired childish blacks to pull the heist.
Blacks are crude in their tricks.
If the Tribe was as smart as they claim, they wouldn’t hire such lame “help”.
Supposedly, using blacks gets the “advantage” of calling racist on an challenges.
However, that race card is about overdrawn at this point.
The CIA/NSA could tell you the result before the first vote here.
Are these agencies here? Probably.
CIA disinfo is on all the alt-right sites nowadays.
Occidental Dissent is probably a CIA disinfo operation.
One thing is for certain. The system no longer has any credibility.
The MAG or Media Academic Government Axis has tilted and shown the cheat.
War is now inevitable. The Left and the Tribe know no limits.
They shall start the shooting and end up doing most of the dying.
The Marxists want to EAT THE RICH. I’ll bring the gravy.
Having your enemies destroy each other is the best strategy for SUCCESS.
You are a little premature with the call. Or, is this only an intermediate result?
Currently, the map looks like this: (1)
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/wp-content/uploads/201127-Electoral-Map.jpgAdditionally, Trump flipped both the NH Senate and NH House to GOP control. It is hard to believe that he lost New Hampshire even though that result is not being formally contested.
____
Georgia Senate Run-off Prognostication (05-JAN-2021)
As a direct result of the activity by DNC controlled Fulton County, GOP controlled areas will step up to the new election standard. There will be multiple rounds of "Fultoning" (a.k.a. Discovering By Surprise) mail-in ballots across the state during the post-election period. Both sides will keep "voting" for their candidates long after election day.
Due to wide spread "Fultoning", the total reported votes in the Georgia Runoff will *exceed* the number of Registered Voters in Georgia. The two GOP Senate candidates will "win(?)" with an amazing over 100% voter turnout.
PEACE 😇Replies: @A123, @Dieter Kief, @The Alarmist, @Audacious Epigone
Where is Jimmy Carter and his Carter Center election monitoring efforts? Oh, wait … they’re part of the colour revolution already in progress.
I guess they can’t describe what you outline as Sumtering (county with Carter’s Americus), since that county still goes majority Dem … maybe Houstoning, for Houston County, named after John Houstoun (nope, not a typo), who was one of the original Sons of Liberty. Long live the Republic.
I stand by my earlier prediction. I was right on the legal votes, and only missed due to blatant fraud not yet fully adjudicated or certified by a duly appointed slates of electors from the states. Of course I still believe the South will rise again. 😉
If white election workers had treated black poll-watchers like white poll-watchers were treated by blacks in Atlanta, Philadelphia, Detroit, and Milwaukee, it would have been a HUGE controversy. If white election workers had erected barriers preventing black poll-watchers from observing the vote tallying, it would have been world news. Under Jewish Supremacist power, blacks are allowed to get away with anything.
With Jews, whites lose… but whites suck up to Jews most.
Whites are dumb or WAD
https://www.unz.com/anepigone/2020-presidential-election-predictions/#comment-4260151
Haruto was Biden -20, Karlin was off by 27.
Thus the ranking should be
1. Irishman
2. Lot
3. haruto
4. AK
I can’t see Blinky’s so no comment there. Assuming he was right on all but GA, that’s still off 16 EVs. That creates a philosophical question of whether it is better to flip two equal states and get the margin right like Irishman or just 1 state but get the margin fairly wrong.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Irishman
Seems it is better to look at each state individually.
If we just go with total elector votes, that means if Jack got every single state correct except for picking Biden in North Carolina he is off a net of 30 EC votes. Meanwhile Adam misses North Carolina (Biden), Georgia (Trump), Ohio (Biden), and Pennsylvania (Trump). Despite missing four states, he is only off a net of 6 EC votes. By EC score, Adam did five times better than Jack on account of his four misses balancing each other out, but I think Jack’s map is a lot more impressive.
Trump was unique. Difficult to poll because of the “shy Trump” voter.
I don’t recognize the election as morally legitimate, no matter what the results were.
