The following graphs are sourced from data included in the most recent YouGov survey on the 2020 presidential election. Apologies for the odd number formatting. There’s a minor glitch in the Docs’ graph maker that hopefully will be resolved soon. “Someone else” also includes “not sure” responses.
The distribution of support among the top five candidates among white likely primary/caucus voters:
Warren’s and Buttigieg’s support overwhelmingly comes from (non-Hispanic) whites. In contrast, far fewer than half of Biden’s supporters are white.
Support among blacks:
Harris’ inability to become the black candidate continues. If she fails to do so by the time South Carolina rolls around next year, she’s done.
Support among Hispanics and others (the latter’s survey sample, at just 33, is prohibitively small to be included separately):
Support among those aged 18-29 (all races):
Though Sanders is staring senescence in the face, his supporters are several decades away from it.
Support among those aged 30-44:
Support among those aged 45-64:
Support among those aged 65 and older:
Biden’s age distribution is the inverse of Sanders’. The utter lack of support Sanders gets among geriatrics is remarkable. These are the people most likely to participate in primaries and show up to caucuses. It’s another reason Sanders has no hope.
Support among those who self-describe as politically liberal:
Sanders and Warren represent the progressive wing of the party (which is disproportionately white)–Sanders the younger, poorer contingent and Warren the older, affluent one.
Support among those who self-describe as politically moderate:
In addition to his strong non-white support, Biden’s base is comprised of older, moderate white voters who are bewildered by what is happening. They want to go back to 2008, to a time before The Great Awokening, to a time before they were despised and called racists by progressive members of the political party they have supported their entire lives.