In July of 2016, five police officers were fatally shot by a black nationalist in Dallas. The atrocity soured much of the country on the then ascendant Black Lives Matter movement.
By April of the following year, when Civiqs commenced its tracking poll, net support among all Americans was modestly negative, at -4. In the wake of George Floyd’s death, it spiked to +24. Months of riots, looting, aggressive social shaming, and the attempted cold-blooded execution of two law enforcement agents in Los Angeles saw that net support decline to +9.
A similar trend presents itself across the country’s major demographic subgroups:
The three years from April of 2017 through Floyd’s death are characterized by a slow, steady improvement in public sentiment. While BLM may have lost the battle of the last quarter, it appears to be well positioned for winning the war. If it is able to avoid unambiguous assassination attempts, it is on track to be one of the most positively perceived organizations in the country by the end of the decade–more so than the media, Congress, corporate America, religious institutions, etc.
This will come as unwelcome news to many who’ve been relieved to see BLM’s shine wear off over the last few months and have extrapolated from that a continued decline in the organization’s prospects, this blogger included. But it’s not our country anymore.