A system where 92% of the media is left wing, and 95%+ of academia is left wing; cannot be truly described as “free and fair”
Any party that uses anti-white racism to win, as the Democrats do, should be immediately removed from office. We aren’t allowed to play identity politics, we don’t get an NAACP, LaRaza or ADL. We need some kind of protection.
Our messages have been deliberately suppressed by tech monopolies, and antitrust law has largely been unenforced.
Large scale political violence certainly imposed on some voters that further rioting would result from a Trump victory.
If Russia/China evicted Biden, I would approve.
Biden supporters believe the election was free and fair because Biden won. Trump supporters believe the election was outrageously unfair because Trump lost. There really isn't any more to it than that.
If Trump had won Democrats would be complaining about widespread election fraud. And Trump supporters would be dismissing such claims as nonsense.
Thanks for the update! I’ll wait to tally up my predictions until ~Dec 15. I think there is <2% chance that any states will flip at this point, but will be good to make that definitive since many "true believers" such as A123 still remain. 🙂
____Democrats, following their Governor Eldbridge Gerry, created and made acceptable "Gerrymandering" election districts in 1812. That precedent is helping the GOP today. Democrats, following Fulton County election officials, created and made acceptable "Fultoning" election results in 2020. How long will it be until the GOP turns this precedent in their favour?Pepe is already hard at work building "Fultoning" automation and equipment for the Republicans. Whatever the DNC can do, the GOP can & will do it bigger.PEACE 😇
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-mcDEAXNeWpM/X8fJN94f2DI/AAAAAAACigA/c0IFxA7NyDA1ECJvdxIKW890iNQmP2BvACLcBGAsYHQ/s778/90mimb_41f9e52bf912468d0d6e2790bd541351_57daccea_540.jpg
https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-ib2Tzhlxeq0/X8kSdNMoOmI/AAAAAAACikg/-NVb4kLTbvI2B8OcObVBXSIkXW0fEG2KgCLcBGAsYHQ/s2048/90mimb_91cb38dd406e2d2660f0942a3876800c_a644b935_2048.jpg
Given that SCOTUS does not move quickly, that still may be premature.
“Believing in the Truth” is always necessary and The Right Thing to Do.
____
Democrats, following their Governor Eldbridge Gerry, created and made acceptable “Gerrymandering” election districts in 1812. That precedent is helping the GOP today.
Democrats, following Fulton County election officials, created and made acceptable “Fultoning” election results in 2020. How long will it be until the GOP turns this precedent in their favour?
Pepe is already hard at work building “Fultoning” automation and equipment for the Republicans. Whatever the DNC can do, the GOP can & will do it bigger.
PEACE 😇
A system where 92% of the media is left wing, and 95%+ of academia is left wing; cannot be truly described as "free and fair"
Any party that uses anti-white racism to win, as the Democrats do, should be immediately removed from office. We aren't allowed to play identity politics, we don't get an NAACP, LaRaza or ADL. We need some kind of protection.
Our messages have been deliberately suppressed by tech monopolies, and antitrust law has largely been unenforced.
Large scale political violence certainly imposed on some voters that further rioting would result from a Trump victory.
If Russia/China evicted Biden, I would approve.Replies: @dfordoom
Isn’t that pretty much the universal belief these days? Regardless of their political orientation nobody recognises election results as legitimate unless their guy wins.
Biden supporters believe the election was free and fair because Biden won. Trump supporters believe the election was outrageously unfair because Trump lost. There really isn’t any more to it than that.
If Trump had won Democrats would be complaining about widespread election fraud. And Trump supporters would be dismissing such claims as nonsense.
If the cheat goes through and it looks like it will, War will be the ONLY OPTION.
Its probably the BEST OPTION, since Trump was so philosemitic to begin with.
I doubt the tribe is ready for the NEXT LEADER of the Real Revolution.
Their controlled Marxists will simply light the match that burns down their Synagogue.
Lets dispense with the pleasantries. Only tribe members support this “election result”.
