Democrat voters overwhelmingly want their vice presidential candidate to be a woman:
Most of the residual answers are “not sure”. Only 6% expressed a desire the candidate be a man.
The “not sure” response will, in many cases, be a legitimate one rather than merely being a non-answer. If identity politics is not your primary concern and you’ve not definitively settled on a person, this is the answer you presumably give.
The strict “no” responses, 6% here and 7% for the subsequent question about a black nominee, represent the sliver of Democrats actively resisting the total transformation of the Democrat party into nothing more than an intersectionality contest. A defiant “no” is a figurative middle finger to that. Their cause is a noble one. It’s also hopeless.
The desire for the VP pick to be black isn’t as strong:
Again, most of the rest answered “not sure”, with 7% saying they didn’t want the pick to be black.
The most striking difference between the affirmative female and the affirmative black distributions is generational. Old Democrats really want a woman but they don’t care much about having a black nominee. Been there, done that, I guess.
We maintain it will in fact be a black(ish) woman, Kamala Harris–and not just because her becoming vice president in 2020 and president in 2024 kinda sorta exculpates our years’ old initial prediction she’d be the presidential nominee in November!