You can tag them all that way. CIA too. The only ones that go along with this kosher fraud.
The cheating was all too obvious. Caught on tape even.
Only the tribe would lie about something quite this obvious. Their CIA assets too.
Its getting tiresome isn’t it? Pretending this Failed State can keep going on.
Its laughable to believe it. Only the fanatic cultists in the tribe and their followers would.
https://www.unz.com/anepigone/2020-presidential-election-predictions/#comment-4260151
Haruto was Biden -20, Karlin was off by 27.
Thus the ranking should be
1. Irishman
2. Lot
3. haruto
4. AK
I can’t see Blinky’s so no comment there. Assuming he was right on all but GA, that’s still off 16 EVs. That creates a philosophical question of whether it is better to flip two equal states and get the margin right like Irishman or just 1 state but get the margin fairly wrong.Replies: @Audacious Epigone, @Irishman
Thank you Lot and Audacious Epigone.
The polls were giving Republicans nothing in North Carolina until Cal Cunningham was caught diddling another mans wife. The reason I called Georgia wrong and Florida right was the 2018 mid terms. The polls got them wrong and they looked so narrow this time too that I suspected a Trump win. Given Trump barely won Northern states last time I didn’t think he could withstand any weakness with whites and he couldn’t except in Ohio and Iowa which are the new Missouris. And I didn’t give him NC and AZ because the polls there were almost uniformly dire.
While I’m at it let me suggest a theory why Trump won in 2016 and came close in 2020. It’s the Republican party. I suspect Trump rode the coat-tails of the Republicans in both elections not the other way around while Trump was an albatross for Republicans in 2018. I say this who agrees in general with his policy stances and would give his right arm to be able to vote for someone like him sans personality and baggage in my country. Most of this strength is probably the toxicity of the Democrats but it would probably be easier for Republicans to de-Trump than it would be for the Democrats to become un-Woke. Pence would have won this election and handily. So I think the future doesn’t look bad for Republicans though hardly bright.
Given how uniform across the country the results are I think Biden won legitimately(and if there was mass cheating every Republican governor plus Trump is unfit to hold office on grounds of incompetence) though I know enough about postal voting in the UK to put an asterisk on the popular vote totals.
Not sure I follow. In 2018, without Trump on the ballot, Republicans did poorly. They did better in 2016 and 2020, when he was on the ballot.
You are a little premature with the call. Or, is this only an intermediate result?
Currently, the map looks like this: (1)
https://www.thegatewaypundit.com/wp-content/uploads/201127-Electoral-Map.jpgAdditionally, Trump flipped both the NH Senate and NH House to GOP control. It is hard to believe that he lost New Hampshire even though that result is not being formally contested.
____
Georgia Senate Run-off Prognostication (05-JAN-2021)
As a direct result of the activity by DNC controlled Fulton County, GOP controlled areas will step up to the new election standard. There will be multiple rounds of "Fultoning" (a.k.a. Discovering By Surprise) mail-in ballots across the state during the post-election period. Both sides will keep "voting" for their candidates long after election day.
Due to wide spread "Fultoning", the total reported votes in the Georgia Runoff will *exceed* the number of Registered Voters in Georgia. The two GOP Senate candidates will "win(?)" with an amazing over 100% voter turnout.
PEACE 😇Replies: @A123, @Dieter Kief, @The Alarmist, @Audacious Epigone
The Borg is too invested in the results as presented to even entertain any changes in the electoral outcome.
WAIT..... Noooooo!!! Not That BORG!!!!!
https://i.imgflip.com/2i5b49.jpg
I suspect Trump rode the coat-tails of the Republicans in both elections not the other way around while Trump was an albatross for Republicans in 2018.
Not sure I follow. In 2018, without Trump on the ballot, Republicans did poorly. They did better in 2016 and 2020, when he was on the ballot.
So…. Jeri Ryan… I could accept the Borg….
WAIT….. Noooooo!!! Not That BORG!!!!!
